NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021 "No Margin of Victory" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated without taking into account margin of victory. Following every game, the winning team always takes some number of Elo rating points from the losing team.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,113 of 3,259 game winners correctly (64.84%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%). That is an average of 3.9 fewer games correctly picked over those 12 seasons.

All available 2021 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1764 (+21)	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1643): W 23-20: 1743+21→1764
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1708	14-6
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1690	13-5
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1685	14-5
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1656	12-7
6 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1631	12-6
7 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1631	12-8
8 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1622 (-21)	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1743): L 20-23: 1643-21→1622
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1599	12-6
10	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1567	9-8-1
11	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553	9-8
12	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1550	10-8
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1544	9-8
14	New England PatriotsNE	1538	10-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	9-8
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531	11-7
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518	8-9
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	8-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	8-9
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472	9-9
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464	7-10
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1431	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1413	6-11
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1407	7-10
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1365	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1297	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293	5-12
29	New York GiantsNYG	1288	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1276	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1257	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1210	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1743 (+24)	15-5	vs CIN (1643): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1655): W 20-17: 1719+24→1743
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1643): Favorite
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1708 (-45)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): L 24-27(OT): 1753-45→1708
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1690	13-5
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1685	14-5
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1656	12-7
6 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1643 (+45)	13-7	at LAR (1743): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1753): W 27-24(OT): 1598+45→1643
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1743): Underdog
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1631	12-6
8 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1631 (-24)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1719): L 17-20: 1655-24→1631
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1599	12-6
10	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1567	9-8-1
11	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553	9-8
12	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1550	10-8
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1544	9-8
14	New England PatriotsNE	1538	10-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	9-8
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531	11-7
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518	8-9
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	8-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	8-9
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472	9-9
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464	7-10
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1431	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1413	6-11
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1407	7-10
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1365	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1297	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293	5-12
29	New York GiantsNYG	1288	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1276	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1257	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1210	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1753 (+25)	14-5	vs CIN (1598): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1681): W 42-36(OT): 1728+25→1753
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1598): Favorite
2 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1719 (+38)	14-5	vs SF (1655): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1723): W 30-27: 1681+38→1719
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1655): Favorite
3 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1690 (-46)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): L 10-13: 1736-46→1690
4 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1685 (-38)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1681): L 27-30: 1723-38→1685
5 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1656 (-25)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1728): L 36-42(OT): 1681-25→1656
6 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1655 (+46)	12-7	at LAR (1719): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1736): W 13-10: 1609+46→1655
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1719): Underdog
7 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1631 (-45)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): L 16-19: 1676-45→1631
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1599	12-6
9 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1598 (+45)	12-7	at KC (1753): 'Dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1676): W 19-16: 1553+45→1598
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1753): Underdog
10 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1567	9-8-1
11	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553	9-8
12	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1550	10-8
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1544	9-8
14	New England PatriotsNE	1538	10-8
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	9-8
16	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531	11-7
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518	8-9
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	8-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	8-9
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472	9-9
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464	7-10
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1431	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1413	6-11
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1407	7-10
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1365	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1297	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293	5-12
29	New York GiantsNYG	1288	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1276	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1257	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1210	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1736	13-4	vs SF (1609): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1609): Favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1728 (+19)	13-5	vs BUF (1681): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1587): W 42-21: 1709+19→1728
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1681): Favorite
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1723 (+14)	14-4	vs LAR (1681): Fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): W 31-15: 1709+14→1723
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1681): Favorite
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1681 (+21)	12-6	at KC (1728): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1559): W 47-17: 1660+21→1681
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1728): Underdog
5	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1681 (+20)	13-5	at TB (1723): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1551): W 34-11: 1661+20→1681
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1723): Underdog
6 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1676	12-5	vs CIN (1553): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): Favorite
7 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1609 (+39)	11-7	at GB (1736): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): W 23-17: 1570+39→1609
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1736): Underdog
8 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1599 (-39)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1570): L 17-23: 1638-39→1599
9 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1567 (-20)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1709): L 21-42: 1587-20→1567
10 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1553 (+30)	11-7	at TEN (1676): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1580): W 26-19: 1523+30→1553
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1676): Underdog
11 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553	9-8
12 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1550 (-30)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): L 19-26: 1580-30→1550
13 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1544	9-8
14 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1538 (-21)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): L 17-47: 1559-21→1538
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537	9-8
16 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1531 (-20)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1661): L 11-34: 1551-20→1531
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518	8-9
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	8-9
19	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	8-9
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492	9-8
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1472 (-15)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1709): L 15-31: 1487-15→1472
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464	7-10
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1431	7-10
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1413	6-11
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1407	7-10
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1365	7-10
27	Detroit LionsDET	1297	3-13-1
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293	5-12
29	New York GiantsNYG	1288	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1276	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1257	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1210	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1736 (-50)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1247): L 30-37: 1786-50→1736
next: (bye)
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1709 (+18)	12-5	vs PIT (1587): Fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1383): W 28-24: 1691+18→1709
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1587): Favorite
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1709 (+7)	13-4	vs PHI (1487): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1300): W 41-17: 1702+7→1709
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): Favorite
4 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1676 (+15)	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1291): W 28-25: 1661+15→1676
next: (bye)
5 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1661 (-44)	12-5	vs ARI (1551): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): L 24-27(OT): 1705-44→1661
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1551): Favorite
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1660 (+7)	11-6	vs NE (1559): Fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1265): W 27-10: 1653+7→1660
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1559): Favorite
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1638 (+29)	12-5	vs SF (1570): Fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1516): W 51-26: 1609+29→1638
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1570): Favorite
8 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1587 (+34)	9-7-1	at KC (1709): 'Dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): W 16-13(OT): 1553+34→1587
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1709): Underdog
9 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1580 (+24)	10-7	at CIN (1523): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): W 35-32(OT): 1556+24→1580
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Tossup
10 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1570 (+44)	10-7	at DAL (1638): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1705): W 27-24(OT): 1526+44→1570
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): Underdog
11 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1559 (-32)	10-7	at BUF (1660): 'Dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): L 24-33: 1591-32→1559
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1660): Underdog
12 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1553 (+29)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): W 30-20: 1524+29→1553
13 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1551 (-44)	11-6	at LAR (1661): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1420): L 30-38: 1595-44→1551
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1661): Underdog
14 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1544 (-48)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1163): L 11-26: 1592-48→1544
15 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1537 (+32)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1591): W 33-24: 1505+32→1537
16 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523 (-31)	10-7	vs LV (1580): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): L 16-21: 1554-31→1523
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1580): Tossup
17 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1518 (+32)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): W 21-16: 1486+32→1518
18 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (+24)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1437): W 31-17: 1486+24→1510
19 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500 (-33)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): L 13-16(OT): 1533-33→1500
20 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-24)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1556): L 32-35(OT): 1516-24→1492
21 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1487 (-29)	9-8	at TB (1709): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1609): L 26-51: 1516-29→1487
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1709): Underdog
22 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1464 (+44)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1595): W 38-30: 1420+44→1464
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1431 (+29)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1317): W 22-7: 1402+29→1431
24 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1413 (-24)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 17-31: 1437-24→1413
25 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1407 (-29)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): L 20-30: 1436-29→1407
26	Denver BroncosDEN	1365 (-18)	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1691): L 24-28: 1383-18→1365
27 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1297 (+50)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1786): W 37-30: 1247+50→1297
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1293 (-7)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1702): L 17-41: 1300-7→1293
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1288 (-29)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1402): L 7-22: 1317-29→1288
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1276 (-15)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1661): L 25-28: 1291-15→1276
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1257 (-8)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): L 10-27: 1265-8→1257
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1210 (+47)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): W 26-11: 1163+47→1210

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1786 (+12)	13-3	at DET (1247): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): W 37-10: 1774+12→1786
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1247): Favorite
2 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1705 (+27)	12-4	vs SF (1526): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): W 20-19: 1678+27→1705
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): Favorite
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1702 (+15)	12-4	vs CAR (1300): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1279): W 28-24: 1687+15→1702
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1300): Favorite
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1691 (-38)	11-5	at DEN (1383): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): L 31-34: 1729-38→1691
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1383): Favorite
5 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1661 (+18)	11-5	at HOU (1291): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1523): W 34-3: 1643+18→1661
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1291): Favorite
6 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1653 (+17)	10-6	vs NYJ (1265): Fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1452): W 29-15: 1636+17→1653
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1265): Favorite
7 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1609 (-38)	11-5	at PHI (1516): Fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): L 22-25: 1647-38→1609
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1516): Favorite
8 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1595 (+38)	11-5	vs SEA (1420): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): W 25-22: 1557+38→1595
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1420): Favorite
9 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1592 (-40)	9-7	at JAX (1163): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1515): L 20-23: 1632-40→1592
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1163): Favorite
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1591 (+7)	10-6	at MIA (1505): Fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1170): W 50-10: 1584+7→1591
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Favorite
11 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1556 (+41)	9-7	vs LAC (1516): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1632): W 23-20: 1515+41→1556
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Favorite
12 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1554 (+38)	10-6	at CLE (1486): Fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1729): W 34-31: 1516+38→1554
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Favorite
13 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1553 (+26)	8-7-1	at BAL (1533): 'Dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): W 26-14: 1527+26→1553
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Underdog
14 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (-28)	8-8	vs PIT (1553): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1678): L 19-20: 1561-28→1533
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): Favorite
15 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526 (+14)	9-7	at LAR (1705): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1305): W 23-7: 1512+14→1526
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1705): Underdog
16 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1524 (+17)	8-8	at ATL (1436): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1317): W 18-10: 1507+17→1524
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Favorite
17 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (+21)	9-7	at LV (1556): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1404): W 34-13: 1495+21→1516
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1556): Underdog
18 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1516 (+31)	9-7	vs DAL (1609): 'Dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1433): W 20-16: 1485+31→1516
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1609): Underdog
19 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (-18)	8-8	vs NE (1591): 'Dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1643): L 3-34: 1523-18→1505
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1591): Underdog
20 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-12)	7-9	vs CHI (1437): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1774): L 10-37: 1498-12→1486
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1437): Favorite
21 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486 (-27)	7-9	vs CIN (1554): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): L 14-26: 1513-27→1486
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1554): Underdog
22 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1437 (+22)	6-10	at MIN (1486): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1339): W 29-3: 1415+22→1437
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Underdog
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (-16)	7-9	vs NO (1524): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1636): L 15-29: 1452-16→1436
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): Underdog
24 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1420 (+19)	6-10	at ARI (1595): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1266): W 51-29: 1401+19→1420
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1595): Underdog
25 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1402 (-31)	6-10	at NYG (1317): Fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): L 16-20: 1433-31→1402
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1317): Favorite
26 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1383 (-21)	7-9	vs KC (1691): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): L 13-34: 1404-21→1383
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1691): Underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1317 (-22)	4-12	vs WAS (1402): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1415): L 3-29: 1339-22→1317
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1402): Underdog
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1300 (-17)	5-11	at TB (1702): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): L 10-18: 1317-17→1300
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1702): Underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1291 (-14)	4-12	vs TEN (1661): 'Dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): L 7-23: 1305-14→1291
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1661): Underdog
30	New York JetsNYJ	1265 (-14)	4-12	at BUF (1653): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): L 24-28: 1279-14→1265
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1653): Underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1247 (-19)	2-13-1	vs GB (1786): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1401): L 29-51: 1266-19→1247
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1786): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1163 (-7)	2-14	vs IND (1592): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1584): L 10-50: 1170-7→1163
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1774 (+13)	12-3	vs MIN (1498): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): W 24-22: 1761+13→1774
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1729 (+16)	11-4	at CIN (1516): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1543): W 36-10: 1713+16→1729
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): Favorite
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1687 (+17)	11-4	at NYJ (1279): Fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1334): W 32-6: 1670+17→1687
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1279): Favorite
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1678 (+27)	11-4	at BAL (1561): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): W 30-23: 1651+27→1678
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1561): Favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1647 (+15)	11-4	vs ARI (1557): Fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1448): W 56-14: 1632+15→1647
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Favorite
6	Tennessee TitansTEN	1643 (+21)	10-5	vs MIA (1523): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): W 20-17: 1622+21→1643
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1523): Favorite
7 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1636 (+34)	9-6	vs ATL (1452): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1619): W 33-21: 1602+34→1636
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1452): Favorite
8 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1632 (+32)	9-6	vs LV (1515): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): W 22-16: 1600+32→1632
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1515): Favorite
9 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1584 (-35)	9-6	vs JAX (1170): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): L 21-33: 1619-35→1584
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1170): Favorite
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1561 (-31)	8-7	vs LAR (1678): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1485): L 21-41: 1592-31→1561
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1678): Underdog
11	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (-32)	10-5	at DAL (1647): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1600): L 16-22: 1589-32→1557
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1647): Underdog
12 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1527 (-16)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1513): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 10-36: 1543-16→1527
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1513): Favorite
13 (+6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1523 (+36)	8-7	at TEN (1643): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): W 20-3: 1487+36→1523
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1643): Underdog
14 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1516 (+31)	9-6	vs KC (1729): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1592): W 41-21: 1485+31→1516
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1729): Underdog
15 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1515 (+23)	8-7	at IND (1632): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1427): W 17-13: 1492+23→1515
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1632): Underdog
16	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1513 (-13)	7-8	at PIT (1527): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1761): L 22-24: 1526-13→1513
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1527): Underdog
17 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (-22)	8-7	vs HOU (1305): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1622): L 17-20: 1534-22→1512
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1305): Favorite
18 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (-36)	7-8	vs CAR (1317): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): L 3-20: 1543-36→1507
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1317): Favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-27)	7-8	at GB (1774): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): L 23-30: 1525-27→1498
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1774): Underdog
20 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1495 (-41)	8-7	vs DEN (1404): Fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1264): L 29-41: 1536-41→1495
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1404): Favorite
21	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1485 (+22)	8-7	at WAS (1433): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1361): W 34-10: 1463+22→1485
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1433): Underdog
22 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1452 (+18)	7-8	at BUF (1636): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1284): W 20-16: 1434+18→1452
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1636): Underdog
23 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1433 (-15)	6-9	vs PHI (1485): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): L 14-56: 1448-15→1433
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): Favorite
24 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1415 (+36)	5-10	vs NYG (1339): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1436): W 25-24: 1379+36→1415
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1339): Favorite
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1404 (-23)	7-8	at LAC (1495): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): L 13-17: 1427-23→1404
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1495): Underdog
26 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1401 (-35)	5-10	vs DET (1266): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): L 24-25: 1436-35→1401
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1266): Favorite
27	New York GiantsNYG	1339 (-22)	4-11	at CHI (1415): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1463): L 10-34: 1361-22→1339
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1415): Underdog
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1317 (-17)	5-10	at NO (1507): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1670): L 6-32: 1334-17→1317
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Underdog
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1305 (+41)	4-11	at SF (1512): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1536): W 41-29: 1264+41→1305
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Underdog
30 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1279 (+23)	4-11	vs TB (1687): 'Dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1192): W 26-21: 1256+23→1279
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1687): Underdog
31 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1266 (-18)	2-12-1	at SEA (1401): 'Dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1434): L 16-20: 1284-18→1266
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1401): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1170 (-22)	2-13	at NE (1584): 'Dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1256): L 21-26: 1192-22→1170
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1584): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1761 (+27)	11-3	vs CLE (1526): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1619): W 31-30: 1734+27→1761
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Favorite
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713 (+26)	10-4	vs PIT (1543): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1562): W 34-28(OT): 1687+26→1713
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1543): Favorite
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1670 (-43)	10-4	at CAR (1334): Fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 0-9: 1713-43→1670
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1334): Favorite
4 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1651 (+18)	10-4	at MIN (1525): Fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1454): W 20-10: 1633+18→1651
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1525): Favorite
5 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1632 (+22)	10-4	vs WAS (1448): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1382): W 21-6: 1610+22→1632
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1448): Favorite
6 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1622 (-31)	9-5	vs SF (1534): Fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): L 13-19: 1653-31→1622
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Favorite
7 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1619 (-29)	9-5	vs BUF (1602): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): L 17-27: 1648-29→1619
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1602): Favorite
8 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1602 (+15)	8-6	at NE (1619): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): W 31-14: 1587+15→1602
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1619): Underdog
9 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1600 (+29)	8-6	at ARI (1589): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1648): W 27-17: 1571+29→1600
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): Underdog
10 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1592 (-27)	8-6	at CIN (1485): Fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1734): L 30-31: 1619-27→1592
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1485): Favorite
11 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1589 (-43)	10-4	vs IND (1600): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1241): L 12-30: 1632-43→1589
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1600): Favorite
12 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1543 (+43)	7-7	vs MIA (1487): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1713): W 9-0: 1500+43→1543
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): Favorite
13 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1543 (+31)	7-6-1	at KC (1713): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1653): W 19-13: 1512+31→1543
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Underdog
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536 (-26)	8-6	at HOU (1264): Fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1687): L 28-34(OT): 1562-26→1536
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1264): Favorite
15	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (+23)	8-6	at TEN (1622): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): W 31-13: 1511+23→1534
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1622): Underdog
16 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1526 (-38)	7-7	at GB (1761): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): L 14-16: 1564-38→1526
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1761): Underdog
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1525 (+27)	7-7	vs LAR (1651): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1406): W 17-9: 1498+27→1525
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): Underdog
18 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (+38)	7-7	vs DEN (1427): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1564): W 16-14: 1454+38→1492
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1427): Favorite
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1487 (+14)	7-7	at NO (1543): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1270): W 31-24: 1473+14→1487
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1543): Underdog
20 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1485 (+33)	8-6	vs BAL (1592): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): W 15-10: 1452+33→1485
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1592): Underdog
21 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1463 (+26)	7-7	vs NYG (1361): Fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1475): W 27-17: 1437+26→1463
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1361): Favorite
22 (-4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1448 (-27)	6-8	at DAL (1632): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1437): L 17-27: 1475-27→1448
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1632): Underdog
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1436 (-18)	5-9	vs CHI (1379): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1633): L 10-20: 1454-18→1436
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1379): Favorite
24 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1434 (-23)	6-8	vs DET (1284): Fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): L 13-31: 1457-23→1434
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1284): Favorite
25 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1427 (-33)	7-7	at LV (1492): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): L 10-15: 1460-33→1427
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Underdog
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1379 (-27)	4-10	at SEA (1436): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 9-17: 1406-27→1379
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1436): Underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1361 (-21)	4-10	at PHI (1463): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1610): L 6-21: 1382-21→1361
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1463): Underdog
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1334 (-14)	5-9	vs TB (1670): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): L 14-31: 1348-14→1334
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1670): Underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1284 (+43)	2-11-1	at ATL (1434): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1632): W 30-12: 1241+43→1284
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1434): Underdog
30 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1264 (+32)	3-11	vs LAC (1536): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1224): W 30-16: 1232+32→1264
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1536): Underdog
31 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1256 (-14)	3-11	vs JAX (1192): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): L 24-31: 1270-14→1256
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1192): Favorite
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1192 (-32)	2-12	at NYJ (1256): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1232): L 16-30: 1224-32→1192
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1256): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1734 (+10)	10-3	at BAL (1619): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1416): W 45-30: 1724+10→1734
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1619): Favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1713 (+21)	10-3	vs NO (1500): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): W 33-27(OT): 1692+21→1713
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1687 (+16)	9-4	at LAC (1562): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): W 48-9: 1671+16→1687
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1562): Favorite
4 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1653 (+6)	9-4	at PIT (1512): Fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1230): W 20-0: 1647+6→1653
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Favorite
5	New England PatriotsNE	1648	9-4	at IND (1571): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1571): Slight favorite
6 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1633 (+35)	9-4	vs SEA (1454): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1667): W 30-23: 1598+35→1633
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1454): Favorite
7 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1632 (-35)	10-3	at DET (1241): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1598): L 23-30: 1667-35→1632
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1241): Favorite
8 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1619 (-29)	8-5	vs GB (1734): 'Dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): L 22-24: 1648-29→1619
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1734): Underdog
9 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1610 (+27)	9-4	at NYG (1382): Fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1501): W 27-20: 1583+27→1610
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1382): Favorite
10 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587 (-21)	7-6	vs CAR (1348): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): L 27-33(OT): 1608-21→1587
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1348): Favorite
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1571	7-6	vs NE (1648): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1648): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1564 (+28)	7-6	vs LV (1454): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): W 24-22: 1536+28→1564
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1454): Favorite
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1562 (+18)	8-5	vs KC (1687): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 37-21: 1544+18→1562
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1687): Underdog
14 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (-28)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1653): 'Dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): L 28-36: 1540-28→1512
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1653): Underdog
15 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1511 (+33)	7-6	vs ATL (1457): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1484): W 26-23(OT): 1478+33→1511
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Favorite
16 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (+22)	6-7	at TB (1713): 'Dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1292): W 30-9: 1478+22→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1713): Underdog
17 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (+28)	6-7	at CHI (1406): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1540): W 36-28: 1470+28→1498
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1406): Favorite
18 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1475 (-26)	6-7	at PHI (1437): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1583): L 20-27: 1501-26→1475
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1437): Underdog
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473	6-7	vs NYJ (1270): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1270): Favorite
20 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1460 (+16)	7-6	vs CIN (1452): Fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1258): W 38-10: 1444+16→1460
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Favorite
21 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (+32)	6-7	at SF (1511): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1380): W 29-21: 1425+32→1457
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): Underdog
22 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1454 (-16)	6-7	at CLE (1564): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1671): L 9-48: 1470-16→1454
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1564): Underdog
23 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1454 (+24)	5-8	at LAR (1633): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1255): W 33-13: 1430+24→1454
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1633): Underdog
24 (-8)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-32)	7-6	at DEN (1460): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1478): L 23-26(OT): 1484-32→1452
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): Underdog
25 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1437	6-7	vs WAS (1475): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1475): Favorite
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1406 (-10)	4-9	vs MIN (1498): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1724): L 30-45: 1416-10→1406
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1382 (-19)	4-9	vs DAL (1610): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): L 21-37: 1401-19→1382
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1610): Underdog
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1348 (-32)	5-8	at BUF (1587): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1425): L 21-29: 1380-32→1348
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): Underdog
29	New York JetsNYJ	1270 (-22)	3-10	at MIA (1473): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): L 9-30: 1292-22→1270
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Underdog
30	Detroit LionsDET	1241 (-17)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1632): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1444): L 10-38: 1258-17→1241
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1632): Underdog
31	Houston TexansHOU	1232 (-23)	2-11	at JAX (1224): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1430): L 13-33: 1255-23→1232
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1224): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1224 (-6)	2-11	vs HOU (1232): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1647): L 0-20: 1230-6→1224
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1232): Favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1724	9-3	vs CHI (1416): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1416): Favorite
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1692 (+21)	9-3	vs BUF (1608): Fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): W 30-17: 1671+21→1692
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1608): Favorite
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1671 (+15)	8-4	vs LV (1470): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): W 22-9: 1656+15→1671
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Favorite
4 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1667 (+22)	10-2	vs LAR (1598): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1438): W 33-22: 1645+22→1667
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1598): Favorite
5 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1648 (+34)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): W 14-10: 1614+34→1648
next: (bye)
6 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1648 (-32)	8-4	at CLE (1536): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): L 19-20: 1680-32→1648
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1536): Tossup
7 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1647	8-4	vs JAX (1230): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1230): Favorite
8 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1608 (-34)	7-5	at TB (1692): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1614): L 10-14: 1642-34→1608
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1692): Underdog
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1598 (+11)	8-4	at ARI (1667): 'Dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1241): W 37-7: 1587+11→1598
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1667): Underdog
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1583 (+29)	8-4	at WAS (1501): Fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 27-17: 1554+29→1583
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1501): Favorite
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1571 (+20)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1275): W 31-0: 1551+20→1571
next: (bye)
12 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1544 (+32)	7-5	vs NYG (1401): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): W 41-22: 1512+32→1544
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Favorite
13 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1540 (+32)	6-5-1	at MIN (1470): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1680): W 20-19: 1508+32→1540
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1470): Tossup
14 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536	6-6	vs BAL (1648): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1648): Tossup
15 (+5)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1501 (+35)	6-6	vs DAL (1583): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): W 17-15: 1466+35→1501
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1583): Underdog
16 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1484 (-32)	7-5	vs SF (1478): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): L 22-41: 1516-32→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1478): Favorite
17 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1478 (-31)	6-6	at CIN (1484): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1399): L 23-30: 1509-31→1478
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1484): Underdog
18 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1478 (-30)	5-7	at NYJ (1292): Fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): L 17-27: 1508-30→1478
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1292): Favorite
19 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+24)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1425): W 20-9: 1449+24→1473
next: (bye)
20 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (-36)	6-6	at KC (1671): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): L 15-17: 1506-36→1470
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1671): Underdog
21 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1470 (-35)	5-7	vs PIT (1540): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1223): L 27-29: 1505-35→1470
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1540): Tossup
22 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1444 (-14)	6-6	vs DET (1258): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1656): L 9-22: 1458-14→1444
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1258): Favorite
23 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1437 (+28)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1320): W 33-18: 1409+28→1437
next: (bye)
24 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1430 (+31)	4-8	at HOU (1255): Fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1509): W 30-23: 1399+31→1430
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1255): Favorite
25 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1425 (-22)	5-7	at CAR (1380): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): L 17-30: 1447-22→1425
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1380): Underdog
26 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1416 (-22)	4-8	at GB (1724): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1645): L 22-33: 1438-22→1416
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1724): Underdog
27 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1401 (-24)	4-8	at LAC (1544): 'Dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1449): L 9-20: 1425-24→1401
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): Underdog
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1380	5-7	vs ATL (1425): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1425): Favorite
29	New York JetsNYJ	1292 (-28)	3-9	vs NO (1478): 'Dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1409): L 18-33: 1320-28→1292
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): Underdog
30 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1258 (+35)	1-10-1	at DEN (1444): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 29-27: 1223+35→1258
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1444): Underdog
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1255 (-20)	2-10	vs SEA (1430): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): L 0-31: 1275-20→1255
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1430): Underdog
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1230 (-11)	2-10	at TEN (1647): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): L 7-37: 1241-11→1230
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1647): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1724 (+22)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1610): W 36-28: 1702+22→1724
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1680 (+20)	8-3	at PIT (1508): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): W 16-10: 1660+20→1680
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Favorite
3 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1671 (+29)	8-3	at ATL (1447): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1580): W 38-31: 1642+29→1671
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): Favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1656	7-4	vs DEN (1458): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1458): Favorite
5 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1647 (-27)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1587): L 13-36: 1674-27→1647
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1645	9-2	at CHI (1438): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1438): Favorite
7	Buffalo BillsBUF	1642 (+27)	7-4	vs NE (1614): Fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1536): W 31-6: 1615+27→1642
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1614): Favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1614 (+27)	8-4	at BUF (1642): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1674): W 36-13: 1587+27→1614
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1642): Underdog
9 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1587 (-23)	7-4	vs JAX (1241): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1702): L 28-36: 1610-23→1587
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1241): Favorite
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1554 (-36)	7-4	at NO (1508): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): L 33-36(OT): 1590-36→1554
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Underdog
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (-29)	6-6	at HOU (1275): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): L 31-38: 1580-29→1551
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1275): Favorite
12	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1536 (-20)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1660): L 10-16: 1556-20→1536
next: (bye)
13 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1516 (+26)	7-4	vs LAC (1512): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): W 41-10: 1490+26→1516
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Favorite
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-27)	6-5	at CIN (1516): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): L 13-28: 1539-27→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): Underdog
15 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1509 (+27)	6-5	at SEA (1399): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): W 34-26: 1482+27→1509
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1399): Favorite
16 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (-28)	5-6	vs DAL (1554): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1615): L 6-31: 1536-28→1508
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): Favorite
17 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (-26)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1680): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): L 10-41: 1534-26→1508
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1680): Underdog
18 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1506 (+37)	6-5	vs WAS (1466): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): W 36-33(OT): 1469+37→1506
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): Favorite
19 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-27)	5-6	at DET (1223): Fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1482): L 26-34: 1532-27→1505
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1223): Favorite
20	Washington Football TeamWAS	1466 (+24)	5-6	at LV (1506): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1423): W 17-15: 1442+24→1466
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): Underdog
21 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1458 (+27)	6-5	at KC (1656): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): W 28-13: 1431+27→1458
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1656): Underdog
22 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1449 (+23)	5-7	vs NYG (1425): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): W 33-10: 1426+23→1449
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1425): Favorite
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1447 (+23)	5-6	vs TB (1671): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1264): W 21-14: 1424+23→1447
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): Underdog
24 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1438 (+25)	4-7	vs ARI (1645): 'Dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1247): W 16-14: 1413+25→1438
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1645): Underdog
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1425 (+27)	4-7	at MIA (1449): 'Dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1436): W 13-7: 1398+27→1425
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1449): Underdog
26 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1409 (-27)	5-7	at NYJ (1320): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1398): L 7-13: 1436-27→1409
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1320): Favorite
27 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1399 (-24)	3-8	vs SF (1509): 'Dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): L 15-17: 1423-24→1399
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1509): Underdog
28 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1380 (-23)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): L 10-33: 1403-23→1380
next: (bye)
29 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1320 (+32)	3-8	vs PHI (1409): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1307): W 21-14: 1288+32→1320
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1409): Underdog
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1275 (-32)	2-9	vs IND (1551): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1288): L 14-21: 1307-32→1275
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Underdog
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1241 (-23)	2-9	at LAR (1587): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1424): L 14-21: 1264-23→1241
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1587): Underdog
32	Detroit LionsDET	1223 (-24)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1505): 'Dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1413): L 14-16: 1247-24→1223
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1702 (-33)	8-3	vs LAR (1610): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 31-34: 1735-33→1702
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1610): Favorite
2	Tennessee TitansTEN	1674 (-45)	8-3	at NE (1587): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1262): L 13-22: 1719-45→1674
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1587): Underdog
3 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1660 (+23)	7-3	vs CLE (1556): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1437): W 16-13: 1637+23→1660
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): Favorite
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1656 (+23)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): W 19-9: 1633+23→1656
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1645 (+24)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1447): W 23-13: 1621+24→1645
next: (bye)
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1642 (+18)	7-3	at IND (1580): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1415): W 30-10: 1624+18→1642
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1580): Underdog
7 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1615 (-35)	6-4	at NO (1536): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1545): L 15-41: 1650-35→1615
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1536): Tossup
8 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1610	7-3	at GB (1702): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1702): Underdog
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1590 (-24)	7-3	vs LV (1469): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): L 9-19: 1614-24→1590
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1469): Favorite
10 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1587 (+26)	7-4	vs TEN (1674): Fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): W 25-0: 1561+26→1587
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1674): Favorite
11 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1580 (+35)	6-5	vs TB (1642): Fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): W 41-15: 1545+35→1580
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1642): Favorite
12 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1556 (+13)	6-5	at BAL (1660): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1260): W 13-10: 1543+13→1556
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1660): Underdog
13 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1539 (+26)	6-4	at DEN (1431): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): W 41-37: 1513+26→1539
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): Underdog
14 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1536 (-30)	5-5	vs BUF (1615): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1405): L 29-40: 1566-30→1536
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1615): Tossup
15 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1534 (-26)	5-4-1	at CIN (1490): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): L 37-41: 1560-26→1534
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Underdog
16 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1532 (+34)	5-5	at SF (1482): 'Dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1735): W 34-31: 1498+34→1532
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1482): Underdog
17 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (+31)	6-4	vs PIT (1534): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): W 32-13: 1459+31→1490
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1534): Favorite
18 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1482 (+24)	5-5	vs MIN (1532): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1288): W 30-10: 1458+24→1482
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1532): Favorite
19 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1469 (-31)	5-5	at DAL (1590): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1459): L 13-32: 1500-31→1469
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1590): Underdog
20 (+6)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1442 (+32)	4-6	vs SEA (1423): Fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): W 27-21: 1410+32→1442
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1423): Favorite
21 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1436 (+31)	5-6	at NYG (1398): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1566): W 40-29: 1405+31→1436
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1398): Underdog
22 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1431	5-5	vs LAC (1539): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1539): Favorite
23 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1426 (+26)	4-7	vs CAR (1403): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1313): W 24-17: 1400+26→1426
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1403): Favorite
24 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1424 (-26)	4-6	at JAX (1264): Fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): L 0-25: 1450-26→1424
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1264): Favorite
25 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1423 (-24)	3-7	at WAS (1442): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1621): L 13-23: 1447-24→1423
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): Underdog
26 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1413 (-24)	3-7	at DET (1247): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1637): L 13-16: 1437-24→1413
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1247): Favorite
27 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1403 (-32)	5-6	at MIA (1426): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1410): L 21-27: 1435-32→1403
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): Underdog
28 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1398 (-17)	3-7	vs PHI (1436): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1624): L 10-30: 1415-17→1398
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1436): Favorite
29 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1307 (+45)	2-8	vs NYJ (1288): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1719): W 22-13: 1262+45→1307
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1288): Favorite
30 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1288 (-25)	2-8	at HOU (1307): 'Dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1400): L 17-24: 1313-25→1288
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1307): Underdog
31 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1264 (-24)	2-8	vs ATL (1424): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1458): L 10-30: 1288-24→1264
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1424): Underdog
32	Detroit LionsDET	1247 (-13)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1413): 'Dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1543): L 10-13: 1260-13→1247
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1413): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1735 (+16)	8-2	at MIN (1498): Fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1463): W 17-0: 1719+16→1735
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Favorite
2	Tennessee TitansTEN	1719 (+20)	8-2	vs HOU (1262): Fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): W 23-21: 1699+20→1719
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1262): Favorite
3 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1650 (+21)	6-3	vs IND (1545): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1334): W 45-17: 1629+21→1650
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1545): Favorite
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1637 (-37)	6-3	at CHI (1437): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1362): L 10-22: 1674-37→1637
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1437): Favorite
5 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1633 (+28)	6-4	vs DAL (1614): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1528): W 41-14: 1605+28→1633
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1614): Favorite
6 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1624 (-37)	6-3	vs NYG (1415): Fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1374): L 19-29: 1661-37→1624
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1415): Favorite
7 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1621 (-43)	8-2	at SEA (1447): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1392): L 10-34: 1664-43→1621
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1447): Favorite
8 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1614 (+20)	7-2	at KC (1633): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): W 43-3: 1594+20→1614
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1633): Underdog
9 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1610 (-34)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1424): L 10-31: 1644-34→1610
next: (bye)
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1566 (-20)	5-4	at PHI (1405): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1699): L 21-23: 1586-20→1566
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1405): Favorite
11 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1561 (+26)	6-4	at ATL (1450): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1569): W 45-7: 1535+26→1561
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Favorite
12 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1560 (-14)	5-3-1	at LAC (1513): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1246): T 16-16(OT): 1574-14→1560
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Underdog
13 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1545 (+13)	5-5	at BUF (1650): 'Dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1302): W 23-17: 1532+13→1545
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1650): Underdog
14 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1543 (-26)	5-5	vs DET (1260): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): L 7-45: 1569-26→1543
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1260): Favorite
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (-35)	5-4	vs PIT (1560): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1463): L 20-27: 1548-35→1513
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1560): Favorite
16	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500 (-28)	5-4	vs CIN (1459): Fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): L 14-41: 1528-28→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1459): Favorite
17 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (+35)	4-5	vs GB (1735): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1548): W 27-20: 1463+35→1498
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1735): Underdog
18 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1459	5-4	at LV (1500): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Underdog
19 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1458 (+34)	4-5	at JAX (1288): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1644): W 31-10: 1424+34→1458
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1288): Favorite
20 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (-19)	4-5	vs NE (1561): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1594): L 3-43: 1469-19→1450
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): Underdog
21 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1447 (-16)	3-6	vs ARI (1621): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1719): L 0-17: 1463-16→1447
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1621): Underdog
22	Chicago BearsCHI	1437	3-6	vs BAL (1637): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1637): Underdog
23 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1435 (+43)	5-5	vs WAS (1410): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1664): W 34-10: 1392+43→1435
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1410): Favorite
24 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1431 (-35)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1370): L 13-30: 1466-35→1431
next: (bye)
25 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1415	3-6	at TB (1624): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1624): Underdog
26	Washington Football TeamWAS	1410 (+36)	3-6	at CAR (1435): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): W 29-19: 1374+36→1410
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1435): Underdog
27	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1405 (+35)	4-6	vs NO (1566): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1466): W 30-13: 1370+35→1405
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1566): Underdog
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1400 (+38)	3-7	at NYJ (1313): Fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1674): W 22-10: 1362+38→1400
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1313): Favorite
29	New York JetsNYJ	1313 (-21)	2-7	vs MIA (1400): 'Dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1629): L 17-45: 1334-21→1313
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1400): Underdog
30	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1288 (-14)	2-7	vs SF (1458): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): L 17-23: 1302-14→1288
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1458): Underdog
31	Houston TexansHOU	1262	1-8	at TEN (1719): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1719): Underdog
32	Detroit LionsDET	1260 (+14)	0-8-1	at CLE (1543): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1574): T 16-16(OT): 1246+14→1260
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1543): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1719 (-37)	7-2	vs SEA (1463): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 7-13: 1756-37→1719
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1463): Favorite
2 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1699 (+33)	7-2	vs NO (1586): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1677): W 28-16: 1666+33→1699
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): Favorite
3 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1674 (+15)	6-2	at MIA (1362): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): W 34-31(OT): 1659+15→1674
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1362): Favorite
4 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1664 (+22)	8-1	vs CAR (1392): Fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1446): W 31-17: 1642+22→1664
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1392): Favorite
5	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1661	6-2	at WAS (1374): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1374): Favorite
6 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1644 (-33)	7-2	at SF (1424): Fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1666): L 16-28: 1677-33→1644
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1424): Favorite
7 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1629 (-44)	5-3	at NYJ (1334): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1258): L 6-9: 1673-44→1629
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1334): Favorite
8 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1605 (+37)	5-4	at LV (1528): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1756): W 13-7: 1568+37→1605
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1528): Tossup
9 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1594 (-44)	6-2	vs ATL (1469): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1423): L 16-30: 1638-44→1594
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): Favorite
10 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1586 (-43)	5-3	at TEN (1699): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): L 25-27: 1629-43→1586
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1699): Underdog
11 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1574 (+21)	5-3	vs DET (1246): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1458): W 29-27: 1553+21→1574
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1246): Favorite
12 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1569 (+31)	5-4	at NE (1535): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): W 41-16: 1538+31→1569
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): Underdog
13 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1548 (+27)	5-3	vs MIN (1463): Fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1397): W 27-24: 1521+27→1548
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1463): Favorite
14 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1535 (+29)	5-4	vs CLE (1569): Fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1421): W 24-6: 1506+29→1535
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1569): Favorite
15	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532 (+18)	4-5	vs JAX (1302): Fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1352): W 45-30: 1514+18→1532
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1302): Favorite
16 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1528 (-37)	5-3	vs KC (1605): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1378): L 16-23: 1565-37→1528
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1605): Tossup
17 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1469 (+42)	4-4	at DAL (1594): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1629): W 27-25: 1427+42→1469
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1594): Underdog
18 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1466 (+43)	5-4	vs PHI (1370): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): W 30-16: 1423+43→1466
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1370): Favorite
19 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1463 (-16)	3-5	at LAC (1548): 'Dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): L 31-34(OT): 1479-16→1463
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1548): Underdog
20 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1463	3-5	at GB (1719): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1719): Underdog
21 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1459 (-31)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): L 16-41: 1490-31→1459
next: (bye)
22 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1437 (-21)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): L 27-29: 1458-21→1437
next: (bye)
23 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1424 (-22)	3-5	vs LAR (1644): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): L 17-31: 1446-22→1424
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1644): Underdog
24 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1415 (+37)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1565): W 23-16: 1378+37→1415
next: (bye)
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1392 (-29)	4-5	at ARI (1664): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1506): L 6-24: 1421-29→1392
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1664): Underdog
26 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1374	2-6	vs TB (1661): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1661): Underdog
27 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1370 (-27)	3-6	at DEN (1466): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): L 24-27: 1397-27→1370
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1466): Underdog
28 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1362 (+23)	2-7	vs BAL (1674): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1286): W 17-9: 1339+23→1362
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1674): Underdog
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1334 (-18)	2-6	vs BUF (1629): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): L 30-45: 1352-18→1334
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1629): Underdog
30 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1302 (+44)	2-6	at IND (1532): 'Dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1673): W 9-6: 1258+44→1302
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): Underdog
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1262 (-24)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1339): L 9-17: 1286-24→1262
next: (bye)
32	Detroit LionsDET	1246	0-8	at PIT (1574): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1574): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1756 (+31)	7-1	at KC (1568): Fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1673): W 24-21: 1725+31→1756
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Favorite
2 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1677 (+17)	7-1	vs TEN (1666): Fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1303): W 38-22: 1660+17→1677
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1666): Favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1673 (+10)	5-2	at JAX (1258): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1348): W 26-11: 1663+10→1673
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1258): Favorite
4 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1666 (+29)	6-2	at LAR (1677): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): W 34-31(OT): 1637+29→1666
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1677): Underdog
5 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1661 (-33)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1595): L 27-36: 1694-33→1661
next: (bye)
6	Baltimore RavensBAL	1659	5-2	vs MIN (1479): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Favorite
7 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1642 (-31)	7-1	at SF (1446): Fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1725): L 21-24: 1673-31→1642
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1446): Favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1638 (+30)	6-1	vs DEN (1423): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 20-16: 1608+30→1638
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1423): Favorite
9	New Orleans SaintsNO	1629 (+34)	5-2	vs ATL (1427): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1694): W 36-27: 1595+34→1629
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): Favorite
10 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (+19)	4-4	vs GB (1756): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1397): W 20-17: 1549+19→1568
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1756): Underdog
11	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1565	5-2	at NYG (1378): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1378): Favorite
12 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1553 (+37)	4-3	vs CHI (1458): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1575): W 15-10: 1516+37→1553
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1458): Favorite
13 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538 (-37)	4-4	at CIN (1490): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): L 10-15: 1575-37→1538
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1490): Underdog
14 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (-42)	4-3	at PHI (1397): Fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1464): L 24-27: 1563-42→1521
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1397): Favorite
15 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1514 (-29)	3-5	vs NYJ (1352): Fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1637): L 31-34(OT): 1543-29→1514
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1352): Favorite
16 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1506 (+42)	4-4	at CAR (1421): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1563): W 27-24: 1464+42→1506
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1421): Favorite
17 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1490 (-38)	5-3	vs CLE (1538): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1314): L 31-34: 1528-38→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Favorite
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479 (-29)	3-4	at BAL (1659): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): L 16-20: 1508-29→1479
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1659): Underdog
19 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1463 (+22)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1280): W 31-7: 1441+22→1463
next: (bye)
20 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1458 (-40)	3-5	at PIT (1553): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1406): L 22-33: 1498-40→1458
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1553): Underdog
21 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1446 (+40)	3-4	vs ARI (1642): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1498): W 33-22: 1406+40→1446
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1642): Underdog
22 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1427 (-39)	3-4	at NO (1629): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1382): L 13-19: 1466-39→1427
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1629): Underdog
23 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1423 (+26)	4-4	at DAL (1638): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1400): W 17-10: 1397+26→1423
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1638): Underdog
24 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1421 (+39)	4-4	vs NE (1506): 'Dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): W 19-13: 1382+39→1421
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1506): Underdog
25 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1397 (+30)	3-5	vs LAC (1521): 'Dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1275): W 44-6: 1367+30→1397
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Underdog
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1378 (-19)	2-6	vs LV (1565): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): L 17-20: 1397-19→1378
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1565): Underdog
27 (-4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1374 (-26)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1397): L 10-17: 1400-26→1374
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1352 (+38)	2-5	at IND (1514): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): W 34-31: 1314+38→1352
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): Underdog
29 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1339 (-9)	1-7	vs HOU (1286): Fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1663): L 11-26: 1348-9→1339
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1286): Favorite
30	Houston TexansHOU	1286 (-17)	1-7	at MIA (1339): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1660): L 22-38: 1303-17→1286
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1339): Underdog
31	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1258 (-22)	1-6	vs BUF (1673): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1441): L 7-31: 1280-22→1258
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1673): Underdog
32	Detroit LionsDET	1246 (-29)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1367): L 6-44: 1275-29→1246
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Green Bay PackersGB	1725 (+12)	6-1	at ARI (1673): 'Dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1411): W 24-10: 1713+12→1725
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1673): Underdog
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1694 (+17)	6-1	at NO (1595): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1515): W 38-3: 1677+17→1694
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1595): Favorite
3 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1673 (+9)	7-0	vs GB (1725): Fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1312): W 31-5: 1664+9→1673
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1725): Favorite
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663	4-2	vs MIA (1348): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1348): Favorite
5 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1660 (+9)	6-1	at HOU (1303): Fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1284): W 28-19: 1651+9→1660
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1303): Favorite
6 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1659 (-50)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1479): L 17-41: 1709-50→1659
next: (bye)
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1637 (+28)	5-2	at IND (1543): Fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): W 27-3: 1609+28→1637
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1608	5-1	at MIN (1508): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Favorite
9 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1595 (+28)	4-2	vs TB (1694): 'Dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1470): W 13-10: 1567+28→1595
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1694): Underdog
10 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1575 (+20)	4-3	vs PIT (1516): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1418): W 17-14: 1555+20→1575
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): Favorite
11 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1565 (+21)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1388): W 33-22: 1544+21→1565
next: (bye)
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1563	4-2	vs NE (1464): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1464): Favorite
13 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1549 (-27)	3-4	vs NYG (1397): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1609): L 3-27: 1576-27→1549
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1397): Favorite
14 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (+34)	3-4	vs TEN (1637): 'Dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1441): W 30-18: 1509+34→1543
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1637): Underdog
15 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (+49)	5-2	at NYJ (1314): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1709): W 41-17: 1479+49→1528
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1314): Favorite
16 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1516	3-3	at CLE (1575): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1575): Underdog
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508	3-3	vs DAL (1608): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1608): Underdog
18 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1498 (-17)	3-4	vs SF (1406): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1677): L 3-38: 1515-17→1498
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1406): Favorite
19 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (+30)	3-3	vs CAR (1382): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1379): W 30-28: 1436+30→1466
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1382): Favorite
20 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1464 (+25)	3-4	at LAC (1563): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1338): W 54-13: 1439+25→1464
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1563): Underdog
21 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1441 (-29)	2-5	vs JAX (1280): Fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1567): L 10-13: 1470-29→1441
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1280): Favorite
22 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1406 (-35)	2-4	at CHI (1498): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): L 18-30: 1441-35→1406
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1498): Underdog
23 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1400 (-11)	2-5	at DEN (1397): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1713): L 10-24: 1411-11→1400
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1397): Underdog
24 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1397 (-21)	3-4	vs WAS (1400): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1555): L 14-17: 1418-21→1397
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1400): Favorite
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1397 (+32)	2-5	at KC (1549): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): W 25-3: 1365+32→1397
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): Underdog
26 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1382 (-31)	3-4	at ATL (1466): 'Dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): L 3-25: 1413-31→1382
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Underdog
27 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1367 (-21)	2-5	at DET (1275): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1544): L 22-33: 1388-21→1367
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1275): Favorite
28 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1348 (-31)	1-6	at BUF (1663): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): L 28-30: 1379-31→1348
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1663): Underdog
29	New York JetsNYJ	1314 (-24)	1-5	vs CIN (1528): 'Dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1439): L 13-54: 1338-24→1314
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1303 (-9)	1-6	vs LAR (1660): 'Dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1664): L 5-31: 1312-9→1303
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1660): Underdog
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1280	1-5	at SEA (1441): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1441): Underdog
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1275 (-9)	0-7	vs PHI (1367): 'Dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): L 19-28: 1284-9→1275
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1367): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1713 (+29)	5-1	vs WAS (1411): Fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1543): W 24-14: 1684+29→1713
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1411): Favorite
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1709 (+24)	5-1	vs CIN (1479): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1587): W 34-6: 1685+24→1709
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1479): Favorite
3 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1677 (+23)	5-1	vs CHI (1515): Fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1410): W 28-22: 1654+23→1677
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1515): Favorite
4 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1664 (+35)	6-0	vs HOU (1312): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1590): W 37-14: 1629+35→1664
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1312): Favorite
5 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1663 (-39)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1571): L 31-34: 1702-39→1663
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1651 (+21)	5-1	vs DET (1284): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1386): W 38-11: 1630+21→1651
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1284): Favorite
7 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1609 (+38)	4-2	vs KC (1576): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1702): W 34-31: 1571+38→1609
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1576): Favorite
8 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1608 (+30)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1470): W 35-29(OT): 1578+30→1608
next: (bye)
9 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1576 (+31)	3-3	at TEN (1609): 'Dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): W 31-13: 1545+31→1576
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1609): Underdog
10 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1567	3-2	at SEA (1470): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1470): Favorite
11 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1563 (-24)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1685): L 6-34: 1587-24→1563
next: (bye)
12 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1555 (-35)	3-3	vs DEN (1418): Fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1629): L 14-37: 1590-35→1555
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1418): Favorite
13 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1544 (+34)	4-2	vs PHI (1388): Fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1451): W 34-24: 1510+34→1544
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1388): Favorite
14 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1516 (+33)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 23-20(OT): 1483+33→1516
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1515 (-28)	3-3	at TB (1677): 'Dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1684): L 14-24: 1543-28→1515
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1677): Underdog
16	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1509 (+20)	2-4	at SF (1441): 'Dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1332): W 31-3: 1489+20→1509
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1441): Underdog
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (+37)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): W 34-28(OT): 1471+37→1508
next: (bye)
18 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1479 (+29)	4-2	at BAL (1709): 'Dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1313): W 34-11: 1450+29→1479
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1709): Underdog
19 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1470 (-33)	2-4	vs NO (1567): 'Dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 20-23(OT): 1503-33→1470
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1567): Underdog
20 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1441	2-3	vs IND (1509): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1509): Favorite
21 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1439 (-31)	2-4	vs NYJ (1338): Fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1578): L 29-35(OT): 1470-31→1439
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1338): Favorite
22 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436	2-3	at MIA (1379): Fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1379): Favorite
23 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1418 (-33)	3-3	at CLE (1555): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): L 24-34: 1451-33→1418
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1555): Underdog
24 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1413 (-37)	3-3	at NYG (1365): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): L 28-34(OT): 1450-37→1413
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): Underdog
25 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1411 (-31)	2-4	at GB (1713): 'Dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): L 13-31: 1442-31→1411
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1713): Underdog
26 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1388 (-22)	2-4	at LV (1544): 'Dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1654): L 22-28: 1410-22→1388
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1544): Underdog
27 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1379 (-46)	1-5	vs ATL (1436): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1233): L 20-23: 1425-46→1379
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1365 (-21)	1-5	vs CAR (1413): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1630): L 11-38: 1386-21→1365
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1413): Favorite
29	New York JetsNYJ	1338	1-4	at NE (1439): 'Dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1439): Underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1312 (-20)	1-5	at ARI (1664): 'Dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): L 3-31: 1332-20→1312
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1664): Underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1284 (-29)	0-6	at LAR (1651): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): L 11-34: 1313-29→1284
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1651): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1280 (+47)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): W 23-20: 1233+47→1280
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1702 (+33)	4-1	at TEN (1571): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): W 38-20: 1669+33→1702
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1571): Favorite
2	Baltimore RavensBAL	1685 (+20)	4-1	vs LAC (1587): Fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): W 31-25(OT): 1665+20→1685
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1587): Favorite
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1684 (+28)	4-1	at CHI (1543): Fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1478): W 25-22(OT): 1656+28→1684
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1543): Favorite
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1654 (+17)	4-1	at PHI (1410): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): W 45-17: 1637+17→1654
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1410): Favorite
5 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1630 (+35)	4-1	at NYG (1386): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1538): W 26-17: 1595+35→1630
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1386): Favorite
6	Arizona CardinalsARI	1629 (+21)	5-0	at CLE (1590): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1461): W 17-10: 1608+21→1629
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1590): Underdog
7 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1590 (-39)	3-2	vs ARI (1629): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): L 42-47: 1629-39→1590
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1629): Favorite
8 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1587 (+38)	4-1	at BAL (1685): 'Dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1629): W 47-42: 1549+38→1587
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1685): Underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1578 (+20)	4-1	at NE (1470): Fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1406): W 44-20: 1558+20→1578
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1470): Favorite
10 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1571 (+22)	3-2	vs BUF (1702): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1255): W 37-19: 1549+22→1571
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1702): Underdog
11 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1567 (+36)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): W 33-22: 1531+36→1567
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545 (-33)	2-3	at WAS (1442): Fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1669): L 20-38: 1578-33→1545
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): Favorite
13 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1543 (+43)	3-2	vs GB (1684): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1554): W 20-9: 1500+43→1543
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1684): Underdog
14 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1510 (-44)	3-2	at DEN (1451): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): L 9-20: 1554-44→1510
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1451): Tossup
15 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (-35)	2-3	at PIT (1483): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1595): L 17-26: 1538-35→1503
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Underdog
16 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (-19)	1-4	vs HOU (1332): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1665): L 25-31(OT): 1508-19→1489
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1332): Favorite
17 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (+34)	2-3	vs SEA (1503): Fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1486): W 27-19: 1449+34→1483
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Favorite
18 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1471 (+22)	2-3	at CAR (1450): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1336): W 19-17: 1449+22→1471
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1450): Underdog
19 (+6)	New England PatriotsNE	1470 (+35)	2-3	vs DAL (1578): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1367): W 25-22: 1435+35→1470
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1578): Underdog
20 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1451 (-35)	3-2	vs LV (1510): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): L 19-27: 1486-35→1451
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): Tossup
21 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1450 (-28)	3-2	at DET (1313): Fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1656): L 22-25(OT): 1478-28→1450
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1313): Favorite
22 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1450 (-50)	3-2	vs MIN (1471): Fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1360): L 18-21: 1500-50→1450
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1471): Favorite
23 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1442 (-36)	2-3	vs KC (1545): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): L 22-33: 1478-36→1442
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Underdog
24 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1441 (-20)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1608): L 10-17: 1461-20→1441
next: (bye)
25 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (+34)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1372): W 27-20: 1402+34→1436
next: (bye)
26 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1425 (-17)	1-4	at JAX (1233): Fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1637): L 17-45: 1442-17→1425
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1233): Favorite
27 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1410 (+50)	2-3	vs TB (1654): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 21-18: 1360+50→1410
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1654): Underdog
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1386 (-20)	1-4	vs LAR (1630): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): L 20-44: 1406-20→1386
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1630): Underdog
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1338 (-34)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1402): L 20-27: 1372-34→1338
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1332 (-35)	1-4	at IND (1489): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): L 22-25: 1367-35→1332
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): Underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1313 (-23)	0-5	vs CIN (1450): 'Dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1449): L 17-19: 1336-23→1313
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1450): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1233 (-22)	0-5	at MIA (1425): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): L 19-37: 1255-22→1233
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1425): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1669 (+14)	3-1	at KC (1578): Fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1381): W 40-0: 1655+14→1669
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1578): Favorite
2 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1665 (+32)	3-1	vs IND (1508): Fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1518): W 23-7: 1633+32→1665
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Favorite
3	Green Bay PackersGB	1656 (+19)	3-1	at CIN (1478): Fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): W 27-17: 1637+19→1656
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1478): Favorite
4 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1637 (+30)	3-1	vs MIA (1442): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1465): W 19-17: 1607+30→1637
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1442): Favorite
5 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1629 (+32)	3-1	at LAC (1549): Fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): W 14-7: 1597+32→1629
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): Favorite
6 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1608 (+49)	4-0	vs SF (1461): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1644): W 37-20: 1559+49→1608
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1461): Favorite
7 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1595 (-49)	3-1	at SEA (1538): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1559): L 20-37: 1644-49→1595
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1538): Tossup
8 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1578 (+27)	2-2	vs BUF (1669): 'Dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1387): W 42-30: 1551+27→1578
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1669): Underdog
9 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1558 (+37)	3-1	vs NYG (1406): Fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1538): W 36-28: 1521+37→1558
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1406): Favorite
10 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1554 (-40)	3-1	vs CHI (1500): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 14-28: 1594-40→1554
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Favorite
11 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549 (-56)	2-2	at JAX (1255): Fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): L 24-27(OT): 1605-56→1549
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1255): Favorite
12 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1549 (+41)	3-1	vs CLE (1629): 'Dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1594): W 28-14: 1508+41→1549
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1629): Underdog
13 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1538 (+42)	2-2	vs LAR (1595): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): W 28-21: 1496+42→1538
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1595): Tossup
14 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1531 (-62)	2-2	at WAS (1478): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1344): L 21-27(OT): 1593-62→1531
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): Tossup
15 (+8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (+44)	1-3	at BAL (1665): 'Dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): W 27-17: 1464+44→1508
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1665): Underdog
16 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500 (-38)	3-1	vs PHI (1360): Fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1521): L 28-36: 1538-38→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1360): Favorite
17 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1500 (+23)	2-2	at LV (1554): 'Dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1359): W 24-14: 1477+23→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1554): Underdog
18 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1486 (-32)	3-1	at PIT (1449): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1633): L 7-23: 1518-32→1486
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): Underdog
19 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1478 (+17)	3-1	vs GB (1656): 'Dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1272): W 24-21: 1461+17→1478
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1656): Underdog
20 (+6)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1478 (+43)	2-2	vs NO (1531): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): W 34-30: 1435+43→1478
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1531): Tossup
21 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1461 (-43)	2-2	at ARI (1608): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 21-28: 1504-43→1461
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1608): Underdog
22 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1449 (-19)	1-3	vs DEN (1486): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1637): L 17-27: 1468-19→1449
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1486): Favorite
23 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1449 (-32)	1-3	vs DET (1336): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1597): L 7-14: 1481-32→1449
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1336): Favorite
24 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1442 (-44)	1-3	at TB (1637): 'Dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): L 17-27: 1486-44→1442
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1637): Underdog
25 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1435 (-30)	1-3	at HOU (1367): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1607): L 17-19: 1465-30→1435
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1367): Favorite
26 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1406 (+62)	1-3	at DAL (1558): 'Dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1593): W 27-21(OT): 1344+62→1406
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): Underdog
27 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1402 (-43)	1-3	at NYJ (1372): Fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1435): L 30-34: 1445-43→1402
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1372): Favorite
28 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1372 (+56)	1-3	at ATL (1402): 'Dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1605): W 27-24(OT): 1316+56→1372
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1402): Underdog
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1367 (-14)	1-3	vs NE (1435): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1655): L 0-40: 1381-14→1367
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1435): Underdog
30 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1360 (-27)	1-3	at CAR (1500): 'Dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): L 30-42: 1387-27→1360
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Underdog
31 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1336 (-23)	0-4	at MIN (1449): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): L 14-24: 1359-23→1336
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1449): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1255 (-17)	0-4	vs TEN (1549): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1461): L 21-24: 1272-17→1255
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1655 (+19)	2-1	vs HOU (1381): Fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1455): W 43-21: 1636+19→1655
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1381): Favorite
2 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1644 (+39)	3-0	vs ARI (1559): Fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1646): W 34-24: 1605+39→1644
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1559): Favorite
3 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1637 (+40)	2-1	vs PIT (1468): Fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): W 30-28: 1597+40→1637
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Favorite
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1633 (+22)	2-1	at DEN (1518): Fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1381): W 19-17: 1611+22→1633
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1518): Favorite
5 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1607 (-39)	2-1	at NE (1465): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): L 24-34: 1646-39→1607
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1465): Favorite
6 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1605 (+26)	2-1	at NYJ (1316): Fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 25-16: 1579+26→1605
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1316): Favorite
7 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1597 (+29)	2-1	at MIN (1481): Fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1505): W 26-6: 1568+29→1597
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1481): Favorite
8 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1594 (+29)	3-0	at LAC (1508): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): W 31-28(OT): 1565+29→1594
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Favorite
9 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1593 (+39)	2-1	vs NYG (1344): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1504): W 28-13: 1554+39→1593
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1344): Favorite
10 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1559 (+23)	3-0	at LAR (1644): 'Dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1295): W 31-19: 1536+23→1559
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1644): Underdog
11 (-7)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1551 (-59)	1-2	at PHI (1387): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1449): L 24-30: 1610-59→1551
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1387): Favorite
12 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1538 (+36)	3-0	at DAL (1521): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1416): W 24-9: 1502+36→1538
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1521): Tossup
13 (+7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1521 (+27)	2-1	vs CAR (1538): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1414): W 41-21: 1494+27→1521
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1538): Tossup
14 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1518 (+19)	3-0	vs BAL (1633): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1336): W 26-0: 1499+19→1518
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1633): Underdog
15 (+8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+59)	2-1	vs LV (1594): 'Dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1610): W 30-24: 1449+59→1508
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1594): Underdog
16 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1504 (-39)	2-1	vs SEA (1496): Fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1597): L 28-30: 1543-39→1504
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Favorite
17 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (-45)	1-2	at SF (1504): 'Dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1435): L 17-30: 1541-45→1496
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): Underdog
18 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486 (-30)	1-2	vs IND (1464): Fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1565): L 28-31(OT): 1516-30→1486
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): Favorite
19 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1481 (+46)	1-2	vs CLE (1597): 'Dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): W 30-17: 1435+46→1481
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1597): Underdog
20 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1477 (-28)	1-2	vs DET (1359): Fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1568): L 6-26: 1505-28→1477
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1359): Favorite
21 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (-55)	1-2	at GB (1637): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): L 10-24: 1523-55→1468
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1637): Underdog
22 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1465 (-39)	1-2	vs TB (1607): 'Dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1554): L 13-28: 1504-39→1465
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1607): Underdog
23 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1464 (-26)	0-3	at MIA (1486): 'Dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1579): L 16-25: 1490-26→1464
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Underdog
24 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1461 (+56)	2-1	vs JAX (1272): Fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): W 24-10: 1405+56→1461
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1272): Favorite
25 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1445 (+45)	1-2	vs WAS (1435): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1389): W 17-14: 1400+45→1445
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1435): Favorite
26 (-4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1435 (-20)	1-2	at ATL (1445): 'Dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1636): L 21-43: 1455-20→1435
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1445): Underdog
27 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1387 (-27)	1-2	vs KC (1551): 'Dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): L 21-41: 1414-27→1387
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): Underdog
28 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1381 (-35)	1-2	at BUF (1655): 'Dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): L 9-24: 1416-35→1381
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1655): Underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1359 (-22)	0-3	at CHI (1477): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): L 17-19: 1381-22→1359
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1477): Underdog
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1344 (-45)	0-3	at NO (1593): 'Dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): L 14-17: 1389-45→1344
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1593): Underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1316 (-20)	0-3	vs TEN (1605): 'Dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): L 0-26: 1336-20→1316
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1605): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1272 (-23)	0-3	at CIN (1461): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): L 19-31: 1295-23→1272
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1461): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1646 (+11)	2-0	at LAR (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): W 48-25: 1635+11→1646
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): Slight underdog
2 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1636 (+43)	1-1	vs WAS (1455): Fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1558): W 35-0: 1593+43→1636
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1455): Favorite
3 (+6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1611 (+49)	1-1	at DET (1381): Fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1658): W 36-35: 1562+49→1611
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1381): Favorite
4 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1610 (-48)	1-1	vs LAC (1449): Fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1562): L 35-36: 1658-48→1610
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1449): Favorite
5 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1605 (+42)	2-0	vs TB (1646): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): W 27-24: 1563+42→1605
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1646): Slight favorite
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1597 (+16)	1-1	at SF (1543): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1398): W 35-17: 1581+16→1597
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Tossup
7 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1579 (+55)	1-1	vs IND (1490): Fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): W 33-30(OT): 1524+55→1579
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Favorite
8 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1568 (+24)	1-1	vs CHI (1505): Fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1441): W 31-21: 1544+24→1568
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1505): Favorite
9 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1565 (+55)	2-0	vs MIA (1516): Fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1578): W 26-17: 1510+55→1565
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1516): Favorite
10 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1554 (-54)	1-1	at NE (1504): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): L 7-26: 1608-54→1554
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1504): Tossup
11 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (+41)	2-0	vs GB (1597): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1455): W 17-11: 1502+41→1543
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1597): Tossup
12 (-8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1541 (-54)	1-1	at MIN (1435): Fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1524): L 30-33(OT): 1595-54→1541
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1435): Favorite
13 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1536 (+32)	2-0	at JAX (1295): Fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): W 34-33: 1504+32→1536
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1295): Favorite
14 (-7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1523 (-55)	1-1	vs CIN (1405): Fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): L 17-26: 1578-55→1523
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): Favorite
15 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1516 (-42)	1-1	at LV (1565): 'Dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): L 0-35: 1558-42→1516
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1565): Underdog
16 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1505 (+32)	1-1	at CLE (1568): 'Dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1438): W 20-17: 1473+32→1505
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1568): Underdog
17 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1504 (+35)	1-1	vs NO (1554): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1371): W 25-6: 1469+35→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1554): Tossup
18 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1502 (+54)	2-0	at HOU (1416): Fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1608): W 26-7: 1448+54→1502
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1416): Favorite
19 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (+31)	2-0	vs NYJ (1336): Fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): W 23-13: 1468+31→1499
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1336): Favorite
20 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1494 (+51)	1-1	vs PHI (1414): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): W 20-17: 1443+51→1494
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1414): Favorite
21 (-9)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (-43)	0-2	at TEN (1579): 'Dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): L 24-27: 1533-43→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1579): Underdog
22 (+6)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1455 (+37)	1-1	at BUF (1636): 'Dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1426): W 30-29: 1418+37→1455
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1636): Underdog
23 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1449 (-50)	1-1	at KC (1610): 'Dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1443): L 17-20: 1499-50→1449
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1610): Underdog
24 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1435 (-32)	0-2	vs SEA (1541): 'Dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): L 33-34: 1467-32→1435
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1541): Underdog
25	Houston TexansHOU	1416 (-25)	1-1	vs CAR (1502): 'Dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1544): L 21-31: 1441-25→1416
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): Underdog
26 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1414 (-41)	1-1	at DAL (1494): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): L 11-17: 1455-41→1414
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): Underdog
27 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1405 (-33)	1-1	at PIT (1523): 'Dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1473): L 17-20: 1438-33→1405
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): Underdog
28 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1400 (-11)	0-2	at NYG (1389): 'Dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): L 25-48: 1411-11→1400
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1389): Underdog
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1389 (-37)	0-2	vs ATL (1400): Fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1418): L 29-30: 1426-37→1389
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1400): Favorite
30	Detroit LionsDET	1381 (-17)	0-2	vs BAL (1611): 'Dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1581): L 17-35: 1398-17→1381
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1611): Underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1336 (-35)	0-2	at DEN (1499): 'Dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1469): L 6-25: 1371-35→1336
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1295 (-30)	0-2	vs ARI (1536): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): L 13-23: 1325-30→1295
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1658 (+12)	1-0	at BAL (1562): Fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): W 33-29: 1646+12→1658
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1562): Favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1635 (+8)	1-0	vs ATL (1411): Fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): W 31-29: 1627+8→1635
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Favorite
3 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1608 (+22)	1-0	at CAR (1448): Fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): W 38-3: 1586+22→1608
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): Favorite
4 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1595 (+22)	1-0	vs TEN (1524): Fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): W 28-16: 1573+22→1595
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1524): Favorite
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1593 (-28)	0-1	at MIA (1558): 'Dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1550): L 16-23: 1621-28→1593
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1558): Underdog
6 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1581 (-22)	0-1	vs DET (1398): Fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): L 3-38: 1603-22→1581
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1398): Favorite
7 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1578 (+28)	1-0	vs LV (1510): Fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1621): W 23-16: 1550+28→1578
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): Favorite
8 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1563 (+15)	1-0	at IND (1533): 'Dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): W 34-14: 1548+15→1563
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1533): Underdog
9 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1562 (-25)	0-1	vs KC (1658): 'Dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): L 27-33(OT): 1587-25→1562
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1658): Underdog
10 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1558 (+20)	1-0	vs BUF (1593): Fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): W 17-16: 1538+20→1558
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): Favorite
11 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1544 (-12)	0-1	vs HOU (1441): Fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1646): L 29-33: 1556-12→1544
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1441): Favorite
12 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1533 (-22)	0-1	vs LAR (1563): Fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): L 16-28: 1555-22→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1563): Favorite
13 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1524 (-29)	0-1	at SEA (1595): 'Dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): L 13-38: 1553-29→1524
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): Underdog
14 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1510 (+25)	1-0	at PIT (1578): 'Dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): W 33-27(OT): 1485+25→1510
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1578): Underdog
15 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (+28)	1-0	vs MIN (1467): Fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1553): W 38-13: 1476+28→1504
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1467): Favorite
16 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502 (+19)	1-0	at PHI (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1417): W 41-33: 1483+19→1502
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1455): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (+20)	1-0	vs DAL (1443): Fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1438): W 20-16: 1479+20→1499
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1443): Favorite
18 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1473 (-14)	0-1	vs CIN (1438): Fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): L 14-34: 1487-14→1473
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1438): Favorite
19 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1469 (-20)	0-1	at NYJ (1371): Fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): L 16-17: 1489-20→1469
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1371): Favorite
20 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1468 (+23)	1-0	at JAX (1325): Fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): W 27-13: 1445+23→1468
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): Favorite
21 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1467 (-24)	0-1	at ARI (1504): 'Dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): L 24-27(OT): 1491-24→1467
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Underdog
22 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1455 (+24)	1-0	vs SF (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): W 32-6: 1431+24→1455
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448 (+15)	1-0	vs NO (1608): 'Dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1386): W 19-14: 1433+15→1448
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1608): Underdog
24 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1443 (-8)	0-1	at LAC (1499): 'Dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1627): L 29-31: 1451-8→1443
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Underdog
25 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1441 (+12)	1-0	at CLE (1544): 'Dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1337): W 37-21: 1429+12→1441
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1544): Underdog
26 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1438 (+24)	1-0	at CHI (1473): 'Dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): W 27-24(OT): 1414+24→1438
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1473): Underdog
27 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1426 (-24)	0-1	at WAS (1418): 'Dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1445): L 13-27: 1450-24→1426
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1418): Underdog
28 (-4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1418 (-20)	0-1	vs NYG (1426): Fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): L 16-20: 1438-20→1418
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1426): Favorite
29 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411 (-24)	0-1	at TB (1635): 'Dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1431): L 6-32: 1435-24→1411
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1635): Underdog
30 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1398 (-19)	0-1	at GB (1581): 'Dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1483): L 33-41: 1417-19→1398
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1581): Underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1371 (-15)	0-1	vs NE (1469): 'Dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): L 14-19: 1386-15→1371
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1469): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1325 (-12)	0-1	vs DEN (1468): 'Dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1429): L 21-37: 1337-12→1325
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1646	0-0	vs CLE (1556): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1809-163→1646
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1556): Favorite
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1627	0-0	vs DAL (1451): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1769-142→1627
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1451): Favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1621	0-0	vs PIT (1550): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1756-135→1621
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1550): Favorite
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1603	0-0	at NO (1586): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1717-114→1603
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1586): Favorite
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1587	0-0	at LV (1485): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1684-97→1587
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): Favorite
6	New Orleans SaintsNO	1586	0-0	at GB (1603): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1681-95→1586
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1603): Underdog
7	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1573	0-0	at IND (1555): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1655-82→1573
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): Underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1556	0-0	at KC (1646): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1619-63→1556
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1646): Underdog
9	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1555	0-0	vs SEA (1573): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1617-62→1555
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1573): Favorite
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1553	0-0	vs ARI (1476): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1611-58→1553
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1476): Favorite
11	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1550	0-0	at BUF (1621): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1607-57→1550
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1621): Underdog
12	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1548	0-0	vs CHI (1487): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1602-54→1548
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Favorite
13	Miami DolphinsMIA	1538	0-0	at NE (1489): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1581-43→1538
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): Favorite
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491	0-0	at CIN (1414): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1480+11→1491
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1414): Favorite
15	New England PatriotsNE	1489	0-0	vs MIA (1538): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1477+12→1489
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1538): Underdog
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1487	0-0	at LAR (1548): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1473+14→1487
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): Underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	0-0	vs BAL (1587): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1468+17→1485
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1587): Underdog
18	San Francisco 49ersSF	1483	0-0	at DET (1417): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1465+18→1483
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1417): Favorite
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1479	0-0	at WAS (1438): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1455+24→1479
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1438): Tossup
20	Arizona CardinalsARI	1476	0-0	at TEN (1553): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1450+26→1476
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1553): Underdog
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1451	0-0	at TB (1627): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1397+54→1451
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1627): Underdog
22	New York GiantsNYG	1450	0-0	vs DEN (1445): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1394+56→1450
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1445): Favorite
23	Denver BroncosDEN	1445	0-0	at NYG (1450): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1383+62→1445
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1450): Underdog
24	Washington Football TeamWAS	1438	0-0	vs LAC (1479): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1369+69→1438
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1479): Tossup
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1435	0-0	vs PHI (1431): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1362+73→1435
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1431): Favorite
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433	0-0	vs NYJ (1386): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1358+75→1433
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1386): Favorite
27	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1431	0-0	at ATL (1435): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1354+77→1431
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1435): Underdog
28	Houston TexansHOU	1429	0-0	vs JAX (1337): Fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1349+80→1429
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1337): Favorite
29	Detroit LionsDET	1417	0-0	vs SF (1483): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1325+92→1417
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1483): Underdog
30	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1414	0-0	vs MIN (1491): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1319+95→1414
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1386	0-0	at CAR (1433): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1258+128→1386
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): Underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1337	0-0	at HOU (1429): 'Dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1156+181→1337
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1429): Underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-117 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at TEN(1553) W 38-13: +28→1504	9	4	at SF(1446) W 31-17: +22→1664	17	8	at DAL(1647) W 25-22: +38→1595
2	13	vs MIN(1467) W 34-33: +32→1536	10	7	vs CAR(1392) L 10-34: -43→1621	18	13	vs SEA(1420) L 30-38: -44→1551
3	10	at JAX(1295) W 31-19: +23→1559	11	5	at SEA(1447) W 23-13: +24→1645	W	16	at LAR(1661) L 11-34: -20→1531
4	6	at LAR(1644) W 37-20: +49→1608	12	6	(bye)	D	16
5	6	vs SF(1461) W 17-10: +21→1629	13	4	at CHI(1438) W 33-22: +22→1667	C	16
6	4	at CLE(1590) W 37-14: +35→1664	14	7	vs LAR(1598) L 23-30: -35→1632	S	16
7	3	vs HOU(1312) W 31-5: +9→1673	15	11	at DET(1241) L 12-30: -43→1589
8	7	vs GB(1725) L 21-24: -31→1642	16	11	vs IND(1600) L 16-22: -32→1557

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1475 (+39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1385 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs PHI(1431) L 6-32: -24→1411	9	17	at NO(1629) W 27-25: +42→1469	17	23	at BUF(1636) L 15-29: -16→1436
2	28	at TB(1635) L 25-48: -11→1400	10	20	at DAL(1594) L 3-43: -19→1450	18	25	vs NO(1524) L 20-30: -29→1407
3	25	at NYG(1389) W 17-14: +45→1445	11	24	vs NE(1561) L 0-25: -26→1424	W	25
4	27	vs WAS(1435) L 30-34: -43→1402	12	23	at JAX(1264) W 21-14: +23→1447	D	25
5	25	at NYJ(1372) W 27-20: +34→1436	13	25	vs TB(1671) L 17-30: -22→1425	C	25
6	22	(bye)	14	21	at CAR(1380) W 29-21: +32→1457	S	25
7	19	at MIA(1379) W 30-28: +30→1466	15	24	at SF(1511) L 13-31: -23→1434
8	22	vs CAR(1382) L 13-19: -39→1427	16	22	vs DET(1284) W 20-16: +18→1452

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1526 (-104 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1516 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at LV(1485) L 27-33: -25→1562	9	3	vs MIN(1479) W 34-31: +15→1674	17	14	vs LAR(1678) L 19-20: -28→1533
2	3	vs KC(1658) W 36-35: +49→1611	10	4	at MIA(1362) L 10-22: -37→1637	18	19	vs PIT(1553) L 13-16: -33→1500
3	4	at DET(1381) W 19-17: +22→1633	11	3	at CHI(1437) W 16-13: +23→1660	W	19
4	2	at DEN(1518) W 23-7: +32→1665	12	2	vs CLE(1556) W 16-10: +20→1680	D	19
5	2	vs IND(1508) W 31-25: +20→1685	13	6	at PIT(1508) L 19-20: -32→1648	C	19
6	2	vs LAC(1587) W 34-6: +24→1709	14	8	at CLE(1536) L 22-24: -29→1619	S	19
7	6	vs CIN(1479) L 17-41: -50→1659	15	10	vs GB(1734) L 30-31: -27→1592
8	6	(bye)	16	10	at CIN(1485) L 21-41: -31→1561

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1477 (-160 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1443 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs PIT(1550) L 16-23: -28→1593	9	7	at JAX(1258) L 6-9: -44→1629	17	6	vs ATL(1452) W 29-15: +17→1653
2	2	at MIA(1558) W 35-0: +43→1636	10	3	at NYJ(1334) W 45-17: +21→1650	18	6	vs NYJ(1265) W 27-10: +7→1660
3	1	vs WAS(1455) W 43-21: +19→1655	11	7	vs IND(1545) L 15-41: -35→1615	W	4	vs NE(1559) W 47-17: +21→1681
4	1	vs HOU(1381) W 40-0: +14→1669	12	7	at NO(1536) W 31-6: +27→1642	D	5	at KC(1728) L 36-42: -25→1656
5	1	at KC(1578) W 38-20: +33→1702	13	8	vs NE(1614) L 10-14: -34→1608	C	5
6	5	at TEN(1571) L 31-34: -39→1663	14	10	at TB(1692) L 27-33: -21→1587	S	5
7	4	(bye)	15	8	vs CAR(1348) W 31-14: +15→1602
8	3	vs MIA(1348) W 26-11: +10→1673	16	7	at NE(1619) W 33-21: +34→1636

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+88 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs NYJ(1386) W 19-14: +15→1448	9	25	vs NE(1506) L 6-24: -29→1392	17	28	at NO(1507) L 10-18: -17→1300
2	18	vs NO(1608) W 26-7: +54→1502	10	23	at ARI(1664) W 34-10: +43→1435	18	28	at TB(1702) L 17-41: -7→1293
3	12	at HOU(1416) W 24-9: +36→1538	11	27	vs WAS(1410) L 21-27: -32→1403	W	28
4	16	at DAL(1521) L 28-36: -38→1500	12	28	at MIA(1426) L 10-33: -23→1380	D	28
5	22	vs PHI(1360) L 18-21: -50→1450	13	28	(bye)	C	28
6	24	vs MIN(1471) L 28-34: -37→1413	14	28	vs ATL(1425) L 21-29: -32→1348	S	28
7	26	at NYG(1365) L 3-25: -31→1382	15	28	at BUF(1587) L 14-31: -14→1334
8	24	at ATL(1466) W 19-13: +39→1421	16	28	vs TB(1670) L 6-32: -17→1317

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+59 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1395 \| avg. lost to rating: 1584 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at LAR(1548) L 14-34: -14→1473	9	22	at PIT(1553) L 27-29: -21→1437	17	22	vs NYG(1339) W 29-3: +22→1437
2	16	vs CIN(1438) W 20-17: +32→1505	10	22	(bye)	18	24	at MIN(1486) L 17-31: -24→1413
3	20	at CLE(1568) L 6-26: -28→1477	11	26	vs BAL(1637) L 13-16: -24→1413	W	24
4	17	vs DET(1359) W 24-14: +23→1500	12	24	at DET(1247) W 16-14: +25→1438	D	24
5	13	at LV(1554) W 20-9: +43→1543	13	26	vs ARI(1645) L 22-33: -22→1416	C	24
6	15	vs GB(1684) L 14-24: -28→1515	14	26	at GB(1724) L 30-45: -10→1406	S	24
7	18	at TB(1677) L 3-38: -17→1498	15	26	vs MIN(1498) L 9-17: -27→1379
8	20	vs SF(1406) L 22-33: -40→1458	16	24	at SEA(1436) W 25-24: +36→1415

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs MIN(1491) W 27-24: +24→1438	9	21	vs CLE(1538) L 16-41: -31→1459	17	12	vs KC(1729) W 34-31: +38→1554
2	27	at CHI(1473) L 17-20: -33→1405	10	18	(bye)	18	16	at CLE(1486) L 16-21: -31→1523
3	24	at PIT(1523) W 24-10: +56→1461	11	17	at LV(1500) W 32-13: +31→1490	W	10	vs LV(1580) W 26-19: +30→1553
4	19	vs JAX(1272) W 24-21: +17→1478	12	13	vs PIT(1534) W 41-10: +26→1516	D	9	at TEN(1676) W 19-16: +45→1598
5	21	vs GB(1656) L 22-25: -28→1450	13	16	vs LAC(1512) L 22-41: -32→1484	C	6	at KC(1753) W 27-24: +45→1643
6	18	at DET(1313) W 34-11: +29→1479	14	24	vs SF(1478) L 23-26: -32→1452	S	8	at LAR(1743) L 20-23: -21→1622
7	15	at BAL(1709) W 41-17: +49→1528	15	20	at DEN(1460) W 15-10: +33→1485
8	17	at NYJ(1314) L 31-34: -38→1490	16	14	vs BAL(1592) W 41-21: +31→1516

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1534 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1586 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at KC(1646) L 29-33: -12→1544	9	12	at CIN(1490) W 41-16: +31→1569	17	21	at PIT(1527) L 14-26: -27→1486
2	8	vs HOU(1441) W 31-21: +24→1568	10	14	at NE(1535) L 7-45: -26→1543	18	17	vs CIN(1554) W 21-16: +32→1518
3	7	vs CHI(1505) W 26-6: +29→1597	11	12	vs DET(1260) W 13-10: +13→1556	W	17
4	5	at MIN(1481) W 14-7: +32→1629	12	12	at BAL(1660) L 10-16: -20→1536	D	17
5	7	at LAC(1549) L 42-47: -39→1590	13	14	(bye)	C	17
6	12	vs ARI(1629) L 14-37: -35→1555	14	12	vs BAL(1648) W 24-22: +28→1564	S	17
7	10	vs DEN(1418) W 17-14: +20→1575	15	16	vs LV(1454) L 14-16: -38→1526
8	13	vs PIT(1516) L 10-15: -37→1538	16	16	at GB(1761) L 22-24: -13→1513

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-80 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1472 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at TB(1627) L 29-31: -8→1443	9	9	vs DEN(1423) L 16-30: -44→1594	17	7	vs ARI(1557) L 22-25: -38→1609
2	20	at LAC(1499) W 20-17: +51→1494	10	8	vs ATL(1469) W 43-3: +20→1614	18	7	at PHI(1516) W 51-26: +29→1638
3	13	vs PHI(1414) W 41-21: +27→1521	11	9	at KC(1633) L 9-19: -24→1590	W	8	vs SF(1570) L 17-23: -39→1599
4	9	vs CAR(1538) W 36-28: +37→1558	12	10	vs LV(1469) L 33-36: -36→1554	D	8
5	9	vs NYG(1406) W 44-20: +20→1578	13	10	at NO(1508) W 27-17: +29→1583	C	9
6	8	at NE(1470) W 35-29: +30→1608	14	9	at WAS(1501) W 27-20: +27→1610	S	9
7	8	(bye)	15	5	at NYG(1382) W 21-6: +22→1632
8	8	at MIN(1508) W 20-16: +30→1638	16	5	vs WAS(1448) W 56-14: +15→1647

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (+39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1421 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at NYG(1450) W 27-13: +23→1468	9	18	at DAL(1638) W 30-16: +43→1466	17	26	at LAC(1495) L 13-34: -21→1383
2	19	at JAX(1325) W 23-13: +31→1499	10	24	vs PHI(1370) L 13-30: -35→1431	18	26	vs KC(1691) L 24-28: -18→1365
3	14	vs NYJ(1336) W 26-0: +19→1518	11	22	(bye)	W	26
4	18	vs BAL(1633) L 7-23: -32→1486	12	21	vs LAC(1539) W 28-13: +27→1458	D	26
5	20	at PIT(1449) L 19-27: -35→1451	13	22	at KC(1656) L 9-22: -14→1444	C	26
6	23	vs LV(1510) L 24-34: -33→1418	14	20	vs DET(1258) W 38-10: +16→1460	S	26
7	24	at CLE(1555) L 14-17: -21→1397	15	25	vs CIN(1452) L 10-15: -33→1427
8	23	vs WAS(1400) W 17-10: +26→1423	16	25	at LV(1492) L 13-17: -23→1404

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+221 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1641 \| avg. lost to rating: 1485 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs SF(1483) L 33-41: -19→1398	9	32	(bye)	17	31	at SEA(1401) L 29-51: -19→1247
2	30	at GB(1581) L 17-35: -17→1381	10	32	at PIT(1574) T 16-16: +14→1260	18	27	vs GB(1786) W 37-30: +50→1297
3	29	vs BAL(1611) L 17-19: -22→1359	11	32	at CLE(1543) L 10-13: -13→1247	W	27
4	31	at CHI(1477) L 14-24: -23→1336	12	32	vs CHI(1413) L 14-16: -24→1223	D	27
5	31	at MIN(1449) L 17-19: -23→1313	13	30	vs MIN(1505) W 29-27: +35→1258	C	27
6	31	vs CIN(1450) L 11-34: -29→1284	14	30	at DEN(1444) L 10-38: -17→1241	S	27
7	32	at LAR(1651) L 19-28: -9→1275	15	29	vs ARI(1632) W 30-12: +43→1284
8	32	vs PHI(1367) L 6-44: -29→1246	16	31	at ATL(1434) L 16-20: -18→1266

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-197 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1511 \| avg. lost to rating: 1475 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NO(1586) L 3-38: -22→1581	9	1	at KC(1568) L 7-13: -37→1719	17	1	vs MIN(1498) W 37-10: +12→1786
2	6	vs DET(1398) W 35-17: +16→1597	10	1	vs SEA(1463) W 17-0: +16→1735	18	1	at DET(1247) L 30-37: -50→1736
3	3	at SF(1543) W 30-28: +40→1637	11	1	at MIN(1498) L 31-34: -33→1702	W	1	(bye)
4	3	vs PIT(1468) W 27-17: +19→1656	12	1	vs LAR(1610) W 36-28: +22→1724	D	3	vs SF(1609) L 10-13: -46→1690
5	3	at CIN(1478) W 25-22: +28→1684	13	1	(bye)	C	3
6	1	at CHI(1543) W 24-14: +29→1713	14	1	vs CHI(1416) W 45-30: +10→1734	S	3
7	1	vs WAS(1411) W 24-10: +12→1725	15	1	at BAL(1619) W 31-30: +27→1761
8	1	at ARI(1673) W 24-21: +31→1756	16	1	vs CLE(1526) W 24-22: +13→1774

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+182 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1454 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs JAX(1337) W 37-21: +12→1441	9	31	at MIA(1339) L 9-17: -24→1262	17	29	at SF(1512) L 7-23: -14→1291
2	25	at CLE(1544) L 21-31: -25→1416	10	31	(bye)	18	30	vs TEN(1661) L 25-28: -15→1276
3	28	vs CAR(1502) L 9-24: -35→1381	11	29	at TEN(1719) W 22-13: +45→1307	W	30
4	29	at BUF(1655) L 0-40: -14→1367	12	30	vs NYJ(1288) L 14-21: -32→1275	D	30
5	30	vs NE(1435) L 22-25: -35→1332	13	31	vs IND(1551) L 0-31: -20→1255	C	30
6	30	at IND(1489) L 3-31: -20→1312	14	31	vs SEA(1430) L 13-33: -23→1232	S	30
7	30	at ARI(1664) L 5-31: -9→1303	15	30	at JAX(1224) W 30-16: +32→1264
8	30	vs LAR(1660) L 22-38: -17→1286	16	29	vs LAC(1536) W 41-29: +41→1305

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-47 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1453 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs SEA(1573) L 16-28: -22→1533	9	15	vs NYJ(1352) W 45-30: +18→1532	17	9	vs LV(1515) L 20-23: -40→1592
2	21	vs LAR(1563) L 24-27: -43→1490	10	13	vs JAX(1302) W 23-17: +13→1545	18	14	at JAX(1163) L 11-26: -48→1544
3	23	at TEN(1579) L 16-25: -26→1464	11	11	at BUF(1650) W 41-15: +35→1580	W	13
4	15	at MIA(1486) W 27-17: +44→1508	12	11	vs TB(1642) L 31-38: -29→1551	D	13
5	16	at BAL(1665) L 25-31: -19→1489	13	11	at HOU(1275) W 31-0: +20→1571	C	13
6	16	vs HOU(1332) W 31-3: +20→1509	14	11	(bye)	S	13
7	14	at SF(1441) W 30-18: +34→1543	15	9	vs NE(1648) W 27-17: +29→1600
8	15	vs TEN(1637) L 31-34: -29→1514	16	8	at ARI(1589) W 22-16: +32→1632

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+233 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1563 \| avg. lost to rating: 1472 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at HOU(1429) L 21-37: -12→1325	9	30	vs BUF(1673) W 9-6: +44→1302	17	32	at NE(1584) L 10-50: -7→1163
2	32	vs DEN(1468) L 13-23: -30→1295	10	30	at IND(1532) L 17-23: -14→1288	18	32	vs IND(1592) W 26-11: +47→1210
3	32	vs ARI(1536) L 19-31: -23→1272	11	31	vs SF(1458) L 10-30: -24→1264	W	32
4	32	at CIN(1461) L 21-24: -17→1255	12	31	vs ATL(1424) L 14-21: -23→1241	D	32
5	32	vs TEN(1549) L 19-37: -22→1233	13	32	at LAR(1587) L 7-37: -11→1230	C	32
6	32	at MIA(1425) W 23-20: +47→1280	14	32	at TEN(1647) L 0-20: -6→1224	S	32
7	31	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1232) L 16-30: -32→1192
8	31	at SEA(1441) L 7-31: -22→1258	16	32	at NYJ(1256) L 21-26: -22→1170

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1524 (-104 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1561 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs CLE(1556) W 33-29: +12→1658	9	8	vs GB(1756) W 13-7: +37→1605	17	4	at CIN(1516) L 31-34: -38→1691
2	4	at BAL(1562) L 35-36: -48→1610	10	5	at LV(1528) W 41-14: +28→1633	18	2	at DEN(1383) W 28-24: +18→1709
3	11	vs LAC(1449) L 24-30: -59→1551	11	4	vs DAL(1614) W 19-9: +23→1656	W	2	vs PIT(1587) W 42-21: +19→1728
4	8	at PHI(1387) W 42-30: +27→1578	12	4	(bye)	D	1	vs BUF(1681) W 42-36: +25→1753
5	12	vs BUF(1669) L 20-38: -33→1545	13	3	vs DEN(1458) W 22-9: +15→1671	C	2	vs CIN(1598) L 24-27: -45→1708
6	9	at WAS(1442) W 31-13: +31→1576	14	3	vs LV(1470) W 48-9: +16→1687	S	2
7	13	at TEN(1609) L 3-27: -27→1549	15	2	at LAC(1562) W 34-28: +26→1713
8	10	vs NYG(1397) W 20-17: +19→1568	16	2	vs PIT(1543) W 36-10: +16→1729

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1520 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs BAL(1587) W 33-27: +25→1510	9	16	at NYG(1378) L 16-23: -37→1528	17	11	at IND(1632) W 23-20: +41→1556
2	9	at PIT(1578) W 26-17: +55→1565	10	16	vs KC(1605) L 14-41: -28→1500	18	9	vs LAC(1516) W 35-32: +24→1580
3	8	vs MIA(1516) W 31-28: +29→1594	11	19	vs CIN(1459) L 13-32: -31→1469	W	12	at CIN(1523) L 19-26: -30→1550
4	10	at LAC(1508) L 14-28: -40→1554	12	18	at DAL(1590) W 36-33: +37→1506	D	12
5	14	vs CHI(1500) L 9-20: -44→1510	13	20	vs WAS(1466) L 15-17: -36→1470	C	12
6	13	at DEN(1451) W 34-24: +34→1544	14	22	at KC(1671) L 9-48: -16→1454	S	12
7	11	vs PHI(1388) W 33-22: +21→1565	15	18	at CLE(1564) W 16-14: +38→1492
8	11	(bye)	16	15	vs DEN(1427) W 17-13: +23→1515

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at WAS(1438) W 20-16: +20→1499	9	13	at PHI(1397) W 27-24: +27→1548	17	17	vs DEN(1404) W 34-13: +21→1516
2	23	vs DAL(1443) L 17-20: -50→1449	10	15	vs MIN(1463) L 20-27: -35→1513	18	20	at LV(1556) L 32-35: -24→1492
3	15	at KC(1610) W 30-24: +59→1508	11	13	vs PIT(1560) W 41-37: +26→1539	W	20
4	12	vs LV(1594) W 28-14: +41→1549	12	14	at DEN(1431) L 13-28: -27→1512	D	20
5	8	vs CLE(1629) W 47-42: +38→1587	13	12	at CIN(1516) W 41-22: +32→1544	C	20
6	11	at BAL(1685) L 6-34: -24→1563	14	13	vs NYG(1401) W 37-21: +18→1562	S	20
7	12	(bye)	15	14	vs KC(1687) L 28-34: -26→1536
8	14	vs NE(1464) L 24-27: -42→1521	16	20	at HOU(1264) L 29-41: -41→1495

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-128 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1575 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs CHI(1487) W 34-14: +15→1563	9	6	vs TEN(1666) L 16-28: -33→1644	17	2	at BAL(1561) W 20-19: +27→1705
2	5	at IND(1533) W 27-24: +42→1605	10	9	at SF(1424) L 10-31: -34→1610	18	5	vs SF(1526) L 24-27: -44→1661
3	2	vs TB(1646) W 34-24: +39→1644	11	8	(bye)	W	5	vs ARI(1551) W 34-11: +20→1681
4	7	vs ARI(1559) L 20-37: -49→1595	12	9	at GB(1702) L 28-36: -23→1587	D	2	at TB(1723) W 30-27: +38→1719
5	5	at SEA(1538) W 26-17: +35→1630	13	9	vs JAX(1241) W 37-7: +11→1598	C	1	vs SF(1655) W 20-17: +24→1743
6	6	at NYG(1386) W 38-11: +21→1651	14	6	at ARI(1667) W 30-23: +35→1633	S	1	vs CIN(1643) W 23-20: +21→1764
7	5	vs DET(1284) W 28-19: +9→1660	15	4	vs SEA(1454) W 20-10: +18→1651
8	2	at HOU(1303) W 38-22: +17→1677	16	4	at MIN(1525) W 30-23: +27→1678

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1484 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1444 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at NE(1489) W 17-16: +20→1558	9	28	vs HOU(1286) W 17-9: +23→1362	17	19	at TEN(1643) L 3-34: -18→1505
2	15	vs BUF(1593) L 0-35: -42→1516	10	28	vs BAL(1674) W 22-10: +38→1400	18	15	vs NE(1591) W 33-24: +32→1537
3	18	at LV(1565) L 28-31: -30→1486	11	23	at NYJ(1313) W 24-17: +26→1426	W	15
4	24	vs IND(1464) L 17-27: -44→1442	12	22	vs CAR(1403) W 33-10: +23→1449	D	15
5	26	at TB(1637) L 17-45: -17→1425	13	19	vs NYG(1425) W 20-9: +24→1473	C	15
6	27	at JAX(1233) L 20-23: -46→1379	14	19	(bye)	S	15
7	28	vs ATL(1436) L 28-30: -31→1348	15	19	vs NYJ(1270) W 31-24: +14→1487
8	29	at BUF(1663) L 11-26: -9→1339	16	13	at NO(1543) W 20-3: +36→1523

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1524 (+38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1546 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CIN(1414) L 24-27: -24→1467	9	19	at BAL(1659) L 31-34: -16→1463	17	20	at GB(1774) L 10-37: -12→1486
2	24	at ARI(1504) L 33-34: -32→1435	10	17	at LAC(1548) W 27-20: +35→1498	18	18	vs CHI(1437) W 31-17: +24→1510
3	19	vs SEA(1541) W 30-17: +46→1481	11	16	vs GB(1735) W 34-31: +34→1532	W	18
4	23	vs CLE(1597) L 7-14: -32→1449	12	19	at SF(1482) L 26-34: -27→1505	D	18
5	18	vs DET(1336) W 19-17: +22→1471	13	21	at DET(1223) L 27-29: -35→1470	C	18
6	17	at CAR(1450) W 34-28: +37→1508	14	17	vs PIT(1540) W 36-28: +28→1498	S	18
7	17	(bye)	15	17	at CHI(1406) W 17-9: +27→1525
8	18	vs DAL(1608) L 16-20: -29→1479	16	19	vs LAR(1651) L 23-30: -27→1498

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-27 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1565 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs MIA(1538) L 16-17: -20→1469	9	14	at CAR(1421) W 24-6: +29→1535	17	10	vs JAX(1170) W 50-10: +7→1591
2	17	at NYJ(1371) W 25-6: +35→1504	10	11	vs CLE(1569) W 45-7: +26→1561	18	11	at MIA(1505) L 24-33: -32→1559
3	22	vs NO(1554) L 13-28: -39→1465	11	10	at ATL(1450) W 25-0: +26→1587	W	14	at BUF(1660) L 17-47: -21→1538
4	25	vs TB(1607) L 17-19: -30→1435	12	8	vs TEN(1674) W 36-13: +27→1614	D	14
5	19	at HOU(1367) W 25-22: +35→1470	13	5	at BUF(1642) W 14-10: +34→1648	C	14
6	21	vs DAL(1578) L 29-35: -31→1439	14	5	(bye)	S	14
7	20	vs NYJ(1338) W 54-13: +25→1464	15	7	at IND(1571) L 17-27: -29→1619
8	16	at LAC(1563) W 27-24: +42→1506	16	9	vs BUF(1602) L 21-33: -35→1584

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-54 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at GB(1603) W 38-3: +22→1608	9	10	vs ATL(1427) L 25-27: -43→1586	17	16	vs CAR(1317) W 18-10: +17→1524
2	10	at CAR(1448) L 7-26: -54→1554	10	10	at TEN(1699) L 21-23: -20→1566	18	12	at ATL(1436) W 30-20: +29→1553
3	9	at NE(1504) W 28-13: +39→1593	11	14	at PHI(1405) L 29-40: -30→1536	W	11
4	14	vs NYG(1344) L 21-27: -62→1531	12	16	vs BUF(1615) L 6-31: -28→1508	D	11
5	11	at WAS(1478) W 33-22: +36→1567	13	18	vs DAL(1554) L 17-27: -30→1478	C	11
6	10	(bye)	14	16	at NYJ(1292) W 30-9: +22→1500	S	11
7	9	at SEA(1470) W 13-10: +28→1595	15	12	at TB(1713) W 9-0: +43→1543
8	9	vs TB(1694) W 36-27: +34→1629	16	18	vs MIA(1487) L 3-20: -36→1507

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+114 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs DEN(1445) L 13-27: -24→1426	9	24	vs LV(1565) W 23-16: +37→1415	17	27	at CHI(1415) L 3-29: -22→1317
2	29	at WAS(1418) L 29-30: -37→1389	10	25	(bye)	18	29	vs WAS(1402) L 7-22: -29→1288
3	30	vs ATL(1400) L 14-17: -45→1344	11	28	at TB(1624) L 10-30: -17→1398	W	29
4	26	at NO(1593) W 27-21: +62→1406	12	25	vs PHI(1436) W 13-7: +27→1425	D	29
5	28	at DAL(1558) L 20-44: -20→1386	13	27	at MIA(1449) L 9-20: -24→1401	C	29
6	28	vs LAR(1630) L 11-38: -21→1365	14	27	at LAC(1544) L 21-37: -19→1382	S	29
7	25	vs CAR(1413) W 25-3: +32→1397	15	27	vs DAL(1610) L 6-21: -21→1361
8	26	at KC(1549) L 17-20: -19→1378	16	27	at PHI(1463) L 10-34: -22→1339

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1477 (+160 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1408 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at CAR(1433) L 14-19: -15→1371	9	29	at IND(1514) L 30-45: -18→1334	17	30	vs TB(1687) L 24-28: -14→1265
2	31	vs NE(1469) L 6-25: -35→1336	10	29	vs BUF(1629) L 17-45: -21→1313	18	31	at BUF(1653) L 10-27: -8→1257
3	31	at DEN(1499) L 0-26: -20→1316	11	30	vs MIA(1400) L 17-24: -25→1288	W	31
4	28	vs TEN(1605) W 27-24: +56→1372	12	29	at HOU(1307) W 21-14: +32→1320	D	31
5	29	at ATL(1402) L 20-27: -34→1338	13	29	vs PHI(1409) L 18-33: -28→1292	C	31
6	29	(bye)	14	29	vs NO(1478) L 9-30: -22→1270	S	31
7	29	at NE(1439) L 13-54: -24→1314	15	31	at MIA(1473) L 24-31: -14→1256
8	28	vs CIN(1528) W 34-31: +38→1352	16	30	vs JAX(1192) W 26-21: +23→1279

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1477 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1426 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at ATL(1435) W 32-6: +24→1455	9	27	vs LAC(1521) L 24-27: -27→1370	17	18	at WAS(1433) W 20-16: +31→1516
2	26	vs SF(1502) L 11-17: -41→1414	10	27	at DEN(1466) W 30-13: +35→1405	18	21	vs DAL(1609) L 26-51: -29→1487
3	27	at DAL(1494) L 21-41: -27→1387	11	21	vs NO(1566) W 40-29: +31→1436	W	21	at TB(1709) L 15-31: -15→1472
4	30	vs KC(1551) L 30-42: -27→1360	12	26	at NYG(1398) L 7-13: -27→1409	D	21
5	27	at CAR(1500) W 21-18: +50→1410	13	23	at NYJ(1320) W 33-18: +28→1437	C	21
6	26	vs TB(1654) L 22-28: -22→1388	14	25	(bye)	S	21
7	27	at LV(1544) L 22-33: -21→1367	15	21	vs WAS(1475) W 27-17: +26→1463
8	25	at DET(1275) W 44-6: +30→1397	16	21	vs NYG(1361) W 34-10: +22→1485

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1530 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1558 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at BUF(1621) W 23-16: +28→1578	9	11	vs CHI(1458) W 29-27: +21→1574	17	13	vs CLE(1513) W 26-14: +26→1553
2	14	vs LV(1510) L 17-26: -55→1523	10	12	vs DET(1246) T 16-16: -14→1560	18	8	at BAL(1533) W 16-13: +34→1587
3	21	vs CIN(1405) L 10-24: -55→1468	11	15	at LAC(1513) L 37-41: -26→1534	W	9	at KC(1709) L 21-42: -20→1567
4	22	at GB(1637) L 17-27: -19→1449	12	17	at CIN(1490) L 10-41: -26→1508	D	10
5	17	vs DEN(1486) W 27-19: +34→1483	13	13	vs BAL(1680) W 20-19: +32→1540	C	10
6	14	vs SEA(1503) W 23-20: +33→1516	14	14	at MIN(1470) L 28-36: -28→1512	S	10
7	16	(bye)	15	13	vs TEN(1653) W 19-13: +31→1543
8	12	at CLE(1575) W 15-10: +37→1553	16	12	at KC(1713) L 10-36: -16→1527

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1553 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at DET(1417) W 41-33: +19→1502	9	23	vs ARI(1642) L 17-31: -22→1424	17	15	vs HOU(1305) W 23-7: +14→1526
2	11	at PHI(1455) W 17-11: +41→1543	10	19	vs LAR(1644) W 31-10: +34→1458	18	10	at LAR(1705) W 27-24: +44→1570
3	16	vs GB(1597) L 28-30: -39→1504	11	18	at JAX(1288) W 30-10: +24→1482	W	7	at DAL(1638) W 23-17: +39→1609
4	21	vs SEA(1496) L 21-28: -43→1461	12	15	vs MIN(1532) W 34-26: +27→1509	D	6	at GB(1736) W 13-10: +46→1655
5	24	at ARI(1608) L 10-17: -20→1441	13	17	at SEA(1399) L 23-30: -31→1478	C	8	at LAR(1719) L 17-20: -24→1631
6	20	(bye)	14	15	at CIN(1484) W 26-23: +33→1511	S	7
7	22	vs IND(1509) L 18-30: -35→1406	15	15	vs ATL(1457) W 31-13: +23→1534
8	21	at CHI(1498) W 33-22: +40→1446	16	17	at TEN(1622) L 17-20: -22→1512

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1423 \| avg. lost to rating: 1540 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at IND(1555) W 28-16: +22→1595	9	20	(bye)	17	24	vs DET(1266) W 51-29: +19→1420
2	12	vs TEN(1524) L 30-33: -54→1541	10	21	at GB(1719) L 0-17: -16→1447	18	22	at ARI(1595) W 38-30: +44→1464
3	17	at MIN(1435) L 17-30: -45→1496	11	25	vs ARI(1621) L 13-23: -24→1423	W	22
4	13	at SF(1504) W 28-21: +42→1538	12	27	at WAS(1442) L 15-17: -24→1399	D	22
5	15	vs LAR(1595) L 17-26: -35→1503	13	24	vs SF(1509) W 30-23: +31→1430	C	22
6	19	at PIT(1483) L 20-23: -33→1470	14	23	at HOU(1255) W 33-13: +24→1454	S	22
7	21	vs NO(1567) L 10-13: -29→1441	15	23	at LAR(1633) L 10-20: -18→1436
8	19	vs JAX(1280) W 31-7: +22→1463	16	26	vs CHI(1379) L 24-25: -35→1401

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1455 (-206 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1435 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs DAL(1451) W 31-29: +8→1635	9	5	(bye)	17	3	at NYJ(1279) W 28-24: +15→1702
2	1	vs ATL(1411) W 48-25: +11→1646	10	6	at WAS(1374) L 19-29: -37→1624	18	3	vs CAR(1300) W 41-17: +7→1709
3	5	at LAR(1605) L 24-34: -39→1607	11	6	vs NYG(1415) W 30-10: +18→1642	W	3	vs PHI(1487) W 31-15: +14→1723
4	4	at NE(1465) W 19-17: +30→1637	12	3	at IND(1580) W 38-31: +29→1671	D	4	vs LAR(1681) L 27-30: -38→1685
5	4	vs MIA(1442) W 45-17: +17→1654	13	2	at ATL(1447) W 30-17: +21→1692	C	4
6	3	at PHI(1410) W 28-22: +23→1677	14	2	vs BUF(1608) W 33-27: +21→1713	S	4
7	2	vs CHI(1515) W 38-3: +17→1694	15	3	vs NO(1500) L 0-9: -43→1670
8	5	at NO(1595) L 27-36: -33→1661	16	3	at CAR(1334) W 32-6: +17→1687

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1480 (-144 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1431 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs ARI(1476) L 13-38: -29→1524	9	2	at LAR(1677) W 28-16: +33→1699	17	5	vs MIA(1523) W 34-3: +18→1661
2	7	at SEA(1595) W 33-30: +55→1579	10	2	vs NO(1586) W 23-21: +20→1719	18	4	at HOU(1291) W 28-25: +15→1676
3	6	vs IND(1490) W 25-16: +26→1605	11	2	vs HOU(1262) L 13-22: -45→1674	W	6	(bye)
4	11	at NYJ(1316) L 24-27: -56→1549	12	5	at NE(1587) L 13-36: -27→1647	D	7	vs CIN(1553) L 16-19: -45→1631
5	10	at JAX(1255) W 37-19: +22→1571	13	7	(bye)	C	7
6	7	vs BUF(1702) W 34-31: +38→1609	14	4	vs JAX(1230) W 20-0: +6→1653	S	6
7	7	vs KC(1576) W 27-3: +28→1637	15	6	at PIT(1512) L 13-19: -31→1622
8	4	at IND(1543) W 34-31: +29→1666	16	6	vs SF(1534) W 20-17: +21→1643

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+72 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1544 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs LAC(1479) L 16-20: -20→1418	9	26	(bye)	17	25	vs PHI(1485) L 16-20: -31→1402
2	22	vs NYG(1426) W 30-29: +37→1455	10	26	vs TB(1661) W 29-19: +36→1410	18	23	at NYG(1317) W 22-7: +29→1431
3	26	at BUF(1636) L 21-43: -20→1435	11	20	at CAR(1435) W 27-21: +32→1442	W	23
4	20	at ATL(1445) W 34-30: +43→1478	12	20	vs SEA(1423) W 17-15: +24→1466	D	23
5	23	vs NO(1531) L 22-33: -36→1442	13	15	at LV(1506) W 17-15: +35→1501	C	23
6	25	vs KC(1545) L 13-31: -31→1411	14	18	vs DAL(1583) L 20-27: -26→1475	S	23
7	23	at GB(1713) L 10-24: -11→1400	15	22	at PHI(1437) L 17-27: -27→1448
8	27	at DEN(1397) L 10-17: -26→1374	16	23	at DAL(1632) L 14-56: -15→1433

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 19-22) Los Angeles Rams: +104 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Seattle Seahawks: +63 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +46 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Detroit Lions: +50 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Jacksonville Jaguars: +47 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Carolina Panthers: -142 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Baltimore Ravens: -180 total Elo rating
3. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -137 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Denver Broncos: -95 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-20) Green Bay Packers: -96 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 539-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1786) 99-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1247): Lions win 37-30
2. Week 11, 457-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1719) 99-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1262): Texans win 22-13
3. Week 18, 429-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1592) 99-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1163): Jaguars win 26-11
4. Week 9, 415-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1673) 99-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1258): Jaguars win 9-6
5. Week 15, 391-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1632) 99-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1241): Lions win 30-12
6. Week 10, 328-Elo upset: Pittsburgh Steelers (1574) 99-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1246): Lions win 16-16
7. Week 10, 312-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1674) 99-point favorites at Miami Dolphins (1362): Dolphins win 22-10
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 18, 106-point differential: Green Bay Packers (1786) 99-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1247): Lions win 37-30
2. Week 4, 105-point differential: New Orleans Saints (1593) 99-point favorites vs New York Giants (1344): Giants win 27-21
3. Week 11, 108-point differential: Tennessee Titans (1719) 99-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1262): Texans win 22-13
4. Week 18, 114-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1592) 99-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1163): Jaguars win 26-11
5. Week 7, 123-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1709) 99-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1479): Bengals win 41-17
6. Week 10, 123-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1664) 99-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1392): Panthers win 34-10
7. Week 3, 105-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1610) 99-point favorites vs Los Angeles Chargers (1449): Chargers win 30-24
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +216: Los Angeles Rams (1548) before week 1 → (1764) thru week 22
2. +208: Cincinnati Bengals (1414) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 22
3. +148: San Francisco 49ers (1483) before week 1 → (1631) thru week 21
4. +147: Dallas Cowboys (1451) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 19
5. +87: Green Bay Packers (1603) before week 1 → (1690) thru week 20
more...
1. +79: Tennessee Titans (1553) before week 1 → (1631) thru week 20
2. +65: Las Vegas Raiders (1485) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 19
3. +62: Kansas City Chiefs (1646) before week 1 → (1708) thru week 21
4. +58: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1627) before week 1 → (1685) thru week 20
5. +55: Arizona Cardinals (1476) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 19
6. +49: New England Patriots (1489) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 19
7. +41: Philadelphia Eagles (1431) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 19
8. +35: Buffalo Bills (1621) before week 1 → (1656) thru week 20
9. +20: Minnesota Vikings (1491) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 18
10. +17: Pittsburgh Steelers (1550) before week 1 → (1567) thru week 19
11. +13: Los Angeles Chargers (1479) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
12. -1: Miami Dolphins (1538) before week 1 → (1537) thru week 18
13. -7: Washington Football Team (1438) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
14. -11: Indianapolis Colts (1555) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 18
15. -28: Atlanta Falcons (1435) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
16. -33: New Orleans Saints (1586) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 18
17. -38: Cleveland Browns (1556) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
18. -74: Chicago Bears (1487) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 18
19. -80: Denver Broncos (1445) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
20. -87: Baltimore Ravens (1587) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
21. -110: Seattle Seahawks (1573) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 18
22. -120: Detroit Lions (1417) before week 1 → (1297) thru week 18
23. -127: Jacksonville Jaguars (1337) before week 1 → (1210) thru week 18
24. -128: New York Jets (1386) before week 1 → (1257) thru week 18
25. -140: Carolina Panthers (1433) before week 1 → (1293) thru week 18
26. -153: Houston Texans (1429) before week 1 → (1276) thru week 18
27. -162: New York Giants (1450) before week 1 → (1288) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -162: New York Giants (1450) before week 1 → (1288) thru week 18
2. -153: Houston Texans (1429) before week 1 → (1276) thru week 18
3. -140: Carolina Panthers (1433) before week 1 → (1293) thru week 18
4. -128: New York Jets (1386) before week 1 → (1257) thru week 18
5. -127: Jacksonville Jaguars (1337) before week 1 → (1210) thru week 18
more...
1. -120: Detroit Lions (1417) before week 1 → (1297) thru week 18
2. -110: Seattle Seahawks (1573) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 18
3. -87: Baltimore Ravens (1587) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
4. -80: Denver Broncos (1445) before week 1 → (1365) thru week 18
5. -74: Chicago Bears (1487) before week 1 → (1413) thru week 18
6. -38: Cleveland Browns (1556) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
7. -33: New Orleans Saints (1586) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 18
8. -28: Atlanta Falcons (1435) before week 1 → (1407) thru week 18
9. -11: Indianapolis Colts (1555) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 18
10. -7: Washington Football Team (1438) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
11. -1: Miami Dolphins (1538) before week 1 → (1537) thru week 18
12. +13: Los Angeles Chargers (1479) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 18
13. +17: Pittsburgh Steelers (1550) before week 1 → (1567) thru week 19
14. +20: Minnesota Vikings (1491) before week 1 → (1510) thru week 18
15. +35: Buffalo Bills (1621) before week 1 → (1656) thru week 20
16. +41: Philadelphia Eagles (1431) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 19
17. +49: New England Patriots (1489) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 19
18. +55: Arizona Cardinals (1476) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 19
19. +58: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1627) before week 1 → (1685) thru week 20
20. +62: Kansas City Chiefs (1646) before week 1 → (1708) thru week 21
21. +65: Las Vegas Raiders (1485) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 19
22. +79: Tennessee Titans (1553) before week 1 → (1631) thru week 20
23. +87: Green Bay Packers (1603) before week 1 → (1690) thru week 20
24. +147: Dallas Cowboys (1451) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 19
25. +148: San Francisco 49ers (1483) before week 1 → (1631) thru week 21
26. +208: Cincinnati Bengals (1414) before week 1 → (1622) thru week 22
27. +216: Los Angeles Rams (1548) before week 1 → (1764) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +209: New England Patriots (1439) before week 7 → (1648) thru week 13
2. +197: Arizona Cardinals (1476) before week 1 → (1673) thru week 7
3. +194: Dallas Cowboys (1443) before week 2 → (1638) thru week 8
4. +192: Cincinnati Bengals (1452) before week 15 → (1643) thru week 21
5. +184: Miami Dolphins (1339) before week 9 → (1523) thru week 16
more...
1. +177: San Francisco 49ers (1478) before week 14 → (1655) thru week 20
2. +176: Green Bay Packers (1581) before week 2 → (1756) thru week 8
3. +175: Tennessee Titans (1524) before week 2 → (1699) thru week 9
4. +164: Kansas City Chiefs (1549) before week 8 → (1713) thru week 15
5. +146: Baltimore Ravens (1562) before week 2 → (1709) thru week 6
6. +146: Los Angeles Rams (1598) before week 14 → (1743) thru week 21
7. +146: Philadelphia Eagles (1370) before week 10 → (1516) thru week 17
8. +139: Los Angeles Chargers (1449) before week 3 → (1587) thru week 5
9. +127: Washington Football Team (1374) before week 9 → (1501) thru week 13
10. +126: Las Vegas Raiders (1454) before week 15 → (1580) thru week 18
11. +126: Pittsburgh Steelers (1449) before week 5 → (1574) thru week 9
12. +119: Indianapolis Colts (1514) before week 9 → (1632) thru week 16
13. +108: Buffalo Bills (1593) before week 2 → (1702) thru week 5
14. +105: Carolina Panthers (1433) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 3
15. +98: New Orleans Saints (1531) before week 5 → (1629) thru week 8
16. +89: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1624) before week 11 → (1713) thru week 14
17. +85: Cleveland Browns (1544) before week 2 → (1629) thru week 4
18. +83: Minnesota Vikings (1449) before week 5 → (1532) thru week 11
19. +74: Detroit Lions (1223) before week 13 → (1297) thru week 18
20. +73: Houston Texans (1232) before week 15 → (1305) thru week 16
21. +73: Denver Broncos (1445) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 3
22. +71: New York Giants (1344) before week 4 → (1415) thru week 9
23. +70: Chicago Bears (1473) before week 2 → (1543) thru week 5
24. +69: Jacksonville Jaguars (1233) before week 6 → (1302) thru week 9
25. +69: Atlanta Falcons (1400) before week 3 → (1469) thru week 9
26. +64: Seattle Seahawks (1399) before week 13 → (1464) thru week 18
27. +36: New York Jets (1336) before week 3 → (1372) thru week 4
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -219: Miami Dolphins (1558) before week 2 → (1339) thru week 8
2. -180: Baltimore Ravens (1680) before week 13 → (1500) thru week 18
3. -179: Houston Texans (1441) before week 2 → (1262) thru week 9
4. -171: Detroit Lions (1417) before week 1 → (1246) thru week 8
5. -156: Carolina Panthers (1538) before week 4 → (1382) thru week 7
more...
1. -154: Seattle Seahawks (1595) before week 2 → (1441) thru week 7
2. -150: New Orleans Saints (1629) before week 9 → (1478) thru week 13
3. -139: Jacksonville Jaguars (1302) before week 10 → (1163) thru week 17
4. -137: San Francisco 49ers (1543) before week 3 → (1406) thru week 7
5. -137: New York Giants (1425) before week 13 → (1288) thru week 18
6. -136: Arizona Cardinals (1667) before week 14 → (1531) thru week 19
7. -130: Chicago Bears (1543) before week 6 → (1413) thru week 11
8. -129: Pittsburgh Steelers (1578) before week 2 → (1449) thru week 4
9. -125: Las Vegas Raiders (1594) before week 4 → (1469) thru week 11
10. -120: Denver Broncos (1518) before week 4 → (1397) thru week 7
11. -113: Kansas City Chiefs (1658) before week 2 → (1545) thru week 5
12. -110: New England Patriots (1648) before week 14 → (1538) thru week 19
13. -104: Washington Football Team (1478) before week 5 → (1374) thru week 8
14. -97: Tennessee Titans (1719) before week 11 → (1622) thru week 15
15. -96: Green Bay Packers (1786) before week 18 → (1690) thru week 20
16. -96: New York Jets (1352) before week 9 → (1256) thru week 15
17. -95: Philadelphia Eagles (1455) before week 2 → (1360) thru week 4
18. -94: Buffalo Bills (1702) before week 6 → (1608) thru week 13
19. -93: Cleveland Browns (1629) before week 5 → (1536) thru week 12
20. -91: Indianapolis Colts (1555) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 3
21. -90: Los Angeles Rams (1677) before week 9 → (1587) thru week 12
22. -84: Dallas Cowboys (1638) before week 9 → (1554) thru week 12
23. -76: Cincinnati Bengals (1528) before week 8 → (1452) thru week 14
24. -75: Los Angeles Chargers (1587) before week 6 → (1512) thru week 12
25. -70: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1694) before week 8 → (1624) thru week 10
26. -62: Minnesota Vikings (1532) before week 12 → (1470) thru week 13
27. -50: Atlanta Falcons (1457) before week 15 → (1407) thru week 18
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Cleveland Browns: 1534
2. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1530
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1526
4. Minnesota Vikings: 1524
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1524
more...
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1520
2. Chicago Bears: 1518
3. Detroit Lions: 1518
4. San Francisco 49ers: 1509
5. Washington Football Team: 1509
6. Cincinnati Bengals: 1505
7. Houston Texans: 1503
8. Green Bay Packers: 1503
9. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
10. New England Patriots: 1501
11. New York Giants: 1501
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1500
13. Carolina Panthers: 1499
14. New Orleans Saints: 1499
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
16. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
17. Seattle Seahawks: 1492
18. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1488
19. Arizona Cardinals: 1487
20. Denver Broncos: 1485
21. Miami Dolphins: 1484
22. Tennessee Titans: 1480
23. New York Jets: 1477
24. Buffalo Bills: 1477
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1477
26. Atlanta Falcons: 1475
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1455
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1455
2. Atlanta Falcons: 1475
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1477
4. Buffalo Bills: 1477
5. New York Jets: 1477
more...
1. Tennessee Titans: 1480
2. Miami Dolphins: 1484
3. Denver Broncos: 1485
4. Arizona Cardinals: 1487
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1488
6. Seattle Seahawks: 1492
7. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
9. New Orleans Saints: 1499
10. Carolina Panthers: 1499
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1500
12. New York Giants: 1501
13. New England Patriots: 1501
14. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
15. Green Bay Packers: 1503
16. Houston Texans: 1503
17. Cincinnati Bengals: 1505
18. Washington Football Team: 1509
19. San Francisco 49ers: 1509
20. Detroit Lions: 1518
21. Chicago Bears: 1518
22. Las Vegas Raiders: 1520
23. Kansas City Chiefs: 1524
24. Minnesota Vikings: 1524
25. Baltimore Ravens: 1526
26. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1530
27. Cleveland Browns: 1534
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1641
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1563
3. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1558
4. Las Vegas Raiders: 1525
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
more...
1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1512
2. Green Bay Packers: 1511
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
4. Carolina Panthers: 1508
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1506
6. New York Giants: 1502
7. New Orleans Saints: 1501
8. Tennessee Titans: 1500
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
10. Arizona Cardinals: 1482
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1478
12. Cleveland Browns: 1474
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1472
14. Los Angeles Rams: 1469
15. Washington Football Team: 1459
16. New England Patriots: 1457
17. Houston Texans: 1454
18. Indianapolis Colts: 1453
19. Miami Dolphins: 1444
20. Buffalo Bills: 1443
21. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1435
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1426
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1423
24. Denver Broncos: 1421
25. New York Jets: 1408
26. Chicago Bears: 1395
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1385
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1385
2. Chicago Bears: 1395
3. New York Jets: 1408
4. Denver Broncos: 1421
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1423
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1426
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1435
3. Buffalo Bills: 1443
4. Miami Dolphins: 1444
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1453
6. Houston Texans: 1454
7. New England Patriots: 1457
8. Washington Football Team: 1459
9. Los Angeles Rams: 1469
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1472
11. Cleveland Browns: 1474
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1478
13. Arizona Cardinals: 1482
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1499
15. Tennessee Titans: 1500
16. New Orleans Saints: 1501
17. New York Giants: 1502
18. Los Angeles Chargers: 1506
19. Carolina Panthers: 1508
20. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
21. Green Bay Packers: 1511
22. Cincinnati Bengals: 1512
23. Baltimore Ravens: 1516
24. Las Vegas Raiders: 1525
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1558
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1563
27. Detroit Lions: 1641

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)
2	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	29-19 (29/48, 60.42%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	38-26 (38/64, 59.38%)
5	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	50-30 (50/80, 62.5%)
6	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	60-34 (60/94, 63.83%)
7	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	71-36 (71/107, 66.36%)
8	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	79-43 (79/122, 64.75%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	86-50 (86/136, 63.24%)
10	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	93-57 (93/150, 62.0%)
11	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	102-63 (102/165, 61.82%)
12	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	114-66 (114/180, 63.33%)
13	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	121-73 (121/194, 62.37%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	132-76 (132/208, 63.46%)
15	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	141-83 (141/224, 62.95%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	151-89 (151/240, 62.92%)
17	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	163-93 (163/256, 63.67%)
18	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	172-100 (172/272, 63.24%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	177-101 (177/278, 63.67%)
D	1-3 (1/4, 25.0%)	178-104 (178/282, 63.12%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	179-105 (179/284, 63.03%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	180-105 (180/285, 63.16%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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