NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1591 (+12)	9-1	at IND (1485): Win by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): W 52-6: 1579+12→1591
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575 (+6)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): W 30-21: 1569+6→1575
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-4)	7-4	at LAC (1529): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): L 16-18: 1574-4→1570
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1560 (-7)	9-1	at CAR (1413): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 21-30: 1567-7→1560
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+4)	8-2	at LAR (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): W 26-18: 1537+4→1541
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1541 (+5)	8-2	at CLE (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1574): W 18-16: 1536+5→1541
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (-6)	5-5	at GB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): L 17-20: 1540-6→1534
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Slight underdog
8 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1531 (+15)	6-5	at LV (1440): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): W 38-6: 1516+15→1531
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (+1)	7-3	vs SF (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 20-19: 1529+1→1530
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Slight favorite
10	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (+7)	8-2	at CHI (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): W 23-13: 1523+7→1530
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1529 (+4)	7-3	vs BAL (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): W 34-27: 1525+4→1529
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Slight underdog
12 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1516 (+17)	7-4	vs TEN (1438): Win by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): W 34-10: 1499+17→1516
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1438): Win by 6 points
13	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514	4-6	at NYG (1452): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (-5)	4-7	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): L 27-34: 1515-5→1510
next: (bye)
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504	6-4	at SEA (1491): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Tossup
16 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1503 (-4)	7-4	vs DAL (1467): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): L 18-26: 1507-4→1503
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1467): Win by 5 points
17	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1498 (+4)	5-5	vs PHI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1447): W 28-22: 1494+4→1498
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (+6)	5-5	vs ARI (1504): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): W 20-17: 1485+6→1491
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Tossup
19 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1488 (+11)	4-6	vs NE (1444): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): W 34-19: 1477+11→1488
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1444): Win by 5 points
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1485 (+4)	5-6	vs DET (1591): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): W 28-27: 1481+4→1485
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1591): Lose by 5 points
21 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (+15)	4-7	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): W 35-14: 1467+15→1482
next: (bye)
22 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1477 (-1)	4-6	vs MIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): L 19-20: 1478-1→1477
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-15)	6-5	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): L 6-38: 1490-15→1475
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1467 (-17)	3-7	at WAS (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): L 10-34: 1484-17→1467
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1503): Lose by 5 points
25 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1466 (-12)	2-9	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): L 6-52: 1478-12→1466
next: (bye)
26	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (-4)	3-8	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1481): L 27-28: 1464-4→1460
next: (bye)
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1452	2-8	vs TB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1446 (-14)	2-8	vs PIT (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1467): L 14-35: 1460-14→1446
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1541): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1444 (-3)	3-8	at MIA (1488): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): L 22-28: 1447-3→1444
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): Lose by 5 points
30 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1440 (-12)	2-8	vs DEN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): L 19-34: 1452-12→1440
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1531): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1438 (-6)	2-8	at HOU (1516): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 13-23: 1444-6→1438
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1516): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413	3-7	vs KC (1560): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1560): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1579 (+1)	8-1	vs JAX (1478): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1499): W 26-23: 1578+1→1579
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): Win by 7 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574 (-2)	7-3	at PIT (1536): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): W 35-34: 1576-2→1574
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+6)	8-2	vs KC (1567): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): W 30-20: 1563+6→1569
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1567 (-1)	9-0	at BUF (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): W 16-14: 1568-1→1567
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight underdog
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (+2)	5-4	vs SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): W 23-20: 1538+2→1540
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1537 (+17)	7-2	vs WAS (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 34-6: 1520+17→1537
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1536 (+2)	7-2	vs BAL (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): W 28-27: 1534+2→1536
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1574): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529	6-3	at CHI (1478): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+3)	6-3	vs CIN (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): W 27-17: 1522+3→1525
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+2)	7-2	at TEN (1444): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): W 12-7: 1521+2→1523
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1516 (+1)	5-5	vs ATL (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 14-16: 1515+1→1516
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1515 (+2)	4-6	at LAC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): L 34-35: 1513+2→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (-3)	4-6	bye
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 20-23: 1517-3→1514
next: (bye)
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1507 (-3)	7-3	at PHI (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): L 27-28: 1510-3→1507
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (+15)	6-4	bye
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1479): W 31-6: 1489+15→1504
next: (bye)
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1499	6-4	at DAL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): L 23-26: 1499-0→1499
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494 (-11)	4-5	at NE (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 15-23: 1505-11→1494
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1447): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (-4)	6-4	at DEN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): L 17-20: 1494-4→1490
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485	4-5	at SF (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (-17)	3-6	vs HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): L 6-34: 1501-17→1484
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
21	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1481 (-6)	4-6	at NYJ (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 20-30: 1487-6→1481
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1478 (-2)	2-8	at DET (1579): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): L 7-12: 1480-2→1478
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): Lose by 7 points
23 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-19)	4-5	vs GB (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): L 3-19: 1497-19→1478
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477 (+11)	3-6	vs LV (1452): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): W 23-15: 1466+11→1477
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1467 (+4)	3-7	vs CLE (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): W 20-17: 1463+4→1467
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1464 (-15)	3-7	vs IND (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): L 6-31: 1479-15→1464
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1481): Slight favorite
27	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460	2-7	at NO (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1467): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452	2-7	at MIA (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (-5)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): L 17-20(OT): 1457-5→1452
next: (bye)
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1447 (+19)	3-7	vs LAR (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): W 19-3: 1428+19→1447
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (-4)	2-7	vs MIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): L 17-27: 1448-4→1444
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (+5)	3-7	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): W 20-17(OT): 1408+5→1413
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1578 (+8)	7-1	at HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1537): W 24-14: 1570+8→1578
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1576 (+13)	6-3	vs CIN (1513): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1529): W 41-10: 1563+13→1576
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): Win by 6 points
3 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-3)	8-0	vs DEN (1515): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 30-24(OT): 1571-3→1568
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): Win by 6 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (-5)	7-2	at IND (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): W 30-27: 1568-5→1563
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): Slight favorite
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538	4-4	at TB (1517): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534	6-2	at WAS (1510): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529 (-8)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1570): L 14-24: 1537-8→1529
next: (bye)
8 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1522 (+13)	5-3	vs TEN (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): W 27-10: 1509+13→1522
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+3)	6-2	at JAX (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 21-13: 1518+3→1521
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (-1)	6-2	at DAL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 28-23: 1521-1→1520
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1517 (+4)	4-5	vs SF (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): L 24-30(OT): 1513+4→1517
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Slight underdog
12 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1515 (-14)	5-4	at KC (1568): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): L 10-41: 1529-14→1515
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Lose by 6 points
13 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1513 (+10)	4-5	at BAL (1576): Lose by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): W 41-24: 1503+10→1513
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): Lose by 6 points
14 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1510 (+1)	7-2	vs PIT (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 27-22: 1509+1→1510
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1505 (+2)	4-4	vs MIA (1466): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): W 26-20(OT): 1503+2→1505
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 5 points
16	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (-5)	3-5	vs PHI (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 21-27: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (-9)	6-3	vs DET (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 13-21: 1508-9→1499
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (-17)	4-4	vs NE (1428): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): L 9-29: 1514-17→1497
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Win by 7 points
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (+4)	6-3	at NO (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): W 27-21: 1490+4→1494
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1489 (+17)	5-4	vs NYJ (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1514): W 29-9: 1472+17→1489
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1479): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1487 (-3)	4-5	vs BUF (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): L 13-21: 1490-3→1487
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (-2)	4-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): L 20-26(OT): 1487-2→1485
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1480 (+1)	2-7	vs MIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 23-28: 1479+1→1480
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1479 (+8)	3-6	at ARI (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): W 21-13: 1471+8→1479
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (+6)	2-6	at LAR (1505): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): L 27-30: 1460+6→1466
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): Lose by 5 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (-7)	2-7	vs ATL (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): L 22-23: 1470-7→1463
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Slight underdog
27 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460 (-13)	2-7	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 10-27: 1473-13→1460
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1457 (-1)	2-7	at CAR (1408): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): L 22-27: 1458-1→1457
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): Slight favorite
29 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452 (-9)	2-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): L 24-41: 1461-9→1452
next: (bye)
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	2-6	at LAC (1522): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): W 20-17(OT): 1448-0→1448
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): Lose by 7 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1428	2-7	at CHI (1497): Lose by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): L 17-20(OT): 1428+0→1428
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1408 (+7)	2-7	at NYG (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): W 23-22: 1401+7→1408
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (-1)	7-0	vs TB (1513): Win by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 27-20: 1572-1→1571
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Win by 7 points
2 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1570 (+9)	6-1	at GB (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): W 52-14: 1561+9→1570
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1537): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (+12)	6-2	vs MIA (1460): Win by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 31-10: 1556+12→1568
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): Win by 10 points
4 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1563 (-9)	5-3	vs DEN (1529): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): L 24-29: 1572-9→1563
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1529): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (+2)	4-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1508): W 30-24: 1536+2→1538
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1537	6-2	vs DET (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 30-27: 1537+0→1537
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1570): Slight underdog
7	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 26-18: 1534-0→1534
next: (bye)
8 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1529 (+2)	5-3	at BAL (1563): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1402): W 28-14: 1527+2→1529
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): Lose by 6 points
9 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+18)	5-2	vs JAX (1479): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): W 37-17: 1503+18→1521
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Win by 6 points
10 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518 (-11)	5-2	vs IND (1490): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): L 20-30: 1529-11→1518
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1514 (-3)	4-3	at ARI (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1505): L 15-18: 1517-3→1514
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-8)	4-4	at KC (1571): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): L 26-31: 1521-8→1513
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Lose by 7 points
13 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1509 (+4)	6-2	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): W 18-15: 1505+4→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (+13)	4-3	at CLE (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 26-8: 1496+13→1509
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1508 (+1)	6-2	at NYJ (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 23-20: 1507+1→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1506 (-2)	3-4	at ATL (1490): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): L 24-30: 1508-2→1506
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Tossup
17 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1503 (-19)	3-5	vs LV (1461): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): L 17-37: 1522-19→1503
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): Win by 6 points
18 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1503 (+11)	3-4	at SEA (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): W 30-20: 1492+11→1503
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490	4-4	at MIN (1518): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): L 20-23: 1490-0→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): Lose by 6 points
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (+8)	5-3	vs DAL (1506): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): W 31-26: 1482+8→1490
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): Tossup
21 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-13)	4-4	vs LAR (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 10-31: 1500-13→1487
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479	2-6	at PHI (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): L 27-30: 1479-0→1479
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Lose by 6 points
23 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1473 (+10)	2-6	vs LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): W 29-24: 1463+10→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (+5)	4-4	vs CHI (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): W 28-27: 1467+5→1472
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1514): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (-6)	2-6	vs HOU (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): L 22-25: 1477-6→1471
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1470 (-13)	2-6	at CAR (1401): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 8-26: 1483-13→1470
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Win by 5 points
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1461 (+1)	2-6	at CIN (1503): Lose by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 20-27: 1460+1→1461
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): Lose by 6 points
28 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1460 (-5)	2-5	at BUF (1568): Lose by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1467): L 27-28: 1465-5→1460
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): Lose by 10 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1458	2-6	vs WAS (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): L 18-26: 1458+0→1458
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448 (-10)	1-6	vs NE (1428): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): L 14-52: 1458-10→1448
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Slight favorite
31	New England PatriotsNE	1428 (+6)	2-6	at TEN (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): W 25-22: 1422+6→1428
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1401 (-1)	1-7	vs NO (1470): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): L 14-28: 1402-1→1401
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1572 (+8)	5-2	at CLE (1463): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): W 41-31: 1564+8→1572
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): Win by 7 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (+9)	6-0	at LV (1460): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): W 28-18: 1563+9→1572
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Win by 8 points
3	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (+4)	5-1	vs TEN (1458): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): W 31-29: 1557+4→1561
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): Win by 10 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (+10)	5-2	at SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1467): W 34-10: 1546+10→1556
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1537 (-1)	5-2	at JAX (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1506): W 24-22: 1538-1→1537
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (-9)	3-4	vs DAL (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): L 18-28: 1545-9→1536
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1508): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534 (+12)	5-2	vs NYG (1458): Win by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): W 37-15: 1522+12→1534
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Win by 8 points
8 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1529 (-3)	5-1	at LAR (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): L 29-31: 1532-3→1529
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (+17)	4-3	vs CAR (1402): Win by 12
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 33-10: 1510+17→1527
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1402): Win by 12 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1522 (+4)	3-4	vs PHI (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1467): W 21-14: 1518+4→1522
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1521 (-8)	4-3	vs ATL (1482): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): L 31-41: 1529-8→1521
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Win by 6 points
12 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517	4-2	at WAS (1505): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1505): Slight favorite
13	Dallas CowboysDAL	1508	3-3	at SF (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight underdog
14	Houston TexansHOU	1507 (+1)	5-2	vs IND (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): L 22-24: 1506+1→1507
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505 (+10)	5-2	vs CHI (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 40-7: 1495+10→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503 (+18)	4-2	at CIN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1475): W 28-3: 1485+18→1503
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): Slight underdog
17 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (+19)	4-3	vs BUF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 34-14: 1481+19→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-5)	3-3	vs NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): L 15-17: 1501-5→1496
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1492 (-2)	2-4	vs MIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): W 20-15: 1494-2→1492
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (+2)	4-3	at HOU (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): W 16-10: 1488+2→1490
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-17)	2-5	at LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): L 10-33: 1500-17→1483
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
22 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (-19)	4-3	at TB (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): L 14-34: 1501-19→1482
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): Lose by 6 points
23 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (+11)	2-5	vs GB (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1433): W 32-16: 1468+11→1479
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1477 (-12)	2-5	at NE (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): L 15-37: 1489-12→1477
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1467 (+5)	3-4	at MIA (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 17-15: 1462+5→1467
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Slight underdog
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (-3)	2-4	vs ARI (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1488): L 10-16: 1468-3→1465
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1467): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1463 (-4)	1-6	vs BAL (1572): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): L 14-21: 1467-4→1463
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (+2)	2-5	vs KC (1572): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): L 15-20: 1458+2→1460
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Lose by 8 points
29 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1458 (-9)	1-5	at DET (1561): Lose by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): L 10-34: 1467-9→1458
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): Lose by 10 points
30 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-17)	2-5	at PIT (1534): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): L 3-28: 1475-17→1458
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): Lose by 8 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1422 (-11)	1-6	vs NYJ (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): L 16-32: 1433-11→1422
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1402 (-11)	1-6	at DEN (1527): Lose by 12
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): L 7-40: 1413-11→1402
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1564 (-2)	4-2	at TB (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1494): W 30-23: 1566-2→1564
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563	5-0	at SF (1545): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (+18)	4-1	at MIN (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): W 47-9: 1539+18→1557
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1546 (-1)	4-2	vs TEN (1467): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): W 23-20: 1547-1→1546
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1467): Win by 8 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1545 (+9)	3-3	vs KC (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): W 36-24: 1536+9→1545
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538 (+10)	4-2	vs HOU (1506): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): W 34-13: 1528+10→1538
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1506): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1532	5-0	vs DET (1557): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1529 (+19)	4-2	vs BAL (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): W 51-27: 1510+19→1529
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): Slight underdog
9 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1522 (+14)	4-2	vs NYJ (1489): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 32-13: 1508+14→1522
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1518 (+9)	2-4	at CLE (1467): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 17-7: 1509+9→1518
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1467): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517 (+13)	4-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): W 35-16: 1504+13→1517
next: (bye)
12 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (-9)	3-3	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 16-23: 1519-9→1510
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
13 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1508 (-18)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): L 9-47: 1526-18→1508
next: (bye)
14 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1506 (+13)	5-1	at GB (1538): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1446): W 41-21: 1493+13→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Lose by 6 points
15 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (+9)	3-2	at ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1519): W 23-16: 1492+9→1501
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501 (+11)	4-2	vs SEA (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): W 38-20: 1490+11→1501
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Slight favorite
17 (-8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-19)	2-4	vs DEN (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 27-51: 1519-19→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1495 (+1)	4-2	vs CAR (1413): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): L 23-30: 1494+1→1495
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 9 points
19 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494	1-4	vs LV (1458): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Win by 6 points
20 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1489 (+1)	2-4	at PIT (1522): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): L 20-23: 1488+1→1489
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): Lose by 6 points
21 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1488 (+5)	3-3	vs MIA (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): W 20-17: 1483+5→1488
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): Slight favorite
22	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1485 (-1)	3-2	at NYG (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): W 20-16: 1486-1→1485
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1475): Slight underdog
23 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-9)	3-3	at ATL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): L 24-36: 1490-9→1481
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1475 (-9)	2-4	vs PHI (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): L 7-17: 1484-9→1475
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): Slight favorite
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1468 (-14)	1-5	at NE (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): L 16-35: 1482-14→1468
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1433): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468	2-3	at IND (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1488): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1467 (-5)	1-4	at BUF (1546): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): L 17-20: 1472-5→1467
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): Lose by 8 points
28 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1467 (+1)	1-5	vs CIN (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): L 16-20: 1466+1→1467
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-10)	2-4	vs LAC (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): L 13-34: 1472-10→1462
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight underdog
30 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (-14)	2-4	at LAR (1494): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): L 13-32: 1472-14→1458
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): Lose by 6 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1433 (-13)	1-5	at JAX (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1493): L 21-41: 1446-13→1433
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (-10)	1-5	at WAS (1495): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 20-38: 1423-10→1413
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1566 (-1)	3-2	vs WAS (1494): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): W 41-38(OT): 1567-1→1566
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1494): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563 (+9)	5-0	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): W 26-13: 1554+9→1563
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (-8)	3-2	at NYJ (1488): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): L 20-23: 1555-8→1547
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): Win by 5 points
4 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1539	3-1	at DAL (1526): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (-13)	2-3	at SEA (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): L 23-24: 1549-13→1536
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight favorite
6	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1532 (+1)	5-0	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): W 23-17: 1531+1→1532
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+2)	3-2	vs ARI (1472): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): W 24-19: 1526+2→1528
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (+3)	3-2	vs DET (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): W 20-17: 1523+3→1526
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519 (-9)	2-3	vs TB (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): L 13-26: 1528-9→1519
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1519 (+11)	3-2	vs LAC (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 34-18: 1508+11→1519
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (-3)	3-2	at NO (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): L 30-36(OT): 1513-3→1510
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1509 (+1)	1-4	at NYG (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): L 38-41(OT): 1508+1→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (-3)	3-2	at LV (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 17-20: 1511-3→1508
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1504 (+12)	3-2	at JAX (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): W 36-10: 1492+12→1504
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): Slight favorite
15	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494 (-2)	1-4	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): L 19-24: 1496-2→1494
next: (bye)
16 (+10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1494 (+16)	4-1	at BAL (1566): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): W 34-13: 1478+16→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Lose by 8 points
17 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1493 (+8)	4-1	at NE (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): W 23-20: 1485+8→1493
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1446): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	2-2	at DEN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1519): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-13)	3-2	vs SF (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): L 20-29: 1503-13→1490
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (+3)	3-2	at CAR (1423): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 36-30(OT): 1487+3→1490
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): Win by 6 points
21 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1488 (-2)	2-3	vs BUF (1547): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 17-23: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Lose by 5 points
22 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1486	2-2	vs CLE (1466): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): Win by 6 points
23 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (+12)	2-3	vs CIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 29-20: 1472+12→1484
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-3)	2-3	at TEN (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): L 34-37: 1486-3→1483
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Slight underdog
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1482 (+3)	1-4	at CHI (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): W 37-34: 1479+3→1482
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): Slight underdog
26 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (-11)	2-3	vs PIT (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1508): L 18-34: 1483-11→1472
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (+13)	2-3	at GB (1528): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): W 24-23: 1459+13→1472
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Lose by 7 points
28	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472	1-3	vs IND (1483): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): Slight favorite
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468 (+4)	2-3	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1450): W 15-10: 1464+4→1468
next: (bye)
30 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1466 (-15)	1-4	at PHI (1486): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): L 13-34: 1481-15→1466
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): Lose by 6 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1446 (-4)	1-4	vs HOU (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): L 10-15: 1450-4→1446
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1493): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1423 (-11)	1-4	vs ATL (1490): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): L 10-36: 1434-11→1423
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1567 (+19)	2-2	at CIN (1508): Win by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): W 35-10: 1548+19→1567
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): Win by 5 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-19)	3-1	at HOU (1485): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 10-35: 1574-19→1555
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Win by 6 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1554 (+2)	4-0	vs NO (1528): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 17-10: 1552+2→1554
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): Win by 5 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+6)	2-2	vs ARI (1459): Win by 10
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): W 30-13: 1543+6→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): Win by 10 points
5 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1539 (+10)	3-1	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): W 42-29: 1529+10→1539
next: (bye)
6 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+5)	4-0	at NYJ (1490): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): W 31-29: 1526+5→1531
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): Win by 5 points
7 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528 (-7)	2-2	at KC (1554): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): L 24-26: 1535-7→1528
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): Lose by 5 points
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (-5)	2-2	at LAR (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): L 29-31: 1531-5→1526
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523	2-2	at PIT (1511): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 20-15: 1523-0→1523
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Tossup
10 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (+14)	3-1	at ATL (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): W 33-16: 1499+14→1513
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1511 (-6)	3-1	vs DAL (1523): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): L 24-27: 1517-6→1511
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Tossup
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (+4)	2-2	vs LV (1483): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): W 10-9: 1504+4→1508
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Win by 5 points
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1508 (+6)	1-3	vs BAL (1567): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): W 34-24: 1502+6→1508
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): Lose by 5 points
14 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (-10)	3-1	vs NYG (1472): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 29-42: 1513-10→1503
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 5 points
15 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1496 (-5)	1-3	vs GB (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): L 18-24: 1501-5→1496
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1492 (+4)	2-2	vs CAR (1434): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 24-18: 1488+4→1492
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): Win by 7 points
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-3)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 10-17: 1495-3→1492
next: (bye)
18	New York JetsNYJ	1490 (-4)	2-2	at MIN (1531): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1504): L 9-10: 1494-4→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Lose by 5 points
19 (+8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+8)	2-2	vs TB (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): W 26-24: 1479+8→1487
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1486 (-14)	2-2	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): L 16-33: 1500-14→1486
next: (bye)
21 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (+6)	2-2	at JAX (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): W 27-24: 1480+6→1486
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight underdog
22	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (+2)	3-1	vs BUF (1555): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): W 24-20: 1483+2→1485
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Lose by 6 points
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+2)	2-2	at DEN (1508): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): W 20-16: 1481+2→1483
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Lose by 5 points
24 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (-2)	1-3	at WAS (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 16-20: 1483-2→1481
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): Slight underdog
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (-2)	0-4	vs IND (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): L 20-24: 1481-2→1479
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight favorite
26 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1478 (+23)	3-1	vs CLE (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): W 42-14: 1455+23→1478
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472	1-3	at SEA (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 15-20: 1472+0→1472
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Lose by 5 points
28 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (+22)	1-3	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): W 31-12: 1450+22→1472
next: (bye)
29 (-9)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (-21)	1-3	at NE (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): L 12-31: 1485-21→1464
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1450): Slight underdog
30 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1459 (-23)	1-3	at SF (1549): Lose by 10
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): L 14-42: 1482-23→1459
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Lose by 10 points
31 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1450 (-6)	1-3	vs MIA (1464): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): L 13-30: 1456-6→1450
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Slight favorite
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1434 (-6)	1-3	at CHI (1492): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): L 24-34: 1440-6→1434
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (+11)	3-0	at BAL (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): W 47-10: 1563+11→1574
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-3)	3-0	at LAC (1495): Win by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): W 22-17: 1555-3→1552
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Win by 5 points
3 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (+3)	1-2	vs BUF (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): W 28-25: 1545+3→1548
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (-8)	1-2	vs NE (1456): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 24-27: 1551-8→1543
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): Win by 9 points
5 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535 (-11)	2-1	at ATL (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): L 12-15: 1546-11→1535
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Win by 5 points
6 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (+10)	2-1	vs MIN (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): W 30-14: 1521+10→1531
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Slight favorite
7	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+4)	2-1	vs SEA (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 20-13: 1525+4→1529
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (+17)	3-0	at GB (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 34-7: 1509+17→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (-3)	1-2	at NYG (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): L 25-28: 1526-3→1523
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1517 (+8)	3-0	at IND (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 20-10: 1509+8→1517
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight favorite
11 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1513 (+17)	3-0	at DET (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): W 24-3: 1496+17→1513
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight underdog
12 (+12)	Denver BroncosDEN	1504 (+23)	1-2	at NYJ (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): W 26-7: 1481+23→1504
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-12)	0-3	at CAR (1440): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1443): L 33-38: 1514-12→1502
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): Win by 6 points
14 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (+8)	1-2	at CHI (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): W 27-24: 1493+8→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Slight underdog
15 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500 (+12)	2-1	at TB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): W 15-12: 1488+12→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): Slight underdog
16 (-8)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1499 (-23)	2-1	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): L 7-26: 1522-23→1499
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-8)	2-1	vs KC (1552): Lose by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): L 10-20: 1503-8→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 5 points
18 (+7)	New York JetsNYJ	1494 (+15)	2-1	vs DEN (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1471): W 24-3: 1479+15→1494
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1504): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (-3)	1-2	vs LAR (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): L 16-21: 1491-3→1488
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Slight favorite
20 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1485 (-17)	1-2	vs TEN (1450): Win by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 3-24: 1502-17→1485
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): Win by 6 points
21 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1483 (-10)	1-2	at LV (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): L 15-21: 1493-10→1483
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight underdog
22 (-6)	Houston TexansHOU	1483 (-17)	2-1	vs JAX (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 7-34: 1500-17→1483
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): Slight favorite
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-4)	1-2	vs WAS (1455): Win by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1525): L 13-20: 1486-4→1482
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Win by 6 points
24 (-11)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-24)	1-2	vs CLE (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1416): L 22-36: 1505-24→1481
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): Slight favorite
25 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1481 (-10)	0-3	at HOU (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 10-47: 1491-10→1481
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): Slight underdog
26	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (+3)	1-2	vs PIT (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): W 21-16: 1477+3→1480
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): Slight underdog
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+3)	1-2	vs NO (1535): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 17-22: 1476+3→1479
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): Lose by 5 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (+10)	1-2	vs DAL (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 21-15: 1462+10→1472
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1456 (-15)	1-2	at SF (1543): Lose by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): L 3-24: 1471-15→1456
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455 (+12)	2-1	at ARI (1482): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): W 38-33: 1443+12→1455
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Lose by 6 points
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1450 (-11)	0-3	at MIA (1485): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): L 14-30: 1461-11→1450
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1440 (+24)	1-2	vs CIN (1502): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): W 36-22: 1416+24→1440
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (+16)	2-0	vs JAX (1491): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): W 31-10: 1547+16→1563
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (-3)	2-0	at ATL (1476): Win by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): W 26-25: 1558-3→1555
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1551 (-10)	1-1	at LAR (1493): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): L 17-23: 1561-10→1551
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Win by 6 points
4 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1546 (+23)	2-0	vs PHI (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): W 44-19: 1523+23→1546
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): Win by 8 points
5 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1545 (-13)	0-2	at DAL (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): L 23-26: 1558-13→1545
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (-23)	1-1	vs BAL (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): L 19-44: 1549-23→1526
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1525 (-7)	1-1	at ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): L 16-20: 1532-7→1525
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522 (+7)	2-0	vs DEN (1481): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1532): W 20-16: 1515+7→1522
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): Win by 6 points
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (-2)	1-1	at TEN (1461): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): W 16-10: 1523-2→1521
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (+3)	0-2	vs WAS (1443): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): L 25-26: 1511+3→1514
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1443): Win by 9 points
11 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (+10)	2-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): W 23-17: 1499+10→1509
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1509 (+7)	2-0	vs LAC (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): W 13-6: 1502+7→1509
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1505 (+13)	1-1	vs CAR (1416): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1558): W 26-23: 1492+13→1505
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1416): Win by 10 points
14 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+13)	2-0	at PIT (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): W 26-3: 1490+13→1503
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): Slight underdog
15 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (-16)	1-1	at SEA (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): L 10-31: 1518-16→1502
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1500 (+4)	2-0	at MIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): W 19-13: 1496+4→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (+2)	2-0	vs MIA (1502): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): W 23-20(OT): 1494+2→1496
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): Slight favorite
18 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+6)	1-1	vs NYG (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 18-13: 1487+6→1493
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): Win by 6 points
19 (-9)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1493 (-24)	0-2	vs SF (1551): Lose by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): L 10-41: 1517-24→1493
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): Lose by 6 points
20 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1491 (-7)	0-2	at BUF (1563): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): L 13-18: 1498-7→1491
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Lose by 9 points
21 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (-3)	1-1	at IND (1477): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): L 13-19: 1494-3→1491
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): Tossup
22 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1488 (-9)	1-1	at NO (1546): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): L 21-22: 1497-9→1488
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): Lose by 8 points
23 (+7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486 (+24)	1-1	vs DET (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): W 41-10: 1462+24→1486
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1525): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1481 (-7)	0-2	at TB (1522): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 6-13: 1488-7→1481
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Lose by 6 points
25 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1479 (+8)	1-1	vs NE (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): W 24-17: 1471+8→1479
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1471): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1477 (+2)	0-2	vs CHI (1491): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): L 10-16: 1475+2→1477
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Tossup
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (+9)	1-1	vs KC (1555): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): W 22-21: 1467+9→1476
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Lose by 7 points
28 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1471 (-2)	1-1	at NYJ (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): L 20-23(OT): 1473-2→1471
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1462 (-5)	0-2	at CLE (1493): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): L 18-21: 1467-5→1462
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Lose by 6 points
30 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1461 (-8)	0-2	vs GB (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 17-24: 1469-8→1461
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1443 (+5)	1-1	at CIN (1514): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): W 21-18: 1438+5→1443
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1416 (-13)	0-2	at LV (1505): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 3-26: 1429-13→1416
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1561 (+2)	1-0	at MIN (1499): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 32-19: 1559+2→1561
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (+3)	1-0	vs CIN (1511): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): W 27-20: 1555+3→1558
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1558 (-3)	0-1	vs LV (1492): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 20-27: 1561-3→1558
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1549 (+5)	1-0	vs NO (1523): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 33-17: 1544+5→1549
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (-3)	1-0	at MIA (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): W 34-28: 1550-3→1547
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): Slight favorite
6	Detroit LionsDET	1532 (-1)	1-0	vs TB (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): W 26-20(OT): 1533-1→1532
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+5)	1-0	at DAL (1549): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): W 47-10: 1518+5→1523
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): Lose by 6 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1523 (-4)	0-1	vs IND (1475): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): L 29-34: 1527-4→1523
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	1-0	vs BUF (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 20-17: 1518-0→1518
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	0-1	at ARI (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): L 20-26(OT): 1517+0→1517
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (+4)	1-0	at DET (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1441): W 37-20: 1511+4→1515
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1532): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (-6)	0-1	at KC (1558): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1466): L 10-16: 1517-6→1511
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Lose by 7 points
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (+3)	1-0	at DEN (1488): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): W 18-10: 1499+3→1502
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): Tossup
14 (+7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+9)	1-0	vs SF (1561): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): W 28-6: 1490+9→1499
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): Lose by 6 points
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498	0-1	vs CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): L 17-20: 1498+0→1498
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497 (+3)	1-0	vs ATL (1467): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1527): W 34-29: 1494+3→1497
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): Win by 6 points
17 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (+1)	1-0	vs CHI (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): W 29-27: 1495+1→1496
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight favorite
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+1)	1-0	at HOU (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): W 24-17: 1493+1→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (+2)	1-0	at NE (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): W 26-20: 1492+2→1494
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (-6)	0-1	at BAL (1558): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): L 10-22: 1498-6→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1558): Lose by 9 points
21 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (+7)	1-0	at CAR (1429): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): W 22-10: 1483+7→1490
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): Win by 6 points
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1488 (-2)	0-1	vs PIT (1502): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): L 20-26: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Tossup
23 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-6)	0-1	at JAX (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): L 17-33: 1493-6→1487
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1475 (-1)	0-1	at GB (1523): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): L 27-29: 1476-1→1475
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): Lose by 7 points
25 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1473 (+7)	1-0	vs SEA (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 16-10: 1466+7→1473
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Slight underdog
26	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (-1)	0-1	at TEN (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): L 19-32: 1472-1→1471
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Slight underdog
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-1)	0-1	vs NYJ (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): L 17-24: 1470-1→1469
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): Slight favorite
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1467 (-3)	0-1	at PHI (1497): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 10-18: 1470-3→1467
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): Lose by 6 points
29 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (-9)	0-1	at WAS (1438): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): L 6-28: 1476-9→1467
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): Slight favorite
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (+4)	0-1	vs LAR (1517): Lose by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): L 28-34: 1458+4→1462
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1438 (-3)	0-1	vs NYG (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 20-37: 1441-3→1438
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429 (-5)	0-1	vs LAC (1490): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): L 10-47: 1434-5→1429
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1561	0-0	at KC (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1592-31→1561
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Slight underdog
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1559	0-0	vs NYJ (1472): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-31→1559
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555	0-0	vs BAL (1561): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1584-29→1555
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1550	0-0	vs ARI (1458): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1576-26→1550
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): Win by 11 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544	0-0	at CLE (1493): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1566-22→1544
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Win by 5 points
6	Detroit LionsDET	1533	0-0	vs LAR (1517): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-16→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Slight favorite
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1527	0-0	at PHI (1494): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-13→1527
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): Win by 5 points
8	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	0-0	vs JAX (1498): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-10→1518
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Win by 5 points
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	0-0	vs CAR (1434): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-9→1518
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): Win by 10 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517	0-0	vs NE (1466): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-10→1517
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1466): Win by 8 points
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	0-0	at DET (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1525-8→1517
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): Slight underdog
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511	0-0	vs WAS (1441): Win by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1517-6→1511
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1441): Win by 9 points
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	0-0	at ATL (1470): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1499+0→1499
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): Slight favorite
14	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1498	0-0	at LAC (1483): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1498+0→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498	0-0	at MIA (1518): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1496+2→1498
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): Lose by 5 points
16	Houston TexansHOU	1495	0-0	at IND (1476): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+3→1495
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): Slight favorite
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1494	0-0	at GB (1527): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+4→1494
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1527): Lose by 5 points
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1493	0-0	vs TEN (1470): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+3→1493
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Win by 5 points
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493	0-0	vs DAL (1544): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+4→1493
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Lose by 5 points
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	0-0	vs DEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1488+4→1492
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1490	0-0	at NYG (1476): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1485+5→1490
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): Tossup
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1490	0-0	at SEA (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1484+6→1490
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight underdog
23	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1483	0-0	vs LV (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1474+9→1483
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476	0-0	vs HOU (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1476	0-0	vs MIN (1490): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): Tossup
26	New York JetsNYJ	1472	0-0	at SF (1559): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1458+14→1472
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): Lose by 11 points
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1470	0-0	at CHI (1493): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Lose by 5 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1470	0-0	vs PIT (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight underdog
29	New England PatriotsNE	1466	0-0	at CIN (1517): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1449+17→1466
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Lose by 8 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1458	0-0	at BUF (1550): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1437+21→1458
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): Lose by 11 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1441	0-0	at TB (1511): Lose by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1410+31→1441
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1434	0-0	at NO (1518): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1400+34→1434
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: 1486
1	30	at BUF(1550) L 28-34: +4→1462	9	20	vs CHI(1514) W 29-9: +17→1489	17	at LAR
2	23	vs LAR(1517) W 41-10: +24→1486	10	15	vs NYJ(1479) W 31-6: +15→1504	18	vs SF
3	23	vs DET(1525) L 13-20: -4→1482	11	15	(bye)	W
4	30	vs WAS(1455) L 14-42: -23→1459	12		at SEA	D
5	27	at SF(1549) W 24-23: +13→1472	13		at MIN	C
6	29	at GB(1528) L 13-34: -10→1462	14		vs SEA	S
7	25	vs LAC(1501) W 17-15: +5→1467	15		vs NE
8	24	at MIA(1465) W 28-27: +5→1472	16		at CAR

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1478
1	28	vs PIT(1499) L 10-18: -3→1467	9	19	vs DAL(1506) W 27-21: +4→1494	17	at WAS
2	27	at PHI(1497) W 22-21: +9→1476	10	18	at NO(1463) L 17-20: -4→1490	18	vs CAR
3	27	vs KC(1555) L 17-22: +3→1479	11	23	at DEN(1516) L 6-38: -15→1475	W
4	19	vs NO(1535) W 26-24: +8→1487	12		(bye)	D
5	20	vs TB(1513) W 36-30: +3→1490	13		vs LAC	C
6	16	at CAR(1423) W 38-20: +11→1501	14		at MIN	S
7	22	vs SEA(1481) L 14-34: -19→1482	15		at LV
8	20	at TB(1521) W 31-26: +8→1490	16		vs NYG

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1520 (-43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: 1504
1	3	at KC(1555) L 20-27: -3→1558	9	2	vs DEN(1529) W 41-10: +13→1576	17	at HOU
2	5	vs LV(1492) L 23-26: -13→1545	10	2	vs CIN(1513) W 35-34: -2→1574	18	vs CLE
3	3	at DAL(1526) W 28-25: +3→1548	11	3	at PIT(1536) L 16-18: -4→1570	W
4	1	vs BUF(1574) W 35-10: +19→1567	12		at LAC	D
5	1	at CIN(1508) W 41-38: -1→1566	13		vs PHI	C
6	1	vs WAS(1494) W 30-23: -2→1564	14		(bye)	S
7	1	at TB(1529) W 41-31: +8→1572	15		at NYG
8	4	at CLE(1463) L 24-29: -9→1563	16		vs PIT

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-61 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	5	vs ARI(1458) W 34-28: -3→1547	9	4	vs MIA(1460) W 30-27: -5→1563	17	vs NYJ
2	1	at MIA(1518) W 31-10: +16→1563	10	3	at IND(1487) W 30-20: +6→1569	18	at NE
3	1	vs JAX(1491) W 47-10: +11→1574	11	2	vs KC(1567) W 30-21: +6→1575	W
4	2	at BAL(1548) L 10-35: -19→1555	12		(bye)	D
5	3	at HOU(1485) L 20-23: -8→1547	13		vs SF	C
6	4	at NYJ(1488) W 23-20: -1→1546	14		at LAR	S
7	4	vs TEN(1467) W 34-10: +10→1556	15		at DET
8	3	at SEA(1500) W 31-10: +12→1568	16		vs NE

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+75 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	32	at NO(1518) L 10-47: -5→1429	9	32	vs NO(1470) W 23-22: +7→1408	17	at TB
2	32	vs LAC(1490) L 3-26: -13→1416	10	32	at NYG(1457) W 20-17: +5→1413	18	at ATL
3	32	at LV(1505) W 36-22: +24→1440	11	32	(bye)	W
4	32	vs CIN(1502) L 24-34: -6→1434	12		vs KC	D
5	32	at CHI(1492) L 10-36: -11→1423	13		vs TB	C
6	32	vs ATL(1490) L 20-38: -10→1413	14		at PHI	S
7	32	at WAS(1495) L 7-40: -11→1402	15		vs DAL
8	32	at DEN(1527) L 14-28: -1→1401	16		vs ARI

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: 1542
1	18	vs TEN(1470) W 24-17: +1→1494	9	18	at ARI(1472) L 9-29: -17→1497	17	vs SEA
2	21	at HOU(1496) L 13-19: -3→1491	10	23	vs NE(1428) L 3-19: -19→1478	18	at GB
3	19	at IND(1477) L 16-21: -3→1488	11	22	vs GB(1529) L 19-20: -1→1477	W
4	16	vs LAR(1501) W 24-18: +4→1492	12		vs MIN	D
5	14	vs CAR(1434) W 36-10: +12→1504	13		at DET	C
6	11	at JAX(1482) W 35-16: +13→1517	14		at SF	S
7	12	(bye)	15		at MIN
8	11	at WAS(1505) L 15-18: -3→1514	16		vs DET

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: 1494
1	12	vs NE(1466) L 10-16: -6→1511	9	13	vs LV(1461) W 41-24: +10→1513	17	vs DEN
2	10	at KC(1558) L 25-26: +3→1514	10	12	at BAL(1576) L 34-35: +2→1515	18	at PIT
3	13	vs WAS(1443) L 33-38: -12→1502	11	14	at LAC(1525) L 27-34: -5→1510	W
4	13	at CAR(1440) W 34-24: +6→1508	12		(bye)	D
5	12	vs BAL(1567) L 38-41: +1→1509	13		vs PIT	C
6	10	at NYG(1484) W 17-7: +9→1518	14		at DAL	S
7	10	at CLE(1467) W 21-14: +4→1522	15		at TEN
8	17	vs PHI(1503) L 17-37: -19→1503	16		vs CLE

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1535 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: 1534
1	23	vs DAL(1544) L 17-33: -6→1487	9	27	vs LAC(1509) L 10-27: -13→1460	17	vs MIA
2	18	at JAX(1498) W 18-13: +6→1493	10	27	(bye)	18	at BAL
3	21	vs NYG(1462) L 15-21: -10→1483	11	28	at NO(1467) L 14-35: -14→1446	W
4	24	at LV(1481) L 16-20: -2→1481	12		vs PIT	D
5	30	at WAS(1478) L 13-34: -15→1466	13		at DEN	C
6	28	at PHI(1486) L 16-20: +1→1467	14		at PIT	S
7	27	vs CIN(1518) L 14-21: -4→1463	15		vs KC
8	23	vs BAL(1572) W 29-24: +10→1473	16		at CIN

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: 1491
1	4	at CLE(1493) W 33-17: +5→1549	9	16	at ATL(1490) L 21-27: -5→1501	17	at PHI
2	6	vs NO(1523) L 19-44: -23→1526	10	20	vs PHI(1520) L 6-34: -17→1484	18	vs WAS
3	9	vs BAL(1545) L 25-28: -3→1523	11	24	vs HOU(1499) L 10-34: -17→1467	W
4	9	at NYG(1472) W 20-15: -0→1523	12		at WAS	D
5	8	at PIT(1511) W 20-17: +3→1526	13		vs NYG	C
6	13	vs DET(1539) L 9-47: -18→1508	14		vs CIN	S
7	13	(bye)	15		at CAR
8	16	at SF(1536) L 24-30: -2→1506	16		vs TB

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	22	at SEA(1492) L 20-26: -2→1488	9	12	at BAL(1563) L 10-41: -14→1515	17	at CIN
2	24	vs PIT(1502) L 6-13: -7→1481	10	11	at KC(1568) L 14-16: +1→1516	18	vs KC
3	12	at TB(1522) W 26-7: +23→1504	11	8	vs ATL(1490) W 38-6: +15→1531	W
4	12	at NYJ(1494) W 10-9: +4→1508	12		at LV	D
5	10	vs LV(1483) W 34-18: +11→1519	13		vs CLE	C
6	12	vs LAC(1492) L 16-23: -9→1510	14		(bye)	S
7	9	at NO(1500) W 33-10: +17→1527	15		vs IND
8	8	vs CAR(1402) W 28-14: +2→1529	16		at LAC

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: 1515
1	6	vs LAR(1517) W 26-20: -1→1532	9	1	at GB(1537) W 24-14: +8→1578	17	at SF
2	7	vs TB(1515) L 16-20: -7→1525	10	1	at HOU(1499) W 26-23: +1→1579	18	vs MIN
3	7	at ARI(1486) W 20-13: +4→1529	11	1	vs JAX(1478) W 52-6: +12→1591	W
4	5	vs SEA(1513) W 42-29: +10→1539	12		at IND	D
5	4	(bye)	13		vs CHI	C
6	3	at DAL(1526) W 47-9: +18→1557	14		vs GB	S
7	3	at MIN(1532) W 31-29: +4→1561	15		vs BUF
8	2	vs TEN(1458) W 52-14: +9→1570	16		at CHI

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: 1513
1	8	at PHI(1494) L 29-34: -4→1523	9	7	vs DET(1570) L 14-24: -8→1529	17	at MIN
2	9	vs IND(1475) W 16-10: -2→1521	10	8	(bye)	18	vs CHI
3	6	at TEN(1461) W 30-14: +10→1531	11	9	at CHI(1478) W 20-19: +1→1530	W
4	8	vs MIN(1526) L 29-31: -5→1526	12		vs SF	D
5	7	at LAR(1496) W 24-19: +2→1528	13		vs MIA	C
6	6	vs ARI(1472) W 34-13: +10→1538	14		at DET	S
7	5	vs HOU(1506) W 24-22: -1→1537	15		at SEA
8	6	at JAX(1479) W 30-27: +0→1537	16		vs NO

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: 1493
1	17	at IND(1476) W 29-27: +1→1496	9	17	at NYJ(1471) L 13-21: -9→1499	17	vs BAL
2	16	vs CHI(1494) W 19-13: +4→1500	10	16	vs DET(1578) L 23-26: -0→1499	18	at TEN
3	22	at MIN(1509) L 7-34: -17→1483	11	12	at DAL(1484) W 34-10: +17→1516	W
4	22	vs JAX(1481) W 24-20: +2→1485	12		vs TEN	D
5	17	vs BUF(1555) W 23-20: +8→1493	13		at JAX	C
6	14	at NE(1446) W 41-21: +13→1506	14			S
7	14	at GB(1538) L 22-24: +1→1507	15		vs MIA
8	15	vs IND(1490) W 23-20: +1→1508	16		at KC

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: 1487
1	24	vs HOU(1495) L 27-29: -1→1475	9	21	at MIN(1518) L 13-21: -3→1487	17	at NYG
2	26	at GB(1523) L 10-16: +2→1477	10	21	vs BUF(1563) L 20-30: -6→1481	18	vs JAX
3	26	vs CHI(1491) W 21-16: +3→1480	11	20	at NYJ(1464) W 28-27: +4→1485	W
4	21	vs PIT(1517) W 27-24: +6→1486	12		vs DET	D
5	24	at JAX(1479) L 34-37: -3→1483	13		at NE	C
6	21	at TEN(1472) W 20-17: +5→1488	14		(bye)	S
7	20	vs MIA(1468) W 16-10: +2→1490	15		at DEN
8	19	at HOU(1507) L 20-23: -0→1490	16		vs TEN

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: 1463
1	15	at MIA(1518) L 17-20: +0→1498	9	23	at PHI(1521) L 23-28: +1→1480	17	vs TEN
2	20	vs CLE(1487) L 13-18: -7→1491	10	22	vs MIN(1521) L 7-12: -2→1478	18	at IND
3	25	at BUF(1563) L 10-47: -10→1481	11	25	at DET(1579) L 6-52: -12→1466	W
4	25	at HOU(1483) L 20-24: -2→1479	12		(bye)	D
5	25	vs IND(1486) W 37-34: +3→1482	13		vs HOU	C
6	25	at CHI(1504) L 16-35: -14→1468	14		at TEN	S
7	23	at NE(1433) W 32-16: +11→1479	15		vs NYJ
8	22	vs GB(1537) L 27-30: -0→1479	16		at LV

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1517 (-44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1569 \| avg. remaining rating: 1488
1	2	vs BAL(1561) W 27-20: +3→1558	9	3	vs TB(1513) W 30-24: -3→1568	17	at PIT
2	2	vs CIN(1511) W 26-25: -3→1555	10	4	vs DEN(1515) W 16-14: -1→1567	18	at DEN
3	2	at ATL(1476) W 22-17: -3→1552	11	4	at BUF(1569) L 21-30: -7→1560	W
4	3	at LAC(1495) W 17-10: +2→1554	12		at CAR	D
5	2	vs NO(1528) W 26-13: +9→1563	13		vs LV	C
6	2	(bye)	14		vs LAC	S
7	2	at SF(1545) W 28-18: +9→1572	15		at CLE
8	1	at LV(1460) W 27-20: -1→1571	16		vs HOU

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1521 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1508
1	20	at LAC(1483) L 10-22: -6→1492	9	29	at CIN(1503) L 24-41: -9→1452	17	at NO
2	13	at BAL(1558) W 26-23: +13→1505	10	28	(bye)	18	vs LAC
3	24	vs CAR(1416) L 22-36: -24→1481	11	30	at MIA(1477) L 19-34: -12→1440	W
4	23	vs CLE(1483) W 20-16: +2→1483	12		vs DEN	D
5	26	at DEN(1508) L 18-34: -11→1472	13		at KC	C
6	30	vs PIT(1508) L 13-32: -14→1458	14		at TB	S
7	28	at LAR(1494) L 15-20: +2→1460	15		vs ATL
8	27	vs KC(1572) L 20-27: +1→1461	16		vs JAX

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	21	vs LV(1498) W 22-10: +7→1490	9	8	at CLE(1473) W 27-10: +13→1522	17	at NE
2	14	at CAR(1429) W 26-3: +13→1503	10	9	vs TEN(1448) W 27-17: +3→1525	18	at LV
3	17	at PIT(1509) L 10-20: -8→1495	11	11	vs CIN(1515) W 34-27: +4→1529	W
4	17	vs KC(1552) L 10-17: -3→1492	12		vs BAL	D
5	18	(bye)	13		at ATL	C
6	15	at DEN(1519) W 23-16: +9→1501	14		at KC	S
7	18	at ARI(1462) L 15-17: -5→1496	15		vs TB
8	14	vs NO(1483) W 26-8: +13→1509	16		vs DEN

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1512
1	10	at DET(1533) L 20-26: +0→1517	9	15	at SEA(1487) W 26-20: +2→1505	17	vs ARI
2	19	at ARI(1462) L 10-41: -24→1493	10	17	vs MIA(1466) L 15-23: -11→1494	18	vs SEA
3	14	vs SF(1551) W 27-24: +8→1501	11	17	at NE(1447) W 28-22: +4→1498	W
4	15	at CHI(1488) L 18-24: -5→1496	12		vs PHI	D
5	15	vs GB(1526) L 19-24: -2→1494	13		at NO	C
6	19	(bye)	14		vs BUF	S
7	19	vs LV(1458) W 20-15: -2→1492	15		at SF
8	18	vs MIN(1529) W 30-20: +11→1503	16		at NYJ

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1484
1	9	vs JAX(1498) W 20-17: -0→1518	9	25	at BUF(1568) L 27-30: +6→1466	17	at CLE
2	15	vs BUF(1547) L 10-31: -16→1502	10	24	at LAR(1505) W 23-15: +11→1477	18	at NYJ
3	20	at SEA(1496) L 3-24: -17→1485	11	19	vs LV(1452) W 34-19: +11→1488	W
4	29	vs TEN(1450) L 12-31: -21→1464	12		vs NE	D
5	29	at NE(1450) W 15-10: +4→1468	13		at GB	C
6	26	(bye)	14		vs NYJ	S
7	26	at IND(1488) L 10-16: -3→1465	15		at HOU
8	28	vs ARI(1467) L 27-28: -5→1460	16		vs SF

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: 1506
1	14	at NYG(1476) W 28-6: +9→1499	9	9	vs IND(1490) W 21-13: +3→1521	17	vs GB
2	11	vs SF(1561) W 23-17: +10→1509	10	10	at JAX(1480) W 12-7: +2→1523	18	at DET
3	8	vs HOU(1500) W 34-7: +17→1526	11	10	at TEN(1444) W 23-13: +7→1530	W
4	6	at GB(1531) W 31-29: +5→1531	12		at CHI	D
5	6	at NYJ(1490) W 23-17: +1→1532	13		vs ARI	C
6	7	(bye)	14		vs ATL	S
7	8	vs DET(1557) L 29-31: -3→1529	15		vs CHI
8	10	at LAR(1492) L 20-30: -11→1518	16		at SEA

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: 1526
1	25	at CIN(1517) W 16-10: +7→1473	9	31	at TEN(1448) L 17-20: +0→1428	17	vs LAC
2	28	vs SEA(1494) L 20-23: -2→1471	10	30	at CHI(1497) W 19-3: +19→1447	18	vs BUF
3	29	at NYJ(1479) L 3-24: -15→1456	11	29	vs LAR(1494) L 22-28: -3→1444	W
4	31	at SF(1543) L 13-30: -6→1450	12		at MIA	D
5	31	vs MIA(1464) L 10-15: -4→1446	13		vs IND	C
6	31	vs HOU(1493) L 21-41: -13→1433	14		(bye)	S
7	31	at JAX(1468) L 16-32: -11→1422	15		at ARI
8	31	vs NYJ(1477) W 25-22: +6→1428	16		at BUF

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: 1490
1	7	vs CAR(1434) W 47-10: +5→1523	9	26	at CAR(1401) L 22-23: -7→1463	17	vs LV
2	4	at DAL(1549) W 44-19: +23→1546	10	25	vs ATL(1494) W 20-17: +4→1467	18	at TB
3	5	vs PHI(1488) L 12-15: -11→1535	11	21	vs CLE(1460) W 35-14: +15→1482	W
4	7	at ATL(1479) L 24-26: -7→1528	12		(bye)	D
5	9	at KC(1554) L 13-26: -9→1519	13		vs LAR	C
6	17	vs TB(1510) L 27-51: -19→1500	14		at NYG	S
7	21	vs DEN(1510) L 10-33: -17→1483	15		vs WAS
8	26	at LAC(1496) L 8-26: -13→1470	16		at GB

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	29	vs MIN(1490) L 6-28: -9→1467	9	28	vs WAS(1509) L 22-27: -1→1457	17	vs IND
2	29	at WAS(1438) L 18-21: -5→1462	10	29	at CAR(1408) L 17-20: -5→1452	18	at PHI
3	28	at CLE(1493) W 21-15: +10→1472	11	27	(bye)	W
4	27	vs DAL(1523) L 15-20: +0→1472	12		vs TB	D
5	23	at SEA(1503) W 29-20: +12→1484	13		at DAL	C
6	24	vs CIN(1509) L 7-17: -9→1475	14		vs NO	S
7	30	vs PHI(1485) L 3-28: -17→1458	15		vs BAL
8	29	at PIT(1534) L 18-26: +0→1458	16		at ATL

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: 1501
1	26	at SF(1559) L 19-32: -1→1471	9	24	vs HOU(1508) W 21-13: +8→1479	17	at BUF
2	25	at TEN(1469) W 24-17: +8→1479	10	26	at ARI(1489) L 6-31: -15→1464	18	vs MIA
3	18	vs NE(1471) W 24-3: +15→1494	11	26	vs IND(1481) L 27-28: -4→1460	W
4	18	vs DEN(1504) L 9-10: -4→1490	12		(bye)	D
5	21	at MIN(1531) L 17-23: -2→1488	13		vs SEA	C
6	20	vs BUF(1547) L 20-23: +1→1489	14		at MIA	S
7	24	at PIT(1522) L 15-37: -12→1477	15		at JAX
8	25	at NE(1422) L 22-25: -6→1471	16		vs LAR

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: 1492
1	16	at GB(1527) W 34-29: +3→1497	9	10	vs JAX(1479) W 28-23: -1→1520	17	vs DAL
2	22	vs ATL(1467) L 21-22: -9→1488	10	6	at DAL(1501) W 34-6: +17→1537	18	vs NYG
3	15	at NO(1546) W 15-12: +12→1500	11	5	vs WAS(1507) W 26-18: +4→1541	W
4	20	at TB(1499) L 16-33: -14→1486	12		at LAR	D
5	22	(bye)	13		at BAL	C
6	22	vs CLE(1466) W 20-16: -1→1485	14		vs CAR	S
7	16	at NYG(1475) W 28-3: +18→1503	15		vs PIT
8	9	at CIN(1522) W 37-17: +18→1521	16		at WAS

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1512
1	13	at ATL(1470) W 18-10: +3→1502	9	6	(bye)	17	vs KC
2	12	at DEN(1488) W 13-6: +7→1509	10	7	at WAS(1510) W 28-27: +2→1536	18	vs CIN
3	10	vs LAC(1503) W 20-10: +8→1517	11	6	vs BAL(1574) W 18-16: +5→1541	W
4	11	at IND(1480) L 24-27: -6→1511	12		at CLE	D
5	13	vs DAL(1523) L 17-20: -3→1508	13		at CIN	C
6	9	at LV(1472) W 32-13: +14→1522	14		vs CLE	S
7	7	vs NYJ(1489) W 37-15: +12→1534	15		at PHI
8	7	vs NYG(1458) W 26-18: -0→1534	16		at BAL

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: 1523
1	1	vs NYJ(1472) W 32-19: +2→1561	9	5	(bye)	17	vs DET
2	3	at MIN(1499) L 17-23: -10→1551	10	5	at TB(1517) W 23-20: +2→1540	18	at ARI
3	4	at LAR(1493) L 24-27: -8→1543	11	7	vs SEA(1485) L 17-20: -6→1534	W
4	4	vs NE(1456) W 30-13: +6→1549	12		at GB	D
5	5	vs ARI(1459) L 23-24: -13→1536	13		at BUF	C
6	5	at SEA(1490) W 36-24: +9→1545	14		vs CHI	S
7	6	vs KC(1563) L 18-28: -9→1536	15		vs LAR
8	5	vs DAL(1508) W 30-24: +2→1538	16		at MIA

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: 1500
1	19	vs DEN(1490) W 26-20: +2→1494	9	22	vs LAR(1503) L 20-26: -2→1485	17	at CHI
2	17	at NE(1473) W 23-20: +2→1496	10	19	(bye)	18	at LAR
3	11	vs MIA(1502) W 24-3: +17→1513	11	18	at SF(1540) W 20-17: +6→1491	W
4	14	at DET(1529) L 29-42: -10→1503	12		vs ARI	D
5	19	vs NYG(1472) L 20-29: -13→1490	13		at NYJ	C
6	23	vs SF(1536) L 24-36: -9→1481	14		at ARI	S
7	17	at ATL(1501) W 34-14: +19→1500	15		vs GB
8	21	vs BUF(1556) L 10-31: -13→1487	16		vs MIN

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: 1457
1	11	vs WAS(1441) W 37-20: +4→1515	9	11	at KC(1571) L 24-30: +4→1517	17	vs CAR
2	8	at DET(1532) W 20-16: +7→1522	10	13	vs SF(1538) L 20-23: -3→1514	18	vs NO
3	16	vs DEN(1481) L 7-26: -23→1499	11	13	(bye)	W
4	10	vs PHI(1500) W 33-16: +14→1513	12		at NYG	D
5	11	at ATL(1487) L 30-36: -3→1510	13		at CAR	C
6	8	at NO(1519) W 51-27: +19→1529	14		vs LV	S
7	11	vs BAL(1564) L 31-41: -8→1521	15		at LAC
8	12	vs ATL(1482) L 26-31: -8→1513	16		at DAL

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	27	at CHI(1493) L 17-24: -1→1469	9	30	vs NE(1428) W 20-17: -0→1448	17	at JAX
2	30	vs NYJ(1471) L 17-24: -8→1461	10	31	at LAC(1522) L 17-27: -4→1444	18	vs HOU
3	31	vs GB(1521) L 14-30: -11→1450	11	31	vs MIN(1523) L 13-23: -6→1438	W
4	28	at MIA(1485) W 31-12: +22→1472	12		at HOU	D
5	28	(bye)	13		at WAS	C
6	27	vs IND(1483) L 17-20: -5→1467	14		vs JAX	S
7	29	at BUF(1546) L 10-34: -9→1458	15		vs CIN
8	30	at DET(1561) L 14-52: -10→1448	16		at IND

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: 1478
1	31	at TB(1511) L 20-37: -3→1438	9	14	at NYG(1458) W 27-22: +1→1510	17	vs ATL
2	31	vs NYG(1467) W 21-18: +5→1443	10	14	vs PIT(1534) L 27-28: -3→1507	18	at DAL
3	30	at CIN(1514) W 38-33: +12→1455	11	16	at PHI(1537) L 18-26: -4→1503	W
4	26	at ARI(1482) W 42-14: +23→1478	12		vs DAL	D
5	16	vs CLE(1481) W 34-13: +16→1494	13		vs TEN	C
6	18	at BAL(1566) L 23-30: +1→1495	14		(bye)	S
7	15	vs CAR(1413) W 40-7: +10→1505	15		at NO
8	13	vs CHI(1517) W 18-15: +4→1509	16		vs PHI

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 8 games (weeks 3-11) Detroit Lions: +66 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 7-10) Arizona Cardinals: +42 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Los Angeles Chargers: +33 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Miami Dolphins: +28 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Minnesota Vikings: +12 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 6-11) Tennessee Titans: -34 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 6-11) Dallas Cowboys: -59 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Chicago Bears: -41 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Kansas City Chiefs: -12 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 9-11) Cleveland Browns: -27 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 109-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1572) 7-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1463): Browns win 29-24
2. Week 5, 90-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1549) 10-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1459): Cardinals win 24-23
3. Week 3, 89-Elo upset: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Panthers win 36-22
4. Week 3, 71-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1514) 9-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1443): Commanders win 38-33
5. Week 5, 70-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1555) 6-point favorites at Houston Texans (1485): Texans win 23-20
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 24-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Panthers win 36-22
2. Week 2, 37-point differential: Los Angeles Rams (1517) 6-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1462): Cardinals win 41-10
3. Week 4, 34-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1482) 6-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1455): Commanders win 42-14
4. Week 2, 31-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1549) 6-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1523): Saints win 44-19
5. Week 3, 25-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) 6-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1481): Broncos win 26-7
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +62: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 11
2. +58: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 11
3. +48: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 11
4. +46: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 11
5. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 10
more...
1. +42: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 11
2. +42: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 11
3. +39: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 11
4. +25: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 11
5. +21: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 11
6. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1570) thru week 11
7. +8: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 11
8. +5: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 11
9. +4: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1560) thru week 11
10. +4: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 11
11. +3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 10
12. -1: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 11
13. -7: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 11
14. -12: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 11
15. -16: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 11
16. -19: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 11
17. -22: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 10
18. -23: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 11
19. -25: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 10
20. -26: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 11
21. -30: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 11
22. -31: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 11
23. -33: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 11
24. -36: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 11
25. -47: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 11
26. -58: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 11
27. -77: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 11
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -77: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 11
2. -58: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 11
3. -47: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 11
4. -36: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 11
5. -33: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 11
more...
1. -31: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 11
2. -30: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 11
3. -26: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 11
4. -25: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 10
5. -23: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 11
6. -22: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 10
7. -19: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 11
8. -16: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 11
9. -12: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 11
10. -7: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 11
11. -1: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 11
12. +3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 10
13. +4: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 11
14. +4: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1560) thru week 11
15. +5: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 11
16. +8: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 11
17. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1570) thru week 11
18. +21: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 11
19. +25: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 11
20. +39: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 11
21. +42: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 11
22. +42: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 11
23. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 10
24. +46: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 11
25. +48: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 11
26. +58: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 11
27. +62: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 11
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +72: Washington Commanders (1438) before week 2 → (1509) thru week 8
2. +62: Detroit Lions (1529) before week 4 → (1591) thru week 11
3. +56: Philadelphia Eagles (1485) before week 7 → (1541) thru week 11
4. +47: Denver Broncos (1481) before week 3 → (1529) thru week 8
5. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1459) before week 5 → (1504) thru week 10
more...
1. +42: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 5
2. +37: Los Angeles Chargers (1492) before week 5 → (1529) thru week 11
3. +35: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 7
4. +33: Atlanta Falcons (1467) before week 2 → (1501) thru week 6
5. +33: Houston Texans (1483) before week 4 → (1516) thru week 11
6. +31: Baltimore Ravens (1545) before week 3 → (1576) thru week 9
7. +30: Chicago Bears (1488) before week 4 → (1517) thru week 6
8. +29: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1499) before week 4 → (1529) thru week 6
9. +29: Buffalo Bills (1546) before week 7 → (1575) thru week 11
10. +28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
11. +28: Miami Dolphins (1460) before week 9 → (1488) thru week 11
12. +26: New England Patriots (1422) before week 8 → (1447) thru week 10
13. +23: New York Jets (1471) before week 2 → (1494) thru week 3
14. +23: New York Giants (1462) before week 3 → (1484) thru week 5
15. +21: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 3
16. +20: Kansas City Chiefs (1552) before week 4 → (1572) thru week 7
17. +19: Cincinnati Bengals (1502) before week 4 → (1522) thru week 7
18. +18: Carolina Panthers (1416) before week 3 → (1434) thru week 4
19. +17: Green Bay Packers (1521) before week 3 → (1538) thru week 6
20. +16: Tennessee Titans (1450) before week 4 → (1467) thru week 6
21. +16: Indianapolis Colts (1475) before week 2 → (1490) thru week 7
22. +13: Los Angeles Rams (1492) before week 8 → (1505) thru week 9
23. +12: Jacksonville Jaguars (1468) before week 7 → (1480) thru week 9
24. +7: Cleveland Browns (1466) before week 6 → (1473) thru week 8
25. +6: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 2
26. +4: San Francisco 49ers (1536) before week 8 → (1540) thru week 10
27. +3: Dallas Cowboys (1523) before week 4 → (1526) thru week 5
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -83: New Orleans Saints (1546) before week 3 → (1463) thru week 9
2. -59: Dallas Cowboys (1526) before week 6 → (1467) thru week 11
3. -58: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 2 → (1460) thru week 8
4. -53: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) before week 3 → (1452) thru week 9
5. -51: New England Patriots (1473) before week 2 → (1422) thru week 7
more...
1. -41: Chicago Bears (1517) before week 7 → (1477) thru week 11
2. -39: Carolina Panthers (1440) before week 4 → (1401) thru week 8
3. -38: Cleveland Browns (1483) before week 4 → (1446) thru week 11
4. -34: Tennessee Titans (1472) before week 5 → (1438) thru week 11
5. -34: New York Jets (1494) before week 4 → (1460) thru week 11
6. -33: New York Giants (1484) before week 6 → (1452) thru week 10
7. -31: Seattle Seahawks (1513) before week 4 → (1481) thru week 6
8. -30: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 6
9. -27: Arizona Cardinals (1486) before week 3 → (1459) thru week 4
10. -27: Buffalo Bills (1574) before week 4 → (1547) thru week 5
11. -25: San Francisco 49ers (1561) before week 2 → (1536) thru week 5
12. -25: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 7 → (1475) thru week 11
13. -25: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 2 → (1492) thru week 7
14. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
15. -15: Houston Texans (1500) before week 3 → (1485) thru week 4
16. -15: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1529) before week 7 → (1513) thru week 8
17. -15: Cincinnati Bengals (1518) before week 7 → (1503) thru week 8
18. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1532) before week 6 → (1518) thru week 8
19. -15: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 4 → (1485) thru week 6
20. -12: Denver Broncos (1529) before week 9 → (1516) thru week 10
21. -12: Kansas City Chiefs (1572) before week 8 → (1560) thru week 11
22. -11: Los Angeles Chargers (1503) before week 3 → (1492) thru week 4
23. -10: Indianapolis Colts (1490) before week 8 → (1481) thru week 10
24. -9: Pittsburgh Steelers (1517) before week 4 → (1508) thru week 5
25. -9: Green Bay Packers (1538) before week 7 → (1529) thru week 9
26. -7: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
27. -7: Washington Commanders (1510) before week 10 → (1503) thru week 11
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1520
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 1517
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1513
4. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1512
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1512
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1510
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1508
3. Detroit Lions: 1506
4. Tennessee Titans: 1503
5. Houston Texans: 1502
6. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
7. Cleveland Browns: 1501
8. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
9. Denver Broncos: 1501
10. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
11. New York Jets: 1500
12. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
13. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
14. Philadelphia Eagles: 1499
15. Washington Commanders: 1498
16. Buffalo Bills: 1497
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1497
18. Green Bay Packers: 1496
19. Carolina Panthers: 1495
20. Los Angeles Rams: 1495
21. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
22. Miami Dolphins: 1492
23. New York Giants: 1489
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
25. New Orleans Saints: 1489
26. New England Patriots: 1489
27. Chicago Bears: 1479
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1479
2. New England Patriots: 1489
3. New Orleans Saints: 1489
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
5. New York Giants: 1489
more...
1. Miami Dolphins: 1492
2. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1495
4. Carolina Panthers: 1495
5. Green Bay Packers: 1496
6. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1497
7. Buffalo Bills: 1497
8. Washington Commanders: 1498
9. Philadelphia Eagles: 1499
10. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
11. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
12. New York Jets: 1500
13. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
14. Denver Broncos: 1501
15. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
16. Cleveland Browns: 1501
17. Minnesota Vikings: 1502
18. Houston Texans: 1502
19. Tennessee Titans: 1503
20. Detroit Lions: 1506
21. Arizona Cardinals: 1508
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1510
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1512
24. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1512
25. Dallas Cowboys: 1513
26. Kansas City Chiefs: 1517
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1520
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cleveland Browns: 1535
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1525
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1521
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1512
5. Detroit Lions: 1505
more...
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1504
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1503
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1501
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1499
5. New York Giants: 1498
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1498
7. New England Patriots: 1497
8. Minnesota Vikings: 1496
9. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
10. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
11. Buffalo Bills: 1493
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
13. Houston Texans: 1490
14. San Francisco 49ers: 1489
15. New Orleans Saints: 1485
16. New York Jets: 1483
17. Indianapolis Colts: 1482
18. Denver Broncos: 1482
19. Green Bay Packers: 1481
20. Los Angeles Chargers: 1481
21. Carolina Panthers: 1477
22. Washington Commanders: 1476
23. Miami Dolphins: 1476
24. Chicago Bears: 1472
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1463
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1459
27. Tennessee Titans: 1457
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Tennessee Titans: 1457
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1459
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1463
4. Chicago Bears: 1472
5. Miami Dolphins: 1476
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1476
2. Carolina Panthers: 1477
3. Los Angeles Chargers: 1481
4. Green Bay Packers: 1481
5. Denver Broncos: 1482
6. Indianapolis Colts: 1482
7. New York Jets: 1483
8. New Orleans Saints: 1485
9. San Francisco 49ers: 1489
10. Houston Texans: 1490
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
12. Buffalo Bills: 1493
13. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
14. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
15. Minnesota Vikings: 1496
16. New England Patriots: 1497
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1498
18. New York Giants: 1498
19. Atlanta Falcons: 1499
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1501
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1503
22. Arizona Cardinals: 1504
23. Detroit Lions: 1505
24. Kansas City Chiefs: 1512
25. Las Vegas Raiders: 1521
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1525
27. Cleveland Browns: 1535

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	20-12 (20/32, 62.5%)
3	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	30-18 (30/48, 62.5%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	39-25 (39/64, 60.94%)
5	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	48-30 (48/78, 61.54%)
6	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	59-33 (59/92, 64.13%)
7	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	69-38 (69/107, 64.49%)
8	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	78-45 (78/123, 63.41%)
9	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	90-48 (90/138, 65.22%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	99-53 (99/152, 65.13%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	109-57 (109/166, 65.66%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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