NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1605 (+14)	11-5	vs CLE (1412): Win by 15
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1513): W 31-2: 1591+14→1605
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1412): Win by 15 points
2 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1601 (+1)	14-2	vs MIN (1558): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): W 40-34: 1600+1→1601
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1558): Win by 6 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+9)	13-3	at NE (1413): Win by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1457): W 40-14: 1582+9→1591
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1413): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1582 (+14)	15-1	at DEN (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1525): W 29-10: 1568+14→1582
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1543): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1577 (-3)	11-5	vs CHI (1444): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1555): L 25-27: 1580-3→1577
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Win by 10 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1575 (+13)	13-3	vs NYG (1420): Win by 11
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): W 41-7: 1562+13→1575
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): Win by 11 points
7	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1558 (+3)	14-2	at DET (1601): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1580): W 27-25: 1555+3→1558
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1601): Lose by 6 points
8	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1558 (+10)	9-7	vs NO (1446): Win by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1410): W 48-14: 1548+10→1558
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1446): Win by 9 points
9	Denver BroncosDEN	1543 (-2)	9-7	vs KC (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): L 24-30(OT): 1545-2→1543
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1582): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1531 (+14)	10-6	at LV (1444): Win by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1427): W 40-7: 1517+14→1531
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1444): Win by 6 points
11 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1530 (+3)	8-8	at PIT (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1545): W 30-24(OT): 1527+3→1530
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514	10-6	vs SEA (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1485): W 13-9: 1514+0→1514
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1502): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1512 (-1)	11-5	at DAL (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): W 30-24(OT): 1513-1→1512
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): Slight favorite
14 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1511 (-14)	10-6	vs CIN (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 10-29: 1525-14→1511
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1510 (+12)	8-8	at NYJ (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1424): W 20-3: 1498+12→1510
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1448): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1502 (+1)	9-7	at LAR (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1446): W 6-3: 1501+1→1502
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1501 (-1)	6-10	at ARI (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): L 34-40: 1502-1→1501
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1485): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1498 (-15)	9-7	at TEN (1416): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): L 2-31: 1513-15→1498
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1416): Win by 6 points
19 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1485	7-9	vs SF (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): L 9-13: 1485-0→1485
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1501): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+1)	8-8	vs CAR (1401): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1513): L 24-30(OT): 1478+1→1479
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Win by 7 points
21 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479 (-13)	7-9	vs WAS (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): L 7-41: 1492-13→1479
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1512): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1457 (+3)	4-12	at IND (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1419): W 20-13: 1454+3→1457
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456 (-14)	7-9	vs JAX (1457): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1407): L 33-45: 1470-14→1456
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1457): Slight favorite
24	New York JetsNYJ	1448 (-9)	4-12	vs MIA (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 14-40: 1457-9→1448
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1446 (-16)	5-11	at TB (1558): Lose by 9
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1428): L 10-25: 1462-16→1446
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): Lose by 9 points
26 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1444 (+16)	4-12	vs LAC (1531): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1462): W 25-10: 1428+16→1444
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444 (-2)	4-12	at GB (1577): Lose by 10
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 3-6: 1446-2→1444
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1577): Lose by 10 points
28 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1420 (+13)	3-13	at PHI (1575): Lose by 11
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1470): W 45-33: 1407+13→1420
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1575): Lose by 11 points
29 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1416 (-3)	3-13	vs HOU (1498): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): L 13-20: 1419-3→1416
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1498): Lose by 6 points
30 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1413 (-14)	3-13	vs BUF (1591): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): L 7-40: 1427-14→1413
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Lose by 9 points
31 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1412 (-12)	3-13	at BAL (1605): Lose by 15
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): L 3-20: 1424-12→1412
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1605): Lose by 15 points
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1401 (-9)	4-12	at ATL (1479): Lose by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): L 14-48: 1410-9→1401
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1600 (+9)	13-2	at SF (1502): Win by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1454): W 34-17: 1591+9→1600
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1591 (+11)	10-5	at HOU (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): W 34-17: 1580+11→1591
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1513): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (-7)	12-3	vs NYJ (1457): Win by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1420): W 24-21: 1589-7→1582
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1457): Win by 9 points
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1580 (+12)	11-4	at MIN (1555): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1474): W 34-0: 1568+12→1580
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1555): Tossup
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (+3)	14-1	at PIT (1525): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1516): W 27-19: 1565+3→1568
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1525): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1562 (-5)	12-3	vs DAL (1492): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1508): L 33-36: 1567-5→1562
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1555 (+2)	13-2	vs GB (1580): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 27-24: 1553+2→1555
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1580): Tossup
8 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1548 (-6)	8-7	vs CAR (1410): Win by 10
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): L 24-26: 1554-6→1548
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1410): Win by 10 points
9	Denver BroncosDEN	1545 (-7)	9-6	at CIN (1527): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): L 27-34: 1552-7→1545
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): Tossup
10 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1527 (+9)	7-8	vs DEN (1545): Tossup
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1433): W 24-6: 1518+9→1527
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1545): Tossup
11 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1525 (-11)	10-5	vs KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1580): L 17-34: 1536-11→1525
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (+7)	9-6	at NE (1427): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1552): W 34-27: 1510+7→1517
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1427): Win by 6 points
13 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (+8)	9-6	vs ARI (1485): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): W 19-9: 1506+8→1514
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1485): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1513 (+5)	10-5	vs ATL (1478): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): W 36-33: 1508+5→1513
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Win by 5 points
15 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1513 (-3)	9-6	vs BAL (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): L 19-27: 1516-3→1513
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502 (-11)	6-9	vs DET (1600): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): L 17-29: 1513-11→1502
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): Lose by 6 points
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-2)	8-7	at CHI (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1553): L 24-27: 1503-2→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1446): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (+11)	7-8	at CLE (1424): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): W 29-17: 1487+11→1498
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1424): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (+6)	7-8	at PHI (1562): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): W 26-24: 1486+6→1492
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): Lose by 7 points
20 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1485 (-6)	7-8	at LAR (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): L 30-36(OT): 1491-6→1485
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (+14)	8-7	at WAS (1513): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1421): W 34-7: 1464+14→1478
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1513): Lose by 5 points
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1470 (+4)	7-8	at NYG (1407): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1422): W 38-30: 1466+4→1470
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1407): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1462 (-12)	5-10	vs LV (1428): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1568): L 0-34: 1474-12→1462
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1428): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1457 (-8)	4-11	at BUF (1582): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 9-19: 1465-8→1457
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Lose by 9 points
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (-4)	3-12	vs TEN (1419): Win by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): L 14-19: 1458-4→1454
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1419): Win by 5 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1446 (-8)	4-11	vs SEA (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1591): L 17-34: 1454-8→1446
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428 (+4)	3-12	at NO (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 19-14: 1424+4→1428
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1462): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1427 (+7)	3-12	vs LAC (1517): Lose by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): L 21-24: 1420+7→1427
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): Lose by 6 points
29 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1424 (-9)	3-12	vs MIA (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): L 6-24: 1433-9→1424
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1419 (-3)	3-12	at JAX (1454): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): L 30-38: 1422-3→1419
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Lose by 5 points
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1410 (+5)	4-11	at TB (1548): Lose by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): W 36-30(OT): 1405+5→1410
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): Lose by 10 points
32 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1407 (-14)	2-13	vs IND (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): L 7-34: 1421-14→1407
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1470): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1591 (-8)	12-2	at CHI (1454): Win by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 42-48: 1599-8→1591
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1454): Win by 7 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1589 (+7)	11-3	vs NE (1420): Win by 10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1599): W 48-42: 1582+7→1589
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1420): Win by 10 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1580 (+10)	9-5	vs PIT (1536): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1431): W 35-14: 1570+10→1580
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): Win by 5 points
4 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1568 (+13)	10-4	vs NO (1474): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): W 30-13: 1555+13→1568
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1474): Win by 7 points
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1567 (+11)	12-2	at WAS (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1547): W 27-13: 1556+11→1567
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1508): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1565 (+9)	13-1	vs HOU (1516): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): W 21-7: 1556+9→1565
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1516): Win by 6 points
7 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554 (+18)	8-6	at DAL (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): W 40-17: 1536+18→1554
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): Slight favorite
8	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1553 (+10)	12-2	at SEA (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): W 30-12: 1543+10→1553
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Slight favorite
9	Denver BroncosDEN	1552 (+10)	9-5	at LAC (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): W 31-13: 1542+10→1552
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1536 (-11)	10-4	at BAL (1580): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): L 13-27: 1547-11→1536
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1580): Lose by 5 points
11 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1518 (+7)	6-8	vs CLE (1433): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1429): W 37-27: 1511+7→1518
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1433): Win by 7 points
12 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1516 (+4)	9-5	at KC (1565): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): W 20-12: 1512+4→1516
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): Lose by 6 points
13 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (-7)	6-8	at MIA (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): L 6-12: 1520-7→1513
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): Slight favorite
14 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (-17)	8-6	vs DEN (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): L 17-40: 1527-17→1510
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1552): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1508 (+3)	9-5	vs PHI (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): W 20-19: 1505+3→1508
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (+7)	8-6	at NYJ (1465): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1520): W 12-6: 1499+7→1506
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (-13)	8-6	vs MIN (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): L 13-30: 1516-13→1503
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1553): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1491 (+9)	7-7	at CAR (1405): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1429): W 30-17: 1482+9→1491
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1487 (-3)	6-8	vs SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1512): L 12-20: 1490-3→1487
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
20 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1486 (+12)	6-8	vs TB (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1417): W 30-14: 1474+12→1486
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1474 (-3)	5-9	at GB (1568): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): L 19-20: 1477-3→1474
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1568): Lose by 7 points
22 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1466 (-10)	6-8	vs TEN (1422): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1542): L 13-31: 1476-10→1466
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1422): Win by 5 points
23 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1465 (+8)	4-10	vs LAR (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1466): W 32-25: 1457+8→1465
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1464 (+4)	7-7	vs NYG (1421): Win by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): W 15-9: 1460+4→1464
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1421): Win by 5 points
25 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (-8)	3-11	at LV (1424): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1457): L 25-32: 1466-8→1458
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1454 (-10)	4-10	vs DET (1591): Lose by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): L 12-30: 1464-10→1454
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1591): Lose by 7 points
27	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1433 (-8)	3-11	at CIN (1518): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): L 7-21: 1441-8→1433
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): Lose by 7 points
28 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1424 (-5)	2-12	vs JAX (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): L 9-15: 1429-5→1424
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Slight underdog
29	Tennessee TitansTEN	1422 (-7)	3-11	at IND (1466): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): L 27-37: 1429-7→1422
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): Lose by 5 points
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1421 (-10)	2-12	at ATL (1464): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): L 14-35: 1431-10→1421
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1420 (-9)	3-11	at BUF (1589): Lose by 10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): L 17-30: 1429-9→1420
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1405 (-12)	3-11	vs ARI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): L 14-30: 1417-12→1405
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1599	12-1	vs BUF (1582): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): W 34-31: 1599-0→1599
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (-5)	10-3	at DET (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 42-44: 1587-5→1582
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1599): Slight underdog
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570	8-5	at NYG (1431): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1431): Win by 7 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1556 (-3)	11-2	vs PIT (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1414): W 22-16: 1559-3→1556
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1547): Slight favorite
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1556	12-1	at CLE (1441): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): W 19-17: 1556+0→1556
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): Win by 6 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1555	9-4	at SEA (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1599): L 31-34: 1555+0→1555
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1547 (+7)	10-3	at PHI (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1448): W 27-14: 1540+7→1547
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1543 (+12)	11-2	vs CHI (1464): Win by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): W 42-21: 1531+12→1543
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 6 points
9 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1542	8-5	vs IND (1476): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): Win by 6 points
10	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1536 (+8)	7-6	at LAC (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): W 28-13: 1528+8→1536
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Slight underdog
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (-1)	8-5	vs TB (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): L 17-19: 1528-1→1527
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1520 (+15)	6-7	vs LAR (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 38-13: 1505+15→1520
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): Slight favorite
13 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (+12)	8-5	vs GB (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 30-18: 1504+12→1516
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1512	8-5	vs MIA (1490): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Win by 5 points
15	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (+6)	5-8	at TEN (1429): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): W 27-20: 1505+6→1511
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1429): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505	8-5	at NO (1477): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1499 (+6)	7-6	at SF (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): W 44-42: 1493+6→1499
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1520): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (-1)	6-7	at HOU (1512): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1456): W 32-26(OT): 1491-1→1490
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1512): Lose by 5 points
19 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-12)	6-7	vs NE (1429): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): L 18-30: 1494-12→1482
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1429): Slight favorite
20 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1477 (+4)	5-8	vs WAS (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1434): W 14-11: 1473+4→1477
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476	6-7	at DEN (1542): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1542): Lose by 6 points
22 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1474 (-7)	5-8	at CAR (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1505): L 20-27: 1481-7→1474
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1417): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1466 (+4)	3-10	vs NYJ (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1433): W 10-6: 1462+4→1466
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1457): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (-14)	4-9	at MIN (1543): Lose by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 13-38: 1478-14→1464
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): Lose by 6 points
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1460 (-12)	6-7	at LV (1429): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 21-42: 1472-12→1460
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): Tossup
26	New York JetsNYJ	1457 (+1)	3-10	at JAX (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1491): L 26-32(OT): 1456+1→1457
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1466): Slight underdog
27	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1441 (-7)	3-10	vs KC (1556): Lose by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1540): L 14-27: 1448-7→1441
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): Lose by 6 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1431 (-3)	2-11	vs BAL (1570): Lose by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): L 11-14: 1434-3→1431
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Lose by 7 points
29 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1429 (-4)	3-10	vs CIN (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): L 6-10: 1433-4→1429
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1429	3-10	at ARI (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1429 (-8)	2-11	vs ATL (1460): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): L 13-28: 1437-8→1429
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): Tossup
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1417 (+3)	3-10	vs DAL (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): L 16-22: 1414+3→1417
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1599 (-3)	11-1	vs GB (1555): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1475): W 23-20: 1602-3→1599
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587 (+12)	10-2	at LAR (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 35-10: 1575+12→1587
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-6)	8-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): L 19-24: 1576-6→1570
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (+5)	10-2	vs CAR (1414): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): W 24-19: 1554+5→1559
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1414): Win by 8 points
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1556 (-3)	11-1	vs LAC (1528): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): W 19-17: 1559-3→1556
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): Slight favorite
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1555 (+9)	9-3	at DET (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): W 30-17: 1546+9→1555
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1599): Slight underdog
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1542 (+4)	8-5	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): W 41-32: 1538+4→1542
next: (bye)
8	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1540 (+5)	9-3	vs CLE (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): W 44-38: 1535+5→1540
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1448): Win by 7 points
9	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531	10-2	vs ATL (1472): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 23-22: 1531+0→1531
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): Win by 6 points
10	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1528 (-1)	6-6	vs LV (1437): Win by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1414): W 26-23(OT): 1529-1→1528
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): Win by 6 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1528 (+4)	8-4	at KC (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): W 17-13: 1524+4→1528
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1512 (+4)	8-5	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1466): W 23-20: 1508+4→1512
next: (bye)
13 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (-13)	5-7	vs CHI (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): L 10-35: 1518-13→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505 (+13)	8-5	bye
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): W 42-19: 1492+13→1505
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1505 (-5)	4-8	at DAL (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): L 38-44: 1510-5→1505
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (+3)	7-5	at ARI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): W 26-21: 1501+3→1504
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight underdog
17	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494	6-6	vs SEA (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 22-23: 1494-0→1494
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1493 (+9)	6-6	vs BUF (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): W 21-14: 1484+9→1493
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1491 (-9)	5-7	vs NYJ (1456): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): L 17-30: 1500-9→1491
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1456): Win by 5 points
20 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1481 (+3)	5-7	vs CIN (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1437): W 27-20: 1478+3→1481
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1505): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (+3)	4-8	at SF (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1602): L 20-23: 1475+3→1478
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476 (+3)	6-7	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1432): W 25-24: 1473+3→1476
next: (bye)
23 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1473 (-9)	4-8	at NYG (1434): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): L 14-21: 1482-9→1473
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1434): Tossup
24 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472 (-3)	6-6	at MIN (1531): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 13-17: 1475-3→1472
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Lose by 6 points
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1462 (-4)	2-10	at TEN (1433): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): L 20-23: 1466-4→1462
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1433): Tossup
26	New York JetsNYJ	1456 (-4)	3-9	at MIA (1491): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 21-26: 1460-4→1456
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1491): Lose by 5 points
27	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1448 (-3)	3-9	at PIT (1540): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1538): L 32-41: 1451-3→1448
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1540): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1437 (+3)	2-10	at TB (1528): Lose by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): L 17-19: 1434+3→1437
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): Lose by 6 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1434 (-3)	2-10	vs NO (1473): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): L 20-27: 1437-3→1434
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): Tossup
30 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1433 (-13)	3-9	vs JAX (1462): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): L 19-42: 1446-13→1433
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): Tossup
31	New England PatriotsNE	1429 (-3)	3-10	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): L 24-25: 1432-3→1429
next: (bye)
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1414	3-9	at PHI (1559): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): L 23-26(OT): 1414+0→1414
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1602 (+11)	10-1	vs CHI (1475): Win by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): W 24-6: 1591+11→1602
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1475): Win by 7 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1576 (+6)	8-4	vs PHI (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): W 30-23: 1570+6→1576
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575	9-2	vs SF (1518): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Win by 6 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1559 (-1)	10-1	vs LV (1434): Win by 7
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 30-27: 1560-1→1559
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1434): Win by 7 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (+13)	9-2	at BAL (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): W 37-20: 1541+13→1554
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): Slight underdog
6 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1546 (+16)	8-3	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): W 38-10: 1530+16→1546
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1538 (+7)	7-5	vs CLE (1451): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): W 29-19: 1531+7→1538
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): Win by 6 points
8 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1535 (-6)	8-3	at CIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): L 19-24: 1541-6→1535
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+1)	9-2	vs ARI (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): W 30-27(OT): 1530+1→1531
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1529 (+15)	5-6	at CAR (1414): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): W 30-7: 1514+15→1529
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1414): Slight favorite
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (-5)	7-4	at ATL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): L 23-30: 1529-5→1524
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight underdog
12 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (-16)	5-6	at BUF (1575): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): L 10-38: 1534-16→1518
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): Lose by 6 points
13 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510	4-7	vs PIT (1535): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1508 (-8)	7-5	at JAX (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1438): L 27-32: 1516-8→1508
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1466): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (+10)	6-5	at NYJ (1460): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): W 16-6: 1491+10→1501
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500 (+12)	5-6	at GB (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1444): W 34-15: 1488+12→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-10)	6-5	at MIN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): L 6-16: 1504-10→1494
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1492 (-11)	7-5	vs TEN (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1467): L 26-34: 1503-11→1492
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1446): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1484 (-14)	5-6	at NO (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): L 20-37: 1498-14→1484
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482	4-7	vs LAR (1484): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478 (+11)	4-7	vs NYG (1437): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1503): W 34-26: 1467+11→1478
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1437): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475	6-5	vs LAC (1524): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1475 (-2)	4-7	at DET (1602): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): L 27-30(OT): 1477-2→1475
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1602): Lose by 7 points
24 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1473 (-12)	5-7	at NE (1432): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1591): L 6-24: 1485-12→1473
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1432): Slight favorite
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1466	2-9	vs HOU (1508): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): Slight favorite
26	New York JetsNYJ	1460	3-8	vs SEA (1501): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1451 (+5)	3-8	at DEN (1538): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1541): W 24-19: 1446+5→1451
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1538): Lose by 6 points
28 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1446 (+8)	3-8	at WAS (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1516): W 32-27: 1438+8→1446
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1437 (-15)	2-9	at DAL (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 7-30: 1452-15→1437
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): Slight underdog
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1434 (-6)	2-9	at KC (1559): Lose by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1531): L 19-29: 1440-6→1434
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): Lose by 7 points
31 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1432 (-12)	3-9	vs IND (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): L 15-34: 1444-12→1432
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1414 (+1)	3-8	vs TB (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1560): L 27-30: 1413+1→1414
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1591 (+12)	9-1	at IND (1485): Win by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): W 52-6: 1579+12→1591
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575 (+6)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): W 30-21: 1569+6→1575
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-4)	7-4	at LAC (1529): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): L 16-18: 1574-4→1570
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1560 (-7)	9-1	at CAR (1413): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 21-30: 1567-7→1560
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+4)	8-2	at LAR (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): W 26-18: 1537+4→1541
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1541 (+5)	8-2	at CLE (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1574): W 18-16: 1536+5→1541
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (-6)	5-5	at GB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): L 17-20: 1540-6→1534
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Slight underdog
8 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1531 (+15)	6-5	at LV (1440): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): W 38-6: 1516+15→1531
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1440): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (+1)	7-3	vs SF (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 20-19: 1529+1→1530
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Slight favorite
10	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (+7)	8-2	at CHI (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): W 23-13: 1523+7→1530
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1529 (+4)	7-3	vs BAL (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): W 34-27: 1525+4→1529
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Slight underdog
12 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1516 (+17)	7-4	vs TEN (1438): Win by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): W 34-10: 1499+17→1516
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1438): Win by 6 points
13	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514	4-6	at NYG (1452): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (-5)	4-7	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): L 27-34: 1515-5→1510
next: (bye)
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504	6-4	at SEA (1491): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Tossup
16 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1503 (-4)	7-4	vs DAL (1467): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): L 18-26: 1507-4→1503
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1467): Win by 5 points
17	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1498 (+4)	5-5	vs PHI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1447): W 28-22: 1494+4→1498
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (+6)	5-5	vs ARI (1504): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): W 20-17: 1485+6→1491
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Tossup
19 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1488 (+11)	4-6	vs NE (1444): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): W 34-19: 1477+11→1488
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1444): Win by 5 points
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1485 (+4)	5-6	vs DET (1591): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): W 28-27: 1481+4→1485
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1591): Lose by 5 points
21 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (+15)	4-7	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): W 35-14: 1467+15→1482
next: (bye)
22 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1477 (-1)	4-6	vs MIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): L 19-20: 1478-1→1477
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-15)	6-5	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): L 6-38: 1490-15→1475
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1467 (-17)	3-7	at WAS (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): L 10-34: 1484-17→1467
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1503): Lose by 5 points
25 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1466 (-12)	2-9	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): L 6-52: 1478-12→1466
next: (bye)
26	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (-4)	3-8	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1481): L 27-28: 1464-4→1460
next: (bye)
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1452	2-8	vs TB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1446 (-14)	2-8	vs PIT (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1467): L 14-35: 1460-14→1446
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1541): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1444 (-3)	3-8	at MIA (1488): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): L 22-28: 1447-3→1444
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): Lose by 5 points
30 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1440 (-12)	2-8	vs DEN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): L 19-34: 1452-12→1440
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1531): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1438 (-6)	2-8	at HOU (1516): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 13-23: 1444-6→1438
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1516): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413	3-7	vs KC (1560): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1560): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1579 (+1)	8-1	vs JAX (1478): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1499): W 26-23: 1578+1→1579
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): Win by 7 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574 (-2)	7-3	at PIT (1536): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): W 35-34: 1576-2→1574
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1536): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+6)	8-2	vs KC (1567): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): W 30-20: 1563+6→1569
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1567 (-1)	9-0	at BUF (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): W 16-14: 1568-1→1567
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight underdog
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (+2)	5-4	vs SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): W 23-20: 1538+2→1540
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1537 (+17)	7-2	vs WAS (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 34-6: 1520+17→1537
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1536 (+2)	7-2	vs BAL (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): W 28-27: 1534+2→1536
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1574): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529	6-3	at CHI (1478): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+3)	6-3	vs CIN (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): W 27-17: 1522+3→1525
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+2)	7-2	at TEN (1444): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): W 12-7: 1521+2→1523
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1516 (+1)	5-5	vs ATL (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 14-16: 1515+1→1516
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1515 (+2)	4-6	at LAC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): L 34-35: 1513+2→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (-3)	4-6	bye
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 20-23: 1517-3→1514
next: (bye)
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1507 (-3)	7-3	at PHI (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): L 27-28: 1510-3→1507
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (+15)	6-4	bye
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1479): W 31-6: 1489+15→1504
next: (bye)
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1499	6-4	at DAL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): L 23-26: 1499-0→1499
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494 (-11)	4-5	at NE (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 15-23: 1505-11→1494
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1447): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (-4)	6-4	at DEN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): L 17-20: 1494-4→1490
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1516): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485	4-5	at SF (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (-17)	3-6	vs HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): L 6-34: 1501-17→1484
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
21	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1481 (-6)	4-6	at NYJ (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 20-30: 1487-6→1481
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1478 (-2)	2-8	at DET (1579): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): L 7-12: 1480-2→1478
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): Lose by 7 points
23 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-19)	4-5	vs GB (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): L 3-19: 1497-19→1478
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477 (+11)	3-6	vs LV (1452): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): W 23-15: 1466+11→1477
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1467 (+4)	3-7	vs CLE (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): W 20-17: 1463+4→1467
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1464 (-15)	3-7	vs IND (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): L 6-31: 1479-15→1464
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1481): Slight favorite
27	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460	2-7	at NO (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1467): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452	2-7	at MIA (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (-5)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): L 17-20(OT): 1457-5→1452
next: (bye)
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1447 (+19)	3-7	vs LAR (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): W 19-3: 1428+19→1447
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (-4)	2-7	vs MIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): L 17-27: 1448-4→1444
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (+5)	3-7	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): W 20-17(OT): 1408+5→1413
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1578 (+8)	7-1	at HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1537): W 24-14: 1570+8→1578
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1576 (+13)	6-3	vs CIN (1513): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1529): W 41-10: 1563+13→1576
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): Win by 6 points
3 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-3)	8-0	vs DEN (1515): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 30-24(OT): 1571-3→1568
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): Win by 6 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (-5)	7-2	at IND (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): W 30-27: 1568-5→1563
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): Slight favorite
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538	4-4	at TB (1517): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534	6-2	at WAS (1510): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529 (-8)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1570): L 14-24: 1537-8→1529
next: (bye)
8 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1522 (+13)	5-3	vs TEN (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): W 27-10: 1509+13→1522
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+3)	6-2	at JAX (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 21-13: 1518+3→1521
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (-1)	6-2	at DAL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 28-23: 1521-1→1520
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1517 (+4)	4-5	vs SF (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): L 24-30(OT): 1513+4→1517
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Slight underdog
12 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1515 (-14)	5-4	at KC (1568): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): L 10-41: 1529-14→1515
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Lose by 6 points
13 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1513 (+10)	4-5	at BAL (1576): Lose by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): W 41-24: 1503+10→1513
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1576): Lose by 6 points
14 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1510 (+1)	7-2	vs PIT (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 27-22: 1509+1→1510
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1505 (+2)	4-4	vs MIA (1466): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): W 26-20(OT): 1503+2→1505
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 5 points
16	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (-5)	3-5	vs PHI (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 21-27: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (-9)	6-3	vs DET (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 13-21: 1508-9→1499
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (-17)	4-4	vs NE (1428): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): L 9-29: 1514-17→1497
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Win by 7 points
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (+4)	6-3	at NO (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): W 27-21: 1490+4→1494
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1489 (+17)	5-4	vs NYJ (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1514): W 29-9: 1472+17→1489
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1479): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1487 (-3)	4-5	vs BUF (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): L 13-21: 1490-3→1487
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (-2)	4-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): L 20-26(OT): 1487-2→1485
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1480 (+1)	2-7	vs MIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 23-28: 1479+1→1480
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1479 (+8)	3-6	at ARI (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): W 21-13: 1471+8→1479
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (+6)	2-6	at LAR (1505): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): L 27-30: 1460+6→1466
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1505): Lose by 5 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (-7)	2-7	vs ATL (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): L 22-23: 1470-7→1463
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Slight underdog
27 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460 (-13)	2-7	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 10-27: 1473-13→1460
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1457 (-1)	2-7	at CAR (1408): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): L 22-27: 1458-1→1457
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): Slight favorite
29 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452 (-9)	2-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): L 24-41: 1461-9→1452
next: (bye)
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	2-6	at LAC (1522): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): W 20-17(OT): 1448-0→1448
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): Lose by 7 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1428	2-7	at CHI (1497): Lose by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): L 17-20(OT): 1428+0→1428
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1408 (+7)	2-7	at NYG (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): W 23-22: 1401+7→1408
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (-1)	7-0	vs TB (1513): Win by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 27-20: 1572-1→1571
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Win by 7 points
2 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1570 (+9)	6-1	at GB (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): W 52-14: 1561+9→1570
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1537): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (+12)	6-2	vs MIA (1460): Win by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 31-10: 1556+12→1568
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): Win by 10 points
4 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1563 (-9)	5-3	vs DEN (1529): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): L 24-29: 1572-9→1563
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1529): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (+2)	4-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1508): W 30-24: 1536+2→1538
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1537	6-2	vs DET (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 30-27: 1537+0→1537
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1570): Slight underdog
7	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 26-18: 1534-0→1534
next: (bye)
8 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1529 (+2)	5-3	at BAL (1563): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1402): W 28-14: 1527+2→1529
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): Lose by 6 points
9 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+18)	5-2	vs JAX (1479): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): W 37-17: 1503+18→1521
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Win by 6 points
10 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518 (-11)	5-2	vs IND (1490): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): L 20-30: 1529-11→1518
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1514 (-3)	4-3	at ARI (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1505): L 15-18: 1517-3→1514
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-8)	4-4	at KC (1571): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): L 26-31: 1521-8→1513
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Lose by 7 points
13 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1509 (+4)	6-2	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): W 18-15: 1505+4→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (+13)	4-3	at CLE (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 26-8: 1496+13→1509
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1508 (+1)	6-2	at NYJ (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 23-20: 1507+1→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1506 (-2)	3-4	at ATL (1490): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): L 24-30: 1508-2→1506
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Tossup
17 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1503 (-19)	3-5	vs LV (1461): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): L 17-37: 1522-19→1503
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1461): Win by 6 points
18 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1503 (+11)	3-4	at SEA (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): W 30-20: 1492+11→1503
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490	4-4	at MIN (1518): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): L 20-23: 1490-0→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): Lose by 6 points
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (+8)	5-3	vs DAL (1506): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): W 31-26: 1482+8→1490
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): Tossup
21 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-13)	4-4	vs LAR (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 10-31: 1500-13→1487
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479	2-6	at PHI (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): L 27-30: 1479-0→1479
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Lose by 6 points
23 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1473 (+10)	2-6	vs LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): W 29-24: 1463+10→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (+5)	4-4	vs CHI (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): W 28-27: 1467+5→1472
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1514): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (-6)	2-6	vs HOU (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): L 22-25: 1477-6→1471
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1470 (-13)	2-6	at CAR (1401): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 8-26: 1483-13→1470
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Win by 5 points
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1461 (+1)	2-6	at CIN (1503): Lose by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 20-27: 1460+1→1461
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): Lose by 6 points
28 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1460 (-5)	2-5	at BUF (1568): Lose by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1467): L 27-28: 1465-5→1460
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): Lose by 10 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1458	2-6	vs WAS (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): L 18-26: 1458+0→1458
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1509): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448 (-10)	1-6	vs NE (1428): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): L 14-52: 1458-10→1448
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Slight favorite
31	New England PatriotsNE	1428 (+6)	2-6	at TEN (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): W 25-22: 1422+6→1428
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1401 (-1)	1-7	vs NO (1470): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): L 14-28: 1402-1→1401
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1470): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1572 (+8)	5-2	at CLE (1463): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): W 41-31: 1564+8→1572
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): Win by 7 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (+9)	6-0	at LV (1460): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): W 28-18: 1563+9→1572
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Win by 8 points
3	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (+4)	5-1	vs TEN (1458): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): W 31-29: 1557+4→1561
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): Win by 10 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (+10)	5-2	at SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1467): W 34-10: 1546+10→1556
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1537 (-1)	5-2	at JAX (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1506): W 24-22: 1538-1→1537
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (-9)	3-4	vs DAL (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): L 18-28: 1545-9→1536
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1508): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534 (+12)	5-2	vs NYG (1458): Win by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): W 37-15: 1522+12→1534
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Win by 8 points
8 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1529 (-3)	5-1	at LAR (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): L 29-31: 1532-3→1529
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (+17)	4-3	vs CAR (1402): Win by 12
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 33-10: 1510+17→1527
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1402): Win by 12 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1522 (+4)	3-4	vs PHI (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1467): W 21-14: 1518+4→1522
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1521 (-8)	4-3	vs ATL (1482): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): L 31-41: 1529-8→1521
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Win by 6 points
12 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517	4-2	at WAS (1505): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1505): Slight favorite
13	Dallas CowboysDAL	1508	3-3	at SF (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight underdog
14	Houston TexansHOU	1507 (+1)	5-2	vs IND (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): L 22-24: 1506+1→1507
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505 (+10)	5-2	vs CHI (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 40-7: 1495+10→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503 (+18)	4-2	at CIN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1475): W 28-3: 1485+18→1503
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): Slight underdog
17 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (+19)	4-3	vs BUF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 34-14: 1481+19→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-5)	3-3	vs NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): L 15-17: 1501-5→1496
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1492 (-2)	2-4	vs MIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): W 20-15: 1494-2→1492
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (+2)	4-3	at HOU (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): W 16-10: 1488+2→1490
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-17)	2-5	at LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): L 10-33: 1500-17→1483
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
22 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (-19)	4-3	at TB (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): L 14-34: 1501-19→1482
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): Lose by 6 points
23 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (+11)	2-5	vs GB (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1433): W 32-16: 1468+11→1479
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1477 (-12)	2-5	at NE (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): L 15-37: 1489-12→1477
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1422): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1467 (+5)	3-4	at MIA (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 17-15: 1462+5→1467
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Slight underdog
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (-3)	2-4	vs ARI (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1488): L 10-16: 1468-3→1465
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1467): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1463 (-4)	1-6	vs BAL (1572): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): L 14-21: 1467-4→1463
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (+2)	2-5	vs KC (1572): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): L 15-20: 1458+2→1460
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Lose by 8 points
29 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1458 (-9)	1-5	at DET (1561): Lose by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): L 10-34: 1467-9→1458
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): Lose by 10 points
30 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-17)	2-5	at PIT (1534): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): L 3-28: 1475-17→1458
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): Lose by 8 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1422 (-11)	1-6	vs NYJ (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): L 16-32: 1433-11→1422
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1402 (-11)	1-6	at DEN (1527): Lose by 12
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): L 7-40: 1413-11→1402
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1564 (-2)	4-2	at TB (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1494): W 30-23: 1566-2→1564
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1529): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563	5-0	at SF (1545): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1545): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (+18)	4-1	at MIN (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): W 47-9: 1539+18→1557
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1546 (-1)	4-2	vs TEN (1467): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): W 23-20: 1547-1→1546
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1467): Win by 8 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1545 (+9)	3-3	vs KC (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): W 36-24: 1536+9→1545
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538 (+10)	4-2	vs HOU (1506): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): W 34-13: 1528+10→1538
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1506): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1532	5-0	vs DET (1557): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1529 (+19)	4-2	vs BAL (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): W 51-27: 1510+19→1529
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): Slight underdog
9 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1522 (+14)	4-2	vs NYJ (1489): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 32-13: 1508+14→1522
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1489): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1518 (+9)	2-4	at CLE (1467): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 17-7: 1509+9→1518
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1467): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517 (+13)	4-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): W 35-16: 1504+13→1517
next: (bye)
12 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (-9)	3-3	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 16-23: 1519-9→1510
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
13 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1508 (-18)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): L 9-47: 1526-18→1508
next: (bye)
14 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1506 (+13)	5-1	at GB (1538): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1446): W 41-21: 1493+13→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Lose by 6 points
15 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (+9)	3-2	at ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1519): W 23-16: 1492+9→1501
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501 (+11)	4-2	vs SEA (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): W 38-20: 1490+11→1501
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Slight favorite
17 (-8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-19)	2-4	vs DEN (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 27-51: 1519-19→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1495 (+1)	4-2	vs CAR (1413): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): L 23-30: 1494+1→1495
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Win by 9 points
19 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494	1-4	vs LV (1458): Win by 6
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Win by 6 points
20 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1489 (+1)	2-4	at PIT (1522): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): L 20-23: 1488+1→1489
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): Lose by 6 points
21 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1488 (+5)	3-3	vs MIA (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): W 20-17: 1483+5→1488
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): Slight favorite
22	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1485 (-1)	3-2	at NYG (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): W 20-16: 1486-1→1485
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1475): Slight underdog
23 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-9)	3-3	at ATL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): L 24-36: 1490-9→1481
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1475 (-9)	2-4	vs PHI (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): L 7-17: 1484-9→1475
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): Slight favorite
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1468 (-14)	1-5	at NE (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): L 16-35: 1482-14→1468
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1433): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468	2-3	at IND (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1488): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1467 (-5)	1-4	at BUF (1546): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): L 17-20: 1472-5→1467
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): Lose by 8 points
28 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1467 (+1)	1-5	vs CIN (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): L 16-20: 1466+1→1467
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-10)	2-4	vs LAC (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): L 13-34: 1472-10→1462
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight underdog
30 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (-14)	2-4	at LAR (1494): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): L 13-32: 1472-14→1458
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): Lose by 6 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1433 (-13)	1-5	at JAX (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1493): L 21-41: 1446-13→1433
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (-10)	1-5	at WAS (1495): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 20-38: 1423-10→1413
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1495): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1566 (-1)	3-2	vs WAS (1494): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): W 41-38(OT): 1567-1→1566
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1494): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563 (+9)	5-0	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): W 26-13: 1554+9→1563
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (-8)	3-2	at NYJ (1488): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): L 20-23: 1555-8→1547
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): Win by 5 points
4 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1539	3-1	at DAL (1526): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (-13)	2-3	at SEA (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): L 23-24: 1549-13→1536
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight favorite
6	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1532 (+1)	5-0	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): W 23-17: 1531+1→1532
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+2)	3-2	vs ARI (1472): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): W 24-19: 1526+2→1528
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (+3)	3-2	vs DET (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): W 20-17: 1523+3→1526
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1539): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519 (-9)	2-3	vs TB (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): L 13-26: 1528-9→1519
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1519 (+11)	3-2	vs LAC (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 34-18: 1508+11→1519
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (-3)	3-2	at NO (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): L 30-36(OT): 1513-3→1510
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1509 (+1)	1-4	at NYG (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): L 38-41(OT): 1508+1→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (-3)	3-2	at LV (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 17-20: 1511-3→1508
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1504 (+12)	3-2	at JAX (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): W 36-10: 1492+12→1504
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): Slight favorite
15	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494 (-2)	1-4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): L 19-24: 1496-2→1494
16 (+10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1494 (+16)	4-1	at BAL (1566): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): W 34-13: 1478+16→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Lose by 8 points
17 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1493 (+8)	4-1	at NE (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): W 23-20: 1485+8→1493
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1446): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	2-2	at DEN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1519): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-13)	3-2	vs SF (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): L 20-29: 1503-13→1490
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (+3)	3-2	at CAR (1423): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 36-30(OT): 1487+3→1490
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1423): Win by 6 points
21 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1488 (-2)	2-3	vs BUF (1547): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 17-23: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Lose by 5 points
22 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1486	2-2	vs CLE (1466): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): Win by 6 points
23 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (+12)	2-3	vs CIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 29-20: 1472+12→1484
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-3)	2-3	at TEN (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): L 34-37: 1486-3→1483
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Slight underdog
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1482 (+3)	1-4	at CHI (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): W 37-34: 1479+3→1482
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): Slight underdog
26 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (-11)	2-3	vs PIT (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1508): L 18-34: 1483-11→1472
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (+13)	2-3	at GB (1528): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): W 24-23: 1459+13→1472
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Lose by 7 points
28	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472	1-3	vs IND (1483): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): Slight favorite
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468 (+4)	2-3	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1450): W 15-10: 1464+4→1468
next: (bye)
30 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1466 (-15)	1-4	at PHI (1486): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): L 13-34: 1481-15→1466
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1486): Lose by 6 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1446 (-4)	1-4	vs HOU (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): L 10-15: 1450-4→1446
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1493): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1423 (-11)	1-4	vs ATL (1490): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): L 10-36: 1434-11→1423
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1567 (+19)	2-2	at CIN (1508): Win by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): W 35-10: 1548+19→1567
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): Win by 5 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-19)	3-1	at HOU (1485): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 10-35: 1574-19→1555
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Win by 6 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1554 (+2)	4-0	vs NO (1528): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 17-10: 1552+2→1554
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): Win by 5 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+6)	2-2	vs ARI (1459): Win by 10
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): W 30-13: 1543+6→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): Win by 10 points
5 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1539 (+10)	3-1	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): W 42-29: 1529+10→1539
next: (bye)
6 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+5)	4-0	at NYJ (1490): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): W 31-29: 1526+5→1531
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): Win by 5 points
7 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528 (-7)	2-2	at KC (1554): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): L 24-26: 1535-7→1528
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): Lose by 5 points
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (-5)	2-2	at LAR (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): L 29-31: 1531-5→1526
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1496): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523	2-2	at PIT (1511): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 20-15: 1523-0→1523
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Tossup
10 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (+14)	3-1	at ATL (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): W 33-16: 1499+14→1513
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1511 (-6)	3-1	vs DAL (1523): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): L 24-27: 1517-6→1511
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Tossup
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (+4)	2-2	vs LV (1483): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): W 10-9: 1504+4→1508
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Win by 5 points
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1508 (+6)	1-3	vs BAL (1567): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): W 34-24: 1502+6→1508
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): Lose by 5 points
14 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (-10)	3-1	vs NYG (1472): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 29-42: 1513-10→1503
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 5 points
15 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1496 (-5)	1-3	vs GB (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): L 18-24: 1501-5→1496
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1492 (+4)	2-2	vs CAR (1434): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 24-18: 1488+4→1492
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): Win by 7 points
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-3)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 10-17: 1495-3→1492
next: (bye)
18	New York JetsNYJ	1490 (-4)	2-2	at MIN (1531): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1504): L 9-10: 1494-4→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Lose by 5 points
19 (+8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+8)	2-2	vs TB (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): W 26-24: 1479+8→1487
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1486 (-14)	2-2	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): L 16-33: 1500-14→1486
next: (bye)
21 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (+6)	2-2	at JAX (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): W 27-24: 1480+6→1486
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight underdog
22	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (+2)	3-1	vs BUF (1555): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): W 24-20: 1483+2→1485
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Lose by 6 points
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+2)	2-2	at DEN (1508): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): W 20-16: 1481+2→1483
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Lose by 5 points
24 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (-2)	1-3	at WAS (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 16-20: 1483-2→1481
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): Slight underdog
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (-2)	0-4	vs IND (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): L 20-24: 1481-2→1479
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight favorite
26 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1478 (+23)	3-1	vs CLE (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): W 42-14: 1455+23→1478
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472	1-3	at SEA (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 15-20: 1472+0→1472
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Lose by 5 points
28 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (+22)	1-3	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): W 31-12: 1450+22→1472
next: (bye)
29 (-9)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (-21)	1-3	at NE (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): L 12-31: 1485-21→1464
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1450): Slight underdog
30 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1459 (-23)	1-3	at SF (1549): Lose by 10
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): L 14-42: 1482-23→1459
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Lose by 10 points
31 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1450 (-6)	1-3	vs MIA (1464): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): L 13-30: 1456-6→1450
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Slight favorite
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1434 (-6)	1-3	at CHI (1492): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): L 24-34: 1440-6→1434
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (+11)	3-0	at BAL (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): W 47-10: 1563+11→1574
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-3)	3-0	at LAC (1495): Win by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): W 22-17: 1555-3→1552
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Win by 5 points
3 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (+3)	1-2	vs BUF (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): W 28-25: 1545+3→1548
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (-8)	1-2	vs NE (1456): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): L 24-27: 1551-8→1543
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1456): Win by 9 points
5 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535 (-11)	2-1	at ATL (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): L 12-15: 1546-11→1535
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Win by 5 points
6 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (+10)	2-1	vs MIN (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): W 30-14: 1521+10→1531
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Slight favorite
7	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+4)	2-1	vs SEA (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 20-13: 1525+4→1529
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (+17)	3-0	at GB (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 34-7: 1509+17→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (-3)	1-2	at NYG (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): L 25-28: 1526-3→1523
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1517 (+8)	3-0	at IND (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 20-10: 1509+8→1517
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight favorite
11 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1513 (+17)	3-0	at DET (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): W 24-3: 1496+17→1513
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight underdog
12 (+12)	Denver BroncosDEN	1504 (+23)	1-2	at NYJ (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): W 26-7: 1481+23→1504
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-12)	0-3	at CAR (1440): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1443): L 33-38: 1514-12→1502
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): Win by 6 points
14 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (+8)	1-2	at CHI (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): W 27-24: 1493+8→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Slight underdog
15 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500 (+12)	2-1	at TB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): W 15-12: 1488+12→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): Slight underdog
16 (-8)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1499 (-23)	2-1	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): L 7-26: 1522-23→1499
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-8)	2-1	vs KC (1552): Lose by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): L 10-20: 1503-8→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 5 points
18 (+7)	New York JetsNYJ	1494 (+15)	2-1	vs DEN (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1471): W 24-3: 1479+15→1494
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1504): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (-3)	1-2	vs LAR (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): L 16-21: 1491-3→1488
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Slight favorite
20 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1485 (-17)	1-2	vs TEN (1450): Win by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 3-24: 1502-17→1485
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1450): Win by 6 points
21 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1483 (-10)	1-2	at LV (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): L 15-21: 1493-10→1483
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight underdog
22 (-6)	Houston TexansHOU	1483 (-17)	2-1	vs JAX (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 7-34: 1500-17→1483
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): Slight favorite
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-4)	1-2	vs WAS (1455): Win by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1525): L 13-20: 1486-4→1482
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Win by 6 points
24 (-11)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-24)	1-2	vs CLE (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1416): L 22-36: 1505-24→1481
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): Slight favorite
25 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1481 (-10)	0-3	at HOU (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 10-47: 1491-10→1481
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): Slight underdog
26	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (+3)	1-2	vs PIT (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): W 21-16: 1477+3→1480
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1517): Slight underdog
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+3)	1-2	vs NO (1535): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 17-22: 1476+3→1479
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): Lose by 5 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (+10)	1-2	vs DAL (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 21-15: 1462+10→1472
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1456 (-15)	1-2	at SF (1543): Lose by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): L 3-24: 1471-15→1456
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455 (+12)	2-1	at ARI (1482): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): W 38-33: 1443+12→1455
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Lose by 6 points
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1450 (-11)	0-3	at MIA (1485): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): L 14-30: 1461-11→1450
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1440 (+24)	1-2	vs CIN (1502): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): W 36-22: 1416+24→1440
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (+16)	2-0	vs JAX (1491): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): W 31-10: 1547+16→1563
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (-3)	2-0	at ATL (1476): Win by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): W 26-25: 1558-3→1555
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1551 (-10)	1-1	at LAR (1493): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): L 17-23: 1561-10→1551
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1493): Win by 6 points
4 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1546 (+23)	2-0	vs PHI (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): W 44-19: 1523+23→1546
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): Win by 8 points
5 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1545 (-13)	0-2	at DAL (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): L 23-26: 1558-13→1545
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (-23)	1-1	vs BAL (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): L 19-44: 1549-23→1526
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1525 (-7)	1-1	at ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): L 16-20: 1532-7→1525
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522 (+7)	2-0	vs DEN (1481): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1532): W 20-16: 1515+7→1522
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): Win by 6 points
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (-2)	1-1	at TEN (1461): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): W 16-10: 1523-2→1521
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (+3)	0-2	vs WAS (1443): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): L 25-26: 1511+3→1514
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1443): Win by 9 points
11 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (+10)	2-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): W 23-17: 1499+10→1509
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1509 (+7)	2-0	vs LAC (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): W 13-6: 1502+7→1509
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1505 (+13)	1-1	vs CAR (1416): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1558): W 26-23: 1492+13→1505
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1416): Win by 10 points
14 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+13)	2-0	at PIT (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): W 26-3: 1490+13→1503
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): Slight underdog
15 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (-16)	1-1	at SEA (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): L 10-31: 1518-16→1502
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1500 (+4)	2-0	at MIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): W 19-13: 1496+4→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (+2)	2-0	vs MIA (1502): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): W 23-20(OT): 1494+2→1496
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): Slight favorite
18 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+6)	1-1	vs NYG (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 18-13: 1487+6→1493
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): Win by 6 points
19 (-9)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1493 (-24)	0-2	vs SF (1551): Lose by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): L 10-41: 1517-24→1493
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): Lose by 6 points
20 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1491 (-7)	0-2	at BUF (1563): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): L 13-18: 1498-7→1491
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Lose by 9 points
21 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (-3)	1-1	at IND (1477): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): L 13-19: 1494-3→1491
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): Tossup
22 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1488 (-9)	1-1	at NO (1546): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): L 21-22: 1497-9→1488
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): Lose by 8 points
23 (+7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486 (+24)	1-1	vs DET (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): W 41-10: 1462+24→1486
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1525): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1481 (-7)	0-2	at TB (1522): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 6-13: 1488-7→1481
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Lose by 6 points
25 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1479 (+8)	1-1	vs NE (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): W 24-17: 1471+8→1479
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1471): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1477 (+2)	0-2	vs CHI (1491): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): L 10-16: 1475+2→1477
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Tossup
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (+9)	1-1	vs KC (1555): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): W 22-21: 1467+9→1476
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Lose by 7 points
28 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1471 (-2)	1-1	at NYJ (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): L 20-23(OT): 1473-2→1471
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1479): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1462 (-5)	0-2	at CLE (1493): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): L 18-21: 1467-5→1462
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Lose by 6 points
30 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1461 (-8)	0-2	vs GB (1521): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 17-24: 1469-8→1461
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1443 (+5)	1-1	at CIN (1514): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): W 21-18: 1438+5→1443
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1416 (-13)	0-2	at LV (1505): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 3-26: 1429-13→1416
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1505): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1561 (+2)	1-0	at MIN (1499): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 32-19: 1559+2→1561
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (+3)	1-0	vs CIN (1511): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): W 27-20: 1555+3→1558
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1558 (-3)	0-1	vs LV (1492): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 20-27: 1561-3→1558
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1549 (+5)	1-0	vs NO (1523): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 33-17: 1544+5→1549
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (-3)	1-0	at MIA (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): W 34-28: 1550-3→1547
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): Slight favorite
6	Detroit LionsDET	1532 (-1)	1-0	vs TB (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): W 26-20(OT): 1533-1→1532
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+5)	1-0	at DAL (1549): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): W 47-10: 1518+5→1523
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): Lose by 6 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1523 (-4)	0-1	vs IND (1475): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): L 29-34: 1527-4→1523
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	1-0	vs BUF (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): W 20-17: 1518-0→1518
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	0-1	at ARI (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): L 20-26(OT): 1517+0→1517
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (+4)	1-0	at DET (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1441): W 37-20: 1511+4→1515
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1532): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (-6)	0-1	at KC (1558): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1466): L 10-16: 1517-6→1511
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Lose by 7 points
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (+3)	1-0	at DEN (1488): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): W 18-10: 1499+3→1502
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): Tossup
14 (+7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+9)	1-0	vs SF (1561): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): W 28-6: 1490+9→1499
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): Lose by 6 points
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498	0-1	vs CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): L 17-20: 1498+0→1498
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1497 (+3)	1-0	vs ATL (1467): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1527): W 34-29: 1494+3→1497
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): Win by 6 points
17 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (+1)	1-0	vs CHI (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): W 29-27: 1495+1→1496
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight favorite
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+1)	1-0	at HOU (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): W 24-17: 1493+1→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (+2)	1-0	at NE (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): W 26-20: 1492+2→1494
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1473): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (-6)	0-1	at BAL (1558): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): L 10-22: 1498-6→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1558): Lose by 9 points
21 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (+7)	1-0	at CAR (1429): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): W 22-10: 1483+7→1490
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): Win by 6 points
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1488 (-2)	0-1	vs PIT (1502): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): L 20-26: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Tossup
23 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-6)	0-1	at JAX (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): L 17-33: 1493-6→1487
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1475 (-1)	0-1	at GB (1523): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): L 27-29: 1476-1→1475
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1523): Lose by 7 points
25 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1473 (+7)	1-0	vs SEA (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 16-10: 1466+7→1473
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Slight underdog
26	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (-1)	0-1	at TEN (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): L 19-32: 1472-1→1471
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Slight underdog
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-1)	0-1	vs NYJ (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): L 17-24: 1470-1→1469
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): Slight favorite
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1467 (-3)	0-1	at PHI (1497): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 10-18: 1470-3→1467
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1497): Lose by 6 points
29 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (-9)	0-1	at WAS (1438): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): L 6-28: 1476-9→1467
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): Slight favorite
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (+4)	0-1	vs LAR (1517): Lose by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): L 28-34: 1458+4→1462
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1438 (-3)	0-1	vs NYG (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 20-37: 1441-3→1438
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429 (-5)	0-1	vs LAC (1490): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): L 10-47: 1434-5→1429
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1561	0-0	at KC (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1592-31→1561
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Slight underdog
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1559	0-0	vs NYJ (1472): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-31→1559
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555	0-0	vs BAL (1561): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1584-29→1555
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1550	0-0	vs ARI (1458): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1576-26→1550
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1458): Win by 11 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544	0-0	at CLE (1493): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1566-22→1544
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Win by 5 points
6	Detroit LionsDET	1533	0-0	vs LAR (1517): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-16→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Slight favorite
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1527	0-0	at PHI (1494): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-13→1527
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1494): Win by 5 points
8	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	0-0	vs JAX (1498): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-10→1518
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1498): Win by 5 points
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	0-0	vs CAR (1434): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-9→1518
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1434): Win by 10 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517	0-0	vs NE (1466): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-10→1517
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1466): Win by 8 points
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	0-0	at DET (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1525-8→1517
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1533): Slight underdog
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511	0-0	vs WAS (1441): Win by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1517-6→1511
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1441): Win by 9 points
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	0-0	at ATL (1470): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1499+0→1499
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): Slight favorite
14	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1498	0-0	at LAC (1483): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1498+0→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1498	0-0	at MIA (1518): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1496+2→1498
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1518): Lose by 5 points
16	Houston TexansHOU	1495	0-0	at IND (1476): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+3→1495
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): Slight favorite
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1494	0-0	at GB (1527): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+4→1494
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1527): Lose by 5 points
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1493	0-0	vs TEN (1470): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+3→1493
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Win by 5 points
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493	0-0	vs DAL (1544): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+4→1493
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Lose by 5 points
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492	0-0	vs DEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1488+4→1492
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1490	0-0	at NYG (1476): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1485+5→1490
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1476): Tossup
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1490	0-0	at SEA (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1484+6→1490
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight underdog
23	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1483	0-0	vs LV (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1474+9→1483
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476	0-0	vs HOU (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1476	0-0	vs MIN (1490): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): Tossup
26	New York JetsNYJ	1472	0-0	at SF (1559): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1458+14→1472
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): Lose by 11 points
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1470	0-0	at CHI (1493): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Lose by 5 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1470	0-0	vs PIT (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight underdog
29	New England PatriotsNE	1466	0-0	at CIN (1517): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1449+17→1466
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Lose by 8 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1458	0-0	at BUF (1550): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1437+21→1458
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): Lose by 11 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1441	0-0	at TB (1511): Lose by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1410+31→1441
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1434	0-0	at NO (1518): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1400+34→1434
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: 1501
1	30	at BUF(1550) L 28-34: +4→1462	9	20	vs CHI(1514) W 29-9: +17→1489	17	19	at LAR(1514) L 9-13: -0→1485
2	23	vs LAR(1517) W 41-10: +24→1486	10	15	vs NYJ(1479) W 31-6: +15→1504	18		vs SF
3	23	vs DET(1525) L 13-20: -4→1482	11	15	(bye)	W
4	30	vs WAS(1455) L 14-42: -23→1459	12	17	at SEA(1491) L 6-16: -10→1494	D
5	27	at SF(1549) W 24-23: +13→1472	13	17	at MIN(1531) L 22-23: -0→1494	C
6	29	at GB(1528) L 13-34: -10→1462	14	19	vs SEA(1504) L 18-30: -12→1482	S
7	25	vs LAC(1501) W 17-15: +5→1467	15	18	vs NE(1429) W 30-17: +9→1491
8	24	at MIA(1465) W 28-27: +5→1472	16	20	at CAR(1405) L 30-36: -6→1485

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: 1401
1	28	vs PIT(1499) L 10-18: -3→1467	9	19	vs DAL(1506) W 27-21: +4→1494	17	20	at WAS(1513) L 24-30: +1→1479
2	27	at PHI(1497) W 22-21: +9→1476	10	18	at NO(1463) L 17-20: -4→1490	18		vs CAR
3	27	vs KC(1555) L 17-22: +3→1479	11	23	at DEN(1516) L 6-38: -15→1475	W
4	19	vs NO(1535) W 26-24: +8→1487	12	22	(bye)	D
5	20	vs TB(1513) W 36-30: +3→1490	13	24	vs LAC(1524) L 13-17: -3→1472	C
6	16	at CAR(1423) W 38-20: +11→1501	14	25	at MIN(1531) L 21-42: -12→1460	S
7	22	vs SEA(1481) L 14-34: -19→1482	15	24	at LV(1429) W 15-9: +4→1464
8	20	at TB(1521) W 31-26: +8→1490	16	21	vs NYG(1421) W 34-7: +14→1478

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (-50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1516 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: 1412
1	3	at KC(1555) L 20-27: -3→1558	9	2	vs DEN(1529) W 41-10: +13→1576	17	1	at HOU(1513) W 31-2: +14→1605
2	5	vs LV(1492) L 23-26: -13→1545	10	2	vs CIN(1513) W 35-34: -2→1574	18		vs CLE
3	3	at DAL(1526) W 28-25: +3→1548	11	3	at PIT(1536) L 16-18: -4→1570	W
4	1	vs BUF(1574) W 35-10: +19→1567	12	2	at LAC(1529) W 30-23: +6→1576	D
5	1	at CIN(1508) W 41-38: -1→1566	13	3	vs PHI(1554) L 19-24: -6→1570	C
6	1	vs WAS(1494) W 30-23: -2→1564	14	3	(bye)	S
7	1	at TB(1529) W 41-31: +8→1572	15	3	at NYG(1431) W 35-14: +10→1580
8	4	at CLE(1463) L 24-29: -9→1563	16	2	vs PIT(1536) W 34-17: +11→1591

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1413
1	5	vs ARI(1458) W 34-28: -3→1547	9	4	vs MIA(1460) W 30-27: -5→1563	17	3	vs NYJ(1457) W 40-14: +9→1591
2	1	at MIA(1518) W 31-10: +16→1563	10	3	at IND(1487) W 30-20: +6→1569	18		at NE
3	1	vs JAX(1491) W 47-10: +11→1574	11	2	vs KC(1567) W 30-21: +6→1575	W
4	2	at BAL(1548) L 10-35: -19→1555	12	3	(bye)	D
5	3	at HOU(1485) L 20-23: -8→1547	13	2	vs SF(1518) W 35-10: +12→1587	C
6	4	at NYJ(1488) W 23-20: -1→1546	14	2	at LAR(1493) L 42-44: -5→1582	S
7	4	vs TEN(1467) W 34-10: +10→1556	15	2	at DET(1599) W 48-42: +7→1589
8	3	at SEA(1500) W 31-10: +12→1568	16	3	vs NE(1420) W 24-21: -7→1582

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+90 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: 1479
1	32	at NO(1518) L 10-47: -5→1429	9	32	vs NO(1470) W 23-22: +7→1408	17	32	at TB(1548) L 14-48: -9→1401
2	32	vs LAC(1490) L 3-26: -13→1416	10	32	at NYG(1457) W 20-17: +5→1413	18		at ATL
3	32	at LV(1505) W 36-22: +24→1440	11	32	(bye)	W
4	32	vs CIN(1502) L 24-34: -6→1434	12	32	vs KC(1560) L 27-30: +1→1414	D
5	32	at CHI(1492) L 10-36: -11→1423	13	32	vs TB(1529) L 23-26: +0→1414	C
6	32	vs ATL(1490) L 20-38: -10→1413	14	32	at PHI(1559) L 16-22: +3→1417	S
7	32	at WAS(1495) L 7-40: -11→1402	15	32	vs DAL(1474) L 14-30: -12→1405
8	32	at DEN(1527) L 14-28: -1→1401	16	31	vs ARI(1491) W 36-30: +5→1410

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: 1577
1	18	vs TEN(1470) W 24-17: +1→1494	9	18	at ARI(1472) L 9-29: -17→1497	17	27	vs SEA(1501) L 3-6: -2→1444
2	21	at HOU(1496) L 13-19: -3→1491	10	23	vs NE(1428) L 3-19: -19→1478	18		at GB
3	19	at IND(1477) L 16-21: -3→1488	11	22	vs GB(1529) L 19-20: -1→1477	W
4	16	vs LAR(1501) W 24-18: +4→1492	12	23	vs MIN(1530) L 27-30: -2→1475	D
5	14	vs CAR(1434) W 36-10: +12→1504	13	21	at DET(1602) L 20-23: +3→1478	C
6	11	at JAX(1482) W 35-16: +13→1517	14	24	at SF(1505) L 13-38: -14→1464	S
7	12	(bye)	15	26	at MIN(1543) L 12-30: -10→1454
8	11	at WAS(1505) L 15-18: -3→1514	16	26	vs DET(1591) L 17-34: -8→1446

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	12	vs NE(1466) L 10-16: -6→1511	9	13	vs LV(1461) W 41-24: +10→1513	17	11	vs DEN(1545) W 30-24: +3→1530
2	10	at KC(1558) L 25-26: +3→1514	10	12	at BAL(1576) L 34-35: +2→1515	18		at PIT
3	13	vs WAS(1443) L 33-38: -12→1502	11	14	at LAC(1525) L 27-34: -5→1510	W
4	13	at CAR(1440) W 34-24: +6→1508	12	13	(bye)	D
5	12	vs BAL(1567) L 38-41: +1→1509	13	15	vs PIT(1535) L 38-44: -5→1505	C
6	10	at NYG(1484) W 17-7: +9→1518	14	15	at DAL(1481) W 27-20: +6→1511	S
7	10	at CLE(1467) W 21-14: +4→1522	15	11	at TEN(1429) W 37-27: +7→1518
8	17	vs PHI(1503) L 17-37: -19→1503	16	10	vs CLE(1433) W 24-6: +9→1527

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1537 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: 1605
1	23	vs DAL(1544) L 17-33: -6→1487	9	27	vs LAC(1509) L 10-27: -13→1460	17	31	vs MIA(1498) L 3-20: -12→1412
2	18	at JAX(1498) W 18-13: +6→1493	10	27	(bye)	18		at BAL
3	21	vs NYG(1462) L 15-21: -10→1483	11	28	at NO(1467) L 14-35: -14→1446	W
4	24	at LV(1481) L 16-20: -2→1481	12	27	vs PIT(1541) W 24-19: +5→1451	D
5	30	at WAS(1478) L 13-34: -15→1466	13	27	at DEN(1538) L 32-41: -3→1448	C
6	28	at PHI(1486) L 16-20: +1→1467	14	27	at PIT(1540) L 14-27: -7→1441	S
7	27	vs CIN(1518) L 14-21: -4→1463	15	27	vs KC(1556) L 7-21: -8→1433
8	23	vs BAL(1572) W 29-24: +10→1473	16	29	at CIN(1518) L 6-24: -9→1424

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: 1512
1	4	at CLE(1493) W 33-17: +5→1549	9	16	at ATL(1490) L 21-27: -5→1501	17	21	at PHI(1562) L 7-41: -13→1479
2	6	vs NO(1523) L 19-44: -23→1526	10	20	vs PHI(1520) L 6-34: -17→1484	18		vs WAS
3	9	vs BAL(1545) L 25-28: -3→1523	11	24	vs HOU(1499) L 10-34: -17→1467	W
4	9	at NYG(1472) W 20-15: -0→1523	12	21	at WAS(1503) W 34-26: +11→1478	D
5	8	at PIT(1511) W 20-17: +3→1526	13	20	vs NYG(1437) W 27-20: +3→1481	C
6	13	vs DET(1539) L 9-47: -18→1508	14	22	vs CIN(1505) L 20-27: -7→1474	S
7	13	(bye)	15	20	at CAR(1417) W 30-14: +12→1486
8	16	at SF(1536) L 24-30: -2→1506	16	19	vs TB(1554) W 26-24: +6→1492

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: 1582
1	22	at SEA(1492) L 20-26: -2→1488	9	12	at BAL(1563) L 10-41: -14→1515	17	9	at CIN(1527) L 24-30: -2→1543
2	24	vs PIT(1502) L 6-13: -7→1481	10	11	at KC(1568) L 14-16: +1→1516	18		vs KC
3	12	at TB(1522) W 26-7: +23→1504	11	8	vs ATL(1490) W 38-6: +15→1531	W
4	12	at NYJ(1494) W 10-9: +4→1508	12	7	at LV(1440) W 29-19: +7→1538	D
5	10	vs LV(1483) W 34-18: +11→1519	13	7	vs CLE(1451) W 41-32: +4→1542	C
6	12	vs LAC(1492) L 16-23: -9→1510	14	9	(bye)	S
7	9	at NO(1500) W 33-10: +17→1527	15	9	vs IND(1476) W 31-13: +10→1552
8	8	vs CAR(1402) W 28-14: +2→1529	16	9	at LAC(1510) L 27-34: -7→1545

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-61 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1548 \| avg. remaining rating: 1558
1	6	vs LAR(1517) W 26-20: -1→1532	9	1	at GB(1537) W 24-14: +8→1578	17	2	at SF(1502) W 40-34: +1→1601
2	7	vs TB(1515) L 16-20: -7→1525	10	1	at HOU(1499) W 26-23: +1→1579	18		vs MIN
3	7	at ARI(1486) W 20-13: +4→1529	11	1	vs JAX(1478) W 52-6: +12→1591	W
4	5	vs SEA(1513) W 42-29: +10→1539	12	1	at IND(1485) W 24-6: +11→1602	D
5	4	(bye)	13	1	vs CHI(1475) W 23-20: -3→1599	C
6	3	at DAL(1526) W 47-9: +18→1557	14	1	vs GB(1555) W 34-31: -0→1599	S
7	3	at MIN(1532) W 31-29: +4→1561	15	1	vs BUF(1582) L 42-48: -8→1591
8	2	vs TEN(1458) W 52-14: +9→1570	16	1	at CHI(1454) W 34-17: +9→1600

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1549 \| avg. remaining rating: 1444
1	8	at PHI(1494) L 29-34: -4→1523	9	7	vs DET(1570) L 14-24: -8→1529	17	5	at MIN(1555) L 25-27: -3→1577
2	9	vs IND(1475) W 16-10: -2→1521	10	8	(bye)	18		vs CHI
3	6	at TEN(1461) W 30-14: +10→1531	11	9	at CHI(1478) W 20-19: +1→1530	W
4	8	vs MIN(1526) L 29-31: -5→1526	12	6	vs SF(1534) W 38-10: +16→1546	D
5	7	at LAR(1496) W 24-19: +2→1528	13	6	vs MIA(1500) W 30-17: +9→1555	C
6	6	vs ARI(1472) W 34-13: +10→1538	14	6	at DET(1599) L 31-34: +0→1555	S
7	5	vs HOU(1506) W 24-22: -1→1537	15	4	at SEA(1516) W 30-13: +13→1568
8	6	at JAX(1479) W 30-27: +0→1537	16	4	vs NO(1474) W 34-0: +12→1580

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: 1416
1	17	at IND(1476) W 29-27: +1→1496	9	17	at NYJ(1471) L 13-21: -9→1499	17	18	vs BAL(1591) L 2-31: -15→1498
2	16	vs CHI(1494) W 19-13: +4→1500	10	16	vs DET(1578) L 23-26: -0→1499	18		at TEN
3	22	at MIN(1509) L 7-34: -17→1483	11	12	at DAL(1484) W 34-10: +17→1516	W
4	22	vs JAX(1481) W 24-20: +2→1485	12	14	vs TEN(1438) L 27-32: -8→1508	D
5	17	vs BUF(1555) W 23-20: +8→1493	13	12	at JAX(1466) W 23-20: +4→1512	C
6	14	at NE(1446) W 41-21: +13→1506	14	14	(bye)	S
7	14	at GB(1538) L 22-24: +1→1507	15	12	vs MIA(1490) W 20-12: +4→1516
8	15	vs IND(1490) W 23-20: +1→1508	16	15	at KC(1565) L 19-27: -3→1513

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1467 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: 1457
1	24	vs HOU(1495) L 27-29: -1→1475	9	21	at MIN(1518) L 13-21: -3→1487	17	23	at NYG(1407) L 33-45: -14→1456
2	26	at GB(1523) L 10-16: +2→1477	10	21	vs BUF(1563) L 20-30: -6→1481	18		vs JAX
3	26	vs CHI(1491) W 21-16: +3→1480	11	20	at NYJ(1464) W 28-27: +4→1485	W
4	21	vs PIT(1517) W 27-24: +6→1486	12	24	vs DET(1591) L 6-24: -12→1473	D
5	24	at JAX(1479) L 34-37: -3→1483	13	22	at NE(1432) W 25-24: +3→1476	C
6	21	at TEN(1472) W 20-17: +5→1488	14	21	(bye)	S
7	20	vs MIA(1468) W 16-10: +2→1490	15	22	at DEN(1542) L 13-31: -10→1466
8	19	at HOU(1507) L 20-23: -0→1490	16	22	vs TEN(1422) W 38-30: +4→1470

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1442 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1456
1	15	at MIA(1518) L 17-20: +0→1498	9	23	at PHI(1521) L 23-28: +1→1480	17	22	vs TEN(1419) W 20-13: +3→1457
2	20	vs CLE(1487) L 13-18: -7→1491	10	22	vs MIN(1521) L 7-12: -2→1478	18		at IND
3	25	at BUF(1563) L 10-47: -10→1481	11	25	at DET(1579) L 6-52: -12→1466	W
4	25	at HOU(1483) L 20-24: -2→1479	12	25	(bye)	D
5	25	vs IND(1486) W 37-34: +3→1482	13	25	vs HOU(1508) L 20-23: -4→1462	C
6	25	at CHI(1504) L 16-35: -14→1468	14	23	at TEN(1433) W 10-6: +4→1466	S
7	23	at NE(1433) W 32-16: +11→1479	15	25	vs NYJ(1457) L 25-32: -8→1458
8	22	vs GB(1537) L 27-30: -0→1479	16	25	at LV(1424) L 14-19: -4→1454

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-59 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1569 \| avg. remaining rating: 1543
1	2	vs BAL(1561) W 27-20: +3→1558	9	3	vs TB(1513) W 30-24: -3→1568	17	4	at PIT(1525) W 29-10: +14→1582
2	2	vs CIN(1511) W 26-25: -3→1555	10	4	vs DEN(1515) W 16-14: -1→1567	18		at DEN
3	2	at ATL(1476) W 22-17: -3→1552	11	4	at BUF(1569) L 21-30: -7→1560	W
4	3	at LAC(1495) W 17-10: +2→1554	12	4	at CAR(1413) W 30-27: -1→1559	D
5	2	vs NO(1528) W 26-13: +9→1563	13	5	vs LV(1434) W 19-17: -3→1556	C
6	2	(bye)	14	5	vs LAC(1528) W 19-17: +0→1556	S
7	2	at SF(1545) W 28-18: +9→1572	15	6	at CLE(1441) W 21-7: +9→1565
8	1	at LV(1460) W 27-20: -1→1571	16	5	vs HOU(1516) W 27-19: +3→1568

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1531
1	20	at LAC(1483) L 10-22: -6→1492	9	29	at CIN(1503) L 24-41: -9→1452	17	26	at NO(1462) W 25-10: +16→1444
2	13	at BAL(1558) W 26-23: +13→1505	10	28	(bye)	18		vs LAC
3	24	vs CAR(1416) L 22-36: -24→1481	11	30	at MIA(1477) L 19-34: -12→1440	W
4	23	vs CLE(1483) W 20-16: +2→1483	12	30	vs DEN(1531) L 19-29: -6→1434	D
5	26	at DEN(1508) L 18-34: -11→1472	13	28	at KC(1559) L 17-19: +3→1437	C
6	30	vs PIT(1508) L 13-32: -14→1458	14	31	at TB(1528) L 13-28: -8→1429	S
7	28	at LAR(1494) L 15-20: +2→1460	15	28	vs ATL(1460) L 9-15: -5→1424
8	27	vs KC(1572) L 20-27: +1→1461	16	27	vs JAX(1458) W 19-14: +4→1428

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: 1444
1	21	vs LV(1498) W 22-10: +7→1490	9	8	at CLE(1473) W 27-10: +13→1522	17	10	at NE(1427) W 40-7: +14→1531
2	14	at CAR(1429) W 26-3: +13→1503	10	9	vs TEN(1448) W 27-17: +3→1525	18		at LV
3	17	at PIT(1509) L 10-20: -8→1495	11	11	vs CIN(1515) W 34-27: +4→1529	W
4	17	vs KC(1552) L 10-17: -3→1492	12	11	vs BAL(1570) L 23-30: -5→1524	D
5	18	(bye)	13	11	at ATL(1475) W 17-13: +4→1528	C
6	15	at DEN(1519) W 23-16: +9→1501	14	11	at KC(1556) L 17-19: -1→1527	S
7	18	at ARI(1462) L 15-17: -5→1496	15	14	vs TB(1536) L 17-40: -17→1510
8	14	vs NO(1483) W 26-8: +13→1509	16	12	vs DEN(1552) W 34-27: +7→1517

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1502
1	10	at DET(1533) L 20-26: +0→1517	9	15	at SEA(1487) W 26-20: +2→1505	17	12	vs ARI(1485) W 13-9: +0→1514
2	19	at ARI(1462) L 10-41: -24→1493	10	17	vs MIA(1466) L 15-23: -11→1494	18		vs SEA
3	14	vs SF(1551) W 27-24: +8→1501	11	17	at NE(1447) W 28-22: +4→1498	W
4	15	at CHI(1488) L 18-24: -5→1496	12	19	vs PHI(1541) L 20-37: -14→1484	D
5	15	vs GB(1526) L 19-24: -2→1494	13	18	at NO(1482) W 21-14: +9→1493	C
6	19	(bye)	14	17	vs BUF(1587) W 44-42: +6→1499	S
7	19	vs LV(1458) W 20-15: -2→1492	15	16	at SF(1520) W 12-6: +7→1506
8	18	vs MIN(1529) W 30-20: +11→1503	16	13	at NYJ(1465) W 19-9: +8→1514

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1448
1	9	vs JAX(1498) W 20-17: -0→1518	9	25	at BUF(1568) L 27-30: +6→1466	17	15	at CLE(1424) W 20-3: +12→1510
2	15	vs BUF(1547) L 10-31: -16→1502	10	24	at LAR(1505) W 23-15: +11→1477	18		at NYJ
3	20	at SEA(1496) L 3-24: -17→1485	11	19	vs LV(1452) W 34-19: +11→1488	W
4	29	vs TEN(1450) L 12-31: -21→1464	12	16	vs NE(1444) W 34-15: +12→1500	D
5	29	at NE(1450) W 15-10: +4→1468	13	19	at GB(1546) L 17-30: -9→1491	C
6	26	(bye)	14	18	vs NYJ(1456) W 32-26: -1→1490	S
7	26	at IND(1488) L 10-16: -3→1465	15	19	at HOU(1512) L 12-20: -3→1487
8	28	vs ARI(1467) L 27-28: -5→1460	16	18	vs SF(1513) W 29-17: +11→1498

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: 1601
1	14	at NYG(1476) W 28-6: +9→1499	9	9	vs IND(1490) W 21-13: +3→1521	17	7	vs GB(1580) W 27-25: +3→1558
2	11	vs SF(1561) W 23-17: +10→1509	10	10	at JAX(1480) W 12-7: +2→1523	18		at DET
3	8	vs HOU(1500) W 34-7: +17→1526	11	10	at TEN(1444) W 23-13: +7→1530	W
4	6	at GB(1531) W 31-29: +5→1531	12	9	at CHI(1477) W 30-27: +1→1531	D
5	6	at NYJ(1490) W 23-17: +1→1532	13	9	vs ARI(1494) W 23-22: +0→1531	C
6	7	(bye)	14	8	vs ATL(1472) W 42-21: +12→1543	S
7	8	vs DET(1557) L 29-31: -3→1529	15	8	vs CHI(1464) W 30-12: +10→1553
8	10	at LAR(1492) L 20-30: -11→1518	16	7	at SEA(1503) W 27-24: +2→1555

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1591
1	25	at CIN(1517) W 16-10: +7→1473	9	31	at TEN(1448) L 17-20: +0→1428	17	30	vs LAC(1517) L 7-40: -14→1413
2	28	vs SEA(1494) L 20-23: -2→1471	10	30	at CHI(1497) W 19-3: +19→1447	18		vs BUF
3	29	at NYJ(1479) L 3-24: -15→1456	11	29	vs LAR(1494) L 22-28: -3→1444	W
4	31	at SF(1543) L 13-30: -6→1450	12	31	at MIA(1488) L 15-34: -12→1432	D
5	31	vs MIA(1464) L 10-15: -4→1446	13	31	vs IND(1473) L 24-25: -3→1429	C
6	31	vs HOU(1493) L 21-41: -13→1433	14	30	(bye)	S
7	31	at JAX(1468) L 16-32: -11→1422	15	31	at ARI(1482) L 17-30: -9→1420
8	31	vs NYJ(1477) W 25-22: +6→1428	16	28	at BUF(1589) L 21-24: +7→1427

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: 1558
1	7	vs CAR(1434) W 47-10: +5→1523	9	26	at CAR(1401) L 22-23: -7→1463	17	25	vs LV(1428) L 10-25: -16→1446
2	4	at DAL(1549) W 44-19: +23→1546	10	25	vs ATL(1494) W 20-17: +4→1467	18		at TB
3	5	vs PHI(1488) L 12-15: -11→1535	11	21	vs CLE(1460) W 35-14: +15→1482	W
4	7	at ATL(1479) L 24-26: -7→1528	12	20	(bye)	D
5	9	at KC(1554) L 13-26: -9→1519	13	23	vs LAR(1484) L 14-21: -9→1473	C
6	17	vs TB(1510) L 27-51: -19→1500	14	20	at NYG(1434) W 14-11: +4→1477	S
7	21	vs DEN(1510) L 10-33: -17→1483	15	21	vs WAS(1505) L 19-20: -3→1474
8	26	at LAC(1496) L 8-26: -13→1470	16	23	at GB(1568) L 0-34: -12→1462

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: 1575
1	29	vs MIN(1490) L 6-28: -9→1467	9	28	vs WAS(1509) L 22-27: -1→1457	17	28	vs IND(1470) W 45-33: +13→1420
2	29	at WAS(1438) L 18-21: -5→1462	10	29	at CAR(1408) L 17-20: -5→1452	18		at PHI
3	28	at CLE(1493) W 21-15: +10→1472	11	27	(bye)	W
4	27	vs DAL(1523) L 15-20: +0→1472	12	29	vs TB(1514) L 7-30: -15→1437	D
5	23	at SEA(1503) W 29-20: +12→1484	13	29	at DAL(1478) L 20-27: -3→1434	C
6	24	vs CIN(1509) L 7-17: -9→1475	14	28	vs NO(1473) L 11-14: -3→1431	S
7	30	vs PHI(1485) L 3-28: -17→1458	15	30	vs BAL(1570) L 14-35: -10→1421
8	29	at PIT(1534) L 18-26: +0→1458	16	32	at ATL(1464) L 7-34: -14→1407

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: 1510
1	26	at SF(1559) L 19-32: -1→1471	9	24	vs HOU(1508) W 21-13: +8→1479	17	24	at BUF(1582) L 14-40: -9→1448
2	25	at TEN(1469) W 24-17: +8→1479	10	26	at ARI(1489) L 6-31: -15→1464	18		vs MIA
3	18	vs NE(1471) W 24-3: +15→1494	11	26	vs IND(1481) L 27-28: -4→1460	W
4	18	vs DEN(1504) L 9-10: -4→1490	12	26	(bye)	D
5	21	at MIN(1531) L 17-23: -2→1488	13	26	vs SEA(1501) L 21-26: -4→1456	C
6	20	vs BUF(1547) L 20-23: +1→1489	14	26	at MIA(1491) L 26-32: +1→1457	S
7	24	at PIT(1522) L 15-37: -12→1477	15	23	at JAX(1466) W 32-25: +8→1465
8	25	at NE(1422) L 22-25: -6→1471	16	24	vs LAR(1506) L 9-19: -8→1457

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: 1420
1	16	at GB(1527) W 34-29: +3→1497	9	10	vs JAX(1479) W 28-23: -1→1520	17	6	vs DAL(1492) W 41-7: +13→1575
2	22	vs ATL(1467) L 21-22: -9→1488	10	6	at DAL(1501) W 34-6: +17→1537	18		vs NYG
3	15	at NO(1546) W 15-12: +12→1500	11	5	vs WAS(1507) W 26-18: +4→1541	W
4	20	at TB(1499) L 16-33: -14→1486	12	5	at LAR(1498) W 37-20: +13→1554	D
5	22	(bye)	13	4	at BAL(1576) W 24-19: +5→1559	C
6	22	vs CLE(1466) W 20-16: -1→1485	14	4	vs CAR(1414) W 22-16: -3→1556	S
7	16	at NYG(1475) W 28-3: +18→1503	15	5	vs PIT(1547) W 27-13: +11→1567
8	9	at CIN(1522) W 37-17: +18→1521	16	6	at WAS(1508) L 33-36: -5→1562

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: 1530
1	13	at ATL(1470) W 18-10: +3→1502	9	6	(bye)	17	14	vs KC(1568) L 10-29: -14→1511
2	12	at DEN(1488) W 13-6: +7→1509	10	7	at WAS(1510) W 28-27: +2→1536	18		vs CIN
3	10	vs LAC(1503) W 20-10: +8→1517	11	6	vs BAL(1574) W 18-16: +5→1541	W
4	11	at IND(1480) L 24-27: -6→1511	12	8	at CLE(1446) L 19-24: -6→1535	D
5	13	vs DAL(1523) L 17-20: -3→1508	13	8	at CIN(1510) W 44-38: +5→1540	C
6	9	at LV(1472) W 32-13: +14→1522	14	7	vs CLE(1448) W 27-14: +7→1547	S
7	7	vs NYJ(1489) W 37-15: +12→1534	15	10	at PHI(1556) L 13-27: -11→1536
8	7	vs NYG(1458) W 26-18: -0→1534	16	11	at BAL(1580) L 17-34: -11→1525

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-27 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: 1485
1	1	vs NYJ(1472) W 32-19: +2→1561	9	5	(bye)	17	17	vs DET(1600) L 34-40: -1→1501
2	3	at MIN(1499) L 17-23: -10→1551	10	5	at TB(1517) W 23-20: +2→1540	18		at ARI
3	4	at LAR(1493) L 24-27: -8→1543	11	7	vs SEA(1485) L 17-20: -6→1534	W
4	4	vs NE(1456) W 30-13: +6→1549	12	12	at GB(1530) L 10-38: -16→1518	D
5	5	vs ARI(1459) L 23-24: -13→1536	13	13	at BUF(1575) L 10-35: -13→1505	C
6	5	at SEA(1490) W 36-24: +9→1545	14	12	vs CHI(1478) W 38-13: +15→1520	S
7	6	vs KC(1563) L 18-28: -9→1536	15	13	vs LAR(1499) L 6-12: -7→1513
8	5	vs DAL(1508) W 30-24: +2→1538	16	16	at MIA(1487) L 17-29: -11→1502

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: 1514
1	19	vs DEN(1490) W 26-20: +2→1494	9	22	vs LAR(1503) L 20-26: -2→1485	17	16	at CHI(1446) W 6-3: +1→1502
2	17	at NE(1473) W 23-20: +2→1496	10	19	(bye)	18		at LAR
3	11	vs MIA(1502) W 24-3: +17→1513	11	18	at SF(1540) W 20-17: +6→1491	W
4	14	at DET(1529) L 29-42: -10→1503	12	15	vs ARI(1504) W 16-6: +10→1501	D
5	19	vs NYG(1472) L 20-29: -13→1490	13	16	at NYJ(1460) W 26-21: +3→1504	C
6	23	vs SF(1536) L 24-36: -9→1481	14	13	at ARI(1494) W 30-18: +12→1516	S
7	17	at ATL(1501) W 34-14: +19→1500	15	17	vs GB(1555) L 13-30: -13→1503
8	21	vs BUF(1556) L 10-31: -13→1487	16	17	vs MIN(1553) L 24-27: -2→1501

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-32 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: 1446
1	11	vs WAS(1441) W 37-20: +4→1515	9	11	at KC(1571) L 24-30: +4→1517	17	8	vs CAR(1410) W 48-14: +10→1558
2	8	at DET(1532) W 20-16: +7→1522	10	13	vs SF(1538) L 20-23: -3→1514	18		vs NO
3	16	vs DEN(1481) L 7-26: -23→1499	11	13	(bye)	W
4	10	vs PHI(1500) W 33-16: +14→1513	12	10	at NYG(1452) W 30-7: +15→1529	D
5	11	at ATL(1487) L 30-36: -3→1510	13	10	at CAR(1414) W 26-23: -1→1528	C
6	8	at NO(1519) W 51-27: +19→1529	14	10	vs LV(1437) W 28-13: +8→1536	S
7	11	vs BAL(1564) L 31-41: -8→1521	15	7	at LAC(1527) W 40-17: +18→1554
8	12	vs ATL(1482) L 26-31: -8→1513	16	8	at DAL(1486) L 24-26: -6→1548

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: 1498
1	27	at CHI(1493) L 17-24: -1→1469	9	30	vs NE(1428) W 20-17: -0→1448	17	29	at JAX(1454) L 13-20: -3→1416
2	30	vs NYJ(1471) L 17-24: -8→1461	10	31	at LAC(1522) L 17-27: -4→1444	18		vs HOU
3	31	vs GB(1521) L 14-30: -11→1450	11	31	vs MIN(1523) L 13-23: -6→1438	W
4	28	at MIA(1485) W 31-12: +22→1472	12	28	at HOU(1516) W 32-27: +8→1446	D
5	28	(bye)	13	30	at WAS(1492) L 19-42: -13→1433	C
6	27	vs IND(1483) L 17-20: -5→1467	14	29	vs JAX(1462) L 6-10: -4→1429	S
7	29	at BUF(1546) L 10-34: -9→1458	15	29	vs CIN(1511) L 27-37: -7→1422
8	30	at DET(1561) L 14-52: -10→1448	16	30	at IND(1466) L 30-38: -3→1419

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: 1479
1	31	at TB(1511) L 20-37: -3→1438	9	14	at NYG(1458) W 27-22: +1→1510	17	13	vs ATL(1478) W 30-24: -1→1512
2	31	vs NYG(1467) W 21-18: +5→1443	10	14	vs PIT(1534) L 27-28: -3→1507	18		at DAL
3	30	at CIN(1514) W 38-33: +12→1455	11	16	at PHI(1537) L 18-26: -4→1503	W
4	26	at ARI(1482) W 42-14: +23→1478	12	18	vs DAL(1467) L 26-34: -11→1492	D
5	16	vs CLE(1481) W 34-13: +16→1494	13	14	vs TEN(1446) W 42-19: +13→1505	C
6	18	at BAL(1566) L 23-30: +1→1495	14	16	(bye)	S
7	15	vs CAR(1413) W 40-7: +10→1505	15	15	at NO(1477) W 20-19: +3→1508
8	13	vs CHI(1517) W 18-15: +4→1509	16	14	vs PHI(1567) W 36-33: +5→1513

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 9 games (weeks 9-17) Minnesota Vikings: +40 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 13-17) Los Angeles Rams: +30 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 14-17) Kansas City Chiefs: +26 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 14-17) Cincinnati Bengals: +25 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 15-17) Baltimore Ravens: +35 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 5 games (weeks 13-17) Cleveland Browns: -39 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 13-17) Tennessee Titans: -29 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 14-17) Chicago Bears: -34 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 15-17) Pittsburgh Steelers: -35 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 15-17) New Orleans Saints: -31 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 109-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1572) 7-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1463): Browns win 29-24
2. Week 12, 95-Elo upset: Pittsburgh Steelers (1541) Tossup favorites at Cleveland Browns (1446): Browns win 24-19
3. Week 14, 94-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1587) Tossup favorites at Los Angeles Rams (1493): Rams win 44-42
4. Week 5, 90-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1549) 10-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1459): Cardinals win 24-23
5. Week 3, 89-Elo upset: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Panthers win 36-22
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 24-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Panthers win 36-22
2. Week 2, 37-point differential: Los Angeles Rams (1517) 6-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1462): Cardinals win 41-10
3. Week 4, 34-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1482) 6-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1455): Commanders win 42-14
4. Week 2, 31-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1549) 6-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1523): Saints win 44-19
5. Week 3, 25-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) 6-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1481): Broncos win 26-7
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +81: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 17
2. +71: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 17
3. +68: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1601) thru week 17
4. +68: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 17
5. +53: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 17
more...
1. +50: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1577) thru week 17
2. +48: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 17
3. +46: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 17
4. +45: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1605) thru week 17
5. +41: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 17
6. +27: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1582) thru week 17
7. +27: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 17
8. +12: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 17
9. +12: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 17
10. +10: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 17
11. +9: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 17
12. +3: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 17
13. -3: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 17
14. -9: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 17
15. -20: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 17
16. -24: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 17
17. -34: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1401) thru week 17
18. -41: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 17
19. -49: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 17
20. -54: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 17
21. -54: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 17
22. -54: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 17
23. -56: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 17
24. -58: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1501) thru week 17
25. -65: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 17
26. -72: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 17
27. -80: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1412) thru week 17
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -80: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1412) thru week 17
2. -72: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 17
3. -65: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 17
4. -58: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1501) thru week 17
5. -56: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 17
more...
1. -54: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 17
2. -54: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 17
3. -54: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 17
4. -49: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1444) thru week 17
5. -41: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 17
6. -34: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1401) thru week 17
7. -24: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 17
8. -20: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 17
9. -9: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 17
10. -3: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 17
11. +3: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 17
12. +9: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 17
13. +10: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 17
14. +12: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 17
15. +12: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 17
16. +27: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 17
17. +27: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1582) thru week 17
18. +41: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1591) thru week 17
19. +45: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1605) thru week 17
20. +46: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 17
21. +48: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 17
22. +50: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1577) thru week 17
23. +53: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 17
24. +68: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 17
25. +68: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1601) thru week 17
26. +71: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 17
27. +81: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 17
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +75: Philadelphia Eagles (1485) before week 7 → (1559) thru week 13
2. +72: Washington Commanders (1438) before week 2 → (1509) thru week 8
3. +63: Detroit Lions (1539) before week 5 → (1602) thru week 12
4. +51: Green Bay Packers (1529) before week 10 → (1580) thru week 16
5. +47: Denver Broncos (1481) before week 3 → (1529) thru week 8
more...
1. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1459) before week 5 → (1504) thru week 10
2. +43: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1514) before week 11 → (1558) thru week 17
3. +43: Miami Dolphins (1466) before week 10 → (1510) thru week 17
4. +42: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 5
5. +41: Buffalo Bills (1546) before week 7 → (1587) thru week 13
6. +37: Los Angeles Chargers (1492) before week 5 → (1529) thru week 11
7. +35: Baltimore Ravens (1570) before week 14 → (1605) thru week 17
8. +35: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 7
9. +35: Seattle Seahawks (1481) before week 7 → (1516) thru week 14
10. +33: Atlanta Falcons (1467) before week 2 → (1501) thru week 6
11. +33: Houston Texans (1483) before week 4 → (1516) thru week 11
12. +30: Chicago Bears (1488) before week 4 → (1517) thru week 6
13. +30: Los Angeles Rams (1484) before week 13 → (1514) thru week 17
14. +28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
15. +26: Kansas City Chiefs (1556) before week 15 → (1582) thru week 17
16. +26: New England Patriots (1422) before week 8 → (1447) thru week 10
17. +25: Cincinnati Bengals (1505) before week 14 → (1530) thru week 17
18. +25: Dallas Cowboys (1467) before week 12 → (1492) thru week 16
19. +23: New York Jets (1471) before week 2 → (1494) thru week 3
20. +23: New York Giants (1462) before week 3 → (1484) thru week 5
21. +20: Las Vegas Raiders (1424) before week 16 → (1444) thru week 17
22. +18: Carolina Panthers (1416) before week 3 → (1434) thru week 4
23. +16: Tennessee Titans (1450) before week 4 → (1467) thru week 6
24. +16: Indianapolis Colts (1475) before week 2 → (1490) thru week 7
25. +12: Jacksonville Jaguars (1468) before week 7 → (1480) thru week 9
26. +8: San Francisco 49ers (1505) before week 14 → (1513) thru week 15
27. +7: Cleveland Browns (1466) before week 6 → (1473) thru week 8
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -83: New Orleans Saints (1546) before week 3 → (1463) thru week 9
2. -68: Chicago Bears (1514) before week 9 → (1446) thru week 16
3. -59: Dallas Cowboys (1526) before week 6 → (1467) thru week 11
4. -58: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 2 → (1460) thru week 8
5. -53: Las Vegas Raiders (1505) before week 3 → (1452) thru week 9
more...
1. -51: New England Patriots (1473) before week 2 → (1422) thru week 7
2. -50: New York Giants (1457) before week 10 → (1407) thru week 16
3. -49: Cleveland Browns (1473) before week 9 → (1424) thru week 16
4. -41: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 7 → (1460) thru week 14
5. -39: Carolina Panthers (1440) before week 4 → (1401) thru week 8
6. -39: San Francisco 49ers (1540) before week 11 → (1501) thru week 17
7. -38: Tennessee Titans (1467) before week 7 → (1429) thru week 14
8. -35: Pittsburgh Steelers (1547) before week 15 → (1511) thru week 17
9. -34: New York Jets (1494) before week 4 → (1460) thru week 11
10. -31: Seattle Seahawks (1513) before week 4 → (1481) thru week 6
11. -30: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 6
12. -30: Indianapolis Colts (1487) before week 10 → (1456) thru week 17
13. -27: Arizona Cardinals (1486) before week 3 → (1459) thru week 4
14. -27: Buffalo Bills (1574) before week 4 → (1547) thru week 5
15. -25: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 2 → (1492) thru week 7
16. -19: Los Angeles Chargers (1529) before week 12 → (1510) thru week 15
17. -18: Houston Texans (1516) before week 16 → (1498) thru week 17
18. -17: Washington Commanders (1510) before week 10 → (1492) thru week 12
19. -17: Cincinnati Bengals (1522) before week 8 → (1505) thru week 13
20. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
21. -16: Kansas City Chiefs (1572) before week 8 → (1556) thru week 13
22. -15: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1529) before week 7 → (1513) thru week 8
23. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1532) before week 6 → (1518) thru week 8
24. -15: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 4 → (1485) thru week 6
25. -12: Denver Broncos (1529) before week 9 → (1516) thru week 10
26. -10: Detroit Lions (1602) before week 13 → (1591) thru week 15
27. -9: Green Bay Packers (1538) before week 7 → (1529) thru week 9
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1518
2. Cleveland Browns: 1513
3. Green Bay Packers: 1508
4. Detroit Lions: 1507
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1507
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1507
2. Carolina Panthers: 1507
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1507
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1505
5. Houston Texans: 1505
6. Chicago Bears: 1504
7. New York Jets: 1503
8. Kansas City Chiefs: 1502
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1502
10. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
12. Los Angeles Chargers: 1500
13. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
15. Buffalo Bills: 1497
16. Tennessee Titans: 1496
17. Atlanta Falcons: 1495
18. New England Patriots: 1495
19. Washington Commanders: 1495
20. Denver Broncos: 1495
21. Cincinnati Bengals: 1495
22. Indianapolis Colts: 1493
23. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1492
24. New York Giants: 1491
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1490
26. Miami Dolphins: 1488
27. New Orleans Saints: 1487
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New Orleans Saints: 1487
2. Miami Dolphins: 1488
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1490
4. New York Giants: 1491
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1492
more...
1. Indianapolis Colts: 1493
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1495
3. Denver Broncos: 1495
4. Washington Commanders: 1495
5. New England Patriots: 1495
6. Atlanta Falcons: 1495
7. Tennessee Titans: 1496
8. Buffalo Bills: 1497
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
10. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
11. Los Angeles Chargers: 1500
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
13. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1502
15. Kansas City Chiefs: 1502
16. New York Jets: 1503
17. Chicago Bears: 1504
18. Houston Texans: 1505
19. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1505
20. Dallas Cowboys: 1507
21. Carolina Panthers: 1507
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1507
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1507
24. Detroit Lions: 1507
25. Green Bay Packers: 1508
26. Cleveland Browns: 1513
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1518
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cleveland Browns: 1537
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
4. Detroit Lions: 1501
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1497
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
3. New England Patriots: 1497
4. Buffalo Bills: 1495
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1493
6. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1490
8. Green Bay Packers: 1490
9. Seattle Seahawks: 1490
10. New York Giants: 1489
11. Houston Texans: 1487
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1484
14. Los Angeles Chargers: 1482
15. Washington Commanders: 1482
16. Carolina Panthers: 1481
17. Atlanta Falcons: 1481
18. New York Jets: 1478
19. Tennessee Titans: 1476
20. New Orleans Saints: 1474
21. Denver Broncos: 1473
22. Chicago Bears: 1472
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1470
24. Miami Dolphins: 1468
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1468
26. Indianapolis Colts: 1467
27. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1442
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1442
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1467
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1468
4. Miami Dolphins: 1468
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1470
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1472
2. Denver Broncos: 1473
3. New Orleans Saints: 1474
4. Tennessee Titans: 1476
5. New York Jets: 1478
6. Atlanta Falcons: 1481
7. Carolina Panthers: 1481
8. Washington Commanders: 1482
9. Los Angeles Chargers: 1482
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1484
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
12. Houston Texans: 1487
13. New York Giants: 1489
14. Seattle Seahawks: 1490
15. Green Bay Packers: 1490
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1490
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
18. Arizona Cardinals: 1493
19. Buffalo Bills: 1495
20. New England Patriots: 1497
21. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1497
23. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
24. Detroit Lions: 1501
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
27. Cleveland Browns: 1537

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	20-12 (20/32, 62.5%)
3	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	30-18 (30/48, 62.5%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	39-25 (39/64, 60.94%)
5	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	48-30 (48/78, 61.54%)
6	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	59-33 (59/92, 64.13%)
7	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	69-38 (69/107, 64.49%)
8	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	78-45 (78/123, 63.41%)
9	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	90-48 (90/138, 65.22%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	99-53 (99/152, 65.13%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	109-57 (109/166, 65.66%)
12	9-4 (9/13, 69.23%)	118-61 (118/179, 65.92%)
13	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	128-67 (128/195, 65.64%)
14	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	136-72 (136/208, 65.38%)
15	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	148-76 (148/224, 66.07%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	158-82 (158/240, 65.83%)
17	13.5-2.5 (13.5/16, 84.38%)	171.5-84.5 (171.5/256, 66.99%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

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