NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

This is the 2023-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory)..

All available 2023 season pages:

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2023 Summaries by Team
2023 Stats and Tidbits
2023 Model Accuracy

← 2022 Season NFL Elo Home 2024 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1575	14-5
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563 (+5)	15-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1555): W 25-22(OT): 1558+5→1563
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1550 (-5)	14-6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): L 22-25(OT): 1555-5→1550
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545	12-7
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539	12-6
6	Detroit LionsDET	1536	14-6
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1536	10-9
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528	9-8
9	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1519	10-9
10	Houston TexansHOU	1518	11-8
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	10-8
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511	11-7
13	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507	8-9
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	10-8
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-8
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502	9-8
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1498	7-10
18	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494	9-8
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	11-7
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1480	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	8-9
23	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	7-10
24	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1473	7-10
26	New York GiantsNYG	1470	6-11
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468	4-13
28	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
30	New England PatriotsNE	1457	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1435	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1575 (-18)	14-5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 10-17: 1593-18→1575
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (+17)	14-6	at SF (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): W 17-10: 1541+17→1558
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1555): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1555 (-3)	14-5	at KC (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): W 34-31: 1558-3→1555
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545	12-7
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539	12-6
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1536 (+3)	14-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): L 31-34: 1533+3→1536
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536	10-9
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528	9-8
9	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1519	10-9
10	Houston TexansHOU	1518	11-8
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	10-8
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511	11-7
13	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507	8-9
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	10-8
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-8
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502	9-8
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1498	7-10
18	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494	9-8
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	11-7
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1480	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	8-9
23	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	7-10
24	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1473	7-10
26	New York GiantsNYG	1470	6-11
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468	4-13
28	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
30	New England PatriotsNE	1457	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1435	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435	2-15
Favorites:
KC

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1593 (+4)	14-4	vs KC (1541): Win by 14
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1522): W 34-10: 1589+4→1593
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Win by 14 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1558 (-3)	13-5	vs DET (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): W 24-21: 1561-3→1558
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (-10)	12-7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1531): L 24-27: 1555-10→1545
4 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+10)	13-6	at BAL (1593): Lose by 14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): W 27-24: 1531+10→1541
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): Lose by 14 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539	12-6
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (+3)	10-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): L 21-24: 1533+3→1536
7	Detroit LionsDET	1533 (+2)	14-5	at SF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): W 31-23: 1531+2→1533
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): Slight underdog
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528	9-8
9 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1519 (-2)	10-9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1531): L 23-31: 1521-2→1519
10 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1518 (-4)	11-8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1589): L 10-34: 1522-4→1518
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	10-8
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511	11-7
13	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507	8-9
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	10-8
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-8
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502	9-8
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1498	7-10
18	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494	9-8
19	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492	11-7
20	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1480	11-7
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	8-9
23	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	7-10
24	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1473	7-10
26	New York GiantsNYG	1470	6-11
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468	4-13
28	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
30	New England PatriotsNE	1457	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1435	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435	2-15
Favorites:
BAL, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1589	13-4	vs HOU (1522): Win by 18
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1522): Win by 18 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1561	12-5	vs GB (1533): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Win by 8 points
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555	12-6	vs KC (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 31-17: 1555+0→1555
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1531): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539 (-22)	12-6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1511): L 32-48: 1561-22→1539
5 (+7)	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (+22)	10-8	at SF (1561): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1561): W 48-32: 1511+22→1533
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1561): Lose by 8 points
6 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1531 (+12)	12-6	at BUF (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): W 26-7: 1519+12→1531
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Slight underdog
7 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1531 (+3)	13-5	vs TB (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): W 24-23: 1528+3→1531
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528	9-8
9 (+8)	Houston TexansHOU	1522 (+20)	11-7	at BAL (1589): Lose by 18
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): W 45-14: 1502+20→1522
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1589): Lose by 18 points
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1521 (+10)	10-8	at DET (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1490): W 32-9: 1511+10→1521
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1531): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517 (-3)	10-8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): L 23-24: 1520-3→1517
12 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511 (-11)	11-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1519): L 7-26: 1522-11→1511
13	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507	8-9
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 17-31: 1505-0→1505
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503	9-8
16	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502	9-8
17 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1498	7-10
18 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494	9-8
19 (-9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492 (-20)	11-7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1502): L 14-45: 1512-20→1492
20 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483	9-8
21 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1480 (-10)	11-7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 9-32: 1490-10→1480
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1480	8-9
23	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	7-10
24	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	6-11
25	New York JetsNYJ	1473	7-10
26	New York GiantsNYG	1470	6-11
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468	4-13
28	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467	5-12
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
30	New England PatriotsNE	1457	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1435	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435	2-15
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, DET, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1589 (-9)	13-4	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): L 10-17: 1598-9→1589
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1561 (+9)	12-5	vs GB (1511): Win by 14
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1444): W 38-10: 1552+9→1561
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1511): Win by 14 points
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1561 (-7)	12-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): L 20-21: 1568-7→1561
next: (bye)
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (+7)	11-6	vs PIT (1505): Win by 13
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1528): W 21-14: 1548+7→1555
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Win by 13 points
5 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1528	12-5	vs LAR (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): W 30-20: 1528-0→1528
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): Slight favorite
6 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528 (+14)	9-8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): W 48-17: 1514+14→1528
7 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1522 (-6)	11-6	at KC (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1548): L 14-21: 1528-6→1522
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1519): Slight underdog
8 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1520 (+7)	10-7	at DET (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1568): W 21-20: 1513+7→1520
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1519 (+1)	11-6	vs MIA (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1469): W 13-12: 1518+1→1519
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (-6)	11-6	at HOU (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): L 14-31: 1518-6→1512
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1502): Slight underdog
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (+1)	9-8	vs PHI (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1436): W 9-0: 1510+1→1511
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1490): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1511 (+4)	9-8	at DAL (1561): Lose by 14
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1502): W 17-9: 1507+4→1511
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1561): Lose by 14 points
13 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507 (+5)	8-9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): W 27-14: 1502+5→1507
14 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+9)	10-7	at BUF (1555): Lose by 13
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1598): W 17-10: 1496+9→1505
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Lose by 13 points
15 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (+7)	9-8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1475): W 21-20: 1496+7→1503
16 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1502 (+5)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 31-14: 1497+5→1502
17 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1502 (+6)	10-7	vs CLE (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): W 23-19: 1496+6→1502
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1498 (-4)	7-10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1507): L 9-17: 1502-4→1498
19 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494 (-8)	9-8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1466): L 20-28: 1502-8→1494
20 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1490 (-16)	11-6	at TB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): L 10-27: 1506-16→1490
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight underdog
21	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-6)	9-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1496): L 19-23: 1489-6→1483
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1480 (-5)	8-9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1502): L 14-27: 1485-5→1480
23 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476	7-10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): L 20-30: 1476+0→1476
24 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (+8)	6-11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): W 28-20: 1466+8→1474
25 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1473 (+14)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1471): W 17-3: 1459+14→1473
26 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1470 (+16)	6-11
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): W 27-10: 1454+16→1470
27 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468 (-7)	4-13
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 20-21: 1475-7→1468
28 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1467 (-2)	5-12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): L 12-13: 1469-2→1467
29 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (-14)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): L 17-48: 1477-14→1463
30 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1457 (-14)	4-13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1459): L 3-17: 1471-14→1457
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1435 (-9)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): L 10-38: 1444-9→1435
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435 (-1)	2-15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 0-9: 1436-1→1435
Favorites:
BUF, DAL, DET, HOU, KC, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1598 (+16)	13-3	vs PIT (1496): Win by 19
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): W 56-19: 1582+16→1598
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Win by 19 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1568 (-4)	12-4	vs LAR (1513): Win by 11
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): W 27-10: 1572-4→1568
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): Win by 11 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (+1)	11-5	at WAS (1444): Win by 12
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1529): W 20-19: 1551+1→1552
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1444): Win by 12 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1548 (-7)	10-6	at MIA (1528): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1464): W 27-21: 1555-7→1548
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1528): Tossup
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1528 (-16)	11-5	vs BUF (1548): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): L 19-56: 1544-16→1528
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1548): Tossup
6	Detroit LionsDET	1528 (-1)	11-5	vs MIN (1476): Win by 11
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): L 19-20: 1529-1→1528
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): Win by 11 points
7 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1518 (+2)	10-6	at LAC (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): W 25-17: 1516+2→1518
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1469): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+2)	11-5	at CIN (1497): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1461): W 37-20: 1516+2→1518
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): Tossup
9 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1514 (+13)	8-8	vs ATL (1477): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): W 23-13: 1501+13→1514
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): Win by 8 points
10 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1513 (+1)	9-7	at SF (1568): Lose by 11
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 26-25: 1512+1→1513
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1568): Lose by 11 points
11 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (-12)	8-8	at CAR (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): L 13-23: 1522-12→1510
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1436): Slight favorite
12 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1507 (+19)	8-8	vs CHI (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 33-10: 1488+19→1507
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1502): Slight favorite
13 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (-15)	11-5	at NYG (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): L 31-35: 1521-15→1506
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1454): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1502 (-5)	7-9	vs DEN (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): L 20-23: 1507-5→1502
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502 (+8)	9-7	at TEN (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): W 26-0: 1494+8→1502
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1466): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1502 (+11)	7-9	at GB (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): W 37-17: 1491+11→1502
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1507): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1497 (-1)	8-8	vs CLE (1518): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1516): L 17-25: 1498-1→1497
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Tossup
18 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+12)	9-7	at BAL (1598): Lose by 19
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 30-23: 1484+12→1496
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1598): Lose by 19 points
19 (-7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (-12)	8-8	at ARI (1475): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): L 23-30: 1508-12→1496
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1475): Tossup
20 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (+13)	9-7	at IND (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): W 26-3: 1483+13→1496
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): Slight underdog
21	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (+4)	9-7	vs HOU (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): W 23-20: 1485+4→1489
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1485 (+2)	8-8	at LV (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): W 16-9: 1483+2→1485
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1502): Slight underdog
23 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (-11)	7-9	at NO (1514): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): L 17-37: 1488-11→1477
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): Lose by 8 points
24 (-8)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476 (-19)	7-9	at DET (1528): Lose by 11
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1488): L 10-33: 1495-19→1476
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1528): Lose by 11 points
25 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1475 (+15)	4-12	vs SEA (1496): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): W 35-31: 1460+15→1475
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Tossup
26 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1471 (+7)	4-12	vs NYJ (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 21-27: 1464+7→1471
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1459): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1469 (-2)	5-11	vs KC (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): L 9-16: 1471-2→1469
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1466 (-12)	5-11	vs JAX (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): L 3-26: 1478-12→1466
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1459 (-2)	6-10	at NE (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): L 20-37: 1461-2→1459
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1471): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-1)	5-11	vs PHI (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): L 25-26: 1455-1→1454
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1444 (+3)	4-12	vs DAL (1552): Lose by 12
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1572): L 10-27: 1441+3→1444
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): Lose by 12 points
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1436 (-8)	2-14	vs TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): L 0-26: 1444-8→1436
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, IND, JAX,
KC, LV, MIA, NE, NO, PHI, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1582 (+16)	12-3	vs MIA (1544): Win by 10
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1588): W 33-19: 1566+16→1582
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1544): Win by 10 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1572 (-16)	11-4	at WAS (1441): Win by 23
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): L 19-33: 1588-16→1572
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1441): Win by 23 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-9)	9-6	vs NE (1464): Win by 17
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1462): W 24-22: 1564-9→1555
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1464): Win by 17 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1551 (-2)	10-5	vs DET (1529): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): L 20-22: 1553-2→1551
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight favorite
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1544 (+2)	11-4	at BAL (1582): Lose by 10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): W 22-20: 1542+2→1544
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1582): Lose by 10 points
6 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+6)	11-4	at DAL (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 30-24: 1523+6→1529
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): Slight underdog
7 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522 (+8)	8-7	vs NO (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1503): W 30-12: 1514+8→1522
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (-4)	11-4	vs ARI (1460): Win by 16
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1452): W 33-25: 1525-4→1521
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): Win by 16 points
9 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1516 (-11)	9-6	vs CIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): L 14-20: 1527-11→1516
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1498): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516 (+11)	10-5	vs NYJ (1461): Win by 14
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1494): W 36-22: 1505+11→1516
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1461): Win by 14 points
11	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1512 (+4)	8-7	at NYG (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): W 30-22: 1508+4→1512
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight favorite
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (+2)	8-7	vs PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): W 20-17: 1506+2→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
13 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507 (+12)	7-8	at IND (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): W 20-14: 1495+12→1507
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): Slight favorite
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1501 (-4)	7-8	at TB (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): L 22-30: 1505-4→1501
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Slight underdog
15 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1498 (-19)	8-7	at KC (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1466): L 11-34: 1517-19→1498
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1516): Slight underdog
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-5)	7-8	vs GB (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): L 24-30: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1488): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494 (-9)	8-7	vs CAR (1444): Win by 13
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 12-30: 1503-9→1494
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): Win by 13 points
18 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (+3)	6-9	vs ATL (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): W 27-16: 1488+3→1491
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): Slight favorite
19 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1488 (+14)	7-8	at CHI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): W 29-10: 1474+14→1488
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1488 (-1)	7-8	at MIN (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): W 33-30: 1489-1→1488
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Slight underdog
21 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1485 (-14)	8-7	vs LV (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1474): L 10-29: 1499-14→1485
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (+18)	8-7	at SEA (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 34-11: 1466+18→1484
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1483 (-11)	8-7	vs TEN (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): L 22-36: 1494-11→1483
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): Slight favorite
24 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1483 (-12)	7-8	vs LAC (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1452): L 23-26: 1495-12→1483
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478 (-3)	5-10	at HOU (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): L 17-20: 1481-3→1478
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1483): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1471 (+9)	5-10	at DEN (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): L 22-24: 1462+9→1471
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1464 (+12)	4-11	at BUF (1555): Lose by 17
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1495): W 26-23: 1452+12→1464
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Lose by 17 points
28 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1461 (-3)	6-9	at CLE (1516): Lose by 14
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1438): W 30-28: 1464-3→1461
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Lose by 14 points
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1460 (-2)	3-12	at PHI (1521): Lose by 16
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): L 16-27: 1462-2→1460
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Lose by 16 points
30	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+3)	5-10	vs LAR (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): L 25-33: 1452+3→1455
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): Slight underdog
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1444	2-13	at JAX (1494): Lose by 13
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1489): L 30-33: 1444+0→1444
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): Lose by 13 points
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1441 (+3)	4-11	vs SF (1572): Lose by 23
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): L 28-30: 1438+3→1441
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1572): Lose by 23 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CHI, CLE, DAL, DEN, HOU, JAX,
KC, LAR, LV, MIN, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1588 (+1)	11-3	vs BAL (1566): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): W 45-29: 1587+1→1588
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1566 (+6)	11-3	at SF (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): W 23-7: 1560+6→1566
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1588): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1564 (+15)	8-6	at LAC (1462): Win by 17
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1568): W 31-10: 1549+15→1564
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1462): Win by 17 points
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1553 (-15)	10-4	at MIA (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1549): L 10-31: 1568-15→1553
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): Slight underdog
5	Miami DolphinsMIA	1542 (+11)	10-4	vs DAL (1553): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1475): W 30-0: 1531+11→1542
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1527 (-1)	9-5	vs LV (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1452): W 27-17: 1528-1→1527
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1525 (-5)	10-4	vs NYG (1452): Win by 14
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 17-20: 1530-5→1525
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1452): Win by 14 points
8 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1523 (+14)	10-4	at MIN (1500): Tossup
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): W 42-17: 1509+14→1523
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Tossup
9 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517	8-6	at PIT (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 27-24(OT): 1517+0→1517
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1466): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (+12)	7-7	vs JAX (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1501): W 34-20: 1502+12→1514
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1503): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (-7)	7-7	vs NO (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1431): W 28-20: 1515-7→1508
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Slight favorite
12 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+6)	7-7	at TEN (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): W 20-17: 1500+6→1506
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): Slight favorite
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (-1)	9-5	at HOU (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): W 20-17: 1506-1→1505
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1494): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+4)	7-7	at LAR (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 24-6: 1501+4→1505
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Slight underdog
15 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1503 (-6)	8-6	at TB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): L 7-23: 1509-6→1503
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	7-7	vs DET (1523): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): L 24-27(OT): 1500-0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): Tossup
17 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1499 (+7)	8-6	at ATL (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): W 30-13: 1492+7→1499
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1474): Slight favorite
18 (-8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1495 (-14)	7-7	vs NE (1452): Win by 11
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): L 17-42: 1509-14→1495
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1452): Win by 11 points
19 (+8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495 (+26)	6-8	at KC (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): W 63-21: 1469+26→1495
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): Slight underdog
20 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1494 (+7)	8-6	vs CLE (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): W 19-16(OT): 1487+7→1494
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight favorite
21 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1489 (-12)	6-8	at CAR (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): L 20-34: 1501-12→1489
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1444): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (+1)	5-9	vs ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): L 17-20: 1487+1→1488
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1481 (-7)	5-9	vs SEA (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1487): L 16-19(OT): 1488-7→1481
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight underdog
24	Atlanta FalconsATL	1474 (-5)	6-8	vs IND (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): L 7-9: 1479-5→1474
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1499): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1466 (-6)	7-7	vs CIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1492): L 13-30: 1472-6→1466
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1464 (-11)	5-9	vs WAS (1438): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1531): L 0-30: 1475-11→1464
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1438): Slight favorite
27 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1462 (-26)	5-9	vs BUF (1564): Lose by 17
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): L 21-63: 1488-26→1462
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): Lose by 17 points
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-1)	3-11	at CHI (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1587): L 29-45: 1463-1→1462
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1452	3-11	at DEN (1495): Lose by 11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): L 17-27: 1452+0→1452
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1495): Lose by 11 points
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (-3)	5-9	at PHI (1525): Lose by 14
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): L 6-24: 1455-3→1452
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1525): Lose by 14 points
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1444 (+5)	2-12	vs GB (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 9-7: 1439+5→1444
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1489): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1438 (+7)	4-10	at NYJ (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 20-28: 1431+7→1438
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1464): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, CIN, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND,
KC, LAR, MIA, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1587 (-2)	10-3	at ARI (1463): Win by 14
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): W 28-16: 1589-2→1587
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): Win by 14 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1568 (+9)	10-3	at BUF (1549): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): W 33-13: 1559+9→1568
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1549): Tossup
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1560 (-5)	10-3	at JAX (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): W 37-31(OT): 1565-5→1560
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1549 (+4)	7-6	vs DAL (1568): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): W 20-17: 1545+4→1549
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1568): Tossup
5 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1531 (-19)	9-4	vs NYJ (1475): Win by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): L 27-28: 1550-19→1531
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1475): Win by 11 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (-9)	10-3	at SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1559): L 13-33: 1539-9→1530
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1528 (-4)	8-5	at NE (1452): Win by 11
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): L 17-20: 1532-4→1528
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1452): Win by 11 points
8 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (+11)	7-6	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1503): W 34-14: 1506+11→1517
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (+4)	6-7	vs WAS (1431): Win by 20
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1565): L 31-37(OT): 1511+4→1515
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1431): Win by 20 points
10 (+10)	Denver BroncosDEN	1509 (+15)	7-6	at DET (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 24-7: 1494+15→1509
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1509 (-13)	9-4	vs DEN (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): L 13-28: 1522-13→1509
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1509 (-3)	8-5	vs BAL (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): L 27-31: 1512-3→1509
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506 (+3)	8-5	vs CHI (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1512): W 31-27: 1503+3→1506
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (+6)	6-7	at GB (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): W 29-25: 1496+6→1502
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1501): Slight underdog
15 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1501 (-9)	6-7	vs TB (1502): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): L 22-24: 1510-9→1501
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Slight favorite
16 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1501 (+8)	6-7	vs NYG (1455): Win by 12
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): W 28-6: 1493+8→1501
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Win by 12 points
17 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (+2)	6-7	vs PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1589): L 16-28: 1498+2→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500 (+2)	7-6	at CIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 3-0: 1498+2→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1492 (-11)	7-6	vs PIT (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): L 14-34: 1503-11→1492
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (-15)	5-8	at LV (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1494): L 7-24: 1503-15→1488
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): Slight underdog
21 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1488 (+19)	5-8	vs HOU (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1550): W 28-27: 1469+19→1488
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1487): Slight favorite
22 (-10)	Houston TexansHOU	1487 (-21)	7-6	at TEN (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1454): L 6-30: 1508-21→1487
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (+13)	5-8	at CLE (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): W 28-13: 1474+13→1487
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (-5)	6-7	at CAR (1439): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): L 25-29: 1484-5→1479
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1475 (+21)	5-8	at MIA (1531): Lose by 11
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): W 30-6: 1454+21→1475
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1531): Lose by 11 points
26 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (-12)	7-6	at IND (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1440): L 18-21: 1484-12→1472
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1492): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1469 (-3)	5-8	vs LAC (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 0-3: 1472-3→1469
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1463	3-10	vs SF (1587): Lose by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1587): Lose by 14 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+9)	5-8	at NO (1501): Lose by 12
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): W 24-22: 1446+9→1455
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): Lose by 12 points
30 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1452 (+12)	3-10	vs KC (1528): Lose by 11
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 21-18: 1440+12→1452
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1528): Lose by 11 points
31 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1439 (-7)	1-12	vs ATL (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): L 6-28: 1446-7→1439
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1431	4-9	at LAR (1515): Lose by 20
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Lose by 20 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, IND,
KC, LAR, LV, MIA, NO, PHI, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589 (+14)	9-3	vs SEA (1498): Win by 16
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): W 42-19: 1575+14→1589
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Win by 16 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1565	9-3	vs LAR (1511): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Win by 13 points
3 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1559 (-6)	9-3	vs PHI (1539): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): W 41-35: 1565-6→1559
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1550 (+8)	9-3	vs TEN (1469): Win by 19
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): W 45-15: 1542+8→1550
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Win by 19 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545	6-6	at KC (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): Slight underdog
6 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1539 (-15)	10-2	at DAL (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): L 19-42: 1554-15→1539
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1559): Slight underdog
7	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1532 (-10)	8-4	vs BUF (1545): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1501): L 19-27: 1542-10→1532
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1522 (+4)	9-3	at CHI (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): W 33-28: 1518+4→1522
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1512 (-11)	8-4	at CLE (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): L 31-34(OT): 1523-11→1512
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): Slight underdog
10 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511 (+12)	6-6	at BAL (1565): Lose by 13
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): W 36-19: 1499+12→1511
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1565): Lose by 13 points
11 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1510 (+9)	6-6	at NYG (1446): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): W 27-19: 1501+9→1510
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1446): Win by 8 points
12 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1508 (+1)	7-5	at NYJ (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1495): W 22-17: 1507+1→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1454): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1506 (+10)	6-6	vs IND (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): W 34-31(OT): 1496+10→1506
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1503): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (-1)	5-7	vs DEN (1494): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1439): W 6-0: 1504-1→1503
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1494): Slight favorite
15 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1503 (-11)	7-5	vs JAX (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): L 19-36: 1514-11→1503
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1512): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1503 (+5)	7-5	at CIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): W 31-28(OT): 1498+5→1503
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498	6-6	at LV (1472): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (+7)	6-6	at SF (1589): Lose by 16
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): L 35-41: 1491+7→1498
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1589): Lose by 16 points
19 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1496 (-5)	5-7	at ATL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1442): W 21-18: 1501-5→1496
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1494 (-1)	6-6	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): L 17-22: 1495-1→1494
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1493 (-4)	5-7	vs CAR (1446): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1518): L 28-33: 1497-4→1493
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): Win by 9 points
22 (-10)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (-21)	7-5	vs NE (1440): Win by 11
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): L 10-24: 1505-21→1484
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1440): Win by 11 points
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1484 (+4)	6-6	vs TB (1496): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1459): W 13-8: 1480+4→1484
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): Slight favorite
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1474	4-8	vs DET (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472	5-7	vs MIN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-4)	4-8	at MIA (1550): Lose by 19
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): L 28-31(OT): 1473-4→1469
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1550): Lose by 19 points
27 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1463 (+20)	3-10	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 24-10: 1443+20→1463
next: (bye)
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1454 (-5)	4-8	vs HOU (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): L 8-13: 1459-5→1454
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1508): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446 (+4)	1-11	at NO (1493): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1501): L 18-21: 1442+4→1446
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): Lose by 9 points
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1446	4-8	vs GB (1510): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Lose by 8 points
31	New England PatriotsNE	1440 (+1)	2-10	at PIT (1484): Lose by 11
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): L 0-6: 1439+1→1440
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Lose by 11 points
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1431 (-7)	4-9	bye
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): L 15-45: 1438-7→1431
next: (bye)
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, GB, HOU,
KC, LAC, MIA, MIN, NO, PIT, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1575 (+8)	8-3	at PHI (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): W 31-13: 1567+8→1575
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1565 (+9)	8-3	vs SEA (1491): Win by 17
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): W 45-10: 1556+9→1565
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Win by 17 points
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1565 (+3)	9-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): W 20-10: 1562+3→1565
next: (bye)
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (+2)	10-1	vs SF (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): W 37-34(OT): 1552+2→1554
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1575): Slight underdog
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (-2)	6-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): L 34-37(OT): 1547-2→1545
next: (bye)
6 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1542 (+9)	8-3	at WAS (1438): Win by 16
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1468): W 34-13: 1533+9→1542
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1438): Win by 16 points
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1542 (+7)	8-3	at GB (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): W 31-17: 1535+7→1542
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1501): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1523 (+6)	8-3	vs CIN (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1512): W 24-21: 1517+6→1523
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1518 (-12)	8-3	at NO (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1489): L 22-29: 1530-12→1518
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514 (-16)	7-4	at LAR (1499): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1479): L 12-29: 1530-16→1514
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1499): Tossup
11	Houston TexansHOU	1507 (-5)	6-5	vs DEN (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): L 21-24: 1512-5→1507
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1495): Slight favorite
12 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+9)	7-4	vs ARI (1443): Win by 15
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): W 16-10: 1496+9→1505
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): Win by 15 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (-3)	4-7	at NE (1439): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1562): L 10-20: 1507-3→1504
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1439): Win by 8 points
14 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1501 (+12)	5-6	vs KC (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1530): W 29-22: 1489+12→1501
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1542): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1501 (-5)	4-7	vs CAR (1442): Win by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): L 20-27: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1442): Win by 11 points
16 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1499 (+14)	5-6	vs CLE (1514): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): W 37-14: 1485+14→1499
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Tossup
17 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1498 (+5)	6-5	at TEN (1473): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): W 27-20: 1493+5→1498
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): Tossup
18 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-9)	6-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): L 10-12: 1507-9→1498
next: (bye)
19 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (-8)	5-6	vs DET (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): L 15-24: 1505-8→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1518): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1496 (-8)	5-6	at JAX (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): L 10-16: 1504-8→1496
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1495 (+16)	6-5	at HOU (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): W 29-12: 1479+16→1495
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1507): Slight underdog
22 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (-8)	6-5	at DAL (1565): Lose by 17
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1567): L 13-31: 1499-8→1491
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): Lose by 17 points
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480 (+8)	5-6	at NYJ (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): W 24-15: 1472+8→1480
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1459): Slight favorite
24 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (+10)	4-8	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): W 12-10: 1464+10→1474
next: (bye)
25 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1473 (-1)	4-7	vs IND (1498): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): W 17-10: 1474-1→1473
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1498): Tossup
26 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (-6)	5-7	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 17-31: 1478-6→1472
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1459 (-9)	4-7	vs ATL (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1533): L 13-34: 1468-9→1459
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1446 (+1)	4-8	bye
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1439): W 10-7: 1445+1→1446
next: (bye)
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1443 (-14)	2-10	at PIT (1505): Lose by 15
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): L 14-37: 1457-14→1443
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Lose by 15 points
30 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1442 (+1)	1-10	at TB (1501): Lose by 11
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): L 10-17: 1441+1→1442
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1501): Lose by 11 points
31 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1439	2-9	vs LAC (1504): Lose by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): L 7-10: 1439-0→1439
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Lose by 8 points
32 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1438 (-10)	4-8	vs MIA (1542): Lose by 16
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1556): L 10-45: 1448-10→1438
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): Lose by 16 points
Favorites:
ATL, DAL, DET, HOU, IND, JAX, KC, LAC,
LAR, MIA, PIT, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1567 (-1)	7-3	at SEA (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): W 27-14: 1568-1→1567
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Slight favorite
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1562 (+3)	8-3	at LAC (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): W 34-20: 1559+3→1562
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1556 (+4)	7-3	vs WAS (1448): Win by 18
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): W 33-10: 1552+4→1556
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1448): Win by 18 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1552 (+6)	9-1	vs BUF (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): W 21-17: 1546+6→1552
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1547): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1547 (+9)	6-5	at PHI (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): W 32-6: 1538+9→1547
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (-6)	7-3	at LV (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): L 17-21: 1541-6→1535
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight favorite
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1533 (-4)	7-3	at NYJ (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): W 20-13: 1537-4→1533
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1468): Slight favorite
8	Detroit LionsDET	1530 (-5)	8-2	vs GB (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): W 31-26: 1535-5→1530
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1489): Slight favorite
9	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1530 (-3)	7-3	at DEN (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): W 13-10: 1533-3→1530
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1479): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1517 (+8)	7-3	at HOU (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): W 34-14: 1509+8→1517
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1512): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1512 (-6)	6-4	vs JAX (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1451): W 21-16: 1518-6→1512
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1507 (-10)	6-5	vs CHI (1464): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1469): L 20-21: 1517-10→1507
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 8 points
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (-5)	4-6	vs BAL (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1484): L 20-23: 1512-5→1507
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1562): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1506 (+1)	4-6	at IND (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1568): L 14-27: 1505+1→1506
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505	5-5	at ATL (1472): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (-3)	5-5	vs PIT (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): L 20-34: 1507-3→1504
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (-7)	6-4	vs SF (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): L 16-17: 1506-7→1499
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1567): Slight underdog
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+2)	6-4	at CIN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1533): L 10-13: 1494+2→1496
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): Slight underdog
19	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1493	5-5	vs TB (1506): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): Slight favorite
20	Green Bay PackersGB	1489 (+5)	4-6	at DET (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): W 23-20: 1484+5→1489
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1530): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1485 (+7)	4-6	at ARI (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 17-16: 1478+7→1485
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite
22 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1479 (+10)	5-5	vs CLE (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): W 21-20: 1469+10→1479
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (+4)	5-6	vs KC (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1537): L 13-20: 1474+4→1478
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (-8)	3-7	vs CAR (1441): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): L 14-34: 1482-8→1474
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): Win by 8 points
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472	4-6	vs NO (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Slight underdog
26 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1468 (-9)	4-6	vs MIA (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): L 6-32: 1477-9→1468
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1533): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (+4)	3-8	at MIN (1507): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1535): L 26-31: 1460+4→1464
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Lose by 8 points
28 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457 (+6)	2-9	vs LAR (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1518): L 16-21: 1451+6→1457
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1485): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1448 (-13)	4-7	at DAL (1556): Lose by 18
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1432): L 19-31: 1461-13→1448
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1556): Lose by 18 points
30 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1445 (+13)	3-8	vs NE (1439): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): W 31-19: 1432+13→1445
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1439): Slight favorite
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441 (-4)	1-9	at TEN (1474): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): L 10-33: 1445-4→1441
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1439	2-8	at NYG (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, IND, KC,
LAR, MIA, MIN, NO, NYG, PHI, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1568 (+19)	6-3	vs TB (1505): Win by 14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): W 34-3: 1549+19→1568
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Win by 14 points
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1559 (-8)	7-3	vs CIN (1507): Win by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): L 31-33: 1567-8→1559
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): Win by 9 points
3 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1552 (+12)	6-3	at CAR (1445): Win by 16
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1444): W 49-17: 1540+12→1552
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1445): Win by 16 points
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1546	8-1	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541	7-2	vs PHI (1546): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): Slight favorite
6 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538 (-13)	5-5	vs NYJ (1477): Win by 11
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1457): L 22-24: 1551-13→1538
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1477): Win by 11 points
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	6-3	vs LV (1474): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): Win by 14 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1535 (+4)	7-2	vs CHI (1460): Win by 13
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): W 41-38: 1531+4→1535
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): Win by 13 points
9 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1533 (+8)	6-3	vs PIT (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): W 33-31: 1525+8→1533
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1518 (+5)	5-4	vs ARI (1451): Win by 15
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): W 30-27: 1513+5→1518
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1451): Win by 15 points
11 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1517 (+4)	6-4	at DEN (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): W 27-19: 1513+4→1517
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1469): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-4)	4-5	at GB (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1531): L 38-41: 1516-4→1512
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1484): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1509 (-19)	6-3	vs TEN (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): L 3-34: 1528-19→1509
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight favorite
14	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1507 (-5)	5-4	at BAL (1559): Lose by 9
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1513): L 27-30: 1512-5→1507
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1559): Lose by 9 points
15 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (-2)	6-3	at LAR (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1459): W 29-26: 1508-2→1506
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1478): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (-5)	5-5	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 19-27: 1510-5→1505
next: (bye)
17	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (+7)	4-5	at SF (1568): Lose by 14
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): W 20-6: 1498+7→1505
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1568): Lose by 14 points
18 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1494 (+2)	6-3	at CLE (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1486): W 23-19: 1492+2→1494
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1533): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1493 (-1)	5-5	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1438): W 10-6: 1494-1→1493
next: (bye)
20 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1484 (-2)	3-6	vs LAC (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 19-23: 1486-2→1484
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (-7)	3-6	at JAX (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): L 6-20: 1489-7→1482
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1478	3-6	vs SEA (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1477 (-3)	4-5	at BUF (1538): Lose by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 12-16: 1480-3→1477
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): Lose by 11 points
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1474 (+4)	5-5	at MIA (1537): Lose by 14
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1480): W 16-12: 1470+4→1474
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1537): Lose by 14 points
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472 (-4)	4-6	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): L 23-25: 1476-4→1472
next: (bye)
26 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1469 (+12)	4-5	vs MIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): W 24-22: 1457+12→1469
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): Slight underdog
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1461 (+2)	4-6	vs NYG (1432): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): L 26-29: 1459+2→1461
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1432): Slight favorite
28 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1460 (+1)	3-7	at DET (1535): Lose by 13
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): W 16-13: 1459+1→1460
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1535): Lose by 13 points
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1451 (+4)	2-8	at HOU (1518): Lose by 15
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): W 25-23: 1447+4→1451
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1518): Lose by 15 points
30	Carolina PanthersCAR	1445 (-1)	1-8	vs DAL (1552): Lose by 16
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1459): L 13-16: 1446-1→1445
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1552): Lose by 16 points
31 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1439 (+1)	2-8	bye
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): L 6-10: 1438+1→1439
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1432 (-12)	2-8	at WAS (1461): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1540): L 17-49: 1444-12→1432
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAC, MIA, MIN, SEA, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1567 (+18)	7-2	vs CLE (1525): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): W 37-3: 1549+18→1567
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1525): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1551 (-7)	5-4	vs DEN (1457): Win by 14
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): L 18-24: 1558-7→1551
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1457): Win by 14 points
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549	5-3	at JAX (1528): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1528): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1546 (+3)	8-1	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): W 28-23: 1543+3→1546
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+6)	7-2	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1543): W 21-14: 1535+6→1541
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1540 (-4)	5-3	vs NYG (1444): Win by 11
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): L 23-28: 1544-4→1540
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1444): Win by 11 points
7 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537 (-6)	6-3	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): L 14-21: 1543-6→1537
next: (bye)
8	Detroit LionsDET	1531	6-2	at LAC (1516): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Tossup
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1528	6-2	vs SF (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1525 (+11)	5-3	at BAL (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): W 27-0: 1514+11→1525
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): Slight underdog
11 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (+15)	4-4	vs DET (1531): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): W 27-6: 1501+15→1516
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1531): Tossup
12	Houston TexansHOU	1513	4-4	at CIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): W 39-37: 1513+0→1513
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): Slight underdog
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+3)	5-4	vs NO (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 31-28: 1510+3→1513
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1510): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512 (+8)	5-3	vs HOU (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): W 24-18: 1504+8→1512
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1513): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1510 (+1)	5-4	at MIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): W 24-17: 1509+1→1510
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Slight underdog
16 (-6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (-18)	5-3	vs WAS (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): L 3-37: 1526-18→1508
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1459): Slight favorite
17	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-1)	3-5	vs TEN (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1513): L 37-39: 1499-1→1498
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1494 (+8)	4-5	at NE (1438): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): W 27-13: 1486+8→1494
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1438): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (+3)	5-3	vs GB (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): W 20-16: 1489+3→1492
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1486): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1489 (-3)	3-5	at TB (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 16-20: 1492-3→1489
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1486 (+11)	3-5	at PIT (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): W 20-3: 1475+11→1486
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight underdog
22 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1480 (-14)	4-4	at LV (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): L 6-27: 1494-14→1480
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1478 (-11)	3-6	bye
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1475): L 3-20: 1489-11→1478
next: (bye)
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (-3)	4-5	at ARI (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 28-31: 1479-3→1476
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (+13)	4-5	vs NYJ (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 30-6: 1457+13→1470
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1480): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1459 (-1)	2-7	vs CAR (1446): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): L 17-24: 1460-1→1459
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1459 (+4)	4-5	at SEA (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1442): W 20-17: 1455+4→1459
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Slight underdog
28	Denver BroncosDEN	1457	3-5	at BUF (1551): Lose by 14
prev: (bye)
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): Lose by 14 points
29 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447 (-12)	1-8	vs ATL (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): L 0-27: 1459-12→1447
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446 (-8)	1-7	at CHI (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): L 13-27: 1454-8→1446
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1459): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1444 (-14)	2-7	at DAL (1540): Lose by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 6-30: 1458-14→1444
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1540): Lose by 11 points
32	New England PatriotsNE	1438 (-4)	2-7	at IND (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): L 17-20: 1442-4→1438
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DAL, IND, LAC,
LV, MIN, PIT, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (-1)	5-3	at CIN (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): W 24-18: 1559-1→1558
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (-16)	5-3	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): L 17-31: 1565-16→1549
next: (bye)
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1549 (+1)	6-2	vs SEA (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): W 31-24: 1548+1→1549
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1526): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544 (+11)	5-2	at PHI (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): W 43-20: 1533+11→1544
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1543 (+3)	6-2	at KC (1535): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1445): W 31-17: 1540+3→1543
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1535): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543 (+2)	7-1	vs DAL (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1458): W 38-31: 1541+2→1543
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Slight favorite
7 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1535 (-14)	6-2	at MIA (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1442): L 9-24: 1549-14→1535
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1543): Slight underdog
8	Detroit LionsDET	1531 (+2)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): W 26-14: 1529+2→1531
next: (bye)
9 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1528 (+7)	6-2	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): W 20-10: 1521+7→1528
next: (bye)
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1526 (+2)	5-2	at BAL (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): W 24-20: 1524+2→1526
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514 (-2)	4-3	vs ARI (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1524): L 20-24: 1516-2→1514
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1513 (-6)	3-4	vs TB (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): L 13-15: 1519-6→1513
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1499): Slight favorite
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (+9)	4-4	at ATL (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1485): W 24-10: 1501+9→1510
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight favorite
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1509 (+9)	4-4	vs CHI (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): W 38-27: 1500+9→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1460): Slight favorite
15 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (+16)	4-3	vs BUF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1565): W 31-17: 1488+16→1504
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (+8)	3-4	at NYJ (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1468): W 30-13: 1493+8→1501
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1494): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1499 (+1)	3-4	at HOU (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): L 18-24: 1498+1→1499
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1513): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1494 (+2)	4-3	vs LAC (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1460): W 13-10(OT): 1492+2→1494
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1492 (+3)	3-4	at PIT (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 28-23: 1489+3→1492
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (-7)	4-3	vs TEN (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): L 10-20: 1496-7→1489
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): Slight favorite
21 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1489 (-11)	3-5	at GB (1475): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): L 20-43: 1500-11→1489
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1475): Tossup
22 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (-8)	3-5	at CAR (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 27-38: 1494-8→1486
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (-2)	4-4	vs MIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): L 23-28: 1481-2→1479
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1475 (-10)	2-5	vs LAR (1489): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 10-24: 1485-10→1475
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1489): Tossup
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1460 (-8)	2-6	at NO (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): L 13-30: 1468-8→1460
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1509): Slight underdog
26	Arizona CardinalsARI	1459 (-1)	1-7	at CLE (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): L 24-31: 1460-1→1459
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Slight underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-2)	2-6	at LV (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1492): L 10-13(OT): 1460-2→1458
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1457 (+15)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): W 24-9: 1442+15→1457
next: (bye)
29 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (-2)	3-5	vs NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 14-26: 1459-2→1457
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1455 (-3)	3-5	at NE (1442): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): L 31-38: 1458-3→1455
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1442): Tossup
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454 (+6)	1-6	vs IND (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1519): W 15-13: 1448+6→1454
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1442 (-3)	2-6	vs WAS (1455): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1540): L 17-31: 1445-3→1442
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Tossup
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, GB, HOU, IND, LV, MIA,
MIN, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, PIT

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1565 (-9)	5-2	vs CIN (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): L 17-22: 1574-9→1565
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): Win by 8 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1559 (-9)	4-3	vs TB (1498): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1436): L 25-29: 1568-9→1559
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1549 (+6)	6-1	at DEN (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): W 31-17: 1543+6→1549
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1442): Slight favorite
4 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (+19)	5-2	at ARI (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1548): W 38-6: 1529+19→1548
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+10)	6-1	at WAS (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1549): W 31-17: 1531+10→1541
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1458): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1540 (-9)	5-2	vs NE (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): L 17-31: 1549-9→1540
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1445): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1533	4-2	vs LAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight favorite
8 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (-19)	5-2	vs LV (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): L 6-38: 1548-19→1529
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): Slight favorite
9	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1524 (+3)	4-2	vs CLE (1516): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): W 20-10: 1521+3→1524
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1521 (+6)	5-2	at PIT (1496): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): W 31-24: 1515+6→1521
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1519	3-3	at CAR (1448): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): Slight favorite
12	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516 (+7)	4-2	at SEA (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): W 39-38: 1509+7→1516
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1524): Slight underdog
13 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+9)	3-4	at GB (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1574): W 22-17: 1492+9→1501
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1485): Slight underdog
14	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-6)	3-4	at IND (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 24-31: 1506-6→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1494): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500 (-8)	3-4	at DAL (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): L 17-24: 1508-8→1500
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-6)	3-3	at BUF (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 13-16: 1504-6→1498
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): Slight underdog
17 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (+8)	4-2	vs JAX (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): W 24-17: 1488+8→1496
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1494 (-7)	3-4	vs NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): L 38-39: 1501-7→1494
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1493 (-6)	2-4	vs CHI (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): L 17-31: 1499-6→1493
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1468): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1492	3-3	vs NYG (1460): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1460): Slight favorite
21	Tennessee TitansTEN	1489	2-4	vs ATL (1481): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight favorite
22	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1488	3-3	at SF (1565): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1565): Lose by 8 points
23 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1485 (-5)	2-4	vs MIN (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1437): L 17-19: 1490-5→1485
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight favorite
24	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (+6)	4-3	at TEN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): W 16-13: 1475+6→1481
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1468 (+11)	2-5	at LAC (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): W 30-12: 1457+11→1468
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): Slight underdog
26	Arizona CardinalsARI	1460 (-3)	1-6	vs BAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): L 10-20: 1463-3→1460
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1460 (+5)	2-5	vs NYJ (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1462): W 14-7: 1455+5→1460
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1492): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1459 (-11)	3-4	at DET (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): L 12-30: 1470-11→1459
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1458 (-4)	3-4	vs PHI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): L 7-14: 1462-4→1458
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Slight underdog
30	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448	0-6	vs HOU (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1519): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1445 (+9)	2-5	at MIA (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): W 29-25: 1436+9→1445
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1540): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1442 (+5)	2-5	vs KC (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1490): W 19-17: 1437+5→1442
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX,
KC, LAC, MIA, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1574 (-9)	5-1	at MIN (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): L 17-19: 1583-9→1574
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (-6)	4-2	at NE (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1449): W 14-9: 1574-6→1568
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1436): Slight favorite
3	Miami DolphinsMIA	1549 (+7)	5-1	at PHI (1531): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): W 42-21: 1542+7→1549
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): Tossup
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1548 (+11)	5-1	at BAL (1529): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 20-6: 1537+11→1548
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): Tossup
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1543 (+2)	5-1	vs LAC (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1439): W 19-8: 1541+2→1543
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1533 (+4)	4-2	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): W 20-17: 1529+4→1533
next: (bye)
7 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1531 (-10)	5-1	vs MIA (1549): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1483): L 14-20: 1541-10→1531
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1549): Tossup
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1529 (+5)	4-2	vs DET (1548): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): W 24-16: 1524+5→1529
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1548): Tossup
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1521 (-7)	3-2	vs ARI (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1481): L 13-17: 1528-7→1521
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1519 (+5)	3-3	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): W 20-13: 1514+5→1519
next: (bye)
11 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+12)	4-2	at NO (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): W 37-20: 1503+12→1515
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Slight underdog
12 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (+8)	3-2	at IND (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): W 19-17: 1501+8→1509
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): Slight underdog
13 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (+10)	3-3	vs PIT (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1473): W 26-9: 1498+10→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (-5)	3-3	vs JAX (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1514): L 13-20: 1511-5→1506
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight favorite
15 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1504 (-11)	3-2	vs ATL (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1537): L 6-20: 1515-11→1504
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight favorite
16 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1501 (-12)	3-3	vs CLE (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1503): L 20-37: 1513-12→1501
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (-3)	2-3	at KC (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 17-20: 1502-3→1499
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Slight underdog
18 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1492 (+9)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): W 20-14: 1483+9→1492
next: (bye)
19 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1492 (+6)	2-4	vs SF (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1463): W 19-13: 1486+6→1492
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1574): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1490	2-3	at DEN (1437): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1437): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1489 (-5)	2-4	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): L 16-24: 1494-5→1489
next: (bye)
22 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1488 (+7)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): W 17-13: 1481+7→1488
next: (bye)
23 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	3-2	at LAR (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-12)	3-3	at TB (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): L 16-24: 1487-12→1475
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470	3-3	at CHI (1457): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1436): W 21-17: 1470+0→1470
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Tossup
26 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1463 (-10)	1-5	at SEA (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): L 9-26: 1473-10→1463
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1462 (+11)	3-3	at NYG (1455): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): W 24-16: 1451+11→1462
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (-6)	1-5	vs LV (1470): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 13-19: 1463-6→1457
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Tossup
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+6)	1-5	vs WAS (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): L 9-14: 1449+6→1455
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1462): Slight favorite
30 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448 (-7)	0-6	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): L 21-42: 1455-7→1448
next: (bye)
31	Denver BroncosDEN	1437 (-2)	1-5	vs GB (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 8-19: 1439-2→1437
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1490): Slight underdog
32	New England PatriotsNE	1436	1-5	vs BUF (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 17-21: 1436-0→1436
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, DET, GB, IND, KC, LAR, MIA,
NO, NYG, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1583 (+25)	5-0	at CLE (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): W 42-10: 1558+25→1583
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (-17)	3-2	vs NYG (1449): Win by 14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1486): L 20-25: 1591-17→1574
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1449): Win by 14 points
3 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1542 (+4)	4-1	vs CAR (1455): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1453): W 31-16: 1538+4→1542
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): Win by 10 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+5)	4-1	vs DEN (1439): Win by 9
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): W 27-20: 1536+5→1541
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1439): Win by 9 points
5 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+9)	5-0	at NYJ (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): W 23-14: 1532+9→1541
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1483): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1537 (+8)	4-1	at TB (1515): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): W 42-24: 1529+8→1537
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Tossup
7 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (-25)	3-2	at LAC (1502): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): L 10-42: 1554-25→1529
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1528	3-1	at CIN (1481): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1481): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524 (-10)	3-2	at TEN (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): L 10-17: 1534-10→1524
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515	3-1	vs DET (1537): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1537): Tossup
11 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1514 (-6)	2-3	vs NO (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): L 19-21: 1520-6→1514
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1511): Slight favorite
12	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1513 (+5)	3-2	at JAX (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 23-16: 1508+5→1513
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1503): Slight underdog
13 (+8)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1511 (+28)	3-2	at HOU (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1464): W 34-0: 1483+28→1511
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1514): Slight underdog
14 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1503 (+17)	3-2	vs IND (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): W 25-20: 1486+17→1503
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	2-2	vs DAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501	2-2	vs SF (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1498 (-8)	2-3	vs ARI (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): L 14-23: 1506-8→1498
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1473): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494 (-6)	2-3	at BAL (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): L 16-23: 1500-6→1494
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1490 (-7)	2-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): L 13-17: 1497-7→1490
next: (bye)
20 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (+11)	3-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 17-10: 1477+11→1488
next: (bye)
21 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+6)	3-2	vs WAS (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1520): W 21-19: 1481+6→1487
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-5)	1-4	at CHI (1463): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): L 20-27: 1491-5→1486
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1463): Tossup
23 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1483 (+10)	2-3	vs PHI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1448): W 31-21: 1473+10→1483
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481 (+18)	2-3	vs SEA (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): W 34-20: 1463+18→1481
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1528): Slight underdog
25 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1473 (-18)	1-4	at LAR (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1463): L 20-34: 1491-18→1473
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1498): Slight underdog
26 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (+7)	2-3	vs NE (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1497): W 17-13: 1463+7→1470
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1436): Slight favorite
27 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1463 (+22)	1-4	vs MIN (1486): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1473): W 40-20: 1441+22→1463
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Tossup
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1455 (-8)	0-5	at MIA (1542): Lose by 10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 24-42: 1463-8→1455
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1542): Lose by 10 points
29 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1451 (-22)	2-3	at ATL (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1441): L 20-40: 1473-22→1451
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1449 (-4)	1-4	at BUF (1574): Lose by 14
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): L 16-31: 1453-4→1449
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Lose by 14 points
31	Denver BroncosDEN	1439 (-9)	1-4	at KC (1541): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1473): L 21-31: 1448-9→1439
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Lose by 9 points
32 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1436 (-28)	1-4	at LV (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): L 0-34: 1464-28→1436
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CHI, DAL, DET, HOU, JAX,
KC, LAR, LV, MIA, PHI, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+25)	3-1	at JAX (1486): Win by 10
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): W 48-20: 1566+25→1591
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1486): Win by 10 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1558 (+14)	4-0	vs DAL (1554): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): W 35-16: 1544+14→1558
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): Slight favorite
3 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1554 (+27)	3-1	at SF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): W 38-3: 1527+27→1554
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): Slight underdog
4 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1538 (-25)	3-1	vs NYG (1453): Win by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): L 20-48: 1563-25→1538
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1453): Win by 10 points
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536	3-1	at MIN (1491): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1474): W 23-20: 1536+0→1536
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Slight favorite
6 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (+28)	3-1	at PIT (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): W 28-3: 1506+28→1534
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532	4-0	at LAR (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1474): W 34-31(OT): 1532+0→1532
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1506): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+17)	3-1	vs CAR (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): W 34-20: 1512+17→1529
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1463): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1528 (+19)	3-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 24-3: 1509+19→1528
next: (bye)
10 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1520 (+22)	2-2	at ATL (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): W 30-6: 1498+22→1520
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Slight favorite
11 (+8)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (+20)	3-1	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): W 26-9: 1495+20→1515
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (-11)	2-2	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): L 23-29(OT): 1519-11→1508
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
13 (+7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1506 (+12)	2-2	vs PHI (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): W 29-23(OT): 1494+12→1506
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+4)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): W 24-17: 1498+4→1502
next: (bye)
15 (-9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501 (-28)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): L 3-28: 1529-28→1501
next: (bye)
16 (+8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500 (+23)	2-2	at IND (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): W 27-3: 1477+23→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Slight underdog
17 (-8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1497 (-17)	2-2	at LV (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1512): L 20-34: 1514-17→1497
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): Slight favorite
18 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1491 (-14)	1-3	vs CIN (1463): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): L 16-35: 1505-14→1491
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1463): Slight favorite
19 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491 (+11)	1-3	vs KC (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): W 21-13: 1480+11→1491
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Slight underdog
20 (+10)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1486 (+21)	2-2	at BUF (1591): Lose by 10
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): W 23-7: 1465+21→1486
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Lose by 10 points
21 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-20)	2-2	at NE (1464): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): L 9-26: 1503-20→1483
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1464): Tossup
22 (-7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (-21)	2-2	vs HOU (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): L 7-23: 1502-21→1481
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1520): Slight underdog
23 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (-22)	2-2	vs BAL (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1498): L 6-30: 1499-22→1477
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1473 (-1)	1-3	at DEN (1448): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): L 20-23: 1474-1→1473
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1448): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1473 (-1)	2-2	vs CHI (1441): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): L 31-34(OT): 1474-1→1473
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1441): Slight favorite
26 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1464 (-28)	1-3	vs NO (1483): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): L 3-38: 1492-28→1464
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Tossup
27 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1463 (-23)	1-3	at ARI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1477): L 3-27: 1486-23→1463
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463 (-11)	0-4	at DET (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): L 13-21: 1474-11→1463
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight underdog
29	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (-4)	1-3	vs GB (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): L 17-24: 1467-4→1463
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1497): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1453 (-19)	1-3	at MIA (1538): Lose by 10
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): L 3-24: 1472-19→1453
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): Lose by 10 points
31 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1448 (+8)	1-3	vs NYJ (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): W 31-28: 1440+8→1448
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1473): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1441 (-8)	0-4	at WAS (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1440): L 28-31: 1449-8→1441
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1473): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, DET, GB, HOU, IND, KC,
MIA, NO, NYJ, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1566 (+36)	2-1	vs MIA (1563): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): W 37-3: 1530+36→1566
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1563): Slight favorite
2 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1563 (+46)	3-0	at BUF (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): W 70-20: 1517+46→1563
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (+13)	3-0	vs ARI (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 30-12: 1531+13→1544
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): Slight favorite
4 (+7)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536 (+27)	2-1	at NYJ (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1476): W 41-10: 1509+27→1536
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1474): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1532 (+20)	3-0	vs WAS (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): W 25-11: 1512+20→1532
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1474): Slight favorite
6 (+7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1529 (+24)	2-1	vs BAL (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1501): W 27-3: 1505+24→1529
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): Slight favorite
7 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1527 (-21)	2-1	vs NE (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): L 16-28: 1548-21→1527
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1519 (+11)	2-1	vs LAR (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): W 22-19(OT): 1508+11→1519
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1494): Slight favorite
9 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (+10)	2-1	vs DET (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): W 18-17: 1504+10→1514
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1512): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Detroit LionsDET	1512 (+18)	2-1	at GB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): W 20-6: 1494+18→1512
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight underdog
11 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509 (+9)	2-1	at NYG (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): W 37-27: 1500+9→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506 (-11)	2-1	at CLE (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): L 19-22(OT): 1517-11→1506
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): Slight underdog
13 (+13)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1505 (+21)	1-2	at SF (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): W 28-16: 1484+21→1505
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): Slight underdog
14 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (-10)	2-1	vs TB (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): L 17-18: 1513-10→1503
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): Slight favorite
15 (-11)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502 (-18)	2-1	at JAX (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1494): L 6-20: 1520-18→1502
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (+8)	2-1	at HOU (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): W 23-18: 1491+8→1499
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1498): Slight underdog
17 (+15)	Houston TexansHOU	1498 (+27)	1-2	vs PIT (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): W 37-17: 1471+27→1498
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1498 (+9)	1-2	vs LV (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): W 28-24: 1489+9→1498
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): Slight favorite
19 (-12)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495 (-19)	2-1	at NO (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): L 11-25: 1514-19→1495
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1494 (-7)	1-2	at IND (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): L 16-19: 1501-7→1494
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): Slight underdog
21 (+7)	New England PatriotsNE	1492 (+11)	1-2	at DAL (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1484): W 15-10: 1481+11→1492
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1527): Slight underdog
22 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1486 (+6)	1-2	at TEN (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 19-16: 1480+6→1486
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1477): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (-9)	0-3	at CAR (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 24-28: 1489-9→1480
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1474): Slight underdog
24 (-9)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1477 (-24)	1-2	vs CIN (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): L 3-27: 1501-24→1477
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1474 (-9)	0-3	vs MIN (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 27-37: 1483-9→1474
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1474 (-10)	1-2	vs KC (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1481): L 10-15: 1484-10→1474
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Slight underdog
27 (-17)	Washington CommandersWAS	1474 (-36)	2-1	at PHI (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1530): L 3-37: 1510-36→1474
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1532): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (-12)	1-2	vs SEA (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): L 12-30: 1484-12→1472
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (-8)	1-2	at LAC (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): L 18-23: 1475-8→1467
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1498): Slight underdog
30 (-11)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1465 (-27)	1-2	at ATL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): L 17-37: 1492-27→1465
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1449 (-27)	0-3	vs DEN (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): L 10-41: 1476-27→1449
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1440): Slight favorite
32 (-9)	Denver BroncosDEN	1440 (-45)	0-3	at CHI (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1517): L 20-70: 1485-45→1440
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1449): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CLE, DAL, GB, HOU,
IND, KC, LAC, NO, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548 (+19)	2-0	at ARI (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1504): W 30-10: 1529+19→1548
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): Slight favorite
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1531 (+13)	2-0	vs NYG (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): W 30-23: 1518+13→1531
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight favorite
3 (+15)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1530 (+34)	1-1	at WAS (1510): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1508): W 38-10: 1496+34→1530
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1510): Tossup
4 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1520 (+11)	2-0	at DET (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1515): W 25-24: 1509+11→1520
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1494): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+6)	2-0	vs IND (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): W 27-24: 1511+6→1517
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Slight favorite
6 (+8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1517 (+12)	2-0	vs DEN (1485): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): W 24-17: 1505+12→1517
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1485): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (+9)	2-0	vs PHI (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): W 27-17: 1505+9→1514
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1512): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1513 (+8)	2-0	at GB (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): W 20-17: 1505+8→1513
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1504): Slight underdog
9 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1512 (+5)	2-0	at TB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): W 34-28: 1507+5→1512
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight underdog
10 (+6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1510 (+7)	2-0	vs BUF (1530): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1492): W 35-33: 1503+7→1510
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1530): Tossup
11 (+13)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1509 (+17)	1-1	vs CHI (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1510): W 17-9: 1492+17→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1476): Slight favorite
12 (+14)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (+18)	1-1	at BAL (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1489): W 31-20: 1490+18→1508
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Slight underdog
13 (-8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (-9)	1-1	vs TEN (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): L 22-26: 1514-9→1505
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1501): Slight favorite
14 (-11)	Green Bay PackersGB	1504 (-11)	1-1	vs NO (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1509): L 24-25: 1515-11→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): Slight favorite
15 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1501 (+6)	1-1	at CLE (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 27-24(OT): 1495+6→1501
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight underdog
16 (-12)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (-13)	1-1	at CIN (1480): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): L 23-30: 1514-13→1501
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): Tossup
17 (+12)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (+14)	1-1	vs CAR (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): W 37-31(OT): 1486+14→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): Slight favorite
18 (-9)	Detroit LionsDET	1494 (-14)	1-1	vs ATL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): L 31-37(OT): 1508-14→1494
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): Slight underdog
19 (-12)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492 (-18)	1-1	vs HOU (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1492): L 9-17: 1510-18→1492
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight favorite
20 (+11)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (+9)	1-1	at LV (1475): Tossup
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): W 26-22: 1482+9→1491
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): Tossup
21 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (-6)	0-2	vs LAC (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): L 28-34: 1495-6→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (-6)	0-2	at MIN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): L 24-27(OT): 1495-6→1489
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Slight underdog
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1485 (-7)	0-2	at MIA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1503): L 33-35: 1492-7→1485
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1517): Slight underdog
24 (-9)	New York JetsNYJ	1484 (-20)	1-1	vs NE (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 10-30: 1504-20→1484
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1481): Slight favorite
25 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (+13)	1-1	at SF (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 31-28: 1471+13→1484
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1531): Slight underdog
26 (-9)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1484 (-13)	0-2	vs DAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1471): L 28-31: 1497-13→1484
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483 (-8)	0-2	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): L 17-20: 1491-8→1483
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
28 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1481 (-12)	0-2	at NYJ (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): L 17-24: 1493-12→1481
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1484): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1480 (-6)	0-2	vs LAR (1501): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): L 24-27: 1486-6→1480
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Tossup
30	Chicago BearsCHI	1476 (-9)	0-2	at KC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): L 17-27: 1485-9→1476
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): Slight underdog
31 (-21)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475 (-33)	1-1	vs PIT (1491): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1496): L 10-38: 1508-33→1475
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Tossup
32 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1471 (-18)	0-2	at JAX (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): L 20-31: 1489-18→1471
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, GB, JAX, KC,
LAR, LV, MIA, MIN, NYJ, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (+29)	1-0	vs NYJ (1504): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 40-0: 1500+29→1529
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1504): Slight favorite
2 (+26)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+18)	1-0	at LAR (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): W 30-7: 1500+18→1518
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight underdog
3 (+9)	Green Bay PackersGB	1515 (+15)	1-0	at ATL (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 38-20: 1500+15→1515
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1509): Slight underdog
4 (+15)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (+14)	1-0	vs SF (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 30-13: 1500+14→1514
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514 (+14)	1-0	at PIT (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): W 24-3: 1500+14→1514
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1511 (+11)	1-0	at CIN (1486): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 25-9: 1500+11→1511
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): Tossup
7 (+8)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1510 (+10)	1-0	vs KC (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 31-21: 1500+10→1510
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1492): Slight favorite
8 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1509 (+9)	1-0	vs GB (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 24-10: 1500+9→1509
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1515): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs SEA (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): W 21-20: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): Slight favorite
10 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1508 (+8)	1-0	at BUF (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 17-16: 1500+8→1508
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1496): Slight underdog
11 (+15)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (+7)	1-0	vs MIN (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 25-20: 1500+7→1507
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1495): Slight favorite
12 (+11)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+5)	1-0	at CAR (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 16-15: 1500+5→1505
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): Slight underdog
13 (+17)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs CHI (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 20-17: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): Slight favorite
14 (+6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (+5)	1-0	at NE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 36-34: 1500+5→1505
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): Slight underdog
15 (+10)	New York JetsNYJ	1504 (+4)	1-0	at DAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): W 22-16(OT): 1500+4→1504
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Slight underdog
16 (+16)	Washington CommandersWAS	1503 (+3)	1-0	at DEN (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 20-16: 1500+3→1503
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1492): Slight underdog
17 (-16)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs NYG (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 16-20: 1500-3→1497
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1471): Slight favorite
18 (-14)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs LV (1508): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): L 16-22(OT): 1500-4→1496
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1508): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-5)	0-1	at TEN (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 34-36: 1500-5→1495
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1495 (-5)	0-1	at PHI (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 17-20: 1500-5→1495
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Slight underdog
21 (+10)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs LAC (1495): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 15-16: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight favorite
22	New England PatriotsNE	1493 (-7)	0-1	vs MIA (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 20-25: 1500-7→1493
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Slight favorite
23 (-13)	Denver BroncosDEN	1492 (-8)	0-1	vs WAS (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 16-17: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1503): Slight favorite
24 (-8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1492 (-8)	0-1	at JAX (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): L 20-21: 1500-8→1492
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1510): Slight underdog
25 (-20)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1491 (-9)	0-1	vs NO (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): L 10-24: 1500-9→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1505): Slight favorite
26 (-12)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-10)	0-1	at HOU (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 21-31: 1500-10→1490
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1489): Slight underdog
27 (-14)	Houston TexansHOU	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs IND (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 9-25: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight favorite
28 (-21)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1486 (-14)	0-1	vs BAL (1511): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): L 3-24: 1500-14→1486
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): Tossup
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486 (-14)	0-1	at DET (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 13-30: 1500-14→1486
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): Slight underdog
30 (-24)	Chicago BearsCHI	1485 (-15)	0-1	at TB (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 20-38: 1500-15→1485
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1482 (-18)	0-1	vs CLE (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 7-30: 1500-18→1482
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Slight underdog
32 (-8)	New York GiantsNYG	1471 (-29)	0-1	at ARI (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): L 0-40: 1500-29→1471
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CLE, DAL, DEN,
DET, HOU, JAX, LAR, NE, PHI, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs GB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs CIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at BAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at DEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs BUF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at PIT (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs LAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at MIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CHI, CLE, DEN, IND, KC, LAC,
MIN, NE, NO, NYG, NYJ, PIT, SEA, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at WAS(1500) L 16-20: -3→1497	9	29	at CLE(1514) L 0-27: -12→1447	17	25	at PHI(1521) W 35-31: +15→1475
2	26	vs NYG(1471) L 28-31: -13→1484	10	29	vs ATL(1476) W 25-23: +4→1451	18	27	vs SEA(1496) L 20-21: -7→1468
3	13	vs DAL(1548) W 28-16: +21→1505	11	28	at HOU(1518) L 16-21: +6→1457	W	27
4	18	at SF(1544) L 16-35: -14→1491	12	29	vs LAR(1485) L 14-37: -14→1443	D	27
5	25	vs CIN(1463) L 20-34: -18→1473	13	27	at PIT(1505) W 24-10: +20→1463	C	27
6	26	at LAR(1498) L 9-26: -10→1463	14	28	(bye)	S	27
7	26	at SEA(1521) L 10-20: -3→1460	15	28	vs SF(1587) L 29-45: -1→1462
8	26	vs BAL(1548) L 24-31: -1→1459	16	29	at CHI(1488) L 16-27: -2→1460

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1480 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs CAR(1500) W 24-10: +9→1509	9	24	vs MIN(1510) L 28-31: -3→1476	17	23	at CHI(1491) L 17-37: -11→1477
2	4	vs GB(1515) W 25-24: +11→1520	10	25	at ARI(1447) L 23-25: -4→1472	18	29	at NO(1514) L 17-48: -14→1463
3	15	at DET(1494) L 6-20: -18→1502	11	25	(bye)	W	29
4	22	at JAX(1465) L 7-23: -21→1481	12	23	vs NO(1505) W 24-15: +8→1480	D	29
5	21	vs HOU(1520) W 21-19: +6→1487	13	23	at NYJ(1459) W 13-8: +4→1484	C	29
6	24	vs WAS(1451) L 16-24: -12→1475	14	24	vs TB(1496) L 25-29: -5→1479	S	29
7	24	at TB(1504) W 16-13: +6→1481	15	24	at CAR(1439) L 7-9: -5→1474
8	23	at TEN(1489) L 23-28: -2→1479	16	19	vs IND(1499) W 29-10: +14→1488

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1516 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs HOU(1500) W 25-9: +11→1511	9	1	vs SEA(1526) W 37-3: +18→1567	17	1	vs MIA(1544) W 56-19: +16→1598
2	5	at CIN(1486) W 27-24: +6→1517	10	2	vs CLE(1525) L 31-33: -8→1559	18	1	vs PIT(1496) L 10-17: -9→1589
3	12	vs IND(1508) L 19-22: -11→1506	11	2	vs CIN(1507) W 34-20: +3→1562	W	1	(bye)
4	6	at CLE(1529) W 28-3: +28→1534	12	3	at LAC(1507) W 20-10: +3→1565	D	1	vs HOU(1522) W 34-10: +4→1593
5	9	at PIT(1477) L 10-17: -10→1524	13	2	(bye)	C	1	vs KC(1541) L 10-17: -18→1575
6	8	at TEN(1494) W 24-16: +5→1529	14	3	vs LAR(1511) W 37-31: -5→1560	S	1
7	4	vs DET(1548) W 38-6: +19→1548	15	2	at JAX(1509) W 23-7: +6→1566
8	3	at ARI(1460) W 31-24: +1→1549	16	1	at SF(1588) W 33-19: +16→1582

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1489 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at NYJ(1500) L 16-22: -4→1496	9	2	at CIN(1504) L 18-24: -7→1551	17	4	vs NE(1464) W 27-21: -7→1548
2	3	vs LV(1508) W 38-10: +34→1530	10	6	vs DEN(1457) L 22-24: -13→1538	18	4	at MIA(1528) W 21-14: +7→1555
3	1	at WAS(1510) W 37-3: +36→1566	11	5	vs NYJ(1477) W 32-6: +9→1547	W	3	vs PIT(1505) W 31-17: +0→1555
4	1	vs MIA(1563) W 48-20: +25→1591	12	5	at PHI(1552) L 34-37: -2→1545	D	3	vs KC(1531) L 24-27: -10→1545
5	2	at JAX(1486) L 20-25: -17→1574	13	5	(bye)	C	4
6	2	vs NYG(1449) W 14-9: -6→1568	14	4	at KC(1532) W 20-17: +4→1549	S	4
7	2	at NE(1436) L 25-29: -9→1559	15	3	vs DAL(1568) W 31-10: +15→1564
8	1	vs TB(1498) W 24-18: -1→1558	16	3	at LAC(1462) W 24-22: -9→1555

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	at ATL(1500) L 10-24: -9→1491	9	30	vs IND(1486) L 13-27: -8→1446	17	32	at JAX(1494) L 0-26: -8→1436
2	27	vs NO(1505) L 17-20: -8→1483	10	30	at CHI(1459) L 13-16: -1→1445	18	32	vs TB(1510) L 0-9: -1→1435
3	25	at SEA(1500) L 27-37: -9→1474	11	31	vs DAL(1552) L 10-33: -4→1441	W	32
4	28	vs MIN(1480) L 13-21: -11→1463	12	30	at TEN(1474) L 10-17: +1→1442	D	32
5	28	at DET(1529) L 24-42: -8→1455	13	29	at TB(1501) L 18-21: +4→1446	C	32
6	30	at MIA(1542) L 21-42: -7→1448	14	31	at NO(1493) L 6-28: -7→1439	S	32
7	30	(bye)	15	31	vs ATL(1479) W 9-7: +5→1444
8	31	vs HOU(1519) W 15-13: +6→1454	16	31	vs GB(1489) L 30-33: +0→1444

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs GB(1500) L 20-38: -15→1485	9	26	at NO(1509) L 17-24: -1→1459	17	16	vs ATL(1488) W 37-17: +11→1502
2	30	at TB(1505) L 17-27: -9→1476	10	28	vs CAR(1446) W 16-13: +1→1460	18	18	at GB(1507) L 9-17: -4→1498
3	31	at KC(1509) L 10-41: -27→1449	11	27	at DET(1535) L 26-31: +4→1464	W	17
4	32	vs DEN(1440) L 28-31: -8→1441	12	24	at MIN(1507) W 12-10: +10→1474	D	17
5	27	at WAS(1473) W 40-20: +22→1463	13	24	(bye)	C	17
6	28	vs MIN(1486) L 13-19: -6→1457	14	23	vs DET(1522) W 28-13: +13→1487	S	17
7	25	vs LV(1470) W 30-12: +11→1468	15	22	at CLE(1506) L 17-20: +1→1488
8	25	at LAC(1493) L 13-30: -8→1460	16	18	vs ARI(1462) W 27-16: +3→1491

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1521 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	at CLE(1500) L 3-24: -14→1486	9	14	vs BUF(1558) W 24-18: +8→1512	17	17	at KC(1516) L 17-25: -1→1497
2	29	vs BAL(1511) L 24-27: -6→1480	10	14	vs HOU(1513) L 27-30: -5→1507	18	16	vs CLE(1518) W 31-14: +5→1502
3	22	vs LAR(1501) W 19-16: +6→1486	11	16	at BAL(1559) L 20-34: -3→1504	W	16
4	27	at TEN(1477) L 3-27: -23→1463	12	20	vs PIT(1496) L 10-16: -8→1496	D	16
5	24	at ARI(1491) W 34-20: +18→1481	13	13	at JAX(1523) W 34-31: +10→1506	C	16
6	22	vs SEA(1528) W 17-13: +7→1488	14	8	vs IND(1503) W 34-14: +11→1517	S	16
7	22	(bye)	15	9	vs MIN(1500) W 27-24: +0→1517
8	15	at SF(1565) W 31-17: +16→1504	16	15	at PIT(1466) L 11-34: -19→1498

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs CIN(1500) W 24-3: +14→1514	9	10	vs ARI(1459) W 27-0: +11→1525	17	8	vs NYJ(1461) W 37-20: +2→1518
2	13	at PIT(1482) L 22-26: -9→1505	10	9	at BAL(1567) W 33-31: +8→1533	18	10	at CIN(1497) L 14-31: -6→1512
3	6	vs TEN(1501) W 27-3: +24→1529	11	9	vs PIT(1494) W 13-10: -3→1530	W	19	at HOU(1502) L 14-45: -20→1492
4	15	vs BAL(1506) L 3-28: -28→1501	12	10	at DEN(1479) L 12-29: -16→1514	D	19
5	16	(bye)	13	15	at LAR(1499) L 19-36: -11→1503	C	19
6	12	vs SF(1583) W 19-17: +8→1509	14	13	vs JAX(1512) W 31-27: +3→1506	S	19
7	12	at IND(1501) W 39-38: +7→1516	15	13	vs CHI(1487) W 20-17: -1→1505
8	11	at SEA(1524) L 20-24: -2→1514	16	10	at HOU(1494) W 36-22: +11→1516

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at NYG(1500) W 40-0: +29→1529	9	6	at PHI(1543) L 23-28: -4→1540	17	3	vs DET(1529) W 20-19: +1→1552
2	1	vs NYJ(1504) W 30-10: +19→1548	10	3	vs NYG(1444) W 49-17: +12→1552	18	2	at WAS(1444) W 38-10: +9→1561
3	7	at ARI(1484) L 16-28: -21→1527	11	3	at CAR(1445) W 33-10: +4→1556	W	4	vs GB(1511) L 32-48: -22→1539
4	3	vs NE(1492) W 38-3: +27→1554	12	2	vs WAS(1448) W 45-10: +9→1565	D	5
5	7	at SF(1558) L 10-42: -25→1529	13	3	vs SEA(1491) W 41-35: -6→1559	C	5
6	6	at LAC(1502) W 20-17: +4→1533	14	2	vs PHI(1539) W 33-13: +9→1568	S	5
7	7	(bye)	15	4	at BUF(1549) L 10-31: -15→1553
8	4	vs LAR(1500) W 43-20: +11→1544	16	4	at MIA(1542) L 20-22: -2→1551

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs LV(1500) L 16-17: -8→1492	9	28	(bye)	17	22	vs LAC(1471) W 16-9: +2→1485
2	23	vs WAS(1503) L 33-35: -7→1485	10	26	at BUF(1551) W 24-22: +12→1469	18	22	at LV(1502) L 14-27: -5→1480
3	32	at MIA(1517) L 20-70: -45→1440	11	22	vs MIN(1517) W 21-20: +10→1479	W	22
4	31	at CHI(1449) W 31-28: +8→1448	12	21	vs CLE(1530) W 29-12: +16→1495	D	22
5	31	vs NYJ(1473) L 21-31: -9→1439	13	20	at HOU(1507) L 17-22: -1→1494	C	22
6	31	at KC(1541) L 8-19: -2→1437	14	10	at LAC(1503) W 24-7: +15→1509	S	22
7	32	vs GB(1490) W 19-17: +5→1442	15	18	at DET(1509) L 17-42: -14→1495
8	28	vs KC(1549) W 24-9: +15→1457	16	24	vs NE(1452) L 23-26: -12→1483

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at KC(1500) W 21-20: +8→1508	9	8	(bye)	17	6	at DAL(1551) L 19-20: -1→1528
2	18	vs SEA(1486) L 31-37: -14→1494	10	8	at LAC(1516) W 41-38: +4→1535	18	5	vs MIN(1476) W 30-20: -0→1528
3	10	vs ATL(1520) W 20-6: +18→1512	11	8	vs CHI(1460) W 31-26: -5→1530	W	7	vs LAR(1520) W 24-23: +3→1531
4	8	at GB(1514) W 34-20: +17→1529	12	9	vs GB(1489) L 22-29: -12→1518	D	7	vs TB(1521) W 31-23: +2→1533
5	6	vs CAR(1463) W 42-24: +8→1537	13	8	at NO(1497) W 33-28: +4→1522	C	6	at SF(1558) L 31-34: +3→1536
6	4	at TB(1515) W 20-6: +11→1548	14	11	at CHI(1474) L 13-28: -13→1509	S	6
7	8	at BAL(1529) L 6-38: -19→1529	15	8	vs DEN(1509) W 42-17: +14→1523
8	8	vs LV(1459) W 26-14: +2→1531	16	6	at MIN(1500) W 30-24: +6→1529

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at CHI(1500) W 38-20: +15→1515	9	21	vs LAR(1489) W 20-3: +11→1486	17	12	at MIN(1495) W 33-10: +19→1507
2	14	at ATL(1509) L 24-25: -11→1504	10	20	at PIT(1492) L 19-23: -2→1484	18	12	vs CHI(1502) W 17-9: +4→1511
3	9	vs NO(1513) W 18-17: +10→1514	11	20	vs LAC(1512) W 23-20: +5→1489	W	5	at DAL(1561) W 48-32: +22→1533
4	17	vs DET(1512) L 20-34: -17→1497	12	14	at DET(1530) W 29-22: +12→1501	D	6	at SF(1561) L 21-24: +3→1536
5	19	at LV(1463) L 13-17: -7→1490	13	11	vs KC(1542) W 27-19: +9→1510	C	7
6	20	(bye)	14	15	at NYG(1446) L 22-24: -9→1501	S	7
7	23	at DEN(1437) L 17-19: -5→1485	15	21	vs TB(1502) L 20-34: -12→1489
8	24	vs MIN(1501) L 10-24: -10→1475	16	20	at CAR(1444) W 33-30: -1→1488

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at BAL(1500) L 9-25: -11→1489	9	12	vs TB(1499) W 39-37: +0→1513	17	20	vs TEN(1478) W 26-3: +13→1496
2	32	vs IND(1490) L 20-31: -18→1471	10	10	at CIN(1512) W 30-27: +5→1518	18	17	at IND(1489) W 23-19: +6→1502
3	17	at JAX(1492) W 37-17: +27→1498	11	11	vs ARI(1451) W 21-16: -6→1512	W	9	vs CLE(1512) W 45-14: +20→1522
4	10	vs PIT(1499) W 30-6: +22→1520	12	11	vs JAX(1517) L 21-24: -5→1507	D	10	at BAL(1589) L 10-34: -4→1518
5	11	at ATL(1481) L 19-21: -6→1514	13	12	vs DEN(1495) W 22-17: +1→1508	C	10
6	10	vs NO(1511) W 20-13: +5→1519	14	22	at NYJ(1454) L 6-30: -21→1487	S	10
7	11	(bye)	15	20	at TEN(1488) W 19-16: +7→1494
8	12	at CAR(1448) L 13-15: -6→1513	16	23	vs CLE(1505) L 22-36: -11→1483

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs JAX(1500) L 21-31: -10→1490	9	18	at CAR(1454) W 27-13: +8→1494	17	21	vs LV(1507) W 23-20: +4→1489
2	12	at HOU(1489) W 31-20: +18→1508	10	19	at NE(1438) W 10-6: -1→1493	18	21	vs HOU(1496) L 19-23: -6→1483
3	8	at BAL(1517) W 22-19: +11→1519	11	19	(bye)	W	20
4	12	vs LAR(1494) L 23-29: -11→1508	12	17	vs TB(1506) W 27-20: +5→1498	D	20
5	12	vs TEN(1500) W 23-16: +5→1513	13	16	at TEN(1473) W 31-28: +5→1503	C	20
6	16	at JAX(1503) L 20-37: -12→1501	14	19	at CIN(1506) L 14-34: -11→1492	S	20
7	18	vs CLE(1509) L 38-39: -7→1494	15	17	vs PIT(1472) W 30-13: +7→1499
8	22	vs NO(1500) L 27-38: -8→1486	16	21	at ATL(1474) L 10-29: -14→1485

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at IND(1500) W 31-21: +10→1510	9	9	(bye)	17	15	vs CAR(1444) W 26-0: +8→1502
2	19	vs KC(1492) L 9-17: -18→1492	10	13	vs SF(1549) L 3-34: -19→1509	18	19	at TEN(1466) L 20-28: -8→1494
3	30	vs HOU(1471) L 17-37: -27→1465	11	10	vs TEN(1482) W 34-14: +8→1517	W	18
4	20	at ATL(1502) W 23-7: +21→1486	12	8	at HOU(1512) W 24-21: +6→1523	D	18
5	14	at BUF(1591) W 25-20: +17→1503	13	9	vs CIN(1496) L 31-34: -11→1512	C	18
6	11	vs IND(1513) W 37-20: +12→1515	14	12	at CLE(1503) L 27-31: -3→1509	S	18
7	10	at NO(1506) W 31-24: +6→1521	15	15	vs BAL(1560) L 7-23: -6→1503
8	9	at PIT(1496) W 20-10: +7→1528	16	17	at TB(1514) L 12-30: -9→1494

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs DET(1500) L 20-21: -8→1492	9	5	at MIA(1543) W 21-14: +6→1541	17	7	vs CIN(1498) W 25-17: +2→1518
2	11	at JAX(1510) W 17-9: +17→1509	10	5	(bye)	18	9	at LAC(1469) W 13-12: +1→1519
3	4	vs CHI(1476) W 41-10: +27→1536	11	6	vs PHI(1546) L 17-21: -6→1535	W	6	vs MIA(1522) W 26-7: +12→1531
4	5	at NYJ(1474) W 23-20: +0→1536	12	7	at LV(1478) W 31-17: +7→1542	D	4	at BUF(1555) W 27-24: +10→1541
5	4	at MIN(1491) W 27-20: +5→1541	13	7	at GB(1501) L 19-27: -10→1532	C	2	at BAL(1593) W 17-10: +17→1558
6	5	vs DEN(1439) W 19-8: +2→1543	14	7	vs BUF(1545) L 17-20: -4→1528	S	2	at SF(1555) W 25-22: +5→1563
7	3	vs LAC(1499) W 31-17: +6→1549	15	6	at NE(1452) W 27-17: -1→1527
8	7	at DEN(1442) L 9-24: -14→1535	16	9	vs LV(1495) L 14-20: -11→1516

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at DEN(1500) W 17-16: +8→1508	9	25	vs NYG(1458) W 30-6: +13→1470	17	14	at IND(1485) L 20-23: -5→1502
2	31	at BUF(1496) L 10-38: -33→1475	10	24	vs NYJ(1480) W 16-12: +4→1474	18	13	vs DEN(1485) W 27-14: +5→1507
3	29	vs PIT(1491) L 18-23: -8→1467	11	23	at MIA(1537) L 13-20: +4→1478	W	13
4	29	at LAC(1498) L 17-24: -4→1463	12	26	vs KC(1535) L 17-31: -6→1472	D	13
5	26	vs GB(1497) W 17-13: +7→1470	13	25	(bye)	C	13
6	25	vs NE(1436) W 21-17: +0→1470	14	27	vs MIN(1498) L 0-3: -3→1469	S	13
7	28	at CHI(1457) L 12-30: -11→1459	15	19	vs LAC(1488) W 63-21: +26→1495
8	29	at DET(1529) L 14-26: -2→1457	16	13	at KC(1527) W 20-14: +12→1507

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs MIA(1500) L 34-36: -5→1495	9	11	at NYJ(1494) W 27-6: +15→1516	17	27	at DEN(1483) L 9-16: -2→1469
2	22	at TEN(1495) L 24-27: -6→1489	10	12	vs DET(1531) L 38-41: -4→1512	18	28	vs KC(1518) L 12-13: -2→1467
3	18	at MIN(1489) W 28-24: +9→1498	11	13	at GB(1484) L 20-23: -5→1507	W	28
4	14	vs LV(1467) W 24-17: +4→1502	12	13	vs BAL(1562) L 10-20: -3→1504	D	28
5	15	(bye)	13	14	at NE(1439) W 6-0: -1→1503	C	28
6	17	vs DAL(1529) L 17-20: -3→1499	14	20	vs DEN(1494) L 7-24: -15→1488	S	28
7	19	at KC(1543) L 17-31: -6→1493	15	27	at LV(1469) L 21-63: -26→1462
8	16	vs CHI(1468) W 30-13: +8→1501	16	26	vs BUF(1564) L 22-24: +9→1471

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at SEA(1500) W 30-13: +14→1514	9	23	at GB(1475) L 3-20: -11→1478	17	10	at NYG(1455) W 26-25: +1→1513
2	16	vs SF(1518) L 23-30: -13→1501	10	22	(bye)	18	8	at SF(1568) W 21-20: +7→1520
3	20	at CIN(1480) L 16-19: -7→1494	11	21	vs SEA(1506) W 17-16: +7→1485	W	11	at DET(1528) L 23-24: -3→1517
4	13	at IND(1519) W 29-23: +12→1506	12	16	at ARI(1457) W 37-14: +14→1499	D	11
5	17	vs PHI(1532) L 14-23: -8→1498	13	10	vs CLE(1514) W 36-19: +12→1511	C	11
6	13	vs ARI(1473) W 26-9: +10→1508	14	9	at BAL(1565) L 31-37: +4→1515	S	11
7	15	vs PIT(1488) L 17-24: -8→1500	15	11	vs WAS(1431) W 28-20: -7→1508
8	21	at DAL(1533) L 20-43: -11→1489	16	11	vs NO(1505) W 30-22: +4→1512

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at LAC(1500) W 36-34: +5→1505	9	7	at KC(1535) L 14-21: -6→1537	17	5	at BAL(1582) L 19-56: -16→1528
2	6	at NE(1493) W 24-17: +12→1517	10	7	(bye)	18	7	vs BUF(1548) L 14-21: -6→1522
3	2	vs DEN(1485) W 70-20: +46→1563	11	7	vs LV(1474) W 20-13: -4→1533	W	12	at KC(1519) L 7-26: -11→1511
4	4	at BUF(1566) L 20-48: -25→1538	12	6	at NYJ(1468) W 34-13: +9→1542	D	12
5	3	vs NYG(1453) W 31-16: +4→1542	13	4	at WAS(1438) W 45-15: +8→1550	C	12
6	3	vs CAR(1455) W 42-21: +7→1549	14	5	vs TEN(1469) L 27-28: -19→1531	S	12
7	6	at PHI(1531) L 17-31: -9→1540	15	5	vs NYJ(1475) W 30-0: +11→1542
8	5	vs NE(1445) W 31-17: +3→1543	16	5	vs DAL(1553) W 22-20: +2→1544

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs TB(1500) L 17-20: -5→1495	9	13	at ATL(1479) W 31-28: +3→1513	17	24	vs GB(1488) L 10-33: -19→1476
2	21	at PHI(1507) L 28-34: -6→1489	10	11	vs NO(1510) W 27-19: +4→1517	18	23	at DET(1528) L 20-30: +0→1476
3	23	vs LAC(1489) L 24-28: -9→1480	11	12	at DEN(1469) L 20-21: -10→1507	W	23
4	19	at CAR(1474) W 21-13: +11→1491	12	18	vs CHI(1464) L 10-12: -9→1498	D	23
5	22	vs KC(1536) L 20-27: -5→1486	13	17	(bye)	C	23
6	19	at CHI(1463) W 19-13: +6→1492	14	18	at LV(1472) W 3-0: +2→1500	S	23
7	13	vs SF(1574) W 22-17: +9→1501	15	16	at CIN(1517) L 24-27: -0→1500
8	13	at GB(1485) W 24-10: +9→1510	16	16	vs DET(1523) L 24-30: -5→1495

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs PHI(1500) L 20-25: -7→1493	9	32	vs WAS(1455) L 17-20: -4→1438	17	26	at BUF(1555) L 21-27: +7→1471
2	28	vs MIA(1505) L 17-24: -12→1481	10	31	at IND(1494) L 6-10: +1→1439	18	30	vs NYJ(1459) L 3-17: -14→1457
3	21	at NYJ(1484) W 15-10: +11→1492	11	32	(bye)	W	30
4	26	at DAL(1527) L 3-38: -28→1464	12	31	at NYG(1445) L 7-10: -0→1439	D	30
5	32	vs NO(1483) L 0-34: -28→1436	13	31	vs LAC(1504) L 0-6: +1→1440	C	30
6	32	at LV(1470) L 17-21: -0→1436	14	30	at PIT(1484) W 21-18: +12→1452	S	30
7	31	vs BUF(1568) W 29-25: +9→1445	15	29	vs KC(1528) L 17-27: +0→1452
8	32	at MIA(1540) L 17-31: -3→1442	16	27	at DEN(1495) W 26-23: +12→1464

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs TEN(1500) W 16-15: +5→1505	9	15	vs CHI(1460) W 24-17: +1→1510	17	9	at TB(1522) W 23-13: +13→1514
2	8	at CAR(1491) W 20-17: +8→1513	10	16	at MIN(1513) L 19-27: -5→1505	18	6	vs ATL(1477) W 48-17: +14→1528
3	14	at GB(1504) L 17-18: -10→1503	11	15	(bye)	W	8
4	21	vs TB(1495) L 9-26: -20→1483	12	19	at ATL(1472) L 15-24: -8→1497	D	8
5	13	at NE(1464) W 34-0: +28→1511	13	21	vs DET(1518) L 28-33: -4→1493	C	8
6	14	at HOU(1514) L 13-20: -5→1506	14	16	vs CAR(1446) W 28-6: +8→1501	S	8
7	14	vs JAX(1515) L 24-31: -6→1500	15	14	vs NYG(1455) W 24-6: +4→1505
8	14	at IND(1494) W 38-27: +9→1509	16	14	at LAR(1508) L 22-30: -4→1501

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs DAL(1500) L 0-40: -29→1471	9	31	at LV(1457) L 6-30: -14→1444	17	30	vs LAR(1512) L 25-26: -1→1454
2	25	at ARI(1497) W 31-28: +13→1484	10	32	at DAL(1540) L 17-49: -12→1432	18	26	vs PHI(1506) W 27-10: +16→1470
3	28	at SF(1531) L 12-30: -12→1472	11	30	at WAS(1461) W 31-19: +13→1445	W	26
4	30	vs SEA(1509) L 3-24: -19→1453	12	28	vs NE(1439) W 10-7: +1→1446	D	26
5	30	at MIA(1538) L 16-31: -4→1449	13	30	(bye)	C	26
6	29	at BUF(1574) L 9-14: +6→1455	14	29	vs GB(1510) W 24-22: +9→1455	S	26
7	27	vs WAS(1462) W 14-7: +5→1460	15	30	at NO(1501) L 6-24: -3→1452
8	27	vs NYJ(1492) L 10-13: -2→1458	16	30	at PHI(1525) L 25-33: +3→1455

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs BUF(1500) W 22-16: +4→1504	9	22	vs LAC(1501) L 6-27: -14→1480	17	29	at CLE(1516) L 20-37: -2→1459
2	24	at DAL(1529) L 10-30: -20→1484	10	23	at LV(1470) L 12-16: -3→1477	18	25	at NE(1471) W 17-3: +14→1473
3	26	vs NE(1481) L 10-15: -10→1474	11	26	at BUF(1538) L 6-32: -9→1468	W	25
4	24	vs KC(1536) L 20-23: -1→1473	12	27	vs MIA(1533) L 13-34: -9→1459	D	25
5	23	at DEN(1448) W 31-21: +10→1483	13	28	vs ATL(1480) L 8-13: -5→1454	C	25
6	18	vs PHI(1541) W 20-14: +9→1492	14	25	vs HOU(1508) W 30-6: +21→1475	S	25
7	20	(bye)	15	26	at MIA(1531) L 0-30: -11→1464
8	18	vs NYG(1460) W 13-10: +2→1494	16	28	vs WAS(1438) W 30-28: -3→1461

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at NE(1500) W 25-20: +7→1507	9	4	vs DAL(1544) W 28-23: +3→1546	17	13	vs ARI(1460) L 31-35: -15→1506
2	9	vs MIN(1495) W 34-28: +5→1512	10	4	(bye)	18	20	at NYG(1454) L 10-27: -16→1490
3	5	at TB(1514) W 25-11: +20→1532	11	4	at KC(1541) W 21-17: +6→1552	W	21	at TB(1511) L 9-32: -10→1480
4	7	vs WAS(1474) W 34-31: +0→1532	12	4	vs BUF(1547) W 37-34: +2→1554	D	21
5	5	at LAR(1506) W 23-14: +9→1541	13	6	vs SF(1575) L 19-42: -15→1539	C	21
6	7	at NYJ(1483) L 14-20: -10→1531	14	6	at DAL(1559) L 13-33: -9→1530	S	21
7	5	vs MIA(1549) W 31-17: +10→1541	15	7	at SEA(1500) L 17-20: -5→1525
8	6	at WAS(1458) W 38-31: +2→1543	16	8	vs NYG(1452) W 33-25: -4→1521

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs SF(1500) L 7-30: -18→1482	9	19	vs TEN(1492) W 20-16: +3→1492	17	18	at SEA(1508) W 30-23: +12→1496
2	20	vs CLE(1514) W 26-22: +9→1491	10	18	vs GB(1486) W 23-19: +2→1494	18	14	at BAL(1598) W 17-10: +9→1505
3	16	at LV(1475) W 23-18: +8→1499	11	18	at CLE(1533) L 10-13: +2→1496	W	14	at BUF(1555) L 17-31: -0→1505
4	23	at HOU(1498) L 6-30: -22→1477	12	12	at CIN(1504) W 16-10: +9→1505	D	14
5	20	vs BAL(1534) W 17-10: +11→1488	13	22	vs ARI(1443) L 10-24: -21→1484	C	14
6	23	(bye)	14	26	vs NE(1440) L 18-21: -12→1472	S	14
7	17	at LAR(1508) W 24-17: +8→1496	15	25	at IND(1492) L 13-30: -6→1466
8	20	vs JAX(1521) L 10-20: -7→1489	16	22	vs CIN(1517) W 34-11: +18→1484

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at PIT(1500) W 30-7: +18→1518	9	3	(bye)	17	2	at WAS(1441) W 27-10: -4→1568
2	2	at LAR(1514) W 30-23: +13→1531	10	1	at JAX(1528) W 34-3: +19→1568	18	3	vs LAR(1513) L 20-21: -7→1561
3	3	vs NYG(1484) W 30-12: +13→1544	11	1	vs TB(1505) W 27-14: -1→1567	W	2	(bye)
4	2	vs ARI(1505) W 35-16: +14→1558	12	1	at SEA(1499) W 31-13: +8→1575	D	2	vs GB(1533) W 24-21: -3→1558
5	1	vs DAL(1554) W 42-10: +25→1583	13	1	at PHI(1554) W 42-19: +14→1589	C	3	vs DET(1533) W 34-31: -3→1555
6	1	at CLE(1501) L 17-19: -9→1574	14	1	vs SEA(1498) W 28-16: -2→1587	S	3	at KC(1558) L 22-25: -5→1550
7	1	at MIN(1492) L 17-22: -9→1565	15	1	at ARI(1463) W 45-29: +1→1588
8	2	vs CIN(1488) L 17-31: -16→1549	16	2	vs BAL(1566) L 19-33: -16→1572

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs LAR(1500) L 13-30: -14→1486	9	16	at BAL(1549) L 3-37: -18→1508	17	19	vs PIT(1484) L 23-30: -12→1496
2	17	at DET(1508) W 37-31: +14→1500	10	15	vs WAS(1459) W 29-26: -2→1506	18	15	at ARI(1475) W 21-20: +7→1503
3	11	vs CAR(1483) W 37-27: +9→1509	11	17	at LAR(1478) L 16-17: -7→1499	W	15
4	9	at NYG(1472) W 24-3: +19→1528	12	22	vs SF(1567) L 13-31: -8→1491	D	15
5	8	(bye)	13	18	at DAL(1565) L 35-41: +7→1498	C	15
6	9	at CIN(1481) L 13-17: -7→1521	14	17	at SF(1589) L 16-28: +2→1500	S	15
7	9	vs ARI(1463) W 20-10: +3→1524	15	12	vs PHI(1530) W 20-17: +6→1506
8	10	vs CLE(1516) W 24-20: +2→1526	16	12	at TEN(1481) W 20-17: +2→1508

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at MIN(1500) W 20-17: +5→1505	9	17	at HOU(1513) L 37-39: -1→1498	17	11	vs NO(1501) L 13-23: -12→1510
2	7	vs CHI(1485) W 27-17: +9→1514	10	17	vs TEN(1489) W 20-6: +7→1505	18	11	at CAR(1436) W 9-0: +1→1511
3	19	vs PHI(1512) L 11-25: -19→1495	11	14	at SF(1568) L 14-27: +1→1506	W	10	vs PHI(1490) W 32-9: +10→1521
4	11	at NO(1503) W 26-9: +20→1515	12	15	at IND(1493) L 20-27: -5→1501	D	9	at DET(1531) L 23-31: -2→1519
5	10	(bye)	13	19	vs CAR(1442) W 21-18: -5→1496	C	9
6	15	vs DET(1537) L 6-20: -11→1504	14	14	at ATL(1484) W 29-25: +6→1502	S	9
7	16	vs ATL(1475) L 13-16: -6→1498	15	10	at GB(1501) W 34-20: +12→1514
8	17	at BUF(1559) L 18-24: +1→1499	16	7	vs JAX(1503) W 30-12: +8→1522

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at NO(1500) L 15-16: -5→1495	9	20	at PIT(1489) L 16-20: -3→1489	17	28	at HOU(1483) L 3-26: -12→1466
2	15	vs LAC(1495) W 27-24: +6→1501	10	21	at TB(1498) L 6-20: -7→1482	18	24	vs JAX(1502) W 28-20: +8→1474
3	24	at CLE(1505) L 3-27: -24→1477	11	24	at JAX(1509) L 14-34: -8→1474	W	24
4	16	vs CIN(1486) W 27-3: +23→1500	12	25	vs CAR(1441) W 17-10: -1→1473	D	24
5	18	at IND(1508) L 16-23: -6→1494	13	26	vs IND(1498) L 28-31: -4→1469	C	24
6	21	at BAL(1524) L 16-24: -5→1489	14	21	at MIA(1550) W 28-27: +19→1488	S	24
7	21	(bye)	15	23	vs HOU(1487) L 16-19: -7→1481
8	19	vs ATL(1481) W 28-23: +3→1492	16	25	vs SEA(1506) L 17-20: -3→1478

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs ARI(1500) W 20-16: +3→1503	9	27	at NE(1442) W 20-17: +4→1459	17	31	vs SF(1572) L 10-27: +3→1444
2	10	at DEN(1492) W 35-33: +7→1510	10	27	at SEA(1508) L 26-29: +2→1461	18	31	vs DAL(1552) L 10-38: -9→1435
3	27	vs BUF(1530) L 3-37: -36→1474	11	29	vs NYG(1432) L 19-31: -13→1448	W	31
4	25	at PHI(1532) L 31-34: -1→1473	12	32	at DAL(1556) L 10-45: -10→1438	D	31
5	29	vs CHI(1441) L 20-40: -22→1451	13	32	vs MIA(1542) L 15-45: -7→1431	C	31
6	27	at ATL(1487) W 24-16: +11→1462	14	32	(bye)	S	31
7	29	at NYG(1455) L 7-14: -4→1458	15	32	at LAR(1515) L 20-28: +7→1438
8	30	vs PHI(1541) L 31-38: -3→1455	16	32	at NYJ(1464) L 28-30: +3→1441

↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 6 games (weeks 17-22) Kansas City Chiefs: +47 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Green Bay Packers: +48 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 19-21) Detroit Lions: +8 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +27 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) New York Giants: +15 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 13-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -74 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 16-22) San Francisco 49ers: -37 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: -34 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Cleveland Browns: -25 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: -25 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 7, 132-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1568) Tossup favorites at New England Patriots (1436): Patriots win 29-25
2. Week 8, 107-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1549) Tossup favorites at Denver Broncos (1442): Broncos win 24-9
3. Week 5, 105-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1591) 10-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1486): Jaguars win 25-20
4. Week 18, 102-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1598) 19-point favorites vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1496): Steelers win 17-10
5. Week 10, 94-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1551) 14-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1457): Broncos win 24-22
6. Week 7, 82-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1574) Tossup favorites at Minnesota Vikings (1492): Vikings win 22-17
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 1, 40-point differential: New York Giants (1500) Tossup favorites vs Dallas Cowboys (1500): Cowboys win 40-0
2. Week W, 30-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1561) 14-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1511): Packers win 48-32
3. Week 14, 24-point differential: Houston Texans (1508) Tossup favorites vs New York Jets (1454): Jets win 30-6
4. Week 7, 32-point differential: Detroit Lions (1548) Tossup favorites vs Baltimore Ravens (1529): Ravens win 38-6
5. Week 13, 29-point differential: Pittsburgh Steelers (1505) 15-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1443): Cardinals win 24-10
6. Week 14, 20-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1550) 19-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1469): Titans win 28-27
7. Week 18, 26-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1598) 19-point favorites vs Pittsburgh Steelers (1496): Steelers win 17-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +75: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
2. +63: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 22
3. +50: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 22
4. +45: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 20
5. +39: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 19
more...
1. +36: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 21
2. +36: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
3. +28: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 18
4. +19: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
5. +18: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
6. +17: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 19
7. +11: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 19
8. +7: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
9. +5: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
10. +3: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
11. +2: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
12. -2: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 18
13. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
14. -8: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
15. -17: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
16. -20: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 19
17. -20: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
18. -24: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
19. -26: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1474) thru week 18
20. -27: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
21. -30: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1470) thru week 18
22. -32: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
23. -33: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
24. -37: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
25. -43: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
26. -65: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1435) thru week 18
27. -65: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1435) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -65: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1435) thru week 18
2. -65: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1435) thru week 18
3. -43: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
4. -37: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
5. -33: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1467) thru week 18
more...
1. -32: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
2. -30: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1470) thru week 18
3. -27: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
4. -26: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1474) thru week 18
5. -24: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
6. -20: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
7. -20: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 19
8. -17: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
9. -8: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
10. -6: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
11. -2: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1498) thru week 18
12. +2: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
13. +3: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
14. +5: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
15. +7: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
16. +11: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 19
17. +17: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1517) thru week 19
18. +18: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 20
19. +19: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
20. +28: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 18
21. +36: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
22. +36: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 21
23. +39: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1539) thru week 19
24. +45: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 20
25. +50: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 22
26. +63: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 22
27. +75: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 21
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +94: Buffalo Bills (1496) before week 2 → (1591) thru week 4
2. +83: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 5
3. +72: Denver Broncos (1437) before week 7 → (1509) thru week 14
4. +63: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 3
5. +62: Jacksonville Jaguars (1465) before week 4 → (1528) thru week 8
more...
1. +61: Baltimore Ravens (1506) before week 4 → (1567) thru week 9
2. +57: Kansas City Chiefs (1492) before week 2 → (1549) thru week 7
3. +54: Detroit Lions (1494) before week 3 → (1548) thru week 6
4. +54: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 4
5. +50: Las Vegas Raiders (1457) before week 9 → (1507) thru week 16
6. +49: Houston Texans (1471) before week 3 → (1520) thru week 4
7. +48: Green Bay Packers (1488) before week 17 → (1536) thru week 20
8. +48: Cincinnati Bengals (1463) before week 5 → (1512) thru week 9
9. +43: Chicago Bears (1459) before week 10 → (1502) thru week 17
10. +43: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 8
11. +42: Seattle Seahawks (1486) before week 2 → (1528) thru week 4
12. +40: Pittsburgh Steelers (1466) before week 16 → (1505) thru week 18
13. +38: Minnesota Vikings (1480) before week 4 → (1517) thru week 10
14. +38: New York Giants (1432) before week 11 → (1470) thru week 18
15. +37: Los Angeles Rams (1478) before week 10 → (1515) thru week 14
16. +34: New Orleans Saints (1493) before week 14 → (1528) thru week 18
17. +33: Arizona Cardinals (1443) before week 13 → (1475) thru week 17
18. +33: New England Patriots (1438) before week 10 → (1471) thru week 17
19. +32: Cleveland Browns (1501) before week 5 → (1533) thru week 10
20. +29: Indianapolis Colts (1490) before week 2 → (1519) thru week 3
21. +27: Los Angeles Chargers (1489) before week 3 → (1516) thru week 9
22. +26: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1496) before week 14 → (1522) thru week 16
23. +21: New York Jets (1473) before week 5 → (1494) thru week 8
24. +20: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 2
25. +17: Tennessee Titans (1477) before week 4 → (1494) thru week 5
26. +14: Washington Commanders (1431) before week 14 → (1444) thru week 17
27. +5: Carolina Panthers (1439) before week 15 → (1444) thru week 16
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -74: Philadelphia Eagles (1554) before week 13 → (1480) thru week 19
2. -64: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 5
3. -63: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 6
4. -59: Washington Commanders (1510) before week 3 → (1451) thru week 5
5. -59: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 4
more...
1. -58: Arizona Cardinals (1505) before week 4 → (1447) thru week 9
2. -53: Los Angeles Chargers (1516) before week 10 → (1462) thru week 15
3. -53: New York Giants (1484) before week 3 → (1432) thru week 10
4. -52: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 6
5. -52: Buffalo Bills (1591) before week 5 → (1538) thru week 10
6. -52: Las Vegas Raiders (1508) before week 2 → (1457) thru week 8
7. -48: Atlanta Falcons (1520) before week 3 → (1472) thru week 10
8. -44: Jacksonville Jaguars (1510) before week 2 → (1465) thru week 3
9. -41: Minnesota Vikings (1517) before week 11 → (1476) thru week 17
10. -40: New York Jets (1494) before week 9 → (1454) thru week 13
11. -40: Miami Dolphins (1550) before week 14 → (1511) thru week 19
12. -40: Green Bay Packers (1515) before week 2 → (1475) thru week 8
13. -39: Pittsburgh Steelers (1505) before week 13 → (1466) thru week 15
14. -39: Detroit Lions (1548) before week 7 → (1509) thru week 14
15. -38: Cleveland Browns (1530) before week 12 → (1492) thru week 19
16. -37: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 4
17. -37: San Francisco 49ers (1588) before week 16 → (1550) thru week 22
18. -36: Seattle Seahawks (1528) before week 5 → (1491) thru week 12
19. -36: Los Angeles Rams (1514) before week 2 → (1478) thru week 9
20. -35: Houston Texans (1518) before week 11 → (1483) thru week 16
21. -34: Indianapolis Colts (1519) before week 4 → (1486) thru week 8
22. -30: New Orleans Saints (1513) before week 3 → (1483) thru week 4
23. -28: Dallas Cowboys (1568) before week 15 → (1539) thru week 19
24. -27: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 5 → (1473) thru week 12
25. -26: Kansas City Chiefs (1542) before week 13 → (1516) thru week 16
26. -23: Baltimore Ravens (1598) before week 18 → (1575) thru week 21
27. -17: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1515) before week 5 → (1498) thru week 7
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1513
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1513
3. Arizona Cardinals: 1511
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1506
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1506
3. Denver Broncos: 1504
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
5. Washington Commanders: 1503
6. New York Giants: 1503
7. Cleveland Browns: 1503
8. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1501
11. Carolina Panthers: 1501
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1500
13. New England Patriots: 1500
14. Buffalo Bills: 1500
15. New York Jets: 1499
16. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
17. Miami Dolphins: 1498
18. Tennessee Titans: 1498
19. Detroit Lions: 1498
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1494
21. Green Bay Packers: 1493
22. Chicago Bears: 1492
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1492
24. New Orleans Saints: 1491
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1491
26. Houston Texans: 1489
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1488
2. Houston Texans: 1489
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1491
4. New Orleans Saints: 1491
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1492
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1492
2. Green Bay Packers: 1493
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1494
4. Detroit Lions: 1498
5. Tennessee Titans: 1498
6. Miami Dolphins: 1498
7. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
8. New York Jets: 1499
9. Buffalo Bills: 1500
10. New England Patriots: 1500
11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1500
12. Carolina Panthers: 1501
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1501
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
15. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
16. Cleveland Browns: 1503
17. New York Giants: 1503
18. Washington Commanders: 1503
19. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
20. Denver Broncos: 1504
21. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1506
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
23. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
24. Philadelphia Eagles: 1506
25. Arizona Cardinals: 1511
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1513
27. Cincinnati Bengals: 1513
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1521
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1514
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1512
5. New England Patriots: 1508
more...
1. Denver Broncos: 1508
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1507
3. Buffalo Bills: 1505
4. Cleveland Browns: 1505
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
7. Green Bay Packers: 1503
8. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
9. Carolina Panthers: 1499
10. Detroit Lions: 1494
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1494
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1493
13. Tennessee Titans: 1493
14. Houston Texans: 1491
15. Seattle Seahawks: 1487
16. Dallas Cowboys: 1486
17. Kansas City Chiefs: 1484
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1484
19. Las Vegas Raiders: 1484
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1483
21. Chicago Bears: 1481
22. New York Jets: 1481
23. Washington Commanders: 1480
24. New York Giants: 1479
25. New Orleans Saints: 1479
26. Miami Dolphins: 1476
27. Los Angeles Chargers: 1471
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1471
2. Miami Dolphins: 1476
3. New Orleans Saints: 1479
4. New York Giants: 1479
5. Washington Commanders: 1480
more...
1. New York Jets: 1481
2. Chicago Bears: 1481
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1483
4. Las Vegas Raiders: 1484
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1484
6. Kansas City Chiefs: 1484
7. Dallas Cowboys: 1486
8. Seattle Seahawks: 1487
9. Houston Texans: 1491
10. Tennessee Titans: 1493
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1493
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1494
13. Detroit Lions: 1494
14. Carolina Panthers: 1499
15. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
16. Green Bay Packers: 1503
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
18. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
19. Cleveland Browns: 1505
20. Buffalo Bills: 1505
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1507
22. Denver Broncos: 1508
23. New England Patriots: 1508
24. Arizona Cardinals: 1512
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1514
26. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
27. Cincinnati Bengals: 1521

↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	13-19 (13/32, 40.62%)
3	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	20-28 (20/48, 41.67%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	29-35 (29/64, 45.31%)
5	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	37-41 (37/78, 47.44%)
6	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	47-46 (47/93, 50.54%)
7	4-9 (4/13, 30.77%)	51-55 (51/106, 48.11%)
8	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	62-60 (62/122, 50.82%)
9	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	72-64 (72/136, 52.94%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	81-69 (81/150, 54.0%)
11	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	90-74 (90/164, 54.88%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	100-80 (100/180, 55.56%)
13	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	110-83 (110/193, 56.99%)
14	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	117-91 (117/208, 56.25%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	128-96 (128/224, 57.14%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	138-102 (138/240, 57.5%)
17	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	149-107 (149/256, 58.2%)
18	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	157-115 (157/272, 57.72%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	162-116 (162/278, 58.27%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	165-117 (165/282, 58.51%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	166-118 (166/284, 58.45%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	167-118 (167/285, 58.6%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.07" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet over the last 25 seasons. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
- A new blank slate model, "blank-slate-v3.2026.08", was found. This new blank slate model picks 5,454 game winners over the 8,498 games from 1994-2025 (64.19%), which is a nice improvement over the `blank-slate-v1.2024.07` model that picks 5,390 game winners (63.43%) over that span. That's an average of exactly 2 more game winners picked per season.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!

NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

This is the 2023-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

Contents

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

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↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

↑ Atlanta Falcons

↑ Baltimore Ravens

↑ Buffalo Bills

↑ Carolina Panthers

↑ Chicago Bears

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

↑ Cleveland Browns

↑ Dallas Cowboys

↑ Denver Broncos

↑ Detroit Lions

↑ Green Bay Packers

↑ Houston Texans

↑ Indianapolis Colts

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

↑ Los Angeles Rams

↑ Miami Dolphins

↑ Minnesota Vikings

↑ New England Patriots

↑ New Orleans Saints

↑ New York Giants

↑ New York Jets

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

↑ San Francisco 49ers

↑ Seattle Seahawks

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers