NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

This is the 2024-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2024 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,083 of 3,259 game winners correctly (63.92%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2024 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1593 (+17)	9-1	at IND (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): W 52-6: 1576+17→1593
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1488): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (+10)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): W 30-21: 1558+10→1568
next: (bye)
3	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1559 (+2)	8-2	at CLE (1437): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): W 18-16: 1557+2→1559
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1437): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1556 (+8)	8-2	at LAR (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1530): W 26-18: 1548+8→1556
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1555 (+6)	7-3	vs BAL (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): W 34-27: 1549+6→1555
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1549 (+10)	8-2	at CHI (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1442): W 23-13: 1539+10→1549
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1483): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (-2)	7-4	at LAC (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1557): L 16-18: 1550-2→1548
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1555): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1540 (-10)	9-1	at CAR (1427): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): L 21-30: 1550-10→1540
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Slight favorite
9 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (+20)	6-5	at LV (1419): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): W 38-6: 1516+20→1536
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1527 (+3)	7-3	vs SF (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1486): W 20-19: 1524+3→1527
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525	6-4	at SEA (1492): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1522 (-8)	7-4	vs DAL (1436): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): L 18-26: 1530-8→1522
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1436): Win by 5 points
13 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1519 (+20)	7-4	vs TEN (1432): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1456): W 34-10: 1499+20→1519
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1432): Win by 5 points
14 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1516 (-6)	5-5	at GB (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): L 17-20: 1522-6→1516
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1527): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511	4-6	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1497 (-6)	4-7	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): L 27-34: 1503-6→1497
next: (bye)
17 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (+6)	5-5	vs ARI (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): W 20-17: 1486+6→1492
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): Slight underdog
18 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (+8)	5-5	vs PHI (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1457): W 28-22: 1482+8→1490
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1488 (+5)	5-6	vs DET (1593): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1473): W 28-27: 1483+5→1488
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1593): Slight underdog
20 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1483 (+14)	4-6	vs NE (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): W 34-19: 1469+14→1483
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1450): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1483 (-3)	4-6	vs MIN (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): L 19-20: 1486-3→1483
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1549): Slight underdog
22 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (-20)	6-5	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): L 6-38: 1499-20→1479
next: (bye)
23 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1478 (+19)	4-7	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): W 35-14: 1459+19→1478
next: (bye)
24 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1468 (-5)	3-8	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): L 27-28: 1473-5→1468
next: (bye)
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1458	2-8	vs TB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (-17)	2-9	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1576): L 6-52: 1475-17→1458
next: (bye)
27	New England PatriotsNE	1450 (-7)	3-8	at MIA (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1482): L 22-28: 1457-7→1450
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437 (-19)	2-8	vs PIT (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): L 14-35: 1456-19→1437
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1559): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1436 (-20)	3-7	at WAS (1522): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): L 10-34: 1456-20→1436
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1522): Lose by 5 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432 (-10)	2-8	at HOU (1519): Lose by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1539): L 13-23: 1442-10→1432
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1519): Lose by 5 points
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	3-7	vs KC (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419 (-15)	2-8	vs DEN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): L 19-34: 1434-15→1419
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1536): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1576 (+2)	8-1	vs JAX (1475): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1501): W 26-23: 1574+2→1576
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): Win by 5 points
2 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (+11)	8-2	vs KC (1550): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1495): W 30-20: 1547+11→1558
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1557 (+4)	7-2	vs BAL (1550): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1534): W 28-27: 1553+4→1557
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1550	7-3	at PIT (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): W 35-34: 1550+0→1550
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1557): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1550 (+2)	9-0	at BUF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1518): W 16-14: 1548+2→1550
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Slight underdog
6	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1549 (+7)	6-3	vs CIN (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): W 27-17: 1542+7→1549
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1548 (+20)	7-2	vs WAS (1530): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1476): W 34-6: 1528+20→1548
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1530): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1539 (+4)	7-2	at TEN (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 12-7: 1535+4→1539
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1442): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1530 (-4)	7-3	at PHI (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): L 27-28: 1534-4→1530
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): Slight underdog
10 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525 (+19)	6-4	bye
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1492): W 31-6: 1506+19→1525
next: (bye)
11 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1524	6-3	at CHI (1486): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1486): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522 (+4)	5-4	vs SEA (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 23-20: 1518+4→1522
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1516 (-2)	5-5	vs ATL (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): L 14-16: 1518-2→1516
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (-4)	4-6	bye
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): L 20-23: 1515-4→1511
next: (bye)
15 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1503	4-6	at LAC (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): L 34-35: 1503-0→1503
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (-2)	6-4	at DAL (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1574): L 23-26: 1501-2→1499
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1456): Slight favorite
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499 (-3)	6-4	at DEN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): L 17-20: 1502-3→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486	4-5	at SF (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1486 (-21)	4-5	vs GB (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1436): L 3-19: 1507-21→1486
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): Slight underdog
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-12)	4-6	at NYJ (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): L 20-30: 1495-12→1483
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1473): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482 (-13)	4-5	at NE (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): L 15-23: 1495-13→1482
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1457): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1475 (-4)	2-8	at DET (1576): Lose by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1535): L 7-12: 1479-4→1475
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1576): Lose by 5 points
23 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1473 (-19)	3-7	vs IND (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): L 6-31: 1492-19→1473
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): Slight favorite
24 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1469 (+13)	3-6	vs LV (1434): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1495): W 23-15: 1456+13→1469
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1459 (+4)	3-7	vs CLE (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): W 20-17: 1455+4→1459
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-4)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): L 17-20(OT): 1462-4→1458
next: (bye)
27 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1457 (+21)	3-7	vs LAR (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1507): W 19-3: 1436+21→1457
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1482): Slight favorite
28 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1456 (-20)	3-6	vs HOU (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): L 6-34: 1476-20→1456
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1456	2-7	at NO (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1442 (-8)	2-7	vs MIN (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1542): L 17-27: 1450-8→1442
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1539): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1434	2-7	at MIA (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (+4)	3-7	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1462): W 20-17(OT): 1423+4→1427
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1574 (+10)	7-1	at HOU (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1534): W 24-14: 1564+10→1574
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1501): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1553	6-2	at WAS (1534): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1534): Tossup
3 (+9)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1550 (+22)	6-3	vs CIN (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1539): W 41-10: 1528+22→1550
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (-4)	8-0	vs DEN (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): W 30-24(OT): 1552-4→1548
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1518): Slight favorite
5 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (-9)	7-2	at IND (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1446): W 30-27: 1556-9→1547
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1495): Slight favorite
6 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1542 (+12)	5-3	vs TEN (1450): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1468): W 27-10: 1530+12→1542
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): Win by 5 points
7 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1535 (+5)	6-2	at JAX (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): W 21-13: 1530+5→1535
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1534 (-3)	7-2	vs PIT (1553): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1459): W 27-22: 1537-3→1534
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): Tossup
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1528 (-2)	6-2	at DAL (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): W 28-23: 1530-2→1528
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1476): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1524 (-10)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1564): L 14-24: 1534-10→1524
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518	4-4	at TB (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight underdog
12 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1518 (-21)	5-4	at KC (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): L 10-41: 1539-21→1518
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (+4)	4-5	vs SF (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 24-30(OT): 1511+4→1515
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight favorite
14 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1507 (-24)	4-4	vs NE (1436): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): L 9-29: 1531-24→1507
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1436): Win by 4 points
15 (+6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1506 (+24)	5-4	vs NYJ (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1531): W 29-9: 1482+24→1506
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1492): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1503 (+10)	4-5	at BAL (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): W 41-24: 1493+10→1503
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): Slight underdog
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502 (+3)	6-3	at NO (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): W 27-21: 1499+3→1502
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): Slight favorite
18 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1501 (-13)	6-3	vs DET (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): L 13-21: 1514-13→1501
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1574): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1495 (+3)	4-4	vs MIA (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): W 26-20(OT): 1492+3→1495
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1456): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1495 (-4)	4-5	vs BUF (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): L 13-21: 1499-4→1495
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1492 (+13)	3-6	at ARI (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1514): W 21-13: 1479+13→1492
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486 (-3)	4-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): L 20-26(OT): 1489-3→1486
next: (bye)
23 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (+3)	2-7	vs MIN (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): L 23-28: 1476+3→1479
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1535): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476 (-4)	3-5	vs PHI (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): L 21-27: 1480-4→1476
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1462 (+3)	2-7	at CAR (1423): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1537): L 22-27: 1459+3→1462
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1456 (+10)	2-6	at LAR (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 27-30: 1446+10→1456
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1495): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1456 (-12)	2-7	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): L 10-27: 1468-12→1456
next: (bye)
28 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1455 (-9)	2-7	vs ATL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1415): L 22-23: 1464-9→1455
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1450 (-1)	2-6	at LAC (1542): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): W 20-17(OT): 1451-1→1450
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1542): Lose by 5 points
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1436 (+1)	2-7	at CHI (1507): Lose by 4
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): L 17-20(OT): 1435+1→1436
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1507): Lose by 4 points
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1434 (-11)	2-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): L 24-41: 1445-11→1434
next: (bye)
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1423 (+8)	2-7	at NYG (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): W 23-22: 1415+8→1423
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1462): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1564 (+12)	6-1	at GB (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): W 52-14: 1552+12→1564
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1534): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (+17)	6-2	vs MIA (1446): Win by 11
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 31-10: 1539+17→1556
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1446): Win by 11 points
3 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1553	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 26-18: 1553-0→1553
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-1)	7-0	vs TB (1511): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1444): W 27-20: 1553-1→1552
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Win by 6 points
5 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1539 (+3)	5-3	at BAL (1528): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1418): W 28-14: 1536+3→1539
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Tossup
6 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1537 (+2)	6-2	at NYG (1459): Win by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1533): W 18-15: 1535+2→1537
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1459): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1534 (-2)	6-2	vs DET (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): W 30-27: 1536-2→1534
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1564): Slight underdog
8 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1531 (-2)	4-3	at ARI (1482): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1535): L 15-18: 1533-2→1531
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Win by 5 points
9 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (-19)	5-2	vs IND (1499): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1473): L 20-30: 1549-19→1530
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): Win by 5 points
10 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (+21)	5-2	vs JAX (1476): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): W 37-17: 1509+21→1530
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1530 (+14)	4-3	at CLE (1468): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): W 26-8: 1516+14→1530
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1468): Win by 5 points
12 (-7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (-12)	5-3	vs DEN (1539): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): L 24-29: 1540-12→1528
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1539): Tossup
13	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+3)	4-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1482): W 30-24: 1515+3→1518
next: (bye)
14	Houston TexansHOU	1514	6-2	at NYJ (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 23-20: 1514+0→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): Slight favorite
15 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (-9)	4-4	at KC (1552): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 26-31: 1520-9→1511
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 6 points
16 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1499 (-1)	4-4	at MIN (1530): Lose by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1514): L 20-23: 1500-1→1499
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Lose by 5 points
17 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499 (+9)	5-3	vs DAL (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): W 31-26: 1490+9→1499
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): Slight favorite
18 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (-20)	3-5	vs LV (1445): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): L 17-37: 1513-20→1493
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): Win by 6 points
19 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1492 (+19)	3-4	at SEA (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1549): W 30-20: 1473+19→1492
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1489 (-17)	4-4	vs LAR (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): L 10-31: 1506-17→1489
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (+2)	4-4	vs CHI (1531): Lose by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1448): W 28-27: 1480+2→1482
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1531): Lose by 5 points
22 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1480 (-2)	3-4	at ATL (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): L 24-30: 1482-2→1480
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1479 (-8)	2-6	vs HOU (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1427): L 22-25: 1487-8→1479
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1514): Slight underdog
24	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1476 (+1)	2-6	at PHI (1530): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): L 27-30: 1475+1→1476
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Lose by 6 points
25 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468 (+12)	2-6	vs LAC (1530): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): W 29-24: 1456+12→1468
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): Lose by 5 points
26 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1464 (-13)	2-6	at CAR (1415): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): L 8-26: 1477-13→1464
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1415): Win by 5 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1459 (+1)	2-6	vs WAS (1537): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): L 18-26: 1458+1→1459
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1537): Lose by 7 points
28 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1451 (-12)	1-6	vs NE (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): L 14-52: 1463-12→1451
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): Slight favorite
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1446 (-2)	2-5	at BUF (1556): Lose by 11
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1480): L 27-28: 1448-2→1446
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Lose by 11 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1445 (+1)	2-6	at CIN (1493): Lose by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): L 20-27: 1444+1→1445
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Lose by 6 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1435 (+8)	2-6	at TEN (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): W 25-22: 1427+8→1435
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1451): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1415 (-3)	1-7	vs NO (1464): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): L 14-28: 1418-3→1415
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1553 (+15)	5-2	vs NYG (1458): Win by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1503): W 37-15: 1538+15→1553
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1553 (+13)	6-0	at LV (1444): Win by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): W 28-18: 1540+13→1553
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1444): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1552 (+7)	5-1	vs TEN (1463): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1555): W 31-29: 1545+7→1552
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): Win by 8 points
4 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1549 (-6)	5-1	at LAR (1473): Win by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1545): L 29-31: 1555-6→1549
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1473): Win by 6 points
5 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1540 (+15)	5-2	at CLE (1456): Win by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): W 41-31: 1525+15→1540
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): Win by 6 points
6 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1539 (+15)	5-2	at SEA (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): W 34-10: 1524+15→1539
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (+20)	4-3	vs CAR (1418): Win by 10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): W 33-10: 1516+20→1536
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1418): Win by 10 points
8 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (+1)	5-2	at JAX (1475): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1514): W 24-22: 1535+1→1536
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): Win by 5 points
9 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1535 (+13)	5-2	vs CHI (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): W 40-7: 1522+13→1535
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1533): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1533	4-2	at WAS (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1535): Slight underdog
11 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520 (-15)	4-3	vs ATL (1490): Win by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 31-41: 1535-15→1520
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Win by 5 points
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (-7)	3-3	vs NO (1477): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1473): L 15-17: 1523-7→1516
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): Win by 5 points
13 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1515 (-13)	3-4	vs DAL (1482): Win by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): L 18-28: 1528-13→1515
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1482): Win by 5 points
14	Houston TexansHOU	1514	5-2	vs IND (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): L 22-24: 1514-0→1514
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1513 (+5)	3-4	vs PHI (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): W 21-14: 1508+5→1513
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509 (+20)	4-2	at CIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 28-3: 1489+20→1509
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): Slight underdog
17 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+22)	4-3	vs BUF (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1512): W 34-14: 1484+22→1506
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): Slight underdog
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500 (+2)	4-3	at HOU (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): W 16-10: 1498+2→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1514): Slight underdog
19 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (-22)	4-3	at TB (1520): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): L 14-34: 1512-22→1490
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Lose by 5 points
20 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1487 (-16)	2-5	at NE (1427): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1538): L 15-37: 1503-16→1487
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1427): Win by 5 points
21 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1482	3-3	at SF (1515): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): Lose by 5 points
22 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1480 (+7)	3-4	at MIA (1448): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): W 17-15: 1473+7→1480
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1448): Slight favorite
23 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1477 (-20)	2-5	at LAC (1516): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1516): L 10-33: 1497-20→1477
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Lose by 5 points
24 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1475 (+16)	2-5	vs GB (1536): Lose by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1443): W 32-16: 1459+16→1475
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Lose by 5 points
25 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1473 (+1)	2-4	vs MIN (1549): Lose by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): W 20-15: 1472+1→1473
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1549): Lose by 6 points
26 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1463 (-15)	1-5	at DET (1552): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1524): L 10-34: 1478-15→1463
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): Lose by 8 points
27 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-21)	2-5	at PIT (1553): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1489): L 3-28: 1479-21→1458
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1456 (-5)	1-6	vs BAL (1540): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): L 14-21: 1461-5→1456
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): Lose by 6 points
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1448 (-2)	2-4	vs ARI (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): L 10-16: 1450-2→1448
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1480): Slight underdog
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1444 (-1)	2-5	vs KC (1553): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1472): L 15-20: 1445-1→1444
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): Lose by 7 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1427 (-16)	1-6	vs NYJ (1487): Lose by 5
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): L 16-32: 1443-16→1427
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1418 (-13)	1-6	at DEN (1536): Lose by 10
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1522): L 7-40: 1431-13→1418
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1555	5-0	vs DET (1545): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1545): Slight favorite
2 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1545 (+21)	4-1	at MIN (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): W 47-9: 1524+21→1545
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1555): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1540	5-0	at SF (1528): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Tossup
4 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1538 (+15)	4-2	vs NYJ (1503): Win by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 32-13: 1523+15→1538
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1503): Win by 5 points
5 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1535 (+16)	4-2	vs HOU (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): W 34-13: 1519+16→1535
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1514): Slight favorite
6 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1535 (+22)	4-2	vs BAL (1525): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): W 51-27: 1513+22→1535
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1533 (+15)	4-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1474): W 35-16: 1518+15→1533
next: (bye)
8 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (+15)	3-3	vs KC (1540): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): W 36-24: 1513+15→1528
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): Tossup
9 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (+8)	4-2	at TB (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1530): W 30-23: 1517+8→1525
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): Slight underdog
10 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1524 (+4)	4-2	vs TEN (1478): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1506): W 23-20: 1520+4→1524
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): Win by 5 points
11 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523 (+11)	3-2	at ARI (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): W 23-16: 1512+11→1523
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1473): Slight favorite
12 (-9)	Washington CommandersWAS	1522 (-8)	4-2	vs CAR (1431): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): L 23-30: 1530-8→1522
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): Win by 7 points
13 (-9)	Denver BroncosDEN	1516 (-11)	3-3	at NO (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): L 16-23: 1527-11→1516
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1514 (+17)	5-1	at GB (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1461): W 41-21: 1497+17→1514
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1512 (+15)	4-2	vs SEA (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): W 38-20: 1497+15→1512
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): Slight favorite
16 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1508 (+14)	2-4	at CLE (1461): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1493): W 17-7: 1494+14→1508
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1503 (-3)	2-4	at PIT (1538): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1520): L 20-23: 1506-3→1503
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1538): Lose by 5 points
18 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1498 (+4)	3-3	vs MIA (1450): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): W 20-17: 1494+4→1498
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1450): Win by 5 points
19 (-10)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (-21)	2-4	vs DEN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): L 27-51: 1518-21→1497
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1516): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489	3-2	at NYG (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): W 20-16: 1489-0→1489
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1484 (-14)	3-3	at ATL (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 24-36: 1498-14→1484
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1512): Slight underdog
22 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1482 (-21)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1524): L 9-47: 1503-21→1482
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (-14)	2-4	vs PHI (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1494): L 7-17: 1493-14→1479
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1489): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478 (-4)	1-4	at BUF (1524): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): L 17-20: 1482-4→1478
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1524): Lose by 5 points
25 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1473 (-16)	2-4	vs LAC (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): L 13-34: 1489-16→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472	1-4	vs LV (1445): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): Win by 4 points
27 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	1-5	vs CIN (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1489): L 16-20: 1461+0→1461
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1459 (-15)	1-5	at NE (1443): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): L 16-35: 1474-15→1459
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1443): Slight favorite
29 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1450	2-3	at IND (1498): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): Lose by 5 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1445 (-15)	2-4	at LAR (1472): Lose by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): L 13-32: 1460-15→1445
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1472): Lose by 4 points
31 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1443 (-18)	1-5	at JAX (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1497): L 21-41: 1461-18→1443
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1431 (-15)	1-5	at WAS (1522): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): L 20-38: 1446-15→1431
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1522): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1555 (+4)	5-0	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1510): W 23-17: 1551+4→1555
next: (bye)
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1540 (+15)	5-0	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1533): W 26-13: 1525+15→1540
next: (bye)
3 (+7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1530 (+15)	4-1	at BAL (1517): Tossup
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): W 34-13: 1515+15→1530
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Tossup
4 (+8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (+13)	3-2	vs LAC (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): W 34-18: 1514+13→1527
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1524	3-1	at DAL (1503): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1523 (-7)	3-2	at LV (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): L 17-20: 1530-7→1523
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1520 (-5)	3-2	at NYJ (1506): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): L 20-23: 1525-5→1520
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1506): Tossup
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1519 (+3)	3-2	vs ARI (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): W 24-19: 1516+3→1519
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): Slight favorite
9 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518 (-15)	2-3	vs TB (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): L 13-26: 1533-15→1518
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Slight favorite
10 (+6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1518 (+17)	3-2	at JAX (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): W 36-10: 1501+17→1518
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1474): Slight favorite
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+2)	3-2	vs WAS (1530): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): W 41-38(OT): 1515+2→1517
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1530): Tossup
12 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (-8)	2-3	at SEA (1498): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): L 23-24: 1521-8→1513
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Tossup
13 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-3)	3-2	at NO (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): L 30-36(OT): 1516-3→1513
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512	2-2	at DEN (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Slight underdog
15	New York JetsNYJ	1506 (-4)	2-3	vs BUF (1520): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1551): L 17-23: 1510-4→1506
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1520): Tossup
16 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503 (+6)	3-2	vs DET (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): W 20-17: 1497+6→1503
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1524): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (-14)	3-2	vs SF (1513): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): L 20-29: 1512-14→1498
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Tossup
18 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1497 (+2)	3-2	at CAR (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): W 36-30(OT): 1495+2→1497
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1497 (+5)	4-1	at NE (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1525): W 23-20: 1492+5→1497
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1461): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1494 (-5)	2-3	at TEN (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): L 34-37: 1499-5→1494
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1494 (-2)	1-4	at NYG (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): L 38-41(OT): 1496-2→1494
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1493): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1493 (+15)	2-3	vs CIN (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): W 29-20: 1478+15→1493
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1494): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489	2-2	vs CLE (1461): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): Win by 4 points
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1489 (+8)	2-3	at GB (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): W 24-23: 1481+8→1489
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482	1-3	vs IND (1494): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1474 (+4)	1-4	at CHI (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): W 37-34: 1470+4→1474
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): Slight underdog
27	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472 (-4)	1-4	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1516): L 19-24: 1476-4→1472
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1461 (-8)	1-4	vs HOU (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): L 10-15: 1469-8→1461
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1497): Slight underdog
29 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461 (-15)	1-4	at PHI (1489): Lose by 4
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1515): L 13-34: 1476-15→1461
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1489): Lose by 4 points
30 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (-13)	2-3	vs PIT (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): L 18-34: 1473-13→1460
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1450 (+8)	2-3	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1469): W 15-10: 1442+8→1450
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446 (-17)	1-4	vs ATL (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1501): L 10-36: 1463-17→1446
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1551 (+3)	4-0	at NYJ (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): W 31-29: 1548+3→1551
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1510): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1533 (-5)	2-2	at KC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): L 24-26: 1538-5→1533
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1530 (-5)	3-1	vs DAL (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): L 24-27: 1535-5→1530
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1525 (+10)	4-0	vs NO (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): W 17-10: 1515+10→1525
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1533): Slight favorite
5 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1525 (-23)	3-1	at HOU (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): L 10-35: 1548-23→1525
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1524 (+15)	3-1	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): W 42-29: 1509+15→1524
next: (bye)
7 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+16)	2-2	vs ARI (1481): Win by 4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1485): W 30-13: 1505+16→1521
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Win by 4 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1516 (-3)	2-2	at LAR (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1548): L 29-31: 1519-3→1516
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Slight favorite
9 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (+18)	3-1	at ATL (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): W 33-16: 1498+18→1516
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Slight favorite
10 (+10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1515 (+24)	3-1	vs CLE (1476): Win by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): W 42-14: 1491+24→1515
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): Win by 4 points
11 (+8)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1515 (+23)	2-2	at CIN (1496): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1548): W 35-10: 1492+23→1515
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): Tossup
12 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1514 (+6)	2-2	vs LV (1473): Win by 4
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1516): W 10-9: 1508+6→1514
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Win by 4 points
13 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-11)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1515): L 10-17: 1523-11→1512
next: (bye)
14 (-9)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1512 (-16)	3-1	vs NYG (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): L 29-42: 1528-16→1512
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): Slight favorite
15 (-7)	New York JetsNYJ	1510 (-6)	2-2	at MIN (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): L 9-10: 1516-6→1510
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1551): Slight underdog
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1501 (+4)	2-2	vs CAR (1463): Win by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1481): W 24-18: 1497+4→1501
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): Win by 4 points
17	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1499 (+5)	2-2	at JAX (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): W 27-24: 1494+5→1499
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1497 (+6)	2-2	at PIT (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 20-15: 1491+6→1497
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1530): Slight underdog
19 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1496 (+13)	1-3	vs BAL (1515): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): W 34-24: 1483+13→1496
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): Tossup
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1495 (+6)	2-2	vs TB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1538): W 26-24: 1489+6→1495
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1492	3-1	vs BUF (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): W 24-20: 1492+0→1492
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1525): Slight underdog
22 (-10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1489 (-18)	2-2	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): L 16-33: 1507-18→1489
next: (bye)
23 (+8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (+20)	1-3	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): W 31-12: 1462+20→1482
next: (bye)
24 (-10)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-24)	1-3	at SF (1521): Lose by 4
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): L 14-42: 1505-24→1481
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Lose by 4 points
25 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1478 (-6)	1-3	at SEA (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1491): L 15-20: 1484-6→1478
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1476 (-2)	1-3	at WAS (1515): Lose by 4
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): L 16-20: 1478-2→1476
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1515): Lose by 4 points
27 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (-5)	1-3	vs GB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): L 18-24: 1481-5→1476
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1516): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1473 (+2)	2-2	at DEN (1514): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1478): W 20-16: 1471+2→1473
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): Lose by 4 points
29 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1470	0-4	vs IND (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): L 20-24: 1470-0→1470
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): Slight underdog
30 (-7)	New England PatriotsNE	1469 (-16)	1-3	vs MIA (1442): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 13-30: 1485-16→1469
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): Slight favorite
31 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463 (-14)	1-3	at CHI (1501): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1483): L 24-34: 1477-14→1463
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1501): Lose by 4 points
32	Miami DolphinsMIA	1442 (-20)	1-3	at NE (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1462): L 12-31: 1462-20→1442
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1469): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1548 (+19)	3-0	at GB (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1512): W 34-7: 1529+19→1548
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1519): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1548 (+19)	3-0	at BAL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1490): W 47-10: 1529+19→1548
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1538 (-8)	2-1	at ATL (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1499): L 12-15: 1546-8→1538
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1535 (+13)	3-0	at IND (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1536): W 20-10: 1522+13→1535
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1528 (+18)	3-0	at DET (1509): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): W 24-3: 1510+18→1528
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): Tossup
6 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523 (-13)	2-1	vs KC (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): L 10-20: 1536-13→1523
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1515): Slight favorite
7 (+7)	Green Bay PackersGB	1519 (+19)	2-1	vs MIN (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): W 30-14: 1500+19→1519
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1548): Slight underdog
8 (+10)	New York JetsNYJ	1516 (+20)	2-1	vs DEN (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1505): W 24-3: 1496+20→1516
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1515 (+6)	3-0	at LAC (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): W 22-17: 1509+6→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): Slight underdog
10 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1509 (+12)	2-1	vs SEA (1528): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): W 20-13: 1497+12→1509
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): Tossup
11 (+15)	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (+24)	1-2	at NYJ (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): W 26-7: 1484+24→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1516): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (+8)	2-1	at TB (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): W 15-12: 1499+8→1507
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (-5)	1-2	vs NE (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): L 24-27: 1510-5→1505
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1485): Slight favorite
14 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1505 (-11)	1-2	vs WAS (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1497): L 13-20: 1516-11→1505
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): Slight favorite
15 (-9)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-24)	2-1	vs PHI (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): L 7-26: 1522-24→1498
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (-5)	1-2	vs LAR (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): L 16-21: 1502-5→1497
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1481): Slight favorite
17 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1494 (+5)	1-2	vs PIT (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1502): W 21-16: 1489+5→1494
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): Slight underdog
18 (-10)	Houston TexansHOU	1492 (-20)	2-1	vs JAX (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): L 7-34: 1512-20→1492
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): Slight favorite
19 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1492 (+6)	1-2	vs BUF (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1496): W 28-25: 1486+6→1492
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1548): Slight underdog
20 (+7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1491 (+7)	2-1	at ARI (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): W 38-33: 1484+7→1491
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1491 (-5)	1-2	at NYG (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1486): L 25-28: 1496-5→1491
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1489 (-6)	1-2	vs NO (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): L 17-22: 1495-6→1489
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1538): Slight underdog
23 (-11)	New England PatriotsNE	1485 (-20)	1-2	at SF (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): L 3-24: 1505-20→1485
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight underdog
24 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (+9)	1-2	vs DAL (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): W 21-15: 1475+9→1484
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1491): Slight favorite
25 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1483 (-7)	0-3	at CAR (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1484): L 33-38: 1490-7→1483
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): Slight underdog
26 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1481 (+5)	1-2	at CHI (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): W 27-24: 1476+5→1481
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1478 (-10)	1-2	at LV (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): L 15-21: 1488-10→1478
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1477 (+21)	1-2	vs CIN (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 36-22: 1456+21→1477
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1483): Slight favorite
29 (-9)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471 (-20)	1-2	vs CLE (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): L 22-36: 1491-20→1471
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1478): Slight favorite
30 (-8)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1470 (-20)	0-3	at HOU (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1529): L 10-47: 1490-20→1470
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1492): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1462 (-19)	0-3	at MIA (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 14-30: 1481-19→1462
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-18)	1-2	vs TEN (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): L 3-24: 1480-18→1462
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1462): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1546 (+23)	2-0	vs PHI (1499): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1520): W 44-19: 1523+23→1546
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1499): Win by 5 points
2 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536 (+22)	2-0	at PIT (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): W 26-3: 1514+22→1536
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): Slight underdog
3 (+8)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1529 (+23)	2-0	vs JAX (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): W 31-10: 1506+23→1529
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1490): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1529 (+6)	2-0	vs HOU (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): W 23-17: 1523+6→1529
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1512): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1522 (+10)	2-0	vs LAC (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): W 13-6: 1512+10→1522
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1536): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522 (+4)	2-0	vs DEN (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1501): W 20-16: 1518+4→1522
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Slight favorite
7 (+14)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516 (+22)	1-1	vs DET (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): W 41-10: 1494+22→1516
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1497): Slight favorite
8 (+6)	Houston TexansHOU	1512 (+7)	2-0	at MIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1508): W 19-13: 1505+7→1512
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): Slight underdog
9 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (+4)	2-0	vs MIA (1480): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): W 23-20(OT): 1506+4→1510
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): Slight favorite
10 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (-5)	1-1	at LAR (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 17-23: 1515-5→1510
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1509 (+1)	2-0	at ATL (1495): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): W 26-25: 1508+1→1509
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Tossup
12 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1505 (-4)	1-1	at NYJ (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): L 20-23(OT): 1509-4→1505
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): Slight underdog
13 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1502 (-6)	1-1	at IND (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1505): L 13-19: 1508-6→1502
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): Slight underdog
14 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1500 (+6)	1-1	at TEN (1481): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1495): W 16-10: 1494+6→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): Tossup
15 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1499 (-7)	1-1	at NO (1546): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): L 21-22: 1506-7→1499
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): Lose by 5 points
16	Detroit LionsDET	1497 (-4)	1-1	at ARI (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): L 16-20: 1501-4→1497
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): Slight underdog
17 (-14)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1496 (-24)	1-1	vs BAL (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): L 19-44: 1520-24→1496
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1486): Slight favorite
18 (+10)	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (+11)	1-1	vs NE (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): W 24-17: 1485+11→1496
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1505): Slight favorite
19 (+7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1495 (+7)	1-1	vs KC (1509): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): W 22-21: 1488+7→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): Tossup
20 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (+5)	1-1	vs CAR (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): W 26-23: 1486+5→1491
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): Slight favorite
21 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (-1)	0-2	vs WAS (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): L 25-26: 1491-1→1490
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1484): Slight favorite
22 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1490 (-8)	0-2	at BUF (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): L 13-18: 1498-8→1490
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1529): Slight underdog
23 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (-6)	0-2	vs CHI (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1494): L 10-16: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1502): Slight favorite
24 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488 (+8)	1-1	vs NYG (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 18-13: 1480+8→1488
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1486 (-6)	0-2	at DAL (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): L 23-26: 1492-6→1486
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1496): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1484 (-10)	0-2	at TB (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): L 6-13: 1494-10→1484
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1484 (+2)	1-1	at CIN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1477): W 21-18: 1482+2→1484
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1481 (-11)	0-2	vs GB (1500): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1485): L 17-24: 1492-11→1481
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Tossup
29 (-14)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480 (-22)	1-1	at SEA (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1506): L 10-31: 1502-22→1480
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Slight underdog
30 (-13)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (-23)	0-2	vs SF (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): L 10-41: 1499-23→1476
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1475 (-2)	0-2	at CLE (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): L 18-21: 1477-2→1475
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456 (-21)	0-2	at LV (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 3-26: 1477-21→1456
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+20)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+23)	1-0	vs SF (1515): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 28-6: 1500+23→1523
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): Slight favorite
2 (+21)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+23)	1-0	at DAL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 47-10: 1500+23→1523
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1520): Slight underdog
3 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1520 (+20)	1-0	vs NO (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 33-17: 1500+20→1520
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Slight favorite
4 (+26)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+18)	1-0	at DET (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1500): W 37-20: 1500+18→1518
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1501): Slight underdog
5 (+23)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1515 (+15)	1-0	at MIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 32-19: 1500+15→1515
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight underdog
6 (+12)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+14)	1-0	at CAR (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): W 22-10: 1500+14→1514
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): Slight favorite
7 (+20)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+12)	1-0	at DEN (1494): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 18-10: 1500+12→1512
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Tossup
8 (+14)	New England PatriotsNE	1509 (+9)	1-0	vs SEA (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): W 16-10: 1500+9→1509
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1508 (+8)	1-0	at HOU (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 24-17: 1500+8→1508
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1505): Slight underdog
10 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs CIN (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 27-20: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): Slight favorite
11 (-7)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1506 (+6)	1-0	at MIA (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 34-28: 1500+6→1506
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): Slight underdog
12 (+17)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+6)	1-0	at NE (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 26-20: 1500+6→1506
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): Slight underdog
13 (+13)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs ATL (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 34-29: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs CHI (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 29-27: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1508): Slight favorite
15 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (+2)	1-0	vs BUF (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 20-17: 1500+2→1502
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1506): Slight favorite
16 (-5)	Detroit LionsDET	1501 (+1)	1-0	vs TB (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): W 26-20(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1499 (-1)	0-1	at ARI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 20-26(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs CLE (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 17-20: 1500-2→1498
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): Slight favorite
19 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1495 (-5)	0-1	at GB (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): L 27-29: 1500-5→1495
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1494): Slight underdog
20 (-8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs IND (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 29-34: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1495): Slight favorite
21 (-20)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs LAR (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 28-34: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): Slight favorite
22 (-12)	Denver BroncosDEN	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs PIT (1512): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 20-26: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Tossup
23 (-20)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1492 (-8)	0-1	vs LV (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 20-27: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): Slight favorite
24 (+7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1492 (-8)	0-1	vs NYJ (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): L 17-24: 1500-8→1492
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1485): Slight favorite
25 (-18)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1491 (-9)	0-1	at KC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): L 10-16: 1500-9→1491
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): Slight underdog
26 (-24)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1488 (-12)	0-1	at PHI (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 10-18: 1500-12→1488
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Slight underdog
27 (-10)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1486 (-14)	0-1	at BAL (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 10-22: 1500-14→1486
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1485 (-15)	0-1	at TEN (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 19-32: 1500-15→1485
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): Slight underdog
29 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1482 (-18)	0-1	vs NYG (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 20-37: 1500-18→1482
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1477): Slight favorite
30 (-22)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480 (-20)	0-1	at JAX (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): L 17-33: 1500-20→1480
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Slight underdog
31 (-26)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1477 (-23)	0-1	vs LAC (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 10-47: 1500-23→1477
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight underdog
32 (-8)	New York GiantsNYG	1477 (-23)	0-1	at WAS (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 6-28: 1500-23→1477
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs NE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs LAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at PHI (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Tossup
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at MIA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	at SF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight underdog
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Tossup
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	vs NYJ (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight favorite
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	vs WAS (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight favorite
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	at TB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1488
1	21	at BUF(1500) L 28-34: -6→1494	9	15	vs CHI(1531) W 29-9: +24→1506	17	at LAR
2	7	vs LAR(1499) W 41-10: +22→1516	10	10	vs NYJ(1492) W 31-6: +19→1525	18	vs SF
3	14	vs DET(1497) L 13-20: -11→1505	11	11	(bye)	W
4	24	vs WAS(1491) L 14-42: -24→1481	12		at SEA	D
5	24	at SF(1521) W 24-23: +8→1489	13		at MIN	C
6	25	at GB(1519) L 13-34: -16→1473	14		vs SEA	S
7	22	vs LAC(1523) W 17-15: +7→1480	15		vs NE
8	21	at MIA(1448) W 28-27: +2→1482	16		at CAR

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: 1489
1	26	vs PIT(1500) L 10-18: -12→1488	9	17	vs DAL(1480) W 27-21: +3→1502	17	at WAS
2	19	at PHI(1506) W 22-21: +7→1495	10	17	at NO(1455) L 17-20: -3→1499	18	vs CAR
3	22	vs KC(1509) L 17-22: -6→1489	11	22	at DEN(1516) L 6-38: -20→1479	W
4	20	vs NO(1538) W 26-24: +6→1495	12		(bye)	D
5	18	vs TB(1516) W 36-30: +2→1497	13		vs LAC	C
6	15	at CAR(1446) W 38-20: +15→1512	14		at MIN	S
7	19	vs SEA(1484) L 14-34: -22→1490	15		at LV
8	17	at TB(1520) W 31-26: +9→1499	16		vs NYG

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1521 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: 1514
1	23	at KC(1500) L 20-27: -8→1492	9	3	vs DEN(1539) W 41-10: +22→1550	17	at HOU
2	25	vs LV(1486) L 23-26: -6→1486	10	4	vs CIN(1503) W 35-34: +0→1550	18	vs CLE
3	19	at DAL(1496) W 28-25: +6→1492	11	7	at PIT(1557) L 16-18: -2→1548	W
4	11	vs BUF(1548) W 35-10: +23→1515	12		at LAC	D
5	11	at CIN(1496) W 41-38: +2→1517	13		vs PHI	C
6	9	vs WAS(1530) W 30-23: +8→1525	14		(bye)	S
7	5	at TB(1535) W 41-31: +15→1540	15		at NYG
8	12	at CLE(1456) L 24-29: -12→1528	16		vs PIT

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	11	vs ARI(1500) W 34-28: +6→1506	9	5	vs MIA(1446) W 30-27: -9→1547	17	vs NYJ
2	3	at MIA(1502) W 31-10: +23→1529	10	2	at IND(1495) W 30-20: +11→1558	18	at NE
3	2	vs JAX(1490) W 47-10: +19→1548	11	2	vs KC(1550) W 30-21: +10→1568	W
4	5	at BAL(1492) L 10-35: -23→1525	12		(bye)	D
5	7	at HOU(1492) L 20-23: -5→1520	13		vs SF	C
6	10	at NYJ(1506) W 23-20: +4→1524	14		at LAR	S
7	6	vs TEN(1478) W 34-10: +15→1539	15		at DET
8	2	at SEA(1506) W 31-10: +17→1556	16		vs NE

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: 1508
1	31	at NO(1500) L 10-47: -23→1477	9	32	vs NO(1464) W 23-22: +8→1423	17	at TB
2	32	vs LAC(1514) L 3-26: -21→1456	10	32	at NYG(1462) W 20-17: +4→1427	18	at ATL
3	28	at LV(1491) W 36-22: +21→1477	11	31	(bye)	W
4	31	vs CIN(1483) L 24-34: -14→1463	12		vs KC	D
5	32	at CHI(1501) L 10-36: -17→1446	13		vs TB	C
6	32	vs ATL(1497) L 20-38: -15→1431	14		at PHI	S
7	32	at WAS(1522) L 7-40: -13→1418	15		vs DAL
8	32	at DEN(1536) L 14-28: -3→1415	16		vs ARI

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1546
1	9	vs TEN(1500) W 24-17: +8→1508	9	14	at ARI(1482) L 9-29: -24→1507	17	vs SEA
2	13	at HOU(1505) L 13-19: -6→1502	10	19	vs NE(1436) L 3-19: -21→1486	18	at GB
3	16	at IND(1489) L 16-21: -5→1497	11	21	vs GB(1524) L 19-20: -3→1483	W
4	16	vs LAR(1481) W 24-18: +4→1501	12		vs MIN	D
5	10	vs CAR(1463) W 36-10: +17→1518	13		at DET	C
6	7	at JAX(1474) W 35-16: +15→1533	14		at SF	S
7	10	(bye)	15		at MIN
8	8	at WAS(1535) L 15-18: -2→1531	16		vs DET

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: 1493
1	25	vs NE(1500) L 10-16: -9→1491	9	16	vs LV(1445) W 41-24: +10→1503	17	vs DEN
2	21	at KC(1508) L 25-26: -1→1490	10	15	at BAL(1550) L 34-35: -0→1503	18	at PIT
3	25	vs WAS(1484) L 33-38: -7→1483	11	16	at LAC(1549) L 27-34: -6→1497	W
4	19	at CAR(1477) W 34-24: +13→1496	12		(bye)	D
5	21	vs BAL(1515) L 38-41: -2→1494	13		vs PIT	C
6	16	at NYG(1493) W 17-7: +14→1508	14		at DAL	S
7	15	at CLE(1461) W 21-14: +5→1513	15		at TEN
8	18	vs PHI(1509) L 17-37: -20→1493	16		vs CLE

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1519 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: 1532
1	30	vs DAL(1500) L 17-33: -20→1480	9	27	vs LAC(1530) L 10-27: -12→1456	17	vs MIA
2	24	at JAX(1498) W 18-13: +8→1488	10	29	(bye)	18	at BAL
3	27	vs NYG(1475) L 15-21: -10→1478	11	28	at NO(1459) L 14-35: -19→1437	W
4	26	at LV(1471) L 16-20: -2→1476	12		vs PIT	D
5	29	at WAS(1515) L 13-34: -15→1461	13		at DEN	C
6	27	at PHI(1489) L 16-20: +0→1461	14		at PIT	S
7	28	vs CIN(1508) L 14-21: -5→1456	15		vs KC
8	25	vs BAL(1540) W 29-24: +12→1468	16		at CIN

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: 1499
1	3	at CLE(1500) W 33-17: +20→1520	9	24	at ATL(1499) L 21-27: -4→1476	17	at PHI
2	17	vs NO(1523) L 19-44: -24→1496	10	28	vs PHI(1528) L 6-34: -20→1456	18	vs WAS
3	21	vs BAL(1486) L 25-28: -5→1491	11	29	vs HOU(1499) L 10-34: -20→1436	W
4	18	at NYG(1484) W 20-15: +6→1497	12		at WAS	D
5	16	at PIT(1530) W 20-17: +6→1503	13		vs NYG	C
6	22	vs DET(1524) L 9-47: -21→1482	14		vs CIN	S
7	21	(bye)	15		at CAR
8	22	at SF(1515) L 24-30: -2→1480	16		vs TB

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: 1489
1	22	at SEA(1500) L 20-26: -6→1494	9	12	at BAL(1528) L 10-41: -21→1518	17	at CIN
2	26	vs PIT(1512) L 6-13: -10→1484	10	13	at KC(1548) L 14-16: -2→1516	18	vs KC
3	11	at TB(1522) W 26-7: +24→1508	11	9	vs ATL(1499) W 38-6: +20→1536	W
4	12	at NYJ(1516) W 10-9: +6→1514	12		at LV	D
5	4	vs LV(1473) W 34-18: +13→1527	13		vs CLE	C
6	13	vs LAC(1512) L 16-23: -11→1516	14		(bye)	S
7	7	at NO(1497) W 33-10: +20→1536	15		vs IND
8	5	vs CAR(1418) W 28-14: +3→1539	16		at LAC

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: 1516
1	16	vs LAR(1500) W 26-20: +1→1501	9	1	at GB(1534) W 24-14: +10→1574	17	at SF
2	16	vs TB(1518) L 16-20: -4→1497	10	1	at HOU(1501) W 26-23: +2→1576	18	vs MIN
3	10	at ARI(1516) W 20-13: +12→1509	11	1	vs JAX(1475) W 52-6: +17→1593	W
4	6	vs SEA(1528) W 42-29: +15→1524	12		at IND	D
5	5	(bye)	13		vs CHI	C
6	2	at DAL(1503) W 47-9: +21→1545	14		vs GB	S
7	3	at MIN(1555) W 31-29: +7→1552	15		vs BUF
8	1	vs TEN(1463) W 52-14: +12→1564	16		at CHI

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: 1513
1	20	at PHI(1500) L 29-34: -6→1494	9	10	vs DET(1564) L 14-24: -10→1524	17	at MIN
2	14	vs IND(1495) W 16-10: +6→1500	10	11	(bye)	18	vs CHI
3	7	at TEN(1481) W 30-14: +19→1519	11	10	at CHI(1486) W 20-19: +3→1527	W
4	8	vs MIN(1548) L 29-31: -3→1516	12		vs SF	D
5	8	at LAR(1476) W 24-19: +3→1519	13		vs MIA	C
6	5	vs ARI(1489) W 34-13: +16→1535	14		at DET	S
7	8	vs HOU(1514) W 24-22: +1→1536	15		at SEA
8	7	at JAX(1475) W 30-27: -2→1534	16		vs NO

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: 1482
1	14	at IND(1500) W 29-27: +5→1505	9	18	at NYJ(1479) L 13-21: -13→1501	17	vs BAL
2	8	vs CHI(1508) W 19-13: +7→1512	10	16	vs DET(1574) L 23-26: -2→1499	18	at TEN
3	18	at MIN(1529) L 7-34: -20→1492	11	13	at DAL(1456) W 34-10: +20→1519	W
4	21	vs JAX(1470) W 24-20: +0→1492	12		vs TEN	D
5	19	vs BUF(1525) W 23-20: +5→1497	13		at JAX	C
6	14	at NE(1461) W 41-21: +17→1514	14			S
7	14	at GB(1535) L 22-24: -0→1514	15		vs MIA
8	14	vs IND(1500) W 23-20: +0→1514	16		at KC

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1488
1	19	vs HOU(1500) L 27-29: -5→1495	9	20	at MIN(1530) L 13-21: -4→1495	17	at NYG
2	23	at GB(1494) L 10-16: -6→1489	10	20	vs BUF(1547) L 20-30: -12→1483	18	vs JAX
3	17	vs CHI(1502) W 21-16: +5→1494	11	19	at NYJ(1473) W 28-27: +5→1488	W
4	17	vs PIT(1535) W 27-24: +5→1499	12		vs DET	D
5	20	at JAX(1470) L 34-37: -5→1494	13		at NE	C
6	18	at TEN(1482) W 20-17: +4→1498	14		(bye)	S
7	18	vs MIA(1450) W 16-10: +2→1500	15		at DEN
8	16	at HOU(1514) L 20-23: -1→1499	16		vs TEN

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: 1460
1	18	at MIA(1500) L 17-20: -2→1498	9	23	at PHI(1530) L 23-28: +3→1479	17	vs TEN
2	22	vs CLE(1480) L 13-18: -8→1490	10	22	vs MIN(1535) L 7-12: -4→1475	18	at IND
3	30	at BUF(1529) L 10-47: -20→1470	11	26	at DET(1576) L 6-52: -17→1458	W
4	29	at HOU(1492) L 20-24: -0→1470	12		(bye)	D
5	26	vs IND(1499) W 37-34: +4→1474	13		vs HOU	C
6	28	at CHI(1518) L 16-35: -15→1459	14		at TEN	S
7	24	at NE(1443) W 32-16: +16→1475	15		vs NYJ
8	24	vs GB(1536) L 27-30: +1→1476	16		at LV

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1558 \| avg. remaining rating: 1493
1	10	vs BAL(1500) W 27-20: +8→1508	9	4	vs TB(1511) W 30-24: -4→1548	17	at PIT
2	11	vs CIN(1491) W 26-25: +1→1509	10	5	vs DEN(1518) W 16-14: +2→1550	18	at DEN
3	9	at ATL(1495) W 22-17: +6→1515	11	8	at BUF(1558) L 21-30: -10→1540	W
4	4	at LAC(1523) W 17-10: +10→1525	12		at CAR	D
5	2	vs NO(1533) W 26-13: +15→1540	13		vs LV	C
6	3	(bye)	14		vs LAC	S
7	2	at SF(1528) W 28-18: +13→1553	15		at CLE
8	4	at LV(1444) W 27-20: -1→1552	16		vs HOU

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: 1508
1	27	at LAC(1500) L 10-22: -14→1486	9	31	at CIN(1493) L 24-41: -11→1434	17	at NO
2	20	at BAL(1492) W 26-23: +5→1491	10	31	(bye)	18	vs LAC
3	29	vs CAR(1456) L 22-36: -20→1471	11	32	at MIA(1469) L 19-34: -15→1419	W
4	28	vs CLE(1478) W 20-16: +2→1473	12		vs DEN	D
5	30	at DEN(1514) L 18-34: -13→1460	13		at KC	C
6	30	vs PIT(1523) L 13-32: -15→1445	14		at TB	S
7	30	at LAR(1472) L 15-20: -1→1444	15		vs ATL
8	30	vs KC(1553) L 20-27: +1→1445	16		vs JAX

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1498
1	6	vs LV(1500) W 22-10: +14→1514	9	6	at CLE(1468) W 27-10: +12→1542	17	at NE
2	2	at CAR(1477) W 26-3: +22→1536	10	6	vs TEN(1450) W 27-17: +7→1549	18	at LV
3	6	at PIT(1522) L 10-20: -13→1523	11	5	vs CIN(1503) W 34-27: +6→1555	W
4	13	vs KC(1515) L 10-17: -11→1512	12		vs BAL	D
5	14	(bye)	13		at ATL	C
6	11	at DEN(1527) W 23-16: +11→1523	14		at KC	S
7	12	at ARI(1473) L 15-17: -7→1516	15		vs TB
8	11	vs NO(1477) W 26-8: +14→1530	16		vs DEN

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: 1515
1	17	at DET(1500) L 20-26: -1→1499	9	19	at SEA(1489) W 26-20: +3→1495	17	vs ARI
2	30	at ARI(1494) L 10-41: -23→1476	10	21	vs MIA(1456) L 15-23: -13→1482	18	vs SEA
3	26	vs SF(1510) W 27-24: +5→1481	11	18	at NE(1457) W 28-22: +8→1490	W
4	27	at CHI(1497) L 18-24: -5→1476	12		vs PHI	D
5	27	vs GB(1516) L 19-24: -4→1472	13		at NO	C
6	26	(bye)	14		vs BUF	S
7	25	vs LV(1445) W 20-15: +1→1473	15		at SF
8	19	vs MIN(1549) W 30-20: +19→1492	16		at NYJ

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1484
1	15	vs JAX(1500) W 20-17: +2→1502	9	26	at BUF(1556) L 27-30: +10→1456	17	at CLE
2	29	vs BUF(1506) L 10-31: -22→1480	10	24	at LAR(1495) W 23-15: +13→1469	18	at NYJ
3	32	at SEA(1510) L 3-24: -18→1462	11	20	vs LV(1434) W 34-19: +14→1483	W
4	32	vs TEN(1462) L 12-31: -20→1442	12		vs NE	D
5	31	at NE(1469) W 15-10: +8→1450	13		at GB	C
6	29	(bye)	14		vs NYJ	S
7	29	at IND(1498) L 10-16: -2→1448	15		at HOU
8	29	vs ARI(1480) L 27-28: -2→1446	16		vs SF

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1512
1	1	at NYG(1500) W 28-6: +23→1523	9	7	vs IND(1499) W 21-13: +5→1535	17	vs GB
2	4	vs SF(1515) W 23-17: +6→1529	10	8	at JAX(1479) W 12-7: +4→1539	18	at DET
3	1	vs HOU(1512) W 34-7: +19→1548	11	6	at TEN(1442) W 23-13: +10→1549	W
4	1	at GB(1519) W 31-29: +3→1551	12		at CHI	D
5	1	at NYJ(1510) W 23-17: +4→1555	13		vs ARI	C
6	1	(bye)	14		vs ATL	S
7	4	vs DET(1545) L 29-31: -6→1549	15		vs CHI
8	9	at LAR(1473) L 20-30: -19→1530	16		at SEA

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1480 \| avg. remaining rating: 1531
1	8	at CIN(1500) W 16-10: +9→1509	9	30	at TEN(1451) L 17-20: +1→1436	17	vs LAC
2	12	vs SEA(1506) L 20-23: -4→1505	10	27	at CHI(1507) W 19-3: +21→1457	18	vs BUF
3	23	at NYJ(1496) L 3-24: -20→1485	11	27	vs LAR(1482) L 22-28: -7→1450	W
4	30	at SF(1505) L 13-30: -16→1469	12		at MIA	D
5	28	vs MIA(1442) L 10-15: -8→1461	13		vs IND	C
6	31	vs HOU(1497) L 21-41: -18→1443	14		(bye)	S
7	31	at JAX(1459) L 16-32: -16→1427	15		at ARI
8	31	vs NYJ(1487) W 25-22: +8→1435	16		at BUF

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: 1488
1	2	vs CAR(1500) W 47-10: +23→1523	9	28	at CAR(1415) L 22-23: -9→1455	17	vs LV
2	1	at DAL(1520) W 44-19: +23→1546	10	25	vs ATL(1502) W 20-17: +4→1459	18	at TB
3	3	vs PHI(1499) L 12-15: -8→1538	11	23	vs CLE(1456) W 35-14: +19→1478	W
4	2	at ATL(1489) L 24-26: -5→1533	12		(bye)	D
5	9	at KC(1525) L 13-26: -15→1518	13		vs LAR	C
6	19	vs TB(1513) L 27-51: -21→1497	14		at NYG	S
7	23	vs DEN(1516) L 10-33: -20→1477	15		vs WAS
8	26	at LAC(1516) L 8-26: -13→1464	16		at GB

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: 1499
1	32	vs MIN(1500) L 6-28: -23→1477	9	25	vs WAS(1537) L 22-27: +3→1462	17	vs IND
2	31	at WAS(1482) L 18-21: -2→1475	10	26	at CAR(1423) L 17-20: -4→1458	18	at PHI
3	24	at CLE(1488) W 21-15: +9→1484	11	25	(bye)	W
4	25	vs DAL(1491) L 15-20: -6→1478	12		vs TB	D
5	22	at SEA(1512) W 29-20: +15→1493	13		at DAL	C
6	23	vs CIN(1494) L 7-17: -14→1479	14		vs NO	S
7	27	vs PHI(1489) L 3-28: -21→1458	15		vs BAL
8	27	at PIT(1553) L 18-26: +1→1459	16		at ATL

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: 1496
1	28	at SF(1500) L 19-32: -15→1485	9	21	vs HOU(1514) W 21-13: +13→1492	17	at BUF
2	18	at TEN(1492) W 24-17: +11→1496	10	23	at ARI(1506) L 6-31: -19→1473	18	vs MIA
3	8	vs NE(1505) W 24-3: +20→1516	11	24	vs IND(1483) L 27-28: -5→1468	W
4	15	vs DEN(1508) L 9-10: -6→1510	12		(bye)	D
5	15	at MIN(1551) L 17-23: -4→1506	13		vs SEA	C
6	17	vs BUF(1520) L 20-23: -3→1503	14		at MIA	S
7	20	at PIT(1538) L 15-37: -16→1487	15		at JAX
8	23	at NE(1427) L 22-25: -8→1479	16		vs LAR

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: 1491
1	13	at GB(1500) W 34-29: +6→1506	9	9	vs JAX(1476) W 28-23: -2→1528	17	vs DAL
2	15	vs ATL(1488) L 21-22: -7→1499	10	7	at DAL(1476) W 34-6: +20→1548	18	vs NYG
3	12	at NO(1546) W 15-12: +8→1507	11	4	vs WAS(1530) W 26-18: +8→1556	W
4	22	at TB(1498) L 16-33: -18→1489	12		at LAR	D
5	23	(bye)	13		at BAL	C
6	20	vs CLE(1461) W 20-16: -0→1489	14		vs CAR	S
7	16	at NYG(1479) W 28-3: +20→1509	15		vs PIT
8	10	at CIN(1513) W 37-17: +21→1530	16		at WAS

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1502
1	7	at ATL(1500) W 18-10: +12→1512	9	2	(bye)	17	vs KC
2	5	at DEN(1494) W 13-6: +10→1522	10	3	at WAS(1534) W 28-27: +4→1557	18	vs CIN
3	4	vs LAC(1536) W 20-10: +13→1535	11	3	vs BAL(1550) W 18-16: +2→1559	W
4	3	at IND(1494) L 24-27: -5→1530	12		at CLE	D
5	6	vs DAL(1497) L 17-20: -7→1523	13		at CIN	C
6	4	at LV(1460) W 32-13: +15→1538	14		vs CLE	S
7	1	vs NYJ(1503) W 37-15: +15→1553	15		at PHI
8	3	vs NYG(1458) W 26-18: -0→1553	16		at BAL

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: 1524
1	5	vs NYJ(1500) W 32-19: +15→1515	9	11	(bye)	17	vs DET
2	10	at MIN(1523) L 17-23: -5→1510	10	12	at TB(1515) W 23-20: +4→1522	18	at ARI
3	13	at LAR(1476) L 24-27: -5→1505	11	14	vs SEA(1486) L 17-20: -6→1516	W
4	7	vs NE(1485) W 30-13: +16→1521	12		at GB	D
5	12	vs ARI(1481) L 23-24: -8→1513	13		at BUF	C
6	8	at SEA(1498) W 36-24: +15→1528	14		vs CHI	S
7	13	vs KC(1540) L 18-28: -13→1515	15		vs LAR
8	13	vs DAL(1482) W 30-24: +3→1518	16		at MIA

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: 1510
1	12	vs DEN(1500) W 26-20: +6→1506	9	22	vs LAR(1492) L 20-26: -3→1486	17	at CHI
2	9	at NE(1509) W 23-20: +4→1510	10	18	(bye)	18	at LAR
3	5	vs MIA(1480) W 24-3: +18→1528	11	17	at SF(1522) W 20-17: +6→1492	W
4	14	at DET(1509) L 29-42: -16→1512	12		vs ARI	D
5	17	vs NYG(1478) L 20-29: -14→1498	13		at NYJ	C
6	21	vs SF(1513) L 24-36: -14→1484	14		at ARI	S
7	17	at ATL(1512) W 34-14: +22→1506	15		vs GB
8	20	vs BUF(1539) L 10-31: -17→1489	16		vs MIN

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: 1457
1	4	vs WAS(1500) W 37-20: +18→1518	9	13	at KC(1552) L 24-30: +4→1515	17	vs CAR
2	6	at DET(1501) W 20-16: +4→1522	10	14	vs SF(1518) L 20-23: -4→1511	18	vs NO
3	15	vs DEN(1484) L 7-26: -24→1498	11	15	(bye)	W
4	9	vs PHI(1507) W 33-16: +18→1516	12		at NYG	D
5	13	at ATL(1495) L 30-36: -3→1513	13		at CAR	C
6	6	at NO(1518) W 51-27: +22→1535	14		vs LV	S
7	11	vs BAL(1525) L 31-41: -15→1520	15		at LAC
8	15	vs ATL(1490) L 26-31: -9→1511	16		at DAL

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1449 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: 1494
1	24	at CHI(1500) L 17-24: -8→1492	9	29	vs NE(1435) W 20-17: -1→1450	17	at JAX
2	28	vs NYJ(1485) L 17-24: -11→1481	10	30	at LAC(1542) L 17-27: -8→1442	18	vs HOU
3	31	vs GB(1500) L 14-30: -19→1462	11	30	vs MIN(1539) L 13-23: -10→1432	W
4	23	at MIA(1462) W 31-12: +20→1482	12		at HOU	D
5	25	(bye)	13		at WAS	C
6	24	vs IND(1494) L 17-20: -4→1478	14		vs JAX	S
7	26	at BUF(1524) L 10-34: -15→1463	15		vs CIN
8	28	at DET(1552) L 14-52: -12→1451	16		at IND

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: 1470
1	29	at TB(1500) L 20-37: -18→1482	9	8	at NYG(1459) W 27-22: -3→1534	17	vs ATL
2	27	vs NYG(1477) W 21-18: +2→1484	10	9	vs PIT(1553) L 27-28: -4→1530	18	at DAL
3	20	at CIN(1490) W 38-33: +7→1491	11	12	at PHI(1548) L 18-26: -8→1522	W
4	10	at ARI(1505) W 42-14: +24→1515	12		vs DAL	D
5	3	vs CLE(1476) W 34-13: +15→1530	13		vs TEN	C
6	12	at BAL(1517) L 23-30: -8→1522	14		(bye)	S
7	9	vs CAR(1431) W 40-7: +13→1535	15		at NO
8	6	vs CHI(1533) W 18-15: +2→1537	16		vs PHI

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 8 games (weeks 3-11) Detroit Lions: +96 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 7-10) Arizona Cardinals: +52 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Los Angeles Chargers: +39 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Miami Dolphins: +37 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Minnesota Vikings: +19 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 6-11) Tennessee Titans: -50 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 6-11) Dallas Cowboys: -67 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Chicago Bears: -51 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Washington Commanders: -15 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 9-11) Cleveland Browns: -30 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 84-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1540) 6-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1456): Browns win 29-24
2. Week 8, 76-Elo upset: Minnesota Vikings (1549) 6-point favorites at Los Angeles Rams (1473): Rams win 30-20
3. Week 10, 71-Elo upset: Chicago Bears (1507) 4-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1436): Patriots win 19-3
4. Week 8, 60-Elo upset: New York Jets (1487) 5-point favorites at New England Patriots (1427): Patriots win 25-22
5. Week 4, 56-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1548) Tossup favorites at Baltimore Ravens (1492): Ravens win 35-10
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 9, 25-point differential: Chicago Bears (1531) 5-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1482): Cardinals win 29-9
2. Week 4, 28-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1505) Tossup favorites vs Washington Commanders (1491): Commanders win 42-14
3. Week 4, 25-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1548) Tossup favorites at Baltimore Ravens (1492): Ravens win 35-10
4. Week 7, 20-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1512) Tossup favorites vs Seattle Seahawks (1484): Seahawks win 34-14
5. Week 3, 19-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) Tossup favorites vs Denver Broncos (1484): Broncos win 26-7
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +93: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1593) thru week 11
2. +68: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 11
3. +59: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 11
4. +56: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 11
5. +55: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 11
more...
1. +49: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 11
2. +48: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
3. +40: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 11
4. +36: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 11
5. +27: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 11
6. +25: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 10
7. +22: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 11
8. +19: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 11
9. +16: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 11
10. +11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 10
11. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 11
12. -8: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 11
13. -10: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1490) thru week 11
14. -12: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 11
15. -17: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 11
16. -17: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 11
17. -21: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 11
18. -22: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 11
19. -32: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 11
20. -42: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 10
21. -42: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 11
22. -50: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 11
23. -63: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 11
24. -64: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 11
25. -68: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 11
26. -73: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 10
27. -81: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 11
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -81: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 11
2. -73: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 10
3. -68: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 11
4. -64: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 11
5. -63: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 11
more...
1. -50: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 11
2. -42: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 11
3. -42: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 10
4. -32: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 11
5. -22: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 11
6. -21: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 11
7. -17: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 11
8. -17: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 11
9. -12: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 11
10. -10: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1490) thru week 11
11. -8: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 11
12. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 11
13. +11: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 10
14. +16: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 11
15. +19: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 11
16. +22: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 11
17. +25: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 10
18. +27: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 11
19. +36: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 11
20. +40: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 11
21. +48: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 11
22. +49: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 11
23. +55: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 11
24. +56: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 11
25. +59: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 11
26. +68: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 11
27. +93: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1593) thru week 11
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +84: Detroit Lions (1509) before week 4 → (1593) thru week 11
2. +68: Philadelphia Eagles (1489) before week 7 → (1556) thru week 11
3. +64: Baltimore Ravens (1486) before week 3 → (1550) thru week 10
4. +56: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 8
5. +55: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 5
more...
1. +55: Denver Broncos (1484) before week 3 → (1539) thru week 8
2. +55: Washington Commanders (1482) before week 2 → (1537) thru week 8
3. +53: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 7
4. +53: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 7
5. +52: Arizona Cardinals (1473) before week 7 → (1525) thru week 10
6. +46: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
7. +43: Los Angeles Chargers (1512) before week 5 → (1555) thru week 11
8. +42: Miami Dolphins (1442) before week 5 → (1483) thru week 11
9. +41: Green Bay Packers (1494) before week 2 → (1535) thru week 6
10. +37: Chicago Bears (1497) before week 4 → (1533) thru week 6
11. +36: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1498) before week 4 → (1535) thru week 6
12. +31: New York Jets (1485) before week 2 → (1516) thru week 3
13. +31: Cincinnati Bengals (1483) before week 4 → (1513) thru week 7
14. +30: New England Patriots (1427) before week 8 → (1457) thru week 10
15. +28: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 3
16. +28: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 6
17. +27: Houston Texans (1492) before week 5 → (1519) thru week 11
18. +25: Atlanta Falcons (1488) before week 2 → (1512) thru week 6
19. +22: Los Angeles Rams (1472) before week 6 → (1495) thru week 9
20. +20: Jacksonville Jaguars (1459) before week 7 → (1479) thru week 9
21. +18: New York Giants (1475) before week 3 → (1493) thru week 5
22. +16: Tennessee Titans (1462) before week 4 → (1478) thru week 6
23. +13: Dallas Cowboys (1491) before week 4 → (1503) thru week 5
24. +12: Carolina Panthers (1415) before week 9 → (1427) thru week 10
25. +11: Indianapolis Colts (1489) before week 3 → (1500) thru week 7
26. +7: Cleveland Browns (1461) before week 6 → (1468) thru week 8
27. +0: Las Vegas Raiders (1445) before week 7 → (1445) thru week 8
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -91: New Orleans Saints (1546) before week 3 → (1455) thru week 9
2. -85: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1415) thru week 8
3. -82: New England Patriots (1509) before week 2 → (1427) thru week 7
4. -67: Dallas Cowboys (1503) before week 6 → (1436) thru week 11
5. -61: Miami Dolphins (1502) before week 2 → (1442) thru week 4
more...
1. -58: Las Vegas Raiders (1491) before week 3 → (1434) thru week 9
2. -51: Chicago Bears (1533) before week 7 → (1483) thru week 11
3. -50: Tennessee Titans (1482) before week 5 → (1432) thru week 11
4. -48: New York Jets (1516) before week 4 → (1468) thru week 11
5. -44: Seattle Seahawks (1528) before week 4 → (1484) thru week 6
6. -44: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 7
7. -43: Arizona Cardinals (1516) before week 3 → (1473) thru week 6
8. -42: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 7
9. -41: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 6
10. -34: Atlanta Falcons (1512) before week 7 → (1479) thru week 11
11. -28: Buffalo Bills (1548) before week 4 → (1520) thru week 5
12. -28: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 5
13. -25: Minnesota Vikings (1555) before week 6 → (1530) thru week 8
14. -24: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1535) before week 7 → (1511) thru week 8
15. -23: Los Angeles Chargers (1536) before week 3 → (1512) thru week 4
16. -23: Denver Broncos (1539) before week 9 → (1516) thru week 10
17. -20: Houston Texans (1512) before week 3 → (1492) thru week 4
18. -18: Philadelphia Eagles (1507) before week 4 → (1489) thru week 6
19. -17: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 3
20. -17: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 8 → (1483) thru week 10
21. -16: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1484) thru week 2
22. -14: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 2
23. -13: Kansas City Chiefs (1553) before week 8 → (1540) thru week 11
24. -12: Green Bay Packers (1536) before week 8 → (1524) thru week 9
25. -11: Pittsburgh Steelers (1535) before week 4 → (1523) thru week 5
26. -11: San Francisco 49ers (1528) before week 7 → (1516) thru week 11
27. -3: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 2
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1513
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1512
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 1510
4. Detroit Lions: 1509
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1509
more...
1. Dallas Cowboys: 1509
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1505
3. New York Jets: 1504
4. Houston Texans: 1503
5. Tennessee Titans: 1503
6. Green Bay Packers: 1503
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
8. Denver Broncos: 1502
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1502
10. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1500
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
13. Washington Commanders: 1499
14. San Francisco 49ers: 1499
15. Cleveland Browns: 1498
16. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
17. Carolina Panthers: 1497
18. New York Giants: 1497
19. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
20. Buffalo Bills: 1496
21. New Orleans Saints: 1496
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
23. Los Angeles Rams: 1491
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1491
25. Miami Dolphins: 1491
26. Chicago Bears: 1489
27. New England Patriots: 1485
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1485
2. Chicago Bears: 1489
3. Miami Dolphins: 1491
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1491
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1491
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1495
2. New Orleans Saints: 1496
3. Buffalo Bills: 1496
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
5. New York Giants: 1497
6. Carolina Panthers: 1497
7. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
8. Cleveland Browns: 1498
9. San Francisco 49ers: 1499
10. Washington Commanders: 1499
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1500
13. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1502
15. Denver Broncos: 1502
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
17. Green Bay Packers: 1503
18. Tennessee Titans: 1503
19. Houston Texans: 1503
20. New York Jets: 1504
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1505
22. Dallas Cowboys: 1509
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1509
24. Detroit Lions: 1509
25. Kansas City Chiefs: 1510
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1512
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1513
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1521
2. Cleveland Browns: 1519
3. Detroit Lions: 1509
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1507
5. Dallas Cowboys: 1505
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1505
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
4. New York Jets: 1504
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1502
6. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
7. New York Giants: 1500
8. New England Patriots: 1498
9. Philadelphia Eagles: 1498
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
11. Buffalo Bills: 1497
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1496
13. New Orleans Saints: 1495
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1490
15. Houston Texans: 1489
16. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
17. Green Bay Packers: 1488
18. Denver Broncos: 1487
19. Los Angeles Chargers: 1486
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1485
21. Washington Commanders: 1482
22. Chicago Bears: 1479
23. Miami Dolphins: 1474
24. Carolina Panthers: 1472
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1471
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1469
27. Tennessee Titans: 1449
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Tennessee Titans: 1449
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1469
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1471
4. Carolina Panthers: 1472
5. Miami Dolphins: 1474
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1479
2. Washington Commanders: 1482
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1485
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1486
5. Denver Broncos: 1487
6. Green Bay Packers: 1488
7. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
8. Houston Texans: 1489
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1490
10. New Orleans Saints: 1495
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1496
12. Buffalo Bills: 1497
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
14. Philadelphia Eagles: 1498
15. New England Patriots: 1498
16. New York Giants: 1500
17. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
18. Arizona Cardinals: 1502
19. New York Jets: 1504
20. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1505
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
23. Dallas Cowboys: 1505
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1507
25. Detroit Lions: 1509
26. Cleveland Browns: 1519
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1521

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	23-25 (23/48, 47.92%)
4	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	29-35 (29/64, 45.31%)
5	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	36-42 (36/78, 46.15%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	44-48 (44/92, 47.83%)
7	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	53-54 (53/107, 49.53%)
8	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	64-59 (64/123, 52.03%)
9	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	74-64 (74/138, 53.62%)
10	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	82-70 (82/152, 53.95%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	93-73 (93/166, 56.02%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip! Thanks!