NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

But stepping back a bit, this is not meant to be an all-knowing reality simulator that can predict game outcomes for the rest of the season. This is merely a way to create power rankings without involving human bias. This Elo ranking implementation picks the winner correctly in more than 66.3% of games since 2012, which I think is pretty good for a simple Elo model. 66.3% nearly matches the 2022 season Vegas pick rate of 66.5% and does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. I cannot make claims about the usefulness and accuracy of this data with respect to gambling. The ratings are derived from a minimal data set. Many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes are not included in this Elo model.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected.

Contents

Power Rankings During Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings During Week 3, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo Bills	1563	2-0
prev: at Miami Dolphins (1518): W 31-10: 1547+16→1563
this week: vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1491): Win by 9 points
next: at Baltimore Ravens (1545): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City Chiefs	1555	2-0
prev: vs Cincinnati Bengals (1511): W 26-25: 1558-3→1555
this week: at Atlanta Falcons (1476): Win by 7 points
next: at Los Angeles Chargers (1503): Slight favorite
3	San Francisco 49ers	1551	1-1
prev: at Minnesota Vikings (1499): L 17-23: 1561-10→1551
this week: at Los Angeles Rams (1493): Win by 6 points
next: vs New England Patriots (1456): Win by 11 points
4	New Orleans Saints	1546	2-0
prev: at Dallas Cowboys (1549): W 44-19: 1523+23→1546
this week: vs Philadelphia Eagles (1488): Win by 8 points
next: at Atlanta Falcons (1476): Win by 6 points
5	Baltimore Ravens	1545	0-2
prev: vs Las Vegas Raiders (1492): L 23-26: 1558-13→1545
this week: at Dallas Cowboys (1526): Slight favorite
next: vs Buffalo Bills (1563): Slight underdog
6	Dallas Cowboys	1526	1-1
prev: vs New Orleans Saints (1523): L 19-44: 1549-23→1526
this week: vs Baltimore Ravens (1545): Slight underdog
next: at New York Giants (1462): Win by 6 points
7	Detroit Lions	1525	1-1
prev: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1515): L 16-20: 1532-7→1525
this week: at Arizona Cardinals (1486): Slight favorite
next: vs Seattle Seahawks (1496): Win by 6 points
8	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1522	2-0
prev: at Detroit Lions (1532): W 20-16: 1515+7→1522
this week: vs Denver Broncos (1481): Win by 6 points
next: vs Philadelphia Eagles (1488): Win by 6 points
9	Green Bay Packers	1521	1-1
prev: vs Indianapolis Colts (1475): W 16-10: 1523-2→1521
this week: at Tennessee Titans (1461): Win by 6 points
next: vs Minnesota Vikings (1509): Slight favorite
10	Cincinnati Bengals	1514	0-2
prev: at Kansas City Chiefs (1558): L 25-26: 1511+3→1514
this week: vs Washington Commanders (1443): Win by 9 points
next: at Carolina Panthers (1416): Win by 8 points
11	Minnesota Vikings	1509	2-0
prev: vs San Francisco 49ers (1561): W 23-17: 1499+10→1509
this week: vs Houston Texans (1500): Slight favorite
next: at Green Bay Packers (1521): Slight underdog
12	Pittsburgh Steelers	1509	2-0
prev: at Denver Broncos (1488): W 13-6: 1502+7→1509
this week: vs Los Angeles Chargers (1503): Slight favorite
next: at Indianapolis Colts (1477): Slight favorite
13	Las Vegas Raiders	1505	1-1
prev: at Baltimore Ravens (1558): W 26-23: 1492+13→1505
this week: vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Win by 10 points
next: vs Cleveland Browns (1493): Slight favorite
14	Los Angeles Chargers	1503	2-0
prev: at Carolina Panthers (1429): W 26-3: 1490+13→1503
this week: at Pittsburgh Steelers (1509): Slight underdog
next: vs Kansas City Chiefs (1555): Slight underdog
15	Miami Dolphins	1502	1-1
prev: vs Buffalo Bills (1547): L 10-31: 1518-16→1502
this week: at Seattle Seahawks (1496): Slight underdog
next: vs Tennessee Titans (1461): Win by 7 points
16	Houston Texans	1500	2-0
prev: vs Chicago Bears (1494): W 19-13: 1496+4→1500
this week: at Minnesota Vikings (1509): Slight underdog
next: vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1491): Slight favorite
17	Seattle Seahawks	1496	2-0
prev: at New England Patriots (1473): W 23-20(OT): 1494+2→1496
this week: vs Miami Dolphins (1502): Slight favorite
next: at Detroit Lions (1525): Lose by 6 points
18 (+7)	New York Jets	1494 (+15)	2-1
prev: vs New England Patriots (1471): W 24-3: 1479+15→1494
next: vs Denver Broncos (1481): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Cleveland Browns	1493	1-1
prev: at Jacksonville Jaguars (1498): W 18-13: 1487+6→1493
this week: vs New York Giants (1462): Win by 6 points
next: at Las Vegas Raiders (1505): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Los Angeles Rams	1493	0-2
prev: at Arizona Cardinals (1462): L 10-41: 1517-24→1493
this week: vs San Francisco 49ers (1551): Lose by 6 points
next: at Chicago Bears (1491): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Jacksonville Jaguars	1491	0-2
prev: vs Cleveland Browns (1487): L 13-18: 1498-7→1491
this week: at Buffalo Bills (1563): Lose by 9 points
next: at Houston Texans (1500): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Chicago Bears	1491	1-1
prev: at Houston Texans (1496): L 13-19: 1494-3→1491
this week: at Indianapolis Colts (1477): Tossup
next: vs Los Angeles Rams (1493): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Philadelphia Eagles	1488	1-1
prev: vs Atlanta Falcons (1467): L 21-22: 1497-9→1488
this week: at New Orleans Saints (1546): Lose by 8 points
next: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522): Lose by 6 points
24 (-1)	Arizona Cardinals	1486	1-1
prev: vs Los Angeles Rams (1517): W 41-10: 1462+24→1486
this week: vs Detroit Lions (1525): Slight underdog
next: vs Washington Commanders (1443): Win by 6 points
25 (-1)	Denver Broncos	1481	0-2
prev: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1502): L 6-13: 1488-7→1481
this week: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522): Lose by 6 points
next: at New York Jets (1494): Slight underdog
26	Indianapolis Colts	1477	0-2
prev: at Green Bay Packers (1523): L 10-16: 1475+2→1477
this week: vs Chicago Bears (1491): Tossup
next: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1509): Slight underdog
27	Atlanta Falcons	1476	1-1
prev: at Philadelphia Eagles (1497): W 22-21: 1467+9→1476
this week: vs Kansas City Chiefs (1555): Lose by 7 points
next: vs New Orleans Saints (1546): Lose by 6 points
28 (+1)	New York Giants	1462	0-2
prev: at Washington Commanders (1438): L 18-21: 1467-5→1462
this week: at Cleveland Browns (1493): Lose by 6 points
next: vs Dallas Cowboys (1526): Lose by 6 points
29 (+1)	Tennessee Titans	1461	0-2
prev: vs New York Jets (1471): L 17-24: 1469-8→1461
this week: vs Green Bay Packers (1521): Lose by 6 points
next: at Miami Dolphins (1502): Lose by 7 points
30 (-2)	New England Patriots	1456 (-15)	1-2
prev: at New York Jets (1479): L 3-24: 1471-15→1456
next: at San Francisco 49ers (1551): Lose by 11 points
31	Washington Commanders	1443	1-1
prev: vs New York Giants (1467): W 21-18: 1438+5→1443
this week: at Cincinnati Bengals (1514): Lose by 9 points
next: at Arizona Cardinals (1486): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina Panthers	1416	0-2
prev: vs Los Angeles Chargers (1490): L 3-26: 1429-13→1416
this week: at Las Vegas Raiders (1505): Lose by 10 points
next: vs Cincinnati Bengals (1514): Lose by 8 points

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1 (+4)	Buffalo Bills	1563 (+16)	2-0
prev: at Miami Dolphins (1518): W 31-10: 1547+16→1563
next: vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1491): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City Chiefs	1555 (-3)	2-0
prev: vs Cincinnati Bengals (1511): W 26-25: 1558-3→1555
next: at Atlanta Falcons (1476): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	San Francisco 49ers	1551 (-10)	1-1
prev: at Minnesota Vikings (1499): L 17-23: 1561-10→1551
next: at Los Angeles Rams (1493): Win by 6 points
4 (+3)	New Orleans Saints	1546 (+23)	2-0
prev: at Dallas Cowboys (1549): W 44-19: 1523+23→1546
next: vs Philadelphia Eagles (1488): Win by 8 points
5 (-2)	Baltimore Ravens	1545 (-13)	0-2
prev: vs Las Vegas Raiders (1492): L 23-26: 1558-13→1545
next: at Dallas Cowboys (1526): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Dallas Cowboys	1526 (-23)	1-1
prev: vs New Orleans Saints (1523): L 19-44: 1549-23→1526
next: vs Baltimore Ravens (1545): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Detroit Lions	1525 (-7)	1-1
prev: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1515): L 16-20: 1532-7→1525
next: at Arizona Cardinals (1486): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1522 (+7)	2-0
prev: at Detroit Lions (1532): W 20-16: 1515+7→1522
next: vs Denver Broncos (1481): Win by 6 points
9 (-1)	Green Bay Packers	1521 (-2)	1-1
prev: vs Indianapolis Colts (1475): W 16-10: 1523-2→1521
next: at Tennessee Titans (1461): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Cincinnati Bengals	1514 (+3)	0-2
prev: at Kansas City Chiefs (1558): L 25-26: 1511+3→1514
next: vs Washington Commanders (1443): Win by 9 points
11 (+3)	Minnesota Vikings	1509 (+10)	2-0
prev: vs San Francisco 49ers (1561): W 23-17: 1499+10→1509
next: vs Houston Texans (1500): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Pittsburgh Steelers	1509 (+7)	2-0
prev: at Denver Broncos (1488): W 13-6: 1502+7→1509
next: vs Los Angeles Chargers (1503): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Las Vegas Raiders	1505 (+13)	1-1
prev: at Baltimore Ravens (1558): W 26-23: 1492+13→1505
next: vs Carolina Panthers (1416): Win by 10 points
14 (+7)	Los Angeles Chargers	1503 (+13)	2-0
prev: at Carolina Panthers (1429): W 26-3: 1490+13→1503
next: at Pittsburgh Steelers (1509): Slight underdog
15 (-6)	Miami Dolphins	1502 (-16)	1-1
prev: vs Buffalo Bills (1547): L 10-31: 1518-16→1502
next: at Seattle Seahawks (1496): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Houston Texans	1500 (+4)	2-0
prev: vs Chicago Bears (1494): W 19-13: 1496+4→1500
next: at Minnesota Vikings (1509): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Seattle Seahawks	1496 (+2)	2-0
prev: at New England Patriots (1473): W 23-20(OT): 1494+2→1496
next: vs Miami Dolphins (1502): Slight favorite
18 (+5)	Cleveland Browns	1493 (+6)	1-1
prev: at Jacksonville Jaguars (1498): W 18-13: 1487+6→1493
next: vs New York Giants (1462): Win by 6 points
19 (-9)	Los Angeles Rams	1493 (-24)	0-2
prev: at Arizona Cardinals (1462): L 10-41: 1517-24→1493
next: vs San Francisco 49ers (1551): Lose by 6 points
20 (-5)	Jacksonville Jaguars	1491 (-7)	0-2
prev: vs Cleveland Browns (1487): L 13-18: 1498-7→1491
next: at Buffalo Bills (1563): Lose by 9 points
21 (-3)	Chicago Bears	1491 (-3)	1-1
prev: at Houston Texans (1496): L 13-19: 1494-3→1491
next: at Indianapolis Colts (1477): Tossup
22 (-6)	Philadelphia Eagles	1488 (-9)	1-1
prev: vs Atlanta Falcons (1467): L 21-22: 1497-9→1488
next: at New Orleans Saints (1546): Lose by 8 points
23 (+7)	Arizona Cardinals	1486 (+24)	1-1
prev: vs Los Angeles Rams (1517): W 41-10: 1462+24→1486
next: vs Detroit Lions (1525): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Denver Broncos	1481 (-7)	0-2
prev: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1502): L 6-13: 1488-7→1481
next: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522): Lose by 6 points
25 (+1)	New York Jets	1479 (+8)	1-1
prev: at Tennessee Titans (1469): W 24-17: 1471+8→1479
next: vs New England Patriots (1471): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Indianapolis Colts	1477 (+2)	0-2
prev: at Green Bay Packers (1523): L 10-16: 1475+2→1477
next: vs Chicago Bears (1491): Tossup
27 (+1)	Atlanta Falcons	1476 (+9)	1-1
prev: at Philadelphia Eagles (1497): W 22-21: 1467+9→1476
next: vs Kansas City Chiefs (1555): Lose by 7 points
28 (-3)	New England Patriots	1471 (-2)	1-1
prev: vs Seattle Seahawks (1494): L 20-23(OT): 1473-2→1471
next: at New York Jets (1479): Slight underdog
29	New York Giants	1462 (-5)	0-2
prev: at Washington Commanders (1438): L 18-21: 1467-5→1462
next: at Cleveland Browns (1493): Lose by 6 points
30 (-3)	Tennessee Titans	1461 (-8)	0-2
prev: vs New York Jets (1471): L 17-24: 1469-8→1461
next: vs Green Bay Packers (1521): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington Commanders	1443 (+5)	1-1
prev: vs New York Giants (1467): W 21-18: 1438+5→1443
next: at Cincinnati Bengals (1514): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina Panthers	1416 (-13)	0-2
prev: vs Los Angeles Chargers (1490): L 3-26: 1429-13→1416
next: at Las Vegas Raiders (1505): Lose by 10 points

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ers	1561 (+2)	1-0
prev: vs New York Jets (1472): W 32-19: 1559+2→1561
next: at Minnesota Vikings (1499): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City Chiefs	1558 (+3)	1-0
prev: vs Baltimore Ravens (1561): W 27-20: 1555+3→1558
next: vs Cincinnati Bengals (1511): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	Baltimore Ravens	1558 (-3)	0-1
prev: at Kansas City Chiefs (1555): L 20-27: 1561-3→1558
next: vs Las Vegas Raiders (1492): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Dallas Cowboys	1549 (+5)	1-0
prev: at Cleveland Browns (1493): W 33-17: 1544+5→1549
next: vs New Orleans Saints (1523): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Buffalo Bills	1547 (-3)	1-0
prev: vs Arizona Cardinals (1458): W 34-28: 1550-3→1547
next: at Miami Dolphins (1518): Slight favorite
6	Detroit Lions	1532 (-1)	1-0
prev: vs Los Angeles Rams (1517): W 26-20(OT): 1533-1→1532
next: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1515): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	New Orleans Saints	1523 (+5)	1-0
prev: vs Carolina Panthers (1434): W 47-10: 1518+5→1523
next: at Dallas Cowboys (1549): Lose by 6 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay Packers	1523 (-4)	0-1
prev: at Philadelphia Eagles (1494): L 29-34: 1527-4→1523
next: vs Indianapolis Colts (1475): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Miami Dolphins	1518	1-0
prev: vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1498): W 20-17: 1518-0→1518
next: vs Buffalo Bills (1547): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Los Angeles Rams	1517	0-1
prev: at Detroit Lions (1533): L 20-26(OT): 1517+0→1517
next: at Arizona Cardinals (1462): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1515 (+4)	1-0
prev: vs Washington Commanders (1441): W 37-20: 1511+4→1515
next: at Detroit Lions (1532): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Cincinnati Bengals	1511 (-6)	0-1
prev: vs New England Patriots (1466): L 10-16: 1517-6→1511
next: at Kansas City Chiefs (1558): Lose by 7 points
13	Pittsburgh Steelers	1502 (+3)	1-0
prev: at Atlanta Falcons (1470): W 18-10: 1499+3→1502
next: at Denver Broncos (1488): Tossup
14 (+7)	Minnesota Vikings	1499 (+9)	1-0
prev: at New York Giants (1476): W 28-6: 1490+9→1499
next: vs San Francisco 49ers (1561): Lose by 6 points
15	Jacksonville Jaguars	1498	0-1
prev: at Miami Dolphins (1518): L 17-20: 1498+0→1498
next: vs Cleveland Browns (1487): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Philadelphia Eagles	1497 (+3)	1-0
prev: at Green Bay Packers (1527): W 34-29: 1494+3→1497
next: vs Atlanta Falcons (1467): Win by 6 points
17 (-1)	Houston Texans	1496 (+1)	1-0
prev: at Indianapolis Colts (1476): W 29-27: 1495+1→1496
next: vs Chicago Bears (1494): Slight favorite
18	Chicago Bears	1494 (+1)	1-0
prev: vs Tennessee Titans (1470): W 24-17: 1493+1→1494
next: at Houston Texans (1496): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Seattle Seahawks	1494 (+2)	1-0
prev: vs Denver Broncos (1490): W 26-20: 1492+2→1494
next: at New England Patriots (1473): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Las Vegas Raiders	1492 (-6)	0-1
prev: at Los Angeles Chargers (1483): L 10-22: 1498-6→1492
next: at Baltimore Ravens (1558): Lose by 9 points
21 (+2)	Los Angeles Chargers	1490 (+7)	1-0
prev: vs Las Vegas Raiders (1498): W 22-10: 1483+7→1490
next: at Carolina Panthers (1429): Win by 6 points
22	Denver Broncos	1488 (-2)	0-1
prev: at Seattle Seahawks (1492): L 20-26: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1502): Tossup
23 (-4)	Cleveland Browns	1487 (-6)	0-1
prev: vs Dallas Cowboys (1544): L 17-33: 1493-6→1487
next: at Jacksonville Jaguars (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis Colts	1475 (-1)	0-1
prev: vs Houston Texans (1495): L 27-29: 1476-1→1475
next: at Green Bay Packers (1523): Lose by 7 points
25 (+4)	New England Patriots	1473 (+7)	1-0
prev: at Cincinnati Bengals (1517): W 16-10: 1466+7→1473
next: vs Seattle Seahawks (1494): Slight underdog
26	New York Jets	1471 (-1)	0-1
prev: at San Francisco 49ers (1559): L 19-32: 1472-1→1471
next: at Tennessee Titans (1469): Slight underdog
27	Tennessee Titans	1469 (-1)	0-1
prev: at Chicago Bears (1493): L 17-24: 1470-1→1469
next: vs New York Jets (1471): Slight favorite
28	Atlanta Falcons	1467 (-3)	0-1
prev: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1499): L 10-18: 1470-3→1467
next: at Philadelphia Eagles (1497): Lose by 6 points
29 (-4)	New York Giants	1467 (-9)	0-1
prev: vs Minnesota Vikings (1490): L 6-28: 1476-9→1467
next: at Washington Commanders (1438): Slight favorite
30	Arizona Cardinals	1462 (+4)	0-1
prev: at Buffalo Bills (1550): L 28-34: 1458+4→1462
next: vs Los Angeles Rams (1517): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington Commanders	1438 (-3)	0-1
prev: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511): L 20-37: 1441-3→1438
next: vs New York Giants (1467): Slight underdog
32	Carolina Panthers	1429 (-5)	0-1
prev: at New Orleans Saints (1518): L 10-47: 1434-5→1429
next: vs Los Angeles Chargers (1490): Lose by 6 points

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Baltimore Ravens	1561	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1592-31→1561
next: at Kansas City Chiefs (1555): Slight underdog
2	San Francisco 49ers	1559	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-31→1559
next: vs New York Jets (1472): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City Chiefs	1555	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1584-29→1555
next: vs Baltimore Ravens (1561): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo Bills	1550	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1576-26→1550
next: vs Arizona Cardinals (1458): Win by 11 points
5	Dallas Cowboys	1544	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1566-22→1544
next: at Cleveland Browns (1493): Win by 5 points
6	Detroit Lions	1533	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-16→1533
next: vs Los Angeles Rams (1517): Slight favorite
7	Green Bay Packers	1527	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-13→1527
next: at Philadelphia Eagles (1494): Win by 5 points
8	Miami Dolphins	1518	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-10→1518
next: vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1498): Win by 5 points
9	New Orleans Saints	1518	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-9→1518
next: vs Carolina Panthers (1434): Win by 10 points
10	Cincinnati Bengals	1517	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-10→1517
next: vs New England Patriots (1466): Win by 8 points
11	Los Angeles Rams	1517	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1525-8→1517
next: at Detroit Lions (1533): Slight underdog
12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1511	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1517-6→1511
next: vs Washington Commanders (1441): Win by 9 points
13	Pittsburgh Steelers	1499	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1499+0→1499
next: at Atlanta Falcons (1470): Slight favorite
14	Las Vegas Raiders	1498	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1498+0→1498
next: at Los Angeles Chargers (1483): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville Jaguars	1498	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1496+2→1498
next: at Miami Dolphins (1518): Lose by 5 points
16	Houston Texans	1495	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+3→1495
next: at Indianapolis Colts (1476): Slight favorite
17	Philadelphia Eagles	1494	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+4→1494
next: at Green Bay Packers (1527): Lose by 5 points
18	Chicago Bears	1493	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+3→1493
next: vs Tennessee Titans (1470): Win by 5 points
19	Cleveland Browns	1493	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+4→1493
next: vs Dallas Cowboys (1544): Lose by 5 points
20	Seattle Seahawks	1492	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1488+4→1492
next: vs Denver Broncos (1490): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota Vikings	1490	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1485+5→1490
next: at New York Giants (1476): Tossup
22	Denver Broncos	1490	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1484+6→1490
next: at Seattle Seahawks (1492): Slight underdog
23	Los Angeles Chargers	1483	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1474+9→1483
next: vs Las Vegas Raiders (1498): Slight underdog
24	Indianapolis Colts	1476	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Houston Texans (1495): Slight underdog
25	New York Giants	1476	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+12→1476
next: vs Minnesota Vikings (1490): Tossup
26	New York Jets	1472	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1458+14→1472
next: at San Francisco 49ers (1559): Lose by 11 points
27	Tennessee Titans	1470	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: at Chicago Bears (1493): Lose by 5 points
28	Atlanta Falcons	1470	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+15→1470
next: vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1499): Slight underdog
29	New England Patriots	1466	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1449+17→1466
next: at Cincinnati Bengals (1517): Lose by 8 points
30	Arizona Cardinals	1458	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1437+21→1458
next: at Buffalo Bills (1550): Lose by 11 points
31	Washington Commanders	1441	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1410+31→1441
next: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina Panthers	1434	0-0
prev: offseason parity reset: 1400+34→1434
next: at New Orleans Saints (1518): Lose by 10 points

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1534 (+74 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1550 \| avg. remaining rating: 1496
1	30	at BUF(1550) L 28-34: +4→1462	9	vs CHI	17	at LAR
2	23	vs LAR(1517) W 41-10: +24→1486	10	vs NYJ	18	vs SF
3	24	vs DET	11	(bye)	W
4		vs WAS	12	at SEA	D
5		at SF	13	at MIN	C
6		at GB	14	vs SEA	S
7		vs LAC	15	vs NE
8		at MIA	16	at CAR

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: 1497
1	28	vs PIT(1499) L 10-18: -3→1467	9	vs DAL	17	at WAS
2	27	at PHI(1497) W 22-21: +9→1476	10	at NO	18	vs CAR
3	27	vs KC	11	at DEN	W
4		vs NO	12	(bye)	D
5		vs TB	13	vs LAC	C
6		at CAR	14	at MIN	S
7		vs SEA	15	at LV
8		at TB	16	vs NYG

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1524 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: 1501
1	3	at KC(1555) L 20-27: -3→1558	9	vs DEN	17	at HOU
2	5	vs LV(1492) L 23-26: -13→1545	10	vs CIN	18	vs CLE
3	5	at DAL	11	at PIT	W
4		vs BUF	12	at LAC	D
5		at CIN	13	vs PHI	C
6		vs WAS	14	(bye)	S
7		at TB	15	at NYG
8		at CLE	16	vs PIT

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (-60 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1500
1	5	vs ARI(1458) W 34-28: -3→1547	9	vs MIA	17	vs NYJ
2	1	at MIA(1518) W 31-10: +16→1563	10	at IND	18	at NE
3	1	vs JAX	11	vs KC	W
4		at BAL	12	(bye)	D
5		at HOU	13	vs SF	C
6		at NYJ	14	at LAR	S
7		vs TEN	15	at DET
8		at SEA	16	vs NE

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+72 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: 1500
1	32	at NO(1518) L 10-47: -5→1429	9	vs NO	17	at TB
2	32	vs LAC(1490) L 3-26: -13→1416	10	at NYG	18	at ATL
3	32	at LV	11	(bye)	W
4		vs CIN	12	vs KC	D
5		at CHI	13	vs TB	C
6		vs ATL	14	at PHI	S
7		at WAS	15	vs DAL
8		at DEN	16	vs ARI

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	18	vs TEN(1470) W 24-17: +1→1494	9	at ARI	17	vs SEA
2	21	at HOU(1496) L 13-19: -3→1491	10	vs NE	18	at GB
3	22	at IND	11	vs GB	W
4		vs LAR	12	vs MIN	D
5		vs CAR	13	at DET	C
6		at JAX	14	at SF	S
7		(bye)	15	at MIN
8		at WAS	16	vs DET

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: 1492
1	12	vs NE(1466) L 10-16: -6→1511	9	vs LV	17	vs DEN
2	10	at KC(1558) L 25-26: +3→1514	10	at BAL	18	at PIT
3	10	vs WAS	11	at LAC	W
4		at CAR	12	(bye)	D
5		vs BAL	13	vs PIT	C
6		at NYG	14	at DAL	S
7		at CLE	15	at TEN
8		vs PHI	16	vs CLE

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (+31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1544 \| avg. remaining rating: 1508
1	23	vs DAL(1544) L 17-33: -6→1487	9	vs LAC	17	vs MIA
2	18	at JAX(1498) W 18-13: +6→1493	10		18	at BAL
3	19	vs NYG	11	at NO	W
4		at LV	12	vs PIT	D
5		at WAS	13	at DEN	C
6		at PHI	14	at PIT	S
7		vs CIN	15	vs KC
8		vs BAL	16	at CIN

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: 1490
1	4	at CLE(1493) W 33-17: +5→1549	9	at ATL	17	at PHI
2	6	vs NO(1523) L 19-44: -23→1526	10	vs PHI	18	vs WAS
3	6	vs BAL	11	vs HOU	W
4		at NYG	12	at WAS	D
5		at PIT	13	vs NYG	C
6		vs DET	14	vs CIN	S
7		(bye)	15	at CAR
8		at SF	16	vs TB

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+8 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: 1507
1	22	at SEA(1492) L 20-26: -2→1488	9	at BAL	17	at CIN
2	24	vs PIT(1502) L 6-13: -7→1481	10	at KC	18	vs KC
3	25	at TB	11	vs ATL	W
4		at NYJ	12	at LV	D
5		vs LV	13	vs CLE	C
6		vs LAC	14	(bye)	S
7		at NO	15	vs IND
8		vs CAR	16	at LAC

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: 1506
1	6	vs LAR(1517) W 26-20: -1→1532	9	at GB	17	at SF
2	7	vs TB(1515) L 16-20: -7→1525	10	at HOU	18	vs MIN
3	7	at ARI	11	vs JAX	W
4		vs SEA	12	at IND	D
5		(bye)	13	vs CHI	C
6		at DAL	14	vs GB	S
7		at MIN	15	vs BUF
8		vs TEN	16	at CHI

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (-40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	8	at PHI(1494) L 29-34: -4→1523	9	vs DET	17	at MIN
2	9	vs IND(1475) W 16-10: -2→1521	10	(bye)	18	vs CHI
3	9	at TEN	11	at CHI	W
4		vs MIN	12	vs SF	D
5		at LAR	13	vs MIA	C
6		vs ARI	14	at DET	S
7		vs HOU	15	at SEA
8		at JAX	16	vs NO

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	17	at IND(1476) W 29-27: +1→1496	9	at NYJ	17	vs BAL
2	16	vs CHI(1494) W 19-13: +4→1500	10	vs DET	18	at TEN
3	16	at MIN	11	at DAL	W
4		vs JAX	12	vs TEN	D
5		vs BUF	13	at JAX	C
6		at NE	14	(bye)	S
7		at GB	15	vs MIA
8		vs IND	16	at KC

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: 1493
1	24	vs HOU(1495) L 27-29: -1→1475	9	at MIN	17	at NYG
2	26	at GB(1523) L 10-16: +2→1477	10	vs BUF	18	vs JAX
3	26	vs CHI	11	at NYJ	W
4		vs PIT	12	vs DET	D
5		at JAX	13	at NE	C
6		at TEN	14	(bye)	S
7		vs MIA	15	at DEN
8		at HOU	16	vs TEN

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	15	at MIA(1518) L 17-20: +0→1498	9	at PHI	17	vs TEN
2	20	vs CLE(1487) L 13-18: -7→1491	10	vs MIN	18	at IND
3	21	at BUF	11	at DET	W
4		at HOU	12	(bye)	D
5		vs IND	13	vs HOU	C
6		at CHI	14	at TEN	S
7		at NE	15	vs NYJ
8		vs GB	16	at LV

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1536 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1536 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1504
1	2	vs BAL(1561) W 27-20: +3→1558	9	vs TB	17	at PIT
2	2	vs CIN(1511) W 26-25: -3→1555	10	vs DEN	18	at DEN
3	2	at ATL	11	at BUF	W
4		at LAC	12	at CAR	D
5		vs NO	13	vs LV	C
6		(bye)	14	vs LAC	S
7		at SF	15	at CLE
8		at LV	16	vs HOU

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1520 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1558 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: 1503
1	20	at LAC(1483) L 10-22: -6→1492	9	at CIN	17	at NO
2	13	at BAL(1558) W 26-23: +13→1505	10	(bye)	18	vs LAC
3	13	vs CAR	11	at MIA	W
4		vs CLE	12	vs DEN	D
5		at DEN	13	at KC	C
6		vs PIT	14	at TB	S
7		at LAR	15	vs ATL
8		vs KC	16	vs JAX

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1464 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1464 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1506
1	21	vs LV(1498) W 22-10: +7→1490	9	at CLE	17	at NE
2	14	at CAR(1429) W 26-3: +13→1503	10	vs TEN	18	at LV
3	14	at PIT	11	vs CIN	W
4		vs KC	12	vs BAL	D
5		(bye)	13	at ATL	C
6		at DEN	14	at KC	S
7		at ARI	15	vs TB
8		vs NO	16	vs DEN

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: 1510
1	10	at DET(1533) L 20-26: +0→1517	9	at SEA	17	vs ARI
2	19	at ARI(1462) L 10-41: -24→1493	10	vs MIA	18	vs SEA
3	20	vs SF	11	at NE	W
4		at CHI	12	vs PHI	D
5		vs GB	13	at NO	C
6			14	vs BUF	S
7		vs LV	15	at SF
8		vs MIN	16	at NYJ

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1522 (+4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1547 \| avg. remaining rating: 1496
1	9	vs JAX(1498) W 20-17: -0→1518	9	at BUF	17	at CLE
2	15	vs BUF(1547) L 10-31: -16→1502	10	at LAR	18	at NYJ
3	15	at SEA	11	vs LV	W
4		vs TEN	12	vs NE	D
5		at NE	13	at GB	C
6		(bye)	14	vs NYJ	S
7		at IND	15	at HOU
8		vs ARI	16	vs SF

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1518 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1496
1	14	at NYG(1476) W 28-6: +9→1499	9	vs IND	17	vs GB
2	11	vs SF(1561) W 23-17: +10→1509	10	at JAX	18	at DET
3	11	vs HOU	11	at TEN	W
4		at GB	12	at CHI	D
5		at NYJ	13	vs ARI	C
6		(bye)	14	vs ATL	S
7		vs DET	15	vs CHI
8		at LAR	16	at SEA

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+27 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	25	at CIN(1517) W 16-10: +7→1473	9	at TEN	17	vs LAC
2	28	vs SEA(1494) L 20-23: -2→1471	10	at CHI	18	vs BUF
3	30	at NYJ(1479) L 3-24: -15→1456	11	vs LAR	W
4		at SF	12	at MIA	D
5		vs MIA	13	vs IND	C
6		vs HOU	14	(bye)	S
7		at JAX	15	at ARI
8		vs NYJ	16	at BUF

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1490
1	7	vs CAR(1434) W 47-10: +5→1523	9	at CAR	17	vs LV
2	4	at DAL(1549) W 44-19: +23→1546	10	vs ATL	18	at TB
3	4	vs PHI	11	vs CLE	W
4		at ATL	12	(bye)	D
5		at KC	13	vs LAR	C
6		vs TB	14	at NYG	S
7		vs DEN	15	vs WAS
8		at LAC	16	at GB

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1464 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1464 \| avg. remaining rating: 1498
1	29	vs MIN(1490) L 6-28: -9→1467	9	vs WAS	17	vs IND
2	29	at WAS(1438) L 18-21: -5→1462	10	at CAR	18	at PHI
3	28	at CLE	11	(bye)	W
4		vs DAL	12	vs TB	D
5		at SEA	13	at DAL	C
6		vs CIN	14	vs NO	S
7		vs PHI	15	vs BAL
8		at PIT	16	at ATL

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1559 \| avg. remaining rating: 1502
1	26	at SF(1559) L 19-32: -1→1471	9	vs HOU	17	at BUF
2	25	at TEN(1469) W 24-17: +8→1479	10	at ARI	18	vs MIA
3	18	vs NE(1471) W 24-3: +15→1494	11	vs IND	W
4		vs DEN	12	(bye)	D
5		at MIN	13	vs SEA	C
6		vs BUF	14	at MIA	S
7		at PIT	15	at JAX
8		at NE	16	vs LAR

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1527 \| avg. lost to rating: 1467 \| avg. remaining rating: 1493
1	16	at GB(1527) W 34-29: +3→1497	9	vs JAX	17	vs DAL
2	22	vs ATL(1467) L 21-22: -9→1488	10	at DAL	18	vs NYG
3	23	at NO	11	vs WAS	W
4		at TB	12	at LAR	D
5		(bye)	13	at BAL	C
6		vs CLE	14	vs CAR	S
7		at NYG	15	vs PIT
8		at CIN	16	at WAS

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1504
1	13	at ATL(1470) W 18-10: +3→1502	9	(bye)	17	vs KC
2	12	at DEN(1488) W 13-6: +7→1509	10	at WAS	18	vs CIN
3	12	vs LAC	11	vs BAL	W
4		at IND	12	at CLE	D
5		vs DAL	13	at CIN	C
6		at LV	14	vs CLE	S
7		vs NYJ	15	at PHI
8		vs NYG	16	at BAL

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (-74 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: 1507
1	1	vs NYJ(1472) W 32-19: +2→1561	9	(bye)	17	vs DET
2	3	at MIN(1499) L 17-23: -10→1551	10	at TB	18	at ARI
3	3	at LAR	11	vs SEA	W
4		vs NE	12	at GB	D
5		vs ARI	13	at BUF	C
6		at SEA	14	vs CHI	S
7		vs KC	15	vs LAR
8		vs DAL	16	at MIA

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1507
1	19	vs DEN(1490) W 26-20: +2→1494	9	vs LAR	17	at CHI
2	17	at NE(1473) W 23-20: +2→1496	10	(bye)	18	at LAR
3	17	vs MIA	11	at SF	W
4		at DET	12	vs ARI	D
5		vs NYG	13	at NYJ	C
6		vs SF	14	at ARI	S
7		at ATL	15	vs GB
8		vs BUF	16	vs MIN

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: - \| avg. remaining rating: 1499
1	11	vs WAS(1441) W 37-20: +4→1515	9	at KC	17	vs CAR
2	8	at DET(1532) W 20-16: +7→1522	10	vs SF	18	vs NO
3	8	vs DEN	11	(bye)	W
4		vs PHI	12	at NYG	D
5		at ATL	13	at CAR	C
6		at NO	14	vs LV	S
7		vs BAL	15	at LAC
8		vs ATL	16	at DAL

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1482 (+12 net) \| avg. beat rating: - \| avg. lost to rating: 1482 \| avg. remaining rating: 1498
1	27	at CHI(1493) L 17-24: -1→1469	9	vs NE	17	at JAX
2	30	vs NYJ(1471) L 17-24: -8→1461	10	at LAC	18	vs HOU
3	29	vs GB	11	vs MIN	W
4		at MIA	12	at HOU	D
5		(bye)	13	at WAS	C
6		vs IND	14	vs JAX	S
7		at BUF	15	vs CIN
8		at DET	16	at IND

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1467 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	31	at TB(1511) L 20-37: -3→1438	9	at NYG	17	vs ATL
2	31	vs NYG(1467) W 21-18: +5→1443	10	vs PIT	18	at DAL
3	31	at CIN	11	at PHI	W
4		at ARI	12	vs DAL	D
5		vs CLE	13	vs TEN	C
6		at BAL	14	(bye)	S
7		vs CAR	15	at NO
8		vs CHI	16	vs PHI

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 2 games (weeks 1-2) New Orleans Saints: +28 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Arizona Cardinals: +28 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 2-3) New York Jets: +23 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Los Angeles Chargers: +20 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Minnesota Vikings: +19 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Carolina Panthers: -18 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 2-3) New England Patriots: -17 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Miami Dolphins: -16 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 1-2) Baltimore Ravens: -16 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 1-2) New York Giants: -15 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 2, 66-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1558) 9-point favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1492): Raiders win 26-23
2. Week 2, 62-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1561) 6-point favorites at Minnesota Vikings (1499): Vikings win 23-17
3. Week 2, 55-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1517) 6-point favorites at Arizona Cardinals (1462): Cardinals win 41-10
4. Week 1, 51-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) 8-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1466): Patriots win 16-10
5. Week 1, 33-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1527) 5-point favorites at Philadelphia Eagles (1494): Eagles win 34-29
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 2, 37-point differential: Los Angeles Rams (1517) 6-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1462): Cardinals win 41-10
2. Week 2, 31-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1549) 6-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1523): Saints win 44-19
3. Week 2, 12-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1558) 9-point favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1492): Raiders win 26-23
4. Week 1, 12-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) Tossup favorites at Los Angeles Chargers (1483): Chargers win 22-10
5. Week 1, 14-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) 8-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1466): Patriots win 16-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
2. +28: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 2
3. +22: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 3
4. +20: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 2
5. +19: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
more...
1. +13: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 2
2. +10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 2
3. +10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
4. +6: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 2
5. +6: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 2
6. +5: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 2
7. +4: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 2
8. +2: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 2
9. +0: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
10. +0: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 2
11. -1: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 2
12. -2: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
13. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 2
14. -5: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 2
15. -6: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 2
16. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
17. -7: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
18. -8: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 2
19. -9: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 2
20. -9: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 2
21. -10: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 3
22. -15: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 2
23. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
24. -16: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 2
25. -18: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 2
26. -18: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 2
27. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
2. -18: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 2
3. -18: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 2
4. -16: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 2
5. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
more...
1. -15: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 2
2. -10: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 3
3. -9: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 2
4. -9: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 2
5. -8: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 2
6. -7: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
7. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
8. -6: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 2
9. -5: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 2
10. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 2
11. -2: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
12. -1: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 2
13. -0: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 2
14. -0: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
15. +2: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 2
16. +4: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 2
17. +5: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 2
18. +6: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 2
19. +6: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 2
20. +10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
21. +10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 2
22. +13: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 2
23. +19: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
24. +20: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 2
25. +22: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 3
26. +28: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 2
27. +28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
2. +28: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 2
3. +23: New York Jets (1471) before week 2 → (1494) thru week 3
4. +20: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 2
5. +19: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
more...
1. +13: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 2
2. +10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 2
3. +10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
4. +6: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 2
5. +6: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 2
6. +5: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 2
7. +5: New England Patriots (1466) before week 1 → (1471) thru week 2
8. +4: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 2
9. +2: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 2
10. +0: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
11. +0: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 2
12. -1: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 2
13. -2: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
14. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 2
15. -5: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 2
16. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
17. -6: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 2
18. -7: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
19. -8: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 2
20. -9: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 2
21. -9: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 2
22. -15: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 2
23. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
24. -16: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 2
25. -18: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 2
26. -18: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 2
27. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -24: Los Angeles Rams (1517) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
2. -18: Carolina Panthers (1434) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 2
3. -18: Dallas Cowboys (1544) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 2
4. -17: New England Patriots (1473) before week 2 → (1456) thru week 3
5. -16: Baltimore Ravens (1561) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 2
more...
1. -16: Miami Dolphins (1518) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 2
2. -15: New York Giants (1476) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 2
3. -9: San Francisco 49ers (1559) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 2
4. -9: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 2
5. -8: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 2
6. -7: Detroit Lions (1533) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 2
7. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1498) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
8. -6: Green Bay Packers (1527) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 2
9. -5: Philadelphia Eagles (1494) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 2
10. -3: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 2
11. -2: Chicago Bears (1493) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 2
12. -1: Kansas City Chiefs (1555) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 2
13. -0: Cleveland Browns (1493) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 2
14. -0: Indianapolis Colts (1476) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 2
15. +-2: Washington Commanders (1441) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 2
16. +-4: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 2
17. +-5: Houston Texans (1495) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 2
18. +-6: Atlanta Falcons (1470) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 2
19. +-6: Las Vegas Raiders (1498) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 2
20. +-7: New York Jets (1472) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 2
21. +-10: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1511) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 2
22. +-10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
23. +-13: Buffalo Bills (1550) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 2
24. +-19: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 2
25. +-20: Los Angeles Chargers (1483) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 2
26. +-28: New Orleans Saints (1518) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 2
27. +-28: Arizona Cardinals (1458) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 2
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1536
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1534
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1524
4. Miami Dolphins: 1522
5. Cleveland Browns: 1521
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1520
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1518
3. Detroit Lions: 1516
4. Cincinnati Bengals: 1512
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1509
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1508
7. Carolina Panthers: 1504
8. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
9. New York Jets: 1500
10. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
11. Denver Broncos: 1497
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
13. New England Patriots: 1497
14. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
15. New Orleans Saints: 1492
16. Washington Commanders: 1489
17. Buffalo Bills: 1488
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
19. San Francisco 49ers: 1486
20. Houston Texans: 1485
21. Green Bay Packers: 1484
22. Chicago Bears: 1483
23. Tennessee Titans: 1482
24. Seattle Seahawks: 1481
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1479
26. Los Angeles Chargers: 1464
27. New York Giants: 1464
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New York Giants: 1464
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1464
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1479
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1481
5. Tennessee Titans: 1482
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1483
2. Green Bay Packers: 1484
3. Houston Texans: 1485
4. San Francisco 49ers: 1486
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
6. Buffalo Bills: 1488
7. Washington Commanders: 1489
8. New Orleans Saints: 1492
9. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
10. New England Patriots: 1497
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
12. Denver Broncos: 1497
13. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
14. New York Jets: 1500
15. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
16. Carolina Panthers: 1504
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1508
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1509
19. Cincinnati Bengals: 1512
20. Detroit Lions: 1516
21. Minnesota Vikings: 1518
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1520
23. Cleveland Browns: 1521
24. Miami Dolphins: 1522
25. Baltimore Ravens: 1524
26. Arizona Cardinals: 1534
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1536
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1558
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 1536
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1527
4. Minnesota Vikings: 1518
5. New England Patriots: 1517
more...
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1517
2. Detroit Lions: 1517
3. Cleveland Browns: 1498
4. Miami Dolphins: 1498
5. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1493
7. New Orleans Saints: 1492
8. Buffalo Bills: 1488
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
10. Houston Texans: 1485
11. Seattle Seahawks: 1481
12. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1479
13. Green Bay Packers: 1475
14. San Francisco 49ers: 1472
15. Chicago Bears: 1470
16. New York Jets: 1470
17. Washington Commanders: 1467
18. Los Angeles Chargers: 1464
19. Jacksonville Jaguars: 0
20. Carolina Panthers: 0
21. Los Angeles Rams: 0
22. New York Giants: 0
23. Denver Broncos: 0
24. Tennessee Titans: 0
25. Baltimore Ravens: 0
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 0
27. Indianapolis Colts: 0
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Indianapolis Colts: 0
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 0
3. Baltimore Ravens: 0
4. Tennessee Titans: 0
5. Denver Broncos: 0
more...
1. New York Giants: 0
2. Los Angeles Rams: 0
3. Carolina Panthers: 0
4. Jacksonville Jaguars: 0
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1464
6. Washington Commanders: 1467
7. New York Jets: 1470
8. Chicago Bears: 1470
9. San Francisco 49ers: 1472
10. Green Bay Packers: 1475
11. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1479
12. Seattle Seahawks: 1481
13. Houston Texans: 1485
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
15. Buffalo Bills: 1488
16. New Orleans Saints: 1492
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1493
18. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
19. Miami Dolphins: 1498
20. Cleveland Browns: 1498
21. Detroit Lions: 1517
22. Arizona Cardinals: 1517
23. New England Patriots: 1517
24. Minnesota Vikings: 1518
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1527
26. Kansas City Chiefs: 1536
27. Las Vegas Raiders: 1558

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	13/16 (81.25%)	13/16 (81.25%)
2	7/16 (43.75%)	20/32 (62.5%)
3	1/1 (100.0%)	21/33 (63.64%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. I cannot make claims about the usefulness and accuracy of this data with respect to gambling. The ratings are derived from a minimal data set. Many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes are not included in this Elo model.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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