NFL Elo Power Rankings 2023

This is the 2023 "Never Lose Elo For a Win" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated where the winning team never loses Elo rating points. If a favorite wins by the expected margin of victory or less, they take 0.0 Elo rating points from their opponent. If a favorite wins by more than the expected margin, they take some number of Elo rating points as calculated by the regular model. If a favorite loses, their opponent takes Elo rating points from them as per the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be slightly less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,151 of 3,259 game winners correctly (66.0%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2023 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2023 Season Summaries by Team
2023 Season Stats and Tidbits
2023 Season Model Accuracy

← 2022 Season 2024 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1789	14-5
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1784 (-7)	14-6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): L 22-25(OT): 1791-7→1784
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1729	12-7
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1702 (+7)	15-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): W 25-22(OT): 1695+7→1702
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1663	12-6
6	Detroit LionsDET	1613	14-6
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1583	11-7
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566	9-8
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563	9-8
10	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554	10-9
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1550	10-9
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527	11-7
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	10-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502	9-8
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	11-7
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1478	7-10
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	7-10
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1473	8-9
20	Houston TexansHOU	1464	11-8
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463	8-9
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438	5-12
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1421	10-8
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1410	9-8
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393	6-11
26	New York JetsNYJ	1389	7-10
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379	7-10
28	New England PatriotsNE	1365	4-13
29	New York GiantsNYG	1363	6-11
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1271	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1243	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1791	14-5	at KC (1695): Win by 3
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1613): W 34-31: 1791+0→1791
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1695): Win by 3 points
2 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1789 (-11)	14-5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1684): L 10-17: 1800-11→1789
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1729	12-7
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1695 (+11)	14-6	at SF (1791): Lose by 3
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1800): W 17-10: 1684+11→1695
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): Lose by 3 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1663	12-6
6	Detroit LionsDET	1613	14-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): L 31-34: 1613+0→1613
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1583	11-7
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566	9-8
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563	9-8
10	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554	10-9
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1550	10-9
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527	11-7
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	10-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502	9-8
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	11-7
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1478	7-10
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	7-10
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1473	8-9
20	Houston TexansHOU	1464	11-8
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463	8-9
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438	5-12
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1421	10-8
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1410	9-8
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393	6-11
26	New York JetsNYJ	1389	7-10
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379	7-10
28	New England PatriotsNE	1365	4-13
29	New York GiantsNYG	1363	6-11
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1271	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1243	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1800 (+14)	14-4	vs KC (1684): Win by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1477): W 34-10: 1786+14→1800
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1684): Win by 8 points
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1791	13-5	vs DET (1613): Win by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): W 24-21: 1791+0→1791
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1613): Win by 8 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1729 (-8)	12-7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1676): L 24-27: 1737-8→1729
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1684 (+8)	13-6	at BAL (1800): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): W 27-24: 1676+8→1684
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1800): Lose by 8 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1663	12-6
6	Detroit LionsDET	1613 (+5)	14-5	at SF (1791): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): W 31-23: 1608+5→1613
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): Lose by 8 points
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1583	11-7
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566	9-8
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563	9-8
10	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554 (-4)	10-9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1608): L 23-31: 1558-4→1554
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1550	10-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): L 21-24: 1550+0→1550
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527	11-7
13	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	10-8
14	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-8
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502	9-8
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	11-7
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1478	7-10
18 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	7-10
19 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473	8-9
20 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1464 (-13)	11-8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1786): L 10-34: 1477-13→1464
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463	8-9
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438	5-12
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1421	10-8
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1410	9-8
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393	6-11
26	New York JetsNYJ	1389	7-10
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379	7-10
28	New England PatriotsNE	1365	4-13
29	New York GiantsNYG	1363	6-11
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1271	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1243	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1791	12-5	vs GB (1550): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Win by 9 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1786	13-4	vs HOU (1477): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1477): Win by 9 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1737 (+11)	12-6	vs KC (1676): Win by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): W 31-17: 1726+11→1737
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1676): Win by 7 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1676 (+24)	12-6	at BUF (1737): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1607): W 26-7: 1652+24→1676
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): Lose by 7 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1663 (-39)	12-6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 32-48: 1702-39→1663
6	Detroit LionsDET	1608	13-5	vs TB (1558): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): W 24-23: 1608+0→1608
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): Win by 7 points
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1583 (-24)	11-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): L 7-26: 1607-24→1583
8	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566	9-8
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563	9-8
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1558 (+28)	10-8	at DET (1608): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): W 32-9: 1530+28→1558
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1608): Lose by 7 points
11 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+38)	10-8	at SF (1791): Lose by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1702): W 48-32: 1512+38→1550
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): Lose by 9 points
12 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1527 (-28)	11-7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): L 9-32: 1555-28→1527
13 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	10-8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1608): L 23-24: 1511+0→1511
14 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-8
15 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502	9-8
16 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496 (-30)	11-7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1447): L 14-45: 1526-30→1496
17	Chicago BearsCHI	1478	7-10
18 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1477 (+30)	11-7	at BAL (1786): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): W 45-14: 1447+30→1477
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1786): Lose by 9 points
19 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475	7-10
20 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473	8-9
21 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463	8-9
22	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438	5-12
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1421 (-11)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1726): L 17-31: 1432-11→1421
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1410	9-8
25	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393	6-11
26	New York JetsNYJ	1389	7-10
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379	7-10
28	New England PatriotsNE	1365	4-13
29	New York GiantsNYG	1363	6-11
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337	4-13
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1271	4-13
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1243	2-15

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1791	12-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): L 20-21: 1791+0→1791
next: (bye)
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1786 (-5)	13-4	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1427): L 10-17: 1791-5→1786
next: (bye)
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1726 (+4)	11-6	vs PIT (1432): Win by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1610): W 21-14: 1722+4→1726
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): Win by 9 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1702 (+20)	12-5	vs GB (1512): Win by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1291): W 38-10: 1682+20→1702
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Win by 8 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1652 (+16)	11-6	vs MIA (1607): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): W 13-12: 1636+16→1652
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1607): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1608 (+10)	12-5	vs LAR (1511): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): W 30-20: 1598+10→1608
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Win by 7 points
7 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1607 (-3)	11-6	at KC (1652): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): L 14-21: 1610-3→1607
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): Lose by 7 points
8 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566 (+23)	9-8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1403): W 48-17: 1543+23→1566
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1563 (+13)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): W 31-14: 1550+13→1563
10 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1555 (-38)	11-6	at TB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1326): L 10-27: 1593-38→1555
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (+7)	9-8	vs PHI (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1251): W 9-0: 1523+7→1530
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1526 (-12)	11-6	at HOU (1447): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): L 14-31: 1538-12→1526
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1447): Tossup
13 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512 (+7)	9-8	at DAL (1702): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): W 17-9: 1505+7→1512
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1702): Lose by 8 points
14	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	10-7	at DET (1608): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): W 21-20: 1511+0→1511
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1608): Lose by 7 points
15 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1337): W 21-20: 1505+0→1505
16 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502 (-13)	9-8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1380): L 20-28: 1515-13→1502
17 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-7)	7-10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1505): L 9-17: 1485-7→1478
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1475 (-10)	7-10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1598): L 20-30: 1485-10→1475
19 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1473 (-25)	8-9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): L 14-27: 1498-25→1473
20 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (+25)	8-9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): W 27-14: 1438+25→1463
21	Houston TexansHOU	1447 (+7)	10-7	vs CLE (1526): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1417): W 23-19: 1440+7→1447
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Tossup
22 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1438 (-16)	5-12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): L 12-13: 1454-16→1438
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1432 (+5)	10-7	at BUF (1726): Lose by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1791): W 17-10: 1427+5→1432
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1726): Lose by 9 points
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1410 (-7)	9-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1440): L 19-23: 1417-7→1410
25 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393 (+13)	6-11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): W 28-20: 1380+13→1393
26 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1389 (+31)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1396): W 17-3: 1358+31→1389
27 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1379 (-24)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): L 17-48: 1403-24→1379
28 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1365 (-31)	4-13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1358): L 3-17: 1396-31→1365
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1363 (+37)	6-11
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1593): W 27-10: 1326+37→1363
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337	4-13
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): L 20-21: 1337+0→1337
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1271 (-20)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1682): L 10-38: 1291-20→1271
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1243 (-8)	2-15
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): L 0-9: 1251-8→1243

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1791 (+12)	12-4	vs LAR (1511): Lose by 3
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1303): W 27-10: 1779+12→1791
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Lose by 3 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1791 (+24)	13-3	vs PIT (1427): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1635): W 56-19: 1767+24→1791
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1427): Tossup
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1722	10-6	at MIA (1610): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1396): W 27-21: 1722+0→1722
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1610): Slight favorite
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1682	11-5	at WAS (1291): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1598): W 20-19: 1682+0→1682
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1291): Win by 8 points
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1636 (+4)	10-6	at LAC (1454): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): W 25-17: 1632+4→1636
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): Lose by 8 points
6 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1610 (-25)	11-5	vs BUF (1722): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1767): L 19-56: 1635-25→1610
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1598	11-5	vs MIN (1485): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1682): L 19-20: 1598+0→1598
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1485): Win by 8 points
8 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1593 (-23)	11-5	at NYG (1326): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1314): L 31-35: 1616-23→1593
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1326): Win by 7 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1550 (-4)	8-8	vs CLE (1538): Win by 10
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1632): L 17-25: 1554-4→1550
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Win by 10 points
10 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1543 (+24)	8-8	vs ATL (1403): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): W 23-13: 1519+24→1543
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1403): Win by 8 points
11 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538 (+20)	11-5	at CIN (1550): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1378): W 37-20: 1518+20→1538
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): Lose by 10 points
12 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (-24)	8-8	at CAR (1251): Win by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): L 13-23: 1547-24→1523
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1251): Win by 7 points
13 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+19)	9-7	at TEN (1380): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1270): W 26-0: 1496+19→1515
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1380): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511	9-7	at SF (1791): Win by 3
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1326): W 26-25: 1511+0→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1791): Win by 3 points
15 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1505 (+40)	8-8	vs CHI (1485): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): W 33-10: 1465+40→1505
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1485): Win by 5 points
16 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505 (-14)	8-8	at ARI (1337): Win by 2
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1413): L 23-30: 1519-14→1505
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1337): Win by 2 points
17 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498	8-8	at LV (1438): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): W 16-9: 1498+0→1498
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1485 (-41)	7-9	at DET (1598): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1465): L 10-33: 1526-41→1485
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1598): Lose by 8 points
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1485 (+28)	7-9	at GB (1505): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): W 37-17: 1457+28→1485
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1505): Lose by 5 points
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1454	5-11	vs KC (1636): Win by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1498): L 9-16: 1454+0→1454
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1636): Win by 8 points
21 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1440 (+30)	9-7	at IND (1417): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1410): W 26-3: 1410+30→1440
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1417): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1438 (-1)	7-9	vs DEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1416): L 20-23: 1439-1→1438
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1427 (+14)	9-7	at BAL (1791): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): W 30-23: 1413+14→1427
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1791): Tossup
24 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417 (+1)	9-7	vs HOU (1440): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): W 23-20: 1416+1→1417
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1440): Slight favorite
25 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1403 (-27)	7-9	at NO (1543): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): L 17-37: 1430-27→1403
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): Lose by 8 points
26 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1396	4-12	vs NYJ (1358): Win by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): L 21-27: 1396+0→1396
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1358): Win by 4 points
27 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1380 (-30)	5-11	vs JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1410): L 3-26: 1410-30→1380
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
28	New York JetsNYJ	1358 (-20)	6-10	at NE (1396): Lose by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): L 20-37: 1378-20→1358
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1396): Lose by 4 points
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1337 (+23)	4-12	vs SEA (1505): Lose by 2
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): W 35-31: 1314+23→1337
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): Lose by 2 points
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1326	5-11	vs PHI (1593): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): L 25-26: 1326+0→1326
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1593): Lose by 7 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1291 (-12)	4-12	vs DAL (1682): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1779): L 10-27: 1303-12→1291
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1682): Lose by 8 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1251 (-19)	2-14	vs TB (1523): Lose by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): L 0-26: 1270-19→1251
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1779 (-40)	11-4	at WAS (1303): Win by 10
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1726): L 19-33: 1819-40→1779
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1303): Win by 10 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1767 (+41)	12-3	vs MIA (1635): Win by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1819): W 33-19: 1726+41→1767
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1635): Win by 8 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1722	9-6	vs NE (1396): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): W 24-22: 1722+0→1722
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1396): Win by 9 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1682 (-3)	10-5	vs DET (1598): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1632): L 20-22: 1685-3→1682
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1598): Win by 7 points
5 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1635 (+3)	11-4	at BAL (1767): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1685): W 22-20: 1632+3→1635
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1767): Lose by 8 points
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1632 (-20)	9-6	vs CIN (1554): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): L 14-20: 1652-20→1632
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): Win by 7 points
7	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616	11-4	vs ARI (1314): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1326): W 33-25: 1616+0→1616
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1314): Win by 10 points
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1598 (+6)	11-4	at DAL (1682): Lose by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): W 30-24: 1592+6→1598
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1682): Lose by 7 points
9 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1554 (-44)	8-7	at KC (1632): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1369): L 11-34: 1598-44→1554
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1632): Lose by 7 points
10 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1547 (+30)	8-7	vs NO (1519): Win by 3
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1526): W 30-12: 1517+30→1547
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1519): Win by 3 points
11 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1526 (-7)	7-8	vs GB (1465): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1592): L 24-30: 1533-7→1526
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1465): Win by 7 points
12 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1519 (+3)	8-7	vs PIT (1413): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1413): W 20-17: 1516+3→1519
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1413): Win by 8 points
13 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1519 (-9)	7-8	at TB (1547): Lose by 3
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): L 22-30: 1528-9→1519
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): Lose by 3 points
14 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+32)	10-5	vs NYJ (1378): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1442): W 36-22: 1486+32→1518
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1378): Win by 8 points
15 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511 (+9)	8-7	at NYG (1326): Win by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): W 30-22: 1502+9→1511
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1326): Win by 7 points
16 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (-17)	7-8	vs LAC (1454): Win by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1379): L 23-26: 1515-17→1498
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): Win by 7 points
17 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (-30)	8-7	vs CAR (1270): Win by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): L 12-30: 1526-30→1496
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1270): Win by 9 points
18	Green Bay PackersGB	1465	7-8	at MIN (1526): Lose by 7
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1270): W 33-30: 1465+0→1465
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1526): Lose by 7 points
19 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (+13)	6-9	vs ATL (1430): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1327): W 27-16: 1444+13→1457
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): Win by 7 points
20 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1454	5-10	at DEN (1498): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): L 22-24: 1454+0→1454
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Lose by 7 points
21 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1439 (+20)	7-8	at IND (1416): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): W 20-14: 1419+20→1439
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1416): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1430 (+34)	7-8	at CHI (1457): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): W 29-10: 1396+34→1430
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Lose by 7 points
23 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1416 (-34)	8-7	vs LV (1439): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): L 10-29: 1450-34→1416
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1439): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1413 (+44)	8-7	at SEA (1519): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): W 34-11: 1369+44→1413
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1519): Lose by 8 points
25 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1410 (-3)	5-10	at HOU (1410): Lose by 3
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): L 17-20: 1413-3→1410
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1410): Lose by 3 points
26 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1410 (-32)	8-7	vs TEN (1410): Win by 3
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): L 22-36: 1442-32→1410
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1410): Win by 3 points
27 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1396 (+17)	4-11	at BUF (1722): Lose by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1515): W 26-23: 1379+17→1396
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): Lose by 9 points
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1378	6-9	at CLE (1518): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1303): W 30-28: 1378+0→1378
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1326	5-10	vs LAR (1511): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): L 25-33: 1326+0→1326
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1314 (-13)	3-12	at PHI (1616): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): L 16-27: 1327-13→1314
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Lose by 10 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1303	4-11	vs SF (1779): Lose by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1378): L 28-30: 1303+0→1303
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1779): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1270	2-13	at JAX (1496): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1465): L 30-33: 1270+0→1270
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1819 (+15)	11-3	vs BAL (1726): Win by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1342): W 45-29: 1804+15→1819
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1726): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1726 (+29)	11-3	at SF (1819): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1556): W 23-7: 1697+29→1726
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1819): Lose by 8 points
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1722 (+34)	8-6	at LAC (1454): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1719): W 31-10: 1688+34→1722
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1454): Win by 8 points
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1685 (-34)	10-4	at MIA (1632): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1688): L 10-31: 1719-34→1685
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1632): Slight underdog
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1652 (+12)	9-5	vs LV (1419): Win by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1391): W 27-17: 1640+12→1652
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Win by 9 points
6 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1632 (+23)	10-4	vs DAL (1685): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1401): W 30-0: 1609+23→1632
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1685): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616 (-7)	10-4	vs NYG (1326): Win by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): L 17-20: 1623-7→1616
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1326): Win by 9 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1598	8-6	at PIT (1369): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): W 27-24(OT): 1598+0→1598
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1369): Win by 7 points
9	Detroit LionsDET	1592 (+32)	10-4	at MIN (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1547): W 42-17: 1560+32→1592
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533	7-7	vs DET (1592): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): L 24-27(OT): 1533+0→1533
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1592): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528 (+20)	7-7	at LAR (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1346): W 24-6: 1508+20→1528
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1526 (-30)	8-6	at TB (1517): Lose by 2
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1697): L 7-23: 1556-30→1526
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): Lose by 2 points
13 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1517 (+38)	7-7	vs JAX (1526): Win by 2
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1502): W 34-20: 1479+38→1517
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1526): Win by 2 points
14 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (+7)	7-7	at TEN (1413): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): W 20-17: 1509+7→1516
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1413): Slight favorite
15 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1515 (-32)	7-7	vs NE (1379): Win by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1560): L 17-42: 1547-32→1515
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1379): Win by 8 points
16	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1502	7-7	vs NO (1528): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1303): W 28-20: 1502+0→1502
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486	9-5	at HOU (1442): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): W 20-17: 1486+0→1486
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1442): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1465 (-37)	6-8	at CAR (1270): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): L 20-34: 1502-37→1465
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1270): Win by 7 points
19 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1454 (-41)	5-9	vs BUF (1722): Lose by 8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): L 21-63: 1495-41→1454
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1722): Lose by 8 points
20 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1450 (+31)	8-6	at ATL (1396): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1400): W 30-13: 1419+31→1450
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1396): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444	5-9	vs ARI (1327): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): L 17-20: 1444+0→1444
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1327): Win by 8 points
22 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1442 (+10)	8-6	vs CLE (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1423): W 19-16(OT): 1432+10→1442
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Slight favorite
23 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419 (+40)	6-8	at KC (1652): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): W 63-21: 1379+40→1419
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): Lose by 9 points
24 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1413 (-10)	5-9	vs SEA (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1432): L 16-19(OT): 1423-10→1413
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1396 (-8)	6-8	vs IND (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1262): L 7-9: 1404-8→1396
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1450): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1379 (-12)	3-11	at DEN (1515): Lose by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): L 17-27: 1391-12→1379
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1515): Lose by 8 points
27 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1378 (-23)	5-9	vs WAS (1303): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1609): L 0-30: 1401-23→1378
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1303): Win by 7 points
28 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1369 (-31)	7-7	vs CIN (1598): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1419): L 13-30: 1400-31→1369
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): Lose by 7 points
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1327 (-15)	3-11	at CHI (1444): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1804): L 29-45: 1342-15→1327
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1326 (-20)	5-9	at PHI (1616): Lose by 9
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): L 6-24: 1346-20→1326
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Lose by 9 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1303	4-10	at NYJ (1378): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): L 20-28: 1303+0→1303
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1378): Lose by 7 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1270 (+8)	2-12	vs GB (1465): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): W 9-7: 1262+8→1270
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1465): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1804 (+10)	10-3	at ARI (1342): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): W 28-16: 1794+10→1804
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1342): Win by 9 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1719 (+29)	10-3	at BUF (1688): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): W 33-13: 1690+29→1719
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1688): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1697	10-3	at JAX (1556): Win by 3
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): W 37-31(OT): 1697+0→1697
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1556): Win by 3 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1688 (+6)	7-6	vs DAL (1719): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1646): W 20-17: 1682+6→1688
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1719): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1640 (-6)	8-5	at NE (1391): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): L 17-20: 1646-6→1640
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1391): Win by 8 points
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1623 (-29)	10-3	at SEA (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1690): L 13-33: 1652-29→1623
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Slight favorite
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1609 (-25)	9-4	vs NYJ (1401): Win by 9
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1398): L 27-28: 1634-25→1609
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1401): Win by 9 points
8 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1598 (+25)	7-6	vs MIN (1533): Win by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1444): W 34-14: 1573+25→1598
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1560 (-40)	9-4	vs DEN (1547): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1404): L 13-28: 1600-40→1560
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1547): Win by 7 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1556 (-5)	8-5	vs BAL (1697): Lose by 3
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): L 27-31: 1561-5→1556
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1697): Lose by 3 points
11 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1547 (+44)	7-6	at DET (1560): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): W 24-7: 1503+44→1547
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1560): Lose by 7 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533	7-6	at CIN (1598): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): W 3-0: 1533+0→1533
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): Lose by 7 points
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509 (-9)	6-7	vs PHI (1623): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1794): L 16-28: 1518-9→1509
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1623): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (+22)	6-7	vs NYG (1346): Win by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): W 28-6: 1486+22→1508
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1346): Win by 9 points
15 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1502 (-11)	6-7	vs TB (1479): Win by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1335): L 22-24: 1513-11→1502
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): Win by 7 points
16	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1502	6-7	vs WAS (1303): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1697): L 31-37(OT): 1502+0→1502
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1303): Win by 9 points
17 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-44)	5-8	at LV (1379): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1503): L 7-24: 1539-44→1495
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): Slight favorite
18	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486 (+5)	8-5	vs CHI (1444): Win by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1561): W 31-27: 1481+5→1486
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Win by 7 points
19 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1479 (+6)	6-7	at GB (1502): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): W 29-25: 1473+6→1479
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1502): Lose by 7 points
20 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444 (+40)	5-8	at CLE (1486): Lose by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): W 28-13: 1404+40→1444
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Lose by 7 points
21 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1432 (-43)	7-6	at TEN (1423): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1358): L 6-30: 1475-43→1432
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1423): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1423 (+25)	5-8	vs HOU (1432): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1634): W 28-27: 1398+25→1423
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1432): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1419 (-25)	7-6	vs PIT (1400): Win by 3
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1573): L 14-34: 1444-25→1419
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1400): Win by 3 points
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1404 (-6)	6-7	at CAR (1262): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): L 25-29: 1410-6→1404
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1262): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1401 (+43)	5-8	at MIA (1609): Lose by 9
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): W 30-6: 1358+43→1401
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1609): Lose by 9 points
26 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1400 (-12)	7-6	at IND (1419): Lose by 3
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1378): L 18-21: 1412-12→1400
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1419): Lose by 3 points
27	New England PatriotsNE	1391 (+13)	3-10	vs KC (1640): Lose by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): W 21-18: 1378+13→1391
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1640): Lose by 8 points
28 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1379	5-8	vs LAC (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): L 0-3: 1379+0→1379
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1346 (+11)	5-8	at NO (1508): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): W 24-22: 1335+11→1346
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Lose by 9 points
30 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1342	3-10	vs SF (1804): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1804): Lose by 9 points
31	Washington CommandersWAS	1303	4-9	at LAR (1502): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1262 (-22)	1-12	vs ATL (1404): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): L 6-28: 1284-22→1262
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1404): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1794 (+40)	9-3	vs SEA (1518): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1692): W 42-19: 1754+40→1794
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): Win by 9 points
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1697	9-3	vs LAR (1502): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1502): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1690	9-3	vs PHI (1652): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): W 41-35: 1690+0→1690
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): Win by 7 points
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1682	6-6	at KC (1646): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1646): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1652 (-40)	10-2	at DAL (1690): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1754): L 19-42: 1692-40→1652
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1690): Lose by 7 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1646 (-20)	8-4	vs BUF (1682): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1493): L 19-27: 1666-20→1646
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): Slight favorite
7	Miami DolphinsMIA	1634 (+25)	9-3	vs TEN (1398): Win by 10
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1329): W 45-15: 1609+25→1634
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1398): Win by 10 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1600 (+1)	9-3	at CHI (1404): Win by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1487): W 33-28: 1599+1→1600
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1404): Win by 5 points
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1573 (+14)	6-6	vs IND (1444): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1575): W 34-31(OT): 1559+14→1573
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1444): Win by 8 points
10 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1561 (-14)	8-4	at CLE (1481): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1559): L 31-34(OT): 1575-14→1561
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Tossup
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1539	5-7	vs DEN (1503): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1378): W 6-0: 1539+0→1539
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1503): Win by 7 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533	6-6	at LV (1379): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): Win by 7 points
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518	6-6	at SF (1794): Lose by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1690): L 35-41: 1518+0→1518
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1794): Lose by 9 points
14 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1513 (+20)	6-6	at NYG (1335): Win by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1666): W 27-19: 1493+20→1513
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1335): Win by 7 points
15	Denver BroncosDEN	1503 (-2)	6-6	at LAC (1539): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1473): L 17-22: 1505-2→1503
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): Lose by 7 points
16 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1502 (+37)	6-6	at BAL (1697): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): W 36-19: 1465+37→1502
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1697): Lose by 9 points
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (-1)	5-7	vs CAR (1284): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1599): L 28-33: 1487-1→1486
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): Win by 9 points
18 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (-37)	7-5	vs JAX (1561): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): L 19-36: 1518-37→1481
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1561): Tossup
19	Houston TexansHOU	1475 (+2)	7-5	at NYJ (1358): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1505): W 22-17: 1473+2→1475
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1358): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1473	5-7	at ATL (1410): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): W 21-18: 1473+0→1473
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1410): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1444 (+11)	7-5	at CIN (1573): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): W 31-28(OT): 1433+11→1444
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1573): Lose by 8 points
22 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1412 (-55)	7-5	vs NE (1378): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1288): L 10-24: 1467-55→1412
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1378): Win by 7 points
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1410 (+10)	6-6	vs TB (1473): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1368): W 13-8: 1400+10→1410
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Slight favorite
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1404	4-8	vs DET (1600): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): Lose by 5 points
25 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1398 (-11)	4-8	at MIA (1634): Lose by 10
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): L 28-31(OT): 1409-11→1398
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1634): Lose by 10 points
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1379	5-7	vs MIN (1533): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1533): Lose by 7 points
27	New England PatriotsNE	1378	2-10	at PIT (1412): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): L 0-6: 1378+0→1378
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1412): Lose by 7 points
28	New York JetsNYJ	1358 (-10)	4-8	vs HOU (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): L 8-13: 1368-10→1358
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1475): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1342 (+54)	3-10	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): W 24-10: 1288+54→1342
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1335	4-8	vs GB (1513): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): Lose by 7 points
31 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1303 (-26)	4-9	bye
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1609): L 15-45: 1329-26→1303
next: (bye)
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1284	1-11	at NO (1486): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): L 18-21: 1284+0→1284
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1754 (+34)	8-3	at PHI (1692): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1553): W 31-13: 1720+34→1754
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1692): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1697 (+19)	9-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1558): W 20-10: 1678+19→1697
next: (bye)
3 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1692	10-1	vs SF (1754): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): W 37-34(OT): 1692+0→1692
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1754): Slight underdog
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1690 (+15)	8-3	vs SEA (1518): Win by 9
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1344): W 45-10: 1675+15→1690
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1518): Win by 9 points
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1682	6-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1692): L 34-37(OT): 1682-0→1682
next: (bye)
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1666 (+24)	8-3	at GB (1493): Win by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): W 31-17: 1642+24→1666
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1493): Win by 7 points
7 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1609 (+36)	8-3	at WAS (1329): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): W 34-13: 1573+36→1609
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1329): Win by 8 points
8 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1599 (-26)	8-3	at NO (1487): Win by 4
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): L 22-29: 1625-26→1599
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1487): Win by 4 points
9 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1575 (+5)	8-3	vs CIN (1559): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): W 24-21: 1570+5→1575
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1559): Win by 7 points
10 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1559 (-26)	5-6	at JAX (1575): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): L 10-16: 1585-26→1559
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1575): Lose by 7 points
11 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1539 (-19)	4-7	at NE (1378): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1678): L 10-20: 1558-19→1539
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1378): Win by 7 points
12 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1533 (-24)	6-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): L 10-12: 1557-24→1533
next: (bye)
13 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1518 (-35)	6-5	at DAL (1690): Lose by 9
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1720): L 13-31: 1553-35→1518
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1690): Lose by 9 points
14 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (-43)	7-4	at LAR (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): L 12-29: 1561-43→1518
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1505 (+43)	6-5	at HOU (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): W 29-12: 1462+43→1505
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1473): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1493 (+25)	5-6	vs KC (1666): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1625): W 29-22: 1468+25→1493
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1666): Lose by 7 points
17 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1487 (-25)	5-6	vs DET (1599): Lose by 4
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1375): L 15-24: 1512-25→1487
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1599): Lose by 4 points
18 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1473 (-2)	4-7	vs CAR (1284): Win by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): L 20-27: 1475-2→1473
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): Win by 9 points
19 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1473 (-4)	6-5	vs DEN (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1570): L 21-24: 1477-4→1473
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1505): Slight favorite
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (+25)	7-4	vs ARI (1288): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1585): W 16-10: 1442+25→1467
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1288): Win by 9 points
21 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1465 (+43)	5-6	vs CLE (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1330): W 37-14: 1422+43→1465
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1518): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1433 (+2)	6-5	at TEN (1409): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): W 27-20: 1431+2→1433
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): Lose by 1 point
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1409	4-7	vs IND (1433): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): W 17-10: 1409+0→1409
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): Win by 1 point
24 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1404 (+25)	4-8	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1557): W 12-10: 1379+25→1404
next: (bye)
25 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1400 (+25)	5-6	at NYJ (1368): Lose by 2
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1512): W 24-15: 1375+25→1400
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1368): Lose by 2 points
26 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1379 (-25)	5-7	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): L 17-31: 1404-25→1379
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1378 (-6)	2-9	vs LAC (1539): Lose by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1329): L 7-10: 1384-6→1378
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): Lose by 7 points
28 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1368 (-36)	4-7	vs ATL (1400): Win by 2
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): L 13-34: 1404-36→1368
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): Win by 2 points
29 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1335 (+6)	4-8	bye
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1384): W 10-7: 1329+6→1335
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1329 (-15)	4-8	vs MIA (1609): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1675): L 10-45: 1344-15→1329
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1609): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1288 (-42)	2-10	at PIT (1467): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1422): L 14-37: 1330-42→1288
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Lose by 9 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1284	1-10	at TB (1473): Lose by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): L 10-17: 1284+0→1284
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1720 (+9)	7-3	at SEA (1553): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): W 27-14: 1711+9→1720
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1553): Win by 7 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1692 (+10)	9-1	vs BUF (1682): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): W 21-17: 1682+10→1692
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1682): Win by 7 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1682 (+20)	6-5	at PHI (1692): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): W 32-6: 1662+20→1682
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1692): Lose by 7 points
4 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1678 (+27)	8-3	at LAC (1558): Win by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1612): W 34-20: 1651+27→1678
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1558): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1675 (+21)	7-3	vs WAS (1344): Win by 11
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1304): W 33-10: 1654+21→1675
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1344): Win by 11 points
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1642 (-10)	7-3	at LV (1404): Win by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): L 17-21: 1652-10→1642
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): Win by 8 points
7	Detroit LionsDET	1625	8-2	vs GB (1468): Win by 9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): W 31-26: 1625+0→1625
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1468): Win by 9 points
8	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1585 (-27)	5-5	vs PIT (1442): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1651): L 20-34: 1612-27→1585
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Win by 9 points
9	Miami DolphinsMIA	1573	7-3	at NYJ (1404): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): W 20-13: 1573+0→1573
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1404): Win by 7 points
10 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1570 (+27)	7-3	at HOU (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): W 34-14: 1543+27→1570
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1561	7-3	at DEN (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): W 13-10: 1561+0→1561
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1558 (-9)	4-6	vs BAL (1678): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1459): L 20-23: 1567-9→1558
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1678): Lose by 6 points
13 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1557 (-10)	6-5	vs CHI (1379): Win by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1452): L 20-21: 1567-10→1557
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): Win by 9 points
14 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1553 (-7)	6-4	vs SF (1720): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1415): L 16-17: 1560-7→1553
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1720): Lose by 7 points
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1512	5-5	at ATL (1375): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1375): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1477	6-4	vs JAX (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1330): W 21-16: 1477+0→1477
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1570): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1475 (-8)	4-6	at IND (1431): Lose by 2
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1711): L 14-27: 1483-8→1475
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): Lose by 2 points
18	Green Bay PackersGB	1468 (+9)	4-6	at DET (1625): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1567): W 23-20: 1459+9→1468
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1625): Lose by 9 points
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1462 (+10)	5-5	vs CLE (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1567): W 21-20: 1452+10→1462
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): Slight underdog
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1442	6-4	at CIN (1585): Lose by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): L 10-13: 1442+0→1442
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1585): Lose by 9 points
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431	5-5	vs TB (1475): Win by 2
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): Win by 2 points
22 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1422 (+7)	4-6	at ARI (1330): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1560): W 17-16: 1415+7→1422
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1330): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1409 (-27)	3-7	vs CAR (1284): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1543): L 14-34: 1436-27→1409
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1284): Win by 9 points
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1404	5-6	vs KC (1642): Lose by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): L 13-20: 1404+0→1404
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1642): Lose by 8 points
25 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1404 (-20)	4-6	vs MIA (1573): Lose by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1662): L 6-32: 1424-20→1404
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): Lose by 7 points
26 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1384	2-8	at NYG (1329): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1329): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1379	3-8	at MIN (1557): Lose by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1625): L 26-31: 1379+0→1379
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1557): Lose by 9 points
28 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1375	4-6	vs NO (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1512): Slight underdog
29 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1344 (-51)	4-7	at DAL (1675): Lose by 11
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1278): L 19-31: 1395-51→1344
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1675): Lose by 11 points
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1330	2-9	vs LAR (1422): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): L 16-21: 1330+0→1330
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1422): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1329 (+51)	3-8	vs NE (1384): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1395): W 31-19: 1278+51→1329
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1384): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1284 (-20)	1-9	at TEN (1409): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1654): L 10-33: 1304-20→1284
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1711 (+47)	6-3	vs TB (1483): Win by 10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1591): W 34-3: 1664+47→1711
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): Win by 10 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1682	8-1	at KC (1652): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): Slight underdog
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1662 (-38)	5-5	vs NYJ (1424): Win by 10
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1414): L 22-24: 1700-38→1662
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): Win by 10 points
4 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1654 (+13)	6-3	at CAR (1304): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1291): W 49-17: 1641+13→1654
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1304): Win by 10 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1652	7-2	vs PHI (1682): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1651 (-27)	7-3	vs CIN (1612): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1534): L 31-33: 1678-27→1651
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1612): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1625 (+5)	7-2	vs CHI (1379): Win by 10
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1572): W 41-38: 1620+5→1625
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): Win by 10 points
8 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1612 (-34)	5-4	at BAL (1651): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1443): L 27-30: 1646-34→1612
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1651): Lose by 7 points
9 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1573	6-3	vs LV (1404): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): Win by 10 points
10 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1567 (+1)	6-4	at DEN (1452): Win by 3
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): W 27-19: 1566+1→1567
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1452): Win by 3 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1567 (-5)	4-5	at GB (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1620): L 38-41: 1572-5→1567
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1459): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1561 (+27)	6-3	vs PIT (1442): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1678): W 33-31: 1534+27→1561
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Win by 8 points
13	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1560	6-3	at LAR (1415): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1395): W 29-26: 1560+0→1560
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1415): Slight favorite
14 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1543 (-48)	6-3	vs TEN (1436): Win by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): L 3-34: 1591-48→1543
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 8 points
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1512 (-1)	5-5	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1566): L 19-27: 1513-1→1512
next: (bye)
16 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1483 (+37)	4-5	at SF (1711): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): W 20-6: 1446+37→1483
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1711): Lose by 10 points
17 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1477 (+34)	5-4	vs ARI (1330): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1646): W 30-27: 1443+34→1477
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1330): Win by 9 points
18 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1459	3-6	vs LAC (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): L 19-23: 1459+0→1459
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1567): Slight underdog
19 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1452 (+38)	4-5	vs MIN (1567): Lose by 3
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1700): W 24-22: 1414+38→1452
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1567): Lose by 3 points
20	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1442	6-3	at CLE (1561): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1459): W 23-19: 1442+0→1442
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1561): Lose by 8 points
21 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-37)	3-6	at JAX (1543): Lose by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): L 6-20: 1473-37→1436
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1543): Lose by 8 points
22 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431	5-5	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1384): W 10-6: 1431+0→1431
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1424	4-5	at BUF (1662): Lose by 10
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): L 12-16: 1424+0→1424
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1662): Lose by 10 points
24 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1415	3-6	vs SEA (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1560): Slight underdog
25	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1404	5-5	at MIA (1573): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): W 16-12: 1404+0→1404
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): Lose by 10 points
26	Washington CommandersWAS	1395	4-6	vs NYG (1278): Win by 8
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1560): L 26-29: 1395+0→1395
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1278): Win by 8 points
27	New England PatriotsNE	1384	2-8	bye
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): L 6-10: 1384-0→1384
next: (bye)
28	Chicago BearsCHI	1379	3-7	at DET (1625): Lose by 10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1304): W 16-13: 1379+0→1379
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1625): Lose by 10 points
29	Atlanta FalconsATL	1375 (-3)	4-6	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1328): L 23-25: 1378-3→1375
next: (bye)
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1330 (+2)	2-8	at HOU (1477): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): W 25-23: 1328+2→1330
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): Lose by 9 points
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1304	1-8	vs DAL (1654): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1379): L 13-16: 1304+0→1304
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1654): Lose by 10 points
32	New York GiantsNYG	1278 (-13)	2-8	at WAS (1395): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1641): L 17-49: 1291-13→1278
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1395): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1700 (-11)	5-4	vs DEN (1414): Win by 11
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1635): L 18-24: 1711-11→1700
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1414): Win by 11 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1682	8-1	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1641): W 28-23: 1682+0→1682
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1678 (+34)	7-2	vs CLE (1534): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1594): W 37-3: 1644+34→1678
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1534): Win by 9 points
4 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1664	5-3	at JAX (1591): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1591): Tossup
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1652	7-2	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): W 21-14: 1652+0→1652
next: (bye)
6 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1646 (+11)	5-3	vs HOU (1443): Win by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): W 24-18: 1635+11→1646
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1443): Win by 10 points
7 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1641	5-3	vs NYG (1291): Win by 12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): L 23-28: 1641+0→1641
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1291): Win by 12 points
8	Detroit LionsDET	1620	6-2	at LAC (1572): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1572): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1591	6-2	vs SF (1664): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1664): Tossup
10 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1573	6-3	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): L 14-21: 1573+0→1573
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1572 (+52)	4-4	vs DET (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): W 27-6: 1520+52→1572
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1620): Slight underdog
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1566	5-4	vs NO (1513): Win by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): W 31-28: 1566+0→1566
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): Win by 8 points
13 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1560 (-34)	5-3	vs WAS (1395): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): L 3-37: 1594-34→1560
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1395): Win by 10 points
14 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1534 (+22)	5-3	at BAL (1678): Lose by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1349): W 27-0: 1512+22→1534
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1678): Lose by 9 points
15 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1513	5-4	at MIN (1566): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): W 24-17: 1513+0→1513
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1566): Lose by 8 points
16 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1473 (-1)	3-5	at TB (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1440): L 16-20: 1474-1→1473
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): Slight underdog
17 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1459 (+41)	3-5	at PIT (1442): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1455): W 20-3: 1418+41→1459
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1442): Lose by 7 points
18 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1446	3-5	vs TEN (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1443): L 37-39: 1446+0→1446
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1473): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1443	4-4	at CIN (1646): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): W 39-37: 1443+0→1443
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1646): Lose by 10 points
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1442 (+2)	5-3	vs GB (1459): Win by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): W 20-16: 1440+2→1442
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1459): Win by 7 points
21 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1431 (+47)	4-5	at NE (1384): Win by 3
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1350): W 27-13: 1384+47→1431
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1384): Win by 3 points
22 (-6)	New York JetsNYJ	1424 (-52)	4-4	at LV (1404): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): L 6-27: 1476-52→1424
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): Lose by 6 points
23 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1415 (-40)	3-6	bye
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1418): L 3-20: 1455-40→1415
next: (bye)
24 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1414	3-5	at BUF (1700): Lose by 11
prev: (bye)
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1700): Lose by 11 points
25 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1404 (+35)	4-5	vs NYJ (1424): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1325): W 30-6: 1369+35→1404
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): Win by 6 points
26 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1395 (+18)	4-5	at SEA (1560): Lose by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1403): W 20-17: 1377+18→1395
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1560): Lose by 10 points
27 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1384 (-19)	2-7	at IND (1431): Lose by 3
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1377): L 17-20: 1403-19→1384
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1431): Lose by 3 points
28 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1379	2-7	vs CAR (1304): Win by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): L 17-24: 1379+0→1379
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1304): Win by 8 points
29 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1378	4-5	at ARI (1328): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1566): L 28-31: 1378+0→1378
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1328): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1328 (-21)	1-8	vs ATL (1378): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): L 0-27: 1349-21→1328
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): Slight favorite
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1304 (-46)	1-7	at CHI (1379): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1384): L 13-27: 1350-46→1304
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1379): Lose by 8 points
32	New York GiantsNYG	1291 (-34)	2-7	at DAL (1641): Lose by 12
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1369): L 6-30: 1325-34→1291
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1641): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1711	5-3	at CIN (1635): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): W 24-18: 1711+0→1711
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1635): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1682	7-1	vs DAL (1641): Win by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1377): W 38-31: 1682+0→1682
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1641): Win by 8 points
3 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1664 (-62)	5-3	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1573): L 17-31: 1726-62→1664
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1652 (-69)	6-2	at MIA (1573): Win by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1345): L 9-24: 1721-69→1652
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1573): Win by 7 points
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1644	6-2	vs SEA (1594): Win by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1349): W 31-24: 1644+0→1644
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1594): Win by 8 points
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1641 (+27)	5-2	at PHI (1682): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1483): W 43-20: 1614+27→1641
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): Lose by 8 points
7 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1635 (+62)	4-3	vs BUF (1711): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1726): W 31-17: 1573+62→1635
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1620 (+9)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1378): W 26-14: 1611+9→1620
next: (bye)
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1594	5-2	at BAL (1644): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): W 24-20: 1594+0→1594
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): Lose by 8 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1591 (+25)	6-2	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): W 20-10: 1566+25→1591
next: (bye)
11	Miami DolphinsMIA	1573 (+24)	6-2	at KC (1652): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): W 31-17: 1549+24→1573
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1652): Lose by 7 points
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1566 (+46)	4-4	at ATL (1378): Win by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1464): W 24-10: 1520+46→1566
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): Win by 8 points
13 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1520 (+31)	3-4	at NYJ (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1411): W 30-13: 1489+31→1520
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1476): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1513 (+33)	4-4	vs CHI (1379): Win by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1417): W 38-27: 1480+33→1513
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): Win by 9 points
15 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512	4-3	vs ARI (1349): Win by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1594): L 20-24: 1512+0→1512
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1349): Win by 10 points
16 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1476	4-3	vs LAC (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1325): W 13-10(OT): 1476+0→1476
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	3-4	at PIT (1440): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): W 28-23: 1474+0→1474
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1440): Lose by 1 point
18 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1455 (-28)	3-5	at GB (1418): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): L 20-43: 1483-28→1455
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1418): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1446	3-4	at HOU (1443): Lose by 4
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): L 18-24: 1446+0→1446
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1443): Lose by 4 points
20 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1443 (-10)	3-4	vs TB (1446): Win by 4
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1340): L 13-15: 1453-10→1443
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): Win by 4 points
21 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1440 (-24)	4-3	vs TEN (1474): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1566): L 10-20: 1464-24→1440
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Win by 1 point
22 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1418 (-46)	2-5	vs LAR (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): L 10-24: 1464-46→1418
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1455): Slight favorite
23 (+7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1414 (+69)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1721): W 24-9: 1345+69→1414
next: (bye)
24 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1403 (-25)	2-6	vs WAS (1377): Win by 8
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1549): L 17-31: 1428-25→1403
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1377): Win by 8 points
25 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1384 (-33)	3-5	at CAR (1350): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): L 27-38: 1417-33→1384
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1350): Lose by 1 point
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1379 (-32)	2-6	at NO (1513): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 13-30: 1411-32→1379
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): Lose by 9 points
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1378	4-4	vs MIN (1566): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): L 23-28: 1378+0→1378
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1566): Lose by 8 points
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1377	3-5	at NE (1403): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): L 31-38: 1377+0→1377
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1403): Lose by 8 points
29 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1369 (-9)	3-5	vs NYG (1325): Win by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1611): L 14-26: 1378-9→1369
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1325): Win by 8 points
30 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1350 (+10)	1-6	vs IND (1384): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): W 15-13: 1340+10→1350
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1384): Win by 1 point
31 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1349	1-7	at CLE (1512): Lose by 10
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): L 24-31: 1349+0→1349
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Lose by 10 points
32	New York GiantsNYG	1325	2-6	at LV (1369): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1476): L 10-13(OT): 1325+0→1325
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1369): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1726 (-24)	5-2	vs CIN (1573): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 17-22: 1750-24→1726
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1573): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1721 (+21)	6-1	at DEN (1345): Win by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): W 31-17: 1700+21→1721
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1345): Win by 9 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1711 (-26)	4-3	vs TB (1446): Win by 10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1401): L 25-29: 1737-26→1711
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1446): Win by 10 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1682 (+31)	6-1	at WAS (1377): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1580): W 31-17: 1651+31→1682
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1377): Win by 8 points
5 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1644 (+53)	5-2	at ARI (1349): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1664): W 38-6: 1591+53→1644
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1349): Win by 9 points
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614	4-2	vs LAR (1483): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1483): Win by 9 points
7 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1611 (-53)	5-2	vs LV (1378): Win by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): L 6-38: 1664-53→1611
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1378): Win by 10 points
8	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1594 (+7)	4-2	vs CLE (1512): Win by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1356): W 20-10: 1587+7→1594
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Win by 8 points
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1573	3-3	at SF (1726): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1726): Lose by 8 points
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1566 (+8)	5-2	at PIT (1464): Win by 2
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): W 31-24: 1558+8→1566
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): Win by 2 points
11 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1549 (-31)	5-2	vs NE (1428): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1651): L 17-31: 1580-31→1549
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1428): Win by 8 points
12 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520 (+23)	3-4	at GB (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1750): W 22-17: 1497+23→1520
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1464): Slight underdog
13	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (+3)	4-2	at SEA (1594): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): W 39-38: 1509+3→1512
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1594): Lose by 8 points
14 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (-21)	2-4	vs CHI (1411): Win by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1700): L 17-31: 1510-21→1489
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1411): Win by 8 points
15 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1483 (-18)	3-4	at DAL (1614): Lose by 9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): L 17-24: 1501-18→1483
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): Lose by 9 points
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480 (-8)	3-4	at IND (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): L 24-31: 1488-8→1480
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1417): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1476	3-3	vs NYG (1325): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1325): Win by 8 points
18 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474	2-4	vs ATL (1378): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1378): Win by 8 points
19 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1464 (+17)	4-2	vs JAX (1566): Lose by 2
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): W 24-17: 1447+17→1464
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1566): Lose by 2 points
20 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1464 (-13)	2-4	vs MIN (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1332): L 17-19: 1477-13→1464
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Slight favorite
21	Houston TexansHOU	1453	3-3	at CAR (1340): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1340): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1446 (-22)	3-3	at BUF (1711): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1356): L 13-16: 1468-22→1446
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1711): Lose by 10 points
23 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1428 (+27)	2-5	at MIA (1549): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): W 29-25: 1401+27→1428
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1549): Lose by 8 points
24	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1417 (-4)	3-4	vs NO (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): L 38-39: 1421-4→1417
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1411 (+50)	2-5	at LAC (1489): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): W 30-12: 1361+50→1411
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Lose by 8 points
26 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1378 (-49)	3-4	at DET (1611): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1361): L 12-30: 1427-49→1378
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1611): Lose by 10 points
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1378 (+22)	4-3	at TEN (1474): Lose by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): W 16-13: 1356+22→1378
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Lose by 8 points
28 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1377 (-6)	3-4	vs PHI (1682): Lose by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1319): L 7-14: 1383-6→1377
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1682): Lose by 8 points
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1349 (-7)	1-6	vs BAL (1644): Lose by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): L 10-20: 1356-7→1349
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1644): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1345 (+13)	2-5	vs KC (1721): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): W 19-17: 1332+13→1345
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1721): Lose by 9 points
31 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1340	0-6	vs HOU (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): Slight underdog
32	New York GiantsNYG	1325 (+6)	2-5	vs NYJ (1476): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1383): W 14-7: 1319+6→1325
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1476): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1750 (-22)	5-1	at MIN (1497): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): L 17-19: 1772-22→1750
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Win by 8 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1737	4-2	at NE (1401): Win by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1319): W 14-9: 1737+0→1737
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1401): Win by 8 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1700 (+8)	5-1	vs LAC (1510): Win by 9
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1340): W 19-8: 1692+8→1700
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Win by 9 points
4 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1664 (+45)	5-1	at BAL (1591): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): W 20-6: 1619+45→1664
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1591): Tossup
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1651 (-20)	5-1	vs MIA (1580): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1455): L 14-20: 1671-20→1651
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1580): Win by 7 points
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614 (+7)	4-2	bye
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): W 20-17: 1607+7→1614
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1591 (+10)	4-2	vs DET (1664): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 24-16: 1581+10→1591
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1664): Tossup
8 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1587 (-5)	3-2	vs ARI (1356): Win by 9
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): L 13-17: 1592-5→1587
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1356): Win by 9 points
9 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1580 (+34)	5-1	at PHI (1651): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): W 42-21: 1546+34→1580
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1651): Lose by 7 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1573 (+5)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1592): W 17-13: 1568+5→1573
next: (bye)
11	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558 (+41)	4-2	at NO (1488): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): W 37-20: 1517+41→1558
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): Tossup
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (-6)	2-3	at KC (1700): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1607): L 17-20: 1516-6→1510
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1700): Lose by 9 points
13 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (+22)	3-2	at IND (1421): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1772): W 19-17: 1487+22→1509
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1421): Slight favorite
14 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (+40)	3-3	vs PIT (1447): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): W 26-9: 1461+40→1501
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): Win by 7 points
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+8)	2-4	vs SF (1750): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1369): W 19-13: 1489+8→1497
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1750): Lose by 8 points
16 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1488 (-7)	3-3	vs JAX (1558): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1446): L 13-20: 1495-7→1488
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): Tossup
17 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1477	2-3	at DEN (1332): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1332): Win by 4 points
18 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1476 (+21)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1671): W 20-14: 1455+21→1476
next: (bye)
19 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (-10)	2-4	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): L 16-24: 1484-10→1474
next: (bye)
20 (-7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1468 (-45)	3-2	vs ATL (1356): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1619): L 6-20: 1513-45→1468
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1356): Win by 8 points
21 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1453 (+7)	3-3	bye
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): W 20-13: 1446+7→1453
next: (bye)
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1447	3-2	at LAR (1501): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Lose by 7 points
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1427	3-3	at CHI (1361): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1401): W 21-17: 1427+0→1427
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1361): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1421 (-41)	3-3	vs CLE (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): L 20-37: 1462-41→1421
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight underdog
25	New England PatriotsNE	1401	1-5	vs BUF (1737): Lose by 8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): L 17-21: 1401+0→1401
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): Lose by 8 points
26 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1383 (+24)	3-3	at NYG (1319): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1381): W 24-16: 1359+24→1383
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1319): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1361 (-8)	1-5	vs LV (1427): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): L 13-19: 1369-8→1361
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1356 (-25)	3-3	at TB (1468): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1359): L 16-24: 1381-25→1356
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): Lose by 8 points
29 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1356 (-40)	1-5	at SEA (1587): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1461): L 9-26: 1396-40→1356
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): Lose by 9 points
30 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1340 (-34)	0-6	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1546): L 21-42: 1374-34→1340
next: (bye)
31	Denver BroncosDEN	1332 (-8)	1-5	vs GB (1477): Lose by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): L 8-19: 1340-8→1332
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): Lose by 4 points
32	New York GiantsNYG	1319	1-5	vs WAS (1383): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): L 9-14: 1319+0→1319
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1383): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1772 (+46)	5-0	at CLE (1487): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1653): W 42-10: 1726+46→1772
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Win by 8 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1737 (-30)	3-2	vs NYG (1319): Win by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1487): L 20-25: 1767-30→1737
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1319): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1692	4-1	vs DEN (1340): Win by 10
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): W 27-20: 1692+0→1692
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1340): Win by 10 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1671 (+19)	5-0	at NYJ (1455): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): W 23-14: 1652+19→1671
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1455): Win by 7 points
5 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1619 (+33)	4-1	at TB (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1407): W 42-24: 1586+33→1619
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1607 (-46)	3-2	at LAC (1516): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1726): L 10-42: 1653-46→1607
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Tossup
7	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1592	3-1	at CIN (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): Slight underdog
8 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1581 (-15)	3-2	at TEN (1484): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): L 10-17: 1596-15→1581
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Win by 7 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1568 (+48)	2-3	vs SEA (1592): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): W 34-20: 1520+48→1568
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1592): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1546 (+31)	4-1	vs CAR (1374): Win by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1349): W 31-16: 1515+31→1546
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1374): Win by 8 points
11 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1517 (+30)	3-2	vs IND (1462): Win by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1767): W 25-20: 1487+30→1517
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1462): Win by 7 points
12 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516	2-2	vs DAL (1607): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1607): Tossup
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513	3-1	vs DET (1619): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1619): Slight underdog
14 (+11)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (+68)	3-2	at HOU (1446): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1469): W 34-0: 1427+68→1495
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1446): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489	1-4	at CHI (1369): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): L 20-27: 1489+0→1489
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1369): Slight favorite
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	2-2	vs SF (1772): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1772): Lose by 8 points
17 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484 (-5)	2-3	at BAL (1581): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): L 16-23: 1489-5→1484
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1581): Lose by 7 points
18 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1477 (-8)	2-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): L 13-17: 1485-8→1477
next: (bye)
19 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1462 (+6)	3-2	at JAX (1517): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): W 23-16: 1456+6→1462
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): Lose by 7 points
20 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1461 (-18)	2-3	vs ARI (1396): Win by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): L 14-23: 1479-18→1461
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1396): Win by 7 points
21 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1455 (+36)	2-3	vs PHI (1671): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1375): W 31-21: 1419+36→1455
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1671): Lose by 7 points
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1447 (+15)	3-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): W 17-10: 1432+15→1447
next: (bye)
23 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1446 (-7)	2-3	vs NO (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1374): L 19-21: 1453-7→1446
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Slight favorite
24 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1427 (+8)	2-3	vs NE (1401): Win by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1485): W 17-13: 1419+8→1427
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1401): Win by 5 points
25 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1401 (-68)	1-4	at LV (1427): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1427): L 0-34: 1469-68→1401
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1427): Lose by 5 points
26 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1396 (-48)	1-4	at LAR (1461): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 20-34: 1444-48→1396
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1461): Lose by 7 points
27 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1381 (+7)	3-2	vs WAS (1359): Win by 2
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): W 21-19: 1374+7→1381
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1359): Win by 2 points
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1374 (-33)	0-5	at MIA (1546): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1586): L 24-42: 1407-33→1374
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1546): Lose by 8 points
29 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1369 (+73)	1-4	vs MIN (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1431): W 40-20: 1296+73→1369
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Slight underdog
30 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1359 (-72)	2-3	at ATL (1381): Lose by 2
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1296): L 20-40: 1431-72→1359
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1381): Lose by 2 points
31 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1340 (-35)	1-4	at KC (1692): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): L 21-31: 1375-35→1340
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): Lose by 10 points
32 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1319 (-30)	1-4	at BUF (1737): Lose by 11
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): L 16-31: 1349-30→1319
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1767 (+43)	3-1	at JAX (1487): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1558): W 48-20: 1724+43→1767
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1487): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1726 (+36)	4-0	vs DAL (1653): Win by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1480): W 35-16: 1690+36→1726
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1653): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1692	3-1	at MIN (1489): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1419): W 23-20: 1692+0→1692
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Win by 7 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1653 (+47)	3-1	at SF (1726): Lose by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1516): W 38-3: 1606+47→1653
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1726): Lose by 7 points
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1652	4-0	at LAR (1479): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1431): W 34-31(OT): 1652+0→1652
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Win by 6 points
6 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1596 (+68)	3-1	at PIT (1432): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1554): W 28-3: 1528+68→1596
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1432): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1592 (+55)	3-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): W 24-3: 1537+55→1592
next: (bye)
8 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1586 (+57)	3-1	vs CAR (1407): Win by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 34-20: 1529+57→1586
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1407): Win by 8 points
9 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (-67)	1-3	at ARI (1444): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1422): L 3-27: 1587-67→1520
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): Tossup
10 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516	2-2	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): W 24-17: 1516+0→1516
next: (bye)
11 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515 (-43)	3-1	vs NYG (1349): Win by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1724): L 20-48: 1558-43→1515
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1349): Win by 8 points
12 (+9)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (+65)	3-1	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): W 26-9: 1448+65→1513
next: (bye)
13 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (+22)	1-3	vs KC (1692): Lose by 7
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): W 21-13: 1467+22→1489
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): Lose by 7 points
14 (+12)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1489 (+67)	2-2	at IND (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1587): W 27-3: 1422+67→1489
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Slight underdog
15 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1487 (+53)	2-2	at BUF (1767): Lose by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1428): W 23-7: 1434+53→1487
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1767): Lose by 8 points
16 (-8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-67)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): L 3-28: 1554-67→1487
next: (bye)
17 (-8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1485 (-57)	2-2	at LV (1419): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 20-34: 1542-57→1485
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Slight favorite
18 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479 (+17)	2-2	vs PHI (1652): Lose by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): W 29-23(OT): 1462+17→1479
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): Lose by 6 points
19 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1469 (-47)	1-3	vs NO (1427): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1606): L 3-38: 1516-47→1469
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1427): Win by 7 points
20 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456 (-18)	2-2	vs TEN (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): L 23-29(OT): 1474-18→1456
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): Slight favorite
21 (+9)	Houston TexansHOU	1453 (+62)	2-2	at ATL (1374): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): W 30-6: 1391+62→1453
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1374): Slight favorite
22 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1444 (-36)	1-3	vs CIN (1520): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1690): L 16-35: 1480-36→1444
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Tossup
23 (-8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1432 (-62)	2-2	vs BAL (1596): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1391): L 6-30: 1494-62→1432
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1596): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1431	2-2	vs CHI (1296): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): L 31-34(OT): 1431+0→1431
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1296): Win by 8 points
25 (-9)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1427 (-66)	2-2	at NE (1469): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1448): L 9-26: 1493-66→1427
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1469): Lose by 7 points
26 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1419	1-3	at DEN (1375): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): L 20-23: 1419+0→1419
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1375): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419	1-3	vs GB (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): L 17-24: 1419+0→1419
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1485): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1407 (-22)	0-4	at DET (1586): Lose by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): L 13-21: 1429-22→1407
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1586): Lose by 8 points
29 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1375 (+7)	1-3	vs NYJ (1419): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1304): W 31-28: 1368+7→1375
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1419): Slight favorite
30 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1374 (-54)	2-2	vs HOU (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1434): L 7-23: 1428-54→1374
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1453): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1349 (-55)	1-3	at MIA (1515): Lose by 8
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): L 3-24: 1404-55→1349
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Lose by 8 points
32	Chicago BearsCHI	1296 (-8)	0-4	at WAS (1431): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1368): L 28-31: 1304-8→1296
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1431): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1724 (+54)	2-1	vs MIA (1558): Win by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1485): W 37-3: 1670+54→1724
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1558): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1692 (+32)	2-1	at NYJ (1419): Win by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1336): W 41-10: 1660+32→1692
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1419): Win by 8 points
3 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1690 (+36)	3-0	vs ARI (1480): Win by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1440): W 30-12: 1654+36→1690
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1480): Win by 8 points
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1652 (+48)	3-0	vs WAS (1431): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): W 25-11: 1604+48→1652
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1431): Win by 8 points
5 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1606 (-61)	2-1	vs NE (1516): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1419): L 16-28: 1667-61→1606
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1516): Win by 7 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1587	1-2	at TEN (1422): Win by 3
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): W 19-16: 1587+0→1587
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1422): Win by 3 points
7 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1558 (+49)	3-0	at BUF (1724): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1417): W 70-20: 1509+49→1558
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1724): Lose by 8 points
8 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1554 (+55)	2-1	vs BAL (1528): Win by 4
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1477): W 27-3: 1499+55→1554
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Win by 4 points
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	2-1	vs DET (1529): Win by 2
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): W 18-17: 1542+0→1542
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1529): Win by 2 points
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1537 (+25)	2-1	at NYG (1404): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): W 37-27: 1512+25→1537
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1404): Slight favorite
11 (+8)	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (+45)	2-1	at GB (1542): Lose by 2
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): W 20-6: 1484+45→1529
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Lose by 2 points
12 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (-25)	2-1	at CLE (1554): Lose by 4
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1449): L 19-22(OT): 1553-25→1528
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1554): Lose by 4 points
13 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1516 (+8)	1-2	at DAL (1606): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1428): W 15-10: 1508+8→1516
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1606): Lose by 7 points
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (+14)	1-2	vs LV (1419): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 28-24: 1502+14→1516
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Win by 7 points
15 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1494 (+10)	2-1	at HOU (1391): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): W 23-18: 1484+10→1494
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1391): Slight favorite
16	New Orleans SaintsNO	1493	2-1	vs TB (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): L 17-18: 1493+0→1493
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1448): Win by 7 points
17 (+12)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1480 (+61)	1-2	at SF (1690): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1667): W 28-16: 1419+61→1480
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1690): Lose by 8 points
18 (+7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (+25)	2-1	vs LAR (1462): Win by 4
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1553): W 22-19(OT): 1449+25→1474
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): Win by 4 points
19 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1467 (-14)	0-3	at CAR (1429): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): L 24-28: 1481-14→1467
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1429): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1462	1-2	at IND (1474): Lose by 4
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1587): L 16-19: 1462+0→1462
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Lose by 4 points
21 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1448 (-48)	2-1	at NO (1493): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): L 11-25: 1496-48→1448
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): Lose by 7 points
22 (-13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1434 (-80)	1-2	at ATL (1428): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1311): L 17-37: 1514-80→1434
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1428): Tossup
23 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1431 (-54)	2-1	at PHI (1652): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1670): L 3-37: 1485-54→1431
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1652): Lose by 8 points
24	Carolina PanthersCAR	1429 (-25)	0-3	vs MIN (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): L 27-37: 1454-25→1429
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): Slight favorite
25 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1428 (-45)	2-1	at JAX (1434): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1484): L 6-20: 1473-45→1428
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1434): Tossup
26 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1422 (-55)	1-2	vs CIN (1587): Lose by 3
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): L 3-27: 1477-55→1422
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1587): Lose by 3 points
27 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1419 (-9)	1-2	vs KC (1692): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): L 10-15: 1428-9→1419
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1692): Lose by 8 points
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419 (-11)	1-2	at LAC (1516): Lose by 7
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): L 18-23: 1430-11→1419
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Lose by 7 points
29 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1404 (-36)	1-2	vs SEA (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1654): L 12-30: 1440-36→1404
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1391 (+80)	1-2	vs PIT (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): W 37-17: 1311+80→1391
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1494): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1368 (-49)	0-3	at CHI (1304): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): L 20-70: 1417-49→1368
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1304): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1304 (-32)	0-3	vs DEN (1368): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1660): L 10-41: 1336-32→1304
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1368): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1670 (+47)	1-1	at WAS (1485): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1477): W 38-10: 1623+47→1670
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1485): Win by 6 points
2 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1667 (+44)	2-0	at ARI (1419): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 30-10: 1623+44→1667
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1419): Win by 7 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1660 (+16)	1-1	vs CHI (1336): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): W 17-9: 1644+16→1660
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1336): Win by 9 points
4 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1654 (+2)	2-0	vs NYG (1440): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1464): W 30-23: 1652+2→1654
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1440): Win by 8 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1604	2-0	at TB (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 34-28: 1604+0→1604
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1587 (-19)	0-2	vs LAR (1462): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): L 24-27: 1606-19→1587
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): Win by 8 points
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1553 (+20)	2-0	vs IND (1449): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1606): W 27-24: 1533+20→1553
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1449): Win by 7 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (-8)	1-1	vs NO (1493): Win by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): L 24-25: 1550-8→1542
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): Win by 7 points
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514 (-16)	1-1	vs HOU (1311): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): L 9-17: 1530-16→1514
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1311): Win by 8 points
10 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1512 (+19)	1-1	vs CAR (1454): Win by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1503): W 37-31(OT): 1493+19→1512
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1454): Win by 7 points
11 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1509 (+19)	2-0	vs DEN (1417): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): W 24-17: 1490+19→1509
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1417): Win by 7 points
12 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (-18)	0-2	at NYJ (1428): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): L 17-24: 1526-18→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1428): Tossup
13 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (-8)	0-2	at MIN (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): L 24-27(OT): 1510-8→1502
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1499 (-4)	1-1	vs TEN (1477): Win by 2
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): L 22-26: 1503-4→1499
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1477): Win by 2 points
15 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1496 (+22)	2-0	vs PHI (1604): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1358): W 27-17: 1474+22→1496
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1493 (+13)	2-0	at GB (1542): Lose by 7
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): W 20-17: 1480+13→1493
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Lose by 7 points
17 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1485 (+9)	2-0	vs BUF (1670): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1426): W 35-33: 1476+9→1485
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1670): Lose by 6 points
18 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (+4)	1-1	at LV (1430): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): W 26-22: 1480+4→1484
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1430): Slight underdog
19 (-6)	Detroit LionsDET	1484 (-19)	1-1	vs ATL (1473): Win by 2
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): L 31-37(OT): 1503-19→1484
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): Win by 2 points
20 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481	0-2	vs LAC (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): L 28-34: 1481+0→1481
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight favorite
21 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1477 (+7)	1-1	at CLE (1499): Lose by 2
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): W 27-24(OT): 1470+7→1477
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): Lose by 2 points
22 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1473 (+8)	2-0	at DET (1484): Lose by 2
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): W 25-24: 1465+8→1473
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1484): Lose by 2 points
23 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1462 (-2)	1-1	at CIN (1587): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1652): L 23-30: 1464-2→1462
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1587): Lose by 8 points
24	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454 (-13)	0-2	at SEA (1512): Lose by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): L 17-20: 1467-13→1454
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1512): Lose by 7 points
25 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1449 (+46)	1-1	at BAL (1553): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1357): W 31-20: 1403+46→1449
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1553): Lose by 7 points
26 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1440 (+14)	1-1	at SF (1654): Lose by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): W 31-28: 1426+14→1440
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1654): Lose by 8 points
27 (-8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1430 (-47)	1-1	vs PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): L 10-38: 1477-47→1430
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
28 (-6)	New York JetsNYJ	1428 (-44)	1-1	vs NE (1508): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1623): L 10-30: 1472-44→1428
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Tossup
29 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1419 (-15)	0-2	vs DAL (1667): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1426): L 28-31: 1434-15→1419
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1667): Lose by 7 points
30 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1417 (-9)	0-2	at MIA (1509): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): L 33-35: 1426-9→1417
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): Lose by 7 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1336 (-22)	0-2	at KC (1660): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1474): L 17-27: 1358-22→1336
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1660): Lose by 9 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1311 (-46)	0-2	at JAX (1514): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1403): L 20-31: 1357-46→1311
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2023 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1652 (+13)	1-0	at LAR (1464): Win by 3
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): W 30-7: 1639+13→1652
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1464): Win by 3 points
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1644 (-5)	0-1	at JAX (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1497): L 20-21: 1649-5→1644
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1623 (+13)	1-0	vs NYJ (1472): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): W 40-0: 1610+13→1623
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1623 (-3)	0-1	vs LV (1477): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1468): L 16-22(OT): 1626-3→1623
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1477): Win by 8 points
5 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1606 (-15)	0-1	vs BAL (1533): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): L 3-24: 1621-15→1606
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Win by 7 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1604 (+2)	1-0	vs MIN (1481): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1528): W 25-20: 1602+2→1604
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Win by 8 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+13)	1-0	at ATL (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1371): W 38-20: 1537+13→1550
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (+9)	1-0	at CIN (1606): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1366): W 25-9: 1524+9→1533
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1606): Lose by 7 points
9 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1530 (+8)	1-0	vs KC (1644): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1411): W 31-21: 1522+8→1530
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1526 (-2)	0-1	vs MIA (1490): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): L 20-25: 1528-2→1526
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Win by 5 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (-3)	0-1	at TEN (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): L 34-36: 1513-3→1510
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1503 (+15)	1-0	at PIT (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1621): W 24-3: 1488+15→1503
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Slight underdog
13	Detroit LionsDET	1503 (+6)	1-0	vs SEA (1493): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1649): W 21-20: 1497+6→1503
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Win by 5 points
14 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (-16)	0-1	at DET (1503): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1449): L 13-30: 1509-16→1493
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1503): Lose by 5 points
15 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (+4)	1-0	at NE (1526): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 36-34: 1486+4→1490
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): Lose by 5 points
16 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481 (-3)	0-1	at PHI (1604): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): L 17-20: 1484-3→1481
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): Lose by 8 points
17 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (-13)	0-1	vs CLE (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1639): L 7-30: 1493-13→1480
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): Slight favorite
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480	1-0	at CAR (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): W 16-15: 1480+0→1480
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1477 (+2)	1-0	at BUF (1623): Lose by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1428): W 17-16: 1475+2→1477
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): Lose by 8 points
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1476	1-0	at DEN (1426): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): W 20-16: 1476+0→1476
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1426): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1474 (+3)	1-0	vs CHI (1358): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): W 20-17: 1471+3→1474
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1358): Win by 7 points
22 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (+4)	1-0	at DAL (1623): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): W 22-16(OT): 1468+4→1472
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1623): Lose by 8 points
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1470	0-1	vs LAC (1510): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): L 15-16: 1470+0→1470
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Slight favorite
24 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1467 (-11)	0-1	vs NO (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): L 10-24: 1478-11→1467
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Slight favorite
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (+11)	1-0	vs GB (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): W 24-10: 1454+11→1465
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Slight underdog
26	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1464 (+15)	1-0	vs SF (1652): Lose by 3
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): W 30-13: 1449+15→1464
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1652): Lose by 3 points
27 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1434	0-1	vs NYG (1426): Win by 1 point
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1476): L 16-20: 1434+0→1434
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1426): Win by 1 point
28 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1426 (-2)	0-1	vs WAS (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): L 16-17: 1428-2→1426
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): Slight favorite
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1426 (-13)	0-1	at ARI (1434): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1610): L 0-40: 1439-13→1426
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): Lose by 1 point
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1403 (-8)	0-1	at HOU (1357): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1522): L 21-31: 1411-8→1403
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1357): Slight underdog
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1358 (-13)	0-1	at TB (1474): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): L 20-38: 1371-13→1358
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1474): Lose by 7 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1357 (-9)	0-1	vs IND (1403): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): L 9-25: 1366-9→1357
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1403): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2023 season:

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1649	0-0	vs DET (1497): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1757-108→1649
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1497): Win by 8 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1639	0-0	at PIT (1493): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1738-99→1639
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1626	0-0	at NYJ (1468): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1717-91→1626
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1468): Slight favorite
4	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1621	0-0	at CLE (1488): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1708-87→1621
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Slight favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1610	0-0	at NYG (1439): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1688-78→1610
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1439): Slight favorite
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1602	0-0	at NE (1528): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1676-74→1602
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1528): Tossup
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1537	0-0	at CHI (1371): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1564-27→1537
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1371): Slight favorite
8	New England PatriotsNE	1528	0-0	vs PHI (1602): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-21→1528
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): Tossup
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524	0-0	vs HOU (1366): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1542-18→1524
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1366): Win by 8 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1522	0-0	at IND (1411): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1538-16→1522
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1411): Slight favorite
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513	0-0	vs MIA (1486): Win by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1523-10→1513
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Win by 4 points
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509	0-0	vs LAR (1449): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1515-6→1509
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1449): Win by 7 points
13	Detroit LionsDET	1497	0-0	at KC (1649): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1495+2→1497
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1649): Lose by 8 points
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	0-0	vs SF (1639): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1488+5→1493
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1639): Slight underdog
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488	0-0	vs CIN (1621): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1480+8→1488
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1621): Slight underdog
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486	0-0	at LAC (1513): Lose by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1476+10→1486
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Lose by 4 points
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1484	0-0	vs TB (1471): Win by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+11→1484
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): Win by 2 points
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480	0-0	vs TEN (1470): Win by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1465+15→1480
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1470): Win by 2 points
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1478	0-0	at ATL (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1463+15→1478
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1454): Slight underdog
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1476	0-0	vs ARI (1434): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1459+17→1476
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): Win by 6 points
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1475	0-0	at DEN (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1458+17→1475
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1428): Slight underdog
22	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1471	0-0	at MIN (1484): Lose by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1450+21→1471
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): Lose by 2 points
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1470	0-0	at NO (1480): Lose by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1448+22→1470
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Lose by 2 points
24	New York JetsNYJ	1468	0-0	vs BUF (1626): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1445+23→1468
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): Slight underdog
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1454	0-0	vs CAR (1478): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1421+33→1454
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): Slight favorite
26	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1449	0-0	at SEA (1509): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1412+37→1449
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Lose by 7 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1439	0-0	vs DAL (1610): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1395+44→1439
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1610): Slight underdog
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1434	0-0	at WAS (1476): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1386+48→1434
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1476): Lose by 6 points
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1428	0-0	vs LV (1475): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1377+51→1428
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1475): Slight favorite
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1411	0-0	vs JAX (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1347+64→1411
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1522): Slight underdog
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1371	0-0	vs GB (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1278+93→1371
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1537): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1366	0-0	at BAL (1524): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1269+97→1366
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2023 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1535 (+167 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1532 \| avg. lost to rating: 1536 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at WAS(1476) L 16-20: +0→1434	9	30	at CLE(1512) L 0-27: -21→1328	17	29	at PHI(1616) W 35-31: +23→1337
2	29	vs NYG(1426) L 28-31: -15→1419	10	30	vs ATL(1378) W 25-23: +2→1330	18	30	vs SEA(1505) L 20-21: +0→1337
3	17	vs DAL(1667) W 28-16: +61→1480	11	30	at HOU(1477) L 16-21: +0→1330	W	30
4	22	at SF(1690) L 16-35: -36→1444	12	31	vs LAR(1422) L 14-37: -42→1288	D	30
5	26	vs CIN(1520) L 20-34: -48→1396	13	29	at PIT(1467) W 24-10: +54→1342	C	30
6	29	at LAR(1461) L 9-26: -40→1356	14	30	(bye)	S	30
7	29	at SEA(1587) L 10-20: -7→1349	15	29	vs SF(1804) L 29-45: -15→1327
8	31	vs BAL(1644) L 24-31: +0→1349	16	30	at CHI(1444) L 16-27: -13→1314

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1450 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1438 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs CAR(1478) W 24-10: +11→1465	9	29	vs MIN(1566) L 28-31: +0→1378	17	25	at CHI(1457) L 17-37: -27→1403
2	22	vs GB(1550) W 25-24: +8→1473	10	29	at ARI(1328) L 23-25: -3→1375	18	27	at NO(1543) L 17-48: -24→1379
3	25	at DET(1484) L 6-20: -45→1428	11	28	(bye)	W	27
4	30	at JAX(1434) L 7-23: -54→1374	12	25	vs NO(1512) W 24-15: +25→1400	D	27
5	27	vs HOU(1453) W 21-19: +7→1381	13	23	at NYJ(1368) W 13-8: +10→1410	C	27
6	28	vs WAS(1359) L 16-24: -25→1356	14	24	vs TB(1473) L 25-29: -6→1404	S	27
7	27	at TB(1468) W 16-13: +22→1378	15	25	at CAR(1262) L 7-9: -8→1396
8	27	at TEN(1474) L 23-28: +0→1378	16	22	vs IND(1450) W 29-10: +34→1430

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1538 (-102 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1561 \| avg. lost to rating: 1461 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs HOU(1366) W 25-9: +9→1533	9	3	vs SEA(1594) W 37-3: +34→1678	17	2	vs MIA(1635) W 56-19: +24→1791
2	7	at CIN(1606) W 27-24: +20→1553	10	6	vs CLE(1534) L 31-33: -27→1651	18	2	vs PIT(1427) L 10-17: -5→1786
3	12	vs IND(1449) L 19-22: -25→1528	11	4	vs CIN(1612) W 34-20: +27→1678	W	2	(bye)
4	6	at CLE(1554) W 28-3: +68→1596	12	2	at LAC(1558) W 20-10: +19→1697	D	1	vs HOU(1477) W 34-10: +14→1800
5	8	at PIT(1432) L 10-17: -15→1581	13	2	(bye)	C	2	vs KC(1684) L 10-17: -11→1789
6	7	at TEN(1484) W 24-16: +10→1591	14	3	vs LAR(1502) W 37-31: +0→1697	S	1
7	5	vs DET(1664) W 38-6: +53→1644	15	2	at JAX(1556) W 23-7: +29→1726
8	5	at ARI(1349) W 31-24: +0→1644	16	2	at SF(1819) W 33-19: +41→1767

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-191 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NYJ(1468) L 16-22: -3→1623	9	1	at CIN(1635) L 18-24: -11→1700	17	3	vs NE(1396) W 27-21: +0→1722
2	1	vs LV(1477) W 38-10: +47→1670	10	3	vs DEN(1414) L 22-24: -38→1662	18	3	at MIA(1610) W 21-14: +4→1726
3	1	at WAS(1485) W 37-3: +54→1724	11	3	vs NYJ(1424) W 32-6: +20→1682	W	3	vs PIT(1432) W 31-17: +11→1737
4	1	vs MIA(1558) W 48-20: +43→1767	12	5	at PHI(1692) L 34-37: -0→1682	D	3	vs KC(1676) L 24-27: -8→1729
5	2	at JAX(1487) L 20-25: -30→1737	13	4	(bye)	C	3
6	2	vs NYG(1319) W 14-9: +0→1737	14	4	at KC(1646) W 20-17: +6→1688	S	3
7	3	at NE(1401) L 25-29: -26→1711	15	3	vs DAL(1719) W 31-10: +34→1722
8	1	vs TB(1446) W 24-18: +0→1711	16	3	at LAC(1454) W 24-22: +0→1722

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (+139 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1428 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at ATL(1454) L 10-24: -11→1467	9	31	vs IND(1384) L 13-27: -46→1304	17	32	at JAX(1496) L 0-26: -19→1251
2	24	vs NO(1480) L 17-20: -13→1454	10	31	at CHI(1379) L 13-16: +0→1304	18	32	vs TB(1523) L 0-9: -8→1243
3	24	at SEA(1512) L 27-37: -25→1429	11	32	vs DAL(1654) L 10-33: -20→1284	W	32
4	28	vs MIN(1467) L 13-21: -22→1407	12	32	at TEN(1409) L 10-17: +0→1284	D	32
5	28	at DET(1586) L 24-42: -33→1374	13	32	at TB(1473) L 18-21: +0→1284	C	32
6	30	at MIA(1546) L 21-42: -34→1340	14	32	at NO(1486) L 6-28: -22→1262	S	32
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs ATL(1404) W 9-7: +8→1270
8	30	vs HOU(1453) W 15-13: +10→1350	16	32	vs GB(1465) L 30-33: +0→1270

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (+98 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1440 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs GB(1537) L 20-38: -13→1358	9	28	at NO(1513) L 17-24: +0→1379	17	19	vs ATL(1430) W 37-17: +28→1485
2	31	at TB(1474) L 17-27: -22→1336	10	28	vs CAR(1304) W 16-13: +0→1379	18	17	at GB(1505) L 9-17: -7→1478
3	32	at KC(1660) L 10-41: -32→1304	11	27	at DET(1625) L 26-31: +0→1379	W	17
4	32	vs DEN(1368) L 28-31: -8→1296	12	24	at MIN(1557) W 12-10: +25→1404	D	17
5	29	at WAS(1431) W 40-20: +73→1369	13	24	(bye)	C	17
6	27	vs MIN(1489) L 13-19: -8→1361	14	20	vs DET(1600) W 28-13: +40→1444	S	17
7	25	vs LV(1427) W 30-12: +50→1411	15	21	at CLE(1486) L 17-20: +0→1444
8	26	at LAC(1489) L 13-30: -32→1379	16	19	vs ARI(1327) W 27-16: +13→1457

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1530 (-57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1558 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at CLE(1488) L 3-24: -15→1606	9	6	vs BUF(1711) W 24-18: +11→1646	17	9	at KC(1632) L 17-25: -4→1550
2	6	vs BAL(1533) L 24-27: -19→1587	10	8	vs HOU(1443) L 27-30: -34→1612	18	9	vs CLE(1538) W 31-14: +13→1563
3	6	vs LAR(1462) W 19-16: +0→1587	11	8	at BAL(1651) L 20-34: -27→1585	W	9
4	9	at TEN(1422) L 3-27: -67→1520	12	10	vs PIT(1442) L 10-16: -26→1559	D	9
5	9	at ARI(1444) W 34-20: +48→1568	13	9	at JAX(1575) W 34-31: +14→1573	C	9
6	10	vs SEA(1592) W 17-13: +5→1573	14	8	vs IND(1444) W 34-14: +25→1598	S	9
7	9	(bye)	15	8	vs MIN(1533) W 27-24: +0→1598
8	7	at SF(1726) W 31-17: +62→1635	16	9	at PIT(1369) L 11-34: -44→1554

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs CIN(1621) W 24-3: +15→1503	9	14	vs ARI(1349) W 27-0: +22→1534	17	11	vs NYJ(1378) W 37-20: +20→1538
2	14	at PIT(1480) L 22-26: -4→1499	10	12	at BAL(1678) W 33-31: +27→1561	18	12	at CIN(1550) L 14-31: -12→1526
3	8	vs TEN(1477) W 27-3: +55→1554	11	11	vs PIT(1442) W 13-10: +0→1561	W	16	at HOU(1447) L 14-45: -30→1496
4	16	vs BAL(1528) L 3-28: -67→1487	12	14	at DEN(1462) L 12-29: -43→1518	D	16
5	16	(bye)	13	18	at LAR(1465) L 19-36: -37→1481	C	16
6	13	vs SF(1772) W 19-17: +22→1509	14	18	vs JAX(1561) W 31-27: +5→1486	S	16
7	13	at IND(1421) W 39-38: +3→1512	15	17	vs CHI(1444) W 20-17: +0→1486
8	15	at SEA(1594) L 20-24: +0→1512	16	14	at HOU(1442) W 36-22: +32→1518

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-151 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1452 \| avg. lost to rating: 1629 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at NYG(1439) W 40-0: +13→1623	9	7	at PHI(1682) L 23-28: +0→1641	17	4	vs DET(1598) W 20-19: +0→1682
2	2	vs NYJ(1472) W 30-10: +44→1667	10	4	vs NYG(1291) W 49-17: +13→1654	18	4	at WAS(1291) W 38-10: +20→1702
3	5	at ARI(1419) L 16-28: -61→1606	11	5	at CAR(1304) W 33-10: +21→1675	W	5	vs GB(1512) L 32-48: -39→1663
4	4	vs NE(1516) W 38-3: +47→1653	12	4	vs WAS(1344) W 45-10: +15→1690	D	5
5	6	at SF(1726) L 10-42: -46→1607	13	3	vs SEA(1518) W 41-35: +0→1690	C	5
6	6	at LAC(1516) W 20-17: +7→1614	14	2	vs PHI(1652) W 33-13: +29→1719	S	5
7	6	(bye)	15	4	at BUF(1688) L 10-31: -34→1685
8	6	vs LAR(1483) W 43-20: +27→1641	16	4	at MIA(1632) L 20-22: -3→1682

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1540 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs LV(1475) L 16-17: -2→1426	9	24	(bye)	17	17	vs LAC(1454) W 16-9: +0→1498
2	30	vs WAS(1476) L 33-35: -9→1417	10	19	at BUF(1700) W 24-22: +38→1452	18	19	at LV(1438) L 14-27: -25→1473
3	31	at MIA(1509) L 20-70: -49→1368	11	19	vs MIN(1567) W 21-20: +10→1462	W	20
4	29	at CHI(1304) W 31-28: +7→1375	12	15	vs CLE(1561) W 29-12: +43→1505	D	19
5	31	vs NYJ(1419) L 21-31: -35→1340	13	15	at HOU(1473) L 17-22: -2→1503	C	19
6	31	at KC(1692) L 8-19: -8→1332	14	11	at LAC(1539) W 24-7: +44→1547	S	19
7	30	vs GB(1477) W 19-17: +13→1345	15	15	at DET(1560) L 17-42: -32→1515
8	23	vs KC(1721) W 24-9: +69→1414	16	16	vs NE(1379) L 23-26: -17→1498

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-77 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at KC(1649) W 21-20: +6→1503	9	8	(bye)	17	7	at DAL(1682) L 19-20: +0→1598
2	19	vs SEA(1493) L 31-37: -19→1484	10	7	at LAC(1572) W 41-38: +5→1625	18	6	vs MIN(1485) W 30-20: +10→1608
3	11	vs ATL(1473) W 20-6: +45→1529	11	7	vs CHI(1379) W 31-26: +0→1625	W	6	vs LAR(1511) W 24-23: +0→1608
4	8	at GB(1542) W 34-20: +57→1586	12	8	vs GB(1468) L 22-29: -26→1599	D	6	vs TB(1558) W 31-23: +5→1613
5	5	vs CAR(1407) W 42-24: +33→1619	13	8	at NO(1487) W 33-28: +1→1600	C	6	at SF(1791) L 31-34: +0→1613
6	4	at TB(1513) W 20-6: +45→1664	14	9	at CHI(1404) L 13-28: -40→1560	S	6
7	7	at BAL(1591) L 6-38: -53→1611	15	9	vs DEN(1547) W 42-17: +32→1592
8	8	vs LV(1378) W 26-14: +9→1620	16	8	at MIN(1533) W 30-24: +6→1598

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1469 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1440 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at CHI(1371) W 38-20: +13→1550	9	17	vs LAR(1455) W 20-3: +41→1459	17	15	at MIN(1526) W 33-10: +40→1505
2	8	at ATL(1465) L 24-25: -8→1542	10	18	at PIT(1442) L 19-23: +0→1459	18	13	vs CHI(1485) W 17-9: +7→1512
3	9	vs NO(1493) W 18-17: +0→1542	11	18	vs LAC(1567) W 23-20: +9→1468	W	11	at DAL(1702) W 48-32: +38→1550
4	17	vs DET(1529) L 20-34: -57→1485	12	16	at DET(1625) W 29-22: +25→1493	D	11	at SF(1791) L 21-24: +0→1550
5	18	at LV(1419) L 13-17: -8→1477	13	14	vs KC(1666) W 27-19: +20→1513	C	11
6	17	(bye)	14	15	at NYG(1335) L 22-24: -11→1502	S	11
7	20	at DEN(1332) L 17-19: -13→1464	15	18	vs TB(1479) L 20-34: -37→1465
8	22	vs MIN(1520) L 10-24: -46→1418	16	18	at CAR(1270) W 33-30: +0→1465

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1455 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1437 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at BAL(1524) L 9-25: -9→1357	9	19	vs TB(1446) W 39-37: +0→1443	17	21	vs TEN(1410) W 26-3: +30→1440
2	32	vs IND(1403) L 20-31: -46→1311	10	17	at CIN(1646) W 30-27: +34→1477	18	21	at IND(1417) W 23-19: +7→1447
3	30	at JAX(1514) W 37-17: +80→1391	11	16	vs ARI(1330) W 21-16: +0→1477	W	18	vs CLE(1526) W 45-14: +30→1477
4	21	vs PIT(1494) W 30-6: +62→1453	12	19	vs JAX(1570) L 21-24: -4→1473	D	20	at BAL(1786) L 10-34: -13→1464
5	23	at ATL(1374) L 19-21: -7→1446	13	19	vs DEN(1505) W 22-17: +2→1475	C	20
6	21	vs NO(1495) W 20-13: +7→1453	14	21	at NYJ(1358) L 6-30: -43→1432	S	20
7	21	(bye)	15	22	at TEN(1423) W 19-16: +10→1442
8	20	at CAR(1340) L 13-15: -10→1443	16	26	vs CLE(1486) L 22-36: -32→1410

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1456 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1428 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs JAX(1522) L 21-31: -8→1403	9	21	at CAR(1350) W 27-13: +47→1431	17	24	vs LV(1439) W 23-20: +1→1417
2	25	at HOU(1357) W 31-20: +46→1449	10	22	at NE(1384) W 10-6: +0→1431	18	24	vs HOU(1440) L 19-23: -7→1410
3	18	at BAL(1553) W 22-19: +25→1474	11	21	(bye)	W	24
4	20	vs LAR(1462) L 23-29: -18→1456	12	22	vs TB(1475) W 27-20: +2→1433	D	24
5	19	vs TEN(1489) W 23-16: +6→1462	13	21	at TEN(1409) W 31-28: +11→1444	C	24
6	24	at JAX(1517) L 20-37: -41→1421	14	23	at CIN(1573) L 14-34: -25→1419	S	24
7	24	vs CLE(1509) L 38-39: -4→1417	15	20	vs PIT(1400) W 30-13: +31→1450
8	25	vs NO(1480) L 27-38: -33→1384	16	23	at ATL(1396) L 10-29: -34→1416

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1467 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at IND(1411) W 31-21: +8→1530	9	9	(bye)	17	13	vs CAR(1270) W 26-0: +19→1515
2	9	vs KC(1644) L 9-17: -16→1514	10	14	vs SF(1664) L 3-34: -48→1543	18	16	at TEN(1380) L 20-28: -13→1502
3	22	vs HOU(1311) L 17-37: -80→1434	11	10	vs TEN(1436) W 34-14: +27→1570	W	15
4	15	at ATL(1428) W 23-7: +53→1487	12	9	at HOU(1477) W 24-21: +5→1575	D	15
5	11	at BUF(1767) W 25-20: +30→1517	13	10	vs CIN(1559) L 31-34: -14→1561	C	15
6	11	vs IND(1462) W 37-20: +41→1558	14	10	at CLE(1481) L 27-31: -5→1556	S	15
7	10	at NO(1488) W 31-24: +8→1566	15	12	vs BAL(1697) L 7-23: -30→1526
8	10	at PIT(1464) W 20-10: +25→1591	16	17	at TB(1517) L 12-30: -30→1496

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1478 (-185 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1455 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs DET(1497) L 20-21: -5→1644	9	5	at MIA(1573) W 21-14: +0→1652	17	5	vs CIN(1554) W 25-17: +4→1636
2	3	at JAX(1530) W 17-9: +16→1660	10	5	(bye)	18	5	at LAC(1454) W 13-12: +16→1652
3	2	vs CHI(1336) W 41-10: +32→1692	11	6	vs PHI(1682) L 17-21: -10→1642	W	4	vs MIA(1607) W 26-7: +24→1676
4	3	at NYJ(1419) W 23-20: +0→1692	12	6	at LV(1404) W 31-17: +24→1666	D	4	at BUF(1737) W 27-24: +8→1684
5	3	at MIN(1489) W 27-20: +0→1692	13	6	at GB(1493) L 19-27: -20→1646	C	4	at BAL(1800) W 17-10: +11→1695
6	3	vs DEN(1340) W 19-8: +8→1700	14	5	vs BUF(1682) L 17-20: -6→1640	S	4	at SF(1791) W 25-22: +7→1702
7	2	vs LAC(1510) W 31-17: +21→1721	15	5	at NE(1391) W 27-17: +12→1652
8	4	at DEN(1345) L 9-24: -69→1652	16	6	vs LV(1419) L 14-20: -20→1632

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+81 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1464 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at DEN(1428) W 17-16: +2→1477	9	25	vs NYG(1325) W 30-6: +35→1404	17	22	at IND(1416) L 20-23: -1→1438
2	27	at BUF(1623) L 10-38: -47→1430	10	25	vs NYJ(1424) W 16-12: +0→1404	18	20	vs DEN(1498) W 27-14: +25→1463
3	28	vs PIT(1484) L 18-23: -11→1419	11	24	at MIA(1573) L 13-20: +0→1404	W	21
4	27	at LAC(1516) L 17-24: +0→1419	12	26	vs KC(1642) L 17-31: -25→1379	D	21
5	24	vs GB(1485) W 17-13: +8→1427	13	26	(bye)	C	21
6	23	vs NE(1401) W 21-17: +0→1427	14	28	vs MIN(1533) L 0-3: +0→1379	S	21
7	26	at CHI(1361) L 12-30: -49→1378	15	23	vs LAC(1495) W 63-21: +40→1419
8	29	at DET(1611) L 14-26: -9→1369	16	21	at KC(1652) W 20-14: +20→1439

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1525 (+12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1433 \| avg. lost to rating: 1563 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs MIA(1486) L 34-36: -3→1510	9	11	at NYJ(1476) W 27-6: +52→1572	17	20	at DEN(1498) L 9-16: +0→1454
2	13	at TEN(1470) L 24-27: -8→1502	10	11	vs DET(1620) L 38-41: -5→1567	18	22	vs KC(1636) L 12-13: -16→1438
3	14	at MIN(1481) W 28-24: +14→1516	11	12	at GB(1459) L 20-23: -9→1558	W	22
4	10	vs LV(1419) W 24-17: +0→1516	12	11	vs BAL(1678) L 10-20: -19→1539	D	22
5	12	(bye)	13	11	at NE(1378) W 6-0: +0→1539	C	22
6	12	vs DAL(1607) L 17-20: -6→1510	14	17	vs DEN(1503) L 7-24: -44→1495	S	22
7	14	at KC(1700) L 17-31: -21→1489	15	19	at LV(1379) L 21-63: -41→1454
8	13	vs CHI(1411) W 30-13: +31→1520	16	20	vs BUF(1722) L 22-24: +0→1454

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1581 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at SEA(1509) W 30-13: +15→1464	9	23	at GB(1418) L 3-20: -40→1415	17	14	at NYG(1326) W 26-25: +0→1511
2	23	vs SF(1652) L 23-30: -2→1462	10	24	(bye)	18	14	at SF(1791) W 21-20: +0→1511
3	20	at CIN(1587) L 16-19: +0→1462	11	22	vs SEA(1560) W 17-16: +7→1422	W	13	at DET(1608) L 23-24: +0→1511
4	18	at IND(1474) W 29-23: +17→1479	12	21	at ARI(1330) W 37-14: +43→1465	D	13
5	20	vs PHI(1652) L 14-23: -18→1461	13	16	vs CLE(1518) W 36-19: +37→1502	C	13
6	14	vs ARI(1396) W 26-9: +40→1501	14	16	at BAL(1697) L 31-37: +0→1502	S	13
7	15	vs PIT(1447) L 17-24: -18→1483	15	16	vs WAS(1303) W 28-20: +0→1502
8	18	at DAL(1614) L 20-43: -28→1455	16	15	vs NO(1528) W 30-22: +9→1511

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (-55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1439 \| avg. lost to rating: 1652 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at LAC(1513) W 36-34: +4→1490	9	10	at KC(1652) L 14-21: +0→1573	17	6	at BAL(1767) L 19-56: -25→1610
2	11	at NE(1526) W 24-17: +19→1509	10	9	(bye)	18	7	vs BUF(1722) L 14-21: -3→1607
3	7	vs DEN(1417) W 70-20: +49→1558	11	9	vs LV(1404) W 20-13: +0→1573	W	7	at KC(1652) L 7-26: -24→1583
4	11	at BUF(1724) L 20-48: -43→1515	12	7	at NYJ(1404) W 34-13: +36→1609	D	7
5	10	vs NYG(1349) W 31-16: +31→1546	13	7	at WAS(1329) W 45-15: +25→1634	C	7
6	9	vs CAR(1374) W 42-21: +34→1580	14	7	vs TEN(1398) L 27-28: -25→1609	S	7
7	11	at PHI(1651) L 17-31: -31→1549	15	6	vs NYJ(1401) W 30-0: +23→1632
8	11	vs NE(1428) W 31-17: +24→1573	16	5	vs DAL(1685) W 22-20: +3→1635

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs TB(1471) L 17-20: -3→1481	9	12	at ATL(1378) W 31-28: +0→1566	17	18	vs GB(1465) L 10-33: -41→1485
2	20	at PHI(1604) L 28-34: +0→1481	10	10	vs NO(1513) W 27-19: +1→1567	18	18	at DET(1598) L 20-30: -10→1475
3	19	vs LAC(1502) L 24-28: -14→1467	11	13	at DEN(1452) L 20-21: -10→1557	W	19
4	13	at CAR(1429) W 21-13: +22→1489	12	12	vs CHI(1379) L 10-12: -24→1533	D	18
5	15	vs KC(1692) L 20-27: +0→1489	13	12	(bye)	C	18
6	15	at CHI(1369) W 19-13: +8→1497	14	12	at LV(1379) W 3-0: +0→1533	S	18
7	12	vs SF(1750) W 22-17: +23→1520	15	10	at CIN(1598) L 24-27: +0→1533
8	12	at GB(1464) W 24-10: +46→1566	16	11	vs DET(1592) L 24-30: -7→1526

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1523 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs PHI(1602) L 20-25: -2→1526	9	27	vs WAS(1377) L 17-20: -19→1384	17	26	at BUF(1722) L 21-27: +0→1396
2	12	vs MIA(1490) L 17-24: -18→1508	10	27	at IND(1431) L 6-10: -0→1384	18	28	vs NYJ(1358) L 3-17: -31→1365
3	13	at NYJ(1428) W 15-10: +8→1516	11	26	(bye)	W	28
4	19	at DAL(1606) L 3-38: -47→1469	12	27	at NYG(1329) L 7-10: -6→1378	D	28
5	25	vs NO(1427) L 0-34: -68→1401	13	27	vs LAC(1539) L 0-6: +0→1378	C	28
6	25	at LV(1427) L 17-21: +0→1401	14	27	at PIT(1412) W 21-18: +13→1391	S	28
7	23	vs BUF(1737) W 29-25: +27→1428	15	26	vs KC(1640) L 17-27: -12→1379
8	24	at MIA(1549) L 17-31: -25→1403	16	27	at DEN(1515) W 26-23: +17→1396

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1460 (-37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1420 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs TEN(1470) W 16-15: +0→1480	9	15	vs CHI(1379) W 24-17: +0→1513	17	10	at TB(1547) W 23-13: +24→1543
2	16	at CAR(1467) W 20-17: +13→1493	10	15	at MIN(1566) L 19-27: -1→1512	18	8	vs ATL(1403) W 48-17: +23→1566
3	16	at GB(1542) L 17-18: +0→1493	11	15	(bye)	W	8
4	25	vs TB(1448) L 9-26: -66→1427	12	17	at ATL(1375) L 15-24: -25→1487	D	8
5	14	at NE(1469) W 34-0: +68→1495	13	17	vs DET(1599) L 28-33: -1→1486	C	8
6	16	at HOU(1446) L 13-20: -7→1488	14	14	vs CAR(1284) W 28-6: +22→1508	S	8
7	16	vs JAX(1558) L 24-31: -8→1480	15	11	vs NYG(1346) W 24-6: +20→1528
8	14	at IND(1417) W 38-27: +33→1513	16	13	at LAR(1502) L 22-30: -9→1519

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1522 (+175 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1450 \| avg. lost to rating: 1561 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs DAL(1610) L 0-40: -13→1426	9	32	at LV(1369) L 6-30: -34→1291	17	30	vs LAR(1511) L 25-26: +0→1326
2	26	at ARI(1434) W 31-28: +14→1440	10	32	at DAL(1641) L 17-49: -13→1278	18	29	vs PHI(1593) W 27-10: +37→1363
3	29	at SF(1654) L 12-30: -36→1404	11	31	at WAS(1395) W 31-19: +51→1329	W	29
4	31	vs SEA(1537) L 3-24: -55→1349	12	29	vs NE(1384) W 10-7: +6→1335	D	29
5	32	at MIA(1515) L 16-31: -30→1319	13	30	(bye)	C	29
6	32	at BUF(1737) L 9-14: +0→1319	14	29	vs GB(1513) W 24-22: +11→1346	S	29
7	32	vs WAS(1383) W 14-7: +6→1325	15	30	at NO(1508) L 6-24: -20→1326
8	32	vs NYJ(1476) L 10-13: +0→1325	16	29	at PHI(1616) L 25-33: +0→1326

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+93 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1551 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs BUF(1626) W 22-16: +4→1472	9	22	vs LAC(1520) L 6-27: -52→1424	17	28	at CLE(1518) L 20-37: -20→1358
2	28	at DAL(1623) L 10-30: -44→1428	10	23	at LV(1404) L 12-16: +0→1424	18	26	at NE(1396) W 17-3: +31→1389
3	27	vs NE(1508) L 10-15: -9→1419	11	25	at BUF(1662) L 6-32: -20→1404	W	26
4	26	vs KC(1692) L 20-23: +0→1419	12	28	vs MIA(1573) L 13-34: -36→1368	D	26
5	21	at DEN(1375) W 31-21: +36→1455	13	28	vs ATL(1400) L 8-13: -10→1358	C	26
6	18	vs PHI(1671) W 20-14: +21→1476	14	25	vs HOU(1475) W 30-6: +43→1401	S	26
7	17	(bye)	15	27	at MIA(1609) L 0-30: -23→1378
8	16	vs NYG(1325) W 13-10: +0→1476	16	28	vs WAS(1303) W 30-28: +0→1378

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-132 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1516 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NE(1528) W 25-20: +2→1604	9	2	vs DAL(1641) W 28-23: +0→1682	17	8	vs ARI(1314) L 31-35: -23→1593
2	5	vs MIN(1481) W 34-28: +0→1604	10	2	(bye)	18	10	at NYG(1326) L 10-27: -38→1555
3	4	at TB(1496) W 25-11: +48→1652	11	2	at KC(1652) W 21-17: +10→1692	W	12	at TB(1530) L 9-32: -28→1527
4	5	vs WAS(1431) W 34-31: +0→1652	12	3	vs BUF(1682) W 37-34: +0→1692	D	12
5	4	at LAR(1479) W 23-14: +19→1671	13	5	vs SF(1754) L 19-42: -40→1652	C	12
6	5	at NYJ(1455) L 14-20: -20→1651	14	6	at DAL(1690) L 13-33: -29→1623	S	12
7	4	vs MIA(1580) W 31-17: +31→1682	15	7	at SEA(1509) L 17-20: -7→1616
8	2	at WAS(1377) W 38-31: +0→1682	16	7	vs NYG(1326) W 33-25: +0→1616

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1545 \| avg. lost to rating: 1463 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs SF(1639) L 7-30: -13→1480	9	20	vs TEN(1474) W 20-16: +2→1442	17	23	at SEA(1519) W 30-23: +14→1427
2	18	vs CLE(1503) W 26-22: +4→1484	10	20	vs GB(1459) W 23-19: +0→1442	18	23	at BAL(1791) W 17-10: +5→1432
3	15	at LV(1430) W 23-18: +10→1494	11	20	at CLE(1561) L 10-13: +0→1442	W	23	at BUF(1726) L 17-31: -11→1421
4	23	at HOU(1391) L 6-30: -62→1432	12	20	at CIN(1585) W 16-10: +25→1467	D	23
5	22	vs BAL(1596) W 17-10: +15→1447	13	22	vs ARI(1288) L 10-24: -55→1412	C	23
6	22	(bye)	14	26	vs NE(1378) L 18-21: -12→1400	S	23
7	19	at LAR(1501) W 24-17: +17→1464	15	28	at IND(1419) L 13-30: -31→1369
8	21	vs JAX(1566) L 10-20: -24→1440	16	24	vs CIN(1598) W 34-11: +44→1413

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (-214 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1559 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at PIT(1493) W 30-7: +13→1652	9	4	(bye)	17	1	at WAS(1303) W 27-10: +12→1791
2	4	at LAR(1464) W 30-23: +2→1654	10	1	at JAX(1591) W 34-3: +47→1711	18	1	vs LAR(1511) L 20-21: +0→1791
3	3	vs NYG(1440) W 30-12: +36→1690	11	1	vs TB(1483) W 27-14: +9→1720	W	1	(bye)
4	2	vs ARI(1480) W 35-16: +36→1726	12	1	at SEA(1553) W 31-13: +34→1754	D	2	vs GB(1550) W 24-21: +0→1791
5	1	vs DAL(1653) W 42-10: +46→1772	13	1	at PHI(1692) W 42-19: +40→1794	C	1	vs DET(1613) W 34-31: +0→1791
6	1	at CLE(1487) L 17-19: -22→1750	14	1	vs SEA(1518) W 28-16: +10→1804	S	2	at KC(1695) L 22-25: -7→1784
7	1	at MIN(1497) L 17-22: -24→1726	15	1	at ARI(1342) W 45-29: +15→1819
8	3	vs CIN(1573) L 17-31: -62→1664	16	1	vs BAL(1726) L 19-33: -40→1779

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1587 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs LAR(1449) L 13-30: -16→1493	9	13	at BAL(1644) L 3-37: -34→1560	17	16	vs PIT(1413) L 23-30: -14→1505
2	10	at DET(1503) W 37-31: +19→1512	10	13	vs WAS(1395) W 29-26: +0→1560	18	15	at ARI(1337) W 21-20: +0→1505
3	10	vs CAR(1454) W 37-27: +25→1537	11	14	at LAR(1415) L 16-17: -7→1553	W	14
4	7	at NYG(1404) W 24-3: +55→1592	12	13	vs SF(1720) L 13-31: -35→1518	D	14
5	7	(bye)	13	13	at DAL(1690) L 35-41: +0→1518	C	14
6	8	at CIN(1568) L 13-17: -5→1587	14	13	at SF(1794) L 16-28: -9→1509	S	14
7	8	vs ARI(1356) W 20-10: +7→1594	15	14	vs PHI(1623) W 20-17: +7→1516
8	9	vs CLE(1512) W 24-20: +0→1594	16	12	at TEN(1413) W 20-17: +3→1519

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1481 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1420 \| avg. lost to rating: 1549 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at MIN(1484) W 20-17: +3→1474	9	18	at HOU(1443) L 37-39: +0→1446	17	12	vs NO(1519) L 13-23: -24→1523
2	15	vs CHI(1358) W 27-17: +22→1496	10	16	vs TEN(1473) W 20-6: +37→1483	18	11	at CAR(1251) W 9-0: +7→1530
3	21	vs PHI(1604) L 11-25: -48→1448	11	17	at SF(1711) L 14-27: -8→1475	W	10	vs PHI(1555) W 32-9: +28→1558
4	12	at NO(1493) W 26-9: +65→1513	12	18	at IND(1431) L 20-27: -2→1473	D	10	at DET(1608) L 23-31: -4→1554
5	13	(bye)	13	20	vs CAR(1284) W 21-18: +0→1473	C	10
6	20	vs DET(1619) L 6-20: -45→1468	14	19	at ATL(1410) W 29-25: +6→1479	S	10
7	22	vs ATL(1356) L 13-16: -22→1446	15	13	at GB(1502) W 34-20: +38→1517
8	19	at BUF(1711) L 18-24: +0→1446	16	10	vs JAX(1526) W 30-12: +30→1547

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (+37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1476 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at NO(1480) L 15-16: +0→1470	9	16	at PIT(1440) L 16-20: -1→1473	17	27	at HOU(1410) L 3-26: -30→1380
2	21	vs LAC(1510) W 27-24: +7→1477	10	21	at TB(1446) L 6-20: -37→1436	18	25	vs JAX(1515) W 28-20: +13→1393
3	26	at CLE(1499) L 3-27: -55→1422	11	23	at JAX(1543) L 14-34: -27→1409	W	25
4	14	vs CIN(1587) W 27-3: +67→1489	12	23	vs CAR(1284) W 17-10: +0→1409	D	25
5	17	at IND(1456) L 16-23: -5→1484	13	25	vs IND(1433) L 28-31: -11→1398	C	25
6	19	at BAL(1581) L 16-24: -10→1474	14	22	at MIA(1634) W 28-27: +25→1423	S	25
7	18	(bye)	15	24	vs HOU(1432) L 16-19: -10→1413
8	17	vs ATL(1378) W 28-23: +0→1474	16	25	vs SEA(1516) L 17-20: -3→1410

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (+133 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1411 \| avg. lost to rating: 1545 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs ARI(1434) W 20-16: +0→1476	9	26	at NE(1403) W 20-17: +18→1395	17	31	vs SF(1779) L 10-27: -12→1291
2	17	at DEN(1426) W 35-33: +9→1485	10	26	at SEA(1560) L 26-29: +0→1395	18	31	vs DAL(1682) L 10-38: -20→1271
3	23	vs BUF(1670) L 3-37: -54→1431	11	29	vs NYG(1278) L 19-31: -51→1344	W	31
4	24	at PHI(1652) L 31-34: +0→1431	12	30	at DAL(1675) L 10-45: -15→1329	D	31
5	30	vs CHI(1296) L 20-40: -72→1359	13	31	vs MIA(1609) L 15-45: -26→1303	C	31
6	26	at ATL(1381) W 24-16: +24→1383	14	31	(bye)	S	31
7	28	at NYG(1319) L 7-14: -6→1377	15	31	at LAR(1502) L 20-28: +0→1303
8	28	vs PHI(1682) L 31-38: +0→1377	16	31	at NYJ(1378) L 28-30: +0→1303

↑ 2023 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 6 games (weeks 17-22) Kansas City Chiefs: +70 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +47 total Elo rating
3. 1 games (weeks 18-18) New York Giants: +38 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) New York Jets: +31 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Las Vegas Raiders: +25 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 4 games (weeks 16-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -88 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Minnesota Vikings: -57 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: -52 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Washington Commanders: -32 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Carolina Panthers: -26 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 8, 376-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1721) 9-point favorites at Denver Broncos (1345): Broncos win 24-9
2. Week 18, 364-Elo upset: Pittsburgh Steelers (1427) Tossup favorites at Baltimore Ravens (1791): Steelers win 17-10
3. Week 7, 336-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1737) 8-point favorites at New England Patriots (1401): Patriots win 29-25
4. Week 17, 302-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1616) 10-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1314): Cardinals win 35-31
5. Week 10, 286-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1700) 11-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1414): Broncos win 24-22
6. Week 6, 285-Elo upset: San Francisco 49ers (1772) 8-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1487): Browns win 19-17
7. Week 18, 280-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1511) 3-point favorites at San Francisco 49ers (1791): Rams win 21-20
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 8, 24-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1721) 9-point favorites vs Denver Broncos (1345): Broncos win 24-9
2. Week 13, 23-point differential: Pittsburgh Steelers (1467) 9-point favorites vs Arizona Cardinals (1288): Cardinals win 24-10
3. Week 3, 28-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1514) 8-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1311): Texans win 37-17
4. Week W, 24-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1702) 8-point favorites vs Green Bay Packers (1512): Packers win 48-32
5. Week 5, 28-point differential: Washington Commanders (1431) 8-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1296): Bears win 40-20
6. Week 8, 22-point differential: San Francisco 49ers (1726) 8-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1573): Bengals win 31-17
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +264: Baltimore Ravens (1524) before week 1 → (1789) thru week 21
2. +146: San Francisco 49ers (1639) before week 1 → (1784) thru week 22
3. +116: Detroit Lions (1497) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 21
4. +108: Chicago Bears (1371) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
5. +102: Buffalo Bills (1626) before week 1 → (1729) thru week 20
more...
1. +98: Houston Texans (1366) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 20
2. +96: Miami Dolphins (1486) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 19
3. +87: New Orleans Saints (1480) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 18
4. +83: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1471) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 20
5. +62: Los Angeles Rams (1449) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 19
6. +53: Dallas Cowboys (1610) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 19
7. +53: Kansas City Chiefs (1649) before week 1 → (1702) thru week 22
8. +45: Denver Broncos (1428) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
9. +13: Green Bay Packers (1537) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 20
10. +7: Cleveland Browns (1488) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 19
11. -1: Indianapolis Colts (1411) before week 1 → (1410) thru week 18
12. -4: Seattle Seahawks (1509) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
13. -9: Minnesota Vikings (1484) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
14. -12: Las Vegas Raiders (1475) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
15. -20: Jacksonville Jaguars (1522) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
16. -58: Cincinnati Bengals (1621) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 18
17. -72: Pittsburgh Steelers (1493) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 19
18. -75: Atlanta Falcons (1454) before week 1 → (1379) thru week 18
19. -75: Los Angeles Chargers (1513) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
20. -75: Philadelphia Eagles (1602) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 19
21. -75: New York Giants (1439) before week 1 → (1363) thru week 18
22. -76: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
23. -79: New York Jets (1468) before week 1 → (1389) thru week 18
24. -97: Arizona Cardinals (1434) before week 1 → (1337) thru week 18
25. -164: New England Patriots (1528) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
26. -205: Washington Commanders (1476) before week 1 → (1271) thru week 18
27. -235: Carolina Panthers (1478) before week 1 → (1243) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -235: Carolina Panthers (1478) before week 1 → (1243) thru week 18
2. -205: Washington Commanders (1476) before week 1 → (1271) thru week 18
3. -164: New England Patriots (1528) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
4. -97: Arizona Cardinals (1434) before week 1 → (1337) thru week 18
5. -79: New York Jets (1468) before week 1 → (1389) thru week 18
more...
1. -76: Tennessee Titans (1470) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
2. -75: New York Giants (1439) before week 1 → (1363) thru week 18
3. -75: Philadelphia Eagles (1602) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 19
4. -75: Los Angeles Chargers (1513) before week 1 → (1438) thru week 18
5. -75: Atlanta Falcons (1454) before week 1 → (1379) thru week 18
6. -72: Pittsburgh Steelers (1493) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 19
7. -58: Cincinnati Bengals (1621) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 18
8. -20: Jacksonville Jaguars (1522) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
9. -12: Las Vegas Raiders (1475) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
10. -9: Minnesota Vikings (1484) before week 1 → (1475) thru week 18
11. -4: Seattle Seahawks (1509) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
12. -1: Indianapolis Colts (1411) before week 1 → (1410) thru week 18
13. +7: Cleveland Browns (1488) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 19
14. +13: Green Bay Packers (1537) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 20
15. +45: Denver Broncos (1428) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 18
16. +53: Kansas City Chiefs (1649) before week 1 → (1702) thru week 22
17. +53: Dallas Cowboys (1610) before week 1 → (1663) thru week 19
18. +62: Los Angeles Rams (1449) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 19
19. +83: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1471) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 20
20. +87: New Orleans Saints (1480) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 18
21. +96: Miami Dolphins (1486) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 19
22. +98: Houston Texans (1366) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 20
23. +102: Buffalo Bills (1626) before week 1 → (1729) thru week 20
24. +108: Chicago Bears (1371) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
25. +116: Detroit Lions (1497) before week 1 → (1613) thru week 21
26. +146: San Francisco 49ers (1639) before week 1 → (1784) thru week 22
27. +264: Baltimore Ravens (1524) before week 1 → (1789) thru week 21
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +215: Denver Broncos (1332) before week 7 → (1547) thru week 14
2. +181: Detroit Lions (1484) before week 3 → (1664) thru week 6
3. +166: Houston Texans (1311) before week 3 → (1477) thru week 10
4. +157: Jacksonville Jaguars (1434) before week 4 → (1591) thru week 8
5. +155: San Francisco 49ers (1664) before week 9 → (1819) thru week 15
more...
1. +150: Baltimore Ravens (1528) before week 4 → (1678) thru week 9
2. +144: Buffalo Bills (1623) before week 2 → (1767) thru week 4
3. +126: Cincinnati Bengals (1520) before week 5 → (1646) thru week 9
4. +115: Chicago Bears (1296) before week 5 → (1411) thru week 7
5. +106: Dallas Cowboys (1614) before week 7 → (1719) thru week 14
6. +101: Seattle Seahawks (1493) before week 2 → (1594) thru week 7
7. +101: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1446) before week 10 → (1547) thru week 16
8. +101: Minnesota Vikings (1467) before week 4 → (1567) thru week 10
9. +96: Green Bay Packers (1418) before week 9 → (1513) thru week 13
10. +96: Los Angeles Rams (1415) before week 10 → (1511) thru week 16
11. +93: Miami Dolphins (1486) before week 1 → (1580) thru week 6
12. +85: New Orleans Saints (1427) before week 5 → (1513) thru week 8
13. +85: New York Giants (1278) before week 11 → (1363) thru week 18
14. +84: Las Vegas Raiders (1379) before week 15 → (1463) thru week 18
15. +83: Los Angeles Chargers (1489) before week 8 → (1572) thru week 9
16. +80: Philadelphia Eagles (1602) before week 1 → (1682) thru week 7
17. +77: Kansas City Chiefs (1644) before week 2 → (1721) thru week 7
18. +74: Cleveland Browns (1487) before week 5 → (1561) thru week 10
19. +71: Indianapolis Colts (1403) before week 2 → (1474) thru week 3
20. +63: Pittsburgh Steelers (1369) before week 16 → (1432) thru week 18
21. +61: Tennessee Titans (1422) before week 4 → (1484) thru week 5
22. +56: New York Jets (1419) before week 5 → (1476) thru week 6
23. +55: Atlanta Falcons (1375) before week 11 → (1430) thru week 16
24. +49: Arizona Cardinals (1288) before week 13 → (1337) thru week 17
25. +37: Washington Commanders (1359) before week 6 → (1395) thru week 9
26. +26: New England Patriots (1401) before week 6 → (1428) thru week 7
27. +8: Carolina Panthers (1262) before week 15 → (1270) thru week 16
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -165: Philadelphia Eagles (1692) before week 13 → (1527) thru week 19
2. -163: Carolina Panthers (1467) before week 2 → (1304) thru week 9
3. -162: New York Giants (1440) before week 3 → (1278) thru week 10
4. -156: Arizona Cardinals (1444) before week 5 → (1288) thru week 12
5. -142: New England Patriots (1526) before week 2 → (1384) thru week 9
more...
1. -132: Green Bay Packers (1550) before week 2 → (1418) thru week 8
2. -129: Los Angeles Chargers (1567) before week 11 → (1438) thru week 18
3. -126: Washington Commanders (1485) before week 3 → (1359) thru week 5
4. -118: New York Jets (1476) before week 9 → (1358) thru week 13
5. -117: Atlanta Falcons (1473) before week 3 → (1356) thru week 6
6. -108: San Francisco 49ers (1772) before week 6 → (1664) thru week 8
7. -108: Las Vegas Raiders (1477) before week 2 → (1369) thru week 8
8. -105: Buffalo Bills (1767) before week 5 → (1662) thru week 10
9. -105: Detroit Lions (1664) before week 7 → (1560) thru week 14
10. -101: Cincinnati Bengals (1621) before week 1 → (1520) thru week 4
11. -98: Pittsburgh Steelers (1467) before week 13 → (1369) thru week 15
12. -97: Jacksonville Jaguars (1530) before week 2 → (1434) thru week 3
13. -96: Denver Broncos (1428) before week 1 → (1332) thru week 6
14. -92: Minnesota Vikings (1567) before week 11 → (1475) thru week 18
15. -92: Tennessee Titans (1473) before week 10 → (1380) thru week 17
16. -89: Indianapolis Colts (1474) before week 4 → (1384) thru week 8
17. -86: Los Angeles Rams (1501) before week 7 → (1415) thru week 9
18. -85: Seattle Seahawks (1594) before week 9 → (1509) thru week 14
19. -81: Kansas City Chiefs (1721) before week 8 → (1640) thru week 14
20. -80: Cleveland Browns (1561) before week 12 → (1481) thru week 13
21. -75: Chicago Bears (1371) before week 1 → (1296) thru week 4
22. -67: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1513) before week 5 → (1446) thru week 7
23. -67: Houston Texans (1477) before week 12 → (1410) thru week 16
24. -65: New Orleans Saints (1493) before week 3 → (1427) thru week 4
25. -59: Dallas Cowboys (1667) before week 3 → (1607) thru week 5
26. -52: Miami Dolphins (1635) before week 17 → (1583) thru week 19
27. -5: Baltimore Ravens (1596) before week 5 → (1591) thru week 6
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1538
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1535
3. Cincinnati Bengals: 1530
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1525
5. New York Giants: 1522
more...
1. San Francisco 49ers: 1518
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1518
3. Denver Broncos: 1514
4. Miami Dolphins: 1514
5. Washington Commanders: 1513
6. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1512
8. Seattle Seahawks: 1511
9. New York Jets: 1511
10. Cleveland Browns: 1510
11. Minnesota Vikings: 1508
12. Buffalo Bills: 1508
13. Detroit Lions: 1506
14. New England Patriots: 1505
15. Dallas Cowboys: 1504
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1498
17. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1497
18. Chicago Bears: 1484
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
20. Carolina Panthers: 1481
21. Tennessee Titans: 1479
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1478
23. Green Bay Packers: 1469
24. New Orleans Saints: 1460
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1456
26. Houston Texans: 1455
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1450
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1450
2. Houston Texans: 1455
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1456
4. New Orleans Saints: 1460
5. Green Bay Packers: 1469
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1478
2. Tennessee Titans: 1479
3. Carolina Panthers: 1481
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
5. Chicago Bears: 1484
6. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1497
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1498
8. Dallas Cowboys: 1504
9. New England Patriots: 1505
10. Detroit Lions: 1506
11. Buffalo Bills: 1508
12. Minnesota Vikings: 1508
13. Cleveland Browns: 1510
14. New York Jets: 1511
15. Seattle Seahawks: 1511
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1512
17. Philadelphia Eagles: 1513
18. Washington Commanders: 1513
19. Miami Dolphins: 1514
20. Denver Broncos: 1514
21. Los Angeles Rams: 1518
22. San Francisco 49ers: 1518
23. New York Giants: 1522
24. Los Angeles Chargers: 1525
25. Cincinnati Bengals: 1530
26. Arizona Cardinals: 1535
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1538
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1561
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1558
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1545
4. Denver Broncos: 1540
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1532
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1523
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1516
3. Cleveland Browns: 1508
4. Buffalo Bills: 1503
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1501
6. Detroit Lions: 1497
7. Green Bay Packers: 1495
8. Tennessee Titans: 1485
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1469
11. Atlanta Falcons: 1468
12. Houston Texans: 1468
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1467
14. Las Vegas Raiders: 1464
15. Kansas City Chiefs: 1455
16. New York Jets: 1453
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1452
18. New York Giants: 1450
19. Seattle Seahawks: 1444
20. Chicago Bears: 1440
21. Miami Dolphins: 1439
22. Los Angeles Chargers: 1433
23. Carolina Panthers: 1428
24. Indianapolis Colts: 1428
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1420
26. New Orleans Saints: 1420
27. Washington Commanders: 1411
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Washington Commanders: 1411
2. New Orleans Saints: 1420
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1420
4. Indianapolis Colts: 1428
5. Carolina Panthers: 1428
more...
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1433
2. Miami Dolphins: 1439
3. Chicago Bears: 1440
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1444
5. New York Giants: 1450
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1452
7. New York Jets: 1453
8. Kansas City Chiefs: 1455
9. Las Vegas Raiders: 1464
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1467
11. Houston Texans: 1468
12. Atlanta Falcons: 1468
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1469
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1474
15. Tennessee Titans: 1485
16. Green Bay Packers: 1495
17. Detroit Lions: 1497
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1501
19. Buffalo Bills: 1503
20. Cleveland Browns: 1508
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1516
22. New England Patriots: 1523
23. Arizona Cardinals: 1532
24. Denver Broncos: 1540
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1545
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1558
27. Baltimore Ravens: 1561

↑ 2023 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)
2	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	27-21 (27/48, 56.25%)
4	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	35-29 (35/64, 54.69%)
5	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	42-36 (42/78, 53.85%)
6	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	54-39 (54/93, 58.06%)
7	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	60-46 (60/106, 56.6%)
8	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	72-50 (72/122, 59.02%)
9	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	82-54 (82/136, 60.29%)
10	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	93-57 (93/150, 62.0%)
11	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	102-62 (102/164, 62.2%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	112-68 (112/180, 62.22%)
13	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	120-73 (120/193, 62.18%)
14	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	127-81 (127/208, 61.06%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	138-86 (138/224, 61.61%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	148-92 (148/240, 61.67%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	160-96 (160/256, 62.5%)
18	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	171-101 (171/272, 62.87%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	176-102 (176/278, 63.31%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	179-103 (179/282, 63.48%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	180-104 (180/284, 63.38%)
S	0-1 (0/1, 0.0%)	180-105 (180/285, 63.16%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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