NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

This is the 2023-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2024 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,083 of 3,259 game winners correctly (63.92%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2023 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2023 Season Summaries by Team
2023 Season Stats and Tidbits
2023 Season Model Accuracy

← 2022 Season 2024 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1612	14-5
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612	14-6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): L 22-25(OT): 1612+0→1612
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587	12-6
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565	12-7
5	Detroit LionsDET	1549	14-6
6	Miami DolphinsMIA	1548	11-7
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548	15-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): W 25-22(OT): 1548-0→1548
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1518	10-9
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	10-8
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516	9-8
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514	9-8
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513	10-9
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513	11-7
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512	11-7
15	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504	9-8
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1503	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502	7-10
18	Houston TexansHOU	1500	11-8
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1492	7-10
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486	9-8
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483	10-8
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479	9-8
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478	8-9
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457	6-11
27	New York JetsNYJ	1442	7-10
28	New York GiantsNYG	1437	6-11
29	New England PatriotsNE	1434	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1430	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1403	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1612 (-1)	14-5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): L 10-17: 1613-1→1612
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612	14-5	at KC (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1549): W 34-31: 1612-0→1612
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587	12-6
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565	12-7
5	Detroit LionsDET	1549	14-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): L 31-34: 1549+0→1549
6	Miami DolphinsMIA	1548	11-7
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (+1)	14-6	at SF (1612): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1613): W 17-10: 1547+1→1548
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): Slight underdog
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1518	10-9
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	10-8
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516	9-8
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514	9-8
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513	10-9
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513	11-7
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512	11-7
15	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504	9-8
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1503	8-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502	7-10
18	Houston TexansHOU	1500	11-8
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1492	7-10
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486	9-8
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483	10-8
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479	9-8
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478	8-9
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457	6-11
27	New York JetsNYJ	1442	7-10
28	New York GiantsNYG	1437	6-11
29	New England PatriotsNE	1434	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1430	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1403	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1613 (+2)	14-4	vs KC (1547): Win by 4
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1502): W 34-10: 1611+2→1613
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Win by 4 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612 (-1)	13-5	vs DET (1549): Win by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): W 24-21: 1613-1→1612
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1549): Win by 4 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587	12-6
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565 (-1)	12-7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1546): L 24-27: 1566-1→1565
5 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1549 (+2)	14-5	at SF (1612): Lose by 4
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): W 31-23: 1547+2→1549
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): Lose by 4 points
6 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1548	11-7
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (+1)	13-6	at BAL (1613): Lose by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): W 27-24: 1546+1→1547
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1613): Lose by 4 points
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1518	10-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1613): L 21-24: 1518+0→1518
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	10-8
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516	9-8
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514	9-8
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-1)	10-9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): L 23-31: 1514-1→1513
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513	11-7
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512	11-7
15	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504	9-8
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1503	8-9
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502	7-10
18 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1500 (-2)	11-8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): L 10-34: 1502-2→1500
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1492	7-10
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486	9-8
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483	10-8
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479	9-8
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478	8-9
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457	6-11
27	New York JetsNYJ	1442	7-10
28	New York GiantsNYG	1437	6-11
29	New England PatriotsNE	1434	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1430	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1403	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1613	12-5	vs GB (1518): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): Win by 5 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1611	13-4	vs HOU (1502): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1502): Win by 5 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587 (-6)	12-6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 32-48: 1593-6→1587
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1566 (+3)	12-6	vs KC (1546): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): W 31-17: 1563+3→1566
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1546): Slight favorite
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1548 (-5)	11-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 7-26: 1553-5→1548
6	Detroit LionsDET	1547	13-5	vs TB (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): W 24-23: 1547+0→1547
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1546 (+5)	12-6	at BUF (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1553): W 26-7: 1541+5→1546
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): Slight underdog
8 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1518 (+6)	10-8	at SF (1613): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1593): W 48-32: 1512+6→1518
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1613): Lose by 5 points
9 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	10-8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): L 23-24: 1518-0→1518
10 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516	9-8
11 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514	9-8
12 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (+5)	10-8	at DET (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): W 32-9: 1509+5→1514
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): Slight underdog
13 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513 (-5)	11-7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): L 14-45: 1518-5→1513
14 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512 (-5)	11-7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): L 9-32: 1517-5→1512
15	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504	9-8
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1503	8-9
17 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1502 (+5)	11-7	at BAL (1611): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 45-14: 1497+5→1502
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): Lose by 5 points
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502	7-10
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1492	7-10
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486	9-8
21 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (-3)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 17-31: 1486-3→1483
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480	5-12
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479	9-8
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478	8-9
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457	6-11
27	New York JetsNYJ	1442	7-10
28	New York GiantsNYG	1437	6-11
29	New England PatriotsNE	1434	4-13
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1430	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1403	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1613 (-3)	12-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 20-21: 1616-3→1613
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1611 (-5)	13-4	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): L 10-17: 1616-5→1611
next: (bye)
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1593 (+6)	12-5	vs GB (1512): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1408): W 38-10: 1587+6→1593
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Win by 5 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (+4)	11-6	vs PIT (1486): Win by 4
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): W 21-14: 1559+4→1563
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Win by 4 points
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1553 (-3)	11-6	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): L 14-21: 1556-3→1553
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
6	Detroit LionsDET	1547 (+4)	12-5	vs LAR (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 30-20: 1543+4→1547
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+1)	11-6	vs MIA (1553): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): W 13-12: 1540+1→1541
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1553): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518 (+3)	10-7	at DET (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1616): W 21-20: 1515+3→1518
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): Slight underdog
9	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (-7)	11-6	at HOU (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): L 14-31: 1525-7→1518
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517 (-8)	11-6	at TB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1429): L 10-27: 1525-8→1517
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516 (+7)	9-8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): W 48-17: 1509+7→1516
12 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514 (-4)	9-8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1452): L 20-28: 1518-4→1514
13 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512 (+3)	9-8	at DAL (1593): Lose by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 17-9: 1509+3→1512
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1593): Lose by 5 points
14 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509 (+3)	9-8	vs PHI (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1394): W 9-0: 1506+3→1509
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (+6)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): W 31-14: 1498+6→1504
16 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1503 (-5)	8-9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): L 14-27: 1508-5→1503
17 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-3)	7-10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1543): L 20-30: 1505-3→1502
18	Houston TexansHOU	1497 (+2)	10-7	vs CLE (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): W 23-19: 1495+2→1497
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Slight favorite
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1492 (-3)	7-10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 9-17: 1495-3→1492
20 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+6)	10-7	at BUF (1563): Lose by 4
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1616): W 17-10: 1480+6→1486
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Lose by 4 points
21 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (-1)	9-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): L 19-23: 1487-1→1486
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480 (-1)	5-12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): L 12-13: 1481-1→1480
23 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479 (+1)	9-8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1431): W 21-20: 1478+1→1479
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (+6)	8-9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): W 27-14: 1472+6→1478
25 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (-7)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): L 17-48: 1484-7→1477
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457 (+5)	6-11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): W 28-20: 1452+5→1457
27 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1442 (+6)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1441): W 17-3: 1436+6→1442
28 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1437 (+8)	6-11
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): W 27-10: 1429+8→1437
29 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1434 (-7)	4-13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): L 3-17: 1441-7→1434
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1430 (-1)	4-13
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): L 20-21: 1431-1→1430
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1403 (-5)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): L 10-38: 1408-5→1403
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391 (-3)	2-15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): L 0-9: 1394-3→1391

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1616 (+8)	13-3	vs PIT (1480): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1565): W 56-19: 1608+8→1616
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1616 (+6)	12-4	vs LAR (1515): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1414): W 27-10: 1610+6→1616
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Win by 5 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587	11-5	at WAS (1408): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): W 20-19: 1587+0→1587
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1408): Win by 5 points
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1559	10-6	at MIA (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1441): W 27-21: 1559+0→1559
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1556): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1556 (-9)	11-5	vs BUF (1559): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1608): L 19-56: 1565-9→1556
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): Slight favorite
6	Detroit LionsDET	1543 (-1)	11-5	vs MIN (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): L 19-20: 1544-1→1543
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1540 (+4)	10-6	at LAC (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1501): W 25-17: 1536+4→1540
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight favorite
8	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1525 (-3)	11-5	at NYG (1429): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): L 31-35: 1528-3→1525
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1429): Slight favorite
9	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1525 (+7)	11-5	at CIN (1498): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): W 37-20: 1518+7→1525
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Tossup
10 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (+7)	9-7	at TEN (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): W 26-0: 1511+7→1518
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1452): Slight favorite
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (+1)	9-7	at SF (1616): Lose by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1430): W 26-25: 1514+1→1515
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1616): Lose by 5 points
12 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (+10)	8-8	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): W 33-10: 1499+10→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1509 (+6)	8-8	vs ATL (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1512): W 23-13: 1503+6→1509
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Slight favorite
14	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (+3)	8-8	at LV (1472): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): W 16-9: 1505+3→1508
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Tossup
15 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1506 (-6)	8-8	at CAR (1394): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): L 13-23: 1512-6→1506
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1394): Slight favorite
16 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-10)	7-9	at DET (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): L 10-33: 1515-10→1505
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1543): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-3)	8-8	vs CLE (1525): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): L 17-25: 1501-3→1498
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): Tossup
18 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1495 (+8)	9-7	at IND (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): W 26-3: 1487+8→1495
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (+9)	7-9	at GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): W 37-17: 1486+9→1495
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1487 (+1)	9-7	vs HOU (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): W 23-20: 1486+1→1487
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1484 (-8)	7-9	at NO (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1486): L 17-37: 1492-8→1484
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): Slight underdog
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-3)	5-11	vs KC (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1505): L 9-16: 1484-3→1481
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (+4)	9-7	at BAL (1616): Lose by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): W 30-23: 1476+4→1480
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1616): Lose by 6 points
24 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1478 (-4)	8-8	at ARI (1431): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): L 23-30: 1482-4→1478
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1431): Slight favorite
25	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (-1)	7-9	vs DEN (1508): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): L 20-23: 1473-1→1472
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Tossup
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1452 (-9)	5-11	vs JAX (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): L 3-26: 1461-9→1452
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1441	4-12	vs NYJ (1436): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): L 21-27: 1441-0→1441
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1436 (-6)	6-10	at NE (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): L 20-37: 1442-6→1436
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1441): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1431 (+3)	4-12	vs SEA (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): W 35-31: 1428+3→1431
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1429 (-1)	5-11	vs PHI (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): L 25-26: 1430-1→1429
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): Slight underdog
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1408 (-6)	4-12	vs DAL (1587): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): L 10-27: 1414-6→1408
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1394 (-7)	2-14	vs TB (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): L 0-26: 1401-7→1394
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1610 (-10)	11-4	at WAS (1414): Win by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1598): L 19-33: 1620-10→1610
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1414): Win by 5 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1608 (+10)	12-3	vs MIA (1565): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1620): W 33-19: 1598+10→1608
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1565): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1587 (-2)	10-5	vs DET (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): L 20-22: 1589-2→1587
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1544): Slight favorite
4	Miami DolphinsMIA	1565 (+2)	11-4	at BAL (1608): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1589): W 22-20: 1563+2→1565
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1608): Slight underdog
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1559 (+1)	9-6	vs NE (1441): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): W 24-22: 1558+1→1559
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1441): Win by 5 points
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1544 (+4)	11-4	at DAL (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): W 30-24: 1540+4→1544
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1587): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536 (-6)	9-6	vs CIN (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): L 14-20: 1542-6→1536
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1501): Slight favorite
8	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1528 (+3)	11-4	vs ARI (1428): Win by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1433): W 33-25: 1525+3→1528
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): Win by 5 points
9 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+9)	10-5	vs NYJ (1442): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): W 36-22: 1509+9→1518
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): Win by 5 points
10	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (-4)	7-8	vs GB (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1540): L 24-30: 1519-4→1515
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (+4)	8-7	at NYG (1430): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): W 30-22: 1510+4→1514
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1430): Slight favorite
12 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1512 (+10)	8-7	vs NO (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): W 30-12: 1502+10→1512
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (-10)	8-7	vs CAR (1401): Win by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): L 12-30: 1521-10→1511
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Win by 5 points
14 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1505 (-5)	7-8	vs LAC (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1437): L 23-26: 1510-5→1505
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): Slight favorite
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (-4)	7-8	at TB (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): L 22-30: 1507-4→1503
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1512): Slight underdog
16 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1501 (-11)	8-7	at KC (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1465): L 11-34: 1512-11→1501
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Slight underdog
17	Green Bay PackersGB	1499	7-8	at MIN (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): W 33-30: 1499+0→1499
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight underdog
18 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (+10)	7-8	at CHI (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1496): W 29-10: 1482+10→1492
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1486): Slight underdog
19	Houston TexansHOU	1487 (-9)	8-7	vs TEN (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): L 22-36: 1496-9→1487
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1461): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1486 (+5)	6-9	vs ATL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1433): W 27-16: 1481+5→1486
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (-10)	8-7	vs LV (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): L 10-29: 1496-10→1486
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1484 (-1)	5-10	at DEN (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): L 22-24: 1485-1→1484
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1505): Slight underdog
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1482 (+2)	8-7	vs PIT (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): W 20-17: 1480+2→1482
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1476 (+11)	8-7	at SEA (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): W 34-11: 1465+11→1476
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1473 (+6)	7-8	at IND (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): W 20-14: 1467+6→1473
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight underdog
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1461 (-2)	5-10	at HOU (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): L 17-20: 1463-2→1461
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1487): Slight underdog
27	New York JetsNYJ	1442 (+1)	6-9	at CLE (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1415): W 30-28: 1441+1→1442
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Lose by 5 points
28	New England PatriotsNE	1441 (+4)	4-11	at BUF (1559): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): W 26-23: 1437+4→1441
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): Lose by 5 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1430 (-3)	5-10	vs LAR (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): L 25-33: 1433-3→1430
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1428 (-5)	3-12	at PHI (1528): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1481): L 16-27: 1433-5→1428
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): Lose by 5 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1414 (-1)	4-11	vs SF (1610): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): L 28-30: 1415-1→1414
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1610): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1401	2-13	at JAX (1511): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): L 30-33: 1401-0→1401
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1620 (+8)	11-3	vs BAL (1598): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): W 45-29: 1612+8→1620
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1598): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1598 (+11)	11-3	at SF (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): W 23-7: 1587+11→1598
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1620): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1589 (-13)	10-4	at MIA (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): L 10-31: 1602-13→1589
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): Slight underdog
4	Miami DolphinsMIA	1563 (+10)	10-4	vs DAL (1589): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): W 30-0: 1553+10→1563
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1589): Slight favorite
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (+13)	8-6	at LAC (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1602): W 31-10: 1545+13→1558
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight favorite
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1542 (+7)	9-5	vs LV (1467): Win by 4
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1444): W 27-17: 1535+7→1542
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): Win by 4 points
7 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1540 (+12)	10-4	at MIN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1522): W 42-17: 1528+12→1540
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Slight underdog
8	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1525 (-3)	10-4	vs NYG (1433): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): L 17-20: 1528-3→1525
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1433): Win by 5 points
9 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1521 (-10)	8-6	at TB (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): L 7-23: 1531-10→1521
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (-1)	7-7	vs DET (1540): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): L 24-27(OT): 1520-1→1519
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1540): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512	8-6	at PIT (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): W 27-24(OT): 1512+0→1512
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1465): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1510 (+4)	7-7	vs NO (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1418): W 28-20: 1506+4→1510
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (-12)	7-7	vs NE (1437): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): L 17-42: 1522-12→1510
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1437): Win by 5 points
14	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509	9-5	at HOU (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): W 20-17: 1509+0→1509
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (+9)	7-7	at LAR (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1442): W 24-6: 1498+9→1507
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (+11)	7-7	vs JAX (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): W 34-20: 1491+11→1502
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1499 (-11)	6-8	at CAR (1401): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): L 20-34: 1510-11→1499
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1401): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1496 (+10)	8-6	at ATL (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): W 30-13: 1486+10→1496
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (+1)	8-6	vs CLE (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1464): W 19-16(OT): 1495+1→1496
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-15)	5-9	vs BUF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): L 21-63: 1500-15→1485
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (-4)	6-8	vs IND (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): L 7-9: 1486-4→1482
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1496): Slight favorite
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	5-9	vs ARI (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): L 17-20: 1481-0→1481
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1433): Slight favorite
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1480 (+3)	7-7	at TEN (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): W 20-17: 1477+3→1480
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (+15)	6-8	at KC (1542): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 63-21: 1452+15→1467
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): Lose by 4 points
25 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1465 (-10)	7-7	vs CIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): L 13-30: 1475-10→1465
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1463 (-1)	5-9	vs SEA (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): L 16-19(OT): 1464-1→1463
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): Slight favorite
27	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (-11)	5-9	vs WAS (1415): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1553): L 0-30: 1452-11→1441
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1415): Slight favorite
28	New England PatriotsNE	1437 (-7)	3-11	at DEN (1510): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 17-27: 1444-7→1437
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Lose by 5 points
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1433 (-8)	3-11	at CHI (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): L 29-45: 1441-8→1433
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1433 (-9)	5-9	at PHI (1525): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): L 6-24: 1442-9→1433
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): Lose by 5 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1415 (-3)	4-10	at NYJ (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 20-28: 1418-3→1415
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Slight underdog
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1401 (+3)	2-12	vs GB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): W 9-7: 1398+3→1401
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1612 (+6)	10-3	at ARI (1441): Win by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): W 28-16: 1606+6→1612
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): Win by 5 points
2	Dallas CowboysDAL	1602 (+12)	10-3	at BUF (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): W 33-13: 1590+12→1602
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1587 (-2)	10-3	at JAX (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): W 37-31(OT): 1589-2→1587
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): Slight favorite
4	Miami DolphinsMIA	1553 (-6)	9-4	vs NYJ (1452): Win by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): L 27-28: 1559-6→1553
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1452): Win by 5 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (+3)	7-6	vs DAL (1602): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): W 20-17: 1542+3→1545
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1602): Slight underdog
6 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (-3)	8-5	at NE (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): L 17-20: 1538-3→1535
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1444): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1531 (-2)	8-5	vs BAL (1587): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): L 27-31: 1533-2→1531
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1528 (-11)	10-3	at SEA (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): L 13-33: 1539-11→1528
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1528 (-13)	9-4	vs DEN (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): L 13-28: 1541-13→1528
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1522): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1522 (+14)	7-6	at DET (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): W 24-7: 1508+14→1522
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520 (+2)	7-6	at CIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): W 3-0: 1518+2→1520
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): Slight underdog
12 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512 (+14)	7-6	vs MIN (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): W 34-14: 1498+14→1512
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1510 (-4)	6-7	vs TB (1491): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): L 22-24: 1514-4→1510
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (+2)	8-5	vs CHI (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1533): W 31-27: 1507+2→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1481): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (+2)	6-7	vs WAS (1418): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1589): L 31-37(OT): 1504+2→1506
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1418): Win by 5 points
16 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-14)	5-8	at LV (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): L 7-24: 1514-14→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1452): Slight favorite
17 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498 (+11)	6-7	vs NYG (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1409): W 28-6: 1487+11→1498
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1442): Slight favorite
18 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1495 (-16)	7-6	at TEN (1464): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1436): L 6-30: 1511-16→1495
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1464): Tossup
19 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (+3)	6-7	at GB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): W 29-25: 1488+3→1491
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1486 (-3)	6-7	at CAR (1398): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): L 25-29: 1489-3→1486
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (-13)	7-6	vs PIT (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): L 14-34: 1499-13→1486
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1475): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1481 (+12)	5-8	at CLE (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1541): W 28-13: 1469+12→1481
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1477 (-7)	6-7	vs PHI (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1606): L 16-28: 1484-7→1477
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1475 (-5)	7-6	at IND (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1439): L 18-21: 1480-5→1475
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight underdog
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1464 (+6)	5-8	vs HOU (1495): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1559): W 28-27: 1458+6→1464
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1495): Tossup
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1452 (-2)	5-8	vs LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): L 0-3: 1454-2→1452
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (+16)	5-8	at MIA (1553): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 30-6: 1436+16→1452
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1553): Lose by 5 points
28	New England PatriotsNE	1444 (+5)	3-10	vs KC (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): W 21-18: 1439+5→1444
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1442 (+3)	5-8	at NO (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1514): W 24-22: 1439+3→1442
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1441	3-10	vs SF (1612): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1612): Lose by 5 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1418	4-9	at LAR (1506): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1398 (-11)	1-12	vs ATL (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1487): L 6-28: 1409-11→1398
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1606 (+16)	9-3	vs SEA (1484): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): W 42-19: 1590+16→1606
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1590 (+1)	9-3	vs PHI (1539): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): W 41-35: 1589+1→1590
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1589	9-3	vs LAR (1504): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Win by 5 points
4 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1559 (+15)	9-3	vs TEN (1458): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): W 45-15: 1544+15→1559
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1458): Win by 5 points
5 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542	6-6	at KC (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): Slight underdog
6 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1541 (+4)	9-3	at CHI (1469): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): W 33-28: 1537+4→1541
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1539 (-16)	10-2	at DAL (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): L 19-42: 1555-16→1539
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1538 (-9)	8-4	vs BUF (1542): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1505): L 19-27: 1547-9→1538
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1533 (-5)	8-4	at CLE (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1494): L 31-34(OT): 1538-5→1533
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1507): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518	6-6	at LV (1454): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+5)	5-7	vs DEN (1508): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1444): W 6-0: 1509+5→1514
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (+9)	6-6	at NYG (1439): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): W 27-19: 1505+9→1514
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1511 (+3)	7-5	at NYJ (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): W 22-17: 1508+3→1511
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1436): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (-3)	6-6	at LAC (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1508): L 17-22: 1511-3→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight underdog
15 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1507 (-14)	7-5	vs JAX (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): L 19-36: 1521-14→1507
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1533): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1504 (+14)	6-6	at BAL (1589): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): W 36-19: 1490+14→1504
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1589): Lose by 5 points
17 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1499 (+2)	7-5	at CIN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1459): W 31-28(OT): 1497+2→1499
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Slight underdog
18	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (+4)	6-6	vs IND (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): W 34-31(OT): 1494+4→1498
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): Slight favorite
19 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1489 (+4)	6-6	vs TB (1488): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1440): W 13-8: 1485+4→1489
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488 (-1)	5-7	at ATL (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): W 21-18: 1489-1→1488
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1489): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1487 (-3)	5-7	vs CAR (1409): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1537): L 28-33: 1490-3→1487
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1409): Win by 5 points
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1484 (-1)	6-6	at SF (1606): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1589): L 35-41: 1485-1→1484
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1606): Lose by 5 points
23 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (-16)	7-5	vs NE (1439): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1425): L 10-24: 1496-16→1480
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1439): Slight favorite
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1469	4-8	vs DET (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1541): Slight underdog
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1458 (-1)	4-8	at MIA (1559): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1497): L 28-31(OT): 1459-1→1458
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1559): Lose by 5 points
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454	5-7	vs MIN (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): Slight underdog
27 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1441 (+16)	3-10	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): W 24-10: 1425+16→1441
next: (bye)
28 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1439 (-5)	2-10	at PIT (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 0-6: 1444-5→1439
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Slight underdog
29	New York GiantsNYG	1439	4-8	vs GB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1436 (-4)	4-8	vs HOU (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): L 8-13: 1440-4→1436
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1418 (-15)	4-9	bye
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): L 15-45: 1433-15→1418
next: (bye)
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1409 (+1)	1-11	at NO (1487): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): L 18-21: 1408+1→1409
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1487): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1590 (+15)	8-3	at PHI (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): W 31-13: 1575+15→1590
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1589 (+10)	9-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): W 20-10: 1579+10→1589
next: (bye)
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1589 (+15)	8-3	vs SEA (1485): Win by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): W 45-10: 1574+15→1589
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Win by 5 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1555	10-1	vs SF (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): W 37-34(OT): 1555+0→1555
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): Slight underdog
5 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (+14)	8-3	at GB (1505): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): W 31-17: 1533+14→1547
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1505): Tossup
6 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1544 (+17)	8-3	at WAS (1433): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): W 34-13: 1527+17→1544
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1433): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542	6-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): L 34-37(OT): 1542-0→1542
next: (bye)
8	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (+4)	8-3	vs CIN (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 24-21: 1534+4→1538
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1494): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1537 (-11)	8-3	at NO (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): L 22-29: 1548-11→1537
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1490): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1521 (-17)	7-4	at LAR (1490): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): L 12-29: 1538-17→1521
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Tossup
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518 (-7)	6-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): L 10-12: 1525-7→1518
next: (bye)
12 (+7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1511 (+17)	6-5	at HOU (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): W 29-12: 1494+17→1511
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1508): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (-10)	4-7	at NE (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1579): L 10-20: 1519-10→1509
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1444): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1508 (-3)	6-5	vs DEN (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1534): L 21-24: 1511-3→1508
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1505 (+10)	5-6	vs KC (1547): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1548): W 29-22: 1495+10→1505
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Tossup
16 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1497 (+6)	6-5	at TEN (1459): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): W 27-20: 1491+6→1497
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1459): Tossup
17 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+8)	7-4	vs ARI (1425): Win by 4
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): W 16-10: 1488+8→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1425): Win by 4 points
18 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1494 (-8)	5-6	at JAX (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): L 10-16: 1502-8→1494
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1490 (-10)	5-6	vs DET (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 15-24: 1500-10→1490
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1537): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (+19)	5-6	vs CLE (1521): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): W 37-14: 1471+19→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): Tossup
21 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (-6)	4-7	vs CAR (1408): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1491): L 20-27: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1408): Win by 5 points
22 (-7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (-16)	6-5	at DAL (1589): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): L 13-31: 1501-16→1485
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1589): Lose by 5 points
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (+10)	5-6	at NYJ (1440): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 24-15: 1475+10→1485
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1440): Tossup
24 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (+7)	4-8	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): W 12-10: 1462+7→1469
next: (bye)
25 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1459 (+5)	4-7	vs IND (1497): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 17-10: 1454+5→1459
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1497): Tossup
26 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454 (-14)	5-7	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1533): L 17-31: 1468-14→1454
next: (bye)
27 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1444 (-2)	2-9	vs LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1436): L 7-10: 1446-2→1444
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1440 (-16)	4-7	vs ATL (1485): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1527): L 13-34: 1456-16→1440
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Tossup
29 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1439 (+3)	4-8	bye
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1446): W 10-7: 1436+3→1439
next: (bye)
30 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1433 (-15)	4-8	vs MIA (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1574): L 10-45: 1448-15→1433
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1425 (-18)	2-10	at PIT (1496): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1471): L 14-37: 1443-18→1425
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Lose by 4 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1408 (-5)	1-10	at TB (1489): Lose by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1454): L 10-17: 1413-5→1408
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1579 (+13)	8-3	at LAC (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): W 34-20: 1566+13→1579
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Slight favorite
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1575 (+12)	7-3	at SEA (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1507): W 27-14: 1563+12→1575
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1574 (+17)	7-3	vs WAS (1448): Win by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): W 33-10: 1557+17→1574
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): Win by 5 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1555 (+4)	9-1	vs BUF (1542): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): W 21-17: 1551+4→1555
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): Slight favorite
5	Detroit LionsDET	1548 (+1)	8-2	vs GB (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1463): W 31-26: 1547+1→1548
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): Slight favorite
6 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542 (+18)	6-5	at PHI (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1474): W 32-6: 1524+18→1542
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538	7-3	at DEN (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): W 13-10: 1538+0→1538
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1534 (+16)	7-3	at HOU (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): W 34-14: 1518+16→1534
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1511): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1533 (-4)	7-3	at LV (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): L 17-21: 1537-4→1533
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1468): Slight favorite
10	Miami DolphinsMIA	1527 (+5)	7-3	at NYJ (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): W 20-13: 1522+5→1527
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525 (-4)	6-5	vs CHI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1490): L 20-21: 1529-4→1525
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (-3)	4-6	vs BAL (1579): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1491): L 20-23: 1522-3→1519
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1579): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1511 (+1)	6-4	vs JAX (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1445): W 21-16: 1510+1→1511
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1534): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (-13)	5-5	vs PIT (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): L 20-34: 1515-13→1502
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-3)	6-4	vs SF (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): L 16-17: 1504-3→1501
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	5-5	at ATL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495 (-12)	4-6	at IND (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1563): L 14-27: 1507-12→1495
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1491): Slight underdog
18	Green Bay PackersGB	1495 (+4)	4-6	at DET (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): W 23-20: 1491+4→1495
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1548): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1494 (+4)	5-5	vs CLE (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): W 21-20: 1490+4→1494
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1491	5-5	vs TB (1495): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): Slight favorite
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	6-4	at CIN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): L 10-13: 1488-0→1488
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1502): Slight underdog
22	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475	4-6	vs NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
23 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1471 (+3)	4-6	at ARI (1443): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): W 17-16: 1468+3→1471
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): Tossup
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1468 (-5)	5-6	vs KC (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): L 13-20: 1473-5→1468
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1533): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-1)	3-8	at MIN (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): L 26-31: 1463-1→1462
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): Slight underdog
26 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1456 (-18)	4-6	vs MIA (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1524): L 6-32: 1474-18→1456
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1527): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1454 (-16)	3-7	vs CAR (1413): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): L 14-34: 1470-16→1454
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1448 (-17)	4-7	at DAL (1574): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1419): L 19-31: 1465-17→1448
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1574): Lose by 5 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1446	2-8	at NYG (1436): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1436): Slight underdog
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1443 (-2)	2-9	vs LAR (1471): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1510): L 16-21: 1445-2→1443
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1471): Tossup
31 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1436 (+17)	3-8	vs NE (1446): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1465): W 31-19: 1419+17→1436
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1446): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (-17)	1-9	at TEN (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1557): L 10-33: 1430-17→1413
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1454): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1566 (-7)	7-3	vs CIN (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): L 31-33: 1573-7→1566
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1515): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1563 (+23)	6-3	vs TB (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1541): W 34-3: 1540+23→1563
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1507): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1557 (+16)	6-3	at CAR (1430): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): W 49-17: 1541+16→1557
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551	8-1	at KC (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1547 (+4)	7-2	vs CHI (1463): Win by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): W 41-38: 1543+4→1547
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1463): Win by 4 points
6 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538 (+7)	6-3	vs PIT (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1573): W 33-31: 1531+7→1538
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1537	7-2	vs PHI (1551): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1529 (+8)	6-4	at DEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 27-19: 1521+8→1529
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1490): Slight favorite
9	Buffalo BillsBUF	1524 (-7)	5-5	vs NYJ (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): L 22-24: 1531-7→1524
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1474): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1522	6-3	vs LV (1473): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1522 (-4)	4-5	at GB (1491): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): L 38-41: 1526-4→1522
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1491): Tossup
12 (-7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (-23)	6-3	vs TEN (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): L 3-34: 1541-23→1518
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Slight favorite
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1515 (-6)	5-4	at BAL (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1504): L 27-30: 1521-6→1515
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1510 (+6)	5-4	vs ARI (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): W 30-27: 1504+6→1510
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1445): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1507 (+15)	4-5	at SF (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1485): W 20-6: 1492+15→1507
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1563): Slight underdog
16	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	6-3	at LAR (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1466): W 29-26: 1504+0→1504
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-8)	5-5	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): L 19-27: 1508-8→1500
next: (bye)
18 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1491 (-2)	3-6	vs LAC (1522): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 19-23: 1493-2→1491
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1522): Tossup
19	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1491 (+2)	5-5	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1448): W 10-6: 1489+2→1491
next: (bye)
20 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1490 (+6)	4-5	vs MIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1531): W 24-22: 1484+6→1490
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (+2)	6-3	at CLE (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1493): W 23-19: 1486+2→1488
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-4)	4-6	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): L 23-25: 1479-4→1475
next: (bye)
23 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1474 (-2)	4-5	at BUF (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): L 12-16: 1476-2→1474
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1524): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1473 (+2)	5-5	at MIA (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1476): W 16-12: 1471+2→1473
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1470 (-15)	3-6	at JAX (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): L 6-20: 1485-15→1470
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight underdog
26	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1468	3-6	vs SEA (1504): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight favorite
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1465 (-1)	4-6	vs NYG (1419): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): L 26-29: 1466-1→1465
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1419): Slight favorite
28	Chicago BearsCHI	1463 (+1)	3-7	at DET (1547): Lose by 4
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): W 16-13: 1462+1→1463
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): Lose by 4 points
29	New England PatriotsNE	1446 (-2)	2-8	bye
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): L 6-10: 1448-2→1446
next: (bye)
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1445 (+4)	2-8	at HOU (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 25-23: 1441+4→1445
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1510): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1430 (-1)	1-8	vs DAL (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): L 13-16: 1431-1→1430
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1557): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1419 (-16)	2-8	at WAS (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 17-49: 1435-16→1419
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1465): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1573 (+17)	7-2	vs CLE (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): W 37-3: 1556+17→1573
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): Slight favorite
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551 (+4)	8-1	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): W 28-23: 1547+4→1551
next: (bye)
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1543	6-2	at LAC (1526): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): Tossup
4 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541 (-3)	5-3	vs NYG (1435): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1547): L 23-28: 1544-3→1541
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1435): Win by 5 points
5	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1541	6-2	vs SF (1540): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540	5-3	at JAX (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1541): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1537 (+9)	7-2	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1531): W 21-14: 1528+9→1537
next: (bye)
8 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1531 (+12)	5-3	at BAL (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): W 27-0: 1519+12→1531
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1573): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1531 (-9)	5-4	vs DEN (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): L 18-24: 1540-9→1531
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1526 (+20)	4-4	vs DET (1543): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): W 27-6: 1506+20→1526
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): Tossup
11 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1522 (-9)	6-3	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): L 14-21: 1531-9→1522
next: (bye)
12 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (-1)	5-4	vs NO (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): W 31-28: 1522-1→1521
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Slight favorite
13	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1521 (+10)	5-3	vs HOU (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): W 24-18: 1511+10→1521
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1504): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (+2)	5-4	at MIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): W 24-17: 1506+2→1508
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1504 (+1)	4-4	at CIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): W 39-37: 1503+1→1504
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): Slight underdog
16 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (-16)	5-3	vs WAS (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): L 3-37: 1520-16→1504
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1466): Slight favorite
17 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1493 (+18)	3-5	at PIT (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): W 20-3: 1475+18→1493
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Slight underdog
18	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1492 (-2)	3-5	vs TEN (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1503): L 37-39: 1494-2→1492
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1485): Slight favorite
19 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (+13)	4-5	at NE (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): W 27-13: 1476+13→1489
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1448): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (+2)	5-3	vs GB (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1487): W 20-16: 1484+2→1486
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1493): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485 (-2)	3-5	at TB (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): L 16-20: 1487-2→1485
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): Slight underdog
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1484	3-5	at BUF (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1531): Slight underdog
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+1)	4-5	at ARI (1441): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): L 28-31: 1478+1→1479
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): Tossup
24 (-7)	New York JetsNYJ	1476 (-19)	4-4	at LV (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 6-27: 1495-19→1476
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1471): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1471 (+20)	4-5	vs NYJ (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 30-6: 1451+20→1471
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight favorite
26 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1468 (-17)	3-6	bye
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1475): L 3-20: 1485-17→1468
next: (bye)
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1466 (+3)	4-5	at SEA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1451): W 20-17: 1463+3→1466
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-3)	2-7	vs CAR (1431): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): L 17-24: 1465-3→1462
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): Slight favorite
29 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1448 (-3)	2-7	at IND (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): L 17-20: 1451-3→1448
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1441 (-12)	1-8	vs ATL (1479): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): L 0-27: 1453-12→1441
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Tossup
31 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1435 (-20)	2-7	at DAL (1541): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): L 6-30: 1455-20→1435
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1431 (-14)	1-7	at CHI (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): L 13-27: 1445-14→1431
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1556 (-1)	6-2	vs SEA (1520): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): W 31-24: 1557-1→1556
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1547 (+1)	7-1	vs DAL (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1465): W 38-31: 1546+1→1547
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Slight favorite
3 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544 (+15)	5-2	at PHI (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 43-20: 1529+15→1544
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1547): Slight underdog
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1543 (+5)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1456): W 26-14: 1538+5→1543
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1541 (+10)	6-2	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): W 20-10: 1531+10→1541
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1540 (+1)	5-3	at CIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): W 24-18: 1539+1→1540
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Slight favorite
7 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (-24)	5-3	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1487): L 17-31: 1564-24→1540
next: (bye)
8 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1531 (+8)	6-2	at KC (1528): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1460): W 31-17: 1523+8→1531
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): Slight favorite
9 (-6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1528 (-24)	6-2	at MIA (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): L 9-24: 1552-24→1528
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1531): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (+16)	4-4	at ATL (1478): Win by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1491): W 24-10: 1506+16→1522
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Win by 4 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1520 (+3)	5-2	at BAL (1556): Lose by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): W 24-20: 1517+3→1520
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1556): Lose by 5 points
12 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1519 (-2)	4-3	vs ARI (1453): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 20-24: 1521-2→1519
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): Win by 7 points
13 (+9)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (+24)	4-3	vs BUF (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1564): W 31-17: 1487+24→1511
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): Slight underdog
14 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+15)	3-4	at NYJ (1495): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): W 30-13: 1491+15→1506
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): Tossup
15 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (+14)	4-4	vs CHI (1465): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 38-27: 1492+14→1506
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): Win by 6 points
16 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1503 (-10)	3-4	vs TB (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): L 13-15: 1513-10→1503
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1495 (-3)	4-3	vs LAC (1506): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1452): W 13-10(OT): 1498-3→1495
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Tossup
18 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1494 (-1)	3-4	at HOU (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): L 18-24: 1495-1→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1503): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1487 (+3)	3-4	at PIT (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): W 28-23: 1484+3→1487
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight underdog
20 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1485 (-16)	3-5	at GB (1475): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 20-43: 1501-16→1485
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1475): Tossup
21 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (-10)	4-3	vs TEN (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): L 10-20: 1494-10→1484
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1487): Slight favorite
22 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1484 (+25)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): W 24-9: 1459+25→1484
next: (bye)
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (-4)	4-4	vs MIN (1522): Lose by 4
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): L 23-28: 1482-4→1478
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Lose by 4 points
24 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476 (-14)	3-5	at CAR (1445): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): L 27-38: 1490-14→1476
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): Slight favorite
25 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1475 (-16)	2-5	vs LAR (1485): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): L 10-24: 1491-16→1475
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): Tossup
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1465 (-15)	2-6	at NO (1506): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): L 13-30: 1480-15→1465
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1463 (-2)	3-5	at NE (1451): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): L 31-38: 1465-2→1463
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1451): Tossup
28 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+3)	2-6	at LV (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1498): L 10-13(OT): 1452+3→1455
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1453	1-7	at CLE (1519): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): L 24-31: 1453+0→1453
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1451 (-5)	3-5	vs NYG (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1538): L 14-26: 1456-5→1451
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight favorite
31 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1451 (-9)	2-6	vs WAS (1463): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1523): L 17-31: 1460-9→1451
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): Tossup
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1445 (+10)	1-6	vs IND (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1513): W 15-13: 1435+10→1445
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1564 (-11)	5-2	vs CIN (1487): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): L 17-22: 1575-11→1564
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1487): Win by 7 points
2 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1557 (+23)	5-2	at ARI (1453): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1561): W 38-6: 1534+23→1557
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1453): Win by 7 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (+10)	6-1	at DEN (1459): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 31-17: 1542+10→1552
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1459): Win by 7 points
4 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1546 (+16)	6-1	at WAS (1465): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): W 31-17: 1530+16→1546
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1465): Win by 6 points
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1539 (-11)	4-3	vs TB (1495): Win by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1449): L 25-29: 1550-11→1539
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): Win by 5 points
6 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1538 (-23)	5-2	vs LV (1456): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): L 6-38: 1561-23→1538
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1456): Win by 8 points
7 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1531 (+7)	5-2	at PIT (1494): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): W 31-24: 1524+7→1531
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): Slight favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529	4-2	vs LAR (1501): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Win by 5 points
9 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1523 (-15)	5-2	vs NE (1460): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): L 17-31: 1538-15→1523
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1460): Win by 6 points
10	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1521 (+2)	4-2	at SEA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): W 39-38: 1519+2→1521
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+6)	4-2	vs CLE (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): W 20-10: 1511+6→1517
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1521): Slight favorite
12	Houston TexansHOU	1513	3-3	at CAR (1435): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): Win by 6 points
13 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (+11)	3-4	at GB (1491): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): W 22-17: 1495+11→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1491): Tossup
14 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (-12)	3-4	at DAL (1529): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 17-24: 1513-12→1501
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Lose by 5 points
15 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1498	3-3	vs NYG (1452): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1452): Win by 5 points
16 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495 (-7)	3-3	at BUF (1539): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 13-16: 1502-7→1495
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): Lose by 5 points
17 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1494 (+13)	4-2	vs JAX (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): W 24-17: 1481+13→1494
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1492 (-7)	3-4	at IND (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): L 24-31: 1499-7→1492
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1491 (-7)	2-4	vs MIN (1506): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1453): L 17-19: 1498-7→1491
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Tossup
20 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1491 (-10)	2-4	vs CHI (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): L 17-31: 1501-10→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-3)	3-4	vs NO (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): L 38-39: 1493-3→1490
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1487	3-3	at SF (1564): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1564): Lose by 7 points
23 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484	2-4	vs ATL (1482): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (+7)	4-3	at TEN (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): W 16-13: 1475+7→1482
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+18)	2-5	at LAC (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): W 30-12: 1462+18→1480
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1465 (-10)	3-4	vs PHI (1546): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1442): L 7-14: 1475-10→1465
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): Lose by 6 points
27 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1460 (+11)	2-5	at MIA (1523): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): W 29-25: 1449+11→1460
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1523): Lose by 6 points
28 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (+6)	2-5	vs KC (1552): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1498): W 19-17: 1453+6→1459
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 7 points
29 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1456 (-18)	3-4	at DET (1538): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): L 12-30: 1474-18→1456
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1538): Lose by 8 points
30 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1453 (-7)	1-6	vs BAL (1557): Lose by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): L 10-20: 1460-7→1453
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1557): Lose by 7 points
31	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (+10)	2-5	vs NYJ (1498): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1475): W 14-7: 1442+10→1452
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1498): Lose by 5 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435	0-6	vs HOU (1513): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1513): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1575 (-8)	5-1	at MIN (1495): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): L 17-19: 1583-8→1575
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (+15)	5-1	at BAL (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 20-6: 1546+15→1561
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1550 (-5)	4-2	at NE (1449): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1437): W 14-9: 1555-5→1550
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1449): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1542 (+7)	5-1	vs LAC (1501): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1459): W 19-8: 1535+7→1542
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Win by 5 points
5 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1538 (+12)	5-1	at PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): W 42-21: 1526+12→1538
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
6	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (+7)	4-2	vs DET (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): W 24-16: 1527+7→1534
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1561): Slight underdog
7 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (-10)	5-1	vs MIA (1538): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): L 14-20: 1540-10→1530
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): Slight favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (+3)	4-2	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 20-17: 1526+3→1529
next: (bye)
9 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1524 (+17)	4-2	at NO (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): W 37-20: 1507+17→1524
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1519 (+8)	3-2	at IND (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): W 19-17: 1511+8→1519
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): Slight favorite
11 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1513 (+15)	3-3	vs PIT (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): W 26-9: 1498+15→1513
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1513 (+8)	3-3	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): W 20-13: 1505+8→1513
next: (bye)
13 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (-5)	3-2	vs ARI (1460): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): L 13-17: 1516-5→1511
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): Win by 5 points
14 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (-16)	3-2	vs ATL (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1546): L 6-20: 1518-16→1502
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (-3)	2-3	at KC (1542): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): L 17-20: 1504-3→1501
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): Lose by 5 points
16 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1499 (-8)	3-3	vs JAX (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1505): L 13-20: 1507-8→1499
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): Slight underdog
17 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1498 (+10)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): W 20-14: 1488+10→1498
next: (bye)
18	Green Bay PackersGB	1498	2-3	at DEN (1453): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1453): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (+7)	2-4	vs SF (1575): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): W 19-13: 1488+7→1495
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): Lose by 5 points
20 (-8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1493 (-16)	3-3	vs CLE (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): L 20-37: 1509-16→1493
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1519): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1487 (+5)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): W 17-13: 1482+5→1487
next: (bye)
22 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484 (-7)	2-4	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): L 16-24: 1491-7→1484
next: (bye)
23 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481	3-2	at LAR (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1475 (+13)	3-3	at NYG (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): W 24-16: 1462+13→1475
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1442): Slight favorite
25 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-12)	3-3	at TB (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1462): L 16-24: 1487-12→1475
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Slight underdog
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1474	3-3	at CHI (1462): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1449): W 21-17: 1474+0→1474
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Tossup
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-7)	1-5	vs LV (1474): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): L 13-19: 1469-7→1462
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): Tossup
28 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1460 (-14)	1-5	at SEA (1511): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): L 9-26: 1474-14→1460
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Lose by 5 points
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1453 (-6)	1-5	vs GB (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 8-19: 1459-6→1453
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1498): Slight underdog
30	New England PatriotsNE	1449	1-5	vs BUF (1550): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): L 17-21: 1449-0→1449
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): Lose by 6 points
31 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1442 (+5)	1-5	vs WAS (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 9-14: 1437+5→1442
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1475): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435 (-12)	0-6	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): L 21-42: 1447-12→1435
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1583 (+19)	5-0	at CLE (1511): Win by 4
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): W 42-10: 1564+19→1583
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): Win by 4 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-10)	3-2	vs NYG (1437): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): L 20-25: 1565-10→1555
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1437): Win by 8 points
3 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1546 (+12)	4-1	at TB (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1458): W 42-24: 1534+12→1546
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1540 (+11)	5-0	at NYJ (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): W 23-14: 1529+11→1540
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (+7)	4-1	vs DEN (1459): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 27-20: 1528+7→1535
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1459): Win by 6 points
6 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1527 (-12)	3-2	at TEN (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): L 10-17: 1539-12→1527
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526 (+10)	4-1	vs CAR (1447): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): W 31-16: 1516+10→1526
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1447): Win by 6 points
8 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (-19)	3-2	at LAC (1504): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1564): L 10-42: 1545-19→1526
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518	3-1	vs DET (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1546): Slight underdog
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516	3-1	at CIN (1482): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): Slight favorite
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1511	2-2	vs SF (1583): Lose by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): Lose by 4 points
12 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1509 (+7)	3-2	at JAX (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): W 23-16: 1502+7→1509
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1507): Slight underdog
13 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1507 (+10)	3-2	vs IND (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): W 25-20: 1497+10→1507
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): Slight favorite
14 (+8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (+22)	3-2	at HOU (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1471): W 34-0: 1485+22→1507
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1505): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1505 (-5)	2-3	vs NO (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): L 19-21: 1510-5→1505
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504	2-2	vs DAL (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight underdog
17 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1498 (-12)	2-3	vs ARI (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): L 14-23: 1510-12→1498
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1498 (-4)	2-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 13-17: 1502-4→1498
next: (bye)
19 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1491 (-7)	2-3	at BAL (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1502): L 16-23: 1498-7→1491
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): Slight underdog
20 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1488 (+13)	2-3	vs PHI (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): W 31-21: 1475+13→1488
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (-7)	1-4	at CHI (1469): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): L 20-27: 1495-7→1488
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Tossup
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+4)	3-2	vs WAS (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1510): W 21-19: 1483+4→1487
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1462): Slight favorite
23 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1482 (+20)	2-3	vs SEA (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 34-20: 1462+20→1482
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (+12)	3-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1539): W 17-10: 1469+12→1481
next: (bye)
25 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1474 (-20)	1-4	at LAR (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1462): L 20-34: 1494-20→1474
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1474 (+4)	2-3	vs NE (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1502): W 17-13: 1470+4→1474
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1449): Slight favorite
27 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (+23)	1-4	vs MIN (1488): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1485): W 40-20: 1446+23→1469
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Tossup
28 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1462 (-23)	2-3	at ATL (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1446): L 20-40: 1485-23→1462
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (-14)	1-4	at KC (1535): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1475): L 21-31: 1473-14→1459
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Lose by 6 points
30 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1449 (-22)	1-4	at LV (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): L 0-34: 1471-22→1449
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1447 (-11)	0-5	at MIA (1526): Lose by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1534): L 24-42: 1458-11→1447
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): Lose by 6 points
32 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1437 (-10)	1-4	at BUF (1555): Lose by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): L 16-31: 1447-10→1437
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565 (+20)	3-1	at JAX (1497): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1536): W 48-20: 1545+20→1565
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): Win by 5 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1564 (+15)	4-0	vs DAL (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1509): W 35-16: 1549+15→1564
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): Slight favorite
3 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1545 (+19)	3-1	at SF (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1490): W 38-3: 1526+19→1545
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1564): Slight underdog
4 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1539 (+24)	3-1	at PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): W 28-3: 1515+24→1539
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1534 (+17)	3-1	vs CAR (1458): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): W 34-20: 1517+17→1534
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1458): Win by 6 points
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529 (-2)	4-0	at LAR (1510): Tossup
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1483): W 34-31(OT): 1531-2→1529
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): Tossup
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1528 (+1)	3-1	at MIN (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): W 23-20: 1527+1→1528
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Slight favorite
8 (+9)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+20)	3-1	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): W 26-9: 1498+20→1518
next: (bye)
9 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516 (-20)	3-1	vs NYG (1447): Win by 6
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): L 20-48: 1536-20→1516
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): Win by 6 points
10 (+8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (+20)	3-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): W 24-3: 1496+20→1516
next: (bye)
11 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1511 (-24)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): L 3-28: 1535-24→1511
next: (bye)
12 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1510 (+4)	2-2	vs PHI (1529): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1506): W 29-23(OT): 1506+4→1510
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): Tossup
13 (+6)	Houston TexansHOU	1510 (+20)	2-2	at ATL (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): W 30-6: 1490+20→1510
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+5)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): W 24-17: 1499+5→1504
next: (bye)
15 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1502 (-4)	2-2	vs TEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): L 23-29(OT): 1506-4→1502
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): Slight favorite
16 (-8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1502 (-18)	2-2	at LV (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1517): L 20-34: 1520-18→1502
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Slight favorite
17 (+8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1498 (+19)	2-2	at IND (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): W 27-3: 1479+19→1498
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1502): Slight underdog
18 (+8)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1497 (+19)	2-2	at BUF (1565): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): W 23-7: 1478+19→1497
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): Lose by 5 points
19 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (+10)	1-3	vs KC (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): W 21-13: 1485+10→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): Slight underdog
20 (-9)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-15)	1-3	vs CIN (1462): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): L 16-35: 1509-15→1494
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1462): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1485 (+2)	2-2	vs CHI (1446): Win by 4
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): L 31-34(OT): 1483+2→1485
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1446): Win by 4 points
22 (-8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1485 (-20)	2-2	at NE (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): L 9-26: 1505-20→1485
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1471): Slight underdog
23 (-8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1483 (-19)	2-2	vs HOU (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): L 7-23: 1502-19→1483
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1510): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1475 (-1)	1-3	at DEN (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): L 20-23: 1476-1→1475
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1473): Slight underdog
25 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473 (+4)	1-3	vs NYJ (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): W 31-28: 1469+4→1473
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1475): Slight favorite
26 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1471 (-19)	1-3	vs NO (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): L 3-38: 1490-19→1471
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (-6)	1-3	vs GB (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 17-24: 1476-6→1470
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1502): Slight underdog
28 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (-19)	2-2	vs BAL (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1490): L 6-30: 1488-19→1469
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1539): Slight underdog
29 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1462 (-20)	1-3	at ARI (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): L 3-27: 1482-20→1462
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Slight underdog
30	Carolina PanthersCAR	1458 (-11)	0-4	at DET (1534): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): L 13-21: 1469-11→1458
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1534): Lose by 6 points
31	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (-19)	1-3	at MIA (1516): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 3-24: 1466-19→1447
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): Lose by 6 points
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1446 (-3)	0-4	at WAS (1485): Lose by 4
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): L 28-31: 1449-3→1446
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1485): Lose by 4 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+15)	3-0	vs ARI (1509): Win by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): W 30-12: 1534+15→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1509): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (+23)	2-1	vs MIA (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1507): W 37-3: 1522+23→1545
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1536): Slight favorite
3 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1536 (+21)	3-0	at BUF (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): W 70-20: 1515+21→1536
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Slight underdog
4 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1535 (+20)	2-1	vs BAL (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): W 27-3: 1515+20→1535
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1531 (+19)	3-0	vs WAS (1483): Win by 4
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): W 25-11: 1512+19→1531
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1483): Win by 4 points
6 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1527 (+19)	2-1	at NYJ (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1468): W 41-10: 1508+19→1527
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight favorite
7 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (-17)	2-1	vs NE (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): L 16-28: 1543-17→1526
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1490): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520 (+2)	2-1	vs DET (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): W 18-17: 1518+2→1520
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1517): Slight favorite
9 (+8)	Detroit LionsDET	1517 (+17)	2-1	at GB (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1519): W 20-6: 1500+17→1517
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Slight underdog
10 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1515 (-5)	2-1	at CLE (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): L 19-22(OT): 1520-5→1515
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1535): Slight underdog
11 (+9)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1509 (+18)	1-2	at SF (1549): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1543): W 28-16: 1491+18→1509
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Lose by 5 points
12 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1506 (+5)	2-1	vs LAR (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): W 22-19(OT): 1501+5→1506
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (-4)	1-2	at IND (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): L 16-19: 1510-4→1506
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1506): Slight underdog
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (-2)	2-1	vs TB (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1518): L 17-18: 1507-2→1505
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight favorite
15 (-10)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502 (-17)	2-1	at JAX (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 6-20: 1519-17→1502
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (+5)	1-2	vs LV (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): W 28-24: 1494+5→1499
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Slight favorite
17 (-10)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-18)	2-1	at NO (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): L 11-25: 1516-18→1498
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Slight underdog
18 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (+11)	2-1	at NYG (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): W 37-27: 1485+11→1496
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): Slight favorite
19 (+13)	Houston TexansHOU	1490 (+24)	1-2	vs PIT (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): W 37-17: 1466+24→1490
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight favorite
20 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1490 (+7)	1-2	at DAL (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1483): W 15-10: 1483+7→1490
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Slight underdog
21 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (+7)	2-1	at HOU (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 23-18: 1481+7→1488
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1490): Slight underdog
22	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485 (-4)	0-3	at CAR (1469): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 24-28: 1489-4→1485
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): Tossup
23 (-10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1483 (-24)	2-1	at PHI (1531): Lose by 4
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1522): L 3-37: 1507-24→1483
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): Lose by 4 points
24 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1482 (+5)	1-2	at TEN (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): W 19-16: 1477+5→1482
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1479): Slight underdog
25 (-7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1479 (-19)	1-2	vs CIN (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): L 3-27: 1498-19→1479
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): Slight favorite
26 (-11)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1478 (-24)	1-2	at ATL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): L 17-37: 1502-24→1478
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1476 (-7)	1-2	vs KC (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1483): L 10-15: 1483-7→1476
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (-7)	1-2	at LAC (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 18-23: 1483-7→1476
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Slight underdog
29 (-8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1469 (-21)	0-3	at CHI (1449): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): L 20-70: 1490-21→1469
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): Tossup
30 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1469 (-11)	0-3	vs MIN (1485): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): L 27-37: 1480-11→1469
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): Tossup
31 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1466 (-15)	1-2	vs SEA (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): L 12-30: 1481-15→1466
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1449 (-19)	0-3	vs DEN (1469): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): L 10-41: 1468-19→1449
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1469): Tossup

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1543 (+18)	2-0	at ARI (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1501): W 30-10: 1525+18→1543
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): Slight favorite
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (+11)	2-0	vs NYG (1481): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): W 30-23: 1523+11→1534
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): Win by 5 points
3 (+14)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1522 (+23)	1-1	at WAS (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): W 38-10: 1499+23→1522
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1507): Slight underdog
4 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (+2)	2-0	vs IND (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): W 27-24: 1518+2→1520
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1519 (+3)	2-0	at DET (1500): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): W 25-24: 1516+3→1519
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Tossup
6 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1518 (-3)	1-1	vs NO (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1516): L 24-25: 1521-3→1518
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (+11)	2-0	vs PHI (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): W 27-17: 1505+11→1516
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515 (+10)	2-0	vs DEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): W 24-17: 1505+10→1515
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1515 (-5)	1-1	vs TEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): L 22-26: 1520-5→1515
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512 (+5)	2-0	at TB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 34-28: 1507+5→1512
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Slight underdog
11 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1510 (-11)	1-1	at CIN (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 23-30: 1521-11→1510
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): Slight favorite
12 (+11)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508 (+14)	1-1	vs CHI (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): W 17-9: 1494+14→1508
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1468): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1507 (+5)	2-0	vs BUF (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): W 35-33: 1502+5→1507
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1522): Slight favorite
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (+4)	2-0	at GB (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): W 20-17: 1503+4→1507
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1518): Slight underdog
15 (-7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502 (-13)	1-1	vs HOU (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1494): L 9-17: 1515-13→1502
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1466): Slight favorite
16 (+9)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1501 (+16)	1-1	at BAL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1482): W 31-20: 1485+16→1501
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): Slight underdog
17 (-7)	Detroit LionsDET	1500 (-6)	1-1	vs ATL (1519): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): L 31-37(OT): 1506-6→1500
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1519): Tossup
18 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1498 (+1)	1-1	at CLE (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 27-24(OT): 1497+1→1498
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494 (-1)	0-2	at MIN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): L 24-27(OT): 1495-1→1494
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1491 (-7)	0-2	vs DAL (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): L 28-31: 1498-7→1491
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1543): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1490 (-4)	0-2	at MIA (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1502): L 33-35: 1494-4→1490
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (-6)	0-2	vs LAC (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): L 28-34: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight favorite
23 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (+6)	1-1	vs CAR (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1506): W 37-31(OT): 1479+6→1485
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): Slight favorite
24	New England PatriotsNE	1483 (-10)	0-2	at NYJ (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): L 17-24: 1493-10→1483
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1483): Slight underdog
25 (-9)	New York JetsNYJ	1483 (-18)	1-1	vs NE (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): L 10-30: 1501-18→1483
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1483): Slight favorite
26 (-15)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (-23)	1-1	vs PIT (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1499): L 10-38: 1506-23→1483
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Slight favorite
27 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (+4)	1-1	at LV (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1520): W 26-22: 1477+4→1481
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1481 (+6)	1-1	at SF (1534): Lose by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1498): W 31-28: 1475+6→1481
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Lose by 5 points
29 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1480 (-4)	0-2	at SEA (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): L 17-20: 1484-4→1480
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (-3)	0-2	vs LAR (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): L 24-27: 1480-3→1477
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1510): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1468 (-11)	0-2	at KC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): L 17-27: 1479-11→1468
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): Slight underdog
32 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1466 (-16)	0-2	at JAX (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): L 20-31: 1482-16→1466
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525 (+25)	1-0	vs NYJ (1501): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 40-0: 1500+25→1525
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1501): Slight favorite
2 (+26)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+23)	1-0	at LAR (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): W 30-7: 1500+23→1523
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): Slight underdog
3 (+9)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (+21)	1-0	at ATL (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 38-20: 1500+21→1521
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1516): Slight underdog
4 (+15)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (+21)	1-0	vs SF (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 30-13: 1500+21→1521
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1520 (+20)	1-0	at PIT (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): W 24-3: 1500+20→1520
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (+18)	1-0	at CIN (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 25-9: 1500+18→1518
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): Slight favorite
7 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1516 (+16)	1-0	vs GB (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 24-10: 1500+16→1516
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight favorite
8 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+15)	1-0	vs KC (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 31-21: 1500+15→1515
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1494): Slight favorite
9 (+17)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (+7)	1-0	vs MIN (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 25-20: 1500+7→1507
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs SEA (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): W 21-20: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): Slight favorite
11 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1506 (+6)	1-0	at BUF (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 17-16: 1500+6→1506
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1499): Slight underdog
12 (+8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (+5)	1-0	at NE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 36-34: 1500+5→1505
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): Slight underdog
13 (+17)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs CHI (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 20-17: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1479): Slight favorite
14 (+9)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (+3)	1-0	at CAR (1484): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 16-15: 1500+3→1503
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): Tossup
15 (+17)	Washington CommandersWAS	1502 (+2)	1-0	at DEN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 20-16: 1500+2→1502
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Slight underdog
16 (+9)	New York JetsNYJ	1501 (+1)	1-0	at DAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): W 22-16(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): Slight underdog
17 (-13)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1499 (-1)	0-1	vs LV (1506): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): L 16-22(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): Slight favorite
18 (-17)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs NYG (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 16-20: 1500-2→1498
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): Slight favorite
19 (+12)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs LAC (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 15-16: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-5)	0-1	at PHI (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 17-20: 1500-5→1495
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-5)	0-1	at TEN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 34-36: 1500-5→1495
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): Slight underdog
22 (-12)	Denver BroncosDEN	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs WAS (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 16-17: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1502): Slight favorite
23 (-7)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1494 (-6)	0-1	at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 20-21: 1500-6→1494
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1493 (-7)	0-1	vs MIA (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 20-25: 1500-7→1493
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Slight favorite
25 (-11)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1485 (-15)	0-1	at HOU (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 21-31: 1500-15→1485
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1482): Slight underdog
26 (-21)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1484 (-16)	0-1	vs NO (1503): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): L 10-24: 1500-16→1484
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Tossup
27 (-14)	Houston TexansHOU	1482 (-18)	0-1	vs IND (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 9-25: 1500-18→1482
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): Slight favorite
28 (-21)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1480 (-20)	0-1	vs BAL (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): L 3-24: 1500-20→1480
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479 (-21)	0-1	at DET (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 13-30: 1500-21→1479
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1506): Slight underdog
30 (-24)	Chicago BearsCHI	1479 (-21)	0-1	at TB (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 20-38: 1500-21→1479
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (-23)	0-1	vs CLE (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 7-30: 1500-23→1477
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1520): Slight underdog
32 (-8)	New York GiantsNYG	1475 (-25)	0-1	at ARI (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): L 0-40: 1500-25→1475
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1498): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs GB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs CIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at BAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at DEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs BUF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at PIT (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs LAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at MIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at WAS(1500) L 16-20: -2→1498	9	30	at CLE(1519) L 0-27: -12→1441	17	29	at PHI(1528) W 35-31: +3→1431
2	20	vs NYG(1475) L 28-31: -7→1491	10	30	vs ATL(1479) W 25-23: +4→1445	18	30	vs SEA(1478) L 20-21: -1→1430
3	11	vs DAL(1543) W 28-16: +18→1509	11	30	at HOU(1510) L 16-21: -2→1443	W	30
4	20	at SF(1549) L 16-35: -15→1494	12	31	vs LAR(1471) L 14-37: -18→1425	D	30
5	25	vs CIN(1462) L 20-34: -20→1474	13	27	at PIT(1496) W 24-10: +16→1441	C	30
6	28	at LAR(1498) L 9-26: -14→1460	14	30	(bye)	S	30
7	30	at SEA(1511) L 10-20: -7→1453	15	29	vs SF(1612) L 29-45: -8→1433
8	29	vs BAL(1557) L 24-31: +0→1453	16	30	at CHI(1481) L 16-27: -5→1428

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1477 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs CAR(1500) W 24-10: +16→1516	9	23	vs MIN(1522) L 28-31: +1→1479	17	21	at CHI(1486) L 17-37: -8→1484
2	5	vs GB(1521) W 25-24: +3→1519	10	22	at ARI(1441) L 23-25: -4→1475	18	25	at NO(1509) L 17-48: -7→1477
3	15	at DET(1500) L 6-20: -17→1502	11	22	(bye)	W	25
4	23	at JAX(1478) L 7-23: -19→1483	12	23	vs NO(1500) W 24-15: +10→1485	D	25
5	22	vs HOU(1510) W 21-19: +4→1487	13	19	at NYJ(1440) W 13-8: +4→1489	C	25
6	25	vs WAS(1462) L 16-24: -12→1475	14	20	vs TB(1488) L 25-29: -3→1486	S	25
7	24	at TB(1502) W 16-13: +7→1482	15	21	at CAR(1398) L 7-9: -4→1482
8	23	at TEN(1484) L 23-28: -4→1478	16	18	vs IND(1496) W 29-10: +10→1492

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (-41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs HOU(1500) W 25-9: +18→1518	9	1	vs SEA(1520) W 37-3: +17→1573	17	1	vs MIA(1565) W 56-19: +8→1616
2	4	at CIN(1480) W 27-24: +2→1520	10	1	vs CLE(1531) L 31-33: -7→1566	18	2	vs PIT(1480) L 10-17: -5→1611
3	10	vs IND(1501) L 19-22: -5→1515	11	1	vs CIN(1515) W 34-20: +13→1579	W	2	(bye)
4	4	at CLE(1535) W 28-3: +24→1539	12	2	at LAC(1519) W 20-10: +10→1589	D	1	vs HOU(1502) W 34-10: +2→1613
5	6	at PIT(1469) L 10-17: -12→1527	13	3	(bye)	C	1	vs KC(1547) L 10-17: -1→1612
6	6	at TEN(1491) W 24-16: +7→1534	14	3	vs LAR(1504) W 37-31: -2→1587	S	1
7	2	vs DET(1561) W 38-6: +23→1557	15	2	at JAX(1531) W 23-7: +11→1598
8	1	at ARI(1453) W 31-24: -1→1556	16	2	at SF(1620) W 33-19: +10→1608

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at NYJ(1500) L 16-22: -1→1499	9	9	at CIN(1511) L 18-24: -9→1531	17	4	vs NE(1441) W 27-21: +0→1559
2	3	vs LV(1506) W 38-10: +23→1522	10	9	vs DEN(1484) L 22-24: -7→1524	18	4	at MIA(1556) W 21-14: +4→1563
3	2	at WAS(1507) W 37-3: +23→1545	11	6	vs NYJ(1474) W 32-6: +18→1542	W	4	vs PIT(1486) W 31-17: +3→1566
4	1	vs MIA(1536) W 48-20: +20→1565	12	7	at PHI(1555) L 34-37: -0→1542	D	4	vs KC(1546) L 24-27: -1→1565
5	2	at JAX(1497) L 20-25: -10→1555	13	5	(bye)	C	4
6	3	vs NYG(1437) W 14-9: -5→1550	14	5	at KC(1538) W 20-17: +3→1545	S	4
7	5	at NE(1449) L 25-29: -11→1539	15	5	vs DAL(1602) W 31-10: +13→1558
8	6	vs TB(1495) W 24-18: +1→1540	16	5	at LAC(1485) W 24-22: +1→1559

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+63 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at ATL(1500) L 10-24: -16→1484	9	32	vs IND(1476) L 13-27: -14→1431	17	32	at JAX(1511) L 0-26: -7→1394
2	29	vs NO(1503) L 17-20: -4→1480	10	31	at CHI(1462) L 13-16: -1→1430	18	32	vs TB(1506) L 0-9: -3→1391
3	30	at SEA(1485) L 27-37: -11→1469	11	32	vs DAL(1557) L 10-33: -17→1413	W	32
4	30	vs MIN(1485) L 13-21: -11→1458	12	32	at TEN(1454) L 10-17: -5→1408	D	32
5	31	at DET(1534) L 24-42: -11→1447	13	32	at TB(1489) L 18-21: +1→1409	C	32
6	32	at MIA(1526) L 21-42: -12→1435	14	32	at NO(1487) L 6-28: -11→1398	S	32
7	32	(bye)	15	32	vs ATL(1486) W 9-7: +3→1401
8	32	vs HOU(1513) W 15-13: +10→1445	16	32	vs GB(1499) L 30-33: -0→1401

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs GB(1500) L 20-38: -21→1479	9	28	at NO(1506) L 17-24: -3→1462	17	19	vs ATL(1492) W 37-17: +9→1495
2	31	at TB(1505) L 17-27: -11→1468	10	28	vs CAR(1431) W 16-13: +1→1463	18	19	at GB(1509) L 9-17: -3→1492
3	32	at KC(1508) L 10-41: -19→1449	11	25	at DET(1547) L 26-31: -1→1462	W	19
4	32	vs DEN(1469) L 28-31: -3→1446	12	24	at MIN(1525) W 12-10: +7→1469	D	19
5	27	at WAS(1485) W 40-20: +23→1469	13	24	(bye)	C	19
6	27	vs MIN(1488) L 13-19: -7→1462	14	22	vs DET(1541) W 28-13: +12→1481	S	19
7	25	vs LV(1474) W 30-12: +18→1480	15	22	at CLE(1509) L 17-20: -0→1481
8	26	at LAC(1491) L 13-30: -15→1465	16	20	vs ARI(1433) W 27-16: +5→1486

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	at CLE(1500) L 3-24: -20→1480	9	13	vs BUF(1540) W 24-18: +10→1521	17	17	at KC(1536) L 17-25: -3→1498
2	30	vs BAL(1518) L 24-27: -3→1477	10	13	vs HOU(1504) L 27-30: -6→1515	18	15	vs CLE(1525) W 31-14: +6→1504
3	24	vs LAR(1510) W 19-16: +5→1482	11	14	at BAL(1566) L 20-34: -13→1502	W	15
4	29	at TEN(1479) L 3-27: -20→1462	12	18	vs PIT(1488) L 10-16: -8→1494	D	15
5	23	at ARI(1494) W 34-20: +20→1482	13	18	at JAX(1538) W 34-31: +4→1498	C	15
6	21	vs SEA(1516) W 17-13: +5→1487	14	12	vs IND(1499) W 34-14: +14→1512	S	15
7	22	(bye)	15	11	vs MIN(1520) W 27-24: +0→1512
8	13	at SF(1564) W 31-17: +24→1511	16	16	at PIT(1465) L 11-34: -11→1501

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs CIN(1500) W 24-3: +20→1520	9	8	vs ARI(1453) W 27-0: +12→1531	17	9	vs NYJ(1442) W 37-20: +7→1525
2	9	at PIT(1477) L 22-26: -5→1515	10	6	at BAL(1573) W 33-31: +7→1538	18	9	at CIN(1498) L 14-31: -7→1518
3	4	vs TEN(1498) W 27-3: +20→1535	11	7	vs PIT(1488) W 13-10: +0→1538	W	13	at HOU(1497) L 14-45: -5→1513
4	11	vs BAL(1515) L 3-28: -24→1511	12	10	at DEN(1494) L 12-29: -17→1521	D	13
5	11	(bye)	13	15	at LAR(1490) L 19-36: -14→1507	C	13
6	10	vs SF(1583) W 19-17: +8→1519	14	14	vs JAX(1533) W 31-27: +2→1509	S	13
7	10	at IND(1493) W 39-38: +2→1521	15	14	vs CHI(1481) W 20-17: +0→1509
8	12	at SEA(1517) L 20-24: -2→1519	16	9	at HOU(1496) W 36-22: +9→1518

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-56 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at NYG(1500) W 40-0: +25→1525	9	4	at PHI(1547) L 23-28: -3→1541	17	3	vs DET(1544) W 20-19: +0→1587
2	1	vs NYJ(1501) W 30-10: +18→1543	10	3	vs NYG(1435) W 49-17: +16→1557	18	3	at WAS(1408) W 38-10: +6→1593
3	7	at ARI(1491) L 16-28: -17→1526	11	3	at CAR(1430) W 33-10: +17→1574	W	3	vs GB(1512) L 32-48: -6→1587
4	3	vs NE(1490) W 38-3: +19→1545	12	3	vs WAS(1448) W 45-10: +15→1589	D	3
5	8	at SF(1564) L 10-42: -19→1526	13	2	vs SEA(1485) W 41-35: +1→1590	C	3
6	8	at LAC(1504) W 20-17: +3→1529	14	2	vs PHI(1539) W 33-13: +12→1602	S	3
7	8	(bye)	15	3	at BUF(1545) L 10-31: -13→1589
8	3	vs LAR(1501) W 43-20: +15→1544	16	3	at MIA(1563) L 20-22: -2→1587

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs LV(1500) L 16-17: -6→1494	9	22	(bye)	17	14	vs LAC(1484) W 16-9: +3→1508
2	21	vs WAS(1502) L 33-35: -4→1490	10	20	at BUF(1531) W 24-22: +6→1490	18	16	at LV(1472) L 14-27: -5→1503
3	29	at MIA(1515) L 20-70: -21→1469	11	19	vs MIN(1529) W 21-20: +4→1494	W	16
4	25	at CHI(1449) W 31-28: +4→1473	12	12	vs CLE(1538) W 29-12: +17→1511	D	16
5	29	vs NYJ(1475) L 21-31: -14→1459	13	14	at HOU(1508) L 17-22: -3→1508	C	16
6	29	at KC(1535) L 8-19: -6→1453	14	10	at LAC(1514) W 24-7: +14→1522	S	16
7	28	vs GB(1498) W 19-17: +6→1459	15	13	at DET(1528) L 17-42: -12→1510
8	22	vs KC(1552) W 24-9: +25→1484	16	14	vs NE(1437) L 23-26: -5→1505

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at KC(1500) W 21-20: +6→1506	9	3	(bye)	17	6	at DAL(1587) L 19-20: -1→1543
2	17	vs SEA(1479) L 31-37: -6→1500	10	5	at LAC(1526) W 41-38: +4→1547	18	6	vs MIN(1505) W 30-20: +4→1547
3	9	vs ATL(1519) W 20-6: +17→1517	11	5	vs CHI(1463) W 31-26: +1→1548	W	6	vs LAR(1518) W 24-23: +0→1547
4	5	at GB(1520) W 34-20: +17→1534	12	9	vs GB(1495) L 22-29: -11→1537	D	5	vs TB(1514) W 31-23: +2→1549
5	3	vs CAR(1458) W 42-24: +12→1546	13	6	at NO(1490) W 33-28: +4→1541	C	5	at SF(1612) L 31-34: +0→1549
6	2	at TB(1518) W 20-6: +15→1561	14	9	at CHI(1469) L 13-28: -13→1528	S	5
7	6	at BAL(1534) L 6-38: -23→1538	15	7	vs DEN(1522) W 42-17: +12→1540
8	4	vs LV(1456) W 26-14: +5→1543	16	6	at MIN(1519) W 30-24: +4→1544

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at CHI(1500) W 38-20: +21→1521	9	17	vs LAR(1485) W 20-3: +18→1493	17	12	at MIN(1515) W 33-10: +10→1509
2	6	at ATL(1516) L 24-25: -3→1518	10	18	at PIT(1486) L 19-23: -2→1491	18	13	vs CHI(1495) W 17-9: +3→1512
3	8	vs NO(1507) W 18-17: +2→1520	11	18	vs LAC(1522) W 23-20: +4→1495	W	8	at DAL(1593) W 48-32: +6→1518
4	16	vs DET(1517) L 20-34: -18→1502	12	15	at DET(1548) W 29-22: +10→1505	D	8	at SF(1613) L 21-24: +0→1518
5	18	at LV(1470) L 13-17: -4→1498	13	12	vs KC(1547) W 27-19: +9→1514	C	8
6	18	(bye)	14	13	at NYG(1439) L 22-24: -4→1510	S	8
7	19	at DEN(1453) L 17-19: -7→1491	15	17	vs TB(1491) L 20-34: -11→1499
8	25	vs MIN(1506) L 10-24: -16→1475	16	17	at CAR(1401) W 33-30: +0→1499

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at BAL(1500) L 9-25: -18→1482	9	15	vs TB(1494) W 39-37: +1→1504	17	18	vs TEN(1461) W 26-3: +8→1495
2	32	vs IND(1485) L 20-31: -16→1466	10	14	at CIN(1521) W 30-27: +6→1510	18	18	at IND(1487) W 23-19: +2→1497
3	19	at JAX(1502) W 37-17: +24→1490	11	13	vs ARI(1445) W 21-16: +1→1511	W	17	vs CLE(1518) W 45-14: +5→1502
4	13	vs PIT(1488) W 30-6: +20→1510	12	14	vs JAX(1534) L 21-24: -3→1508	D	18	at BAL(1611) L 10-34: -2→1500
5	15	at ATL(1483) L 19-21: -5→1505	13	13	vs DEN(1511) W 22-17: +3→1511	C	18
6	12	vs NO(1507) W 20-13: +8→1513	14	18	at NYJ(1436) L 6-30: -16→1495	S	18
7	12	(bye)	15	19	at TEN(1464) W 19-16: +1→1496
8	16	at CAR(1435) L 13-15: -10→1503	16	19	vs CLE(1509) L 22-36: -9→1487

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs JAX(1500) L 21-31: -15→1485	9	19	at CAR(1445) W 27-13: +13→1489	17	20	vs LV(1473) W 23-20: +1→1487
2	16	at HOU(1482) W 31-20: +16→1501	10	19	at NE(1448) W 10-6: +2→1491	18	21	vs HOU(1495) L 19-23: -1→1486
3	12	at BAL(1520) W 22-19: +5→1506	11	20	(bye)	W	20
4	15	vs LAR(1506) L 23-29: -4→1502	12	16	vs TB(1495) W 27-20: +6→1497	D	20
5	12	vs TEN(1498) W 23-16: +7→1509	13	17	at TEN(1459) W 31-28: +2→1499	C	20
6	20	at JAX(1507) L 20-37: -16→1493	14	21	at CIN(1498) L 14-34: -13→1486	S	20
7	21	vs CLE(1519) L 38-39: -3→1490	15	18	vs PIT(1475) W 30-13: +10→1496
8	24	vs NO(1492) L 27-38: -14→1476	16	21	at ATL(1482) L 10-29: -10→1486

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at IND(1500) W 31-21: +15→1515	9	5	(bye)	17	10	vs CAR(1401) W 26-0: +7→1518
2	15	vs KC(1494) L 9-17: -13→1502	10	12	vs SF(1540) L 3-34: -23→1518	18	12	at TEN(1452) L 20-28: -4→1514
3	26	vs HOU(1466) L 17-37: -24→1478	11	8	vs TEN(1470) W 34-14: +16→1534	W	11
4	18	at ATL(1502) W 23-7: +19→1497	12	8	at HOU(1511) W 24-21: +4→1538	D	11
5	13	at BUF(1565) W 25-20: +10→1507	13	9	vs CIN(1494) L 31-34: -5→1533	C	11
6	9	vs IND(1509) W 37-20: +17→1524	14	7	at CLE(1507) L 27-31: -2→1531	S	11
7	7	at NO(1499) W 31-24: +7→1531	15	9	vs BAL(1587) L 7-23: -10→1521
8	5	at PIT(1494) W 20-10: +10→1541	16	13	at TB(1502) L 12-30: -10→1511

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs DET(1500) L 20-21: -6→1494	9	7	at MIA(1531) W 21-14: +9→1537	17	7	vs CIN(1501) W 25-17: +4→1540
2	12	at JAX(1515) W 17-9: +14→1508	10	7	(bye)	18	7	at LAC(1481) W 13-12: +1→1541
3	6	vs CHI(1468) W 41-10: +19→1527	11	9	vs PHI(1551) L 17-21: -4→1533	W	7	vs MIA(1553) W 26-7: +5→1546
4	7	at NYJ(1476) W 23-20: +1→1528	12	5	at LV(1468) W 31-17: +14→1547	D	7	at BUF(1566) W 27-24: +1→1547
5	5	at MIN(1495) W 27-20: +7→1535	13	8	at GB(1505) L 19-27: -9→1538	C	7	at BAL(1613) W 17-10: +1→1548
6	4	vs DEN(1459) W 19-8: +7→1542	14	6	vs BUF(1542) L 17-20: -3→1535	S	7	at SF(1612) W 25-22: -0→1548
7	3	vs LAC(1501) W 31-17: +10→1552	15	6	at NE(1444) W 27-17: +7→1542
8	9	at DEN(1459) L 9-24: -24→1528	16	7	vs LV(1467) L 14-20: -6→1536

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+27 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at DEN(1500) W 17-16: +6→1506	9	25	vs NYG(1455) W 30-6: +20→1471	17	25	at IND(1486) L 20-23: -1→1472
2	26	at BUF(1499) L 10-38: -23→1483	10	24	vs NYJ(1476) W 16-12: +2→1473	18	24	vs DEN(1508) W 27-14: +6→1478
3	28	vs PIT(1481) L 18-23: -7→1476	11	24	at MIA(1522) L 13-20: -5→1468	W	24
4	27	at LAC(1499) L 17-24: -6→1470	12	26	vs KC(1533) L 17-31: -14→1454	D	24
5	26	vs GB(1502) W 17-13: +4→1474	13	26	(bye)	C	24
6	26	vs NE(1449) W 21-17: +0→1474	14	26	vs MIN(1518) L 0-3: -2→1452	S	24
7	29	at CHI(1462) L 12-30: -18→1456	15	24	vs LAC(1500) W 63-21: +15→1467
8	30	at DET(1538) L 14-26: -5→1451	16	25	at KC(1542) W 20-14: +6→1473

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs MIA(1500) L 34-36: -5→1495	9	10	at NYJ(1495) W 27-6: +20→1526	17	22	at DEN(1505) L 9-16: -3→1481
2	19	at TEN(1497) L 24-27: -1→1494	10	11	vs DET(1543) L 38-41: -4→1522	18	22	vs KC(1540) L 12-13: -1→1480
3	16	at MIN(1489) W 28-24: +5→1499	11	12	at GB(1491) L 20-23: -3→1519	W	22
4	14	vs LV(1476) W 24-17: +5→1504	12	13	vs BAL(1579) L 10-20: -10→1509	D	22
5	16	(bye)	13	11	at NE(1444) W 6-0: +5→1514	C	22
6	15	vs DAL(1526) L 17-20: -3→1501	14	16	vs DEN(1508) L 7-24: -14→1500	S	22
7	20	at KC(1542) L 17-31: -10→1491	15	20	at LV(1452) L 21-63: -15→1485
8	14	vs CHI(1480) W 30-13: +15→1506	16	22	vs BUF(1558) L 22-24: -1→1484

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at SEA(1500) W 30-13: +21→1521	9	26	at GB(1475) L 3-20: -17→1468	17	11	at NYG(1430) W 26-25: +1→1515
2	11	vs SF(1523) L 23-30: -11→1510	10	26	(bye)	18	8	at SF(1616) W 21-20: +3→1518
3	13	at CIN(1477) L 16-19: -4→1506	11	23	vs SEA(1504) W 17-16: +3→1471	W	9	at DET(1547) L 23-24: -0→1518
4	12	at IND(1506) W 29-23: +4→1510	12	20	at ARI(1443) W 37-14: +19→1490	D	9
5	17	vs PHI(1529) L 14-23: -12→1498	13	16	vs CLE(1521) W 36-19: +14→1504	C	9
6	11	vs ARI(1474) W 26-9: +15→1513	14	15	at BAL(1589) L 31-37: +2→1506	S	9
7	14	vs PIT(1481) L 17-24: -12→1501	15	12	vs WAS(1418) W 28-20: +4→1510
8	20	at DAL(1529) L 20-43: -16→1485	16	11	vs NO(1507) W 30-22: +4→1514

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at LAC(1500) W 36-34: +5→1505	9	11	at KC(1528) L 14-21: -9→1522	17	5	at BAL(1608) L 19-56: -9→1556
2	8	at NE(1493) W 24-17: +10→1515	10	10	(bye)	18	5	vs BUF(1559) L 14-21: -3→1553
3	3	vs DEN(1490) W 70-20: +21→1536	11	10	vs LV(1473) W 20-13: +5→1527	W	5	at KC(1541) L 7-26: -5→1548
4	9	at BUF(1545) L 20-48: -20→1516	12	6	at NYJ(1456) W 34-13: +17→1544	D	6
5	7	vs NYG(1447) W 31-16: +10→1526	13	4	at WAS(1433) W 45-15: +15→1559	C	6
6	5	vs CAR(1447) W 42-21: +12→1538	14	4	vs TEN(1458) L 27-28: -6→1553	S	6
7	9	at PHI(1530) L 17-31: -15→1523	15	4	vs NYJ(1452) W 30-0: +10→1563
8	8	vs NE(1460) W 31-17: +8→1531	16	4	vs DAL(1589) W 22-20: +2→1565

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs TB(1500) L 17-20: -5→1495	9	12	at ATL(1478) W 31-28: -1→1521	17	16	vs GB(1499) L 10-33: -10→1505
2	22	at PHI(1507) L 28-34: -6→1489	10	8	vs NO(1508) W 27-19: +8→1529	18	17	at DET(1543) L 20-30: -3→1502
3	22	vs LAC(1494) L 24-28: -4→1485	11	11	at DEN(1490) L 20-21: -4→1525	W	18
4	19	at CAR(1469) W 21-13: +10→1495	12	11	vs CHI(1462) L 10-12: -7→1518	D	17
5	21	vs KC(1528) L 20-27: -7→1488	13	10	(bye)	C	17
6	19	at CHI(1469) W 19-13: +7→1495	14	11	at LV(1454) W 3-0: +2→1520	S	17
7	13	vs SF(1575) W 22-17: +11→1506	15	10	at CIN(1512) L 24-27: -1→1519
8	10	at GB(1491) W 24-10: +16→1522	16	10	vs DET(1540) L 24-30: -4→1515

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs PHI(1500) L 20-25: -7→1493	9	29	vs WAS(1463) L 17-20: -3→1448	17	27	at BUF(1559) L 21-27: -0→1441
2	24	vs MIA(1505) L 17-24: -10→1483	10	29	at IND(1489) L 6-10: -2→1446	18	29	vs NYJ(1436) L 3-17: -7→1434
3	20	at NYJ(1483) W 15-10: +7→1490	11	29	(bye)	W	29
4	26	at DAL(1526) L 3-38: -19→1471	12	27	at NYG(1436) L 7-10: -2→1444	D	29
5	30	vs NO(1485) L 0-34: -22→1449	13	28	vs LAC(1509) L 0-6: -5→1439	C	29
6	30	at LV(1474) L 17-21: -0→1449	14	28	at PIT(1480) W 21-18: +5→1444	S	29
7	27	vs BUF(1550) W 29-25: +11→1460	15	28	vs KC(1535) L 17-27: -7→1437
8	31	at MIA(1523) L 17-31: -9→1451	16	28	at DEN(1510) W 26-23: +4→1441

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs TEN(1500) W 16-15: +3→1503	9	14	vs CHI(1465) W 24-17: +2→1508	17	13	at TB(1512) W 23-13: +6→1509
2	14	at CAR(1484) W 20-17: +4→1507	10	17	at MIN(1521) L 19-27: -8→1500	18	11	vs ATL(1484) W 48-17: +7→1516
3	14	at GB(1518) L 17-18: -2→1505	11	16	(bye)	W	10
4	22	vs TB(1498) L 9-26: -20→1485	12	19	at ATL(1475) L 15-24: -10→1490	D	10
5	14	at NE(1471) W 34-0: +22→1507	13	21	vs DET(1537) L 28-33: -3→1487	C	10
6	16	at HOU(1505) L 13-20: -8→1499	14	17	vs CAR(1409) W 28-6: +11→1498	S	10
7	18	vs JAX(1524) L 24-31: -7→1492	15	15	vs NYG(1442) W 24-6: +9→1507
8	15	at IND(1490) W 38-27: +14→1506	16	15	at LAR(1510) L 22-30: -4→1503

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs DAL(1500) L 0-40: -25→1475	9	31	at LV(1451) L 6-30: -20→1435	17	30	vs LAR(1514) L 25-26: -1→1429
2	28	at ARI(1498) W 31-28: +6→1481	10	32	at DAL(1541) L 17-49: -16→1419	18	28	vs PHI(1525) W 27-10: +8→1437
3	31	at SF(1534) L 12-30: -15→1466	11	31	at WAS(1465) W 31-19: +17→1436	W	28
4	31	vs SEA(1496) L 3-24: -19→1447	12	29	vs NE(1446) W 10-7: +3→1439	D	28
5	32	at MIA(1516) L 16-31: -10→1437	13	29	(bye)	C	28
6	31	at BUF(1555) L 9-14: +5→1442	14	29	vs GB(1514) W 24-22: +3→1442	S	28
7	31	vs WAS(1475) W 14-7: +10→1452	15	30	at NO(1498) L 6-24: -9→1433
8	28	vs NYJ(1498) L 10-13: +3→1455	16	29	at PHI(1525) L 25-33: -3→1430

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs BUF(1500) W 22-16: +1→1501	9	24	vs LAC(1506) L 6-27: -19→1476	17	28	at CLE(1518) L 20-37: -6→1436
2	25	at DAL(1525) L 10-30: -18→1483	10	23	at LV(1471) L 12-16: -2→1474	18	27	at NE(1441) W 17-3: +6→1442
3	27	vs NE(1483) L 10-15: -7→1476	11	26	at BUF(1524) L 6-32: -18→1456	W	27
4	24	vs KC(1527) L 20-23: -1→1475	12	28	vs MIA(1527) L 13-34: -16→1440	D	27
5	20	at DEN(1473) W 31-21: +13→1488	13	30	vs ATL(1485) L 8-13: -4→1436	C	27
6	17	vs PHI(1540) W 20-14: +10→1498	14	27	vs HOU(1511) W 30-6: +16→1452	S	27
7	15	(bye)	15	27	at MIA(1553) L 0-30: -11→1441
8	17	vs NYG(1452) W 13-10: -3→1495	16	27	vs WAS(1415) W 30-28: +1→1442

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at NE(1500) W 25-20: +7→1507	9	2	vs DAL(1544) W 28-23: +4→1551	17	8	vs ARI(1428) L 31-35: -3→1525
2	10	vs MIN(1495) W 34-28: +5→1512	10	4	(bye)	18	10	at NYG(1429) L 10-27: -8→1517
3	5	at TB(1516) W 25-11: +19→1531	11	4	at KC(1537) W 21-17: +4→1555	W	14	at TB(1509) L 9-32: -5→1512
4	6	vs WAS(1483) W 34-31: -2→1529	12	4	vs BUF(1542) W 37-34: +0→1555	D	14
5	4	at LAR(1510) W 23-14: +11→1540	13	7	vs SF(1590) L 19-42: -16→1539	C	14
6	7	at NYJ(1488) L 14-20: -10→1530	14	8	at DAL(1590) L 13-33: -11→1528	S	14
7	4	vs MIA(1538) W 31-17: +16→1546	15	8	at SEA(1477) L 17-20: -3→1525
8	2	at WAS(1465) W 38-31: +1→1547	16	8	vs NYG(1433) W 33-25: +3→1528

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs SF(1500) L 7-30: -23→1477	9	20	vs TEN(1487) W 20-16: +2→1486	17	23	at SEA(1482) W 30-23: +4→1480
2	27	vs CLE(1520) W 26-22: +4→1481	10	21	vs GB(1493) W 23-19: +2→1488	18	20	at BAL(1616) W 17-10: +6→1486
3	21	at LV(1483) W 23-18: +7→1488	11	21	at CLE(1538) L 10-13: -0→1488	W	21	at BUF(1563) L 17-31: -3→1483
4	28	at HOU(1490) L 6-30: -19→1469	12	17	at CIN(1502) W 16-10: +8→1496	D	21
5	24	vs BAL(1539) W 17-10: +12→1481	13	23	vs ARI(1425) L 10-24: -16→1480	C	21
6	23	(bye)	14	24	vs NE(1439) L 18-21: -5→1475	S	21
7	17	at LAR(1513) W 24-17: +13→1494	15	25	at IND(1486) L 13-30: -10→1465
8	21	vs JAX(1531) L 10-20: -10→1484	16	24	vs CIN(1512) W 34-11: +11→1476

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-66 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at PIT(1500) W 30-7: +23→1523	9	6	(bye)	17	2	at WAS(1414) W 27-10: +6→1616
2	2	at LAR(1521) W 30-23: +11→1534	10	2	at JAX(1541) W 34-3: +23→1563	18	1	vs LAR(1515) L 20-21: -3→1613
3	1	vs NYG(1481) W 30-12: +15→1549	11	2	vs TB(1507) W 27-14: +12→1575	W	1	(bye)
4	2	vs ARI(1509) W 35-16: +15→1564	12	1	at SEA(1501) W 31-13: +15→1590	D	2	vs GB(1518) W 24-21: -1→1612
5	1	vs DAL(1545) W 42-10: +19→1583	13	1	at PHI(1555) W 42-19: +16→1606	C	2	vs DET(1549) W 34-31: -0→1612
6	1	at CLE(1511) L 17-19: -8→1575	14	1	vs SEA(1484) W 28-16: +6→1612	S	2	at KC(1548) L 22-25: +0→1612
7	1	at MIN(1495) L 17-22: -11→1564	15	1	at ARI(1441) W 45-29: +8→1620
8	7	vs CIN(1487) L 17-31: -24→1540	16	1	vs BAL(1598) L 19-33: -10→1610

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs LAR(1500) L 13-30: -21→1479	9	16	at BAL(1556) L 3-37: -16→1504	17	24	vs PIT(1476) L 23-30: -4→1478
2	23	at DET(1506) W 37-31: +6→1485	10	16	vs WAS(1466) W 29-26: +0→1504	18	23	at ARI(1431) W 21-20: +1→1479
3	18	vs CAR(1480) W 37-27: +11→1496	11	15	at LAR(1468) L 16-17: -3→1501	W	23
4	10	at NYG(1466) W 24-3: +20→1516	12	22	vs SF(1575) L 13-31: -16→1485	D	23
5	10	(bye)	13	22	at DAL(1589) L 35-41: -1→1484	C	23
6	13	at CIN(1482) L 13-17: -5→1511	14	23	at SF(1606) L 16-28: -7→1477	S	23
7	11	vs ARI(1460) W 20-10: +6→1517	15	23	vs PHI(1528) W 20-17: +3→1480
8	11	vs CLE(1521) W 24-20: +3→1520	16	23	at TEN(1463) W 20-17: +2→1482

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at MIN(1500) W 20-17: +5→1505	9	18	at HOU(1503) L 37-39: -2→1492	17	15	vs NO(1503) L 13-23: -6→1506
2	7	vs CHI(1479) W 27-17: +11→1516	10	15	vs TEN(1485) W 20-6: +15→1507	18	14	at CAR(1394) W 9-0: +3→1509
3	17	vs PHI(1512) L 11-25: -18→1498	11	17	at SF(1563) L 14-27: -12→1495	W	12	vs PHI(1517) W 32-9: +5→1514
4	8	at NO(1505) W 26-9: +20→1518	12	21	at IND(1491) L 20-27: -6→1489	D	12	at DET(1547) L 23-31: -1→1513
5	9	(bye)	13	20	vs CAR(1408) W 21-18: -1→1488	C	12
6	14	vs DET(1546) L 6-20: -16→1502	14	19	at ATL(1489) W 29-25: +3→1491	S	12
7	16	vs ATL(1475) L 13-16: -7→1495	15	16	at GB(1510) W 34-20: +11→1502
8	18	at BUF(1539) L 18-24: -1→1494	16	12	vs JAX(1521) W 30-12: +10→1512

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at NO(1500) L 15-16: -3→1497	9	21	at PIT(1484) L 16-20: -2→1485	17	26	at HOU(1487) L 3-26: -9→1452
2	18	vs LAC(1495) W 27-24: +1→1498	10	25	at TB(1492) L 6-20: -15→1470	18	26	vs JAX(1518) W 28-20: +5→1457
3	25	at CLE(1515) L 3-27: -19→1479	11	27	at JAX(1518) L 14-34: -16→1454	W	26
4	17	vs CIN(1482) W 27-3: +19→1498	12	25	vs CAR(1413) W 17-10: +5→1459	D	26
5	19	at IND(1502) L 16-23: -7→1491	13	25	vs IND(1497) L 28-31: -1→1458	C	26
6	22	at BAL(1527) L 16-24: -7→1484	14	25	at MIA(1559) W 28-27: +6→1464	S	26
7	23	(bye)	15	26	vs HOU(1495) L 16-19: -1→1463
8	19	vs ATL(1482) W 28-23: +3→1487	16	26	vs SEA(1480) L 17-20: -2→1461

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+47 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs ARI(1500) W 20-16: +2→1502	9	27	at NE(1451) W 20-17: +3→1466	17	31	vs SF(1610) L 10-27: -6→1408
2	13	at DEN(1494) W 35-33: +5→1507	10	27	at SEA(1504) L 26-29: -1→1465	18	31	vs DAL(1587) L 10-38: -5→1403
3	23	vs BUF(1522) L 3-37: -24→1483	11	28	vs NYG(1419) L 19-31: -17→1448	W	31
4	21	at PHI(1531) L 31-34: +2→1485	12	30	at DAL(1574) L 10-45: -15→1433	D	31
5	28	vs CHI(1446) L 20-40: -23→1462	13	31	vs MIA(1544) L 15-45: -15→1418	C	31
6	24	at ATL(1487) W 24-16: +13→1475	14	31	(bye)	S	31
7	26	at NYG(1442) L 7-14: -10→1465	15	31	at LAR(1506) L 20-28: -3→1415
8	27	vs PHI(1546) L 31-38: -2→1463	16	31	at NYJ(1441) L 28-30: -1→1414

↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 5 games (weeks 16-20) Green Bay Packers: +20 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 18-21) Detroit Lions: +5 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +13 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) New York Giants: +7 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Cincinnati Bengals: +6 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 8 games (weeks 10-18) Washington Commanders: -63 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 14-18) Los Angeles Chargers: -34 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Minnesota Vikings: -18 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: -17 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -16 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 136-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1616) 6-point favorites vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1480): Steelers win 17-10
2. Week 14, 101-Elo upset: Miami Dolphins (1559) 5-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1458): Titans win 28-27
3. Week 18, 101-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1616) 5-point favorites vs Los Angeles Rams (1515): Rams win 21-20
4. Week 17, 100-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1528) 5-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1428): Cardinals win 35-31
5. Week 7, 101-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1550) 6-point favorites at New England Patriots (1449): Patriots win 29-25
6. Week 18, 96-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1525) Tossup favorites at New York Giants (1429): Giants win 27-10
7. Week 8, 93-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1552) 7-point favorites at Denver Broncos (1459): Broncos win 24-9
8. Week 15, 88-Elo upset: Atlanta Falcons (1486) Tossup favorites at Carolina Panthers (1398): Panthers win 9-7
9. Week W, 81-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1593) 5-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1512): Packers win 48-32
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 8, 22-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1552) 7-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1459): Broncos win 24-9
2. Week 8, 21-point differential: San Francisco 49ers (1564) 7-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1487): Bengals win 31-17
3. Week 5, 24-point differential: Washington Commanders (1485) 4-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1446): Bears win 40-20
4. Week 1, 40-point differential: New York Giants (1500) Tossup favorites vs Dallas Cowboys (1500): Cowboys win 40-0
5. Week 4, 25-point differential: Cleveland Browns (1535) Tossup favorites vs Baltimore Ravens (1515): Ravens win 28-3
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +112: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 21
2. +112: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 22
3. +87: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 19
4. +65: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
5. +49: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 21
more...
1. +48: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 19
2. +48: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 22
3. +18: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
4. +18: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
5. +16: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
6. +14: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 18
7. +13: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 20
8. +13: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
9. +12: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
10. +4: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
11. +3: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
12. +2: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
13. +0: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 20
14. -8: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
15. -14: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
16. -17: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
17. -20: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
18. -21: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 18
19. -22: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
20. -23: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
21. -43: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
22. -58: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
23. -63: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
24. -66: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 18
25. -70: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1430) thru week 18
26. -97: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1403) thru week 18
27. -109: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1391) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -109: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1391) thru week 18
2. -97: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1403) thru week 18
3. -70: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1430) thru week 18
4. -66: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 18
5. -63: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
more...
1. -58: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
2. -43: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
3. -23: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
4. -22: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
5. -21: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1479) thru week 18
6. -20: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
7. -17: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 19
8. -14: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
9. -8: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
10. -0: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 20
11. +2: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
12. +3: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
13. +4: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
14. +12: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 19
15. +13: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
16. +13: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 20
17. +14: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 18
18. +16: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
19. +18: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
20. +18: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
21. +48: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 22
22. +48: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 19
23. +49: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 21
24. +65: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
25. +87: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1587) thru week 19
26. +112: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 22
27. +112: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1612) thru week 21
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +83: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 5
2. +73: Dallas Cowboys (1529) before week 7 → (1602) thru week 14
3. +69: Denver Broncos (1453) before week 7 → (1522) thru week 14
4. +66: Buffalo Bills (1499) before week 2 → (1565) thru week 4
5. +64: Baltimore Ravens (1515) before week 4 → (1579) thru week 11
more...
1. +63: Jacksonville Jaguars (1478) before week 4 → (1541) thru week 8
2. +61: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 3 → (1561) thru week 6
3. +58: Cincinnati Bengals (1462) before week 5 → (1521) thru week 9
4. +58: Kansas City Chiefs (1494) before week 2 → (1552) thru week 7
5. +47: Los Angeles Rams (1471) before week 12 → (1518) thru week 18
6. +47: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 8
7. +46: Houston Texans (1466) before week 3 → (1513) thru week 6
8. +45: Minnesota Vikings (1485) before week 4 → (1529) thru week 10
9. +43: Miami Dolphins (1522) before week 10 → (1565) thru week 16
10. +41: Seattle Seahawks (1479) before week 2 → (1520) thru week 8
11. +38: Green Bay Packers (1475) before week 9 → (1514) thru week 13
12. +35: Los Angeles Chargers (1491) before week 8 → (1526) thru week 9
13. +35: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 3
14. +34: Chicago Bears (1446) before week 5 → (1480) thru week 7
15. +29: New Orleans Saints (1487) before week 14 → (1516) thru week 18
16. +27: Pittsburgh Steelers (1469) before week 5 → (1496) thru week 12
17. +26: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1488) before week 14 → (1514) thru week 19
18. +25: Las Vegas Raiders (1452) before week 15 → (1478) thru week 18
19. +24: New York Giants (1419) before week 11 → (1442) thru week 14
20. +24: Indianapolis Colts (1485) before week 2 → (1509) thru week 5
21. +23: New York Jets (1475) before week 5 → (1498) thru week 6
22. +19: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 2
23. +12: Tennessee Titans (1479) before week 4 → (1491) thru week 5
24. +11: Arizona Cardinals (1498) before week 2 → (1509) thru week 3
25. +10: New England Patriots (1449) before week 6 → (1460) thru week 7
26. +7: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 2
27. +3: Carolina Panthers (1398) before week 15 → (1401) thru week 16
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -69: Arizona Cardinals (1494) before week 5 → (1425) thru week 12
2. -65: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1435) thru week 6
3. -63: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 5
4. -62: New York Jets (1498) before week 7 → (1436) thru week 13
5. -62: Washington Commanders (1465) before week 11 → (1403) thru week 18
more...
1. -54: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1446) thru week 4
2. -54: Las Vegas Raiders (1506) before week 2 → (1451) thru week 8
3. -53: Los Angeles Rams (1521) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 9
4. -51: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1449) thru week 5
5. -47: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1453) thru week 6
6. -46: Green Bay Packers (1521) before week 2 → (1475) thru week 8
7. -45: Atlanta Falcons (1519) before week 3 → (1475) thru week 6
8. -45: Los Angeles Chargers (1526) before week 10 → (1481) thru week 17
9. -44: Tennessee Titans (1498) before week 5 → (1454) thru week 11
10. -43: San Francisco 49ers (1583) before week 6 → (1540) thru week 8
11. -43: Philadelphia Eagles (1555) before week 13 → (1512) thru week 19
12. -42: Seattle Seahawks (1520) before week 9 → (1477) thru week 14
13. -40: Buffalo Bills (1565) before week 5 → (1524) thru week 10
14. -38: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 4
15. -37: Jacksonville Jaguars (1515) before week 2 → (1478) thru week 3
16. -34: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 2
17. -34: Indianapolis Colts (1509) before week 6 → (1476) thru week 8
18. -33: Detroit Lions (1561) before week 7 → (1528) thru week 14
19. -31: Cleveland Browns (1538) before week 12 → (1507) thru week 13
20. -31: Pittsburgh Steelers (1496) before week 13 → (1465) thru week 15
21. -29: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1518) before week 5 → (1489) thru week 12
22. -27: Minnesota Vikings (1529) before week 11 → (1502) thru week 18
23. -22: New Orleans Saints (1507) before week 3 → (1485) thru week 4
24. -19: Kansas City Chiefs (1552) before week 8 → (1533) thru week 11
25. -18: Dallas Cowboys (1543) before week 3 → (1526) thru week 5
26. -17: Miami Dolphins (1565) before week 17 → (1548) thru week 19
27. -5: Baltimore Ravens (1539) before week 5 → (1534) thru week 6
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1515
3. Arizona Cardinals: 1510
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1507
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1506
2. Buffalo Bills: 1504
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1504
4. Denver Broncos: 1504
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
6. Detroit Lions: 1503
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
8. New York Giants: 1503
9. Cleveland Browns: 1502
10. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
14. Carolina Panthers: 1498
15. Las Vegas Raiders: 1498
16. Miami Dolphins: 1498
17. New England Patriots: 1498
18. New York Jets: 1497
19. Tennessee Titans: 1497
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
21. Chicago Bears: 1495
22. Green Bay Packers: 1494
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1492
24. New Orleans Saints: 1491
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
26. Houston Texans: 1486
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1485
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1485
2. Houston Texans: 1486
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1488
4. New Orleans Saints: 1491
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1492
more...
1. Green Bay Packers: 1494
2. Chicago Bears: 1495
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
4. Tennessee Titans: 1497
5. New York Jets: 1497
6. New England Patriots: 1498
7. Miami Dolphins: 1498
8. Las Vegas Raiders: 1498
9. Carolina Panthers: 1498
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
13. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
14. Cleveland Browns: 1502
15. New York Giants: 1503
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
17. Detroit Lions: 1503
18. Philadelphia Eagles: 1504
19. Denver Broncos: 1504
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1504
21. Buffalo Bills: 1504
22. Washington Commanders: 1506
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1507
25. Arizona Cardinals: 1510
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1515
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1523
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1523
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1515
4. Denver Broncos: 1512
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1512
more...
1. Buffalo Bills: 1507
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1506
3. New England Patriots: 1506
4. Cleveland Browns: 1504
5. Green Bay Packers: 1502
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1500
7. Detroit Lions: 1500
8. Carolina Panthers: 1499
9. Atlanta Falcons: 1496
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1495
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1492
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1492
13. Las Vegas Raiders: 1492
14. Tennessee Titans: 1491
15. Houston Texans: 1488
16. New York Giants: 1487
17. Kansas City Chiefs: 1485
18. Washington Commanders: 1483
19. Chicago Bears: 1483
20. Dallas Cowboys: 1482
21. Seattle Seahawks: 1480
22. Indianapolis Colts: 1477
23. Los Angeles Chargers: 1477
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1477
25. Miami Dolphins: 1476
26. New York Jets: 1476
27. New Orleans Saints: 1473
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New Orleans Saints: 1473
2. New York Jets: 1476
3. Miami Dolphins: 1476
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1477
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1477
more...
1. Indianapolis Colts: 1477
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1480
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1482
4. Chicago Bears: 1483
5. Washington Commanders: 1483
6. Kansas City Chiefs: 1485
7. New York Giants: 1487
8. Houston Texans: 1488
9. Tennessee Titans: 1491
10. Las Vegas Raiders: 1492
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1492
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1492
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1495
14. Atlanta Falcons: 1496
15. Carolina Panthers: 1499
16. Detroit Lions: 1500
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1500
18. Green Bay Packers: 1502
19. Cleveland Browns: 1504
20. New England Patriots: 1506
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1506
22. Buffalo Bills: 1507
23. Arizona Cardinals: 1512
24. Denver Broncos: 1512
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1515
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1523
27. Cincinnati Bengals: 1523

↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	13-19 (13/32, 40.62%)
3	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	20-28 (20/48, 41.67%)
4	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	30-34 (30/64, 46.88%)
5	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	36-42 (36/78, 46.15%)
6	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	46-47 (46/93, 49.46%)
7	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	52-54 (52/106, 49.06%)
8	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	64-58 (64/122, 52.46%)
9	12-2 (12/14, 85.71%)	76-60 (76/136, 55.88%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	85-65 (85/150, 56.67%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	96-68 (96/164, 58.54%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	106-74 (106/180, 58.89%)
13	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	117-76 (117/193, 60.62%)
14	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	124-84 (124/208, 59.62%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	135-89 (135/224, 60.27%)
16	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	144-96 (144/240, 60.0%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	156-100 (156/256, 60.94%)
18	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	163-109 (163/272, 59.93%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	168-110 (168/278, 60.43%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	171-111 (171/282, 60.64%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	172-112 (172/284, 60.56%)
S	0-1 (0/1, 0.0%)	172-113 (172/285, 60.35%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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