NFL Elo Power Rankings 2022

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2022 Season Summaries by Team
2022 Season Stats and Tidbits
2022 Season Model Accuracy

← 2021 Season 2023 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589	15-5
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1587 (+3)	17-3
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): W 38-35: 1584+3→1587
3 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1587	14-5
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1578	14-4
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1578 (-2)	16-4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1584): L 35-38: 1580-2→1578
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569	13-6
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1522	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1518	8-9
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512	10-8
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1512	10-9
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	10-8
12	Detroit LionsDET	1507	9-8
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504	9-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-9
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	7-10
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488	13-5
18	Washington CommandersWAS	1488	8-8-1
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485	7-10
20	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	7-10
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
22	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	7-10
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1473	10-8-1
25	New York JetsNYJ	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1472	8-10
27	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472	5-12
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1460	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446	4-13
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424	4-12-1
31	Houston TexansHOU	1416	3-13-1
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1407	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589 (-21)	15-5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): L 7-31: 1610-21→1589
2	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1587 (-2)	14-5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1582): L 20-23: 1589-2→1587
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1584 (+2)	16-3	at PHI (1580): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1589): W 23-20: 1582+2→1584
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1580 (+20)	16-3	at KC (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): W 31-7: 1560+20→1580
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1584): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1578	14-4
6 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569	13-6
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1522	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1518	8-9
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512	10-8
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1512	10-9
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	10-8
12	Detroit LionsDET	1507	9-8
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504	9-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-9
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	7-10
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488	13-5
18	Washington CommandersWAS	1488	8-8-1
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485	7-10
20	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	7-10
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
22	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	7-10
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478	7-10
24	New York GiantsNYG	1473	10-8-1
25	New York JetsNYJ	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1472	8-10
27	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472	5-12
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1460	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446	4-13
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424	4-12-1
31	Houston TexansHOU	1416	3-13-1
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1407	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1610 (+1)	15-4	at PHI (1560): Win by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1570): W 19-12: 1609+1→1610
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1589 (+18)	14-4	at KC (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1596): W 27-10: 1571+18→1589
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1582): Slight underdog
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1582 (-3)	15-3	vs CIN (1589): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): W 27-20: 1585-3→1582
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1589): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1578 (-18)	14-4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): L 10-27: 1596-18→1578
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569 (-1)	13-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): L 12-19: 1570-1→1569
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1560 (+10)	15-3	vs SF (1610): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): W 38-7: 1550+10→1560
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): Lose by 5 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1522	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1518	8-9
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512	10-8
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1512 (+3)	10-9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): L 20-27: 1509+3→1512
11 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	10-8
12	Detroit LionsDET	1507	9-8
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504	9-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-9
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502	9-9
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	7-10
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488	13-5
18	Washington CommandersWAS	1488	8-8-1
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485	7-10
20	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	7-10
21 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
22 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	7-10
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478	7-10
24 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (-10)	10-8-1
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): L 7-38: 1483-10→1473
25	New York JetsNYJ	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1472	8-10
27	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472	5-12
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1460	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446	4-13
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424	4-12-1
31	Houston TexansHOU	1416	3-13-1
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1407	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1609 (+7)	14-4	vs DAL (1570): Win by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): W 41-23: 1602+7→1609
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1570): Win by 6 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1596 (-6)	14-3	vs CIN (1571): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): W 34-31: 1602-6→1596
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): Win by 5 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1585	14-3	vs JAX (1509): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): Win by 9 points
4	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571	13-4	at BUF (1596): Lose by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): W 24-17: 1571+0→1571
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1596): Lose by 5 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1570 (+10)	13-5	at SF (1609): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): W 31-14: 1560+10→1570
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): Lose by 6 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1550	14-3	vs NYG (1483): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): Win by 9 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1522	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1518	8-9
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-3)	10-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): L 30-31: 1515-3→1512
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): L 17-24: 1512-0→1512
11 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1509 (+2)	10-8	at KC (1585): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 31-30: 1507+2→1509
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1585): Lose by 9 points
12 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1507	9-8
13 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504	9-8
14 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (-7)	9-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1602): L 23-41: 1510-7→1503
15 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (+5)	9-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): L 31-34: 1497+5→1502
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498	7-10
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (-9)	13-5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): L 24-31: 1497-9→1488
18	Washington CommandersWAS	1488	8-8-1
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485	7-10
20	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	7-10
21 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1483 (+9)	10-7-1	at PHI (1550): Lose by 9
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): W 31-24: 1474+9→1483
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): Lose by 9 points
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	7-10
24	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478	7-10
25 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1472	7-10
26 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1472 (-10)	8-10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): L 14-31: 1482-10→1472
27	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472	5-12
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1460	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446	4-13
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424	4-12-1
31	Houston TexansHOU	1416	3-13-1
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1407	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1602 (+7)	13-4	vs SEA (1510): Win by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): W 38-13: 1595+7→1602
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1510): Win by 9 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1602 (+4)	13-3	vs MIA (1497): Win by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1521): W 35-23: 1598+4→1602
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1585 (+12)	14-3
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 31-13: 1573+12→1585
4 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571 (+5)	12-4	vs BAL (1512): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): W 27-16: 1566+5→1571
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): Win by 7 points
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1560 (-22)	12-5	at TB (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1466): L 6-26: 1582-22→1560
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1482): Win by 6 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1550 (-2)	14-3
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 22-16: 1552-2→1550
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1522 (-6)	8-9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 16-20: 1528-6→1522
8	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (-3)	8-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): L 23-35: 1521-3→1518
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (-6)	10-7	at JAX (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): L 28-31: 1521-6→1515
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): Slight underdog
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512 (-5)	10-7	at CIN (1571): Lose by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1566): L 16-27: 1517-5→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): Lose by 7 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1510 (-1)	9-8	at SF (1602): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1470): W 19-16(OT): 1511-1→1510
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1602): Lose by 9 points
12	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1507 (+1)	9-8	vs LAC (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): W 20-16: 1506+1→1507
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1507 (+7)	9-8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): W 20-16: 1500+7→1507
14 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504 (+11)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): W 28-14: 1493+11→1504
15 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498 (-7)	7-10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): L 7-10: 1505-7→1498
16 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+11)	13-4	vs NYG (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1418): W 29-13: 1486+11→1497
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497	9-8	at BUF (1602): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 11-6: 1497+0→1497
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): Lose by 9 points
18 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1488 (+22)	8-8-1
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): W 26-6: 1466+22→1488
19 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485 (-11)	7-10
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 14-28: 1496-11→1485
20 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483 (+6)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): W 10-7: 1477+6→1483
21 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1482 (-12)	8-9	vs DAL (1560): Lose by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): L 17-30: 1494-12→1482
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): Lose by 6 points
22 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482 (-11)	6-11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): L 13-31: 1493-11→1482
23 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479	7-10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): L 16-20: 1479-0→1479
24 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (+13)	7-10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): W 30-17: 1465+13→1478
25 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1474 (+2)	9-7-1	at MIN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): L 16-22: 1472+2→1474
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1472	7-10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): L 6-11: 1472-0→1472
27 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1472 (+2)	5-12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): L 16-19(OT): 1470+2→1472
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1460 (+6)	5-12
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): W 31-28: 1454+6→1460
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446 (-7)	4-13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1595): L 13-38: 1453-7→1446
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1424 (-6)	4-12-1
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1410): L 31-32: 1430-6→1424
31 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1416 (+6)	3-13-1
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1430): W 32-31: 1410+6→1416
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1407 (-11)	3-14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 13-29: 1418-11→1407

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1598	12-3	vs NE (1521): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1521): Win by 8 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1595 (-2)	12-4	vs ARI (1453): Win by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): W 37-34(OT): 1597-2→1595
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): Win by 11 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1582 (+9)	12-4	at WAS (1466): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): W 27-13: 1573+9→1582
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1466): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1573 (-6)	13-3	at LV (1493): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1448): W 27-24: 1579-6→1573
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Win by 5 points
5 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1566	11-4	vs BAL (1517): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Win by 7 points
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1552 (-15)	13-3	vs NYG (1472): Win by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): L 10-20: 1567-15→1552
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 7 points
7 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+14)	8-8	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): W 41-17: 1514+14→1528
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
8	New England PatriotsNE	1521	8-8	at BUF (1598): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): W 23-21: 1521+0→1521
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): Lose by 8 points
9 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (+15)	10-6	at DEN (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): W 31-10: 1506+15→1521
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (-7)	10-6	at CIN (1566): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 13-16: 1524-7→1517
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1566): Lose by 7 points
11 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (+12)	8-8	vs LAR (1470): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1484): W 23-6: 1499+12→1511
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1470): Win by 6 points
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (+14)	8-8	vs TEN (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1425): W 31-3: 1492+14→1506
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): Slight favorite
13 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+15)	7-9	vs CAR (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): W 20-10: 1490+15→1505
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1477): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Detroit LionsDET	1500 (+13)	8-8	at GB (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1431): W 41-10: 1487+13→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497	8-8	vs NYJ (1472): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): L 21-23: 1497-0→1497
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Slight favorite
16 (+7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496 (+14)	7-9	at PIT (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1480): W 24-10: 1482+14→1496
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1494 (+2)	8-8	at ATL (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): W 30-24: 1492+2→1494
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+3)	6-10	vs KC (1573): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1597): L 34-37(OT): 1490+3→1493
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): Lose by 5 points
19 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (+7)	8-8	vs CLE (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): W 16-13: 1486+7→1493
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): Slight favorite
20 (-9)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-15)	12-4	at CHI (1418): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): L 17-41: 1501-15→1486
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1418): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479 (-9)	7-9	at JAX (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1573): L 13-27: 1488-9→1479
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1477 (-2)	6-10	at NO (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): L 24-30: 1479-2→1477
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Slight underdog
23 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (+15)	9-6-1	at PHI (1552): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1445): W 38-10: 1457+15→1472
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): Lose by 7 points
24 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (-12)	7-9	at MIA (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): L 6-23: 1484-12→1472
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1470 (-15)	5-11	at SEA (1511): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 10-31: 1485-15→1470
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Lose by 6 points
26 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1466 (-14)	7-8-1	vs DAL (1582): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): L 10-24: 1480-14→1466
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1582): Lose by 7 points
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (+1)	6-10	vs TB (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): W 20-19: 1464+1→1465
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1454 (+6)	4-12	vs LAC (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1579): L 24-27: 1448+6→1454
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1453 (-2)	4-12	at SF (1595): Lose by 11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): L 19-20: 1455-2→1453
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1595): Lose by 11 points
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1430 (-15)	4-11-1	vs HOU (1410): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): L 10-38: 1445-15→1430
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1410): Slight favorite
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1418 (-13)	3-13	vs MIN (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1487): L 10-41: 1431-13→1418
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1410 (-15)	2-13-1	at IND (1430): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): L 3-31: 1425-15→1410
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1430): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1598 (+10)	12-3	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1441): W 35-13: 1588+10→1598
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1597 (+7)	11-4	at LV (1490): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1487): W 37-20: 1590+7→1597
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): Win by 6 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1579 (+8)	12-3	vs DEN (1448): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): W 24-10: 1571+8→1579
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1448): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1573 (+3)	11-4	at TEN (1488): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1570): W 40-34: 1570+3→1573
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): Win by 5 points
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1567 (-3)	13-2	vs NO (1490): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1570): L 34-40: 1570-3→1567
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): Win by 7 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1566 (+2)	11-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1524): W 22-18: 1564+2→1566
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524 (+3)	10-5	vs PIT (1486): Win by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): W 17-9: 1521+3→1524
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Win by 5 points
8 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (-3)	7-8	vs MIA (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1564): L 18-22: 1524-3→1521
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Slight favorite
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (+6)	7-8	vs MIN (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): W 26-20: 1508+6→1514
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight favorite
10 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+14)	9-6	vs LAR (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): W 20-3: 1492+14→1506
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501	12-3	at GB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 27-24: 1501-0→1501
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-8)	7-8	vs NYJ (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): L 10-24: 1507-8→1499
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1484): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497 (-6)	8-7	at NE (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1508): L 20-26: 1503-6→1497
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Slight underdog
14 (+9)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492 (+17)	7-8	at HOU (1425): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1501): W 19-3: 1475+17→1492
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1425): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1492 (+3)	7-8	vs CAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): W 19-16(OT): 1489+3→1492
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight favorite
16	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1490 (-3)	6-9	vs SF (1597): Lose by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 10-13: 1493-3→1490
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1597): Lose by 6 points
17 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1490 (+8)	6-9	at PHI (1567): Lose by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): W 17-10: 1482+8→1490
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): Lose by 7 points
18 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1488 (-9)	7-8	vs DAL (1573): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1416): L 14-19: 1497-9→1488
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1573): Lose by 5 points
19 (-5)	Detroit LionsDET	1487 (-13)	7-8	vs CHI (1431): Win by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): L 23-37: 1500-13→1487
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1431): Win by 6 points
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+3)	7-8	at BAL (1524): Lose by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 13-10: 1483+3→1486
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Lose by 5 points
21 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1485 (+17)	5-10	vs LAC (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 51-14: 1468+17→1485
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog
22 (-9)	New York JetsNYJ	1484 (-17)	7-8	at SEA (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): L 3-19: 1501-17→1484
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1482 (-8)	6-9	at WAS (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): L 10-17: 1490-8→1482
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1480): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1480 (-7)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1482): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): L 20-37: 1487-7→1480
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (+13)	6-9	at TB (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 37-23: 1466+13→1479
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1464 (-3)	5-10	vs ARI (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): L 9-17: 1467-3→1464
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1457 (+1)	8-6-1	vs IND (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 24-27: 1456+1→1457
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1445): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1455 (-2)	4-11	at ATL (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): L 16-19(OT): 1457-2→1455
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1448 (-17)	4-11	at KC (1579): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): L 14-51: 1465-17→1448
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1579): Lose by 9 points
30 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1445 (-14)	4-10-1	at NYG (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 3-20: 1459-14→1445
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1457): Slight underdog
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1431 (-10)	3-12	at DET (1487): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): L 13-35: 1441-10→1431
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1487): Lose by 6 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1425 (+9)	2-12-1	vs JAX (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): W 19-14: 1416+9→1425
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1590 (+5)	10-4	vs WAS (1487): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): W 21-13: 1585+5→1590
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1487): Win by 8 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1588 (-2)	11-3	at CHI (1441): Win by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1501): W 32-29: 1590-2→1588
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1441): Win by 7 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571 (-3)	11-3	vs SEA (1507): Win by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1412): W 30-24(OT): 1574-3→1571
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1570 (-1)	13-1	at DAL (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): W 25-20: 1571-1→1570
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1570): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1570 (-6)	10-4	vs PHI (1570): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1469): L 34-40(OT): 1576-6→1570
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1570): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1564 (+9)	10-4	at NE (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): W 34-23: 1555+9→1564
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1524): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1524 (-4)	7-7	vs CIN (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1488): L 24-30: 1528-4→1524
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1564): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (-10)	9-5	vs ATL (1467): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): L 3-13: 1531-10→1521
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): Win by 6 points
9 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1508 (+8)	6-8	at MIA (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): W 24-12: 1500+8→1508
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507 (-6)	7-7	at KC (1571): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1585): L 13-21: 1513-6→1507
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Lose by 6 points
11 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1503 (+2)	8-6	vs GB (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): L 29-32: 1501+2→1503
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1508): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501	11-3	vs NYG (1456): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): W 39-36(OT): 1501+0→1501
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): Win by 5 points
13 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1501 (-5)	7-7	vs JAX (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1495): L 17-20: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1475): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1500 (+5)	7-7	at CAR (1466): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1506): W 20-17: 1495+5→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1497 (-2)	7-7	vs HOU (1416): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 14-17: 1499-2→1497
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1416): Win by 7 points
16 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+5)	6-8	at PIT (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): W 30-24: 1488+5→1493
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (+3)	8-6	at IND (1459): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1499): W 17-14: 1489+3→1492
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): Tossup
18 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1490 (+10)	6-8	vs NO (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1531): W 13-3: 1480+10→1490
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): Slight favorite
19 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (-9)	6-8	at ARI (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): L 23-34: 1498-9→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite
20 (-5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1487 (-12)	7-6-1	at SF (1590): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1444): L 12-20: 1499-12→1487
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): Lose by 8 points
21 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (+8)	6-8	vs LV (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): W 24-16: 1475+8→1483
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (+2)	5-9	at CLE (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): W 21-18: 1480+2→1482
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1475 (+6)	6-8	at NYJ (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): W 40-34(OT): 1469+6→1475
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1501): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1468 (-8)	4-10	vs DEN (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 12-24: 1476-8→1468
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1467 (-1)	5-9	at BAL (1521): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): L 18-21: 1468-1→1467
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Lose by 6 points
26 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1466 (-9)	5-9	vs DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): L 16-24: 1475-9→1466
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+7)	4-10	at LAR (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): W 24-15: 1458+7→1465
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): Slight underdog
28	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1459	4-9-1	vs LAC (1492): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 36-39(OT): 1459-0→1459
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Tossup
29 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457 (-7)	4-10	vs TB (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1458): L 15-24: 1464-7→1457
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (+12)	8-5-1	at MIN (1501): Lose by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): W 20-12: 1444+12→1456
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Lose by 5 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441 (+1)	3-11	vs BUF (1588): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1571): L 20-25: 1440+1→1441
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): Lose by 7 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1416 (+4)	1-12-1	at TEN (1497): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): L 24-30(OT): 1412+4→1416
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590 (+2)	10-3	vs MIA (1501): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1508): W 20-12: 1588+2→1590
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1501): Win by 7 points
2 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1585 (+14)	9-4	at SEA (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1512): W 35-7: 1571+14→1585
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1513): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1576 (-5)	10-3	at JAX (1469): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1407): W 27-23: 1581-5→1576
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1469): Win by 5 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1574 (+1)	10-3	at HOU (1412): Win by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): W 34-28: 1573+1→1574
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1412): Win by 7 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1571 (+14)	12-1	at CHI (1440): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 48-22: 1557+14→1571
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): Win by 5 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1555 (+8)	9-4	at TB (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): W 23-10: 1547+8→1555
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1531 (+2)	9-4	at CLE (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): W 16-14: 1529+2→1531
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1480): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1528 (+13)	7-6	at LV (1488): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): W 27-13: 1515+13→1528
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1488): Tossup
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1513 (-7)	7-6	vs SF (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): L 24-30: 1520-7→1513
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1585): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1506 (-2)	7-6	vs DET (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): L 12-20: 1508-2→1506
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1495): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (-10)	10-3	vs IND (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1485): L 23-34: 1511-10→1501
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1501 (-4)	8-5	at BUF (1590): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 17-23: 1505-4→1501
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): Lose by 7 points
13 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	5-8	vs LAR (1476): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Slight favorite
14 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1499 (-17)	7-6	at LAC (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1453): L 22-36: 1516-17→1499
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499	7-5-1	vs NYG (1444): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1444): Win by 6 points
16 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-14)	6-7	vs CIN (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): L 7-35: 1512-14→1498
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1555): Slight underdog
17 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1495 (+10)	6-7	at NYJ (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 34-23: 1485+10→1495
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1506): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (+4)	7-6	vs TEN (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): W 23-17: 1485+4→1489
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1499): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488 (-3)	5-8	vs NE (1528): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1473): L 16-17: 1491-3→1488
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): Tossup
20 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480	4-9	vs ATL (1468): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480 (-8)	5-8	vs BAL (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): L 10-23: 1488-8→1480
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1531): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (+3)	4-9	at GB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 17-16: 1473+3→1476
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1475 (+7)	5-8	vs PIT (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): W 30-24: 1468+7→1475
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1475 (-2)	5-8	at CAR (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): L 14-16: 1477-2→1475
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1469 (+16)	5-8	vs DAL (1576): Lose by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): W 36-22: 1453+16→1469
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): Lose by 5 points
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468	5-8	at NO (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Slight underdog
27 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1464 (-12)	4-9	at DEN (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): L 13-27: 1476-12→1464
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1458): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1459	4-8-1	at MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1458 (-1)	3-10	vs ARI (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): L 28-34: 1459-1→1458
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1444 (-14)	7-5-1	at WAS (1499): Lose by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1557): L 22-48: 1458-14→1444
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Lose by 6 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1440	3-10	vs PHI (1571): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1571): Lose by 5 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1412 (+5)	1-11-1	vs KC (1574): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1581): L 23-27: 1407+5→1412
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1588 (+12)	9-3	vs NYJ (1508): Win by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1527): W 24-10: 1576+12→1588
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1508): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1581 (+12)	9-3	vs HOU (1407): Win by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1472): W 54-19: 1569+12→1581
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1407): Win by 9 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1573 (-3)	9-3	at DEN (1459): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 24-27: 1576-3→1573
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): Win by 5 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1571 (+10)	8-4	vs TB (1512): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): W 33-17: 1561+10→1571
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1512): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1557 (+15)	11-1	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): W 35-10: 1542+15→1557
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1547 (+3)	8-4	vs CLE (1488): Win by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): W 27-24: 1544+3→1547
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Win by 6 points
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1529 (-1)	8-4	at PIT (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): W 10-9: 1530-1→1529
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1520 (+3)	7-5	vs CAR (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): W 27-23: 1517+3→1520
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1516 (-15)	7-5	vs JAX (1453): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): L 10-35: 1531-15→1516
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1453): Win by 6 points
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1515 (-12)	6-6	at ARI (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): L 10-24: 1527-12→1515
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1512 (+1)	6-6	at SF (1571): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): W 17-16: 1511+1→1512
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): Lose by 6 points
12 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+1)	10-2	at DET (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1509): W 27-22: 1510+1→1511
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1485): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1508 (-1)	7-5	at BUF (1588): Lose by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 22-27: 1509-1→1508
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1588): Lose by 6 points
14 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (-10)	8-4	at LAC (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): L 17-33: 1515-10→1505
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1500 (+8)	5-8	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1448): W 28-19: 1492+8→1500
next: (bye)
16 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499	7-5-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): T 20-20(OT): 1499+0→1499
next: (bye)
17 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (+5)	5-7	at LAR (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): W 27-20: 1486+5→1491
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1473): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488 (+11)	5-7	at CIN (1547): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): W 27-14: 1477+11→1488
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): Lose by 6 points
19 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-5)	6-6	vs MIA (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): L 20-27: 1490-5→1485
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Slight favorite
20 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1485 (+15)	5-7	vs MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): W 40-14: 1470+15→1485
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480 (-1)	4-9	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 16-17: 1481-1→1480
next: (bye)
22 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (+5)	5-7	vs BAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): W 19-16: 1472+5→1477
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1476	4-8	vs NE (1515): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): Slight favorite
24 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1473 (-3)	3-9	vs LV (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 23-27: 1476-3→1473
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (-5)	5-8	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): L 16-19: 1473-5→1468
next: (bye)
26 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1468	4-8	at SEA (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1459 (-13)	4-8-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): L 19-54: 1472-13→1459
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (+1)	3-9	vs KC (1573): Lose by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): L 9-10: 1458+1→1459
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1573): Lose by 5 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1458	7-4-1	vs PHI (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): T 20-20(OT): 1458-0→1458
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1557): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1453 (-15)	4-8	at TEN (1516): Lose by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): L 14-40: 1468-15→1453
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): Lose by 6 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1440 (-8)	3-10	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1492): L 19-28: 1448-8→1440
next: (bye)
32	Houston TexansHOU	1407 (-11)	1-10-1	at DAL (1581): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1477): L 14-27: 1418-11→1407
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1581): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576	8-3	at NE (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): W 28-25: 1576-0→1576
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1527): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1576 (+8)	9-2	at CIN (1544): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): W 26-10: 1568+8→1576
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Tossup
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569 (+1)	8-3	vs IND (1472): Win by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1459): W 28-20: 1568+1→1569
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1472): Win by 7 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1561 (+8)	7-4	vs MIA (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): W 13-0: 1553+8→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Slight favorite
5	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544 (+5)	7-4	vs KC (1576): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): W 20-16: 1539+5→1544
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): Tossup
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1542 (+3)	10-1	vs TEN (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): W 40-33: 1539+3→1542
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): Slight favorite
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1531 (-5)	7-4	at PHI (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): L 16-20: 1536-5→1531
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): Slight underdog
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1530 (-4)	7-4	vs DEN (1458): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1464): L 27-28: 1534-4→1530
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): Win by 6 points
9	New England PatriotsNE	1527 (-6)	6-5	vs BUF (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 26-33: 1533-6→1527
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): Slight underdog
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (-7)	6-5	at LAR (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): L 34-40(OT): 1524-7→1517
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515 (+7)	8-3	at SF (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): W 30-15: 1508+7→1515
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): Slight underdog
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (-4)	5-6	vs NO (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): L 17-23(OT): 1515-4→1511
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): Slight favorite
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (+6)	9-2	vs NYJ (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1533): W 33-26: 1504+6→1510
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1509): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1509 (+13)	7-4	at MIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1461): W 31-10: 1496+13→1509
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (+2)	7-5	at NYG (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): W 19-13: 1497+2→1499
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight underdog
16	Green Bay PackersGB	1492 (-3)	4-8	at CHI (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): L 33-40: 1495-3→1492
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1448): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (+4)	6-5	at LV (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): W 25-24: 1486+4→1490
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1486 (+6)	4-7	vs LAC (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1524): W 40-34(OT): 1480+6→1486
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481 (-7)	4-8	at TB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): L 0-13: 1488-7→1481
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight underdog
20 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1477 (+4)	4-7	at HOU (1418): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 23-17(OT): 1473+4→1477
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1476 (-5)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): L 24-25: 1481-5→1476
next: (bye)
22 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (-8)	3-8	vs SEA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 10-26: 1484-8→1476
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Slight underdog
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1473 (-2)	5-7	vs PIT (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1497): L 13-19: 1475-2→1473
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Slight favorite
24 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (+8)	4-7	at ATL (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): W 24-17: 1464+8→1472
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1472 (-8)	4-7-1	at DAL (1569): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): L 17-24: 1480-8→1472
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): Lose by 7 points
26 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1470	4-7	vs JAX (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): L 25-28: 1470+0→1470
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): Slight favorite
27 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1468 (+11)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): W 23-10: 1457+11→1468
next: (bye)
28	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1468 (+4)	4-7	at DET (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 28-27: 1464+4→1468
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-1)	7-4	vs WAS (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1568): L 20-28: 1459-1→1458
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Slight favorite
30 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1458 (-11)	3-8	at BAL (1530): Lose by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): L 10-23: 1469-11→1458
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): Lose by 6 points
31 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1448 (-13)	3-9	vs GB (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): L 10-31: 1461-13→1448
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1492): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418 (-7)	1-9-1	vs CLE (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): L 15-30: 1425-7→1418
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1477): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576 (+2)	7-3	at DET (1470): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): W 31-23: 1574+2→1576
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1470): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1568 (+18)	7-3	vs NYG (1459): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): W 40-3: 1550+18→1568
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1459): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (+1)	8-2	vs LAR (1484): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): W 30-27: 1567+1→1568
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1484): Win by 6 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553 (+15)	6-4	vs NO (1488): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): W 38-10: 1538+15→1553
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): Win by 6 points
5 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+3)	6-4	at TEN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): W 37-30: 1536+3→1539
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1539 (+2)	9-1	vs GB (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): W 17-16: 1537+2→1539
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536 (+10)	7-3	vs CIN (1539): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): W 27-17: 1526+10→1536
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Slight favorite
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (+4)	7-3	at JAX (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): W 13-3: 1530+4→1534
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1464): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1533 (+3)	6-4	at MIN (1504): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1499): W 10-3: 1530+3→1533
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Tossup
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1524	6-4	vs LV (1480): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): Win by 6 points
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515	5-5	at CLE (1473): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1508	7-3	vs HOU (1425): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1425): Win by 7 points
13 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-18)	8-2	vs NE (1533): Tossup
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1550): L 3-40: 1522-18→1504
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1533): Tossup
14 (+5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1497 (+11)	6-5	vs ATL (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): W 23-10: 1486+11→1497
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight favorite
15	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (-3)	6-4	vs CHI (1461): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1530): L 3-10: 1499-3→1496
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1461): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1495 (-9)	4-7	at PHI (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): L 17-27: 1504-9→1495
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): Slight underdog
17 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1488 (+4)	4-7	at SF (1553): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): W 27-20: 1484+4→1488
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Lose by 6 points
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486	5-5	at ARI (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): L 27-30: 1486-0→1486
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1484 (-5)	3-7	at KC (1568): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): L 20-27: 1489-5→1484
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Lose by 6 points
20 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-15)	4-7	vs LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 10-38: 1496-15→1481
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
21	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (-2)	4-6-1	vs PIT (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): L 16-17: 1482-2→1480
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): Slight favorite
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1480 (+4)	3-7	at SEA (1524): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): W 22-16(OT): 1476+4→1480
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1524): Lose by 6 points
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475	5-6	at WAS (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): W 27-24: 1475+0→1475
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1497): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1473 (-2)	3-7	vs TB (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): L 23-31: 1475-2→1473
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight underdog
25 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1470 (+14)	4-6	vs BUF (1576): Lose by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1473): W 31-18: 1456+14→1470
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): Lose by 5 points
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1469 (-4)	3-7	at CAR (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): L 16-22(OT): 1473-4→1469
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1464 (-3)	3-7	at IND (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): L 30-37: 1467-3→1464
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight underdog
28	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1464	3-7	vs BAL (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight underdog
29	Chicago BearsCHI	1461 (-1)	3-8	at NYJ (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 24-27: 1462-1→1461
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): Slight underdog
30 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1459 (-14)	7-3	at DAL (1568): Lose by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1456): L 18-31: 1473-14→1459
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1568): Lose by 7 points
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457 (-4)	3-8	vs DEN (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): L 3-13: 1461-4→1457
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): Slight favorite
32	Houston TexansHOU	1425 (-10)	1-8-1	at MIA (1508): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1486): L 10-23: 1435-10→1425
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (-8)	6-3	at CLE (1475): Win by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): L 30-33(OT): 1582-8→1574
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): Win by 6 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1567 (+2)	7-2	at LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): W 27-17: 1565+2→1567
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1550 (-5)	6-3	at MIN (1522): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1499): L 28-31(OT): 1555-5→1550
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Tossup
4 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (-2)	5-4	at ARI (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): W 22-16: 1540-2→1538
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1537 (-17)	8-1	at IND (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): L 21-32: 1554-17→1537
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536	5-4	at PIT (1467): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Slight favorite
7	New England PatriotsNE	1530	5-4	vs NYJ (1499): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1499): Slight favorite
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1530	6-3	vs CAR (1461): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): Win by 7 points
9 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526 (+2)	6-3	at GB (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1476): W 17-10: 1524+2→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1524 (-4)	6-4	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 16-21: 1528-4→1524
next: (bye)
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (+7)	8-1	vs DAL (1550): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): W 33-30(OT): 1515+7→1522
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1550): Tossup
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (+4)	5-5	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): W 21-16: 1511+4→1515
next: (bye)
13 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1508 (+15)	7-3	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): W 39-17: 1493+15→1508
next: (bye)
14 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1504 (+5)	4-6	vs TEN (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): W 31-28(OT): 1499+5→1504
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1499	6-3	at NE (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1530): Slight underdog
16 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1496 (+12)	4-6	at SF (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 27-17: 1484+12→1496
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1489 (-12)	3-6	at NO (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): L 17-27: 1501-12→1489
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486 (+1)	5-4	vs KC (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): L 16-22: 1485+1→1486
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1567): Slight underdog
19 (+7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1486 (+17)	5-5	at HOU (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): W 32-21: 1469+17→1486
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1435): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1484 (-8)	3-7	vs LAR (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1458): L 10-20: 1492-8→1484
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1482 (+5)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 25-20: 1477+5→1482
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1537): Slight underdog
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (-5)	2-7	at DEN (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): L 20-25: 1481-5→1476
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1475 (-15)	3-6	at BUF (1574): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1493): L 17-39: 1490-15→1475
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Lose by 6 points
24 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-10)	4-6	vs CHI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): L 15-25: 1485-10→1475
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight favorite
25	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+3)	7-2	vs DET (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1439): W 24-16: 1470+3→1473
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1456): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473 (-3)	3-6	vs LV (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1524): L 10-17: 1476-3→1473
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Slight favorite
27 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (+9)	3-6	vs CIN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): W 20-10: 1458+9→1467
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): Slight underdog
28	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1464 (-1)	3-7	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): L 17-27: 1465-1→1464
next: (bye)
29 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-5)	3-7	at ATL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1450): L 30-31: 1467-5→1462
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight underdog
30	Carolina PanthersCAR	1461 (+10)	3-7	at BAL (1530): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): W 25-15: 1451+10→1461
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1530): Lose by 7 points
31	Detroit LionsDET	1456 (+6)	3-6	at NYG (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): W 31-30: 1450+6→1456
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1473): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1435 (-4)	1-7-1	vs WAS (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1470): L 16-24: 1439-4→1435
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1486): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (-9)	6-2	vs MIN (1515): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): L 17-20: 1591-9→1582
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Win by 7 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1565 (-4)	6-2	vs JAX (1465): Win by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): W 20-17(OT): 1569-4→1565
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): Win by 8 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	6-2	at GB (1499): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1499): Slight favorite
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (+5)	8-0	vs WAS (1469): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1443): W 29-17: 1549+5→1554
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): Win by 8 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540	4-4	vs LAC (1485): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Win by 7 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536 (+9)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): W 42-21: 1527+9→1536
next: (bye)
7 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1530 (+12)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 26-3: 1518+12→1530
next: (bye)
8 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1530 (+13)	6-3	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): W 27-13: 1517+13→1530
next: (bye)
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1528 (+9)	6-3	at TB (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): W 31-21: 1519+9→1528
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1524 (+4)	5-3	vs DEN (1476): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): L 17-20(OT): 1520+4→1524
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1476): Win by 5 points
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+2)	7-1	at BUF (1582): Lose by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): W 20-17: 1513+2→1515
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Lose by 7 points
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (+1)	4-5	at SEA (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 16-13: 1510+1→1511
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501	3-5	vs ARI (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 13-16: 1501-0→1501
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1499 (+9)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): W 20-17: 1490+9→1499
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1499 (-7)	3-6	vs DAL (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1442): L 9-15: 1506-7→1499
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1493 (+3)	6-3	vs CLE (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1471): W 35-32: 1490+3→1493
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1492 (-13)	3-6	at PIT (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): L 13-27: 1505-13→1492
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1458): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1490	3-5	at MIA (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1493): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (+4)	5-3	at SF (1540): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): W 20-17: 1481+4→1485
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Lose by 7 points
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (-4)	4-5	at CAR (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): L 17-20: 1489-4→1485
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): Slight favorite
21 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1484 (-9)	3-6	at LAR (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): L 21-31: 1493-9→1484
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Slight underdog
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-6)	2-6	vs IND (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): L 20-27: 1487-6→1481
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1477): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1477 (-13)	3-5-1	at LV (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1518): L 3-26: 1490-13→1477
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight underdog
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1476	3-5	at TEN (1524): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1524): Lose by 5 points
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1470	6-2	vs HOU (1439): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1439): Win by 6 points
26	Washington CommandersWAS	1469 (-1)	4-5	at PHI (1554): Lose by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 17-20: 1470-1→1469
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Lose by 8 points
27 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (-4)	3-6	vs DET (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): L 32-35: 1471-4→1467
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1450): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1465 (+6)	3-6	at KC (1565): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): W 27-20: 1459+6→1465
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1565): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1458	2-6	vs NO (1492): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Slight favorite
30 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1451 (-9)	2-7	vs ATL (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): L 21-42: 1460-9→1451
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1450 (+8)	2-6	at CHI (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1506): W 15-9: 1442+8→1450
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1439 (-4)	1-6-1	at NYG (1470): Lose by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1549): L 17-29: 1443-4→1439
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1470): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+1)	6-1	at NYJ (1490): Win by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1507): W 27-17: 1590+1→1591
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): Win by 7 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569	5-2	vs TEN (1520): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): Win by 7 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (+9)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): W 49-29: 1546+9→1555
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1549 (+8)	7-0	at HOU (1443): Win by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1466): W 35-13: 1541+8→1549
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1443): Win by 7 points
5 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (+17)	4-4	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): W 31-14: 1523+17→1540
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1527 (-19)	4-4	vs CAR (1460): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): L 13-32: 1546-19→1527
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): Win by 7 points
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1520 (+2)	5-2	at KC (1569): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1445): W 17-10: 1518+2→1520
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Lose by 7 points
8 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1519 (+8)	5-3	at ARI (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 27-13: 1511+8→1519
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (+4)	4-4	vs IND (1490): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1493): W 22-17: 1514+4→1518
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Win by 5 points
10 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+4)	5-3	at NO (1505): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 27-22: 1513+4→1517
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Tossup
11 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+4)	6-1	at WAS (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 34-26: 1509+4→1513
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (-5)	3-5	vs LAR (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): L 22-27: 1515-5→1510
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1506 (-1)	3-5	at DET (1442): Win by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): L 17-27: 1507-1→1506
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1442): Win by 5 points
14 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+16)	3-5	vs BAL (1517): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1503): W 24-0: 1489+16→1505
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Tossup
15 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (-17)	3-4	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 14-31: 1518-17→1501
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1493 (-4)	3-5	vs SEA (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 26-34: 1497-4→1493
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): Slight underdog
17 (+9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1490 (+19)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): W 32-13: 1471+19→1490
next: (bye)
18	New York JetsNYJ	1490 (-3)	5-3	vs BUF (1591): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1514): L 17-22: 1493-3→1490
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Lose by 7 points
19 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (+1)	5-3	at CHI (1471): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1443): W 31-27: 1489+1→1490
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1471): Tossup
20 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-7)	3-4-1	at NE (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): L 16-17: 1497-7→1490
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1518): Lose by 5 points
21 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1489 (-1)	4-4	vs LAC (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): W 37-34(OT): 1490-1→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight favorite
22 (-7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1487 (-16)	2-5	at JAX (1459): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): L 0-24: 1503-16→1487
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481	4-3	at ATL (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1476 (+3)	3-5	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1461): W 21-17: 1473+3→1476
next: (bye)
25 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1471 (-8)	3-5	vs MIA (1490): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): L 29-49: 1479-8→1471
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Tossup
26 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1470 (+7)	4-4	vs MIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1497): W 17-16: 1463+7→1470
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1470 (-9)	6-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): L 13-27: 1479-9→1470
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1460 (+1)	2-6	at CIN (1527): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): L 34-37(OT): 1459+1→1460
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): Lose by 7 points
29	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1459 (-2)	2-6	vs LV (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): L 17-21: 1461-2→1459
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1458 (-8)	2-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): L 13-35: 1466-8→1458
next: (bye)
31	Houston TexansHOU	1443 (-2)	1-5-1	vs PHI (1549): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): L 10-17: 1445-2→1443
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1549): Lose by 7 points
32	Detroit LionsDET	1442 (-1)	1-6	vs GB (1506): Lose by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): L 27-31: 1443-1→1442
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1506): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590	5-1	vs GB (1507): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1507): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+17)	5-2	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): W 44-23: 1552+17→1569
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (+7)	5-2	vs CHI (1479): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1451): W 24-6: 1539+7→1546
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): Win by 8 points
4 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1546 (+10)	4-3	at CLE (1471): Win by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 35-17: 1536+10→1546
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): Win by 6 points
5 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541	6-0	vs PIT (1466): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1466): Win by 9 points
6 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (-17)	3-4	at LAR (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 23-44: 1540-17→1523
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): Slight underdog
7 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1518 (+5)	4-2	at HOU (1445): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1502): W 19-10: 1513+5→1518
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1445): Win by 6 points
8 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	3-3	vs SF (1523): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (-21)	3-4	vs BAL (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): L 3-21: 1536-21→1515
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight favorite
10 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1514 (-23)	3-4	at NYJ (1493): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): L 14-33: 1537-23→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1493): Tossup
11 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (-2)	4-3	at TB (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1469): W 23-20: 1515-2→1513
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight underdog
12 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (+14)	4-3	vs NYG (1479): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 37-23: 1497+14→1511
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): Win by 6 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509	5-1	vs ARI (1497): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight favorite
14 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1507 (-6)	3-4	at BUF (1590): Lose by 9
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1457): L 21-23: 1513-6→1507
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): Lose by 9 points
15 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1503 (+11)	2-4	at NO (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1456): W 38-20: 1492+11→1503
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1489): Slight underdog
16 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (+6)	3-4	at MIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): W 42-34: 1491+6→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1497 (-5)	3-3-1	vs WAS (1463): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1513): L 10-19: 1502-5→1497
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): Win by 6 points
18 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1493 (+6)	5-2	vs NE (1514): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1480): W 16-9: 1487+6→1493
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1514): Tossup
19 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (-11)	3-4	vs CAR (1459): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): L 17-35: 1501-11→1490
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): Win by 5 points
20 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1489 (+2)	4-3	at DET (1443): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): W 16-10: 1487+2→1489
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1443): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1489 (-6)	2-5	vs LV (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): L 34-42: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1503): Slight favorite
22 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-14)	4-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): L 23-37: 1495-14→1481
next: (bye)
23 (+6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1479 (+22)	3-4	at DAL (1546): Lose by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1537): W 33-14: 1457+22→1479
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Lose by 8 points
24	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (+6)	6-1	at SEA (1511): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): W 23-17: 1473+6→1479
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Lose by 6 points
25 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473 (-7)	2-5	at JAX (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): L 9-16: 1480-7→1473
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1461): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1471 (+2)	2-5	vs CIN (1546): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): L 20-23: 1469+2→1471
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1546): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1466 (-2)	2-5	at PHI (1541): Lose by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): L 10-16: 1468-2→1466
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Lose by 9 points
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1463 (+6)	3-4	at IND (1497): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): W 23-21: 1457+6→1463
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1497): Lose by 6 points
29 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1461 (-6)	2-5	at DEN (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): L 17-23: 1467-6→1461
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1459 (+22)	2-5	at ATL (1490): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): W 21-3: 1437+22→1459
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1445 (-11)	1-4-1	vs TEN (1518): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): L 20-38: 1456-11→1445
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): Lose by 6 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1443 (-8)	1-5	vs MIA (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1539): L 6-24: 1451-8→1443
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590 (+1)	5-1	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): W 24-20: 1589+1→1590
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-2)	4-2	at SF (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): L 20-24: 1554-2→1552
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight underdog
3 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+9)	6-0	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): W 26-17: 1532+9→1541
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (-18)	3-3	vs KC (1552): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): L 14-28: 1558-18→1540
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539 (-8)	4-2	vs DET (1451): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): L 17-26: 1547-8→1539
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1451): Win by 8 points
6 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1537 (+15)	3-3	vs CHI (1457): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): W 38-15: 1522+15→1537
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Win by 8 points
7 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1536 (-9)	3-3	at CAR (1437): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1459): L 18-20: 1545-9→1536
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1437): Win by 7 points
8 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1536 (+2)	3-3	vs ATL (1501): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): W 30-26: 1534+2→1536
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Win by 6 points
9 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518 (+6)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1443): W 24-10: 1512+6→1518
next: (bye)
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1515 (-6)	3-3	vs CLE (1469): Win by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1467): L 20-24: 1521-6→1515
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1469): Win by 6 points
11 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1513 (-22)	3-3	at WAS (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1464): L 10-27: 1535-22→1513
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1457): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1513	3-2	vs IND (1502): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1502): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (+9)	5-1	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): W 24-16: 1500+9→1509
next: (bye)
14 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1502 (+1)	3-2-1	at TEN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): W 34-27: 1501+1→1502
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1513): Slight underdog
15 (+7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501 (+18)	3-3	at CIN (1536): Lose by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): W 28-14: 1483+18→1501
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1536): Lose by 6 points
16 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (+10)	3-3	at LAC (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 19-9: 1487+10→1497
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (-2)	2-4	at ARI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1534): L 26-30: 1497-2→1495
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495	4-2	vs SEA (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): W 19-16(OT): 1495+0→1495
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Slight favorite
19	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492	1-4	vs HOU (1456): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1456): Win by 6 points
20 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1491 (-9)	2-4	vs NO (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): L 9-19: 1500-9→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1487 (-9)	3-3	vs PIT (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 16-24: 1496-9→1487
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Slight favorite
22 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1487 (+23)	4-2	at DEN (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): W 27-10: 1464+23→1487
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1480): Slight underdog
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	2-4	vs NYJ (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): L 16-19(OT): 1480-0→1480
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+6)	5-1	at JAX (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): W 24-20: 1467+6→1473
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1469 (-15)	2-4	at BAL (1515): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): L 15-38: 1484-15→1469
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): Lose by 6 points
26 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (+9)	2-4	at MIA (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): W 20-18: 1459+9→1468
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1467 (-1)	2-4	vs NYG (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): L 27-34: 1468-1→1467
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): Slight favorite
28 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1457 (+6)	2-4	vs GB (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): W 12-7: 1451+6→1457
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (-5)	2-4	at NE (1537): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): L 7-12: 1462-5→1457
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1537): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1456	1-3-1	at LV (1492): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Lose by 6 points
31	Detroit LionsDET	1451	1-4	at DAL (1539): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1539): Lose by 8 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1437 (-6)	1-5	vs TB (1536): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): L 10-24: 1443-6→1437
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1589 (+8)	4-1	at KC (1554): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): W 38-3: 1581+8→1589
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1554): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1558 (+11)	3-2	at ATL (1483): Win by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): W 37-15: 1547+11→1558
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): Win by 6 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1554 (-4)	4-1	vs BUF (1589): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1488): W 30-29: 1558-4→1554
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1589): Slight underdog
4 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1547 (+12)	4-1	at PHI (1532): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): W 22-10: 1535+12→1547
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): Tossup
5 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1545 (-3)	3-2	at PIT (1459): Win by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): W 21-15: 1548-3→1545
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1459): Win by 7 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1535 (-12)	3-2	vs NYJ (1464): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): L 22-27: 1547-12→1535
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1464): Win by 8 points
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1534 (-5)	2-3	at NO (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): L 17-19: 1539-5→1534
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight favorite
8	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532 (+2)	5-0	vs DAL (1547): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): W 20-17: 1530+2→1532
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1547): Tossup
9 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1522 (+13)	2-3	at CLE (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1464): W 29-0: 1509+13→1522
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (+4)	3-2	at NYG (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): W 19-17: 1517+4→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1467): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1513 (-1)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1450): W 21-17: 1514-1→1513
next: (bye)
12 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1512 (-12)	2-3	vs CAR (1443): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): L 10-22: 1524-12→1512
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1443): Win by 8 points
13 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1501 (+3)	2-2-1	vs JAX (1468): Win by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): W 12-9(OT): 1498+3→1501
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1468): Win by 6 points
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500 (+1)	4-1	at MIA (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): W 29-22: 1499+1→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500 (-2)	2-3	at SEA (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): L 17-20: 1502-2→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (+5)	2-3	vs CIN (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): W 39-32: 1492+5→1497
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1534): Slight underdog
17 (-7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496 (-23)	3-2	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): L 17-40: 1519-23→1496
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (+5)	3-2	vs DEN (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1489): W 30-28: 1490+5→1495
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (+4)	1-4	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): L 29-30: 1488+4→1492
next: (bye)
20 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-5)	2-3	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): L 32-39: 1492-5→1487
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1484 (-5)	2-3	vs NE (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 28-30: 1489-5→1484
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1483 (+3)	2-3	vs SF (1558): Lose by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): L 15-21: 1480+3→1483
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): Lose by 6 points
23 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1480 (-3)	2-3	at LAC (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): L 9-12(OT): 1483-3→1480
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight underdog
24	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1468 (-11)	2-3	at IND (1501): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1445): L 6-13: 1479-11→1468
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): Lose by 6 points
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (+12)	4-1	vs BAL (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): W 27-22: 1455+12→1467
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Slight underdog
26 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1464 (+23)	3-2	at GB (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1519): W 40-17: 1441+23→1464
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): Lose by 8 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-2)	2-3	vs WAS (1451): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): L 22-29: 1464-2→1462
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): Slight favorite
28 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1459 (-8)	1-4	vs TB (1545): Lose by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): L 3-38: 1467-8→1459
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): Lose by 7 points
29 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1456 (+11)	1-3-1	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): W 13-6: 1445+11→1456
next: (bye)
30	Washington CommandersWAS	1451 (+1)	1-4	at CHI (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1514): L 17-21: 1450+1→1451
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1451 (-13)	1-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): L 0-29: 1464-13→1451
next: (bye)
32 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443 (-10)	1-4	at LAR (1512): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): L 15-37: 1453-10→1443
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1581 (-1)	3-1	vs PIT (1467): Win by 11
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): W 23-20: 1582-1→1581
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Win by 11 points
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (+13)	3-1	vs LV (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): W 41-31: 1545+13→1558
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1488): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1548 (-13)	2-2	vs ATL (1480): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): L 31-41: 1561-13→1548
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): Win by 8 points
4 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547 (+13)	2-2	at CAR (1453): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): W 24-9: 1534+13→1547
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): Win by 7 points
5 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1547 (-3)	3-1	at NYG (1455): Win by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1506): W 27-24(OT): 1550-3→1547
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): Win by 8 points
6 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+11)	2-2	at BAL (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1530): W 27-15: 1528+11→1539
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1535 (+5)	3-1	at LAR (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1456): W 25-10: 1530+5→1535
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (+2)	4-0	at ARI (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): W 29-21: 1528+2→1530
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524 (-13)	2-2	vs DAL (1535): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): L 9-24: 1537-13→1524
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1535): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1519 (-11)	3-1	at NYJ (1441): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): L 15-27: 1530-11→1519
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Win by 7 points
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+2)	2-2	vs CIN (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 20-23: 1515+2→1517
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Slight underdog
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1514 (+8)	2-2	at WAS (1450): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1506): W 24-17: 1506+8→1514
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1450): Win by 6 points
13	New England PatriotsNE	1509 (+3)	1-3	vs DET (1464): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): L 24-27(OT): 1506+3→1509
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1464): Win by 7 points
14 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1502 (+8)	2-2	vs PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): W 26-16: 1494+8→1502
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+4)	3-1	vs CHI (1464): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): W 28-25: 1495+4→1499
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 6 points
16 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1498 (-8)	1-2-1	at DEN (1483): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1506): L 17-24: 1506-8→1498
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): Tossup
17 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (+2)	2-2	at NO (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1466): W 48-45: 1490+2→1492
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1492 (-3)	1-3	vs SEA (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): L 25-28: 1495-3→1492
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (+9)	2-2	at CLE (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1454): W 34-24: 1481+9→1490
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1489): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489 (-4)	2-2	vs LAC (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): L 20-23: 1493-4→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1488 (+8)	1-3	at KC (1558): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1492): W 32-23: 1480+8→1488
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Lose by 8 points
22 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1483 (-9)	2-2	vs IND (1498): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): L 23-32: 1492-9→1483
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): Tossup
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480 (+4)	2-2	at TB (1548): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 23-20: 1476+4→1480
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): Lose by 8 points
24 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (-2)	2-2	vs HOU (1445): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): L 21-29: 1481-2→1479
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1445): Win by 6 points
25 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (-10)	1-3	at BUF (1581): Lose by 11
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1431): L 20-24: 1477-10→1467
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1581): Lose by 11 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (-9)	2-2	at MIN (1499): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): L 12-20: 1473-9→1464
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Lose by 6 points
27	Detroit LionsDET	1464 (-2)	1-3	at NE (1509): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): L 45-48: 1466-2→1464
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): Lose by 7 points
28 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+9)	3-1	at GB (1547): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1473): W 20-12: 1446+9→1455
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1547): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1453 (-9)	1-3	vs SF (1547): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): L 16-26: 1462-9→1453
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1450 (-6)	1-3	vs TEN (1514): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): L 10-25: 1456-6→1450
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1514): Lose by 6 points
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1445 (-9)	0-3-1	at JAX (1479): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): L 24-34: 1454-9→1445
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Lose by 6 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (+10)	2-2	vs MIA (1519): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): W 24-20: 1431+10→1441
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1519): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (-9)	2-1	at BAL (1515): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1521): L 19-21: 1591-9→1582
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1561 (-8)	2-1	vs KC (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): L 12-14: 1569-8→1561
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+8)	2-1	vs NE (1506): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): W 14-12: 1542+8→1550
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1506): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545 (-8)	2-1	at TB (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): L 17-20: 1553-8→1545
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (+7)	2-1	at SF (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 20-12: 1530+7→1537
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Slight underdog
6 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (-9)	1-2	vs LAR (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1484): L 10-11: 1543-9→1534
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1530 (+9)	3-0	at CIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): W 21-19: 1521+9→1530
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1530	2-1	vs WAS (1456): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): W 23-16: 1530-0→1530
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1456): Win by 8 points
9 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1528 (+11)	3-0	vs JAX (1481): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): W 24-8: 1517+11→1528
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): Win by 7 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (+8)	1-2	vs MIA (1530): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1439): W 27-12: 1520+8→1528
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1530): Slight favorite
11 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1515 (+15)	2-1	vs BUF (1582): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): W 37-26: 1500+15→1515
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Lose by 6 points
12 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1506 (-1)	1-2	at IND (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): W 24-22: 1507-1→1506
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1506): Slight underdog
13 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1506 (-15)	1-2	at GB (1550): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 26-37: 1521-15→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Lose by 7 points
14 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1506 (+8)	1-1-1	vs TEN (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): W 20-17: 1498+8→1506
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1506): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-1)	2-1	at NO (1495): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1465): W 28-24: 1496-1→1495
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Tossup
16 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (-12)	1-2	at MIN (1495): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): L 14-22: 1507-12→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Tossup
17 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-6)	1-2	at CAR (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1530): L 12-20: 1500-6→1494
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+11)	2-1	at ATL (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): W 29-17: 1482+11→1493
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1492 (+8)	2-1	at LV (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): W 11-10: 1484+8→1492
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-8)	1-2	at DET (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 23-27: 1498-8→1490
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1466): Slight favorite
21 (-9)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-26)	1-2	at HOU (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): L 10-38: 1507-26→1481
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1454): Slight favorite
22 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1481 (+27)	2-1	at PHI (1528): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): W 38-10: 1454+27→1481
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): Lose by 7 points
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1480 (+1)	0-3	vs DEN (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): L 22-24: 1479+1→1480
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1492): Slight favorite
24 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (-11)	1-2	vs NYJ (1431): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): L 17-29: 1488-11→1477
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1431): Win by 7 points
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (+8)	1-2	vs CLE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): W 27-23: 1468+8→1476
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1473	2-1	at NYG (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1454): W 23-20: 1473+0→1473
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): Slight favorite
27	Detroit LionsDET	1466 (+1)	1-2	vs SEA (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): L 24-28: 1465+1→1466
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1462 (+12)	1-2	vs ARI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): W 22-14: 1450+12→1462
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight underdog
29 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1456 (-12)	1-2	at DAL (1530): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): L 8-24: 1468-12→1456
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1454	0-2-1	vs LAC (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1473): L 20-23: 1454-0→1454
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight underdog
31	New York GiantsNYG	1446	2-1	vs CHI (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): L 16-23: 1446+0→1446
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1473): Slight underdog
32	New York JetsNYJ	1431 (-8)	1-2	at PIT (1477): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 12-27: 1439-8→1431
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+11)	2-0	at MIA (1521): Win by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): W 41-7: 1580+11→1591
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1521): Win by 6 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569 (+7)	2-0	vs GB (1542): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): W 20-10: 1562+7→1569
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Win by 6 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1553 (-4)	2-0	at IND (1498): Win by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 27-24: 1557-4→1553
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): Win by 6 points
4 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (+14)	1-1	at DEN (1484): Win by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): W 27-7: 1529+14→1543
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Win by 6 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+9)	1-1	at TB (1569): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): W 27-10: 1533+9→1542
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1569): Lose by 6 points
6 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1530 (-7)	1-1	at ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): W 31-27: 1537-7→1530
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1530 (+1)	1-1	at NYG (1446): Win by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): W 20-17: 1529+1→1530
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): Win by 7 points
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (+2)	1-1	vs BAL (1500): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): W 17-14: 1519+2→1521
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Win by 5 points
9 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1521 (+4)	2-0	vs BUF (1591): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1504): W 42-38: 1517+4→1521
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Lose by 6 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (-1)	0-2	at NYJ (1439): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 17-20: 1521-1→1520
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1439): Win by 7 points
11 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517 (+16)	2-0	at WAS (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): W 24-7: 1501+16→1517
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): Slight favorite
12 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (+3)	1-1	vs JAX (1454): Win by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1557): L 24-27: 1504+3→1507
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Win by 8 points
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (-7)	1-1	at CAR (1450): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): L 10-20: 1514-7→1507
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Win by 6 points
14 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1507 (-11)	0-2	vs LV (1479): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1580): L 7-41: 1518-11→1507
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): Win by 6 points
15 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500 (+2)	1-1	vs LAR (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 29-23(OT): 1498+2→1500
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1530): Slight underdog
16	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500 (-4)	1-1	at NE (1521): Lose by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1517): L 38-42: 1504-4→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Lose by 5 points
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (-13)	1-1	vs ATL (1468): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1529): L 7-27: 1511-13→1498
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Win by 6 points
18 (-10)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1498 (-27)	0-1-1	vs KC (1553): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1427): L 0-24: 1525-27→1498
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): Lose by 6 points
19 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1496 (-16)	1-1	vs DET (1465): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): L 7-24: 1512-16→1496
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1465): Win by 6 points
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (-2)	1-1	at CLE (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): L 14-17: 1490-2→1488
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1482): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1484 (+3)	1-1	vs SF (1543): Lose by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1456): W 16-9: 1481+3→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Lose by 6 points
22 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1482 (-13)	1-1	vs PIT (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1426): L 30-31: 1495-13→1482
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight favorite
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1479 (-2)	0-2	at TEN (1507): Lose by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1498): L 23-29(OT): 1481-2→1479
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): Lose by 6 points
24 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1473 (-8)	1-1	vs HOU (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): L 10-27: 1481-8→1473
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1454): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (+7)	0-2	at SEA (1498): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): L 27-31: 1461+7→1468
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Lose by 6 points
26 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1468 (-10)	1-1	vs PHI (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): L 27-36: 1478-10→1468
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1465 (+10)	1-1	at MIN (1496): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1478): W 36-27: 1455+10→1465
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): Lose by 6 points
28 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (+27)	1-1	at LAC (1507): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): W 24-0: 1427+27→1454
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Lose by 8 points
29 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1454 (-2)	0-1-1	at CHI (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1481): L 9-16: 1456-2→1454
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1473): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1450 (-3)	0-2	vs NO (1507): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): L 16-19: 1453-3→1450
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Lose by 6 points
31 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1446 (+3)	2-0	vs DAL (1530): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): W 19-16: 1443+3→1446
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): Lose by 7 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1439 (+13)	1-1	vs CIN (1520): Lose by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): W 31-30: 1426+13→1439
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1580 (+9)	1-0	vs TEN (1518): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): W 31-10: 1571+9→1580
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): Win by 8 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1562 (+8)	1-0	at NO (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1536): W 19-3: 1554+8→1562
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1557 (+8)	1-0	vs LAC (1504): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): W 44-21: 1549+8→1557
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Win by 7 points
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (-8)	0-1	vs ATL (1461): Win by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): L 10-31: 1545-8→1537
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): Win by 10 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (-10)	0-1	vs CHI (1481): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): L 7-23: 1543-10→1533
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Win by 7 points
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1529 (-8)	0-1	vs SEA (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): L 10-19: 1537-8→1529
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Slight favorite
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (-7)	0-1	vs CIN (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): L 3-19: 1536-7→1529
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): Slight favorite
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1525 (-3)	0-0-1	at JAX (1427): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): T 20-20(OT): 1528-3→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1427): Win by 8 points
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1521 (-5)	0-1	at DAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): L 20-23(OT): 1526-5→1521
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1519 (-7)	0-1	at PIT (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): L 7-20: 1526-7→1519
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1490): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1518 (-8)	0-1	at BUF (1580): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): L 20-21: 1526-8→1518
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1580): Lose by 8 points
12 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1517 (+7)	1-0	at BAL (1504): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1526): W 20-7: 1510+7→1517
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1504): Tossup
13 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1514	1-0	vs TB (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): W 27-26: 1514-0→1514
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1562): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (+10)	1-0	at PHI (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1543): W 23-7: 1502+10→1512
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (-1)	1-0	at SF (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): W 17-16: 1512-1→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1529): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1504 (+5)	1-0	vs MIA (1517): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1431): W 24-9: 1499+5→1504
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1517): Tossup
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504	1-0	at KC (1557): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 24-19: 1504-0→1504
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1557): Lose by 7 points
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1501	1-0	vs MIN (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): W 38-35: 1501-0→1501
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1498 (-8)	0-1	at LV (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): L 21-44: 1506-8→1498
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight favorite
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495 (+1)	1-0	vs NYJ (1426): Win by 9
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): W 26-24: 1494+1→1495
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1426): Win by 9 points
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1490 (+5)	1-0	vs NE (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): W 23-20(OT): 1485+5→1490
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1481 (+7)	1-0	at GB (1533): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): W 19-10: 1474+7→1481
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Lose by 7 points
23 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481	0-1	vs ARI (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): L 19-24: 1481+0→1481
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1498): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1481 (+1)	0-1	vs HOU (1456): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): L 16-17: 1480+1→1481
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1456): Win by 5 points
25 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1478 (-1)	1-0	at DET (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1426): W 28-22: 1479-1→1478
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): Slight favorite
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1461	0-1	at LAR (1537): Lose by 10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): L 26-27: 1461+0→1461
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Lose by 10 points
27 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1456 (+3)	0-0-1	at DEN (1481): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1528): T 20-20(OT): 1453+3→1456
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1481): Lose by 5 points
28 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1455	0-1	vs WAS (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): L 35-38: 1455+0→1455
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1478): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1453	0-1	at NYG (1443): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): L 24-26: 1453-0→1453
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1443 (+8)	1-0	vs CAR (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): W 21-20: 1435+8→1443
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): Slight favorite
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1427 (+1)	0-1	vs IND (1525): Lose by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1479): L 22-28: 1426+1→1427
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1426 (-5)	0-1	at CLE (1495): Lose by 9
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): L 9-24: 1431-5→1426
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2022 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1571	0-0	at LAR (1545): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1608-37→1571
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): Slight favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554	0-0	at DAL (1536): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1583-29→1554
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1536): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1549	0-0	at ARI (1506): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1575-26→1549
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): Slight favorite
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1545	0-0	vs BUF (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1569-24→1545
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): Slight underdog
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1543	0-0	at MIN (1502): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1565-22→1543
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Slight favorite
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537	0-0	at CHI (1474): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1556-19→1537
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Win by 6 points
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1536	0-0	vs TB (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1555-19→1536
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): Slight underdog
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1528	0-0	at HOU (1453): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1543-15→1528
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): Win by 7 points
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526	0-0	vs NYG (1435): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-14→1526
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): Win by 11 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1526	0-0	vs PIT (1485): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-14→1526
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): Win by 7 points
11	New England PatriotsNE	1526	0-0	at MIA (1510): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1540-14→1526
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): Slight favorite
12	New Orleans SaintsNO	1514	0-0	at ATL (1461): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1522-8→1514
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): Win by 6 points
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1512	0-0	vs DEN (1480): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1518-6→1512
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1480): Win by 6 points
14	Miami DolphinsMIA	1510	0-0	vs NE (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1516-6→1510
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1526): Slight underdog
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1506	0-0	vs KC (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1509-3→1506
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): Slight underdog
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504	0-0	vs LV (1481): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1506-2→1504
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Win by 5 points
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502	0-0	vs GB (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1504-2→1502
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1543): Slight underdog
18	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1501	0-0	at DET (1455): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1502-1→1501
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): Win by 5 points
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499	0-0	at NYJ (1431): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1499+0→1499
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1431): Win by 7 points
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494	0-0	at CAR (1453): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1492+2→1494
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1453): Slight favorite
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1485	0-0	at CIN (1526): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1478+7→1485
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): Lose by 7 points
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481	0-0	at LAC (1504): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1471+10→1481
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Lose by 5 points
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	0-0	at SEA (1512): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1470+10→1480
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Lose by 6 points
24	Washington CommandersWAS	1479	0-0	vs JAX (1426): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1469+10→1479
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1426): Win by 8 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1474	0-0	vs SF (1537): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1460+14→1474
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Lose by 6 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1461	0-0	vs NO (1514): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1441+20→1461
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): Lose by 6 points
27	Detroit LionsDET	1455	0-0	vs PHI (1501): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1431+24→1455
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1501): Lose by 5 points
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1453	0-0	vs CLE (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1429+24→1453
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1453	0-0	vs IND (1528): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1428+25→1453
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1528): Lose by 7 points
30	New York GiantsNYG	1435	0-0	at TEN (1526): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1401+34→1435
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): Lose by 11 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1431	0-0	vs BAL (1499): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1395+36→1431
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1426	0-0	at WAS (1479): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1388+38→1426
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1479): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2022 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs KC(1549) L 21-44: -8→1498	9	21	vs SEA(1519) L 21-31: -9→1484	17	29	at ATL(1464) L 19-20: -2→1453
2	15	at LV(1481) W 29-23: +2→1500	10	16	at LAR(1501) W 27-17: +12→1496	18	29	at SF(1595) L 13-38: -7→1446
3	17	vs LAR(1530) L 12-20: -6→1494	11	20	at SF(1538) L 10-38: -15→1481	W	29
4	14	at CAR(1462) W 26-16: +8→1502	12	21	vs LAC(1486) L 24-25: -5→1476	D	29
5	15	vs PHI(1530) L 17-20: -2→1500	13	23	(bye)	C	29
6	20	at SEA(1487) L 9-19: -9→1491	14	27	vs NE(1515) L 13-27: -12→1464	S	29
7	16	vs NO(1495) W 42-34: +6→1497	15	29	at DEN(1458) L 15-24: -7→1457
8	16	at MIN(1509) L 26-34: -4→1493	16	28	vs TB(1489) L 16-19: -2→1455

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs NO(1514) L 26-27: +0→1461	9	20	vs LAC(1481) L 17-20: -4→1485	17	27	vs ARI(1455) W 20-19: +1→1465
2	25	at LAR(1537) L 27-31: +7→1468	10	24	at CAR(1451) L 15-25: -10→1475	18	24	vs TB(1494) W 30-17: +13→1478
3	25	at SEA(1498) W 27-23: +8→1476	11	23	vs CHI(1462) W 27-24: +0→1475	W	24
4	23	vs CLE(1493) W 23-20: +4→1480	12	23	at WAS(1497) L 13-19: -2→1473	D	23
5	22	at TB(1548) L 15-21: +3→1483	13	25	vs PIT(1472) L 16-19: -5→1468	C	23
6	15	vs SF(1558) W 28-14: +18→1501	14	26	(bye)	S	23
7	19	at CIN(1536) L 17-35: -11→1490	15	25	at NO(1480) L 18-21: -1→1467
8	21	vs CAR(1459) W 37-34: -1→1489	16	26	at BAL(1521) L 9-17: -3→1464

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at NYJ(1431) W 24-9: +5→1504	9	8	at NO(1505) W 27-13: +13→1530	17	10	vs PIT(1486) L 13-16: -7→1517
2	16	vs MIA(1517) L 38-42: -4→1500	10	8	(bye)	18	10	at CIN(1566) L 16-27: -5→1512
3	11	at NE(1521) W 37-26: +15→1515	11	8	vs CAR(1461) W 13-3: +4→1534	W	10	at CIN(1571) L 17-24: -0→1512
4	11	vs BUF(1582) L 20-23: +2→1517	12	8	at JAX(1464) L 27-28: -4→1530	D	11
5	10	vs CIN(1539) W 19-17: +4→1521	13	7	vs DEN(1458) W 10-9: -1→1529	C	11
6	10	at NYG(1467) L 20-24: -6→1515	14	7	at PIT(1477) W 16-14: +2→1531	S	11
7	11	vs CLE(1469) W 23-20: -2→1513	15	8	at CLE(1480) L 3-13: -10→1521
8	10	at TB(1515) W 27-22: +4→1517	16	7	vs ATL(1467) W 17-9: +3→1524

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-80 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at LAR(1545) W 31-10: +9→1580	9	1	at NYJ(1490) L 17-20: -9→1582	17	1	(bye)
2	1	vs TEN(1518) W 41-7: +11→1591	10	1	vs MIN(1515) L 30-33: -8→1574	18	2	vs NE(1521) W 35-23: +4→1602
3	1	at MIA(1521) L 19-21: -9→1582	11	1	at CLE(1475) W 31-23: +2→1576	W	2	vs MIA(1497) W 34-31: -6→1596
4	1	at BAL(1515) W 23-20: -1→1581	12	1	at DET(1470) W 28-25: -0→1576	D	4	vs CIN(1571) L 10-27: -18→1578
5	1	vs PIT(1467) W 38-3: +8→1589	13	1	at NE(1527) W 24-10: +12→1588	C	5
6	1	at KC(1554) W 24-20: +1→1590	14	1	vs NYJ(1508) W 20-12: +2→1590	S	4
7	1	(bye)	15	2	vs MIA(1501) W 32-29: -2→1588
8	1	vs GB(1507) W 27-17: +1→1591	16	1	at CHI(1441) W 35-13: +10→1598

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs CLE(1494) L 24-26: -0→1453	9	30	at CIN(1527) L 21-42: -9→1451	17	22	at TB(1492) L 24-30: -2→1477
2	30	at NYG(1443) L 16-19: -3→1450	10	30	vs ATL(1485) W 25-15: +10→1461	18	20	at NO(1505) W 10-7: +6→1483
3	28	vs NO(1507) W 22-14: +12→1462	11	31	at BAL(1530) L 3-13: -4→1457	W	20
4	29	vs ARI(1494) L 16-26: -9→1453	12	27	vs DEN(1469) W 23-10: +11→1468	D	20
5	32	vs SF(1547) L 15-37: -10→1443	13	26	(bye)	C	20
6	32	at LAR(1512) L 10-24: -6→1437	14	23	at SEA(1520) W 30-24: +7→1475	S	20
7	30	vs TB(1536) W 21-3: +22→1459	15	26	vs PIT(1475) L 16-24: -9→1466
8	28	at ATL(1490) L 34-37: +1→1460	16	25	vs DET(1500) W 37-23: +13→1479

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs SF(1537) W 19-10: +7→1481	9	27	vs MIA(1490) L 32-35: -4→1467	17	31	at DET(1487) L 10-41: -13→1418
2	24	at GB(1533) L 10-27: -8→1473	10	29	vs DET(1450) L 30-31: -5→1462	18	32	vs MIN(1486) L 13-29: -11→1407
3	26	vs HOU(1454) W 23-20: +0→1473	11	29	at ATL(1475) L 24-27: -1→1461	W	32
4	26	at NYG(1446) L 12-20: -9→1464	12	31	at NYJ(1496) L 10-31: -13→1448	D	32
5	27	at MIN(1499) L 22-29: -2→1462	13	31	vs GB(1492) L 19-28: -8→1440	C	32
6	29	vs WAS(1451) L 7-12: -5→1457	14	31	(bye)	S	32
7	23	at NE(1537) W 33-14: +22→1479	15	31	vs PHI(1571) L 20-25: +1→1441
8	25	at DAL(1546) L 29-49: -8→1471	16	31	vs BUF(1588) L 13-35: -10→1431

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	vs PIT(1485) L 20-23: -5→1521	9	6	vs CAR(1460) W 42-21: +9→1536	17	5	(bye)
2	10	at DAL(1529) L 17-20: -1→1520	10	6	(bye)	18	4	vs BAL(1517) W 27-16: +5→1571
3	10	at NYJ(1439) W 27-12: +8→1528	11	5	at PIT(1467) W 37-30: +3→1539	W	4	vs BAL(1512) W 24-17: +0→1571
4	6	vs MIA(1530) W 27-15: +11→1539	12	5	at TEN(1536) W 20-16: +5→1544	D	2	at BUF(1596) W 27-10: +18→1589
5	7	at BAL(1517) L 17-19: -5→1534	13	6	vs KC(1576) W 27-24: +3→1547	C	2	at KC(1582) L 20-23: -2→1587
6	8	at NO(1497) W 30-26: +2→1536	14	6	vs CLE(1488) W 23-10: +8→1555	S	3
7	4	vs ATL(1501) W 35-17: +10→1546	15	6	at TB(1498) W 34-23: +9→1564
8	6	at CLE(1471) L 13-32: -19→1527	16	6	at NE(1524) W 22-18: +2→1566

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at CAR(1453) W 26-24: +1→1495	9	18	(bye)	17	16	at WAS(1480) W 24-10: +14→1496
2	22	vs NYJ(1426) L 30-31: -13→1482	10	23	at MIA(1493) L 17-39: -15→1475	18	19	at PIT(1493) L 14-28: -11→1485
3	18	vs PIT(1488) W 29-17: +11→1493	11	24	at BUF(1574) L 23-31: -2→1473	W	19
4	20	at ATL(1476) L 20-23: -4→1489	12	20	vs TB(1515) W 23-17: +4→1477	D	19
5	21	vs LAC(1490) L 28-30: -5→1484	13	18	at HOU(1418) W 27-14: +11→1488	C	19
6	25	vs NE(1522) L 15-38: -15→1469	14	21	at CIN(1547) L 10-23: -8→1480	S	19
7	26	at BAL(1515) L 20-23: +2→1471	15	18	vs BAL(1531) W 13-3: +10→1490
8	17	vs CIN(1546) W 32-13: +19→1490	16	23	vs NO(1482) L 10-17: -8→1482

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-65 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs TB(1554) L 3-19: -7→1529	9	3	(bye)	17	3	at TEN(1488) W 27-13: +9→1582
2	7	vs CIN(1521) W 20-17: +1→1530	10	3	at GB(1499) L 28-31: -5→1550	18	5	at WAS(1466) L 6-26: -22→1560
3	8	at NYG(1446) W 23-16: -0→1530	11	2	at MIN(1522) W 40-3: +18→1568	W	5	at TB(1482) W 31-14: +10→1570
4	7	vs WAS(1456) W 25-10: +5→1535	12	3	vs NYG(1459) W 28-20: +1→1569	D	5	at SF(1609) L 12-19: -1→1569
5	4	at LAR(1524) W 22-10: +12→1547	13	2	vs IND(1472) W 54-19: +12→1581	C	6
6	5	at PHI(1532) L 17-26: -8→1539	14	3	vs HOU(1407) W 27-23: -5→1576	S	6
7	3	vs DET(1451) W 24-6: +7→1546	15	5	at JAX(1469) L 34-40: -6→1570
8	3	vs CHI(1479) W 49-29: +9→1555	16	4	vs PHI(1570) W 40-34: +3→1573

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at SEA(1512) L 16-17: +1→1481	9	24	(bye)	17	28	at KC(1579) L 24-27: +6→1454
2	21	vs HOU(1456) W 16-9: +3→1484	10	26	at TEN(1524) L 10-17: -3→1473	18	28	vs LAC(1521) W 31-28: +6→1460
3	19	vs SF(1543) W 11-10: +8→1492	11	26	vs LV(1476) L 16-22: -4→1469	W	28
4	22	at LV(1480) L 23-32: -9→1483	12	30	at CAR(1457) L 10-23: -11→1458	D	28
5	23	vs IND(1498) L 9-12: -3→1480	13	28	at BAL(1530) L 9-10: +1→1459	C	28
6	23	at LAC(1495) L 16-19: -0→1480	14	29	vs KC(1573) L 28-34: -1→1458	S	28
7	25	vs NYJ(1487) L 9-16: -7→1473	15	27	vs ARI(1464) W 24-15: +7→1465
8	24	at JAX(1461) W 21-17: +3→1476	16	29	at LAR(1468) L 14-51: -17→1448

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs PHI(1501) L 35-38: +0→1455	9	31	vs GB(1506) W 15-9: +8→1450	17	14	vs CHI(1431) W 41-10: +13→1500
2	27	vs WAS(1478) W 36-27: +10→1465	10	31	at CHI(1467) W 31-30: +6→1456	18	13	at GB(1528) W 20-16: +7→1507
3	27	at MIN(1496) L 24-28: +1→1466	11	25	at NYG(1473) W 31-18: +14→1470	W	12
4	27	vs SEA(1490) L 45-48: -2→1464	12	26	vs BUF(1576) L 25-28: +0→1470	D	12
5	31	at NE(1509) L 0-29: -13→1451	13	20	vs JAX(1468) W 40-14: +15→1485	C	12
6	31	(bye)	14	17	vs MIN(1511) W 34-23: +10→1495	S	12
7	32	at DAL(1539) L 6-24: -8→1443	15	14	at NYJ(1506) W 20-17: +5→1500
8	32	vs MIA(1489) L 27-31: -1→1442	16	19	at CAR(1466) L 23-37: -13→1487

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at MIN(1502) L 7-23: -10→1533	9	15	at DET(1442) L 9-15: -7→1499	17	7	vs MIN(1501) W 41-17: +14→1528
2	5	vs CHI(1481) W 27-10: +9→1542	10	14	vs DAL(1555) W 31-28: +5→1504	18	7	vs DET(1500) L 16-20: -6→1522
3	3	at TB(1569) W 14-12: +8→1550	11	16	vs TEN(1526) L 17-27: -9→1495	W	7
4	5	vs NE(1506) W 27-24: -3→1547	12	16	at PHI(1539) L 33-40: -3→1492	D	7
5	6	at NYG(1455) L 22-27: -12→1535	13	15	at CHI(1448) W 28-19: +8→1500	C	7
6	11	vs NYJ(1464) L 10-27: -22→1513	14	13	(bye)	S	7
7	14	at WAS(1457) L 21-23: -6→1507	15	9	vs LAR(1476) W 24-12: +8→1508
8	13	at BUF(1590) L 17-27: -1→1506	16	9	at MIA(1503) W 26-20: +6→1514

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+66 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs IND(1528) T 20-20: +3→1456	9	32	vs PHI(1549) L 17-29: -4→1439	17	32	vs JAX(1492) L 3-31: -15→1410
2	29	at DEN(1481) L 9-16: -2→1454	10	32	at NYG(1470) L 16-24: -4→1435	18	31	at IND(1430) W 32-31: +6→1416
3	30	at CHI(1473) L 20-23: -0→1454	11	32	vs WAS(1486) L 10-23: -10→1425	W	31
4	31	vs LAC(1481) L 24-34: -9→1445	12	32	at MIA(1508) L 15-30: -7→1418	D	31
5	29	at JAX(1479) W 13-6: +11→1456	13	32	vs CLE(1477) L 14-27: -11→1407	C	31
6	30	(bye)	14	32	at DAL(1581) L 23-27: +5→1412	S	31
7	31	at LV(1492) L 20-38: -11→1445	15	32	vs KC(1574) L 24-30: +4→1416
8	31	vs TEN(1518) L 10-17: -2→1443	16	32	at TEN(1497) W 19-14: +9→1425

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at HOU(1453) T 20-20: -3→1525	9	23	at NE(1518) L 3-26: -13→1477	17	30	at NYG(1457) L 10-38: -15→1430
2	18	at JAX(1427) L 0-24: -27→1498	10	21	at LV(1481) W 25-20: +5→1482	18	30	vs HOU(1410) L 31-32: -6→1424
3	14	vs KC(1553) W 20-17: +8→1506	11	21	vs PHI(1537) L 16-17: -2→1480	W	30
4	16	vs TEN(1506) L 17-24: -8→1498	12	25	vs PIT(1464) L 17-24: -8→1472	D	30
5	13	at DEN(1483) W 12-9: +3→1501	13	27	at DAL(1569) L 19-54: -13→1459	C	30
6	14	vs JAX(1468) W 34-27: +1→1502	14	28	(bye)	S	30
7	17	at TEN(1513) L 10-19: -5→1497	15	28	at MIN(1501) L 36-39: -0→1459
8	20	vs WAS(1463) L 16-17: -7→1490	16	30	vs LAC(1492) L 3-20: -14→1445

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at WAS(1479) L 22-28: +1→1427	9	28	vs LV(1487) W 27-20: +6→1465	17	12	at HOU(1425) W 31-3: +14→1506
2	28	vs IND(1525) W 24-0: +27→1454	10	28	at KC(1565) L 17-27: -1→1464	18	12	vs TEN(1479) W 20-16: +1→1507
3	22	at LAC(1507) W 38-10: +27→1481	11	28	(bye)	W	11	vs LAC(1515) W 31-30: +2→1509
4	24	at PHI(1528) L 21-29: -2→1479	12	28	vs BAL(1534) W 28-27: +4→1468	D	10	at KC(1585) L 20-27: +3→1512
5	24	vs HOU(1445) L 6-13: -11→1468	13	30	at DET(1470) L 14-40: -15→1453	C	10
6	27	at IND(1501) L 27-34: -1→1467	14	25	at TEN(1516) W 36-22: +16→1469	S	10
7	29	vs NYG(1473) L 17-23: -6→1461	15	23	vs DAL(1576) W 40-34: +6→1475
8	29	at DEN(1473) L 17-21: -2→1459	16	14	at NYJ(1501) W 19-3: +17→1492

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1543 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at ARI(1506) W 44-21: +8→1557	9	2	vs TEN(1520) W 20-17: -4→1565	17	4	vs DEN(1448) W 27-24: -6→1573
2	3	vs LAC(1504) W 27-24: -4→1553	10	2	vs JAX(1465) W 27-17: +2→1567	18	3	at LV(1493) W 31-13: +12→1585
3	4	at IND(1498) L 17-20: -8→1545	11	3	at LAC(1486) W 30-27: +1→1568	W	3	(bye)
4	2	at TB(1561) W 41-31: +13→1558	12	2	vs LAR(1484) W 26-10: +8→1576	D	3	vs JAX(1509) W 27-20: -3→1582
5	3	vs LV(1488) W 30-29: -4→1554	13	3	at CIN(1544) L 24-27: -3→1573	C	3	vs CIN(1589) W 23-20: +2→1584
6	2	vs BUF(1589) L 20-24: -2→1552	14	4	at DEN(1459) W 34-28: +1→1574	S	2	at PHI(1580) W 38-35: +3→1587
7	2	at SF(1540) W 44-23: +17→1569	15	3	at HOU(1412) W 30-24: -3→1571
8	2	(bye)	16	3	vs SEA(1507) W 24-10: +8→1579

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at LAC(1504) L 19-24: +0→1481	9	22	at JAX(1459) L 20-27: -6→1481	17	18	vs SF(1597) L 34-37: +3→1493
2	23	vs ARI(1498) L 23-29: -2→1479	10	22	vs IND(1477) L 20-25: -5→1476	18	22	vs KC(1573) L 13-31: -11→1482
3	23	at TEN(1507) L 22-24: +1→1480	11	22	at DEN(1473) W 22-16: +4→1480	W	22
4	21	vs DEN(1492) W 32-23: +8→1488	12	18	at SEA(1524) W 40-34: +6→1486	D	21
5	19	at KC(1558) L 29-30: +4→1492	13	17	vs LAC(1490) W 27-20: +5→1491	C	21
6	19	(bye)	14	19	at LAR(1473) L 16-17: -3→1488	S	21
7	15	vs HOU(1456) W 38-20: +11→1503	15	16	vs NE(1528) W 30-24: +5→1493
8	22	at NO(1489) L 0-24: -16→1487	16	16	at PIT(1483) L 10-13: -3→1490

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs LV(1481) W 24-19: -0→1504	9	19	at ATL(1489) W 20-17: +4→1485	17	9	vs LAR(1485) W 31-10: +15→1521
2	12	at KC(1557) L 24-27: +3→1507	10	18	at SF(1540) L 16-22: +1→1486	18	9	at DEN(1454) L 28-31: -6→1515
3	21	vs JAX(1454) L 10-38: -26→1481	11	18	vs KC(1567) L 27-30: -0→1486	W	9	at JAX(1507) L 30-31: -3→1512
4	19	at HOU(1454) W 34-24: +9→1490	12	17	at ARI(1481) W 25-24: +4→1490	D	9
5	18	at CLE(1489) W 30-28: +5→1495	13	19	at LV(1486) L 20-27: -5→1485	C	9
6	18	vs DEN(1480) W 19-16: +0→1495	14	18	vs MIA(1505) W 23-17: +4→1489	S	9
7	22	vs SEA(1497) L 23-37: -14→1481	15	17	vs TEN(1499) W 17-14: +3→1492
8	23	(bye)	16	10	at IND(1459) W 20-3: +14→1506

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs BUF(1571) L 10-31: -8→1537	9	13	at TB(1510) L 13-16: -0→1501	17	25	vs LAC(1506) L 10-31: -15→1470
2	6	vs ATL(1461) W 31-27: -7→1530	10	17	vs ARI(1484) L 17-27: -12→1489	18	27	at SEA(1511) L 16-19: +2→1472
3	5	at ARI(1500) W 20-12: +7→1537	11	19	at NO(1484) L 20-27: -5→1484	W	27
4	9	at SF(1534) L 9-24: -13→1524	12	22	at KC(1568) L 10-26: -8→1476	D	27
5	12	vs DAL(1535) L 10-22: -12→1512	13	24	vs SEA(1517) L 23-27: -3→1473	C	27
6	9	vs CAR(1443) W 24-10: +6→1518	14	22	vs LV(1491) W 17-16: +3→1476	S	27
7	8	(bye)	15	24	at GB(1500) L 12-24: -8→1468
8	15	vs SF(1523) L 14-31: -17→1501	16	21	vs DEN(1465) W 51-14: +17→1485

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs NE(1526) W 20-7: +7→1517	9	16	at CHI(1471) W 35-32: +3→1493	17	15	at NE(1521) L 21-23: -0→1497
2	9	at BAL(1504) W 42-38: +4→1521	10	13	vs CLE(1490) W 39-17: +15→1508	18	17	vs NYJ(1472) W 11-6: +0→1497
3	7	vs BUF(1591) W 21-19: +9→1530	11	12	(bye)	W	15	at BUF(1602) L 31-34: +5→1502
4	10	at CIN(1528) L 15-27: -11→1519	12	11	vs HOU(1425) W 30-15: +7→1515	D	15
5	17	at NYJ(1441) L 17-40: -23→1496	13	14	at SF(1561) L 17-33: -10→1505	C	15
6	21	vs MIN(1500) L 16-24: -9→1487	14	12	at LAC(1485) L 17-23: -4→1501	S	15
7	20	vs PIT(1468) W 16-10: +2→1489	15	11	at BUF(1590) L 29-32: +2→1503
8	19	at DET(1443) W 31-27: +1→1490	16	13	vs GB(1508) L 20-26: -6→1497

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs GB(1543) W 23-7: +10→1512	9	11	at WAS(1470) W 20-17: +2→1515	17	20	at GB(1514) L 17-41: -15→1486
2	19	at PHI(1501) L 7-24: -16→1496	10	11	at BUF(1582) W 33-30: +7→1522	18	16	at CHI(1418) W 29-13: +11→1497
3	15	vs DET(1465) W 28-24: -1→1495	11	13	vs DAL(1550) L 3-40: -18→1504	W	17	vs NYG(1474) L 24-31: -9→1488
4	15	at NO(1495) W 28-25: +4→1499	12	13	vs NE(1533) W 33-26: +6→1510	D	17
5	14	vs CHI(1464) W 29-22: +1→1500	13	12	vs NYJ(1509) W 27-22: +1→1511	C	17
6	13	at MIA(1496) W 24-16: +9→1509	14	11	at DET(1485) L 23-34: -10→1501	S	17
7	13	(bye)	15	12	vs IND(1459) W 39-36: +0→1501
8	11	vs ARI(1497) W 34-26: +4→1513	16	11	vs NYG(1456) W 27-24: -0→1501

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at MIA(1510) L 7-20: -7→1519	9	7	vs IND(1490) W 26-3: +12→1530	17	8	vs MIA(1497) W 23-21: +0→1521
2	8	at PIT(1490) W 17-14: +2→1521	10	7	(bye)	18	8	at BUF(1598) L 23-35: -3→1518
3	13	vs BAL(1500) L 26-37: -15→1506	11	9	vs NYJ(1499) W 10-3: +3→1533	W	8
4	13	at GB(1550) L 24-27: +3→1509	12	9	at MIN(1504) L 26-33: -6→1527	D	8
5	9	vs DET(1464) W 29-0: +13→1522	13	10	vs BUF(1576) L 10-24: -12→1515	C	8
6	6	at CLE(1484) W 38-15: +15→1537	14	8	at ARI(1476) W 27-13: +13→1528	S	8
7	10	vs CHI(1457) L 14-33: -23→1514	15	7	at LV(1488) L 24-30: -4→1524
8	9	at NYJ(1493) W 22-17: +4→1518	16	8	vs CIN(1564) L 18-22: -3→1521

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at ATL(1461) W 27-26: -0→1514	9	17	vs BAL(1517) L 13-27: -13→1492	17	13	at PHI(1567) W 20-10: +15→1505
2	13	vs TB(1562) L 10-20: -7→1507	10	20	at PIT(1458) L 10-20: -8→1484	18	15	vs CAR(1477) L 7-10: -7→1498
3	16	at CAR(1450) L 14-22: -12→1495	11	17	vs LAR(1489) W 27-20: +4→1488	W	16
4	18	at MIN(1495) L 25-28: -3→1492	12	19	at SF(1553) L 0-13: -7→1481	D	16
5	16	vs SEA(1492) W 39-32: +5→1497	13	21	at TB(1511) L 16-17: -1→1480	C	16
6	17	vs CIN(1534) L 26-30: -2→1495	14	20	(bye)	S	16
7	21	at ARI(1491) L 34-42: -6→1489	15	22	vs ATL(1468) W 21-18: +2→1482
8	14	vs LV(1503) W 24-0: +16→1505	16	17	at CLE(1490) W 17-10: +8→1490

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at TEN(1526) W 21-20: +8→1443	9	25	(bye)	17	23	vs IND(1445) W 38-10: +15→1472
2	31	vs CAR(1453) W 19-16: +3→1446	10	25	vs HOU(1439) W 24-16: +3→1473	18	25	at PHI(1552) L 16-22: +2→1474
3	31	vs DAL(1530) L 16-23: +0→1446	11	30	vs DET(1456) L 18-31: -14→1459	W	21	at MIN(1497) W 31-24: +9→1483
4	28	vs CHI(1473) W 20-12: +9→1455	12	29	at DAL(1568) L 20-28: -1→1458	D	24	at PHI(1550) L 7-38: -10→1473
5	25	at GB(1547) W 27-22: +12→1467	13	29	vs WAS(1499) T 20-20: -0→1458	C	24
6	24	vs BAL(1521) W 24-20: +6→1473	14	30	vs PHI(1557) L 22-48: -14→1444	S	24
7	24	at JAX(1467) W 23-17: +6→1479	15	30	at WAS(1499) W 20-12: +12→1456
8	27	at SEA(1511) L 13-27: -9→1470	16	27	at MIN(1501) L 24-27: +1→1457

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs BAL(1499) L 9-24: -5→1426	9	14	vs BUF(1591) W 20-17: +9→1499	17	24	at SEA(1499) L 6-23: -12→1472
2	32	at CLE(1495) W 31-30: +13→1439	10	15	(bye)	18	26	at MIA(1497) L 6-11: -0→1472
3	32	vs CIN(1520) L 12-27: -8→1431	11	15	at NE(1530) L 3-10: -3→1496	W	25
4	32	at PIT(1477) W 24-20: +10→1441	12	14	vs CHI(1461) W 31-10: +13→1509	D	25
5	26	vs MIA(1519) W 40-17: +23→1464	13	13	at MIN(1510) L 22-27: -1→1508	C	25
6	22	at GB(1535) W 27-10: +23→1487	14	10	at BUF(1588) L 12-20: -2→1506	S	25
7	18	at DEN(1480) W 16-9: +6→1493	15	13	vs DET(1495) L 17-20: -5→1501
8	18	vs NE(1514) L 17-22: -3→1490	16	22	vs JAX(1475) L 3-19: -17→1484

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at DET(1455) W 38-35: -0→1501	9	4	at HOU(1443) W 29-17: +5→1554	17	6	vs NO(1490) L 10-20: -15→1552
2	11	vs MIN(1512) W 24-7: +16→1517	10	5	vs WAS(1469) L 21-32: -17→1537	18	6	vs NYG(1472) W 22-16: -2→1550
3	9	at WAS(1468) W 24-8: +11→1528	11	6	at IND(1482) W 17-16: +2→1539	W	6	(bye)
4	8	vs JAX(1481) W 29-21: +2→1530	12	6	vs GB(1495) W 40-33: +3→1542	D	6	vs NYG(1483) W 38-7: +10→1560
5	8	at ARI(1502) W 20-17: +2→1532	13	5	vs TEN(1531) W 35-10: +15→1557	C	4	vs SF(1610) W 31-7: +20→1580
6	3	vs DAL(1547) W 26-17: +9→1541	14	5	at NYG(1458) W 48-22: +14→1571	S	5	at KC(1584) L 35-38: -2→1578
7	5	(bye)	15	4	at CHI(1440) W 25-20: -1→1570
8	4	vs PIT(1466) W 35-13: +8→1549	16	5	at DAL(1570) L 34-40: -3→1567

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CIN(1526) W 23-20: +5→1490	9	29	(bye)	17	19	at BAL(1524) W 16-13: +7→1493
2	20	vs NE(1519) L 14-17: -2→1488	10	27	vs NO(1492) W 20-10: +9→1467	18	14	vs CLE(1496) W 28-14: +11→1504
3	24	at CLE(1482) L 17-29: -11→1477	11	27	vs CIN(1536) L 30-37: -3→1464	W	13
4	25	vs NYJ(1431) L 20-24: -10→1467	12	24	at IND(1480) W 24-17: +8→1472	D	13
5	28	at BUF(1581) L 3-38: -8→1459	13	22	at ATL(1473) W 19-16: +5→1477	C	13
6	26	vs TB(1545) W 20-18: +9→1468	14	24	vs BAL(1529) L 14-16: -2→1475	S	13
7	27	at MIA(1487) L 10-16: -2→1466	15	21	at CAR(1475) W 24-16: +8→1483
8	30	at PHI(1541) L 13-35: -8→1458	16	20	vs LV(1493) W 13-10: +3→1486

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-58 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at CHI(1474) L 10-19: -8→1529	9	5	(bye)	17	2	at LV(1490) W 37-34: -2→1595
2	4	vs SEA(1511) W 27-7: +14→1543	10	4	vs LAC(1485) W 22-16: -2→1538	18	1	vs ARI(1453) W 38-13: +7→1602
3	6	at DEN(1484) L 10-11: -9→1534	11	4	at ARI(1496) W 38-10: +15→1553	W	1	vs SEA(1510) W 41-23: +7→1609
4	4	vs LAR(1537) W 24-9: +13→1547	12	4	vs NO(1488) W 13-0: +8→1561	D	1	vs DAL(1570) W 19-12: +1→1610
5	2	at CAR(1453) W 37-15: +11→1558	13	4	vs MIA(1515) W 33-17: +10→1571	C	1	at PHI(1560) L 7-31: -21→1589
6	4	at ATL(1483) L 14-28: -18→1540	14	2	vs TB(1512) W 35-7: +14→1585	S	1
7	6	vs KC(1552) L 23-44: -17→1523	15	1	at SEA(1513) W 21-13: +5→1590
8	5	at LAR(1518) W 31-14: +17→1540	16	2	vs WAS(1487) W 37-20: +7→1597

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs DEN(1480) W 17-16: -1→1511	9	9	at ARI(1493) W 31-21: +9→1528	17	11	vs NYJ(1484) W 23-6: +12→1511
2	17	at SF(1529) L 7-27: -13→1498	10	10	at TB(1511) L 16-21: -4→1524	18	11	vs LAR(1470) W 19-16: -1→1510
3	20	vs ATL(1468) L 23-27: -8→1490	11	10	(bye)	W	14	at SF(1602) L 23-41: -7→1503
4	17	at DET(1466) W 48-45: +2→1492	12	10	vs LV(1480) L 34-40: -7→1517	D	14
5	20	at NO(1492) L 32-39: -5→1487	13	8	at LAR(1476) W 27-23: +3→1520	C	14
6	16	vs ARI(1500) W 19-9: +10→1497	14	9	vs CAR(1468) L 24-30: -7→1513	S	14
7	12	at LAC(1495) W 37-23: +14→1511	15	10	vs SF(1585) L 13-21: -6→1507
8	8	vs NYG(1479) W 27-13: +8→1519	16	12	at KC(1571) L 10-24: -8→1499

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at DAL(1536) W 19-3: +8→1562	9	12	vs LAR(1501) W 16-13: +1→1511	17	17	vs CAR(1479) W 30-24: +2→1494
2	2	at NO(1514) W 20-10: +7→1569	10	12	at SEA(1528) W 21-16: +4→1515	18	21	at ATL(1465) L 17-30: -12→1482
3	2	vs GB(1542) L 12-14: -8→1561	11	11	(bye)	W	26	vs DAL(1560) L 14-31: -10→1472
4	3	vs KC(1545) L 31-41: -13→1548	12	12	at CLE(1473) L 17-23: -4→1511	D	26
5	5	vs ATL(1480) W 21-15: -3→1545	13	11	vs NO(1481) W 17-16: +1→1512	C	26
6	7	at PIT(1459) L 18-20: -9→1536	14	16	at SF(1571) L 7-35: -14→1498	S	26
7	9	at CAR(1437) L 3-21: -21→1515	15	19	vs CIN(1555) L 23-34: -9→1489
8	12	vs BAL(1513) L 22-27: -5→1510	16	15	at ARI(1457) W 19-16: +3→1492

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs NYG(1435) L 20-21: -8→1518	9	10	at KC(1569) L 17-20: +4→1524	17	21	vs DAL(1573) L 13-27: -9→1479
2	14	at BUF(1580) L 7-41: -11→1507	10	9	vs DEN(1476) W 17-10: +2→1526	18	23	at JAX(1506) L 16-20: -0→1479
3	12	vs LV(1479) W 24-22: -1→1506	11	7	at GB(1504) W 27-17: +10→1536	W	23
4	12	at IND(1506) W 24-17: +8→1514	12	7	vs CIN(1539) L 16-20: -5→1531	D	22
5	11	at WAS(1450) W 21-17: -1→1513	13	9	at PHI(1542) L 10-35: -15→1516	C	22
6	12	(bye)	14	14	vs JAX(1453) L 22-36: -17→1499	S	22
7	7	vs IND(1502) W 19-10: +5→1518	15	15	at LAC(1489) L 14-17: -2→1497
8	7	at HOU(1445) W 17-10: +2→1520	16	18	vs HOU(1416) L 14-19: -9→1488

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs JAX(1426) W 28-22: -1→1478	9	26	vs MIN(1513) L 17-20: -1→1469	17	26	vs CLE(1482) L 10-24: -14→1466
2	26	at DET(1455) L 27-36: -10→1468	10	19	at PHI(1554) W 32-21: +17→1486	18	18	vs DAL(1582) W 26-6: +22→1488
3	29	vs PHI(1517) L 8-24: -12→1456	11	14	at HOU(1435) W 23-10: +11→1497	W	18
4	30	at DAL(1530) L 10-25: -6→1450	12	15	vs ATL(1475) W 19-13: +2→1499	D	18
5	30	vs TEN(1514) L 17-21: +1→1451	13	16	at NYG(1458) T 20-20: +0→1499	C	18
6	28	at CHI(1462) W 12-7: +6→1457	14	15	(bye)	S	18
7	28	vs GB(1513) W 23-21: +6→1463	15	20	vs NYG(1444) L 12-20: -12→1487
8	26	at IND(1497) W 17-16: +7→1470	16	24	at SF(1590) L 20-37: -7→1480

↑ 2022 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 7 games (weeks 14-20) Jacksonville Jaguars: +59 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Pittsburgh Steelers: +29 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Detroit Lions: +20 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: +14 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Denver Broncos: +12 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Indianapolis Colts: -58 total Elo rating
2. 7 games (weeks 12-18) Tennessee Titans: -57 total Elo rating
3. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Arizona Cardinals: -49 total Elo rating
4. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Jets: -37 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Chicago Bears: -34 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 116-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1582) 7-point favorites at Washington Commanders (1466): Commanders win 26-6
2. Week 15, 107-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1576) 5-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1469): Jaguars win 40-34
3. Week 9, 101-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1591) 7-point favorites at New York Jets (1490): Jets win 20-17
4. Week 7, 99-Elo upset: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1536) 7-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1437): Panthers win 21-3
5. Week 2, 98-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1525) 8-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1427): Jaguars win 24-0
6. Week 5, 92-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1547) 8-point favorites at New York Giants (1455): Giants win 27-22
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 36-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1507) 8-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1454): Jaguars win 38-10
2. Week 2, 32-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1525) 8-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1427): Jaguars win 24-0
3. Week 7, 27-point differential: New England Patriots (1537) 8-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1457): Bears win 33-14
4. Week 5, 30-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1519) 7-point favorites at New York Jets (1441): Jets win 40-17
5. Week 18, 27-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1582) 7-point favorites at Washington Commanders (1466): Commanders win 26-6
6. Week 6, 25-point differential: Green Bay Packers (1535) 8-point favorites vs New York Jets (1464): Jets win 27-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +86: Jacksonville Jaguars (1426) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 20
2. +76: Philadelphia Eagles (1501) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 22
3. +61: Cincinnati Bengals (1526) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 21
4. +53: San Francisco 49ers (1537) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 21
5. +52: Detroit Lions (1455) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
more...
1. +41: New York Jets (1431) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
2. +38: New York Giants (1435) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 20
3. +38: Kansas City Chiefs (1549) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 22
4. +33: Dallas Cowboys (1536) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 20
5. +30: Carolina Panthers (1453) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
6. +19: Pittsburgh Steelers (1485) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
7. +17: Atlanta Falcons (1461) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
8. +12: Baltimore Ravens (1499) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
9. +8: Washington Commanders (1479) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
10. +8: Los Angeles Chargers (1504) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
11. +7: Buffalo Bills (1571) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 20
12. +1: Las Vegas Raiders (1481) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
13. -8: Miami Dolphins (1510) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
14. -8: New England Patriots (1526) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
15. -9: Seattle Seahawks (1512) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 19
16. -10: Cleveland Browns (1494) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
17. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1502) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 19
18. -16: New Orleans Saints (1514) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 18
19. -20: Denver Broncos (1480) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 18
20. -21: Green Bay Packers (1543) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
21. -37: Houston Texans (1453) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
22. -48: Tennessee Titans (1526) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 18
23. -59: Arizona Cardinals (1506) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 18
24. -67: Chicago Bears (1474) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
25. -74: Los Angeles Rams (1545) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
26. -83: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1554) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 19
27. -104: Indianapolis Colts (1528) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -104: Indianapolis Colts (1528) before week 1 → (1424) thru week 18
2. -83: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1554) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 19
3. -74: Los Angeles Rams (1545) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
4. -67: Chicago Bears (1474) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
5. -59: Arizona Cardinals (1506) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 18
more...
1. -48: Tennessee Titans (1526) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 18
2. -37: Houston Texans (1453) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
3. -21: Green Bay Packers (1543) before week 1 → (1522) thru week 18
4. -20: Denver Broncos (1480) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 18
5. -16: New Orleans Saints (1514) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 18
6. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1502) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 19
7. -10: Cleveland Browns (1494) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
8. -9: Seattle Seahawks (1512) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 19
9. -8: New England Patriots (1526) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
10. -8: Miami Dolphins (1510) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
11. +1: Las Vegas Raiders (1481) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
12. +7: Buffalo Bills (1571) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 20
13. +8: Los Angeles Chargers (1504) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
14. +8: Washington Commanders (1479) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
15. +12: Baltimore Ravens (1499) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
16. +17: Atlanta Falcons (1461) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
17. +19: Pittsburgh Steelers (1485) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
18. +30: Carolina Panthers (1453) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
19. +33: Dallas Cowboys (1536) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 20
20. +38: Kansas City Chiefs (1549) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 22
21. +38: New York Giants (1435) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 20
22. +41: New York Jets (1431) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
23. +52: Detroit Lions (1455) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
24. +53: San Francisco 49ers (1537) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 21
25. +61: Cincinnati Bengals (1526) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 21
26. +76: Philadelphia Eagles (1501) before week 1 → (1578) thru week 22
27. +86: Jacksonville Jaguars (1426) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +73: New York Jets (1426) before week 2 → (1499) thru week 9
2. +66: San Francisco 49ers (1523) before week 8 → (1590) thru week 15
3. +59: Jacksonville Jaguars (1453) before week 14 → (1512) thru week 20
4. +58: Detroit Lions (1442) before week 9 → (1500) thru week 15
5. +52: Philadelphia Eagles (1501) before week 2 → (1554) thru week 9
more...
1. +49: Washington Commanders (1450) before week 5 → (1499) thru week 12
2. +45: Cincinnati Bengals (1544) before week 13 → (1589) thru week 20
3. +44: New York Giants (1435) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 7
4. +42: Dallas Cowboys (1539) before week 7 → (1581) thru week 13
5. +40: Seattle Seahawks (1487) before week 6 → (1528) thru week 9
6. +40: Atlanta Falcons (1461) before week 1 → (1501) thru week 6
7. +40: Pittsburgh Steelers (1464) before week 12 → (1504) thru week 18
8. +38: Carolina Panthers (1437) before week 7 → (1475) thru week 14
9. +37: Green Bay Packers (1492) before week 13 → (1528) thru week 17
10. +36: Los Angeles Chargers (1485) before week 10 → (1521) thru week 17
11. +31: New England Patriots (1506) before week 4 → (1537) thru week 6
12. +29: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 3 → (1530) thru week 9
13. +29: Tennessee Titans (1506) before week 4 → (1536) thru week 11
14. +28: Miami Dolphins (1487) before week 7 → (1515) thru week 12
15. +27: Minnesota Vikings (1495) before week 4 → (1522) thru week 10
16. +27: Buffalo Bills (1574) before week 11 → (1602) thru week 18
17. +25: New Orleans Saints (1480) before week 14 → (1505) thru week 17
18. +24: Las Vegas Raiders (1480) before week 4 → (1503) thru week 7
19. +24: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) before week 4 → (1569) thru week 7
20. +23: Cleveland Browns (1473) before week 12 → (1496) thru week 17
21. +18: Houston Texans (1407) before week 14 → (1425) thru week 16
22. +17: Chicago Bears (1462) before week 6 → (1479) thru week 7
23. +14: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1554) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 2
24. +12: Denver Broncos (1448) before week 17 → (1460) thru week 18
25. +12: Los Angeles Rams (1473) before week 14 → (1485) thru week 16
26. +6: Arizona Cardinals (1494) before week 4 → (1500) thru week 5
27. +4: Indianapolis Colts (1498) before week 5 → (1502) thru week 6
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -59: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1569) before week 3 → (1510) thru week 8
2. -58: Indianapolis Colts (1482) before week 11 → (1424) thru week 18
3. -57: Tennessee Titans (1536) before week 12 → (1479) thru week 18
4. -55: Green Bay Packers (1547) before week 5 → (1492) thru week 12
5. -55: Chicago Bears (1462) before week 11 → (1407) thru week 18
more...
1. -52: Los Angeles Rams (1537) before week 4 → (1484) thru week 11
2. -49: Houston Texans (1456) before week 6 → (1407) thru week 13
3. -49: Arizona Cardinals (1496) before week 11 → (1446) thru week 18
4. -42: Miami Dolphins (1530) before week 4 → (1487) thru week 6
5. -37: New York Jets (1509) before week 13 → (1472) thru week 17
6. -36: Minnesota Vikings (1522) before week 11 → (1486) thru week 17
7. -35: New York Giants (1479) before week 8 → (1444) thru week 14
8. -34: San Francisco 49ers (1558) before week 6 → (1523) thru week 7
9. -33: Washington Commanders (1499) before week 14 → (1466) thru week 17
10. -32: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 7 → (1468) thru week 13
11. -32: Pittsburgh Steelers (1490) before week 2 → (1458) thru week 8
12. -29: Seattle Seahawks (1528) before week 10 → (1499) thru week 16
13. -27: Las Vegas Raiders (1503) before week 8 → (1476) thru week 10
14. -27: Denver Broncos (1476) before week 9 → (1448) thru week 16
15. -26: Cleveland Browns (1495) before week 2 → (1469) thru week 6
16. -26: Los Angeles Chargers (1507) before week 3 → (1481) thru week 7
17. -26: New Orleans Saints (1514) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 7
18. -24: Carolina Panthers (1462) before week 4 → (1437) thru week 6
19. -24: Detroit Lions (1466) before week 4 → (1442) thru week 8
20. -23: Buffalo Bills (1602) before week 19 → (1578) thru week 20
21. -22: Jacksonville Jaguars (1481) before week 4 → (1459) thru week 8
22. -22: New England Patriots (1537) before week 7 → (1515) thru week 13
23. -22: Baltimore Ravens (1534) before week 12 → (1512) thru week 19
24. -21: Philadelphia Eagles (1571) before week 15 → (1550) thru week 18
25. -21: Dallas Cowboys (1581) before week 14 → (1560) thru week 18
26. -12: Kansas City Chiefs (1557) before week 2 → (1545) thru week 3
27. -12: Cincinnati Bengals (1539) before week 5 → (1527) thru week 8
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1511
2. New England Patriots: 1508
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1506
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1506
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
more...
1. Buffalo Bills: 1505
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1505
3. New York Giants: 1502
4. Chicago Bears: 1502
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1502
6. Cincinnati Bengals: 1502
7. Carolina Panthers: 1502
8. Miami Dolphins: 1501
9. Denver Broncos: 1501
10. New Orleans Saints: 1501
11. Houston Texans: 1501
12. Green Bay Packers: 1501
13. Kansas City Chiefs: 1500
14. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
15. Tennessee Titans: 1498
16. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1497
18. Cleveland Browns: 1497
19. Washington Commanders: 1497
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
21. Minnesota Vikings: 1496
22. Detroit Lions: 1496
23. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
25. Dallas Cowboys: 1489
26. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
27. Philadelphia Eagles: 1487
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1487
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1489
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
more...
1. Detroit Lions: 1496
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1496
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
4. Washington Commanders: 1497
5. Cleveland Browns: 1497
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1497
7. Atlanta Falcons: 1497
8. Tennessee Titans: 1498
9. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
10. Kansas City Chiefs: 1500
11. Green Bay Packers: 1501
12. Houston Texans: 1501
13. New Orleans Saints: 1501
14. Denver Broncos: 1501
15. Miami Dolphins: 1501
16. Carolina Panthers: 1502
17. Cincinnati Bengals: 1502
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1502
19. Chicago Bears: 1502
20. New York Giants: 1502
21. Las Vegas Raiders: 1505
22. Buffalo Bills: 1505
23. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
24. Arizona Cardinals: 1506
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1506
26. New England Patriots: 1508
27. New York Jets: 1511
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1509
2. New York Jets: 1508
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
4. Green Bay Packers: 1505
5. Buffalo Bills: 1504
more...
1. Carolina Panthers: 1503
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1497
6. Indianapolis Colts: 1496
7. New Orleans Saints: 1496
8. Las Vegas Raiders: 1494
9. Washington Commanders: 1493
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
11. Kansas City Chiefs: 1491
12. Cleveland Browns: 1490
13. Denver Broncos: 1489
14. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
15. Miami Dolphins: 1488
16. New England Patriots: 1487
17. Detroit Lions: 1485
18. New York Giants: 1485
19. Arizona Cardinals: 1485
20. Baltimore Ravens: 1484
21. Dallas Cowboys: 1483
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1483
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1482
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1482
25. Tennessee Titans: 1480
26. Los Angeles Rams: 1472
27. Houston Texans: 1469
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Houston Texans: 1469
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1472
3. Tennessee Titans: 1480
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1482
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1482
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1483
2. Dallas Cowboys: 1483
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1484
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1485
5. New York Giants: 1485
6. Detroit Lions: 1485
7. New England Patriots: 1487
8. Miami Dolphins: 1488
9. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
10. Denver Broncos: 1489
11. Cleveland Browns: 1490
12. Kansas City Chiefs: 1491
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
14. Washington Commanders: 1493
15. Las Vegas Raiders: 1494
16. New Orleans Saints: 1496
17. Indianapolis Colts: 1496
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1497
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
20. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
21. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
22. Carolina Panthers: 1503
23. Buffalo Bills: 1504
24. Green Bay Packers: 1505
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
26. New York Jets: 1508
27. Chicago Bears: 1509

↑ 2022 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)
2	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	22-10 (22/32, 68.75%)
3	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	30-18 (30/48, 62.5%)
4	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	41-23 (41/64, 64.06%)
5	9.5-6.5 (9.5/16, 59.38%)	50.5-29.5 (50.5/80, 63.12%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	58.5-35.5 (58.5/94, 62.23%)
7	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	65.5-42.5 (65.5/108, 60.65%)
8	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	76.5-46.5 (76.5/123, 62.2%)
9	9-4 (9/13, 69.23%)	85.5-50.5 (85.5/136, 62.87%)
10	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	91.5-58.5 (91.5/150, 61.0%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	102.5-61.5 (102.5/164, 62.5%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	112.5-67.5 (112.5/180, 62.5%)
13	13-2 (13/15, 86.67%)	125.5-69.5 (125.5/195, 64.36%)
14	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	135.5-72.5 (135.5/208, 65.14%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	146.5-77.5 (146.5/224, 65.4%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	157.5-82.5 (157.5/240, 65.62%)
17	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	169.5-85.5 (169.5/255, 66.47%)
18	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	179.5-91.5 (179.5/271, 66.24%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	184.5-92.5 (184.5/277, 66.61%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	187.5-93.5 (187.5/281, 66.73%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	188.5-94.5 (188.5/283, 66.61%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	189.5-94.5 (189.5/284, 66.73%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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