NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 1994-2024 seasons, this model picked 5,286 of 8,230 game winners correctly (64.2%), while the regular model picked 5,419 game winners (65.8%).

All available 2021 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season NFL Elo Home 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	New England PatriotsNE	1617	10-8
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1611	12-7
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1607	9-8
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1564	14-6
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552	12-6
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1552	14-5
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+1)	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): L 20-23: 1538+1→1539
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1534	13-5
9	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529	11-7
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526	12-8
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1525 (-1)	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): W 23-20: 1526-1→1525
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519	9-9
13	Tennessee TitansTEN	1517	12-6
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517	9-8
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506	9-8
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492	9-8
20	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488	7-10
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483	10-8
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1476	6-11
24	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	8-9
25	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	8-9
26	New York GiantsNYG	1456	4-13
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447	5-12
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442	7-10
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424	3-13-1
30	Houston TexansHOU	1419	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1383	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1347	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1617	10-8
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1611	12-7
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1607	9-8
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1564 (+3)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): L 24-27(OT): 1561+3→1564
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552	12-6
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1552	14-5
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (-2)	13-7	at LAR (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): W 27-24(OT): 1540-2→1538
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Slight underdog
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1534	13-5
9	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529	11-7
10 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526 (+1)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): L 17-20: 1525+1→1526
11 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526	15-5	vs CIN (1538): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): W 20-17: 1526-0→1526
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Slight favorite
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519	9-9
13	Tennessee TitansTEN	1517	12-6
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517	9-8
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506	9-8
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492	9-8
20	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488	7-10
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483	10-8
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1476	6-11
24	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	8-9
25	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	8-9
26	New York GiantsNYG	1456	4-13
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447	5-12
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442	7-10
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424	3-13-1
30	Houston TexansHOU	1419	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1383	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1347	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1617	10-8
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1611 (+1)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1562): L 36-42(OT): 1610+1→1611
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1607	9-8
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1561 (-1)	14-5	vs CIN (1540): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): W 42-36(OT): 1562-1→1561
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Slight favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552	12-6
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1552 (+1)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): L 27-30: 1551+1→1552
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (-1)	12-7	at KC (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1517): W 19-16: 1541-1→1540
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): Slight underdog
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1534 (+1)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): L 10-13: 1533+1→1534
9	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529	11-7
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526 (-1)	14-5	vs SF (1525): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1551): W 30-27: 1527-1→1526
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): Slight favorite
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1525 (-1)	12-7	at LAR (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): W 13-10: 1526-1→1525
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Slight underdog
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519	9-9
13 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1517	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): L 16-19: 1517+0→1517
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517	9-8
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506	9-8
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492	9-8
20	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488	7-10
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483	10-8
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1476	6-11
24	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	8-9
25	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	8-9
26	New York GiantsNYG	1456	4-13
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447	5-12
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442	7-10
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424	3-13-1
30	Houston TexansHOU	1419	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1383	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1347	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1617 (-2)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): L 17-47: 1619-2→1617
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1610 (+2)	12-6	at KC (1562): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1619): W 47-17: 1608+2→1610
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1562): Slight favorite
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1607	9-8
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1562 (+1)	13-5	vs BUF (1610): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): W 42-21: 1561+1→1562
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): Slight underdog
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (-2)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): L 17-23: 1554-2→1552
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1551 (+1)	14-4	vs LAR (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): W 31-15: 1550+1→1551
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541	11-7	at TEN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 26-19: 1541-0→1541
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1517): Slight underdog
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1533	13-4	vs SF (1526): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): Slight favorite
9	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529 (-2)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1525): L 11-34: 1531-2→1529
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1527 (+2)	13-5	at TB (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): W 34-11: 1525+2→1527
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1551): Slight underdog
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526 (+1)	11-7	at GB (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): W 23-17: 1525+1→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Slight underdog
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519 (-1)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): L 15-31: 1520-1→1519
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517	9-8
14	Tennessee TitansTEN	1517	12-5	vs CIN (1541): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): Slight favorite
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506	9-8
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	7-10
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-1)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): L 21-42: 1494-1→1493
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492	9-8
20	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488	7-10
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): L 19-26: 1483+0→1483
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1476	6-11
24	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	8-9
25	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	8-9
26	New York GiantsNYG	1456	4-13
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447	5-12
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442	7-10
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424	3-13-1
30	Houston TexansHOU	1419	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1383	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1347	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1619 (-7)	10-7	at BUF (1608): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): L 24-33: 1626-7→1619
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608 (-2)	11-6	vs NE (1619): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1380): W 27-10: 1610-2→1608
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1619): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1607 (-13)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1334): L 11-26: 1620-13→1607
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1561 (-1)	12-5	vs PIT (1494): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1485): W 28-24: 1562-1→1561
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): Win by 8 points
5 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1554 (+8)	12-5	vs SF (1525): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): W 51-26: 1546+8→1554
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): Win by 5 points
6 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1550 (+3)	13-4	vs PHI (1520): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): W 41-17: 1547+3→1550
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Win by 5 points
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541 (-4)	10-7	vs LV (1483): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1457): L 16-21: 1545-4→1541
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Win by 7 points
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (+1)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1424): L 30-37: 1532+1→1533
next: (bye)
9 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531 (-5)	11-6	at LAR (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 30-38: 1536-5→1531
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1525): Slight underdog
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1525 (-2)	12-5	vs ARI (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 24-27(OT): 1527-2→1525
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1525 (+2)	10-7	at DAL (1554): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): W 27-24(OT): 1523+2→1525
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): Lose by 5 points
12 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (-7)	9-8	at TB (1550): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): L 26-51: 1527-7→1520
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): Lose by 5 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (-2)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 32-35(OT): 1519-2→1517
14	Tennessee TitansTEN	1517 (-2)	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): W 28-25: 1519-2→1517
next: (bye)
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-3)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 13-16(OT): 1512-3→1509
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (+1)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): W 30-20: 1505+1→1506
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+5)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): W 38-30: 1501+5→1506
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1494 (+2)	9-7-1	at KC (1561): Lose by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): W 16-13(OT): 1492+2→1494
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): Lose by 8 points
19 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492 (+7)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1626): W 33-24: 1485+7→1492
20 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488 (+5)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1460): W 22-7: 1483+5→1488
21 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1486 (+1)	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1562): L 24-28: 1485+1→1486
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+2)	10-7	at CIN (1541): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): W 35-32(OT): 1481+2→1483
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): Lose by 7 points
23	Chicago BearsCHI	1476 (-4)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): L 17-31: 1480-4→1476
24	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475 (+4)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): W 31-17: 1471+4→1475
25 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461 (+4)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): W 21-16: 1457+4→1461
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (-4)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): L 7-22: 1460-4→1456
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447 (-3)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): L 17-41: 1450-3→1447
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442 (-1)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): L 20-30: 1443-1→1442
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1532): W 37-30: 1424-0→1424
30	Houston TexansHOU	1419 (+2)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): L 25-28: 1417+2→1419
31	New York JetsNYJ	1383 (+3)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): L 10-27: 1380+3→1383
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1347 (+13)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1620): W 26-11: 1334+13→1347

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1626	10-6	at MIA (1485): Win by 14
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1335): W 50-10: 1626+0→1626
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): Win by 14 points
2 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1620 (-15)	9-7	at JAX (1334): Win by 28
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1466): L 20-23: 1635-15→1620
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1334): Win by 28 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1610 (-7)	10-6	vs NYJ (1380): Win by 27
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): W 29-15: 1617-7→1610
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1380): Win by 27 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1562 (-1)	11-5	at DEN (1485): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): L 31-34: 1563-1→1562
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Win by 7 points
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1547 (-11)	12-4	vs CAR (1450): Win by 14
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1370): W 28-24: 1558-11→1547
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Win by 14 points
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (-6)	11-5	at PHI (1527): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): L 22-25: 1552-6→1546
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): Tossup
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1545 (+2)	10-6	at CLE (1457): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): W 34-31: 1543+2→1545
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1457): Win by 8 points
8	Arizona CardinalsARI	1536 (+5)	11-5	vs SEA (1501): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): W 25-22: 1531+5→1536
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1532 (+6)	13-3	at DET (1424): Lose by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): W 37-10: 1526+6→1532
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1424): Lose by 10 points
10 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1527 (+3)	12-4	vs SF (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): W 20-19: 1524+3→1527
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527	9-7	vs DAL (1546): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): W 20-16: 1527+0→1527
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Tossup
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (-3)	9-7	at LAR (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1414): W 23-7: 1526-3→1523
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (+7)	9-7	at LV (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1491): W 34-13: 1512+7→1519
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519 (+11)	11-5	at HOU (1417): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1495): W 34-3: 1508+11→1519
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): Win by 9 points
15 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512 (-4)	8-8	vs PIT (1492): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): L 19-20: 1516-4→1512
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Win by 5 points
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (-2)	8-8	at ATL (1443): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): W 18-10: 1507-2→1505
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): Win by 5 points
17	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (+2)	6-10	at ARI (1536): Lose by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1427): W 51-29: 1499+2→1501
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): Lose by 7 points
18 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (+2)	8-7-1	at BAL (1512): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1459): W 26-14: 1490+2→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): Lose by 5 points
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1485 (-6)	7-9	vs KC (1562): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): L 13-34: 1491-6→1485
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1562): Lose by 7 points
20 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1485 (-10)	8-8	vs NE (1626): Lose by 14
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1508): L 3-34: 1495-10→1485
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1626): Lose by 14 points
21	Washington Football TeamWAS	1483	6-10	at NYG (1460): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): L 16-20: 1483-0→1483
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1460): Tossup
22 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (+15)	9-7	vs LAC (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1635): W 23-20: 1466+15→1481
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+11)	6-10	at MIN (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1471): W 29-3: 1469+11→1480
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1471 (-6)	7-9	vs CHI (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1526): L 10-37: 1477-6→1471
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1460 (-11)	4-12	vs WAS (1483): Tossup
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): L 3-29: 1471-11→1460
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): Tossup
26	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1457 (-2)	7-9	vs CIN (1545): Lose by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): L 14-26: 1459-2→1457
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1545): Lose by 8 points
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1450 (+3)	5-11	at TB (1547): Lose by 14
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): L 10-18: 1447+3→1450
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): Lose by 14 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1443 (+6)	7-9	vs NO (1505): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1617): L 15-29: 1437+6→1443
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Lose by 5 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1424 (-3)	2-13-1	vs GB (1532): Win by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): L 29-51: 1427-3→1424
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1532): Win by 10 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417 (+3)	4-12	vs TEN (1519): Lose by 9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): L 7-23: 1414+3→1417
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): Lose by 9 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1380 (+10)	4-12	at BUF (1610): Lose by 27
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): L 24-28: 1370+10→1380
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): Lose by 27 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1334 (-1)	2-14	vs IND (1620): Lose by 28
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1626): L 10-50: 1335-1→1334
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1620): Lose by 28 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1635 (-15)	9-6	vs LV (1466): Win by 29
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): W 22-16: 1650-15→1635
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1466): Win by 29 points
2 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1626 (-24)	9-6	vs JAX (1335): Win by 38
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): L 21-33: 1650-24→1626
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1335): Win by 38 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1617 (+24)	9-6	vs ATL (1437): Win by 31
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1650): W 33-21: 1593+24→1617
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1437): Win by 31 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563 (-2)	11-4	at CIN (1543): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): W 36-10: 1565-2→1563
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): Tossup
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1558 (+1)	11-4	at NYJ (1370): Win by 26
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): W 32-6: 1557+1→1558
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1370): Win by 26 points
6 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (+11)	11-4	vs ARI (1531): Win by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1494): W 56-14: 1541+11→1552
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1531): Win by 7 points
7 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543 (+5)	9-6	vs KC (1563): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): W 41-21: 1538+5→1543
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): Tossup
8 (+8)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531 (+15)	10-5	at DAL (1552): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1650): L 16-22: 1516+15→1531
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): Lose by 7 points
9 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527 (+3)	8-7	at WAS (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): W 34-10: 1524+3→1527
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): Slight favorite
10 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (-20)	12-3	vs MIN (1477): Win by 12
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1439): W 24-22: 1546-20→1526
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): Win by 12 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526 (-2)	8-7	vs HOU (1414): Win by 23
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1506): L 17-20: 1528-2→1526
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1414): Win by 23 points
12 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524	11-4	at BAL (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): W 30-23: 1524+0→1524
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1516 (-5)	8-7	vs LAR (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 21-41: 1521-5→1516
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Slight favorite
14 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-31)	8-7	vs DEN (1491): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1383): L 29-41: 1543-31→1512
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1491): Win by 7 points
15 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1508 (+2)	10-5	vs MIA (1495): Win by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): W 20-17: 1506+2→1508
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1495): Win by 7 points
16 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (-29)	7-8	vs CAR (1447): Win by 13
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 3-20: 1536-29→1507
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): Win by 13 points
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-20)	5-10	vs DET (1427): Win by 16
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1449): L 24-25: 1519-20→1499
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1427): Win by 16 points
18 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1495 (+29)	8-7	at TEN (1508): Lose by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1536): W 20-3: 1466+29→1495
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1508): Lose by 7 points
19 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1491 (-8)	7-8	at LAC (1512): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): L 13-17: 1499-8→1491
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Lose by 7 points
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1490 (+1)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1459): Win by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): L 10-36: 1489+1→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1459): Win by 9 points
21 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1483 (-11)	6-9	vs PHI (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 14-56: 1494-11→1483
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1477	7-8	at GB (1526): Lose by 12
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): L 23-30: 1477-0→1477
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Lose by 12 points
23 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1471 (-2)	4-11	at CHI (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): L 10-34: 1473-2→1471
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (+20)	5-10	vs NYG (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): W 25-24: 1449+20→1469
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1471): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1466 (+8)	8-7	at IND (1635): Lose by 29
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): W 17-13: 1458+8→1466
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1635): Lose by 29 points
26 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1459 (+20)	7-8	at PIT (1490): Lose by 9
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): L 22-24: 1439+20→1459
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): Lose by 9 points
27 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447 (-1)	5-10	at NO (1507): Lose by 13
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1557): L 6-32: 1448-1→1447
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Lose by 13 points
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1437 (-6)	7-8	at BUF (1617): Lose by 31
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1420): W 20-16: 1443-6→1437
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1617): Lose by 31 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1427 (+7)	2-12-1	at SEA (1499): Lose by 16
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): L 16-20: 1420+7→1427
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Lose by 16 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1414 (+31)	4-11	at SF (1526): Lose by 23
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1543): W 41-29: 1383+31→1414
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): Lose by 23 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1370 (-12)	4-11	vs TB (1558): Lose by 26
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1323): W 26-21: 1382-12→1370
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): Lose by 26 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1335 (+12)	2-13	at NE (1626): Lose by 38
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1382): L 21-26: 1323+12→1335
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1626): Lose by 38 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1650 (-41)	9-5	vs BUF (1593): Win by 23
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1608): L 17-27: 1691-41→1650
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): Win by 23 points
2 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1650 (+42)	8-6	at ARI (1516): Win by 30
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1691): W 27-17: 1608+42→1650
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): Win by 30 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1593 (-17)	8-6	at NE (1650): Lose by 23
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): W 31-14: 1610-17→1593
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1650): Lose by 23 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1565 (-28)	10-4	vs PIT (1489): Win by 28
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 34-28(OT): 1593-28→1565
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Win by 28 points
5 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1557 (-41)	10-4	at CAR (1448): Win by 24
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): L 0-9: 1598-41→1557
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): Win by 24 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1546 (-27)	11-3	vs CLE (1439): Win by 33
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1494): W 31-30: 1573-27→1546
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1439): Win by 33 points
7 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1543 (+28)	8-6	at HOU (1383): Win by 35
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): L 28-34(OT): 1515+28→1543
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1383): Win by 35 points
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541 (-19)	10-4	vs WAS (1494): Win by 21
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): W 21-6: 1560-19→1541
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1494): Win by 21 points
9 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (+12)	8-6	vs BAL (1521): Win by 11
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): W 15-10: 1526+12→1538
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Win by 11 points
10 (+8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1536 (+41)	7-7	vs MIA (1466): Win by 26
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1598): W 9-0: 1495+41→1536
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 26 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (-16)	8-6	at TEN (1506): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): W 31-13: 1544-16→1528
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1506): Tossup
12 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1524 (-24)	7-7	vs NYG (1473): Win by 20
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): W 27-17: 1548-24→1524
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): Win by 20 points
13 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524 (-23)	10-4	at MIN (1477): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): W 20-10: 1547-23→1524
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1477): Win by 7 points
14 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (+27)	8-6	at CIN (1538): Lose by 11
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1573): L 30-31: 1494+27→1521
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Lose by 11 points
15 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1519 (+23)	5-9	vs CHI (1449): Win by 25
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): L 10-20: 1496+23→1519
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1449): Win by 25 points
16 (-9)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516 (-49)	10-4	vs IND (1650): Lose by 30
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1371): L 12-30: 1565-49→1516
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1650): Lose by 30 points
17 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1506 (-38)	9-5	vs SF (1528): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1451): L 13-19: 1544-38→1506
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Tossup
18 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (-11)	7-7	at LV (1458): Win by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): L 10-15: 1510-11→1499
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Win by 6 points
19 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1494 (+23)	6-8	at DAL (1541): Lose by 21
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): L 17-27: 1471+23→1494
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Lose by 21 points
20 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+38)	7-6-1	at KC (1565): Lose by 28
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1544): W 19-13: 1451+38→1489
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): Lose by 28 points
21 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1477 (-25)	7-7	vs LAR (1524): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1425): W 17-9: 1502-25→1477
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Lose by 7 points
22 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+19)	4-10	at PHI (1524): Lose by 20
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): L 6-21: 1454+19→1473
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): Lose by 20 points
23 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (-26)	7-7	at NO (1536): Lose by 26
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1356): W 31-24: 1492-26→1466
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1536): Lose by 26 points
24 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (+34)	7-7	vs DEN (1499): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): W 16-14: 1424+34→1458
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Lose by 6 points
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1449 (+24)	4-10	at SEA (1519): Lose by 25
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): L 9-17: 1425+24→1449
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): Lose by 25 points
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448 (+17)	5-9	vs TB (1557): Lose by 24
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): L 14-31: 1431+17→1448
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1557): Lose by 24 points
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1443 (+16)	6-8	vs DET (1420): Win by 13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): L 13-31: 1427+16→1443
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1420): Win by 13 points
28 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1439 (-35)	7-7	at GB (1546): Lose by 33
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): L 14-16: 1474-35→1439
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): Lose by 33 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1420 (+49)	2-11-1	at ATL (1443): Lose by 13
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1565): W 30-12: 1371+49→1420
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): Lose by 13 points
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1383 (+44)	3-11	vs LAC (1543): Lose by 35
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1367): W 30-16: 1339+44→1383
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1543): Lose by 35 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1382 (+26)	3-11	vs JAX (1323): Win by 23
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1492): L 24-31: 1356+26→1382
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1323): Win by 23 points
32 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1323 (-44)	2-12	at NYJ (1382): Lose by 23
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1339): L 16-30: 1367-44→1323
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1382): Lose by 23 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1691	9-4	at IND (1608): Win by 42
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1608): Win by 42 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1610 (-4)	7-6	vs CAR (1431): Win by 43
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1594): L 27-33(OT): 1614-4→1610
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): Win by 43 points
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1608	7-6	vs NE (1691): Lose by 42
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1691): Lose by 42 points
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1598 (+4)	10-3	vs NO (1495): Win by 43
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): W 33-27(OT): 1594+4→1598
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Win by 43 points
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1593 (+15)	9-4	at LAC (1515): Win by 41
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): W 48-9: 1578+15→1593
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Win by 41 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1573 (-10)	10-3	at BAL (1494): Win by 41
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1415): W 45-30: 1583-10→1573
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1494): Win by 41 points
7 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1565 (-20)	10-3	at DET (1371): Win by 43
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): L 23-30: 1585-20→1565
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1371): Win by 43 points
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1560 (-4)	9-4	at NYG (1454): Win by 43
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): W 27-20: 1564-4→1560
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): Win by 43 points
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1548	6-7	vs WAS (1471): Win by 43
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): Win by 43 points
10 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1547 (+21)	9-4	vs SEA (1496): Win by 42
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1585): W 30-23: 1526+21→1547
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Win by 42 points
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (+7)	7-6	vs ATL (1427): Win by 43
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1534): W 26-23(OT): 1537+7→1544
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): Win by 43 points
12 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1544 (-7)	9-4	at PIT (1451): Win by 42
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1360): W 20-0: 1551-7→1544
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1451): Win by 42 points
13 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1526 (-8)	7-6	at DEN (1510): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): L 23-26(OT): 1534-8→1526
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Lose by 7 points
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (+7)	8-5	vs KC (1593): Lose by 41
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1461): W 37-21: 1508+7→1515
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1593): Lose by 41 points
15 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (+8)	7-6	vs CIN (1526): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1379): W 38-10: 1502+8→1510
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): Win by 7 points
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-3)	6-7	at CHI (1425): Win by 42
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): W 36-28: 1505-3→1502
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1425): Win by 42 points
17 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (+3)	5-8	at LAR (1547): Lose by 42
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1342): W 33-13: 1493+3→1496
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): Lose by 42 points
18 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (+6)	6-7	at TB (1598): Lose by 43
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1361): W 30-9: 1489+6→1495
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1598): Lose by 43 points
19 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1494 (+1)	8-5	vs GB (1573): Lose by 41
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): L 22-24: 1493+1→1494
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1573): Lose by 41 points
20 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492	6-7	vs NYJ (1356): Win by 43
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1356): Win by 43 points
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474	7-6	vs LV (1424): Win by 42
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): W 24-22: 1474-0→1474
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): Win by 42 points
22	Washington Football TeamWAS	1471 (+5)	6-7	at PHI (1548): Lose by 43
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): L 20-27: 1466+5→1471
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): Lose by 43 points
23	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-7)	4-9	vs DAL (1560): Lose by 43
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 21-37: 1461-7→1454
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): Lose by 43 points
24 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1451 (+3)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1544): Lose by 42
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 28-36: 1448+3→1451
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1544): Lose by 42 points
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1431 (-22)	5-8	at BUF (1610): Lose by 43
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1405): L 21-29: 1453-22→1431
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1610): Lose by 43 points
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1427 (+22)	6-7	at SF (1544): Lose by 43
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): W 29-21: 1405+22→1427
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): Lose by 43 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1425 (+10)	4-9	vs MIN (1502): Lose by 42
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1583): L 30-45: 1415+10→1425
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Lose by 42 points
28 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1424 (-15)	6-7	at CLE (1474): Lose by 42
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): L 9-48: 1439-15→1424
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): Lose by 42 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1371 (-8)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1565): Lose by 43
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): L 10-38: 1379-8→1371
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1565): Lose by 43 points
30 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1367 (+7)	2-11	vs HOU (1339): Win by 40
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): L 0-20: 1360+7→1367
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1339): Win by 40 points
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1356 (-5)	3-10	at MIA (1492): Lose by 43
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): L 9-30: 1361-5→1356
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1492): Lose by 43 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1339 (-3)	2-11	at JAX (1367): Lose by 40
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): L 13-33: 1342-3→1339
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1367): Lose by 40 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1691 (-1)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): W 14-10: 1692-1→1691
next: (bye)
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1614	7-5	at TB (1594): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1692): L 10-14: 1614+0→1614
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1594): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1608 (+14)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1357): W 31-0: 1594+14→1608
next: (bye)
4 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1594 (-1)	9-3	vs BUF (1614): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): W 30-17: 1595-1→1594
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Slight favorite
5	Arizona CardinalsARI	1585 (-3)	10-2	vs LAR (1526): Win by 11
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1412): W 33-22: 1588-3→1585
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Win by 11 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1583	9-3	vs CHI (1415): Win by 25
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1415): Win by 25 points
7 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1578 (+7)	8-4	vs LV (1439): Win by 21
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): W 22-9: 1571+7→1578
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): Win by 21 points
8 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1564 (+9)	8-4	at WAS (1466): Win by 11
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): W 27-17: 1555+9→1564
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): Win by 11 points
9 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1551	8-4	vs JAX (1360): Win by 28
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1360): Win by 28 points
10 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1548 (+3)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1364): W 33-18: 1545+3→1548
next: (bye)
11 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537 (-16)	6-6	at CIN (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): L 23-30: 1553-16→1537
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1534): Slight underdog
12 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1534 (-38)	7-5	vs SF (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1469): L 22-41: 1572-38→1534
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526 (+20)	8-4	at ARI (1585): Lose by 11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1380): W 37-7: 1506+20→1526
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1585): Lose by 11 points
14 (+8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+39)	7-5	vs NYG (1461): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1572): W 41-22: 1469+39→1508
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1461): Win by 9 points
15 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-17)	5-7	vs PIT (1448): Win by 11
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1362): L 27-29: 1522-17→1505
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1448): Win by 11 points
16 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1502 (-7)	6-6	vs DET (1379): Win by 19
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): L 9-22: 1509-7→1502
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1379): Win by 19 points
17 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493 (-12)	8-4	at CLE (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1436): L 19-20: 1505-12→1493
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (+16)	4-8	at HOU (1342): Win by 17
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): W 30-23: 1477+16→1493
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1342): Win by 17 points
19 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492 (+12)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): W 20-9: 1480+12→1492
next: (bye)
20 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1489 (-10)	5-7	at NYJ (1361): Win by 15
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): L 17-27: 1499-10→1489
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1361): Win by 15 points
21 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474	6-6	vs BAL (1493): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1466 (+4)	6-6	vs DAL (1564): Lose by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): W 17-15: 1462+4→1466
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): Lose by 11 points
23 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1461 (-12)	4-8	at LAC (1508): Lose by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): L 9-20: 1473-12→1461
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Lose by 9 points
24	Carolina PanthersCAR	1453	5-7	vs ATL (1405): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1405): Win by 11 points
25 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1448 (+12)	6-5-1	at MIN (1505): Lose by 11
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): W 20-19: 1436+12→1448
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Lose by 11 points
26 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1439 (-4)	6-6	at KC (1578): Lose by 21
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): L 15-17: 1443-4→1439
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): Lose by 21 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1415 (+3)	4-8	at GB (1583): Lose by 25
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): L 22-33: 1412+3→1415
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1583): Lose by 25 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1405 (+1)	5-7	at CAR (1453): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1595): L 17-30: 1404+1→1405
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): Lose by 11 points
29 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1379 (+17)	1-10-1	at DEN (1502): Lose by 19
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): W 29-27: 1362+17→1379
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): Lose by 19 points
30	New York JetsNYJ	1361 (-3)	3-9	vs NO (1489): Lose by 15
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1545): L 18-33: 1364-3→1361
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): Lose by 15 points
31 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1360 (-20)	2-10	at TEN (1551): Lose by 28
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 7-37: 1380-20→1360
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): Lose by 28 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1342 (-15)	2-10	vs SEA (1493): Lose by 17
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1594): L 0-31: 1357-15→1342
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Lose by 17 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1692 (+21)	8-4	at BUF (1614): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1572): W 36-13: 1671+21→1692
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1614 (+33)	7-4	vs NE (1692): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1532): W 31-6: 1581+33→1614
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1692): Slight underdog
3 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1595 (+17)	8-3	at ATL (1404): Win by 14
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1611): W 38-31: 1578+17→1595
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): Win by 14 points
4 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1594 (-17)	6-6	at HOU (1357): Win by 17
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1578): L 31-38: 1611-17→1594
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1357): Win by 17 points
5 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1588	9-2	at CHI (1412): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1412): Win by 13 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1583 (+5)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): W 36-28: 1578+5→1583
next: (bye)
7 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1572 (+33)	7-4	vs LAC (1469): Win by 10
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): W 41-10: 1539+33→1572
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1469): Win by 10 points
8 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571	7-4	vs DEN (1509): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): Win by 8 points
9 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (-24)	7-4	at NO (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): L 33-36(OT): 1579-24→1555
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553 (+9)	6-5	at SEA (1477): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): W 34-26: 1544+9→1553
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): Win by 5 points
11 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1551 (-21)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1671): L 13-36: 1572-21→1551
next: (bye)
12 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1545 (-19)	5-7	at NYJ (1364): Win by 13
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): L 7-13: 1564-19→1545
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1364): Win by 13 points
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (-9)	5-6	at DET (1362): Win by 11
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): L 26-34: 1531-9→1522
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1362): Win by 11 points
14 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1509 (+20)	6-5	at KC (1571): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): W 28-13: 1489+20→1509
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Lose by 8 points
15	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (-5)	7-4	vs JAX (1380): Win by 12
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1578): L 28-36: 1511-5→1506
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1380): Win by 12 points
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (+5)	8-3	at PIT (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): W 16-10: 1500+5→1505
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1436): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1499 (-33)	5-6	vs DAL (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): L 6-31: 1532-33→1499
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Slight underdog
18 (+7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480 (+36)	5-7	vs NYG (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): W 33-10: 1444+36→1480
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1477 (-3)	3-8	vs SF (1553): Lose by 5
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): L 15-17: 1480-3→1477
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Lose by 5 points
20 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474 (-5)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 10-16: 1479-5→1474
next: (bye)
21 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+19)	4-7	at MIA (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1564): W 13-7: 1454+19→1473
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1469 (-19)	6-5	at CIN (1572): Lose by 10
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): L 13-28: 1488-19→1469
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1572): Lose by 10 points
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1462 (+2)	5-6	at LV (1443): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): W 17-15: 1460+2→1462
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): Slight underdog
24 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1453 (-36)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): L 10-33: 1489-36→1453
next: (bye)
25 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1443 (+25)	6-5	vs WAS (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): W 36-33(OT): 1418+25→1443
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): Slight favorite
26 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1436 (-34)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): L 10-41: 1470-34→1436
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight underdog
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1412	4-7	vs ARI (1588): Lose by 13
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1363): W 16-14: 1412+0→1412
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1588): Lose by 13 points
28 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1404 (+13)	5-6	vs TB (1595): Lose by 14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1393): W 21-14: 1391+13→1404
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1595): Lose by 14 points
29 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1380 (-13)	2-9	at LAR (1506): Lose by 12
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1391): L 14-21: 1393-13→1380
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Lose by 12 points
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1364 (+16)	3-8	vs PHI (1545): Lose by 13
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1372): W 21-14: 1348+16→1364
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1545): Lose by 13 points
31	Detroit LionsDET	1362 (-1)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1522): Lose by 11
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1412): L 14-16: 1363-1→1362
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Lose by 11 points
32 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1357 (-15)	2-9	vs IND (1594): Lose by 17
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1348): L 14-21: 1372-15→1357
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1594): Lose by 17 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1671 (+20)	7-4	vs TEN (1572): Win by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): W 25-0: 1651+20→1671
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1572): Win by 8 points
2 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1611 (+52)	6-5	vs TB (1578): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1633): W 41-15: 1559+52→1611
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1578): Slight favorite
3 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1588 (+12)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): W 23-13: 1576+12→1588
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1581 (-52)	6-4	at NO (1532): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): L 15-41: 1633-52→1581
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1532): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579 (-21)	7-3	vs LV (1418): Win by 12
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): L 9-19: 1600-21→1579
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1418): Win by 12 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1578 (-10)	8-3	vs LAR (1511): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): L 31-34: 1588-10→1578
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1578 (+26)	7-3	at IND (1611): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): W 30-10: 1552+26→1578
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1611): Slight underdog
8 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1572 (-44)	8-3	at NE (1671): Lose by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1329): L 13-22: 1616-44→1572
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1671): Lose by 8 points
9	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (+21)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1600): W 19-9: 1550+21→1571
next: (bye)
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1564 (+18)	5-6	at NYG (1454): Win by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1550): W 40-29: 1546+18→1564
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): Win by 6 points
11 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (+27)	5-5	vs MIN (1531): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1419): W 30-10: 1517+27→1544
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1531): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+27)	6-4	vs PIT (1470): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): W 32-13: 1512+27→1539
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): Win by 6 points
13 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1532 (-18)	5-5	vs BUF (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): L 29-40: 1550-18→1532
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1531 (+10)	5-5	at SF (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1588): W 34-31: 1521+10→1531
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): Slight underdog
15	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	7-3	at GB (1578): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1578): Lose by 5 points
16 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500 (-1)	7-3	vs CLE (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1411): W 16-13: 1501-1→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1489	5-5	vs LAC (1488): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-20)	5-6	at MIA (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): L 21-27: 1509-20→1489
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (+3)	6-4	at DEN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): W 41-37: 1485+3→1488
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1480 (-12)	3-7	at WAS (1460): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1576): L 13-23: 1492-12→1480
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): Tossup
21 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1479 (-11)	6-5	at BAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1352): W 13-10: 1490-11→1479
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1470 (-4)	5-4-1	at CIN (1539): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 37-41: 1474-4→1470
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Lose by 6 points
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1460 (+20)	4-6	vs SEA (1480): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1509): W 27-21: 1440+20→1460
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): Tossup
24 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-26)	3-7	vs PHI (1564): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): L 10-30: 1480-26→1454
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1564): Lose by 6 points
25 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1444 (+6)	4-7	vs CAR (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1354): W 24-17: 1438+6→1444
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1418 (-27)	5-5	at DAL (1579): Lose by 12
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): L 13-32: 1445-27→1418
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1579): Lose by 12 points
27 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1412 (+1)	3-7	at DET (1363): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1501): L 13-16: 1411+1→1412
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1363): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1393 (-26)	2-8	vs ATL (1391): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): L 10-30: 1419-26→1393
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1391): Slight favorite
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1391 (-19)	4-6	at JAX (1393): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1651): L 0-25: 1410-19→1391
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1393): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1372 (+43)	2-8	vs NYJ (1348): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): W 22-13: 1329+43→1372
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1348): Slight favorite
31	Detroit LionsDET	1363 (+11)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1412): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): L 10-13: 1352+11→1363
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1412): Slight underdog
32 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1348 (-6)	2-8	at HOU (1372): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1438): L 17-24: 1354-6→1348
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1372): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1651 (+56)	6-4	at ATL (1410): Win by 12
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): W 45-7: 1595+56→1651
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): Win by 12 points
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1633 (+31)	6-3	vs IND (1559): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1385): W 45-17: 1602+31→1633
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1616 (-6)	8-2	vs HOU (1329): Win by 16
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): W 23-21: 1622-6→1616
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1329): Win by 16 points
4 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1600 (+56)	7-2	at KC (1550): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): W 43-3: 1544+56→1600
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1588 (+27)	8-2	at MIN (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): W 17-0: 1561+27→1588
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Slight favorite
6 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1576 (-66)	8-2	at SEA (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1442): L 10-34: 1642-66→1576
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1559 (-6)	5-5	at BUF (1633): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1414): W 23-17: 1565-6→1559
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1633): Lose by 5 points
8 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1552 (-37)	6-3	vs NYG (1480): Win by 5
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1403): L 19-29: 1589-37→1552
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): Win by 5 points
9 (+10)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1550 (+50)	6-4	vs DAL (1600): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): W 41-14: 1500+50→1550
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1600): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1550 (+7)	5-4	at PHI (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1622): L 21-23: 1543+7→1550
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): Slight underdog
11 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1546 (+37)	4-6	vs NO (1550): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): W 30-13: 1509+37→1546
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1550): Slight favorite
12 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+16)	4-5	vs GB (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 27-20: 1505+16→1521
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1588): Slight underdog
13 (+10)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+46)	4-5	at JAX (1419): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1557): W 31-10: 1471+46→1517
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1419): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512	5-4	at LV (1445): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1445): Slight favorite
15 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511 (-46)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1471): L 10-31: 1557-46→1511
next: (bye)
16 (+9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1509 (+67)	5-5	vs WAS (1440): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): W 34-10: 1442+67→1509
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1440): Win by 5 points
17 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1501 (-35)	6-3	at CHI (1411): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1403): L 10-22: 1536-35→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1411): Slight favorite
18 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (-27)	3-6	vs ARI (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1561): L 0-17: 1519-27→1492
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1576): Slight underdog
19 (-10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1490 (-56)	5-5	vs DET (1352): Win by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1595): L 7-45: 1546-56→1490
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1352): Win by 9 points
20 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1489 (-37)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): L 13-30: 1526-37→1489
next: (bye)
21 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-16)	5-4	vs PIT (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 20-27: 1501-16→1485
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): Slight favorite
22	New York GiantsNYG	1480	3-6	at TB (1552): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): Lose by 5 points
23 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1474 (-16)	5-3-1	at LAC (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1335): T 16-16(OT): 1490-16→1474
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1445 (-50)	5-4	vs CIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 14-41: 1495-50→1445
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): Slight underdog
25 (+4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1440 (+37)	3-6	at CAR (1509): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1589): W 29-19: 1403+37→1440
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1509): Lose by 5 points
26 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1438 (+35)	3-7	at NYJ (1354): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): W 22-10: 1403+35→1438
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1354): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1419 (+5)	2-7	vs SF (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): L 17-23: 1414+5→1419
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1411	3-6	vs BAL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1501): Slight underdog
29 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1410 (-56)	4-5	vs NE (1651): Lose by 12
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): L 3-43: 1466-56→1410
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1651): Lose by 12 points
30	New York JetsNYJ	1354 (-31)	2-7	vs MIA (1438): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): L 17-45: 1385-31→1354
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1438): Slight underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1352 (+17)	0-8-1	at CLE (1490): Lose by 9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): T 16-16(OT): 1335+17→1352
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): Lose by 9 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1329	1-8	at TEN (1616): Lose by 16
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1616): Lose by 16 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1642 (+17)	8-1	vs CAR (1442): Win by 11
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): W 31-17: 1625+17→1642
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1442): Win by 11 points
2 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1622 (+27)	7-2	vs NO (1543): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1585): W 28-16: 1595+27→1622
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): Win by 5 points
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1602 (-30)	5-3	at NYJ (1385): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1383): L 6-9: 1632-30→1602
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1385): Win by 9 points
4 (+5)	New England PatriotsNE	1595 (+31)	5-4	vs CLE (1546): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): W 24-6: 1564+31→1595
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1546): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1589	6-2	at WAS (1403): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1403): Win by 8 points
6 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1565 (+14)	4-5	vs JAX (1414): Win by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 45-30: 1551+14→1565
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1414): Win by 9 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1561 (-23)	7-2	vs SEA (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1476): L 7-13: 1584-23→1561
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1557 (-28)	7-2	at SF (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1595): L 16-28: 1585-28→1557
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1471): Slight favorite
9 (+11)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1546 (+62)	5-4	at NE (1595): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1575): W 41-16: 1484+62→1546
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1595): Slight underdog
10 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544 (-44)	6-2	vs ATL (1466): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): L 16-30: 1588-44→1544
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Win by 5 points
11 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1543 (-19)	5-3	at TEN (1622): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): L 25-27: 1562-19→1543
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1622): Lose by 5 points
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1536 (+2)	6-2	at MIA (1403): Win by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): W 34-31(OT): 1534+2→1536
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1403): Win by 6 points
13 (+8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1526 (+44)	5-4	vs PHI (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1588): W 30-16: 1482+44→1526
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): Slight favorite
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1519	3-5	at GB (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1561): Slight underdog
15 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512 (-63)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): L 16-41: 1575-63→1512
next: (bye)
16 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509 (-13)	3-6	at DEN (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): L 24-27: 1522-13→1509
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-2)	3-5	at LAC (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): L 31-34(OT): 1507-2→1505
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (+13)	5-3	vs MIN (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): W 27-24: 1488+13→1501
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight favorite
19 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500 (+24)	5-4	at LV (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1584): W 13-7: 1476+24→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495 (-21)	5-3	vs KC (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1459): L 16-23: 1516-21→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1490 (-9)	5-3	vs DET (1335): Win by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1402): W 29-27: 1499-9→1490
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1335): Win by 8 points
22 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1480 (+21)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1516): W 23-16: 1459+21→1480
next: (bye)
23 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1471 (-18)	3-5	vs LAR (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1625): L 17-31: 1489-18→1471
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1557): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (+18)	4-4	at DAL (1544): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1562): W 27-25: 1448+18→1466
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Lose by 5 points
25 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1442 (-31)	4-5	at ARI (1642): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1564): L 6-24: 1473-31→1442
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): Lose by 11 points
26 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1414 (+31)	2-6	at IND (1565): Lose by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1632): W 9-6: 1383+31→1414
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): Lose by 9 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1411 (+9)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 27-29: 1402+9→1411
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1403 (+9)	2-7	vs BAL (1536): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1338): W 17-9: 1394+9→1403
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1536): Lose by 6 points
29 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1403	2-6	vs TB (1589): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1589): Lose by 8 points
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1385 (-14)	2-6	vs BUF (1602): Lose by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): L 30-45: 1399-14→1385
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): Lose by 9 points
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1335	0-8	at PIT (1490): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1329 (-9)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1394): L 9-17: 1338-9→1329
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1632 (+7)	5-2	at JAX (1383): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1401): W 26-11: 1625+7→1632
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1383): Win by 11 points
2 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1625 (-19)	7-1	at SF (1489): Win by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): L 21-24: 1644-19→1625
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): Win by 6 points
3 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1595 (+9)	6-2	at LAR (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1560): W 34-31(OT): 1586+9→1595
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1585): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1589 (-29)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1533): L 27-36: 1618-29→1589
next: (bye)
5 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1588 (+4)	6-1	vs DEN (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 20-16: 1584+4→1588
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): Win by 6 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1585 (+16)	7-1	vs TEN (1595): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1354): W 38-22: 1569+16→1585
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1595): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1584 (+18)	7-1	at KC (1476): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1644): W 24-21: 1566+18→1584
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1476): Win by 5 points
8 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1575 (-32)	5-3	vs CLE (1484): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1367): L 31-34: 1607-32→1575
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): Win by 5 points
9	New England PatriotsNE	1564 (+3)	4-4	at CAR (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): W 27-24: 1561+3→1564
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1562 (+29)	5-2	vs ATL (1448): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1618): W 36-27: 1533+29→1562
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): Win by 6 points
11 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (-9)	3-5	vs NYJ (1399): Win by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1586): L 31-34(OT): 1560-9→1551
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 8 points
12 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534	5-2	vs MIN (1507): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Slight favorite
13 (+12)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1522 (+76)	3-5	vs LAC (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1411): W 44-6: 1446+76→1522
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight favorite
14 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1519 (+48)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1431): W 31-7: 1471+48→1519
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1516	5-2	at NYG (1459): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1459): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1507 (-4)	3-4	at BAL (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): L 16-20: 1511-4→1507
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight underdog
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (+16)	4-3	vs CHI (1402): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): W 15-10: 1483+16→1499
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1402): Win by 6 points
18 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1489 (+25)	3-4	vs ARI (1625): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): W 33-22: 1464+25→1489
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1625): Lose by 6 points
19 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (-3)	4-3	at PHI (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): L 24-27: 1491-3→1488
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1484 (-15)	4-4	at CIN (1575): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 10-15: 1499-15→1484
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1575): Lose by 5 points
21 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1482 (+6)	4-4	at DAL (1588): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1409): W 17-10: 1476+6→1482
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1588): Lose by 6 points
22 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1476 (+3)	4-4	vs GB (1584): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): W 20-17: 1473+3→1476
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1584): Lose by 5 points
23 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1473 (+19)	4-4	vs NE (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): W 19-13: 1454+19→1473
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1564): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1459 (-3)	2-6	vs LV (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1473): L 17-20: 1462-3→1459
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1516): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1448 (-18)	3-4	at NO (1562): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): L 13-19: 1466-18→1448
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1562): Lose by 6 points
26 (+3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1403 (-6)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1476): L 10-17: 1409-6→1403
next: (bye)
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1402 (-25)	3-5	at PIT (1499): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1464): L 22-33: 1427-25→1402
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Lose by 6 points
28 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1399 (+32)	2-5	at IND (1551): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1607): W 34-31: 1367+32→1399
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1394 (-7)	1-7	vs HOU (1338): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1625): L 11-26: 1401-7→1394
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1338): Slight favorite
30 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1383 (-48)	1-6	vs BUF (1632): Lose by 11
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1471): L 7-31: 1431-48→1383
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1632): Lose by 11 points
31 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1338 (-16)	1-7	at MIA (1394): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): L 22-38: 1354-16→1338
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1394): Slight underdog
32 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1335 (-76)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1446): L 6-44: 1411-76→1335
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1644 (+27)	7-0	vs GB (1566): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1381): W 31-5: 1617+27→1644
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): Win by 5 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1625	4-2	vs MIA (1401): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1401): Win by 12 points
3 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1618 (+56)	6-1	at NO (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1483): W 38-3: 1562+56→1618
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1533): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1607 (+57)	5-2	at NYJ (1367): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1590): W 41-17: 1550+57→1607
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1367): Win by 10 points
5 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1586 (+46)	5-2	at IND (1560): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): W 27-3: 1540+46→1586
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1560): Tossup
6 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584	5-1	at MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1569 (+2)	6-1	at HOU (1354): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1413): W 28-19: 1567+2→1569
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1354): Win by 9 points
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1566 (+16)	6-1	at ARI (1644): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1425): W 24-10: 1550+16→1566
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1644): Lose by 5 points
9 (+8)	New England PatriotsNE	1561 (+69)	3-4	at LAC (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): W 54-13: 1492+69→1561
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): Slight favorite
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1560 (+26)	3-4	vs TEN (1586): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): W 30-18: 1534+26→1560
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1586): Tossup
11 (-8)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (-56)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): L 17-41: 1590-56→1534
next: (bye)
12 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1533 (+2)	4-2	vs TB (1618): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1472): W 13-10: 1531+2→1533
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1618): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1516 (+19)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1466): W 33-22: 1497+19→1516
next: (bye)
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511	3-3	vs DAL (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): Slight underdog
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1499 (+2)	4-3	vs PIT (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): W 17-14: 1497+2→1499
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1491	4-2	vs NE (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): Slight underdog
17 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483	3-3	at CLE (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1476 (-2)	3-4	vs WAS (1409): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): L 14-17: 1478-2→1476
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1409): Slight favorite
19 (-7)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1473 (-45)	3-4	vs NYG (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): L 3-27: 1518-45→1473
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): Slight favorite
20 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1471 (-1)	2-5	vs JAX (1431): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): L 10-13: 1472-1→1471
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1431): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (-2)	3-3	vs CAR (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1399): W 30-28: 1468-2→1466
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1464 (-26)	2-4	at CHI (1427): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1534): L 18-30: 1490-26→1464
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): Slight favorite
23 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1462 (+54)	2-5	at KC (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1509): W 25-3: 1408+54→1462
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1473): Slight underdog
24 (-10)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454 (-55)	3-4	at ATL (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1408): L 3-25: 1509-55→1454
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Slight underdog
25	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1446 (-20)	2-5	at DET (1411): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1497): L 22-33: 1466-20→1446
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1411): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431	1-5	at SEA (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1471): Slight underdog
27 (-7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1427 (-56)	3-4	vs SF (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): L 3-38: 1483-56→1427
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1464): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1411 (-2)	0-7	vs PHI (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 19-28: 1413-2→1411
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1446): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1409 (-16)	2-5	at DEN (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): L 10-24: 1425-16→1409
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1476): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1401 (+2)	1-6	at BUF (1625): Lose by 12
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 28-30: 1399+2→1401
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1625): Lose by 12 points
31 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1367 (-69)	1-5	vs CIN (1607): Lose by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1492): L 13-54: 1436-69→1367
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1607): Lose by 10 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1354 (-27)	1-6	vs LAR (1569): Lose by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1617): L 5-31: 1381-27→1354
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1625 (-15)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1525): L 31-34: 1640-15→1625
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1617 (+44)	6-0	vs HOU (1381): Win by 12
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1540): W 37-14: 1573+44→1617
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1381): Win by 12 points
3 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1590 (+50)	5-1	vs CIN (1550): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1541): W 34-6: 1540+50→1590
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584 (+2)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): W 35-29(OT): 1582+2→1584
next: (bye)
5 (+7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1567 (+46)	5-1	vs DET (1413): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1453): W 38-11: 1521+46→1567
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1413): Win by 8 points
6 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1562 (+6)	5-1	vs CHI (1483): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1472): W 28-22: 1556+6→1562
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1483): Win by 5 points
7 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1550 (+41)	4-2	at BAL (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1454): W 34-11: 1509+41→1550
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1590): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+20)	5-1	vs WAS (1425): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): W 24-14: 1530+20→1550
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1425): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540 (+15)	4-2	vs KC (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): W 34-31: 1525+15→1540
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1534 (+44)	2-4	at SF (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): W 31-3: 1490+44→1534
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531	3-2	at SEA (1472): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1472): Slight favorite
12 (+8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1518 (+36)	3-3	at TEN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): W 31-13: 1482+36→1518
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+13)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1522): W 34-28(OT): 1498+13→1511
next: (bye)
14 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1509 (-13)	3-3	at NYG (1408): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 28-34(OT): 1522-13→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1408): Slight favorite
15 (-9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (-43)	3-3	vs DEN (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1573): L 14-37: 1540-43→1497
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): Slight favorite
16 (+8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1497 (+26)	4-2	vs PHI (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1504): W 34-24: 1471+26→1497
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1466): Slight favorite
17	New England PatriotsNE	1492 (-2)	2-4	vs NYJ (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): L 29-35(OT): 1494-2→1492
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): Slight favorite
18 (-13)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1491 (-50)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): L 6-34: 1541-50→1491
next: (bye)
19	San Francisco 49ersSF	1490	2-3	vs IND (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1534): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1483 (-21)	3-3	at TB (1562): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1530): L 14-24: 1504-21→1483
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): Lose by 5 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (+7)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): W 23-20(OT): 1476+7→1483
next: (bye)
22 (-8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1478 (-26)	3-3	at CLE (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): L 24-34: 1504-26→1478
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1472 (-7)	2-4	vs NO (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): L 20-23(OT): 1479-7→1472
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468	2-3	at MIA (1399): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1399): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1466 (-6)	2-4	at LV (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1556): L 22-28: 1472-6→1466
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1497): Slight underdog
26 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1436	1-4	at NE (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1492): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431 (+3)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): W 23-20: 1428+3→1431
next: (bye)
28 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1425 (-35)	2-4	at GB (1550): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1482): L 13-31: 1460-35→1425
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Lose by 7 points
29 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1413 (-41)	0-6	at LAR (1567): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): L 11-34: 1454-41→1413
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Lose by 8 points
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1408 (-45)	1-5	vs CAR (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): L 11-38: 1453-45→1408
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1509): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1399 (-3)	1-5	vs ATL (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): L 20-23: 1402-3→1399
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1381 (-44)	1-5	at ARI (1617): Lose by 12
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): L 3-31: 1425-44→1381
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1617): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1640 (+25)	4-1	at TEN (1525): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): W 38-20: 1615+25→1640
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1525): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1582 (+35)	4-1	at NE (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): W 44-20: 1547+35→1582
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1573 (+5)	5-0	at CLE (1540): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): W 17-10: 1568+5→1573
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1540): Slight favorite
4 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1556 (+40)	4-1	at PHI (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): W 45-17: 1516+40→1556
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1472): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1541 (+9)	4-1	at BAL (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1550): W 47-42: 1532+9→1541
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): Slight underdog
6 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1540 (-10)	3-2	vs ARI (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1532): L 42-47: 1550-10→1540
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1573): Slight underdog
7 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1540 (+2)	4-1	vs LAC (1541): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1492): W 31-25(OT): 1538+2→1540
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1541): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+20)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): W 33-22: 1511+20→1531
next: (bye)
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (+10)	4-1	at CHI (1504): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): W 25-22(OT): 1520+10→1530
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): Tossup
10 (+9)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1525 (+32)	3-2	vs BUF (1640): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1460): W 37-19: 1493+32→1525
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): Slight underdog
11 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1522 (-14)	3-2	vs MIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1458): L 18-21: 1536-14→1522
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (+18)	4-1	at NYG (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): W 26-17: 1503+18→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1453): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1509 (-10)	3-2	at DET (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1520): L 22-25(OT): 1519-10→1509
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1454): Slight favorite
14 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1504 (-20)	3-2	vs LV (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): L 19-27: 1524-20→1504
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): Slight favorite
15 (+9)	Chicago BearsCHI	1504 (+24)	3-2	vs GB (1530): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): W 20-9: 1480+24→1504
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Tossup
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-3)	2-3	at CAR (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1452): W 19-17: 1501-3→1498
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1522): Slight underdog
17 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1426): W 25-22: 1493+1→1494
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): Slight underdog
18 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-2)	1-4	vs HOU (1425): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1538): L 25-31(OT): 1492-2→1490
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1490 (-5)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1568): L 10-17: 1495-5→1490
next: (bye)
20 (-7)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1482 (-26)	2-3	at WAS (1460): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1615): L 20-38: 1508-26→1482
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): Tossup
21 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479 (-19)	2-3	at PIT (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): L 17-26: 1498-19→1479
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): Slight underdog
22 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1476 (+20)	2-3	vs SEA (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1524): W 27-19: 1456+20→1476
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): Slight favorite
23 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472 (+14)	2-3	vs TB (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1536): W 21-18: 1458+14→1472
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1556): Slight underdog
24 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471 (-24)	3-2	at DEN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): L 9-20: 1495-24→1471
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1504): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (+12)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 27-20: 1456+12→1468
next: (bye)
26 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1460 (-20)	2-3	vs KC (1482): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): L 22-33: 1480-20→1460
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1482): Tossup
27 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1454 (+2)	0-5	vs CIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 17-19: 1452+2→1454
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): Slight underdog
28 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1453 (-35)	1-4	vs LAR (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): L 20-44: 1488-35→1453
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1436 (-13)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): L 20-27: 1449-13→1436
next: (bye)
30 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1428 (-32)	0-5	at MIA (1402): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1493): L 19-37: 1460-32→1428
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1402): Slight favorite
31 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1425 (-1)	1-4	at IND (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1493): L 22-25: 1426-1→1425
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1402 (-40)	1-4	at JAX (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): L 17-45: 1442-40→1402
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1615 (+49)	3-1	at KC (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): W 40-0: 1566+49→1615
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1568 (+30)	4-0	vs SF (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1532): W 37-20: 1538+30→1568
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1550 (+12)	3-1	at LAC (1532): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): W 14-7: 1538+12→1550
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1532): Tossup
4 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1547 (+14)	3-1	vs NYG (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1550): W 36-28: 1533+14→1547
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): Slight favorite
5 (+11)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1538 (+33)	3-1	vs IND (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1557): W 23-7: 1505+33→1538
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1492): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1536 (-14)	3-1	vs PHI (1458): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): L 28-36: 1550-14→1536
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1458): Win by 5 points
7 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1532 (+23)	3-1	vs CLE (1550): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1517): W 28-14: 1509+23→1532
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1550): Tossup
8 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1524 (-33)	3-1	at PIT (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): L 7-23: 1557-33→1524
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1456): Slight favorite
9 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520 (+13)	3-1	at CIN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): W 27-17: 1507+13→1520
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (-2)	3-1	vs GB (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 24-21: 1521-2→1519
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (+3)	3-1	vs MIA (1442): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): W 19-17: 1513+3→1516
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): Slight favorite
12 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1511 (-13)	2-2	at WAS (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1476): L 21-27(OT): 1524-13→1511
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): Slight favorite
13 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508 (+22)	2-2	vs BUF (1615): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1480): W 42-30: 1486+22→1508
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1615): Slight underdog
14 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1503 (-29)	3-1	at SEA (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): L 20-37: 1532-29→1503
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Slight underdog
15 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (-12)	1-3	vs DET (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): L 7-14: 1513-12→1501
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1452): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (+16)	2-2	vs LAR (1503): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): W 28-21: 1482+16→1498
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1495 (-17)	2-2	at ARI (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): L 21-28: 1512-17→1495
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1568): Slight underdog
18 (-8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495 (-22)	3-1	vs CHI (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 14-28: 1517-22→1495
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1493 (-10)	2-2	at JAX (1460): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1439): L 24-27(OT): 1503-10→1493
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1460): Tossup
20 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1493 (-3)	1-3	at HOU (1426): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): L 17-19: 1496-3→1493
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1426): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1492 (+18)	1-3	at BAL (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): W 27-17: 1474+18→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1538): Slight underdog
22	New York GiantsNYG	1488 (+12)	1-3	at DAL (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): W 27-21(OT): 1476+12→1488
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1480 (+8)	2-2	vs NO (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): W 34-30: 1472+8→1480
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+16)	2-2	at LV (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1468): W 24-14: 1464+16→1480
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): Slight underdog
25 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1460 (+2)	0-4	vs TEN (1493): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): L 21-24: 1458+2→1460
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1493): Tossup
26 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1458 (-22)	1-3	at CAR (1536): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1486): L 30-42: 1480-22→1458
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1536): Lose by 5 points
27 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1456 (-13)	1-3	vs DEN (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1507): L 17-27: 1469-13→1456
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1524): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1456 (-8)	1-3	at NYJ (1449): Tossup
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): L 30-34: 1464-8→1456
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): Tossup
29 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1452 (-16)	0-4	at MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1464): L 14-24: 1468-16→1452
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (+10)	1-3	at ATL (1456): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): W 27-24(OT): 1439+10→1449
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): Tossup
31 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1442 (-18)	1-3	at TB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): L 17-27: 1460-18→1442
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Slight underdog
32 (-9)	Houston TexansHOU	1426 (-49)	1-3	vs NE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): L 0-40: 1475-49→1426
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1493): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1566 (+28)	2-1	vs HOU (1475): Win by 5
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1501): W 43-21: 1538+28→1566
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1557 (+32)	3-0	vs BAL (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1470): W 26-0: 1525+32→1557
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1550 (+22)	3-0	at DAL (1533): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): W 24-9: 1528+22→1550
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): Tossup
4 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1538 (+16)	3-0	at LAR (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): W 31-19: 1522+16→1538
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1532): Slight underdog
5 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538 (+27)	2-1	at MIN (1513): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): W 26-6: 1511+27→1538
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Tossup
6 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1533 (+28)	2-1	vs CAR (1550): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): W 41-21: 1505+28→1533
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1550): Tossup
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1532 (+15)	3-0	vs ARI (1538): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): W 34-24: 1517+15→1532
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): Slight favorite
8 (+12)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1524 (+27)	2-1	vs NYG (1476): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1522): W 28-13: 1497+27→1524
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1476): Slight favorite
9 (+8)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1521 (+22)	2-1	vs JAX (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): W 24-10: 1499+22→1521
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1517	3-0	at LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): W 31-28(OT): 1517+0→1517
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
11 (+11)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+19)	1-2	vs CLE (1538): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): W 30-17: 1494+19→1513
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Tossup
12 (-9)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-14)	2-1	at NE (1496): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): L 24-34: 1527-14→1513
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): Tossup
13 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (-5)	2-1	vs SEA (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1501): L 28-30: 1517-5→1512
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (+11)	2-1	vs LV (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1497): W 30-24: 1498+11→1509
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1517): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1507 (+6)	2-1	vs PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): W 30-28: 1501+6→1507
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (+2)	2-1	at DEN (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): W 19-17: 1503+2→1505
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1557): Slight underdog
17 (+7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1503 (+12)	2-1	at NYJ (1439): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): W 25-16: 1491+12→1503
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1439): Slight favorite
18 (-13)	New England PatriotsNE	1496 (-26)	1-2	vs TB (1513): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 13-28: 1522-26→1496
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Tossup
19 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486 (-11)	1-2	at PHI (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): L 24-30: 1497-11→1486
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1480): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1482 (-19)	1-2	at SF (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): L 17-30: 1501-19→1482
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight underdog
21 (-10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1480 (-28)	1-2	vs KC (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): L 21-41: 1508-28→1480
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1486): Slight favorite
22 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1476 (-8)	0-3	at NO (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): L 14-17: 1484-8→1476
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): Slight underdog
23 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1475 (-22)	1-2	at BUF (1566): Lose by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1528): L 9-24: 1497-22→1475
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): Lose by 5 points
24 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (-12)	0-3	at MIA (1460): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): L 16-25: 1486-12→1474
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): Tossup
25 (-9)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1472 (-29)	1-2	at ATL (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): L 21-43: 1501-29→1472
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): Slight underdog
26 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (-23)	1-2	at GB (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1499): L 10-24: 1492-23→1469
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1507): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1468 (-2)	0-3	at CHI (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1503): L 17-19: 1470-2→1468
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (-26)	1-2	vs DET (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): L 6-26: 1490-26→1464
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1468): Slight favorite
29 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1464 (+9)	1-2	vs WAS (1472): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 17-14: 1455+9→1464
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): Slight favorite
30 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1460	1-2	vs IND (1474): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1517): L 28-31(OT): 1460-0→1460
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Tossup
31 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (-17)	0-3	at CIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1522): L 19-31: 1475-17→1458
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1439 (-31)	0-3	vs TEN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): L 0-26: 1470-31→1439
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+23)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538 (+44)	1-1	vs WAS (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): W 35-0: 1494+44→1538
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1501): Slight favorite
2 (+10)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1528 (+25)	2-0	at HOU (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): W 26-7: 1503+25→1528
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): Slight favorite
3 (+13)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1527 (+26)	2-0	at LAR (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 48-25: 1501+26→1527
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Slight underdog
4 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1525 (+14)	2-0	vs NYJ (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): W 23-13: 1511+14→1525
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1470): Slight favorite
5 (+18)	New England PatriotsNE	1522 (+26)	1-1	vs NO (1497): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1497): W 25-6: 1496+26→1522
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1522 (+4)	2-0	at JAX (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): W 34-33: 1518+4→1522
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517 (+4)	2-0	vs TB (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 27-24: 1513+4→1517
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): Slight favorite
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+10)	2-0	vs GB (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): W 17-11: 1507+10→1517
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1501): Slight favorite
9 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1517 (+15)	2-0	vs MIA (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): W 26-17: 1502+15→1517
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1511 (+13)	1-1	vs CHI (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 31-21: 1498+13→1511
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Slight favorite
11 (-9)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1508 (-11)	1-1	at DAL (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): L 11-17: 1519-11→1508
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): Slight underdog
12 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1505 (+6)	1-1	vs PHI (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 20-17: 1499+6→1505
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1503 (+5)	1-1	at DET (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): W 36-35: 1498+5→1503
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): Slight favorite
14 (+18)	Green Bay PackersGB	1501 (+24)	1-1	at SF (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1493): W 35-17: 1477+24→1501
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight underdog
15 (-8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-9)	1-1	at MIN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): L 30-33(OT): 1510-9→1501
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1501 (+5)	1-1	at BUF (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1489): W 30-29: 1496+5→1501
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1499 (-3)	1-1	at PIT (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1487): L 17-20: 1502-3→1499
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1498 (-6)	1-1	at KC (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): L 17-20: 1504-6→1498
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1497): Slight underdog
19 (-13)	Houston TexansHOU	1497 (-14)	1-1	vs CAR (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): L 21-31: 1511-14→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1528): Slight underdog
20 (-19)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (-26)	1-1	at NE (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1503): L 7-26: 1523-26→1497
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1522): Slight underdog
21 (-6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1497 (-5)	1-1	vs LAC (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1498): L 35-36: 1502-5→1497
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1494 (-4)	0-2	vs SEA (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1518): L 33-34: 1498-4→1494
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight favorite
23 (-14)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (-14)	1-1	vs CIN (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1502): L 17-26: 1506-14→1492
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1499): Slight favorite
24 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1491 (+9)	1-1	vs IND (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): W 33-30(OT): 1482+9→1491
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490 (+3)	1-1	at CLE (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): W 20-17: 1487+3→1490
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): Slight underdog
26	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (-4)	0-2	at TEN (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): L 24-27: 1490-4→1486
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (-5)	0-2	vs ATL (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1496): L 29-30: 1489-5→1484
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1475 (-14)	0-2	vs ARI (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): L 13-23: 1489-14→1475
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1522): Slight underdog
29 (-8)	New York JetsNYJ	1470 (-27)	0-2	at DEN (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1496): L 6-25: 1497-27→1470
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): Slight underdog
30 (-5)	Detroit LionsDET	1470 (-23)	0-2	vs BAL (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1477): L 17-35: 1493-23→1470
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1503): Slight underdog
31 (-21)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1460 (-44)	1-1	at LV (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1494): L 0-35: 1504-44→1460
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1517): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1455 (-26)	0-2	at NYG (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1501): L 25-48: 1481-26→1455
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+22)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+23)	1-0	at CAR (1503): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 38-3: 1500+23→1523
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1503): Tossup
2 (+24)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1519 (+19)	1-0	vs SF (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 32-6: 1500+19→1519
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1518 (+18)	1-0	vs MIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 38-13: 1500+18→1518
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight favorite
4 (+15)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1513 (+13)	1-0	at IND (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 34-14: 1500+13→1513
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Tossup
5 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1511 (+11)	1-0	at JAX (1489): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 27-13: 1500+11→1511
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Tossup
6 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1511 (+11)	1-0	at CLE (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 37-21: 1500+11→1511
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): Slight underdog
7 (+22)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (+10)	1-0	vs TEN (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 28-16: 1500+10→1510
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight favorite
8 (+20)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1507 (+7)	1-0	at PHI (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 41-33: 1500+7→1507
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1519): Slight underdog
9 (+18)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs LV (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): W 23-16: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1502): Slight favorite
10 (+10)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs BUF (1494): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+4→1504
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1494): Slight favorite
11 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs DAL (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): W 20-16: 1500+4→1504
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1503 (+3)	1-0	vs NO (1523): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 19-14: 1500+3→1503
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Tossup
13 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1502 (+2)	1-0	at PIT (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 33-27(OT): 1500+2→1502
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Slight underdog
14 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (+2)	1-0	at CHI (1487): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 27-24(OT): 1500+2→1502
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Tossup
15 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1502 (+2)	1-0	at BAL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 33-29: 1500+2→1502
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1498): Slight underdog
16 (+14)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1501 (+1)	1-0	vs ATL (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 31-29: 1500+1→1501
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight favorite
17 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1499 (-1)	0-1	at LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 29-31: 1500-1→1499
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
18 (-10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs HOU (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 29-33: 1500-2→1498
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-2)	0-1	at ARI (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 24-27(OT): 1500-2→1498
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1518): Slight underdog
20 (-17)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs KC (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 27-33(OT): 1500-2→1498
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): Slight favorite
21 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs NE (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): L 14-19: 1500-3→1497
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1496): Slight favorite
22 (+10)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs NYG (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 16-20: 1500-4→1496
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1489): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1496 (-4)	0-1	at NYJ (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 16-17: 1500-4→1496
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1497): Slight underdog
24 (-20)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1494 (-6)	0-1	at MIA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 16-23: 1500-6→1494
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): Slight underdog
25 (-14)	Detroit LionsDET	1493 (-7)	0-1	at GB (1477): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 33-41: 1500-7→1493
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1477): Tossup
26 (-12)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-10)	0-1	vs LAR (1513): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 16-28: 1500-10→1490
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): Tossup
27 (-12)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs DEN (1511): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): L 21-37: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): Tossup
28 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1489 (-11)	0-1	at WAS (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 13-27: 1500-11→1489
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1496): Slight underdog
29 (-23)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (-13)	0-1	vs CIN (1502): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 14-34: 1500-13→1487
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Tossup
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (-18)	0-1	at SEA (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-38: 1500-18→1482
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Slight underdog
31 (-29)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (-19)	0-1	at TB (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 6-32: 1500-19→1481
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1501): Slight underdog
32 (-20)	Green Bay PackersGB	1477 (-23)	0-1	vs DET (1493): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 3-38: 1500-23→1477
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1493): Tossup

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at LV (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	vs NYJ (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight favorite
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at TB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Tossup
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at HOU (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs CLE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs CHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Tossup
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	at CAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight underdog
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
32	Washington Football TeamWAS	1500	0-0	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-72 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at TEN(1500) W 38-13: +18→1518	9	1	at SF(1489) W 31-17: +17→1642	17	8	at DAL(1552) W 25-22: +5→1536
2	6	vs MIN(1498) W 34-33: +4→1522	10	6	vs CAR(1442) L 10-34: -66→1576	18	9	vs SEA(1501) L 30-38: -5→1531
3	4	at JAX(1475) W 31-19: +16→1538	11	3	at SEA(1492) W 23-13: +12→1588	W	9	at LAR(1525) L 11-34: -2→1529
4	2	at LAR(1532) W 37-20: +30→1568	12	5	(bye)	D	9
5	3	vs SF(1495) W 17-10: +5→1573	13	5	at CHI(1412) W 33-22: -3→1585	C	9
6	2	at CLE(1540) W 37-14: +44→1617	14	7	vs LAR(1526) L 23-30: -20→1565	S	9
7	1	vs HOU(1381) W 31-5: +27→1644	15	16	at DET(1371) L 12-30: -49→1516
8	2	vs GB(1566) L 21-24: -19→1625	16	8	vs IND(1650) L 16-22: +15→1531

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+58 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1452 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs PHI(1500) L 6-32: -19→1481	9	24	at NO(1562) W 27-25: +18→1466	17	28	at BUF(1617) L 15-29: +6→1443
2	32	at TB(1501) L 25-48: -26→1455	10	29	at DAL(1544) L 3-43: -56→1410	18	28	vs NO(1505) L 20-30: -1→1442
3	29	at NYG(1484) W 17-14: +9→1464	11	29	vs NE(1651) L 0-25: -19→1391	W	28
4	28	vs WAS(1472) L 30-34: -8→1456	12	28	at JAX(1393) W 21-14: +13→1404	D	28
5	25	at NYJ(1449) W 27-20: +12→1468	13	28	vs TB(1595) L 17-30: +1→1405	C	28
6	24	(bye)	14	26	at CAR(1453) W 29-21: +22→1427	S	28
7	21	at MIA(1399) W 30-28: -2→1466	15	27	at SF(1544) L 13-31: +16→1443
8	25	vs CAR(1454) L 13-19: -18→1448	16	28	vs DET(1420) W 20-16: -6→1437

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at LV(1500) L 27-33: -2→1498	9	12	vs MIN(1507) W 34-31: +2→1536	17	15	vs LAR(1524) L 19-20: -4→1512
2	13	vs KC(1502) W 36-35: +5→1503	10	17	at MIA(1403) L 10-22: -35→1501	18	15	vs PIT(1492) L 13-16: -3→1509
3	16	at DET(1470) W 19-17: +2→1505	11	16	at CHI(1411) W 16-13: -1→1500	W	15
4	5	at DEN(1557) W 23-7: +33→1538	12	16	vs CLE(1479) W 16-10: +5→1505	D	15
5	7	vs IND(1492) W 31-25: +2→1540	13	17	at PIT(1436) L 19-20: -12→1493	C	15
6	3	vs LAC(1541) W 34-6: +50→1590	14	19	at CLE(1474) L 22-24: +1→1494	S	15
7	11	vs CIN(1550) L 17-41: -56→1534	15	14	vs GB(1573) L 30-31: +27→1521
8	12	(bye)	16	13	at CIN(1538) L 21-41: -5→1516

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-96 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs PIT(1500) L 16-23: -6→1494	9	3	at JAX(1383) L 6-9: -30→1602	17	3	vs ATL(1437) W 29-15: -7→1610
2	1	at MIA(1504) W 35-0: +44→1538	10	2	at NYJ(1385) W 45-17: +31→1633	18	2	vs NYJ(1380) W 27-10: -2→1608
3	1	vs WAS(1501) W 43-21: +28→1566	11	4	vs IND(1559) L 15-41: -52→1581	W	2	vs NE(1619) W 47-17: +2→1610
4	1	vs HOU(1475) W 40-0: +49→1615	12	2	at NO(1532) W 31-6: +33→1614	D	2	at KC(1562) L 36-42: +1→1611
5	1	at KC(1508) W 38-20: +25→1640	13	2	vs NE(1692) L 10-14: +0→1614	C	2
6	1	at TEN(1525) L 31-34: -15→1625	14	2	at TB(1594) L 27-33: -4→1610	S	2
7	2	(bye)	15	3	vs CAR(1431) W 31-14: -17→1593
8	1	vs MIA(1401) W 26-11: +7→1632	16	3	at NE(1650) W 33-21: +24→1617

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1526 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs NYJ(1500) W 19-14: +3→1503	9	25	vs NE(1564) L 6-24: -31→1442	17	27	at NO(1507) L 10-18: +3→1450
2	2	vs NO(1523) W 26-7: +25→1528	10	16	at ARI(1642) W 34-10: +67→1509	18	27	at TB(1547) L 17-41: -3→1447
3	3	at HOU(1497) W 24-9: +22→1550	11	18	vs WAS(1440) L 21-27: -20→1489	W	27
4	6	at DAL(1533) L 28-36: -14→1536	12	24	at MIA(1444) L 10-33: -36→1453	D	27
5	11	vs PHI(1458) L 18-21: -14→1522	13	24	(bye)	C	27
6	14	vs MIN(1498) L 28-34: -13→1509	14	25	vs ATL(1405) L 21-29: -22→1431	S	27
7	24	at NYG(1408) L 3-25: -55→1454	15	26	at BUF(1610) L 14-31: +17→1448
8	23	at ATL(1466) W 19-13: +19→1473	16	27	vs TB(1557) L 6-32: -1→1447

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at LAR(1500) L 14-34: -13→1487	9	27	at PIT(1499) L 27-29: +9→1411	17	23	vs NYG(1471) W 29-3: +11→1480
2	25	vs CIN(1502) W 20-17: +3→1490	10	28	(bye)	18	23	at MIN(1471) L 17-31: -4→1476
3	28	at CLE(1511) L 6-26: -26→1464	11	27	vs BAL(1501) L 13-16: +1→1412	W	23
4	24	vs DET(1468) W 24-14: +16→1480	12	27	at DET(1363) W 16-14: +0→1412	D	23
5	15	at LV(1495) W 20-9: +24→1504	13	27	vs ARI(1588) L 22-33: +3→1415	C	23
6	20	vs GB(1530) L 14-24: -21→1483	14	27	at GB(1583) L 30-45: +10→1425	S	23
7	27	at TB(1562) L 3-38: -56→1427	15	25	vs MIN(1502) L 9-17: +24→1449
8	27	vs SF(1464) L 22-33: -25→1402	16	24	at SEA(1519) W 25-24: +20→1469

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1474 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs MIN(1500) W 27-24: +2→1502	9	15	vs CLE(1484) L 16-41: -63→1512	17	7	vs KC(1563) W 34-31: +2→1545
2	17	at CHI(1487) L 17-20: -3→1499	10	14	(bye)	18	7	at CLE(1457) L 16-21: -4→1541
3	9	at PIT(1492) W 24-10: +22→1521	11	12	at LV(1445) W 32-13: +27→1539	W	7	vs LV(1483) W 26-19: -0→1541
4	10	vs JAX(1458) W 24-21: -2→1519	12	7	vs PIT(1470) W 41-10: +33→1572	D	7	at TEN(1517) W 19-16: -1→1540
5	13	vs GB(1520) L 22-25: -10→1509	13	12	vs LAC(1469) L 22-41: -38→1534	C	7	at KC(1561) W 27-24: -2→1538
6	7	at DET(1454) W 34-11: +41→1550	14	13	vs SF(1537) L 23-26: -8→1526	S	7	at LAR(1526) L 20-23: +1→1539
7	4	at BAL(1590) W 41-17: +57→1607	15	9	at DEN(1510) W 15-10: +12→1538
8	8	at NYJ(1367) L 31-34: -32→1575	16	7	vs BAL(1521) W 41-21: +5→1543

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at KC(1500) L 29-33: -2→1498	9	9	at CIN(1575) W 41-16: +62→1546	17	26	at PIT(1490) L 14-26: -2→1457
2	10	vs HOU(1511) W 31-21: +13→1511	10	19	at NE(1595) L 7-45: -56→1490	18	25	vs CIN(1545) W 21-16: +4→1461
3	5	vs CHI(1490) W 26-6: +27→1538	11	21	vs DET(1352) W 13-10: -11→1479	W	25
4	3	at MIN(1513) W 14-7: +12→1550	12	20	at BAL(1500) L 10-16: -5→1474	D	25
5	6	at LAC(1532) L 42-47: -10→1540	13	21	(bye)	C	25
6	15	vs ARI(1573) L 14-37: -43→1497	14	21	vs BAL(1493) W 24-22: -0→1474	S	25
7	15	vs DEN(1478) W 17-14: +2→1499	15	28	vs LV(1424) L 14-16: -35→1439
8	20	vs PIT(1483) L 10-15: -15→1484	16	26	at GB(1546) L 22-24: +20→1459

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at TB(1500) L 29-31: -1→1499	9	10	vs DEN(1482) L 16-30: -44→1544	17	6	vs ARI(1531) L 22-25: -6→1546
2	12	at LAC(1504) W 20-17: +6→1505	10	4	vs ATL(1466) W 43-3: +56→1600	18	5	at PHI(1527) W 51-26: +8→1554
3	6	vs PHI(1508) W 41-21: +28→1533	11	5	at KC(1550) L 9-19: -21→1579	W	5	vs SF(1525) L 17-23: -2→1552
4	4	vs CAR(1550) W 36-28: +14→1547	12	9	vs LV(1418) L 33-36: -24→1555	D	5
5	2	vs NYG(1488) W 44-20: +35→1582	13	8	at NO(1499) W 27-17: +9→1564	C	5
6	4	at NE(1494) W 35-29: +2→1584	14	8	at WAS(1466) W 27-20: -4→1560	S	5
7	6	(bye)	15	8	at NYG(1454) W 21-6: -19→1541
8	5	at MIN(1511) W 20-16: +4→1588	16	6	vs WAS(1494) W 56-14: +11→1552

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NYG(1500) W 27-13: +11→1511	9	13	at DAL(1588) W 30-16: +44→1526	17	19	at LAC(1512) L 13-34: -6→1485
2	4	at JAX(1489) W 23-13: +14→1525	10	20	vs PHI(1509) L 13-30: -37→1489	18	21	vs KC(1562) L 24-28: +1→1486
3	2	vs NYJ(1470) W 26-0: +32→1557	11	17	(bye)	W	21
4	8	vs BAL(1505) L 7-23: -33→1524	12	14	vs LAC(1488) W 28-13: +20→1509	D	21
5	14	at PIT(1456) L 19-27: -20→1504	13	16	at KC(1571) L 9-22: -7→1502	C	21
6	22	vs LV(1471) L 24-34: -26→1478	14	15	vs DET(1379) W 38-10: +8→1510	S	21
7	18	at CLE(1497) L 14-17: -2→1476	15	18	vs CIN(1526) L 10-15: -11→1499
8	21	vs WAS(1409) W 17-10: +6→1482	16	19	at LV(1458) L 13-17: -8→1491

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1540 \| avg. lost to rating: 1486 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs SF(1500) L 33-41: -7→1493	9	31	(bye)	17	29	at SEA(1499) L 29-51: -3→1424
2	30	at GB(1477) L 17-35: -23→1470	10	31	at PIT(1490) T 16-16: +17→1352	18	29	vs GB(1532) W 37-30: -0→1424
3	27	vs BAL(1503) L 17-19: -2→1468	11	31	at CLE(1490) L 10-13: +11→1363	W	29
4	29	at CHI(1464) L 14-24: -16→1452	12	31	vs CHI(1412) L 14-16: -1→1362	D	29
5	27	at MIN(1501) L 17-19: +2→1454	13	29	vs MIN(1522) W 29-27: +17→1379	C	29
6	29	vs CIN(1509) L 11-34: -41→1413	14	29	at DEN(1502) L 10-38: -8→1371	S	29
7	28	at LAR(1567) L 19-28: -2→1411	15	29	vs ARI(1565) W 30-12: +49→1420
8	32	vs PHI(1446) L 6-44: -76→1335	16	29	at ATL(1443) L 16-20: +7→1427

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1480 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at NO(1500) L 3-38: -23→1477	9	7	at KC(1476) L 7-13: -23→1561	17	9	vs MIN(1477) W 37-10: +6→1532
2	14	vs DET(1493) W 35-17: +24→1501	10	5	vs SEA(1519) W 17-0: +27→1588	18	8	at DET(1424) L 30-37: +1→1533
3	15	at SF(1517) W 30-28: +6→1507	11	6	at MIN(1521) L 31-34: -10→1578	W	8	(bye)
4	9	vs PIT(1469) W 27-17: +13→1520	12	6	vs LAR(1511) W 36-28: +5→1583	D	8	vs SF(1526) L 10-13: +1→1534
5	9	at CIN(1519) W 25-22: +10→1530	13	6	(bye)	C	8
6	8	at CHI(1504) W 24-14: +20→1550	14	6	vs CHI(1415) W 45-30: -10→1573	S	8
7	8	vs WAS(1425) W 24-10: +16→1566	15	6	at BAL(1494) W 31-30: -27→1546
8	7	at ARI(1644) W 24-21: +18→1584	16	10	vs CLE(1439) W 24-22: -20→1526

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+106 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs JAX(1500) W 37-21: +11→1511	9	32	at MIA(1394) L 9-17: -9→1329	17	30	at SF(1526) L 7-23: +3→1417
2	19	at CLE(1498) L 21-31: -14→1497	10	32	(bye)	18	30	vs TEN(1519) L 25-28: +2→1419
3	23	vs CAR(1528) L 9-24: -22→1475	11	30	at TEN(1616) W 22-13: +43→1372	W	30
4	32	at BUF(1566) L 0-40: -49→1426	12	32	vs NYJ(1348) L 14-21: -15→1357	D	30
5	31	vs NE(1493) L 22-25: -1→1425	13	32	vs IND(1594) L 0-31: -15→1342	C	30
6	32	at IND(1490) L 3-31: -44→1381	14	32	vs SEA(1493) L 13-33: -3→1339	S	30
7	32	at ARI(1617) L 5-31: -27→1354	15	30	at JAX(1367) W 30-16: +44→1383
8	31	vs LAR(1569) L 22-38: -16→1338	16	30	vs LAC(1543) W 41-29: +31→1414

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-61 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs SEA(1500) L 16-28: -10→1490	9	6	vs NYJ(1399) W 45-30: +14→1565	17	2	vs LV(1466) L 20-23: -15→1620
2	26	vs LAR(1513) L 24-27: -4→1486	10	7	vs JAX(1414) W 23-17: -6→1559	18	3	at JAX(1334) L 11-26: -13→1607
3	24	at TEN(1491) L 16-25: -12→1474	11	2	at BUF(1633) W 41-15: +52→1611	W	3
4	21	at MIA(1460) W 27-17: +18→1492	12	4	vs TB(1578) L 31-38: -17→1594	D	3
5	18	at BAL(1538) L 25-31: -2→1490	13	3	at HOU(1357) W 31-0: +14→1608	C	3
6	10	vs HOU(1425) W 31-3: +44→1534	14	3	(bye)	S	3
7	10	at SF(1490) W 30-18: +26→1560	15	2	vs NE(1691) W 27-17: +42→1650
8	11	vs TEN(1586) L 31-34: -9→1551	16	1	at ARI(1516) W 22-16: -15→1635

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+94 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1551 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at HOU(1500) L 21-37: -11→1489	9	26	vs BUF(1632) W 9-6: +31→1414	17	32	at NE(1626) L 10-50: -1→1334
2	28	vs DEN(1511) L 13-23: -14→1475	10	27	at IND(1565) L 17-23: +5→1419	18	32	vs IND(1620) W 26-11: +13→1347
3	31	vs ARI(1522) L 19-31: -17→1458	11	28	vs SF(1517) L 10-30: -26→1393	W	32
4	25	at CIN(1521) L 21-24: +2→1460	12	29	vs ATL(1391) L 14-21: -13→1380	D	32
5	30	vs TEN(1493) L 19-37: -32→1428	13	31	at LAR(1506) L 7-37: -20→1360	C	32
6	27	at MIA(1402) W 23-20: +3→1431	14	30	at TEN(1551) L 0-20: +7→1367	S	32
7	26	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1339) L 16-30: -44→1323
8	30	at SEA(1471) L 7-31: -48→1383	16	32	at NYJ(1382) L 21-26: +12→1335

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs CLE(1500) W 33-29: +2→1502	9	19	vs GB(1584) W 13-7: +24→1500	17	4	at CIN(1543) L 31-34: -1→1562
2	21	at BAL(1498) L 35-36: -5→1497	10	9	at LV(1495) W 41-14: +50→1550	18	4	at DEN(1485) W 28-24: -1→1561
3	19	vs LAC(1498) L 24-30: -11→1486	11	9	vs DAL(1600) W 19-9: +21→1571	W	4	vs PIT(1494) W 42-21: +1→1562
4	13	at PHI(1480) W 42-30: +22→1508	12	8	(bye)	D	4	vs BUF(1610) W 42-36: -1→1561
5	20	vs BUF(1615) L 20-38: -26→1482	13	7	vs DEN(1509) W 22-9: +7→1578	C	4	vs CIN(1540) L 24-27: +3→1564
6	12	at WAS(1460) W 31-13: +36→1518	14	5	vs LV(1439) W 48-9: +15→1593	S	4
7	19	at TEN(1540) L 3-27: -45→1473	15	4	at LAC(1515) W 34-28: -28→1565
8	22	vs NYG(1462) W 20-17: +3→1476	16	4	vs PIT(1489) W 36-10: -2→1563

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs BAL(1500) W 33-27: +2→1502	9	20	at NYG(1459) L 16-23: -21→1495	17	22	at IND(1635) W 23-20: +15→1481
2	9	at PIT(1506) W 26-17: +15→1517	10	24	vs KC(1500) L 14-41: -50→1445	18	22	vs LAC(1519) W 35-32: +2→1483
3	10	vs MIA(1460) W 31-28: +0→1517	11	26	vs CIN(1512) L 13-32: -27→1418	W	22	at CIN(1541) L 19-26: +0→1483
4	18	at LAC(1509) L 14-28: -22→1495	12	25	at DAL(1579) W 36-33: +25→1443	D	22
5	24	vs CHI(1480) L 9-20: -24→1471	13	26	vs WAS(1462) L 15-17: -4→1439	C	22
6	16	at DEN(1504) W 34-24: +26→1497	14	28	at KC(1578) L 9-48: -15→1424	S	22
7	13	vs PHI(1466) W 33-22: +19→1516	15	24	at CLE(1474) W 16-14: +34→1458
8	15	(bye)	16	25	vs DEN(1499) W 17-13: +8→1466

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at WAS(1500) W 20-16: +4→1504	9	18	at PHI(1522) W 27-24: +13→1501	17	13	vs DEN(1491) W 34-13: +7→1519
2	18	vs DAL(1499) L 17-20: -6→1498	10	21	vs MIN(1505) L 20-27: -16→1485	18	13	at LV(1481) L 32-35: -2→1517
3	14	at KC(1497) W 30-24: +11→1509	11	19	vs PIT(1474) W 41-37: +3→1488	W	13
4	7	vs LV(1517) W 28-14: +23→1532	12	22	at DEN(1489) L 13-28: -19→1469	D	14
5	5	vs CLE(1550) W 47-42: +9→1541	13	14	at CIN(1572) W 41-22: +39→1508	C	14
6	18	at BAL(1540) L 6-34: -50→1491	14	14	vs NYG(1461) W 37-21: +7→1515	S	14
7	16	(bye)	15	7	vs KC(1593) L 28-34: +28→1543
8	19	vs NE(1561) L 24-27: -3→1488	16	14	at HOU(1383) L 29-41: -31→1512

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1541 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs CHI(1500) W 34-14: +13→1513	9	8	vs TEN(1595) L 16-28: -28→1557	17	10	at BAL(1516) W 20-19: +3→1527
2	7	at IND(1490) W 27-24: +4→1517	10	15	at SF(1471) L 10-31: -46→1511	18	10	vs SF(1523) L 24-27: -2→1525
3	7	vs TB(1527) W 34-24: +15→1532	11	15	(bye)	W	10	vs ARI(1531) W 34-11: +2→1527
4	14	vs ARI(1538) L 20-37: -29→1503	12	15	at GB(1578) L 28-36: -5→1506	D	10	at TB(1551) W 30-27: -1→1526
5	12	at SEA(1498) W 26-17: +18→1521	13	13	vs JAX(1380) W 37-7: +20→1526	C	11	vs SF(1525) W 20-17: -0→1526
6	5	at NYG(1453) W 38-11: +46→1567	14	10	at ARI(1585) W 30-23: +21→1547	S	11	vs CIN(1538) W 23-20: -1→1525
7	7	vs DET(1413) W 28-19: +2→1569	15	13	vs SEA(1496) W 20-10: -23→1524
8	6	at HOU(1354) W 38-22: +16→1585	16	12	at MIN(1477) W 30-23: +0→1524

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at NE(1500) W 17-16: +4→1504	9	28	vs HOU(1338) W 17-9: +9→1403	17	20	at TEN(1508) L 3-34: -10→1485
2	31	vs BUF(1494) L 0-35: -44→1460	10	26	vs BAL(1536) W 22-10: +35→1438	18	19	vs NE(1626) W 33-24: +7→1492
3	30	at LV(1517) L 28-31: -0→1460	11	25	at NYJ(1354) W 24-17: +6→1444	W	19
4	31	vs IND(1474) L 17-27: -18→1442	12	18	vs CAR(1489) W 33-10: +36→1480	D	19
5	32	at TB(1516) L 17-45: -40→1402	13	19	vs NYG(1473) W 20-9: +12→1492	C	19
6	31	at JAX(1428) L 20-23: -3→1399	14	20	(bye)	S	19
7	30	vs ATL(1468) L 28-30: +2→1401	15	23	vs NYJ(1356) W 31-24: -26→1466
8	29	at BUF(1625) L 11-26: -7→1394	16	18	at NO(1536) W 20-3: +29→1495

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at CIN(1500) L 24-27: -2→1498	9	17	at BAL(1534) L 31-34: -2→1505	17	24	at GB(1526) L 10-37: -6→1471
2	22	at ARI(1518) L 33-34: -4→1494	10	12	at LAC(1501) W 27-20: +16→1521	18	24	vs CHI(1480) W 31-17: +4→1475
3	11	vs SEA(1501) W 30-17: +19→1513	11	14	vs GB(1588) W 34-31: +10→1531	W	24
4	15	vs CLE(1538) L 7-14: -12→1501	12	13	at SF(1544) L 26-34: -9→1522	D	24
5	16	vs DET(1452) W 19-17: -3→1498	13	15	at DET(1362) L 27-29: -17→1505	C	24
6	13	at CAR(1522) W 34-28: +13→1511	14	16	vs PIT(1448) W 36-28: -3→1502	S	24
7	14	(bye)	15	21	at CHI(1425) W 17-9: -25→1477
8	16	vs DAL(1584) L 16-20: -4→1507	16	22	vs LAR(1524) L 23-30: -0→1477

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-73 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1540 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs MIA(1500) L 16-17: -4→1496	9	4	at CAR(1473) W 24-6: +31→1595	17	1	vs JAX(1335) W 50-10: +0→1626
2	5	at NYJ(1497) W 25-6: +26→1522	10	1	vs CLE(1546) W 45-7: +56→1651	18	1	at MIA(1485) L 24-33: -7→1619
3	18	vs NO(1497) L 13-28: -26→1496	11	1	at ATL(1410) W 25-0: +20→1671	W	1	at BUF(1608) L 17-47: -2→1617
4	20	vs TB(1513) L 17-19: -3→1493	12	1	vs TEN(1572) W 36-13: +21→1692	D	1
5	17	at HOU(1426) W 25-22: +1→1494	13	1	at BUF(1614) W 14-10: -1→1691	C	1
6	17	vs DAL(1582) L 29-35: -2→1492	14	1	(bye)	S	1
7	9	vs NYJ(1436) W 54-13: +69→1561	15	1	at IND(1608) L 17-27: -41→1650
8	9	at LAC(1491) W 27-24: +3→1564	16	2	vs BUF(1593) L 21-33: -24→1626

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at GB(1500) W 38-3: +23→1523	9	11	vs ATL(1448) L 25-27: -19→1543	17	16	vs CAR(1447) W 18-10: -2→1505
2	20	at CAR(1503) L 7-26: -26→1497	10	10	at TEN(1622) L 21-23: +7→1550	18	16	at ATL(1443) W 30-20: +1→1506
3	8	at NE(1522) W 28-13: +27→1524	11	13	at PHI(1546) L 29-40: -18→1532	W	16
4	12	vs NYG(1476) L 21-27: -13→1511	12	17	vs BUF(1581) L 6-31: -33→1499	D	16
5	8	at WAS(1480) W 33-22: +20→1531	13	20	vs DAL(1555) L 17-27: -10→1489	C	16
6	11	(bye)	14	18	at NYJ(1361) W 30-9: +6→1495	S	16
7	12	at SEA(1472) W 13-10: +2→1533	15	10	at TB(1598) W 9-0: +41→1536
8	10	vs TB(1618) W 36-27: +29→1562	16	16	vs MIA(1466) L 3-20: -29→1507

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1528 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs DEN(1500) L 13-27: -11→1489	9	22	vs LV(1516) W 23-16: +21→1480	17	25	at CHI(1469) L 3-29: -11→1460
2	27	at WAS(1496) L 29-30: -5→1484	10	22	(bye)	18	26	vs WAS(1483) L 7-22: -4→1456
3	22	vs ATL(1455) L 14-17: -8→1476	11	24	at TB(1552) L 10-30: -26→1454	W	26
4	22	at NO(1524) W 27-21: +12→1488	12	21	vs PHI(1564) W 13-7: +19→1473	D	26
5	28	at DAL(1547) L 20-44: -35→1453	13	23	at MIA(1480) L 9-20: -12→1461	C	26
6	30	vs LAR(1521) L 11-38: -45→1408	14	23	at LAC(1508) L 21-37: -7→1454	S	26
7	23	vs CAR(1509) W 25-3: +54→1462	15	22	vs DAL(1560) L 6-21: +19→1473
8	24	at KC(1473) L 17-20: -3→1459	16	23	at PHI(1524) L 10-34: -2→1471

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+100 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1451 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CAR(1500) L 14-19: -3→1497	9	30	at IND(1551) L 30-45: -14→1385	17	31	vs TB(1558) L 24-28: +10→1380
2	29	vs NE(1496) L 6-25: -27→1470	10	30	vs BUF(1602) L 17-45: -31→1354	18	31	at BUF(1610) L 10-27: +3→1383
3	32	at DEN(1525) L 0-26: -31→1439	11	32	vs MIA(1438) L 17-24: -6→1348	W	31
4	30	vs TEN(1503) W 27-24: +10→1449	12	30	at HOU(1372) W 21-14: +16→1364	D	31
5	29	at ATL(1456) L 20-27: -13→1436	13	30	vs PHI(1545) L 18-33: -3→1361	C	31
6	26	(bye)	14	31	vs NO(1489) L 9-30: -5→1356	S	31
7	31	at NE(1492) L 13-54: -69→1367	15	31	at MIA(1492) L 24-31: +26→1382
8	28	vs CIN(1607) W 34-31: +32→1399	16	31	vs JAX(1323) W 26-21: -12→1370

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at ATL(1500) W 32-6: +19→1519	9	16	vs LAC(1488) L 24-27: -13→1509	17	11	at WAS(1483) W 20-16: +0→1527
2	11	vs SF(1507) L 11-17: -11→1508	10	11	at DEN(1526) W 30-13: +37→1546	18	12	vs DAL(1546) L 26-51: -7→1520
3	21	at DAL(1505) L 21-41: -28→1480	11	10	vs NO(1550) W 40-29: +18→1564	W	12	at TB(1550) L 15-31: -1→1519
4	26	vs KC(1486) L 30-42: -22→1458	12	12	at NYG(1454) L 7-13: -19→1545	D	12
5	23	at CAR(1536) W 21-18: +14→1472	13	10	at NYJ(1364) W 33-18: +3→1548	C	12
6	25	vs TB(1556) L 22-28: -6→1466	14	9	(bye)	S	12
7	25	at LV(1497) L 22-33: -20→1446	15	12	vs WAS(1471) W 27-17: -24→1524
8	13	at DET(1411) W 44-6: +76→1522	16	9	vs NYG(1473) W 34-10: +3→1527

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at BUF(1500) W 23-16: +6→1506	9	21	vs CHI(1402) W 29-27: -9→1490	17	18	vs CLE(1459) W 26-14: +2→1492
2	23	vs LV(1502) L 17-26: -14→1492	10	23	vs DET(1335) T 16-16: -16→1474	18	18	at BAL(1512) W 16-13: +2→1494
3	26	vs CIN(1499) L 10-24: -23→1469	11	22	at LAC(1485) L 37-41: -4→1470	W	18	at KC(1561) L 21-42: -1→1493
4	27	at GB(1507) L 17-27: -13→1456	12	26	at CIN(1539) L 10-41: -34→1436	D	18
5	22	vs DEN(1524) W 27-19: +20→1476	13	25	vs BAL(1505) W 20-19: +12→1448	C	18
6	21	vs SEA(1479) W 23-20: +7→1483	14	24	at MIN(1505) L 28-36: +3→1451	S	18
7	17	(bye)	15	20	vs TEN(1544) W 19-13: +38→1489
8	17	at CLE(1499) W 15-10: +16→1499	16	20	at KC(1565) L 10-36: +1→1490

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at DET(1500) W 41-33: +7→1507	9	23	vs ARI(1625) L 17-31: -18→1471	17	12	vs HOU(1414) W 23-7: -3→1523
2	8	at PHI(1519) W 17-11: +10→1517	10	13	vs LAR(1557) W 31-10: +46→1517	18	11	at LAR(1527) W 27-24: +2→1525
3	13	vs GB(1501) L 28-30: -5→1512	11	11	at JAX(1419) W 30-10: +27→1544	W	11	at DAL(1554) W 23-17: +1→1526
4	17	vs SEA(1482) L 21-28: -17→1495	12	10	vs MIN(1531) W 34-26: +9→1553	D	11	at GB(1533) W 13-10: -1→1525
5	19	at ARI(1568) L 10-17: -5→1490	13	11	at SEA(1477) L 23-30: -16→1537	C	10	at LAR(1526) L 17-20: +1→1526
6	19	(bye)	14	11	at CIN(1534) W 26-23: +7→1544	S	10
7	22	vs IND(1534) L 18-30: -26→1464	15	11	vs ATL(1427) W 31-13: -16→1528
8	18	at CHI(1427) W 33-22: +25→1489	16	11	at TEN(1506) L 17-20: -2→1526

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at IND(1500) W 28-16: +10→1510	9	14	(bye)	17	17	vs DET(1427) W 51-29: +2→1501
2	15	vs TEN(1482) L 30-33: -9→1501	10	18	at GB(1561) L 0-17: -27→1492	18	17	at ARI(1536) W 38-30: +5→1506
3	20	at MIN(1494) L 17-30: -19→1482	11	20	vs ARI(1576) L 13-23: -12→1480	W	17
4	16	at SF(1512) W 28-21: +16→1498	12	19	at WAS(1460) L 15-17: -3→1477	D	17
5	21	vs LAR(1503) L 17-26: -19→1479	13	18	vs SF(1553) W 30-23: +16→1493	C	17
6	23	at PIT(1476) L 20-23: -7→1472	14	17	at HOU(1342) W 33-13: +3→1496	S	17
7	20	vs NO(1531) L 10-13: -1→1471	15	15	at LAR(1547) L 10-20: +23→1519
8	14	vs JAX(1431) W 31-7: +48→1519	16	17	vs CHI(1449) L 24-25: -20→1499

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1482 (-74 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs DAL(1500) W 31-29: +1→1501	9	5	(bye)	17	5	at NYJ(1370) W 28-24: -11→1547
2	3	vs ATL(1481) W 48-25: +26→1527	10	8	at WAS(1403) L 19-29: -37→1552	18	6	vs CAR(1450) W 41-17: +3→1550
3	12	at LAR(1517) L 24-34: -14→1513	11	7	vs NYG(1480) W 30-10: +26→1578	W	6	vs PHI(1520) W 31-15: +1→1551
4	11	at NE(1496) W 19-17: +3→1516	12	3	at IND(1611) W 38-31: +17→1595	D	6	vs LAR(1527) L 27-30: +1→1552
5	4	vs MIA(1442) W 45-17: +40→1556	13	4	at ATL(1404) W 30-17: -1→1594	C	6
6	6	at PHI(1472) W 28-22: +6→1562	14	4	vs BUF(1614) W 33-27: +4→1598	S	6
7	3	vs CHI(1483) W 38-3: +56→1618	15	5	vs NO(1495) L 0-9: -41→1557
8	4	at NO(1533) L 27-36: -29→1589	16	5	at CAR(1448) W 32-6: +1→1558

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1478 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs ARI(1500) L 13-38: -18→1482	9	2	at LAR(1585) W 28-16: +27→1622	17	14	vs MIA(1495) W 34-3: +11→1519
2	24	at SEA(1510) W 33-30: +9→1491	10	3	vs NO(1543) W 23-21: -6→1616	18	14	at HOU(1417) W 28-25: -2→1517
3	17	vs IND(1486) W 25-16: +12→1503	11	8	vs HOU(1329) L 13-22: -44→1572	W	14	(bye)
4	19	at NYJ(1439) L 24-27: -10→1493	12	11	at NE(1671) L 13-36: -21→1551	D	13	vs CIN(1541) L 16-19: +0→1517
5	10	at JAX(1460) W 37-19: +32→1525	13	9	(bye)	C	13
6	9	vs BUF(1640) W 34-31: +15→1540	14	12	vs JAX(1360) W 20-0: -7→1544	S	13
7	5	vs KC(1518) W 27-3: +46→1586	15	17	at PIT(1451) L 13-19: -38→1506
8	3	at IND(1560) W 34-31: +9→1595	16	15	vs SF(1528) W 20-17: +2→1508

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs LAC(1500) L 16-20: -4→1496	9	29	(bye)	17	21	vs PHI(1527) L 16-20: -0→1483
2	16	vs NYG(1489) W 30-29: +5→1501	10	25	vs TB(1589) W 29-19: +37→1440	18	20	at NYG(1460) W 22-7: +5→1488
3	25	at BUF(1538) L 21-43: -29→1472	11	23	at CAR(1509) W 27-21: +20→1460	W	20
4	23	at ATL(1464) W 34-30: +8→1480	12	23	vs SEA(1480) W 17-15: +2→1462	D	20
5	26	vs NO(1511) L 22-33: -20→1460	13	22	at LV(1443) W 17-15: +4→1466	C	20
6	28	vs KC(1482) L 13-31: -35→1425	14	22	vs DAL(1564) L 20-27: +5→1471	S	20
7	29	at GB(1550) L 10-24: -16→1409	15	19	at PHI(1548) L 17-27: +23→1494
8	26	at DEN(1476) L 10-17: -6→1403	16	21	at DAL(1541) L 14-56: -11→1483

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Las Vegas Raiders: +59 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Houston Texans: +80 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 17-20) Green Bay Packers: +8 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 18-20) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +4 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New York Jets: +13 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -42 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: -17 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Baltimore Ravens: -12 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 20-22) Los Angeles Rams: -3 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) New England Patriots: -9 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 11, 287-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1616) 16-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1329): Texans win 22-13
2. Week 18, 286-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1620) 28-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1334): Jaguars win 26-11
3. Week 9, 249-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1632) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1383): Jaguars win 9-6
4. Week 8, 240-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1607) 10-point favorites at New York Jets (1367): Jets win 34-31
5. Week 10, 200-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1642) 11-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1442): Panthers win 34-10
6. Week 15, 194-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1565) 43-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1371): Lions win 30-12
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 15, 61-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1565) 43-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1371): Lions win 30-12
2. Week 15, 54-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1367) 40-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1339): Texans win 30-16
3. Week 15, 52-point differential: New England Patriots (1691) 42-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1608): Colts win 27-17
4. Week 15, 52-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1598) 43-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1495): Saints win 9-0
5. Week 16, 47-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1543) 35-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1383): Texans win 41-29
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +117: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1617) thru week 19
2. +111: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1611) thru week 20
3. +107: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1607) thru week 18
4. +64: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 21
5. +52: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 19
more...
1. +52: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 20
2. +39: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 22
3. +34: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 20
4. +29: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 19
5. +26: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 21
6. +25: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 22
7. +19: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 19
8. +17: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 20
9. +17: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
10. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
11. +6: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
12. +6: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
13. -7: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
14. -8: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
15. -12: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
16. -14: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
17. -17: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
18. -24: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
19. -25: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
20. -39: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
21. -44: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
22. -53: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
23. -58: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
24. -76: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
25. -81: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 18
26. -117: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1383) thru week 18
27. -153: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1347) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -153: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1347) thru week 18
2. -117: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1383) thru week 18
3. -81: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1419) thru week 18
4. -76: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
5. -58: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
more...
1. -53: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
2. -44: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
3. -39: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
4. -25: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
5. -24: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
6. -17: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
7. -14: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
8. -12: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
9. -8: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
10. -7: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
11. +6: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
12. +6: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
13. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
14. +17: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 18
15. +17: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 20
16. +19: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 19
17. +25: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1525) thru week 22
18. +26: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 21
19. +29: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 19
20. +34: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 20
21. +39: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 22
22. +52: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 20
23. +52: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1552) thru week 19
24. +64: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 21
25. +107: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1607) thru week 18
26. +111: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1611) thru week 20
27. +117: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1617) thru week 19
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +199: New England Patriots (1492) before week 7 → (1692) thru week 12
2. +146: Buffalo Bills (1494) before week 2 → (1640) thru week 5
3. +144: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1644) thru week 7
4. +140: Tennessee Titans (1482) before week 2 → (1622) thru week 9
5. +137: Indianapolis Colts (1474) before week 4 → (1611) thru week 11
more...
1. +120: Kansas City Chiefs (1473) before week 8 → (1593) thru week 14
2. +118: Philadelphia Eagles (1446) before week 8 → (1564) thru week 11
3. +118: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1501) before week 2 → (1618) thru week 7
4. +108: Cincinnati Bengals (1499) before week 3 → (1607) thru week 7
5. +107: Green Bay Packers (1477) before week 2 → (1584) thru week 8
6. +101: Miami Dolphins (1394) before week 9 → (1495) thru week 16
7. +95: Dallas Cowboys (1505) before week 3 → (1600) thru week 10
8. +92: Baltimore Ravens (1498) before week 2 → (1590) thru week 6
9. +92: Detroit Lions (1335) before week 9 → (1427) thru week 16
10. +91: Washington Football Team (1403) before week 9 → (1494) thru week 15
11. +89: San Francisco 49ers (1464) before week 8 → (1553) thru week 12
12. +88: Houston Texans (1329) before week 10 → (1417) thru week 17
13. +85: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1585) thru week 8
14. +74: Los Angeles Chargers (1469) before week 13 → (1543) thru week 15
15. +72: New York Giants (1408) before week 7 → (1480) thru week 9
16. +69: Chicago Bears (1411) before week 10 → (1480) thru week 17
17. +65: New Orleans Saints (1497) before week 3 → (1562) thru week 8
18. +64: Las Vegas Raiders (1418) before week 12 → (1483) thru week 18
19. +58: Pittsburgh Steelers (1436) before week 13 → (1494) thru week 18
20. +57: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 3
21. +54: Carolina Panthers (1454) before week 8 → (1509) thru week 10
22. +52: Cleveland Browns (1498) before week 2 → (1550) thru week 4
23. +52: Atlanta Falcons (1391) before week 12 → (1443) thru week 15
24. +48: Seattle Seahawks (1471) before week 8 → (1519) thru week 15
25. +36: Jacksonville Jaguars (1383) before week 9 → (1419) thru week 10
26. +35: New York Jets (1348) before week 12 → (1383) thru week 18
27. +32: Minnesota Vikings (1498) before week 6 → (1531) thru week 11
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -182: Houston Texans (1511) before week 2 → (1329) thru week 9
2. -165: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1335) thru week 8
3. -133: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1367) thru week 7
4. -128: Arizona Cardinals (1644) before week 8 → (1516) thru week 15
5. -117: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1383) thru week 8
more...
1. -116: Tennessee Titans (1622) before week 10 → (1506) thru week 15
2. -110: Miami Dolphins (1504) before week 2 → (1394) thru week 8
3. -108: Carolina Panthers (1550) before week 4 → (1442) thru week 9
4. -107: Cleveland Browns (1546) before week 10 → (1439) thru week 15
5. -101: Chicago Bears (1504) before week 6 → (1402) thru week 8
6. -99: Las Vegas Raiders (1517) before week 4 → (1418) thru week 11
7. -98: Washington Football Team (1501) before week 3 → (1403) thru week 8
8. -97: Baltimore Ravens (1590) before week 7 → (1493) thru week 13
9. -94: Cincinnati Bengals (1607) before week 8 → (1512) thru week 9
10. -92: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1408) thru week 6
11. -81: Denver Broncos (1557) before week 4 → (1476) thru week 7
12. -78: Los Angeles Rams (1585) before week 9 → (1506) thru week 12
13. -78: Atlanta Falcons (1468) before week 6 → (1391) thru week 11
14. -75: New England Patriots (1691) before week 14 → (1617) thru week 19
15. -73: New Orleans Saints (1562) before week 9 → (1489) thru week 13
16. -73: Philadelphia Eagles (1519) before week 2 → (1446) thru week 7
17. -72: Los Angeles Chargers (1541) before week 6 → (1469) thru week 12
18. -66: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1618) before week 8 → (1552) thru week 10
19. -63: Pittsburgh Steelers (1499) before week 9 → (1436) thru week 12
20. -62: Green Bay Packers (1588) before week 11 → (1526) thru week 16
21. -60: Minnesota Vikings (1531) before week 12 → (1471) thru week 17
22. -59: Dallas Cowboys (1600) before week 11 → (1541) thru week 15
23. -59: Buffalo Bills (1640) before week 6 → (1581) thru week 11
24. -53: San Francisco 49ers (1517) before week 3 → (1464) thru week 7
25. -42: Kansas City Chiefs (1518) before week 7 → (1476) thru week 8
26. -42: Indianapolis Colts (1650) before week 16 → (1607) thru week 18
27. -42: Seattle Seahawks (1519) before week 9 → (1477) thru week 12
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1512
2. New York Giants: 1511
3. Washington Football Team: 1510
4. Houston Texans: 1509
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1508
more...
1. New Orleans Saints: 1508
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1508
3. Cleveland Browns: 1506
4. Carolina Panthers: 1506
5. New England Patriots: 1505
6. New York Jets: 1503
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
8. San Francisco 49ers: 1503
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
10. Atlanta Falcons: 1503
11. Chicago Bears: 1502
12. Tennessee Titans: 1499
13. Buffalo Bills: 1497
14. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
15. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
16. Arizona Cardinals: 1495
17. Detroit Lions: 1495
18. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
19. Denver Broncos: 1494
20. Indianapolis Colts: 1493
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1493
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1491
24. Green Bay Packers: 1491
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1490
26. Miami Dolphins: 1485
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
2. Miami Dolphins: 1485
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1490
4. Green Bay Packers: 1491
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1491
more...
1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1493
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1493
4. Denver Broncos: 1494
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
6. Detroit Lions: 1495
7. Arizona Cardinals: 1495
8. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
9. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
10. Buffalo Bills: 1497
11. Tennessee Titans: 1499
12. Chicago Bears: 1502
13. Atlanta Falcons: 1503
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
15. San Francisco 49ers: 1503
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
17. New York Jets: 1503
18. New England Patriots: 1505
19. Carolina Panthers: 1506
20. Cleveland Browns: 1506
21. Los Angeles Chargers: 1508
22. New Orleans Saints: 1508
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1508
24. Houston Texans: 1509
25. Washington Football Team: 1510
26. New York Giants: 1511
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1512
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1551
2. Detroit Lions: 1540
3. New York Giants: 1528
4. Carolina Panthers: 1526
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
more...
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1509
2. Tennessee Titans: 1509
3. Houston Texans: 1506
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1501
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
7. Baltimore Ravens: 1495
8. Cleveland Browns: 1495
9. Green Bay Packers: 1494
10. New Orleans Saints: 1494
11. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
12. Washington Football Team: 1490
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1489
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1488
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1487
16. San Francisco 49ers: 1485
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
18. New England Patriots: 1480
19. Philadelphia Eagles: 1479
20. Denver Broncos: 1475
21. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
22. Buffalo Bills: 1473
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1471
24. Chicago Bears: 1469
25. Miami Dolphins: 1468
26. Atlanta Falcons: 1452
27. New York Jets: 1451
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1451
2. Atlanta Falcons: 1452
3. Miami Dolphins: 1468
4. Chicago Bears: 1469
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1471
more...
1. Buffalo Bills: 1473
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
3. Denver Broncos: 1475
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1479
5. New England Patriots: 1480
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
7. San Francisco 49ers: 1485
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1487
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1488
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1489
11. Washington Football Team: 1490
12. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1492
13. New Orleans Saints: 1494
14. Green Bay Packers: 1494
15. Cleveland Browns: 1495
16. Baltimore Ravens: 1495
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
18. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
19. Kansas City Chiefs: 1501
20. Houston Texans: 1506
21. Tennessee Titans: 1509
22. Los Angeles Chargers: 1509
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
24. Carolina Panthers: 1526
25. New York Giants: 1528
26. Detroit Lions: 1540
27. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1551

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)
2	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	34-30 (34/64, 53.12%)
5	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	45-35 (45/80, 56.25%)
6	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	56-38 (56/94, 59.57%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	67-40 (67/107, 62.62%)
8	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	77-45 (77/122, 63.11%)
9	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	83-53 (83/136, 61.03%)
10	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	89-60 (89/149, 59.73%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	99-65 (99/164, 60.37%)
12	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	108-71 (108/179, 60.34%)
13	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	117-76 (117/193, 60.62%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	128-79 (128/207, 61.84%)
15	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	137-86 (137/223, 61.43%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	148-91 (148/239, 61.92%)
17	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	161-94 (161/255, 63.14%)
18	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	169-102 (169/271, 62.36%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	174-103 (174/277, 62.82%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	174-107 (174/281, 61.92%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	175-108 (175/283, 61.84%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	176-108 (176/284, 61.97%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!