NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608	12-7
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1583	14-5
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1575	14-6
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1569 (-2)	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): W 23-20: 1571-2→1569
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1565	13-5
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556	12-8
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	12-6
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543	9-8
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540	12-6
10 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (+3)	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1571): L 20-23: 1537+3→1540
11 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1540	10-8
12	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522	9-8
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518	7-10
14	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516	9-8
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1509	11-7
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	9-8
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1470	7-10
24	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1460	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1431	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429	5-12
29	Houston TexansHOU	1428	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1401	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1388	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608	12-7
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1583	14-5
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1575 (-9)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): L 24-27(OT): 1584-9→1575
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1571	15-5	vs CIN (1537): Win by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): W 20-17: 1571+0→1571
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): Win by 7 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1565	13-5
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556 (-1)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1571): L 17-20: 1557-1→1556
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	12-6
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543	9-8
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540	12-6
10	New England PatriotsNE	1540	10-8
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1537 (+9)	13-7	at LAR (1571): Lose by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1584): W 27-24(OT): 1528+9→1537
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1571): Lose by 7 points
12	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522	9-8
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518	7-10
14	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516	9-8
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1509	11-7
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	9-8
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1470	7-10
24	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1460	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1431	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429	5-12
29	Houston TexansHOU	1428	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1401	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1388	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608 (-4)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): L 36-42(OT): 1612-4→1608
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1584 (+4)	14-5	vs CIN (1528): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): W 42-36(OT): 1580+4→1584
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1583 (-7)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): L 27-30: 1590-7→1583
4 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1571 (+8)	14-5	vs SF (1557): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1590): W 30-27: 1563+8→1571
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1557): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1565 (-8)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): L 10-13: 1573-8→1565
6 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1557 (+8)	12-7	at LAR (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1573): W 13-10: 1549+8→1557
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1571): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	12-6
8 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543	9-8
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540 (-8)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 16-19: 1548-8→1540
10	New England PatriotsNE	1540	10-8
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (+8)	12-7	at KC (1584): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1548): W 19-16: 1520+8→1528
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1584): Lose by 8 points
12 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522	9-8
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518	7-10
14	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516	9-8
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1509	11-7
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	9-8
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	8-9
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502	9-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478	9-8-1
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471	10-8
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1470	7-10
24	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1460	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1431	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429	5-12
29	Houston TexansHOU	1428	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1401	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1388	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1612 (+13)	12-6	at KC (1580): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1553): W 47-17: 1599+13→1612
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Slight favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1590 (+7)	14-4	vs LAR (1563): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): W 31-15: 1583+7→1590
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): Win by 5 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580 (+8)	13-5	vs BUF (1612): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): W 42-21: 1572+8→1580
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1612): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1573	13-4	vs SF (1549): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Win by 6 points
5 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1563 (+13)	13-5	at TB (1590): Lose by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1522): W 34-11: 1550+13→1563
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1590): Lose by 5 points
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (-8)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): L 17-23: 1563-8→1555
7 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+8)	11-7	at GB (1573): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1563): W 23-17: 1541+8→1549
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1573): Lose by 6 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1548	12-5	vs CIN (1520): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Win by 6 points
9	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543	9-8
10 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1540 (-13)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1599): L 17-47: 1553-13→1540
11	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522	9-8
12 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (+1)	11-7	at TEN (1548): Lose by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 26-19: 1519+1→1520
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1548): Lose by 6 points
13 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518	7-10
14 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516	9-8
15 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1509 (-13)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): L 11-34: 1522-13→1509
16 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	9-8
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	8-9
18 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502 (-7)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1583): L 15-31: 1509-7→1502
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499	8-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (-8)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 21-42: 1486-8→1478
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471 (-1)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): L 19-26: 1472-1→1471
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1470	7-10
24	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469	7-10
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1460	6-11
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1431	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429	5-12
29	Houston TexansHOU	1428	4-13
30	New York GiantsNYG	1401	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1388	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1599 (+1)	11-6	vs NE (1553): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1397): W 27-10: 1598+1→1599
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1553): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1583 (+7)	13-4	vs PHI (1509): Win by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): W 41-17: 1576+7→1583
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1573 (-15)	13-4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1416): L 30-37: 1588-15→1573
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (-2)	12-5	vs PIT (1486): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1468): W 28-24: 1574-2→1572
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Win by 8 points
5 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563 (+17)	12-5	vs SF (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): W 51-26: 1546+17→1563
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): Slight favorite
6	New England PatriotsNE	1553 (-10)	10-7	at BUF (1599): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): L 24-33: 1563-10→1553
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1599): Lose by 6 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1550 (-6)	12-5	vs ARI (1522): Win by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): L 24-27(OT): 1556-6→1550
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1522): Win by 5 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1548 (-3)	12-5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1425): W 28-25: 1551-3→1548
9 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (-23)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1364): L 11-26: 1566-23→1543
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1541 (+5)	10-7	at DAL (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): W 27-24(OT): 1536+5→1541
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1563): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522 (+7)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): W 30-20: 1515+7→1522
12 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1522 (-10)	11-6	at LAR (1550): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): L 30-38: 1532-10→1522
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): Lose by 5 points
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (-4)	10-7	vs LV (1472): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): L 16-21: 1523-4→1519
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Win by 6 points
14 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518 (+10)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1532): W 38-30: 1508+10→1518
15 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516 (+11)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1563): W 33-24: 1505+11→1516
16 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509 (-18)	9-8	at TB (1583): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): L 26-51: 1527-18→1509
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1583): Lose by 7 points
17 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (-4)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): L 32-35(OT): 1510-4→1506
18 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (+10)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): W 31-17: 1494+10→1504
19 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499 (-6)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): L 13-16(OT): 1505-6→1499
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492 (+5)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): W 21-16: 1487+5→1492
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+6)	9-7-1	at KC (1572): Lose by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): W 16-13(OT): 1480+6→1486
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Lose by 8 points
22 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (+4)	10-7	at CIN (1519): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): W 35-32(OT): 1468+4→1472
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Lose by 6 points
23 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1470 (+2)	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): L 24-28: 1468+2→1470
24 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469 (+12)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 22-7: 1457+12→1469
25 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1460 (-10)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): L 17-31: 1470-10→1460
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441 (-6)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1515): L 20-30: 1447-6→1441
27 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1431 (+15)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1588): W 37-30: 1416+15→1431
28 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429 (-6)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1576): L 17-41: 1435-6→1429
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1428 (+3)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): L 25-28: 1425+3→1428
30	New York GiantsNYG	1401 (-12)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): L 7-22: 1413-12→1401
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395 (-2)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): L 10-27: 1397-2→1395
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1388 (+24)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): W 26-11: 1364+24→1388

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1598 (+4)	10-6	vs NYJ (1397): Win by 14
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): W 29-15: 1594+4→1598
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1397): Win by 14 points
2 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1588 (+12)	13-3	at DET (1416): Win by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): W 37-10: 1576+12→1588
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1416): Win by 9 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1576 (-5)	12-4	vs CAR (1435): Win by 11
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1391): W 28-24: 1581-5→1576
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): Win by 11 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1574 (-6)	11-5	at DEN (1468): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): L 31-34: 1580-6→1574
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1468): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1566 (-12)	9-7	at JAX (1364): Win by 11
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 20-23: 1578-12→1566
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1364): Win by 11 points
6	New England PatriotsNE	1563 (+7)	10-6	at MIA (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1372): W 50-10: 1556+7→1563
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Slight favorite
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1556 (+2)	12-4	vs SF (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): W 20-19: 1554+2→1556
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1551 (+15)	11-5	at HOU (1425): Win by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): W 34-3: 1536+15→1551
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1425): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (-6)	11-5	at PHI (1527): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1526): L 22-25: 1552-6→1546
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1527): Tossup
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (+7)	9-7	at LAR (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1432): W 23-7: 1529+7→1536
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1532 (+6)	11-5	vs SEA (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): W 25-22: 1526+6→1532
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527 (+1)	9-7	vs DAL (1546): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): W 20-16: 1526+1→1527
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Tossup
13 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523 (+5)	10-6	at CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): W 34-31: 1518+5→1523
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1515 (+1)	8-8	at ATL (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): W 18-10: 1514+1→1515
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): Slight favorite
15 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (+14)	9-7	at LV (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): W 34-13: 1496+14→1510
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (+11)	6-10	at ARI (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1427): W 51-29: 1497+11→1508
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1532): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (-15)	8-8	vs NE (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): L 3-34: 1520-15→1505
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1563): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (-2)	8-8	vs PIT (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1554): L 19-20: 1507-2→1505
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1494 (-12)	7-9	vs CHI (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1576): L 10-37: 1506-12→1494
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-12)	7-9	vs CIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): L 14-26: 1499-12→1487
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (+11)	8-7-1	at BAL (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): W 26-14: 1469+11→1480
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1470 (+14)	6-10	at MIN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): W 29-3: 1456+14→1470
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1468 (+11)	9-7	vs LAC (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): W 23-20: 1457+11→1468
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1468 (-13)	7-9	vs KC (1574): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 13-34: 1481-13→1468
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): Lose by 6 points
25 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1457	6-10	at NYG (1413): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): L 16-20: 1457-0→1457
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1413): Slight favorite
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1447 (-4)	7-9	vs NO (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): L 15-29: 1451-4→1447
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1515): Slight underdog
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435 (-2)	5-11	at TB (1576): Lose by 11
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): L 10-18: 1437-2→1435
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1576): Lose by 11 points
28	Houston TexansHOU	1425 (-7)	4-12	vs TEN (1551): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1529): L 7-23: 1432-7→1425
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1551): Lose by 7 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1416 (-11)	2-13-1	vs GB (1588): Lose by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): L 29-51: 1427-11→1416
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1588): Lose by 9 points
30	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (-14)	4-12	vs WAS (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): L 3-29: 1427-14→1413
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1397 (+6)	4-12	at BUF (1598): Lose by 14
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): L 24-28: 1391+6→1397
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): Lose by 14 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1364 (-8)	2-14	vs IND (1566): Lose by 11
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): L 10-50: 1372-8→1364
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1594 (+12)	9-6	vs ATL (1451): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): W 33-21: 1582+12→1594
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): Win by 10 points
2 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1581 (+12)	11-4	at NYJ (1391): Win by 9
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): W 32-6: 1569+12→1581
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1391): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580 (+11)	11-4	at CIN (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): W 36-10: 1569+11→1580
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1518): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1578 (+4)	9-6	vs LV (1457): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1529): W 22-16: 1574+4→1578
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Win by 9 points
5 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1576 (-3)	12-3	vs MIN (1506): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): W 24-22: 1579-3→1576
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Win by 7 points
6	New England PatriotsNE	1556 (-12)	9-6	vs JAX (1372): Win by 12
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 21-33: 1568-12→1556
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1372): Win by 12 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1554 (+6)	11-4	at BAL (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 30-23: 1548+6→1554
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): Slight favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (+14)	11-4	vs ARI (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): W 56-14: 1538+14→1552
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1526): Slight favorite
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536 (+2)	10-5	vs MIA (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): W 20-17: 1534+2→1536
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): Slight favorite
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1529 (-2)	8-7	vs HOU (1432): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1534): L 17-20: 1531-2→1529
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1432): Win by 8 points
11 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1526 (+12)	8-7	at WAS (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1439): W 34-10: 1514+12→1526
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): Slight favorite
12	Arizona CardinalsARI	1526 (-3)	10-5	at DAL (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1574): L 16-22: 1529-3→1526
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): Slight underdog
13 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1520 (+17)	8-7	at TEN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): W 20-3: 1503+17→1520
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight underdog
14 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1518 (+15)	9-6	vs KC (1580): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): W 41-21: 1503+15→1518
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Slight underdog
15 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1514 (-17)	7-8	vs CAR (1437): Win by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): L 3-20: 1531-17→1514
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): Win by 7 points
16 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1507 (-15)	8-7	vs LAR (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): L 21-41: 1522-15→1507
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1554): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (-5)	7-8	at GB (1576): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): L 23-30: 1511-5→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1576): Lose by 7 points
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1499 (+2)	7-8	at PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1579): L 22-24: 1497+2→1499
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (-8)	5-10	vs DET (1427): Win by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1448): L 24-25: 1505-8→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1427): Win by 7 points
20 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-15)	8-7	vs DEN (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): L 29-41: 1511-15→1496
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1481): Slight favorite
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1481 (-4)	7-8	at LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): L 13-17: 1485-4→1481
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (-10)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): L 10-36: 1479-10→1469
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): Slight underdog
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1457 (-14)	6-9	vs PHI (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): L 14-56: 1471-14→1457
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): Slight underdog
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (+4)	8-7	at IND (1578): Lose by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): W 17-13: 1453+4→1457
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): Lose by 9 points
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1456 (+8)	5-10	vs NYG (1427): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): W 25-24: 1448+8→1456
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1451 (+1)	7-8	at BUF (1594): Lose by 10
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1428): W 20-16: 1450+1→1451
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): Lose by 10 points
27 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1437 (-13)	5-10	at NO (1514): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): L 6-32: 1450-13→1437
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1432 (+15)	4-11	at SF (1529): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): W 41-29: 1417+15→1432
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1529): Lose by 8 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1427 (-1)	2-12-1	at SEA (1497): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): L 16-20: 1428-1→1427
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Lose by 7 points
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1427 (-12)	4-11	at CHI (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): L 10-34: 1439-12→1427
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1391 (+1)	4-11	vs TB (1581): Lose by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1373): W 26-21: 1390+1→1391
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): Lose by 9 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1372 (-1)	2-13	at NE (1556): Lose by 12
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1390): L 21-26: 1373-1→1372
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (+7)	8-6	at NE (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): W 31-14: 1575+7→1582
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): Slight underdog
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1579 (+3)	11-3	vs CLE (1497): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): W 31-30: 1576+3→1579
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Win by 7 points
3 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1574 (+8)	8-6	at ARI (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1576): W 27-17: 1566+8→1574
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1529): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+1)	10-4	vs PIT (1479): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): W 34-28(OT): 1568+1→1569
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): Win by 7 points
5 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569 (-12)	10-4	at CAR (1450): Win by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): L 0-9: 1581-12→1569
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Win by 6 points
6 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1568 (-8)	9-5	vs BUF (1582): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): L 17-27: 1576-8→1568
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1548 (+7)	10-4	at MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): W 20-10: 1541+7→1548
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1538 (+11)	10-4	vs WAS (1471): Win by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): W 21-6: 1527+11→1538
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): Win by 6 points
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1534 (-6)	9-5	vs SF (1531): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): L 13-19: 1540-6→1534
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1531 (+10)	8-6	at TEN (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): W 31-13: 1521+10→1531
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1534): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (+13)	7-7	vs MIA (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): W 9-0: 1518+13→1531
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): Slight favorite
12 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529 (-20)	10-4	vs IND (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1408): L 12-30: 1549-20→1529
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1574): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1522 (-2)	8-6	at CIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1576): L 30-31: 1524-2→1522
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1503): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1514 (+5)	7-7	vs NYG (1439): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1476): W 27-17: 1509+5→1514
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1439): Win by 6 points
15 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+5)	7-7	vs LAR (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1454): W 17-9: 1506+5→1511
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511 (-1)	8-6	at HOU (1417): Win by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 28-34(OT): 1512-1→1511
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): Win by 5 points
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505 (-7)	5-9	vs CHI (1448): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): L 10-20: 1512-7→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1448): Win by 6 points
18	Miami DolphinsMIA	1503 (-2)	7-7	at NO (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1389): W 31-24: 1505-2→1503
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1503 (+5)	8-6	vs BAL (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): W 15-10: 1498+5→1503
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (-7)	7-7	at GB (1579): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): L 14-16: 1504-7→1497
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1579): Lose by 7 points
21	Denver BroncosDEN	1485 (-4)	7-7	at LV (1453): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): L 10-15: 1489-4→1485
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1479 (+5)	7-6-1	at KC (1569): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): W 19-13: 1474+5→1479
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Lose by 7 points
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1471 (-5)	6-8	at DAL (1538): Lose by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): L 17-27: 1476-5→1471
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): Lose by 6 points
24 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1453 (+7)	7-7	vs DEN (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): W 16-14: 1446+7→1453
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (-10)	6-8	vs DET (1428): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): L 13-31: 1460-10→1450
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1428): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1450 (-7)	5-9	vs TB (1569): Lose by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): L 14-31: 1457-7→1450
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1448 (-6)	4-10	at SEA (1505): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): L 9-17: 1454-6→1448
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1439 (-11)	4-10	at PHI (1514): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): L 6-21: 1450-11→1439
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): Lose by 6 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1428 (+20)	2-11-1	at ATL (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1549): W 30-12: 1408+20→1428
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417 (+14)	3-11	vs LAC (1511): Lose by 5
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1386): W 30-16: 1403+14→1417
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Lose by 5 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1390 (+1)	3-11	vs JAX (1373): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): L 24-31: 1389+1→1390
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1373): Slight favorite
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1373 (-13)	2-12	at NYJ (1390): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1403): L 16-30: 1386-13→1373
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1390): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1581	10-3	vs NO (1518): Win by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): W 33-27(OT): 1581+0→1581
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Win by 6 points
2 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1576 (+6)	10-3	at BAL (1524): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): W 45-30: 1570+6→1576
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1576	9-4	at IND (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575 (-1)	7-6	vs CAR (1457): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): L 27-33(OT): 1576-1→1575
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): Win by 8 points
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (+13)	9-4	at LAC (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): W 48-9: 1555+13→1568
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1566	7-6	vs NE (1576): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1576): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1549 (-8)	10-3	at DET (1408): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1533): L 23-30: 1557-8→1549
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1408): Win by 6 points
8 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1541 (+8)	9-4	vs SEA (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): W 30-23: 1533+8→1541
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1540 (+7)	9-4	at PIT (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1393): W 20-0: 1533+7→1540
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1527 (+5)	9-4	at NYG (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1481): W 27-20: 1522+5→1527
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524 (-2)	8-5	vs GB (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): L 22-24: 1526-2→1524
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1576): Slight underdog
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+4)	7-6	vs ATL (1460): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): W 26-23(OT): 1517+4→1521
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): Win by 6 points
13 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518 (+12)	6-7	at TB (1581): Lose by 6
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1401): W 30-9: 1506+12→1518
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): Lose by 6 points
14 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (+10)	8-5	vs KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1460): W 37-21: 1502+10→1512
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1512 (+14)	5-8	at LAR (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): W 33-13: 1498+14→1512
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509	6-7	vs WAS (1476): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1476): Win by 6 points
17 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (+5)	6-7	at CHI (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): W 36-28: 1501+5→1506
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1454): Slight favorite
18 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505	6-7	vs NYJ (1389): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1389): Win by 8 points
19 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1504 (+2)	7-6	vs LV (1446): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): W 24-22: 1502+2→1504
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): Win by 6 points
20 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-4)	7-6	at DEN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): L 23-26(OT): 1502-4→1498
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1489): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1489 (+13)	7-6	vs CIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1422): W 38-10: 1476+13→1489
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1476 (-5)	6-7	at PHI (1509): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): L 20-27: 1481-5→1476
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): Lose by 6 points
23 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1474 (-4)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 28-36: 1478-4→1474
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1540): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1460 (+10)	6-7	at SF (1521): Lose by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): W 29-21: 1450+10→1460
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Lose by 6 points
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457 (-10)	5-8	at BUF (1575): Lose by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): L 21-29: 1467-10→1457
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): Lose by 8 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1454 (-6)	4-9	vs MIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1570): L 30-45: 1460-6→1454
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1450 (-10)	4-9	vs DAL (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): L 21-37: 1460-10→1450
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1446 (-13)	6-7	at CLE (1504): Lose by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): L 9-48: 1459-13→1446
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): Lose by 6 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1408 (-14)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1549): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1476): L 10-38: 1422-14→1408
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1549): Lose by 6 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1403 (-14)	2-11	at JAX (1386): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): L 13-33: 1417-14→1403
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1386): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1389 (-12)	3-10	at MIA (1505): Lose by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): L 9-30: 1401-12→1389
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Lose by 8 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1386 (-7)	2-11	vs HOU (1403): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1533): L 0-20: 1393-7→1386
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1403): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1581 (+9)	9-3	vs BUF (1576): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): W 30-17: 1572+9→1581
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1576 (+5)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): W 14-10: 1571+5→1576
next: (bye)
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576 (-5)	7-5	at TB (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1571): L 10-14: 1581-5→1576
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1581): Slight underdog
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1570	9-3	vs CHI (1460): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): Win by 8 points
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1566 (+15)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1431): W 31-0: 1551+15→1566
next: (bye)
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (+7)	10-2	vs LAR (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1468): W 33-22: 1550+7→1557
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1533): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (+7)	8-4	vs LV (1459): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): W 22-9: 1548+7→1555
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): Win by 7 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1533	8-4	vs JAX (1393): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1393): Win by 9 points
9 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1533 (+12)	8-4	at ARI (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): W 37-7: 1521+12→1533
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1526 (-4)	8-4	at CLE (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): L 19-20: 1530-4→1526
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1502): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1522 (+11)	8-4	at WAS (1481): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): W 27-17: 1511+11→1522
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1481): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (-6)	6-6	at CIN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): L 23-30: 1523-6→1517
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Slight underdog
13 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509 (+11)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1412): W 33-18: 1498+11→1509
next: (bye)
14 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (-11)	5-7	at NYJ (1401): Win by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1511): L 17-27: 1517-11→1506
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1401): Win by 5 points
15 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (+8)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): W 20-9: 1497+8→1505
next: (bye)
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1502	6-6	vs BAL (1526): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+18)	7-5	vs NYG (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): W 41-22: 1484+18→1502
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1460): Slight favorite
18 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-17)	7-5	vs SF (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): L 22-41: 1519-17→1502
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (-5)	5-7	vs PIT (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1417): L 27-29: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (+6)	4-8	at HOU (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): W 30-23: 1492+6→1498
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1481 (+4)	6-6	vs DAL (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): W 17-15: 1477+4→1481
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (+4)	6-5-1	at MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): W 20-19: 1474+4→1478
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1476 (-6)	6-6	vs DET (1422): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): L 9-22: 1482-6→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1422): Win by 5 points
24 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1467	5-7	vs ATL (1450): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1460 (-8)	4-8	at LAC (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): L 9-20: 1468-8→1460
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1460 (-8)	4-8	at GB (1570): Lose by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): L 22-33: 1468-8→1460
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1570): Lose by 8 points
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1459 (-5)	6-6	at KC (1555): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1477): L 15-17: 1464-5→1459
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Lose by 7 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (-9)	5-7	at CAR (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1572): L 17-30: 1459-9→1450
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1422 (+5)	1-10-1	at DEN (1476): Lose by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): W 29-27: 1417+5→1422
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1476): Lose by 5 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1417 (-14)	2-10	vs SEA (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): L 0-31: 1431-14→1417
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1401 (-11)	3-9	vs NO (1506): Lose by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): L 18-33: 1412-11→1401
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Lose by 5 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1393 (-11)	2-10	at TEN (1533): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): L 7-37: 1404-11→1393
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1533): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1581 (+17)	7-4	vs NE (1571): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1534): W 31-6: 1564+17→1581
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1571): Slight favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1572 (+7)	8-3	at ATL (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): W 38-31: 1565+7→1572
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1571 (+14)	8-4	at BUF (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1547): W 36-13: 1557+14→1571
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): Slight underdog
4 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1570 (+5)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): W 36-28: 1565+5→1570
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (-7)	6-6	at HOU (1431): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1565): L 31-38: 1558-7→1551
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1431): Slight favorite
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1550	9-2	at CHI (1468): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1468): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548	7-4	vs DEN (1482): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1482): Win by 6 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1533 (-14)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): L 13-36: 1547-14→1533
next: (bye)
9 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1530 (+2)	8-3	at PIT (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): W 16-10: 1528+2→1530
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1474): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+5)	6-5	at SEA (1492): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 34-26: 1518+5→1523
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Tossup
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (-5)	7-4	vs JAX (1404): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1565): L 28-36: 1526-5→1521
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): Win by 7 points
12 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (+15)	7-4	vs LAC (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): W 41-10: 1504+15→1519
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1517 (-17)	5-6	vs DAL (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): L 6-31: 1534-17→1517
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1511): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1511 (-7)	7-4	at NO (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 33-36(OT): 1518-7→1511
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (-5)	5-6	at DET (1417): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): L 26-34: 1511-5→1506
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1417): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1502 (-2)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): L 10-16: 1504-2→1502
next: (bye)
17	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1498 (-5)	5-7	at NYJ (1412): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): L 7-13: 1503-5→1498
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1412): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497 (+15)	5-7	vs NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): W 33-10: 1482+15→1497
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (-3)	3-8	vs SF (1523): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1474): L 15-17: 1495-3→1492
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Tossup
20 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1484 (-12)	6-5	at CIN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1471): L 13-28: 1496-12→1484
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1482 (+11)	6-5	at KC (1548): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): W 28-13: 1471+11→1482
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Lose by 6 points
22 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477 (+3)	5-6	at LV (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): W 17-15: 1474+3→1477
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1474 (-16)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): L 10-41: 1490-16→1474
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (+5)	4-7	at MIA (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): W 13-7: 1463+5→1468
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Slight underdog
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1468 (+3)	4-7	vs ARI (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1420): W 16-14: 1465+3→1468
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1467 (-15)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1482): L 10-33: 1482-15→1467
next: (bye)
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1464 (+7)	6-5	vs WAS (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1518): W 36-33(OT): 1457+7→1464
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1477): Slight favorite
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1459 (+5)	5-6	vs TB (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1409): W 21-14: 1454+5→1459
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1572): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1431 (-9)	2-9	vs IND (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1403): L 14-21: 1440-9→1431
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1417 (-3)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): L 14-16: 1420-3→1417
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1412 (+9)	3-8	vs PHI (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1440): W 21-14: 1403+9→1412
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1498): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1404 (-5)	2-9	at LAR (1521): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): L 14-21: 1409-5→1404
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1565 (-6)	8-3	vs LAR (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): L 31-34: 1571-6→1565
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1565 (+11)	7-3	at IND (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): W 30-10: 1554+11→1565
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1558): Slight underdog
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1564 (-21)	6-4	at NO (1534): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1538): L 15-41: 1585-21→1564
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1534): Tossup
4 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1558 (+20)	6-5	vs TB (1565): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): W 41-15: 1538+20→1558
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1565): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1557 (+14)	7-4	vs TEN (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): W 25-0: 1543+14→1557
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1547): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1550 (+9)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): W 23-13: 1541+9→1550
next: (bye)
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (+7)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): W 19-9: 1541+7→1548
next: (bye)
8 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1547 (-16)	8-3	at NE (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): L 13-22: 1563-16→1547
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): Slight underdog
9 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1534 (-11)	5-5	vs BUF (1564): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1491): L 29-40: 1545-11→1534
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): Tossup
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (+2)	7-3	vs CLE (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): W 16-13: 1526+2→1528
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): Slight favorite
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526	7-3	at GB (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1565): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+13)	5-5	vs MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1422): W 30-10: 1505+13→1518
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1518 (-7)	7-3	vs LV (1457): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 9-19: 1525-7→1518
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Win by 6 points
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+5)	5-5	at SF (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): W 34-31: 1506+5→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1504 (-3)	6-5	at BAL (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1417): W 13-10: 1507-3→1504
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Slight underdog
16 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (+15)	6-4	vs PIT (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): W 32-13: 1489+15→1504
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503 (+12)	5-6	at NYG (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1545): W 40-29: 1491+12→1503
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (+2)	6-4	at DEN (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): W 41-37: 1494+2→1496
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1471): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (-9)	3-7	at WAS (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1541): L 13-23: 1504-9→1495
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1474): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1490 (-1)	5-4-1	at CIN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 37-41: 1491-1→1490
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): Slight underdog
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1482 (-7)	5-6	at MIA (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): L 21-27: 1489-7→1482
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1482): Slight underdog
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1482 (+3)	4-7	vs CAR (1482): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1406): W 24-17: 1479+3→1482
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): Slight favorite
23 (+5)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1474 (+7)	4-6	vs SEA (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): W 27-21: 1467+7→1474
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1471	5-5	vs LAC (1496): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1465 (-2)	3-7	at DET (1420): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): L 13-16: 1467-2→1465
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1420): Slight favorite
26 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (-10)	3-7	vs PHI (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): L 10-30: 1473-10→1463
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (-14)	5-5	at DAL (1518): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1489): L 13-32: 1471-14→1457
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1518): Lose by 6 points
28 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1454 (-14)	4-6	at JAX (1409): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): L 0-25: 1468-14→1454
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1409): Slight favorite
29	Houston TexansHOU	1440 (+15)	2-8	vs NYJ (1403): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1563): W 22-13: 1425+15→1440
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1403): Slight favorite
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1420 (+3)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): L 10-13: 1417+3→1420
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1409 (-13)	2-8	vs ATL (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): L 10-30: 1422-13→1409
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): Slight underdog
32	New York JetsNYJ	1403 (-3)	2-8	at HOU (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): L 17-24: 1406-3→1403
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1440): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1585 (+10)	6-3	vs IND (1538): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1416): W 45-17: 1575+10→1585
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1538): Win by 5 points
2 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1571 (+11)	8-2	at MIN (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): W 17-0: 1560+11→1571
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1563 (+1)	8-2	vs HOU (1425): Win by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): W 23-21: 1562+1→1563
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): Win by 8 points
4 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554 (-15)	6-3	vs NYG (1473): Win by 6
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): L 19-29: 1569-15→1554
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1545 (-1)	5-4	at PHI (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1562): L 21-23: 1546-1→1545
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1491): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1543 (+17)	6-4	at ATL (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): W 45-7: 1526+17→1543
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight favorite
7 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+16)	6-4	vs DAL (1525): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): W 41-14: 1525+16→1541
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): Slight favorite
8 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1541 (-24)	8-2	at SEA (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): L 10-34: 1565-24→1541
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1538 (-4)	5-5	at BUF (1585): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1417): W 23-17: 1542-4→1538
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): Lose by 5 points
10 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1526 (-14)	6-3	at CHI (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): L 10-22: 1540-14→1526
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Slight favorite
11 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526 (-17)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1488): L 10-31: 1543-17→1526
next: (bye)
12 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525 (+16)	7-2	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): W 43-3: 1509+16→1525
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1507 (-17)	5-5	vs DET (1417): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): L 7-45: 1524-17→1507
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1417): Win by 7 points
14 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (+7)	4-5	vs GB (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): W 27-20: 1499+7→1506
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1505 (+17)	4-5	at JAX (1422): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): W 31-10: 1488+17→1505
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1422): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (-11)	3-6	vs ARI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1560): L 0-17: 1515-11→1504
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1541): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494 (-8)	5-4	vs PIT (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): L 20-27: 1502-8→1494
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (-6)	5-3-1	at LAC (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1411): T 16-16(OT): 1497-6→1491
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1491 (+16)	4-6	vs NO (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1487): W 30-13: 1475+16→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1545): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1489	5-4	at LV (1471): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): Slight favorite
21 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (+23)	5-5	vs WAS (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1565): W 34-10: 1466+23→1489
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): Slight favorite
22 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (+14)	3-7	at NYJ (1406): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): W 22-10: 1465+14→1479
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1406): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1473	3-6	at TB (1554): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): Lose by 6 points
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471 (-16)	5-4	vs CIN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): L 14-41: 1487-16→1471
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1489): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1471 (-16)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1475): L 13-30: 1487-16→1471
next: (bye)
26 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (-15)	4-5	vs NE (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): L 3-43: 1483-15→1468
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1467	3-6	vs BAL (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1526): Slight underdog
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1467 (+15)	3-6	at CAR (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): W 29-19: 1452+15→1467
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1425	1-8	at TEN (1563): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1563): Lose by 8 points
30	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1422 (+5)	2-7	vs SF (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): L 17-23: 1417+5→1422
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1505): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1417 (+6)	0-8-1	at CLE (1507): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): T 16-16(OT): 1411+6→1417
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): Lose by 7 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1406 (-10)	2-7	vs MIA (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): L 17-45: 1416-10→1406
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575 (-14)	5-3	at NYJ (1416): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): L 6-9: 1589-14→1575
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1416): Win by 8 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569	6-2	at WAS (1452): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): Win by 7 points
3 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1565 (+9)	8-1	vs CAR (1466): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): W 31-17: 1556+9→1565
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): Win by 8 points
4 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1562 (+13)	7-2	vs NO (1546): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): W 28-16: 1549+13→1562
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1546): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1560 (-7)	7-2	vs SEA (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): L 7-13: 1567-7→1560
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1515): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1546 (-11)	5-3	at TEN (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): L 25-27: 1557-11→1546
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1562): Slight underdog
7 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1543 (-13)	7-2	at SF (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): L 16-28: 1556-13→1543
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1488): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1542 (+3)	4-5	vs JAX (1417): Win by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): W 45-30: 1539+3→1542
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1417): Win by 10 points
9 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1540 (-4)	6-2	at MIA (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 34-31(OT): 1544-4→1540
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1526 (+13)	5-4	vs CLE (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): W 24-6: 1513+13→1526
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1524): Slight favorite
11	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1525 (+7)	5-4	at LV (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1567): W 13-7: 1518+7→1525
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1524 (+19)	5-4	at NE (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): W 41-16: 1505+19→1524
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515	3-5	at GB (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1560): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1509 (-18)	6-2	vs ATL (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): L 16-30: 1527-18→1509
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+3)	5-3	vs MIN (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1478): W 27-24: 1499+3→1502
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+4)	3-5	at LAC (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): L 31-34(OT): 1495+4→1499
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight underdog
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497	5-3	vs DET (1411): Win by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): W 29-27: 1497-0→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1411): Win by 7 points
18 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1489 (-18)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): L 16-41: 1507-18→1489
next: (bye)
19 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1488 (-9)	3-5	vs LAR (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1556): L 17-31: 1497-9→1488
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1487 (-8)	5-3	vs KC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1465): L 16-23: 1495-8→1487
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1487 (+18)	5-4	vs PHI (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): W 30-16: 1469+18→1487
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1475): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1483 (+10)	4-4	at DAL (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1557): W 27-25: 1473+10→1483
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1475 (-3)	3-6	at DEN (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 24-27: 1478-3→1475
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1487): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+8)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): W 23-16: 1465+8→1473
next: (bye)
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (+1)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): L 27-29: 1466+1→1467
next: (bye)
26 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1466 (-13)	4-5	at ARI (1565): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): L 6-24: 1479-13→1466
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1565): Lose by 8 points
27	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (+3)	2-7	vs BAL (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1428): W 17-9: 1462+3→1465
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): Slight underdog
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1452	2-6	vs TB (1569): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): Lose by 7 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1425 (-3)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): L 9-17: 1428-3→1425
next: (bye)
30 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1417 (+13)	2-6	at IND (1542): Lose by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): W 9-6: 1404+13→1417
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): Lose by 10 points
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1416 (-3)	2-6	vs BUF (1575): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): L 30-45: 1419-3→1416
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1411	0-8	at PIT (1497): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1589 (+2)	5-2	at JAX (1404): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): W 26-11: 1587+2→1589
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): Win by 11 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569 (-9)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1547): L 27-36: 1578-9→1569
next: (bye)
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1567 (+4)	7-1	at KC (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1560): W 24-21: 1563+4→1567
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1557 (+10)	5-2	vs ATL (1473): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1578): W 36-27: 1547+10→1557
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): Win by 8 points
5	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1556 (+6)	7-1	vs TEN (1549): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): W 38-22: 1550+6→1556
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1556 (-4)	7-1	at SF (1497): Win by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1563): L 21-24: 1560-4→1556
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): Win by 5 points
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549 (+4)	6-2	at LAR (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): W 34-31(OT): 1545+4→1549
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): Slight underdog
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	5-2	vs MIN (1495): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Win by 7 points
9	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1539 (-4)	3-5	vs NYJ (1419): Win by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1545): L 31-34(OT): 1543-4→1539
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): Win by 11 points
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1527 (+2)	6-1	vs DEN (1469): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): W 20-16: 1525+2→1527
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): Win by 7 points
11	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1518 (-2)	4-4	vs GB (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): W 20-17: 1520-2→1518
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1567): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515 (+10)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1413): W 31-7: 1505+10→1515
next: (bye)
13 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1513 (+6)	4-4	at CAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 27-24: 1507+6→1513
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1507 (-10)	5-3	vs CLE (1505): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): L 31-34: 1517-10→1507
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight favorite
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (-6)	4-4	at CIN (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 10-15: 1511-6→1505
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): Slight underdog
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (-5)	4-3	at PHI (1478): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1507): L 24-27: 1504-5→1499
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1478): Tossup
17 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497 (+5)	4-3	vs CHI (1466): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): W 15-10: 1492+5→1497
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): Win by 5 points
18 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497 (+11)	3-4	vs ARI (1556): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): W 33-22: 1486+11→1497
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1556): Lose by 5 points
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495	5-2	at NYG (1465): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1465): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-2)	3-4	at BAL (1544): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): L 16-20: 1497-2→1495
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): Lose by 7 points
21 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (+7)	4-4	vs NE (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 19-13: 1472+7→1479
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): Slight underdog
22 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1478 (+17)	3-5	vs LAC (1499): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1429): W 44-6: 1461+17→1478
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Tossup
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1473 (-6)	3-4	at NO (1557): Lose by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1472): L 13-19: 1479-6→1473
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1557): Lose by 8 points
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1469 (+4)	4-4	at DAL (1527): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): W 17-10: 1465+4→1469
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): Lose by 7 points
25 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1466 (-11)	3-5	at PIT (1497): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1486): L 22-33: 1477-11→1466
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Lose by 5 points
26	New York GiantsNYG	1465 (+2)	2-6	vs LV (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): L 17-20: 1463+2→1465
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-2)	1-7	vs HOU (1428): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): L 11-26: 1464-2→1462
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1428): Win by 6 points
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1452 (-4)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): L 10-17: 1456-4→1452
next: (bye)
29	Houston TexansHOU	1428 (-7)	1-7	at MIA (1462): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): L 22-38: 1435-7→1428
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Lose by 6 points
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1419 (+10)	2-5	at IND (1539): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 34-31: 1409+10→1419
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): Lose by 11 points
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1411 (-18)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1461): L 6-44: 1429-18→1411
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1404 (-9)	1-6	vs BUF (1589): Lose by 11
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): L 7-31: 1413-9→1404
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587	4-2	vs MIA (1464): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Win by 12 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1578 (+10)	6-1	at NO (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): W 38-3: 1568+10→1578
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1547): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1563 (+4)	6-1	at ARI (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): W 24-10: 1559+4→1563
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1560): Slight underdog
4 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1560 (+7)	7-0	vs GB (1563): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1442): W 31-5: 1553+7→1560
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1563): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1550 (-2)	6-1	at HOU (1435): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1426): W 28-19: 1552-2→1550
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): Win by 8 points
6 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1547	4-2	vs TB (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 13-10: 1547+0→1547
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1578): Slight underdog
7 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1545 (+16)	5-2	at IND (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): W 27-3: 1529+16→1545
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Slight underdog
8 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544 (-24)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): L 17-41: 1568-24→1544
next: (bye)
9	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (+11)	3-4	vs TEN (1545): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): W 30-18: 1532+11→1543
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1545): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525	5-1	at MIN (1497): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1520 (-16)	3-4	vs NYG (1463): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1529): L 3-27: 1536-16→1520
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): Win by 7 points
12 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (+24)	5-2	at NYJ (1409): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): W 41-17: 1493+24→1517
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1409): Win by 7 points
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1511 (-2)	4-3	vs PIT (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): W 17-14: 1513-2→1511
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1507 (+12)	3-4	at LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): W 54-13: 1495+12→1507
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505 (-1)	2-5	vs JAX (1413): Win by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1547): L 10-13: 1506-1→1505
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1413): Win by 8 points
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504	4-2	vs NE (1507): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1507): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497	3-3	vs DAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495 (+8)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1469): W 33-22: 1487+8→1495
next: (bye)
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	3-3	at CLE (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1486 (-11)	2-4	at CHI (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): L 18-30: 1497-11→1486
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+3)	3-3	vs CAR (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): W 30-28: 1476+3→1479
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1472): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1477 (-11)	3-4	vs SF (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1568): L 3-38: 1488-11→1477
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1486): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1472 (-19)	3-4	at ATL (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): L 3-25: 1491-19→1472
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+2)	3-4	vs WAS (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): L 14-17: 1463+2→1465
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1456): Slight favorite
25	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (-3)	1-6	at BUF (1587): Lose by 12
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): L 28-30: 1467-3→1464
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): Lose by 12 points
26 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (+19)	2-5	at KC (1520): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): W 25-3: 1444+19→1463
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): Lose by 7 points
27 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1461 (-8)	2-5	at DET (1429): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): L 22-33: 1469-8→1461
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1429): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1456 (-3)	2-5	at DEN (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1559): L 10-24: 1459-3→1456
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1435 (-7)	1-6	vs LAR (1550): Lose by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1553): L 5-31: 1442-7→1435
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): Lose by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1429 (+3)	0-7	vs PHI (1461): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1552): L 19-28: 1426+3→1429
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1461): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1413	1-5	at SEA (1505): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1409 (-13)	1-5	vs CIN (1517): Lose by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): L 13-54: 1422-13→1409
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587 (-8)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1521): L 31-34: 1595-8→1587
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1568 (+13)	5-1	vs CIN (1493): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): W 34-6: 1555+13→1568
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1568 (-2)	5-1	vs CHI (1488): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1467): W 28-22: 1570-2→1568
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Win by 9 points
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1559 (+6)	5-1	vs WAS (1459): Win by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): W 24-14: 1553+6→1559
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1459): Win by 10 points
5 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1553 (+19)	6-0	vs HOU (1442): Win by 11
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): W 37-14: 1534+19→1553
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1442): Win by 11 points
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1552 (+12)	5-1	vs DET (1426): Win by 12
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 38-11: 1540+12→1552
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1426): Win by 12 points
7 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1547	3-2	at SEA (1506): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536 (+12)	3-3	at TEN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): W 31-13: 1524+12→1536
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1529): Slight underdog
9 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532 (+11)	2-4	at SF (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): W 31-3: 1521+11→1532
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1529 (+8)	4-2	vs KC (1536): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): W 34-31: 1521+8→1529
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525 (+2)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): W 35-29(OT): 1523+2→1525
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513 (-18)	3-3	vs DEN (1463): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1534): L 14-37: 1531-18→1513
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1463): Win by 7 points
13 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (-3)	2-4	vs NO (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 20-23(OT): 1509-3→1506
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1547): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (-14)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1555): L 6-34: 1518-14→1504
next: (bye)
15 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+4)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): W 34-28(OT): 1493+4→1497
next: (bye)
16 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497	2-3	vs IND (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1495 (-1)	2-4	vs NYJ (1422): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 29-35(OT): 1496-1→1495
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): Win by 7 points
18 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (+16)	4-2	at BAL (1568): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1442): W 34-11: 1477+16→1493
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): Lose by 8 points
19 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (+3)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): W 23-20(OT): 1489+3→1492
next: (bye)
20 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1491 (-4)	3-3	at NYG (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1493): L 28-34(OT): 1495-4→1491
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (-6)	3-3	at TB (1568): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1553): L 14-24: 1494-6→1488
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1568): Lose by 9 points
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1487 (+11)	4-2	vs PHI (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1474): W 34-24: 1476+11→1487
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1469): Slight favorite
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476	2-3	at MIA (1467): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): Slight favorite
24 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1469 (+2)	2-4	at LV (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): L 22-28: 1467+2→1469
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1467 (-9)	1-5	vs ATL (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): L 20-23: 1476-9→1467
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1463 (-11)	3-3	at CLE (1513): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): L 24-34: 1474-11→1463
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): Lose by 7 points
27 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459 (-12)	2-4	at GB (1559): Lose by 10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): L 13-31: 1471-12→1459
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1559): Lose by 10 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1444 (-12)	1-5	vs CAR (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): L 11-38: 1456-12→1444
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1442 (-11)	1-5	at ARI (1553): Lose by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): L 3-31: 1453-11→1442
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1553): Lose by 11 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1426 (-16)	0-6	at LAR (1552): Lose by 12
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): L 11-34: 1442-16→1426
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1552): Lose by 12 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1422	1-4	at NE (1495): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1413 (+9)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): W 23-20: 1404+9→1413
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1595 (+13)	4-1	at TEN (1521): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): W 38-20: 1582+13→1595
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1521): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1570 (+10)	4-1	at PHI (1467): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): W 45-17: 1560+10→1570
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1467): Win by 8 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1555 (-2)	4-1	vs LAC (1518): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): W 31-25(OT): 1557-2→1555
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): Win by 6 points
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1553 (-3)	4-1	at CHI (1494): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1475): W 25-22(OT): 1556-3→1553
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Win by 5 points
5	New Orleans SaintsNO	1547 (+7)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): W 33-22: 1540+7→1547
next: (bye)
6 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1540 (+9)	4-1	at NYG (1456): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): W 26-17: 1531+9→1540
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1456): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1534 (+1)	5-0	at CLE (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): W 17-10: 1533+1→1534
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1531 (-4)	3-2	vs ARI (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): L 42-47: 1535-4→1531
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1534): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1524 (-13)	2-3	at WAS (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 20-38: 1537-13→1524
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1471): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (+12)	4-1	at NE (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): W 44-20: 1511+12→1523
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1521 (+3)	1-4	vs HOU (1453): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): L 25-31(OT): 1518+3→1521
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): Win by 8 points
12 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1521 (+9)	3-2	vs BUF (1595): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): W 37-19: 1512+9→1521
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1595): Lose by 6 points
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518 (+4)	4-1	at BAL (1555): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): W 47-42: 1514+4→1518
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1555): Lose by 6 points
14 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509 (-9)	2-3	at PIT (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): L 17-26: 1518-9→1509
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497 (-1)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1533): L 10-17: 1498-1→1497
next: (bye)
16 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1496 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1454): W 25-22: 1495+1→1496
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1495 (-9)	3-2	vs MIN (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1458): L 18-21: 1504-9→1495
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1493): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+13)	3-2	vs GB (1553): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): W 20-9: 1481+13→1494
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1553): Lose by 5 points
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1493 (-4)	2-3	at CAR (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1438): W 19-17: 1497-4→1493
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+6)	2-3	vs SEA (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): W 27-19: 1483+6→1489
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Slight underdog
21 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (+2)	3-2	at DET (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1556): L 22-25(OT): 1475+2→1477
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1442): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (-13)	3-2	at DEN (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): L 9-20: 1489-13→1476
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1474): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (+1)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1424): W 27-20: 1475+1→1476
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476 (-10)	1-4	at JAX (1404): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): L 17-45: 1486-10→1476
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): Win by 7 points
25 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1474 (-6)	3-2	vs LV (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 19-27: 1480-6→1474
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1471 (-7)	2-3	vs KC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1540): L 22-33: 1478-7→1471
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1467 (+9)	2-3	vs TB (1570): Lose by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): W 21-18: 1458+9→1467
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (-12)	1-4	vs LAR (1540): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1511): L 20-44: 1468-12→1456
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): Lose by 7 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1453 (-1)	1-4	at IND (1521): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1495): L 22-25: 1454-1→1453
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): Lose by 8 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1442 (+4)	0-5	vs CIN (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 17-19: 1438+4→1442
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1422 (-2)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 20-27: 1424-2→1422
next: (bye)
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1404 (-8)	0-5	at MIA (1476): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): L 19-37: 1412-8→1404
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (+9)	3-1	at KC (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1463): W 40-0: 1573+9→1582
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): Slight favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1560 (-1)	3-1	vs MIA (1486): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): W 19-17: 1561-1→1560
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Win by 8 points
3 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1557 (+10)	3-1	vs IND (1518): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1491): W 23-7: 1547+10→1557
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): Win by 6 points
4 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1556 (+2)	3-1	at CIN (1475): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): W 27-17: 1554+2→1556
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1475): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1540 (-13)	2-2	at WAS (1478): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): L 21-27(OT): 1553-13→1540
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): Win by 6 points
6 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1537 (+7)	2-2	vs BUF (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): W 42-30: 1530+7→1537
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Slight underdog
7	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1535 (+5)	3-1	at LAC (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): W 14-7: 1530+5→1535
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1533 (+21)	4-0	vs SF (1498): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1552): W 37-20: 1512+21→1533
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): Win by 6 points
9 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531 (-21)	3-1	at SEA (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1512): L 20-37: 1552-21→1531
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1518 (+10)	1-3	at BAL (1557): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): W 27-17: 1508+10→1518
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): Lose by 6 points
11 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518 (+7)	2-2	vs LAR (1531): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): W 28-21: 1511+7→1518
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Slight favorite
12 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+12)	3-1	vs CLE (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): W 28-14: 1502+12→1514
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): Slight underdog
13 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1512 (-11)	2-2	at JAX (1412): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1413): L 24-27(OT): 1523-11→1512
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): Win by 7 points
14 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1511 (+7)	3-1	vs NYG (1468): Win by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1512): W 36-28: 1504+7→1511
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): Win by 6 points
15 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1504 (-8)	3-1	vs PHI (1458): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1504): L 28-36: 1512-8→1504
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1458): Win by 7 points
16 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1498 (-8)	2-2	at ARI (1533): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): L 21-28: 1506-8→1498
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1533): Lose by 6 points
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (-5)	1-3	vs DET (1438): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): L 7-14: 1502-5→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1438): Win by 7 points
18 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1495 (+1)	1-3	at HOU (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): L 17-19: 1494+1→1495
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1454): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1489 (-12)	3-1	vs CHI (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): L 14-28: 1501-12→1489
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486 (-11)	1-3	at TB (1560): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): L 17-27: 1497-11→1486
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): Lose by 8 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (-2)	1-3	vs DEN (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1554): L 17-27: 1485-2→1483
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): Slight favorite
22 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1481 (+6)	2-2	at LV (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): W 24-14: 1475+6→1481
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1480 (-11)	3-1	at PIT (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1547): L 7-23: 1491-11→1480
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1478 (+6)	2-2	vs NO (1540): Lose by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 34-30: 1472+6→1478
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1540): Lose by 6 points
25 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-6)	1-3	at NYJ (1424): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): L 30-34: 1481-6→1475
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1424): Win by 6 points
26 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1475 (-5)	3-1	vs GB (1556): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): W 24-21: 1480-5→1475
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1556): Lose by 6 points
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (+13)	1-3	at DAL (1511): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1553): W 27-21(OT): 1455+13→1468
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1511): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1458 (-7)	1-3	at CAR (1504): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): L 30-42: 1465-7→1458
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): Lose by 7 points
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1454 (-9)	1-3	vs NE (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): L 0-40: 1463-9→1454
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1495): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1438 (-6)	0-4	at MIN (1497): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1475): L 14-24: 1444-6→1438
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Lose by 7 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1424 (+11)	1-3	at ATL (1475): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1523): W 27-24(OT): 1413+11→1424
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Lose by 6 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1412 (+5)	0-4	vs TEN (1512): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): L 21-24: 1407+5→1412
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573 (+8)	2-1	vs HOU (1463): Win by 11
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): W 43-21: 1565+8→1573
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1463): Win by 11 points
2 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1561 (-12)	2-1	at NE (1494): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): L 24-34: 1573-12→1561
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1494): Win by 6 points
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1554	2-1	vs PIT (1485): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): W 30-28: 1554+0→1554
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): Win by 8 points
4 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553 (+12)	2-1	vs NYG (1455): Win by 11
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1506): W 28-13: 1541+12→1553
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Win by 11 points
5 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1552 (+12)	3-0	vs ARI (1512): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1573): W 34-24: 1540+12→1552
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1512): Win by 6 points
6 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1547 (-6)	2-1	at DEN (1491): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1438): W 19-17: 1553-6→1547
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1491): Win by 5 points
7 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1530 (+12)	2-1	at MIN (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): W 26-6: 1518+12→1530
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1530 (-12)	1-2	at PHI (1465): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 24-30: 1542-12→1530
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1465): Win by 6 points
9 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1523 (+7)	2-1	at NYJ (1413): Win by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): W 25-16: 1516+7→1523
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1413): Win by 9 points
10 (+7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1512 (+13)	3-0	at DAL (1504): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1476): W 24-9: 1499+13→1512
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1504): Tossup
11 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1512 (+4)	3-0	at LAR (1552): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): W 31-19: 1508+4→1512
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1552): Lose by 6 points
12 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (-15)	1-2	at SF (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 17-30: 1526-15→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (-8)	0-3	at MIA (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): L 16-25: 1516-8→1508
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Slight underdog
14 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506	2-1	vs SEA (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): L 28-30: 1506-0→1506
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Slight favorite
15 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1504 (+15)	2-1	vs CAR (1512): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): W 41-21: 1489+15→1504
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1512): Tossup
16 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (+16)	1-2	vs CLE (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): W 30-17: 1486+16→1502
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+12)	2-1	vs LV (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): W 30-24: 1490+12→1502
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1501	3-0	at LAC (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): W 31-28(OT): 1501+0→1501
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497 (-1)	1-2	vs IND (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): L 28-31(OT): 1498-1→1497
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (-12)	1-2	vs TB (1561): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1541): L 13-28: 1506-12→1494
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): Lose by 6 points
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1491 (+12)	3-0	vs BAL (1547): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): W 26-0: 1479+12→1491
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1547): Lose by 5 points
22 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1485 (-19)	1-2	at GB (1554): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1460): L 10-24: 1504-19→1485
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1554): Lose by 8 points
23 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (+4)	1-2	vs WAS (1472): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 17-14: 1477+4→1481
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1472): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1480 (+20)	2-1	vs JAX (1407): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): W 24-10: 1460+20→1480
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): Win by 8 points
25 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1475 (-12)	1-2	vs DET (1444): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): L 6-26: 1487-12→1475
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): Win by 6 points
26 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1472 (-8)	1-2	at ATL (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): L 21-43: 1480-8→1472
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1465 (-14)	1-2	vs KC (1530): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1489): L 21-41: 1479-14→1465
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1463 (-13)	1-2	at BUF (1573): Lose by 11
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1499): L 9-24: 1476-13→1463
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Lose by 11 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (-3)	0-3	at NO (1553): Lose by 11
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): L 14-17: 1458-3→1455
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1553): Lose by 11 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1444 (+6)	0-3	at CHI (1475): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1553): L 17-19: 1438+6→1444
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1475): Lose by 6 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1413 (-11)	0-3	vs TEN (1523): Lose by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1479): L 0-26: 1424-11→1413
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1523): Lose by 9 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1407 (-5)	0-3	at CIN (1480): Lose by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): L 19-31: 1412-5→1407
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1573 (+7)	2-0	at LAR (1540): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): W 48-25: 1566+7→1573
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): Slight favorite
2 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565 (+19)	1-1	vs WAS (1480): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): W 35-0: 1546+19→1565
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1554 (+4)	1-1	at SF (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1442): W 35-17: 1550+4→1554
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1553 (+2)	1-1	at DET (1438): Win by 9
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): W 36-35: 1551+2→1553
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1438): Win by 9 points
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1542 (-2)	1-1	vs LAC (1490): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): L 35-36: 1544-2→1542
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Win by 7 points
6 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1541 (-25)	1-1	at NE (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): L 7-26: 1566-25→1541
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1506): Slight favorite
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1540 (+3)	2-0	vs TB (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): W 27-24: 1537+3→1540
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1573): Slight underdog
8	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1526 (-7)	1-1	at MIN (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1509): L 30-33(OT): 1533-7→1526
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+5)	1-1	vs CHI (1487): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1482): W 31-21: 1513+5→1518
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Win by 6 points
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516 (-3)	0-2	at TEN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): L 24-27: 1519-3→1516
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1516 (+7)	1-1	vs IND (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): W 33-30(OT): 1509+7→1516
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1508	2-0	at JAX (1412): Win by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): W 34-33: 1508-0→1508
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): Win by 8 points
13 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506 (+4)	2-0	vs GB (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1484): W 17-11: 1502+4→1506
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1506 (+12)	1-1	vs NO (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1436): W 25-6: 1494+12→1506
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1541): Slight underdog
15 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504 (-15)	1-1	vs CIN (1460): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): L 17-26: 1519-15→1504
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1460): Win by 7 points
16 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1501 (+15)	2-0	vs MIA (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1519): W 26-17: 1486+15→1501
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Slight favorite
17 (+9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1499 (+25)	2-0	at HOU (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1566): W 26-7: 1474+25→1499
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1476): Slight favorite
18 (-7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (-18)	1-1	at LV (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): L 0-35: 1516-18→1498
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (-6)	1-1	at KC (1542): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): L 17-20: 1496-6→1490
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): Lose by 7 points
20 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1489 (+6)	1-1	vs PHI (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): W 20-17: 1483+6→1489
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (-2)	1-1	at CLE (1518): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): W 20-17: 1489-2→1487
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Lose by 6 points
22 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486	0-2	vs SEA (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): L 33-34: 1486+0→1486
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1480 (-1)	1-1	at BUF (1565): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 30-29: 1481-1→1480
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): Lose by 9 points
24 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1479 (+6)	2-0	vs NYJ (1424): Win by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1418): W 23-13: 1473+6→1479
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): Win by 7 points
25 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1479 (-5)	1-1	at DAL (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): L 11-17: 1484-5→1479
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1489): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (-8)	0-2	at NYG (1458): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1566): L 25-48: 1485-8→1477
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Tossup
27 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1476 (-6)	1-1	vs CAR (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): L 21-31: 1482-6→1476
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1499): Slight underdog
28	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1460 (+2)	1-1	at PIT (1504): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): L 17-20: 1458+2→1460
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): Lose by 7 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1458	0-2	vs ATL (1477): Tossup
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1481): L 29-30: 1458+0→1458
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): Tossup
30	Detroit LionsDET	1438 (-4)	0-2	vs BAL (1553): Lose by 9
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): L 17-35: 1442-4→1438
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1553): Lose by 9 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1424 (-12)	0-2	at DEN (1479): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): L 6-25: 1436-12→1424
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1479): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1412 (-6)	0-2	vs ARI (1508): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1473): L 13-23: 1418-6→1412
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1566 (-4)	1-0	vs ATL (1485): Win by 10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): W 31-29: 1570-4→1566
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Win by 10 points
2 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566 (+11)	1-0	at CAR (1474): Win by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1561): W 38-3: 1555+11→1566
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): Win by 8 points
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1551 (-5)	0-1	vs KC (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 27-33(OT): 1556-5→1551
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (-11)	0-1	vs DET (1442): Win by 12
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1555): L 3-38: 1561-11→1550
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1442): Win by 12 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1546 (-7)	0-1	at MIA (1516): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): L 16-23: 1553-7→1546
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): Slight favorite
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1544 (-1)	1-0	at BAL (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): W 33-29: 1545-1→1544
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): Slight underdog
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (+6)	1-0	at IND (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 34-14: 1531+6→1537
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1533 (+7)	1-0	vs TEN (1509): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): W 28-16: 1526+7→1533
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1509): Win by 5 points
9 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1519 (+7)	1-0	vs LV (1486): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1553): W 23-16: 1512+7→1519
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): Win by 6 points
10 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1519 (-7)	0-1	vs LAR (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): L 16-28: 1526-7→1519
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Slight underdog
11	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516 (+1)	1-0	vs BUF (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): W 17-16: 1515+1→1516
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1546): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513 (+1)	0-1	vs HOU (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): L 29-33: 1512+1→1513
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1482): Win by 6 points
13 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1509 (-12)	0-1	at SEA (1533): Lose by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): L 13-38: 1521-12→1509
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): Lose by 5 points
14 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1508 (+12)	1-0	vs MIN (1486): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1521): W 38-13: 1496+12→1508
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Win by 5 points
15 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502 (+2)	1-0	at PHI (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1443): W 41-33: 1500+2→1502
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1484): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (+2)	1-0	vs DAL (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): W 20-16: 1494+2→1496
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): Slight favorite
17	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (-2)	0-1	at NYJ (1436): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): L 16-17: 1496-2→1494
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1436): Win by 6 points
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (-6)	0-1	vs CIN (1458): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): L 14-34: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): Win by 6 points
19 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1486 (+5)	1-0	at PIT (1519): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): W 33-27(OT): 1481+5→1486
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1519): Lose by 6 points
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-2)	0-1	at ARI (1508): Lose by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1456): L 24-27(OT): 1488-2→1486
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): Lose by 5 points
21 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (-12)	0-1	at TB (1566): Lose by 10
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1471): L 6-32: 1497-12→1485
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1566): Lose by 10 points
22 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1484 (+13)	1-0	vs SF (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): W 32-6: 1471+13→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Slight underdog
23	Dallas CowboysDAL	1483 (+4)	0-1	at LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): L 29-31: 1479+4→1483
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
24	Houston TexansHOU	1482 (+4)	1-0	at CLE (1513): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1422): W 37-21: 1478+4→1482
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): Lose by 6 points
25 (-4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1481 (-2)	0-1	vs NYG (1458): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 16-20: 1483-2→1481
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Win by 5 points
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1474 (-1)	1-0	vs NO (1566): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1435): W 19-14: 1475-1→1474
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1566): Lose by 8 points
27 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473 (+8)	1-0	at JAX (1418): Win by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): W 27-13: 1465+8→1473
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1418): Win by 6 points
28 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1458 (+2)	1-0	at CHI (1489): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): W 27-24(OT): 1456+2→1458
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Lose by 6 points
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-8)	0-1	at WAS (1481): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): L 13-27: 1466-8→1458
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1481): Lose by 5 points
30	Detroit LionsDET	1442 (-1)	0-1	at GB (1550): Lose by 12
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 33-41: 1443-1→1442
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Lose by 12 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1436 (+1)	0-1	vs NE (1494): Lose by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): L 14-19: 1435+1→1436
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): Lose by 6 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1418 (-4)	0-1	vs DEN (1473): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1478): L 21-37: 1422-4→1418
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1473): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1570	0-0	vs DAL (1479): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1606-36→1570
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): Win by 11 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1561	0-0	at NO (1555): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1592-31→1561
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1555): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1556	0-0	at LV (1481): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1585-29→1556
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Win by 7 points
4	New Orleans SaintsNO	1555	0-0	at GB (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1583-28→1555
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1561): Slight underdog
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1553	0-0	vs PIT (1512): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1580-27→1553
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Win by 7 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545	0-0	vs CLE (1512): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1568-23→1545
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Win by 6 points
7	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531	0-0	vs CHI (1495): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1547-16→1531
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Win by 6 points
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1526	0-0	vs SEA (1526): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1539-13→1526
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): Slight favorite
9	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1526	0-0	at IND (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1539-13→1526
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): Slight underdog
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1521	0-0	vs ARI (1496): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1531-10→1521
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): Win by 6 points
11	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515	0-0	at NE (1496): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1522-7→1515
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): Slight favorite
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512	0-0	at BUF (1553): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1519-7→1512
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1553): Lose by 7 points
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512	0-0	at KC (1545): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1518-6→1512
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Lose by 6 points
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at DET (1443): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1443): Win by 6 points
15	Atlanta FalconsATL	1497	0-0	vs PHI (1471): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1495+2→1497
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1471): Win by 6 points
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1496	0-0	at TEN (1521): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1494+2→1496
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1521): Lose by 6 points
17	New England PatriotsNE	1496	0-0	vs MIA (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1493+3→1496
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Slight underdog
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1495	0-0	at LAR (1531): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+3→1495
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Lose by 6 points
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494	0-0	at WAS (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1490+4→1494
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1483): Slight underdog
20	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488	0-0	at CIN (1456): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1482+6→1488
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1456): Slight favorite
21	Washington Football TeamWAS	1483	0-0	vs LAC (1494): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+10→1483
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight favorite
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481	0-0	vs BAL (1556): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1471+10→1481
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): Lose by 7 points
23	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479	0-0	at TB (1570): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1469+10→1479
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): Lose by 11 points
24	Houston TexansHOU	1478	0-0	vs JAX (1422): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1467+11→1478
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1422): Win by 8 points
25	Carolina PanthersCAR	1475	0-0	vs NYJ (1435): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1462+13→1475
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1435): Win by 7 points
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1471	0-0	at ATL (1497): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1457+14→1471
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): Lose by 6 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1466	0-0	vs DEN (1465): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1448+18→1466
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight favorite
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	0-0	at NYG (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1447+18→1465
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): Slight underdog
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1456	0-0	vs MIN (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1433+23→1456
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Slight underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1443	0-0	vs SF (1500): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1414+29→1443
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Lose by 6 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1435	0-0	at CAR (1475): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1401+34→1435
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1422	0-0	at HOU (1478): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1381+41→1422
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1478): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at TEN(1521) W 38-13: +12→1508	9	3	at SF(1497) W 31-17: +9→1565	17	11	at DAL(1552) W 25-22: +6→1532
2	12	vs MIN(1486) W 34-33: -0→1508	10	8	vs CAR(1466) L 10-34: -24→1541	18	12	vs SEA(1508) L 30-38: -10→1522
3	11	at JAX(1412) W 31-19: +4→1512	11	6	at SEA(1504) W 23-13: +9→1550	W	15	at LAR(1550) L 11-34: -13→1509
4	8	at LAR(1552) W 37-20: +21→1533	12	6	(bye)	D	15
5	7	vs SF(1498) W 17-10: +1→1534	13	6	at CHI(1468) W 33-22: +7→1557	C	15
6	5	at CLE(1531) W 37-14: +19→1553	14	7	vs LAR(1533) L 23-30: -8→1549	S	15
7	4	vs HOU(1442) W 31-5: +7→1560	15	12	at DET(1408) L 12-30: -20→1529
8	6	vs GB(1563) L 21-24: -4→1556	16	12	vs IND(1574) L 16-22: -3→1526

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs PHI(1471) L 6-32: -12→1485	9	22	at NO(1557) W 27-25: +10→1483	17	26	at BUF(1594) L 15-29: -4→1447
2	26	at TB(1566) L 25-48: -8→1477	10	26	at DAL(1509) L 3-43: -15→1468	18	26	vs NO(1515) L 20-30: -6→1441
3	23	at NYG(1458) W 17-14: +4→1481	11	28	vs NE(1543) L 0-25: -14→1454	W	26
4	25	vs WAS(1472) L 30-34: -6→1475	12	28	at JAX(1409) W 21-14: +5→1459	D	26
5	23	at NYJ(1424) W 27-20: +1→1476	13	28	vs TB(1572) L 17-30: -9→1450	C	26
6	23	(bye)	14	24	at CAR(1467) W 29-21: +10→1460	S	26
7	21	at MIA(1467) W 30-28: +3→1479	15	25	at SF(1521) L 13-31: -10→1450
8	23	vs CAR(1472) L 13-19: -6→1473	16	26	vs DET(1428) W 20-16: +1→1451

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at LV(1481) L 27-33: -5→1551	9	9	vs MIN(1495) W 34-31: -4→1540	17	18	vs LAR(1554) L 19-20: -2→1505
2	4	vs KC(1544) W 36-35: +2→1553	10	10	at MIA(1465) L 10-22: -14→1526	18	19	vs PIT(1480) L 13-16: -6→1499
3	6	at DET(1438) W 19-17: -6→1547	11	10	at CHI(1467) W 16-13: +2→1528	W	19
4	3	at DEN(1491) W 23-7: +10→1557	12	9	vs CLE(1504) W 16-10: +2→1530	D	19
5	3	vs IND(1518) W 31-25: -2→1555	13	10	at PIT(1474) L 19-20: -4→1526	C	19
6	2	vs LAC(1518) W 34-6: +13→1568	14	11	at CLE(1502) L 22-24: -2→1524	S	19
7	8	vs CIN(1493) L 17-41: -24→1544	15	13	vs GB(1576) L 30-31: -2→1522
8	8	(bye)	16	16	at CIN(1503) L 21-41: -15→1507

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-83 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs PIT(1512) L 16-23: -7→1546	9	1	at JAX(1404) L 6-9: -14→1575	17	1	vs ATL(1451) W 29-15: +4→1598
2	2	at MIA(1516) W 35-0: +19→1565	10	1	at NYJ(1416) W 45-17: +10→1585	18	1	vs NYJ(1397) W 27-10: +1→1599
3	1	vs WAS(1480) W 43-21: +8→1573	11	3	vs IND(1538) L 15-41: -21→1564	W	1	vs NE(1553) W 47-17: +13→1612
4	1	vs HOU(1463) W 40-0: +9→1582	12	1	at NO(1534) W 31-6: +17→1581	D	1	at KC(1580) L 36-42: -4→1608
5	1	at KC(1537) W 38-20: +13→1595	13	3	vs NE(1571) L 10-14: -5→1576	C	1
6	1	at TEN(1521) L 31-34: -8→1587	14	4	at TB(1581) L 27-33: -1→1575	S	1
7	1	(bye)	15	1	vs CAR(1457) W 31-14: +7→1582
8	1	vs MIA(1464) W 26-11: +2→1589	16	1	at NE(1568) W 33-21: +12→1594

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs NYJ(1435) W 19-14: -1→1474	9	26	vs NE(1513) L 6-24: -13→1466	17	27	at NO(1514) L 10-18: -2→1435
2	17	vs NO(1566) W 26-7: +25→1499	10	21	at ARI(1565) W 34-10: +23→1489	18	28	at TB(1576) L 17-41: -6→1429
3	10	at HOU(1476) W 24-9: +13→1512	11	21	vs WAS(1467) L 21-27: -7→1482	W	28
4	15	at DAL(1504) L 28-36: -8→1504	12	26	at MIA(1482) L 10-33: -15→1467	D	28
5	17	vs PHI(1458) L 18-21: -9→1495	13	24	(bye)	C	28
6	20	vs MIN(1493) L 28-34: -4→1491	14	25	vs ATL(1450) L 21-29: -10→1457	S	28
7	23	at NYG(1444) L 3-25: -19→1472	15	26	at BUF(1575) L 14-31: -7→1450
8	21	at ATL(1479) W 19-13: +7→1479	16	27	vs TB(1569) L 6-32: -13→1437

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at LAR(1531) L 14-34: -6→1489	9	25	at PIT(1497) L 27-29: +1→1467	17	22	vs NYG(1427) W 29-3: +14→1470
2	21	vs CIN(1458) W 20-17: -2→1487	10	27	(bye)	18	25	at MIN(1494) L 17-31: -10→1460
3	25	at CLE(1518) L 6-26: -12→1475	11	25	vs BAL(1526) L 13-16: -2→1465	W	25
4	22	vs DET(1444) W 24-14: +6→1481	12	25	at DET(1420) W 16-14: +3→1468	D	25
5	18	at LV(1489) W 20-9: +13→1494	13	26	vs ARI(1550) L 22-33: -8→1460	C	25
6	21	vs GB(1553) L 14-24: -6→1488	14	26	at GB(1570) L 30-45: -6→1454	S	25
7	22	at TB(1568) L 3-38: -11→1477	15	27	vs MIN(1506) L 9-17: -6→1448
8	25	vs SF(1486) L 22-33: -11→1466	16	25	at SEA(1505) W 25-24: +8→1456

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs MIN(1488) W 27-24: +2→1458	9	18	vs CLE(1505) L 16-41: -18→1489	17	13	vs KC(1580) W 34-31: +5→1523
2	28	at CHI(1489) L 17-20: +2→1460	10	20	(bye)	18	13	at CLE(1487) L 16-21: -4→1519
3	24	at PIT(1504) W 24-10: +20→1480	11	16	at LV(1471) W 32-13: +15→1504	W	12	vs LV(1472) W 26-19: +1→1520
4	26	vs JAX(1407) W 24-21: -5→1475	12	12	vs PIT(1490) W 41-10: +15→1519	D	11	at TEN(1548) W 19-16: +8→1528
5	21	vs GB(1556) L 22-25: +2→1477	13	18	vs LAC(1484) L 22-41: -17→1502	C	11	at KC(1584) W 27-24: +9→1537
6	18	at DET(1442) W 34-11: +16→1493	14	20	vs SF(1517) L 23-26: -4→1498	S	10	at LAR(1571) L 20-23: +3→1540
7	12	at BAL(1568) W 41-17: +24→1517	15	19	at DEN(1489) W 15-10: +5→1503
8	14	at NYJ(1409) L 31-34: -10→1507	16	14	vs BAL(1522) W 41-21: +15→1518

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at KC(1545) L 29-33: +1→1513	9	12	at CIN(1507) W 41-16: +19→1524	17	20	at PIT(1469) L 14-26: -12→1487
2	9	vs HOU(1482) W 31-21: +5→1518	10	13	at NE(1526) L 7-45: -17→1507	18	20	vs CIN(1523) W 21-16: +5→1492
3	7	vs CHI(1487) W 26-6: +12→1530	11	15	vs DET(1417) W 13-10: -3→1504	W	20
4	7	at MIN(1502) W 14-7: +5→1535	12	16	at BAL(1528) L 10-16: -2→1502	D	20
5	8	at LAC(1514) L 42-47: -4→1531	13	16	(bye)	C	20
6	12	vs ARI(1534) L 14-37: -18→1513	14	19	vs BAL(1526) W 24-22: +2→1504	S	20
7	13	vs DEN(1463) W 17-14: -2→1511	15	20	vs LV(1446) L 14-16: -7→1497
8	15	vs PIT(1492) L 10-15: -6→1505	16	18	at GB(1579) L 22-24: +2→1499

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at TB(1570) L 29-31: +4→1483	9	14	vs DEN(1469) L 16-30: -18→1509	17	9	vs ARI(1526) L 22-25: -6→1546
2	20	at LAC(1496) W 20-17: +6→1489	10	12	vs ATL(1483) W 43-3: +16→1525	18	5	at PHI(1527) W 51-26: +17→1563
3	15	vs PHI(1479) W 41-21: +15→1504	11	13	at KC(1541) L 9-19: -7→1518	W	6	vs SF(1541) L 17-23: -8→1555
4	14	vs CAR(1512) W 36-28: +7→1511	12	14	vs LV(1457) L 33-36: -7→1511	D	7
5	10	vs NYG(1468) W 44-20: +12→1523	13	11	at NO(1517) W 27-17: +11→1522	C	7
6	11	at NE(1496) W 35-29: +2→1525	14	10	at WAS(1481) W 27-20: +5→1527	S	7
7	10	(bye)	15	8	at NYG(1450) W 21-6: +11→1538
8	10	at MIN(1497) W 20-16: +2→1527	16	8	vs WAS(1471) W 56-14: +14→1552

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at NYG(1466) W 27-13: +8→1473	9	21	at DAL(1527) W 30-16: +18→1487	17	24	at LAC(1496) L 13-34: -13→1468
2	24	at JAX(1418) W 23-13: +6→1479	10	25	vs PHI(1475) L 13-30: -16→1471	18	23	vs KC(1574) L 24-28: +2→1470
3	21	vs NYJ(1424) W 26-0: +12→1491	11	24	(bye)	W	23
4	23	vs BAL(1547) L 7-23: -11→1480	12	21	vs LAC(1496) W 28-13: +11→1482	D	23
5	25	at PIT(1483) L 19-27: -6→1474	13	23	at KC(1548) L 9-22: -6→1476	C	23
6	26	vs LV(1476) L 24-34: -11→1463	14	21	vs DET(1422) W 38-10: +13→1489	S	23
7	24	at CLE(1513) L 14-17: +2→1465	15	21	vs CIN(1498) L 10-15: -4→1485
8	24	vs WAS(1456) W 17-10: +4→1469	16	21	at LV(1453) L 13-17: -4→1481

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1547 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs SF(1500) L 33-41: -1→1442	9	32	(bye)	17	29	at SEA(1497) L 29-51: -11→1416
2	30	at GB(1550) L 17-35: -4→1438	10	31	at PIT(1497) T 16-16: +6→1417	18	27	vs GB(1588) W 37-30: +15→1431
3	30	vs BAL(1553) L 17-19: +6→1444	11	30	at CLE(1507) L 10-13: +3→1420	W	27
4	30	at CHI(1475) L 14-24: -6→1438	12	30	vs CHI(1465) L 14-16: -3→1417	D	27
5	30	at MIN(1497) L 17-19: +4→1442	13	29	vs MIN(1506) W 29-27: +5→1422	C	27
6	30	vs CIN(1477) L 11-34: -16→1426	14	29	at DEN(1476) L 10-38: -14→1408	S	27
7	30	at LAR(1552) L 19-28: +3→1429	15	29	vs ARI(1549) W 30-12: +20→1428
8	31	vs PHI(1461) L 6-44: -18→1411	16	29	at ATL(1450) L 16-20: -1→1427

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NO(1555) L 3-38: -11→1550	9	5	at KC(1518) L 7-13: -7→1560	17	2	vs MIN(1506) W 37-10: +12→1588
2	3	vs DET(1442) W 35-17: +4→1554	10	2	vs SEA(1515) W 17-0: +11→1571	18	3	at DET(1416) L 30-37: -15→1573
3	3	at SF(1506) W 30-28: +0→1554	11	1	at MIN(1506) L 31-34: -6→1565	W	4	(bye)
4	4	vs PIT(1485) W 27-17: +2→1556	12	4	vs LAR(1526) W 36-28: +5→1570	D	5	vs SF(1549) L 10-13: -8→1565
5	4	at CIN(1475) W 25-22: -3→1553	13	4	(bye)	C	5
6	4	at CHI(1494) W 24-14: +6→1559	14	2	vs CHI(1460) W 45-30: +6→1576	S	5
7	3	vs WAS(1459) W 24-10: +4→1563	15	2	at BAL(1524) W 31-30: +3→1579
8	3	at ARI(1560) W 24-21: +4→1567	16	5	vs CLE(1497) W 24-22: -3→1576

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+63 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs JAX(1422) W 37-21: +4→1482	9	29	at MIA(1462) L 9-17: -3→1425	17	28	at SF(1529) L 7-23: -7→1425
2	27	at CLE(1513) L 21-31: -6→1476	10	29	(bye)	18	29	vs TEN(1551) L 25-28: +3→1428
3	28	vs CAR(1499) L 9-24: -13→1463	11	29	at TEN(1563) W 22-13: +15→1440	W	29
4	29	at BUF(1573) L 0-40: -9→1454	12	29	vs NYJ(1403) L 14-21: -9→1431	D	29
5	29	vs NE(1495) L 22-25: -1→1453	13	30	vs IND(1551) L 0-31: -14→1417	C	29
6	29	at IND(1521) L 3-31: -11→1442	14	30	vs SEA(1498) L 13-33: -14→1403	S	29
7	29	at ARI(1553) L 5-31: -7→1435	15	30	at JAX(1386) W 30-16: +14→1417
8	29	vs LAR(1550) L 22-38: -7→1428	16	28	vs LAC(1511) W 41-29: +15→1432

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs SEA(1526) L 16-28: -7→1519	9	8	vs NYJ(1419) W 45-30: +3→1542	17	5	vs LV(1457) L 20-23: -12→1566
2	10	vs LAR(1537) L 24-27: -3→1516	10	9	vs JAX(1417) W 23-17: -4→1538	18	9	at JAX(1364) L 11-26: -23→1543
3	13	at TEN(1516) L 16-25: -8→1508	11	4	at BUF(1585) W 41-15: +20→1558	W	9
4	10	at MIA(1497) W 27-17: +10→1518	12	5	vs TB(1565) L 31-38: -7→1551	D	8
5	11	at BAL(1557) L 25-31: +3→1521	13	5	at HOU(1431) W 31-0: +15→1566	C	8
6	9	vs HOU(1453) W 31-3: +11→1532	14	6	(bye)	S	8
7	9	at SF(1497) W 30-18: +11→1543	15	3	vs NE(1576) W 27-17: +8→1574
8	9	vs TEN(1545) L 31-34: -4→1539	16	4	at ARI(1529) W 22-16: +4→1578

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+98 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1544 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at HOU(1478) L 21-37: -4→1418	9	30	vs BUF(1589) W 9-6: +13→1417	17	32	at NE(1556) L 10-50: -8→1364
2	32	vs DEN(1473) L 13-23: -6→1412	10	30	at IND(1542) L 17-23: +5→1422	18	32	vs IND(1566) W 26-11: +24→1388
3	32	vs ARI(1508) L 19-31: -5→1407	11	31	vs SF(1505) L 10-30: -13→1409	W	32
4	32	at CIN(1480) L 21-24: +5→1412	12	32	vs ATL(1454) L 14-21: -5→1404	D	32
5	32	vs TEN(1512) L 19-37: -8→1404	13	32	at LAR(1521) L 7-37: -11→1393	C	32
6	32	at MIA(1476) W 23-20: +9→1413	14	32	at TEN(1533) L 0-20: -7→1386	S	32
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1403) L 16-30: -13→1373
8	32	at SEA(1505) L 7-31: -9→1404	16	32	at NYJ(1390) L 21-26: -1→1372

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs CLE(1512) W 33-29: -1→1544	9	11	vs GB(1567) W 13-7: +7→1525	17	4	at CIN(1518) L 31-34: -6→1574
2	5	at BAL(1551) L 35-36: -2→1542	10	7	at LV(1487) W 41-14: +16→1541	18	4	at DEN(1468) W 28-24: -2→1572
3	8	vs LAC(1490) L 24-30: -12→1530	11	7	vs DAL(1525) W 19-9: +7→1548	W	3	vs PIT(1486) W 42-21: +8→1580
4	6	at PHI(1465) W 42-30: +7→1537	12	7	(bye)	D	2	vs BUF(1612) W 42-36: +4→1584
5	9	vs BUF(1582) L 20-38: -13→1524	13	7	vs DEN(1482) W 22-9: +7→1555	C	3	vs CIN(1528) L 24-27: -9→1575
6	8	at WAS(1471) W 31-13: +12→1536	14	5	vs LV(1459) W 48-9: +13→1568	S	3
7	11	at TEN(1529) L 3-27: -16→1520	15	4	at LAC(1512) W 34-28: +1→1569
8	11	vs NYG(1463) W 20-17: -2→1518	16	3	vs PIT(1479) W 36-10: +11→1580

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1511 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs BAL(1556) W 33-27: +5→1486	9	20	at NYG(1465) L 16-23: -8→1487	17	23	at IND(1578) W 23-20: +11→1468
2	16	at PIT(1519) W 26-17: +15→1501	10	24	vs KC(1525) L 14-41: -16→1471	18	22	vs LAC(1510) W 35-32: +4→1472
3	18	vs MIA(1498) W 31-28: +0→1501	11	27	vs CIN(1489) L 13-32: -14→1457	W	22	at CIN(1519) L 19-26: -1→1471
4	19	at LAC(1502) L 14-28: -12→1489	12	27	at DAL(1518) W 36-33: +7→1464	D	22
5	22	vs CHI(1481) L 9-20: -13→1476	13	27	vs WAS(1477) L 15-17: -5→1459	C	22
6	22	at DEN(1474) W 34-24: +11→1487	14	28	at KC(1555) L 9-48: -13→1446	S	22
7	18	vs PHI(1469) W 33-22: +8→1495	15	24	at CLE(1504) W 16-14: +7→1453
8	19	(bye)	16	24	vs DEN(1485) W 17-13: +4→1457

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at WAS(1483) W 20-16: +2→1496	9	15	at PHI(1478) W 27-24: +3→1502	17	15	vs DEN(1481) W 34-13: +14→1510
2	19	vs DAL(1483) L 17-20: -6→1490	10	17	vs MIN(1499) L 20-27: -8→1494	18	17	at LV(1468) L 32-35: -4→1506
3	17	at KC(1542) W 30-24: +12→1502	11	18	vs PIT(1491) W 41-37: +2→1496	W	16
4	12	vs LV(1501) W 28-14: +12→1514	12	20	at DEN(1471) L 13-28: -12→1484	D	16
5	13	vs CLE(1535) W 47-42: +4→1518	13	17	at CIN(1519) W 41-22: +18→1502	C	16
6	14	at BAL(1555) L 6-34: -14→1504	14	14	vs NYG(1460) W 37-21: +10→1512	S	16
7	16	(bye)	15	16	vs KC(1568) L 28-34: -1→1511
8	16	vs NE(1507) L 24-27: -5→1499	16	20	at HOU(1417) L 29-41: -15→1496

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs CHI(1495) W 34-14: +6→1537	9	7	vs TEN(1549) L 16-28: -13→1543	17	7	at BAL(1507) W 20-19: +2→1556
2	7	at IND(1519) W 27-24: +3→1540	10	11	at SF(1488) L 10-31: -17→1526	18	7	vs SF(1536) L 24-27: -6→1550
3	5	vs TB(1573) W 34-24: +12→1552	11	11	(bye)	W	5	vs ARI(1522) W 34-11: +13→1563
4	9	vs ARI(1512) L 20-37: -21→1531	12	11	at GB(1565) L 28-36: -5→1521	D	4	at TB(1590) W 30-27: +8→1571
5	6	at SEA(1518) W 26-17: +9→1540	13	9	vs JAX(1404) W 37-7: +12→1533	C	4	vs SF(1557) W 20-17: +0→1571
6	6	at NYG(1456) W 38-11: +12→1552	14	8	at ARI(1557) W 30-23: +8→1541	S	4	vs CIN(1537) W 23-20: -2→1569
7	5	vs DET(1426) W 28-19: -2→1550	15	7	vs SEA(1512) W 20-10: +7→1548
8	5	at HOU(1435) W 38-22: +6→1556	16	7	at MIN(1511) W 30-23: +6→1554

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at NE(1496) W 17-16: +1→1516	9	27	vs HOU(1428) W 17-9: +3→1465	17	17	at TEN(1536) L 3-34: -15→1505
2	18	vs BUF(1546) L 0-35: -18→1498	10	22	vs BAL(1540) W 22-10: +14→1479	18	15	vs NE(1563) W 33-24: +11→1516
3	19	at LV(1501) L 28-31: -1→1497	11	22	at NYJ(1406) W 24-17: +3→1482	W	14
4	20	vs IND(1508) L 17-27: -11→1486	12	18	vs CAR(1482) W 33-10: +15→1497	D	14
5	24	at TB(1560) L 17-45: -10→1476	13	15	vs NYG(1468) W 20-9: +8→1505	C	14
6	25	at JAX(1404) L 20-23: -9→1467	14	18	(bye)	S	14
7	25	vs ATL(1476) L 28-30: -3→1464	15	18	vs NYJ(1389) W 31-24: -2→1503
8	27	at BUF(1587) L 11-26: -2→1462	16	13	at NO(1531) W 20-3: +17→1520

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at CIN(1456) L 24-27: -2→1486	9	16	at BAL(1544) L 31-34: +4→1499	17	19	at GB(1576) L 10-37: -12→1494
2	22	at ARI(1508) L 33-34: +0→1486	10	14	at LAC(1502) W 27-20: +7→1506	18	18	vs CHI(1470) W 31-17: +10→1504
3	16	vs SEA(1526) W 30-17: +16→1502	11	14	vs GB(1571) W 34-31: +5→1511	W	17
4	17	vs CLE(1530) L 7-14: -5→1497	12	15	at SF(1518) L 26-34: -5→1506	D	17
5	19	vs DET(1438) W 19-17: -4→1493	13	19	at DET(1417) L 27-29: -5→1501	C	17
6	15	at CAR(1495) W 34-28: +4→1497	14	17	vs PIT(1478) W 36-28: +5→1506	S	17
7	17	(bye)	15	15	at CHI(1454) W 17-9: +5→1511
8	20	vs DAL(1525) L 16-20: -2→1495	16	17	vs LAR(1548) L 23-30: -5→1506

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs MIA(1515) L 16-17: -2→1494	9	10	at CAR(1479) W 24-6: +13→1526	17	6	vs JAX(1372) W 50-10: +7→1563
2	14	at NYJ(1436) W 25-6: +12→1506	10	6	vs CLE(1524) W 45-7: +17→1543	18	6	at MIA(1505) L 24-33: -10→1553
3	20	vs NO(1541) L 13-28: -12→1494	11	5	at ATL(1468) W 25-0: +14→1557	W	10	at BUF(1599) L 17-47: -13→1540
4	18	vs TB(1561) L 17-19: +1→1495	12	3	vs TEN(1547) W 36-13: +14→1571	D	10
5	16	at HOU(1454) W 25-22: +1→1496	13	2	at BUF(1581) W 14-10: +5→1576	C	10
6	17	vs DAL(1523) L 29-35: -1→1495	14	3	(bye)	S	11
7	14	vs NYJ(1422) W 54-13: +12→1507	15	6	at IND(1566) L 17-27: -8→1568
8	13	at LAC(1504) W 27-24: +6→1513	16	6	vs BUF(1582) L 21-33: -12→1556

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at GB(1561) W 38-3: +11→1566	9	6	vs ATL(1473) L 25-27: -11→1546	17	14	vs CAR(1437) W 18-10: +1→1515
2	6	at CAR(1474) L 7-26: -25→1541	10	5	at TEN(1562) L 21-23: -1→1545	18	11	at ATL(1447) W 30-20: +7→1522
3	4	at NE(1506) W 28-13: +12→1553	11	9	at PHI(1491) L 29-40: -11→1534	W	11
4	5	vs NYG(1455) L 21-27: -13→1540	12	13	vs BUF(1564) L 6-31: -17→1517	D	12
5	5	at WAS(1478) W 33-22: +7→1547	13	14	vs DAL(1511) L 17-27: -11→1506	C	12
6	7	(bye)	14	13	at NYJ(1401) W 30-9: +12→1518	S	12
7	6	at SEA(1506) W 13-10: +0→1547	15	11	at TB(1581) W 9-0: +13→1531
8	4	vs TB(1578) W 36-27: +10→1557	16	15	vs MIA(1503) L 3-20: -17→1514

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1511 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs DEN(1465) L 13-27: -8→1458	9	24	vs LV(1495) W 23-16: +8→1473	17	30	at CHI(1456) L 3-29: -14→1413
2	29	at WAS(1481) L 29-30: +0→1458	10	23	(bye)	18	30	vs WAS(1457) L 7-22: -12→1401
3	29	vs ATL(1477) L 14-17: -3→1455	11	26	at TB(1554) L 10-30: -10→1463	W	30
4	27	at NO(1553) W 27-21: +13→1468	12	24	vs PHI(1503) W 13-7: +5→1468	D	30
5	28	at DAL(1511) L 20-44: -12→1456	13	25	at MIA(1497) L 9-20: -8→1460	C	30
6	28	vs LAR(1540) L 11-38: -12→1444	14	27	at LAC(1502) L 21-37: -10→1450	S	30
7	26	vs CAR(1491) W 25-3: +19→1463	15	28	vs DAL(1527) L 6-21: -11→1439
8	26	at KC(1520) L 17-20: +2→1465	16	30	at PHI(1514) L 10-34: -12→1427

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+92 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at CAR(1475) L 14-19: +1→1436	9	31	at IND(1539) L 30-45: -3→1416	17	31	vs TB(1581) L 24-28: +6→1397
2	31	vs NE(1494) L 6-25: -12→1424	10	32	vs BUF(1575) L 17-45: -10→1406	18	31	at BUF(1598) L 10-27: -2→1395
3	31	at DEN(1479) L 0-26: -11→1413	11	32	vs MIA(1479) L 17-24: -3→1403	W	31
4	31	vs TEN(1523) W 27-24: +11→1424	12	31	at HOU(1440) W 21-14: +9→1412	D	31
5	31	at ATL(1475) L 20-27: -2→1422	13	31	vs PHI(1498) L 18-33: -11→1401	C	31
6	31	(bye)	14	31	vs NO(1506) L 9-30: -12→1389	S	31
7	32	at NE(1495) L 13-54: -13→1409	15	31	at MIA(1505) L 24-31: +1→1390
8	30	vs CIN(1517) W 34-31: +10→1419	16	31	vs JAX(1373) W 26-21: +1→1391

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at ATL(1497) W 32-6: +13→1484	9	23	vs LAC(1499) L 24-27: -3→1475	17	12	at WAS(1457) W 20-16: +1→1527
2	25	vs SF(1502) L 11-17: -5→1479	10	19	at DEN(1487) W 30-13: +16→1491	18	16	vs DAL(1546) L 26-51: -18→1509
3	27	at DAL(1489) L 21-41: -14→1465	11	17	vs NO(1545) W 40-29: +12→1503	W	18	at TB(1583) L 15-31: -7→1502
4	28	vs KC(1530) L 30-42: -7→1458	12	17	at NYG(1463) L 7-13: -5→1498	D	18
5	27	at CAR(1504) W 21-18: +9→1467	13	13	at NYJ(1412) W 33-18: +11→1509	C	18
6	24	vs TB(1570) L 22-28: +2→1469	14	16	(bye)	S	18
7	27	at LV(1487) L 22-33: -8→1461	15	14	vs WAS(1476) W 27-17: +5→1514
8	22	at DET(1429) W 44-6: +17→1478	16	11	vs NYG(1439) W 34-10: +12→1526

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1510 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at BUF(1553) W 23-16: +7→1519	9	17	vs CHI(1466) W 29-27: -0→1497	17	21	vs CLE(1499) W 26-14: +11→1480
2	15	vs LV(1486) L 17-26: -15→1504	10	18	vs DET(1411) T 16-16: -6→1491	18	21	at BAL(1505) W 16-13: +6→1486
3	22	vs CIN(1460) L 10-24: -19→1485	11	20	at LAC(1494) L 37-41: -1→1490	W	21	at KC(1572) L 21-42: -8→1478
4	21	at GB(1554) L 17-27: -2→1483	12	23	at CIN(1504) L 10-41: -16→1474	D	21
5	20	vs DEN(1480) W 27-19: +6→1489	13	22	vs BAL(1530) W 20-19: +4→1478	C	21
6	19	vs SEA(1509) W 23-20: +3→1492	14	23	at MIN(1501) L 28-36: -4→1474	S	21
7	19	(bye)	15	22	vs TEN(1540) W 19-13: +5→1479
8	17	at CLE(1511) W 15-10: +5→1497	16	22	at KC(1569) L 10-36: -10→1469

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at DET(1443) W 41-33: +2→1502	9	19	vs ARI(1556) L 17-31: -9→1488	17	10	vs HOU(1432) W 23-7: +7→1536
2	13	at PHI(1484) W 17-11: +4→1506	10	15	vs LAR(1543) W 31-10: +17→1505	18	10	at LAR(1556) W 27-24: +5→1541
3	14	vs GB(1554) L 28-30: -0→1506	11	12	at JAX(1422) W 30-10: +13→1518	W	7	at DAL(1563) W 23-17: +8→1549
4	16	vs SEA(1511) L 21-28: -8→1498	12	10	vs MIN(1511) W 34-26: +5→1523	D	6	at GB(1573) W 13-10: +8→1557
5	15	at ARI(1533) L 10-17: -1→1497	13	12	at SEA(1492) L 23-30: -6→1517	C	6	at LAR(1571) L 17-20: -1→1556
6	16	(bye)	14	12	at CIN(1502) W 26-23: +4→1521	S	6
7	20	vs IND(1532) L 18-30: -11→1486	15	10	vs ATL(1460) W 31-13: +10→1531
8	18	at CHI(1477) W 33-22: +11→1497	16	10	at TEN(1534) L 17-20: -2→1529

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at IND(1526) W 28-16: +7→1533	9	13	(bye)	17	16	vs DET(1427) W 51-29: +11→1508
2	8	vs TEN(1509) L 30-33: -7→1526	10	16	at GB(1560) L 0-17: -11→1504	18	14	at ARI(1532) W 38-30: +10→1518
3	12	at MIN(1486) L 17-30: -15→1511	11	19	vs ARI(1541) L 13-23: -9→1495	W	13
4	11	at SF(1506) W 28-21: +7→1518	12	19	at WAS(1474) L 15-17: -3→1492	D	13
5	14	vs LAR(1531) L 17-26: -9→1509	13	20	vs SF(1523) W 30-23: +6→1498	C	13
6	13	at PIT(1489) L 20-23: -3→1506	14	15	at HOU(1417) W 33-13: +14→1512	S	13
7	15	vs NO(1547) L 10-13: -1→1505	15	17	at LAR(1541) L 10-20: -7→1505
8	12	vs JAX(1413) W 31-7: +10→1515	16	19	vs CHI(1448) L 24-25: -8→1497

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (-82 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs DAL(1479) W 31-29: -4→1566	9	2	(bye)	17	3	at NYJ(1391) W 28-24: -5→1576
2	1	vs ATL(1485) W 48-25: +7→1573	10	4	at WAS(1452) L 19-29: -15→1554	18	2	vs CAR(1435) W 41-17: +7→1583
3	2	at LAR(1540) L 24-34: -12→1561	11	2	vs NYG(1473) W 30-10: +11→1565	W	2	vs PHI(1509) W 31-15: +7→1590
4	2	at NE(1494) W 19-17: -1→1560	12	2	at IND(1558) W 38-31: +7→1572	D	3	vs LAR(1563) L 27-30: -7→1583
5	2	vs MIA(1486) W 45-17: +10→1570	13	1	at ATL(1459) W 30-17: +9→1581	C	2
6	3	at PHI(1467) W 28-22: -2→1568	14	1	vs BUF(1576) W 33-27: +0→1581	S	2
7	2	vs CHI(1488) W 38-3: +10→1578	15	5	vs NO(1518) L 0-9: -12→1569
8	2	at NO(1547) L 27-36: -9→1569	16	2	at CAR(1450) W 32-6: +12→1581

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1473 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs ARI(1496) L 13-38: -12→1509	9	4	at LAR(1556) W 28-16: +13→1562	17	8	vs MIA(1520) W 34-3: +15→1551
2	11	at SEA(1533) W 33-30: +7→1516	10	3	vs NO(1546) W 23-21: +1→1563	18	8	at HOU(1425) W 28-25: -3→1548
3	9	vs IND(1516) W 25-16: +7→1523	11	8	vs HOU(1425) L 13-22: -16→1547	W	8	(bye)
4	13	at NYJ(1413) L 24-27: -11→1512	12	8	at NE(1557) L 13-36: -14→1533	D	9	vs CIN(1520) L 16-19: -8→1540
5	12	at JAX(1412) W 37-19: +9→1521	13	8	(bye)	C	9
6	10	vs BUF(1595) W 34-31: +8→1529	14	9	vs JAX(1393) W 20-0: +7→1540	S	9
7	7	vs KC(1536) W 27-3: +16→1545	15	9	at PIT(1474) L 13-19: -6→1534
8	7	at IND(1543) W 34-31: +4→1549	16	9	vs SF(1531) W 20-17: +2→1536

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs LAC(1494) L 16-20: -2→1481	9	28	(bye)	17	25	vs PHI(1526) L 16-20: -0→1457
2	23	vs NYG(1458) W 30-29: -1→1480	10	28	vs TB(1569) W 29-19: +15→1467	18	24	at NYG(1413) W 22-7: +12→1469
3	26	at BUF(1565) L 21-43: -8→1472	11	23	at CAR(1489) W 27-21: +7→1474	W	24
4	24	at ATL(1481) W 34-30: +6→1478	12	22	vs SEA(1495) W 17-15: +3→1477	D	24
5	26	vs NO(1540) L 22-33: -7→1471	13	21	at LV(1464) W 17-15: +4→1481	C	24
6	27	vs KC(1524) L 13-31: -12→1459	14	22	vs DAL(1522) L 20-27: -5→1476	S	24
7	28	at GB(1559) L 10-24: -3→1456	15	23	at PHI(1509) L 17-27: -5→1471
8	28	at DEN(1465) L 10-17: -4→1452	16	23	at DAL(1538) L 14-56: -14→1457

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 19-22) Cincinnati Bengals: +21 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Seattle Seahawks: +21 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +8 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Jacksonville Jaguars: +23 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Detroit Lions: +15 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Carolina Panthers: -61 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -67 total Elo rating
3. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Baltimore Ravens: -31 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -35 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -24 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 202-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1566) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1364): Jaguars win 26-11
2. Week 9, 185-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1589) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1404): Jaguars win 9-6
3. Week 18, 172-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1588) 9-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1416): Lions win 37-30
4. Week 15, 141-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1549) 6-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1408): Lions win 30-12
5. Week 11, 138-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1563) 8-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1425): Texans win 22-13
6. Week 17, 121-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1578) 9-point favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1457): Raiders win 23-20
7. Week 10, 117-Elo upset: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1569) 7-point favorites at Washington Football Team (1452): Team win 29-19
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 7, 32-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1568) 8-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1493): Bengals win 41-17
2. Week 10, 32-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1565) 8-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1466): Panthers win 34-10
3. Week 18, 26-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1566) 11-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1364): Jaguars win 26-11
4. Week 2, 27-point differential: New Orleans Saints (1566) 8-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1474): Panthers win 26-7
5. Week 1, 32-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1497) 6-point favorites vs Philadelphia Eagles (1471): Eagles win 32-6
6. Week 11, 31-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1585) 5-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1538): Colts win 41-15
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +84: Cincinnati Bengals (1456) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 22
2. +76: Dallas Cowboys (1479) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 19
3. +56: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 21
4. +55: Buffalo Bills (1553) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 20
5. +44: New England Patriots (1496) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 19
more...
1. +38: Los Angeles Rams (1531) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 22
2. +31: Philadelphia Eagles (1471) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
3. +30: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
4. +19: Tennessee Titans (1521) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 20
5. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1526) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 18
6. +15: Minnesota Vikings (1488) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
7. +13: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1570) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 20
8. +13: Arizona Cardinals (1496) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 19
9. +12: Los Angeles Chargers (1494) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
10. +5: Denver Broncos (1465) before week 1 → (1470) thru week 18
11. +5: Green Bay Packers (1561) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
12. +1: Miami Dolphins (1515) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
13. -7: Seattle Seahawks (1526) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
14. -10: Las Vegas Raiders (1481) before week 1 → (1471) thru week 19
15. -12: Detroit Lions (1443) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
16. -14: Washington Football Team (1483) before week 1 → (1469) thru week 18
17. -20: Cleveland Browns (1512) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
18. -33: New Orleans Saints (1555) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
19. -34: Jacksonville Jaguars (1422) before week 1 → (1388) thru week 18
20. -35: Pittsburgh Steelers (1512) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
21. -35: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 18
22. -40: New York Jets (1435) before week 1 → (1395) thru week 18
23. -47: Carolina Panthers (1475) before week 1 → (1429) thru week 18
24. -50: Houston Texans (1478) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 18
25. -56: Atlanta Falcons (1497) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 18
26. -57: Baltimore Ravens (1556) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
27. -65: New York Giants (1466) before week 1 → (1401) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -65: New York Giants (1466) before week 1 → (1401) thru week 18
2. -57: Baltimore Ravens (1556) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
3. -56: Atlanta Falcons (1497) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 18
4. -50: Houston Texans (1478) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 18
5. -47: Carolina Panthers (1475) before week 1 → (1429) thru week 18
more...
1. -40: New York Jets (1435) before week 1 → (1395) thru week 18
2. -35: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 18
3. -35: Pittsburgh Steelers (1512) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 19
4. -34: Jacksonville Jaguars (1422) before week 1 → (1388) thru week 18
5. -33: New Orleans Saints (1555) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
6. -20: Cleveland Browns (1512) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
7. -14: Washington Football Team (1483) before week 1 → (1469) thru week 18
8. -12: Detroit Lions (1443) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
9. -10: Las Vegas Raiders (1481) before week 1 → (1471) thru week 19
10. -7: Seattle Seahawks (1526) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
11. +1: Miami Dolphins (1515) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
12. +5: Green Bay Packers (1561) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
13. +5: Denver Broncos (1465) before week 1 → (1470) thru week 18
14. +12: Los Angeles Chargers (1494) before week 1 → (1506) thru week 18
15. +13: Arizona Cardinals (1496) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 19
16. +13: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1570) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 20
17. +15: Minnesota Vikings (1488) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
18. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1526) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 18
19. +19: Tennessee Titans (1521) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 20
20. +30: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
21. +31: Philadelphia Eagles (1471) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
22. +38: Los Angeles Rams (1531) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 22
23. +44: New England Patriots (1496) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 19
24. +55: Buffalo Bills (1553) before week 1 → (1608) thru week 20
25. +56: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 21
26. +76: Dallas Cowboys (1479) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 19
27. +84: Cincinnati Bengals (1456) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +81: New England Patriots (1495) before week 7 → (1576) thru week 13
2. +64: Arizona Cardinals (1496) before week 1 → (1560) thru week 7
3. +62: Kansas City Chiefs (1518) before week 9 → (1580) thru week 16
4. +61: Cincinnati Bengals (1456) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 7
5. +58: Miami Dolphins (1462) before week 9 → (1520) thru week 16
more...
1. +53: Philadelphia Eagles (1461) before week 8 → (1514) thru week 15
2. +53: Tennessee Titans (1509) before week 2 → (1562) thru week 9
3. +52: Dallas Cowboys (1511) before week 13 → (1563) thru week 18
4. +51: Indianapolis Colts (1508) before week 4 → (1558) thru week 11
5. +49: Buffalo Bills (1546) before week 2 → (1595) thru week 5
6. +49: Los Angeles Rams (1521) before week 13 → (1571) thru week 20
7. +48: San Francisco 49ers (1488) before week 10 → (1536) thru week 17
8. +38: Carolina Panthers (1474) before week 2 → (1512) thru week 3
9. +29: New York Giants (1444) before week 7 → (1473) thru week 9
10. +29: Washington Football Team (1452) before week 9 → (1481) thru week 13
11. +29: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1554) before week 11 → (1583) thru week 18
12. +28: Houston Texans (1403) before week 15 → (1432) thru week 16
13. +28: Los Angeles Chargers (1484) before week 13 → (1512) thru week 14
14. +28: Green Bay Packers (1560) before week 10 → (1588) thru week 17
15. +26: Denver Broncos (1465) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 3
16. +26: Las Vegas Raiders (1446) before week 15 → (1472) thru week 18
17. +26: Seattle Seahawks (1492) before week 13 → (1518) thru week 18
18. +25: New Orleans Saints (1506) before week 14 → (1531) thru week 15
19. +24: Cleveland Browns (1512) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 4
20. +23: Detroit Lions (1408) before week 15 → (1431) thru week 18
21. +22: Chicago Bears (1448) before week 16 → (1470) thru week 17
22. +22: Baltimore Ravens (1547) before week 4 → (1568) thru week 6
23. +20: Minnesota Vikings (1486) before week 3 → (1506) thru week 10
24. +18: Jacksonville Jaguars (1404) before week 9 → (1422) thru week 10
25. +17: Pittsburgh Steelers (1469) before week 17 → (1486) thru week 18
26. +9: New York Jets (1413) before week 4 → (1422) thru week 5
27. +9: Atlanta Falcons (1475) before week 5 → (1483) thru week 9
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -67: New York Giants (1468) before week 13 → (1401) thru week 18
2. -61: Carolina Panthers (1489) before week 11 → (1429) thru week 18
3. -57: Jacksonville Jaguars (1422) before week 11 → (1364) thru week 17
4. -57: Houston Texans (1482) before week 2 → (1425) thru week 9
5. -55: Miami Dolphins (1516) before week 2 → (1462) thru week 8
more...
1. -51: New Orleans Saints (1557) before week 9 → (1506) thru week 13
2. -49: Arizona Cardinals (1557) before week 14 → (1509) thru week 19
3. -49: Las Vegas Raiders (1495) before week 8 → (1446) thru week 14
4. -44: Baltimore Ravens (1568) before week 7 → (1524) thru week 14
5. -36: Pittsburgh Steelers (1519) before week 2 → (1483) thru week 4
6. -36: New England Patriots (1576) before week 14 → (1540) thru week 19
7. -36: Cleveland Browns (1524) before week 10 → (1487) thru week 17
8. -36: Atlanta Falcons (1483) before week 10 → (1447) thru week 17
9. -35: Indianapolis Colts (1578) before week 17 → (1543) thru week 18
10. -35: Los Angeles Rams (1556) before week 9 → (1521) thru week 12
11. -34: Chicago Bears (1488) before week 7 → (1454) thru week 14
12. -33: Los Angeles Chargers (1518) before week 6 → (1484) thru week 12
13. -32: Detroit Lions (1444) before week 4 → (1411) thru week 8
14. -31: New York Jets (1419) before week 9 → (1389) thru week 14
15. -30: Buffalo Bills (1595) before week 6 → (1564) thru week 11
16. -30: Washington Football Team (1483) before week 1 → (1452) thru week 8
17. -29: Tennessee Titans (1563) before week 11 → (1533) thru week 12
18. -28: Cincinnati Bengals (1517) before week 8 → (1489) thru week 9
19. -28: Denver Broncos (1491) before week 4 → (1463) thru week 6
20. -28: Seattle Seahawks (1533) before week 2 → (1505) thru week 7
21. -27: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 8
22. -26: Philadelphia Eagles (1484) before week 2 → (1458) thru week 4
23. -24: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1578) before week 8 → (1554) thru week 10
24. -22: Green Bay Packers (1588) before week 18 → (1565) thru week 20
25. -20: San Francisco 49ers (1506) before week 4 → (1486) thru week 7
26. -17: Minnesota Vikings (1511) before week 16 → (1494) thru week 17
27. -16: Dallas Cowboys (1525) before week 7 → (1509) thru week 9
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Football Team: 1506
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1506
3. Detroit Lions: 1506
4. New England Patriots: 1505
5. Houston Texans: 1505
more...
1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
2. Carolina Panthers: 1504
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1504
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1503
5. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
6. New York Jets: 1503
7. New York Giants: 1503
8. Chicago Bears: 1502
9. San Francisco 49ers: 1502
10. Cleveland Browns: 1502
11. New Orleans Saints: 1502
12. Arizona Cardinals: 1501
13. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
14. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1498
16. Tennessee Titans: 1498
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1498
18. Los Angeles Chargers: 1498
19. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
20. Green Bay Packers: 1497
21. Dallas Cowboys: 1496
22. Miami Dolphins: 1495
23. Cincinnati Bengals: 1495
24. Buffalo Bills: 1495
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1488
27. Denver Broncos: 1487
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Denver Broncos: 1487
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1488
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
4. Buffalo Bills: 1495
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 1495
more...
1. Miami Dolphins: 1495
2. Dallas Cowboys: 1496
3. Green Bay Packers: 1497
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1498
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1498
7. Tennessee Titans: 1498
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1498
9. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
10. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
11. Arizona Cardinals: 1501
12. New Orleans Saints: 1502
13. Cleveland Browns: 1502
14. San Francisco 49ers: 1502
15. Chicago Bears: 1502
16. New York Giants: 1503
17. New York Jets: 1503
18. Minnesota Vikings: 1503
19. Kansas City Chiefs: 1503
20. Los Angeles Rams: 1504
21. Carolina Panthers: 1504
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
23. Houston Texans: 1505
24. New England Patriots: 1505
25. Detroit Lions: 1506
26. Las Vegas Raiders: 1506
27. Washington Football Team: 1506
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1547
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1544
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1511
4. New York Giants: 1511
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1510
more...
1. Tennessee Titans: 1509
2. Carolina Panthers: 1504
3. New Orleans Saints: 1499
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1499
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
6. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
8. Green Bay Packers: 1496
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1493
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1492
11. Kansas City Chiefs: 1491
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1490
13. Indianapolis Colts: 1489
14. Cleveland Browns: 1488
15. San Francisco 49ers: 1483
16. Washington Football Team: 1481
17. Buffalo Bills: 1480
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1480
19. New England Patriots: 1479
20. Miami Dolphins: 1478
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1478
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1472
23. Houston Texans: 1470
24. New York Jets: 1463
25. Atlanta Falcons: 1459
26. Denver Broncos: 1458
27. Chicago Bears: 1457
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1457
2. Denver Broncos: 1458
3. Atlanta Falcons: 1459
4. New York Jets: 1463
5. Houston Texans: 1470
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1472
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1478
3. Miami Dolphins: 1478
4. New England Patriots: 1479
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1480
6. Buffalo Bills: 1480
7. Washington Football Team: 1481
8. San Francisco 49ers: 1483
9. Cleveland Browns: 1488
10. Indianapolis Colts: 1489
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1490
12. Kansas City Chiefs: 1491
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1492
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1493
15. Green Bay Packers: 1496
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
17. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
18. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
19. Los Angeles Chargers: 1499
20. New Orleans Saints: 1499
21. Carolina Panthers: 1504
22. Tennessee Titans: 1509
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1510
24. New York Giants: 1511
25. Las Vegas Raiders: 1511
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1544
27. Detroit Lions: 1547

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)
2	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	19-13 (19/32, 59.38%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	30-18 (30/48, 62.5%)
4	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	40-24 (40/64, 62.5%)
5	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	52-28 (52/80, 65.0%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	60-34 (60/94, 63.83%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	71-36 (71/107, 66.36%)
8	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	78-44 (78/122, 63.93%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	85-51 (85/136, 62.5%)
10	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	92-58 (92/150, 61.33%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	102-63 (102/165, 61.82%)
12	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	113-67 (113/180, 62.78%)
13	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	121-73 (121/194, 62.37%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	132-76 (132/208, 63.46%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	142-82 (142/224, 63.39%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	153-87 (153/240, 63.75%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	165-91 (165/256, 64.45%)
18	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	172-100 (172/272, 63.24%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	177-101 (177/278, 63.67%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	177-105 (177/282, 62.77%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	178-106 (178/284, 62.68%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	179-106 (179/285, 62.81%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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