NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

Birds
Mandel

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page at least weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. Want to compete against this Elo model? Join my public straight-up picks pool at nflpickspage.com. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2025 Season Summaries by Team
2025 Season Stats and Tidbits
2025 Season Model Accuracy

← 2024 Season NFL Elo Home

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1622 (+10)	17-3
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1581): W 29-13: 1612+10→1622
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1582	14-6
3	New England PatriotsNE	1571 (-10)	17-4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): L 13-29: 1581-10→1571
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568	13-6
5	Houston TexansHOU	1562	13-6
6	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558	13-5
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1557	15-4
8	Detroit LionsDET	1546	9-8
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	8-9
10	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543	11-7
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1533	13-6
12	Chicago BearsCHI	1521	12-7
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
14	Green Bay PackersGB	1516	9-8-1
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	11-7
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489	8-9
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488	8-9
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485	8-9
21	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481	6-11
22	New York GiantsNYG	1465	4-13
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463	6-11
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461	7-9-1
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1461	5-12
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454	8-10
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1389	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1612 (-2)	16-3	at NE (1581): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): W 31-27: 1614-2→1612
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1581): Win by 5 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1582 (+1)	14-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1614): L 27-31: 1581+1→1582
3	New England PatriotsNE	1581 (+3)	17-3	at SEA (1612): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1560): W 10-7: 1578+3→1581
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): Lose by 5 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568	13-6
5	Houston TexansHOU	1562	13-6
6 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558	13-5
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1557 (-3)	15-4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1578): L 7-10: 1560-3→1557
8	Detroit LionsDET	1546	9-8
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	8-9
10	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543	11-7
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1533	13-6
12	Chicago BearsCHI	1521	12-7
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
14	Green Bay PackersGB	1516	9-8-1
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	11-7
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489	8-9
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488	8-9
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485	8-9
21	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481	6-11
22	New York GiantsNYG	1465	4-13
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463	6-11
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461	7-9-1
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1461	5-12
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454	8-10
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1389	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1614 (+11)	15-3	vs LAR (1581): Win by 6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): W 41-6: 1603+11→1614
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): Win by 6 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1581 (-1)	14-5	at SEA (1614): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): W 20-17(OT): 1582-1→1581
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1614): Lose by 6 points
3 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1578 (+10)	16-3	at DEN (1560): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1572): W 28-16: 1568+10→1578
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1560): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (-1)	13-6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1559): L 30-33(OT): 1569-1→1568
5 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1562 (-10)	13-6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): L 16-28: 1572-10→1562
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1560 (+1)	15-3	vs NE (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): W 33-30(OT): 1559+1→1560
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1578): Slight underdog
7	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558	13-5
8	Detroit LionsDET	1546	9-8
9 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	8-9
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543	11-7
11 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1533 (-11)	13-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1603): L 6-41: 1544-11→1533
12	Chicago BearsCHI	1521 (+1)	12-7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1582): L 17-20(OT): 1520+1→1521
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
14	Green Bay PackersGB	1516	9-8-1
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510	11-7
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489	8-9
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488	8-9
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485	8-9
21	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481	6-11
22	New York GiantsNYG	1465	4-13
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463	6-11
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461	7-9-1
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1461	5-12
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454	8-10
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1389	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1603	14-3	vs SF (1544): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): Win by 8 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1582 (-5)	13-5	at CHI (1520): Win by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1449): W 34-31: 1587-5→1582
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): Win by 5 points
3 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1572 (+15)	13-5	at NE (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): W 30-6: 1557+15→1572
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+4)	13-5	at DEN (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1563): W 27-24: 1565+4→1569
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1559): Slight underdog
5	New England PatriotsNE	1568 (+7)	15-3	vs HOU (1572): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): W 16-3: 1561+7→1568
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1572): Slight favorite
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1559	14-3	vs BUF (1569): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558 (-5)	13-5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): L 24-27: 1563-5→1558
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1546	9-8
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (+5)	13-5	at SEA (1603): Lose by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): W 23-19: 1539+5→1544
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1603): Lose by 8 points
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	8-9
11 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543 (-5)	11-7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): L 19-23: 1548-5→1543
12 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1520 (+2)	12-6	vs LAR (1582): Lose by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1517): W 31-27: 1518+2→1520
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1582): Lose by 5 points
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
14	Green Bay PackersGB	1516 (-1)	9-8-1
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): L 27-31: 1517-1→1516
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (-7)	11-7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): L 3-16: 1517-7→1510
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (-15)	10-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1557): L 6-30: 1507-15→1492
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489	8-9
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488	8-9
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485	8-9
21	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481	6-11
22	New York GiantsNYG	1465	4-13
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463	6-11
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461	7-9-1
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1461	5-12
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1454 (+5)	8-10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): L 31-34: 1449+5→1454
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1389	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1603 (+8)	14-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): W 13-3: 1595+8→1603
next: (bye)
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1587 (+4)	12-5	at CAR (1449): Win by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1422): W 37-20: 1583+4→1587
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1449): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1565 (+7)	12-5	at JAX (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1395): W 35-8: 1558+7→1565
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1563): Slight underdog
4 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1563 (+8)	13-4	vs BUF (1565): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): W 41-7: 1555+8→1563
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1565): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1561 (+11)	14-3	vs LAC (1517): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): W 38-10: 1550+11→1561
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): Win by 6 points
6 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1559 (+10)	14-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): W 19-3: 1549+10→1559
next: (bye)
7 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1557 (+1)	12-5	at PIT (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 38-30: 1556+1→1557
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): Slight favorite
8 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1548 (-14)	11-6	vs SF (1539): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1447): L 17-24: 1562-14→1548
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1546 (+3)	9-8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1521): W 19-16: 1543+3→1546
10 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544 (-5)	8-9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 24-26: 1549-5→1544
11 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1539 (-8)	12-5	at PHI (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): L 3-13: 1547-8→1539
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1548): Slight underdog
12 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (+11)	9-8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): W 16-3: 1508+11→1519
13 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1518 (-3)	11-6	vs GB (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): L 16-19: 1521-3→1518
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1517): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1517 (-12)	9-7-1	at CHI (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): L 3-16: 1529-12→1517
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1518): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (-11)	11-6	at NE (1561): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1549): L 3-19: 1528-11→1517
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): Lose by 6 points
16 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508 (-10)	6-11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1383): L 12-14: 1518-10→1508
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (+5)	10-7	vs HOU (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): W 26-24: 1502+5→1507
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1557): Slight underdog
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (-1)	8-9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1556): L 30-38: 1490-1→1489
19 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488	8-9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1449): W 16-14: 1488-0→1488
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (+1)	8-9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): W 19-17: 1484+1→1485
21 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1481 (-9)	6-11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1434): L 18-20: 1490-9→1481
22 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1465 (+15)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1476): W 34-17: 1450+15→1465
23 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (-1)	6-11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): L 17-19: 1464-1→1463
24 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1461 (-15)	7-9-1
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): L 17-34: 1476-15→1461
25 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1461 (+14)	5-12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): W 24-17: 1447+14→1461
26 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458 (-11)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): L 10-38: 1469-11→1458
27 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1449	8-9	vs LAR (1587): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): L 14-16: 1449+0→1449
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): Lose by 9 points
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442 (+8)	5-12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): W 20-18: 1434+8→1442
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1418 (-4)	3-14
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): L 20-37: 1422-4→1418
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1400 (-8)	3-14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1555): L 7-41: 1408-8→1400
31 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393 (+10)	3-14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): W 14-12: 1383+10→1393
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1389 (-6)	3-14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): L 8-35: 1395-6→1389

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1595 (+8)	13-3	at SF (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): W 27-10: 1587+8→1595
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1583 (-9)	11-5	vs ARI (1422): Win by 12
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 24-27: 1592-9→1583
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1422): Win by 12 points
3 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1562 (+5)	11-5	vs WAS (1447): Win by 9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): W 13-12: 1557+5→1562
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1447): Win by 9 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (-5)	11-5	vs NYJ (1395): Win by 12
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1557): L 12-13: 1563-5→1558
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1395): Win by 12 points
5 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1556 (+4)	11-5	vs IND (1490): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): W 20-16: 1552+4→1556
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1555 (+3)	12-4	vs TEN (1408): Win by 11
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): W 23-17: 1552+3→1555
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): Win by 11 points
7 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1550 (+12)	13-3	vs MIA (1469): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1407): W 42-10: 1538+12→1550
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): Win by 7 points
8 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1549 (+17)	8-8	at PIT (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1545): W 41-24: 1532+17→1549
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1549 (+7)	13-3	vs LAC (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): W 20-13: 1542+7→1549
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1528): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547 (+1)	12-4	vs SEA (1595): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1521): W 42-38: 1546+1→1547
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): Slight underdog
11 (-7)	Detroit LionsDET	1543 (-14)	8-8	at CHI (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): L 10-23: 1557-14→1543
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1521): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529 (-16)	9-6-1	at MIN (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): L 24-41: 1545-16→1529
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Slight underdog
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1528 (-3)	11-5	at DEN (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1552): L 16-20: 1531-3→1528
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1549): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1521	11-5	vs DET (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1546): L 38-42: 1521-0→1521
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1543): Slight underdog
15 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1518 (-7)	6-10	at LV (1383): Win by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1542): L 13-20: 1525-7→1518
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1383): Win by 8 points
16 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (+14)	8-8	vs GB (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): W 23-10: 1494+14→1508
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (-10)	9-7	vs BAL (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1425): L 6-13: 1512-10→1502
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1549): Slight underdog
18	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-3)	8-8	at HOU (1556): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1552): L 17-23: 1493-3→1490
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1556): Lose by 7 points
19 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (+13)	6-10	vs CLE (1434): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): W 37-14: 1477+13→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1434): Win by 6 points
20 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1488 (-4)	7-9	vs CAR (1449): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): L 17-20: 1492-4→1488
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1449): Win by 6 points
21	Atlanta FalconsATL	1484 (+9)	7-9	vs NO (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1592): W 27-24: 1475+9→1484
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1464): Slight favorite
22	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476 (+6)	7-8-1	at NYG (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1453): W 30-23: 1470+6→1476
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): Slight favorite
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1469 (+3)	7-9	at NE (1550): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): W 20-17: 1466+3→1469
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): Lose by 7 points
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1464 (+7)	6-10	at ATL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1414): W 34-26: 1457+7→1464
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1450 (+16)	3-13	vs DAL (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): W 34-10: 1434+16→1450
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1476): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1449 (-8)	8-8	at TB (1488): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): L 10-27: 1457-8→1449
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1488): Lose by 6 points
27 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1447 (-6)	4-12	at PHI (1562): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1470): L 23-30: 1453-6→1447
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): Lose by 9 points
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1434 (+9)	4-12	at CIN (1490): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 13-6: 1425+9→1434
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Lose by 6 points
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1422 (-12)	3-13	at LAR (1583): Lose by 12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): L 14-37: 1434-12→1422
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): Lose by 12 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1408 (-6)	3-13	at JAX (1555): Lose by 11
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): L 26-34: 1414-6→1408
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1555): Lose by 11 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1395 (-12)	3-13	at BUF (1558): Lose by 12
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1538): L 10-42: 1407-12→1395
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Lose by 12 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1383 (-16)	2-14	vs KC (1518): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): L 10-34: 1399-16→1383
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1592 (-1)	11-4	at ATL (1475): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1586): L 37-38(OT): 1593-1→1592
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Win by 7 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1587 (+1)	12-3	at CAR (1457): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): W 38-37(OT): 1586+1→1587
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1457): Win by 7 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (-3)	11-4	vs PHI (1557): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1422): W 23-20: 1566-3→1563
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1557): Slight favorite
4	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (-8)	8-7	at MIN (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): L 24-29: 1565-8→1557
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1557 (+7)	10-5	at BUF (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): W 29-18: 1550+7→1557
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1552 (-7)	10-5	at LAC (1531): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): W 23-21: 1559-7→1552
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1531): Tossup
7 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1552 (+15)	11-4	at IND (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1557): W 34-20: 1537+15→1552
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1493): Slight favorite
8 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1546 (+16)	11-4	vs CHI (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): W 48-27: 1530+16→1546
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1521): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1545 (-3)	9-5-1	vs BAL (1532): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): L 16-22(OT): 1548-3→1545
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): Slight favorite
10 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1542 (-15)	12-3	at KC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1537): L 20-34: 1557-15→1542
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1538 (+5)	12-3	at NYJ (1407): Win by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): W 28-24: 1533+5→1538
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1407): Win by 7 points
12 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1532 (-5)	7-8	at GB (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1533): L 24-28: 1537-5→1532
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1545): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1531 (+14)	11-4	vs HOU (1552): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): W 34-17: 1517+14→1531
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1552): Tossup
14 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1525 (-20)	6-9	vs DEN (1542): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1393): L 9-26: 1545-20→1525
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1542): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1521 (+2)	11-4	at SF (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): W 22-16(OT): 1519+2→1521
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1546): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+8)	9-6	at CLE (1425): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): W 29-24: 1504+8→1512
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1425): Win by 5 points
17 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1494 (+2)	7-8	vs DET (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1436): W 16-13: 1492+2→1494
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1493 (-16)	8-7	vs JAX (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1530): L 27-48: 1509-16→1493
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1552): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1492 (-4)	7-8	at MIA (1466): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): L 20-23: 1496-4→1492
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Tossup
20 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (+19)	5-10	vs ARI (1434): Win by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): W 45-21: 1458+19→1477
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): Win by 5 points
21 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (+5)	6-9	vs LAR (1592): Lose by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1440): W 26-19: 1470+5→1475
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1592): Lose by 7 points
22 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1470 (-14)	6-8-1	at WAS (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): L 17-34: 1484-14→1470
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1453): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (-19)	6-9	vs TB (1492): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): L 21-45: 1485-19→1466
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): Tossup
24 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1457 (+13)	5-10	at TEN (1414): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): W 29-6: 1444+13→1457
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1414): Slight favorite
25	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457 (+5)	8-7	vs SEA (1587): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): W 23-20: 1452+5→1457
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): Lose by 7 points
26 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1453 (-8)	4-11	vs DAL (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): L 18-29: 1461-8→1453
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1470): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1434 (-2)	2-13	at LV (1399): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): L 13-16: 1436-2→1434
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1399): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1434 (-6)	3-12	at CIN (1477): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): L 19-26: 1440-6→1434
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): Lose by 5 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1425 (+3)	3-12	vs PIT (1512): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): L 20-23: 1422+3→1425
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Lose by 5 points
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1414 (+21)	3-12	vs NO (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): W 26-9: 1393+21→1414
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1407 (-14)	3-12	vs NE (1538): Lose by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1444): L 6-29: 1421-14→1407
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1538): Lose by 7 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1399 (+6)	2-13	vs NYG (1434): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1559): L 21-23: 1393+6→1399
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1593 (+4)	11-3	at SEA (1586): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1569): W 41-34: 1589+4→1593
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1586): Slight underdog
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1586 (-1)	11-3	vs LAR (1593): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1507): W 18-16: 1587-1→1586
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1593): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1566 (+4)	10-4	at CLE (1422): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1537): W 35-31: 1562+4→1566
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1422): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1565 (-4)	8-6	vs PIT (1504): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): L 34-41: 1569-4→1565
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): Win by 6 points
5 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1559 (+10)	9-5	vs LV (1393): Win by 10
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): W 40-20: 1549+10→1559
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1393): Win by 10 points
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1557 (+6)	12-2	vs JAX (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): W 34-26: 1551+6→1557
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1537): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1550 (+10)	9-5	at WAS (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1403): W 31-0: 1540+10→1550
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1548 (-6)	9-4-1	at CHI (1519): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1551): L 26-34: 1554-6→1548
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Tossup
9 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545 (-7)	6-8	at TEN (1393): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): L 13-16: 1552-7→1545
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1393): Win by 7 points
10 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1537 (+12)	10-4	at DEN (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1433): W 48-20: 1525+12→1537
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1557): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1537 (+16)	7-7	vs NE (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1474): W 24-0: 1521+16→1537
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1533): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1533 (-4)	11-3	at BAL (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): L 31-35: 1537-4→1533
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1530 (+3)	10-4	at IND (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1397): W 37-24: 1527+3→1530
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1519 (+13)	10-4	vs GB (1548): Tossup
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1435): W 31-3: 1506+13→1519
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): Tossup
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (+7)	10-4	at DAL (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): W 16-13: 1510+7→1517
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1509 (+2)	8-6	vs SF (1530): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): L 16-18: 1507+2→1509
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1530): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504 (+11)	8-6	at DET (1565): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): W 28-15: 1493+11→1504
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1565): Lose by 6 points
18 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1496 (-7)	7-7	at CAR (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): L 28-29: 1503-7→1496
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1492 (+10)	6-8	at NYG (1436): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): W 34-26: 1482+10→1492
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1436): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1485 (-11)	6-8	vs CIN (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 15-28: 1496-11→1485
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (-9)	6-7-1	vs LAC (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): L 26-34: 1493-9→1484
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1470 (+7)	5-9	at ARI (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): W 29-28: 1463+7→1470
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1440): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1461 (+10)	4-10	vs PHI (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): W 29-21: 1451+10→1461
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1458 (-16)	4-10	at MIA (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): L 0-24: 1474-16→1458
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1452 (-4)	7-7	vs TB (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): L 17-20: 1456-4→1452
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1444 (+4)	4-10	vs NYJ (1421): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): W 20-17: 1440+4→1444
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1440 (-9)	3-11	vs ATL (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1549): L 20-40: 1449-9→1440
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1436 (-9)	2-12	vs MIN (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): L 21-29: 1445-9→1436
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): Slight underdog
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1422 (-13)	3-11	vs BUF (1566): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1506): L 3-31: 1435-13→1422
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): Lose by 7 points
30	New York JetsNYJ	1421 (-12)	3-11	at NO (1444): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): L 20-48: 1433-12→1421
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1444): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1393 (-4)	2-12	vs KC (1545): Lose by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): L 24-37: 1397-4→1393
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Lose by 7 points
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393 (-10)	2-12	at HOU (1559): Lose by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): L 0-31: 1403-10→1393
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1559): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1589 (+14)	10-3	vs DET (1569): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): W 45-17: 1575+14→1589
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1569): Slight favorite
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1587 (+14)	10-3	vs IND (1507): Win by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): W 37-9: 1573+14→1587
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1507): Win by 6 points
3 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1569 (+8)	8-5	at LAR (1589): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): W 44-30: 1561+8→1569
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562 (-1)	9-4	at NE (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): W 39-34: 1563-1→1562
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1537): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1554 (+3)	9-3-1	at DEN (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1509): W 28-21: 1551+3→1554
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1551): Slight underdog
6 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-12)	6-7	vs LAC (1510): Win by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1537): L 10-20: 1564-12→1552
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1510): Win by 5 points
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1551 (+1)	11-2	vs GB (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): W 24-17: 1550+1→1551
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1554): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1549 (+12)	8-5	vs ARI (1449): Win by 7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1564): W 20-10: 1537+12→1549
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1540 (-2)	8-5	vs LV (1403): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 19-22(OT): 1542-2→1540
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1403): Win by 8 points
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1537	11-2	vs BUF (1562): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1527	9-4	vs TEN (1397): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1397): Win by 9 points
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1525 (+13)	9-4	vs NYJ (1433): Win by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1520): W 36-19: 1512+13→1525
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1433): Win by 7 points
13 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (-7)	6-7	at CIN (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): L 22-27: 1528-7→1521
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1474): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1510 (+2)	9-4	at KC (1552): Lose by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): W 22-19(OT): 1508+2→1510
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 5 points
15 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1507 (-13)	8-5	at SEA (1587): Lose by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1512): L 19-36: 1520-13→1507
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1587): Lose by 6 points
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1506 (-3)	9-4	vs CLE (1435): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1551): L 21-28: 1509-3→1506
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1435): Win by 6 points
17 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1503 (-8)	7-6	vs ATL (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1432): L 20-24: 1511-8→1503
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): Slight favorite
18 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496 (+17)	6-7	at PIT (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): W 34-10: 1479+17→1496
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight underdog
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (+6)	7-6	vs MIA (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): W 27-22: 1487+6→1493
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1493 (-9)	6-6-1	vs MIN (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): L 30-44: 1502-9→1493
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1482 (+16)	5-8	at DAL (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1468): W 31-0: 1466+16→1482
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1493): Slight underdog
22	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1474 (+2)	4-9	vs BAL (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): L 34-39: 1472+2→1474
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (-15)	4-9	at TB (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): L 9-37: 1478-15→1463
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456	7-6	at NO (1440): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1451 (-17)	3-10	at NYG (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): L 0-31: 1468-17→1451
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1449 (-14)	3-10	at HOU (1549): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): L 17-45: 1463-14→1449
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1549): Lose by 7 points
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1445	2-11	vs WAS (1451): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1451): Slight favorite
28 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1440 (+8)	3-10	vs CAR (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): W 24-20: 1432+8→1440
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): Slight underdog
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1435 (-7)	3-10	at CHI (1506): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1390): L 29-31: 1442-7→1435
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1506): Lose by 6 points
30 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1433 (-16)	3-10	at JAX (1525): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): L 10-34: 1449-16→1433
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): Lose by 7 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1403 (-1)	2-11	at PHI (1540): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1550): L 17-24: 1404-1→1403
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): Lose by 8 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1397 (+7)	2-11	at SF (1527): Lose by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): W 31-29: 1390+7→1397
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1575 (-8)	9-3	at ARI (1463): Win by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): L 28-31: 1583-8→1575
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1573 (+12)	9-3	at ATL (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): W 26-0: 1561+12→1573
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1564 (-4)	6-6	vs HOU (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): L 28-31: 1568-4→1564
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1537): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1563 (+13)	8-4	vs CIN (1472): Win by 6
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): W 26-7: 1550+13→1563
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): Win by 6 points
5 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (-8)	7-5	vs DAL (1502): Win by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1543): L 24-31: 1569-8→1561
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): Win by 6 points
6 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1551 (+8)	8-3-1	vs CHI (1509): Win by 5
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1569): W 31-24: 1543+8→1551
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1509): Win by 5 points
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1550 (+1)	10-2	at LV (1404): Win by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): W 27-26(OT): 1549+1→1550
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1404): Win by 6 points
8 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1542 (-12)	8-4	at LAC (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): L 15-24: 1554-12→1542
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1537 (+10)	11-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): W 33-15: 1527+10→1537
next: (bye)
10	Houston TexansHOU	1537 (+4)	7-5	at KC (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): W 20-16: 1533+4→1537
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1564): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (-20)	6-6	vs PIT (1487): Win by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): L 14-32: 1548-20→1528
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): Win by 5 points
12 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1527 (+14)	9-4	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): W 26-8: 1513+14→1527
next: (bye)
13 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1520 (-4)	8-4	at JAX (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1533): L 16-20: 1524-4→1520
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1512): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1512 (+13)	8-4	vs IND (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1404): W 25-3: 1499+13→1512
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1520): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511	7-5	vs NO (1432): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): W 20-17: 1511-0→1511
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1432): Win by 6 points
16 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1509 (+12)	9-3	at GB (1551): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): W 24-15: 1497+12→1509
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1551): Lose by 5 points
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+9)	8-4	vs PHI (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): W 31-14: 1499+9→1508
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): Slight underdog
18	Dallas CowboysDAL	1502 (+5)	6-5-1	at DET (1561): Lose by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): W 31-28: 1497+5→1502
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1561): Lose by 6 points
19 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1487 (-13)	6-6	at BAL (1528): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): L 7-26: 1500-13→1487
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Lose by 5 points
20 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-1)	5-7	at NYJ (1449): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1431): W 21-17: 1480-1→1479
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1449): Tossup
21 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (-3)	4-8	vs SEA (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): L 24-27: 1481-3→1478
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): Slight underdog
22 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1472 (+20)	4-8	at BUF (1563): Lose by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): W 32-14: 1452+20→1472
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1563): Lose by 6 points
23	Washington CommandersWAS	1468	3-9	at MIN (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1549): L 26-27(OT): 1468-0→1468
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1466): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1466 (-12)	4-8	vs WAS (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): L 0-26: 1478-12→1466
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1468): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1463	3-9	vs LAR (1575): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 17-20: 1463+0→1463
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1575): Lose by 5 points
26 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456 (+8)	7-6	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): W 31-28: 1448+8→1456
next: (bye)
27 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (+3)	3-9	vs MIA (1479): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 27-24: 1446+3→1449
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Tossup
28 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1445 (-11)	2-11	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1527): L 15-33: 1456-11→1445
next: (bye)
29 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442 (-13)	3-9	vs TEN (1390): Win by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 8-26: 1455-13→1442
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1390): Win by 5 points
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1432 (+1)	2-10	at TB (1511): Lose by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): L 17-21: 1431+1→1432
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Lose by 6 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1404 (-8)	2-10	vs DEN (1550): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 14-31: 1412-8→1404
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1550): Lose by 6 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1390 (-14)	1-11	at CLE (1442): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): L 3-25: 1404-14→1390
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1583 (+14)	9-2	at CAR (1448): Win by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): W 34-7: 1569+14→1583
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1569 (-4)	7-4	vs GB (1543): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): W 34-27(OT): 1573-4→1569
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1543): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568	6-5	at DAL (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): W 23-20(OT): 1568-0→1568
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): Slight favorite
4	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1561	8-3	vs MIN (1478): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1403): W 30-24: 1561-0→1561
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1478): Win by 6 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (-5)	8-3	vs CHI (1497): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): L 21-24: 1559-5→1554
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Win by 5 points
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1550 (-2)	7-4	at PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1530): L 19-23: 1552-2→1550
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1549	9-2	at WAS (1468): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): Slight favorite
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (+7)	6-5	vs CIN (1452): Win by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1453): W 23-10: 1541+7→1548
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Win by 6 points
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1543 (+11)	7-3-1	at DET (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): W 23-6: 1532+11→1543
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1569): Slight underdog
10	Houston TexansHOU	1533 (+3)	6-5	at IND (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1552): W 23-19: 1530+3→1533
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): Slight underdog
11	New England PatriotsNE	1527 (+2)	10-2	vs NYG (1456): Win by 6
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1454): W 26-20: 1525+2→1527
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1456): Win by 6 points
12 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1524	8-3	vs HOU (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 20-23(OT): 1524+0→1524
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1533): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (+7)	8-4	at CLE (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): W 20-9: 1506+7→1513
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (-13)	6-5	vs ARI (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): L 7-34: 1524-13→1511
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1463): Slight favorite
15	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (-3)	6-5	vs BUF (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1495): L 28-31: 1503-3→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): Slight underdog
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499	7-4	vs LV (1412): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): Win by 7 points
17	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1499 (+3)	7-4	at TEN (1404): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1465): W 27-24(OT): 1496+3→1499
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1404): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1497 (+5)	5-5-1	vs KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): W 24-21: 1492+5→1497
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (+2)	8-3	at PHI (1554): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): W 31-28: 1495+2→1497
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Lose by 5 points
20 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (+13)	4-7	at NYJ (1446): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1445): W 24-10: 1468+13→1481
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): Tossup
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480	4-7	vs NO (1431): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1431): Win by 6 points
22 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1478 (-11)	4-7	at SEA (1561): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1532): L 6-23: 1489-11→1478
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): Lose by 6 points
23 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1468	3-8	vs DEN (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1549): Slight underdog
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1463 (-2)	3-8	at TB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): L 24-27(OT): 1465-2→1463
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1456 (+5)	2-10	at NE (1527): Lose by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1573): L 27-34(OT): 1451+5→1456
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1527): Lose by 6 points
26 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1455 (+13)	3-8	vs SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): W 24-10: 1442+13→1455
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-2)	3-8	at BAL (1548): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): L 20-26: 1454-2→1452
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Lose by 6 points
28 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448 (-7)	6-6	vs LAR (1583): Lose by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): L 9-20: 1455-7→1448
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): Lose by 6 points
29 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1446 (-7)	2-9	vs ATL (1481): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): L 10-23: 1453-7→1446
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Tossup
30 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1431 (-14)	2-9	at MIA (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 10-24: 1445-14→1431
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): Lose by 6 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1412 (-13)	2-9	at LAC (1499): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): L 10-24: 1425-13→1412
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Lose by 7 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1404 (+1)	1-10	vs JAX (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): L 24-30: 1403+1→1404
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1573 (-6)	6-4	vs NYG (1451): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): L 9-16: 1579-6→1573
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1569 (+2)	8-2	vs TB (1524): Win by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): W 21-19: 1567+2→1569
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-4)	5-5	vs IND (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1546): L 19-22: 1572-4→1568
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): Slight favorite
4	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1561 (-2)	7-3	at TEN (1403): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 19-21: 1563-2→1561
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1403): Win by 7 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (+6)	8-2	at DAL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1579): W 16-9: 1553+6→1559
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1552 (+9)	7-3	at HOU (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): W 44-32: 1543+9→1552
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1530): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1549 (+3)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): W 22-19: 1546+3→1549
next: (bye)
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1541 (+3)	5-5	vs NYJ (1453): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): W 23-16: 1538+3→1541
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1453): Win by 6 points
9 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1532 (+3)	6-3-1	vs MIN (1489): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 27-20: 1529+3→1532
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Win by 5 points
10	Houston TexansHOU	1530 (-1)	5-5	vs BUF (1552): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1402): W 16-13: 1531-1→1530
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1552): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1525 (+8)	9-2	at CIN (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1460): W 27-14: 1517+8→1525
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1454): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1524 (-9)	6-4	at LAR (1569): Lose by 5
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): L 32-44: 1533-9→1524
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): Lose by 5 points
13 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1524	8-2	at KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506 (+15)	7-4	vs CAR (1455): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): W 41-22: 1491+15→1506
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): Win by 5 points
15 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1503 (+15)	6-4	at CHI (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1469): W 34-12: 1488+15→1503
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (-18)	7-4	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): L 6-35: 1517-18→1499
next: (bye)
17 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (+18)	6-4	at ARI (1465): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): W 35-6: 1478+18→1496
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1465): Tossup
18 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (+5)	7-3	vs PIT (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): W 19-17: 1490+5→1495
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (+13)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): W 33-16: 1479+13→1492
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (-5)	4-6	at GB (1532): Lose by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): L 17-19: 1494-5→1489
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1532): Lose by 5 points
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480 (+2)	4-7	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): W 16-13(OT): 1478+2→1480
next: (bye)
22 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1468 (-2)	3-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1478): L 13-16(OT): 1470-2→1468
next: (bye)
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (-5)	3-7	at NO (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): L 27-30(OT): 1473-5→1468
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1445): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1465 (-16)	3-7	vs JAX (1496): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1491): L 22-41: 1481-16→1465
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Tossup
25 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1455 (+5)	6-5	at SF (1506): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): W 30-27(OT): 1450+5→1455
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Lose by 5 points
26 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1454 (-15)	3-7	vs NE (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): L 12-34: 1469-15→1454
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1525): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1453 (-7)	2-8	at BAL (1541): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): L 14-27: 1460-7→1453
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1541): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1451 (-4)	2-9	at DET (1573): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): L 20-27: 1455-4→1451
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1573): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1445	2-8	vs ATL (1468): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442 (-3)	2-8	at LV (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1538): L 16-23: 1445-3→1442
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1425 (-13)	2-8	vs CLE (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): L 16-33: 1438-13→1425
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): Slight favorite
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1403 (+1)	1-9	vs SEA (1561): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): L 13-16: 1402+1→1403
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1579 (+12)	6-3	at PHI (1553): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): W 44-22: 1567+12→1579
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): Tossup
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572	5-4	at DEN (1546): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1546): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1567 (+11)	7-2	vs SEA (1563): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): W 42-26: 1556+11→1567
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1563 (+11)	7-2	at LAR (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1492): W 44-22: 1552+11→1563
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1553 (+2)	7-2	vs DET (1579): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): W 10-7: 1551+2→1553
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1579): Tossup
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1546 (-5)	8-2	vs KC (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): W 10-7: 1551-5→1546
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Slight underdog
7 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543 (-18)	6-3	vs TB (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): L 13-30: 1561-18→1543
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1538 (+6)	4-5	at CLE (1445): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 27-19: 1532+6→1538
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): Win by 5 points
9 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1533 (-8)	6-3	at BUF (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1510): L 23-28: 1541-8→1533
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1531 (+1)	4-5	at TEN (1402): Win by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): W 36-29: 1530+1→1531
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1402): Win by 6 points
11 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1529 (-2)	5-3-1	at NYG (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): L 7-10: 1531-2→1529
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight favorite
12	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1524 (-1)	8-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): W 31-25(OT): 1525-1→1524
next: (bye)
13 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (+11)	7-3	at JAX (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): W 25-10: 1506+11→1517
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1517 (+7)	8-2	vs NYJ (1460): Win by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1541): W 28-23: 1510+7→1517
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1460): Win by 6 points
15 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1494 (-6)	4-5	vs CHI (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): L 19-27: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1491 (-11)	6-4	at ARI (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): L 26-42: 1502-11→1491
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490	6-3	at MIN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1454): W 24-20: 1490-0→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1494): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (-11)	5-4	vs CIN (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 10-25: 1499-11→1488
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1469): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-11)	3-6	vs SF (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1552): L 22-44: 1492-11→1481
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1491): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479	3-5-1	at LV (1438): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1438): Slight favorite
21 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1478 (+18)	3-7	at WAS (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): W 30-13: 1460+18→1478
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1478 (-2)	5-4	vs LAC (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1530): L 29-36: 1480-2→1478
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): Slight underdog
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1473 (+1)	3-6	vs CAR (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): L 25-31(OT): 1472+1→1473
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Slight favorite
24 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1470 (-12)	3-7	at MIA (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1567): L 22-44: 1482-12→1470
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1478): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1469	3-6	at PIT (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (+4)	2-7	at NE (1517): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1449): W 27-20: 1456+4→1460
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): Lose by 6 points
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+1)	2-8	vs GB (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1490): L 20-24: 1454+1→1455
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1529): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1450 (-12)	5-5	at ATL (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1432): L 7-17: 1462-12→1450
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): Slight underdog
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1445 (-4)	2-7	vs BAL (1538): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): L 20-27: 1449-4→1445
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1538): Lose by 5 points
30 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1445 (+13)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): W 17-7: 1432+13→1445
next: (bye)
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1438 (+5)	2-7	vs DAL (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1551): L 7-10: 1433+5→1438
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402	1-8	vs HOU (1531): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (-6)	5-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 21-28: 1578-6→1572
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1567 (-12)	5-3	at WAS (1482): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): L 24-27: 1579-12→1567
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1482): Win by 5 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (+6)	6-2	at MIA (1460): Win by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): W 28-21: 1555+6→1561
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1460): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1556 (+7)	6-2	at SF (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): W 34-10: 1549+7→1556
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1552 (+13)	6-2	vs ARI (1492): Win by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1496): W 38-14: 1539+13→1552
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1492): Win by 6 points
6 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551	6-2	at GB (1531): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1551 (+4)	7-2	vs LV (1433): Win by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1533): W 18-15: 1547+4→1551
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Win by 9 points
8	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1541	6-2	vs NE (1510): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1510): Win by 6 points
9 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1532 (+14)	3-5	at MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): W 28-6: 1518+14→1532
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (-11)	5-2-1	vs PHI (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): L 13-16: 1542-11→1531
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1530 (-3)	3-5	vs JAX (1480): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1547): L 15-18: 1533-3→1530
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): Win by 6 points
12 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1525 (-7)	7-2	at ATL (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): L 20-27: 1532-7→1525
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1472): Slight favorite
13	New England PatriotsNE	1510 (-1)	7-2	at TB (1541): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): W 24-23: 1511-1→1510
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1541): Lose by 6 points
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (-1)	6-3	vs PIT (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1401): W 27-20: 1507-1→1506
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502 (+8)	6-3	vs LAR (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): W 34-24: 1494+8→1502
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1556): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500 (+12)	4-4	vs BAL (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): W 27-24: 1488+12→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): Slight underdog
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (+7)	5-3	at LAC (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): W 27-20: 1492+7→1499
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog
18 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1492 (+11)	3-5	at SEA (1552): Lose by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1489): W 27-17: 1481+11→1492
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1552): Lose by 6 points
19 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490 (+3)	5-3	vs NYG (1454): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): W 47-42: 1487+3→1490
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1454): Win by 5 points
20 (-5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1482 (-14)	3-6	vs DET (1567): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1539): L 14-38: 1496-14→1482
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1567): Lose by 5 points
21 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1480 (+1)	5-3	at HOU (1530): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): W 30-29(OT): 1479+1→1480
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1530): Lose by 6 points
22 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479 (-10)	3-5-1	bye
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): L 17-27: 1489-10→1479
next: (bye)
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472 (+1)	3-5	at IND (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1511): L 23-24: 1471+1→1472
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): Slight underdog
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1469 (-3)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): L 42-47: 1472-3→1469
next: (bye)
25 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1462 (+11)	5-4	vs NO (1432): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 16-13: 1451+11→1462
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1432): Slight favorite
26 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1460 (-14)	2-7	vs BUF (1561): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): L 6-28: 1474-14→1460
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Lose by 6 points
27	New York JetsNYJ	1456	1-7	vs CLE (1449): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1449): Slight favorite
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-9)	2-7	at CHI (1490): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): L 24-34: 1463-9→1454
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Lose by 5 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1449	2-6	at NYJ (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433	2-6	at DEN (1551): Lose by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): L 29-30(OT): 1433-0→1433
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1551): Lose by 9 points
31 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1432 (-6)	1-8	at CAR (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1549): L 10-34: 1438-6→1432
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1402 (+1)	1-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): L 20-27: 1401+1→1402
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1579	5-2	vs MIN (1488): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1578 (+9)	5-3	at BUF (1555): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): W 28-7: 1569+9→1578
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (+12)	5-2	vs KC (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): W 40-9: 1543+12→1555
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): Slight underdog
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551 (+8)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1470): W 38-20: 1543+8→1551
next: (bye)
5 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1549	5-2	vs NO (1438): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): Win by 11 points
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1547 (+11)	6-2	at HOU (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 44-24: 1536+11→1547
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1533): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+9)	5-1-1	vs CAR (1451): Win by 9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): W 35-25: 1533+9→1542
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): Win by 9 points
8 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1541 (+11)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): W 23-3: 1530+11→1541
next: (bye)
9 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1539	5-2	at WAS (1496): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1496): Slight favorite
10	Houston TexansHOU	1533 (+7)	3-4	vs DEN (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1501): W 26-15: 1526+7→1533
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1547): Slight favorite
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532 (+6)	7-1	at PIT (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): W 38-14: 1526+6→1532
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1492): Slight favorite
12	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (+9)	2-5	at MIA (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): W 30-16: 1509+9→1518
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): Slight favorite
13 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1511 (+10)	6-2	vs ATL (1471): Win by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): W 32-13: 1501+10→1511
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Win by 6 points
14 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (+17)	5-3	at TEN (1401): Win by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 37-10: 1490+17→1507
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1401): Win by 8 points
15 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1496 (-9)	3-5	vs SEA (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): L 7-28: 1505-9→1496
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1539): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1494 (-7)	5-3	at NYG (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): L 15-26: 1501-7→1494
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1463): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (-8)	4-3	vs IND (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): L 25-35: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1489 (-12)	3-4-1	vs ARI (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): L 24-44: 1501-12→1489
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Slight favorite
19 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (-17)	3-4	at DET (1579): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): L 10-37: 1505-17→1488
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1579): Lose by 9 points
20 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (-9)	4-3	at CIN (1472): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): L 16-30: 1496-9→1487
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481	2-5	at DAL (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1489): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479	4-3	at LV (1433): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Slight favorite
23 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1474 (+21)	2-6	vs BAL (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): W 34-10: 1453+21→1474
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1472 (-8)	3-5	vs CHI (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): L 38-39: 1480-8→1472
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Slight favorite
25 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (-21)	3-4	at NE (1511): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1453): L 10-34: 1492-21→1471
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1511): Lose by 6 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (-7)	2-6	vs SF (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): L 20-38: 1470-7→1463
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1456 (+7)	1-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): W 39-38: 1449+7→1456
next: (bye)
28 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1451 (-13)	4-4	at GB (1542): Lose by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): L 9-40: 1464-13→1451
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Lose by 9 points
29 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1449 (-11)	2-6	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1501): L 13-32: 1460-11→1449
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1438 (-11)	1-7	at LAR (1549): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): L 3-23: 1449-11→1438
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1549): Lose by 11 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433	2-5	vs JAX (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1401 (-7)	1-7	vs LAC (1507): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): L 14-38: 1408-7→1401
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1579 (+10)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): W 24-9: 1569+10→1579
next: (bye)
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+8)	4-3	vs WAS (1505): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1441): W 31-0: 1561+8→1569
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): Win by 7 points
3 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1549 (+14)	5-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): W 35-7: 1535+14→1549
next: (bye)
4 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1543 (+4)	5-2	vs NYG (1470): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): W 28-22: 1539+4→1543
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1470): Win by 8 points
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543	4-2	at CAR (1464): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1464): Win by 7 points
6 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1539 (+7)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1533): W 27-19: 1532+7→1539
next: (bye)
7 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (-3)	5-2	vs DAL (1501): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): W 33-32: 1539-3→1536
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Win by 6 points
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1533	4-1-1	at PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): W 27-23: 1533+0→1533
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
9 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (-9)	5-2	at NO (1449): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1569): L 9-24: 1539-9→1530
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): Win by 6 points
10 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1526 (-7)	2-4	vs SF (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1532): L 19-27: 1533-7→1526
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1501): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1526 (+14)	6-1	vs TEN (1408): Win by 11
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 38-24: 1512+14→1526
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): Win by 11 points
12 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	1-5	vs CHI (1496): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): Win by 5 points
13 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505 (-19)	3-4	at KC (1569): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): L 22-44: 1524-19→1505
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Lose by 7 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-5)	3-3	at LAC (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): L 22-28: 1510-5→1505
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Tossup
15 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1501 (+8)	5-2	at HOU (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 20-10: 1493+8→1501
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (+18)	3-3-1	at DEN (1536): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1524): W 44-22: 1483+18→1501
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): Lose by 6 points
17 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1501 (+11)	5-2	vs CLE (1460): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): W 31-13: 1490+11→1501
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1460): Win by 6 points
18 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (-5)	4-2	vs GB (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1476): L 31-33: 1505-5→1500
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1496 (+7)	4-2	at BAL (1509): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): W 26-14: 1489+7→1496
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): Lose by 5 points
20 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (-8)	3-3	vs MIA (1453): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1493): L 10-20: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1453): Win by 6 points
21 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (-13)	4-3	vs MIN (1505): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): L 24-38: 1503-13→1490
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Tossup
22 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-1)	2-5	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): L 23-27: 1482-1→1481
next: (bye)
23 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1480 (+4)	3-4	vs NYJ (1449): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 33-31: 1476+4→1480
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1449): Win by 6 points
24 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (-15)	4-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): L 7-35: 1494-15→1479
next: (bye)
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1470 (+3)	2-5	at PHI (1543): Lose by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1539): L 32-33: 1467+3→1470
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1543): Lose by 8 points
26 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1464 (+8)	4-3	vs BUF (1543): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): W 13-6: 1456+8→1464
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): Lose by 7 points
27 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1460 (+19)	2-5	at NE (1501): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): W 31-6: 1441+19→1460
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1501): Lose by 6 points
28 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1453 (-18)	1-6	at ATL (1492): Lose by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): L 6-31: 1471-18→1453
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Lose by 6 points
29 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1449 (-8)	1-6	vs TB (1530): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): L 14-26: 1457-8→1449
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Lose by 6 points
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1449 (-7)	0-7	at CIN (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): L 6-13: 1456-7→1449
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): Lose by 6 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433 (-8)	2-5	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): L 0-31: 1441-8→1433
next: (bye)
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1408 (-10)	1-6	at IND (1526): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1490): L 13-31: 1418-10→1408
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1569 (-14)	4-2	vs TB (1539): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): L 17-30: 1583-14→1569
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1561 (+14)	3-3	vs LV (1441): Win by 11
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1583): W 30-17: 1547+14→1561
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1441): Win by 11 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543 (-13)	4-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): L 14-24: 1556-13→1543
next: (bye)
4 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1539 (+6)	5-1	at DET (1569): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): W 30-19: 1533+6→1539
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1569): Lose by 5 points
5	Denver BroncosDEN	1539 (-4)	4-2	vs NYG (1467): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): W 13-11: 1543-4→1539
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1467): Win by 8 points
6 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1539 (-23)	4-2	at MIN (1510): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): L 17-34: 1562-23→1539
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight favorite
7 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1535 (+14)	4-2	at JAX (1494): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): W 17-3: 1521+14→1535
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): Win by 5 points
8 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1533	2-3	at SEA (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1532): Slight underdog
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (+2)	3-1-1	at ARI (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): W 27-18: 1531+2→1533
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight favorite
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1532 (+7)	4-2	vs HOU (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 20-12: 1525+7→1532
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1533): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1524 (-8)	3-3	at DAL (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): L 24-25: 1532-8→1524
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512 (-1)	5-1	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): W 31-27: 1513-1→1512
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	3-2	vs PHI (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1539): Slight underdog
14 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-14)	1-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): L 3-17: 1523-14→1509
next: (bye)
15 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+6)	4-1	at CIN (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): W 23-9: 1499+6→1505
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1476): Slight favorite
16 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+2)	4-2	vs IND (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): W 29-27: 1501+2→1503
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500 (+13)	3-2	at SF (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): W 24-14: 1487+13→1500
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1493): Slight underdog
18 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494 (-6)	4-2	at LAR (1535): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): L 12-20: 1500-6→1494
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): Lose by 5 points
19 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1493 (-6)	4-2	vs ATL (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): L 19-30: 1499-6→1493
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1490 (+4)	4-2	at TEN (1418): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): W 25-19: 1486+4→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1418): Win by 6 points
21 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (+9)	3-2	vs NO (1457): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1532): W 25-24: 1480+9→1489
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1457): Win by 5 points
22 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1483 (-5)	2-3-1	vs WAS (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): L 27-30: 1488-5→1483
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1524): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (+1)	2-4	vs GB (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): L 27-31: 1481+1→1482
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Slight underdog
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1476 (-1)	2-4	vs PIT (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): L 18-27: 1477-1→1476
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight underdog
25	Miami DolphinsMIA	1471 (-3)	1-5	at CLE (1441): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): L 27-29: 1474-3→1471
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1441): Slight favorite
26 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (+23)	2-4	at DEN (1539): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): W 34-17: 1444+23→1467
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1539): Lose by 8 points
27 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1457 (-4)	1-5	at CHI (1489): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1486): L 19-25: 1461-4→1457
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Lose by 5 points
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1456 (+4)	0-6	vs CAR (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1543): L 11-13: 1452+4→1456
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1456): Slight favorite
29 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1456 (+5)	3-3	at NYJ (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1488): W 30-27: 1451+5→1456
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1456): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1441 (-6)	1-5	vs MIA (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 9-23: 1447-6→1441
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1471): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1441 (+8)	2-4	at KC (1561): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): W 20-10: 1433+8→1441
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): Lose by 11 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1418 (-8)	1-5	vs NE (1490): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): L 10-20: 1426-8→1418
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1490): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1583 (+5)	4-1	at KC (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): W 37-24: 1578+5→1583
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Slight favorite
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1562 (-8)	4-1	at NYG (1444): Win by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1535): L 17-21: 1570-8→1562
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1444): Win by 8 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (-13)	4-1	at ATL (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1473): L 20-23: 1569-13→1556
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1487): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (-8)	2-3	vs DET (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1493): L 28-31: 1555-8→1547
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1583): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1543 (+8)	3-2	at NYJ (1452): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1570): W 21-17: 1535+8→1543
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1452): Win by 8 points
6 (+8)	Houston TexansHOU	1533 (+24)	2-3	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): W 44-10: 1509+24→1533
next: (bye)
7 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1533 (+6)	4-1	vs SF (1499): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1531): W 38-35: 1527+6→1533
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): Win by 5 points
8 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1532 (+17)	3-2	vs CHI (1480): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): W 27-10: 1515+17→1532
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Win by 6 points
9 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531	2-1-1	vs CIN (1477): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1477): Win by 8 points
10 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525 (-6)	3-2	at JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): L 35-38: 1531-6→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
11 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1523 (-25)	1-4	vs LAR (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1509): L 10-44: 1548-25→1523
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (-7)	3-2	at BAL (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): L 23-26(OT): 1528-7→1521
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1513 (+13)	4-1	vs ARI (1481): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): W 40-6: 1500+13→1513
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Win by 6 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (-2)	3-2	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): W 21-17: 1512-2→1510
next: (bye)
15 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (-16)	3-2	at MIA (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1515): L 10-27: 1517-16→1501
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500 (+7)	4-1	vs SEA (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): W 31-28: 1493+7→1500
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499 (+7)	4-1	at TB (1533): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1528): W 26-23(OT): 1492+7→1499
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): Lose by 5 points
18 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	3-1	vs CLE (1447): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): Win by 8 points
19 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1488 (+15)	2-2-1	at CAR (1451): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1467): W 37-22: 1473+15→1488
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): Slight favorite
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487	2-2	vs BUF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1486 (+13)	3-2	at NO (1461): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): W 23-20: 1473+13→1486
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): Slight favorite
22 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-13)	2-3	at IND (1513): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1413): L 21-22: 1494-13→1481
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1513): Lose by 6 points
23 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480	2-2	at WAS (1532): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1532): Lose by 6 points
24 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (-5)	2-3	at GB (1531): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): L 24-37: 1482-5→1477
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Lose by 8 points
25 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1474 (-5)	1-4	vs LAC (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): L 24-27: 1479-5→1474
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1461 (+11)	1-4	vs NE (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 26-14: 1450+11→1461
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1486): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1452 (-15)	0-5	at DEN (1543): Lose by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): L 22-37: 1467-15→1452
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1543): Lose by 8 points
28 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1451 (+5)	2-3	vs DAL (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): W 27-24: 1446+5→1451
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1488): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1447 (+2)	1-4	at PIT (1499): Lose by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): L 17-21: 1445+2→1447
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Lose by 8 points
30 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1444 (-11)	1-4	vs PHI (1562): Lose by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1450): L 14-26: 1455-11→1444
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1562): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433 (-13)	1-4	vs TEN (1426): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): L 6-40: 1446-13→1433
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): Slight favorite
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1426 (+13)	1-4	at LV (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): W 22-21: 1413+13→1426
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1578 (+6)	3-1	at CIN (1482): Win by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1450): W 34-10: 1572+6→1578
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1482): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1570 (+3)	4-0	vs DEN (1535): Win by 6
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): W 31-25: 1567+3→1570
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1535): Win by 6 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (-1)	4-0	vs NE (1473): Win by 10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): W 31-19: 1570-1→1569
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1473): Win by 10 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (+16)	2-2	at JAX (1493): Win by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): W 37-20: 1539+16→1555
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1493): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (-16)	1-3	vs HOU (1509): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1539): L 20-37: 1564-16→1548
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1509): Win by 6 points
6 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1535 (+14)	2-2	at PHI (1570): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): W 28-3: 1521+14→1535
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1570): Lose by 6 points
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (-5)	2-1-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1468): T 40-40(OT): 1536-5→1531
next: (bye)
8	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1531 (+2)	3-1	vs TB (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1495): W 23-20: 1529+2→1531
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1528 (+2)	3-1	vs SF (1492): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1503): W 27-20: 1526+2→1528
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): Win by 6 points
10 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1527 (-3)	3-1	at SEA (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): L 25-31: 1530-3→1527
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1531): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1517 (-10)	3-1	vs WAS (1515): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): L 18-21: 1527-10→1517
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1515): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1515 (-10)	2-2	at LAC (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): L 27-34: 1525-10→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1517): Slight underdog
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (-6)	2-2	at CLE (1445): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 21-24: 1518-6→1512
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): Win by 7 points
14 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1509 (+9)	1-3	at BAL (1548): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1423): W 26-0: 1500+9→1509
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Lose by 6 points
15 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500 (-3)	3-1	vs LV (1446): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): L 20-27: 1503-3→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): Win by 7 points
16 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (+6)	3-1	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): W 24-21: 1493+6→1499
next: (bye)
17 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1494 (-1)	2-2	vs TEN (1413): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): L 20-23: 1495-1→1494
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1413): Win by 9 points
18 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493 (+6)	3-1	vs KC (1555): Lose by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): W 26-21: 1487+6→1493
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1555): Lose by 6 points
19 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1492 (-6)	3-1	at LAR (1528): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1487): L 21-26: 1498-6→1492
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1528): Lose by 6 points
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1487 (+9)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1525): W 34-27: 1478+9→1487
next: (bye)
21 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1482 (-15)	2-2	vs DET (1578): Lose by 8
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1521): L 3-28: 1497-15→1482
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1578): Lose by 8 points
22 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+2)	2-2	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): W 25-24: 1478+2→1480
next: (bye)
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (+3)	1-3	at CAR (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): W 27-21: 1476+3→1479
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1446): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1473 (+5)	1-2-1	at NYJ (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): T 40-40(OT): 1468+5→1473
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1467): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1473 (+19)	2-2	at BUF (1569): Lose by 10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1465): W 42-13: 1454+19→1473
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Lose by 10 points
26 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1467 (-2)	0-4	vs DAL (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): L 21-27: 1469-2→1467
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): Slight favorite
27 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (+10)	1-3	at NO (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): W 21-18: 1445+10→1455
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1450): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1450 (+1)	0-4	vs NYG (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): L 19-31: 1449+1→1450
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight favorite
29 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1446 (-19)	1-3	vs MIA (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1454): L 13-42: 1465-19→1446
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight underdog
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1446 (-2)	1-3	at IND (1500): Lose by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): L 24-25: 1448-2→1446
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Lose by 7 points
31 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1445 (-5)	1-3	at MIN (1512): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1572): L 10-34: 1450-5→1445
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): Lose by 7 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1413 (-10)	0-4	at ARI (1494): Lose by 9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): L 0-26: 1423-10→1413
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1494): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1572 (+11)	2-1	vs CLE (1450): Win by 12
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1575): W 38-30: 1561+11→1572
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1450): Win by 12 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1570 (-1)	3-0	vs NO (1449): Win by 13
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): W 31-21: 1571-1→1570
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1449): Win by 13 points
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1567 (+1)	3-0	at TB (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): W 33-26: 1566+1→1567
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1564 (-11)	1-2	at KC (1539): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1561): L 30-38: 1575-11→1564
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1539): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1539 (+7)	1-2	vs BAL (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): W 22-9: 1532+7→1539
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (-14)	2-1	at DAL (1468): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1437): L 10-13: 1550-14→1536
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1468): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (-5)	3-0	vs PHI (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1464): W 29-27: 1535-5→1530
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): Slight underdog
8 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1529 (+12)	2-1	at ARI (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): W 44-13: 1517+12→1529
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1495): Slight favorite
9	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (+2)	3-0	at NYG (1445): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1523): W 23-20: 1525+2→1527
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1445): Win by 7 points
10 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526	2-1	vs IND (1503): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): L 26-33: 1526-0→1526
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1503): Win by 5 points
11	Washington CommandersWAS	1525 (+7)	2-1	at ATL (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): W 41-24: 1518+7→1525
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1521 (-2)	1-2	vs CIN (1497): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): L 20-23: 1523-2→1521
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): Win by 5 points
13 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518 (+20)	2-1	at PIT (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): W 48-10: 1498+20→1518
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1503 (+13)	3-0	at LAR (1526): Lose by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): W 41-20: 1490+13→1503
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Lose by 5 points
15 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1500 (-7)	0-3	vs TEN (1423): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): L 10-17: 1507-7→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1423): Win by 9 points
16 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1498 (+3)	3-0	vs JAX (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 16-15: 1495+3→1498
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1487): Slight favorite
17 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1497 (-20)	2-1	at DEN (1521): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 10-48: 1517-20→1497
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1521): Lose by 5 points
18 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1495 (-2)	2-1	vs SEA (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): L 15-16: 1497-2→1495
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (+5)	2-1	at MIN (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1459): W 21-14: 1488+5→1493
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): Slight underdog
20 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1487 (+8)	2-1	at SF (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1507): W 17-10: 1479+8→1487
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (+16)	1-2	at LV (1448): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): W 31-14: 1462+16→1478
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): Slight favorite
22 (-7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (-24)	1-2	vs WAS (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): L 0-30: 1502-24→1478
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1525): Slight underdog
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	0-3	vs NYJ (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): L 21-31: 1476+0→1476
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): Slight favorite
24	New York JetsNYJ	1469 (+5)	0-3	at MIA (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): L 27-29: 1464+5→1469
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1468 (-16)	1-2	vs GB (1536): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): L 14-31: 1484-16→1468
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Lose by 6 points
26 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1465 (+24)	1-2	at NE (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): W 30-0: 1441+24→1465
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1454): Slight underdog
27	New England PatriotsNE	1454 (-5)	1-2	vs CAR (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): L 14-21: 1459-5→1454
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1465): Slight favorite
28 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1450 (+13)	1-2	at DET (1572): Lose by 12
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): W 13-10: 1437+13→1450
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1572): Lose by 12 points
29 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1449 (-12)	0-3	at BUF (1570): Lose by 13
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 13-44: 1461-12→1449
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): Lose by 13 points
30 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1448 (-7)	1-2	vs CHI (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1518): L 24-41: 1455-7→1448
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1445 (-7)	0-3	vs LAC (1527): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): L 9-22: 1452-7→1445
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Lose by 7 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1423 (-13)	0-3	at HOU (1500): Lose by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): L 20-41: 1436-13→1423
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1575 (+5)	1-1	vs DET (1561): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): W 41-17: 1570+5→1575
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1561): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1571 (+10)	2-0	vs MIA (1476): Win by 11
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1474): W 30-10: 1561+10→1571
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Win by 11 points
3 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1566 (+1)	2-0	vs LAR (1526): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): W 20-17: 1565+1→1566
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Win by 6 points
4	Detroit LionsDET	1561 (+9)	1-1	at BAL (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1472): W 52-21: 1552+9→1561
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1575): Slight underdog
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1550 (+6)	2-0	at CLE (1437): Win by 9
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1523): W 27-18: 1544+6→1550
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1437): Win by 9 points
6 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1535 (+3)	2-0	vs NYJ (1464): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1510): W 20-19: 1532+3→1535
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1464): Win by 8 points
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1532 (-2)	0-2	at NYG (1452): Win by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1565): L 17-20: 1534-2→1532
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1452): Win by 7 points
8 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526 (+7)	2-0	at PHI (1566): Lose by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): W 33-19: 1519+7→1526
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): Lose by 6 points
9 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+6)	2-0	vs DEN (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1462): W 20-9: 1519+6→1525
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1523): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1523 (-7)	1-1	at LAC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): L 28-29: 1530-7→1523
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1518 (-5)	1-1	vs LV (1455): Win by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): L 18-27: 1523-5→1518
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): Win by 8 points
12 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (-3)	2-0	at MIN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): W 31-27: 1520-3→1517
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight favorite
13 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+16)	1-1	vs NO (1461): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): W 31-17: 1501+16→1517
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): Win by 7 points
14	Houston TexansHOU	1507 (-3)	0-2	at JAX (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1532): L 19-20: 1510-3→1507
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1479): Slight favorite
15 (+7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1502 (+21)	1-1	at CAR (1441): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): W 22-6: 1481+21→1502
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): Win by 6 points
16 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-21)	1-1	vs CIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): L 6-22: 1519-21→1498
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (-6)	2-0	at SF (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): W 27-22: 1503-6→1497
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1495): Slight underdog
18	San Francisco 49ersSF	1495 (+1)	2-0	vs ARI (1497): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): W 26-21: 1494+1→1495
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (+8)	2-0	at TEN (1436): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1530): W 29-28: 1482+8→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1436): Win by 5 points
20 (-5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (-15)	1-1	at NE (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 17-31: 1503-15→1488
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1459): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1484 (-4)	1-1	at CHI (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): W 40-37(OT): 1488-4→1484
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1479 (+3)	1-1	vs HOU (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 27-31: 1476+3→1479
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1507): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476 (-11)	0-2	at BUF (1571): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1448): L 27-33: 1487-11→1476
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1571): Lose by 11 points
24	New York JetsNYJ	1464 (-10)	0-2	at TB (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): L 10-30: 1474-10→1464
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): Lose by 8 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-10)	0-2	vs DAL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): L 21-52: 1472-10→1462
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1484): Slight underdog
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1461 (-2)	0-2	at SEA (1517): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): L 21-26: 1463-2→1461
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Lose by 7 points
27 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1459 (+11)	1-1	vs PIT (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): W 33-27: 1448+11→1459
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1488): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1455 (-7)	1-1	at WAS (1518): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): L 9-20: 1462-7→1455
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1518): Lose by 8 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1452 (+4)	0-2	vs KC (1532): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1488): L 37-40(OT): 1448+4→1452
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): Lose by 7 points
30 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441 (+6)	0-2	vs ATL (1502): Lose by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1503): L 22-27: 1435+6→1441
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1502): Lose by 6 points
31	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1437 (-5)	0-2	vs GB (1550): Lose by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): L 17-41: 1442-5→1437
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1550): Lose by 9 points
32 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1436 (-8)	0-2	vs IND (1490): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): L 19-33: 1444-8→1436
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1570 (-2)	0-1	vs CLE (1442): Win by 14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): L 40-41: 1572-2→1570
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): Win by 14 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1565 (-3)	1-0	at KC (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1485): W 24-20: 1568-3→1565
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (+2)	1-0	at NYJ (1474): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): W 41-40: 1559+2→1561
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1474): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1552 (-7)	0-1	vs CHI (1472): Win by 10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): L 13-27: 1559-7→1552
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1472): Win by 10 points
5 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1544 (+8)	1-0	vs WAS (1523): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): W 27-13: 1536+8→1544
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1523): Win by 5 points
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1534 (-4)	0-1	vs PHI (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): L 21-27: 1538-4→1534
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1565): Slight underdog
7	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1532	1-0	at HOU (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): W 23-20: 1532-0→1532
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1510): Slight favorite
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1530 (-2)	1-0	at IND (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1442): W 20-12: 1532-2→1530
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1523 (+3)	1-0	at GB (1544): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): W 21-6: 1520+3→1523
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): Lose by 5 points
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (-2)	1-0	vs JAX (1476): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1440): W 17-16: 1522-2→1520
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): Win by 7 points
11 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1519 (+1)	1-0	at TEN (1444): Win by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 14-9: 1518+1→1519
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): Win by 7 points
12 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (+4)	1-0	at LV (1462): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): W 27-21: 1515+4→1519
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1462): Win by 6 points
13 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	1-0	vs ATL (1481): Win by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1471): W 27-24: 1519-0→1519
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Win by 6 points
14	Houston TexansHOU	1510 (-1)	0-1	vs TB (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): L 9-14: 1511-1→1510
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1532): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1503 (+1)	1-0	vs SEA (1501): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1475): W 34-32: 1502+1→1503
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1503 (+2)	1-0	vs CAR (1435): Win by 9
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): W 20-13: 1501+2→1503
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): Win by 9 points
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-4)	0-1	at PIT (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): L 13-17: 1505-4→1501
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1494 (+4)	1-0	at NO (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): W 17-13: 1490+4→1494
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1488 (+3)	0-1	vs NYG (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1568): L 20-24: 1485+3→1488
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1448): Win by 7 points
20 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1487 (-10)	0-1	vs NE (1448): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1472): L 8-33: 1497-10→1487
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1448): Win by 6 points
21 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1482 (+10)	1-0	vs DEN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): W 33-8: 1472+10→1482
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1530): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (+1)	0-1	at MIN (1519): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1532): L 20-23: 1480+1→1481
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Lose by 6 points
23 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1476 (+5)	1-0	at CIN (1520): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): W 26-10: 1471+5→1476
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Lose by 7 points
24 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1474 (-1)	0-1	vs BUF (1561): Lose by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 32-34: 1475-1→1474
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Lose by 8 points
25 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1472 (+1)	0-1	at DET (1552): Lose by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): L 24-27: 1471+1→1472
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): Lose by 10 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (-2)	0-1	vs SF (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1501): L 13-20: 1465-2→1463
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): Slight underdog
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1462 (+4)	1-0	vs LAC (1519): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1452): W 20-13: 1458+4→1462
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Lose by 6 points
28	New England PatriotsNE	1448 (-4)	0-1	at MIA (1487): Lose by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): L 13-20: 1452-4→1448
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): Lose by 6 points
29	New York GiantsNYG	1448 (-3)	0-1	at DAL (1488): Lose by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1520): L 6-21: 1451-3→1448
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1488): Lose by 7 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (+2)	0-1	vs LAR (1519): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): L 12-20: 1442+2→1444
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): Lose by 7 points
31 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442 (+2)	0-1	at BAL (1570): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): L 16-17: 1440+2→1442
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1570): Lose by 14 points
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435 (-6)	0-1	at ARI (1503): Lose by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1471): L 10-26: 1441-6→1435
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1503): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1572	0-0	at BUF (1559): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1609-37→1572
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): Tossup
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1568	0-0	vs DAL (1485): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1604-36→1568
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1485): Win by 10 points
3	Detroit LionsDET	1559	0-0	at GB (1536): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-31→1559
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Slight favorite
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1559	0-0	vs BAL (1572): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1590-31→1559
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1572): Tossup
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1538	0-0	at LAC (1515): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1557-19→1538
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight favorite
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1536	0-0	vs DET (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1555-19→1536
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): Slight underdog
7	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1532	0-0	at ATL (1480): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-17→1532
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): Win by 5 points
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1532	0-0	vs TEN (1442): Win by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1549-17→1532
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1442): Win by 11 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1522	0-0	at CLE (1440): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1534-12→1522
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1440): Win by 8 points
10	Washington CommandersWAS	1520	0-0	vs NYG (1451): Win by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1531-11→1520
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1451): Win by 9 points
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	0-0	at CHI (1471): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-9→1519
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1471): Win by 5 points
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1518	0-0	vs HOU (1511): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1528-10→1518
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): Slight favorite
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515	0-0	at KC (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1522-7→1515
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): Slight underdog
14	Houston TexansHOU	1511	0-0	at LAR (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1516-5→1511
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1518): Slight underdog
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	0-0	vs SF (1490): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1507-2→1505
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): Slight favorite
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502	0-0	at NYJ (1475): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1503-1→1502
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1475): Slight favorite
17	Arizona CardinalsARI	1501	0-0	at NO (1465): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1501+0→1501
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1465): Slight favorite
18	Miami DolphinsMIA	1497	0-0	at IND (1472): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1496+1→1497
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1472): Slight favorite
19	San Francisco 49ersSF	1490	0-0	at SEA (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1485+5→1490
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): Slight underdog
20	Dallas CowboysDAL	1485	0-0	at PHI (1568): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1476+9→1485
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1568): Lose by 10 points
21	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480	0-0	vs TB (1532): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1470+10→1480
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1532): Lose by 5 points
22	New York JetsNYJ	1475	0-0	vs PIT (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1462+13→1475
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Slight underdog
23	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1472	0-0	vs MIA (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1457+15→1472
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1497): Slight underdog
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1471	0-0	vs MIN (1519): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1457+14→1471
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Lose by 5 points
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1471	0-0	vs CAR (1441): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1456+15→1471
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1441): Win by 6 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465	0-0	vs ARI (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1447+18→1465
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1501): Slight underdog
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458	0-0	at NE (1452): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1436+22→1458
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1452): Slight underdog
28	New England PatriotsNE	1452	0-0	vs LV (1458): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1427+25→1452
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Slight favorite
29	New York GiantsNYG	1451	0-0	at WAS (1520): Lose by 9
prev: offseason parity reset: 1425+26→1451
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1520): Lose by 9 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1442	0-0	at DEN (1532): Lose by 11
prev: offseason parity reset: 1412+30→1442
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): Lose by 11 points
31	Carolina PanthersCAR	1441	0-0	at JAX (1471): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1410+31→1441
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1471): Lose by 6 points
32	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1440	0-0	vs CIN (1522): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1408+32→1440
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1522): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+32 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at NO(1465) W 20-13: +2→1503	9	18	at DAL(1489) W 27-17: +11→1492	17	29	at CIN(1477) L 14-37: -12→1422
2	17	vs CAR(1435) W 27-22: -6→1497	10	19	at SEA(1552) L 22-44: -11→1481	18	29	at LAR(1583) L 20-37: -4→1418
3	18	at SF(1495) L 15-16: -2→1495	11	24	vs SF(1491) L 22-41: -16→1465	W	29
4	17	vs SEA(1529) L 20-23: -1→1494	12	24	vs JAX(1496) L 24-27: -2→1463	D	29
5	22	vs TEN(1413) L 21-22: -13→1481	13	25	at TB(1511) L 17-20: +0→1463	C	29
6	23	at IND(1513) L 27-31: +1→1482	14	26	vs LAR(1575) L 17-45: -14→1449	S	29
7	22	vs GB(1533) L 23-27: -1→1481	15	27	at HOU(1549) L 20-40: -9→1440
8	21	(bye)	16	28	vs ATL(1470) L 19-26: -6→1434

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs TB(1532) L 20-23: +1→1481	9	23	at NE(1511) L 23-24: +1→1472	17	21	vs LAR(1592) W 27-24: +9→1484
2	15	at MIN(1519) W 22-6: +21→1502	10	23	at IND(1525) L 25-31: +1→1473	18	20	vs NO(1464) W 19-17: +1→1485
3	22	at CAR(1441) L 0-30: -24→1478	11	23	vs CAR(1450) L 27-30: -5→1468	W	20
4	20	vs WAS(1525) W 34-27: +9→1487	12	20	at NO(1445) W 24-10: +13→1481	D	20
5	20	(bye)	13	21	at NYJ(1446) L 24-27: -3→1478	C	20
6	17	vs BUF(1556) W 24-14: +13→1500	14	23	vs SEA(1573) L 9-37: -15→1463	S	20
7	20	at SF(1493) L 10-20: -8→1492	15	22	at TB(1503) W 29-28: +7→1470
8	25	vs MIA(1453) L 10-34: -21→1471	16	21	at ARI(1440) W 26-19: +5→1475

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at BUF(1559) L 40-41: -2→1570	9	9	at MIA(1474) W 28-6: +14→1532	17	8	at GB(1545) W 41-24: +17→1549
2	1	vs CLE(1442) W 41-17: +5→1575	10	8	at MIN(1500) W 27-19: +6→1538	18	10	at PIT(1502) L 24-26: -5→1544
3	4	vs DET(1561) L 30-38: -11→1564	11	8	at CLE(1445) W 23-16: +3→1541	W	10
4	5	at KC(1539) L 20-37: -16→1548	12	8	vs NYJ(1453) W 23-10: +7→1548	D	9
5	11	vs HOU(1509) L 10-44: -25→1523	13	11	vs CIN(1452) L 14-32: -20→1528	C	9
6	14	vs LAR(1521) L 3-17: -14→1509	14	13	vs PIT(1487) L 22-27: -7→1521	S	9
7	12	(bye)	15	11	at CIN(1474) W 24-0: +16→1537
8	12	vs CHI(1496) W 30-16: +9→1518	16	12	vs NE(1533) L 24-28: -5→1532

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-66 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs BAL(1572) W 41-40: +2→1561	9	3	vs KC(1578) W 28-21: +6→1561	17	4	vs PHI(1557) L 12-13: -5→1558
2	2	at NYJ(1474) W 30-10: +10→1571	10	7	at MIA(1460) L 13-30: -18→1543	18	3	vs NYJ(1395) W 35-8: +7→1565
3	2	vs MIA(1476) W 31-21: -1→1570	11	6	vs TB(1533) W 44-32: +9→1552	W	4	at JAX(1563) W 27-24: +4→1569
4	3	vs NO(1449) W 31-19: -1→1569	12	6	at HOU(1530) L 19-23: -2→1550	D	4	at DEN(1559) L 30-33: -1→1568
5	3	vs NE(1473) L 20-23: -13→1556	13	4	at PIT(1500) W 26-7: +13→1563	C	4
6	3	at ATL(1487) L 14-24: -13→1543	14	4	vs CIN(1472) W 39-34: -1→1562	S	4
7	5	(bye)	15	3	at NE(1537) W 35-31: +4→1566
8	3	at CAR(1464) W 40-9: +12→1555	16	3	at CLE(1422) W 23-20: -3→1563

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at JAX(1471) L 10-26: -6→1435	9	25	at GB(1542) W 16-13: +11→1462	17	26	vs SEA(1587) L 10-27: -8→1449
2	30	at ARI(1503) L 22-27: +6→1441	10	28	vs NO(1432) L 7-17: -12→1450	18	27	at TB(1488) L 14-16: +0→1449
3	26	vs ATL(1502) W 30-0: +24→1465	11	25	at ATL(1473) W 30-27: +5→1455	W	27	vs LAR(1587) L 31-34: +5→1454
4	29	at NE(1454) L 13-42: -19→1446	12	28	at SF(1506) L 9-20: -7→1448	D	27
5	28	vs MIA(1479) W 27-24: +5→1451	13	26	vs LAR(1583) W 31-28: +8→1456	C	27
6	29	vs DAL(1488) W 30-27: +5→1456	14	24	(bye)	S	27
7	26	at NYJ(1456) W 13-6: +8→1464	15	25	at NO(1440) L 17-20: -4→1452
8	28	vs BUF(1543) L 9-40: -13→1451	16	25	vs TB(1496) W 23-20: +5→1457

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs MIN(1519) L 24-27: +1→1472	9	19	at CIN(1472) W 47-42: +3→1490	17	14	at SF(1546) L 38-42: -0→1521
2	25	at DET(1552) L 21-52: -10→1462	10	17	vs NYG(1454) W 24-20: -0→1490	18	13	vs DET(1543) L 16-19: -3→1518
3	21	vs DAL(1484) W 31-14: +16→1478	11	18	at MIN(1494) W 19-17: +5→1495	W	12	vs GB(1517) W 31-27: +2→1520
4	22	at LV(1448) W 25-24: +2→1480	12	19	vs PIT(1503) W 31-28: +2→1497	D	12	vs LAR(1582) L 17-20: +1→1521
5	23	(bye)	13	16	at PHI(1554) W 24-15: +12→1509	C	12
6	21	at WAS(1532) W 25-24: +9→1489	14	16	at GB(1551) L 21-28: -3→1506	S	12
7	19	vs NO(1457) W 26-14: +7→1496	15	14	vs CLE(1435) W 31-3: +13→1519
8	20	at BAL(1509) L 16-30: -9→1487	16	15	vs GB(1548) W 22-16: +2→1521

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at CLE(1440) W 17-16: -2→1520	9	24	vs CHI(1487) L 42-47: -3→1469	17	19	vs ARI(1434) W 37-14: +13→1490
2	12	vs JAX(1476) W 31-27: -3→1517	10	25	(bye)	18	21	vs CLE(1434) L 18-20: -9→1481
3	17	at MIN(1498) L 10-48: -20→1497	11	26	at PIT(1488) L 12-34: -15→1454	W	21
4	21	at DEN(1521) L 3-28: -15→1482	12	27	vs NE(1525) L 20-26: -2→1452	D	21
5	24	vs DET(1578) L 24-37: -5→1477	13	22	at BAL(1548) W 32-14: +20→1472	C	21
6	24	at GB(1531) L 18-27: -1→1476	14	22	at BUF(1563) L 34-39: +2→1474	S	21
7	23	vs PIT(1505) W 33-31: +4→1480	15	24	vs BAL(1521) L 0-24: -16→1458
8	24	vs NYJ(1449) L 38-39: -8→1472	16	20	at MIA(1485) W 45-21: +19→1477

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs CIN(1522) L 16-17: +2→1442	9	29	(bye)	17	28	vs PIT(1512) W 13-6: +9→1434
2	31	at BAL(1570) L 17-41: -5→1437	10	29	at NYJ(1456) L 20-27: -4→1445	18	28	at CIN(1490) W 20-18: +8→1442
3	28	vs GB(1550) W 13-10: +13→1450	11	30	vs BAL(1538) L 16-23: -3→1442	W	28
4	31	at DET(1572) L 10-34: -5→1445	12	26	at LV(1425) W 24-10: +13→1455	D	28
5	29	at MIN(1512) L 17-21: +2→1447	13	29	vs SF(1513) L 8-26: -13→1442	C	28
6	30	at PIT(1499) L 9-23: -6→1441	14	29	vs TEN(1390) L 29-31: -7→1435	S	28
7	27	vs MIA(1471) W 31-6: +19→1460	15	29	at CHI(1506) L 3-31: -13→1422
8	29	at NE(1501) L 13-32: -11→1449	16	29	vs BUF(1566) L 20-23: +3→1425

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at PHI(1568) L 20-24: +3→1488	9	22	vs ARI(1481) L 17-27: -10→1479	17	22	at WAS(1453) W 30-23: +6→1476
2	21	vs NYG(1448) W 40-37: -4→1484	10	20	(bye)	18	24	at NYG(1450) L 17-34: -15→1461
3	25	at CHI(1462) L 14-31: -16→1468	11	19	at LV(1438) W 33-16: +13→1492	W	24
4	24	vs GB(1536) T 40-40: +5→1473	12	18	vs PHI(1559) W 24-21: +5→1497	D	24
5	19	at NYJ(1467) W 37-22: +15→1488	13	18	vs KC(1568) W 31-28: +5→1502	C	24
6	22	at CAR(1451) L 27-30: -5→1483	14	20	at DET(1561) L 30-44: -9→1493	S	24
7	16	vs WAS(1524) W 44-22: +18→1501	15	21	vs MIN(1482) L 26-34: -9→1484
8	18	at DEN(1536) L 24-44: -12→1489	16	22	vs LAC(1517) L 17-34: -14→1470

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs TEN(1442) W 20-12: -2→1530	9	7	at HOU(1533) W 18-15: +4→1551	17	9	at KC(1525) W 20-13: +7→1549
2	10	at IND(1482) L 28-29: -7→1523	10	6	vs LV(1433) W 10-7: -5→1546	18	6	vs LAC(1528) W 19-3: +10→1559
3	12	at LAC(1525) L 20-23: -2→1521	11	7	vs KC(1572) W 22-19: +3→1549	W	6	(bye)
4	6	vs CIN(1497) W 28-3: +14→1535	12	7	(bye)	D	6	vs BUF(1569) W 33-30: +1→1560
5	5	at PHI(1570) W 21-17: +8→1543	13	7	at WAS(1468) W 27-26: +1→1550	C	7	vs NE(1578) L 7-10: -3→1557
6	5	at NYJ(1452) W 13-11: -4→1539	14	7	at LV(1404) W 24-17: +1→1551	S	7
7	7	vs NYG(1467) W 33-32: -3→1536	15	6	vs GB(1554) W 34-26: +6→1557
8	6	vs DAL(1501) W 44-24: +11→1547	16	10	vs JAX(1537) L 20-34: -15→1542

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at GB(1536) L 13-27: -7→1552	9	2	vs MIN(1488) L 24-27: -12→1567	17	11	at MIN(1494) L 10-23: -14→1543
2	4	vs CHI(1472) W 52-21: +9→1561	10	1	at WAS(1482) W 44-22: +12→1579	18	9	at CHI(1521) W 19-16: +3→1546
3	1	at BAL(1575) W 38-30: +11→1572	11	1	at PHI(1553) L 9-16: -6→1573	W	8
4	1	vs CLE(1450) W 34-10: +6→1578	12	2	vs NYG(1451) W 34-27: -4→1569	D	8
5	1	at CIN(1482) W 37-24: +5→1583	13	5	vs GB(1543) L 24-31: -8→1561	C	8
6	1	at KC(1547) L 17-30: -14→1569	14	3	vs DAL(1502) W 44-30: +8→1569	S	8
7	1	vs TB(1539) W 24-9: +10→1579	15	4	at LAR(1589) L 34-41: -4→1565
8	1	(bye)	16	4	vs PIT(1504) L 24-29: -8→1557

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs DET(1559) W 27-13: +8→1544	9	10	vs CAR(1451) L 13-16: -11→1531	17	12	vs BAL(1532) L 24-41: -16→1529
2	5	vs WAS(1523) W 27-18: +6→1550	10	11	vs PHI(1551) L 7-10: -2→1529	18	14	at MIN(1508) L 3-16: -12→1517
3	6	at CLE(1437) L 10-13: -14→1536	11	9	at NYG(1455) W 27-20: +3→1532	W	14	at CHI(1518) L 27-31: -1→1516
4	7	at DAL(1468) T 40-40: -5→1531	12	9	vs MIN(1489) W 23-6: +11→1543	D	14
5	9	(bye)	13	6	at DET(1569) W 31-24: +8→1551	C	14
6	9	vs CIN(1477) W 27-18: +2→1533	14	5	vs CHI(1509) W 28-21: +3→1554	S	14
7	8	at ARI(1482) W 27-23: +0→1533	15	8	at DEN(1551) L 26-34: -6→1548
8	7	at PIT(1500) W 35-25: +9→1542	16	9	at CHI(1519) L 16-22: -3→1545

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-32 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at LAR(1518) L 9-14: -1→1510	9	11	vs DEN(1547) L 15-18: -3→1530	17	5	at LAC(1531) W 20-16: +4→1556
2	14	vs TB(1532) L 19-20: -3→1507	10	10	vs JAX(1480) W 36-29: +1→1531	18	7	vs IND(1490) W 38-30: +1→1557
3	15	at JAX(1479) L 10-17: -7→1500	11	10	at TEN(1402) W 16-13: -1→1530	W	3	at PIT(1507) W 30-6: +15→1572
4	14	vs TEN(1423) W 26-0: +9→1509	12	10	vs BUF(1552) W 23-19: +3→1533	D	5	at NE(1568) L 16-28: -10→1562
5	6	at BAL(1548) W 44-10: +24→1533	13	10	at IND(1524) W 20-16: +4→1537	C	5
6	8	(bye)	14	8	at KC(1564) W 20-10: +12→1549	S	5
7	10	at SEA(1532) L 19-27: -7→1526	15	5	vs ARI(1449) W 40-20: +10→1559
8	10	vs SF(1501) W 26-15: +7→1533	16	6	vs LV(1393) W 23-21: -7→1552

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1540 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs MIA(1497) W 33-8: +10→1482	9	12	at PIT(1492) L 20-27: -7→1525	17	18	vs JAX(1552) L 17-23: -3→1490
2	19	vs DEN(1530) W 29-28: +8→1490	10	12	at ATL(1472) W 31-25: -1→1524	18	18	at HOU(1556) L 30-38: -1→1489
3	14	at TEN(1436) W 41-20: +13→1503	11	13	(bye)	W	18
4	15	at LAR(1526) L 20-27: -3→1500	12	12	at KC(1568) L 20-23: +0→1524	D	18
5	13	vs LV(1446) W 40-6: +13→1513	13	13	vs HOU(1533) L 16-20: -4→1520	C	18
6	12	vs ARI(1481) W 31-27: -1→1512	14	15	at JAX(1512) L 19-36: -13→1507	S	18
7	11	at LAC(1503) W 38-24: +14→1526	15	16	at SEA(1587) L 16-18: +2→1509
8	11	vs TEN(1408) W 38-14: +6→1532	16	18	vs SF(1530) L 27-48: -16→1493

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs CAR(1441) W 26-10: +5→1476	9	21	at LV(1433) W 30-29: +1→1480	17	6	at IND(1493) W 23-17: +3→1555
2	22	at CIN(1520) L 27-31: +3→1479	10	22	at HOU(1530) L 29-36: -2→1478	18	4	vs TEN(1408) W 41-7: +8→1563
3	20	vs HOU(1507) W 17-10: +8→1487	11	17	vs LAC(1517) W 35-6: +18→1496	W	7	vs BUF(1565) L 24-27: -5→1558
4	18	at SF(1498) W 26-21: +6→1493	12	17	at ARI(1465) W 27-24: +3→1499	D	7
5	16	vs KC(1555) W 31-28: +7→1500	13	14	at TEN(1404) W 25-3: +13→1512	C	6
6	18	vs SEA(1525) L 12-20: -6→1494	14	12	vs IND(1520) W 36-19: +13→1525	S	6
7	24	at LAR(1535) L 7-35: -15→1479	15	10	vs NYJ(1433) W 48-20: +12→1537
8	22	(bye)	16	7	at DEN(1557) W 34-20: +15→1552

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1511 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at LAC(1515) L 21-27: -4→1534	9	1	at BUF(1555) L 21-28: -6→1572	17	15	vs DEN(1542) L 13-20: -7→1518
2	7	vs PHI(1565) L 17-20: -2→1532	10	2	(bye)	18	16	at LV(1383) L 12-14: -10→1508
3	5	at NYG(1452) W 22-9: +7→1539	11	3	at DEN(1546) L 19-22: -4→1568	W	16
4	4	vs BAL(1564) W 37-20: +16→1555	12	3	vs IND(1524) W 23-20: -0→1568	D	16
5	4	at JAX(1493) L 28-31: -8→1547	13	3	at DAL(1497) L 28-31: -4→1564	C	16
6	2	vs DET(1583) W 30-17: +14→1561	14	6	vs HOU(1537) L 10-20: -12→1552	S	16
7	2	vs LV(1441) W 31-0: +8→1569	15	9	vs LAC(1510) L 13-16: -7→1545
8	2	vs WAS(1505) W 28-7: +9→1578	16	14	at TEN(1393) L 9-26: -20→1525

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+73 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at NE(1452) W 20-13: +4→1462	9	30	vs JAX(1479) L 29-30: -0→1433	17	32	vs NYG(1434) L 10-34: -16→1383
2	28	vs LAC(1519) L 9-20: -7→1455	10	31	at DEN(1551) L 7-10: +5→1438	18	31	vs KC(1518) W 14-12: +10→1393
3	30	at WAS(1518) L 24-41: -7→1448	11	31	vs DAL(1479) L 16-33: -13→1425	W	31
4	30	vs CHI(1478) L 24-25: -2→1446	12	31	vs CLE(1442) L 10-24: -13→1412	D	31
5	31	at IND(1500) L 6-40: -13→1433	13	31	at LAC(1499) L 14-31: -8→1404	C	31
6	31	vs TEN(1426) W 20-10: +8→1441	14	31	vs DEN(1550) L 17-24: -1→1403	S	31
7	31	at KC(1561) L 0-31: -8→1433	15	32	at PHI(1540) L 0-31: -10→1393
8	31	(bye)	16	32	at HOU(1559) L 21-23: +6→1399

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at KC(1538) W 27-21: +4→1519	9	14	at TEN(1401) W 27-20: -1→1506	17	13	vs HOU(1552) L 16-20: -3→1528
2	9	at LV(1462) W 20-9: +6→1525	10	13	vs PIT(1499) W 25-10: +11→1517	18	15	at DEN(1549) L 3-19: -11→1517
3	9	vs DEN(1523) W 23-20: +2→1527	11	16	at JAX(1478) L 6-35: -18→1499	W	15	at NE(1561) L 3-16: -7→1510
4	11	at NYG(1445) L 18-21: -10→1517	12	16	(bye)	D	15
5	15	vs WAS(1515) L 10-27: -16→1501	13	17	vs LV(1412) W 31-14: +9→1508	C	15
6	16	at MIA(1474) W 29-27: +2→1503	14	14	vs PHI(1542) W 22-19: +2→1510	S	15
7	21	vs IND(1512) L 24-38: -13→1490	15	15	at KC(1552) W 16-13: +7→1517
8	14	vs MIN(1505) W 37-10: +17→1507	16	13	at DAL(1484) W 34-17: +14→1531

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs HOU(1511) W 14-9: +1→1519	9	4	vs NO(1438) W 34-10: +7→1556	17	2	at ATL(1475) L 24-27: -9→1583
2	8	at TEN(1444) W 33-19: +7→1526	10	3	at SF(1502) W 42-26: +11→1567	18	2	vs ARI(1422) W 37-20: +4→1587
3	10	at PHI(1566) L 26-33: -0→1526	11	2	vs SEA(1563) W 21-19: +2→1569	W	2	at CAR(1449) W 34-31: -5→1582
4	9	vs IND(1503) W 27-20: +2→1528	12	1	vs TB(1524) W 34-7: +14→1583	D	2	at CHI(1520) W 20-17: -1→1581
5	12	vs SF(1492) L 23-26: -7→1521	13	1	at CAR(1448) L 28-31: -8→1575	C	2	at SEA(1614) L 27-31: +1→1582
6	7	at BAL(1523) W 17-3: +14→1535	14	1	at ARI(1463) W 45-17: +14→1589	S	2
7	3	at JAX(1494) W 35-7: +14→1549	15	1	vs DET(1569) W 41-34: +4→1593
8	5	(bye)	16	1	at SEA(1586) L 37-38: -1→1592

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at IND(1472) L 8-33: -10→1487	9	26	vs BAL(1518) L 6-28: -14→1460	17	23	vs TB(1492) W 20-17: +3→1469
2	23	vs NE(1448) L 27-33: -11→1476	10	21	vs BUF(1561) W 30-13: +18→1478	18	26	at NE(1550) L 10-38: -11→1458
3	23	at BUF(1571) L 21-31: +0→1476	11	21	at WAS(1470) W 16-13: +2→1480	W	26
4	23	vs NYJ(1469) W 27-21: +3→1479	12	21	(bye)	D	26
5	25	at CAR(1446) L 24-27: -5→1474	13	20	vs NO(1431) W 21-17: -1→1479	C	26
6	25	vs LAC(1501) L 27-29: -3→1471	14	18	at NYJ(1449) W 34-10: +17→1496	S	26
7	28	at CLE(1441) L 6-31: -18→1453	15	20	at PIT(1493) L 15-28: -11→1485
8	23	at ATL(1492) W 34-10: +21→1474	16	23	vs CIN(1458) L 21-45: -19→1466

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at CHI(1471) W 27-24: -0→1519	9	16	at DET(1579) W 27-24: +12→1500	17	16	vs DET(1557) W 23-10: +14→1508
2	16	vs ATL(1481) L 6-22: -21→1498	10	15	vs BAL(1532) L 19-27: -6→1494	18	12	vs GB(1529) W 16-3: +11→1519
3	13	vs CIN(1517) W 48-10: +20→1518	11	20	vs CHI(1490) L 17-19: -5→1489	W	13
4	13	at PIT(1493) L 21-24: -6→1512	12	22	at GB(1532) L 6-23: -11→1478	D	13
5	14	at CLE(1445) W 21-17: -2→1510	13	24	at SEA(1561) L 0-26: -12→1466	C	13
6	13	(bye)	14	21	vs WAS(1468) W 31-0: +16→1482	S	13
7	14	vs PHI(1539) L 22-28: -5→1505	15	19	at DAL(1493) W 34-26: +10→1492
8	19	at LAC(1490) L 10-37: -17→1488	16	17	at NYG(1436) W 16-13: +2→1494

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1480 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1475 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs LV(1458) L 13-20: -4→1448	9	13	vs ATL(1471) W 24-23: -1→1510	17	7	at NYJ(1407) W 42-10: +12→1550
2	27	at MIA(1487) W 33-27: +11→1459	10	14	at TB(1541) W 28-23: +7→1517	18	5	vs MIA(1469) W 38-10: +11→1561
3	27	vs PIT(1488) L 14-21: -5→1454	11	11	vs NYJ(1460) W 27-14: +8→1525	W	5	vs LAC(1517) W 16-3: +7→1568
4	25	vs CAR(1465) W 42-13: +19→1473	12	11	at CIN(1454) W 26-20: +2→1527	D	3	vs HOU(1572) W 28-16: +10→1578
5	21	at BUF(1569) W 23-20: +13→1486	13	9	vs NYG(1456) W 33-15: +10→1537	C	3	at DEN(1560) W 10-7: +3→1581
6	20	at NO(1461) W 25-19: +4→1490	14	10	(bye)	S	3	at SEA(1612) L 13-29: -10→1571
7	17	at TEN(1418) W 31-13: +11→1501	15	12	vs BUF(1562) L 31-35: -4→1533
8	13	vs CLE(1460) W 32-13: +10→1511	16	11	at BAL(1537) W 28-24: +5→1538

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (+38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs ARI(1501) L 13-20: -2→1463	9	31	at LAR(1549) L 10-34: -6→1432	17	24	at TEN(1414) W 34-26: +7→1464
2	26	vs SF(1494) L 21-26: -2→1461	10	30	at CAR(1462) W 17-7: +13→1445	18	23	at ATL(1484) L 17-19: -1→1463
3	29	at SEA(1517) L 13-44: -12→1449	11	29	(bye)	W	23
4	28	at BUF(1570) L 19-31: +1→1450	12	30	vs ATL(1468) L 10-24: -14→1431	D	23
5	26	vs NYG(1455) W 26-14: +11→1461	13	30	at MIA(1480) L 17-21: +1→1432	C	23
6	27	vs NE(1486) L 19-25: -4→1457	14	28	at TB(1511) W 24-20: +8→1440	S	23
7	29	at CHI(1489) L 14-26: -8→1449	15	26	vs CAR(1456) W 20-17: +4→1444
8	30	vs TB(1530) L 3-23: -11→1438	16	24	vs NYJ(1421) W 29-6: +13→1457

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+54 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at WAS(1520) L 6-21: -3→1448	9	28	vs SF(1494) L 24-34: -9→1454	17	25	at LV(1399) W 34-10: +16→1450
2	29	at DAL(1488) L 37-40: +4→1452	10	27	at CHI(1490) L 20-24: +1→1455	18	22	vs DAL(1476) W 34-17: +15→1465
3	31	vs KC(1532) L 9-22: -7→1445	11	28	vs GB(1529) L 20-27: -4→1451	W	22
4	27	vs LAC(1527) W 21-18: +10→1455	12	25	at DET(1573) L 27-34: +5→1456	D	22
5	30	at NO(1450) L 14-26: -11→1444	13	28	at NE(1527) L 15-33: -11→1445	C	22
6	26	vs PHI(1562) W 34-17: +23→1467	14	27	(bye)	S	22
7	25	at DEN(1539) L 32-33: +3→1470	15	28	vs WAS(1451) L 21-29: -9→1436
8	26	at PHI(1543) L 20-38: -7→1463	16	27	vs MIN(1492) L 13-16: -2→1434

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs PIT(1502) L 32-34: -1→1474	9	27	(bye)	17	31	vs NE(1538) L 10-42: -12→1395
2	24	vs BUF(1561) L 10-30: -10→1464	10	26	vs CLE(1449) W 27-20: +4→1460	18	32	at BUF(1558) L 8-35: -6→1389
3	24	at TB(1535) L 27-29: +5→1469	11	27	at NE(1517) L 14-27: -7→1453	W	32
4	26	at MIA(1476) L 21-27: -2→1467	12	29	at BAL(1541) L 10-23: -7→1446	D	32
5	27	vs DAL(1473) L 22-37: -15→1452	13	27	vs ATL(1481) W 27-24: +3→1449	C	32
6	28	at DEN(1543) L 11-13: +4→1456	14	30	vs MIA(1479) L 10-34: -16→1433	S	32
7	30	vs CAR(1456) L 6-13: -7→1449	15	30	at JAX(1525) L 20-48: -12→1421
8	27	at CIN(1480) W 39-38: +7→1456	16	31	at NO(1444) L 6-29: -14→1407

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1487 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs DAL(1485) W 24-20: -3→1565	9	6	(bye)	17	3	at BUF(1563) W 13-12: +5→1562
2	3	at KC(1534) W 20-17: +1→1566	10	5	at GB(1531) W 10-7: +2→1553	18	8	vs WAS(1447) L 17-24: -14→1548
3	3	vs LAR(1526) W 33-26: +1→1567	11	5	vs DET(1579) W 16-9: +6→1559	W	11	vs SF(1539) L 19-23: -5→1543
4	2	at TB(1530) W 31-25: +3→1570	12	5	at DAL(1492) L 21-24: -5→1554	D	10
5	2	vs DEN(1535) L 17-21: -8→1562	13	8	vs CHI(1497) L 15-24: -12→1542	C	10
6	6	at NYG(1444) L 17-34: -23→1539	14	9	at LAC(1508) L 19-22: -2→1540	S	10
7	4	at MIN(1510) W 28-22: +4→1543	15	7	vs LV(1403) W 31-0: +10→1550
8	4	vs NYG(1470) W 38-20: +8→1551	16	5	at WAS(1461) W 29-18: +7→1557

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at NYJ(1475) W 34-32: +1→1503	9	17	vs IND(1532) W 27-20: +7→1499	17	17	at CLE(1425) L 6-13: -10→1502
2	20	vs SEA(1501) L 17-31: -15→1488	10	18	at LAC(1506) L 10-25: -11→1488	18	17	vs BAL(1549) W 26-24: +5→1507
3	19	at NE(1459) W 21-14: +5→1493	11	15	vs CIN(1469) W 34-12: +15→1503	W	17	vs HOU(1557) L 6-30: -15→1492
4	16	at MIN(1518) W 24-21: +6→1499	12	15	at CHI(1495) L 28-31: -3→1500	D	17
5	18	(bye)	13	19	vs BUF(1550) L 7-26: -13→1487	C	17
6	15	vs CLE(1447) W 23-9: +6→1505	14	19	at BAL(1528) W 27-22: +6→1493	S	17
7	18	at CIN(1476) L 31-33: -5→1500	15	17	vs MIA(1496) W 28-15: +11→1504
8	17	vs GB(1533) L 25-35: -8→1492	16	16	at DET(1565) W 29-24: +8→1512

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at SEA(1505) W 17-13: +4→1494	9	15	at NYG(1463) W 34-24: +8→1502	17	10	vs CHI(1521) W 42-38: +1→1547
2	18	at NO(1463) W 26-21: +1→1495	10	16	vs LAR(1556) L 26-42: -11→1491	18	11	vs SEA(1595) L 3-13: -8→1539
3	16	vs ARI(1497) W 16-15: +3→1498	11	14	at ARI(1481) W 41-22: +15→1506	W	9	at PHI(1548) W 23-19: +5→1544
4	19	vs JAX(1487) L 21-26: -6→1492	12	13	vs CAR(1455) W 20-9: +7→1513	D	11	at SEA(1603) L 6-41: -11→1533
5	17	at LAR(1528) W 26-23: +7→1499	13	12	at CLE(1455) W 26-8: +14→1527	C	11
6	19	at TB(1533) L 19-30: -6→1493	14	11	(bye)	S	11
7	15	vs ATL(1500) W 20-10: +8→1501	15	13	vs TEN(1397) W 37-24: +3→1530
8	16	at HOU(1526) L 15-26: -7→1494	16	8	at IND(1509) W 48-27: +16→1546

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs SF(1490) L 13-17: -4→1501	9	5	at WAS(1496) W 38-14: +13→1552	17	1	at CAR(1457) W 27-10: +8→1595
2	13	at PIT(1503) W 31-17: +16→1517	10	4	vs ARI(1492) W 44-22: +11→1563	18	1	at SF(1547) W 13-3: +8→1603
3	8	vs NO(1461) W 44-13: +12→1529	11	4	at LAR(1567) L 19-21: -2→1561	W	1	(bye)
4	8	at ARI(1495) W 23-20: +2→1531	12	4	at TEN(1403) W 30-24: -0→1561	D	1	vs SF(1544) W 41-6: +11→1614
5	10	vs TB(1527) L 35-38: -6→1525	13	2	vs MIN(1478) W 26-0: +12→1573	C	1	vs LAR(1581) W 31-27: -2→1612
6	10	at JAX(1500) W 20-12: +7→1532	14	2	at ATL(1478) W 37-9: +14→1587	S	1	at NE(1581) W 29-13: +10→1622
7	6	vs HOU(1533) W 27-19: +7→1539	15	2	vs IND(1507) W 18-16: -1→1586
8	9	(bye)	16	2	vs LAR(1593) W 38-37: +1→1587

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at ATL(1480) W 23-20: -0→1532	9	8	(bye)	17	20	at MIA(1466) L 17-20: -4→1488
2	6	at HOU(1510) W 20-19: +3→1535	10	9	vs NE(1510) L 23-28: -8→1533	18	19	vs CAR(1449) W 16-14: -0→1488
3	7	vs NYJ(1464) W 29-27: -5→1530	11	12	at BUF(1543) L 32-44: -9→1524	W	19
4	10	vs PHI(1567) L 25-31: -3→1527	12	14	at LAR(1569) L 7-34: -13→1511	D	19
5	7	at SEA(1531) W 38-35: +6→1533	13	15	vs ARI(1463) W 20-17: -0→1511	C	19
6	4	vs SF(1499) W 30-19: +6→1539	14	17	vs NO(1432) L 20-24: -8→1503	S	19
7	9	at DET(1569) L 9-24: -9→1530	15	18	vs ATL(1463) L 28-29: -7→1496
8	8	at NO(1449) W 23-3: +11→1541	16	19	at CAR(1452) L 20-23: -4→1492

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+93 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at DEN(1532) L 12-20: +2→1444	9	32	vs LAC(1507) L 20-27: +1→1402	17	30	vs NO(1457) L 26-34: -6→1408
2	32	vs LAR(1519) L 19-33: -8→1436	10	32	(bye)	18	30	at JAX(1555) L 7-41: -8→1400
3	32	vs IND(1490) L 20-41: -13→1423	11	32	vs HOU(1531) L 13-16: +1→1403	W	30
4	32	at HOU(1500) L 0-26: -10→1413	12	32	vs SEA(1561) L 24-30: +1→1404	D	30
5	32	at ARI(1494) W 22-21: +13→1426	13	32	vs JAX(1499) L 3-25: -14→1390	C	30
6	32	at LV(1433) L 10-20: -8→1418	14	32	at CLE(1442) W 31-29: +7→1397	S	30
7	32	vs NE(1490) L 13-31: -10→1408	15	31	at SF(1527) L 24-37: -4→1393
8	32	at IND(1526) L 14-38: -7→1401	16	30	vs KC(1545) W 26-9: +21→1414

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	vs NYG(1451) W 21-6: +3→1523	9	20	vs SEA(1539) L 14-38: -14→1482	17	27	vs DAL(1470) L 23-30: -6→1447
2	11	at GB(1544) L 18-27: -5→1518	10	24	vs DET(1567) L 22-44: -12→1470	18	25	at PHI(1562) W 24-17: +14→1461
3	11	vs LV(1455) W 41-24: +7→1525	11	22	at MIA(1478) L 13-16: -2→1468	W	25
4	12	at ATL(1478) L 27-34: -10→1515	12	23	(bye)	D	25
5	8	at LAC(1517) W 27-10: +17→1532	13	23	vs DEN(1549) L 26-27: -0→1468	C	25
6	11	vs CHI(1480) L 24-25: -8→1524	14	25	at MIN(1466) L 0-31: -17→1451	S	25
7	13	at DAL(1483) L 22-44: -19→1505	15	23	at NYG(1445) W 29-21: +10→1461
8	15	at KC(1569) L 7-28: -9→1496	16	26	vs PHI(1550) L 18-29: -8→1453

↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 5 games (weeks 14-18) Minnesota Vikings: +53 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Atlanta Falcons: +21 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Cleveland Browns: +20 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New York Giants: +31 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Carolina Panthers: +5 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 9 games (weeks 9-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -71 total Elo rating
2. 9 games (weeks 10-18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -53 total Elo rating
3. 5 games (weeks 14-18) New York Jets: -61 total Elo rating
4. 5 games (weeks 14-18) Arizona Cardinals: -45 total Elo rating
5. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Green Bay Packers: -38 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 16, 152-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) 7-point favorites at Tennessee Titans (1393): Titans win 26-9
2. Week 18, 135-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1518) 8-point favorites at Las Vegas Raiders (1383): Raiders win 14-12
3. Week 13, 135-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1583) 6-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1448): Panthers win 31-28
4. Week 6, 118-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1562) 8-point favorites at New York Giants (1444): Giants win 34-17
5. Week 17, 117-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1592) 7-point favorites at Atlanta Falcons (1475): Falcons win 27-24
6. Week 18, 115-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1562) 9-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1447): Commanders win 24-17
7. Week 3, 113-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1550) 9-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1437): Browns win 13-10
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 5, 40-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1548) 6-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1509): Texans win 44-10
2. Week 3, 36-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1502) 6-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1441): Panthers win 30-0
3. Week 6, 25-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1562) 8-point favorites vs New York Giants (1444): Giants win 34-17
4. Week 8, 30-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1492) 6-point favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1453): Dolphins win 34-10
5. Week 16, 24-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) 7-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1393): Titans win 26-9
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +119: New England Patriots (1452) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 22
2. +117: Seattle Seahawks (1505) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 22
3. +87: Jacksonville Jaguars (1471) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 19
4. +64: Los Angeles Rams (1518) before week 1 → (1582) thru week 21
5. +51: Houston Texans (1511) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 20
more...
1. +50: Chicago Bears (1471) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 20
2. +43: San Francisco 49ers (1490) before week 1 → (1533) thru week 20
3. +25: Denver Broncos (1532) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 21
4. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1472) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
5. +15: New York Giants (1451) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
6. +13: Carolina Panthers (1441) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 19
7. +9: Buffalo Bills (1559) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
8. +4: Atlanta Falcons (1480) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
9. +3: Cleveland Browns (1440) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
10. +1: Minnesota Vikings (1519) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
11. -2: New Orleans Saints (1465) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
12. -5: Los Angeles Chargers (1515) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 19
13. -10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1502) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
14. -14: Detroit Lions (1559) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 18
15. -21: Green Bay Packers (1536) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
16. -23: Dallas Cowboys (1485) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
17. -26: Philadelphia Eagles (1568) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 19
18. -28: Baltimore Ravens (1572) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 18
19. -30: Kansas City Chiefs (1538) before week 1 → (1508) thru week 18
20. -39: Miami Dolphins (1497) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 18
21. -41: Cincinnati Bengals (1522) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
22. -43: Tennessee Titans (1442) before week 1 → (1400) thru week 18
23. -45: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1532) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
24. -59: Washington Commanders (1520) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
25. -64: Las Vegas Raiders (1458) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
26. -82: Arizona Cardinals (1501) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
27. -86: New York Jets (1475) before week 1 → (1389) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -86: New York Jets (1475) before week 1 → (1389) thru week 18
2. -82: Arizona Cardinals (1501) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
3. -64: Las Vegas Raiders (1458) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
4. -59: Washington Commanders (1520) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
5. -45: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1532) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
more...
1. -43: Tennessee Titans (1442) before week 1 → (1400) thru week 18
2. -41: Cincinnati Bengals (1522) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
3. -39: Miami Dolphins (1497) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 18
4. -30: Kansas City Chiefs (1538) before week 1 → (1508) thru week 18
5. -28: Baltimore Ravens (1572) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 18
6. -26: Philadelphia Eagles (1568) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 19
7. -23: Dallas Cowboys (1485) before week 1 → (1461) thru week 18
8. -21: Green Bay Packers (1536) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
9. -14: Detroit Lions (1559) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 18
10. -10: Pittsburgh Steelers (1502) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
11. -5: Los Angeles Chargers (1515) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 19
12. -2: New Orleans Saints (1465) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
13. +1: Minnesota Vikings (1519) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
14. +3: Cleveland Browns (1440) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 18
15. +4: Atlanta Falcons (1480) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
16. +9: Buffalo Bills (1559) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
17. +13: Carolina Panthers (1441) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 19
18. +15: New York Giants (1451) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
19. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1472) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
20. +25: Denver Broncos (1532) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 21
21. +43: San Francisco 49ers (1490) before week 1 → (1533) thru week 20
22. +50: Chicago Bears (1471) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 20
23. +51: Houston Texans (1511) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 20
24. +64: Los Angeles Rams (1518) before week 1 → (1582) thru week 21
25. +87: Jacksonville Jaguars (1471) before week 1 → (1558) thru week 19
26. +117: Seattle Seahawks (1505) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 22
27. +119: New England Patriots (1452) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +84: Jacksonville Jaguars (1478) before week 11 → (1563) thru week 18
2. +70: New England Patriots (1454) before week 4 → (1525) thru week 11
3. +62: Los Angeles Rams (1521) before week 6 → (1583) thru week 12
4. +60: Indianapolis Colts (1472) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 8
5. +56: San Francisco 49ers (1491) before week 11 → (1546) thru week 16
more...
1. +56: Seattle Seahawks (1532) before week 7 → (1587) thru week 14
2. +53: Minnesota Vikings (1466) before week 14 → (1519) thru week 18
3. +46: Kansas City Chiefs (1532) before week 3 → (1578) thru week 8
4. +43: Miami Dolphins (1453) before week 8 → (1496) thru week 14
5. +42: Houston Texans (1530) before week 12 → (1572) thru week 19
6. +38: Cincinnati Bengals (1452) before week 13 → (1490) thru week 17
7. +38: Baltimore Ravens (1509) before week 7 → (1548) thru week 12
8. +34: Chicago Bears (1462) before week 3 → (1496) thru week 7
9. +33: Dallas Cowboys (1468) before week 4 → (1501) thru week 7
10. +33: New Orleans Saints (1431) before week 13 → (1464) thru week 17
11. +32: Detroit Lions (1552) before week 2 → (1583) thru week 5
12. +32: Los Angeles Chargers (1499) before week 12 → (1531) thru week 16
13. +31: New York Giants (1434) before week 17 → (1465) thru week 18
14. +30: Denver Broncos (1521) before week 4 → (1551) thru week 9
15. +29: Carolina Panthers (1435) before week 2 → (1465) thru week 3
16. +25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1487) before week 14 → (1512) thru week 16
17. +25: Green Bay Packers (1529) before week 11 → (1554) thru week 14
18. +24: Tennessee Titans (1390) before week 14 → (1414) thru week 16
19. +23: Atlanta Falcons (1478) before week 4 → (1500) thru week 6
20. +23: Buffalo Bills (1543) before week 11 → (1566) thru week 15
21. +22: Philadelphia Eagles (1540) before week 15 → (1562) thru week 17
22. +22: Cleveland Browns (1437) before week 3 → (1460) thru week 7
23. +14: Washington Commanders (1518) before week 3 → (1532) thru week 5
24. +14: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1527) before week 5 → (1541) thru week 8
25. +12: New York Jets (1449) before week 8 → (1460) thru week 10
26. +11: Arizona Cardinals (1481) before week 6 → (1492) thru week 9
27. +5: Las Vegas Raiders (1433) before week 8 → (1438) thru week 10
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -72: Washington Commanders (1524) before week 7 → (1451) thru week 14
2. -72: New York Jets (1460) before week 11 → (1389) thru week 18
3. -70: Arizona Cardinals (1492) before week 10 → (1422) thru week 17
4. -65: Baltimore Ravens (1575) before week 3 → (1509) thru week 6
5. -61: Kansas City Chiefs (1568) before week 13 → (1508) thru week 18
more...
1. -55: Las Vegas Raiders (1438) before week 11 → (1383) thru week 17
2. -51: Cincinnati Bengals (1520) before week 2 → (1469) thru week 9
3. -49: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1541) before week 9 → (1492) thru week 16
4. -44: Miami Dolphins (1497) before week 1 → (1453) thru week 7
5. -44: Minnesota Vikings (1510) before week 6 → (1466) thru week 13
6. -43: Tennessee Titans (1444) before week 2 → (1401) thru week 8
7. -40: Dallas Cowboys (1502) before week 14 → (1461) thru week 18
8. -39: Indianapolis Colts (1532) before week 9 → (1493) thru week 16
9. -38: Green Bay Packers (1554) before week 15 → (1516) thru week 19
10. -38: Cleveland Browns (1460) before week 8 → (1422) thru week 15
11. -37: Los Angeles Chargers (1527) before week 4 → (1490) thru week 7
12. -37: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 7 → (1463) thru week 14
13. -36: Detroit Lions (1579) before week 11 → (1543) thru week 17
14. -34: New York Giants (1470) before week 8 → (1436) thru week 15
15. -31: Philadelphia Eagles (1570) before week 5 → (1539) thru week 6
16. -31: New Orleans Saints (1463) before week 2 → (1432) thru week 9
17. -28: Buffalo Bills (1571) before week 3 → (1543) thru week 6
18. -22: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 6 → (1478) thru week 10
19. -19: Pittsburgh Steelers (1512) before week 17 → (1492) thru week 19
20. -15: Carolina Panthers (1464) before week 8 → (1448) thru week 12
21. -14: San Francisco 49ers (1547) before week 18 → (1533) thru week 20
22. -13: Los Angeles Rams (1593) before week 16 → (1581) thru week 20
23. -11: Houston Texans (1510) before week 2 → (1500) thru week 3
24. -11: Denver Broncos (1532) before week 1 → (1521) thru week 3
25. -10: Chicago Bears (1471) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 2
26. -7: New England Patriots (1578) before week 21 → (1571) thru week 22
27. -4: Seattle Seahawks (1529) before week 4 → (1525) thru week 5
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1513
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1508
3. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
4. Tennessee Titans: 1506
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1506
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1506
2. Chicago Bears: 1506
3. New York Giants: 1506
4. Cleveland Browns: 1505
5. Green Bay Packers: 1505
6. Arizona Cardinals: 1505
7. New York Jets: 1504
8. Seattle Seahawks: 1502
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
10. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
11. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
12. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
14. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
15. Denver Broncos: 1499
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1498
18. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
19. Houston Texans: 1498
20. Los Angeles Chargers: 1497
21. Carolina Panthers: 1497
22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
23. Buffalo Bills: 1493
24. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1491
25. New Orleans Saints: 1487
26. Miami Dolphins: 1486
27. New England Patriots: 1480
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1480
2. Miami Dolphins: 1486
3. New Orleans Saints: 1487
4. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1491
5. Buffalo Bills: 1493
more...
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
2. Carolina Panthers: 1497
3. Los Angeles Chargers: 1497
4. Houston Texans: 1498
5. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1498
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
8. Denver Broncos: 1499
9. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1500
11. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
12. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
13. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
15. Seattle Seahawks: 1502
16. New York Jets: 1504
17. Arizona Cardinals: 1505
18. Green Bay Packers: 1505
19. Cleveland Browns: 1505
20. New York Giants: 1506
21. Chicago Bears: 1506
22. Washington Commanders: 1506
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1506
24. Tennessee Titans: 1506
25. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
26. Indianapolis Colts: 1508
27. Detroit Lions: 1513
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1511
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1508
3. Green Bay Packers: 1507
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1505
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
more...
1. Carolina Panthers: 1502
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
3. Detroit Lions: 1497
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1496
5. Denver Broncos: 1496
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1496
7. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
8. Tennessee Titans: 1493
9. New York Giants: 1491
10. Los Angeles Chargers: 1490
11. Cleveland Browns: 1490
12. Buffalo Bills: 1489
13. Chicago Bears: 1489
14. Houston Texans: 1488
15. Washington Commanders: 1486
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1481
17. San Francisco 49ers: 1481
18. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
19. Miami Dolphins: 1481
20. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1479
21. Baltimore Ravens: 1479
22. New England Patriots: 1475
23. Indianapolis Colts: 1472
24. New York Jets: 1470
25. Las Vegas Raiders: 1465
26. Arizona Cardinals: 1463
27. New Orleans Saints: 1453
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New Orleans Saints: 1453
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1463
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1465
4. New York Jets: 1470
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1472
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1475
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1479
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1479
4. Miami Dolphins: 1481
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1481
6. San Francisco 49ers: 1481
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1481
8. Washington Commanders: 1486
9. Houston Texans: 1488
10. Chicago Bears: 1489
11. Buffalo Bills: 1489
12. Cleveland Browns: 1490
13. Los Angeles Chargers: 1490
14. New York Giants: 1491
15. Tennessee Titans: 1493
16. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1496
18. Denver Broncos: 1496
19. Los Angeles Rams: 1496
20. Detroit Lions: 1497
21. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
22. Carolina Panthers: 1502
23. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
24. Atlanta Falcons: 1505
25. Green Bay Packers: 1507
26. Philadelphia Eagles: 1508
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1511

↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)
2	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	23-9 (23/32, 71.88%)
3	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	33-15 (33/48, 68.75%)
4	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	43-20 (43/63, 68.25%)
5	4-10 (4/14, 28.57%)	47-30 (47/77, 61.04%)
6	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	56-36 (56/92, 60.87%)
7	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	66-41 (66/107, 61.68%)
8	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	77-43 (77/120, 64.17%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	84-50 (84/134, 62.69%)
10	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	95-53 (95/148, 64.19%)
11	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	104-59 (104/163, 63.8%)
12	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	115-62 (115/177, 64.97%)
13	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	124-69 (124/193, 64.25%)
14	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	132-75 (132/207, 63.77%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	142-81 (142/223, 63.68%)
16	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	150-89 (150/239, 62.76%)
17	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	157-98 (157/255, 61.57%)
18	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	168-103 (168/271, 61.99%)
W	4-2 (4/6, 66.67%)	172-105 (172/277, 62.09%)
D	4-0 (4/4, 100.0%)	176-105 (176/281, 62.63%)
C	2-0 (2/2, 100.0%)	178-105 (178/283, 62.9%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	179-105 (179/284, 63.03%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!