NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

This is the 2024 "No Margin of Victory" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated without taking into account margin of victory. Following every game, the winning team always takes some number of Elo rating points from the losing team.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,113 of 3,259 game winners correctly (64.84%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%). That is an average of 3.9 fewer games correctly picked over those 12 seasons.

All available 2024 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1771 (-29)	9-1	at CAR (1330): Fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1684): L 21-30: 1800-29→1771
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1330): Favorite
2	Detroit LionsDET	1754 (+10)	9-1	at IND (1493): Fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1368): W 52-6: 1744+10→1754
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): Favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1713 (+29)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1800): W 30-21: 1684+29→1713
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1656 (+21)	8-2	at LAR (1511): Fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1559): W 26-18: 1635+21→1656
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Favorite
5 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1654 (+27)	8-2	at CLE (1361): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1680): W 18-16: 1627+27→1654
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1361): Favorite
6 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1652 (-28)	7-4	at LAC (1548): Fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1627): L 16-18: 1680-28→1652
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1548): Favorite
7	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1639 (+20)	8-2	at CHI (1392): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1349): W 23-13: 1619+20→1639
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1392): Favorite
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1626 (+21)	7-3	vs SF (1525): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1413): W 20-19: 1605+21→1626
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): Favorite
9 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1569 (+27)	7-4	vs TEN (1329): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): W 34-10: 1542+27→1569
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1329): Favorite
10 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1548 (+24)	7-3	vs BAL (1652): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): W 34-27: 1524+24→1548
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1652): Underdog
11 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1548 (+25)	6-5	at LV (1344): Fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1536): W 38-6: 1523+25→1548
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1344): Favorite
12 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1538 (-21)	7-4	vs DAL (1424): Fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1635): L 18-26: 1559-21→1538
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1424): Favorite
13	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525	6-4	at SEA (1490): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Tossup
14 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1525 (-32)	5-5	at GB (1626): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1457): L 17-20: 1557-32→1525
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1626): Underdog
15 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1512 (-24)	6-5	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1523): L 6-38: 1536-24→1512
next: (bye)
16 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511 (+25)	5-5	vs PHI (1656): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1327): W 28-22: 1486+25→1511
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1656): Underdog
17 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1493 (+27)	5-6	vs DET (1754): 'Dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1383): W 28-27: 1466+27→1493
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1754): Underdog
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (+33)	5-5	vs ARI (1525): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): W 20-17: 1457+33→1490
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): Tossup
19 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1468 (-25)	4-7	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 27-34: 1493-25→1468
next: (bye)
20 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1443	4-6	at NYG (1329): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1329): Favorite
21 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1442 (+25)	4-6	vs NE (1302): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1368): W 34-19: 1417+25→1442
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1302): Favorite
22 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1424 (-27)	3-7	at WAS (1538): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1542): L 10-34: 1451-27→1424
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1538): Underdog
23 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1399 (+27)	4-7	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): W 35-14: 1372+27→1399
next: (bye)
24 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1392 (-21)	4-6	vs MIN (1639): 'Dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1605): L 19-20: 1413-21→1392
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1639): Underdog
25 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1361 (-26)	2-8	vs PIT (1654): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1372): L 14-35: 1387-26→1361
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1654): Underdog
26 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1358 (-10)	2-9	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1744): L 6-52: 1368-10→1358
next: (bye)
27 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1356 (-27)	3-8	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): L 27-28: 1383-27→1356
next: (bye)
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1344 (-24)	2-8	vs DEN (1548): 'Dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1417): L 19-34: 1368-24→1344
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1548): Underdog
29 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1330	3-7	vs KC (1771): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1771): Underdog
30 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1329	2-8	vs TB (1443): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1443): Underdog
31 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1329 (-20)	2-8	at HOU (1569): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1619): L 13-23: 1349-20→1329
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1569): Underdog
32	New England PatriotsNE	1302 (-25)	3-8	at MIA (1442): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1486): L 22-28: 1327-25→1302
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1800 (+15)	9-0	at BUF (1684): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1538): W 16-14: 1785+15→1800
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1684): Favorite
2	Detroit LionsDET	1744 (+26)	8-1	vs JAX (1368): Fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1569): W 26-23: 1718+26→1744
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1368): Favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1684 (+24)	8-2	vs KC (1800): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 30-20: 1660+24→1684
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1800): Underdog
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1680 (+19)	7-3	at PIT (1627): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): W 35-34: 1661+19→1680
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1627): Slight favorite
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1635 (+25)	7-2	vs WAS (1559): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1477): W 34-6: 1610+25→1635
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1559): Favorite
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1627 (+29)	7-2	vs BAL (1680): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1588): W 28-27: 1598+29→1627
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1680): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1619 (+23)	7-2	at TEN (1349): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1390): W 12-7: 1596+23→1619
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1349): Favorite
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1605	6-3	at CHI (1413): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1413): Favorite
9	Washington CommandersWAS	1559 (-29)	7-3	at PHI (1635): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1598): L 27-28: 1588-29→1559
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1635): Underdog
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1557 (+26)	5-4	vs SEA (1457): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): W 23-20: 1531+26→1557
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1457): Favorite
11	Houston TexansHOU	1542 (-27)	6-4	at DAL (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1718): L 23-26: 1569-27→1542
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1536 (-35)	6-4	at DEN (1523): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1337): L 17-20: 1571-35→1536
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1523): Underdog
13 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525 (+21)	6-4	bye
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1405): W 31-6: 1504+21→1525
next: (bye)
14 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+19)	6-3	vs CIN (1493): Fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): W 27-17: 1505+19→1524
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Favorite
15 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1523 (-15)	5-5	vs ATL (1536): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1785): L 14-16: 1538-15→1523
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1536): Favorite
16 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (-18)	4-6	at LAC (1524): 'Dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1661): L 34-35: 1511-18→1493
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Underdog
17 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1486 (-38)	4-5	at NE (1327): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1380): L 15-23: 1524-38→1486
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1327): Favorite
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1466 (-24)	4-6	at NYJ (1383): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): L 20-30: 1490-24→1466
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1383): Tossup
19 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1457	4-5	at SF (1557): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): Underdog
20 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1451 (-26)	3-6	vs HOU (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): L 6-34: 1477-26→1451
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1542): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1443 (-26)	4-6	bye
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): L 20-23: 1469-26→1443
next: (bye)
22 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1417 (+37)	3-6	vs LV (1368): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): W 23-15: 1380+37→1417
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1368): Favorite
23 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1413 (-38)	4-5	vs GB (1605): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1289): L 3-19: 1451-38→1413
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1605): Underdog
24 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1387	2-7	at NO (1372): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1372): Underdog
25 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1383 (-22)	3-7	vs IND (1466): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): L 6-31: 1405-22→1383
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): Tossup
26 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1372 (+35)	3-7	vs CLE (1387): Fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1571): W 20-17: 1337+35→1372
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): Favorite
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1368	2-7	at MIA (1417): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1417): Underdog
28 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1368 (-22)	2-8	at DET (1744): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1596): L 7-12: 1390-22→1368
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1744): Underdog
29 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1349 (-19)	2-7	vs MIN (1619): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): L 17-27: 1368-19→1349
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1619): Underdog
30 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1330 (+31)	3-7	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1360): W 20-17(OT): 1299+31→1330
next: (bye)
31 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1329 (-31)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1299): L 17-20(OT): 1360-31→1329
next: (bye)
32	New England PatriotsNE	1327 (+38)	3-7	vs LAR (1486): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1451): W 19-3: 1289+38→1327
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1486): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1785 (+13)	8-0	vs DEN (1538): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): W 30-24(OT): 1772+13→1785
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1538): Favorite
2	Detroit LionsDET	1718 (+30)	7-1	at HOU (1569): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1635): W 24-14: 1688+30→1718
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1569): Favorite
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1661 (+22)	6-3	vs CIN (1511): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1560): W 41-10: 1639+22→1661
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Favorite
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1660 (+15)	7-2	at IND (1490): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1394): W 30-27: 1645+15→1660
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Favorite
5 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1610 (+18)	6-2	at DAL (1477): Fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): W 28-23: 1592+18→1610
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1477): Favorite
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1605 (-30)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1688): L 14-24: 1635-30→1605
next: (bye)
7	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1598	6-2	at WAS (1588): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1588): Underdog
8 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1596 (+21)	6-2	at JAX (1390): Fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1511): W 21-13: 1575+21→1596
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1390): Favorite
9 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1588 (+24)	7-2	vs PIT (1598): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): W 27-22: 1564+24→1588
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1598): Favorite
10 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1571 (+24)	6-3	at NO (1337): Fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 27-21: 1547+24→1571
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1337): Favorite
11 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1569 (-37)	6-3	vs DET (1718): 'Dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1368): L 13-21: 1606-37→1569
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1718): Underdog
12 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1538 (-22)	5-4	at KC (1785): 'Dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): L 10-41: 1560-22→1538
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1785): Underdog
13	San Francisco 49ersSF	1531	4-4	at TB (1469): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): Favorite
14 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524 (+31)	4-4	vs MIA (1380): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): W 26-20(OT): 1493+31→1524
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1380): Favorite
15 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (+21)	4-5	at BAL (1661): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1390): W 41-24: 1490+21→1511
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1661): Underdog
16 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1505 (+30)	5-3	vs TEN (1368): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1418): W 27-10: 1475+30→1505
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): Favorite
17 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (+26)	5-4	vs NYJ (1405): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1477): W 29-9: 1478+26→1504
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1405): Favorite
18 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-21)	4-5	vs BUF (1660): 'Dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1575): L 13-21: 1511-21→1490
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): Underdog
19 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1477 (-24)	3-5	vs PHI (1610): 'Dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1547): L 21-27: 1501-24→1477
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1610): Underdog
20 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1469 (-13)	4-5	vs SF (1531): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1772): L 24-30(OT): 1482-13→1469
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): Underdog
21 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1457 (-31)	4-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 20-26(OT): 1488-31→1457
next: (bye)
22 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1451 (-26)	4-4	vs NE (1289): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1478): L 9-29: 1477-26→1451
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1289): Favorite
23 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1405 (+37)	3-6	at ARI (1504): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1606): W 21-13: 1368+37→1405
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Underdog
24	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1390 (-17)	2-7	vs MIN (1596): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): L 23-28: 1407-17→1390
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1596): Underdog
25 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1387 (-31)	2-7	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1475): L 10-27: 1418-31→1387
next: (bye)
26 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1380 (-14)	2-6	at LAR (1524): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): L 27-30: 1394-14→1380
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Underdog
27 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1368 (-22)	2-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): L 24-41: 1390-22→1368
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1368 (+24)	2-6	at LAC (1505): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1313): W 20-17(OT): 1344+24→1368
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Underdog
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1360 (-24)	2-7	at CAR (1299): Fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1564): L 22-27: 1384-24→1360
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1299): Favorite
30 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1337 (-31)	2-7	vs ATL (1571): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1268): L 22-23: 1368-31→1337
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1571): Underdog
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1299 (+31)	2-7	at NYG (1360): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1368): W 23-22: 1268+31→1299
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1360): Underdog
32 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1289 (-24)	2-7	at CHI (1451): 'Dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1344): L 17-20(OT): 1313-24→1289
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1451): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1772 (+17)	7-0	vs TB (1482): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1407): W 27-20: 1755+17→1772
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): Favorite
2 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1688 (+12)	6-1	at GB (1635): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1355): W 52-14: 1676+12→1688
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1635): Underdog
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1645 (+29)	6-2	vs MIA (1394): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): W 31-10: 1616+29→1645
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1394): Favorite
4 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1639 (-42)	5-3	vs DEN (1560): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1376): L 24-29: 1681-42→1639
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1560): Favorite
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1635 (+25)	6-2	vs DET (1688): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): W 30-27: 1610+25→1635
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1688): Favorite
6 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1606 (+25)	6-2	at NYJ (1368): Fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): W 23-20: 1581+25→1606
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1368): Favorite
7 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1598 (+18)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1402): W 26-18: 1580+18→1598
next: (bye)
8 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1592 (+32)	5-2	vs JAX (1407): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): W 37-17: 1560+32→1592
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): Favorite
9 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1575 (-36)	5-2	vs IND (1511): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1457): L 20-30: 1611-36→1575
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1511): Favorite
10 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1564 (+28)	6-2	at NYG (1384): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1505): W 18-15: 1536+28→1564
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1384): Favorite
11 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1560 (+12)	5-3	at BAL (1639): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1280): W 28-14: 1548+12→1560
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): Underdog
12 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1547 (+34)	5-3	vs DAL (1501): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): W 31-26: 1513+34→1547
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Favorite
13 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1531 (+31)	4-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1532): W 30-24: 1500+31→1531
next: (bye)
14 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1511 (-25)	4-4	at MIN (1575): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1581): L 20-23: 1536-25→1511
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1575): Underdog
15 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (-31)	3-4	at ATL (1547): 'Dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 24-30: 1532-31→1501
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1547): Underdog
16 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1493 (+36)	3-4	at SEA (1488): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1611): W 30-20: 1457+36→1493
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): Underdog
17 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (-32)	3-5	vs LV (1390): Fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): L 17-37: 1522-32→1490
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1390): Favorite
18 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1488 (-29)	4-4	vs LAR (1493): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1616): L 10-31: 1517-29→1488
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Favorite
19 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1482 (-34)	4-4	at KC (1772): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1513): L 26-31: 1516-34→1482
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1772): Underdog
20 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1478 (+34)	4-4	vs CHI (1477): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1428): W 28-27: 1444+34→1478
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1477): Favorite
21 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1477 (-28)	4-3	at ARI (1478): 'Dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1536): L 15-18: 1505-28→1477
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1478): Underdog
22 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1475 (+26)	4-3	at CLE (1418): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1395): W 26-8: 1449+26→1475
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1418): Underdog
23 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1418 (+42)	2-6	vs LAC (1475): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1681): W 29-24: 1376+42→1418
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1475): Favorite
24 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1407 (-25)	2-6	at PHI (1592): 'Dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1610): L 27-30: 1432-25→1407
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): Underdog
25 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1394 (-34)	2-5	at BUF (1645): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): L 27-28: 1428-34→1394
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1645): Underdog
26 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1390 (-17)	2-6	at CIN (1490): 'Dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1755): L 20-27: 1407-17→1390
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1384 (-18)	2-6	vs WAS (1564): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1580): L 18-26: 1402-18→1384
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1564): Underdog
28	New Orleans SaintsNO	1368 (-27)	2-6	at CAR (1268): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1449): L 8-26: 1395-27→1368
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1268): Favorite
29 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1368 (-34)	2-6	vs HOU (1606): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1280): L 22-25: 1402-34→1368
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1606): Underdog
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1344 (-11)	1-6	vs NE (1313): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1676): L 14-52: 1355-11→1344
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1313): Favorite
31 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1313 (+33)	2-6	at TEN (1344): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1402): W 25-22: 1280+33→1313
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1344): Underdog
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1268 (-12)	1-7	vs NO (1368): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1548): L 14-28: 1280-12→1268
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1368): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1755 (+24)	6-0	at LV (1407): Fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): W 28-18: 1731+24→1755
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1407): Favorite
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1681 (+29)	5-2	at CLE (1376): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1546): W 41-31: 1652+29→1681
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1376): Favorite
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1676 (+39)	5-1	vs TEN (1355): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1650): W 31-29: 1637+39→1676
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1355): Favorite
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1616 (+16)	5-2	at SEA (1517): Fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1371): W 34-10: 1600+16→1616
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Favorite
5 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1611 (-39)	5-1	at LAR (1457): Fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1637): L 29-31: 1650-39→1611
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1457): Favorite
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1610 (+31)	5-2	at JAX (1432): Fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1611): W 24-22: 1579+31→1610
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): Favorite
7 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1581 (-30)	5-2	vs IND (1536): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1579): L 22-24: 1611-30→1581
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): Favorite
8	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1580 (+20)	5-2	vs NYG (1402): Fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): W 37-15: 1560+20→1580
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1402): Favorite
9 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1560 (+30)	4-2	at CIN (1522): 'Dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1432): W 28-3: 1530+30→1560
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): Underdog
10 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1548 (+31)	4-3	vs CAR (1280): Fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1425): W 33-10: 1517+31→1548
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1280): Favorite
11 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1536 (+15)	5-2	vs CHI (1505): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1296): W 40-7: 1521+15→1536
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1505): Favorite
12 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1536 (+28)	4-3	at HOU (1581): 'Dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): W 16-10: 1508+28→1536
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1581): Underdog
13 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1532	3-3	at SF (1500): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Tossup
14 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1522 (+31)	3-4	vs PHI (1560): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): W 21-14: 1491+31→1522
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): Favorite
15 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+39)	4-3	vs BUF (1616): 'Dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1552): W 34-14: 1478+39→1517
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1616): Underdog
16 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (-30)	4-3	vs ATL (1513): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1652): L 31-41: 1546-30→1516
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1513): Favorite
17 (-8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1513 (-39)	4-3	at TB (1516): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): L 14-34: 1552-39→1513
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Underdog
18 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1505	4-2	at WAS (1536): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1536): Underdog
19 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500 (-24)	3-4	vs DAL (1532): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1731): L 18-28: 1524-24→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1532): Tossup
20 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1457 (+26)	2-4	vs MIN (1611): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): W 20-15: 1431+26→1457
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1611): Underdog
21 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1449 (-32)	3-3	vs NO (1395): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1411): L 15-17: 1481-32→1449
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1395): Favorite
22 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1444 (+33)	3-4	at MIA (1428): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): W 17-15: 1411+33→1444
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1428): Underdog
23 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1432 (+26)	2-5	vs GB (1610): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1306): W 32-16: 1406+26→1432
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1610): Underdog
24 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1428 (-28)	2-4	vs ARI (1444): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): L 10-16: 1456-28→1428
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): Favorite
25 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1407 (-26)	2-5	vs KC (1755): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1431): L 15-20: 1433-26→1407
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1755): Underdog
26	New York JetsNYJ	1402 (-19)	2-5	at NE (1280): Fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): L 15-37: 1421-19→1402
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1280): Favorite
27 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1402 (-30)	2-5	at PIT (1580): 'Dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): L 3-28: 1432-30→1402
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1580): Underdog
28 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1395 (-30)	2-5	at LAC (1449): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1517): L 10-33: 1425-30→1395
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1449): Underdog
29 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1376 (-31)	1-6	vs BAL (1681): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): L 14-21: 1407-31→1376
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1681): Underdog
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1355 (-16)	1-5	at DET (1676): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1600): L 10-34: 1371-16→1355
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1676): Underdog
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1280 (-16)	1-6	at DEN (1548): 'Dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1521): L 7-40: 1296-16→1280
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1548): Underdog
32 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1280 (-26)	1-6	vs NYJ (1402): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1406): L 16-32: 1306-26→1280
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1402): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1731	5-0	at SF (1524): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Favorite
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1652 (+25)	4-2	at TB (1546): Fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1545): W 30-23: 1627+25→1652
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1546): Favorite
3 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1650	5-0	vs DET (1637): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1637): Favorite
4	Detroit LionsDET	1637 (+33)	4-1	at MIN (1650): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): W 47-9: 1604+33→1637
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1650): Underdog
5	Houston TexansHOU	1611 (+21)	5-1	at GB (1579): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1327): W 41-21: 1590+21→1611
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1579): Underdog
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1600 (+29)	4-2	vs TEN (1371): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1451): W 23-20: 1571+29→1600
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1371): Favorite
7 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1579 (+21)	4-2	vs HOU (1611): Fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1432): W 34-13: 1558+21→1579
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1611): Favorite
8 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1560 (+33)	4-2	vs NYJ (1421): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): W 32-13: 1527+33→1560
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): Favorite
9 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1552 (+22)	4-2	vs SEA (1478): Fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1318): W 38-20: 1530+22→1552
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): Favorite
10 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1546 (+32)	4-2	vs BAL (1652): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): W 51-27: 1514+32→1546
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1652): Underdog
11 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1532 (-32)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1604): L 9-47: 1564-32→1532
next: (bye)
12 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (+22)	3-2	at NYG (1432): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1429): W 20-16: 1508+22→1530
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1432): Favorite
13 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524 (+40)	3-3	vs KC (1731): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): W 36-24: 1484+40→1524
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1731): Underdog
14 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1521 (-24)	4-2	vs CAR (1296): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1627): L 23-30: 1545-24→1521
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1296): Favorite
15 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1517 (-44)	3-3	at NO (1425): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1438): L 16-23: 1561-44→1517
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1425): Favorite
16 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (+35)	3-3	vs MIA (1456): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): W 20-17: 1473+35→1508
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): Favorite
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1505 (+31)	4-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1437): W 35-16: 1474+31→1505
next: (bye)
18 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1491 (+39)	2-4	at CLE (1407): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): W 17-7: 1452+39→1491
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1407): Favorite
19 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (+43)	3-2	at ARI (1411): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1561): W 23-16: 1438+43→1481
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1411): Slight favorite
20 (-7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1478 (-40)	3-3	at ATL (1552): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1484): L 24-36: 1518-40→1478
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1552): Underdog
21 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1456	2-3	at IND (1508): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Underdog
22 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433 (-34)	2-4	at LAR (1431): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): L 13-32: 1467-34→1433
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1431): Underdog
23 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1432 (-39)	2-4	vs PHI (1530): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): L 7-17: 1471-39→1432
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Underdog
24 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1431	1-4	vs LV (1433): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Favorite
25 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1425 (-32)	2-4	vs DEN (1517): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 27-51: 1457-32→1425
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1517): Underdog
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1421 (-30)	2-4	at PIT (1560): 'Dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): L 20-23: 1451-30→1421
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): Underdog
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1411 (-21)	2-4	vs LAC (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1558): L 13-34: 1432-21→1411
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1407 (-22)	1-5	vs CIN (1491): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): L 16-20: 1429-22→1407
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): Underdog
29 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1406 (-31)	1-5	at NE (1306): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): L 16-35: 1437-31→1406
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1306): Favorite
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1371 (-35)	1-4	at BUF (1600): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): L 17-20: 1406-35→1371
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1600): Underdog
31	New England PatriotsNE	1306 (-21)	1-5	at JAX (1406): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1590): L 21-41: 1327-21→1306
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1406): Underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1296 (-22)	1-5	at WAS (1521): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1530): L 20-38: 1318-22→1296
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1521): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1731 (+14)	5-0	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1471): W 26-13: 1717+14→1731
next: (bye)
2	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1650 (+25)	5-0	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): W 23-17: 1625+25→1650
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1627 (+31)	3-2	vs WAS (1545): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1483): W 41-38(OT): 1596+31→1627
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1545): Favorite
4	Detroit LionsDET	1604	3-1	at DAL (1564): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): Favorite
5 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1590 (+36)	4-1	at NE (1327): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1606): W 23-20: 1554+36→1590
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1327): Favorite
6 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1571 (-35)	3-2	at NYJ (1451): Fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1554): L 20-23: 1606-35→1571
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1451): Favorite
7 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1564 (+41)	3-2	vs DET (1604): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1568): W 20-17: 1523+41→1564
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1604): Underdog
8 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1561 (+29)	3-2	vs LAC (1438): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 34-18: 1532+29→1561
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1438): Favorite
9 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1558 (+36)	3-2	vs ARI (1432): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): W 24-19: 1522+36→1558
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1432): Favorite
10 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1545 (+27)	4-1	at BAL (1627): 'Dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): W 34-13: 1518+27→1545
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1627): Underdog
11 (+7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1530 (+36)	3-2	at CAR (1318): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): W 36-30(OT): 1494+36→1530
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1318): Favorite
12 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1527 (-41)	3-2	at LV (1467): Tossup
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 17-20: 1568-41→1527
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): Tossup
13 (-6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518 (-49)	3-2	vs SF (1484): Fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): L 20-29: 1567-49→1518
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1484): Favorite
14 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (-36)	3-2	at NO (1457): Fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): L 30-36(OT): 1550-36→1514
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): Favorite
15 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1508	2-2	vs CLE (1429): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1429): Favorite
16 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1484 (-51)	2-3	at SEA (1518): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): L 23-24: 1535-51→1484
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): Underdog
17 (+7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (+24)	3-2	at JAX (1437): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1341): W 36-10: 1450+24→1474
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1437): Favorite
18 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1473 (-40)	2-3	at TEN (1406): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1397): L 34-37: 1513-40→1473
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): Underdog
19 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1471 (+48)	2-3	vs CIN (1452): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): W 29-20: 1423+48→1471
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Favorite
20 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (-29)	2-3	vs PIT (1527): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): L 18-34: 1496-29→1467
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): Tossup
21	New Orleans SaintsNO	1457 (-14)	2-3	vs TB (1514): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): L 13-26: 1471-14→1457
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Underdog
22 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1456 (+36)	2-3	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1363): W 15-10: 1420+36→1456
next: (bye)
23 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-31)	1-4	at NYG (1471): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): L 38-41(OT): 1483-31→1452
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): Underdog
24 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1451 (-25)	2-3	vs BUF (1571): 'Dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1625): L 17-23: 1476-25→1451
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): Underdog
25	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438	2-2	at DEN (1561): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1561): Underdog
26 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1437 (+40)	1-4	at CHI (1474): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): W 37-34: 1397+40→1437
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Underdog
27 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1432 (+51)	2-3	at GB (1558): 'Dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1535): W 24-23: 1381+51→1432
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1558): Underdog
28 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1431 (-35)	1-4	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1522): L 19-24: 1466-35→1431
next: (bye)
29 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1429 (-26)	1-4	at PHI (1508): 'Dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1518): L 13-34: 1455-26→1429
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): Underdog
30 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1406	1-3	vs IND (1473): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): Favorite
31	New England PatriotsNE	1327 (-36)	1-4	vs HOU (1590): 'Dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1420): L 10-15: 1363-36→1327
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1590): Underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1318 (-23)	1-4	vs ATL (1530): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1450): L 10-36: 1341-23→1318
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1530): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1717 (+23)	4-0	vs NO (1471): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1461): W 17-10: 1694+23→1717
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1471): Favorite
2 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1625 (+39)	4-0	at NYJ (1476): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1562): W 31-29: 1586+39→1625
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1606 (-40)	3-1	at HOU (1554): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): L 10-35: 1646-40→1606
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1554): Tossup
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1604 (+36)	3-1	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1603): W 42-29: 1568+36→1604
next: (bye)
5 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1596 (+40)	2-2	at CIN (1483): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1646): W 35-10: 1556+40→1596
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1483): Favorite
6 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1568 (-46)	3-1	vs DAL (1523): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1467): L 24-27: 1614-46→1568
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Favorite
7 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1567 (-36)	3-1	vs NYG (1423): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1568): L 29-42: 1603-36→1567
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): Favorite
8 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1554 (+22)	3-1	vs BUF (1606): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1420): W 24-20: 1532+22→1554
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1606): Tossup
9 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1550 (+36)	3-1	at ATL (1494): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): W 33-16: 1514+36→1550
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Tossup
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1535 (+24)	2-2	vs ARI (1381): Fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1388): W 30-13: 1511+24→1535
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): Favorite
11 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1532 (+47)	2-2	vs LV (1496): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): W 10-9: 1485+47→1532
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Favorite
12 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (+41)	2-2	at PIT (1568): 'Dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): W 20-15: 1482+41→1523
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1568): Underdog
13 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1522 (-40)	2-2	at LAR (1466): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1586): L 29-31: 1562-40→1522
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): Tossup
14 (+5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1518 (+37)	3-1	vs CLE (1455): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1418): W 42-14: 1481+37→1518
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): Favorite
15 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1513 (+46)	2-2	at JAX (1397): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1614): W 27-24: 1467+46→1513
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1397): Favorite
16 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1508 (-35)	2-2	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 16-33: 1543-35→1508
next: (bye)
17 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (+36)	2-2	at DEN (1532): 'Dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): W 20-16: 1460+36→1496
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): Underdog
18 (+7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (+37)	2-2	vs TB (1550): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 26-24: 1457+37→1494
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): Tossup
19 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1483 (+36)	1-3	vs BAL (1596): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1378): W 34-24: 1447+36→1483
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): Underdog
20 (-9)	New York JetsNYJ	1476 (-47)	2-2	at MIN (1625): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): L 9-10: 1523-47→1476
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1625): Underdog
21 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1471 (-37)	2-2	at KC (1717): 'Dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): L 24-26: 1508-37→1471
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): Underdog
22 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1466 (-42)	1-3	vs GB (1522): Tossup
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1409): L 18-24: 1508-42→1466
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1522): Tossup
23 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1455 (-36)	1-3	at WAS (1518): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): L 16-20: 1491-36→1455
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1518): Underdog
24 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1450 (+41)	2-2	vs CAR (1341): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): W 24-18: 1409+41→1450
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1341): Favorite
25 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438 (-23)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1694): L 10-17: 1461-23→1438
next: (bye)
26 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1423 (-40)	1-3	at SEA (1567): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1482): L 15-20: 1463-40→1423
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): Underdog
27 (-7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1420 (-52)	1-3	at NE (1363): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1354): L 12-31: 1472-52→1420
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1363): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1406 (+52)	1-3	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): W 31-12: 1354+52→1406
next: (bye)
29 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1397 (-23)	0-4	vs IND (1513): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1532): L 20-24: 1420-23→1397
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): Underdog
30 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1381 (-37)	1-3	at SF (1535): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1481): L 14-42: 1418-37→1381
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1535): Underdog
31 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1363 (-25)	1-3	vs MIA (1420): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): L 13-30: 1388-25→1363
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1420): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1341 (-37)	1-3	at CHI (1450): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): L 24-34: 1378-37→1341
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1450): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1694 (+26)	3-0	at LAC (1461): Fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): W 22-17: 1668+26→1694
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1461): Favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1646 (+14)	3-0	at BAL (1556): Fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1434): W 47-10: 1632+14→1646
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): Favorite
3	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1614 (+25)	3-0	at IND (1467): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): W 20-10: 1589+25→1614
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1467): Favorite
4	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1603 (+30)	3-0	at DET (1568): 'Dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1501): W 24-3: 1573+30→1603
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1568): Underdog
5 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1586 (+37)	3-0	at GB (1562): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1569): W 34-7: 1549+37→1586
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1562): Underdog
6 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1568 (+36)	2-1	vs SEA (1603): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): W 20-13: 1532+36→1568
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1603): Favorite
7 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1562 (+29)	2-1	vs MIN (1586): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1384): W 30-14: 1533+29→1562
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1586): Favorite
8 (+7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1556 (+46)	1-2	vs BUF (1646): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1528): W 28-25: 1510+46→1556
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1646): Underdog
9 (+10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543 (+51)	2-1	at TB (1514): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1560): W 15-12: 1492+51→1543
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Underdog
10 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1532 (-37)	2-1	vs JAX (1420): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1549): L 7-34: 1569-37→1532
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1420): Favorite
11 (+7)	New York JetsNYJ	1523 (+27)	2-1	vs DEN (1485): Fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1414): W 24-3: 1496+27→1523
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Favorite
12 (-7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (-58)	2-1	vs PHI (1543): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): L 7-26: 1572-58→1514
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): Favorite
13 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1511 (-43)	1-2	vs NE (1388): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): L 24-27: 1554-43→1511
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1388): Favorite
14 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (-52)	2-1	at ATL (1457): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1492): L 12-15: 1560-52→1508
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Tossup
15 (+7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (+43)	1-2	at CHI (1409): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): W 27-24: 1465+43→1508
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1409): Favorite
16 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (-58)	1-2	at LV (1460): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1405): L 15-21: 1549-58→1491
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Underdog
17 (+11)	Denver BroncosDEN	1485 (+59)	1-2	at NYJ (1523): 'Dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1572): W 26-7: 1426+59→1485
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): Underdog
18 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1482 (-46)	1-2	at NYG (1463): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): L 25-28: 1528-46→1482
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): Underdog
19 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1481 (+51)	2-1	at ARI (1418): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): W 38-33: 1430+51→1481
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1418): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1472 (-29)	1-2	vs TEN (1354): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): L 3-24: 1501-29→1472
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1354): Favorite
21 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1467 (+36)	1-2	vs PIT (1614): 'Dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1445): W 21-16: 1431+36→1467
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1614): Underdog
22 (+8)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (+58)	1-2	vs DAL (1482): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1549): W 21-15: 1405+58→1463
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1482): Favorite
23 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1461 (-24)	2-1	vs KC (1694): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1589): L 10-20: 1485-24→1461
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1694): Underdog
24 (-10)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (-64)	1-2	vs CLE (1491): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1314): L 22-36: 1524-64→1460
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): Favorite
25 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (-25)	1-2	vs NO (1508): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1668): L 17-22: 1482-25→1457
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Tossup
26 (-9)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1447 (-51)	0-3	at CAR (1378): Fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1430): L 33-38: 1498-51→1447
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1378): Favorite
27 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1420 (-14)	0-3	at HOU (1532): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1632): L 10-47: 1434-14→1420
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1532): Underdog
28 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418 (-36)	1-2	vs WAS (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1532): L 13-20: 1454-36→1418
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1481): Slight underdog
29 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1409 (-36)	1-2	vs LAR (1508): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): L 16-21: 1445-36→1409
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Underdog
30 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1388 (-26)	1-2	at SF (1511): 'Dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): L 3-24: 1414-26→1388
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): Underdog
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1378 (+64)	1-2	vs CIN (1447): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1524): W 36-22: 1314+64→1378
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): Underdog
32 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1354 (-30)	0-3	at MIA (1472): 'Dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): L 14-30: 1384-30→1354
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1668 (+20)	2-0	at ATL (1482): Fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 26-25: 1648+20→1668
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1632 (+41)	2-0	vs JAX (1434): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): W 31-10: 1591+41→1632
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1434): Favorite
3 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1589 (+35)	2-0	vs LAC (1485): Fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): W 13-6: 1554+35→1589
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Favorite
4 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1573 (+36)	2-0	vs MIA (1501): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1451): W 23-20(OT): 1537+36→1573
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1501): Favorite
5 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1572 (+54)	2-0	vs DEN (1426): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1586): W 20-16: 1518+54→1572
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1426): Favorite
6 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1569 (+29)	2-0	at MIN (1549): 'Dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): W 19-13: 1540+29→1569
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1549): Underdog
7 (+9)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1560 (+55)	2-0	vs PHI (1492): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): W 44-19: 1505+55→1560
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1492): Favorite
8 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (-47)	1-1	at LAR (1465): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): L 17-23: 1601-47→1554
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): Favorite
9 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1549 (+43)	1-1	vs NYG (1405): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1477): W 18-13: 1506+43→1549
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1405): Favorite
10 (+8)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1549 (+47)	2-0	vs HOU (1569): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): W 23-17: 1502+47→1549
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1569): Favorite
11 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (+31)	1-1	at TEN (1384): Fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1461): W 16-10: 1502+31→1533
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1384): Favorite
12 (-8)	Detroit LionsDET	1532 (-54)	1-1	at ARI (1454): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): L 16-20: 1586-54→1532
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): Favorite
13 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1528 (-56)	1-1	vs BAL (1510): Fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): L 19-44: 1584-56→1528
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): Favorite
14 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1524 (+61)	1-1	vs CAR (1314): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): W 26-23: 1463+61→1524
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1314): Favorite
15 (-9)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1510 (-60)	0-2	at DAL (1528): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): L 23-26: 1570-60→1510
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1528): Underdog
16 (-7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1501 (-41)	1-1	at SEA (1573): 'Dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): L 10-31: 1542-41→1501
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): Underdog
17 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-19)	0-2	vs WAS (1430): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1648): L 25-26: 1517-19→1498
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1430): Favorite
18 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (+44)	1-1	vs NE (1414): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): W 24-17: 1452+44→1496
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1414): Favorite
19 (-12)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1492 (-62)	1-1	at NO (1560): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): L 21-22: 1554-62→1492
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1560): Underdog
20 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (+34)	2-0	at PIT (1589): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): W 26-3: 1451+34→1485
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1589): Underdog
21 (+8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (+62)	1-1	vs KC (1668): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): W 22-21: 1420+62→1482
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1668): Underdog
22 (-8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1465 (-48)	0-2	vs SF (1554): 'Dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1405): L 10-41: 1513-48→1465
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Underdog
23 (+7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1454 (+49)	1-1	vs DET (1532): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): W 41-10: 1405+49→1454
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1532): Underdog
24 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1445 (-29)	1-1	at IND (1431): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1540): L 13-19: 1474-29→1445
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): Underdog
25 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1434 (-43)	0-2	at BUF (1632): 'Dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): L 13-18: 1477-43→1434
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1632): Underdog
26 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431 (-30)	0-2	vs CHI (1445): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1502): L 10-16: 1461-30→1431
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1445): Favorite
27 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1430 (+43)	1-1	at CIN (1498): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1449): W 21-18: 1387+43→1430
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Underdog
28 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1426 (-36)	0-2	at TB (1572): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1554): L 6-13: 1462-36→1426
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1572): Underdog
29 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1414 (-37)	1-1	at NYJ (1496): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): L 20-23(OT): 1451-37→1414
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): Underdog
30 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1405 (-44)	0-2	at CLE (1549): 'Dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): L 18-21: 1449-44→1405
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1549): Underdog
31 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1384 (-44)	0-2	vs GB (1533): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): L 17-24: 1428-44→1384
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1314 (-35)	0-2	at LV (1524): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1451): L 3-26: 1349-35→1314
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1524): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1648 (+15)	1-0	vs CIN (1517): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1586): W 27-20: 1633+15→1648
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Favorite
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1601 (+10)	1-0	at MIN (1502): Fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1462): W 32-19: 1591+10→1601
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+8)	1-0	at MIA (1542): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1414): W 34-28: 1583+8→1591
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1586 (+16)	1-0	vs TB (1518): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1529): W 26-20(OT): 1570+16→1586
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Favorite
5 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584 (+21)	1-0	vs NO (1505): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1527): W 33-17: 1563+21→1584
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Favorite
6 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-16)	0-1	vs LV (1463): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): L 20-27: 1586-16→1570
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): Favorite
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (+20)	1-0	vs ATL (1420): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): W 34-29: 1534+20→1554
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): Favorite
8	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1554 (+17)	1-0	at DEN (1462): Fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): W 18-10: 1537+17→1554
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): Favorite
9 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1542 (+16)	1-0	vs BUF (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): W 20-17: 1526+16→1542
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Slight underdog
10 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1540 (+21)	1-0	vs CHI (1474): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): W 29-27: 1519+21→1540
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Favorite
11 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1537 (+16)	1-0	at NE (1451): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): W 26-20: 1521+16→1537
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1451): Favorite
12 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+11)	1-0	at DET (1586): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1398): W 37-20: 1507+11→1518
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1586): Underdog
13 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (-31)	0-1	at KC (1648): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1420): L 10-16: 1548-31→1517
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1648): Underdog
14 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1513 (-16)	0-1	at ARI (1405): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1570): L 20-26(OT): 1529-16→1513
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1405): Favorite
15 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506 (-21)	0-1	at JAX (1477): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1563): L 17-33: 1527-21→1506
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1477): Underdog
16 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+10)	1-0	at DAL (1584): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1359): W 47-10: 1495+10→1505
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): Underdog
17 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1502 (-21)	0-1	vs IND (1461): Fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1534): L 29-34: 1523-21→1502
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1461): Favorite
18 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (+23)	1-0	vs SF (1601): 'Dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): W 28-6: 1479+23→1502
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): Underdog
19 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1477 (-17)	0-1	vs CLE (1506): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): L 17-20: 1494-17→1477
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Favorite
20 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (+18)	1-0	at HOU (1540): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): W 24-17: 1456+18→1474
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1540): Underdog
21 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (-22)	0-1	at BAL (1570): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1429): L 10-22: 1485-22→1463
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Underdog
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1462 (-16)	0-1	vs PIT (1554): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): L 20-26: 1478-16→1462
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1554): Underdog
23 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1461 (-21)	0-1	at GB (1502): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1519): L 27-29: 1482-21→1461
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1502): Underdog
24	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (-10)	0-1	at TEN (1428): 'Dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): L 19-32: 1462-10→1452
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): Underdog
25 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1451 (+22)	1-0	at CAR (1349): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): W 22-10: 1429+22→1451
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): Favorite
26 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1451 (+31)	1-0	vs SEA (1537): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): W 16-10: 1420+31→1451
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): Underdog
27 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1449 (-22)	0-1	at WAS (1387): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): L 6-28: 1471-22→1449
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): Favorite
28 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1428 (-18)	0-1	vs NYJ (1452): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): L 17-24: 1446-18→1428
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): Favorite
29 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1420 (-17)	0-1	at PHI (1554): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1537): L 10-18: 1437-17→1420
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Underdog
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1405 (-9)	0-1	vs LAR (1513): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): L 28-34: 1414-9→1405
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): Underdog
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1387 (-11)	0-1	vs NYG (1449): 'Dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1507): L 20-37: 1398-11→1387
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1449): Underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1349 (-10)	0-1	vs LAC (1451): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): L 10-47: 1359-10→1349
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1451): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1633	0-0	vs BAL (1586): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1782-149→1633
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1586): Favorite
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1591	0-0	vs NYJ (1462): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1692-101→1591
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1462): Favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1586	0-0	at KC (1633): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1681-95→1586
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): Underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1583	0-0	vs ARI (1414): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1676-93→1583
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1414): Favorite
5	Detroit LionsDET	1570	0-0	vs LAR (1529): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1649-79→1570
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1529): Favorite
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563	0-0	at CLE (1527): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1633-70→1563
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1527): Tossup
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1548	0-0	vs NE (1420): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1602-54→1548
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1420): Favorite
8	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1537	0-0	at ATL (1437): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1577-40→1537
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Favorite
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534	0-0	at GB (1523): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1572-38→1534
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): Favorite
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1529	0-0	at DET (1570): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1561-32→1529
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1570): Underdog
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1527	0-0	vs DAL (1563): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1558-31→1527
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1563): Tossup
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526	0-0	vs JAX (1494): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1554-28→1526
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): Favorite
13	Green Bay PackersGB	1523	0-0	at PHI (1534): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1548-25→1523
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1534): Underdog
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1521	0-0	vs DEN (1478): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1545-24→1521
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): Favorite
15	Houston TexansHOU	1519	0-0	at IND (1482): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-21→1519
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): Tossup
16	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1507	0-0	vs WAS (1398): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1514-7→1507
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1398): Favorite
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495	0-0	vs CAR (1359): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+6→1495
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1359): Favorite
18	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494	0-0	at MIA (1526): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1486+8→1494
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): Underdog
19	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	0-0	at LAC (1429): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1468+17→1485
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1429): Favorite
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1482	0-0	vs HOU (1519): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1463+19→1482
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1519): Tossup
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479	0-0	at NYG (1471): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1456+23→1479
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): Underdog
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1478	0-0	at SEA (1521): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1453+25→1478
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): Underdog
23	New York GiantsNYG	1471	0-0	vs MIN (1479): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1439+32→1471
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Favorite
24	New York JetsNYJ	1462	0-0	at SF (1591): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1421+41→1462
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): Underdog
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1456	0-0	vs TEN (1446): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1407+49→1456
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): Favorite
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1446	0-0	at CHI (1456): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1385+61→1446
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): Underdog
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1437	0-0	vs PIT (1537): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1366+71→1437
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1537): Underdog
28	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1429	0-0	vs LV (1485): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1350+79→1429
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): Underdog
29	New England PatriotsNE	1420	0-0	at CIN (1548): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1330+90→1420
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1548): Underdog
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1414	0-0	at BUF (1583): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1317+97→1414
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): Underdog
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1398	0-0	at TB (1507): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1285+113→1398
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1507): Underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1359	0-0	at NO (1495): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1201+158→1359
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+66 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: 1469
1	30	at BUF(1583) L 28-34: -9→1405	9	17	vs CHI(1477) W 29-9: +26→1504	17	at LAR
2	23	vs LAR(1513) W 41-10: +49→1454	10	13	vs NYJ(1405) W 31-6: +21→1525	18	vs SF
3	28	vs DET(1532) L 13-20: -36→1418	11	13	(bye)	W
4	30	vs WAS(1481) L 14-42: -37→1381	12		at SEA	D
5	27	at SF(1535) W 24-23: +51→1432	13		at MIN	C
6	27	at GB(1558) L 13-34: -21→1411	14		vs SEA	S
7	22	vs LAC(1481) W 17-15: +33→1444	15		vs NE
8	20	at MIA(1428) W 28-27: +34→1478	16		at CAR

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1455
1	29	vs PIT(1537) L 10-18: -17→1420	9	10	vs DAL(1501) W 27-21: +24→1571	17	at WAS
2	21	at PHI(1554) W 22-21: +62→1482	10	12	at NO(1337) L 17-20: -35→1536	18	vs CAR
3	25	vs KC(1668) L 17-22: -25→1457	11	15	at DEN(1523) L 6-38: -24→1512	W
4	18	vs NO(1508) W 26-24: +37→1494	12		(bye)	D
5	11	vs TB(1550) W 36-30: +36→1530	13		vs LAC	C
6	9	at CAR(1318) W 38-20: +22→1552	14		at MIN	S
7	17	vs SEA(1478) L 14-34: -39→1513	15		at LV
8	12	at TB(1516) W 31-26: +34→1547	16		vs NYG

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1538 (-76 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1546 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: 1520
1	6	at KC(1633) L 20-27: -16→1570	9	3	vs DEN(1560) W 41-10: +22→1661	17	at HOU
2	15	vs LV(1463) L 23-26: -60→1510	10	4	vs CIN(1511) W 35-34: +19→1680	18	vs CLE
3	8	at DAL(1528) W 28-25: +46→1556	11	6	at PIT(1627) L 16-18: -28→1652	W
4	5	vs BUF(1646) W 35-10: +40→1596	12		at LAC	D
5	3	at CIN(1483) W 41-38: +31→1627	13		vs PHI	C
6	2	vs WAS(1545) W 30-23: +25→1652	14		(bye)	S
7	2	at TB(1546) W 41-31: +29→1681	15		at NYG
8	4	at CLE(1376) L 24-29: -42→1639	16		vs PIT

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-119 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1555 \| avg. remaining rating: 1458
1	3	vs ARI(1414) W 34-28: +8→1591	9	4	vs MIA(1394) W 30-27: +15→1660	17	vs NYJ
2	2	at MIA(1542) W 31-10: +41→1632	10	3	at IND(1490) W 30-20: +24→1684	18	at NE
3	2	vs JAX(1434) W 47-10: +14→1646	11	3	vs KC(1800) W 30-21: +29→1713	W
4	3	at BAL(1556) L 10-35: -40→1606	12		(bye)	D
5	6	at HOU(1554) L 20-23: -35→1571	13		vs SF	C
6	6	at NYJ(1451) W 23-20: +29→1600	14		at LAR	S
7	4	vs TEN(1371) W 34-10: +16→1616	15		at DET
8	3	at SEA(1517) W 31-10: +29→1645	16		vs NE

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1469 (+149 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1417 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: 1539
1	32	at NO(1495) L 10-47: -10→1349	9	31	vs NO(1368) W 23-22: +31→1299	17	at TB
2	32	vs LAC(1451) L 3-26: -35→1314	10	30	at NYG(1360) W 20-17: +31→1330	18	at ATL
3	31	at LV(1524) W 36-22: +64→1378	11	29	(bye)	W
4	32	vs CIN(1447) L 24-34: -37→1341	12		vs KC	D
5	32	at CHI(1450) L 10-36: -23→1318	13		vs TB	C
6	32	vs ATL(1530) L 20-38: -22→1296	14		at PHI	S
7	31	at WAS(1521) L 7-40: -16→1280	15		vs DAL
8	32	at DEN(1548) L 14-28: -12→1268	16		vs ARI

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1461 (+6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1433 \| avg. lost to rating: 1480 \| avg. remaining rating: 1632
1	20	vs TEN(1446) W 24-17: +18→1474	9	22	at ARI(1478) L 9-29: -26→1451	17	vs SEA
2	24	at HOU(1540) L 13-19: -29→1445	10	23	vs NE(1289) L 3-19: -38→1413	18	at GB
3	29	at IND(1431) L 16-21: -36→1409	11	24	vs GB(1605) L 19-20: -21→1392	W
4	24	vs LAR(1508) W 24-18: +41→1450	12		vs MIN	D
5	17	vs CAR(1341) W 36-10: +24→1474	13		at DET	C
6	17	at JAX(1437) W 35-16: +31→1505	14		at SF	S
7	18	(bye)	15		at MIN
8	21	at WAS(1536) L 15-18: -28→1477	16		vs DET

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1411 \| avg. lost to rating: 1548 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	13	vs NE(1420) L 10-16: -31→1517	9	15	vs LV(1390) W 41-24: +21→1511	17	vs DEN
2	17	at KC(1648) L 25-26: -19→1498	10	16	at BAL(1661) L 34-35: -18→1493	18	at PIT
3	26	vs WAS(1430) L 33-38: -51→1447	11	19	at LAC(1524) L 27-34: -25→1468	W
4	19	at CAR(1378) W 34-24: +36→1483	12		(bye)	D
5	23	vs BAL(1596) L 38-41: -31→1452	13		vs PIT	C
6	18	at NYG(1471) W 17-7: +39→1491	14		at DAL	S
7	14	at CLE(1407) W 21-14: +31→1522	15		at TEN
8	17	vs PHI(1560) L 17-37: -32→1490	16		vs CLE

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1579 \| avg. lost to rating: 1474 \| avg. remaining rating: 1598
1	15	vs DAL(1563) L 17-33: -21→1506	9	25	vs LAC(1475) L 10-27: -31→1387	17	vs MIA
2	9	at JAX(1477) W 18-13: +43→1549	10	24	(bye)	18	at BAL
3	16	vs NYG(1405) L 15-21: -58→1491	11	25	at NO(1372) L 14-35: -26→1361	W
4	23	at LV(1460) L 16-20: -36→1455	12		vs PIT	D
5	29	at WAS(1518) L 13-34: -26→1429	13		at DEN	C
6	28	at PHI(1508) L 16-20: -22→1407	14		at PIT	S
7	29	vs CIN(1491) L 14-21: -31→1376	15		vs KC
8	23	vs BAL(1681) W 29-24: +42→1418	16		at CIN

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1538 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1520 \| avg. lost to rating: 1546 \| avg. remaining rating: 1472
1	5	at CLE(1527) W 33-17: +21→1584	9	19	at ATL(1547) L 21-27: -24→1477	17	at PHI
2	13	vs NO(1505) L 19-44: -56→1528	10	20	vs PHI(1610) L 6-34: -26→1451	18	vs WAS
3	18	vs BAL(1510) L 25-28: -46→1482	11	22	vs HOU(1542) L 10-34: -27→1424	W
4	12	at NYG(1463) W 20-15: +41→1523	12		at WAS	D
5	7	at PIT(1568) W 20-17: +41→1564	13		vs NYG	C
6	11	vs DET(1604) L 9-47: -32→1532	14		vs CIN	S
7	13	(bye)	15		at CAR
8	15	at SF(1500) L 24-30: -31→1501	16		vs TB

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1525 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1587 \| avg. remaining rating: 1498
1	22	at SEA(1521) L 20-26: -16→1462	9	12	at BAL(1639) L 10-41: -22→1538	17	at CIN
2	28	vs PIT(1554) L 6-13: -36→1426	10	15	at KC(1785) L 14-16: -15→1523	18	vs KC
3	17	at TB(1572) W 26-7: +59→1485	11	11	vs ATL(1536) W 38-6: +25→1548	W
4	11	at NYJ(1523) W 10-9: +47→1532	12		at LV	D
5	8	vs LV(1496) W 34-18: +29→1561	13		vs CLE	C
6	15	vs LAC(1438) L 16-23: -44→1517	14		(bye)	S
7	10	at NO(1425) W 33-10: +31→1548	15		vs IND
8	11	vs CAR(1280) W 28-14: +12→1560	16		at LAC

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1524 (-108 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: 1540
1	4	vs LAR(1529) W 26-20: +16→1586	9	2	at GB(1635) W 24-14: +30→1718	17	at SF
2	12	vs TB(1518) L 16-20: -54→1532	10	2	at HOU(1569) W 26-23: +26→1744	18	vs MIN
3	6	at ARI(1454) W 20-13: +36→1568	11	2	vs JAX(1368) W 52-6: +10→1754	W
4	4	vs SEA(1603) W 42-29: +36→1604	12		at IND	D
5	4	(bye)	13		vs CHI	C
6	4	at DAL(1564) W 47-9: +33→1637	14		vs GB	S
7	3	at MIN(1650) W 31-29: +39→1676	15		vs BUF
8	2	vs TEN(1355) W 52-14: +12→1688	16		at CHI

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1602 \| avg. remaining rating: 1520
1	17	at PHI(1534) L 29-34: -21→1502	9	6	vs DET(1688) L 14-24: -30→1605	17	at MIN
2	11	vs IND(1461) W 16-10: +31→1533	10	8	(bye)	18	vs CHI
3	7	at TEN(1384) W 30-14: +29→1562	11	8	at CHI(1413) W 20-19: +21→1626	W
4	13	vs MIN(1586) L 29-31: -40→1522	12		vs SF	D
5	9	at LAR(1466) W 24-19: +36→1558	13		vs MIA	C
6	7	vs ARI(1432) W 34-13: +21→1579	14		at DET	S
7	6	vs HOU(1611) W 24-22: +31→1610	15		at SEA
8	5	at JAX(1432) W 30-27: +25→1635	16		vs NO

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1553 \| avg. remaining rating: 1480
1	10	at IND(1482) W 29-27: +21→1540	9	11	at NYJ(1368) L 13-21: -37→1569	17	vs BAL
2	6	vs CHI(1474) W 19-13: +29→1569	10	11	vs DET(1718) L 23-26: -27→1542	18	at TEN
3	10	at MIN(1549) L 7-34: -37→1532	11	9	at DAL(1451) W 34-10: +27→1569	W
4	8	vs JAX(1420) W 24-20: +22→1554	12		vs TEN	D
5	5	vs BUF(1606) W 23-20: +36→1590	13		at JAX	C
6	5	at NE(1327) W 41-21: +21→1611	14			S
7	7	at GB(1579) L 22-24: -30→1581	15		vs MIA
8	6	vs IND(1536) W 23-20: +25→1606	16		at KC

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1461 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: 1437
1	23	vs HOU(1519) L 27-29: -21→1461	9	18	at MIN(1575) L 13-21: -21→1490	17	at NYG
2	26	at GB(1502) L 10-16: -30→1431	10	18	vs BUF(1660) L 20-30: -24→1466	18	vs JAX
3	21	vs CHI(1445) W 21-16: +36→1467	11	17	at NYJ(1383) W 28-27: +27→1493	W
4	15	vs PIT(1614) W 27-24: +46→1513	12		vs DET	D
5	18	at JAX(1397) L 34-37: -40→1473	13		at NE	C
6	16	at TEN(1406) W 20-17: +35→1508	14		(bye)	S
7	12	vs MIA(1456) W 16-10: +28→1536	15		at DEN
8	14	at HOU(1581) L 20-23: -25→1511	16		vs TEN

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1548 (+124 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1409 \| avg. lost to rating: 1579 \| avg. remaining rating: 1403
1	19	at MIA(1526) L 17-20: -17→1477	9	24	at PHI(1592) L 23-28: -17→1390	17	vs TEN
2	25	vs CLE(1506) L 13-18: -43→1434	10	28	vs MIN(1596) L 7-12: -22→1368	18	at IND
3	27	at BUF(1632) L 10-47: -14→1420	11	26	at DET(1744) L 6-52: -10→1358	W
4	29	at HOU(1532) L 20-24: -23→1397	12		(bye)	D
5	26	vs IND(1513) W 37-34: +40→1437	13		vs HOU	C
6	29	at CHI(1474) L 16-35: -31→1406	14		at TEN	S
7	23	at NE(1306) W 32-16: +26→1432	15		vs NYJ
8	24	vs GB(1610) L 27-30: -25→1407	16		at LV

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (-205 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1684 \| avg. remaining rating: 1479
1	1	vs BAL(1586) W 27-20: +15→1648	9	1	vs TB(1482) W 30-24: +13→1785	17	at PIT
2	1	vs CIN(1517) W 26-25: +20→1668	10	1	vs DEN(1538) W 16-14: +15→1800	18	at DEN
3	1	at ATL(1482) W 22-17: +26→1694	11	1	at BUF(1684) L 21-30: -29→1771	W
4	1	at LAC(1461) W 17-10: +23→1717	12		at CAR	D
5	1	vs NO(1471) W 26-13: +14→1731	13		vs LV	C
6	1	(bye)	14		vs LAC	S
7	1	at SF(1524) W 28-18: +24→1755	15		at CLE
8	1	at LV(1407) W 27-20: +17→1772	16		vs HOU

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1531 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	21	at LAC(1429) L 10-22: -22→1463	9	27	at CIN(1490) L 24-41: -22→1368	17	at NO
2	14	at BAL(1570) W 26-23: +61→1524	10	27	(bye)	18	vs LAC
3	24	vs CAR(1314) L 22-36: -64→1460	11	28	at MIA(1417) L 19-34: -24→1344	W
4	17	vs CLE(1491) W 20-16: +36→1496	12		vs DEN	D
5	20	at DEN(1532) L 18-34: -29→1467	13		at KC	C
6	22	vs PIT(1527) L 13-32: -34→1433	14		at TB	S
7	25	at LAR(1431) L 15-20: -26→1407	15		vs ATL
8	26	vs KC(1755) L 20-27: -17→1390	16		vs JAX

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1476 (+6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1438 \| avg. lost to rating: 1565 \| avg. remaining rating: 1510
1	25	vs LV(1485) W 22-10: +22→1451	9	16	at CLE(1418) W 27-10: +30→1505	17	at NE
2	20	at CAR(1349) W 26-3: +34→1485	10	14	vs TEN(1368) W 27-17: +19→1524	18	at LV
3	23	at PIT(1589) L 10-20: -24→1461	11	10	vs CIN(1493) W 34-27: +24→1548	W
4	25	vs KC(1694) L 10-17: -23→1438	12		vs BAL	D
5	25	(bye)	13		at ATL	C
6	19	at DEN(1561) W 23-16: +43→1481	14		at KC	S
7	21	at ARI(1411) L 15-17: -32→1449	15		vs TB
8	22	vs NO(1395) W 26-8: +26→1475	16		vs DEN

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1470 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1457 \| avg. remaining rating: 1523
1	14	at DET(1570) L 20-26: -16→1513	9	14	at SEA(1488) W 26-20: +31→1524	17	vs ARI
2	22	at ARI(1405) L 10-41: -48→1465	10	17	vs MIA(1380) L 15-23: -38→1486	18	vs SEA
3	15	vs SF(1554) W 27-24: +43→1508	11	16	at NE(1327) W 28-22: +25→1511	W
4	22	at CHI(1409) L 18-24: -42→1466	12		vs PHI	D
5	28	vs GB(1522) L 19-24: -35→1431	13		at NO	C
6	24	(bye)	14		vs BUF	S
7	20	vs LV(1433) W 20-15: +26→1457	15		at SF
8	16	vs MIN(1611) W 30-20: +36→1493	16		at NYJ

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1437 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: 1442
1	9	vs JAX(1494) W 20-17: +16→1542	9	26	at BUF(1645) L 27-30: -14→1380	17	at CLE
2	16	vs BUF(1591) L 10-31: -41→1501	10	22	at LAR(1524) W 23-15: +37→1417	18	at NYJ
3	20	at SEA(1573) L 3-24: -29→1472	11	21	vs LV(1368) W 34-19: +25→1442	W
4	27	vs TEN(1354) L 12-31: -52→1420	12		vs NE	D
5	22	at NE(1363) W 15-10: +36→1456	13		at GB	C
6	21	(bye)	14		vs NYJ	S
7	24	at IND(1508) L 10-16: -28→1428	15		at HOU
8	25	vs ARI(1444) L 27-28: -34→1394	16		vs SF

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-77 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1547 \| avg. remaining rating: 1527
1	18	at NYG(1471) W 28-6: +23→1502	9	8	vs IND(1511) W 21-13: +21→1596	17	vs GB
2	10	vs SF(1601) W 23-17: +47→1549	10	7	at JAX(1390) W 12-7: +23→1619	18	at DET
3	5	vs HOU(1569) W 34-7: +37→1586	11	7	at TEN(1349) W 23-13: +20→1639	W
4	2	at GB(1562) W 31-29: +39→1625	12		at CHI	D
5	2	at NYJ(1476) W 23-17: +25→1650	13		vs ARI	C
6	3	(bye)	14		vs ATL	S
7	5	vs DET(1637) L 29-31: -39→1611	15		vs CHI
8	9	at LAR(1457) L 20-30: -36→1575	16		at SEA

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1472 (+119 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1467 \| avg. lost to rating: 1474 \| avg. remaining rating: 1572
1	26	at CIN(1548) W 16-10: +31→1451	9	32	at TEN(1344) L 17-20: -24→1289	17	vs LAC
2	29	vs SEA(1537) L 20-23: -37→1414	10	32	at CHI(1451) W 19-3: +38→1327	18	vs BUF
3	30	at NYJ(1496) L 3-24: -26→1388	11	32	vs LAR(1486) L 22-28: -25→1302	W
4	31	at SF(1511) L 13-30: -25→1363	12		at MIA	D
5	31	vs MIA(1420) L 10-15: -36→1327	13		vs IND	C
6	31	vs HOU(1590) L 21-41: -21→1306	14		(bye)	S
7	32	at JAX(1406) L 16-32: -26→1280	15		at ARI
8	31	vs NYJ(1402) W 25-22: +33→1313	16		at BUF

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (+38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: 1465
1	16	vs CAR(1359) W 47-10: +10→1505	9	30	at CAR(1268) L 22-23: -31→1337	17	vs LV
2	7	at DAL(1584) W 44-19: +55→1560	10	26	vs ATL(1571) W 20-17: +35→1372	18	at TB
3	14	vs PHI(1492) L 12-15: -52→1508	11	23	vs CLE(1387) W 35-14: +27→1399	W
4	21	at ATL(1457) L 24-26: -37→1471	12		(bye)	D
5	21	at KC(1717) L 13-26: -14→1457	13		vs LAR	C
6	25	vs TB(1514) L 27-51: -32→1425	14		at NYG	S
7	28	vs DEN(1517) L 10-33: -30→1395	15		vs WAS
8	28	at LAC(1449) L 8-26: -27→1368	16		at GB

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+63 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1558 \| avg. lost to rating: 1472 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	27	vs MIN(1479) L 6-28: -22→1449	9	29	vs WAS(1564) L 22-27: -24→1360	17	vs IND
2	30	at WAS(1387) L 18-21: -44→1405	10	31	at CAR(1299) L 17-20: -31→1329	18	at PHI
3	22	at CLE(1549) W 21-15: +58→1463	11	30	(bye)	W
4	26	vs DAL(1482) L 15-20: -40→1423	12		vs TB	D
5	19	at SEA(1567) W 29-20: +48→1471	13		at DAL	C
6	23	vs CIN(1452) L 7-17: -39→1432	14		vs NO	S
7	27	vs PHI(1530) L 3-28: -30→1402	15		vs BAL
8	27	at PIT(1580) L 18-26: -18→1384	16		at ATL

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+63 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: 1492
1	24	at SF(1591) L 19-32: -10→1452	9	23	vs HOU(1606) W 21-13: +37→1405	17	at BUF
2	18	at TEN(1428) W 24-17: +44→1496	10	25	at ARI(1504) L 6-31: -22→1383	18	vs MIA
3	11	vs NE(1414) W 24-3: +27→1523	11	27	vs IND(1466) L 27-28: -27→1356	W
4	20	vs DEN(1485) L 9-10: -47→1476	12		(bye)	D
5	24	at MIN(1625) L 17-23: -25→1451	13		vs SEA	C
6	26	vs BUF(1571) L 20-23: -30→1421	14		at MIA	S
7	26	at PIT(1560) L 15-37: -19→1402	15		at JAX
8	29	at NE(1280) L 22-25: -34→1368	16		vs LAR

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (-72 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1467 \| avg. remaining rating: 1491
1	7	at GB(1523) W 34-29: +20→1554	9	5	vs JAX(1407) W 28-23: +18→1610	17	vs DAL
2	19	vs ATL(1420) L 21-22: -62→1492	10	5	at DAL(1477) W 34-6: +25→1635	18	vs NYG
3	9	at NO(1560) W 15-12: +51→1543	11	4	vs WAS(1559) W 26-18: +21→1656	W
4	16	at TB(1514) L 16-33: -35→1508	12		at LAR	D
5	15	(bye)	13		at BAL	C
6	12	vs CLE(1429) W 20-16: +22→1530	14		vs CAR	S
7	9	at NYG(1432) W 28-3: +30→1560	15		vs PIT
8	8	at CIN(1522) W 37-17: +32→1592	16		at WAS

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-82 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1534
1	8	at ATL(1437) W 18-10: +17→1554	9	7	(bye)	17	vs KC
2	3	at DEN(1462) W 13-6: +35→1589	10	6	at WAS(1588) W 28-27: +29→1627	18	vs CIN
3	3	vs LAC(1485) W 20-10: +25→1614	11	5	vs BAL(1680) W 18-16: +27→1654	W
4	6	at IND(1467) L 24-27: -46→1568	12		at CLE	D
5	12	vs DAL(1523) L 17-20: -41→1527	13		at CIN	C
6	8	at LV(1467) W 32-13: +33→1560	14		vs CLE	S
7	8	vs NYJ(1421) W 37-15: +20→1580	15		at PHI
8	7	vs NYG(1402) W 26-18: +18→1598	16		at BAL

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: 1566
1	2	vs NYJ(1462) W 32-19: +10→1601	9	13	(bye)	17	vs DET
2	8	at MIN(1502) L 17-23: -47→1554	10	10	at TB(1469) W 23-20: +26→1557	18	at ARI
3	13	at LAR(1465) L 24-27: -43→1511	11	14	vs SEA(1457) L 17-20: -32→1525	W
4	10	vs NE(1388) W 30-13: +24→1535	12		at GB	D
5	16	vs ARI(1381) L 23-24: -51→1484	13		at BUF	C
6	13	at SEA(1518) W 36-24: +40→1524	14		vs CHI	S
7	19	vs KC(1731) L 18-28: -24→1500	15		vs LAR
8	13	vs DAL(1532) W 30-24: +31→1531	16		at MIA

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	11	vs DEN(1478) W 26-20: +16→1537	9	21	vs LAR(1493) L 20-26: -31→1457	17	at CHI
2	4	at NE(1451) W 23-20: +36→1573	10	19	(bye)	18	at LAR
3	4	vs MIA(1501) W 24-3: +30→1603	11	18	at SF(1557) W 20-17: +33→1490	W
4	7	at DET(1568) L 29-42: -36→1567	12		vs ARI	D
5	13	vs NYG(1423) L 20-29: -49→1518	13		at NYJ	C
6	20	vs SF(1484) L 24-36: -40→1478	14		at ARI	S
7	15	at ATL(1552) W 34-14: +39→1517	15		vs GB
8	18	vs BUF(1616) L 10-31: -29→1488	16		vs MIN

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1537 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1565 \| avg. remaining rating: 1386
1	12	vs WAS(1398) W 37-20: +11→1518	9	20	at KC(1772) L 24-30: -13→1469	17	vs CAR
2	5	at DET(1586) W 20-16: +54→1572	10	21	vs SF(1531) L 20-23: -26→1443	18	vs NO
3	12	vs DEN(1426) L 7-26: -58→1514	11	20	(bye)	W
4	9	vs PHI(1543) W 33-16: +36→1550	12		at NYG	D
5	14	at ATL(1494) L 30-36: -36→1514	13		at CAR	C
6	10	at NO(1457) W 51-27: +32→1546	14		vs LV	S
7	16	vs BAL(1652) L 31-41: -30→1516	15		at LAC
8	19	vs ATL(1513) L 26-31: -34→1482	16		at DAL

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+129 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1393 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: 1479
1	28	at CHI(1456) L 17-24: -18→1428	9	28	vs NE(1313) W 20-17: +24→1368	17	at JAX
2	31	vs NYJ(1452) L 17-24: -44→1384	10	29	at LAC(1505) L 17-27: -19→1349	18	vs HOU
3	32	vs GB(1533) L 14-30: -30→1354	11	31	vs MIN(1619) L 13-23: -20→1329	W
4	28	at MIA(1472) W 31-12: +52→1406	12		at HOU	D
5	30	(bye)	13		at WAS	C
6	30	vs IND(1473) L 17-20: -35→1371	14		vs JAX	S
7	30	at BUF(1600) L 10-34: -16→1355	15		vs CIN
8	30	at DET(1676) L 14-52: -11→1344	16		at IND

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1429 \| avg. lost to rating: 1592 \| avg. remaining rating: 1457
1	31	at TB(1507) L 20-37: -11→1387	9	9	at NYG(1384) W 27-22: +24→1588	17	vs ATL
2	27	vs NYG(1449) W 21-18: +43→1430	10	9	vs PIT(1598) L 27-28: -29→1559	18	at DAL
3	19	at CIN(1498) W 38-33: +51→1481	11	12	at PHI(1635) L 18-26: -21→1538	W
4	14	at ARI(1418) W 42-14: +37→1518	12		vs DAL	D
5	10	vs CLE(1455) W 34-13: +27→1545	13		vs TEN	C
6	14	at BAL(1627) L 23-30: -24→1521	14		(bye)	S
7	11	vs CAR(1296) W 40-7: +15→1536	15		at NO
8	10	vs CHI(1505) W 18-15: +28→1564	16		vs PHI

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 8 games (weeks 3-11) Detroit Lions: +222 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 6-11) Philadelphia Eagles: +148 total Elo rating
3. 6 games (weeks 6-11) Buffalo Bills: +142 total Elo rating
4. 5 games (weeks 6-11) Pittsburgh Steelers: +128 total Elo rating
5. 4 games (weeks 7-10) Arizona Cardinals: +115 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 5-11) Las Vegas Raiders: -152 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 6-10) New York Giants: -142 total Elo rating
3. 5 games (weeks 6-11) Dallas Cowboys: -140 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Chicago Bears: -113 total Elo rating
5. 4 games (weeks 7-10) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -103 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 305-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1681) 99-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1376): Browns win 29-24
2. Week 9, 238-Elo upset: Houston Texans (1606) 99-point favorites at New York Jets (1368): Jets win 21-13
3. Week 10, 234-Elo upset: Atlanta Falcons (1571) 99-point favorites at New Orleans Saints (1337): Saints win 20-17
4. Week 3, 210-Elo upset: Las Vegas Raiders (1524) 99-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1314): Panthers win 36-22
5. Week 10, 162-Elo upset: Chicago Bears (1451) 99-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1289): Patriots win 19-3
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 113-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1524) 99-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1314): Panthers win 36-22
2. Week 2, 100-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1554) 99-point favorites vs Atlanta Falcons (1420): Falcons win 22-21
3. Week 1, 105-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1548) 99-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1420): Patriots win 16-10
4. Week 3, 118-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1572) 99-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1426): Broncos win 26-7
5. Week 3, 105-point differential: Cleveland Browns (1549) 99-point favorites vs New York Giants (1405): Giants win 21-15
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +184: Detroit Lions (1570) before week 1 → (1754) thru week 11
2. +160: Minnesota Vikings (1479) before week 1 → (1639) thru week 11
3. +139: Washington Commanders (1398) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 11
4. +137: Kansas City Chiefs (1633) before week 1 → (1771) thru week 11
5. +129: Buffalo Bills (1583) before week 1 → (1713) thru week 11
more...
1. +122: Philadelphia Eagles (1534) before week 1 → (1656) thru week 11
2. +119: Los Angeles Chargers (1429) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
3. +118: Pittsburgh Steelers (1537) before week 1 → (1654) thru week 11
4. +112: Arizona Cardinals (1414) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 10
5. +103: Green Bay Packers (1523) before week 1 → (1626) thru week 11
6. +75: Atlanta Falcons (1437) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 11
7. +70: Denver Broncos (1478) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
8. +66: Baltimore Ravens (1586) before week 1 → (1652) thru week 11
9. +50: Houston Texans (1519) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 11
10. +11: Indianapolis Colts (1482) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 11
11. -18: Los Angeles Rams (1529) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 11
12. -29: Carolina Panthers (1359) before week 1 → (1330) thru week 10
13. -31: Seattle Seahawks (1521) before week 1 → (1490) thru week 11
14. -64: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1507) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 10
15. -64: Chicago Bears (1456) before week 1 → (1392) thru week 11
16. -66: San Francisco 49ers (1591) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 11
17. -80: Cincinnati Bengals (1548) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 11
18. -84: Miami Dolphins (1526) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 11
19. -96: New Orleans Saints (1495) before week 1 → (1399) thru week 11
20. -107: New York Jets (1462) before week 1 → (1356) thru week 11
21. -117: Tennessee Titans (1446) before week 1 → (1329) thru week 11
22. -117: New England Patriots (1420) before week 1 → (1302) thru week 11
23. -136: Jacksonville Jaguars (1494) before week 1 → (1358) thru week 11
24. -138: Dallas Cowboys (1563) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 11
25. -141: Las Vegas Raiders (1485) before week 1 → (1344) thru week 11
26. -142: New York Giants (1471) before week 1 → (1329) thru week 10
27. -167: Cleveland Browns (1527) before week 1 → (1361) thru week 11
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -167: Cleveland Browns (1527) before week 1 → (1361) thru week 11
2. -142: New York Giants (1471) before week 1 → (1329) thru week 10
3. -141: Las Vegas Raiders (1485) before week 1 → (1344) thru week 11
4. -138: Dallas Cowboys (1563) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 11
5. -136: Jacksonville Jaguars (1494) before week 1 → (1358) thru week 11
more...
1. -117: New England Patriots (1420) before week 1 → (1302) thru week 11
2. -117: Tennessee Titans (1446) before week 1 → (1329) thru week 11
3. -107: New York Jets (1462) before week 1 → (1356) thru week 11
4. -96: New Orleans Saints (1495) before week 1 → (1399) thru week 11
5. -84: Miami Dolphins (1526) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 11
6. -80: Cincinnati Bengals (1548) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 11
7. -66: San Francisco 49ers (1591) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 11
8. -64: Chicago Bears (1456) before week 1 → (1392) thru week 11
9. -64: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1507) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 10
10. -31: Seattle Seahawks (1521) before week 1 → (1490) thru week 11
11. -29: Carolina Panthers (1359) before week 1 → (1330) thru week 10
12. -18: Los Angeles Rams (1529) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 11
13. +11: Indianapolis Colts (1482) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 11
14. +50: Houston Texans (1519) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 11
15. +66: Baltimore Ravens (1586) before week 1 → (1652) thru week 11
16. +70: Denver Broncos (1478) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
17. +75: Atlanta Falcons (1437) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 11
18. +103: Green Bay Packers (1523) before week 1 → (1626) thru week 11
19. +112: Arizona Cardinals (1414) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 10
20. +118: Pittsburgh Steelers (1537) before week 1 → (1654) thru week 11
21. +119: Los Angeles Chargers (1429) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
22. +122: Philadelphia Eagles (1534) before week 1 → (1656) thru week 11
23. +129: Buffalo Bills (1583) before week 1 → (1713) thru week 11
24. +137: Kansas City Chiefs (1633) before week 1 → (1771) thru week 11
25. +139: Washington Commanders (1398) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 11
26. +160: Minnesota Vikings (1479) before week 1 → (1639) thru week 11
27. +184: Detroit Lions (1570) before week 1 → (1754) thru week 11
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +212: Detroit Lions (1532) before week 3 → (1744) thru week 10
2. +201: Washington Commanders (1387) before week 2 → (1588) thru week 9
3. +172: Baltimore Ravens (1510) before week 3 → (1681) thru week 7
4. +171: Minnesota Vikings (1479) before week 1 → (1650) thru week 5
5. +151: Atlanta Falcons (1420) before week 2 → (1571) thru week 9
more...
1. +148: Philadelphia Eagles (1508) before week 5 → (1656) thru week 11
2. +145: Arizona Cardinals (1381) before week 5 → (1525) thru week 10
3. +142: Buffalo Bills (1571) before week 6 → (1713) thru week 11
4. +139: Kansas City Chiefs (1633) before week 1 → (1772) thru week 8
5. +134: Denver Broncos (1426) before week 3 → (1561) thru week 5
6. +132: Green Bay Packers (1502) before week 2 → (1635) thru week 8
7. +128: Pittsburgh Steelers (1527) before week 6 → (1654) thru week 11
8. +110: Los Angeles Chargers (1438) before week 5 → (1548) thru week 11
9. +105: Indianapolis Colts (1431) before week 3 → (1536) thru week 7
10. +96: Chicago Bears (1409) before week 4 → (1505) thru week 6
11. +93: Los Angeles Rams (1431) before week 6 → (1524) thru week 9
12. +92: Houston Texans (1519) before week 1 → (1611) thru week 6
13. +82: Dallas Cowboys (1482) before week 4 → (1564) thru week 5
14. +81: Seattle Seahawks (1521) before week 1 → (1603) thru week 3
15. +76: Cincinnati Bengals (1447) before week 4 → (1522) thru week 7
16. +74: San Francisco 49ers (1484) before week 6 → (1557) thru week 10
17. +71: New York Jets (1452) before week 2 → (1523) thru week 3
18. +66: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1507) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 2
19. +66: New York Giants (1405) before week 3 → (1471) thru week 5
20. +65: New Orleans Saints (1495) before week 1 → (1560) thru week 2
21. +62: Miami Dolphins (1380) before week 10 → (1442) thru week 11
22. +61: Carolina Panthers (1268) before week 9 → (1330) thru week 10
23. +48: New England Patriots (1280) before week 8 → (1327) thru week 10
24. +39: Las Vegas Raiders (1485) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 2
25. +35: Jacksonville Jaguars (1397) before week 5 → (1432) thru week 7
26. +22: Cleveland Browns (1527) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 2
27. +22: Tennessee Titans (1384) before week 3 → (1406) thru week 4
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -223: New Orleans Saints (1560) before week 3 → (1337) thru week 9
2. -174: Cleveland Browns (1549) before week 3 → (1376) thru week 7
3. -171: New England Patriots (1451) before week 2 → (1280) thru week 7
4. -167: New York Jets (1523) before week 4 → (1356) thru week 11
5. -162: Miami Dolphins (1542) before week 2 → (1380) thru week 9
more...
1. -155: Las Vegas Raiders (1524) before week 3 → (1368) thru week 9
2. -146: Seattle Seahawks (1603) before week 4 → (1457) thru week 9
3. -142: New York Giants (1471) before week 6 → (1329) thru week 10
4. -140: Dallas Cowboys (1564) before week 6 → (1424) thru week 11
5. -129: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1572) before week 3 → (1443) thru week 10
6. -118: San Francisco 49ers (1601) before week 2 → (1484) thru week 5
7. -113: Chicago Bears (1505) before week 7 → (1392) thru week 11
8. -110: Carolina Panthers (1378) before week 4 → (1268) thru week 8
9. -102: Cincinnati Bengals (1548) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 3
10. -102: Tennessee Titans (1446) before week 1 → (1344) thru week 8
11. -98: Los Angeles Rams (1529) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 5
12. -96: Jacksonville Jaguars (1494) before week 1 → (1397) thru week 4
13. -87: Pittsburgh Steelers (1614) before week 4 → (1527) thru week 5
14. -76: Baltimore Ravens (1586) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 2
15. -76: Buffalo Bills (1646) before week 4 → (1571) thru week 5
16. -75: Minnesota Vikings (1650) before week 6 → (1575) thru week 8
17. -73: Arizona Cardinals (1454) before week 3 → (1381) thru week 4
18. -70: Indianapolis Colts (1536) before week 8 → (1466) thru week 10
19. -69: Houston Texans (1611) before week 7 → (1542) thru week 10
20. -59: Atlanta Falcons (1571) before week 10 → (1512) thru week 11
21. -51: Denver Broncos (1478) before week 1 → (1426) thru week 2
22. -50: Washington Commanders (1588) before week 10 → (1538) thru week 11
23. -48: Los Angeles Chargers (1485) before week 3 → (1438) thru week 4
24. -46: Philadelphia Eagles (1554) before week 2 → (1508) thru week 4
25. -38: Detroit Lions (1570) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 2
26. -14: Kansas City Chiefs (1785) before week 10 → (1771) thru week 11
27. -10: Green Bay Packers (1533) before week 3 → (1522) thru week 4
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1548
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1538
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1538
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1537
5. Denver Broncos: 1525
more...
1. Detroit Lions: 1524
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 1515
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1512
4. Tennessee Titans: 1510
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1503
6. New York Jets: 1503
7. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
8. Buffalo Bills: 1502
9. Houston Texans: 1501
10. Green Bay Packers: 1501
11. Arizona Cardinals: 1499
12. Atlanta Falcons: 1499
13. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
14. Las Vegas Raiders: 1496
15. Cleveland Browns: 1495
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1490
18. New York Giants: 1489
19. Washington Commanders: 1488
20. Miami Dolphins: 1487
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1484
22. New Orleans Saints: 1483
23. Los Angeles Chargers: 1476
24. New England Patriots: 1472
25. Los Angeles Rams: 1470
26. Carolina Panthers: 1469
27. Chicago Bears: 1461
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1461
2. Carolina Panthers: 1469
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1470
4. New England Patriots: 1472
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1476
more...
1. New Orleans Saints: 1483
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1484
3. Miami Dolphins: 1487
4. Washington Commanders: 1488
5. New York Giants: 1489
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1490
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
8. Cleveland Browns: 1495
9. Las Vegas Raiders: 1496
10. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
11. Atlanta Falcons: 1499
12. Arizona Cardinals: 1499
13. Green Bay Packers: 1501
14. Houston Texans: 1501
15. Buffalo Bills: 1502
16. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
17. New York Jets: 1503
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1503
19. Tennessee Titans: 1510
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1512
21. Kansas City Chiefs: 1515
22. Detroit Lions: 1524
23. Denver Broncos: 1525
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1537
25. Dallas Cowboys: 1538
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1538
27. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1548
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cleveland Browns: 1579
2. New York Giants: 1558
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1546
4. Las Vegas Raiders: 1531
5. Detroit Lions: 1525
more...
1. Dallas Cowboys: 1520
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1508
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 1496
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1496
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
6. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
7. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
8. Buffalo Bills: 1490
9. Philadelphia Eagles: 1489
10. Los Angeles Rams: 1483
11. New York Jets: 1483
12. New Orleans Saints: 1475
13. San Francisco 49ers: 1474
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1473
15. Denver Broncos: 1472
16. Houston Texans: 1471
17. New England Patriots: 1467
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1461
19. Green Bay Packers: 1457
20. Los Angeles Chargers: 1438
21. Miami Dolphins: 1437
22. Chicago Bears: 1433
23. Washington Commanders: 1429
24. Carolina Panthers: 1417
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1411
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1409
27. Tennessee Titans: 1393
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Tennessee Titans: 1393
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1409
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1411
4. Carolina Panthers: 1417
5. Washington Commanders: 1429
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1433
2. Miami Dolphins: 1437
3. Los Angeles Chargers: 1438
4. Green Bay Packers: 1457
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1461
6. New England Patriots: 1467
7. Houston Texans: 1471
8. Denver Broncos: 1472
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1473
10. San Francisco 49ers: 1474
11. New Orleans Saints: 1475
12. New York Jets: 1483
13. Los Angeles Rams: 1483
14. Philadelphia Eagles: 1489
15. Buffalo Bills: 1490
16. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
17. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1496
20. Kansas City Chiefs: 1496
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1508
22. Dallas Cowboys: 1520
23. Detroit Lions: 1525
24. Las Vegas Raiders: 1531
25. Baltimore Ravens: 1546
26. New York Giants: 1558
27. Cleveland Browns: 1579

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	18-14 (18/32, 56.25%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	27-21 (27/48, 56.25%)
4	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	35-29 (35/64, 54.69%)
5	8.5-5.5 (8.5/14, 60.71%)	43.5-34.5 (43.5/78, 55.77%)
6	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	53.5-38.5 (53.5/92, 58.15%)
7	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	65.5-41.5 (65.5/107, 61.21%)
8	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	74.5-48.5 (74.5/123, 60.57%)
9	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	84.5-53.5 (84.5/138, 61.23%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	93.5-58.5 (93.5/152, 61.51%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	104.5-61.5 (104.5/166, 62.95%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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