NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021 "Never Lose Elo For a Win" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated where the winning team never loses Elo rating points. If a favorite wins by the expected margin of victory or less, they take 0.0 Elo rating points from their opponent. If a favorite wins by more than the expected margin, they take some number of Elo rating points as calculated by the regular model. If a favorite loses, their opponent takes Elo rating points from them as per the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be slightly less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,151 of 3,259 game winners correctly (66.0%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2021 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1785	12-7
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1726	13-5
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1710	14-5
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1706	14-6
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1644	9-8
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1640	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): W 23-20: 1640+0→1640
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1630	12-6
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1622	12-8
9	New England PatriotsNE	1622	10-8
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1619	12-6
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1569	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): L 20-23: 1569+0→1569
12	Arizona CardinalsARI	1551	11-7
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535	9-8
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	9-8
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1436	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423	7-10
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1421	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1390	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1352	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348	5-12
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313	4-13
29	Detroit LionsDET	1282	3-13-1
30	New York GiantsNYG	1257	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1210	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1200	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1785	12-7
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1726	13-5
3 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1710	14-5
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1706 (-12)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1556): L 24-27(OT): 1718-12→1706
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1644	9-8
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1640 (+1)	15-5	vs CIN (1569): Win by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1622): W 20-17: 1639+1→1640
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1569): Win by 7 points
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1630	12-6
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1622	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): L 17-20: 1622-0→1622
9	New England PatriotsNE	1622	10-8
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1619	12-6
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1569 (+13)	13-7	at LAR (1640): Lose by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1718): W 27-24(OT): 1556+13→1569
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): Lose by 7 points
12	Arizona CardinalsARI	1551	11-7
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535	9-8
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	9-8
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1436	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423	7-10
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1421	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1390	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1352	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348	5-12
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313	4-13
29	Detroit LionsDET	1282	3-13-1
30	New York GiantsNYG	1257	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1210	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1200	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1785 (-5)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 36-42(OT): 1790-5→1785
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1726 (-13)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): L 10-13: 1739-13→1726
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1718 (+5)	14-5	vs CIN (1556): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1790): W 42-36(OT): 1713+5→1718
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1556): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1710 (-10)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1629): L 27-30: 1720-10→1710
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1644	9-8
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1639 (+10)	14-5	vs SF (1622): Win by 1 point
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1720): W 30-27: 1629+10→1639
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1622): Win by 1 point
7 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1630 (-11)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): L 16-19: 1641-11→1630
8 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1622 (+12)	12-7	at LAR (1639): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1739): W 13-10: 1610+12→1622
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1639): Lose by 1 point
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1622	10-8
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1619	12-6
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1556 (+11)	12-7	at KC (1718): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1641): W 19-16: 1545+11→1556
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1718): Lose by 8 points
12 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1551	11-7
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535	9-8
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	9-8
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	9-8
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1436	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432	10-8
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423	7-10
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1421	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1390	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1352	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348	5-12
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313	4-13
29	Detroit LionsDET	1282	3-13-1
30	New York GiantsNYG	1257	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1210	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1200	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1790 (+23)	12-6	at KC (1713): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1645): W 47-17: 1767+23→1790
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Slight favorite
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1739	13-4	vs SF (1610): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): Win by 8 points
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1720 (+17)	14-4	vs LAR (1629): Win by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): W 31-15: 1703+17→1720
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1629): Win by 7 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713 (+16)	13-5	vs BUF (1790): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1452): W 42-21: 1697+16→1713
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1790): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1644	9-8
6 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1641	12-5	vs CIN (1545): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): Win by 8 points
7 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1629 (+26)	13-5	at TB (1720): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1577): W 34-11: 1603+26→1629
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1720): Lose by 7 points
8 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1622 (-23)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1767): L 17-47: 1645-23→1622
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1619 (-9)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): L 17-23: 1628-9→1619
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1610 (+9)	11-7	at GB (1739): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1628): W 23-17: 1601+9→1610
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1739): Lose by 8 points
11	Arizona CardinalsARI	1551 (-26)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): L 11-34: 1577-26→1551
12	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1545	11-7	at TEN (1641): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): W 26-19: 1545+0→1545
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1641): Lose by 8 points
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535	9-8
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525	8-9
15 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520	8-9
16 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518	9-8
17 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	9-8
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
19 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505 (-17)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1703): L 15-31: 1522-17→1505
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1436 (-16)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1697): L 21-42: 1452-16→1436
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): L 19-26: 1432+0→1432
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423	7-10
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1421	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1390	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1352	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348	5-12
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313	4-13
29	Detroit LionsDET	1282	3-13-1
30	New York GiantsNYG	1257	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1210	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1200	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1767 (+8)	11-6	vs NE (1645): Win by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1218): W 27-10: 1759+8→1767
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1645): Win by 8 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1739 (-2)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1279): L 30-37: 1741-2→1739
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1703 (+16)	13-4	vs PHI (1522): Win by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): W 41-17: 1687+16→1703
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1697	12-5	vs PIT (1452): Win by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1421): W 28-24: 1697+0→1697
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1452): Win by 9 points
5 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1645 (-19)	10-7	at BUF (1767): Lose by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 24-33: 1664-19→1645
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1767): Lose by 8 points
6 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1644 (-46)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1154): L 11-26: 1690-46→1644
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1641	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1313): W 28-25: 1641+0→1641
next: (bye)
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1628 (+35)	12-5	vs SF (1601): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): W 51-26: 1593+35→1628
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603 (-10)	12-5	vs ARI (1577): Win by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): L 24-27(OT): 1613-10→1603
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1577): Win by 5 points
10 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1601 (+10)	10-7	at DAL (1628): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): W 27-24(OT): 1591+10→1601
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1628): Lose by 7 points
11 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1577 (-19)	11-6	at LAR (1603): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): L 30-38: 1596-19→1577
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Lose by 5 points
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1545 (-4)	10-7	vs LV (1432): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): L 16-21: 1549-4→1545
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Win by 8 points
13 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1535 (+16)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1368): W 30-20: 1519+16→1535
14 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525 (+20)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1410): W 31-17: 1505+20→1525
15 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1522 (-34)	9-8	at TB (1703): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1593): L 26-51: 1556-34→1522
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1703): Lose by 8 points
16 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (-13)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1439): L 13-16(OT): 1533-13→1520
17 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1518 (+18)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1664): W 33-24: 1500+18→1518
18 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (-5)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): L 32-35(OT): 1515-5→1510
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+18)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1596): W 38-30: 1488+18→1506
20 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (+3)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): W 21-16: 1491+3→1494
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1452 (+13)	9-7-1	at KC (1697): Lose by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): W 16-13(OT): 1439+13→1452
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1697): Lose by 9 points
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432 (+6)	10-7	at CIN (1545): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 35-32(OT): 1426+6→1432
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): Lose by 8 points
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423 (+27)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1284): W 22-7: 1396+27→1423
24 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1421	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1697): L 24-28: 1421+0→1421
25 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1390 (-20)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 17-31: 1410-20→1390
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1352 (-16)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): L 20-30: 1368-16→1352
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348 (-16)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): L 17-41: 1364-16→1348
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1641): L 25-28: 1313+0→1313
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1282 (+3)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1741): W 37-30: 1279+3→1282
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1257 (-27)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1396): L 7-22: 1284-27→1257
31	New York JetsNYJ	1210 (-8)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1759): L 10-27: 1218-8→1210
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1200 (+46)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1690): W 26-11: 1154+46→1200

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1759 (+8)	10-6	vs NYJ (1218): Win by 11
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1376): W 29-15: 1751+8→1759
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1218): Win by 11 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1741 (+21)	13-3	at DET (1279): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 37-10: 1720+21→1741
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1279): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1697 (-9)	11-5	at DEN (1421): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): L 31-34: 1706-9→1697
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1421): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1690 (-23)	9-7	at JAX (1154): Win by 10
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1403): L 20-23: 1713-23→1690
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1154): Win by 10 points
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1687	12-4	vs CAR (1364): Win by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1218): W 28-24: 1687+0→1687
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1364): Win by 9 points
6	New England PatriotsNE	1664 (+10)	10-6	at MIA (1500): Win by 2
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1164): W 50-10: 1654+10→1664
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Win by 2 points
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1641 (+25)	11-5	at HOU (1313): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): W 34-3: 1616+25→1641
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1313): Win by 8 points
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1613 (+4)	12-4	vs SF (1591): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): W 20-19: 1609+4→1613
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): Win by 5 points
9 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1596 (+8)	11-5	vs SEA (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1602): W 25-22: 1588+8→1596
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1488): Win by 8 points
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1593 (-9)	11-5	at PHI (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): L 22-25: 1602-9→1593
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): Slight underdog
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1591 (+14)	9-7	at LAR (1613): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1327): W 23-7: 1577+14→1591
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1613): Lose by 5 points
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1556 (+1)	9-7	vs DAL (1593): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1397): W 20-16: 1555+1→1556
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1593): Slight favorite
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1549 (+9)	10-6	at CLE (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1706): W 34-31: 1540+9→1549
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): Slight underdog
14	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (-3)	8-8	vs PIT (1439): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1609): L 19-20: 1536-3→1533
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1439): Win by 7 points
15 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519	8-8	at ATL (1368): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): W 18-10: 1519+0→1519
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1368): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (+28)	9-7	at LV (1426): Tossup
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1449): W 34-13: 1487+28→1515
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): Tossup
17 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-21)	7-9	vs CHI (1410): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1720): L 10-37: 1526-21→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1410): Win by 7 points
18 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500 (-24)	8-8	vs NE (1664): Lose by 2
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): L 3-34: 1524-24→1500
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1664): Lose by 2 points
19 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (-27)	7-9	vs CIN (1549): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): L 14-26: 1518-27→1491
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1549): Slight favorite
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1488 (+21)	6-10	at ARI (1596): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1300): W 51-29: 1467+21→1488
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1596): Lose by 8 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1439 (+27)	8-7-1	at BAL (1533): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 26-14: 1412+27→1439
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Lose by 7 points
22 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1426 (+23)	9-7	vs LAC (1515): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1713): W 23-20: 1403+23→1426
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Tossup
23 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1421 (-28)	7-9	vs KC (1697): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1487): L 13-34: 1449-28→1421
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1697): Lose by 8 points
24 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1410 (+27)	6-10	at MIN (1505): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1311): W 29-3: 1383+27→1410
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Lose by 7 points
25 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1396 (-1)	6-10	at NYG (1284): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): L 16-20: 1397-1→1396
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1284): Slight favorite
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1368 (-8)	7-9	vs NO (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1751): L 15-29: 1376-8→1368
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Slight underdog
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1364 (-1)	5-11	at TB (1687): Lose by 9
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): L 10-18: 1365-1→1364
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): Lose by 9 points
28	Houston TexansHOU	1313 (-14)	4-12	vs TEN (1641): Lose by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1577): L 7-23: 1327-14→1313
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1641): Lose by 8 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1284 (-27)	4-12	vs WAS (1396): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1383): L 3-29: 1311-27→1284
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1396): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1279 (-21)	2-13-1	vs GB (1741): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1467): L 29-51: 1300-21→1279
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1741): Slight favorite
31	New York JetsNYJ	1218	4-12	at BUF (1759): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): L 24-28: 1218+0→1218
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1759): Lose by 11 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1154 (-10)	2-14	vs IND (1690): Lose by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1654): L 10-50: 1164-10→1154
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1690): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1751 (+29)	9-6	vs ATL (1376): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1683): W 33-21: 1722+29→1751
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1376): Win by 10 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1720	12-3	vs MIN (1526): Win by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 24-22: 1720+0→1720
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Win by 8 points
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1713 (+2)	9-6	vs LV (1403): Win by 10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): W 22-16: 1711+2→1713
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1403): Win by 10 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1706 (+17)	11-4	at CIN (1540): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1429): W 36-10: 1689+17→1706
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1687 (+26)	11-4	at NYJ (1218): Win by 10
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): W 32-6: 1661+26→1687
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1218): Win by 10 points
6 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1654 (-29)	9-6	vs JAX (1164): Win by 12
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): L 21-33: 1683-29→1654
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1164): Win by 12 points
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1616	10-5	vs MIA (1524): Win by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1577): W 20-17: 1616+0→1616
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): Win by 8 points
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1609 (+6)	11-4	at BAL (1536): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): W 30-23: 1603+6→1609
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): Tossup
9 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1602 (+23)	11-4	vs ARI (1588): Win by 4
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1420): W 56-14: 1579+23→1602
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): Win by 4 points
10 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1588 (-1)	10-5	at DAL (1602): Lose by 4
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1711): L 16-22: 1589-1→1588
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1602): Lose by 4 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1577	8-7	vs HOU (1327): Win by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): L 17-20: 1577+0→1577
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1327): Win by 9 points
12 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1555 (+22)	8-7	at WAS (1397): Win by 1 point
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1333): W 34-10: 1533+22→1555
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1397): Win by 1 point
13 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (+34)	9-6	vs KC (1706): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): W 41-21: 1506+34→1540
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1706): Lose by 6 points
14 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1536 (-34)	8-7	vs LAR (1609): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): L 21-41: 1570-34→1536
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1609): Tossup
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (-7)	7-8	at GB (1720): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): L 23-30: 1533-7→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1720): Lose by 8 points
16 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1524 (+43)	8-7	at TEN (1616): Lose by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1561): W 20-3: 1481+43→1524
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): Lose by 8 points
17 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519 (-42)	7-8	vs CAR (1365): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): L 3-20: 1561-42→1519
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1365): Win by 8 points
18 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518	7-8	at PIT (1412): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1720): L 22-24: 1518+0→1518
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): Slight favorite
19 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1487 (-38)	8-7	vs DEN (1449): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1289): L 29-41: 1525-38→1487
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1449): Win by 7 points
20	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1467 (-14)	5-10	vs DET (1300): Win by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1369): L 24-25: 1481-14→1467
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1300): Win by 8 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1449 (-4)	7-8	at LAC (1487): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): L 13-17: 1453-4→1449
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1487): Lose by 7 points
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1412 (-17)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1689): L 10-36: 1429-17→1412
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1403 (+4)	8-7	at IND (1713): Lose by 10
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): W 17-13: 1399+4→1403
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1713): Lose by 10 points
24 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1397 (-23)	6-9	vs PHI (1555): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): L 14-56: 1420-23→1397
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): Lose by 1 point
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1383 (+14)	5-10	vs NYG (1311): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): W 25-24: 1369+14→1383
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1311): Win by 7 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1376	7-8	at BUF (1751): Lose by 10
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1300): W 20-16: 1376+0→1376
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1751): Lose by 10 points
27 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1365 (-26)	5-10	at NO (1519): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): L 6-32: 1391-26→1365
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Lose by 8 points
28 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1327 (+38)	4-11	at SF (1577): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): W 41-29: 1289+38→1327
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1577): Lose by 9 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1311 (-22)	4-11	at CHI (1383): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): L 10-34: 1333-22→1311
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1383): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1300	2-12-1	at SEA (1467): Lose by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1376): L 16-20: 1300+0→1300
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1467): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1218	4-11	vs TB (1687): Lose by 10
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1164): W 26-21: 1218+0→1218
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): Lose by 10 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1164	2-13	at NE (1654): Lose by 12
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1218): L 21-26: 1164+0→1164
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1654): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1722 (+13)	8-6	at NE (1683): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1404): W 31-14: 1709+13→1722
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1683): Slight underdog
2 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1720	11-3	vs CLE (1518): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): W 31-30: 1720+0→1720
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1711 (+17)	8-6	at ARI (1589): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1701): W 27-17: 1694+17→1711
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1689 (+1)	10-4	vs PIT (1429): Win by 10
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): W 34-28(OT): 1688+1→1689
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1429): Win by 10 points
5 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1683 (-18)	9-5	vs BUF (1722): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1694): L 17-27: 1701-18→1683
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1661 (-31)	10-4	at CAR (1391): Win by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1529): L 0-9: 1692-31→1661
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): Win by 8 points
7 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1616 (-14)	9-5	vs SF (1577): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): L 13-19: 1630-14→1616
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1577): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1603 (+12)	10-4	at MIN (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): W 20-10: 1591+12→1603
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1589 (-56)	10-4	vs IND (1711): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1245): L 12-30: 1645-56→1589
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1711): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579 (+27)	10-4	vs WAS (1420): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1360): W 21-6: 1552+27→1579
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1420): Win by 8 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1577 (+20)	8-6	at TEN (1616): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): W 31-13: 1557+20→1577
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): Lose by 7 points
12 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570	8-6	at CIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1720): L 30-31: 1570+0→1570
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1561 (+32)	7-7	vs MIA (1481): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): W 9-0: 1529+32→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): Win by 8 points
14 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1533 (+12)	7-7	vs NYG (1333): Win by 8
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1432): W 27-17: 1521+12→1533
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1333): Win by 8 points
15 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533 (+8)	7-7	vs LAR (1603): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1377): W 17-9: 1525+8→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1603): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (-2)	8-6	at HOU (1289): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1688): L 28-34(OT): 1527-2→1525
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1289): Win by 8 points
17 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (-18)	7-7	at GB (1720): Lose by 9
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1380): L 14-16: 1536-18→1518
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1720): Lose by 9 points
18	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1506 (+7)	8-6	vs BAL (1570): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): W 15-10: 1499+7→1506
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1481	7-7	at NO (1561): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1218): W 31-24: 1481+0→1481
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1561): Lose by 8 points
20 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-12)	5-9	vs CHI (1369): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): L 10-20: 1493-12→1481
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1369): Win by 8 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1453 (-7)	7-7	at LV (1399): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1499): L 10-15: 1460-7→1453
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1429 (+14)	7-6-1	at KC (1689): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1630): W 19-13: 1415+14→1429
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1689): Lose by 10 points
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1420 (-12)	6-8	at DAL (1579): Lose by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 17-27: 1432-12→1420
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): Lose by 8 points
24 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1399 (+19)	7-7	vs DEN (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): W 16-14: 1380+19→1399
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391 (-13)	5-9	vs TB (1661): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1709): L 14-31: 1404-13→1391
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1376 (-21)	6-8	vs DET (1300): Win by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): L 13-31: 1397-21→1376
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1300): Win by 7 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1369 (-8)	4-10	at SEA (1481): Lose by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): L 9-17: 1377-8→1369
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Lose by 8 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1333 (-27)	4-10	at PHI (1533): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): L 6-21: 1360-27→1333
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1300 (+55)	2-11-1	at ATL (1376): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1645): W 30-12: 1245+55→1300
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1376): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1289 (+33)	3-11	vs LAC (1525): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1197): W 30-16: 1256+33→1289
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1218	3-11	vs JAX (1164): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): L 24-31: 1218+0→1218
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1164): Win by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1164 (-33)	2-12	at NYJ (1218): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1256): L 16-30: 1197-33→1164
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1218): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1720 (+10)	10-3	at BAL (1570): Win by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1387): W 45-30: 1710+10→1720
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Win by 5 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1709 (-2)	7-6	vs CAR (1404): Win by 10
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1691): L 27-33(OT): 1711-2→1709
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1404): Win by 10 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1701	9-4	at IND (1694): Lose by 3
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1694): Lose by 3 points
4	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1694	7-6	vs NE (1701): Win by 3
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1701): Win by 3 points
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1692 (+1)	10-3	vs NO (1529): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): W 33-27(OT): 1691+1→1692
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1529): Win by 8 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1688 (+19)	9-4	at LAC (1527): Win by 3
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): W 48-9: 1669+19→1688
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Win by 3 points
7	Arizona CardinalsARI	1645 (-17)	10-3	at DET (1245): Win by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1574): L 23-30: 1662-17→1645
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1245): Win by 9 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1630 (+10)	9-4	at PIT (1415): Win by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1208): W 20-0: 1620+10→1630
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): Win by 7 points
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1591 (+17)	9-4	vs SEA (1493): Win by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1662): W 30-23: 1574+17→1591
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Win by 8 points
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570	8-5	vs GB (1720): Lose by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): L 22-24: 1570+0→1570
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1720): Lose by 5 points
11 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1557 (+9)	7-6	vs ATL (1397): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): W 26-23(OT): 1548+9→1557
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1397): Win by 8 points
12 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (+3)	9-4	at NYG (1360): Win by 7
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): W 27-20: 1549+3→1552
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1360): Win by 7 points
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536	7-6	vs LV (1380): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): W 24-22: 1536+0→1536
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1380): Win by 8 points
14 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1529 (+23)	6-7	at TB (1692): Lose by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1242): W 30-9: 1506+23→1529
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): Lose by 8 points
15 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (+22)	8-5	vs KC (1688): Lose by 3
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1382): W 37-21: 1505+22→1527
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1688): Lose by 3 points
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525	6-7	at CHI (1377): Win by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): W 36-28: 1525+0→1525
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1377): Win by 4 points
17 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521	6-7	vs WAS (1432): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1432): Win by 8 points
18 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1499 (-8)	7-6	at DEN (1460): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): L 23-26(OT): 1507-8→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (+31)	5-8	at LAR (1591): Lose by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1286): W 33-13: 1462+31→1493
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): Lose by 8 points
20 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1481	6-7	vs NYJ (1218): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1218): Win by 9 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1460 (+23)	7-6	vs CIN (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1268): W 38-10: 1437+23→1460
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1499): Slight favorite
22	Washington Football TeamWAS	1432 (-2)	6-7	at PHI (1521): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): L 20-27: 1434-2→1432
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Lose by 8 points
23 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1415	6-6-1	vs TEN (1630): Lose by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): L 28-36: 1415+0→1415
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1630): Lose by 7 points
24 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1404 (-23)	5-8	at BUF (1709): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1373): L 21-29: 1427-23→1404
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1709): Lose by 10 points
25 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1397 (+24)	6-7	at SF (1557): Lose by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): W 29-21: 1373+24→1397
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1380 (-20)	6-7	at CLE (1536): Lose by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1669): L 9-48: 1400-20→1380
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): Lose by 8 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1377 (-10)	4-9	vs MIN (1525): Lose by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1710): L 30-45: 1387-10→1377
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): Lose by 4 points
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1360 (-22)	4-9	vs DAL (1552): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): L 21-37: 1382-22→1360
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): Lose by 7 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1256 (-30)	2-11	at JAX (1197): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1462): L 13-33: 1286-30→1256
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1197): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1245 (-23)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1645): Lose by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1437): L 10-38: 1268-23→1245
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1645): Lose by 9 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1218 (-24)	3-10	at MIA (1481): Lose by 9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): L 9-30: 1242-24→1218
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): Lose by 9 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1197 (-11)	2-11	vs HOU (1256): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1620): L 0-20: 1208-11→1197
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1256): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1711 (-16)	7-5	at TB (1691): Lose by 2
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1685): L 10-14: 1727-16→1711
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1691): Lose by 2 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1710	9-3	vs CHI (1387): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1387): Win by 10 points
3	New England PatriotsNE	1701 (+16)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1727): W 14-10: 1685+16→1701
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1694 (+24)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1309): W 31-0: 1670+24→1694
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1691 (+20)	9-3	vs BUF (1711): Win by 2
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1392): W 30-17: 1671+20→1691
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): Win by 2 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1669 (+12)	8-4	vs LV (1400): Win by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1449): W 22-9: 1657+12→1669
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): Win by 9 points
7	Arizona CardinalsARI	1662 (+13)	10-2	vs LAR (1574): Win by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1400): W 33-22: 1649+13→1662
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1574): Win by 8 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1620	8-4	vs JAX (1208): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1208): Win by 11 points
9 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1574 (+13)	8-4	at ARI (1662): Lose by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1221): W 37-7: 1561+13→1574
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1662): Lose by 8 points
10 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-11)	8-4	at CLE (1536): Lose by 4
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1404): L 19-20: 1581-11→1570
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): Lose by 4 points
11 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1549 (+32)	8-4	at WAS (1434): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1538): W 27-17: 1517+32→1549
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1434): Slight favorite
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1548 (-8)	6-6	at CIN (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1454): L 23-30: 1556-8→1548
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536	6-6	vs BAL (1570): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Win by 4 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525 (-18)	5-7	vs PIT (1415): Win by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1250): L 27-29: 1543-18→1525
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): Win by 8 points
15 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+23)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1265): W 33-18: 1498+23→1521
next: (bye)
16 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1507 (-55)	7-5	vs SF (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1450): L 22-41: 1562-55→1507
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1548): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (-32)	5-7	at NYJ (1242): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1517): L 17-27: 1538-32→1506
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1242): Win by 8 points
18 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1505 (+55)	7-5	vs NYG (1382): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): W 41-22: 1450+55→1505
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1382): Win by 8 points
19 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1481 (+16)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1398): W 20-9: 1465+16→1481
next: (bye)
20 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1462 (+8)	4-8	at HOU (1286): Win by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1556): W 30-23: 1454+8→1462
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1286): Win by 7 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1437 (-12)	6-6	vs DET (1268): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1657): L 9-22: 1449-12→1437
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1268): Win by 9 points
22 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1434 (+12)	6-6	vs DAL (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): W 17-15: 1422+12→1434
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	5-7	vs ATL (1373): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1373): Win by 8 points
24 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1415 (+11)	6-5-1	at MIN (1525): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): W 20-19: 1404+11→1415
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): Lose by 8 points
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1400 (-12)	6-6	at KC (1669): Lose by 9
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1422): L 15-17: 1412-12→1400
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1669): Lose by 9 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1387 (-13)	4-8	at GB (1710): Lose by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1649): L 22-33: 1400-13→1387
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1710): Lose by 10 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1382 (-16)	4-8	at LAC (1505): Lose by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): L 9-20: 1398-16→1382
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Lose by 8 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1373 (-19)	5-7	at CAR (1427): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): L 17-30: 1392-19→1373
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1286 (-23)	2-10	vs SEA (1462): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1670): L 0-31: 1309-23→1286
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1462): Lose by 7 points
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1268 (+18)	1-10-1	at DEN (1437): Lose by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): W 29-27: 1250+18→1268
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1437): Lose by 9 points
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1242 (-23)	3-9	vs NO (1506): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): L 18-33: 1265-23→1242
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1208 (-13)	2-10	at TEN (1620): Lose by 11
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): L 7-37: 1221-13→1208
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1620): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1727 (+40)	7-4	vs NE (1685): Win by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1578): W 31-6: 1687+40→1727
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1685): Win by 7 points
2 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1710	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): W 36-28: 1710+0→1710
next: (bye)
3 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1685 (+34)	8-4	at BUF (1727): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1654): W 36-13: 1651+34→1685
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1727): Lose by 7 points
4 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1671 (+17)	8-3	at ATL (1392): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1688): W 38-31: 1654+17→1671
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1392): Win by 8 points
5 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1670 (-18)	6-6	at HOU (1309): Win by 9
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1654): L 31-38: 1688-18→1670
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1309): Win by 9 points
6 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1657	7-4	vs DEN (1449): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1449): Win by 9 points
7 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1649	9-2	at CHI (1400): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1400): Win by 8 points
8 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1620 (-34)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1651): L 13-36: 1654-34→1620
next: (bye)
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1581	8-3	at PIT (1404): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): W 16-10: 1581+0→1581
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1404): Win by 7 points
10 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1562 (+29)	7-4	vs LAC (1450): Win by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1433): W 41-10: 1533+29→1562
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1450): Win by 8 points
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1561	7-4	vs JAX (1221): Win by 11
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1710): L 28-36: 1561+0→1561
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1221): Win by 11 points
12 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556 (+7)	6-5	at SEA (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1550): W 34-26: 1549+7→1556
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1454): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1543 (-7)	5-6	at DET (1250): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): L 26-34: 1550-7→1543
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1250): Win by 8 points
14 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1538 (-40)	5-6	vs DAL (1517): Win by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): L 6-31: 1578-40→1538
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1517): Win by 7 points
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): L 10-16: 1536+0→1536
next: (bye)
16 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1517 (-28)	7-4	at NO (1538): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1385): L 33-36(OT): 1545-28→1517
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1538): Lose by 7 points
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1498 (-10)	5-7	at NYJ (1265): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): L 7-13: 1508-10→1498
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1265): Win by 8 points
18 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (+40)	5-7	vs NYG (1398): Win by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): W 33-10: 1425+40→1465
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1398): Win by 8 points
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1454 (-1)	3-8	vs SF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1421): L 15-17: 1455-1→1454
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1556): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1450 (-35)	6-5	at CIN (1562): Lose by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1415): L 13-28: 1485-35→1450
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): Lose by 8 points
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1449 (+34)	6-5	at KC (1657): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): W 28-13: 1415+34→1449
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1657): Lose by 9 points
22 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (-41)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): L 10-33: 1468-41→1427
next: (bye)
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1422 (+1)	5-6	at LV (1412): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1455): W 17-15: 1421+1→1422
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): Lose by 7 points
24 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1412 (+27)	6-5	vs WAS (1422): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): W 36-33(OT): 1385+27→1412
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1422): Win by 7 points
25 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1404 (-29)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1581): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): L 10-41: 1433-29→1404
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): Lose by 7 points
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1400	4-7	vs ARI (1649): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1250): W 16-14: 1400+0→1400
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1649): Lose by 8 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1398 (+10)	4-7	at MIA (1465): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): W 13-7: 1388+10→1398
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Lose by 8 points
28 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1392	5-6	vs TB (1671): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1221): W 21-14: 1392+0→1392
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1309 (-22)	2-9	vs IND (1670): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1244): L 14-21: 1331-22→1309
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1670): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1265 (+21)	3-8	vs PHI (1498): Lose by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1331): W 21-14: 1244+21→1265
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1250	0-10-1	vs MIN (1543): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1400): L 14-16: 1250+0→1250
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1543): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1221	2-9	at LAR (1561): Lose by 11
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1392): L 14-21: 1221+0→1221
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1710 (-14)	8-3	vs LAR (1561): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1536): L 31-34: 1724-14→1710
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): Win by 8 points
2 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1688 (+66)	6-5	vs TB (1654): Win by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1752): W 41-15: 1622+66→1688
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1654): Win by 7 points
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1687 (-65)	6-4	at NO (1578): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1622): L 15-41: 1752-65→1687
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1578): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1657 (+10)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): W 19-9: 1647+10→1657
next: (bye)
5 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1654 (-56)	8-3	at NE (1651): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1275): L 13-22: 1710-56→1654
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1651): Lose by 7 points
6 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1654 (+17)	7-3	at IND (1688): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1405): W 30-10: 1637+17→1654
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1688): Lose by 7 points
7 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1651 (+33)	7-4	vs TEN (1654): Win by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1425): W 25-0: 1618+33→1651
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1654): Win by 7 points
8 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1649 (+20)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1475): W 23-13: 1629+20→1649
next: (bye)
9 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1581	7-3	vs CLE (1536): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1400): W 16-13: 1581+0→1581
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): Win by 7 points
10 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1578 (-38)	5-5	vs BUF (1687): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1470): L 29-40: 1616-38→1578
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): Slight underdog
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1561	7-3	at GB (1710): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1710): Lose by 8 points
12 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1550 (+14)	5-5	at SF (1549): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1724): W 34-31: 1536+14→1550
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Lose by 7 points
13 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+25)	5-5	vs MIN (1550): Win by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1245): W 30-10: 1524+25→1549
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1550): Win by 7 points
14 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1545 (-9)	7-3	vs LV (1385): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1647): L 9-19: 1554-9→1545
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1385): Win by 9 points
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536	6-5	at BAL (1581): Lose by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1250): W 13-10: 1536+0→1536
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): Lose by 7 points
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1533 (+42)	6-4	vs PIT (1433): Win by 8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): W 32-13: 1491+42→1533
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1433): Win by 8 points
17 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1508 (+38)	5-6	at NYG (1388): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1616): W 40-29: 1470+38→1508
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1388): Slight favorite
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485	6-4	at DEN (1415): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1433): W 41-37: 1485+0→1485
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1415): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1468 (-23)	5-6	at MIA (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1398): L 21-27: 1491-23→1468
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1455 (-20)	3-7	at WAS (1421): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1629): L 13-23: 1475-20→1455
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1421): Slight underdog
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1433	5-4-1	at CIN (1533): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 37-41: 1433+0→1433
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Lose by 8 points
22 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1425	4-7	vs CAR (1468): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1244): W 24-17: 1425+0→1425
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): Slight favorite
23 (+5)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1421 (+23)	4-6	vs SEA (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): W 27-21: 1398+23→1421
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1455): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1415	5-5	vs LAC (1485): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1400	3-7	at DET (1250): Win by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): L 13-16: 1400+0→1400
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1250): Win by 4 points
26 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1392 (-33)	4-6	at JAX (1221): Win by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1618): L 0-25: 1425-33→1392
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1221): Win by 8 points
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1388 (-17)	3-7	vs PHI (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1637): L 10-30: 1405-17→1388
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): Slight underdog
28 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1385 (-41)	5-5	at DAL (1545): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): L 13-32: 1426-41→1385
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): Lose by 9 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1331 (+56)	2-8	vs NYJ (1244): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1710): W 22-13: 1275+56→1331
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1244): Win by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1250	0-9-1	vs CHI (1400): Lose by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): L 10-13: 1250+0→1250
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1400): Lose by 4 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1244	2-8	at HOU (1331): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): L 17-24: 1244+0→1244
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1331): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1221 (-24)	2-8	vs ATL (1392): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): L 10-30: 1245-24→1221
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1392): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1752 (+16)	6-3	vs IND (1622): Win by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1260): W 45-17: 1736+16→1752
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1622): Win by 9 points
2 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1724 (+16)	8-2	at MIN (1536): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): W 17-0: 1708+16→1724
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1536): Win by 7 points
3	Tennessee TitansTEN	1710	8-2	vs HOU (1275): Win by 12
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1616): W 23-21: 1710+0→1710
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1275): Win by 12 points
4 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1647 (+42)	6-4	vs DAL (1554): Win by 8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): W 41-14: 1605+42→1647
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): Win by 8 points
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1637 (-56)	6-3	vs NYG (1405): Win by 10
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1342): L 19-29: 1693-56→1637
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1405): Win by 10 points
6 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1629 (-82)	8-2	at SEA (1475): Win by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1409): L 10-34: 1711-82→1629
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1475): Win by 6 points
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1622	5-5	at BUF (1752): Lose by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1245): W 23-17: 1622+0→1622
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1752): Lose by 9 points
8 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1618 (+39)	6-4	at ATL (1425): Win by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1575): W 45-7: 1579+39→1618
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1425): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1616	5-4	at PHI (1470): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1710): L 21-23: 1616+0→1616
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1470): Win by 7 points
10 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1581 (-57)	6-3	at CHI (1400): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1368): L 10-22: 1638-57→1581
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1400): Win by 7 points
11 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1561 (-51)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1473): L 10-31: 1612-51→1561
next: (bye)
12 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1554 (+32)	7-2	at KC (1647): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): W 43-3: 1522+32→1554
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1647): Lose by 8 points
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536 (-39)	5-5	vs DET (1250): Win by 11
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1579): L 7-45: 1575-39→1536
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1250): Win by 11 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1536 (+13)	4-5	vs GB (1724): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): W 27-20: 1523+13→1536
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1724): Lose by 7 points
15 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524 (+51)	4-5	at JAX (1245): Win by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1612): W 31-10: 1473+51→1524
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1245): Win by 9 points
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1491	5-4	at LV (1426): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1426): Slight favorite
17 (+7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1491 (+82)	5-5	vs WAS (1398): Win by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1711): W 34-10: 1409+82→1491
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1398): Win by 8 points
18 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-13)	5-4	vs PIT (1433): Win by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 20-27: 1498-13→1485
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1433): Win by 8 points
19 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1475 (-16)	3-6	vs ARI (1629): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1708): L 0-17: 1491-16→1475
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1629): Lose by 6 points
20 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1470 (+59)	4-6	vs NO (1616): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1474): W 30-13: 1411+59→1470
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1616): Lose by 7 points
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1433 (-29)	5-3-1	at LAC (1485): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1221): T 16-16(OT): 1462-29→1433
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Lose by 8 points
22 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1426 (-42)	5-4	vs CIN (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): L 14-41: 1468-42→1426
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1491): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1425 (-32)	4-5	vs NE (1618): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): L 3-43: 1457-32→1425
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1618): Lose by 8 points
24 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1425 (+57)	3-7	at NYJ (1244): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): W 22-10: 1368+57→1425
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1244): Win by 7 points
25 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1415 (-59)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1411): L 13-30: 1474-59→1415
next: (bye)
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1405	3-6	at TB (1637): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1637): Lose by 10 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1400	3-6	vs BAL (1581): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): Lose by 7 points
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1398 (+56)	3-6	at CAR (1491): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1693): W 29-19: 1342+56→1398
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1275	1-8	at TEN (1710): Lose by 12
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1710): Lose by 12 points
30 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1250 (+29)	0-8-1	at CLE (1536): Lose by 11
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): T 16-16(OT): 1221+29→1250
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): Lose by 11 points
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1245	2-7	vs SF (1524): Lose by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1622): L 17-23: 1245+0→1245
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Lose by 9 points
32 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1244 (-16)	2-7	vs MIA (1425): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1736): L 17-45: 1260-16→1244
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1736 (-50)	5-3	at NYJ (1260): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1195): L 6-9: 1786-50→1736
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1260): Win by 11 points
2 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1711 (+27)	8-1	vs CAR (1409): Win by 12
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): W 31-17: 1684+27→1711
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1409): Win by 12 points
3 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1710 (+45)	7-2	vs NO (1616): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1657): W 28-16: 1665+45→1710
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1616): Win by 8 points
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1708 (-21)	7-2	vs SEA (1491): Win by 10
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): L 7-13: 1729-21→1708
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Win by 10 points
5 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1693	6-2	at WAS (1342): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1342): Win by 10 points
6 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1638	6-2	at MIA (1368): Win by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): W 34-31(OT): 1638+0→1638
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1368): Win by 9 points
7 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1622 (+2)	4-5	vs JAX (1245): Win by 13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1262): W 45-30: 1620+2→1622
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1245): Win by 13 points
8 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1616 (-36)	5-3	at TEN (1710): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): L 25-27: 1652-36→1616
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1710): Lose by 8 points
9 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1612 (-45)	7-2	at SF (1473): Win by 3
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1665): L 16-28: 1657-45→1612
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1473): Win by 3 points
10 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1605 (+20)	5-4	at LV (1468): Win by 3
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1729): W 13-7: 1585+20→1605
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): Win by 3 points
11 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1579 (+45)	5-4	vs CLE (1575): Win by 7
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): W 24-6: 1534+45→1579
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1575): Win by 7 points
12 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1575 (+63)	5-4	at NE (1579): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): W 41-16: 1512+63→1575
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1579): Lose by 7 points
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523	3-5	at LAC (1498): Lose by 3
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): L 31-34(OT): 1523+0→1523
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): Lose by 3 points
14 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1522 (-72)	6-2	vs ATL (1457): Win by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): L 16-30: 1594-72→1522
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Win by 8 points
15 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1498 (+6)	5-3	vs MIN (1523): Win by 3
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1417): W 27-24: 1492+6→1498
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Win by 3 points
16 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1491 (-63)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): L 16-41: 1554-63→1491
next: (bye)
17 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491	3-5	at GB (1708): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1708): Lose by 10 points
18 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1474 (+72)	5-4	vs PHI (1411): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1594): W 30-16: 1402+72→1474
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1411): Win by 8 points
19 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1473 (-27)	3-5	vs LAR (1612): Lose by 3
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1684): L 17-31: 1500-27→1473
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1612): Lose by 3 points
20 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1468 (-15)	5-3	vs KC (1605): Lose by 3
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): L 16-23: 1483-15→1468
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): Lose by 3 points
21 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462	5-3	vs DET (1221): Win by 10
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1400): W 29-27: 1462+0→1462
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1221): Win by 10 points
22	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (+37)	4-4	at DAL (1522): Lose by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1652): W 27-25: 1420+37→1457
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): Lose by 8 points
23	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1411 (-6)	3-6	at DEN (1474): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 24-27: 1417-6→1411
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1474): Lose by 8 points
24 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1409 (-45)	4-5	at ARI (1711): Lose by 12
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): L 6-24: 1454-45→1409
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1711): Lose by 12 points
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1405 (+14)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 23-16: 1391+14→1405
next: (bye)
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1400	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): L 27-29: 1400+0→1400
next: (bye)
27	Miami DolphinsMIA	1368	2-7	vs BAL (1638): Lose by 9
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1275): W 17-9: 1368+0→1368
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): Lose by 9 points
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1342	2-6	vs TB (1693): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1693): Lose by 10 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1275	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1368): L 9-17: 1275+0→1275
next: (bye)
30	New York JetsNYJ	1260 (-2)	2-6	vs BUF (1736): Lose by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1620): L 30-45: 1262-2→1260
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1736): Lose by 11 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1245 (+50)	2-6	at IND (1622): Lose by 13
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1786): W 9-6: 1195+50→1245
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1622): Lose by 13 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1221	0-8	at PIT (1462): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1786 (+7)	5-2	at JAX (1195): Win by 16
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1375): W 26-11: 1779+7→1786
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1195): Win by 16 points
2 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1729 (+11)	7-1	at KC (1585): Win by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1695): W 24-21: 1718+11→1729
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1693 (-25)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1627): L 27-36: 1718-25→1693
next: (bye)
4	Arizona CardinalsARI	1684 (-11)	7-1	at SF (1500): Win by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1718): L 21-24: 1695-11→1684
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Win by 8 points
5	Tennessee TitansTEN	1665 (+14)	6-2	at LAR (1657): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1635): W 34-31(OT): 1651+14→1665
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1657): Lose by 7 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1657 (+20)	7-1	vs TEN (1665): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1295): W 38-22: 1637+20→1657
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1665): Win by 7 points
7 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1652 (+25)	5-2	vs ATL (1420): Win by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1718): W 36-27: 1627+25→1652
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1420): Win by 11 points
8 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1638	5-2	vs MIN (1523): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Win by 9 points
9 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1620 (-15)	3-5	vs NYJ (1262): Win by 14
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1651): L 31-34(OT): 1635-15→1620
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1262): Win by 14 points
10 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1594 (+9)	6-1	vs DEN (1402): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): W 20-16: 1585+9→1594
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): Win by 10 points
11 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1585	4-4	vs GB (1729): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1391): W 20-17: 1585+0→1585
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1729): Lose by 8 points
12 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1554 (-34)	5-3	vs CLE (1512): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1228): L 31-34: 1588-34→1554
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Win by 8 points
13 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1534 (+15)	4-4	at CAR (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): W 27-24: 1519+15→1534
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): Slight favorite
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (-8)	3-4	at BAL (1638): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1585): L 16-20: 1531-8→1523
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1638): Lose by 9 points
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (-23)	4-4	at CIN (1554): Lose by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1440): L 10-15: 1535-23→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): Lose by 8 points
16 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500 (+40)	3-4	vs ARI (1684): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): W 33-22: 1460+40→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1684): Lose by 8 points
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-15)	4-3	at PHI (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): L 24-27: 1507-15→1492
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1417): Slight favorite
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (+23)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1218): W 31-7: 1468+23→1491
next: (bye)
19 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483	5-2	at NYG (1391): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): Win by 5 points
20 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (+22)	4-3	vs CHI (1400): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): W 15-10: 1440+22→1462
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1400): Win by 8 points
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454 (+14)	4-4	vs NE (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): W 19-13: 1440+14→1454
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1420 (-15)	3-4	at NO (1652): Lose by 11
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): L 13-19: 1435-15→1420
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1652): Lose by 11 points
23 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1417 (+49)	3-5	vs LAC (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1270): W 44-6: 1368+49→1417
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Slight underdog
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1402	4-4	at DAL (1594): Lose by 10
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1342): W 17-10: 1402+0→1402
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1594): Lose by 10 points
25 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1400 (-40)	3-5	at PIT (1462): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1460): L 22-33: 1440-40→1400
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1391	2-6	vs LV (1483): Lose by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): L 17-20: 1391+0→1391
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Lose by 5 points
27 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1368 (-7)	1-7	vs HOU (1275): Win by 9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1779): L 11-26: 1375-7→1368
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1275): Win by 9 points
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1342	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1402): L 10-17: 1342+0→1342
next: (bye)
29	Houston TexansHOU	1275 (-20)	1-7	at MIA (1368): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1637): L 22-38: 1295-20→1275
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1368): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1262 (+34)	2-5	at IND (1620): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1588): W 34-31: 1228+34→1262
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1620): Lose by 14 points
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1221 (-49)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1368): L 6-44: 1270-49→1221
next: (bye)
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1195 (-23)	1-6	vs BUF (1786): Lose by 16
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1468): L 7-31: 1218-23→1195
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1786): Lose by 16 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1779	4-2	vs MIA (1375): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1375): Win by 12 points
2 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1718 (+26)	6-1	at NO (1627): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): W 38-3: 1692+26→1718
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1627): Slight favorite
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1718 (+11)	6-1	at ARI (1695): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1352): W 24-10: 1707+11→1718
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1695): Lose by 1 point
4 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1695 (+19)	7-0	vs GB (1718): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1313): W 31-5: 1676+19→1695
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1718): Win by 1 point
5 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1651 (+49)	5-2	at IND (1635): Lose by 3
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): W 27-3: 1602+49→1651
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1635): Lose by 3 points
6 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1638 (-73)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): L 17-41: 1711-73→1638
next: (bye)
7 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1637	6-1	at HOU (1295): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1270): W 28-19: 1637+0→1637
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1295): Win by 9 points
8 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1635 (+39)	3-4	vs TEN (1651): Win by 3
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): W 30-18: 1596+39→1635
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1651): Win by 3 points
9 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1627	4-2	vs TB (1718): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1468): W 13-10: 1627+0→1627
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1718): Slight underdog
10 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1588 (+74)	5-2	at NYJ (1228): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1711): W 41-17: 1514+74→1588
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1228): Win by 10 points
11	Dallas CowboysDAL	1585	5-1	at MIN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Slight underdog
12 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1585 (-49)	3-4	vs NYG (1391): Win by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1602): L 3-27: 1634-49→1585
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1391): Win by 9 points
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1535	4-3	vs PIT (1440): Win by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): W 17-14: 1535+0→1535
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1440): Win by 8 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531	3-3	vs DAL (1585): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1585): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1519 (+32)	3-4	at LAC (1507): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1260): W 54-13: 1487+32→1519
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Lose by 7 points
16 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507	4-2	vs NE (1519): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): Win by 7 points
17 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+25)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1392): W 33-22: 1458+25→1483
next: (bye)
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1468	2-5	vs JAX (1218): Win by 10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1627): L 10-13: 1468+0→1468
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1218): Win by 10 points
19 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1460 (-39)	2-4	at CHI (1440): Lose by 2
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1596): L 18-30: 1499-39→1460
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): Lose by 2 points
20	Chicago BearsCHI	1440 (-26)	3-4	vs SF (1460): Win by 2
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): L 3-38: 1466-26→1440
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1460): Win by 2 points
21 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1440 (-61)	3-4	at ATL (1435): Lose by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1330): L 3-25: 1501-61→1440
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Lose by 5 points
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1440	3-3	at CLE (1535): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): Lose by 8 points
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1435 (+6)	3-3	vs CAR (1440): Win by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1381): W 30-28: 1429+6→1435
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1440): Win by 5 points
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1402	3-4	vs WAS (1342): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): L 14-17: 1402+0→1402
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1342): Win by 8 points
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1391 (+61)	2-5	at KC (1585): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): W 25-3: 1330+61→1391
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): Lose by 9 points
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1375 (-6)	1-6	at BUF (1779): Lose by 12
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): L 28-30: 1381-6→1375
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1779): Lose by 12 points
27 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1368 (-24)	2-5	at DET (1270): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): L 22-33: 1392-24→1368
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1270): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1342 (-10)	2-5	at DEN (1402): Lose by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1707): L 10-24: 1352-10→1342
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1402): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1295 (-18)	1-6	vs LAR (1637): Lose by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1676): L 5-31: 1313-18→1295
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1637): Lose by 9 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1270	0-7	vs PHI (1368): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1637): L 19-28: 1270+0→1270
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1368): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1228 (-32)	1-5	vs CIN (1588): Lose by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1487): L 13-54: 1260-32→1228
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1588): Lose by 10 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1218	1-5	at SEA (1468): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1468): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1779 (-19)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): L 31-34: 1798-19→1779
next: (bye)
2 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1711 (+39)	5-1	vs CIN (1514): Win by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1547): W 34-6: 1672+39→1711
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Win by 9 points
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1707 (+24)	5-1	vs WAS (1352): Win by 11
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1490): W 24-14: 1683+24→1707
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1352): Win by 11 points
4 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1692	5-1	vs CHI (1466): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1392): W 28-22: 1692+0→1692
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): Win by 9 points
5 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1676 (+58)	6-0	vs HOU (1313): Win by 11
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1594): W 37-14: 1618+58→1676
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1313): Win by 11 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1637 (+40)	5-1	vs DET (1270): Win by 11
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1370): W 38-11: 1597+40→1637
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1270): Win by 11 points
7 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1634 (+41)	3-3	at TEN (1602): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1393): W 31-13: 1593+41→1634
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1602): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1627	3-2	at SEA (1468): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1468): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1602 (+19)	4-2	vs KC (1634): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1798): W 34-31: 1583+19→1602
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1596 (+35)	2-4	at SF (1499): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1348): W 31-3: 1561+35→1596
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): Tossup
11	Dallas CowboysDAL	1585 (+8)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): W 35-29(OT): 1577+8→1585
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1535 (-59)	3-3	vs DEN (1402): Win by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1618): L 14-37: 1594-59→1535
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): Win by 8 points
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+15)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1516): W 34-28(OT): 1516+15→1531
next: (bye)
14 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (+48)	4-2	at BAL (1711): Lose by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1318): W 34-11: 1466+48→1514
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1711): Lose by 9 points
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (-40)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1672): L 6-34: 1547-40→1507
next: (bye)
16 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1501 (-15)	3-3	at NYG (1330): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): L 28-34(OT): 1516-15→1501
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1330): Win by 7 points
17 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499	2-3	vs IND (1596): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1596): Tossup
18 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1487 (-8)	2-4	vs NYJ (1260): Win by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1577): L 29-35(OT): 1495-8→1487
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1260): Win by 9 points
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1468 (-8)	2-4	vs NO (1627): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1431): L 20-23(OT): 1476-8→1468
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1627): Lose by 7 points
20 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1466 (-24)	3-3	at TB (1692): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1683): L 14-24: 1490-24→1466
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): Lose by 9 points
21 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (+40)	4-2	vs PHI (1392): Win by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1442): W 34-24: 1418+40→1458
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1392): Win by 7 points
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1440 (+9)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): W 23-20(OT): 1431+9→1440
next: (bye)
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429	2-3	at MIA (1381): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1381): Tossup
24 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1402 (-40)	3-3	at CLE (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): L 24-34: 1442-40→1402
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): Lose by 8 points
25 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1392	2-4	at LV (1458): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): L 22-28: 1392+0→1392
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Lose by 7 points
26 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1381 (-24)	1-5	vs ATL (1429): Tossup
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1194): L 20-23: 1405-24→1381
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Tossup
27 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1352 (-41)	2-4	at GB (1707): Lose by 11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): L 13-31: 1393-41→1352
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1707): Lose by 11 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1330 (-40)	1-5	vs CAR (1501): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1597): L 11-38: 1370-40→1330
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): Lose by 7 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1313 (-35)	1-5	at ARI (1676): Lose by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): L 3-31: 1348-35→1313
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1676): Lose by 11 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1270 (-48)	0-6	at LAR (1637): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): L 11-34: 1318-48→1270
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1637): Lose by 11 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1260	1-4	at NE (1487): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1487): Lose by 9 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1218 (+24)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): W 23-20: 1194+24→1218
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1798 (+52)	4-1	at TEN (1583): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1645): W 38-20: 1746+52→1798
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): Win by 7 points
2 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1692 (+35)	4-1	at PHI (1392): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1440): W 45-17: 1657+35→1692
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1392): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1683	4-1	at CHI (1490): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): W 25-22(OT): 1683+0→1683
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Win by 6 points
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1672	4-1	vs LAC (1547): Win by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): W 31-25(OT): 1672+0→1672
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1547): Win by 8 points
5 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1627 (+30)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1423): W 33-22: 1597+30→1627
next: (bye)
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1618	5-0	at CLE (1594): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): W 17-10: 1618+0→1618
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1594): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1597 (+28)	4-1	at NYG (1370): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): W 26-17: 1569+28→1597
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1370): Win by 8 points
8 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1594 (-7)	3-2	vs ARI (1618): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): L 42-47: 1601-7→1594
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1618): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1593 (-52)	2-3	at WAS (1393): Win by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1746): L 20-38: 1645-52→1593
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1393): Win by 7 points
10 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1583 (+40)	3-2	vs BUF (1798): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1234): W 37-19: 1543+40→1583
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1798): Lose by 7 points
11 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1577 (+42)	4-1	at NE (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 44-20: 1535+42→1577
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1561	1-4	vs HOU (1348): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1672): L 25-31(OT): 1561+0→1561
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1348): Win by 8 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1547 (+8)	4-1	at BAL (1672): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1601): W 47-42: 1539+8→1547
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1672): Lose by 8 points
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1516	2-3	at CAR (1516): Lose by 2
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1318): W 19-17: 1516+0→1516
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1516): Lose by 2 points
15 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1516 (-27)	3-2	vs MIN (1516): Win by 2
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1366): L 18-21: 1543-27→1516
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Win by 2 points
16 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1618): L 10-17: 1499+0→1499
next: (bye)
17 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1495 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1577): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1349): W 25-22: 1494+1→1495
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1577): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490 (+45)	3-2	vs GB (1683): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): W 20-9: 1445+45→1490
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1683): Lose by 6 points
19 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1476 (-28)	2-3	at PIT (1431): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): L 17-26: 1504-28→1476
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1431): Tossup
20 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1466	3-2	at DET (1318): Win by 3
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1683): L 22-25(OT): 1466+0→1466
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1318): Win by 3 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1442 (-17)	3-2	vs LV (1418): Win by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): L 19-27: 1459-17→1442
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): Win by 6 points
22 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1431 (+16)	2-3	vs SEA (1476): Tossup
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1459): W 27-19: 1415+16→1431
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): Tossup
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1260): W 27-20: 1429+0→1429
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1418 (-45)	3-2	at DEN (1442): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1445): L 9-20: 1463-45→1418
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1442): Lose by 6 points
25 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1405 (-35)	1-4	at JAX (1194): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): L 17-45: 1440-35→1405
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1194): Win by 8 points
26 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1393 (-30)	2-3	vs KC (1593): Lose by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1597): L 22-33: 1423-30→1393
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Lose by 7 points
27 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1392 (+26)	2-3	vs TB (1692): Lose by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1543): W 21-18: 1366+26→1392
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1370 (-43)	1-4	vs LAR (1597): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): L 20-44: 1413-43→1370
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1597): Lose by 8 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1348 (-1)	1-4	at IND (1561): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): L 22-25: 1349-1→1348
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): Lose by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1318	0-5	vs CIN (1466): Lose by 3
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): L 17-19: 1318+0→1318
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): Lose by 3 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1260	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): L 20-27: 1260+0→1260
next: (bye)
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1194 (-40)	0-5	at MIA (1405): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1543): L 19-37: 1234-40→1194
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1405): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1746 (+32)	3-1	at KC (1645): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1380): W 40-0: 1714+32→1746
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1645): Slight favorite
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1683 (+10)	3-1	at CIN (1466): Win by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1424): W 27-17: 1673+10→1683
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): Win by 7 points
3 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1672 (+51)	3-1	vs IND (1561): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): W 23-7: 1621+51→1672
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1561): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1657	3-1	vs MIA (1440): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): W 19-17: 1657+0→1657
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1440): Win by 8 points
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1645 (+32)	2-2	vs BUF (1746): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1398): W 42-30: 1613+32→1645
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1746): Slight underdog
6 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1618 (+68)	4-0	vs SF (1499): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): W 37-20: 1550+68→1618
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): Win by 8 points
7 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1601 (+9)	3-1	at LAC (1539): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 14-7: 1592+9→1601
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): Tossup
8 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1597 (-35)	2-2	at WAS (1423): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1378): L 21-27(OT): 1632-35→1597
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1423): Win by 6 points
9 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1569 (-67)	3-1	at SEA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): L 20-37: 1636-67→1569
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1561 (+37)	1-3	at BAL (1672): Lose by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): W 27-17: 1524+37→1561
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1672): Lose by 8 points
11 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1543 (-31)	2-2	at JAX (1234): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1229): L 24-27(OT): 1574-31→1543
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1234): Win by 7 points
12 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1543 (-20)	3-1	vs PHI (1366): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1514): L 28-36: 1563-20→1543
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1366): Win by 8 points
13 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1539 (+45)	3-1	vs CLE (1601): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1509): W 28-14: 1494+45→1539
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1601): Tossup
14 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1535 (+21)	3-1	vs NYG (1413): Win by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1563): W 36-28: 1514+21→1535
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 8 points
15 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1516 (-10)	1-3	vs DET (1318): Win by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1592): L 7-14: 1526-10→1516
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1318): Win by 8 points
16 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (+17)	2-2	vs LAR (1569): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): W 28-21: 1487+17→1504
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499 (-17)	2-2	at ARI (1618): Lose by 8
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): L 21-28: 1516-17→1499
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1618): Lose by 8 points
18	New England PatriotsNE	1494	1-3	at HOU (1349): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): L 17-19: 1494+0→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1349): Win by 1 point
19 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1466	3-1	vs GB (1683): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1234): W 24-21: 1466+0→1466
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1683): Lose by 7 points
20 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (-46)	3-1	vs CHI (1445): Win by 3
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 14-28: 1509-46→1463
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1445): Win by 3 points
21 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (-51)	3-1	at PIT (1415): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): L 7-23: 1510-51→1459
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1415): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1445 (+23)	2-2	at LV (1463): Lose by 3
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1341): W 24-14: 1422+23→1445
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): Lose by 3 points
23 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1440 (-37)	1-3	at TB (1657): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): L 17-27: 1477-37→1440
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): Lose by 8 points
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429 (-17)	1-3	at NYJ (1260): Win by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1406): L 30-34: 1446-17→1429
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1260): Win by 7 points
25 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1423 (+17)	2-2	vs NO (1597): Lose by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): W 34-30: 1406+17→1423
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1597): Lose by 6 points
26 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1415 (-9)	1-3	vs DEN (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): L 17-27: 1424-9→1415
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1459): Slight favorite
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (+35)	1-3	at DAL (1535): Lose by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1632): W 27-21(OT): 1378+35→1413
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1366 (-32)	1-3	at CAR (1543): Lose by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1613): L 30-42: 1398-32→1366
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1543): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1349 (-31)	1-3	vs NE (1494): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1714): L 0-40: 1380-31→1349
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): Lose by 1 point
30	Detroit LionsDET	1318 (-23)	0-4	at MIN (1516): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1422): L 14-24: 1341-23→1318
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Lose by 8 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1260 (+31)	1-3	at ATL (1429): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1574): W 27-24(OT): 1229+31→1260
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Lose by 7 points
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1234	0-4	vs TEN (1543): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): L 21-24: 1234+0→1234
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1543): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1714 (+39)	2-1	vs HOU (1380): Win by 9
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): W 43-21: 1675+39→1714
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1380): Win by 9 points
2 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1673	2-1	vs PIT (1424): Win by 9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): W 30-28: 1673+0→1673
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1424): Win by 9 points
3 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1657 (-38)	2-1	at NE (1494): Win by 4
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1598): L 24-34: 1695-38→1657
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): Win by 4 points
4 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1636 (+38)	3-0	vs ARI (1550): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1695): W 34-24: 1598+38→1636
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): Win by 7 points
5 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1632 (+59)	2-1	vs NYG (1378): Win by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1553): W 28-13: 1573+59→1632
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1378): Win by 9 points
6 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1621	2-1	at DEN (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1341): W 19-17: 1621+0→1621
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1613 (-27)	1-2	at PHI (1398): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1466): L 24-30: 1640-27→1613
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1398): Win by 7 points
8 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1592 (+49)	2-1	at MIN (1526): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): W 26-6: 1543+49→1592
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Tossup
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1574 (+23)	2-1	at NYJ (1229): Win by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1547): W 25-16: 1551+23→1574
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1229): Win by 8 points
10 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1563 (+55)	3-0	at DAL (1514): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): W 24-9: 1508+55→1563
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1514): Tossup
11 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1550 (+31)	3-0	at LAR (1636): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1265): W 31-19: 1519+31→1550
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): Lose by 7 points
12 (+7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (+49)	1-2	vs CLE (1592): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1536): W 30-17: 1477+49→1526
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1592): Tossup
13 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1524 (-23)	0-3	at MIA (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): L 16-25: 1547-23→1524
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Slight underdog
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1516 (-1)	2-1	vs SEA (1487): Win by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1673): L 28-30: 1517-1→1516
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Win by 5 points
15 (+8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1514 (+53)	2-1	vs CAR (1563): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1451): W 41-21: 1461+53→1514
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1563): Tossup
16 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (+41)	3-0	vs BAL (1621): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1269): W 26-0: 1469+41→1510
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1509 (+2)	3-0	at LAC (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): W 31-28(OT): 1507+2→1509
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight underdog
18 (-10)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (-59)	1-2	vs TB (1657): Lose by 4
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1573): L 13-28: 1553-59→1494
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): Lose by 4 points
19 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494 (+28)	2-1	vs LV (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): W 30-24: 1466+28→1494
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1509): Slight favorite
20 (-8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-49)	1-2	at SF (1516): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): L 17-30: 1536-49→1487
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1516): Lose by 5 points
21 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477 (-2)	1-2	vs IND (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): L 28-31(OT): 1479-2→1477
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): Slight favorite
22 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1466 (+65)	2-1	vs JAX (1234): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): W 24-10: 1401+65→1466
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1234): Win by 8 points
23 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1446 (+11)	1-2	vs WAS (1406): Win by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1390): W 17-14: 1435+11→1446
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1406): Win by 7 points
24 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1424 (-65)	1-2	at GB (1673): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): L 10-24: 1489-65→1424
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): Lose by 9 points
25 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1422 (-48)	1-2	vs DET (1341): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1543): L 6-26: 1470-48→1422
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1341): Win by 7 points
26 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1406 (-39)	1-2	at ATL (1446): Lose by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1675): L 21-43: 1445-39→1406
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1446): Lose by 7 points
27 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1398 (-53)	1-2	vs KC (1613): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1461): L 21-41: 1451-53→1398
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1613): Lose by 7 points
28 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1380 (-55)	1-2	at BUF (1714): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1508): L 9-24: 1435-55→1380
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1714): Lose by 9 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1378 (-12)	0-3	at NO (1632): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): L 14-17: 1390-12→1378
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1632): Lose by 9 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1341	0-3	at CHI (1422): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): L 17-19: 1341+0→1341
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1422): Lose by 7 points
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1234 (-31)	0-3	at CIN (1466): Lose by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): L 19-31: 1265-31→1234
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1466): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1229 (-40)	0-3	vs TEN (1574): Lose by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1469): L 0-26: 1269-40→1229
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1574): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1695 (+44)	2-0	at LAR (1598): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 48-25: 1651+44→1695
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1598): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1675 (+67)	1-1	vs WAS (1445): Win by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1546): W 35-0: 1608+67→1675
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): Win by 8 points
3 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1673 (+37)	1-1	at SF (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1378): W 35-17: 1636+37→1673
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1640 (-3)	1-1	vs LAC (1466): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1618): L 35-36: 1643-3→1640
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1466): Win by 8 points
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1621 (+3)	1-1	at DET (1341): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1643): W 36-35: 1618+3→1621
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1341): Win by 8 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1598 (+12)	2-0	vs TB (1695): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): W 27-24: 1586+12→1598
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1695): Slight underdog
7 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1573 (-71)	1-1	at NE (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): L 7-26: 1644-71→1573
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1553): Slight underdog
8 (+8)	New England PatriotsNE	1553 (+55)	1-1	vs NO (1573): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1325): W 25-6: 1498+55→1553
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1573): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1551 (+19)	1-1	vs IND (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1554): W 33-30(OT): 1532+19→1551
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1547): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1547 (-11)	0-2	at TEN (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1586): L 24-27: 1558-11→1547
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1543 (+27)	1-1	vs CHI (1470): Win by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1462): W 31-21: 1516+27→1543
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Win by 7 points
12 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1536 (-18)	1-1	at MIN (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1532): L 30-33(OT): 1554-18→1536
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): Slight underdog
13	Arizona CardinalsARI	1519	2-0	at JAX (1265): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): W 34-33: 1519+0→1519
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1265): Win by 7 points
14 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+12)	2-0	vs GB (1673): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1464): W 17-11: 1505+12→1517
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1673): Slight underdog
15 (+11)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1508 (+71)	2-0	at HOU (1435): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1644): W 26-7: 1437+71→1508
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): Tossup
16 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507 (+43)	2-0	vs MIA (1479): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1532): W 26-17: 1464+43→1507
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Win by 5 points
17 (-5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (-43)	1-1	vs CIN (1401): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): L 17-26: 1532-43→1489
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): Win by 7 points
18 (-8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-67)	1-1	at LV (1507): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): L 0-35: 1546-67→1479
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): Lose by 5 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1477	0-2	vs SEA (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): L 33-34: 1477+0→1477
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1536): Slight favorite
20	Chicago BearsCHI	1470	1-1	at CLE (1543): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): W 20-17: 1470+0→1470
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1543): Lose by 7 points
21 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1469 (+32)	2-0	vs NYJ (1269): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1297): W 23-13: 1437+32→1469
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1269): Win by 8 points
22 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1466 (-16)	1-1	at KC (1640): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1446): L 17-20: 1482-16→1466
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 8 points
23 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461 (+15)	1-1	vs PHI (1451): Win by 2
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): W 20-17: 1446+15→1461
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1451): Win by 2 points
24 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1451 (-13)	1-1	at DAL (1461): Lose by 2
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 11-17: 1464-13→1451
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1461): Lose by 2 points
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1445	1-1	at BUF (1675): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1390): W 30-29: 1445+0→1445
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1675): Lose by 8 points
26 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1435 (-27)	1-1	vs CAR (1508): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): L 21-31: 1462-27→1435
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1508): Tossup
27 (-9)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1435 (-44)	0-2	at NYG (1390): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): L 25-48: 1479-44→1435
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1390): Slight underdog
28	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1401	1-1	at PIT (1489): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1470): L 17-20: 1401+0→1401
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Lose by 7 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1390	0-2	vs ATL (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): L 29-30: 1390+0→1390
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Slight favorite
30	Detroit LionsDET	1341 (-37)	0-2	vs BAL (1621): Lose by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1636): L 17-35: 1378-37→1341
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1621): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1269 (-56)	0-2	at DEN (1469): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1498): L 6-25: 1325-56→1269
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1469): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1265 (-32)	0-2	vs ARI (1519): Lose by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1437): L 13-23: 1297-32→1265
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1651	1-0	vs ATL (1479): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1446): W 31-29: 1651+0→1651
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Win by 8 points
2 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1644 (+15)	1-0	at CAR (1437): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1651): W 38-3: 1629+15→1644
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): Win by 5 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1643	1-0	at BAL (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): W 33-29: 1643+0→1643
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1618): Slight underdog
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1636 (-15)	0-1	vs DET (1378): Win by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1629): L 3-38: 1651-15→1636
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1378): Win by 8 points
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1618 (-4)	0-1	vs KC (1643): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): L 27-33(OT): 1622-4→1618
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1643): Slight favorite
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608 (-6)	0-1	at MIA (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): L 16-23: 1614-6→1608
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1546): Slight underdog
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1586 (+11)	1-0	at IND (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): W 34-14: 1575+11→1586
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): Slight underdog
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1558 (-13)	0-1	vs LAR (1586): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): L 16-28: 1571-13→1558
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1586): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1554 (+13)	1-0	vs TEN (1532): Win by 3
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): W 28-16: 1541+13→1554
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1532): Win by 3 points
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1546 (+2)	1-0	vs BUF (1608): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 17-16: 1544+2→1546
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1532 (-17)	0-1	at SEA (1554): Lose by 3
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): L 13-38: 1549-17→1532
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1554): Lose by 3 points
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1532 (+5)	1-0	vs LV (1464): Win by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): W 23-16: 1527+5→1532
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): Win by 7 points
13 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1519 (+17)	1-0	vs MIN (1477): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): W 38-13: 1502+17→1519
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): Win by 6 points
14 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516	0-1	vs HOU (1462): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1643): L 29-33: 1516+0→1516
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1462): Win by 7 points
15	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (+4)	1-0	at PHI (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1382): W 41-33: 1501+4→1505
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1464): Slight underdog
16	New England PatriotsNE	1498 (-2)	0-1	at NYJ (1325): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): L 16-17: 1500-2→1498
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1325): Win by 1 point
17 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1482 (+3)	1-0	vs DAL (1446): Win by 2
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1448): W 20-16: 1479+3→1482
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1446): Win by 2 points
18 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (-17)	0-1	at TB (1651): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1447): L 6-32: 1496-17→1479
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): Lose by 8 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1477 (-3)	0-1	at ARI (1519): Lose by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1399): L 24-27(OT): 1480-3→1477
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): Lose by 6 points
20 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1470 (-11)	0-1	vs CIN (1401): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): L 14-34: 1481-11→1470
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): Win by 7 points
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1464 (+4)	1-0	at PIT (1532): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1622): W 33-27(OT): 1460+4→1464
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1532): Lose by 7 points
22 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1464 (+17)	1-0	vs SF (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): W 32-6: 1447+17→1464
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1462 (+10)	1-0	at CLE (1516): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1307): W 37-21: 1452+10→1462
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Lose by 7 points
24 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1446	0-1	at LAC (1482): Lose by 2
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): L 29-31: 1446+0→1446
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): Lose by 2 points
25 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1445 (-3)	0-1	vs NYG (1390): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): L 16-20: 1448-3→1445
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1390): Win by 7 points
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1437	1-0	vs NO (1644): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1325): W 19-14: 1437+0→1437
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1644): Lose by 5 points
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1437 (+13)	1-0	at JAX (1297): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1403): W 27-13: 1424+13→1437
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1297): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1401 (+2)	1-0	at CHI (1470): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): W 27-24(OT): 1399+2→1401
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Lose by 7 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1390 (-13)	0-1	at WAS (1445): Lose by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1424): L 13-27: 1403-13→1390
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1445): Lose by 7 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1378 (-4)	0-1	at GB (1636): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1501): L 33-41: 1382-4→1378
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1636): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1325	0-1	vs NE (1498): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): L 14-19: 1325+0→1325
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1498): Lose by 1 point
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1297 (-10)	0-1	vs DEN (1437): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1452): L 21-37: 1307-10→1297
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1437): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

### ↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1651	0-0	vs DAL (1446): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1760-109→1651
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1446): Win by 8 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1651	0-0	at NO (1629): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1759-108→1651
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1629): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1643	0-0	vs CLE (1516): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1746-103→1643
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Win by 8 points
4	New Orleans SaintsNO	1629	0-0	at GB (1651): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1721-92→1629
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1651): Slight underdog
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1622	0-0	at LV (1460): Win by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1709-87→1622
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Win by 3 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1614	0-0	vs PIT (1527): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1695-81→1614
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): Win by 7 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1575	0-0	vs CHI (1481): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1629-54→1575
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Win by 7 points
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1571	0-0	vs SEA (1541): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1622-51→1571
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): Win by 5 points
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549	0-0	vs ARI (1502): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1585-36→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): Win by 7 points
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1544	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1575-31→1544
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1541	0-0	at IND (1571): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1571-30→1541
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): Lose by 5 points
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1527	0-0	at BUF (1614): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1546-19→1527
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Lose by 7 points
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516	0-0	at KC (1643): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-12→1516
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1643): Lose by 8 points
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1502	0-0	at TEN (1549): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1504-2→1502
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Lose by 7 points
15	San Francisco 49ersSF	1501	0-0	at DET (1382): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1501+0→1501
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1382): Slight favorite
16	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1544): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1499+1→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): Slight favorite
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496	0-0	vs PHI (1447): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+4→1496
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1447): Win by 7 points
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	0-0	at LAR (1575): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1467+14→1481
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): Lose by 7 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480	0-0	at CIN (1399): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1466+14→1480
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1399): Slight favorite
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1479	0-0	at WAS (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1464+15→1479
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1448): Slight underdog
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460	0-0	vs BAL (1622): Lose by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1432+28→1460
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1622): Lose by 3 points
22	Houston TexansHOU	1452	0-0	vs JAX (1307): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1418+34→1452
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1307): Win by 8 points
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1448	0-0	vs LAC (1479): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1411+37→1448
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): Slight favorite
24	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1447	0-0	at ATL (1496): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1408+39→1447
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): Lose by 7 points
25	Dallas CowboysDAL	1446	0-0	at TB (1651): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1406+40→1446
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1651): Lose by 8 points
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1437	0-0	vs NYJ (1325): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1392+45→1437
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1325): Win by 7 points
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1424	0-0	at NYG (1403): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1369+55→1424
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1403): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1403	0-0	vs DEN (1424): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1333+70→1403
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1424): Slight favorite
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1399	0-0	vs MIN (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1326+73→1399
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1382	0-0	vs SF (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1298+84→1382
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1501): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1325	0-0	at CAR (1437): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1199+126→1325
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1307	0-0	at HOU (1452): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1168+139→1307
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1452): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-117 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at TEN(1549) W 38-13: +17→1519	9	2	at SF(1500) W 31-17: +27→1711	17	9	at DAL(1602) W 25-22: +8→1596
2	13	vs MIN(1477) W 34-33: +0→1519	10	6	vs CAR(1409) L 10-34: -82→1629	18	11	vs SEA(1488) L 30-38: -19→1577
3	11	at JAX(1265) W 31-19: +31→1550	11	8	at SEA(1475) W 23-13: +20→1649	W	11	at LAR(1603) L 11-34: -26→1551
4	6	at LAR(1636) W 37-20: +68→1618	12	7	(bye)	D	12
5	6	vs SF(1499) W 17-10: +0→1618	13	7	at CHI(1400) W 33-22: +13→1662	C	12
6	5	at CLE(1594) W 37-14: +58→1676	14	7	vs LAR(1574) L 23-30: -17→1645	S	12
7	4	vs HOU(1313) W 31-5: +19→1695	15	9	at DET(1245) L 12-30: -56→1589
8	4	vs GB(1718) L 21-24: -11→1684	16	10	vs IND(1711) L 16-22: -1→1588

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (+64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1376 \| avg. lost to rating: 1558 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs PHI(1447) L 6-32: -17→1479	9	22	at NO(1652) W 27-25: +37→1457	17	26	at BUF(1751) L 15-29: -8→1368
2	27	at TB(1651) L 25-48: -44→1435	10	23	at DAL(1522) L 3-43: -32→1425	18	26	vs NO(1519) L 20-30: -16→1352
3	23	at NYG(1390) W 17-14: +11→1446	11	26	vs NE(1618) L 0-25: -33→1392	W	26
4	24	vs WAS(1406) L 30-34: -17→1429	12	28	at JAX(1221) W 21-14: +0→1392	D	26
5	23	at NYJ(1260) W 27-20: +0→1429	13	28	vs TB(1671) L 17-30: -19→1373	C	26
6	23	(bye)	14	25	at CAR(1427) W 29-21: +24→1397	S	26
7	23	at MIA(1381) W 30-28: +6→1435	15	26	at SF(1557) L 13-31: -21→1376
8	22	vs CAR(1440) L 13-19: -15→1420	16	26	vs DET(1300) W 20-16: +0→1376

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-101 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at LV(1460) L 27-33: -4→1618	9	6	vs MIN(1523) W 34-31: +0→1638	17	14	vs LAR(1609) L 19-20: -3→1533
2	5	vs KC(1643) W 36-35: +3→1621	10	10	at MIA(1368) L 10-22: -57→1581	18	16	vs PIT(1439) L 13-16: -13→1520
3	6	at DET(1341) W 19-17: +0→1621	11	9	at CHI(1400) W 16-13: +0→1581	W	15
4	3	at DEN(1510) W 23-7: +51→1672	12	9	vs CLE(1536) W 16-10: +0→1581	D	15
5	4	vs IND(1561) W 31-25: +0→1672	13	10	at PIT(1404) L 19-20: -11→1570	C	15
6	2	vs LAC(1547) W 34-6: +39→1711	14	10	at CLE(1536) L 22-24: +0→1570	S	15
7	6	vs CIN(1514) L 17-41: -73→1638	15	12	vs GB(1720) L 30-31: +0→1570
8	8	(bye)	16	14	at CIN(1506) L 21-41: -34→1536

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-239 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1446 \| avg. lost to rating: 1551 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs PIT(1527) L 16-23: -6→1608	9	1	at JAX(1195) L 6-9: -50→1736	17	1	vs ATL(1376) W 29-15: +8→1759
2	2	at MIA(1546) W 35-0: +67→1675	10	1	at NYJ(1260) W 45-17: +16→1752	18	1	vs NYJ(1218) W 27-10: +8→1767
3	1	vs WAS(1445) W 43-21: +39→1714	11	3	vs IND(1622) L 15-41: -65→1687	W	1	vs NE(1645) W 47-17: +23→1790
4	1	vs HOU(1380) W 40-0: +32→1746	12	1	at NO(1578) W 31-6: +40→1727	D	1	at KC(1713) L 36-42: -5→1785
5	1	at KC(1645) W 38-20: +52→1798	13	1	vs NE(1685) L 10-14: -16→1711	C	1
6	1	at TEN(1583) L 31-34: -19→1779	14	2	at TB(1691) L 27-33: -2→1709	S	1
7	1	(bye)	15	1	vs CAR(1404) W 31-14: +13→1722
8	1	vs MIA(1375) W 26-11: +7→1786	16	1	at NE(1683) W 33-21: +29→1751

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1510 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs NYJ(1325) W 19-14: +0→1437	9	24	vs NE(1534) L 6-24: -45→1409	17	27	at NO(1519) L 10-18: -1→1364
2	15	vs NO(1644) W 26-7: +71→1508	10	17	at ARI(1711) W 34-10: +82→1491	18	27	at TB(1687) L 17-41: -16→1348
3	10	at HOU(1435) W 24-9: +55→1563	11	19	vs WAS(1398) L 21-27: -23→1468	W	27
4	12	at DAL(1514) L 28-36: -20→1543	12	22	at MIA(1425) L 10-33: -41→1427	D	27
5	15	vs PHI(1366) L 18-21: -27→1516	13	23	(bye)	C	27
6	16	vs MIN(1516) L 28-34: -15→1501	14	24	vs ATL(1373) L 21-29: -23→1404	S	27
7	21	at NYG(1330) L 3-25: -61→1440	15	25	at BUF(1709) L 14-31: -13→1391
8	21	at ATL(1435) W 19-13: +14→1454	16	27	vs TB(1661) L 6-32: -26→1365

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+84 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1375 \| avg. lost to rating: 1580 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at LAR(1575) L 14-34: -11→1470	9	26	at PIT(1462) L 27-29: +0→1400	17	24	vs NYG(1311) W 29-3: +27→1410
2	20	vs CIN(1401) W 20-17: +0→1470	10	27	(bye)	18	25	at MIN(1505) L 17-31: -20→1390
3	25	at CLE(1543) L 6-26: -48→1422	11	25	vs BAL(1581) L 13-16: +0→1400	W	25
4	22	vs DET(1341) W 24-14: +23→1445	12	26	at DET(1250) W 16-14: +0→1400	D	25
5	18	at LV(1463) W 20-9: +45→1490	13	26	vs ARI(1649) L 22-33: -13→1387	C	25
6	20	vs GB(1683) L 14-24: -24→1466	14	27	at GB(1710) L 30-45: -10→1377	S	25
7	20	at TB(1692) L 3-38: -26→1440	15	27	vs MIN(1525) L 9-17: -8→1369
8	25	vs SF(1460) L 22-33: -40→1400	16	25	at SEA(1481) W 25-24: +14→1383

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs MIN(1480) W 27-24: +2→1401	9	16	vs CLE(1512) L 16-41: -63→1491	17	13	vs KC(1706) W 34-31: +9→1549
2	28	at CHI(1470) L 17-20: +0→1401	10	16	(bye)	18	12	at CLE(1491) L 16-21: -4→1545
3	22	at PIT(1489) W 24-10: +65→1466	11	16	at LV(1426) W 32-13: +42→1533	W	12	vs LV(1432) W 26-19: +0→1545
4	19	vs JAX(1234) W 24-21: +0→1466	12	10	vs PIT(1433) W 41-10: +29→1562	D	11	at TEN(1641) W 19-16: +11→1556
5	20	vs GB(1683) L 22-25: +0→1466	13	16	vs LAC(1450) L 22-41: -55→1507	C	11	at KC(1718) W 27-24: +13→1569
6	14	at DET(1318) W 34-11: +48→1514	14	18	vs SF(1548) L 23-26: -8→1499	S	11	at LAR(1640) L 20-23: +0→1569
7	10	at BAL(1711) W 41-17: +74→1588	15	18	at DEN(1460) W 15-10: +7→1506
8	12	at NYJ(1228) L 31-34: -34→1554	16	13	vs BAL(1570) W 41-21: +34→1540

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1546 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at KC(1643) L 29-33: +0→1516	9	12	at CIN(1554) W 41-16: +63→1575	17	19	at PIT(1412) L 14-26: -27→1491
2	11	vs HOU(1462) W 31-21: +27→1543	10	13	at NE(1579) L 7-45: -39→1536	18	20	vs CIN(1549) W 21-16: +3→1494
3	8	vs CHI(1470) W 26-6: +49→1592	11	15	vs DET(1250) W 13-10: +0→1536	W	20
4	7	at MIN(1526) W 14-7: +9→1601	12	15	at BAL(1581) L 10-16: +0→1536	D	20
5	8	at LAC(1539) L 42-47: -7→1594	13	13	(bye)	C	20
6	12	vs ARI(1618) L 14-37: -59→1535	14	13	vs BAL(1570) W 24-22: +0→1536	S	20
7	13	vs DEN(1402) W 17-14: +0→1535	15	17	vs LV(1380) L 14-16: -18→1518
8	15	vs PIT(1440) L 10-15: -23→1512	16	18	at GB(1720) L 22-24: +0→1518

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-47 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at TB(1651) L 29-31: +0→1446	9	14	vs DEN(1402) L 16-30: -72→1522	17	10	vs ARI(1588) L 22-25: -9→1593
2	23	at LAC(1482) W 20-17: +15→1461	10	12	vs ATL(1457) W 43-3: +32→1554	18	8	at PHI(1556) W 51-26: +35→1628
3	15	vs PHI(1451) W 41-21: +53→1514	11	14	at KC(1647) L 9-19: -9→1545	W	9	vs SF(1601) L 17-23: -9→1619
4	14	vs CAR(1563) W 36-28: +21→1535	12	16	vs LV(1385) L 33-36: -28→1517	D	10
5	11	vs NYG(1413) W 44-20: +42→1577	13	11	at NO(1538) W 27-17: +32→1549	C	10
6	11	at NE(1495) W 35-29: +8→1585	14	12	at WAS(1434) W 27-20: +3→1552	S	10
7	11	(bye)	15	10	at NYG(1360) W 21-6: +27→1579
8	10	at MIN(1531) W 20-16: +9→1594	16	9	vs WAS(1420) W 56-14: +23→1602

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1459 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1380 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at NYG(1403) W 27-13: +13→1437	9	18	at DAL(1594) W 30-16: +72→1474	17	23	at LAC(1487) L 13-34: -28→1421
2	21	at JAX(1297) W 23-13: +32→1469	10	25	vs PHI(1411) L 13-30: -59→1415	18	24	vs KC(1697) L 24-28: +0→1421
3	16	vs NYJ(1269) W 26-0: +41→1510	11	24	(bye)	W	24
4	21	vs BAL(1621) L 7-23: -51→1459	12	21	vs LAC(1485) W 28-13: +34→1449	D	24
5	21	at PIT(1415) L 19-27: -17→1442	13	21	at KC(1657) L 9-22: -12→1437	C	24
6	24	vs LV(1418) L 24-34: -40→1402	14	21	vs DET(1268) W 38-10: +23→1460	S	24
7	24	at CLE(1535) L 14-17: +0→1402	15	21	vs CIN(1499) L 10-15: -7→1453
8	24	vs WAS(1342) W 17-10: +0→1402	16	21	at LV(1399) L 13-17: -4→1449

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (+223 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1643 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs SF(1501) L 33-41: -4→1378	9	32	(bye)	17	30	at SEA(1467) L 29-51: -21→1279
2	30	at GB(1636) L 17-35: -37→1341	10	30	at PIT(1462) T 16-16: +29→1250	18	29	vs GB(1741) W 37-30: +3→1282
3	30	vs BAL(1621) L 17-19: +0→1341	11	30	at CLE(1536) L 10-13: +0→1250	W	29
4	30	at CHI(1422) L 14-24: -23→1318	12	31	vs CHI(1400) L 14-16: +0→1250	D	29
5	30	at MIN(1516) L 17-19: +0→1318	13	30	vs MIN(1543) W 29-27: +18→1268	C	29
6	30	vs CIN(1466) L 11-34: -48→1270	14	30	at DEN(1437) L 10-38: -23→1245	S	29
7	30	at LAR(1637) L 19-28: +0→1270	15	29	vs ARI(1645) W 30-12: +55→1300
8	31	vs PHI(1368) L 6-44: -49→1221	16	30	at ATL(1376) L 16-20: +0→1300

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-206 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NO(1629) L 3-38: -15→1636	9	4	at KC(1585) L 7-13: -21→1708	17	2	vs MIN(1526) W 37-10: +21→1741
2	3	vs DET(1378) W 35-17: +37→1673	10	2	vs SEA(1491) W 17-0: +16→1724	18	2	at DET(1279) L 30-37: -2→1739
3	2	at SF(1517) W 30-28: +0→1673	11	1	at MIN(1536) L 31-34: -14→1710	W	2	(bye)
4	2	vs PIT(1424) W 27-17: +10→1683	12	2	vs LAR(1561) W 36-28: +0→1710	D	2	vs SF(1610) L 10-13: -13→1726
5	3	at CIN(1466) W 25-22: +0→1683	13	2	(bye)	C	2
6	3	at CHI(1490) W 24-14: +24→1707	14	1	vs CHI(1387) W 45-30: +10→1720	S	2
7	3	vs WAS(1352) W 24-10: +11→1718	15	2	at BAL(1570) W 31-30: +0→1720
8	2	at ARI(1695) W 24-21: +11→1729	16	2	vs CLE(1518) W 24-22: +0→1720

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+183 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1435 \| avg. lost to rating: 1544 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs JAX(1307) W 37-21: +10→1462	9	29	at MIA(1368) L 9-17: +0→1275	17	28	at SF(1577) L 7-23: -14→1313
2	26	at CLE(1516) L 21-31: -27→1435	10	29	(bye)	18	28	vs TEN(1641) L 25-28: +0→1313
3	28	vs CAR(1508) L 9-24: -55→1380	11	29	at TEN(1710) W 22-13: +56→1331	W	28
4	29	at BUF(1714) L 0-40: -31→1349	12	29	vs NYJ(1244) L 14-21: -22→1309	D	28
5	29	vs NE(1494) L 22-25: -1→1348	13	29	vs IND(1670) L 0-31: -23→1286	C	28
6	29	at IND(1561) L 3-31: -35→1313	14	29	vs SEA(1462) L 13-33: -30→1256	S	28
7	29	at ARI(1676) L 5-31: -18→1295	15	30	at JAX(1197) W 30-16: +33→1289
8	29	vs LAR(1637) L 22-38: -20→1275	16	28	vs LAC(1525) W 41-29: +38→1327

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-129 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs SEA(1541) L 16-28: -13→1558	9	7	vs NYJ(1262) W 45-30: +2→1622	17	4	vs LV(1403) L 20-23: -23→1690
2	10	vs LAR(1586) L 24-27: -11→1547	10	7	vs JAX(1245) W 23-17: +0→1622	18	6	at JAX(1154) L 11-26: -46→1644
3	13	at TEN(1551) L 16-25: -23→1524	11	2	at BUF(1752) W 41-15: +66→1688	W	5
4	10	at MIA(1477) W 27-17: +37→1561	12	5	vs TB(1654) L 31-38: -18→1670	D	5
5	12	at BAL(1672) L 25-31: +0→1561	13	4	at HOU(1309) W 31-0: +24→1694	C	5
6	10	vs HOU(1348) W 31-3: +35→1596	14	4	(bye)	S	5
7	8	at SF(1499) W 30-18: +39→1635	15	3	vs NE(1701) W 27-17: +17→1711
8	9	vs TEN(1651) L 31-34: -15→1620	16	3	at ARI(1589) W 22-16: +2→1713

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+285 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1627 \| avg. lost to rating: 1481 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at HOU(1452) L 21-37: -10→1297	9	31	vs BUF(1786) W 9-6: +50→1245	17	32	at NE(1654) L 10-50: -10→1154
2	32	vs DEN(1437) L 13-23: -32→1265	10	31	at IND(1622) L 17-23: +0→1245	18	32	vs IND(1690) W 26-11: +46→1200
3	31	vs ARI(1519) L 19-31: -31→1234	11	32	vs SF(1524) L 10-30: -24→1221	W	32
4	32	at CIN(1466) L 21-24: +0→1234	12	32	vs ATL(1392) L 14-21: +0→1221	D	32
5	32	vs TEN(1543) L 19-37: -40→1194	13	32	at LAR(1561) L 7-37: -13→1208	C	32
6	32	at MIA(1405) W 23-20: +24→1218	14	32	at TEN(1620) L 0-20: -11→1197	S	32
7	32	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1256) L 16-30: -33→1164
8	32	at SEA(1468) L 7-31: -23→1195	16	32	at NYJ(1218) L 21-26: +0→1164

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-135 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1594 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs CLE(1516) W 33-29: +0→1643	9	10	vs GB(1729) W 13-7: +20→1605	17	3	at CIN(1540) L 31-34: -9→1697
2	4	at BAL(1618) L 35-36: -3→1640	10	4	at LV(1468) W 41-14: +42→1647	18	4	at DEN(1421) W 28-24: +0→1697
3	7	vs LAC(1466) L 24-30: -27→1613	11	4	vs DAL(1554) W 19-9: +10→1657	W	4	vs PIT(1452) W 42-21: +16→1713
4	5	at PHI(1398) W 42-30: +32→1645	12	6	(bye)	D	3	vs BUF(1790) W 42-36: +5→1718
5	9	vs BUF(1746) L 20-38: -52→1593	13	6	vs DEN(1449) W 22-9: +12→1669	C	4	vs CIN(1556) L 24-27: -12→1706
6	7	at WAS(1393) W 31-13: +41→1634	14	6	vs LV(1400) W 48-9: +19→1688	S	4
7	12	at TEN(1602) L 3-27: -49→1585	15	4	at LAC(1527) W 34-28: +1→1689
8	11	vs NYG(1391) W 20-17: +0→1585	16	4	vs PIT(1429) W 36-10: +17→1706

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+75 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs BAL(1622) W 33-27: +4→1464	9	20	at NYG(1391) L 16-23: -15→1468	17	22	at IND(1713) W 23-20: +23→1426
2	16	at PIT(1532) W 26-17: +43→1507	10	22	vs KC(1605) L 14-41: -42→1426	18	22	vs LAC(1515) W 35-32: +6→1432
3	17	vs MIA(1479) W 31-28: +2→1509	11	28	vs CIN(1491) L 13-32: -41→1385	W	22	at CIN(1545) L 19-26: +0→1432
4	20	at LAC(1494) L 14-28: -46→1463	12	24	at DAL(1545) W 36-33: +27→1412	D	22
5	24	vs CHI(1445) L 9-20: -45→1418	13	25	vs WAS(1422) L 15-17: -12→1400	C	22
6	21	at DEN(1442) W 34-24: +40→1458	14	26	at KC(1669) L 9-48: -20→1380	S	22
7	17	vs PHI(1392) W 33-22: +25→1483	15	24	at CLE(1536) W 16-14: +19→1399
8	19	(bye)	16	23	vs DEN(1453) W 17-13: +4→1403

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at WAS(1448) W 20-16: +3→1482	9	15	at PHI(1417) W 27-24: +6→1498	17	16	vs DEN(1449) W 34-13: +28→1515
2	22	vs DAL(1446) L 17-20: -16→1466	10	18	vs MIN(1523) L 20-27: -13→1485	18	18	at LV(1426) L 32-35: -5→1510
3	19	at KC(1640) W 30-24: +28→1494	11	18	vs PIT(1433) W 41-37: +0→1485	W	17
4	13	vs LV(1509) W 28-14: +45→1539	12	20	at DEN(1415) L 13-28: -35→1450	D	17
5	13	vs CLE(1601) W 47-42: +8→1547	13	18	at CIN(1562) W 41-22: +55→1505	C	17
6	15	at BAL(1672) L 6-34: -40→1507	14	15	vs NYG(1382) W 37-21: +22→1527	S	17
7	16	(bye)	15	16	vs KC(1688) L 28-34: -2→1525
8	17	vs NE(1519) L 24-27: -15→1492	16	19	at HOU(1289) L 29-41: -38→1487

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-95 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1598 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs CHI(1481) W 34-14: +11→1586	9	9	vs TEN(1665) L 16-28: -45→1612	17	8	at BAL(1536) W 20-19: +4→1613
2	6	at IND(1558) W 27-24: +12→1598	10	11	at SF(1473) L 10-31: -51→1561	18	9	vs SF(1591) L 24-27: -10→1603
3	4	vs TB(1695) W 34-24: +38→1636	11	11	(bye)	W	7	vs ARI(1577) W 34-11: +26→1629
4	9	vs ARI(1550) L 20-37: -67→1569	12	11	at GB(1710) L 28-36: +0→1561	D	6	at TB(1720) W 30-27: +10→1639
5	7	at SEA(1504) W 26-17: +28→1597	13	9	vs JAX(1221) W 37-7: +13→1574	C	6	vs SF(1622) W 20-17: +1→1640
6	6	at NYG(1370) W 38-11: +40→1637	14	9	at ARI(1662) W 30-23: +17→1591	S	6	vs CIN(1569) W 23-20: +0→1640
7	7	vs DET(1270) W 28-19: +0→1637	15	8	vs SEA(1493) W 20-10: +12→1603
8	6	at HOU(1295) W 38-22: +20→1657	16	8	at MIN(1533) W 30-23: +6→1609

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1440 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at NE(1500) W 17-16: +2→1546	9	27	vs HOU(1275) W 17-9: +0→1368	17	18	at TEN(1616) L 3-34: -24→1500
2	18	vs BUF(1608) L 0-35: -67→1479	10	24	vs BAL(1638) W 22-10: +57→1425	18	17	vs NE(1664) W 33-24: +18→1518
3	21	at LV(1507) L 28-31: -2→1477	11	22	at NYJ(1244) W 24-17: +0→1425	W	16
4	23	vs IND(1524) L 17-27: -37→1440	12	18	vs CAR(1468) W 33-10: +40→1465	D	16
5	25	at TB(1657) L 17-45: -35→1405	13	19	vs NYG(1398) W 20-9: +16→1481	C	16
6	26	at JAX(1194) L 20-23: -24→1381	14	20	(bye)	S	16
7	26	vs ATL(1429) L 28-30: -6→1375	15	19	vs NYJ(1218) W 31-24: +0→1481
8	27	at BUF(1779) L 11-26: -7→1368	16	16	at NO(1561) W 20-3: +43→1524

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at CIN(1399) L 24-27: -3→1477	9	13	at BAL(1638) L 31-34: +0→1523	17	17	at GB(1720) L 10-37: -21→1505
2	19	at ARI(1519) L 33-34: +0→1477	10	14	at LAC(1498) W 27-20: +13→1536	18	14	vs CHI(1410) W 31-17: +20→1525
3	12	vs SEA(1536) W 30-17: +49→1526	11	12	vs GB(1724) W 34-31: +14→1550	W	14
4	15	vs CLE(1592) L 7-14: -10→1516	12	13	at SF(1549) L 26-34: -7→1543	D	14
5	14	vs DET(1318) W 19-17: +0→1516	13	14	at DET(1250) L 27-29: -18→1525	C	14
6	13	at CAR(1516) W 34-28: +15→1531	14	16	vs PIT(1415) W 36-28: +0→1525	S	14
7	14	(bye)	15	15	at CHI(1377) W 17-9: +8→1533
8	14	vs DAL(1585) L 16-20: -8→1523	16	15	vs LAR(1603) L 23-30: -7→1526

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-65 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1609 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs MIA(1544) L 16-17: -2→1498	9	11	at CAR(1454) W 24-6: +45→1579	17	6	vs JAX(1164) W 50-10: +10→1664
2	8	at NYJ(1325) W 25-6: +55→1553	10	8	vs CLE(1575) W 45-7: +39→1618	18	5	at MIA(1500) L 24-33: -19→1645
3	18	vs NO(1573) L 13-28: -59→1494	11	7	at ATL(1425) W 25-0: +33→1651	W	8	at BUF(1767) L 17-47: -23→1622
4	18	vs TB(1657) L 17-19: +0→1494	12	3	vs TEN(1654) W 36-13: +34→1685	D	9
5	17	at HOU(1349) W 25-22: +1→1495	13	3	at BUF(1727) W 14-10: +16→1701	C	9
6	18	vs DAL(1577) L 29-35: -8→1487	14	3	(bye)	S	9
7	15	vs NYJ(1260) W 54-13: +32→1519	15	5	at IND(1694) L 17-27: -18→1683
8	13	at LAC(1507) W 27-24: +15→1534	16	6	vs BUF(1722) L 21-33: -29→1654

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-81 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at GB(1651) W 38-3: +15→1644	9	8	vs ATL(1420) L 25-27: -36→1616	17	15	vs CAR(1365) W 18-10: +0→1519
2	7	at CAR(1437) L 7-26: -71→1573	10	9	at TEN(1710) L 21-23: +0→1616	18	13	at ATL(1368) W 30-20: +16→1535
3	5	at NE(1553) W 28-13: +59→1632	11	10	at PHI(1470) L 29-40: -38→1578	W	13
4	8	vs NYG(1378) L 21-27: -35→1597	12	14	vs BUF(1687) L 6-31: -40→1538	D	13
5	5	at WAS(1423) W 33-22: +30→1627	13	17	vs DAL(1517) L 17-27: -32→1506	C	13
6	8	(bye)	14	14	at NYJ(1242) W 30-9: +23→1529	S	13
7	9	at SEA(1468) W 13-10: +0→1627	15	13	at TB(1692) W 9-0: +32→1561
8	7	vs TB(1718) W 36-27: +25→1652	16	17	vs MIA(1481) L 3-20: -42→1519

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+135 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1531 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs DEN(1424) L 13-27: -13→1390	9	25	vs LV(1483) W 23-16: +14→1405	17	29	at CHI(1383) L 3-29: -27→1284
2	29	at WAS(1445) L 29-30: +0→1390	10	26	(bye)	18	30	vs WAS(1396) L 7-22: -27→1257
3	29	vs ATL(1435) L 14-17: -12→1378	11	27	at TB(1637) L 10-30: -17→1388	W	30
4	27	at NO(1632) W 27-21: +35→1413	12	27	vs PHI(1508) W 13-7: +10→1398	D	30
5	28	at DAL(1535) L 20-44: -43→1370	13	27	at MIA(1465) L 9-20: -16→1382	C	30
6	28	vs LAR(1597) L 11-38: -40→1330	14	28	at LAC(1505) L 21-37: -22→1360	S	30
7	25	vs CAR(1501) W 25-3: +61→1391	15	28	vs DAL(1552) L 6-21: -27→1333
8	26	at KC(1585) L 17-20: +0→1391	16	29	at PHI(1533) L 10-34: -22→1311

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+259 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1414 \| avg. lost to rating: 1541 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at CAR(1437) L 14-19: +0→1325	9	30	at IND(1620) L 30-45: -2→1260	17	31	vs TB(1687) L 24-28: +0→1218
2	31	vs NE(1498) L 6-25: -56→1269	10	32	vs BUF(1736) L 17-45: -16→1244	18	31	at BUF(1759) L 10-27: -8→1210
3	32	at DEN(1469) L 0-26: -40→1229	11	31	vs MIA(1425) L 17-24: +0→1244	W	31
4	31	vs TEN(1574) W 27-24: +31→1260	12	30	at HOU(1331) W 21-14: +21→1265	D	31
5	31	at ATL(1429) L 20-27: +0→1260	13	31	vs PHI(1498) L 18-33: -23→1242	C	31
6	31	(bye)	14	31	vs NO(1506) L 9-30: -24→1218	S	31
7	31	at NE(1487) L 13-54: -32→1228	15	31	at MIA(1481) L 24-31: +0→1218
8	30	vs CIN(1588) W 34-31: +34→1262	16	31	vs JAX(1164) W 26-21: +0→1218

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1472 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1425 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at ATL(1496) W 32-6: +17→1464	9	23	vs LAC(1492) L 24-27: -6→1411	17	12	at WAS(1397) W 20-16: +1→1556
2	24	vs SF(1505) L 11-17: -13→1451	10	20	at DEN(1474) W 30-13: +59→1470	18	15	vs DAL(1593) L 26-51: -34→1522
3	27	at DAL(1461) L 21-41: -53→1398	11	17	vs NO(1616) W 40-29: +38→1508	W	19	at TB(1703) L 15-31: -17→1505
4	28	vs KC(1613) L 30-42: -32→1366	12	17	at NYG(1388) L 7-13: -10→1498	D	19
5	27	at CAR(1543) W 21-18: +26→1392	13	15	at NYJ(1265) W 33-18: +23→1521	C	19
6	25	vs TB(1692) L 22-28: +0→1392	14	17	(bye)	S	19
7	27	at LV(1458) L 22-33: -24→1368	15	14	vs WAS(1432) W 27-17: +12→1533
8	23	at DET(1270) W 44-6: +49→1417	16	12	vs NYG(1333) W 34-10: +22→1555

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+69 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1527 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at BUF(1614) W 23-16: +5→1532	9	21	vs CHI(1400) W 29-27: +0→1462	17	21	vs CLE(1518) W 26-14: +27→1439
2	17	vs LV(1464) L 17-26: -43→1489	10	21	vs DET(1221) T 16-16: -29→1433	18	21	at BAL(1533) W 16-13: +13→1452
3	24	vs CIN(1401) L 10-24: -65→1424	11	21	at LAC(1485) L 37-41: +0→1433	W	21	at KC(1697) L 21-42: -16→1436
4	26	at GB(1673) L 17-27: -9→1415	12	25	at CIN(1533) L 10-41: -29→1404	D	21
5	22	vs DEN(1459) W 27-19: +16→1431	13	24	vs BAL(1581) W 20-19: +11→1415	C	21
6	22	vs SEA(1476) W 23-20: +9→1440	14	23	at MIN(1525) L 28-36: +0→1415	S	21
7	22	(bye)	15	22	vs TEN(1630) W 19-13: +14→1429
8	20	at CLE(1535) W 15-10: +22→1462	16	22	at KC(1689) L 10-36: -17→1412

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1454 \| avg. lost to rating: 1590 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at DET(1382) W 41-33: +4→1505	9	19	vs ARI(1684) L 17-31: -27→1473	17	11	vs HOU(1327) W 23-7: +14→1591
2	14	at PHI(1464) W 17-11: +12→1517	10	15	vs LAR(1612) W 31-10: +51→1524	18	10	at LAR(1613) W 27-24: +10→1601
3	14	vs GB(1673) L 28-30: -1→1516	11	13	at JAX(1245) W 30-10: +25→1549	W	10	at DAL(1628) W 23-17: +9→1610
4	17	vs SEA(1487) L 21-28: -17→1499	12	12	vs MIN(1550) W 34-26: +7→1556	D	8	at GB(1739) W 13-10: +12→1622
5	16	at ARI(1618) L 10-17: +0→1499	13	12	at SEA(1454) L 23-30: -8→1548	C	8	at LAR(1639) L 17-20: -0→1622
6	17	(bye)	14	11	at CIN(1507) W 26-23: +9→1557	S	8
7	19	vs IND(1596) L 18-30: -39→1460	15	11	vs ATL(1397) W 31-13: +20→1577
8	16	at CHI(1440) W 33-22: +40→1500	16	11	at TEN(1616) L 17-20: +0→1577

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1435 \| avg. lost to rating: 1536 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at IND(1571) W 28-16: +13→1554	9	17	(bye)	17	20	vs DET(1300) W 51-29: +21→1488
2	12	vs TEN(1532) L 30-33: -18→1536	10	19	at GB(1708) L 0-17: -16→1475	18	19	at ARI(1596) W 38-30: +18→1506
3	20	at MIN(1477) L 17-30: -49→1487	11	20	vs ARI(1629) L 13-23: -20→1455	W	18
4	16	at SF(1516) W 28-21: +17→1504	12	19	at WAS(1421) L 15-17: -1→1454	D	18
5	19	vs LAR(1569) L 17-26: -28→1476	13	20	vs SF(1556) W 30-23: +8→1462	C	18
6	19	at PIT(1431) L 20-23: -8→1468	14	19	at HOU(1286) W 33-13: +31→1493	S	18
7	18	vs NO(1627) L 10-13: +0→1468	15	20	at LAR(1591) L 10-20: -12→1481
8	18	vs JAX(1218) W 31-7: +23→1491	16	20	vs CHI(1369) L 24-25: -14→1467

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1470 (-206 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs DAL(1446) W 31-29: +0→1651	9	5	(bye)	17	5	at NYJ(1218) W 28-24: +0→1687
2	1	vs ATL(1479) W 48-25: +44→1695	10	5	at WAS(1342) L 19-29: -56→1637	18	3	vs CAR(1364) W 41-17: +16→1703
3	3	at LAR(1598) L 24-34: -38→1657	11	6	vs NYG(1405) W 30-10: +17→1654	W	3	vs PHI(1522) W 31-15: +17→1720
4	4	at NE(1494) W 19-17: +0→1657	12	4	at IND(1688) W 38-31: +17→1671	D	4	vs LAR(1629) L 27-30: -10→1710
5	2	vs MIA(1440) W 45-17: +35→1692	13	5	at ATL(1392) W 30-17: +20→1691	C	3
6	4	at PHI(1392) W 28-22: +0→1692	14	5	vs BUF(1711) W 33-27: +1→1692	S	3
7	2	vs CHI(1466) W 38-3: +26→1718	15	6	vs NO(1529) L 0-9: -31→1661
8	3	at NO(1627) L 27-36: -25→1693	16	5	at CAR(1391) W 32-6: +26→1687

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-122 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1414 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs ARI(1502) L 13-38: -17→1532	9	3	at LAR(1657) W 28-16: +45→1710	17	7	vs MIA(1524) W 34-3: +25→1641
2	9	at SEA(1554) W 33-30: +19→1551	10	3	vs NO(1616) W 23-21: +0→1710	18	7	at HOU(1313) W 28-25: +0→1641
3	9	vs IND(1547) W 25-16: +23→1574	11	5	vs HOU(1275) L 13-22: -56→1654	W	6	(bye)
4	11	at NYJ(1229) L 24-27: -31→1543	12	8	at NE(1651) L 13-36: -34→1620	D	7	vs CIN(1545) L 16-19: -11→1630
5	10	at JAX(1234) W 37-19: +40→1583	13	8	(bye)	C	7
6	9	vs BUF(1798) W 34-31: +19→1602	14	8	vs JAX(1208) W 20-0: +10→1630	S	7
7	5	vs KC(1634) W 27-3: +49→1651	15	7	at PIT(1415) L 13-19: -14→1616
8	5	at IND(1635) W 34-31: +14→1665	16	7	vs SF(1577) W 20-17: +0→1616

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1519 (+112 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1566 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs LAC(1479) L 16-20: -3→1445	9	28	(bye)	17	25	vs PHI(1555) L 16-20: -1→1396
2	25	vs NYG(1390) W 30-29: +0→1445	10	28	vs TB(1693) W 29-19: +56→1398	18	23	at NYG(1284) W 22-7: +27→1423
3	26	at BUF(1675) L 21-43: -39→1406	11	23	at CAR(1491) W 27-21: +23→1421	W	23
4	25	at ATL(1446) W 34-30: +17→1423	12	23	vs SEA(1455) W 17-15: +1→1422	D	23
5	26	vs NO(1597) L 22-33: -30→1393	13	22	at LV(1412) W 17-15: +12→1434	C	23
6	27	vs KC(1593) L 13-31: -41→1352	14	22	vs DAL(1549) L 20-27: -2→1432	S	23
7	28	at GB(1707) L 10-24: -10→1342	15	23	at PHI(1521) L 17-27: -12→1420
8	28	at DEN(1402) L 10-17: +0→1342	16	24	at DAL(1579) L 14-56: -23→1397

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Seattle Seahawks: +40 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +17 total Elo rating
3. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Jacksonville Jaguars: +46 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Washington Football Team: +27 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Minnesota Vikings: +20 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Carolina Panthers: -143 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -141 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Baltimore Ravens: -50 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Atlanta Falcons: -23 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -69 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 9, 591-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1786) 16-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1195): Jaguars win 9-6
2. Week 18, 536-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1690) 10-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1154): Jaguars win 26-11
3. Week 18, 462-Elo upset: Detroit Lions (1279) Tossup favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1741): Lions win 37-30
4. Week 11, 435-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1710) 12-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1275): Texans win 22-13
5. Week 15, 400-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1645) 9-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1245): Lions win 30-12
6. Week 8, 360-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1588) 10-point favorites at New York Jets (1228): Jets win 34-31
7. Week 10, 351-Elo upset: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1693) 10-point favorites at Washington Football Team (1342): Team win 29-19
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 10, 36-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1711) 12-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1409): Panthers win 34-10
2. Week 15, 27-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1645) 9-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1245): Lions win 30-12
3. Week 9, 24-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1594) 10-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1402): Broncos win 30-16
4. Week 11, 35-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1752) 9-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1622): Colts win 41-15
5. Week 18, 25-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1690) 10-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1154): Jaguars win 26-11
6. Week 7, 33-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1711) 9-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1514): Bengals win 41-17
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +173: Dallas Cowboys (1446) before week 1 → (1619) thru week 19
2. +171: Buffalo Bills (1614) before week 1 → (1785) thru week 20
3. +170: Cincinnati Bengals (1399) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 22
4. +122: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 19
5. +121: San Francisco 49ers (1501) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 21
more...
1. +80: Tennessee Titans (1549) before week 1 → (1630) thru week 20
2. +75: Green Bay Packers (1651) before week 1 → (1726) thru week 20
3. +73: Indianapolis Colts (1571) before week 1 → (1644) thru week 18
4. +65: Los Angeles Rams (1575) before week 1 → (1640) thru week 22
5. +63: Kansas City Chiefs (1643) before week 1 → (1706) thru week 21
6. +59: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1651) before week 1 → (1710) thru week 20
7. +58: Philadelphia Eagles (1447) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
8. +49: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 19
9. +45: Minnesota Vikings (1480) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
10. +31: Los Angeles Chargers (1479) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 18
11. -3: Denver Broncos (1424) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
12. -22: Cleveland Browns (1516) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
13. -25: Washington Football Team (1448) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
14. -25: Miami Dolphins (1544) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
15. -29: Las Vegas Raiders (1460) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 19
16. -35: Seattle Seahawks (1541) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
17. -90: Carolina Panthers (1437) before week 1 → (1348) thru week 18
18. -91: Chicago Bears (1481) before week 1 → (1390) thru week 18
19. -91: Pittsburgh Steelers (1527) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 19
20. -93: New Orleans Saints (1629) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
21. -100: Detroit Lions (1382) before week 1 → (1282) thru week 18
22. -102: Baltimore Ravens (1622) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 18
23. -107: Jacksonville Jaguars (1307) before week 1 → (1200) thru week 18
24. -114: New York Jets (1325) before week 1 → (1210) thru week 18
25. -139: Houston Texans (1452) before week 1 → (1313) thru week 18
26. -143: Atlanta Falcons (1496) before week 1 → (1352) thru week 18
27. -146: New York Giants (1403) before week 1 → (1257) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -146: New York Giants (1403) before week 1 → (1257) thru week 18
2. -143: Atlanta Falcons (1496) before week 1 → (1352) thru week 18
3. -139: Houston Texans (1452) before week 1 → (1313) thru week 18
4. -114: New York Jets (1325) before week 1 → (1210) thru week 18
5. -107: Jacksonville Jaguars (1307) before week 1 → (1200) thru week 18
more...
1. -102: Baltimore Ravens (1622) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 18
2. -100: Detroit Lions (1382) before week 1 → (1282) thru week 18
3. -93: New Orleans Saints (1629) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 18
4. -91: Pittsburgh Steelers (1527) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 19
5. -91: Chicago Bears (1481) before week 1 → (1390) thru week 18
6. -90: Carolina Panthers (1437) before week 1 → (1348) thru week 18
7. -35: Seattle Seahawks (1541) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
8. -29: Las Vegas Raiders (1460) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 19
9. -25: Miami Dolphins (1544) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
10. -25: Washington Football Team (1448) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
11. -22: Cleveland Browns (1516) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
12. -3: Denver Broncos (1424) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
13. +31: Los Angeles Chargers (1479) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 18
14. +45: Minnesota Vikings (1480) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 18
15. +49: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 19
16. +58: Philadelphia Eagles (1447) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
17. +59: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1651) before week 1 → (1710) thru week 20
18. +63: Kansas City Chiefs (1643) before week 1 → (1706) thru week 21
19. +65: Los Angeles Rams (1575) before week 1 → (1640) thru week 22
20. +73: Indianapolis Colts (1571) before week 1 → (1644) thru week 18
21. +75: Green Bay Packers (1651) before week 1 → (1726) thru week 20
22. +80: Tennessee Titans (1549) before week 1 → (1630) thru week 20
23. +121: San Francisco 49ers (1501) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 21
24. +122: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 19
25. +170: Cincinnati Bengals (1399) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 22
26. +171: Buffalo Bills (1614) before week 1 → (1785) thru week 20
27. +173: Dallas Cowboys (1446) before week 1 → (1619) thru week 19
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +214: New England Patriots (1487) before week 7 → (1701) thru week 13
2. +193: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 1 → (1695) thru week 7
3. +189: Buffalo Bills (1608) before week 2 → (1798) thru week 5
4. +189: Cincinnati Bengals (1399) before week 1 → (1588) thru week 7
5. +178: Tennessee Titans (1532) before week 2 → (1710) thru week 9
more...
1. +165: Philadelphia Eagles (1368) before week 8 → (1533) thru week 15
2. +164: Indianapolis Colts (1524) before week 4 → (1688) thru week 11
3. +156: Miami Dolphins (1368) before week 10 → (1524) thru week 16
4. +148: Dallas Cowboys (1446) before week 2 → (1594) thru week 8
5. +126: Carolina Panthers (1437) before week 2 → (1563) thru week 3
6. +121: Kansas City Chiefs (1585) before week 9 → (1706) thru week 16
7. +118: San Francisco 49ers (1473) before week 10 → (1591) thru week 17
8. +94: Baltimore Ravens (1618) before week 2 → (1711) thru week 6
9. +93: Washington Football Team (1342) before week 9 → (1434) thru week 13
10. +93: Green Bay Packers (1636) before week 2 → (1729) thru week 8
11. +89: Los Angeles Rams (1569) before week 5 → (1657) thru week 8
12. +86: Denver Broncos (1424) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 3
13. +85: Cleveland Browns (1516) before week 2 → (1601) thru week 4
14. +80: Los Angeles Chargers (1466) before week 3 → (1547) thru week 5
15. +80: New Orleans Saints (1573) before week 3 → (1652) thru week 8
16. +79: Detroit Lions (1221) before week 9 → (1300) thru week 15
17. +76: New York Giants (1330) before week 7 → (1405) thru week 9
18. +71: Houston Texans (1256) before week 15 → (1327) thru week 16
19. +69: Chicago Bears (1422) before week 4 → (1490) thru week 5
20. +67: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1651) before week 2 → (1718) thru week 7
21. +65: Las Vegas Raiders (1418) before week 6 → (1483) thru week 7
22. +58: Minnesota Vikings (1477) before week 3 → (1536) thru week 10
23. +53: Seattle Seahawks (1454) before week 13 → (1506) thru week 18
24. +51: Jacksonville Jaguars (1194) before week 6 → (1245) thru week 9
25. +48: Pittsburgh Steelers (1415) before week 5 → (1462) thru week 8
26. +37: New York Jets (1228) before week 8 → (1265) thru week 12
27. +28: Atlanta Falcons (1429) before week 6 → (1457) thru week 9
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -187: Houston Texans (1462) before week 2 → (1275) thru week 8
2. -178: Miami Dolphins (1546) before week 2 → (1368) thru week 8
3. -161: Detroit Lions (1382) before week 1 → (1221) thru week 8
4. -154: Carolina Panthers (1563) before week 4 → (1409) thru week 9
5. -146: New Orleans Saints (1652) before week 9 → (1506) thru week 13
more...
1. -141: New York Giants (1398) before week 13 → (1257) thru week 18
2. -141: Baltimore Ravens (1711) before week 7 → (1570) thru week 13
3. -124: Las Vegas Raiders (1509) before week 4 → (1385) thru week 11
4. -123: Arizona Cardinals (1711) before week 10 → (1588) thru week 16
5. -118: Pittsburgh Steelers (1532) before week 2 → (1415) thru week 4
6. -113: Jacksonville Jaguars (1307) before week 1 → (1194) thru week 5
7. -111: Buffalo Bills (1798) before week 6 → (1687) thru week 11
8. -108: Denver Broncos (1510) before week 4 → (1402) thru week 6
9. -106: Washington Football Team (1448) before week 1 → (1342) thru week 7
10. -103: Chicago Bears (1490) before week 6 → (1387) thru week 13
11. -98: Philadelphia Eagles (1464) before week 2 → (1366) thru week 4
12. -97: Cincinnati Bengals (1588) before week 8 → (1491) thru week 9
13. -97: Los Angeles Rams (1657) before week 9 → (1561) thru week 10
14. -97: New York Jets (1325) before week 2 → (1228) thru week 7
15. -97: Los Angeles Chargers (1547) before week 6 → (1450) thru week 12
16. -94: Tennessee Titans (1710) before week 11 → (1616) thru week 15
17. -89: Cleveland Browns (1601) before week 5 → (1512) thru week 8
18. -88: Atlanta Falcons (1457) before week 10 → (1368) thru week 17
19. -86: Seattle Seahawks (1554) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 6
20. -82: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1718) before week 8 → (1637) thru week 10
21. -79: New England Patriots (1701) before week 14 → (1622) thru week 19
22. -76: Dallas Cowboys (1594) before week 9 → (1517) thru week 12
23. -69: Indianapolis Colts (1713) before week 17 → (1644) thru week 18
24. -60: Kansas City Chiefs (1645) before week 5 → (1585) thru week 7
25. -57: San Francisco 49ers (1517) before week 3 → (1460) thru week 7
26. -45: Minnesota Vikings (1550) before week 12 → (1505) thru week 17
27. -19: Green Bay Packers (1729) before week 9 → (1710) thru week 11
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Football Team: 1519
2. Houston Texans: 1518
3. Detroit Lions: 1516
4. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1514
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1512
2. Cleveland Browns: 1511
3. New York Jets: 1511
4. San Francisco 49ers: 1510
5. Minnesota Vikings: 1509
6. Kansas City Chiefs: 1509
7. Chicago Bears: 1508
8. Baltimore Ravens: 1507
9. New York Giants: 1507
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1507
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
12. New Orleans Saints: 1505
13. Carolina Panthers: 1505
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
15. Los Angeles Chargers: 1495
16. Green Bay Packers: 1494
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1494
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1494
19. Dallas Cowboys: 1493
20. Tennessee Titans: 1492
21. Miami Dolphins: 1487
22. Atlanta Falcons: 1483
23. Buffalo Bills: 1483
24. Cincinnati Bengals: 1483
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1472
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1470
27. Denver Broncos: 1459
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Denver Broncos: 1459
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1470
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1472
4. Cincinnati Bengals: 1483
5. Buffalo Bills: 1483
more...
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1483
2. Miami Dolphins: 1487
3. Tennessee Titans: 1492
4. Dallas Cowboys: 1493
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1494
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1494
7. Green Bay Packers: 1494
8. Los Angeles Chargers: 1495
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
10. Carolina Panthers: 1505
11. New Orleans Saints: 1505
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1507
14. New York Giants: 1507
15. Baltimore Ravens: 1507
16. Chicago Bears: 1508
17. Kansas City Chiefs: 1509
18. Minnesota Vikings: 1509
19. San Francisco 49ers: 1510
20. New York Jets: 1511
21. Cleveland Browns: 1511
22. New England Patriots: 1512
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1514
24. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
25. Detroit Lions: 1516
26. Houston Texans: 1518
27. Washington Football Team: 1519
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1643
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1627
3. New York Giants: 1531
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1527
5. Tennessee Titans: 1525
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1523
2. Carolina Panthers: 1510
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1508
4. New Orleans Saints: 1498
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
6. Green Bay Packers: 1490
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1483
8. Arizona Cardinals: 1483
9. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1474
11. Cleveland Browns: 1473
12. Kansas City Chiefs: 1473
13. Los Angeles Rams: 1468
14. Indianapolis Colts: 1465
15. San Francisco 49ers: 1454
16. Washington Football Team: 1453
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1453
18. Buffalo Bills: 1446
19. New England Patriots: 1444
20. Miami Dolphins: 1440
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1435
22. Houston Texans: 1435
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1425
24. New York Jets: 1414
25. Denver Broncos: 1380
26. Atlanta Falcons: 1376
27. Chicago Bears: 1375
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1375
2. Atlanta Falcons: 1376
3. Denver Broncos: 1380
4. New York Jets: 1414
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1425
more...
1. Houston Texans: 1435
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1435
3. Miami Dolphins: 1440
4. New England Patriots: 1444
5. Buffalo Bills: 1446
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1453
7. Washington Football Team: 1453
8. San Francisco 49ers: 1454
9. Indianapolis Colts: 1465
10. Los Angeles Rams: 1468
11. Kansas City Chiefs: 1473
12. Cleveland Browns: 1473
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1474
14. Dallas Cowboys: 1475
15. Arizona Cardinals: 1483
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1483
17. Green Bay Packers: 1490
18. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
19. New Orleans Saints: 1498
20. Baltimore Ravens: 1508
21. Carolina Panthers: 1510
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1523
23. Tennessee Titans: 1525
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1527
25. New York Giants: 1531
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1627
27. Detroit Lions: 1643

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	15-17 (15/32, 46.88%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	26-22 (26/48, 54.17%)
4	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	34-30 (34/64, 53.12%)
5	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	47-33 (47/80, 58.75%)
6	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	56-38 (56/94, 59.57%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	67-40 (67/107, 62.62%)
8	6-9 (6/15, 40.0%)	73-49 (73/122, 59.84%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	80-56 (80/136, 58.82%)
10	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	87-63 (87/150, 58.0%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	97-68 (97/165, 58.79%)
12	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	108-72 (108/180, 60.0%)
13	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	115-79 (115/194, 59.28%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	126-82 (126/208, 60.58%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	136-88 (136/224, 60.71%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	147-93 (147/240, 61.25%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	159-97 (159/256, 62.11%)
18	9.5-6.5 (9.5/16, 59.38%)	168.5-103.5 (168.5/272, 61.95%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	173.5-104.5 (173.5/278, 62.41%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	173.5-108.5 (173.5/282, 61.52%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	174.5-109.5 (174.5/284, 61.44%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	175.5-109.5 (175.5/285, 61.58%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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