If you're here to see the latest ratings:
If you're interested in the "blank slate" ratings where all teams started the season with a 1500 rating:
This F.A.Q. Page covers a lot of topics including higher-level questions and how these Elo ratings work:
These pages are longer articles on the state of the project:
If you're looking for what previous versions of the models and pages looked like:
Regular model: 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020
"Blank Slate" model: 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020
"Never Lose Elo For a Win" model: 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020
"No Margin of Victory" model: 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020
Regular model: 2023 | 2022 | 2021
"Blank Slate" model: 2023 | 2022 | 2021
Circle of Parity — A record of the earliest "circle of parity" found for each season. Not Elo related.
November 5, 2025 — "NFL Week 10 Has Been Strangely Unpredictable For 30+ Seasons"
October 17, 2023 — "NFL Elo Models Compared"
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