NFL Elo Power Rankings 2024

This is the 2024 "Never Lose Elo For a Win" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated where the winning team never loses Elo rating points. If a favorite wins by the expected margin of victory or less, they take 0.0 Elo rating points from their opponent. If a favorite wins by more than the expected margin, they take some number of Elo rating points as calculated by the regular model. If a favorite loses, their opponent takes Elo rating points from them as per the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be slightly less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,151 of 3,259 game winners correctly (66.0%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2024 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. This data is somewhat manually updated so please bear with me and check back later if I haven't updated things as exepected. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2024 Season Summaries by Team
2024 Season Stats and Tidbits
2024 Season Model Accuracy

← 2023 Season

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1706 (+21)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): W 30-21: 1685+21→1706
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1692 (-10)	7-4	at LAC (1578): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): L 16-18: 1702-10→1692
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1578): Win by 5 points
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1692 (+18)	9-1	at IND (1448): Win by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 52-6: 1674+18→1692
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): Win by 7 points
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1674 (-21)	9-1	at CAR (1310): Win by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1685): L 21-30: 1695-21→1674
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1310): Win by 8 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1613 (+5)	8-2	at LAR (1484): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): W 26-18: 1608+5→1613
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): Win by 6 points
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1598 (+10)	8-2	at CLE (1369): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1702): W 18-16: 1588+10→1598
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1369): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1578 (-20)	5-5	at GB (1562): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1457): L 17-20: 1598-20→1578
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1562): Lose by 5 points
8	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1578 (+9)	7-3	vs BAL (1692): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): W 34-27: 1569+9→1578
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1692): Lose by 5 points
9 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1575 (+29)	6-5	at LV (1344): Win by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): W 38-6: 1546+29→1575
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1344): Win by 6 points
10 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1562	7-3	vs SF (1578): Win by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1421): W 20-19: 1562+0→1562
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1578): Win by 5 points
11 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1552 (+21)	8-2	at CHI (1421): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1396): W 23-13: 1531+21→1552
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1421): Win by 5 points
12 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1524 (-9)	4-7	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1569): L 27-34: 1533-9→1524
next: (bye)
13 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1522 (+46)	7-4	vs TEN (1376): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1453): W 34-10: 1476+46→1522
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1376): Win by 7 points
14 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518	4-6	at NYG (1387): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1387): Win by 5 points
15 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1512	6-4	at SEA (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1494 (-5)	7-4	vs DAL (1407): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): L 18-26: 1499-5→1494
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1407): Win by 7 points
17 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1484 (+6)	5-5	vs PHI (1613): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1386): W 28-22: 1478+6→1484
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1613): Lose by 6 points
18 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1476 (+19)	5-5	vs ARI (1512): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): W 20-17: 1457+19→1476
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1512): Slight favorite
19 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+28)	4-6	vs NE (1380): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1372): W 34-19: 1445+28→1473
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1380): Win by 6 points
20 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1448 (+6)	5-6	vs DET (1692): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1427): W 28-27: 1442+6→1448
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1692): Lose by 7 points
21 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1441 (+39)	4-7	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1408): W 35-14: 1402+39→1441
next: (bye)
22 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1440 (-18)	2-9	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1674): L 6-52: 1458-18→1440
next: (bye)
23 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1434 (-29)	6-5	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1546): L 6-38: 1463-29→1434
next: (bye)
24 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1421	4-6	vs MIN (1552): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1562): L 19-20: 1421+0→1421
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1552): Lose by 5 points
25 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1420 (-7)	3-8	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): L 27-28: 1427-7→1420
next: (bye)
26 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1407 (-46)	3-7	at WAS (1494): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1476): L 10-34: 1453-46→1407
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1494): Lose by 7 points
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1387	2-8	vs TB (1518): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Lose by 5 points
28 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1380 (-6)	3-8	at MIA (1473): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): L 22-28: 1386-6→1380
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Lose by 6 points
29 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1376 (-20)	2-8	at HOU (1522): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 13-23: 1396-20→1376
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1522): Lose by 7 points
30 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1369 (-39)	2-8	vs PIT (1598): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1402): L 14-35: 1408-39→1369
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1598): Lose by 6 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1344 (-28)	2-8	vs DEN (1575): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): L 19-34: 1372-28→1344
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1575): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1310	3-7	vs KC (1674): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1674): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1702	7-3	at PIT (1588): Win by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): W 35-34: 1702+0→1702
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): Win by 6 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1695	9-0	at BUF (1685): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): W 16-14: 1695+0→1695
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1685): Lose by 5 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1685 (+9)	8-2	vs KC (1695): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1451): W 30-20: 1676+9→1685
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): Win by 5 points
4	Detroit LionsDET	1674	8-1	vs JAX (1458): Win by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1476): W 26-23: 1674+0→1674
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Win by 9 points
5 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1608 (+39)	7-2	vs WAS (1499): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): W 34-6: 1569+39→1608
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Win by 7 points
6 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598	5-4	vs SEA (1457): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 23-20: 1598+0→1598
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1457): Win by 7 points
7 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1588	7-2	vs BAL (1702): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): W 28-27: 1588+0→1588
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1702): Lose by 6 points
8	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1569 (+4)	6-3	vs CIN (1533): Win by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): W 27-17: 1565+4→1569
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Win by 6 points
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1562	6-3	at CHI (1421): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1421): Win by 6 points
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1546	5-5	vs ATL (1463): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): L 14-16: 1546+0→1546
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): Win by 7 points
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1533	4-6	at LAC (1569): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1702): L 34-35: 1533+0→1533
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1569): Lose by 6 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531	7-2	at TEN (1396): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 12-7: 1531+0→1531
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1396): Win by 6 points
13 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518	4-6	bye
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): L 20-23: 1518+0→1518
next: (bye)
14 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1512 (+40)	6-4	bye
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1466): W 31-6: 1472+40→1512
next: (bye)
15	Washington CommandersWAS	1499	7-3	at PHI (1608): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): L 27-28: 1499+0→1499
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): Lose by 7 points
16 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1478 (-44)	4-5	at NE (1386): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): L 15-23: 1522-44→1478
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1386): Win by 5 points
17 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1476	6-4	at DAL (1453): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1674): L 23-26: 1476+0→1476
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1453): Lose by 5 points
18 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (-7)	6-4	at DEN (1546): Lose by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1395): L 17-20: 1470-7→1463
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Lose by 7 points
19 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458	2-8	at DET (1674): Lose by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): L 7-12: 1458+0→1458
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1674): Lose by 9 points
20 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1457	4-5	at SF (1598): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): Lose by 7 points
21 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1453 (-39)	3-6	vs HOU (1476): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): L 6-34: 1492-39→1453
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1476): Win by 5 points
22 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1445 (+43)	3-6	vs LV (1372): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): W 23-15: 1402+43→1445
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1372): Win by 6 points
23 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1442 (-9)	4-6	at NYJ (1427): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): L 20-30: 1451-9→1442
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1427): Lose by 5 points
24 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1427 (-39)	3-7	vs IND (1442): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): L 6-31: 1466-39→1427
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): Win by 5 points
25 (-8)	Chicago BearsCHI	1421 (-68)	4-5	vs GB (1562): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1319): L 3-19: 1489-68→1421
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1562): Lose by 6 points
26 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1408	2-7	at NO (1402): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1402): Lose by 5 points
27 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1402 (+7)	3-7	vs CLE (1408): Win by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): W 20-17: 1395+7→1402
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1408): Win by 5 points
28	Tennessee TitansTEN	1396 (-4)	2-7	vs MIN (1531): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1565): L 17-27: 1400-4→1396
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Lose by 6 points
29 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1387 (-17)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1293): L 17-20(OT): 1404-17→1387
next: (bye)
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1386 (+67)	3-7	vs LAR (1478): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): W 19-3: 1319+67→1386
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1372	2-7	at MIA (1445): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1310 (+17)	3-7	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): W 20-17(OT): 1293+17→1310
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1702 (+25)	6-3	vs CIN (1533): Win by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1571): W 41-10: 1677+25→1702
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Win by 9 points
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1695	8-0	vs DEN (1546): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 30-24(OT): 1695+0→1695
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Win by 8 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1676	7-2	at IND (1451): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): W 30-27: 1676+0→1676
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1451): Win by 8 points
4	Detroit LionsDET	1674 (+28)	7-1	at HOU (1476): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1590): W 24-14: 1646+28→1674
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1476): Win by 7 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598	4-4	at TB (1518): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Win by 6 points
6 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1588	6-2	at WAS (1499): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Win by 6 points
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1569	6-2	at DAL (1492): Win by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 28-23: 1569+0→1569
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Win by 5 points
8 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1565 (+35)	5-3	vs TEN (1400): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1443): W 27-10: 1530+35→1565
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): Win by 9 points
9 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1562 (-28)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1646): L 14-24: 1590-28→1562
next: (bye)
10 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1546 (-25)	5-4	at KC (1695): Lose by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1677): L 10-41: 1571-25→1546
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): Lose by 8 points
11 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1533 (+20)	4-5	at BAL (1702): Lose by 9
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): W 41-24: 1513+20→1533
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1702): Lose by 9 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+6)	6-2	at JAX (1458): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): W 21-13: 1525+6→1531
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Win by 5 points
13 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1522 (+7)	4-4	vs MIA (1402): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1464): W 26-20(OT): 1515+7→1522
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): Win by 8 points
14 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518	4-5	vs SF (1598): Lose by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): L 24-30(OT): 1518+0→1518
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): Lose by 6 points
15 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499	7-2	vs PIT (1588): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): W 27-22: 1499+0→1499
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): Lose by 6 points
16	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (-11)	3-5	vs PHI (1569): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): L 21-27: 1503-11→1492
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): Lose by 5 points
17 (-7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (-53)	4-4	vs NE (1319): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1418): L 9-29: 1542-53→1489
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1319): Win by 9 points
18 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1476 (-25)	6-3	vs DET (1674): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1442): L 13-21: 1501-25→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1674): Lose by 7 points
19 (+6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1472 (+54)	5-4	vs NYJ (1466): Win by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1542): W 29-9: 1418+54→1472
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1466): Win by 5 points
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1470 (+11)	6-3	at NO (1395): Win by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): W 27-21: 1459+11→1470
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1395): Win by 5 points
21 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1466 (+24)	3-6	at ARI (1472): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1501): W 21-13: 1442+24→1466
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1472): Lose by 5 points
22 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458	2-7	vs MIN (1531): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): L 23-28: 1458+0→1458
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Lose by 5 points
23 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1457 (-7)	4-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 20-26(OT): 1464-7→1457
next: (bye)
24 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1451 (-5)	4-5	vs BUF (1676): Lose by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): L 13-21: 1456-5→1451
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): Lose by 8 points
25 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1408 (-35)	2-7	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): L 10-27: 1443-35→1408
next: (bye)
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1404	2-7	at CAR (1293): Win by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): L 22-27: 1404+0→1404
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1293): Win by 7 points
27 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1402	2-6	at LAR (1522): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): L 27-30: 1402+0→1402
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): Lose by 8 points
28 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400	2-6	at LAC (1565): Lose by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1319): W 20-17(OT): 1400+0→1400
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1565): Lose by 9 points
29 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1395 (-14)	2-7	vs ATL (1470): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1279): L 22-23: 1409-14→1395
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): Lose by 5 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1372 (-21)	2-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): L 24-41: 1393-21→1372
next: (bye)
31	New England PatriotsNE	1319	2-7	at CHI (1489): Lose by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): L 17-20(OT): 1319+0→1319
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293 (+14)	2-7	at NYG (1404): Lose by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1409): W 23-22: 1279+14→1293
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1695	7-0	vs TB (1518): Win by 9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): W 27-20: 1695+0→1695
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Win by 9 points
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1677 (-27)	5-3	vs DEN (1571): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1416): L 24-29: 1704-27→1677
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1571): Win by 7 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1676 (+29)	6-2	vs MIA (1402): Win by 12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): W 31-10: 1647+29→1676
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): Win by 12 points
4	Detroit LionsDET	1646 (+14)	6-1	at GB (1590): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1414): W 52-14: 1632+14→1646
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1590): Slight favorite
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598	4-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): W 30-24: 1598+0→1598
next: (bye)
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1590	6-2	vs DET (1646): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 30-27: 1590+0→1590
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1646): Slight underdog
7	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1588	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1404): W 26-18: 1588+0→1588
next: (bye)
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1571	5-3	at BAL (1677): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1279): W 28-14: 1571+0→1571
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1677): Lose by 7 points
9 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1569 (+56)	5-2	vs JAX (1458): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): W 37-17: 1513+56→1569
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Win by 8 points
10 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1542 (-6)	4-3	at ARI (1418): Win by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1493): L 15-18: 1548-6→1542
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1418): Win by 6 points
11 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1530 (+32)	4-3	at CLE (1443): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): W 26-8: 1498+32→1530
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1443): Win by 5 points
12 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525 (-36)	5-2	vs IND (1456): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): L 20-30: 1561-36→1525
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Win by 7 points
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (-19)	4-4	at KC (1695): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): L 26-31: 1537-19→1518
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): Lose by 9 points
14 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (+36)	3-4	at SEA (1464): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1561): W 30-20: 1479+36→1515
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1464): Win by 5 points
15 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1513 (-56)	3-5	vs LV (1393): Win by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): L 17-37: 1569-56→1513
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): Win by 8 points
16 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503	3-4	at ATL (1459): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): L 24-30: 1503+0→1503
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): Tossup
17 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1501	6-2	at NYJ (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): W 23-20: 1501+0→1501
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1442): Slight favorite
18	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (+6)	6-2	at NYG (1404): Win by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1548): W 18-15: 1493+6→1499
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): Win by 6 points
19 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464 (-29)	4-4	vs LAR (1515): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1647): L 10-31: 1493-29→1464
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Lose by 5 points
20 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1459 (+19)	5-3	vs DAL (1503): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): W 31-26: 1440+19→1459
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): Tossup
21 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458	2-6	at PHI (1569): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1590): L 27-30: 1458+0→1458
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): Lose by 8 points
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456	4-4	at MIN (1525): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1501): L 20-23: 1456+0→1456
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): Lose by 7 points
23 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1443 (+27)	2-6	vs LAC (1530): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1704): W 29-24: 1416+27→1443
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): Lose by 5 points
24 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1442 (-16)	2-6	vs HOU (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1303): L 22-25: 1458-16→1442
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1501): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418 (+9)	4-4	vs CHI (1542): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1410): W 28-27: 1409+9→1418
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1542): Lose by 6 points
26 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1409 (-31)	2-6	at CAR (1279): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): L 8-26: 1440-31→1409
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1279): Win by 6 points
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1404	2-6	vs WAS (1499): Lose by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): L 18-26: 1404+0→1404
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1402 (-8)	2-5	at BUF (1676): Lose by 12
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1409): L 27-28: 1410-8→1402
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1676): Lose by 12 points
29 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400 (-14)	1-6	vs NE (1319): Win by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1632): L 14-52: 1414-14→1400
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1319): Win by 7 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	2-6	at CIN (1513): Lose by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): L 20-27: 1393+0→1393
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): Lose by 8 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1319 (+16)	2-6	at TEN (1400): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1458): W 25-22: 1303+16→1319
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1400): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1279	1-7	vs NO (1409): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1571): L 14-28: 1279+0→1279
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1409): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1704 (+20)	5-2	at CLE (1416): Win by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1557): W 41-31: 1684+20→1704
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1416): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1695 (+31)	6-0	at LV (1393): Win by 9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1628): W 28-18: 1664+31→1695
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1647 (+16)	5-2	at SEA (1493): Win by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1429): W 34-10: 1631+16→1647
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1632	5-1	vs TEN (1414): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1561): W 31-29: 1632+0→1632
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1414): Win by 10 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598 (-30)	3-4	vs DAL (1503): Win by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): L 18-28: 1628-30→1598
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): Win by 7 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1590	5-2	at JAX (1458): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1501): W 24-22: 1590+0→1590
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Win by 6 points
7 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1588 (+28)	5-2	vs NYG (1404): Win by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1486): W 37-15: 1560+28→1588
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1404): Win by 9 points
8 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1571 (+44)	4-3	vs CAR (1279): Win by 14
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): W 33-10: 1527+44→1571
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1279): Win by 14 points
9 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1569 (+4)	3-4	vs PHI (1513): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1421): W 21-14: 1565+4→1569
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): Win by 6 points
10 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1561	5-1	at LAR (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1632): L 29-31: 1561-0→1561
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Win by 5 points
11	Chicago BearsCHI	1548	4-2	at WAS (1493): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1493): Win by 5 points
12 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1537 (-20)	4-3	vs ATL (1440): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): L 31-41: 1557-20→1537
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Win by 7 points
13 (+8)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513 (+48)	4-2	at CIN (1569): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): W 28-3: 1465+48→1513
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): Lose by 6 points
14	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503	3-3	at SF (1598): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1598): Lose by 7 points
15	Houston TexansHOU	1501	5-2	vs IND (1456): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1590): L 22-24: 1501+0→1501
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Win by 6 points
16 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1498 (-12)	3-3	vs NO (1440): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1398): L 15-17: 1510-12→1498
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): Win by 6 points
17 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (+54)	4-3	vs BUF (1647): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): W 34-14: 1439+54→1493
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1647): Lose by 7 points
18 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1493 (+18)	5-2	vs CHI (1548): Lose by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1297): W 40-7: 1475+18→1493
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1548): Lose by 5 points
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479	2-4	vs MIN (1561): Lose by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): W 20-15: 1479+0→1479
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1561): Lose by 5 points
20 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (+28)	2-5	vs GB (1590): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1331): W 32-16: 1430+28→1458
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1590): Lose by 6 points
21 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1458 (-28)	2-5	at NE (1303): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): L 15-37: 1486-28→1458
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1303): Win by 7 points
22	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456	4-3	at HOU (1501): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1411): W 16-10: 1456+0→1456
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1501): Lose by 6 points
23 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1440 (-44)	2-5	at LAC (1498): Lose by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): L 10-33: 1484-44→1440
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): Lose by 6 points
24 (-8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440 (-54)	4-3	at TB (1537): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1439): L 14-34: 1494-54→1440
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): Lose by 7 points
25 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1416 (-5)	1-6	vs BAL (1704): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1565): L 14-21: 1421-5→1416
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1704): Lose by 9 points
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1414 (-15)	1-5	at DET (1632): Lose by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1631): L 10-34: 1429-15→1414
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1632): Lose by 10 points
27 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1410 (-1)	2-4	vs ARI (1409): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): L 10-16: 1411-1→1410
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1409): Win by 6 points
28 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1409 (+11)	3-4	at MIA (1410): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): W 17-15: 1398+11→1409
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1410): Lose by 6 points
29 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1404 (-48)	2-5	at PIT (1588): Lose by 9
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): L 3-28: 1452-48→1404
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1588): Lose by 9 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	2-5	vs KC (1695): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): L 15-20: 1393+0→1393
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): Lose by 9 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1303 (-28)	1-6	vs NYJ (1458): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): L 16-32: 1331-28→1303
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1458): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1279 (-18)	1-6	at DEN (1571): Lose by 14
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1475): L 7-40: 1297-18→1279
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1571): Lose by 14 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1684	4-2	at TB (1557): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1475): W 30-23: 1684+0→1684
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1557): Win by 6 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1664	5-0	at SF (1628): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1628): Slight underdog
3 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1632 (+43)	4-1	at MIN (1561): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): W 47-9: 1589+43→1632
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1561): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1631	4-2	vs TEN (1429): Win by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1486): W 23-20: 1631+0→1631
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1429): Win by 10 points
5 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1628 (+23)	3-3	vs KC (1664): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1462): W 36-24: 1605+23→1628
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): Slight favorite
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1590 (+19)	4-2	vs HOU (1501): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1417): W 34-13: 1571+19→1590
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1501): Win by 7 points
7 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1565 (+28)	2-4	at CLE (1421): Win by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1480): W 17-7: 1537+28→1565
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1421): Win by 6 points
8 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1561	5-0	vs DET (1632): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1632): Slight underdog
9 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1560 (+36)	4-2	vs NYJ (1486): Win by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): W 32-13: 1524+36→1560
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1486): Win by 7 points
10 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1557 (+51)	4-2	vs BAL (1684): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): W 51-27: 1506+51→1557
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): Lose by 6 points
11 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1548 (+37)	4-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): W 35-16: 1511+37→1548
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (-31)	3-3	at NO (1484): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): L 16-23: 1558-31→1527
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): Tossup
13 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (+31)	3-2	at ARI (1398): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1558): W 23-16: 1479+31→1510
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1398): Win by 6 points
14 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503 (-43)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1589): L 9-47: 1546-43→1503
next: (bye)
15 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1501 (+36)	5-1	at GB (1590): Lose by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1367): W 41-21: 1465+36→1501
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1590): Lose by 7 points
16 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (+29)	4-2	vs SEA (1439): Win by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1326): W 38-20: 1465+29→1494
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1439): Win by 6 points
17 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1486	2-4	at PIT (1560): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1631): L 20-23: 1486+0→1486
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): Lose by 7 points
18 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1484 (-51)	2-4	vs DEN (1527): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): L 27-51: 1535-51→1484
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Tossup
19 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479	1-4	vs LV (1393): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): Win by 7 points
20 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1475	4-2	vs CAR (1297): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): L 23-30: 1475+0→1475
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1297): Win by 9 points
21 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1465	3-2	at NYG (1452): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1421): W 20-16: 1465+0→1465
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): Lose by 5 points
22 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456 (+8)	3-3	vs MIA (1411): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1437): W 20-17: 1448+8→1456
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1411): Win by 6 points
23 (-7)	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (-28)	2-4	vs PHI (1465): Win by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): L 7-17: 1480-28→1452
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): Win by 5 points
24	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1439 (-23)	3-3	at ATL (1494): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1605): L 24-36: 1462-23→1439
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Lose by 6 points
25 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1430 (-37)	1-5	at NE (1331): Win by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1511): L 16-35: 1467-37→1430
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1331): Win by 6 points
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1429 (-8)	1-4	at BUF (1631): Lose by 10
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): L 17-20: 1437-8→1429
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1631): Lose by 10 points
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1421	1-5	vs CIN (1565): Lose by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): L 16-20: 1421+0→1421
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1565): Lose by 6 points
28 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1411	2-3	at IND (1456): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Lose by 6 points
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1398 (-19)	2-4	vs LAC (1510): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1571): L 13-34: 1417-19→1398
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Lose by 6 points
30 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393 (-36)	2-4	at LAR (1479): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1524): L 13-32: 1429-36→1393
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Lose by 7 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1331 (-36)	1-5	at JAX (1430): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): L 21-41: 1367-36→1331
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1297 (-29)	1-5	at WAS (1475): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): L 20-38: 1326-29→1297
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1475): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1684	3-2	vs WAS (1475): Win by 10
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): W 41-38(OT): 1684+0→1684
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1475): Win by 10 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1664 (+20)	5-0	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1556): W 26-13: 1644+20→1664
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1631 (-21)	3-2	at NYJ (1486): Win by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): L 20-23: 1652-21→1631
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1486): Win by 6 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1605 (-36)	2-3	at SEA (1462): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): L 23-24: 1641-36→1605
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1462): Win by 6 points
5	Detroit LionsDET	1589	3-1	at DAL (1546): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Slight favorite
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1571	3-2	vs ARI (1417): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): W 24-19: 1571+0→1571
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1417): Win by 8 points
7	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1561 (+1)	5-0	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1486): W 23-17: 1560+1→1561
next: (bye)
8 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1558 (+26)	3-2	vs LAC (1479): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): W 34-18: 1532+26→1558
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): Win by 7 points
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (+5)	3-2	vs DET (1589): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1529): W 20-17: 1541+5→1546
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1589): Slight underdog
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1537	1-4	at NYG (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): L 38-41(OT): 1537+0→1537
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1480): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535 (-21)	2-3	vs TB (1506): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): L 13-26: 1556-21→1535
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): Win by 6 points
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1524 (-5)	3-2	at LV (1429): Win by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 17-20: 1529-5→1524
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1429): Win by 6 points
13 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1511 (+22)	3-2	at JAX (1467): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): W 36-10: 1489+22→1511
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): Win by 5 points
14 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1506 (-12)	3-2	at NO (1535): Lose by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1452): L 30-36(OT): 1518-12→1506
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1535): Lose by 6 points
15 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1486	2-3	vs BUF (1631): Lose by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1560): L 17-23: 1486-0→1486
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1631): Lose by 6 points
16 (+10)	New York GiantsNYG	1480 (+37)	2-3	vs CIN (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): W 29-20: 1443+37→1480
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): Slight underdog
17	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479	1-4	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): L 19-24: 1479+0→1479
next: (bye)
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1479	2-2	at DEN (1558): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1558): Lose by 7 points
19 (+9)	Washington CommandersWAS	1475 (+42)	4-1	at BAL (1684): Lose by 10
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): W 34-13: 1433+42→1475
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): Lose by 10 points
20 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1467	1-4	at CHI (1511): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): W 37-34: 1467+0→1467
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1511): Lose by 5 points
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (+13)	3-2	at CAR (1326): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 36-30(OT): 1452+13→1465
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1326): Win by 6 points
22 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1465 (+21)	4-1	at NE (1367): Win by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1652): W 23-20: 1444+21→1465
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1367): Win by 6 points
23 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1465	2-2	vs CLE (1421): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1421): Win by 6 points
24 (-10)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1462 (-37)	3-2	vs SF (1605): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1443): L 20-29: 1499-37→1462
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1605): Lose by 6 points
25 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1448	2-3	at TEN (1437): Lose by 5
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): L 34-37: 1448+0→1448
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1437): Lose by 5 points
26 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1437	1-3	vs IND (1448): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): Win by 5 points
27 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1429 (-25)	2-3	vs PIT (1524): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): L 18-34: 1454-25→1429
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1524): Lose by 6 points
28 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1421 (-41)	1-4	at PHI (1465): Lose by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): L 13-34: 1462-41→1421
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): Lose by 6 points
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1417 (+36)	2-3	at GB (1571): Lose by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1641): W 24-23: 1381+36→1417
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1571): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1411 (+3)	2-3	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1370): W 15-10: 1408+3→1411
next: (bye)
31	New England PatriotsNE	1367 (-3)	1-4	vs HOU (1465): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1408): L 10-15: 1370-3→1367
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1326 (-22)	1-4	vs ATL (1465): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): L 10-36: 1348-22→1326
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1684 (+45)	2-2	at CIN (1537): Win by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1697): W 35-10: 1639+45→1684
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1652 (-45)	3-1	at HOU (1444): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): L 10-35: 1697-45→1652
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1644 (+4)	4-0	vs NO (1556): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): W 17-10: 1640+4→1644
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1556): Win by 7 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1641 (+10)	2-2	vs ARI (1381): Win by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1380): W 30-13: 1631+10→1641
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1381): Win by 11 points
5 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1589 (+27)	3-1	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): W 42-29: 1562+27→1589
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1571 (-13)	2-2	at LAR (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1548): L 29-31: 1584-13→1571
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1560 (+12)	4-0	at NYJ (1486): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1584): W 31-29: 1548+12→1560
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1486): Win by 6 points
8 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1556 (-12)	2-2	at KC (1644): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): L 24-26: 1568-12→1556
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): Lose by 7 points
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541	2-2	at PIT (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): W 20-15: 1541+0→1541
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1529): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1537 (+18)	1-3	vs BAL (1684): Lose by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): W 34-24: 1519+18→1537
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1684): Lose by 6 points
11	Denver BroncosDEN	1532 (+5)	2-2	vs LV (1454): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1491): W 10-9: 1527+5→1532
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): Win by 7 points
12 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1529 (-8)	3-1	vs DAL (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1439): L 24-27: 1537-8→1529
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Slight favorite
13 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+39)	3-1	at ATL (1452): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1504): W 33-16: 1479+39→1518
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1452): Win by 5 points
14 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-27)	3-1	vs NYG (1443): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1562): L 29-42: 1526-27→1499
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1443): Win by 6 points
15 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (+4)	2-2	vs CAR (1348): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): W 24-18: 1485+4→1489
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): Win by 8 points
16 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1486 (-5)	2-2	at MIN (1560): Lose by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): L 9-10: 1491-5→1486
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1560): Lose by 6 points
17	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479 (-5)	1-3	vs GB (1571): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1485): L 18-24: 1484-5→1479
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): Lose by 5 points
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1479 (-3)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): L 10-17: 1482-3→1479
next: (bye)
19 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1467	0-4	vs IND (1448): Win by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): L 20-24: 1467+0→1467
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1448): Win by 6 points
20 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1465 (-39)	2-2	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): L 16-33: 1504-39→1465
next: (bye)
21 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462	1-3	at WAS (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): L 16-20: 1462+0→1462
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454	2-2	at DEN (1532): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): W 20-16: 1454+0→1454
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): Lose by 7 points
23 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1452 (+12)	2-2	vs TB (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1568): W 26-24: 1440+12→1452
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Lose by 5 points
24 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1448 (+9)	2-2	at JAX (1467): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1537): W 27-24: 1439+9→1448
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): Lose by 6 points
25 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1444	3-1	vs BUF (1652): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): W 24-20: 1444+0→1444
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1652): Lose by 7 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1443	1-3	at SEA (1499): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 15-20: 1443+0→1443
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Lose by 6 points
27 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1437 (+59)	1-3	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): W 31-12: 1378+59→1437
next: (bye)
28 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1433 (+58)	3-1	vs CLE (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1440): W 42-14: 1375+58→1433
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): Slight favorite
29 (-9)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1408 (-59)	1-3	at NE (1370): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1378): L 12-31: 1467-59→1408
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1370): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1381 (-59)	1-3	at SF (1641): Lose by 11
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1375): L 14-42: 1440-59→1381
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1641): Lose by 11 points
31 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1370 (-10)	1-3	vs MIA (1408): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1631): L 13-30: 1380-10→1370
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1408): Slight favorite
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348 (-17)	1-3	at CHI (1489): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): L 24-34: 1365-17→1348
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1697 (+15)	3-0	at BAL (1639): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): W 47-10: 1682+15→1697
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1640	3-0	at LAC (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): W 22-17: 1640+0→1640
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): Win by 6 points
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1639	1-2	vs BUF (1697): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): W 28-25: 1639+0→1639
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1697): Slight underdog
4 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1631 (-18)	1-2	vs NE (1380): Win by 10
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): L 24-27: 1649-18→1631
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1380): Win by 10 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1584 (+29)	2-1	vs MIN (1548): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): W 30-14: 1555+29→1584
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1548): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1568 (-21)	2-1	at ATL (1440): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): L 12-15: 1589-21→1568
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Win by 6 points
7	Detroit LionsDET	1562 (+9)	2-1	vs SEA (1526): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): W 20-13: 1553+9→1562
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): Win by 6 points
8 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1548 (+35)	3-0	at GB (1584): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1479): W 34-7: 1513+35→1548
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1584): Lose by 6 points
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541	1-2	at NYG (1443): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): L 25-28: 1541+0→1541
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): Win by 6 points
10 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1537 (+23)	3-0	at IND (1439): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 20-10: 1514+23→1537
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1439): Win by 6 points
11 (+11)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (+56)	1-2	at NYJ (1491): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): W 26-7: 1471+56→1527
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1491): Lose by 5 points
12 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1526 (+43)	3-0	at DET (1562): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): W 24-3: 1483+43→1526
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1562): Lose by 6 points
13 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (-30)	0-3	at CAR (1365): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1344): L 33-38: 1549-30→1519
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): Win by 6 points
14 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1504 (+22)	2-1	at TB (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1589): W 15-12: 1482+22→1504
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): Slight underdog
15 (+9)	New York JetsNYJ	1491 (+32)	2-1	vs DEN (1527): Win by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): W 24-3: 1459+32→1491
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Win by 5 points
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1485 (-3)	1-2	vs LAR (1484): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): L 16-21: 1488-3→1485
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): Win by 5 points
17 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1484 (+18)	1-2	at CHI (1485): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1649): W 27-24: 1466+18→1484
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1485): Lose by 5 points
18 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1482 (-24)	2-1	vs KC (1640): Lose by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1514): L 10-20: 1506-24→1482
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 6 points
19 (-9)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1479 (-56)	2-1	vs PHI (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1471): L 7-26: 1535-56→1479
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1504): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1467 (-43)	1-2	vs TEN (1378): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): L 3-24: 1510-43→1467
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1378): Win by 7 points
21 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1467 (-15)	0-3	at HOU (1444): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): L 10-47: 1482-15→1467
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1444): Lose by 5 points
22 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462 (-24)	1-2	at LV (1454): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1419): L 15-21: 1486-24→1462
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): Lose by 5 points
23 (-12)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454 (-69)	1-2	vs CLE (1462): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1296): L 22-36: 1523-69→1454
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): Win by 5 points
24 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1444 (-35)	2-1	vs JAX (1467): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 7-34: 1479-35→1444
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): Win by 5 points
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1443 (+24)	1-2	vs DAL (1541): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): W 21-15: 1419+24→1443
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Lose by 6 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440	1-2	vs NO (1568): Lose by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): L 17-22: 1440+0→1440
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1568): Lose by 6 points
27 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1440 (-10)	1-2	vs WAS (1375): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1553): L 13-20: 1450-10→1440
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1375): Win by 7 points
28 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1439 (+2)	1-2	vs PIT (1537): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): W 21-16: 1437+2→1439
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1537): Lose by 6 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1380 (-32)	1-2	at SF (1631): Lose by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1459): L 3-24: 1412-32→1380
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1631): Lose by 10 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1378 (-28)	0-3	at MIA (1467): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): L 14-30: 1406-28→1378
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): Lose by 7 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1375 (+31)	2-1	at ARI (1440): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): W 38-33: 1344+31→1375
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1440): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1365 (+69)	1-2	vs CIN (1519): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1523): W 36-22: 1296+69→1365
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2024 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1682 (+38)	2-0	vs JAX (1482): Win by 10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1547): W 31-10: 1644+38→1682
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): Win by 10 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1649 (-25)	1-1	at LAR (1466): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): L 17-23: 1674-25→1649
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): Win by 7 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1640	2-0	at ATL (1440): Win by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): W 26-25: 1640+0→1640
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Win by 7 points
4 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1639 (-29)	0-2	at DAL (1541): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1494): L 23-26: 1668-29→1639
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Win by 6 points
5 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1589 (+58)	2-0	vs PHI (1482): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1599): W 44-19: 1531+58→1589
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1555	1-1	at TEN (1406): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): W 16-10: 1555+0→1555
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1406): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1553 (-12)	1-1	at ARI (1450): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): L 16-20: 1565-12→1553
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1450): Win by 6 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1549	0-2	vs WAS (1344): Win by 10
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): L 25-26: 1549+0→1549
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1344): Win by 10 points
9 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541 (-58)	1-1	vs BAL (1639): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): L 19-44: 1599-58→1541
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1639): Lose by 6 points
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1535 (+12)	2-0	vs DEN (1471): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): W 20-16: 1523+12→1535
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1471): Win by 6 points
11 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1523 (+29)	1-1	vs CAR (1296): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1668): W 26-23: 1494+29→1523
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1296): Win by 10 points
12 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1514 (+23)	2-0	vs LAC (1506): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): W 13-6: 1491+23→1514
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Win by 6 points
13 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+25)	2-0	vs HOU (1479): Win by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1674): W 23-17: 1488+25→1513
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1479): Win by 6 points
14 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1510 (-37)	1-1	at SEA (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): L 10-31: 1547-37→1510
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): Slight underdog
15 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+32)	2-0	at PIT (1514): Lose by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1329): W 26-3: 1474+32→1506
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1514): Lose by 6 points
16 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (-7)	1-1	at IND (1437): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): L 13-19: 1495-7→1488
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): Slight favorite
17 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486 (+9)	1-1	vs NYG (1419): Win by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): W 18-13: 1477+9→1486
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1419): Win by 7 points
18 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1483	2-0	vs MIA (1510): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1412): W 23-20(OT): 1483+0→1483
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1482 (-10)	0-2	at BUF (1682): Lose by 10
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1477): L 13-18: 1492-10→1482
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): Lose by 10 points
20 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1482 (-19)	1-1	at NO (1589): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): L 21-22: 1501-19→1482
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1589): Lose by 7 points
21 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1479 (+8)	2-0	at MIN (1513): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 19-13: 1471+8→1479
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Lose by 6 points
22 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1471 (-23)	0-2	at TB (1535): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): L 6-13: 1494-23→1471
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): Lose by 6 points
23 (-11)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1466 (-54)	0-2	vs SF (1649): Lose by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): L 10-41: 1520-54→1466
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1649): Lose by 7 points
24	New York JetsNYJ	1459 (+21)	1-1	vs NE (1412): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): W 24-17: 1438+21→1459
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1412): Win by 6 points
25 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450 (+54)	1-1	vs DET (1553): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): W 41-10: 1396+54→1450
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1553): Lose by 6 points
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440 (+19)	1-1	vs KC (1640): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): W 22-21: 1421+19→1440
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 7 points
27 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1437	0-2	vs CHI (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1555): L 10-16: 1437+0→1437
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1419 (-8)	0-2	at CLE (1486): Lose by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1337): L 18-21: 1427-8→1419
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Lose by 7 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1412	1-1	at NYJ (1459): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): L 20-23(OT): 1412+0→1412
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1459): Lose by 6 points
30 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1406 (-22)	0-2	vs GB (1555): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1438): L 17-24: 1428-22→1406
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1555): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1344 (+7)	1-1	at CIN (1549): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): W 21-18: 1337+7→1344
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1296 (-33)	0-2	at LV (1523): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1474): L 3-26: 1329-33→1296
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1523): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2024 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1674 (+1)	1-0	at MIN (1488): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1438): W 32-19: 1673+1→1674
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Win by 7 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1668 (-1)	0-1	vs LV (1494): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): L 20-27: 1669-1→1668
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1494): Win by 9 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1644	1-0	at MIA (1547): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): W 34-28: 1644+0→1644
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1547): Win by 6 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1640 (+1)	1-0	vs CIN (1549): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1669): W 27-20: 1639+1→1640
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): Win by 7 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1599 (+2)	1-0	vs NO (1531): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): W 33-17: 1597+2→1599
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): Win by 7 points
6	Detroit LionsDET	1565	1-0	vs TB (1523): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): W 26-20(OT): 1565+0→1565
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Win by 6 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1555 (-1)	0-1	vs IND (1437): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 29-34: 1556-1→1555
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): Win by 8 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1549 (-2)	0-1	at KC (1640): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1410): L 10-16: 1551-2→1549
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 7 points
9	Miami DolphinsMIA	1547	1-0	vs BUF (1644): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): W 20-17: 1547+0→1547
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): Lose by 6 points
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+1)	1-0	at DAL (1599): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1330): W 47-10: 1530+1→1531
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1599): Lose by 7 points
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (+1)	1-0	at DET (1565): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1338): W 37-20: 1522+1→1523
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): Lose by 6 points
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1520	0-1	at ARI (1396): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): L 20-26(OT): 1520+0→1520
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): Win by 6 points
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1501 (+1)	1-0	vs ATL (1421): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1556): W 34-29: 1500+1→1501
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1421): Win by 7 points
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495	1-0	at HOU (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): W 24-17: 1495+0→1495
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1494 (-2)	0-1	at BAL (1668): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): L 10-22: 1496-2→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1668): Lose by 9 points
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1494	0-1	vs PIT (1491): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): L 20-26: 1494-0→1494
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Win by 5 points
17	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492	0-1	vs CLE (1477): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1547): L 17-20: 1492+0→1492
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1477): Win by 6 points
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (+1)	1-0	at DEN (1494): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): W 18-10: 1490+1→1491
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Lose by 5 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (+3)	1-0	vs SF (1674): Lose by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1430): W 28-6: 1485+3→1488
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1674): Lose by 7 points
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1483	1-0	at NE (1412): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1494): W 26-20: 1483+0→1483
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1412): Win by 5 points
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1477 (-2)	0-1	at JAX (1492): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1597): L 17-33: 1479-2→1477
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): Lose by 6 points
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1474 (+3)	1-0	at CAR (1329): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 22-10: 1471+3→1474
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1329): Win by 6 points
23	Houston TexansHOU	1471	1-0	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): W 29-27: 1471+0→1471
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
24	New York JetsNYJ	1438	0-1	at TEN (1428): Lose by 5
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1673): L 19-32: 1438-0→1438
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): Lose by 5 points
25	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1437	0-1	at GB (1555): Lose by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): L 27-29: 1437-0→1437
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1555): Lose by 8 points
26 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1428	0-1	vs NYJ (1438): Win by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1495): L 17-24: 1428-0→1428
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1438): Win by 5 points
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1427 (-3)	0-1	at WAS (1337): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): L 6-28: 1430-3→1427
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1337): Win by 5 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421 (-2)	0-1	at PHI (1501): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): L 10-18: 1423-2→1421
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): Lose by 7 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1412 (+2)	1-0	vs SEA (1483): Lose by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1551): W 16-10: 1410+2→1412
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): Lose by 5 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1396	0-1	vs LAR (1520): Lose by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): L 28-34: 1396+0→1396
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): Lose by 6 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1337 (-1)	0-1	vs NYG (1427): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): L 20-37: 1338-1→1337
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1329 (-1)	0-1	vs LAC (1474): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): L 10-47: 1330-1→1329
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1474): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2024 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1673	0-0	vs NYJ (1438): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1731-58→1673
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1438): Win by 10 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1669	0-0	at KC (1639): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1725-56→1669
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): Slight underdog
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1644	0-0	vs ARI (1396): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1692-48→1644
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): Win by 11 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1639	0-0	vs BAL (1669): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1686-47→1639
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1669): Slight favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1597	0-0	at CLE (1479): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1629-32→1597
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): Win by 6 points
6	Detroit LionsDET	1565	0-0	vs LAR (1520): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1587-22→1565
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): Win by 6 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1556	0-0	at PHI (1500): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1574-18→1556
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Win by 6 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1551	0-0	vs NE (1410): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1568-17→1551
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1410): Win by 8 points
9	Miami DolphinsMIA	1547	0-0	vs JAX (1492): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1563-16→1547
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): Win by 6 points
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1530	0-0	vs CAR (1330): Win by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-10→1530
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1330): Win by 9 points
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522	0-0	vs WAS (1338): Win by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1529-7→1522
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1338): Win by 9 points
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1520	0-0	at DET (1565): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-7→1520
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): Lose by 6 points
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at GB (1556): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1501-1→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1556): Lose by 6 points
14	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496	0-0	at LAC (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1495+1→1496
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): Slight underdog
15	Chicago BearsCHI	1495	0-0	vs TEN (1428): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1493+2→1495
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): Win by 6 points
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1494	0-0	at SEA (1483): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+2→1494
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): Lose by 5 points
17	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492	0-0	at MIA (1547): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1489+3→1492
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1547): Lose by 6 points
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1490	0-0	at ATL (1423): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1487+3→1490
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): Win by 5 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485	0-0	at NYG (1430): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1480+5→1485
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1430): Slight favorite
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1483	0-0	vs DEN (1494): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1477+6→1483
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Win by 5 points
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1479	0-0	vs DAL (1597): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+6→1479
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1597): Lose by 6 points
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1471	0-0	vs LV (1496): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1462+9→1471
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Slight favorite
23	Houston TexansHOU	1471	0-0	at IND (1437): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1462+9→1471
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1437): Slight underdog
24	New York JetsNYJ	1438	0-0	at SF (1673): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1417+21→1438
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1673): Lose by 10 points
25	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1437	0-0	vs HOU (1471): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1416+21→1437
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight favorite
26	New York GiantsNYG	1430	0-0	vs MIN (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1407+23→1430
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): Slight underdog
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1428	0-0	at CHI (1495): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1404+24→1428
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Lose by 6 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1423	0-0	vs PIT (1490): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1397+26→1423
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): Lose by 5 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1410	0-0	at CIN (1551): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1380+30→1410
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1551): Lose by 8 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1396	0-0	at BUF (1644): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1361+35→1396
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): Lose by 11 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1338	0-0	at TB (1522): Lose by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1284+54→1338
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1330	0-0	at NO (1530): Lose by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1274+56→1330
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2024 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1523 (+106 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1536 \| avg. remaining rating: 1465
1	30	at BUF(1644) L 28-34: +0→1396	9	19	vs CHI(1542) W 29-9: +54→1472	17	at LAR
2	25	vs LAR(1520) W 41-10: +54→1450	10	14	vs NYJ(1466) W 31-6: +40→1512	18	vs SF
3	27	vs DET(1553) L 13-20: -10→1440	11	15	(bye)	W
4	30	vs WAS(1375) L 14-42: -59→1381	12		at SEA	D
5	29	at SF(1641) W 24-23: +36→1417	13		at MIN	C
6	29	at GB(1571) L 13-34: -19→1398	14		vs SEA	S
7	28	vs LAC(1510) W 17-15: +11→1409	15		vs NE
8	25	at MIA(1410) W 28-27: +9→1418	16		at CAR

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: 1444
1	28	vs PIT(1490) L 10-18: -2→1421	9	20	vs DAL(1503) W 27-21: +11→1470	17	at WAS
2	26	at PHI(1501) W 22-21: +19→1440	10	18	at NO(1395) L 17-20: -7→1463	18	vs CAR
3	26	vs KC(1640) L 17-22: +0→1440	11	23	at DEN(1546) L 6-38: -29→1434	W
4	23	vs NO(1568) W 26-24: +12→1452	12		(bye)	D
5	21	vs TB(1518) W 36-30: +13→1465	13		vs LAC	C
6	16	at CAR(1326) W 38-20: +29→1494	14		at MIN	S
7	24	vs SEA(1439) L 14-34: -54→1440	15		at LV
8	20	at TB(1537) W 31-26: +19→1459	16		vs NYG

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1550 (-128 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1559 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: 1511
1	2	at KC(1639) L 20-27: -1→1668	9	1	vs DEN(1571) W 41-10: +25→1702	17	at HOU
2	4	vs LV(1494) L 23-26: -29→1639	10	1	vs CIN(1533) W 35-34: +0→1702	18	vs CLE
3	3	at DAL(1541) W 28-25: +0→1639	11	2	at PIT(1588) L 16-18: -10→1692	W
4	1	vs BUF(1697) W 35-10: +45→1684	12		at LAC	D
5	1	at CIN(1537) W 41-38: +0→1684	13		vs PHI	C
6	1	vs WAS(1475) W 30-23: +0→1684	14		(bye)	S
7	1	at TB(1557) W 41-31: +20→1704	15		at NYG
8	2	at CLE(1416) L 24-29: -27→1677	16		vs PIT

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-164 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1541 \| avg. remaining rating: 1489
1	3	vs ARI(1396) W 34-28: +0→1644	9	3	vs MIA(1402) W 30-27: +0→1676	17	vs NYJ
2	1	at MIA(1547) W 31-10: +38→1682	10	3	at IND(1451) W 30-20: +9→1685	18	at NE
3	1	vs JAX(1482) W 47-10: +15→1697	11	1	vs KC(1695) W 30-21: +21→1706	W
4	2	at BAL(1639) L 10-35: -45→1652	12		(bye)	D
5	3	at HOU(1444) L 20-23: -21→1631	13		vs SF	C
6	4	at NYJ(1486) W 23-20: +0→1631	14		at LAR	S
7	3	vs TEN(1429) W 34-10: +16→1647	15		at DET
8	3	at SEA(1493) W 31-10: +29→1676	16		vs NE

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+172 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1445 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: 1525
1	32	at NO(1530) L 10-47: -1→1329	9	32	vs NO(1409) W 23-22: +14→1293	17	at TB
2	32	vs LAC(1474) L 3-26: -33→1296	10	32	at NYG(1404) W 20-17: +17→1310	18	at ATL
3	32	at LV(1523) W 36-22: +69→1365	11	32	(bye)	W
4	32	vs CIN(1519) L 24-34: -17→1348	12		vs KC	D
5	32	at CHI(1489) L 10-36: -22→1326	13		vs TB	C
6	32	vs ATL(1465) L 20-38: -29→1297	14		at PHI	S
7	32	at WAS(1475) L 7-40: -18→1279	15		vs DAL
8	32	at DEN(1571) L 14-28: +0→1279	16		vs ARI

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1443 (-54 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1432 \| avg. lost to rating: 1450 \| avg. remaining rating: 1586
1	14	vs TEN(1428) W 24-17: +0→1495	9	17	at ARI(1418) L 9-29: -53→1489	17	vs SEA
2	16	at HOU(1471) L 13-19: -7→1488	10	25	vs NE(1319) L 3-19: -68→1421	18	at GB
3	16	at IND(1437) L 16-21: -3→1485	11	24	vs GB(1562) L 19-20: +0→1421	W
4	15	vs LAR(1484) W 24-18: +4→1489	12		vs MIN	D
5	13	vs CAR(1348) W 36-10: +22→1511	13		at DET	C
6	11	at JAX(1467) W 35-16: +37→1548	14		at SF	S
7	11	(bye)	15		at MIN
8	10	at WAS(1493) L 15-18: -6→1542	16		vs DET

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1415 \| avg. lost to rating: 1552 \| avg. remaining rating: 1487
1	8	vs NE(1410) L 10-16: -2→1549	9	11	vs LV(1393) W 41-24: +20→1533	17	vs DEN
2	8	at KC(1640) L 25-26: +0→1549	10	11	at BAL(1702) L 34-35: +0→1533	18	at PIT
3	13	vs WAS(1344) L 33-38: -30→1519	11	12	at LAC(1569) L 27-34: -9→1524	W
4	10	at CAR(1365) W 34-24: +18→1537	12		(bye)	D
5	10	vs BAL(1684) L 38-41: +0→1537	13		vs PIT	C
6	7	at NYG(1480) W 17-7: +28→1565	14		at DAL	S
7	9	at CLE(1421) W 21-14: +4→1569	15		at TEN
8	15	vs PHI(1513) L 17-37: -56→1513	16		vs CLE

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+58 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1598 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: 1591
1	21	vs DAL(1597) L 17-33: -2→1477	9	25	vs LAC(1530) L 10-27: -35→1408	17	vs MIA
2	17	at JAX(1492) W 18-13: +9→1486	10	26	(bye)	18	at BAL
3	22	vs NYG(1419) L 15-21: -24→1462	11	30	at NO(1402) L 14-35: -39→1369	W
4	21	at LV(1454) L 16-20: +0→1462	12		vs PIT	D
5	28	at WAS(1433) L 13-34: -41→1421	13		at DEN	C
6	27	at PHI(1465) L 16-20: +0→1421	14		at PIT	S
7	25	vs CIN(1565) L 14-21: -5→1416	15		vs KC
8	23	vs BAL(1704) W 29-24: +27→1443	16		at CIN

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1531 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1552 \| avg. remaining rating: 1477
1	5	at CLE(1479) W 33-17: +2→1599	9	16	at ATL(1459) L 21-27: -11→1492	17	at PHI
2	9	vs NO(1531) L 19-44: -58→1541	10	21	vs PHI(1569) L 6-34: -39→1453	18	vs WAS
3	9	vs BAL(1639) L 25-28: +0→1541	11	26	vs HOU(1476) L 10-34: -46→1407	W
4	9	at NYG(1443) W 20-15: +0→1541	12		at WAS	D
5	9	at PIT(1529) W 20-17: +5→1546	13		vs NYG	C
6	14	vs DET(1589) L 9-47: -43→1503	14		vs CIN	S
7	14	(bye)	15		at CAR
8	16	at SF(1598) L 24-30: +0→1503	16		vs TB

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1451 \| avg. lost to rating: 1565 \| avg. remaining rating: 1490
1	16	at SEA(1483) L 20-26: -0→1494	9	10	at BAL(1677) L 10-41: -25→1546	17	at CIN
2	22	vs PIT(1491) L 6-13: -23→1471	10	10	at KC(1695) L 14-16: +0→1546	18	vs KC
3	11	at TB(1535) W 26-7: +56→1527	11	9	vs ATL(1463) W 38-6: +29→1575	W
4	11	at NYJ(1491) W 10-9: +5→1532	12		at LV	D
5	8	vs LV(1454) W 34-18: +26→1558	13		vs CLE	C
6	12	vs LAC(1479) L 16-23: -31→1527	14		(bye)	S
7	8	at NO(1484) W 33-10: +44→1571	15		vs IND
8	8	vs CAR(1279) W 28-14: +0→1571	16		at LAC

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-103 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: 1527
1	6	vs LAR(1520) W 26-20: +0→1565	9	4	at GB(1590) W 24-14: +28→1674	17	at SF
2	7	vs TB(1523) L 16-20: -12→1553	10	4	at HOU(1476) W 26-23: +0→1674	18	vs MIN
3	7	at ARI(1450) W 20-13: +9→1562	11	3	vs JAX(1458) W 52-6: +18→1692	W
4	5	vs SEA(1526) W 42-29: +27→1589	12		at IND	D
5	5	(bye)	13		vs CHI	C
6	3	at DAL(1546) W 47-9: +43→1632	14		vs GB	S
7	4	at MIN(1561) W 31-29: +0→1632	15		vs BUF
8	4	vs TEN(1414) W 52-14: +14→1646	16		at CHI

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (-91 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1446 \| avg. lost to rating: 1565 \| avg. remaining rating: 1519
1	7	at PHI(1500) L 29-34: -1→1555	9	9	vs DET(1646) L 14-24: -28→1562	17	at MIN
2	6	vs IND(1437) W 16-10: +0→1555	10	9	(bye)	18	vs CHI
3	5	at TEN(1406) W 30-14: +29→1584	11	10	at CHI(1421) W 20-19: +0→1562	W
4	6	vs MIN(1548) L 29-31: -13→1571	12		vs SF	D
5	6	at LAR(1479) W 24-19: +0→1571	13		vs MIA	C
6	6	vs ARI(1417) W 34-13: +19→1590	14		at DET	S
7	6	vs HOU(1501) W 24-22: +0→1590	15		at SEA
8	6	at JAX(1458) W 30-27: +0→1590	16		vs NO

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1555 \| avg. remaining rating: 1505
1	23	at IND(1437) W 29-27: +0→1471	9	18	at NYJ(1442) L 13-21: -25→1476	17	vs BAL
2	21	vs CHI(1495) W 19-13: +8→1479	10	17	vs DET(1674) L 23-26: +0→1476	18	at TEN
3	24	at MIN(1513) L 7-34: -35→1444	11	13	at DAL(1453) W 34-10: +46→1522	W
4	25	vs JAX(1467) W 24-20: +0→1444	12		vs TEN	D
5	22	vs BUF(1652) W 23-20: +21→1465	13		at JAX	C
6	15	at NE(1367) W 41-21: +36→1501	14			S
7	15	at GB(1590) L 22-24: +0→1501	15		vs MIA
8	17	vs IND(1456) W 23-20: +0→1501	16		at KC

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+54 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1460 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: 1475
1	25	vs HOU(1471) L 27-29: -0→1437	9	24	at MIN(1525) L 13-21: -5→1451	17	at NYG
2	27	at GB(1555) L 10-16: +0→1437	10	23	vs BUF(1676) L 20-30: -9→1442	18	vs JAX
3	28	vs CHI(1488) W 21-16: +2→1439	11	20	at NYJ(1427) W 28-27: +6→1448	W
4	24	vs PIT(1537) W 27-24: +9→1448	12		vs DET	D
5	25	at JAX(1467) L 34-37: +0→1448	13		at NE	C
6	22	at TEN(1437) W 20-17: +8→1456	14		(bye)	S
7	22	vs MIA(1411) W 16-10: +0→1456	15		at DEN
8	22	at HOU(1501) L 20-23: +0→1456	16		vs TEN

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1528 (+61 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1389 \| avg. lost to rating: 1558 \| avg. remaining rating: 1414
1	17	at MIA(1547) L 17-20: +0→1492	9	22	at PHI(1569) L 23-28: +0→1458	17	vs TEN
2	19	vs CLE(1477) L 13-18: -10→1482	10	19	vs MIN(1531) L 7-12: +0→1458	18	at IND
3	21	at BUF(1682) L 10-47: -15→1467	11	22	at DET(1674) L 6-52: -18→1440	W
4	19	at HOU(1444) L 20-24: +0→1467	12		(bye)	D
5	20	vs IND(1448) W 37-34: +0→1467	13		vs HOU	C
6	25	at CHI(1511) L 16-35: -37→1430	14		at TEN	S
7	20	at NE(1331) W 32-16: +28→1458	15		vs NYJ
8	21	vs GB(1590) L 27-30: +0→1458	16		at LV

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1547 (-118 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1531 \| avg. lost to rating: 1685 \| avg. remaining rating: 1471
1	4	vs BAL(1669) W 27-20: +1→1640	9	2	vs TB(1518) W 30-24: +0→1695	17	at PIT
2	3	vs CIN(1549) W 26-25: +0→1640	10	2	vs DEN(1546) W 16-14: +0→1695	18	at DEN
3	2	at ATL(1440) W 22-17: +0→1640	11	4	at BUF(1685) L 21-30: -21→1674	W
4	3	at LAC(1482) W 17-10: +4→1644	12		at CAR	D
5	2	vs NO(1556) W 26-13: +20→1664	13		vs LV	C
6	2	(bye)	14		vs LAC	S
7	2	at SF(1628) W 28-18: +31→1695	15		at CLE
8	1	at LV(1393) W 27-20: +0→1695	16		vs HOU

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1565 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: 1523
1	15	at LAC(1471) L 10-22: -2→1494	9	30	at CIN(1513) L 24-41: -21→1372	17	at NO
2	11	at BAL(1668) W 26-23: +29→1523	10	31	(bye)	18	vs LAC
3	23	vs CAR(1296) L 22-36: -69→1454	11	31	at MIA(1445) L 19-34: -28→1344	W
4	22	vs CLE(1462) W 20-16: +0→1454	12		vs DEN	D
5	27	at DEN(1532) L 18-34: -25→1429	13		at KC	C
6	30	vs PIT(1524) L 13-32: -36→1393	14		at TB	S
7	30	at LAR(1479) L 15-20: +0→1393	15		vs ATL
8	30	vs KC(1695) L 20-27: +0→1393	16		vs JAX

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1475 (-33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: 1517
1	22	vs LV(1496) W 22-10: +3→1474	9	8	at CLE(1443) W 27-10: +35→1565	17	at NE
2	15	at CAR(1329) W 26-3: +32→1506	10	8	vs TEN(1400) W 27-17: +4→1569	18	at LV
3	18	at PIT(1514) L 10-20: -24→1482	11	8	vs CIN(1533) W 34-27: +9→1578	W
4	18	vs KC(1640) L 10-17: -3→1479	12		vs BAL	D
5	18	(bye)	13		at ATL	C
6	13	at DEN(1558) W 23-16: +31→1510	14		at KC	S
7	16	at ARI(1398) L 15-17: -12→1498	15		vs TB
8	11	vs NO(1440) W 26-8: +32→1530	16		vs DEN

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1484 \| avg. remaining rating: 1535
1	12	at DET(1565) L 20-26: +0→1520	9	13	at SEA(1464) W 26-20: +7→1522	17	vs ARI
2	23	at ARI(1396) L 10-41: -54→1466	10	16	vs MIA(1402) L 15-23: -44→1478	18	vs SEA
3	17	vs SF(1649) W 27-24: +18→1484	11	17	at NE(1386) W 28-22: +6→1484	W
4	17	at CHI(1485) L 18-24: -5→1479	12		vs PHI	D
5	17	vs GB(1571) L 19-24: +0→1479	13		at NO	C
6	19	(bye)	14		vs BUF	S
7	19	vs LV(1393) W 20-15: +0→1479	15		at SF
8	14	vs MIN(1561) W 30-20: +36→1515	16		at NYJ

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1480 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1439 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: 1465
1	9	vs JAX(1492) W 20-17: +0→1547	9	27	at BUF(1676) L 27-30: +0→1402	17	at CLE
2	14	vs BUF(1644) L 10-31: -37→1510	10	22	at LAR(1522) W 23-15: +43→1445	18	at NYJ
3	20	at SEA(1483) L 3-24: -43→1467	11	19	vs LV(1372) W 34-19: +28→1473	W
4	29	vs TEN(1378) L 12-31: -59→1408	12		vs NE	D
5	30	at NE(1370) W 15-10: +3→1411	13		at GB	C
6	28	(bye)	14		vs NYJ	S
7	27	at IND(1456) L 10-16: -1→1410	15		at HOU
8	28	vs ARI(1409) L 27-28: -8→1402	16		vs SF

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1556 \| avg. remaining rating: 1502
1	19	at NYG(1430) W 28-6: +3→1488	9	12	vs IND(1456) W 21-13: +6→1531	17	vs GB
2	13	vs SF(1674) W 23-17: +25→1513	10	12	at JAX(1458) W 12-7: +0→1531	18	at DET
3	8	vs HOU(1479) W 34-7: +35→1548	11	11	at TEN(1396) W 23-13: +21→1552	W
4	7	at GB(1584) W 31-29: +12→1560	12		at CHI	D
5	7	at NYJ(1486) W 23-17: +1→1561	13		vs ARI	C
6	8	(bye)	14		vs ATL	S
7	10	vs DET(1632) L 29-31: -0→1561	15		vs CHI
8	12	at LAR(1479) L 20-30: -36→1525	16		at SEA

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1477 (+113 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1469 \| avg. remaining rating: 1570
1	29	at CIN(1551) W 16-10: +2→1412	9	31	at TEN(1400) L 17-20: +0→1319	17	vs LAC
2	29	vs SEA(1483) L 20-23: +0→1412	10	30	at CHI(1489) W 19-3: +67→1386	18	vs BUF
3	29	at NYJ(1459) L 3-24: -32→1380	11	28	vs LAR(1478) L 22-28: -6→1380	W
4	31	at SF(1631) L 13-30: -10→1370	12		at MIA	D
5	31	vs MIA(1408) L 10-15: -3→1367	13		vs IND	C
6	31	vs HOU(1465) L 21-41: -36→1331	14		(bye)	S
7	31	at JAX(1430) L 16-32: -28→1303	15		at ARI
8	31	vs NYJ(1458) W 25-22: +16→1319	16		at BUF

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1471 (-23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1452 \| avg. lost to rating: 1482 \| avg. remaining rating: 1465
1	10	vs CAR(1330) W 47-10: +1→1531	9	29	at CAR(1279) L 22-23: -14→1395	17	vs LV
2	5	at DAL(1599) W 44-19: +58→1589	10	27	vs ATL(1470) W 20-17: +7→1402	18	at TB
3	6	vs PHI(1482) L 12-15: -21→1568	11	21	vs CLE(1408) W 35-14: +39→1441	W
4	8	at ATL(1440) L 24-26: -12→1556	12		(bye)	D
5	11	at KC(1644) L 13-26: -21→1535	13		vs LAR	C
6	18	vs TB(1506) L 27-51: -51→1484	14		at NYG	S
7	23	vs DEN(1527) L 10-33: -44→1440	15		vs WAS
8	26	at LAC(1498) L 8-26: -31→1409	16		at GB

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1473 (+42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1468 \| avg. remaining rating: 1508
1	27	vs MIN(1485) L 6-28: -3→1427	9	26	vs WAS(1499) L 22-27: +0→1404	17	vs IND
2	28	at WAS(1337) L 18-21: -8→1419	10	29	at CAR(1293) L 17-20: -17→1387	18	at PHI
3	25	at CLE(1486) W 21-15: +24→1443	11	27	(bye)	W
4	26	vs DAL(1541) L 15-20: +0→1443	12		vs TB	D
5	16	at SEA(1499) W 29-20: +37→1480	13		at DAL	C
6	23	vs CIN(1537) L 7-17: -28→1452	14		vs NO	S
7	29	vs PHI(1465) L 3-28: -48→1404	15		vs BAL
8	27	at PIT(1588) L 18-26: +0→1404	16		at ATL

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1447 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: 1509
1	24	at SF(1673) L 19-32: -0→1438	9	21	vs HOU(1501) W 21-13: +24→1466	17	at BUF
2	24	at TEN(1428) W 24-17: +21→1459	10	24	at ARI(1472) L 6-31: -39→1427	18	vs MIA
3	15	vs NE(1412) W 24-3: +32→1491	11	25	vs IND(1442) L 27-28: -7→1420	W
4	16	vs DEN(1527) L 9-10: -5→1486	12		(bye)	D
5	15	at MIN(1560) L 17-23: -0→1486	13		vs SEA	C
6	17	vs BUF(1631) L 20-23: +0→1486	14		at MIA	S
7	21	at PIT(1560) L 15-37: -28→1458	15		at JAX
8	24	at NE(1303) L 22-25: -16→1442	16		vs LAR

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1450 \| avg. remaining rating: 1482
1	13	at GB(1556) W 34-29: +1→1501	9	7	vs JAX(1458) W 28-23: +0→1569	17	vs DAL
2	20	vs ATL(1421) L 21-22: -19→1482	10	5	at DAL(1492) W 34-6: +39→1608	18	vs NYG
3	14	at NO(1589) W 15-12: +22→1504	11	5	vs WAS(1499) W 26-18: +5→1613	W
4	20	at TB(1479) L 16-33: -39→1465	12		at LAR	D
5	23	(bye)	13		at BAL	C
6	21	vs CLE(1421) W 20-16: +0→1465	14		vs CAR	S
7	13	at NYG(1452) W 28-3: +48→1513	15		vs PIT
8	9	at CIN(1569) W 37-17: +56→1569	16		at WAS

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-49 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: 1538
1	18	at ATL(1423) W 18-10: +1→1491	9	6	(bye)	17	vs KC
2	12	at DEN(1494) W 13-6: +23→1514	10	7	at WAS(1499) W 28-27: +0→1588	18	vs CIN
3	10	vs LAC(1506) W 20-10: +23→1537	11	6	vs BAL(1702) W 18-16: +10→1598	W
4	12	at IND(1439) L 24-27: -8→1529	12		at CLE	D
5	12	vs DAL(1541) L 17-20: -5→1524	13		at CIN	C
6	9	at LV(1429) W 32-13: +36→1560	14		vs CLE	S
7	7	vs NYJ(1486) W 37-15: +28→1588	15		at PHI
8	7	vs NYG(1404) W 26-18: +0→1588	16		at BAL

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1476 (-154 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1460 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: 1550
1	1	vs NYJ(1438) W 32-19: +1→1674	9	5	(bye)	17	vs DET
2	2	at MIN(1488) L 17-23: -25→1649	10	6	at TB(1518) W 23-20: +0→1598	18	at ARI
3	4	at LAR(1466) L 24-27: -18→1631	11	7	vs SEA(1457) L 17-20: -20→1578	W
4	4	vs NE(1380) W 30-13: +10→1641	12		at GB	D
5	4	vs ARI(1381) L 23-24: -36→1605	13		at BUF	C
6	5	at SEA(1462) W 36-24: +23→1628	14		vs CHI	S
7	5	vs KC(1664) L 18-28: -30→1598	15		vs LAR
8	5	vs DAL(1503) W 30-24: +0→1598	16		at MIA

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1528 (+49 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1554 \| avg. remaining rating: 1495
1	20	vs DEN(1494) W 26-20: +0→1483	9	23	vs LAR(1515) L 20-26: -7→1457	17	at CHI
2	18	at NE(1412) W 23-20: +0→1483	10	20	(bye)	18	at LAR
3	12	vs MIA(1510) W 24-3: +43→1526	11	18	at SF(1598) W 20-17: +19→1476	W
4	14	at DET(1562) L 29-42: -27→1499	12		vs ARI	D
5	24	vs NYG(1443) L 20-29: -37→1462	13		at NYJ	C
6	24	vs SF(1605) L 24-36: -23→1439	14		at ARI	S
7	17	at ATL(1494) W 34-14: +54→1493	15		vs GB
8	19	vs BUF(1647) L 10-31: -29→1464	16		vs MIN

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1528 (+7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1557 \| avg. remaining rating: 1397
1	11	vs WAS(1338) W 37-20: +1→1523	9	14	at KC(1695) L 24-30: +0→1518	17	vs CAR
2	10	at DET(1565) W 20-16: +12→1535	10	13	vs SF(1598) L 20-23: +0→1518	18	vs NO
3	19	vs DEN(1471) L 7-26: -56→1479	11	14	(bye)	W
4	13	vs PHI(1504) W 33-16: +39→1518	12		at NYG	D
5	14	at ATL(1452) L 30-36: -12→1506	13		at CAR	C
6	10	at NO(1535) W 51-27: +51→1557	14		vs LV	S
7	12	vs BAL(1684) L 31-41: -20→1537	15		at LAC
8	13	vs ATL(1440) L 26-31: -19→1518	16		at DAL

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+97 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1393 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: 1484
1	26	at CHI(1495) L 17-24: -0→1428	9	28	vs NE(1319) W 20-17: +0→1400	17	at JAX
2	30	vs NYJ(1438) L 17-24: -22→1406	10	28	at LAC(1565) L 17-27: -4→1396	18	vs HOU
3	30	vs GB(1555) L 14-30: -28→1378	11	29	vs MIN(1531) L 13-23: -20→1376	W
4	27	at MIA(1467) W 31-12: +59→1437	12		at HOU	D
5	26	(bye)	13		at WAS	C
6	26	vs IND(1448) L 17-20: -8→1429	14		vs JAX	S
7	26	at BUF(1631) L 10-34: -15→1414	15		vs CIN
8	29	at DET(1632) L 14-52: -14→1400	16		at IND

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1447 \| avg. lost to rating: 1601 \| avg. remaining rating: 1446
1	31	at TB(1522) L 20-37: -1→1337	9	15	at NYG(1404) W 27-22: +0→1499	17	vs ATL
2	31	vs NYG(1427) W 21-18: +7→1344	10	15	vs PIT(1588) L 27-28: +0→1499	18	at DAL
3	31	at CIN(1549) W 38-33: +31→1375	11	16	at PHI(1608) L 18-26: -5→1494	W
4	28	at ARI(1440) W 42-14: +58→1433	12		vs DAL	D
5	19	vs CLE(1462) W 34-13: +42→1475	13		vs TEN	C
6	20	at BAL(1684) L 23-30: +0→1475	14		(bye)	S
7	18	vs CAR(1297) W 40-7: +18→1493	15		at NO
8	18	vs CHI(1548) W 18-15: +6→1499	16		vs PHI

↑ 2024 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 7-10) Arizona Cardinals: +113 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Los Angeles Chargers: +79 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 10-11) Miami Dolphins: +71 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 10-11) New Orleans Saints: +46 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 10-11) Philadelphia Eagles: +45 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 4 games (weeks 8-11) Dallas Cowboys: -95 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 8-11) Las Vegas Raiders: -48 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 9-11) Tennessee Titans: -24 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 9-11) Cleveland Browns: -74 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 10-11) New York Jets: -46 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 288-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1704) 9-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1416): Browns win 29-24
2. Week 5, 260-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1641) 11-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1381): Cardinals win 24-23
3. Week 3, 227-Elo upset: Las Vegas Raiders (1523) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1296): Panthers win 36-22
4. Week 5, 208-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1652) 7-point favorites at Houston Texans (1444): Texans win 23-20
5. Week 3, 205-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1549) 10-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1344): Commanders win 38-33
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 24-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1523) 10-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1296): Panthers win 36-22
2. Week 10, 25-point differential: Chicago Bears (1489) 9-point favorites vs New England Patriots (1319): Patriots win 19-3
3. Week 4, 26-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1467) 7-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1378): Titans win 31-12
4. Week 4, 35-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1440) 7-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1375): Commanders win 42-14
5. Week 2, 32-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1599) 7-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1531): Saints win 44-19
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +156: Washington Commanders (1338) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 11
2. +126: Detroit Lions (1565) before week 1 → (1692) thru week 11
3. +116: Arizona Cardinals (1396) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 10
4. +113: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 11
5. +108: Pittsburgh Steelers (1490) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 11
more...
1. +106: Los Angeles Chargers (1471) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 11
2. +81: Denver Broncos (1494) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 11
3. +67: Minnesota Vikings (1485) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 11
4. +62: Buffalo Bills (1644) before week 1 → (1706) thru week 11
5. +50: Houston Texans (1471) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 11
6. +34: Kansas City Chiefs (1639) before week 1 → (1674) thru week 11
7. +23: Baltimore Ravens (1669) before week 1 → (1692) thru week 11
8. +11: Indianapolis Colts (1437) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 11
9. +11: Atlanta Falcons (1423) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 11
10. +7: Green Bay Packers (1556) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 11
11. -4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 10
12. -6: Seattle Seahawks (1483) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 11
13. -18: New York Jets (1438) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 11
14. -20: Carolina Panthers (1330) before week 1 → (1310) thru week 10
15. -27: Cincinnati Bengals (1551) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 11
16. -30: New England Patriots (1410) before week 1 → (1380) thru week 11
17. -35: Los Angeles Rams (1520) before week 1 → (1484) thru week 11
18. -43: New York Giants (1430) before week 1 → (1387) thru week 10
19. -51: Jacksonville Jaguars (1492) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 11
20. -53: Tennessee Titans (1428) before week 1 → (1376) thru week 11
21. -74: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 11
22. -74: Miami Dolphins (1547) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 11
23. -89: New Orleans Saints (1530) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 11
24. -95: San Francisco 49ers (1673) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 11
25. -110: Cleveland Browns (1479) before week 1 → (1369) thru week 11
26. -152: Las Vegas Raiders (1496) before week 1 → (1344) thru week 11
27. -189: Dallas Cowboys (1597) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 11
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -189: Dallas Cowboys (1597) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 11
2. -152: Las Vegas Raiders (1496) before week 1 → (1344) thru week 11
3. -110: Cleveland Browns (1479) before week 1 → (1369) thru week 11
4. -95: San Francisco 49ers (1673) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 11
5. -89: New Orleans Saints (1530) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 11
more...
1. -74: Miami Dolphins (1547) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 11
2. -74: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 11
3. -53: Tennessee Titans (1428) before week 1 → (1376) thru week 11
4. -51: Jacksonville Jaguars (1492) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 11
5. -43: New York Giants (1430) before week 1 → (1387) thru week 10
6. -35: Los Angeles Rams (1520) before week 1 → (1484) thru week 11
7. -30: New England Patriots (1410) before week 1 → (1380) thru week 11
8. -27: Cincinnati Bengals (1551) before week 1 → (1524) thru week 11
9. -20: Carolina Panthers (1330) before week 1 → (1310) thru week 10
10. -18: New York Jets (1438) before week 1 → (1420) thru week 11
11. -6: Seattle Seahawks (1483) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 11
12. -4: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 10
13. +7: Green Bay Packers (1556) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 11
14. +11: Atlanta Falcons (1423) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 11
15. +11: Indianapolis Colts (1437) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 11
16. +23: Baltimore Ravens (1669) before week 1 → (1692) thru week 11
17. +34: Kansas City Chiefs (1639) before week 1 → (1674) thru week 11
18. +50: Houston Texans (1471) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 11
19. +62: Buffalo Bills (1644) before week 1 → (1706) thru week 11
20. +67: Minnesota Vikings (1485) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 11
21. +81: Denver Broncos (1494) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 11
22. +106: Los Angeles Chargers (1471) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 11
23. +108: Pittsburgh Steelers (1490) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 11
24. +113: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 11
25. +116: Arizona Cardinals (1396) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 10
26. +126: Detroit Lions (1565) before week 1 → (1692) thru week 11
27. +156: Washington Commanders (1338) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 11
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +162: Washington Commanders (1337) before week 2 → (1499) thru week 8
2. +149: Philadelphia Eagles (1465) before week 7 → (1613) thru week 11
3. +130: Arizona Cardinals (1381) before week 5 → (1512) thru week 10
4. +129: Detroit Lions (1562) before week 4 → (1692) thru week 11
5. +100: Denver Broncos (1471) before week 3 → (1571) thru week 7
more...
1. +99: Los Angeles Chargers (1479) before week 5 → (1578) thru week 11
2. +98: Pittsburgh Steelers (1490) before week 1 → (1588) thru week 7
3. +84: New England Patriots (1303) before week 8 → (1386) thru week 10
4. +77: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1479) before week 4 → (1557) thru week 6
5. +77: Houston Texans (1444) before week 5 → (1522) thru week 11
6. +76: Minnesota Vikings (1485) before week 1 → (1561) thru week 5
7. +75: Buffalo Bills (1631) before week 7 → (1706) thru week 11
8. +73: Atlanta Falcons (1421) before week 2 → (1494) thru week 6
9. +71: Miami Dolphins (1402) before week 10 → (1473) thru week 11
10. +65: Baltimore Ravens (1639) before week 4 → (1704) thru week 7
11. +63: Chicago Bears (1485) before week 4 → (1548) thru week 6
12. +61: New York Giants (1419) before week 3 → (1480) thru week 5
13. +59: New Orleans Saints (1530) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 2
14. +56: Kansas City Chiefs (1639) before week 1 → (1695) thru week 7
15. +55: Los Angeles Rams (1466) before week 3 → (1522) thru week 9
16. +54: New York Jets (1438) before week 2 → (1491) thru week 3
17. +51: Carolina Panthers (1296) before week 3 → (1348) thru week 4
18. +51: Tennessee Titans (1378) before week 4 → (1429) thru week 6
19. +50: Cincinnati Bengals (1519) before week 4 → (1569) thru week 7
20. +43: Seattle Seahawks (1483) before week 2 → (1526) thru week 3
21. +35: Green Bay Packers (1555) before week 3 → (1590) thru week 6
22. +28: Jacksonville Jaguars (1430) before week 7 → (1458) thru week 8
23. +27: Las Vegas Raiders (1496) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 2
24. +23: Cleveland Browns (1421) before week 7 → (1443) thru week 8
25. +20: Indianapolis Colts (1437) before week 3 → (1456) thru week 7
26. +4: Dallas Cowboys (1541) before week 4 → (1546) thru week 5
27. +0: San Francisco 49ers (1598) before week 8 → (1598) thru week 10
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -194: New Orleans Saints (1589) before week 3 → (1395) thru week 9
2. -151: Las Vegas Raiders (1523) before week 3 → (1372) thru week 9
3. -146: Miami Dolphins (1547) before week 2 → (1402) thru week 8
4. -138: Dallas Cowboys (1546) before week 6 → (1407) thru week 11
5. -127: Chicago Bears (1548) before week 7 → (1421) thru week 10
more...
1. -110: New England Patriots (1412) before week 3 → (1303) thru week 7
2. -93: New York Giants (1480) before week 6 → (1387) thru week 10
3. -93: Cleveland Browns (1462) before week 5 → (1369) thru week 11
4. -87: Seattle Seahawks (1526) before week 4 → (1439) thru week 6
5. -86: Carolina Panthers (1365) before week 4 → (1279) thru week 7
6. -76: San Francisco 49ers (1674) before week 2 → (1598) thru week 7
7. -71: New York Jets (1491) before week 4 → (1420) thru week 11
8. -68: Arizona Cardinals (1450) before week 3 → (1381) thru week 4
9. -66: Buffalo Bills (1697) before week 4 → (1631) thru week 5
10. -62: Jacksonville Jaguars (1492) before week 2 → (1430) thru week 6
11. -61: Atlanta Falcons (1494) before week 7 → (1434) thru week 11
12. -61: Tennessee Titans (1437) before week 5 → (1376) thru week 11
13. -54: Los Angeles Rams (1520) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 2
14. -52: Cincinnati Bengals (1565) before week 7 → (1513) thru week 8
15. -43: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1523) before week 2 → (1479) thru week 3
16. -39: Philadelphia Eagles (1504) before week 4 → (1465) thru week 6
17. -36: Minnesota Vikings (1561) before week 6 → (1525) thru week 8
18. -35: Houston Texans (1479) before week 3 → (1444) thru week 4
19. -30: Baltimore Ravens (1669) before week 1 → (1639) thru week 2
20. -28: Green Bay Packers (1590) before week 8 → (1562) thru week 9
21. -27: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 3 → (1479) thru week 4
22. -25: Denver Broncos (1571) before week 9 → (1546) thru week 10
23. -21: Kansas City Chiefs (1695) before week 10 → (1674) thru week 11
24. -14: Indianapolis Colts (1456) before week 9 → (1442) thru week 10
25. -13: Detroit Lions (1565) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 2
26. -13: Pittsburgh Steelers (1537) before week 4 → (1524) thru week 5
27. -5: Washington Commanders (1499) before week 10 → (1494) thru week 11
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1550
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 1547
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1531
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1528
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1528
more...
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1528
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1523
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1509
4. Tennessee Titans: 1508
5. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
6. Detroit Lions: 1506
7. Cleveland Browns: 1506
8. Houston Texans: 1504
9. Denver Broncos: 1503
10. Washington Commanders: 1503
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1502
12. New York Jets: 1501
13. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
14. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
15. Buffalo Bills: 1497
16. Philadelphia Eagles: 1494
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
18. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
19. Carolina Panthers: 1486
20. Green Bay Packers: 1481
21. Miami Dolphins: 1480
22. New England Patriots: 1477
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1476
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1475
25. New York Giants: 1473
26. New Orleans Saints: 1471
27. Chicago Bears: 1443
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1443
2. New Orleans Saints: 1471
3. New York Giants: 1473
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1475
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1476
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1477
2. Miami Dolphins: 1480
3. Green Bay Packers: 1481
4. Carolina Panthers: 1486
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
6. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
7. Philadelphia Eagles: 1494
8. Buffalo Bills: 1497
9. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
10. Indianapolis Colts: 1500
11. New York Jets: 1501
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1502
13. Washington Commanders: 1503
14. Denver Broncos: 1503
15. Houston Texans: 1504
16. Cleveland Browns: 1506
17. Detroit Lions: 1506
18. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
19. Tennessee Titans: 1508
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1509
21. Arizona Cardinals: 1523
22. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1528
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1528
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1528
25. Dallas Cowboys: 1531
26. Kansas City Chiefs: 1547
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1550
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cleveland Browns: 1598
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1565
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1559
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1531
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
more...
1. Detroit Lions: 1504
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1502
4. New England Patriots: 1499
5. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
6. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
7. New York Giants: 1493
8. Atlanta Falcons: 1492
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1490
10. Buffalo Bills: 1487
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1486
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1484
13. Houston Texans: 1475
14. San Francisco 49ers: 1460
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1460
16. Los Angeles Chargers: 1457
17. New Orleans Saints: 1452
18. Denver Broncos: 1451
19. New York Jets: 1447
20. Washington Commanders: 1447
21. Green Bay Packers: 1446
22. Carolina Panthers: 1445
23. Miami Dolphins: 1439
24. Chicago Bears: 1432
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1415
26. Tennessee Titans: 1393
27. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1389
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1389
2. Tennessee Titans: 1393
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1415
4. Chicago Bears: 1432
5. Miami Dolphins: 1439
more...
1. Carolina Panthers: 1445
2. Green Bay Packers: 1446
3. Washington Commanders: 1447
4. New York Jets: 1447
5. Denver Broncos: 1451
6. New Orleans Saints: 1452
7. Los Angeles Chargers: 1457
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1460
9. San Francisco 49ers: 1460
10. Houston Texans: 1475
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1484
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1486
13. Buffalo Bills: 1487
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1490
15. Atlanta Falcons: 1492
16. New York Giants: 1493
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1493
18. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
19. New England Patriots: 1499
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1502
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
22. Detroit Lions: 1504
23. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
24. Kansas City Chiefs: 1531
25. Baltimore Ravens: 1559
26. Las Vegas Raiders: 1565
27. Cleveland Browns: 1598

↑ 2024 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)
2	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	19-13 (19/32, 59.38%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	37-27 (37/64, 57.81%)
5	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	45-33 (45/78, 57.69%)
6	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	56-36 (56/92, 60.87%)
7	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	67-40 (67/107, 62.62%)
8	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	76-47 (76/123, 61.79%)
9	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	87-51 (87/138, 63.04%)
10	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	97-55 (97/152, 63.82%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	107-59 (107/166, 64.46%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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