NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025 "v3.2025.06" page

This page shows ratings and rankings used for weeks 1-17 of the 2025 season. Following week 17, the main rankings page was reverted to the "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v2.2024.07" 2025 rankings are available here.

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2024. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 65.84% of games, trailing the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.63% (according to sportsoddshistory.com), though it did meet or exceed Vegas's pick rate in 8 of the past 14 seasons. This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page at least weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. Want to compete against this Elo model? Join my public straight-up picks pool at nflpickspage.com. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2025 Season Summaries by Team
2025 Season Stats and Tidbits
2025 Season Model Accuracy

← 2024 Season NFL Elo Home

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1658 (+5)	17-3
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): W 29-13: 1653+5→1658
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1639	13-6
3	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1621	14-6
4	Detroit LionsDET	1604	9-8
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1592	9-8-1
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589	13-6
7	Houston TexansHOU	1586	13-6
8	New England PatriotsNE	1575 (-5)	17-4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1653): L 13-29: 1580-5→1575
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574	8-9
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1564	11-7
11	Denver BroncosDEN	1559	15-4
12	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1551	13-5
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532	8-9
15	Chicago BearsCHI	1531	12-7
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1518	10-8
18	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511	6-11
19	Washington CommandersWAS	1466	5-12
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1458	8-10
22	Dallas CowboysDAL	1450	7-9-1
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1436	4-13
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430	6-11
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1416	7-10
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1416	6-11
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1413	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400	3-14
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319	3-14
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1318	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1311	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1653 (-17)	16-3	at NE (1580): Win by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1604): W 31-27: 1670-17→1653
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1580): Win by 10 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1639	13-6
3 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1621 (+17)	14-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): L 27-31: 1604+17→1621
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1604	9-8
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1592	9-8-1
6	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589	13-6
7	Houston TexansHOU	1586	13-6
8 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1580 (+18)	17-3	at SEA (1653): Lose by 10
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1577): W 10-7: 1562+18→1580
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1653): Lose by 10 points
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574	8-9
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1564	11-7
11 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1559 (-18)	15-4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1562): L 7-10: 1577-18→1559
12	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1551	13-5
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532	8-9
15	Chicago BearsCHI	1531	12-7
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1518	10-8
18	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511	6-11
19	Washington CommandersWAS	1466	5-12
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1458	8-10
22	Dallas CowboysDAL	1450	7-9-1
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1436	4-13
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430	6-11
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1416	7-10
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1416	6-11
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1413	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400	3-14
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319	3-14
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1318	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1311	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1670	15-3	vs LAR (1604): Win by 20
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1589): W 41-6: 1670+0→1670
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1604): Win by 20 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1639 (+11)	13-6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1588): L 30-33(OT): 1628+11→1639
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1604	9-8
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1604 (-20)	14-5	at SEA (1670): Lose by 20
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1511): W 20-17(OT): 1624-20→1604
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): Lose by 20 points
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1592	9-8-1
6 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589	13-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): L 6-41: 1589-0→1589
7 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1586 (-5)	13-6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): L 16-28: 1591-5→1586
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1577 (-11)	15-3	vs NE (1562): Win by 14
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1628): W 33-30(OT): 1588-11→1577
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1562): Win by 14 points
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574	8-9
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1564	11-7
11	New England PatriotsNE	1562 (+6)	16-3	at DEN (1577): Lose by 14
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1591): W 28-16: 1556+6→1562
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1577): Lose by 14 points
12	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1551	13-5
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532	8-9
15 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1531 (+20)	12-7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1624): L 17-20(OT): 1511+20→1531
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1518	10-8
18 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511	6-11
19	Washington CommandersWAS	1466	5-12
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1458	8-10
22	Dallas CowboysDAL	1450	7-9-1
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-9
24	New York GiantsNYG	1436	4-13
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430	6-11
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1416	7-10
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1416	6-11
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1413	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400	3-14
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319	3-14
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1318	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1311	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1670	14-3	vs SF (1589): Win by 34
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1589): Win by 34 points
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1628 (+34)	13-5	at DEN (1588): Lose by 11
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1585): W 27-24: 1594+34→1628
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1588): Lose by 11 points
3 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1624 (-27)	13-5	at CHI (1511): Win by 21
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): W 34-31: 1651-27→1624
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1511): Win by 21 points
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1604	9-8
5 (+6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1592 (+26)	9-8-1
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1538): L 27-31: 1566+26→1592
6	Houston TexansHOU	1591 (+5)	13-5	at NE (1556): Lose by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): W 30-6: 1586+5→1591
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1556): Lose by 8 points
7 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1589 (+35)	13-5	at SEA (1670): Lose by 34
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): W 23-19: 1554+35→1589
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): Lose by 34 points
8 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1588	14-3	vs BUF (1628): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1628): Win by 11 points
9 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574	8-9
10 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1564 (+16)	11-7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1572): L 3-16: 1548+16→1564
11 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1556 (-16)	15-3	vs HOU (1591): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1548): W 16-3: 1572-16→1556
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1591): Win by 8 points
12 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1551 (-34)	13-5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): L 24-27: 1585-34→1551
13 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1534 (-35)	11-7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): L 19-23: 1569-35→1534
14 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532	8-9
15 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	9-8
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1518 (-5)	10-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1586): L 6-30: 1523-5→1518
17 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511	6-11
18 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1511 (-27)	12-6	vs LAR (1624): Lose by 21
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): W 31-27: 1538-27→1511
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1624): Lose by 21 points
19	Washington CommandersWAS	1466	5-12
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462	8-9
21 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1458 (+28)	8-10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): L 31-34: 1430+28→1458
22 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1450	7-9-1
23 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-9
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1436	4-13
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430	6-11
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1416	7-10
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1416	6-11
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1413	5-12
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400	3-14
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319	3-14
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1318	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1311	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1670 (+6)	14-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): W 13-3: 1664+6→1670
next: (bye)
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1651 (-12)	12-5	at CAR (1430): Win by 37
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1388): W 37-20: 1663-12→1651
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1430): Win by 37 points
3 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1604 (+4)	9-8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1541): W 19-16: 1600+4→1604
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1594 (-4)	12-5	at JAX (1585): Lose by 37
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1307): W 35-8: 1598-4→1594
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1585): Lose by 37 points
5 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1588 (-3)	14-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1546): W 19-3: 1591-3→1588
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1586 (-15)	12-5	at PIT (1523): Win by 17
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1517): W 38-30: 1601-15→1586
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): Win by 17 points
7 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1585 (-1)	13-4	vs BUF (1594): Win by 37
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1317): W 41-7: 1586-1→1585
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1594): Win by 37 points
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1574 (+1)	8-9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1524): L 24-26: 1573+1→1574
9 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1572 (-1)	14-3	vs LAC (1548): Win by 37
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): W 38-10: 1573-1→1572
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1548): Win by 37 points
10 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1569 (-38)	11-6	vs SF (1554): Win by 37
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1427): L 17-24: 1607-38→1569
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Win by 37 points
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1566 (+2)	9-7-1	at CHI (1538): Lose by 35
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): L 3-16: 1564+2→1566
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1538): Lose by 35 points
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (-5)	12-5	at PHI (1569): Lose by 37
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1664): L 3-13: 1559-5→1554
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1569): Lose by 37 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1548 (+2)	11-6	at NE (1572): Lose by 37
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1591): L 3-19: 1546+2→1548
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1572): Lose by 37 points
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1538 (-3)	11-6	vs GB (1566): Win by 35
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): L 16-19: 1541-3→1538
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): Win by 35 points
15 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532 (+15)	8-9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1601): L 30-38: 1517+15→1532
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1523 (-1)	10-7	vs HOU (1586): Lose by 17
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1573): W 26-24: 1524-1→1523
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1586): Lose by 17 points
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (-2)	9-8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1564): W 16-3: 1521-2→1519
18 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511 (-32)	6-11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1288): L 12-14: 1543-32→1511
19 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1466 (+39)	5-12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1607): W 24-17: 1427+39→1466
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1462 (-22)	8-9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1394): W 19-17: 1484-22→1462
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1450 (-19)	7-9-1
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): L 17-34: 1469-19→1450
22 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450 (-19)	8-9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): W 16-14: 1469-19→1450
23 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1436 (+19)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): W 34-17: 1417+19→1436
24 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1430 (+18)	8-9	vs LAR (1651): Lose by 37
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): L 14-16: 1412+18→1430
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): Lose by 37 points
25 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1430 (-28)	6-11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1386): L 18-20: 1458-28→1430
26 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1416 (+1)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1573): L 10-38: 1415+1→1416
27	New Orleans SaintsNO	1416 (+22)	6-11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): L 17-19: 1394+22→1416
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1413 (+27)	5-12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): W 20-18: 1386+27→1413
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1400 (+12)	3-14
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1663): L 20-37: 1388+12→1400
30 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319 (+31)	3-14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): W 14-12: 1288+31→1319
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1318 (+1)	3-14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1586): L 7-41: 1317+1→1318
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1311 (+4)	3-14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): L 8-35: 1307+4→1311

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1664 (-6)	13-3	at SF (1559): Win by 6
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): W 27-10: 1670-6→1664
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1559): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1663 (-29)	11-5	vs ARI (1388): Win by 35
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): L 24-27: 1692-29→1663
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1388): Win by 35 points
3 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1607 (+15)	11-5	vs WAS (1427): Win by 31
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1613): W 13-12: 1592+15→1607
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1427): Win by 31 points
4 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1601 (+5)	11-5	vs IND (1517): Win by 23
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1551): W 20-16: 1596+5→1601
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1517): Win by 23 points
5 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1600 (-24)	8-8	at CHI (1541): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 10-23: 1624-24→1600
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1541): Tossup
6 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1598 (-15)	11-5	vs NYJ (1307): Win by 36
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): L 12-13: 1613-15→1598
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1307): Win by 36 points
7 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1591 (+16)	13-3	vs LAC (1546): Win by 19
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): W 20-13: 1575+16→1591
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1546): Win by 19 points
8	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1586 (+10)	12-4	vs TEN (1317): Win by 35
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): W 23-17: 1576+10→1586
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1317): Win by 35 points
9 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1573 (+40)	8-8	at PIT (1524): Lose by 4
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): W 41-24: 1533+40→1573
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1524): Lose by 4 points
10 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1573 (+13)	13-3	vs MIA (1415): Win by 30
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1320): W 42-10: 1560+13→1573
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): Win by 30 points
11 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1564 (-39)	9-6-1	at MIN (1521): Lose by 15
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): L 24-41: 1603-39→1564
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1521): Lose by 15 points
12 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1559 (-10)	12-4	vs SEA (1664): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1532): W 42-38: 1569-10→1559
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1664): Lose by 6 points
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1546 (-5)	11-5	at DEN (1591): Lose by 19
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1596): L 16-20: 1551-5→1546
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1591): Lose by 19 points
14 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1543 (-15)	6-10	at LV (1288): Win by 27
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1575): L 13-20: 1558-15→1543
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1288): Win by 27 points
15 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1541 (+9)	11-5	vs DET (1600): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1569): L 38-42: 1532+9→1541
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1600): Tossup
16 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1524 (-23)	9-7	vs BAL (1573): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1363): L 6-13: 1547-23→1524
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1573): Win by 4 points
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1521 (+24)	8-8	vs GB (1564): Win by 15
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1624): W 23-10: 1497+24→1521
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1564): Win by 15 points
18 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517 (-9)	8-8	at HOU (1601): Lose by 23
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1576): L 17-23: 1526-9→1517
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1601): Lose by 23 points
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1484 (+29)	7-9	vs NO (1394): Win by 23
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1692): W 27-24: 1455+29→1484
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1394): Win by 23 points
20 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1469 (-6)	7-9	vs CAR (1412): Win by 19
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1408): L 17-20: 1475-6→1469
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1412): Win by 19 points
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1469 (+17)	7-8-1	at NYG (1417): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1444): W 30-23: 1452+17→1469
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): Slight underdog
22	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1458 (+11)	6-10	vs CLE (1386): Win by 21
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1399): W 37-14: 1447+11→1458
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1386): Win by 21 points
23	Washington CommandersWAS	1427 (-17)	4-12	at PHI (1607): Lose by 31
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1452): L 23-30: 1444-17→1427
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1607): Lose by 31 points
24 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1417 (+21)	3-13	vs DAL (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1309): W 34-10: 1396+21→1417
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1415 (+7)	7-9	at NE (1573): Lose by 30
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): W 20-17: 1408+7→1415
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1573): Lose by 30 points
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1412 (+6)	8-8	at TB (1469): Lose by 19
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): L 10-27: 1406+6→1412
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1469): Lose by 19 points
27 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1394 (+9)	6-10	at ATL (1484): Lose by 23
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1326): W 34-26: 1385+9→1394
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Lose by 23 points
28 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1388 (-11)	3-13	at LAR (1663): Lose by 35
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): L 14-37: 1399-11→1388
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1663): Lose by 35 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1386 (+23)	4-12	at CIN (1458): Lose by 21
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1547): W 13-6: 1363+23→1386
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): Lose by 21 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1317 (-9)	3-13	at JAX (1586): Lose by 35
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1385): L 26-34: 1326-9→1317
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1586): Lose by 35 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1307 (-13)	3-13	at BUF (1598): Lose by 36
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1560): L 10-42: 1320-13→1307
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1598): Lose by 36 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1288 (-21)	2-14	vs KC (1543): Lose by 27
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1396): L 10-34: 1309-21→1288
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Lose by 27 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1692 (+3)	11-4	at ATL (1455): Win by 22
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): L 37-38(OT): 1689+3→1692
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): Win by 22 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1670 (-3)	12-3	at CAR (1406): Win by 24
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1689): W 38-37(OT): 1673-3→1670
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1406): Win by 24 points
3	Detroit LionsDET	1624 (-26)	8-7	at MIN (1497): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1520): L 24-29: 1650-26→1624
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Win by 6 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1613 (-20)	11-4	vs PHI (1592): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1343): W 23-20: 1633-20→1613
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1592): Win by 9 points
5 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1603 (-3)	9-5-1	vs BAL (1533): Win by 15
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1529): L 16-22(OT): 1606-3→1603
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Win by 15 points
6 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1596 (-27)	10-5	at LAC (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1281): W 23-21: 1623-27→1596
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1551): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1592 (+9)	10-5	at BUF (1613): Lose by 9
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1454): W 29-18: 1583+9→1592
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1613): Lose by 9 points
8 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1576 (+32)	11-4	at IND (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): W 34-20: 1544+32→1576
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1526): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1575 (-33)	12-3	at KC (1558): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): L 20-34: 1608-33→1575
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Lose by 5 points
10 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1569 (+36)	11-4	vs CHI (1532): Win by 10
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1562): W 48-27: 1533+36→1569
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1532): Win by 10 points
11	New England PatriotsNE	1560 (+9)	12-3	at NYJ (1320): Win by 15
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1543): W 28-24: 1551+9→1560
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1320): Win by 15 points
12 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (-49)	6-9	vs DEN (1575): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1278): L 9-26: 1607-49→1558
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1575): Win by 5 points
13 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1551 (+22)	11-4	vs HOU (1596): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): W 34-17: 1529+22→1551
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1596): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1547 (+27)	9-6	at CLE (1363): Win by 10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1650): W 29-24: 1520+27→1547
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1363): Win by 10 points
15 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (-10)	7-8	at GB (1603): Lose by 15
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): L 24-28: 1543-10→1533
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): Lose by 15 points
16 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1532 (+3)	11-4	at SF (1569): Lose by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1606): W 22-16(OT): 1529+3→1532
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1569): Lose by 10 points
17 (-7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1526 (-36)	8-7	vs JAX (1576): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1533): L 27-48: 1562-36→1526
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1576): Slight favorite
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (-3)	7-8	vs DET (1624): Lose by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1393): W 16-13: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1624): Lose by 6 points
19	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1475 (-6)	7-8	at MIA (1408): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1400): L 20-23: 1481-6→1475
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1408): Slight favorite
20 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1455 (+11)	6-9	vs LAR (1692): Lose by 22
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1410): W 26-19: 1444+11→1455
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1692): Lose by 22 points
21 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1452 (-21)	6-8-1	at WAS (1444): Lose by 6
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): L 17-34: 1473-21→1452
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1444): Lose by 6 points
22 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1447 (+39)	5-10	vs ARI (1399): Win by 12
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): W 45-21: 1408+39→1447
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1399): Win by 12 points
23 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1444 (-10)	4-11	vs DAL (1452): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): L 18-29: 1454-10→1444
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1452): Win by 6 points
24 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1408 (-39)	6-9	vs TB (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1408): L 21-45: 1447-39→1408
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1475): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1406 (+6)	8-7	vs SEA (1670): Lose by 24
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): W 23-20: 1400+6→1406
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1670): Lose by 24 points
26 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1399 (-11)	3-12	at CIN (1447): Lose by 12
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): L 19-26: 1410-11→1399
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1447): Lose by 12 points
27	New York GiantsNYG	1396 (+3)	2-13	at LV (1309): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 13-16: 1393+3→1396
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1309): Win by 5 points
28	New Orleans SaintsNO	1385 (+18)	5-10	at TEN (1326): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1337): W 29-6: 1367+18→1385
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1326): Slight favorite
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1363 (+20)	3-12	vs PIT (1547): Lose by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1633): L 20-23: 1343+20→1363
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1547): Lose by 10 points
30 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1326 (+48)	3-12	vs NO (1385): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): W 26-9: 1278+48→1326
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1385): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1320 (-17)	3-12	vs NE (1560): Lose by 15
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1367): L 6-29: 1337-17→1320
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1560): Lose by 15 points
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1309 (+28)	2-13	vs NYG (1396): Lose by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1623): L 21-23: 1281+28→1309
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1396): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1689 (+1)	11-3	at SEA (1673): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1652): W 41-34: 1688+1→1689
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): Lose by 5 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1673 (-14)	11-3	vs LAR (1689): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1548): W 18-16: 1687-14→1673
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1689): Win by 5 points
3	Detroit LionsDET	1650 (-2)	8-6	vs PIT (1520): Win by 15
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1688): L 34-41: 1652-2→1650
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1520): Win by 15 points
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1633 (+6)	10-4	at CLE (1343): Win by 20
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): W 35-31: 1627+6→1633
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1343): Win by 20 points
5 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1623 (+2)	9-5	vs LV (1281): Win by 29
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): W 40-20: 1621+2→1623
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1281): Win by 29 points
6 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1608 (+7)	12-2	vs JAX (1544): Win by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1613): W 34-26: 1601+7→1608
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): Win by 10 points
7 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1607 (-17)	6-8	at TEN (1278): Win by 22
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): L 13-16: 1624-17→1607
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1278): Win by 22 points
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1606 (-7)	9-4-1	at CHI (1529): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1601): L 26-34: 1613-7→1606
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1529): Slight favorite
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1583 (+6)	9-5	at WAS (1454): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1288): W 31-0: 1577+6→1583
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1454): Win by 5 points
10 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1562 (+14)	8-6	vs SF (1533): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1687): L 16-18: 1548+14→1562
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1533): Win by 7 points
11 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1551 (-6)	11-3	at BAL (1543): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1627): L 31-35: 1557-6→1551
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1543): Lose by 5 points
12 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1544 (+10)	10-4	at DEN (1608): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1347): W 48-20: 1534+10→1544
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): Lose by 10 points
13 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1543 (+29)	7-7	vs NE (1551): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1436): W 24-0: 1514+29→1543
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): Win by 5 points
14 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1533 (-10)	10-4	at IND (1562): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1268): W 37-24: 1543-10→1533
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1562): Lose by 7 points
15 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1529 (+12)	10-4	vs GB (1606): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1355): W 31-3: 1517+12→1529
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1606): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1529 (+18)	10-4	at DAL (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): W 16-13: 1511+18→1529
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1520 (+7)	8-6	at DET (1650): Lose by 15
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): W 28-15: 1513+7→1520
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1650): Lose by 15 points
18 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500 (+18)	6-8	at NYG (1393): Win by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): W 34-26: 1482+18→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1393): Win by 6 points
19 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481 (-14)	7-7	at CAR (1400): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): L 28-29: 1495-14→1481
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1400): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1473 (-19)	6-7-1	vs LAC (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): L 26-34: 1492-19→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1454 (+16)	4-10	vs PHI (1583): Lose by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): W 29-21: 1438+16→1454
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): Lose by 5 points
22 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1447 (-7)	6-8	vs CIN (1408): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): L 15-28: 1454-7→1447
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1408): Win by 8 points
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1444 (+14)	5-9	at ARI (1410): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): W 29-28: 1430+14→1444
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1410): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1410 (-2)	3-11	vs ATL (1444): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1621): L 20-40: 1412-2→1410
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1444): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1408 (-28)	4-10	at MIA (1447): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): L 0-24: 1436-28→1408
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): Lose by 8 points
26 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1400 (-3)	7-7	vs TB (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1364): L 17-20: 1403-3→1400
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1393 (-16)	2-12	vs MIN (1500): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1438): L 21-29: 1409-16→1393
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Lose by 6 points
28	New Orleans SaintsNO	1367 (+3)	4-10	vs NYJ (1337): Win by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): W 20-17: 1364+3→1367
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1337): Win by 8 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1343 (-12)	3-11	vs BUF (1633): Lose by 20
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1517): L 3-31: 1355-12→1343
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1633): Lose by 20 points
30	New York JetsNYJ	1337 (-10)	3-11	at NO (1367): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1534): L 20-48: 1347-10→1337
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1367): Lose by 8 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1281 (-7)	2-12	at HOU (1623): Lose by 29
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1577): L 0-31: 1288-7→1281
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1623): Lose by 29 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1278 (+10)	2-12	vs KC (1607): Lose by 22
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): L 24-37: 1268+10→1278
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1607): Lose by 22 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1688 (+22)	10-3	vs DET (1652): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): W 45-17: 1666+22→1688
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1652): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1687 (+18)	10-3	vs IND (1548): Win by 13
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): W 37-9: 1669+18→1687
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1548): Win by 13 points
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1652 (+3)	8-5	at LAR (1688): Lose by 6
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): W 44-30: 1649+3→1652
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1688): Lose by 6 points
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1627 (-16)	9-4	at NE (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1421): W 39-34: 1643-16→1627
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1624 (-25)	6-7	vs LAC (1511): Win by 10
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1596): L 10-20: 1649-25→1624
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Win by 10 points
6 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1621 (+25)	8-5	vs ARI (1412): Win by 17
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1649): W 20-10: 1596+25→1621
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1412): Win by 17 points
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1613 (-2)	9-3-1	at DEN (1601): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1516): W 28-21: 1615-2→1613
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1601): Lose by 4 points
8 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1601 (-7)	11-2	vs GB (1613): Win by 4
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1281): W 24-17: 1608-7→1601
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1613): Win by 4 points
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1577 (-5)	8-5	vs LV (1288): Win by 22
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 19-22(OT): 1582-5→1577
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1288): Win by 22 points
10 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1557	11-2	vs BUF (1627): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1627): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1548 (-23)	8-5	at SEA (1687): Lose by 13
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): L 19-36: 1571-23→1548
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1687): Lose by 13 points
12	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543	9-4	vs TEN (1268): Win by 22
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1268): Win by 22 points
13 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1534 (+23)	9-4	vs NYJ (1347): Win by 16
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): W 36-19: 1511+23→1534
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1347): Win by 16 points
14	Chicago BearsCHI	1517 (+1)	9-4	vs CLE (1355): Win by 15
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1615): L 21-28: 1516+1→1517
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1355): Win by 15 points
15 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1514 (-14)	6-7	at CIN (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 22-27: 1528-14→1514
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1436): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1513 (+13)	7-6	vs MIA (1454): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): W 27-22: 1500+13→1513
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): Win by 8 points
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511 (+5)	9-4	at KC (1624): Lose by 10
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): W 22-19(OT): 1506+5→1511
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): Lose by 10 points
18 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495 (-20)	7-6	vs ATL (1430): Win by 7
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1344): L 20-24: 1515-20→1495
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): Win by 7 points
19	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (-2)	6-6-1	vs MIN (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1649): L 30-44: 1494-2→1492
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1482): Win by 6 points
20 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1482 (+32)	5-8	at DAL (1492): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): W 31-0: 1450+32→1482
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Lose by 6 points
21 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1454 (+32)	6-7	at PIT (1513): Lose by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1379): W 34-10: 1422+32→1454
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1513): Lose by 8 points
22 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1438 (-31)	3-10	at NYG (1409): Lose by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): L 0-31: 1469-31→1438
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): Lose by 4 points
23 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1436 (+15)	4-9	vs BAL (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1643): L 34-39: 1421+15→1436
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1430 (-18)	4-9	at TB (1495): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1669): L 9-37: 1448-18→1430
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): Lose by 7 points
25 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1412 (-22)	3-10	at HOU (1621): Lose by 17
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1666): L 17-45: 1434-22→1412
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1621): Lose by 17 points
26	New York GiantsNYG	1409	2-11	vs WAS (1438): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1438): Win by 4 points
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1403	7-6	at NO (1364): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1364): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1364 (+20)	3-10	vs CAR (1403): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 24-20: 1344+20→1364
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): Slight favorite
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1355 (-19)	3-10	at CHI (1517): Lose by 15
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1249): L 29-31: 1374-19→1355
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1517): Lose by 15 points
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1347 (-32)	3-10	at JAX (1534): Lose by 16
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): L 10-34: 1379-32→1347
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1534): Lose by 16 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1288 (+7)	2-11	at PHI (1577): Lose by 22
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1608): L 17-24: 1281+7→1288
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1577): Lose by 22 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1268 (+19)	2-11	at SF (1543): Lose by 22
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1374): W 31-29: 1249+19→1268
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Lose by 22 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1669 (+13)	9-3	at ATL (1448): Win by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1464): W 26-0: 1656+13→1669
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1448): Win by 10 points
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1666 (-24)	9-3	at ARI (1434): Win by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1379): L 28-31: 1690-24→1666
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1434): Win by 8 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1649 (-16)	6-6	vs HOU (1596): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): L 28-31: 1665-16→1649
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1596): Win by 7 points
4 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1649 (-19)	7-5	vs DAL (1494): Win by 12
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1596): L 24-31: 1668-19→1649
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): Win by 12 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1643 (+22)	8-4	vs CIN (1421): Win by 15
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): W 26-7: 1621+22→1643
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1421): Win by 15 points
6 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1615 (+19)	8-3-1	vs CHI (1516): Win by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1668): W 31-24: 1596+19→1615
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1516): Win by 8 points
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1608 (-6)	10-2	at LV (1281): Win by 11
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1463): W 27-26(OT): 1614-6→1608
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1281): Win by 11 points
8 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1596 (+8)	7-5	at KC (1649): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): W 20-16: 1588+8→1596
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1649): Lose by 7 points
9 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1582 (-27)	8-4	at LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): L 15-24: 1609-27→1582
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1571 (-7)	8-4	at JAX (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1588): L 16-20: 1578-7→1571
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1557 (+12)	11-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): W 33-15: 1545+12→1557
next: (bye)
12 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (+19)	9-4	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1393): W 26-8: 1524+19→1543
next: (bye)
13 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (-41)	6-6	vs PIT (1500): Win by 6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1380): L 14-32: 1569-41→1528
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Win by 6 points
14 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1516 (+28)	9-3	at GB (1615): Lose by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1609): W 24-15: 1488+28→1516
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1615): Lose by 8 points
15 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (-8)	7-5	vs NO (1344): Win by 11
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1426): W 20-17: 1523-8→1515
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1344): Win by 11 points
16 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+20)	8-4	vs IND (1571): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1268): W 25-3: 1491+20→1511
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+6)	8-4	vs PHI (1582): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1287): W 31-14: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1582): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (-22)	6-6	at BAL (1528): Lose by 6
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1621): L 7-26: 1522-22→1500
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Lose by 6 points
19	Dallas CowboysDAL	1494 (+16)	6-5-1	at DET (1649): Lose by 12
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1665): W 31-28: 1478+16→1494
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1649): Lose by 12 points
20 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1469 (+6)	3-9	at MIN (1450): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1614): L 26-27(OT): 1463+6→1469
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1450 (-14)	4-8	vs WAS (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1656): L 0-26: 1464-14→1450
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): Slight favorite
22	Atlanta FalconsATL	1448 (-7)	4-8	vs SEA (1669): Lose by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1372): L 24-27: 1455-7→1448
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1669): Lose by 10 points
23 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1434 (+8)	3-9	vs LAR (1666): Lose by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): L 17-20: 1426+8→1434
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1666): Lose by 8 points
24 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1422 (-9)	5-7	at NYJ (1379): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1335): W 21-17: 1431-9→1422
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1379): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1421 (+41)	4-8	at BUF (1643): Lose by 15
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1569): W 32-14: 1380+41→1421
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1643): Lose by 15 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1409 (-11)	2-11	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1545): L 15-33: 1420-11→1409
next: (bye)
27 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1403 (+24)	7-6	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1690): W 31-28: 1379+24→1403
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1379 (+7)	3-9	vs MIA (1422): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): W 27-24: 1372+7→1379
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): Slight favorite
29 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1374 (-19)	3-9	vs TEN (1249): Win by 11
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): L 8-26: 1393-19→1374
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1249): Win by 11 points
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1344 (+9)	2-10	at TB (1515): Lose by 11
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): L 17-21: 1335+9→1344
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Lose by 11 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1281 (-6)	2-10	vs DEN (1608): Lose by 11
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 14-31: 1287-6→1281
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1608): Lose by 11 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1249 (-19)	1-11	at CLE (1374): Lose by 11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): L 3-25: 1268-19→1249
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1374): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1690 (+20)	9-2	at CAR (1379): Win by 14
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): W 34-7: 1670+20→1690
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1379): Win by 14 points
2 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1668 (-22)	7-4	vs GB (1596): Win by 6
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1399): W 34-27(OT): 1690-22→1668
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1596): Win by 6 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1665 (-8)	6-5	at DAL (1478): Win by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1570): W 23-20(OT): 1673-8→1665
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1478): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1656 (-17)	8-3	vs MIN (1464): Win by 13
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1252): W 30-24: 1673-17→1656
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1464): Win by 13 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1621 (-4)	7-4	at PIT (1522): Win by 4
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1584): L 19-23: 1625-4→1621
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1522): Win by 4 points
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1614	9-2	at WAS (1463): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1463): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1609 (-10)	8-3	vs CHI (1488): Win by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): L 21-24: 1619-10→1609
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Win by 9 points
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1596 (+15)	7-3-1	at DET (1668): Lose by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): W 23-6: 1581+15→1596
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1668): Lose by 6 points
9 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1588 (+4)	6-5	at IND (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1625): W 23-19: 1584+4→1588
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): Slight underdog
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1578 (+8)	8-3	vs HOU (1588): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1673): L 20-23(OT): 1570+8→1578
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1588): Slight favorite
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1569 (+2)	6-5	vs CIN (1380): Win by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1375): W 23-10: 1567+2→1569
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1380): Win by 10 points
12	New England PatriotsNE	1545 (-2)	10-2	vs NYG (1420): Win by 10
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1379): W 26-20: 1547-2→1545
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1420): Win by 10 points
13 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524 (+3)	8-4	at CLE (1393): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1381): W 20-9: 1521+3→1524
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1393): Win by 5 points
14 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (-21)	6-5	vs ARI (1426): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1670): L 7-34: 1544-21→1523
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1426): Win by 8 points
15 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1522 (-3)	6-5	vs BUF (1621): Lose by 4
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1484): L 28-31: 1525-3→1522
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1621): Lose by 4 points
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	7-4	vs LV (1287): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1287): Win by 12 points
17	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1491 (+2)	7-4	at TEN (1268): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): W 27-24(OT): 1489+2→1491
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1268): Win by 7 points
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (+4)	8-3	at PHI (1609): Lose by 9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1525): W 31-28: 1484+4→1488
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1609): Lose by 9 points
19 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1478 (+9)	5-5-1	vs KC (1665): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1619): W 24-21: 1469+9→1478
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1665): Lose by 8 points
20 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1464 (-15)	4-7	at SEA (1656): Lose by 13
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1581): L 6-23: 1479-15→1464
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1656): Lose by 13 points
21	Washington CommandersWAS	1463	3-8	vs DEN (1614): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1614): Lose by 6 points
22	Atlanta FalconsATL	1455 (+22)	4-7	at NYJ (1372): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1357): W 24-10: 1433+22→1455
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1372): Slight favorite
23	Miami DolphinsMIA	1431	4-7	vs NO (1335): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1335): Win by 9 points
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1426 (-2)	3-8	at TB (1523): Lose by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): L 24-27(OT): 1428-2→1426
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Lose by 8 points
25	New York GiantsNYG	1420 (+21)	2-10	at NE (1545): Lose by 10
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1690): L 27-34(OT): 1399+21→1420
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1545): Lose by 10 points
26 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1393 (+20)	3-8	vs SF (1524): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1307): W 24-10: 1373+20→1393
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Lose by 5 points
27	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1380 (+1)	3-8	at BAL (1569): Lose by 10
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1547): L 20-26: 1379+1→1380
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1569): Lose by 10 points
28 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1379 (-2)	6-6	vs LAR (1690): Lose by 14
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): L 9-20: 1381-2→1379
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1690): Lose by 14 points
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1372 (-3)	2-9	vs ATL (1455): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): L 10-23: 1375-3→1372
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): Slight underdog
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1335 (-22)	2-9	at MIA (1431): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): L 10-24: 1357-22→1335
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): Lose by 9 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1287 (-20)	2-9	at LAC (1500): Lose by 12
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1373): L 10-24: 1307-20→1287
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Lose by 12 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1268 (+16)	1-10	vs JAX (1491): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): L 24-30: 1252+16→1268
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1491): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1690 (-15)	6-4	vs NYG (1399): Win by 16
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): L 9-16: 1705-15→1690
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1399): Win by 16 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1673 (-6)	5-5	vs IND (1570): Win by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): L 19-22: 1679-6→1673
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1570): Win by 7 points
3	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1673	7-3	at TEN (1252): Win by 17
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1669): L 19-21: 1673-0→1673
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1252): Win by 17 points
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1670 (+1)	8-2	vs TB (1544): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): W 21-19: 1669+1→1670
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): Win by 9 points
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1625 (+11)	7-3	at HOU (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): W 44-32: 1614+11→1625
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1584): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1619 (+15)	8-2	at DAL (1469): Win by 4
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1705): W 16-9: 1604+15→1619
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): Win by 4 points
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1614 (+6)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1679): W 22-19: 1608+6→1614
next: (bye)
8	Houston TexansHOU	1584 (-10)	5-5	vs BUF (1625): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1242): W 16-13: 1594-10→1584
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1625): Slight favorite
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1581 (+2)	6-3-1	vs MIN (1479): Win by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1400): W 27-20: 1579+2→1581
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Win by 7 points
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1570	8-2	at KC (1673): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1673): Lose by 7 points
11	Baltimore RavensBAL	1567 (+4)	5-5	vs NYJ (1375): Win by 11
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1378): W 23-16: 1563+4→1567
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1375): Win by 11 points
12 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1547 (+9)	9-2	at CIN (1379): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1383): W 27-14: 1538+9→1547
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1379): Win by 7 points
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1544 (-10)	6-4	at LAR (1670): Lose by 9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): L 32-44: 1554-10→1544
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1670): Lose by 9 points
14 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1525 (+23)	6-4	at CHI (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1402): W 34-12: 1502+23→1525
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1484): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+30)	7-4	vs CAR (1381): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): W 41-22: 1491+30→1521
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1381): Win by 9 points
16 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-40)	7-4	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1449): L 6-35: 1540-40→1500
next: (bye)
17 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1489 (+40)	6-4	at ARI (1428): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): W 35-6: 1449+40→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1428): Slight favorite
18	Chicago BearsCHI	1484 (+9)	7-3	vs PIT (1525): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): W 19-17: 1475+9→1484
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1525): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479 (-9)	4-6	at GB (1581): Lose by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1475): L 17-19: 1488-9→1479
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1581): Lose by 7 points
20 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1469 (+20)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1619): Lose by 4
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1328): W 33-16: 1449+20→1469
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1619): Lose by 4 points
21 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1463 (-7)	3-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): L 13-16(OT): 1470-7→1463
next: (bye)
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1433 (-10)	3-7	at NO (1357): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1370): L 27-30(OT): 1443-10→1433
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1357): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1431 (+6)	4-7	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): W 16-13(OT): 1425+6→1431
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1428 (-31)	3-7	vs JAX (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1491): L 22-41: 1459-31→1428
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1399 (-1)	2-9	at DET (1690): Lose by 16
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1579): L 20-27: 1400-1→1399
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1690): Lose by 16 points
26 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1381 (+11)	6-5	at SF (1521): Lose by 9
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): W 30-27(OT): 1370+11→1381
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Lose by 9 points
27 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1379 (-23)	3-7	vs NE (1547): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): L 12-34: 1402-23→1379
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1547): Lose by 7 points
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1375 (-8)	2-8	at BAL (1567): Lose by 11
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1538): L 14-27: 1383-8→1375
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1567): Lose by 11 points
29 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1373 (-5)	2-8	at LV (1307): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): L 16-23: 1378-5→1373
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1307): Slight favorite
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1357	2-8	vs ATL (1433): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1433): Slight favorite
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1307 (-21)	2-8	vs CLE (1373): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): L 16-33: 1328-21→1307
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1373): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1252 (+10)	1-9	vs SEA (1673): Lose by 17
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1594): L 13-16: 1242+10→1252
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): Lose by 17 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1705 (+22)	6-3	at PHI (1604): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): W 44-22: 1683+22→1705
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1604): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1679	5-4	at DEN (1608): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): Slight favorite
3	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1673 (+19)	7-2	at LAR (1669): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): W 44-22: 1654+19→1673
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1669): Slight underdog
4 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1669 (+22)	7-2	vs SEA (1673): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): W 42-26: 1647+22→1669
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1673): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1614 (-37)	6-3	vs TB (1554): Win by 6
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1388): L 13-30: 1651-37→1614
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1554): Win by 6 points
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1608 (-15)	8-2	vs KC (1679): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1312): W 10-7: 1623-15→1608
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1679): Slight underdog
7	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1604 (+7)	7-2	vs DET (1705): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1586): W 10-7: 1597+7→1604
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1705): Slight underdog
8	Houston TexansHOU	1594 (-1)	4-5	at TEN (1242): Win by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1448): W 36-29: 1595-1→1594
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1242): Win by 9 points
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1579 (-7)	5-3-1	at NYG (1400): Win by 6
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): L 7-10: 1586-7→1579
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1400): Win by 6 points
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1570 (-8)	8-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): W 31-25(OT): 1578-8→1570
next: (bye)
11 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1563 (+13)	4-5	at CLE (1378): Win by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): W 27-19: 1550+13→1563
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1378): Win by 5 points
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1554 (-16)	6-3	at BUF (1614): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): L 23-28: 1570-16→1554
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1614): Lose by 6 points
13 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1540 (+21)	7-3	at JAX (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): W 25-10: 1519+21→1540
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1449): Slight favorite
14	New England PatriotsNE	1538 (+16)	8-2	vs NYJ (1383): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): W 28-23: 1522+16→1538
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1383): Win by 8 points
15 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (-21)	5-4	vs CIN (1402): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): L 10-25: 1523-21→1502
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1402): Win by 6 points
16	San Francisco 49ersSF	1491 (-21)	6-4	at ARI (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1647): L 26-42: 1512-21→1491
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): Slight underdog
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (-13)	4-5	vs CHI (1475): Win by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): L 19-27: 1501-13→1488
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1475): Win by 4 points
18 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1475 (-5)	6-3	at MIN (1488): Lose by 4
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): W 24-20: 1480-5→1475
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Lose by 4 points
19 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1470 (-22)	3-7	at MIA (1425): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1683): L 22-44: 1492-22→1470
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): Slight favorite
20	Arizona CardinalsARI	1459 (-18)	3-6	vs SF (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1654): L 22-44: 1477-18→1459
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1491): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1449 (+1)	5-4	vs LAC (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1595): L 29-36: 1448+1→1449
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1540): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1449	3-5-1	at LV (1328): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1328): Win by 5 points
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1443 (+7)	3-6	vs CAR (1370): Win by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): L 25-31(OT): 1436+7→1443
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1370): Win by 6 points
24 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1425 (+37)	3-7	at WAS (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1651): W 30-13: 1388+37→1425
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1470): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1402	3-6	at PIT (1502): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Lose by 6 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1400 (+5)	2-8	vs GB (1579): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): L 20-24: 1395+5→1400
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1579): Lose by 6 points
27 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1383 (+8)	2-7	at NE (1538): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1386): W 27-20: 1375+8→1383
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1538): Lose by 8 points
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1378 (-8)	2-7	vs BAL (1563): Lose by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1375): L 20-27: 1386-8→1378
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1563): Lose by 5 points
29 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1370 (-24)	5-5	at ATL (1443): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1333): L 7-17: 1394-24→1370
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1443): Lose by 6 points
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1357 (+24)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1394): W 17-7: 1333+24→1357
next: (bye)
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1328 (+16)	2-7	vs DAL (1449): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1623): L 7-10: 1312+16→1328
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1242	1-8	vs HOU (1594): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1594): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1683 (-21)	5-3	at WAS (1492): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): L 24-27: 1704-21→1683
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): Win by 7 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1679 (-11)	5-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): L 21-28: 1690-11→1679
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1654 (+30)	6-2	vs ARI (1477): Win by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1522): W 38-14: 1624+30→1654
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): Win by 8 points
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1651 (+11)	6-2	at MIA (1388): Win by 6
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1690): W 28-21: 1640+11→1651
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1388): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1647 (+11)	6-2	at SF (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1344): W 34-10: 1636+11→1647
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight favorite
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1623 (+8)	7-2	vs LV (1312): Win by 12
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1603): W 18-15: 1615+8→1623
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1312): Win by 12 points
7 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1597	6-2	at GB (1586): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1586): Slight underdog
8	Houston TexansHOU	1595 (-8)	3-5	vs JAX (1448): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1615): L 15-18: 1603-8→1595
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1448): Win by 7 points
9 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1586 (-25)	5-2-1	vs PHI (1597): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1369): L 13-16: 1611-25→1586
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): Slight favorite
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1578 (-14)	7-2	at ATL (1436): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): L 20-27: 1592-14→1578
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Win by 7 points
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1570	6-2	vs NE (1522): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1522): Win by 6 points
12 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1550 (+30)	3-5	at MIN (1501): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1418): W 28-6: 1520+30→1550
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Tossup
13 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1523 (+14)	5-3	at LAC (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): W 27-20: 1509+14→1523
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1522 (-7)	7-2	at TB (1570): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): W 24-23: 1529-7→1522
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): Lose by 6 points
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (-6)	6-3	vs PIT (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1236): W 27-20: 1525-6→1519
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+14)	6-3	vs LAR (1647): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): W 34-24: 1498+14→1512
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1647): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+21)	4-4	vs BAL (1550): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1704): W 27-24: 1480+21→1501
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1550): Tossup
18 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1492 (-30)	3-6	vs DET (1683): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1624): L 14-38: 1522-30→1492
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1683): Lose by 7 points
19	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+6)	5-3	vs NYG (1395): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1408): W 47-42: 1474+6→1480
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1395): Win by 7 points
20 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1477 (+20)	3-5	at SEA (1654): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): W 27-17: 1457+20→1477
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1654): Lose by 8 points
21 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1449 (-20)	3-5-1	bye
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): L 17-27: 1469-20→1449
next: (bye)
22	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1448 (-4)	5-3	at HOU (1595): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1308): W 30-29(OT): 1452-4→1448
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1595): Lose by 7 points
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (+7)	3-5	at IND (1578): Lose by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1529): L 23-24: 1429+7→1436
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1578): Lose by 7 points
24 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1402 (-6)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): L 42-47: 1408-6→1402
next: (bye)
25	New York GiantsNYG	1395 (-14)	2-7	at CHI (1480): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): L 24-34: 1409-14→1395
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Lose by 7 points
26 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1394 (+25)	5-4	vs NO (1333): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1611): W 16-13: 1369+25→1394
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1333): Win by 5 points
27 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1388 (-30)	2-7	vs BUF (1651): Lose by 6
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): L 6-28: 1418-30→1388
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1651): Lose by 6 points
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1386	2-6	at NYJ (1375): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1375): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1375	1-7	vs CLE (1386): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1386): Slight favorite
30	New Orleans SaintsNO	1333 (-11)	1-8	at CAR (1394): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): L 10-34: 1344-11→1333
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1394): Lose by 5 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1312 (+4)	2-6	at DEN (1623): Lose by 12
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1452): L 29-30(OT): 1308+4→1312
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1623): Lose by 12 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1242 (+6)	1-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): L 20-27: 1236+6→1242
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1704	5-2	vs MIN (1480): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1690 (+20)	5-3	at BUF (1640): Tossup
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1542): W 28-7: 1670+20→1690
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1640): Tossup
3 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1640 (+29)	5-2	vs KC (1690): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): W 40-9: 1611+29→1640
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1690): Tossup
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1636	5-2	vs NO (1344): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1344): Win by 14 points
5 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1624	5-2	at WAS (1522): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1522): Win by 4 points
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1615 (+20)	6-2	at HOU (1603): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): W 44-24: 1595+20→1615
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1603): Slight underdog
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1611 (+17)	5-1-1	vs CAR (1369): Win by 12
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1526): W 35-25: 1594+17→1611
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1369): Win by 12 points
8	Houston TexansHOU	1603 (+10)	3-4	vs DEN (1615): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): W 26-15: 1593+10→1603
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1615): Slight favorite
9	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1597 (+17)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): W 38-20: 1580+17→1597
next: (bye)
10	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1592 (+16)	7-1	at PIT (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1252): W 38-14: 1576+16→1592
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): Slight favorite
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1570 (+26)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1371): W 23-3: 1544+26→1570
next: (bye)
12 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1529 (+20)	6-2	vs ATL (1429): Win by 7
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1405): W 32-13: 1509+20→1529
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1429): Win by 7 points
13 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+37)	5-3	at TEN (1236): Win by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): W 37-10: 1488+37→1525
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1236): Win by 10 points
14 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1522 (-20)	3-5	vs SEA (1624): Lose by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1670): L 7-28: 1542-20→1522
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1624): Lose by 4 points
15 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (+18)	2-5	at MIA (1418): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1492): W 30-16: 1502+18→1520
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1418): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1509 (-17)	4-3	vs IND (1592): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1594): L 25-35: 1526-17→1509
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1498 (-10)	5-3	at NYG (1409): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1593): L 15-26: 1508-10→1498
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1409): Slight favorite
18 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (-37)	3-4	at DET (1704): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): L 10-37: 1517-37→1480
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1704): Lose by 9 points
19 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (-18)	4-3	at CIN (1408): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): L 16-30: 1492-18→1474
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1408): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1469 (-21)	3-4-1	vs ARI (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1595): L 24-44: 1490-21→1469
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457	2-5	at DAL (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1469): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1452	4-3	at LV (1308): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1308): Win by 5 points
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1429 (-48)	3-4	at NE (1529): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1370): L 10-34: 1477-48→1429
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1529): Lose by 7 points
24 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1418 (+48)	2-6	vs BAL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): W 34-10: 1370+48→1418
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1409 (-18)	2-6	vs SF (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): L 20-38: 1427-18→1409
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1408 (-14)	3-5	vs CHI (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1361): L 38-39: 1422-14→1408
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1386 (-19)	2-6	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): L 13-32: 1405-19→1386
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1375 (+14)	1-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1422): W 39-38: 1361+14→1375
next: (bye)
29 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1369 (-29)	4-4	at GB (1611): Lose by 12
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1611): L 9-40: 1398-29→1369
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1611): Lose by 12 points
30 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1344 (-27)	1-7	at LAR (1636): Lose by 14
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): L 3-23: 1371-27→1344
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1636): Lose by 14 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1308	2-5	vs JAX (1452): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1452): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1236 (-16)	1-7	vs LAC (1525): Lose by 10
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1576): L 14-38: 1252-16→1236
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1704 (+14)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): W 24-9: 1690+14→1704
next: (bye)
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1670 (+26)	4-3	vs WAS (1542): Win by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1334): W 31-0: 1644+26→1670
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1542): Win by 8 points
3 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1636 (+37)	5-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): W 35-7: 1599+37→1636
next: (bye)
4 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1624 (+12)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1606): W 27-19: 1612+12→1624
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1611	4-2	at CAR (1398): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1398): Win by 7 points
6 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1595 (-13)	5-2	vs DAL (1490): Win by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 33-32: 1608-13→1595
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1490): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1594 (-2)	4-1-1	at PIT (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): W 27-23: 1596-2→1594
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1526): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1593 (-13)	2-4	vs SF (1508): Win by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): L 19-27: 1606-13→1593
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): Win by 6 points
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1580 (+14)	5-2	vs NYG (1427): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): W 28-22: 1566+14→1580
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1427): Win by 7 points
10 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1576 (+30)	6-1	vs TEN (1252): Win by 12
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): W 38-24: 1546+30→1576
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1252): Win by 12 points
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1544 (-14)	5-2	at NO (1371): Win by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1690): L 9-24: 1558-14→1544
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1371): Win by 4 points
12 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1542 (-43)	3-4	at KC (1670): Lose by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1447): L 22-44: 1585-43→1542
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1670): Lose by 8 points
13	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1526 (-9)	4-2	vs GB (1594): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1413): L 31-33: 1535-9→1526
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1594): Slight underdog
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1517 (-13)	3-3	at LAC (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): L 22-28: 1530-13→1517
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1509 (+20)	5-2	vs CLE (1405): Win by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1273): W 31-13: 1489+20→1509
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1405): Win by 7 points
16 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1508 (+16)	5-2	at HOU (1593): Lose by 6
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1493): W 20-10: 1492+16→1508
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1593): Lose by 6 points
17 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1502	1-5	vs CHI (1492): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1492): Win by 4 points
18 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1492 (+12)	4-2	at BAL (1502): Lose by 4
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1383): W 26-14: 1480+12→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): Lose by 4 points
19 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1490 (+43)	3-3-1	at DEN (1595): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1585): W 44-22: 1447+43→1490
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1595): Lose by 7 points
20 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (-30)	4-3	vs MIN (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): L 24-38: 1518-30→1488
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1477 (-16)	3-3	vs MIA (1370): Win by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): L 10-20: 1493-16→1477
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1370): Win by 7 points
22	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457 (+2)	2-5	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1596): L 23-27: 1455+2→1457
next: (bye)
23 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1452 (-37)	4-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1599): L 7-35: 1489-37→1452
next: (bye)
24	New York GiantsNYG	1427 (+14)	2-5	at PHI (1580): Lose by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): L 32-33: 1413+14→1427
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1580): Lose by 7 points
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1422 (+9)	3-4	vs NYJ (1361): Win by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): W 33-31: 1413+9→1422
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1361): Win by 6 points
26 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1405 (+42)	2-5	at NE (1509): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1412): W 31-6: 1363+42→1405
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): Lose by 7 points
27 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1398 (+18)	4-3	vs BUF (1611): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1379): W 13-6: 1380+18→1398
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1611): Lose by 7 points
28 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1371 (-12)	1-6	vs TB (1544): Lose by 4
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): L 14-26: 1383-12→1371
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1544): Lose by 4 points
29 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1370 (-42)	1-6	at ATL (1477): Lose by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1363): L 6-31: 1412-42→1370
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1477): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1361 (-18)	0-7	at CIN (1422): Lose by 6
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1380): L 6-13: 1379-18→1361
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1422): Lose by 6 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1308 (-26)	2-5	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): L 0-31: 1334-26→1308
next: (bye)
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1252 (-21)	1-6	at IND (1576): Lose by 12
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): L 13-31: 1273-21→1252
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1576): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1690 (-35)	4-2	vs TB (1558): Win by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): L 17-30: 1725-35→1690
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1558): Win by 8 points
2 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1644 (+36)	3-3	vs LV (1334): Win by 11
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1725): W 30-17: 1608+36→1644
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1334): Win by 11 points
3 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1612 (+14)	4-2	vs HOU (1606): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): W 20-12: 1598+14→1612
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1606): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1611 (-33)	4-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): L 14-24: 1644-33→1611
next: (bye)
5 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1608 (-17)	4-2	vs NYG (1413): Win by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1362): W 13-11: 1625-17→1608
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 9 points
6 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1606	2-3	at SEA (1612): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): Slight underdog
7 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1599 (+32)	4-2	at JAX (1489): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 17-3: 1567+32→1599
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Win by 5 points
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1596 (-2)	3-1-1	at ARI (1455): Win by 5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1410): W 27-18: 1598-2→1596
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): Win by 5 points
9 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1585 (-23)	3-3	at DAL (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): L 24-25: 1608-23→1585
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1447): Slight favorite
10 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1566 (-50)	4-2	at MIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1364): L 17-34: 1616-50→1566
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1558 (+18)	5-1	at DET (1690): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): W 30-19: 1540+18→1558
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1690): Lose by 8 points
12 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1546 (-8)	5-1	at LAC (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1448): W 31-27: 1554-8→1546
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1518): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1535 (+16)	4-1	at CIN (1413): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1378): W 23-9: 1519+16→1535
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1413): Slight favorite
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530	3-2	vs PHI (1566): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1518 (+2)	4-2	vs IND (1546): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1414): W 29-27: 1516+2→1518
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1546): Slight favorite
16 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1502 (-32)	1-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 3-17: 1534-32→1502
next: (bye)
17 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1493 (+34)	3-2	at SF (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): W 24-14: 1459+34→1493
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1492): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1492 (-18)	4-2	vs ATL (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1540): L 19-30: 1510-18→1492
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1493): Slight favorite
19	New England PatriotsNE	1489 (+10)	4-2	at TEN (1273): Win by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1392): W 25-19: 1479+10→1489
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1273): Win by 7 points
20 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1489 (-13)	4-2	at LAR (1599): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1598): L 12-20: 1502-13→1489
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1599): Lose by 5 points
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (+23)	3-2	vs NO (1383): Win by 6
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1608): W 25-24: 1457+23→1480
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1383): Win by 6 points
22 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1455 (+7)	2-4	vs GB (1596): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1554): L 27-31: 1448+7→1455
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1596): Lose by 5 points
23 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1447 (-9)	2-3-1	vs WAS (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1371): L 27-30: 1456-9→1447
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1585): Slight underdog
24 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (+49)	2-4	at DEN (1608): Lose by 9
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): W 34-17: 1364+49→1413
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1608): Lose by 9 points
25	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1413 (+3)	2-4	vs PIT (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1598): L 18-27: 1410+3→1413
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1535): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1412 (-2)	1-5	at CLE (1363): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): L 27-29: 1414-2→1412
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1363): Tossup
27 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1383 (-9)	1-5	at CHI (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1479): L 19-25: 1392-9→1383
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Lose by 6 points
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1380 (+9)	3-3	at NYJ (1379): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1456): W 30-27: 1371+9→1380
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1379): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1379 (+17)	0-6	vs CAR (1380): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1625): L 11-13: 1362+17→1379
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1380): Slight favorite
30 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1363 (-15)	1-5	vs MIA (1412): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1519): L 9-23: 1378-15→1363
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1412): Tossup
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1334 (+15)	2-4	at KC (1644): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1288): W 20-10: 1319+15→1334
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1644): Lose by 11 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1273 (-15)	1-5	vs NE (1489): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1319): L 10-20: 1288-15→1273
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1489): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1725 (+8)	4-1	at KC (1608): Win by 2
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1419): W 37-24: 1717+8→1725
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1608): Win by 2 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1644 (-29)	4-1	at ATL (1459): Win by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1451): L 20-23: 1673-29→1644
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1459): Win by 5 points
3 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1625 (+15)	3-2	at NYJ (1362): Win by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): W 21-17: 1610+15→1625
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1362): Win by 10 points
4 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616 (-15)	4-1	at NYG (1364): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1610): L 17-21: 1631-15→1616
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1364): Win by 6 points
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1608 (-16)	2-3	vs DET (1725): Lose by 2
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1486): L 28-31: 1624-16→1608
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1725): Lose by 2 points
6 (+5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1608 (+46)	3-2	vs CHI (1457): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1562): W 27-10: 1562+46→1608
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Win by 8 points
7 (+6)	Houston TexansHOU	1606 (+77)	2-3	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): W 44-10: 1529+77→1606
next: (bye)
8 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1598 (-24)	3-2	at JAX (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): L 35-38: 1622-24→1598
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1598	2-1-1	vs CIN (1410): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1410): Win by 10 points
10 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1567 (-16)	3-2	at BAL (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): L 23-26(OT): 1583-16→1567
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Slight underdog
11 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1554 (+44)	4-1	vs ARI (1448): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1362): W 40-6: 1510+44→1554
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1448): Win by 7 points
12 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1540 (+24)	4-1	vs SF (1510): Win by 4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1622): W 38-35: 1516+24→1540
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Win by 4 points
13 (-7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (-77)	1-4	vs LAR (1567): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1529): L 10-44: 1611-77→1534
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (-10)	3-2	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1369): W 21-17: 1540-10→1530
next: (bye)
15 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1519	3-1	vs CLE (1378): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1378): Win by 7 points
16 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (-46)	3-2	at MIA (1414): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1562): L 10-27: 1562-46→1516
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1414): Slight favorite
17	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (+16)	4-1	at TB (1540): Lose by 4
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): W 26-23(OT): 1494+16→1510
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1540): Lose by 4 points
18	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502 (+16)	4-1	vs SEA (1598): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): W 31-28: 1486+16→1502
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1598): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1479 (+28)	3-2	at NO (1392): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1673): W 23-20: 1451+28→1479
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1392): Slight favorite
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1459	2-2	vs BUF (1644): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1644): Lose by 5 points
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1457	2-2	at WAS (1608): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1608): Lose by 8 points
22 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1456 (+40)	2-2-1	at CAR (1371): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1403): W 37-22: 1416+40→1456
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1371): Slight favorite
23 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448 (-34)	2-3	at IND (1554): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1253): L 21-22: 1482-34→1448
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1554): Lose by 7 points
24 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1414 (-8)	1-4	vs LAC (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1363): L 24-27: 1422-8→1414
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1410 (-9)	2-3	at GB (1598): Lose by 10
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1717): L 24-37: 1419-9→1410
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1598): Lose by 10 points
26 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1392 (+27)	1-4	vs NE (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1392): W 26-14: 1365+27→1392
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1479): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1378 (+9)	1-4	at PIT (1519): Lose by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1540): L 17-21: 1369+9→1378
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1519): Lose by 7 points
28 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1371 (+8)	2-3	vs DAL (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): W 27-24: 1363+8→1371
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1456): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1364 (-28)	1-4	vs PHI (1616): Lose by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1365): L 14-26: 1392-28→1364
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Lose by 6 points
30 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1362 (-41)	0-5	at DEN (1625): Lose by 10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1416): L 22-37: 1403-41→1362
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1625): Lose by 10 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1319 (-43)	1-4	vs TEN (1288): Win by 4
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1510): L 6-40: 1362-43→1319
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1288): Win by 4 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1288 (+35)	1-4	at LV (1319): Lose by 4
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): W 22-21: 1253+35→1288
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1319): Lose by 4 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1717 (+21)	3-1	at CIN (1419): Win by 10
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1390): W 34-10: 1696+21→1717
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1419): Win by 10 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1673 (-4)	4-0	vs NE (1451): Win by 9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1360): W 31-19: 1677-4→1673
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1451): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1631 (+11)	4-0	vs DEN (1610): Win by 4
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): W 31-25: 1620+11→1631
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1610): Win by 4 points
4 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1624 (+48)	2-2	at JAX (1486): Win by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): W 37-20: 1576+48→1624
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1486): Win by 4 points
5	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1622 (+3)	3-1	vs TB (1516): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1485): W 23-20: 1619+3→1622
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Win by 7 points
6 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1611 (-48)	1-3	vs HOU (1529): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): L 20-37: 1659-48→1611
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1529): Win by 6 points
7 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1610 (+41)	2-2	at PHI (1631): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1460): W 28-3: 1569+41→1610
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): Lose by 4 points
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1598 (-18)	2-1-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1398): T 40-40(OT): 1616-18→1598
next: (bye)
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1583 (+6)	3-1	vs SF (1494): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1517): W 27-20: 1577+6→1583
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): Win by 5 points
10 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1562 (-27)	3-1	vs WAS (1562): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): L 18-21: 1589-27→1562
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1562): Slight favorite
11 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1562 (-31)	2-2	at LAC (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1428): L 27-34: 1593-31→1562
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1562): Slight underdog
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1540 (-13)	2-2	at CLE (1369): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): L 21-24: 1553-13→1540
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1369): Win by 7 points
13 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1529 (+38)	1-3	at BAL (1611): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1292): W 26-0: 1491+38→1529
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): Lose by 6 points
14 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1519 (+13)	3-1	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1553): W 24-21: 1506+13→1519
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (-11)	3-1	at SEA (1622): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1620): L 25-31: 1527-11→1516
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1622): Lose by 7 points
16 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1510 (-7)	3-1	vs LV (1362): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1577): L 20-27: 1517-7→1510
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1362): Win by 8 points
17 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1494 (-24)	3-1	at LAR (1583): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): L 21-26: 1518-24→1494
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1583): Lose by 5 points
18 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1486 (+24)	3-1	vs KC (1624): Lose by 4
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 26-21: 1462+24→1486
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1624): Lose by 4 points
19 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-3)	2-2	vs TEN (1253): Win by 11
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1619): L 20-23: 1485-3→1482
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1253): Win by 11 points
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1459 (+31)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1593): W 34-27: 1428+31→1459
next: (bye)
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (+3)	2-2	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1366): W 25-24: 1454+3→1457
next: (bye)
22 (+6)	New England PatriotsNE	1451 (+63)	2-2	at BUF (1673): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): W 42-13: 1388+63→1451
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1673): Lose by 9 points
23 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1422 (+9)	1-3	at CAR (1363): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1411): W 27-21: 1413+9→1422
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1363): Tossup
24 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1419 (-41)	2-2	vs DET (1717): Lose by 10
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1569): L 3-28: 1460-41→1419
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1717): Lose by 10 points
25 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1416 (+18)	1-2-1	at NYJ (1403): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1616): T 40-40(OT): 1398+18→1416
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1403): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1403 (-8)	0-4	vs DAL (1416): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1413): L 21-27: 1411-8→1403
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1416): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1392 (+27)	1-3	at NO (1365): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1589): W 21-18: 1365+27→1392
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1365): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1369 (-21)	1-3	at MIN (1540): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1696): L 10-34: 1390-21→1369
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1540): Lose by 7 points
29 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1365 (+5)	0-4	vs NYG (1392): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1677): L 19-31: 1360+5→1365
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1392): Slight favorite
30 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1363 (-62)	1-3	vs MIA (1422): Tossup
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1388): L 13-42: 1425-62→1363
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1422): Tossup
31 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1362 (-4)	1-3	at IND (1510): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1454): L 24-25: 1366-4→1362
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1510): Lose by 8 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1253 (-39)	0-4	at ARI (1482): Lose by 11
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1491): L 0-26: 1292-39→1253
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1696 (+34)	2-1	vs CLE (1390): Win by 13
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1693): W 38-30: 1662+34→1696
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1390): Win by 13 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1677 (+2)	3-0	vs NO (1360): Win by 14
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): W 31-21: 1675+2→1677
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1360): Win by 14 points
3 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1659 (-34)	1-2	at KC (1576): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1662): L 30-38: 1693-34→1659
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1620 (+12)	3-0	at TB (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): W 33-26: 1608+12→1620
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1619 (+47)	2-1	at ARI (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1407): W 44-13: 1572+47→1619
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1485): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1616 (-39)	2-1	at DAL (1398): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1351): L 10-13: 1655-39→1616
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1398): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1593 (+20)	2-1	at ATL (1428): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1386): W 41-24: 1573+20→1593
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1428): Win by 5 points
8 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1589 (+1)	3-0	at NYG (1365): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1570): W 23-20: 1588+1→1589
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): Win by 7 points
9 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1577 (-12)	2-1	vs IND (1517): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): L 26-33: 1589-12→1577
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1517): Win by 5 points
10 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1576 (+26)	1-2	vs BAL (1659): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): W 22-9: 1550+26→1576
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1569 (-1)	1-2	vs CIN (1460): Win by 7
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1588): L 20-23: 1570-1→1569
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1460): Win by 7 points
12 (+7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1553 (+79)	2-1	at PIT (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): W 48-10: 1474+79→1553
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1527 (-15)	3-0	vs PHI (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1397): W 29-27: 1542-15→1527
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1620): Slight underdog
14	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (-1)	3-0	vs JAX (1462): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): W 16-15: 1519-1→1518
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): Win by 5 points
15 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1517 (+53)	3-0	at LAR (1577): Lose by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1345): W 41-20: 1464+53→1517
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1577): Lose by 5 points
16 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1506 (+17)	2-1	at MIN (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1405): W 21-14: 1489+17→1506
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1553): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1491 (-20)	0-3	vs TEN (1292): Win by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1442): L 10-17: 1511-20→1491
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1292): Win by 8 points
18	Arizona CardinalsARI	1485 (+2)	2-1	vs SEA (1619): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): L 15-16: 1483+2→1485
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1619): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1462 (+20)	2-1	at SF (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 17-10: 1442+20→1462
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Lose by 5 points
20 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1460 (-80)	2-1	at DEN (1569): Lose by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1474): L 10-48: 1540-80→1460
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1569): Lose by 7 points
21 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1454 (+47)	1-2	at LV (1366): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1445): W 31-14: 1407+47→1454
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1366): Slight favorite
22 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1428 (-80)	1-2	vs WAS (1593): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1346): L 0-30: 1508-80→1428
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1593): Lose by 5 points
23 (+8)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425 (+79)	1-2	at NE (1388): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1508): W 30-0: 1346+79→1425
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1388): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1413 (-2)	0-3	vs NYJ (1411): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1675): L 21-31: 1415-2→1413
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1411): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1411 (+14)	0-3	at MIA (1413): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1542): L 27-29: 1397+14→1411
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1413): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1398 (-47)	1-2	vs GB (1616): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1407): L 14-31: 1445-47→1398
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1616): Lose by 7 points
27 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1390 (+39)	1-2	at DET (1696): Lose by 13
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1655): W 13-10: 1351+39→1390
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1696): Lose by 13 points
28 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1388 (-17)	1-2	vs CAR (1425): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 14-21: 1405-17→1388
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): Slight favorite
29	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1366 (-20)	1-2	vs CHI (1454): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1573): L 24-41: 1386-20→1366
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1454): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1365 (-26)	0-3	vs LAC (1589): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): L 9-22: 1391-26→1365
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1589): Lose by 7 points
31 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1360 (-47)	0-3	at BUF (1677): Lose by 14
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1572): L 13-44: 1407-47→1360
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1677): Lose by 14 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1292 (-53)	0-3	at HOU (1491): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): L 20-41: 1345-53→1292
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1491): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1693 (+36)	1-1	vs DET (1662): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): W 41-17: 1657+36→1693
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1662): Win by 4 points
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1675 (+49)	2-0	vs MIA (1415): Win by 9
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): W 30-10: 1626+49→1675
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1415): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1662 (+59)	1-1	at BAL (1693): Lose by 4
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): W 52-21: 1603+59→1662
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1693): Lose by 4 points
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1655 (+17)	2-0	at CLE (1351): Win by 10
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1590): W 27-18: 1638+17→1655
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1351): Win by 10 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1608 (+11)	2-0	vs LAR (1589): Win by 3
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): W 20-17: 1597+11→1608
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1589): Win by 3 points
6 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1589 (+28)	2-0	at PHI (1608): Lose by 3
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1372): W 33-19: 1561+28→1589
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1608): Lose by 3 points
7 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1588 (+28)	2-0	vs DEN (1570): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1414): W 20-9: 1560+28→1588
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1570): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1573 (-17)	1-1	vs LV (1386): Win by 10
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1638): L 18-27: 1590-17→1573
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1386): Win by 10 points
9 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1572 (+56)	1-1	vs NO (1407): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1545): W 31-17: 1516+56→1572
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1407): Win by 8 points
10 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1570 (-21)	1-1	at LAC (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): L 28-29: 1591-21→1570
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1588): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1550 (-11)	0-2	at NYG (1391): Win by 5
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): L 17-20: 1561-11→1550
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1391): Win by 5 points
12 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1542 (+16)	2-0	vs NYJ (1397): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1527): W 20-19: 1526+16→1542
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1397): Win by 8 points
13 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (-12)	2-0	at MIN (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): W 31-27: 1552-12→1540
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1474): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1519 (+8)	2-0	vs ARI (1483): Win by 4
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1415): W 26-21: 1511+8→1519
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): Win by 4 points
15 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1511 (-16)	0-2	at JAX (1442): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1526): L 19-20: 1527-16→1511
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1442): Tossup
16 (+8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1508 (+72)	1-1	at CAR (1346): Win by 2
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1545): W 22-6: 1436+72→1508
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1346): Win by 2 points
17 (-5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (-56)	1-1	at NE (1405): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): L 17-31: 1545-56→1489
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1405): Slight favorite
18	Arizona CardinalsARI	1483 (-14)	2-0	at SF (1519): Lose by 4
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1332): W 27-22: 1497-14→1483
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): Lose by 4 points
19 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1474 (-71)	1-1	vs CIN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): L 6-22: 1545-71→1474
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1464 (+22)	2-0	at TEN (1345): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1591): W 29-28: 1442+22→1464
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1345): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1445 (-10)	1-1	at CHI (1407): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1382): W 40-37(OT): 1455-10→1445
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1407): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1442 (+12)	1-1	vs HOU (1511): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1552): L 27-31: 1430+12→1442
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): Tossup
23 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1415 (-32)	0-2	at BUF (1675): Lose by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1373): L 27-33: 1447-32→1415
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1675): Lose by 9 points
24 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1407 (-8)	0-2	at SEA (1572): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): L 21-26: 1415-8→1407
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1572): Lose by 8 points
25 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1407 (-58)	0-2	vs DAL (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1603): L 21-52: 1465-58→1407
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1445): Slight favorite
26 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1405 (+32)	1-1	vs PIT (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): W 33-27: 1373+32→1405
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1397 (-49)	0-2	at TB (1542): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): L 10-30: 1446-49→1397
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1542): Lose by 8 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1391 (+9)	0-2	vs KC (1550): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1455): L 37-40(OT): 1382+9→1391
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1550): Lose by 5 points
29 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1386 (-28)	1-1	at WAS (1573): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1560): L 9-20: 1414-28→1386
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1573): Lose by 10 points
30 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1351 (-36)	0-2	vs GB (1655): Lose by 10
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1657): L 17-41: 1387-36→1351
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1655): Lose by 10 points
31 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1346 (+14)	0-2	vs ATL (1508): Lose by 2
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): L 22-27: 1332+14→1346
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1508): Lose by 2 points
32 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1345 (-27)	0-2	vs IND (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): L 19-33: 1372-27→1345
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1657 (-4)	0-1	vs CLE (1387): Win by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): L 40-41: 1661-4→1657
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): Win by 10 points
2 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1638 (+18)	1-0	vs WAS (1590): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1622): W 27-13: 1620+18→1638
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1590): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1626 (+3)	1-0	at NYJ (1446): Win by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1661): W 41-40: 1623+3→1626
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1446): Win by 4 points
4 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1603 (-19)	0-1	vs CHI (1465): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1620): L 13-27: 1622-19→1603
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): Win by 7 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1597 (-5)	1-0	at KC (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): W 24-20: 1602-5→1597
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): Slight underdog
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1591 (-5)	1-0	at IND (1442): Win by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): W 20-12: 1596-5→1591
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): Win by 5 points
7	Washington CommandersWAS	1590 (+12)	1-0	at GB (1638): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1393): W 21-6: 1578+12→1590
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1638): Lose by 5 points
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1561 (-10)	0-1	vs PHI (1597): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1550): L 21-27: 1571-10→1561
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1597): Slight favorite
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1561 (+2)	1-0	at TEN (1372): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): W 14-9: 1559+2→1561
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1372): Win by 6 points
10 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1560 (+10)	1-0	at LV (1414): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): W 27-21: 1550+10→1560
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1414): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1552	1-0	vs JAX (1430): Win by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): W 17-16: 1552-0→1552
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): Win by 7 points
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1545 (+1)	1-0	vs SEA (1516): Win by 4
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1448): W 34-32: 1544+1→1545
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1516): Win by 4 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1545 (+5)	1-0	vs ATL (1436): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): W 27-24: 1540+5→1545
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Win by 7 points
14	Houston TexansHOU	1527 (-1)	0-1	vs TB (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): L 9-14: 1528-1→1527
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1526): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1526 (+4)	1-0	at HOU (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): W 23-20: 1522+4→1526
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1527): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1516 (-9)	0-1	at PIT (1545): Lose by 4
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): L 13-17: 1525-9→1516
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1545): Lose by 4 points
17	San Francisco 49ersSF	1511 (+9)	1-0	at NO (1415): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): W 17-13: 1502+9→1511
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1415): Slight favorite
18	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (+10)	1-0	vs CAR (1332): Win by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1426): W 20-13: 1487+10→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1332): Win by 8 points
19 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1465 (-4)	0-1	at DET (1603): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1540): L 24-27: 1469-4→1465
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1603): Lose by 7 points
20 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1455 (+6)	0-1	vs NYG (1382): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): L 20-24: 1449+6→1455
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1382): Win by 5 points
21 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1447 (-36)	0-1	vs NE (1373): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1407): L 8-33: 1483-36→1447
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1373): Win by 5 points
22	New York JetsNYJ	1446 (-2)	0-1	vs BUF (1626): Lose by 4
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1544): L 32-34: 1448-2→1446
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1626): Lose by 4 points
23 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1442 (+35)	1-0	vs DEN (1591): Lose by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): W 33-8: 1407+35→1442
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1591): Lose by 5 points
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (-4)	0-1	at MIN (1545): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): L 20-23: 1440-4→1436
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1545): Lose by 7 points
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1430 (+18)	1-0	at CIN (1552): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1350): W 26-10: 1412+18→1430
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1552): Lose by 7 points
26 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1415 (-11)	0-1	vs SF (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1487): L 13-20: 1426-11→1415
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): Slight underdog
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1414 (+13)	1-0	vs LAC (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1386): W 20-13: 1401+13→1414
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1560): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1387	0-1	at BAL (1657): Lose by 10
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1552): L 16-17: 1387+0→1387
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1657): Lose by 10 points
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1382 (-11)	0-1	at DAL (1455): Lose by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1578): L 6-21: 1393-11→1382
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1455): Lose by 5 points
30	New England PatriotsNE	1373 (-13)	0-1	at MIA (1447): Lose by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1401): L 13-20: 1386-13→1373
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): Lose by 5 points
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1372 (+4)	0-1	vs LAR (1561): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1596): L 12-20: 1368+4→1372
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1561): Lose by 6 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1332 (-18)	0-1	at ARI (1497): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): L 10-26: 1350-18→1332
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Baltimore RavensBAL	1661	0-0	at BUF (1623): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1669-8→1661
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1623): Slight underdog
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1623	0-0	vs BAL (1661): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1629-6→1623
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1661): Slight favorite
3	Detroit LionsDET	1622	0-0	at GB (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1629-7→1622
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1620): Slight underdog
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1620	0-0	vs DET (1622): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1626-6→1620
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1622): Slight favorite
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1602	0-0	vs DAL (1449): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1608-6→1602
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1449): Win by 7 points
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1596	0-0	vs TEN (1368): Win by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1601-5→1596
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): Win by 10 points
7	Washington CommandersWAS	1578	0-0	vs NYG (1393): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1583-5→1578
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1393): Win by 8 points
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1571	0-0	at LAC (1550): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1575-4→1571
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1550): Slight favorite
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1559	0-0	vs HOU (1528): Win by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1563-4→1559
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): Win by 4 points
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1552	0-0	at CLE (1387): Win by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1555-3→1552
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1387): Win by 3 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1550	0-0	at KC (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1552-2→1550
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1571): Slight underdog
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1544	0-0	at NYJ (1448): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1546-2→1544
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1448): Slight favorite
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1540	0-0	at CHI (1469): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1543-3→1540
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Tossup
14	Houston TexansHOU	1528	0-0	at LAR (1559): Lose by 4
prev: offseason parity reset: 1530-2→1528
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): Lose by 4 points
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	0-0	vs SF (1502): Win by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1527-2→1525
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Win by 2 points
16	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1522	0-0	at ATL (1440): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1523-1→1522
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Slight favorite
17	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502	0-0	at SEA (1525): Lose by 2
prev: offseason parity reset: 1502+0→1502
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): Lose by 2 points
18	Arizona CardinalsARI	1487	0-0	at NO (1426): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1486+1→1487
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1426): Slight favorite
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1483	0-0	at IND (1407): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1482+1→1483
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1407): Slight favorite
20	Chicago BearsCHI	1469	0-0	vs MIN (1540): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1468+1→1469
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1540): Tossup
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1449	0-0	at PHI (1602): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1446+3→1449
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1602): Lose by 7 points
22	New York JetsNYJ	1448	0-0	vs PIT (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1445+3→1448
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1544): Slight underdog
23	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440	0-0	vs TB (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1437+3→1440
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1522): Slight underdog
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1426	0-0	vs ARI (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1421+5→1426
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1487): Slight underdog
25	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1412	0-0	vs CAR (1350): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1408+4→1412
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1350): Win by 5 points
26	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1407	0-0	vs MIA (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1402+5→1407
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): Slight underdog
27	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1401	0-0	at NE (1386): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1396+5→1401
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1386): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1393	0-0	at WAS (1578): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1387+6→1393
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1578): Lose by 8 points
29	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1387	0-0	vs CIN (1552): Lose by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1381+6→1387
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1552): Lose by 3 points
30	New England PatriotsNE	1386	0-0	vs LV (1401): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1379+7→1386
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1401): Slight favorite
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1368	0-0	at DEN (1596): Lose by 10
prev: offseason parity reset: 1361+7→1368
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1596): Lose by 10 points
32	Carolina PanthersCAR	1350	0-0	at JAX (1412): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1341+9→1350
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1412): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1516 (+67 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1409 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at NO(1426) W 20-13: +10→1497	9	20	at DAL(1469) W 27-17: +20→1477	17	28	at CIN(1447) L 14-37: -11→1388
2	18	vs CAR(1332) W 27-22: -14→1483	10	20	at SEA(1654) L 22-44: -18→1459	18	29	at LAR(1663) L 20-37: +12→1400
3	18	at SF(1519) L 15-16: +2→1485	11	24	vs SF(1491) L 22-41: -31→1428	W	29
4	19	vs SEA(1619) L 20-23: -3→1482	12	24	vs JAX(1489) L 24-27: -2→1426	D	29
5	23	vs TEN(1253) L 21-22: -34→1448	13	23	at TB(1523) L 17-20: +8→1434	C	29
6	22	at IND(1554) L 27-31: +7→1455	14	25	vs LAR(1666) L 17-45: -22→1412	S	29
7	22	vs GB(1596) L 23-27: +2→1457	15	24	at HOU(1621) L 20-40: -2→1410
8	21	(bye)	16	26	vs ATL(1444) L 19-26: -11→1399

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (+40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1516 \| avg. lost to rating: 1472 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs TB(1522) L 20-23: -4→1436	9	23	at NE(1529) L 23-24: +7→1436	17	19	vs LAR(1692) W 27-24: +29→1484
2	16	at MIN(1545) W 22-6: +72→1508	10	23	at IND(1578) L 25-31: +7→1443	18	20	vs NO(1394) W 19-17: -22→1462
3	22	at CAR(1346) L 0-30: -80→1428	11	22	vs CAR(1370) L 27-30: -10→1433	W	20
4	20	vs WAS(1593) W 34-27: +31→1459	12	22	at NO(1357) W 24-10: +22→1455	D	20
5	20	(bye)	13	22	at NYJ(1372) L 24-27: -7→1448	C	20
6	17	vs BUF(1644) W 24-14: +34→1493	14	24	vs SEA(1669) L 9-37: -18→1430	S	20
7	21	at SF(1492) L 10-20: -16→1477	15	23	at TB(1495) W 29-28: +14→1444
8	23	vs MIA(1370) L 10-34: -48→1429	16	20	at ARI(1410) W 26-19: +11→1455

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-75 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1449 \| avg. lost to rating: 1546 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at BUF(1623) L 40-41: -4→1657	9	12	at MIA(1418) W 28-6: +30→1550	17	9	at GB(1603) W 41-24: +40→1573
2	1	vs CLE(1387) W 41-17: +36→1693	10	11	at MIN(1501) W 27-19: +13→1563	18	8	at PIT(1524) L 24-26: +1→1574
3	3	vs DET(1662) L 30-38: -34→1659	11	11	at CLE(1378) W 23-16: +4→1567	W	9
4	6	at KC(1576) L 20-37: -48→1611	12	11	vs NYJ(1375) W 23-10: +2→1569	D	9
5	13	vs HOU(1529) L 10-44: -77→1534	13	13	vs CIN(1380) L 14-32: -41→1528	C	9
6	16	vs LAR(1567) L 3-17: -32→1502	14	15	vs PIT(1500) L 22-27: -14→1514	S	9
7	17	(bye)	15	13	at CIN(1436) W 24-0: +29→1543
8	15	vs CHI(1492) W 30-16: +18→1520	16	15	vs NE(1551) L 24-28: -10→1533

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1479 (-156 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs BAL(1661) W 41-40: +3→1626	9	4	vs KC(1690) W 28-21: +11→1651	17	6	vs PHI(1592) L 12-13: -15→1598
2	2	at NYJ(1446) W 30-10: +49→1675	10	5	at MIA(1388) L 13-30: -37→1614	18	4	vs NYJ(1307) W 35-8: -4→1594
3	2	vs MIA(1415) W 31-21: +2→1677	11	5	vs TB(1554) W 44-32: +11→1625	W	2	at JAX(1585) W 27-24: +34→1628
4	2	vs NO(1360) W 31-19: -4→1673	12	5	at HOU(1584) L 19-23: -4→1621	D	2	at DEN(1588) L 30-33: +11→1639
5	2	vs NE(1451) L 20-23: -29→1644	13	5	at PIT(1522) W 26-7: +22→1643	C	2
6	4	at ATL(1459) L 14-24: -33→1611	14	4	vs CIN(1421) W 39-34: -16→1627	S	2
7	5	(bye)	15	4	at NE(1557) W 35-31: +6→1633
8	3	at CAR(1398) W 40-9: +29→1640	16	4	at CLE(1343) W 23-20: -20→1613

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+105 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1474 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at JAX(1412) L 10-26: -18→1332	9	26	at GB(1611) W 16-13: +25→1394	17	26	vs SEA(1670) L 10-27: +6→1412
2	31	at ARI(1497) L 22-27: +14→1346	10	29	vs NO(1333) L 7-17: -24→1370	18	24	at TB(1469) L 14-16: +18→1430
3	23	vs ATL(1508) W 30-0: +79→1425	11	26	at ATL(1443) W 30-27: +11→1381	W	21	vs LAR(1651) L 31-34: +28→1458
4	30	at NE(1388) L 13-42: -62→1363	12	28	at SF(1521) L 9-20: -2→1379	D	21
5	28	vs MIA(1422) W 27-24: +8→1371	13	27	vs LAR(1690) W 31-28: +24→1403	C	21
6	28	vs DAL(1456) W 30-27: +9→1380	14	27	(bye)	S	21
7	27	at NYJ(1379) W 13-6: +18→1398	15	26	at NO(1364) L 17-20: -3→1400
8	29	vs BUF(1611) L 9-40: -29→1369	16	25	vs TB(1481) W 23-20: +6→1406

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1572 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs MIN(1540) L 24-27: -4→1465	9	19	at CIN(1408) W 47-42: +6→1480	17	15	at SF(1569) L 38-42: +9→1541
2	25	at DET(1603) L 21-52: -58→1407	10	18	vs NYG(1395) W 24-20: -5→1475	18	14	vs DET(1600) L 16-19: -3→1538
3	21	vs DAL(1445) W 31-14: +47→1454	11	18	at MIN(1488) W 19-17: +9→1484	W	18	vs GB(1566) W 31-27: -27→1511
4	21	at LV(1366) W 25-24: +3→1457	12	18	vs PIT(1525) W 31-28: +4→1488	D	15	vs LAR(1624) L 17-20: +20→1531
5	21	(bye)	13	14	at PHI(1609) W 24-15: +28→1516	C	15
6	21	at WAS(1608) W 25-24: +23→1480	14	14	at GB(1615) L 21-28: +1→1517	S	15
7	18	vs NO(1383) W 26-14: +12→1492	15	15	vs CLE(1355) W 31-3: +12→1529
8	19	at BAL(1502) L 16-30: -18→1474	16	16	vs GB(1606) W 22-16: +3→1532

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1461 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at CLE(1387) W 17-16: -0→1552	9	24	vs CHI(1474) L 42-47: -6→1402	17	22	vs ARI(1399) W 37-14: +11→1458
2	13	vs JAX(1430) W 31-27: -12→1540	10	25	(bye)	18	25	vs CLE(1386) L 18-20: -28→1430
3	20	at MIN(1474) L 10-48: -80→1460	11	27	at PIT(1502) L 12-34: -23→1379	W	25
4	24	at DEN(1569) L 3-28: -41→1419	12	27	vs NE(1547) L 20-26: +1→1380	D	25
5	25	vs DET(1717) L 24-37: -9→1410	13	25	at BAL(1569) W 32-14: +41→1421	C	25
6	25	at GB(1598) L 18-27: +3→1413	14	23	at BUF(1643) L 34-39: +15→1436	S	25
7	25	vs PIT(1535) W 33-31: +9→1422	15	25	vs BAL(1514) L 0-24: -28→1408
8	26	vs NYJ(1361) L 38-39: -14→1408	16	22	at MIA(1447) W 45-21: +39→1447

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1512 (+137 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs CIN(1552) L 16-17: +0→1387	9	28	(bye)	17	29	vs PIT(1547) W 13-6: +23→1386
2	30	at BAL(1657) L 17-41: -36→1351	10	28	at NYJ(1375) L 20-27: -8→1378	18	28	at CIN(1458) W 20-18: +27→1413
3	27	vs GB(1655) W 13-10: +39→1390	11	29	vs BAL(1563) L 16-23: -5→1373	W	28
4	28	at DET(1696) L 10-34: -21→1369	12	26	at LV(1307) W 24-10: +20→1393	D	28
5	27	at MIN(1540) L 17-21: +9→1378	13	29	vs SF(1524) L 8-26: -19→1374	C	28
6	30	at PIT(1519) L 9-23: -15→1363	14	29	vs TEN(1249) L 29-31: -19→1355	S	28
7	26	vs MIA(1412) W 31-6: +42→1405	15	29	at CHI(1517) L 3-31: -12→1343
8	27	at NE(1509) L 13-32: -19→1386	16	29	vs BUF(1633) L 20-23: +20→1363

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at PHI(1602) L 20-24: +6→1455	9	21	vs ARI(1457) L 17-27: -20→1449	17	21	at WAS(1444) W 30-23: +17→1469
2	21	vs NYG(1382) W 40-37: -10→1445	10	22	(bye)	18	21	at NYG(1417) L 17-34: -19→1450
3	26	at CHI(1407) L 14-31: -47→1398	11	20	at LV(1328) W 33-16: +20→1469	W	22
4	25	vs GB(1616) T 40-40: +18→1416	12	19	vs PHI(1619) W 24-21: +9→1478	D	22
5	22	at NYJ(1403) W 37-22: +40→1456	13	19	vs KC(1665) W 31-28: +16→1494	C	22
6	23	at CAR(1371) L 27-30: -9→1447	14	19	at DET(1649) L 30-44: -2→1492	S	22
7	19	vs WAS(1585) W 44-22: +43→1490	15	20	vs MIN(1482) L 26-34: -19→1473
8	20	at DEN(1595) L 24-44: -21→1469	16	21	vs LAC(1529) L 17-34: -21→1452

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (-109 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs TEN(1368) W 20-12: -5→1591	9	6	at HOU(1603) W 18-15: +8→1623	17	7	at KC(1558) W 20-13: +16→1591
2	10	at IND(1442) L 28-29: -21→1570	10	6	vs LV(1312) W 10-7: -15→1608	18	5	vs LAC(1546) W 19-3: -3→1588
3	11	at LAC(1588) L 20-23: -1→1569	11	7	vs KC(1679) W 22-19: +6→1614	W	8	(bye)
4	7	vs CIN(1460) W 28-3: +41→1610	12	6	(bye)	D	8	vs BUF(1628) W 33-30: -11→1577
5	3	at PHI(1631) W 21-17: +15→1625	13	7	at WAS(1463) W 27-26: -6→1608	C	11	vs NE(1562) L 7-10: -18→1559
6	5	at NYJ(1362) W 13-11: -17→1608	14	8	at LV(1281) W 24-17: -7→1601	S	11
7	6	vs NYG(1413) W 33-32: -13→1595	15	6	vs GB(1613) W 34-26: +7→1608
8	6	vs DAL(1490) W 44-24: +20→1615	16	9	vs JAX(1544) L 20-34: -33→1575

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1533 (-134 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1577 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at GB(1620) L 13-27: -19→1603	9	1	vs MIN(1480) L 24-27: -21→1683	17	5	at MIN(1497) L 10-23: -24→1600
2	3	vs CHI(1465) W 52-21: +59→1662	10	1	at WAS(1492) W 44-22: +22→1705	18	3	at CHI(1541) W 19-16: +4→1604
3	1	at BAL(1693) W 38-30: +34→1696	11	1	at PHI(1604) L 9-16: -15→1690	W	4
4	1	vs CLE(1390) W 34-10: +21→1717	12	2	vs NYG(1399) W 34-27: -22→1668	D	3
5	1	at CIN(1419) W 37-24: +8→1725	13	4	vs GB(1596) L 24-31: -19→1649	C	4
6	1	at KC(1608) L 17-30: -35→1690	14	3	vs DAL(1494) W 44-30: +3→1652	S	4
7	1	vs TB(1558) W 24-9: +14→1704	15	3	at LAR(1688) L 34-41: -2→1650
8	1	(bye)	16	3	vs PIT(1520) L 24-29: -26→1624

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-100 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1518 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs DET(1622) W 27-13: +18→1638	9	9	vs CAR(1369) L 13-16: -25→1586	17	11	vs BAL(1533) L 24-41: -39→1564
2	4	vs WAS(1590) W 27-18: +17→1655	10	9	vs PHI(1597) L 7-10: -7→1579	18	11	at MIN(1521) L 3-16: +2→1566
3	6	at CLE(1351) L 10-13: -39→1616	11	9	at NYG(1400) W 27-20: +2→1581	W	5	at CHI(1538) L 27-31: +26→1592
4	8	at DAL(1398) T 40-40: -18→1598	12	8	vs MIN(1479) W 23-6: +15→1596	D	5
5	9	(bye)	13	6	at DET(1668) W 31-24: +19→1615	C	5
6	8	vs CIN(1410) W 27-18: -2→1596	14	7	vs CHI(1516) W 28-21: -2→1613	S	5
7	7	at ARI(1455) W 27-23: -2→1594	15	8	at DEN(1601) L 26-34: -7→1606
8	7	at PIT(1526) W 35-25: +17→1611	16	5	at CHI(1529) L 16-22: -3→1603

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-77 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1476 \| avg. lost to rating: 1551 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at LAR(1559) L 9-14: -1→1527	9	8	vs DEN(1615) L 15-18: -8→1595	17	4	at LAC(1551) W 20-16: +5→1601
2	15	vs TB(1526) L 19-20: -16→1511	10	8	vs JAX(1448) W 36-29: -1→1594	18	6	vs IND(1517) W 38-30: -15→1586
3	17	at JAX(1442) L 10-17: -20→1491	11	8	at TEN(1242) W 16-13: -10→1584	W	6	at PIT(1523) W 30-6: +5→1591
4	13	vs TEN(1292) W 26-0: +38→1529	12	9	vs BUF(1625) W 23-19: +4→1588	D	7	at NE(1556) L 16-28: -5→1586
5	7	at BAL(1611) W 44-10: +77→1606	13	8	at IND(1578) W 20-16: +8→1596	C	7
6	6	(bye)	14	6	at KC(1649) W 20-10: +25→1621	S	7
7	8	at SEA(1612) L 19-27: -13→1593	15	5	vs ARI(1412) W 40-20: +2→1623
8	8	vs SF(1508) W 26-15: +10→1603	16	6	vs LV(1281) W 23-21: -27→1596

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1429 \| avg. lost to rating: 1584 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs MIA(1483) W 33-8: +35→1442	9	10	at PIT(1509) L 20-27: -14→1578	17	18	vs JAX(1576) L 17-23: -9→1517
2	20	vs DEN(1591) W 29-28: +22→1464	10	10	at ATL(1436) W 31-25: -8→1570	18	15	at HOU(1601) L 30-38: +15→1532
3	15	at TEN(1345) W 41-20: +53→1517	11	10	(bye)	W	14
4	16	at LAR(1577) L 20-27: -7→1510	12	10	at KC(1673) L 20-23: +8→1578	D	14
5	11	vs LV(1362) W 40-6: +44→1554	13	10	vs HOU(1588) L 16-20: -7→1571	C	14
6	12	vs ARI(1448) W 31-27: -8→1546	14	11	at JAX(1511) L 19-36: -23→1548	S	14
7	10	at LAC(1518) W 38-24: +30→1576	15	10	at SEA(1687) L 16-18: +14→1562
8	10	vs TEN(1252) W 38-14: +16→1592	16	17	vs SF(1533) L 27-48: -36→1526

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1455 \| avg. lost to rating: 1586 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs CAR(1350) W 26-10: +18→1430	9	22	at LV(1308) W 30-29: -4→1448	17	8	at IND(1526) W 23-17: +10→1586
2	22	at CIN(1552) L 27-31: +12→1442	10	21	at HOU(1595) L 29-36: +1→1449	18	7	vs TEN(1317) W 41-7: -1→1585
3	19	vs HOU(1511) W 17-10: +20→1462	11	17	vs LAC(1540) W 35-6: +40→1489	W	12	vs BUF(1594) L 24-27: -34→1551
4	18	at SF(1518) W 26-21: +24→1486	12	17	at ARI(1428) W 27-24: +2→1491	D	12
5	18	vs KC(1624) W 31-28: +16→1502	13	16	at TEN(1268) W 25-3: +20→1511	C	12
6	20	vs SEA(1598) L 12-20: -13→1489	14	13	vs IND(1571) W 36-19: +23→1534	S	12
7	23	at LAR(1599) L 7-35: -37→1452	15	12	vs NYJ(1347) W 48-20: +10→1544
8	22	(bye)	16	8	at DEN(1608) W 34-20: +32→1576

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1519 (-98 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1537 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at LAC(1550) L 21-27: -10→1561	9	2	at BUF(1640) L 21-28: -11→1679	17	14	vs DEN(1575) L 13-20: -15→1543
2	11	vs PHI(1597) L 17-20: -11→1550	10	2	(bye)	18	18	at LV(1288) L 12-14: -32→1511
3	10	at NYG(1391) W 22-9: +26→1576	11	2	at DEN(1608) L 19-22: -6→1673	W	17
4	4	vs BAL(1659) W 37-20: +48→1624	12	3	vs IND(1570) W 23-20: -8→1665	D	18
5	5	at JAX(1486) L 28-31: -16→1608	13	3	at DAL(1478) L 28-31: -16→1649	C	18
6	2	vs DET(1725) W 30-17: +36→1644	14	5	vs HOU(1596) L 10-20: -25→1624	S	18
7	2	vs LV(1334) W 31-0: +26→1670	15	7	vs LAC(1511) L 13-16: -17→1607
8	2	vs WAS(1542) W 28-7: +20→1690	16	12	at TEN(1278) L 9-26: -49→1558

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+176 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1405 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at NE(1386) W 20-13: +13→1414	9	31	vs JAX(1452) L 29-30: +4→1312	17	32	vs NYG(1396) L 10-34: -21→1288
2	29	vs LAC(1560) L 9-20: -28→1386	10	31	at DEN(1623) L 7-10: +16→1328	18	30	vs KC(1543) W 14-12: +31→1319
3	29	at WAS(1573) L 24-41: -20→1366	11	31	vs DAL(1449) L 16-33: -21→1307	W	30
4	31	vs CHI(1454) L 24-25: -4→1362	12	31	vs CLE(1373) L 10-24: -20→1287	D	30
5	31	at IND(1510) L 6-40: -43→1319	13	31	at LAC(1500) L 14-31: -6→1281	C	30
6	31	vs TEN(1288) W 20-10: +15→1334	14	31	vs DEN(1608) L 17-24: +7→1288	S	30
7	31	at KC(1644) L 0-31: -26→1308	15	31	at PHI(1577) L 0-31: -7→1281
8	31	(bye)	16	32	at HOU(1623) L 21-23: +28→1309

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at KC(1571) W 27-21: +10→1560	9	15	at TEN(1236) W 27-20: -6→1519	17	13	vs HOU(1596) L 16-20: -5→1546
2	7	at LV(1414) W 20-9: +28→1588	10	13	vs PIT(1523) W 25-10: +21→1540	18	13	at DEN(1591) L 3-19: +2→1548
3	8	vs DEN(1570) W 23-20: +1→1589	11	16	at JAX(1449) L 6-35: -40→1500	W	10	at NE(1572) L 3-16: +16→1564
4	10	at NYG(1365) L 18-21: -27→1562	12	16	(bye)	D	10
5	16	vs WAS(1562) L 10-27: -46→1516	13	17	vs LV(1287) W 31-14: +6→1506	C	10
6	15	at MIA(1414) W 29-27: +2→1518	14	17	vs PHI(1582) W 22-19: +5→1511	S	10
7	20	vs IND(1546) L 24-38: -30→1488	15	16	at KC(1624) W 16-13: +18→1529
8	13	vs MIN(1517) W 37-10: +37→1525	16	13	at DAL(1473) W 34-17: +22→1551

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-126 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	vs HOU(1528) W 14-9: +2→1561	9	5	vs NO(1344) W 34-10: +11→1647	17	2	at ATL(1455) L 24-27: -29→1663
2	6	at TEN(1372) W 33-19: +28→1589	10	4	at SF(1512) W 42-26: +22→1669	18	2	vs ARI(1388) W 37-20: -12→1651
3	9	at PHI(1608) L 26-33: -12→1577	11	4	vs SEA(1673) W 21-19: +1→1670	W	3	at CAR(1430) W 34-31: -27→1624
4	9	vs IND(1517) W 27-20: +6→1583	12	1	vs TB(1544) W 34-7: +20→1690	D	4	at CHI(1511) W 20-17: -20→1604
5	10	vs SF(1494) L 23-26: -16→1567	13	2	at CAR(1379) L 28-31: -24→1666	C	3	at SEA(1670) L 27-31: +17→1621
6	7	at BAL(1534) W 17-3: +32→1599	14	1	at ARI(1434) W 45-17: +22→1688	S	3
7	3	at JAX(1489) W 35-7: +37→1636	15	1	vs DET(1652) W 41-34: +1→1689
8	4	(bye)	16	1	at SEA(1673) L 37-38: +3→1692

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1465 (+43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1471 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at IND(1407) L 8-33: -36→1447	9	27	vs BAL(1520) L 6-28: -30→1388	17	25	vs TB(1475) W 20-17: +7→1415
2	23	vs NE(1373) L 27-33: -32→1415	10	24	vs BUF(1651) W 30-13: +37→1425	18	26	at NE(1573) L 10-38: +1→1416
3	24	at BUF(1675) L 21-31: -2→1413	11	23	at WAS(1470) W 16-13: +6→1431	W	26
4	23	vs NYJ(1411) W 27-21: +9→1422	12	23	(bye)	D	26
5	24	at CAR(1363) L 24-27: -8→1414	13	24	vs NO(1335) W 21-17: -9→1422	C	26
6	26	vs LAC(1516) L 27-29: -2→1412	14	21	at NYJ(1379) W 34-10: +32→1454	S	26
7	29	at CLE(1363) L 6-31: -42→1370	15	22	at PIT(1513) L 15-28: -7→1447
8	24	at ATL(1477) W 34-10: +48→1418	16	24	vs CIN(1408) L 21-45: -39→1408

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1522 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at CHI(1469) W 27-24: +5→1545	9	17	at DET(1704) W 27-24: +21→1501	17	17	vs DET(1624) W 23-10: +24→1521
2	19	vs ATL(1436) L 6-22: -71→1474	10	17	vs BAL(1550) L 19-27: -13→1488	18	17	vs GB(1564) W 16-3: -2→1519
3	12	vs CIN(1540) W 48-10: +79→1553	11	19	vs CHI(1475) L 17-19: -9→1479	W	15
4	12	at PIT(1506) L 21-24: -13→1540	12	20	at GB(1581) L 6-23: -15→1464	D	16
5	14	at CLE(1369) W 21-17: -10→1530	13	21	at SEA(1656) L 0-26: -14→1450	C	16
6	14	(bye)	14	20	vs WAS(1469) W 31-0: +32→1482	S	16
7	14	vs PHI(1566) L 22-28: -13→1517	15	18	at DAL(1492) W 34-26: +18→1500
8	18	at LAC(1488) L 10-37: -37→1480	16	18	at NYG(1393) W 16-13: -3→1497

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1447 (-48 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1434 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs LV(1401) L 13-20: -13→1373	9	14	vs ATL(1429) W 24-23: -7→1522	17	10	at NYJ(1320) W 42-10: +13→1573
2	26	at MIA(1447) W 33-27: +32→1405	10	14	at TB(1570) W 28-23: +16→1538	18	9	vs MIA(1415) W 38-10: -1→1572
3	28	vs PIT(1489) L 14-21: -17→1388	11	12	vs NYJ(1383) W 27-14: +9→1547	W	11	vs LAC(1548) W 16-3: -16→1556
4	22	vs CAR(1425) W 42-13: +63→1451	12	12	at CIN(1379) W 26-20: -2→1545	D	11	vs HOU(1591) W 28-16: +6→1562
5	19	at BUF(1673) W 23-20: +28→1479	13	11	vs NYG(1420) W 33-15: +12→1557	C	8	at DEN(1577) W 10-7: +18→1580
6	19	at NO(1392) W 25-19: +10→1489	14	10	(bye)	S	8	at SEA(1653) L 13-29: -5→1575
7	15	at TEN(1273) W 31-13: +20→1509	15	11	vs BUF(1627) L 31-35: -6→1551
8	12	vs CLE(1405) W 32-13: +20→1529	16	11	at BAL(1543) W 28-24: +9→1560

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1477 (+104 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1395 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs ARI(1487) L 13-20: -11→1415	9	30	at LAR(1636) L 10-34: -11→1333	17	27	at TEN(1326) W 34-26: +9→1394
2	24	vs SF(1511) L 21-26: -8→1407	10	30	at CAR(1394) W 17-7: +24→1357	18	27	at ATL(1484) L 17-19: +22→1416
3	31	at SEA(1572) L 13-44: -47→1360	11	30	(bye)	W	27
4	29	at BUF(1677) L 19-31: +5→1365	12	30	vs ATL(1433) L 10-24: -22→1335	D	27
5	26	vs NYG(1392) W 26-14: +27→1392	13	30	at MIA(1431) L 17-21: +9→1344	C	27
6	27	vs NE(1479) L 19-25: -9→1383	14	28	at TB(1515) W 24-20: +20→1364	S	27
7	28	at CHI(1480) L 14-26: -12→1371	15	28	vs CAR(1403) W 20-17: +3→1367
8	30	vs TB(1544) L 3-23: -27→1344	16	28	vs NYJ(1337) W 29-6: +18→1385

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1520 (+123 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at WAS(1578) L 6-21: -11→1382	9	25	vs SF(1498) L 24-34: -14→1395	17	24	at LV(1309) W 34-10: +21→1417
2	28	at DAL(1455) L 37-40: +9→1391	10	26	at CHI(1480) L 20-24: +5→1400	18	23	vs DAL(1469) W 34-17: +19→1436
3	30	vs KC(1550) L 9-22: -26→1365	11	25	vs GB(1579) L 20-27: -1→1399	W	24
4	27	vs LAC(1589) W 21-18: +27→1392	12	25	at DET(1690) L 27-34: +21→1420	D	24
5	29	at NO(1365) L 14-26: -28→1364	13	26	at NE(1545) L 15-33: -11→1409	C	24
6	24	vs PHI(1616) W 34-17: +49→1413	14	26	(bye)	S	24
7	24	at DEN(1608) L 32-33: +14→1427	15	27	vs WAS(1438) L 21-29: -16→1393
8	25	at PHI(1580) L 20-38: -18→1409	16	27	vs MIN(1500) L 13-16: +3→1396

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+117 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1421 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs PIT(1544) L 32-34: -2→1446	9	29	(bye)	17	31	vs NE(1560) L 10-42: -13→1307
2	27	vs BUF(1626) L 10-30: -49→1397	10	27	vs CLE(1386) W 27-20: +8→1383	18	32	at BUF(1598) L 8-35: +4→1311
3	25	at TB(1542) L 27-29: +14→1411	11	28	at NE(1538) L 14-27: -8→1375	W	32
4	26	at MIA(1413) L 21-27: -8→1403	12	29	at BAL(1567) L 10-23: -3→1372	D	32
5	30	vs DAL(1416) L 22-37: -41→1362	13	28	vs ATL(1455) W 27-24: +7→1379	C	32
6	29	at DEN(1625) L 11-13: +17→1379	14	30	vs MIA(1422) L 10-34: -32→1347	S	32
7	30	vs CAR(1380) L 6-13: -18→1361	15	30	at JAX(1534) L 20-48: -10→1337
8	28	at CIN(1422) W 39-38: +14→1375	16	31	at NO(1367) L 6-29: -17→1320

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-94 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1521 \| avg. lost to rating: 1477 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs DAL(1449) W 24-20: -5→1597	9	7	(bye)	17	3	at BUF(1613) W 13-12: +15→1607
2	5	at KC(1561) W 20-17: +11→1608	10	7	at GB(1586) W 10-7: +7→1604	18	10	vs WAS(1427) L 17-24: -38→1569
3	4	vs LAR(1589) W 33-26: +12→1620	11	6	vs DET(1705) W 16-9: +15→1619	W	13	vs SF(1554) L 19-23: -35→1534
4	3	at TB(1527) W 31-25: +11→1631	12	7	at DAL(1469) L 21-24: -10→1609	D	13
5	4	vs DEN(1610) L 17-21: -15→1616	13	9	vs CHI(1488) L 15-24: -27→1582	C	13
6	10	at NYG(1364) L 17-34: -50→1566	14	9	at LAC(1506) L 19-22: -5→1577	S	13
7	9	at MIN(1530) W 28-22: +14→1580	15	9	vs LV(1288) W 31-0: +6→1583
8	9	vs NYG(1427) W 38-20: +17→1597	16	7	at WAS(1454) W 29-18: +9→1592

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at NYJ(1448) W 34-32: +1→1545	9	13	vs IND(1592) W 27-20: +14→1523	17	16	at CLE(1363) L 6-13: -23→1524
2	17	vs SEA(1516) L 17-31: -56→1489	10	15	at LAC(1519) L 10-25: -21→1502	18	16	vs BAL(1573) W 26-24: -1→1523
3	16	at NE(1405) W 21-14: +17→1506	11	14	vs CIN(1402) W 34-12: +23→1525	W	16	vs HOU(1586) L 6-30: -5→1518
4	14	at MIN(1553) W 24-21: +13→1519	12	15	at CHI(1484) L 28-31: -3→1522	D	17
5	15	(bye)	13	18	vs BUF(1621) L 7-26: -22→1500	C	17
6	13	vs CLE(1378) W 23-9: +16→1535	14	16	at BAL(1528) W 27-22: +13→1513	S	17
7	13	at CIN(1413) L 31-33: -9→1526	15	17	vs MIA(1454) W 28-15: +7→1520
8	16	vs GB(1594) L 25-35: -17→1509	16	14	at DET(1650) W 29-24: +27→1547

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1581 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at SEA(1525) W 17-13: +9→1511	9	16	at NYG(1409) W 34-24: +14→1512	17	12	vs CHI(1532) W 42-38: -10→1559
2	14	at NO(1415) W 26-21: +8→1519	10	16	vs LAR(1647) L 26-42: -21→1491	18	12	vs SEA(1664) L 3-13: -5→1554
3	14	vs ARI(1483) W 16-15: -1→1518	11	15	at ARI(1459) W 41-22: +30→1521	W	7	at PHI(1569) W 23-19: +35→1589
4	17	vs JAX(1462) L 21-26: -24→1494	12	13	vs CAR(1381) W 20-9: +3→1524	D	6	at SEA(1670) L 6-41: -0→1589
5	17	at LAR(1583) W 26-23: +16→1510	13	12	at CLE(1393) W 26-8: +19→1543	C	6
6	18	at TB(1540) L 19-30: -18→1492	14	12	(bye)	S	6
7	16	vs ATL(1493) W 20-10: +16→1508	15	14	vs TEN(1268) W 37-24: -10→1533
8	17	at HOU(1593) L 15-26: -10→1498	16	10	at IND(1562) W 48-27: +36→1569

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-124 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1562 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs SF(1502) L 13-17: -9→1516	9	3	at WAS(1522) W 38-14: +30→1654	17	1	at CAR(1406) W 27-10: -6→1664
2	9	at PIT(1545) W 31-17: +56→1572	10	3	vs ARI(1477) W 44-22: +19→1673	18	1	at SF(1559) W 13-3: +6→1670
3	5	vs NO(1407) W 44-13: +47→1619	11	3	at LAR(1669) L 19-21: -0→1673	W	1	(bye)
4	5	at ARI(1485) W 23-20: +3→1622	12	4	at TEN(1252) W 30-24: -17→1656	D	1	vs SF(1589) W 41-6: +0→1670
5	8	vs TB(1516) L 35-38: -24→1598	13	1	vs MIN(1464) W 26-0: +13→1669	C	1	vs LAR(1604) W 31-27: -17→1653
6	3	at JAX(1502) W 20-12: +14→1612	14	2	at ATL(1448) W 37-9: +18→1687	S	1	at NE(1580) W 29-13: +5→1658
7	4	vs HOU(1606) W 27-19: +12→1624	15	2	vs IND(1548) W 18-16: -14→1673
8	5	(bye)	16	2	vs LAR(1689) W 38-37: -3→1670

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1463 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at ATL(1440) W 23-20: +4→1526	9	11	(bye)	17	20	at MIA(1408) L 17-20: -6→1469
2	12	at HOU(1527) W 20-19: +16→1542	10	12	vs NE(1522) L 23-28: -16→1554	18	22	vs CAR(1412) W 16-14: -19→1450
3	13	vs NYJ(1397) W 29-27: -15→1527	11	13	at BUF(1614) L 32-44: -10→1544	W	23
4	15	vs PHI(1620) L 25-31: -11→1516	12	14	at LAR(1670) L 7-34: -21→1523	D	23
5	12	at SEA(1622) W 38-35: +24→1540	13	15	vs ARI(1426) W 20-17: -8→1515	C	23
6	11	vs SF(1510) W 30-19: +18→1558	14	18	vs NO(1344) L 20-24: -20→1495	S	23
7	11	at DET(1690) L 9-24: -14→1544	15	19	vs ATL(1430) L 28-29: -14→1481
8	11	at NO(1371) W 23-3: +26→1570	16	19	at CAR(1400) L 20-23: -6→1475

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (+228 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at DEN(1596) L 12-20: +4→1372	9	32	vs LAC(1525) L 20-27: +6→1242	17	30	vs NO(1385) L 26-34: -9→1317
2	32	vs LAR(1561) L 19-33: -27→1345	10	32	(bye)	18	31	at JAX(1586) L 7-41: +1→1318
3	32	vs IND(1464) L 20-41: -53→1292	11	32	vs HOU(1594) L 13-16: +10→1252	W	31
4	32	at HOU(1491) L 0-26: -39→1253	12	32	vs SEA(1673) L 24-30: +16→1268	D	31
5	32	at ARI(1482) W 22-21: +35→1288	13	32	vs JAX(1491) L 3-25: -19→1249	C	31
6	32	at LV(1319) L 10-20: -15→1273	14	32	at CLE(1374) W 31-29: +19→1268	S	31
7	32	vs NE(1489) L 13-31: -21→1252	15	32	at SF(1543) L 24-37: +10→1278
8	32	at IND(1576) L 14-38: -16→1236	16	30	vs KC(1607) W 26-9: +48→1326

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1519 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1471 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs NYG(1393) W 21-6: +12→1590	9	18	vs SEA(1624) L 14-38: -30→1492	17	23	vs DAL(1452) L 23-30: -17→1427
2	8	at GB(1638) L 18-27: -17→1573	10	19	vs DET(1683) L 22-44: -22→1470	18	19	at PHI(1607) W 24-17: +39→1466
3	7	vs LV(1386) W 41-24: +20→1593	11	21	at MIA(1425) L 13-16: -7→1463	W	19
4	11	at ATL(1428) L 27-34: -31→1562	12	21	(bye)	D	19
5	6	at LAC(1562) W 27-10: +46→1608	13	20	vs DEN(1614) L 26-27: +6→1469	C	19
6	9	vs CHI(1457) L 24-25: -23→1585	14	22	at MIN(1450) L 0-31: -31→1438	S	19
7	12	at DAL(1447) L 22-44: -43→1542	15	21	at NYG(1409) W 29-21: +16→1454
8	14	at KC(1670) L 7-28: -20→1522	16	23	vs PHI(1583) L 18-29: -10→1444

↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New Orleans Saints: +81 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 16-19) Carolina Panthers: +58 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Cleveland Browns: +70 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +43 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 19-20) Buffalo Bills: +45 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 9 games (weeks 9-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -179 total Elo rating
2. 9 games (weeks 10-18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -121 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 18-21) Denver Broncos: -32 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Pittsburgh Steelers: -29 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Philadelphia Eagles: -73 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 16, 329-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1607) 22-point favorites at Tennessee Titans (1278): Titans win 26-9
2. Week 13, 311-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1690) 14-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1379): Panthers win 31-28
3. Week 3, 304-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1655) 10-point favorites at Cleveland Browns (1351): Browns win 13-10
4. Week 10, 263-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1651) 6-point favorites at Miami Dolphins (1388): Dolphins win 30-13
5. Week 18, 255-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1543) 27-point favorites at Las Vegas Raiders (1288): Raiders win 14-12
6. Week 6, 252-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1616) 6-point favorites at New York Giants (1364): Giants win 34-17
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 16, 39-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1607) 22-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1278): Titans win 26-9
2. Week 18, 38-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1607) 31-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1427): Commanders win 24-17
3. Week 17, 32-point differential: Green Bay Packers (1603) 15-point favorites vs Baltimore Ravens (1533): Ravens win 41-24
4. Week 5, 40-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1611) 6-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1529): Texans win 44-10
5. Week W, 41-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1569) 37-point favorites vs San Francisco 49ers (1554): 49ers win 23-19
6. Week W, 40-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1585) 37-point favorites vs Buffalo Bills (1594): Bills win 27-24
7. Week 16, 32-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1447) 8-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1408): Bengals win 45-21
8. Week 8, 31-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1477) 7-point favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1370): Dolphins win 34-10
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +189: New England Patriots (1386) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 22
2. +138: Jacksonville Jaguars (1412) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 19
3. +133: Seattle Seahawks (1525) before week 1 → (1658) thru week 22
4. +125: Indianapolis Colts (1407) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 18
5. +109: Carolina Panthers (1350) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 19
more...
1. +87: San Francisco 49ers (1502) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 20
2. +61: Chicago Bears (1469) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 20
3. +61: Los Angeles Rams (1559) before week 1 → (1621) thru week 21
4. +58: Houston Texans (1528) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 20
5. +43: New York Giants (1393) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 18
6. +26: Cleveland Browns (1387) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 18
7. +22: Atlanta Falcons (1440) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
8. +16: Buffalo Bills (1623) before week 1 → (1639) thru week 20
9. +14: Los Angeles Chargers (1550) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 19
10. +1: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
11. -10: New Orleans Saints (1426) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
12. -18: Detroit Lions (1622) before week 1 → (1604) thru week 18
13. -21: Minnesota Vikings (1540) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
14. -26: Pittsburgh Steelers (1544) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
15. -27: Green Bay Packers (1620) before week 1 → (1592) thru week 19
16. -37: Denver Broncos (1596) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 21
17. -51: Tennessee Titans (1368) before week 1 → (1318) thru week 18
18. -60: Kansas City Chiefs (1571) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
19. -67: Miami Dolphins (1483) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
20. -68: Philadelphia Eagles (1602) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 19
21. -72: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
22. -82: Las Vegas Raiders (1401) before week 1 → (1319) thru week 18
23. -86: Baltimore Ravens (1661) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 18
24. -87: Arizona Cardinals (1487) before week 1 → (1400) thru week 18
25. -113: Washington Commanders (1578) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
26. -122: Cincinnati Bengals (1552) before week 1 → (1430) thru week 18
27. -136: New York Jets (1448) before week 1 → (1311) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -136: New York Jets (1448) before week 1 → (1311) thru week 18
2. -122: Cincinnati Bengals (1552) before week 1 → (1430) thru week 18
3. -113: Washington Commanders (1578) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
4. -87: Arizona Cardinals (1487) before week 1 → (1400) thru week 18
5. -86: Baltimore Ravens (1661) before week 1 → (1574) thru week 18
more...
1. -82: Las Vegas Raiders (1401) before week 1 → (1319) thru week 18
2. -72: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1522) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
3. -68: Philadelphia Eagles (1602) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 19
4. -67: Miami Dolphins (1483) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
5. -60: Kansas City Chiefs (1571) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
6. -51: Tennessee Titans (1368) before week 1 → (1318) thru week 18
7. -37: Denver Broncos (1596) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 21
8. -27: Green Bay Packers (1620) before week 1 → (1592) thru week 19
9. -26: Pittsburgh Steelers (1544) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 19
10. -21: Minnesota Vikings (1540) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
11. -18: Detroit Lions (1622) before week 1 → (1604) thru week 18
12. -10: New Orleans Saints (1426) before week 1 → (1416) thru week 18
13. +1: Dallas Cowboys (1449) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
14. +14: Los Angeles Chargers (1550) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 19
15. +16: Buffalo Bills (1623) before week 1 → (1639) thru week 20
16. +22: Atlanta Falcons (1440) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
17. +26: Cleveland Browns (1387) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 18
18. +43: New York Giants (1393) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 18
19. +58: Houston Texans (1528) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 20
20. +61: Los Angeles Rams (1559) before week 1 → (1621) thru week 21
21. +61: Chicago Bears (1469) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 20
22. +87: San Francisco 49ers (1502) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 20
23. +109: Carolina Panthers (1350) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 19
24. +125: Indianapolis Colts (1407) before week 1 → (1532) thru week 18
25. +133: Seattle Seahawks (1525) before week 1 → (1658) thru week 22
26. +138: Jacksonville Jaguars (1412) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 19
27. +189: New England Patriots (1386) before week 1 → (1575) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +184: Indianapolis Colts (1407) before week 1 → (1592) thru week 8
2. +158: New England Patriots (1388) before week 4 → (1547) thru week 11
3. +140: Kansas City Chiefs (1550) before week 3 → (1690) thru week 8
4. +138: Jacksonville Jaguars (1448) before week 10 → (1586) thru week 17
5. +138: Seattle Seahawks (1516) before week 2 → (1654) thru week 9
more...
1. +123: Los Angeles Rams (1567) before week 6 → (1690) thru week 12
2. +122: Detroit Lions (1603) before week 2 → (1725) thru week 5
3. +115: Houston Texans (1491) before week 4 → (1606) thru week 5
4. +93: Carolina Panthers (1332) before week 2 → (1425) thru week 3
5. +93: Dallas Cowboys (1398) before week 4 → (1490) thru week 7
6. +90: Tennessee Titans (1236) before week 9 → (1326) thru week 16
7. +86: Chicago Bears (1407) before week 3 → (1492) thru week 7
8. +84: Miami Dolphins (1370) before week 8 → (1454) thru week 14
9. +81: New Orleans Saints (1335) before week 13 → (1416) thru week 18
10. +79: Cincinnati Bengals (1379) before week 12 → (1458) thru week 17
11. +78: San Francisco 49ers (1491) before week 11 → (1569) thru week 16
12. +71: Minnesota Vikings (1450) before week 14 → (1521) thru week 17
13. +70: Cleveland Browns (1343) before week 16 → (1413) thru week 18
14. +67: Atlanta Falcons (1440) before week 1 → (1508) thru week 2
15. +67: Baltimore Ravens (1502) before week 7 → (1569) thru week 12
16. +64: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 12 → (1564) thru week 19
17. +63: New York Giants (1364) before week 6 → (1427) thru week 7
18. +56: Denver Broncos (1569) before week 4 → (1625) thru week 5
19. +55: Buffalo Bills (1623) before week 1 → (1677) thru week 3
20. +54: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1516) before week 5 → (1570) thru week 8
21. +53: Philadelphia Eagles (1566) before week 7 → (1619) thru week 11
22. +47: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 14 → (1547) thru week 16
23. +38: Las Vegas Raiders (1281) before week 16 → (1319) thru week 18
24. +36: Green Bay Packers (1579) before week 11 → (1615) thru week 13
25. +35: Washington Commanders (1573) before week 3 → (1608) thru week 5
26. +30: Arizona Cardinals (1448) before week 6 → (1477) thru week 9
27. +22: New York Jets (1361) before week 8 → (1383) thru week 10
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -191: Baltimore Ravens (1693) before week 3 → (1502) thru week 6
2. -162: Kansas City Chiefs (1673) before week 12 → (1511) thru week 18
3. -151: Cincinnati Bengals (1552) before week 2 → (1402) thru week 9
4. -148: Washington Commanders (1585) before week 7 → (1438) thru week 14
5. -136: Tennessee Titans (1372) before week 2 → (1236) thru week 8
more...
1. -113: Miami Dolphins (1483) before week 1 → (1370) thru week 7
2. -106: Las Vegas Raiders (1414) before week 2 → (1308) thru week 7
3. -105: Detroit Lions (1705) before week 11 → (1600) thru week 17
4. -105: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1554) before week 11 → (1450) thru week 18
5. -101: Los Angeles Chargers (1589) before week 4 → (1488) thru week 7
6. -89: Arizona Cardinals (1477) before week 10 → (1388) thru week 17
7. -88: Los Angeles Rams (1692) before week 17 → (1604) thru week 20
8. -87: New York Jets (1448) before week 1 → (1361) thru week 7
9. -85: Philadelphia Eagles (1619) before week 12 → (1534) thru week 19
10. -82: New Orleans Saints (1415) before week 2 → (1333) thru week 9
11. -80: Minnesota Vikings (1530) before week 6 → (1450) thru week 13
12. -79: Atlanta Falcons (1508) before week 3 → (1429) thru week 8
13. -76: Green Bay Packers (1655) before week 3 → (1579) thru week 10
14. -67: Buffalo Bills (1677) before week 4 → (1611) thru week 6
15. -65: Indianapolis Colts (1592) before week 9 → (1526) thru week 16
16. -63: Chicago Bears (1469) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 2
17. -62: Cleveland Browns (1405) before week 8 → (1343) thru week 15
18. -57: Dallas Cowboys (1455) before week 2 → (1398) thru week 3
19. -56: Carolina Panthers (1425) before week 4 → (1369) thru week 8
20. -54: Pittsburgh Steelers (1544) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 2
21. -54: Jacksonville Jaguars (1502) before week 6 → (1448) thru week 9
22. -49: Denver Broncos (1608) before week 16 → (1559) thru week 21
23. -37: Houston Texans (1623) before week 16 → (1586) thru week 18
24. -34: Seattle Seahawks (1687) before week 15 → (1653) thru week 21
25. -34: New York Giants (1427) before week 8 → (1393) thru week 15
26. -29: San Francisco 49ers (1519) before week 3 → (1491) thru week 10
27. -17: New England Patriots (1573) before week 18 → (1556) thru week 19
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1533
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1522
3. New York Giants: 1520
4. Washington Commanders: 1519
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1519
more...
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1516
2. Tennessee Titans: 1515
3. Cleveland Browns: 1512
4. Indianapolis Colts: 1511
5. Chicago Bears: 1507
6. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
7. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
8. Philadelphia Eagles: 1505
9. Green Bay Packers: 1504
10. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
11. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1503
13. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
14. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
15. Houston Texans: 1498
16. San Francisco 49ers: 1495
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1494
18. New York Jets: 1494
19. Atlanta Falcons: 1493
20. Denver Broncos: 1491
21. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
22. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1486
23. Carolina Panthers: 1486
24. Buffalo Bills: 1479
25. New Orleans Saints: 1477
26. Miami Dolphins: 1465
27. New England Patriots: 1447
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1447
2. Miami Dolphins: 1465
3. New Orleans Saints: 1477
4. Buffalo Bills: 1479
5. Carolina Panthers: 1486
more...
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1486
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
3. Denver Broncos: 1491
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1493
5. New York Jets: 1494
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1494
7. San Francisco 49ers: 1495
8. Houston Texans: 1498
9. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
10. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1503
12. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
13. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
14. Green Bay Packers: 1504
15. Philadelphia Eagles: 1505
16. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
17. Los Angeles Rams: 1506
18. Chicago Bears: 1507
19. Indianapolis Colts: 1511
20. Cleveland Browns: 1512
21. Tennessee Titans: 1515
22. Arizona Cardinals: 1516
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1519
24. Washington Commanders: 1519
25. New York Giants: 1520
26. Minnesota Vikings: 1522
27. Detroit Lions: 1533
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1537
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1521
3. Green Bay Packers: 1518
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1516
5. Minnesota Vikings: 1514
more...
1. Los Angeles Rams: 1499
2. Carolina Panthers: 1499
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1498
4. New York Giants: 1495
5. Detroit Lions: 1495
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1494
7. Dallas Cowboys: 1489
8. Tennessee Titans: 1488
9. Denver Broncos: 1484
10. Houston Texans: 1476
11. Cleveland Browns: 1476
12. Los Angeles Chargers: 1474
13. Buffalo Bills: 1473
14. Chicago Bears: 1472
15. Washington Commanders: 1471
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
17. Cincinnati Bengals: 1461
18. San Francisco 49ers: 1459
19. Miami Dolphins: 1457
20. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1455
21. Baltimore Ravens: 1449
22. New England Patriots: 1434
23. Indianapolis Colts: 1429
24. New York Jets: 1421
25. Arizona Cardinals: 1409
26. Las Vegas Raiders: 1405
27. New Orleans Saints: 1395
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New Orleans Saints: 1395
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1405
3. Arizona Cardinals: 1409
4. New York Jets: 1421
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1429
more...
1. New England Patriots: 1434
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1449
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1455
4. Miami Dolphins: 1457
5. San Francisco 49ers: 1459
6. Cincinnati Bengals: 1461
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1463
8. Washington Commanders: 1471
9. Chicago Bears: 1472
10. Buffalo Bills: 1473
11. Los Angeles Chargers: 1474
12. Cleveland Browns: 1476
13. Houston Texans: 1476
14. Denver Broncos: 1484
15. Tennessee Titans: 1488
16. Dallas Cowboys: 1489
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1494
18. Detroit Lions: 1495
19. New York Giants: 1495
20. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1498
21. Carolina Panthers: 1499
22. Los Angeles Rams: 1499
23. Minnesota Vikings: 1514
24. Atlanta Falcons: 1516
25. Green Bay Packers: 1518
26. Philadelphia Eagles: 1521
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1537

↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)
2	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	22-10 (22/32, 68.75%)
3	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	34-14 (34/48, 70.83%)
4	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	44-19 (44/63, 69.84%)
5	4-10 (4/14, 28.57%)	48-29 (48/77, 62.34%)
6	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	57-35 (57/92, 61.96%)
7	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	67-40 (67/107, 62.62%)
8	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	78-42 (78/120, 65.0%)
9	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	87-47 (87/134, 64.93%)
10	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	97-51 (97/148, 65.54%)
11	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	105-58 (105/163, 64.42%)
12	12-2 (12/14, 85.71%)	117-60 (117/177, 66.1%)
13	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	126-67 (126/193, 65.28%)
14	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	134-73 (134/207, 64.73%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	145-78 (145/223, 65.02%)
16	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	152-87 (152/239, 63.6%)
17	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	158-97 (158/255, 61.96%)
18	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	170-101 (170/271, 62.73%)
W	4-2 (4/6, 66.67%)	174-103 (174/277, 62.82%)
D	4-0 (4/4, 100.0%)	178-103 (178/281, 63.35%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	179-104 (179/283, 63.25%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	180-104 (180/284, 63.38%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!