NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory)..

All available 2021 season pages:

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2021 Summaries by Team
2021 Stats and Tidbits
2021 Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season NFL Elo Home 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568	12-7
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1551	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): W 23-20: 1551-0→1551
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	12-6
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548	14-6
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1546	12-8
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): L 20-23: 1543+0→1543
7	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1540	14-5
8	Green Bay PackersGB	1535	13-5
9	New England PatriotsNE	1527	10-8
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519	12-6
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516	9-8
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507	9-9
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505	9-8
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504	11-7
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	7-10
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503	9-8
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	10-8
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499	8-9
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
23	Baltimore RavensBAL	1483	8-9
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1457	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1449	4-13
30	New York JetsNYJ	1440	4-13
31	New York GiantsNYG	1432	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568	12-7
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1551 (+1)	15-5	vs CIN (1543): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): W 20-17: 1550+1→1551
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	12-6
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (-13)	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): L 24-27(OT): 1561-13→1548
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1546 (-1)	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): L 17-20: 1547-1→1546
6 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543 (+13)	13-7	at LAR (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): W 27-24(OT): 1530+13→1543
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1540	14-5
8 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1535	13-5
9	New England PatriotsNE	1527	10-8
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519	12-6
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516	9-8
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507	9-9
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505	9-8
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504	11-7
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	7-10
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503	9-8
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	10-8
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499	8-9
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
23	Baltimore RavensBAL	1483	8-9
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1457	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1449	4-13
30	New York JetsNYJ	1440	4-13
31	New York GiantsNYG	1432	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431	3-14
Favorites:
LAR

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (-5)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): L 36-42(OT): 1573-5→1568
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1561 (+5)	14-5	vs CIN (1530): Win by 9
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): W 42-36(OT): 1556+5→1561
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): Win by 9 points
3 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1550 (+7)	14-5	vs SF (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): W 30-27: 1543+7→1550
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	12-6
5 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547 (+7)	12-7	at LAR (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 13-10: 1540+7→1547
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): Slight underdog
6 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1540 (-7)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): L 27-30: 1547-7→1540
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1535 (-7)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): L 10-13: 1542-7→1535
8 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1530 (+7)	12-7	at KC (1561): Lose by 9
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): W 19-16: 1523+7→1530
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1561): Lose by 9 points
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1527	10-8
10 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519 (-7)	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): L 16-19: 1526-7→1519
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516	9-8
12	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507	9-9
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505	9-8
14	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504	11-7
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	7-10
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503	9-8
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	10-8
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499	8-9
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496	9-8
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495	8-9
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493	9-8-1
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
23	Baltimore RavensBAL	1483	8-9
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1457	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1449	4-13
30	New York JetsNYJ	1440	4-13
31	New York GiantsNYG	1432	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431	3-14
Favorites:
KC, LAR

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573 (+15)	12-6	at KC (1556): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): W 47-17: 1558+15→1573
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): Tossup
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1556 (+4)	13-5	vs BUF (1573): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): W 42-21: 1552+4→1556
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Tossup
3 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548 (-14)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): L 17-23: 1562-14→1548
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1547 (+4)	14-4	vs LAR (1543): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): W 31-15: 1543+4→1547
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1543): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1543 (+11)	13-5	at TB (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1515): W 34-11: 1532+11→1543
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1547): Slight underdog
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	13-4	vs SF (1540): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (+13)	11-7	at GB (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): W 23-17: 1527+13→1540
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1527 (-16)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): L 17-47: 1543-16→1527
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526	12-5	vs CIN (1523): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Slight favorite
10	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523	11-7	at TEN (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): W 26-19: 1523-0→1523
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): Slight underdog
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516	9-8
12 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (-4)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1543): L 15-31: 1511-4→1507
13 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505	9-8
14 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (-11)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1532): L 11-34: 1515-11→1504
15	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	7-10
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503	9-8
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): L 19-26: 1500+0→1500
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499	8-9
19 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496	9-8
20 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495	8-9
21 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-4)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 21-42: 1497-4→1493
22	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
23	Baltimore RavensBAL	1483	8-9
24	Chicago BearsCHI	1481	6-11
25	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477	7-10
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463	7-10
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457	5-12
28	Detroit LionsDET	1457	3-13-1
29	Houston TexansHOU	1449	4-13
30	New York JetsNYJ	1440	4-13
31	New York GiantsNYG	1432	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431	3-14
Favorites:
BUF, GB, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1562 (+11)	12-5	vs SF (1527): Win by 10
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): W 51-26: 1551+11→1562
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1527): Win by 10 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (-3)	11-6	vs NE (1543): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): W 27-10: 1561-3→1558
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552	12-5	vs PIT (1497): Win by 15
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1486): W 28-24: 1552-0→1552
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Win by 15 points
4 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1543 (+4)	13-4	vs PHI (1511): Win by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): W 41-17: 1539+4→1543
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): Win by 9 points
5 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1543 (-13)	10-7	at BUF (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): L 24-33: 1556-13→1543
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (-6)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1450): L 30-37: 1548-6→1542
next: (bye)
7 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1532 (-10)	12-5	vs ARI (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): L 24-27(OT): 1542-10→1532
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1515): Slight favorite
8 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1527 (+10)	10-7	at DAL (1562): Lose by 10
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): W 27-24(OT): 1517+10→1527
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): Lose by 10 points
9 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526 (-3)	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1446): W 28-25: 1529-3→1526
next: (bye)
10 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523 (-8)	10-7	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): L 16-21: 1531-8→1523
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516 (-23)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1408): L 11-26: 1539-23→1516
12 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1515 (-14)	11-6	at LAR (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): L 30-38: 1529-14→1515
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1532): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1511 (-11)	9-8	at TB (1543): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): L 26-51: 1522-11→1511
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1543): Lose by 9 points
14 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1505 (+8)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): W 30-20: 1497+8→1505
15 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504 (+14)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1529): W 38-30: 1490+14→1504
16 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (-3)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): L 32-35(OT): 1506-3→1503
17 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500 (+4)	10-7	at CIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 35-32(OT): 1496+4→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+8)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): W 31-17: 1491+8→1499
19 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497 (+8)	9-7-1	at KC (1552): Lose by 15
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): W 16-13(OT): 1489+8→1497
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Lose by 15 points
20 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496 (+13)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1556): W 33-24: 1483+13→1496
21 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495 (+8)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1531): W 21-16: 1487+8→1495
22 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1486	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): L 24-28: 1486+0→1486
23 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1483 (-8)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 13-16(OT): 1491-8→1483
24 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1481 (-7)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): L 17-31: 1488-7→1481
25 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1477 (+11)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): W 22-7: 1466+11→1477
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (-8)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 20-30: 1471-8→1463
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1457 (-3)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): L 17-41: 1460-3→1457
28	Detroit LionsDET	1457 (+7)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): W 37-30: 1450+7→1457
29	Houston TexansHOU	1449 (+3)	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1529): L 25-28: 1446+3→1449
30 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1440 (+4)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): L 10-27: 1436+4→1440
31 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1432 (-11)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): L 7-22: 1443-11→1432
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431 (+23)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): W 26-11: 1408+23→1431
Favorites:
BUF, CIN, DAL, KC, LAR, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (-6)	10-6	vs NYJ (1436): Win by 23
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): W 29-15: 1567-6→1561
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1436): Win by 23 points
2 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1556 (+6)	10-6	at MIA (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1413): W 50-10: 1550+6→1556
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (-7)	11-5	at DEN (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): L 31-34: 1559-7→1552
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1486): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1551 (-13)	11-5	at PHI (1522): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): L 22-25: 1564-13→1551
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1548 (+12)	13-3	at DET (1450): Win by 11
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): W 37-10: 1536+12→1548
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1450): Win by 11 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1542 (+2)	12-4	vs SF (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): W 20-19: 1540+2→1542
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1539 (-11)	12-4	vs CAR (1460): Win by 15
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1425): W 28-24: 1550-11→1539
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): Win by 15 points
8 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1539 (-16)	9-7	at JAX (1408): Win by 16
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): L 20-23: 1555-16→1539
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1408): Win by 16 points
9	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1531 (+7)	10-6	at CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): W 34-31: 1524+7→1531
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1529 (+13)	11-5	vs SEA (1490): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): W 25-22: 1516+13→1529
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Win by 8 points
11 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1529 (+16)	11-5	at HOU (1446): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): W 34-3: 1513+16→1529
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1446): Win by 8 points
12 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1522 (+1)	9-7	vs DAL (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): W 20-16: 1521+1→1522
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (-1)	9-7	at LAR (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1445): W 23-7: 1518-1→1517
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): Slight underdog
14 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+12)	9-7	at LV (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): W 34-13: 1494+12→1506
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497	8-8	at ATL (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): W 18-10: 1497+0→1497
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Slight favorite
16 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (+17)	9-7	vs LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): W 23-20: 1479+17→1496
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491 (-12)	7-9	vs CHI (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): L 10-37: 1503-12→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1488): Slight favorite
18 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1491 (-2)	8-8	vs PIT (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): L 19-20: 1493-2→1491
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight favorite
19 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (+10)	6-10	at ARI (1529): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1459): W 51-29: 1480+10→1490
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1529): Lose by 8 points
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+8)	8-7-1	at BAL (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): W 26-14: 1481+8→1489
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1488 (+12)	6-10	at MIN (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1454): W 29-3: 1476+12→1488
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Slight underdog
22 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-8)	7-9	vs CIN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 14-26: 1495-8→1487
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1531): Slight underdog
23 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1486 (-12)	7-9	vs KC (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 13-34: 1498-12→1486
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Slight underdog
24 (-9)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1483 (-16)	8-8	vs NE (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1513): L 3-34: 1499-16→1483
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1556): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (+6)	7-9	vs NO (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): L 15-29: 1465+6→1471
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1466 (-1)	6-10	at NYG (1443): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 16-20: 1467-1→1466
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1443): Tossup
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1460	5-11	at TB (1539): Lose by 15
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 10-18: 1460-0→1460
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1539): Lose by 15 points
28	Detroit LionsDET	1450 (-9)	2-13-1	vs GB (1548): Lose by 11
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): L 29-51: 1459-9→1450
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): Lose by 11 points
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1446 (+1)	4-12	vs TEN (1529): Lose by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): L 7-23: 1445+1→1446
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1529): Lose by 8 points
30 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1443 (-11)	4-12	vs WAS (1466): Tossup
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1476): L 3-29: 1454-11→1443
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): Tossup
31	New York JetsNYJ	1436 (+11)	4-12	at BUF (1561): Lose by 23
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): L 24-28: 1425+11→1436
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Lose by 23 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1408 (-5)	2-14	vs IND (1539): Lose by 16
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): L 10-50: 1413-5→1408
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): Lose by 16 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, KC,
LAR, LV, MIN, NE, NO, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1567 (+12)	9-6	vs ATL (1465): Win by 24
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): W 33-21: 1555+12→1567
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Win by 24 points
2 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1564 (+18)	11-4	vs ARI (1516): Win by 12
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1485): W 56-14: 1546+18→1564
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): Win by 12 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1559 (+6)	11-4	at CIN (1524): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): W 36-10: 1553+6→1559
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): Slight favorite
4	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1555 (+3)	9-6	vs LV (1479): Win by 19
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): W 22-16: 1552+3→1555
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): Win by 19 points
5 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1550 (-13)	9-6	vs JAX (1413): Win by 31
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 21-33: 1563-13→1550
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1413): Win by 31 points
6 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1550 (+13)	11-4	at NYJ (1425): Win by 22
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): W 32-6: 1537+13→1550
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1425): Win by 22 points
7 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1540 (+5)	11-4	at BAL (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 30-23: 1535+5→1540
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (-8)	12-3	vs MIN (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): W 24-22: 1544-8→1536
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight favorite
9 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1524 (+10)	9-6	vs KC (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1503): W 41-21: 1514+10→1524
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): Slight underdog
10 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+8)	8-7	at WAS (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): W 34-10: 1513+8→1521
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (-3)	8-7	vs HOU (1445): Win by 18
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1510): L 17-20: 1521-3→1518
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1445): Win by 18 points
12 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516 (-3)	10-5	at DAL (1564): Lose by 12
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): L 16-22: 1519-3→1516
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1564): Lose by 12 points
13 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1513 (+3)	10-5	vs MIA (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): W 20-17: 1510+3→1513
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (-5)	7-8	at GB (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): L 23-30: 1508-5→1503
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Slight underdog
15 (+8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1499 (+20)	8-7	at TEN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): W 20-3: 1479+20→1499
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1513): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (-5)	7-8	at LAC (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): L 13-17: 1503-5→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight underdog
17 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (-20)	7-8	vs CAR (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): L 3-20: 1517-20→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): Slight favorite
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1495 (+7)	7-8	at PIT (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): L 22-24: 1488+7→1495
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494 (-18)	8-7	vs DEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1426): L 29-41: 1512-18→1494
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493 (-10)	8-7	vs LAR (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): L 21-41: 1503-10→1493
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1540): Slight underdog
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (-6)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): L 10-36: 1487-6→1481
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1495): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1480 (-13)	5-10	vs DET (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1463): L 24-25: 1493-13→1480
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1459): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1479 (+5)	8-7	at IND (1555): Lose by 19
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1503): W 17-13: 1474+5→1479
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): Lose by 19 points
24 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1476 (+13)	5-10	vs NYG (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): W 25-24: 1463+13→1476
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1454): Slight favorite
25 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1467 (-18)	6-9	vs PHI (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): L 14-56: 1485-18→1467
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (+2)	7-8	at BUF (1567): Lose by 24
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1461): W 20-16: 1463+2→1465
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): Lose by 24 points
27 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1460 (-13)	5-10	at NO (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): L 6-32: 1473-13→1460
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1459 (-2)	2-12-1	at SEA (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): L 16-20: 1461-2→1459
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1454 (-9)	4-11	at CHI (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): L 10-34: 1463-9→1454
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1476): Slight underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1445 (+19)	4-11	at SF (1518): Lose by 18
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): W 41-29: 1426+19→1445
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Lose by 18 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1425 (+1)	4-11	vs TB (1550): Lose by 22
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1414): W 26-21: 1424+1→1425
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): Lose by 22 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1413 (-1)	2-13	at NE (1550): Lose by 31
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1424): L 21-26: 1414-1→1413
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1550): Lose by 31 points
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, DAL, GB, IND, KC, LAC, LAR,
NE, NO, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1563 (-9)	9-5	vs BUF (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): L 17-27: 1572-9→1563
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-2)	8-6	at NE (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1471): W 31-14: 1557-2→1555
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1563): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1553 (+4)	10-4	vs PIT (1487): Win by 16
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): W 34-28(OT): 1549+4→1553
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): Win by 16 points
4 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1552 (+9)	8-6	at ARI (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1572): W 27-17: 1543+9→1552
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (+5)	10-4	vs WAS (1485): Win by 12
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): W 21-6: 1541+5→1546
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1485): Win by 12 points
6 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1544 (+5)	11-3	vs CLE (1488): Win by 14
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): W 31-30: 1539+5→1544
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Win by 14 points
7 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1537 (-15)	10-4	at CAR (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1502): L 0-9: 1552-15→1537
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1473): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1535 (+1)	10-4	at MIN (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): W 20-10: 1534+1→1535
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+3)	8-6	at TEN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): W 31-13: 1518+3→1521
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1510): Slight underdog
10 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1519 (-25)	10-4	vs IND (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1436): L 12-30: 1544-25→1519
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): Slight underdog
11 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1517 (+15)	7-7	vs MIA (1479): Win by 10
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): W 9-0: 1502+15→1517
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Win by 10 points
12 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (+7)	8-6	vs BAL (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1511): W 15-10: 1507+7→1514
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1503): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513 (+3)	7-7	vs NYG (1463): Win by 10
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1488): W 27-17: 1510+3→1513
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1463): Win by 10 points
14 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (-4)	8-6	at HOU (1426): Win by 13
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): L 28-34(OT): 1516-4→1512
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1426): Win by 13 points
15 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1510 (-9)	9-5	vs SF (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): L 13-19: 1519-9→1510
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (+5)	7-7	vs LAR (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): W 17-9: 1503+5→1508
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1503 (-5)	8-6	at CIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1539): L 30-31: 1508-5→1503
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Slight underdog
18 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1503 (-8)	7-7	at LV (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): L 10-15: 1511-8→1503
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1474): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1493 (-2)	5-9	vs CHI (1463): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1534): L 10-20: 1495-2→1493
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1463): Win by 8 points
20 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488 (-10)	7-7	at GB (1544): Lose by 14
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): L 14-16: 1498-10→1488
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1544): Lose by 14 points
21 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1487 (+9)	7-6-1	at KC (1553): Lose by 16
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): W 19-13: 1478+9→1487
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1553): Lose by 16 points
22 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1485 (-3)	6-8	at DAL (1546): Lose by 12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): L 17-27: 1488-3→1485
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Lose by 12 points
23 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-2)	7-7	at NO (1517): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): W 31-24: 1481-2→1479
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1517): Lose by 10 points
24 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1474 (+10)	7-7	vs DEN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): W 16-14: 1464+10→1474
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1503): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1473 (+2)	5-9	vs TB (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1557): L 14-31: 1471+2→1473
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1463 (-6)	4-10	at SEA (1493): Lose by 8
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): L 9-17: 1469-6→1463
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1493): Lose by 8 points
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1463 (-3)	6-8	vs DET (1461): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): L 13-31: 1466-3→1463
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1461): Slight favorite
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1463 (-5)	4-10	at PHI (1513): Lose by 10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 6-21: 1468-5→1463
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): Lose by 10 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1461 (+25)	2-11-1	at ATL (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1544): W 30-12: 1436+25→1461
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1463): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1426 (+14)	3-11	vs LAC (1512): Lose by 13
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): W 30-16: 1412+14→1426
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Lose by 13 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1424 (+2)	3-11	vs JAX (1414): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): L 24-31: 1422+2→1424
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1414): Slight favorite
32 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1414 (-14)	2-12	at NYJ (1424): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1412): L 16-30: 1428-14→1414
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1424): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, IND, KC, LAC,
LAR, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1572	9-4	at IND (1543): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1557 (-4)	7-6	vs CAR (1471): Win by 20
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): L 27-33(OT): 1561-4→1557
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1471): Win by 20 points
3 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1552 (+4)	10-3	vs NO (1502): Win by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): W 33-27(OT): 1548+4→1552
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1502): Win by 10 points
4 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1549 (+17)	9-4	at LAC (1516): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 48-9: 1532+17→1549
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1516): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1544 (-12)	10-3	at DET (1436): Win by 18
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): L 23-30: 1556-12→1544
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1436): Win by 18 points
6 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543	7-6	vs NE (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1572): Slight underdog
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541 (+4)	9-4	at NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1491): W 27-20: 1537+4→1541
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1539 (+1)	10-3	at BAL (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): W 45-30: 1538+1→1539
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): Slight favorite
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1534 (+12)	9-4	vs SEA (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1556): W 30-23: 1522+12→1534
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): Slight favorite
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519 (+3)	9-4	at PIT (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1431): W 20-0: 1516+3→1519
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+8)	7-6	vs ATL (1466): Win by 13
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): W 26-23(OT): 1510+8→1518
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Win by 13 points
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1516 (+3)	8-5	vs KC (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 37-21: 1513+3→1516
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1549): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1511 (+8)	7-6	vs CIN (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): W 38-10: 1503+8→1511
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1507): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1510	6-7	vs WAS (1488): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1488): Slight favorite
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1508 (-2)	8-5	vs GB (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): L 22-24: 1510-2→1508
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1539): Slight underdog
16 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1507 (-7)	7-6	at DEN (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): L 23-26(OT): 1514-7→1507
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1511): Slight underdog
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (+1)	6-7	at CHI (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): W 36-28: 1502+1→1503
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1502 (+7)	6-7	at TB (1552): Lose by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1429): W 30-9: 1495+7→1502
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1552): Lose by 10 points
19 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1498 (+2)	7-6	vs LV (1464): Win by 9
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): W 24-22: 1496+2→1498
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1464): Win by 9 points
20 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (+6)	5-8	at LAR (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): W 33-13: 1489+6→1495
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1534): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1488 (-3)	6-7	at PHI (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1537): L 20-27: 1491-3→1488
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1510): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1481	6-7	vs NYJ (1422): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): Win by 11 points
23 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (-1)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): L 28-36: 1479-1→1478
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1471 (-12)	5-8	at BUF (1557): Lose by 20
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): L 21-29: 1483-12→1471
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1557): Lose by 20 points
25 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (-1)	4-9	vs MIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): L 30-45: 1470-1→1469
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight underdog
26	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (-4)	4-9	vs DAL (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): L 21-37: 1472-4→1468
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (+11)	6-7	at SF (1518): Lose by 13
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): W 29-21: 1455+11→1466
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Lose by 13 points
28 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1464 (-17)	6-7	at CLE (1498): Lose by 9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): L 9-48: 1481-17→1464
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): Lose by 9 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1436 (-8)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1544): Lose by 18
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1503): L 10-38: 1444-8→1436
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1544): Lose by 18 points
30	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1428 (-3)	2-11	vs HOU (1412): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): L 0-20: 1431-3→1428
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1412): Slight favorite
31	New York JetsNYJ	1422 (-7)	3-10	at MIA (1481): Lose by 11
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): L 9-30: 1429-7→1422
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1481): Lose by 11 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1412 (-6)	2-11	at JAX (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): L 13-33: 1418-6→1412
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1428): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, JAX, KC,
LAR, MIA, MIN, NE, PHI, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1572 (+7)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): W 14-10: 1565+7→1572
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (-7)	7-5	at TB (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): L 10-14: 1568-7→1561
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1548): Slight underdog
3	Arizona CardinalsARI	1556 (-1)	10-2	vs LAR (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): W 33-22: 1557-1→1556
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): Slight favorite
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1548 (+3)	9-3	vs BUF (1561): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1458): W 30-17: 1545+3→1548
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (+12)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1430): W 31-0: 1531+12→1543
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538	9-3	vs CHI (1470): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Win by 12 points
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1537 (+6)	8-4	at WAS (1491): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): W 27-17: 1531+6→1537
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1491): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1532 (+5)	8-4	vs LV (1481): Win by 10
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): W 22-9: 1527+5→1532
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Win by 10 points
9 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1522 (+7)	8-4	at ARI (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1438): W 37-7: 1515+7→1522
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1556): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1516	8-4	vs JAX (1431): Win by 15
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1431): Win by 15 points
11 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (-21)	7-5	vs SF (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 22-41: 1535-21→1514
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Slight favorite
12 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (+21)	7-5	vs NYG (1472): Win by 10
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): W 41-22: 1492+21→1513
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 10 points
13 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1510 (+3)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1432): W 33-18: 1507+3→1510
next: (bye)
14 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (-7)	6-6	at CIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): L 23-30: 1517-7→1510
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Slight underdog
15 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1510 (-9)	8-4	at CLE (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): L 19-20: 1519-9→1510
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1503 (-5)	6-6	vs DET (1444): Win by 14
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): L 9-22: 1508-5→1503
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): Win by 14 points
17 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-8)	5-7	vs PIT (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1436): L 27-29: 1510-8→1502
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): Slight favorite
18	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	6-6	vs BAL (1510): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (-6)	5-7	at NYJ (1429): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1531): L 17-27: 1501-6→1495
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1429): Win by 8 points
20 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1491 (+5)	6-6	vs DAL (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): W 17-15: 1486+5→1491
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1537): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1489 (+8)	4-8	at HOU (1418): Win by 9
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): W 30-23: 1481+8→1489
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): Win by 9 points
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483	5-7	vs ATL (1455): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1455): Slight favorite
23 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1481 (+6)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): W 20-9: 1475+6→1481
next: (bye)
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-5)	6-6	at KC (1532): Lose by 10
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1486): L 15-17: 1486-5→1481
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): Lose by 10 points
25 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1479 (+9)	6-5-1	at MIN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1519): W 20-19: 1470+9→1479
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (-6)	4-8	at LAC (1513): Lose by 10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1475): L 9-20: 1478-6→1472
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Lose by 10 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1470 (+1)	4-8	at GB (1538): Lose by 12
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): L 22-33: 1469+1→1470
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1538): Lose by 12 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1455 (-3)	5-7	at CAR (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): L 17-30: 1458-3→1455
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1444 (+8)	1-10-1	at DEN (1503): Lose by 14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): W 29-27: 1436+8→1444
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1503): Lose by 14 points
30 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1431 (-7)	2-10	at TEN (1516): Lose by 15
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 7-37: 1438-7→1431
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1516): Lose by 15 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1429 (-3)	3-9	vs NO (1495): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): L 18-33: 1432-3→1429
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Lose by 8 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418 (-12)	2-10	vs SEA (1489): Lose by 9
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1531): L 0-31: 1430-12→1418
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): Lose by 9 points
Favorites:
ARI, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, KC,
LAC, MIN, NO, SEA, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (+13)	7-4	vs NE (1565): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): W 31-6: 1555+13→1568
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1565 (+8)	8-4	at BUF (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1525): W 36-13: 1557+8→1565
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): Slight underdog
3 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557	9-2	at CHI (1469): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Win by 13 points
4 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1545 (+9)	8-3	at ATL (1458): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): W 38-31: 1536+9→1545
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1458): Win by 8 points
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1538 (+2)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): W 36-28: 1536+2→1538
next: (bye)
6 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1535 (+14)	7-4	vs LAC (1492): Win by 11
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 41-10: 1521+14→1535
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Win by 11 points
7 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1531 (-17)	7-4	at NO (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 33-36(OT): 1548-17→1531
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1501): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1531 (-8)	6-6	at HOU (1430): Win by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): L 31-38: 1539-8→1531
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1430): Win by 10 points
9 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1527	7-4	vs DEN (1508): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1508): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1519 (+1)	8-3	at PIT (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): W 16-10: 1518+1→1519
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): Slight favorite
11 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+4)	6-5	at SEA (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): W 34-26: 1513+4→1517
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1516 (-9)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): L 13-36: 1525-9→1516
next: (bye)
13 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (-2)	7-4	vs JAX (1438): Win by 18
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): L 28-36: 1517-2→1515
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1438): Win by 18 points
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (-4)	5-6	at DET (1436): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 26-34: 1514-4→1510
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1436): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1508 (+9)	6-5	at KC (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 28-13: 1499+9→1508
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): Slight underdog
16 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (-7)	5-7	at NYJ (1432): Win by 10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): L 7-13: 1514-7→1507
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1432): Win by 10 points
17 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1501 (-12)	5-6	vs DAL (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): L 6-31: 1513-12→1501
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1531): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496 (-1)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): L 10-16: 1497-1→1496
next: (bye)
19 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-8)	6-5	at CIN (1535): Lose by 11
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): L 13-28: 1500-8→1492
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): Lose by 11 points
20 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1486 (+16)	6-5	vs WAS (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): W 36-33(OT): 1470+16→1486
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1486): Slight favorite
21	Washington Football TeamWAS	1486	5-6	at LV (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): W 17-15: 1486+0→1486
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): Slight underdog
22 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483 (-18)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1457): L 10-33: 1501-18→1483
next: (bye)
23	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-1)	3-8	vs SF (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1486): L 15-17: 1482-1→1481
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1478 (+7)	4-7	at MIA (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): W 13-7: 1471+7→1478
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1475): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1475 (+18)	5-7	vs NYG (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): W 33-10: 1457+18→1475
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): Slight favorite
26 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1470 (-14)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): L 10-41: 1484-14→1470
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1519): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (+2)	4-7	vs ARI (1557): Lose by 13
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1438): W 16-14: 1467+2→1469
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Lose by 13 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1458 (+8)	5-6	vs TB (1545): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1445): W 21-14: 1450+8→1458
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): Lose by 8 points
29	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1438 (-7)	2-9	at LAR (1515): Lose by 18
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): L 14-21: 1445-7→1438
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Lose by 18 points
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1436 (-2)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1467): L 14-16: 1438-2→1436
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1432 (+10)	3-8	vs PHI (1507): Lose by 10
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1440): W 21-14: 1422+10→1432
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Lose by 10 points
32 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1430 (-10)	2-9	vs IND (1531): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): L 14-21: 1440-10→1430
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1531): Lose by 10 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, IND, KC, LAR,
LV, MIA, MIN, PHI, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1557 (+6)	7-4	vs TEN (1525): Win by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): W 25-0: 1551+6→1557
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1525): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (+3)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): W 23-13: 1554+3→1557
next: (bye)
3 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-28)	6-4	at NO (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): L 15-41: 1583-28→1555
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1513): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548 (-11)	7-3	vs LV (1470): Win by 18
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1517): L 9-19: 1559-11→1548
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Win by 18 points
5 (+8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1539 (+27)	6-5	vs TB (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): W 41-15: 1512+27→1539
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1536): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1536 (+3)	7-3	at IND (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): W 30-10: 1533+3→1536
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1539): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (-4)	8-3	vs LAR (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 31-34: 1540-4→1536
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1517): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1527 (+10)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1559): W 19-9: 1517+10→1527
next: (bye)
9 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1525 (-20)	8-3	at NE (1557): Lose by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1420): L 13-22: 1545-20→1525
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1557): Lose by 8 points
10 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1521 (+11)	6-4	vs PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 32-13: 1510+11→1521
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (-1)	7-3	vs CLE (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1466): W 16-13: 1519-1→1518
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517	7-3	at GB (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1514 (+7)	5-6	at NYG (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1521): W 40-29: 1507+7→1514
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1471): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (+4)	5-5	at SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1540): W 34-31: 1510+4→1514
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
15 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1513 (-8)	5-5	vs BUF (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): L 29-40: 1521-8→1513
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (+9)	5-5	vs MIN (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): W 30-10: 1504+9→1513
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Slight favorite
17 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1501 (-13)	5-6	at MIA (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1473): L 21-27: 1514-13→1501
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1457): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	6-4	at DEN (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 41-37: 1500-0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Slight underdog
19 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499	5-5	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
20 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (-8)	6-5	at BAL (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1431): W 13-10: 1505-8→1497
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1486 (+13)	4-6	vs SEA (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1514): W 27-21: 1473+13→1486
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): Slight favorite
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484	5-4-1	at CIN (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 37-41: 1484+0→1484
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1521): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1482 (-3)	3-7	at WAS (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1554): L 13-23: 1485-3→1482
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1486): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1471 (-3)	3-7	vs PHI (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): L 10-30: 1474-3→1471
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (-11)	5-5	at DAL (1548): Lose by 18
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): L 13-32: 1481-11→1470
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): Lose by 18 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (+1)	3-7	at DET (1438): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1519): L 13-16: 1466+1→1467
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1438): Slight favorite
27 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1457 (+6)	4-7	vs CAR (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1428): W 24-17: 1451+6→1457
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (-6)	4-6	at JAX (1445): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): L 0-25: 1456-6→1450
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1445): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1445 (-9)	2-8	vs ATL (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): L 10-30: 1454-9→1445
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight favorite
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1440 (+20)	2-8	vs NYJ (1422): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1545): W 22-13: 1420+20→1440
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1422): Slight favorite
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1438 (+7)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): L 10-13: 1431+7→1438
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1422 (-6)	2-8	at HOU (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1451): L 17-24: 1428-6→1422
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1440): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB,
HOU, IND, JAX, NE, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1583 (+10)	6-3	vs IND (1512): Win by 16
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1438): W 45-17: 1573+10→1583
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): Win by 16 points
2 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1559 (+17)	7-2	at KC (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): W 43-3: 1542+17→1559
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1517): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1554 (-24)	8-2	at SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): L 10-34: 1578-24→1554
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	New England PatriotsNE	1551 (+22)	6-4	at ATL (1456): Win by 14
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): W 45-7: 1529+22→1551
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): Win by 14 points
5 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1545 (-1)	8-2	vs HOU (1420): Win by 21
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): W 23-21: 1546-1→1545
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1420): Win by 21 points
6	Green Bay PackersGB	1540 (+5)	8-2	at MIN (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): W 17-0: 1535+5→1540
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight favorite
7 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1533 (-13)	6-3	vs NYG (1474): Win by 13
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): L 19-29: 1546-13→1533
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): Win by 13 points
8 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1521 (+1)	5-4	at PHI (1507): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1546): L 21-23: 1520+1→1521
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Tossup
9 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1519 (-15)	6-3	at CHI (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1435): L 10-22: 1534-15→1519
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1466): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517 (+19)	6-4	vs DAL (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): W 41-14: 1498+19→1517
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1559): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1517 (-14)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): L 10-31: 1531-14→1517
next: (bye)
12 (+10)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1514 (+25)	5-5	vs WAS (1473): Win by 10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1578): W 34-10: 1489+25→1514
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1473): Win by 10 points
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512	5-5	at BUF (1583): Lose by 16
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): W 23-17: 1512-0→1512
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): Lose by 16 points
14	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510	5-4	at LV (1481): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (+8)	4-5	vs GB (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): W 27-20: 1502+8→1510
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1540): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (+15)	4-6	vs NO (1521): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): W 30-13: 1492+15→1507
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1521): Tossup
17 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (-21)	5-5	vs DET (1431): Win by 17
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1529): L 7-45: 1526-21→1505
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1431): Win by 17 points
18 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1504 (+15)	4-5	at JAX (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): W 31-10: 1489+15→1504
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-8)	5-4	vs PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): L 20-27: 1508-8→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
20 (-8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (-15)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1492): L 13-30: 1514-15→1499
next: (bye)
21	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (-6)	3-6	vs ARI (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): L 0-17: 1491-6→1485
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1554): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (-7)	5-3-1	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1423): T 16-16(OT): 1491-7→1484
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
23 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-18)	5-4	vs CIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1498): L 14-41: 1499-18→1481
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1474	3-6	at TB (1533): Lose by 13
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): Lose by 13 points
25 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1473 (+13)	3-6	at CAR (1514): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1546): W 29-19: 1460+13→1473
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1514): Lose by 10 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1466	3-6	vs BAL (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1519): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1456 (-17)	4-5	vs NE (1551): Lose by 14
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1542): L 3-43: 1473-17→1456
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): Lose by 14 points
28	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454	2-7	vs SF (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): L 17-23: 1454+0→1454
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1451 (+16)	3-7	at NYJ (1428): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 22-10: 1435+16→1451
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1428): Tossup
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1431 (+8)	0-8-1	at CLE (1505): Lose by 17
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): T 16-16(OT): 1423+8→1431
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Lose by 17 points
31 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1428 (-10)	2-7	vs MIA (1451): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): L 17-45: 1438-10→1428
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1451): Tossup
32	Houston TexansHOU	1420	1-8	at TEN (1545): Lose by 21
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1545): Lose by 21 points
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, GB,
LAC, MIA, NE, PHI, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1578 (+7)	8-1	vs CAR (1489): Win by 13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): W 31-17: 1571+7→1578
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Win by 13 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573 (-11)	5-3	at NYJ (1438): Win by 10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1442): L 6-9: 1584-11→1573
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1438): Win by 10 points
3 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1546	6-2	at WAS (1460): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1460): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1546 (+10)	7-2	vs NO (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): W 28-16: 1536+10→1546
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1542 (-15)	6-2	vs ATL (1473): Win by 10
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 16-30: 1557-15→1542
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1473): Win by 10 points
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1535 (-7)	7-2	vs SEA (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1491): L 7-13: 1542-7→1535
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (+1)	6-2	at MIA (1435): Win by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): W 34-31(OT): 1533+1→1534
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1435): Win by 10 points
8 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531 (-10)	7-2	at SF (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): L 16-28: 1541-10→1531
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1529 (+11)	5-4	vs CLE (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): W 24-6: 1518+11→1529
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1526): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1526 (+17)	5-4	at NE (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): W 41-16: 1509+17→1526
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1529): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1520 (-7)	5-3	at TEN (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): L 25-27: 1527-7→1520
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1546): Slight underdog
12 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1514 (+14)	5-4	vs PHI (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1557): W 30-16: 1500+14→1514
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1492): Slight favorite
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512 (+4)	4-5	vs JAX (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): W 45-30: 1508+4→1512
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Slight favorite
14 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (-18)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): L 16-41: 1528-18→1510
next: (bye)
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+4)	5-3	vs MIN (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): W 27-24: 1504+4→1508
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Slight favorite
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-1)	3-5	at LAC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): L 31-34(OT): 1503-1→1502
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499 (-7)	5-3	vs KC (1498): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1467): L 16-23: 1506-7→1499
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1498): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1498 (+7)	5-4	at LV (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 13-7: 1491+7→1498
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): Slight underdog
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1492 (-4)	3-6	at DEN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): L 24-27: 1496-4→1492
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491	5-3	vs DET (1423): Win by 10
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): W 29-27: 1491-0→1491
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1423): Win by 10 points
21 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491	3-5	at GB (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1535): Slight underdog
22 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-12)	4-5	at ARI (1578): Lose by 13
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): L 6-24: 1501-12→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1578): Lose by 13 points
23 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1489 (-7)	3-5	vs LAR (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1571): L 17-31: 1496-7→1489
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1474 (+7)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): W 23-16: 1467+7→1474
next: (bye)
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1473 (+7)	4-4	at DAL (1542): Lose by 10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1527): W 27-25: 1466+7→1473
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1542): Lose by 10 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1466	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): L 27-29: 1466+0→1466
next: (bye)
27	Washington Football TeamWAS	1460	2-6	vs TB (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1546): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (+12)	2-6	at IND (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): W 9-6: 1442+12→1454
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1438 (-4)	2-6	vs BUF (1573): Lose by 10
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): L 30-45: 1442-4→1438
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Lose by 10 points
30	Miami DolphinsMIA	1435 (+4)	2-7	vs BAL (1534): Lose by 10
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1424): W 17-9: 1431+4→1435
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Lose by 10 points
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1423	0-8	at PIT (1491): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Lose by 10 points
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1420 (-4)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): L 9-17: 1424-4→1420
next: (bye)
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, DAL, DEN, GB, IND, LAC,
LAR, LV, NE, PIT, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1584 (+1)	5-2	at JAX (1442): Win by 12
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1432): W 26-11: 1583+1→1584
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1442): Win by 12 points
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1571 (-8)	7-1	at SF (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1534): L 21-24: 1579-8→1571
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1557 (+2)	6-1	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 20-16: 1555+2→1557
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1546 (-7)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): L 27-36: 1553-7→1546
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+8)	7-1	at KC (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1579): W 24-21: 1534+8→1542
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1491): Slight favorite
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1541 (+4)	7-1	vs TEN (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1429): W 38-22: 1537+4→1541
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536 (+5)	6-2	at LAR (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): W 34-31(OT): 1531+5→1536
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): Slight underdog
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533	5-2	vs MIN (1503): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (-10)	5-3	vs CLE (1509): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1433): L 31-34: 1538-10→1528
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight favorite
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527 (+7)	5-2	vs ATL (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1553): W 36-27: 1520+7→1527
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (+5)	4-4	at CAR (1501): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): W 27-24: 1513+5→1518
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1501): Tossup
12 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (-7)	4-4	at CIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): L 10-15: 1516-7→1509
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Slight underdog
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1508 (-4)	3-5	vs NYJ (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): L 31-34(OT): 1512-4→1508
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1442): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1506	5-2	at NYG (1467): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1467): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (-4)	4-3	at PHI (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): L 24-27: 1508-4→1504
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1496): Slight underdog
16	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (-2)	3-4	at BAL (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): L 16-20: 1505-2→1503
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1501 (+5)	4-4	vs NE (1518): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): W 19-13: 1496+5→1501
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): Tossup
18 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1500 (+2)	4-4	at DAL (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): W 17-10: 1498+2→1500
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1557): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1496 (+22)	3-5	vs LAC (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1445): W 44-6: 1474+22→1496
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight favorite
20	San Francisco 49ersSF	1496 (+8)	3-4	vs ARI (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): W 33-22: 1488+8→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1571): Slight underdog
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (+7)	4-3	vs CHI (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): W 15-10: 1484+7→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1466): Slight favorite
22 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1491 (+1)	4-4	vs GB (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): W 20-17: 1490+1→1491
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (+13)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): W 31-7: 1478+13→1491
next: (bye)
24 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1467 (-1)	2-6	vs LV (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): L 17-20: 1468-1→1467
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): Slight underdog
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (-5)	3-4	at NO (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1496): L 13-19: 1471-5→1466
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1527): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1466 (-8)	3-5	at PIT (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1488): L 22-33: 1474-8→1466
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Slight underdog
27	Washington Football TeamWAS	1460 (-2)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1498): L 10-17: 1462-2→1460
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1442 (+9)	2-5	at IND (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): W 34-31: 1433+9→1442
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1508): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1442 (-12)	1-6	vs BUF (1584): Lose by 12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): L 7-31: 1454-12→1442
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): Lose by 12 points
30 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1431 (-1)	1-7	vs HOU (1424): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): L 11-26: 1432-1→1431
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1424): Slight favorite
31 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1424 (-5)	1-7	at MIA (1431): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): L 22-38: 1429-5→1424
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1431): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1423 (-22)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1474): L 6-44: 1445-22→1423
next: (bye)
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, GB, IND,
LAR, LV, MIA, NO, PHI, PIT

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1583	4-2	vs MIA (1432): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1432): Win by 13 points
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1579 (+5)	7-0	vs GB (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1434): W 31-5: 1574+5→1579
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1534): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	5-1	at MIN (1505): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1553 (+16)	6-1	at NO (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): W 38-3: 1537+16→1553
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1520): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (+18)	5-2	at NYJ (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): W 41-17: 1520+18→1538
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1433): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (-1)	6-1	at HOU (1429): Win by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): W 28-19: 1538-1→1537
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1429): Win by 8 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1534 (+3)	6-1	at ARI (1579): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): W 24-10: 1531+3→1534
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1579): Slight underdog
8 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (-18)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 17-41: 1551-18→1533
next: (bye)
9	Tennessee TitansTEN	1531 (+12)	5-2	at IND (1512): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): W 27-3: 1519+12→1531
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1512): Tossup
10	New Orleans SaintsNO	1520 (+2)	4-2	vs TB (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): W 13-10: 1518+2→1520
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1553): Slight underdog
11	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1516 (+1)	4-3	vs PIT (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): W 17-14: 1515+1→1516
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight favorite
12 (+8)	New England PatriotsNE	1513 (+20)	3-4	at LAC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1453): W 54-13: 1493+20→1513
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512 (+8)	3-4	vs TEN (1531): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): W 30-18: 1504+8→1512
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): Tossup
14 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508	4-2	vs NE (1513): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1506 (+5)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): W 33-22: 1501+5→1506
next: (bye)
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505	3-3	vs DAL (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (-1)	3-4	vs WAS (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): L 14-17: 1499-1→1498
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1462): Slight favorite
18 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1496 (-17)	3-4	at ATL (1471): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1451): L 3-25: 1513-17→1496
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Tossup
19 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1490 (-12)	3-4	vs NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): L 3-27: 1502-12→1490
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1488 (-9)	2-4	at CHI (1474): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1504): L 18-30: 1497-9→1488
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Tossup
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484	3-3	at CLE (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1516): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1478 (-2)	2-5	vs JAX (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): L 10-13: 1480-2→1478
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1474 (-5)	2-5	at DET (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): L 22-33: 1479-5→1474
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1445): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (-16)	3-4	vs SF (1488): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): L 3-38: 1490-16→1474
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1488): Tossup
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (+2)	3-3	vs CAR (1496): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1433): W 30-28: 1469+2→1471
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1496): Tossup
26 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (+17)	2-5	at KC (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1513): W 25-3: 1451+17→1468
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1462 (-4)	2-5	at DEN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): L 10-24: 1466-4→1462
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454	1-5	at SEA (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1445 (+1)	0-7	vs PHI (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1538): L 19-28: 1444+1→1445
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1474): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1433 (-20)	1-5	vs CIN (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): L 13-54: 1453-20→1433
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1432 (-1)	1-6	at BUF (1583): Lose by 13
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): L 28-30: 1433-1→1432
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): Lose by 13 points
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1429 (-5)	1-6	vs LAR (1537): Lose by 8
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1574): L 5-31: 1434-5→1429
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Lose by 8 points
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CAR, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN,
IND, KC, LAC, LAR, PHI, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1583 (-10)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1510): L 31-34: 1593-10→1583
next: (bye)
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1574 (+17)	6-0	vs HOU (1434): Win by 16
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): W 37-14: 1557+17→1574
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1434): Win by 16 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (+2)	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): W 35-29(OT): 1553+2→1555
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1551 (+19)	5-1	vs CIN (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): W 34-6: 1532+19→1551
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1538 (+17)	5-1	vs DET (1444): Win by 11
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): W 38-11: 1521+17→1538
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1444): Win by 11 points
6 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1537 (+3)	5-1	vs CHI (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): W 28-22: 1534+3→1537
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (+9)	5-1	vs WAS (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): W 24-14: 1522+9→1531
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1466): Slight favorite
8 (+6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (+14)	4-2	at BAL (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1458): W 34-11: 1506+14→1520
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1551): Slight underdog
9 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1519 (+9)	4-2	vs KC (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): W 34-31: 1510+9→1519
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518	3-2	at SEA (1480): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1480): Slight favorite
11 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1515 (-16)	3-3	vs DEN (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): L 14-37: 1531-16→1515
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Slight favorite
12 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1513 (-9)	3-3	at NYG (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): L 28-34(OT): 1522-9→1513
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1451): Slight favorite
13 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (-19)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): L 6-34: 1527-19→1508
next: (bye)
14 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (+9)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1522): W 34-28(OT): 1496+9→1505
next: (bye)
15 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1504 (+17)	2-4	at SF (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): W 31-3: 1487+17→1504
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): Slight underdog
16 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1502 (+14)	3-3	at TEN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): W 31-13: 1488+14→1502
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1519): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1501 (+11)	4-2	vs PHI (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): W 34-24: 1490+11→1501
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): Slight favorite
18 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (-11)	3-3	at CLE (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): L 24-34: 1510-11→1499
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1515): Slight underdog
19 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497	2-3	vs IND (1504): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1504): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1493 (-2)	2-4	vs NYJ (1453): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): L 29-35(OT): 1495-2→1493
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1453): Slight favorite
21 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490 (-9)	3-3	at TB (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1522): L 14-24: 1499-9→1490
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (+4)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): W 23-20(OT): 1480+4→1484
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1480 (-5)	2-4	vs NO (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): L 20-23(OT): 1485-5→1480
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1518): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1479 (-3)	2-4	at LV (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1534): L 22-28: 1482-3→1479
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1469	2-3	at MIA (1433): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1433): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1466 (-14)	2-4	at GB (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1488): L 13-31: 1480-14→1466
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (+3)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1436): W 23-20: 1451+3→1454
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1453	1-4	at NE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1493): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1451 (-17)	1-5	vs CAR (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): L 11-38: 1468-17→1451
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1513): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1444 (-14)	0-6	at LAR (1538): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): L 11-34: 1458-14→1444
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1538): Lose by 11 points
31	Houston TexansHOU	1434 (-17)	1-5	at ARI (1574): Lose by 16
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): L 3-31: 1451-17→1434
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1574): Lose by 16 points
32	Miami DolphinsMIA	1433 (-3)	1-5	vs ATL (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): L 20-23: 1436-3→1433
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, CAR, CLE, GB, LAR, LV,
NE, NO, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1593 (+10)	4-1	at TEN (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1497): W 38-20: 1583+10→1593
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1510): Slight favorite
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (+2)	5-0	at CLE (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): W 17-10: 1555+2→1557
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1531): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1553 (+15)	4-1	at NE (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): W 44-20: 1538+15→1553
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1534 (+16)	4-1	at PHI (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1452): W 45-17: 1518+16→1534
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1532	4-1	vs LAC (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): W 31-25(OT): 1532+0→1532
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1527): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1531 (-6)	3-2	vs ARI (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): L 42-47: 1537-6→1531
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1527 (+6)	4-1	at BAL (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1537): W 47-42: 1521+6→1527
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): Slight underdog
8 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1522 (+8)	4-1	at CHI (1499): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): W 25-22(OT): 1514+8→1522
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): Tossup
9 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1522 (-12)	3-2	vs MIN (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1470): L 18-21: 1534-12→1522
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1521 (+10)	4-1	at NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): W 26-17: 1511+10→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1518 (+11)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1491): W 33-22: 1507+11→1518
next: (bye)
12 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1510 (-12)	3-2	vs LV (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): L 19-27: 1522-12→1510
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): Slight favorite
13 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1510 (+16)	3-2	vs BUF (1593): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): W 37-19: 1494+16→1510
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1593): Slight underdog
14 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1506 (-7)	3-2	at DET (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1514): L 22-25(OT): 1513-7→1506
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1458): Slight favorite
15 (+8)	Chicago BearsCHI	1499 (+15)	3-2	vs GB (1522): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1504): W 20-9: 1484+15→1499
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1522): Tossup
16 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497 (-2)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1555): L 10-17: 1499-2→1497
next: (bye)
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1496	2-3	at CAR (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1458): W 19-17: 1496-0→1496
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1522): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1495 (+3)	2-3	vs DAL (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): W 25-22: 1492+3→1495
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1553): Slight underdog
19 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1490 (-14)	3-2	at DEN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): L 9-20: 1504-14→1490
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1510): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1488 (-9)	2-3	at WAS (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): L 20-38: 1497-9→1488
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1480): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1487	1-4	vs HOU (1451): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): L 25-31(OT): 1487-0→1487
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1451): Slight favorite
22 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (-9)	2-3	at PIT (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): L 17-26: 1494-9→1485
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1482 (+12)	2-3	vs TB (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1534): W 21-18: 1470+12→1482
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1534): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1480 (-11)	2-3	vs KC (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): L 22-33: 1491-11→1480
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1488): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (+13)	2-3	vs SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1522): W 27-19: 1467+13→1480
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1469 (+8)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1461): W 27-20: 1461+8→1469
next: (bye)
27 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (-15)	1-4	vs LAR (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): L 20-44: 1483-15→1468
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1521): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1458	0-5	vs CIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): L 17-19: 1458+0→1458
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1506): Slight underdog
29	New York JetsNYJ	1453 (-8)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): L 20-27: 1461-8→1453
next: (bye)
30 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1451 (-16)	0-5	at MIA (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): L 19-37: 1467-16→1451
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1436): Slight favorite
31	Houston TexansHOU	1451 (-2)	1-4	at IND (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): L 22-25: 1453-2→1451
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): Slight underdog
32	Miami DolphinsMIA	1436 (-16)	1-4	at JAX (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): L 17-45: 1452-16→1436
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1451): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB,
IND, JAX, LAR, PIT, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1583 (+27)	3-1	at KC (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1481): W 40-0: 1556+27→1583
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1497): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1555 (+19)	4-0	vs SF (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): W 37-20: 1536+19→1555
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1499): Slight favorite
3 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1538 (+9)	3-1	vs NYG (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1544): W 36-28: 1529+9→1538
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1483): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1537 (+8)	3-1	at LAC (1521): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): W 14-7: 1529+8→1537
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Tossup
5 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1534 (-10)	3-1	vs PHI (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 28-36: 1544-10→1534
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1470): Slight favorite
6 (+7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1532 (+23)	3-1	vs IND (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1545): W 23-7: 1509+23→1532
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1487): Slight favorite
7 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1522 (-23)	3-1	at PIT (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): L 7-23: 1545-23→1522
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Slight favorite
8 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (+14)	3-1	vs CLE (1537): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1519): W 28-14: 1507+14→1521
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1537): Tossup
9 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+4)	3-1	vs MIA (1452): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): W 19-17: 1514+4→1518
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1452): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (+5)	3-1	at CIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): W 27-17: 1509+5→1514
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1513): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1513 (-3)	3-1	vs GB (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): W 24-21: 1516-3→1513
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1511 (-20)	3-1	at SEA (1494): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): L 20-37: 1531-20→1511
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Tossup
13 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (-16)	2-2	at WAS (1491): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): L 21-27(OT): 1523-16→1507
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1491): Tossup
14 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1504 (-15)	3-1	vs CHI (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): L 14-28: 1519-15→1504
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): Slight favorite
15 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1499 (-13)	2-2	at ARI (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): L 21-28: 1512-13→1499
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1555): Slight underdog
16 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1497 (+15)	2-2	vs BUF (1583): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): W 42-30: 1482+15→1497
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1583): Slight underdog
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1496 (-8)	1-3	vs DET (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): L 7-14: 1504-8→1496
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1458): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (+13)	2-2	vs LAR (1511): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): W 28-21: 1481+13→1494
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1511): Tossup
19 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494 (-11)	2-2	at JAX (1467): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1450): L 24-27(OT): 1505-11→1494
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1467): Tossup
20 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1492 (-4)	1-3	at HOU (1453): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 17-19: 1496-4→1492
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1491 (+6)	2-2	vs NO (1507): Tossup
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): W 34-30: 1485+6→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Tossup
22 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1487 (+12)	1-3	at BAL (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): W 27-17: 1475+12→1487
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1532): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1484 (+9)	2-2	at LV (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1467): W 24-14: 1475+9→1484
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1504): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1483 (+15)	1-3	at DAL (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): W 27-21(OT): 1468+15→1483
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): Slight underdog
25 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1470 (-15)	1-3	at CAR (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1482): L 30-42: 1485-15→1470
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1534): Slight underdog
26	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (-6)	1-3	vs DEN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 17-27: 1473-6→1467
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1522): Slight underdog
27 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1467 (+2)	0-4	vs TEN (1494): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): L 21-24: 1465+2→1467
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Tossup
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1461 (-7)	1-3	at NYJ (1461): Tossup
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1485): L 30-34: 1468-7→1461
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1461): Tossup
29 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1461 (+11)	1-3	at ATL (1461): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1505): W 27-24(OT): 1450+11→1461
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1461): Tossup
30 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1458 (-9)	0-4	at MIN (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1475): L 14-24: 1467-9→1458
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): Slight underdog
31 (-8)	Houston TexansHOU	1453 (-28)	1-3	vs NE (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 0-40: 1481-28→1453
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1452 (-12)	1-3	at TB (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): L 17-27: 1464-12→1452
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DEN,
LAC, LV, MIN, NE, SEA, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (+18)	2-1	vs HOU (1481): Win by 9
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1503): W 43-21: 1538+18→1556
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1481): Win by 9 points
2 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1545 (+19)	3-0	vs BAL (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): W 26-0: 1526+19→1545
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1544 (+16)	3-0	at DAL (1529): Tossup
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): W 24-9: 1528+16→1544
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Tossup
4 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1536 (+11)	3-0	at LAR (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): W 31-19: 1525+11→1536
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Slight underdog
5 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531 (+12)	3-0	vs ARI (1536): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1526): W 34-24: 1519+12→1531
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1536): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1529 (+18)	2-1	at MIN (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): W 26-6: 1511+18→1529
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight favorite
7 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (+20)	2-1	vs CAR (1544): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): W 41-21: 1509+20→1529
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1544): Tossup
8 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+23)	2-1	vs NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1519): W 28-13: 1500+23→1523
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1519 (-1)	3-0	at LAC (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1463): W 31-28(OT): 1520-1→1519
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Slight underdog
10 (+7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1516 (+19)	2-1	vs JAX (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): W 24-10: 1497+19→1516
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1465): Slight favorite
11 (-7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (-12)	2-1	at NE (1496): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): L 24-34: 1526-12→1514
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): Tossup
12 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (-11)	2-1	vs SEA (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1498): L 28-30: 1523-11→1512
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (+2)	2-1	at DEN (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1469): W 19-17: 1507+2→1509
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1545): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (+11)	2-1	vs PIT (1473): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): W 30-28: 1498+11→1509
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): Slight favorite
15 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (+11)	2-1	vs LV (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1493): W 30-24: 1496+11→1507
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1519): Slight favorite
16 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1505 (+9)	2-1	at NYJ (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): W 25-16: 1496+9→1505
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1450): Slight favorite
17 (+8)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (+14)	1-2	vs CLE (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): W 30-17: 1490+14→1504
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): Slight underdog
18 (-9)	New England PatriotsNE	1496 (-23)	1-2	vs TB (1514): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 13-28: 1519-23→1496
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Tossup
19 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1485 (-21)	1-2	vs KC (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): L 21-41: 1506-21→1485
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1482): Slight favorite
20 (-6)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1485 (-18)	1-2	at ATL (1468): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): L 21-43: 1503-18→1485
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Tossup
21 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1482 (-11)	1-2	at PHI (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 24-30: 1493-11→1482
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1485): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-14)	1-2	at SF (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): L 17-30: 1495-14→1481
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1481 (-16)	1-2	at BUF (1556): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1528): L 9-24: 1497-16→1481
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Lose by 9 points
24 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1475 (-19)	1-2	vs DET (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): L 6-26: 1494-19→1475
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1467): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1475 (-8)	0-3	at MIA (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1496): L 16-25: 1483-8→1475
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1473 (-18)	1-2	at GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): L 10-24: 1491-18→1473
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
27	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (-11)	0-3	at NO (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): L 14-17: 1479-11→1468
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (+12)	1-2	vs WAS (1485): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 17-14: 1456+12→1468
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1485): Tossup
29	Detroit LionsDET	1467 (-2)	0-3	at CHI (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): L 17-19: 1469-2→1467
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1475): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1465 (-11)	0-3	at CIN (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): L 19-31: 1476-11→1465
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): Slight underdog
31	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (+1)	1-2	vs IND (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1520): L 28-31(OT): 1463+1→1464
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): Slight favorite
32 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1450 (-19)	0-3	vs TEN (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): L 0-26: 1469-19→1450
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1505): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, CIN, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, LAC,
LAR, MIA, NO, PHI, SF, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+22)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538 (+46)	1-1	vs WAS (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): W 35-0: 1492+46→1538
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1503): Slight favorite
2 (+10)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1528 (+24)	2-0	at HOU (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): W 26-7: 1504+24→1528
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1526 (+14)	2-0	vs NYJ (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): W 23-13: 1512+14→1526
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): Slight favorite
4 (+12)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1526 (+24)	2-0	at LAR (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): W 48-25: 1502+24→1526
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1519): Slight underdog
5 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525 (+6)	2-0	at JAX (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): W 34-33: 1519+6→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1476): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+15)	2-0	vs GB (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): W 17-11: 1508+15→1523
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1498): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1520 (+16)	2-0	vs MIA (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): W 26-17: 1504+16→1520
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1463): Slight favorite
8 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1519 (+6)	2-0	vs TB (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): W 27-24: 1513+6→1519
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1526): Slight favorite
9 (+15)	New England PatriotsNE	1519 (+27)	1-1	vs NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): W 25-6: 1492+27→1519
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1511 (+14)	1-1	vs CHI (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): W 31-21: 1497+14→1511
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight favorite
11 (+6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1509 (+11)	1-1	vs PHI (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 20-17: 1498+11→1509
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Slight favorite
12 (+8)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1507 (+11)	1-1	at DET (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1503): W 36-35: 1496+11→1507
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1469): Slight favorite
13 (-11)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (-14)	1-1	at DAL (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): L 11-17: 1520-14→1506
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1509): Slight underdog
14 (+8)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1503 (+9)	1-1	at BUF (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): W 30-29: 1494+9→1503
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1538): Slight underdog
15 (-14)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-24)	1-1	at NE (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): L 7-26: 1524-24→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1519): Slight underdog
16 (+16)	Green Bay PackersGB	1498 (+22)	1-1	at SF (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1492): W 35-17: 1476+22→1498
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1497 (-7)	1-1	at PIT (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1487): L 17-20: 1504-7→1497
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Slight underdog
18 (-11)	Houston TexansHOU	1497 (-14)	1-1	vs CAR (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): L 21-31: 1511-14→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1528): Slight underdog
19 (+11)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1496 (+15)	1-1	vs IND (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): W 33-30(OT): 1481+15→1496
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): Slight favorite
20 (-9)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-10)	1-1	at KC (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): L 17-20: 1506-10→1496
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1493): Slight underdog
21 (-15)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (-16)	1-1	at MIN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): L 30-33(OT): 1511-16→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): Slight underdog
22 (+7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+7)	1-1	at CLE (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): W 20-17: 1487+7→1494
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1511): Slight underdog
23 (-8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1493 (-10)	1-1	vs LAC (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): L 35-36: 1503-10→1493
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight favorite
24 (-14)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (-17)	1-1	vs CIN (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1504): L 17-26: 1508-17→1491
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): Slight favorite
25 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1490 (-6)	0-2	vs SEA (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): L 33-34: 1496-6→1490
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-6)	0-2	at TEN (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): L 24-27: 1489-6→1483
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1496): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (-9)	0-2	vs ATL (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1494): L 29-30: 1488-9→1479
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1456): Slight favorite
28 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1476 (-13)	0-2	vs ARI (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1512): L 13-23: 1489-13→1476
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1469 (-23)	0-2	vs BAL (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1476): L 17-35: 1492-23→1469
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1507): Slight underdog
30 (-9)	New York JetsNYJ	1469 (-27)	0-2	at DEN (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): L 6-25: 1496-27→1469
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1526): Slight underdog
31 (-22)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1463 (-45)	1-1	at LV (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1492): L 0-35: 1508-45→1463
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1520): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1456 (-24)	0-2	at NYG (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): L 25-48: 1480-24→1456
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, CLE, DAL, DEN, KC,
LAR, LV, MIN, NE, NYG, PIT, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+22)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1524 (+24)	1-0	at CAR (1504): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 38-3: 1500+24→1524
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): Tossup
2 (+24)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (+20)	1-0	vs SF (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 32-6: 1500+20→1520
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1519 (+19)	1-0	vs MIN (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 38-13: 1500+19→1519
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1496): Slight favorite
4 (+15)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1513 (+13)	1-0	at IND (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 34-14: 1500+13→1513
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1489): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1512 (+12)	1-0	at JAX (1489): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 27-13: 1500+12→1512
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1489): Slight favorite
6 (+23)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (+11)	1-0	vs TEN (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 28-16: 1500+11→1511
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1481): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Houston TexansHOU	1511 (+11)	1-0	at CLE (1497): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 37-21: 1500+11→1511
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Tossup
8 (+20)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1508 (+8)	1-0	at PHI (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 41-33: 1500+8→1508
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight underdog
9 (+11)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs BUF (1492): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1492): Slight favorite
10 (+17)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs LV (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): W 23-16: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1504): Slight favorite
11 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs DAL (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): W 20-16: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs NO (1524): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 19-14: 1500+4→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): Tossup
13 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1504 (+4)	1-0	at PIT (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 33-27(OT): 1500+4→1504
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight underdog
14 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (+4)	1-0	at CHI (1487): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 27-24(OT): 1500+4→1504
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Tossup
15 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1503 (+3)	1-0	at BAL (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 33-29: 1500+3→1503
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): Slight underdog
16 (+14)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1502 (+2)	1-0	vs ATL (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 31-29: 1500+2→1502
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1480): Slight favorite
17 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498 (-2)	0-1	at LAC (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 29-31: 1500-2→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight underdog
18 (-10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs HOU (1511): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 29-33: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1511): Tossup
19 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1496 (-4)	0-1	at ARI (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 24-27(OT): 1500-4→1496
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1519): Slight underdog
20 (-17)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs KC (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 27-33(OT): 1500-4→1496
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1503): Slight favorite
21 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs NE (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): L 14-19: 1500-4→1496
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): Slight favorite
22 (+10)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs NYG (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 16-20: 1500-6→1494
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): Slight favorite
23 (-19)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1492 (-8)	0-1	at MIA (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 16-23: 1500-8→1492
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): Slight underdog
24 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1492 (-8)	0-1	at NYJ (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 16-17: 1500-8→1492
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): Slight underdog
25 (-14)	Detroit LionsDET	1492 (-8)	0-1	at GB (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 33-41: 1500-8→1492
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1476): Slight underdog
26 (-11)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs DEN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): L 21-37: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1512): Slight underdog
27 (-13)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs LAR (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 16-28: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1513): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1488 (-12)	0-1	at WAS (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 13-27: 1500-12→1488
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1494): Slight underdog
29 (-23)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (-13)	0-1	vs CIN (1504): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 14-34: 1500-13→1487
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): Tossup
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1481 (-19)	0-1	at SEA (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-38: 1500-19→1481
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Slight underdog
31 (-29)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480 (-20)	0-1	at TB (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 6-32: 1500-20→1480
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1502): Slight underdog
32 (-20)	Green Bay PackersGB	1476 (-24)	0-1	vs DET (1492): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 3-38: 1500-24→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1492): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CAR, CHI, CLE, DEN, GB, LAC,
LAR, MIA, NYJ, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at LV (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	vs NYJ (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight favorite
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at TB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Tossup
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at HOU (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs CLE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs CHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Tossup
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	at CAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight underdog
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
32	Washington Football TeamWAS	1500	0-0	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DET, HOU, IND, KC,
LAR, LV, NE, NYG, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at TEN(1500) W 38-13: +19→1519	9	1	at SF(1496) W 31-17: +7→1578	17	10	at DAL(1564) W 25-22: +13→1529
2	5	vs MIN(1496) W 34-33: +6→1525	10	3	vs CAR(1489) L 10-34: -24→1554	18	12	vs SEA(1490) L 30-38: -14→1515
3	4	at JAX(1476) W 31-19: +11→1536	11	2	at SEA(1485) W 23-13: +3→1557	W	14	at LAR(1532) L 11-34: -11→1504
4	2	at LAR(1531) W 37-20: +19→1555	12	3	(bye)	D	14
5	2	vs SF(1499) W 17-10: +2→1557	13	3	at CHI(1469) W 33-22: -1→1556	C	14
6	2	at CLE(1531) W 37-14: +17→1574	14	5	vs LAR(1522) L 23-30: -12→1544	S	14
7	2	vs HOU(1434) W 31-5: +5→1579	15	10	at DET(1436) L 12-30: -25→1519
8	2	vs GB(1534) L 21-24: -8→1571	16	12	vs IND(1552) L 16-22: -3→1516

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs PHI(1500) L 6-32: -20→1480	9	25	at NO(1527) W 27-25: +7→1473	17	25	at BUF(1567) L 15-29: +6→1471
2	32	at TB(1502) L 25-48: -24→1456	10	27	at DAL(1542) L 3-43: -17→1456	18	26	vs NO(1497) L 20-30: -8→1463
3	28	at NYG(1479) W 17-14: +12→1468	11	28	vs NE(1551) L 0-25: -6→1450	W	26
4	28	vs WAS(1485) L 30-34: -7→1461	12	28	at JAX(1445) W 21-14: +8→1458	D	26
5	26	at NYJ(1461) W 27-20: +8→1469	13	28	vs TB(1545) L 17-30: -3→1455	C	26
6	25	(bye)	14	27	at CAR(1483) W 29-21: +11→1466	S	26
7	25	at MIA(1433) W 30-28: +2→1471	15	27	at SF(1518) L 13-31: -3→1463
8	25	vs CAR(1496) L 13-19: -5→1466	16	26	vs DET(1461) W 20-16: +2→1465

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at LV(1500) L 27-33: -4→1496	9	7	vs MIN(1503) W 34-31: +1→1534	17	18	vs LAR(1540) L 19-20: -2→1491
2	12	vs KC(1503) W 36-35: +11→1507	10	9	at MIA(1435) L 10-22: -15→1519	18	23	vs PIT(1489) L 13-16: -8→1483
3	13	at DET(1469) W 19-17: +2→1509	11	11	at CHI(1466) W 16-13: -1→1518	W	23
4	6	at DEN(1545) W 23-7: +23→1532	12	10	vs CLE(1497) W 16-10: +1→1519	D	23
5	5	vs IND(1487) W 31-25: +0→1532	13	15	at PIT(1470) L 19-20: -9→1510	C	23
6	4	vs LAC(1527) W 34-6: +19→1551	14	15	at CLE(1496) L 22-24: -2→1508	S	23
7	8	vs CIN(1520) L 17-41: -18→1533	15	17	vs GB(1539) L 30-31: -5→1503
8	8	(bye)	16	20	at CIN(1514) L 21-41: -10→1493

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-66 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs PIT(1500) L 16-23: -8→1492	9	2	at JAX(1442) L 6-9: -11→1573	17	1	vs ATL(1465) W 29-15: -6→1561
2	1	at MIA(1508) W 35-0: +46→1538	10	1	at NYJ(1438) W 45-17: +10→1583	18	2	vs NYJ(1436) W 27-10: -3→1558
3	1	vs WAS(1503) W 43-21: +18→1556	11	3	vs IND(1512) L 15-41: -28→1555	W	1	vs NE(1543) W 47-17: +15→1573
4	1	vs HOU(1481) W 40-0: +27→1583	12	1	at NO(1513) W 31-6: +13→1568	D	1	at KC(1556) L 36-42: -5→1568
5	1	at KC(1497) W 38-20: +10→1593	13	2	vs NE(1565) L 10-14: -7→1561	C	1
6	1	at TEN(1510) L 31-34: -10→1583	14	2	at TB(1548) L 27-33: -4→1557	S	1
7	1	(bye)	15	2	vs CAR(1471) W 31-14: -2→1555
8	1	vs MIA(1432) W 26-11: +1→1584	16	1	at NE(1563) W 33-21: +12→1567

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs NYJ(1500) W 19-14: +4→1504	9	22	vs NE(1518) L 6-24: -12→1489	17	27	at NO(1497) L 10-18: -0→1460
2	2	vs NO(1524) W 26-7: +24→1528	10	12	at ARI(1578) W 34-10: +25→1514	18	27	at TB(1539) L 17-41: -3→1457
3	3	at HOU(1497) W 24-9: +16→1544	11	17	vs WAS(1473) L 21-27: -13→1501	W	27
4	5	at DAL(1529) L 28-36: -10→1534	12	22	at MIA(1457) L 10-33: -18→1483	D	27
5	9	vs PHI(1470) L 18-21: -12→1522	13	22	(bye)	C	27
6	12	vs MIN(1496) L 28-34: -9→1513	14	24	vs ATL(1455) L 21-29: -12→1471	S	27
7	18	at NYG(1451) L 3-25: -17→1496	15	25	at BUF(1557) L 14-31: +2→1473
8	17	at ATL(1471) W 19-13: +5→1501	16	27	vs TB(1537) L 6-32: -13→1460

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at LAR(1500) L 14-34: -13→1487	9	26	at PIT(1491) L 27-29: +0→1466	17	21	vs NYG(1454) W 29-3: +12→1488
2	22	vs CIN(1504) W 20-17: +7→1494	10	26	(bye)	18	24	at MIN(1491) L 17-31: -7→1481
3	24	at CLE(1511) L 6-26: -19→1475	11	26	vs BAL(1519) L 13-16: +1→1467	W	24
4	23	vs DET(1467) W 24-14: +9→1484	12	27	at DET(1438) W 16-14: +2→1469	D	24
5	15	at LV(1504) W 20-9: +15→1499	13	27	vs ARI(1557) L 22-33: +1→1470	C	24
6	21	vs GB(1522) L 14-24: -9→1490	14	25	at GB(1538) L 30-45: -1→1469	S	24
7	24	at TB(1537) L 3-38: -16→1474	15	26	vs MIN(1503) L 9-17: -6→1463
8	26	vs SF(1488) L 22-33: -8→1466	16	24	at SEA(1493) W 25-24: +13→1476

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs MIN(1500) W 27-24: +4→1504	9	14	vs CLE(1509) L 16-41: -18→1510	17	9	vs KC(1559) W 34-31: +7→1531
2	17	at CHI(1487) L 17-20: -7→1497	10	14	(bye)	18	10	at CLE(1487) L 16-21: -8→1523
3	10	at PIT(1491) W 24-10: +19→1516	11	10	at LV(1481) W 32-13: +11→1521	W	10	vs LV(1500) W 26-19: -0→1523
4	11	vs JAX(1465) W 24-21: -3→1513	12	6	vs PIT(1484) W 41-10: +14→1535	D	8	at TEN(1526) W 19-16: +7→1530
5	14	vs GB(1514) L 22-25: -7→1506	13	11	vs LAC(1492) L 22-41: -21→1514	C	6	at KC(1561) W 27-24: +13→1543
6	8	at DET(1458) W 34-11: +14→1520	14	16	vs SF(1510) L 23-26: -7→1507	S	6	at LAR(1551) L 20-23: +0→1543
7	5	at BAL(1551) W 41-17: +18→1538	15	12	at DEN(1511) W 15-10: +7→1514
8	9	at NYJ(1433) L 31-34: -10→1528	16	9	vs BAL(1503) W 41-21: +10→1524

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at KC(1500) L 29-33: -3→1497	9	10	at CIN(1528) W 41-16: +17→1526	17	22	at PIT(1481) L 14-26: -8→1487
2	10	vs HOU(1511) W 31-21: +14→1511	10	17	at NE(1529) L 7-45: -21→1505	18	21	vs CIN(1531) W 21-16: +8→1495
3	6	vs CHI(1494) W 26-6: +18→1529	11	20	vs DET(1431) W 13-10: -8→1497	W	20
4	4	at MIN(1504) W 14-7: +8→1537	12	18	at BAL(1518) L 10-16: -1→1496	D	20
5	6	at LAC(1521) L 42-47: -6→1531	13	18	(bye)	C	20
6	11	vs ARI(1557) L 14-37: -16→1515	14	19	vs BAL(1510) W 24-22: +2→1498	S	20
7	11	vs DEN(1499) W 17-14: +1→1516	15	20	vs LV(1464) L 14-16: -10→1488
8	12	vs PIT(1484) L 10-15: -7→1509	16	18	at GB(1544) L 22-24: +7→1495

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-40 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at TB(1500) L 29-31: -2→1498	9	5	vs DEN(1500) L 16-30: -15→1542	17	4	vs ARI(1516) L 22-25: -13→1551
2	11	at LAC(1506) W 20-17: +11→1509	10	2	vs ATL(1473) W 43-3: +17→1559	18	1	at PHI(1522) W 51-26: +11→1562
3	7	vs PHI(1506) W 41-21: +20→1529	11	4	at KC(1517) L 9-19: -11→1548	W	3	vs SF(1527) L 17-23: -14→1548
4	3	vs CAR(1544) W 36-28: +9→1538	12	7	vs LV(1470) L 33-36: -17→1531	D	4
5	3	vs NYG(1483) W 44-20: +15→1553	13	7	at NO(1501) W 27-17: +6→1537	C	3
6	3	at NE(1495) W 35-29: +2→1555	14	7	at WAS(1491) W 27-20: +4→1541	S	3
7	3	(bye)	15	5	at NYG(1468) W 21-6: +5→1546
8	3	at MIN(1505) W 20-16: +2→1557	16	2	vs WAS(1485) W 56-14: +18→1564

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NYG(1500) W 27-13: +12→1512	9	12	at DAL(1557) W 30-16: +14→1514	17	23	at LAC(1494) L 13-34: -12→1486
2	3	at JAX(1489) W 23-13: +14→1526	10	20	vs PHI(1492) L 13-30: -15→1499	18	22	vs KC(1552) L 24-28: +0→1486
3	2	vs NYJ(1469) W 26-0: +19→1545	11	19	(bye)	W	22
4	7	vs BAL(1509) L 7-23: -23→1522	12	15	vs LAC(1500) W 28-13: +9→1508	D	22
5	12	at PIT(1467) L 19-27: -12→1510	13	16	at KC(1527) L 9-22: -5→1503	C	22
6	18	vs LV(1490) L 24-34: -11→1499	14	13	vs DET(1444) W 38-10: +8→1511	S	22
7	17	at CLE(1515) L 14-17: -1→1498	15	18	vs CIN(1507) L 10-15: -8→1503
8	18	vs WAS(1462) W 17-10: +2→1500	16	16	at LV(1474) L 13-17: -5→1498

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1534 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs SF(1500) L 33-41: -8→1492	9	31	(bye)	17	28	at SEA(1480) L 29-51: -9→1450
2	29	at GB(1476) L 17-35: -23→1469	10	30	at PIT(1491) T 16-16: +8→1431	18	28	vs GB(1548) W 37-30: +7→1457
3	29	vs BAL(1507) L 17-19: -2→1467	11	31	at CLE(1505) L 10-13: +7→1438	W	28
4	30	at CHI(1475) L 14-24: -9→1458	12	30	vs CHI(1467) L 14-16: -2→1436	D	28
5	28	at MIN(1496) L 17-19: +0→1458	13	29	vs MIN(1510) W 29-27: +8→1444	C	28
6	30	vs CIN(1506) L 11-34: -14→1444	14	29	at DEN(1503) L 10-38: -8→1436	S	28
7	29	at LAR(1538) L 19-28: +1→1445	15	29	vs ARI(1544) W 30-12: +25→1461
8	32	vs PHI(1474) L 6-44: -22→1423	16	28	at ATL(1463) L 16-20: -2→1459

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at NO(1500) L 3-38: -24→1476	9	6	at KC(1491) L 7-13: -7→1535	17	5	vs MIN(1503) W 37-10: +12→1548
2	16	vs DET(1492) W 35-17: +22→1498	10	6	vs SEA(1491) W 17-0: +5→1540	18	6	at DET(1450) L 30-37: -6→1542
3	14	at SF(1523) W 30-28: +11→1509	11	7	at MIN(1510) L 31-34: -4→1536	W	6	(bye)
4	10	vs PIT(1473) W 27-17: +5→1514	12	5	vs LAR(1517) W 36-28: +2→1538	D	7	vs SF(1540) L 10-13: -7→1535
5	8	at CIN(1513) W 25-22: +8→1522	13	6	(bye)	C	8
6	7	at CHI(1499) W 24-14: +9→1531	14	8	vs CHI(1470) W 45-30: +1→1539	S	8
7	7	vs WAS(1466) W 24-10: +3→1534	15	6	at BAL(1508) W 31-30: +5→1544
8	5	at ARI(1579) W 24-21: +8→1542	16	8	vs CLE(1488) W 24-22: -8→1536

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+56 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs JAX(1500) W 37-21: +11→1511	9	32	at MIA(1431) L 9-17: -4→1420	17	29	at SF(1518) L 7-23: +1→1446
2	18	at CLE(1497) L 21-31: -14→1497	10	32	(bye)	18	29	vs TEN(1529) L 25-28: +3→1449
3	23	vs CAR(1528) L 9-24: -16→1481	11	30	at TEN(1545) W 22-13: +20→1440	W	29
4	31	at BUF(1556) L 0-40: -28→1453	12	32	vs NYJ(1422) L 14-21: -10→1430	D	29
5	31	vs NE(1492) L 22-25: -2→1451	13	32	vs IND(1531) L 0-31: -12→1418	C	29
6	31	at IND(1487) L 3-31: -17→1434	14	32	vs SEA(1489) L 13-33: -6→1412	S	29
7	32	at ARI(1574) L 5-31: -5→1429	15	30	at JAX(1428) W 30-16: +14→1426
8	31	vs LAR(1537) L 22-38: -5→1424	16	30	vs LAC(1512) W 41-29: +19→1445

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs SEA(1500) L 16-28: -11→1489	9	13	vs NYJ(1442) W 45-30: +4→1512	17	8	vs LV(1479) L 20-23: -16→1539
2	26	vs LAR(1513) L 24-27: -6→1483	10	13	vs JAX(1454) W 23-17: -0→1512	18	11	at JAX(1408) L 11-26: -23→1516
3	25	at TEN(1496) L 16-25: -8→1475	11	5	at BUF(1583) W 41-15: +27→1539	W	11
4	22	at MIA(1464) W 27-17: +12→1487	12	8	vs TB(1536) L 31-38: -8→1531	D	11
5	21	at BAL(1532) L 25-31: -0→1487	13	5	at HOU(1430) W 31-0: +12→1543	C	11
6	15	vs HOU(1451) W 31-3: +17→1504	14	6	(bye)	S	11
7	13	at SF(1497) W 30-18: +8→1512	15	4	vs NE(1572) W 27-17: +9→1552
8	13	vs TEN(1531) L 31-34: -4→1508	16	4	at ARI(1519) W 22-16: +3→1555

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+49 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1520 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at HOU(1500) L 21-37: -11→1489	9	28	vs BUF(1584) W 9-6: +12→1454	17	32	at NE(1550) L 10-50: -5→1408
2	28	vs DEN(1512) L 13-23: -13→1476	10	28	at IND(1512) L 17-23: +0→1454	18	32	vs IND(1539) W 26-11: +23→1431
3	30	vs ARI(1525) L 19-31: -11→1465	11	29	vs SF(1504) L 10-30: -9→1445	W	32
4	27	at CIN(1516) L 21-24: +2→1467	12	29	vs ATL(1450) L 14-21: -7→1438	D	32
5	30	vs TEN(1494) L 19-37: -16→1451	13	30	at LAR(1515) L 7-37: -7→1431	C	32
6	27	at MIA(1436) W 23-20: +3→1454	14	30	at TEN(1516) L 0-20: -3→1428	S	32
7	28	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1412) L 16-30: -14→1414
8	29	at SEA(1478) L 7-31: -12→1442	16	32	at NYJ(1424) L 21-26: -1→1413

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs CLE(1500) W 33-29: +3→1503	9	18	vs GB(1542) W 13-7: +7→1498	17	3	at CIN(1524) L 31-34: -7→1552
2	23	at BAL(1496) L 35-36: -10→1493	10	10	at LV(1499) W 41-14: +19→1517	18	3	at DEN(1486) W 28-24: -0→1552
3	21	vs LAC(1496) L 24-30: -11→1482	11	8	vs DAL(1559) W 19-9: +10→1527	W	2	vs PIT(1497) W 42-21: +4→1556
4	16	at PHI(1485) W 42-30: +15→1497	12	9	(bye)	D	2	vs BUF(1573) W 42-36: +5→1561
5	20	vs BUF(1583) L 20-38: -9→1488	13	8	vs DEN(1508) W 22-9: +5→1532	C	4	vs CIN(1530) L 24-27: -13→1548
6	16	at WAS(1480) W 31-13: +14→1502	14	4	vs LV(1481) W 48-9: +17→1549	S	4
7	19	at TEN(1519) L 3-27: -12→1490	15	3	at LAC(1516) W 34-28: +4→1553
8	22	vs NYG(1468) W 20-17: +1→1491	16	3	vs PIT(1487) W 36-10: +6→1559

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs BAL(1500) W 33-27: +4→1504	9	17	at NYG(1467) L 16-23: -7→1499	17	16	at IND(1555) W 23-20: +17→1496
2	7	at PIT(1508) W 26-17: +16→1520	10	23	vs KC(1498) L 14-41: -18→1481	18	17	vs LAC(1506) W 35-32: +4→1500
3	9	vs MIA(1463) W 31-28: -1→1519	11	25	vs CIN(1510) L 13-32: -11→1470	W	17	at CIN(1523) L 19-26: +0→1500
4	14	at LAC(1507) L 14-28: -15→1504	12	20	at DAL(1548) W 36-33: +16→1486	D	17
5	19	vs CHI(1484) L 9-20: -14→1490	13	24	vs WAS(1486) L 15-17: -5→1481	C	17
6	17	at DEN(1510) W 34-24: +11→1501	14	28	at KC(1532) L 9-48: -17→1464	S	17
7	15	vs PHI(1479) W 33-22: +5→1506	15	24	at CLE(1498) W 16-14: +10→1474
8	14	(bye)	16	23	vs DEN(1503) W 17-13: +5→1479

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at WAS(1500) W 20-16: +6→1506	9	15	at PHI(1496) W 27-24: +4→1508	17	14	vs DEN(1498) W 34-13: +12→1506
2	20	vs DAL(1498) L 17-20: -10→1496	10	19	vs MIN(1502) L 20-27: -8→1500	18	16	at LV(1496) L 32-35: -3→1503
3	15	at KC(1493) W 30-24: +11→1507	11	18	vs PIT(1484) W 41-37: -0→1500	W	16
4	8	vs LV(1519) W 28-14: +14→1521	12	19	at DEN(1499) L 13-28: -8→1492	D	16
5	7	vs CLE(1537) W 47-42: +6→1527	13	12	at CIN(1535) W 41-22: +21→1513	C	16
6	13	at BAL(1532) L 6-34: -19→1508	14	12	vs NYG(1472) W 37-21: +3→1516	S	16
7	14	(bye)	15	14	vs KC(1549) L 28-34: -4→1512
8	15	vs NE(1513) L 24-27: -4→1504	16	19	at HOU(1426) L 29-41: -18→1494

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs CHI(1500) W 34-14: +13→1513	9	8	vs TEN(1536) L 16-28: -10→1531	17	6	at BAL(1493) W 20-19: +2→1542
2	8	at IND(1489) W 27-24: +6→1519	10	11	at SF(1489) L 10-31: -14→1517	18	7	vs SF(1517) L 24-27: -10→1532
3	5	vs TB(1526) W 34-24: +12→1531	11	12	(bye)	W	5	vs ARI(1515) W 34-11: +11→1543
4	12	vs ARI(1536) L 20-37: -20→1511	12	13	at GB(1536) L 28-36: -2→1515	D	3	at TB(1547) W 30-27: +7→1550
5	10	at SEA(1494) W 26-17: +10→1521	13	9	vs JAX(1438) W 37-7: +7→1522	C	2	vs SF(1547) W 20-17: +1→1551
6	5	at NYG(1468) W 38-11: +17→1538	14	9	at ARI(1556) W 30-23: +12→1534	S	2	vs CIN(1543) W 23-20: -0→1551
7	6	vs DET(1444) W 28-19: -1→1537	15	8	vs SEA(1495) W 20-10: +1→1535
8	6	at HOU(1429) W 38-22: +4→1541	16	7	at MIN(1508) W 30-23: +5→1540

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at NE(1500) W 17-16: +8→1508	9	30	vs HOU(1424) W 17-9: +4→1435	17	24	at TEN(1513) L 3-34: -16→1483
2	31	vs BUF(1492) L 0-35: -45→1463	10	29	vs BAL(1534) W 22-10: +16→1451	18	20	vs NE(1556) W 33-24: +13→1496
3	31	at LV(1520) L 28-31: +1→1464	11	27	at NYJ(1428) W 24-17: +6→1457	W	19
4	32	vs IND(1475) L 17-27: -12→1452	12	25	vs CAR(1501) W 33-10: +18→1475	D	19
5	32	at TB(1518) L 17-45: -16→1436	13	23	vs NYG(1478) W 20-9: +6→1481	C	19
6	32	at JAX(1451) L 20-23: -3→1433	14	22	(bye)	S	19
7	31	vs ATL(1469) L 28-30: -1→1432	15	23	vs NYJ(1422) W 31-24: -2→1479
8	30	at BUF(1583) L 11-26: -1→1431	16	15	at NO(1517) W 20-3: +20→1499

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at CIN(1500) L 24-27: -4→1496	9	16	at BAL(1533) L 31-34: -1→1502	17	17	at GB(1536) L 10-37: -12→1491
2	25	at ARI(1519) L 33-34: -6→1490	10	15	at LAC(1508) W 27-20: +8→1510	18	18	vs CHI(1488) W 31-17: +8→1499
3	17	vs SEA(1495) W 30-17: +14→1504	11	14	vs GB(1540) W 34-31: +4→1514	W	18
4	17	vs CLE(1529) L 7-14: -8→1496	12	14	at SF(1513) L 26-34: -4→1510	D	18
5	17	vs DET(1458) W 19-17: -0→1496	13	17	at DET(1436) L 27-29: -8→1502	C	18
6	14	at CAR(1522) W 34-28: +9→1505	14	17	vs PIT(1479) W 36-28: +1→1503	S	18
7	16	(bye)	15	16	at CHI(1469) W 17-9: +5→1508
8	16	vs DAL(1555) L 16-20: -2→1503	16	14	vs LAR(1535) L 23-30: -5→1503

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs MIA(1500) L 16-17: -8→1492	9	9	at CAR(1501) W 24-6: +11→1529	17	2	vs JAX(1413) W 50-10: +6→1556
2	9	at NYJ(1496) W 25-6: +27→1519	10	4	vs CLE(1526) W 45-7: +22→1551	18	5	at MIA(1483) L 24-33: -13→1543
3	18	vs NO(1500) L 13-28: -23→1496	11	1	at ATL(1456) W 25-0: +6→1557	W	8	at BUF(1558) L 17-47: -16→1527
4	20	vs TB(1514) L 17-19: -4→1492	12	2	vs TEN(1525) W 36-13: +8→1565	D	9
5	18	at HOU(1453) W 25-22: +3→1495	13	1	at BUF(1568) W 14-10: +7→1572	C	9
6	20	vs DAL(1553) L 29-35: -2→1493	14	1	(bye)	S	9
7	12	vs NYJ(1453) W 54-13: +20→1513	15	1	at IND(1543) L 17-27: -9→1563
8	11	at LAC(1508) W 27-24: +5→1518	16	5	vs BUF(1555) L 21-33: -13→1550

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at GB(1500) W 38-3: +24→1524	9	11	vs ATL(1466) L 25-27: -7→1520	17	15	vs CAR(1460) W 18-10: +0→1497
2	15	at CAR(1504) L 7-26: -24→1500	10	8	at TEN(1546) L 21-23: +1→1521	18	14	at ATL(1471) W 30-20: +8→1505
3	8	at NE(1519) W 28-13: +23→1523	11	15	at PHI(1507) L 29-40: -8→1513	W	13
4	13	vs NYG(1468) L 21-27: -16→1507	12	17	vs BUF(1555) L 6-31: -12→1501	D	13
5	11	at WAS(1491) W 33-22: +11→1518	13	19	vs DAL(1531) L 17-27: -6→1495	C	13
6	10	(bye)	14	18	at NYJ(1429) W 30-9: +7→1502	S	13
7	10	at SEA(1480) W 13-10: +2→1520	15	11	at TB(1552) W 9-0: +15→1517
8	10	vs TB(1553) W 36-27: +7→1527	16	17	vs MIA(1479) L 3-20: -20→1497

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1514 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs DEN(1500) L 13-27: -12→1488	9	24	vs LV(1506) W 23-16: +7→1474	17	30	at CHI(1476) L 3-29: -11→1443
2	27	at WAS(1494) L 29-30: -9→1479	10	24	(bye)	18	31	vs WAS(1466) L 7-22: -11→1432
3	27	vs ATL(1456) L 14-17: -11→1468	11	24	at TB(1533) L 10-30: -3→1471	W	31
4	24	at NO(1523) W 27-21: +15→1483	12	24	vs PHI(1514) W 13-7: +7→1478	D	31
5	27	at DAL(1538) L 20-44: -15→1468	13	26	at MIA(1475) L 9-20: -6→1472	C	31
6	29	vs LAR(1521) L 11-38: -17→1451	14	26	at LAC(1513) L 21-37: -4→1468	S	31
7	26	vs CAR(1513) W 25-3: +17→1468	15	28	vs DAL(1541) L 6-21: -5→1463
8	24	at KC(1490) L 17-20: -1→1467	16	29	at PHI(1513) L 10-34: -9→1454

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CAR(1500) L 14-19: -4→1496	9	29	at IND(1508) L 30-45: -4→1438	17	31	vs TB(1550) L 24-28: +11→1436
2	30	vs NE(1492) L 6-25: -27→1469	10	31	vs BUF(1573) L 17-45: -10→1428	18	30	at BUF(1561) L 10-27: +4→1440
3	32	at DEN(1526) L 0-26: -19→1450	11	32	vs MIA(1451) L 17-24: -6→1422	W	30
4	29	vs TEN(1505) W 27-24: +11→1461	12	31	at HOU(1440) W 21-14: +10→1432	D	30
5	29	at ATL(1461) L 20-27: -8→1453	13	31	vs PHI(1507) L 18-33: -3→1429	C	30
6	28	(bye)	14	31	vs NO(1495) L 9-30: -7→1422	S	30
7	30	at NE(1493) L 13-54: -20→1433	15	31	at MIA(1481) L 24-31: +2→1424
8	28	vs CIN(1538) W 34-31: +9→1442	16	31	vs JAX(1414) W 26-21: +1→1425

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at ATL(1500) W 32-6: +20→1520	9	19	vs LAC(1504) L 24-27: -4→1492	17	12	at WAS(1467) W 20-16: +1→1522
2	13	vs SF(1508) L 11-17: -14→1506	10	16	at DEN(1514) W 30-13: +15→1507	18	13	vs DAL(1551) L 26-51: -11→1511
3	19	at DAL(1509) L 21-41: -21→1485	11	13	vs NO(1521) W 40-29: +7→1514	W	12	at TB(1543) L 15-31: -4→1507
4	25	vs KC(1482) L 30-42: -15→1470	12	16	at NYG(1471) L 7-13: -7→1507	D	12
5	23	at CAR(1534) W 21-18: +12→1482	13	13	at NYJ(1432) W 33-18: +3→1510	C	12
6	24	vs TB(1534) L 22-28: -3→1479	14	14	(bye)	S	12
7	23	at LV(1501) L 22-33: -5→1474	15	13	vs WAS(1488) W 27-17: +3→1513
8	19	at DET(1445) W 44-6: +22→1496	16	10	vs NYG(1463) W 34-10: +8→1521

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at BUF(1500) W 23-16: +8→1508	9	20	vs CHI(1466) W 29-27: -0→1491	17	20	vs CLE(1495) W 26-14: +8→1489
2	24	vs LV(1504) L 17-26: -17→1491	10	22	vs DET(1423) T 16-16: -7→1484	18	19	at BAL(1491) W 16-13: +8→1497
3	26	vs CIN(1497) L 10-24: -18→1473	11	22	at LAC(1500) L 37-41: +0→1484	W	21	at KC(1552) L 21-42: -4→1493
4	26	at GB(1509) L 17-27: -6→1467	12	26	at CIN(1521) L 10-41: -14→1470	D	21
5	25	vs DEN(1522) W 27-19: +13→1480	13	25	vs BAL(1519) W 20-19: +9→1479	C	21
6	22	vs SEA(1485) W 23-20: +4→1484	14	23	at MIN(1502) L 28-36: -1→1478	S	21
7	21	(bye)	15	21	vs TEN(1519) W 19-13: +9→1487
8	21	at CLE(1516) W 15-10: +7→1491	16	21	at KC(1553) L 10-36: -6→1481

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at DET(1500) W 41-33: +8→1508	9	23	vs ARI(1571) L 17-31: -7→1489	17	13	vs HOU(1445) W 23-7: -1→1517
2	6	at PHI(1520) W 17-11: +15→1523	10	18	vs LAR(1531) W 31-10: +15→1504	18	8	at LAR(1542) W 27-24: +10→1527
3	12	vs GB(1498) L 28-30: -11→1512	11	16	at JAX(1454) W 30-10: +9→1513	W	7	at DAL(1562) W 23-17: +13→1540
4	15	vs SEA(1481) L 21-28: -13→1499	12	11	vs MIN(1514) W 34-26: +4→1517	D	5	at GB(1542) W 13-10: +7→1547
5	16	at ARI(1555) L 10-17: -2→1497	13	14	at SEA(1481) L 23-30: -7→1510	C	5	at LAR(1550) L 17-20: -1→1546
6	19	(bye)	14	11	at CIN(1514) W 26-23: +8→1518	S	5
7	20	vs IND(1504) L 18-30: -9→1488	15	9	vs ATL(1466) W 31-13: +3→1521
8	20	at CHI(1474) W 33-22: +8→1496	16	11	at TEN(1510) L 17-20: -3→1518

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at IND(1500) W 28-16: +11→1511	9	21	(bye)	17	19	vs DET(1459) W 51-29: +10→1490
2	21	vs TEN(1481) L 30-33: -16→1495	10	21	at GB(1535) L 0-17: -6→1485	18	15	at ARI(1529) W 38-30: +14→1504
3	22	at MIN(1490) L 17-30: -14→1481	11	23	vs ARI(1554) L 13-23: -3→1482	W	15
4	18	at SF(1512) W 28-21: +13→1494	12	23	at WAS(1486) L 15-17: -1→1481	D	15
5	22	vs LAR(1511) L 17-26: -9→1485	13	21	vs SF(1517) W 30-23: +8→1489	C	15
6	23	at PIT(1480) L 20-23: -5→1480	14	20	at HOU(1418) W 33-13: +6→1495	S	15
7	22	vs NO(1518) L 10-13: -2→1478	15	19	at LAR(1534) L 10-20: -2→1493
8	23	vs JAX(1454) W 31-7: +13→1491	16	22	vs CHI(1463) L 24-25: -13→1480

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (-46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs DAL(1500) W 31-29: +2→1502	9	3	(bye)	17	7	at NYJ(1425) W 28-24: -11→1539
2	4	vs ATL(1480) W 48-25: +24→1526	10	7	at WAS(1460) L 19-29: -13→1533	18	4	vs CAR(1460) W 41-17: +4→1543
3	11	at LAR(1519) L 24-34: -12→1514	11	6	vs NYG(1474) W 30-10: +3→1536	W	4	vs PHI(1511) W 31-15: +4→1547
4	9	at NE(1496) W 19-17: +4→1518	12	4	at IND(1539) W 38-31: +9→1545	D	6	vs LAR(1543) L 27-30: -7→1540
5	4	vs MIA(1452) W 45-17: +16→1534	13	4	at ATL(1458) W 30-17: +3→1548	C	7
6	6	at PHI(1482) W 28-22: +3→1537	14	3	vs BUF(1561) W 33-27: +4→1552	S	7
7	4	vs CHI(1490) W 38-3: +16→1553	15	7	vs NO(1502) L 0-9: -15→1537
8	4	at NO(1520) L 27-36: -7→1546	16	6	at CAR(1473) W 32-6: +13→1550

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1481 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs ARI(1500) L 13-38: -19→1481	9	4	at LAR(1541) W 28-16: +10→1546	17	11	vs MIA(1499) W 34-3: +16→1529
2	19	at SEA(1511) W 33-30: +15→1496	10	5	vs NO(1520) W 23-21: -1→1545	18	9	at HOU(1446) W 28-25: -3→1526
3	16	vs IND(1483) W 25-16: +9→1505	11	9	vs HOU(1420) L 13-22: -20→1525	W	9	(bye)
4	19	at NYJ(1450) L 24-27: -11→1494	12	12	at NE(1557) L 13-36: -9→1516	D	10	vs CIN(1523) L 16-19: -7→1519
5	13	at JAX(1467) W 37-19: +16→1510	13	10	(bye)	C	10
6	9	vs BUF(1593) W 34-31: +9→1519	14	10	vs JAX(1431) W 20-0: +3→1519	S	10
7	9	vs KC(1502) W 27-3: +12→1531	15	15	at PIT(1478) L 13-19: -9→1510
8	7	at IND(1512) W 34-31: +5→1536	16	13	vs SF(1521) W 20-17: +3→1513

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs LAC(1500) L 16-20: -6→1494	9	27	(bye)	17	26	vs PHI(1521) L 16-20: -1→1466
2	14	vs NYG(1488) W 30-29: +9→1503	10	25	vs TB(1546) W 29-19: +13→1473	18	25	at NYG(1443) W 22-7: +11→1477
3	20	at BUF(1538) L 21-43: -18→1485	11	21	at CAR(1514) W 27-21: +13→1486	W	25
4	21	at ATL(1468) W 34-30: +6→1491	12	21	vs SEA(1482) W 17-15: +0→1486	D	25
5	24	vs NO(1507) L 22-33: -11→1480	13	20	at LV(1486) W 17-15: +5→1491	C	25
6	26	vs KC(1488) L 13-31: -14→1466	14	21	vs DAL(1537) L 20-27: -3→1488	S	25
7	27	at GB(1531) L 10-24: -4→1462	15	22	at PHI(1510) L 17-27: -3→1485
8	27	at DEN(1498) L 10-17: -2→1460	16	25	at DAL(1546) L 14-56: -18→1467

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 5 games (weeks 15-19) Las Vegas Raiders: +36 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Houston Texans: +37 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) New York Jets: +18 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 20-22) Cincinnati Bengals: +20 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Seattle Seahawks: +23 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -46 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Baltimore Ravens: -35 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Carolina Panthers: -16 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -40 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 18-19) New England Patriots: -29 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 9, 142-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1584) 12-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1442): Jaguars win 9-6
2. Week 18, 131-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1539) 16-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1408): Jaguars win 26-11
3. Week 11, 125-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1545) 21-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1420): Texans win 22-13
4. Week 15, 108-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1544) 18-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1436): Lions win 30-12
5. Week 8, 105-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1538) Tossup favorites at New York Jets (1433): Jets win 34-31
6. Week 10, 99-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1534) 10-point favorites at Miami Dolphins (1435): Dolphins win 22-10
7. Week 18, 98-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1548) 11-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1450): Lions win 37-30
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 11, 42-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1583) 16-point favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1512): Colts win 41-15
2. Week 10, 37-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1578) 13-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1489): Panthers win 34-10
3. Week 15, 36-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1544) 18-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1436): Lions win 30-12
4. Week 2, 35-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1508) Tossup favorites vs Buffalo Bills (1492): Bills win 35-0
5. Week 1, 35-point differential: Green Bay Packers (1500) Tossup favorites at New Orleans Saints (1500): Saints win 38-3
6. Week 18, 31-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1539) 16-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1408): Jaguars win 26-11
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +68: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
2. +51: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 22
3. +48: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 19
4. +48: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 21
5. +46: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 21
more...
1. +43: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 22
2. +40: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 20
3. +35: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 20
4. +27: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 19
5. +19: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
6. +16: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
7. +7: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 19
8. +5: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
9. +4: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 19
10. +4: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
11. +3: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
12. +0: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
13. -1: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
14. -4: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
15. -5: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
16. -7: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
17. -14: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
18. -17: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
19. -19: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
20. -23: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
21. -37: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
22. -43: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
23. -43: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
24. -51: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1449) thru week 18
25. -60: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
26. -68: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
27. -69: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -69: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1431) thru week 18
2. -68: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
3. -60: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1440) thru week 18
4. -51: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1449) thru week 18
5. -43: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
more...
1. -43: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 18
2. -37: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
3. -23: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
4. -19: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
5. -17: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
6. -14: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
7. -7: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 19
8. -5: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
9. -4: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
10. -1: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
11. -0: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
12. +3: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1503) thru week 18
13. +4: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
14. +4: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 19
15. +5: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
16. +7: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 19
17. +16: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 18
18. +19: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 20
19. +27: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1527) thru week 19
20. +35: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 20
21. +40: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1540) thru week 20
22. +43: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1543) thru week 22
23. +46: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1546) thru week 21
24. +48: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 21
25. +48: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1548) thru week 19
26. +51: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 22
27. +68: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +101: Buffalo Bills (1492) before week 2 → (1593) thru week 5
2. +79: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1579) thru week 7
3. +79: New England Patriots (1493) before week 7 → (1572) thru week 13
4. +68: Miami Dolphins (1431) before week 9 → (1499) thru week 16
5. +68: Kansas City Chiefs (1491) before week 9 → (1559) thru week 16
more...
1. +66: Green Bay Packers (1476) before week 2 → (1542) thru week 8
2. +65: Tennessee Titans (1481) before week 2 → (1546) thru week 9
3. +65: Indianapolis Colts (1475) before week 4 → (1539) thru week 11
4. +59: Dallas Cowboys (1498) before week 2 → (1557) thru week 8
5. +54: Baltimore Ravens (1496) before week 2 → (1551) thru week 6
6. +53: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 7
7. +45: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 3
8. +45: Philadelphia Eagles (1470) before week 5 → (1514) thru week 11
9. +44: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 3
10. +41: Cincinnati Bengals (1497) before week 3 → (1538) thru week 7
11. +41: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 8
12. +40: Cleveland Browns (1497) before week 2 → (1537) thru week 4
13. +38: Detroit Lions (1423) before week 9 → (1461) thru week 15
14. +37: Houston Texans (1412) before week 15 → (1449) thru week 18
15. +37: San Francisco 49ers (1510) before week 14 → (1547) thru week 20
16. +36: Las Vegas Raiders (1464) before week 15 → (1500) thru week 19
17. +31: Los Angeles Chargers (1496) before week 3 → (1527) thru week 5
18. +31: Washington Football Team (1460) before week 9 → (1491) thru week 13
19. +27: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 3 → (1527) thru week 8
20. +27: New York Giants (1451) before week 7 → (1478) thru week 12
21. +27: Pittsburgh Steelers (1470) before week 13 → (1497) thru week 18
22. +25: Chicago Bears (1463) before week 16 → (1488) thru week 17
23. +23: Seattle Seahawks (1480) before week 17 → (1504) thru week 18
24. +21: Atlanta Falcons (1450) before week 12 → (1471) thru week 17
25. +20: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 3 → (1510) thru week 10
26. +18: Jacksonville Jaguars (1413) before week 17 → (1431) thru week 18
27. +18: New York Jets (1422) before week 15 → (1440) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -91: Houston Texans (1511) before week 2 → (1420) thru week 9
2. -78: Miami Dolphins (1508) before week 2 → (1431) thru week 8
3. -77: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 8
4. -67: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1433) thru week 7
5. -62: Arizona Cardinals (1578) before week 10 → (1516) thru week 16
more...
1. -58: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 8
2. -57: Carolina Panthers (1514) before week 11 → (1457) thru week 18
3. -50: Philadelphia Eagles (1520) before week 2 → (1470) thru week 4
4. -49: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1451) thru week 6
5. -49: Las Vegas Raiders (1519) before week 4 → (1470) thru week 11
6. -47: Denver Broncos (1545) before week 4 → (1498) thru week 7
7. -45: New England Patriots (1572) before week 14 → (1527) thru week 19
8. -44: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 2
9. -43: Washington Football Team (1503) before week 3 → (1460) thru week 8
10. -43: Baltimore Ravens (1534) before week 10 → (1491) thru week 17
11. -41: Pittsburgh Steelers (1508) before week 2 → (1467) thru week 4
12. -41: Cleveland Browns (1537) before week 5 → (1496) thru week 12
13. -40: Indianapolis Colts (1555) before week 17 → (1516) thru week 18
14. -37: Buffalo Bills (1593) before week 6 → (1555) thru week 11
15. -36: Tennessee Titans (1546) before week 10 → (1510) thru week 15
16. -35: San Francisco 49ers (1523) before week 3 → (1488) thru week 7
17. -35: Los Angeles Chargers (1527) before week 6 → (1492) thru week 12
18. -34: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 8
19. -33: New Orleans Saints (1527) before week 9 → (1495) thru week 13
20. -33: Seattle Seahawks (1511) before week 2 → (1478) thru week 7
21. -31: Cincinnati Bengals (1538) before week 8 → (1507) thru week 14
22. -27: Dallas Cowboys (1559) before week 11 → (1531) thru week 12
23. -26: Los Angeles Rams (1541) before week 9 → (1515) thru week 12
24. -22: Minnesota Vikings (1514) before week 12 → (1491) thru week 17
25. -21: Kansas City Chiefs (1503) before week 2 → (1482) thru week 3
26. -21: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1553) before week 8 → (1533) thru week 10
27. -13: Green Bay Packers (1548) before week 18 → (1535) thru week 20
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
3. Cleveland Browns: 1506
4. Washington Football Team: 1506
5. Houston Texans: 1504
more...
1. New York Giants: 1504
2. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
4. New England Patriots: 1503
5. Carolina Panthers: 1503
6. Los Angeles Chargers: 1503
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
8. Chicago Bears: 1501
9. New Orleans Saints: 1501
10. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
11. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
12. New York Jets: 1500
13. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
14. Detroit Lions: 1499
15. Dallas Cowboys: 1499
16. Green Bay Packers: 1498
17. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
18. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
19. Denver Broncos: 1497
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
21. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
22. Tennessee Titans: 1496
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
24. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
25. Buffalo Bills: 1493
26. Miami Dolphins: 1493
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1488
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1488
2. Miami Dolphins: 1493
3. Buffalo Bills: 1493
4. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
more...
1. Tennessee Titans: 1496
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1496
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
4. Denver Broncos: 1497
5. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
6. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1498
7. Green Bay Packers: 1498
8. Dallas Cowboys: 1499
9. Detroit Lions: 1499
10. Atlanta Falcons: 1500
11. New York Jets: 1500
12. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
13. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
14. New Orleans Saints: 1501
15. Chicago Bears: 1501
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
17. Los Angeles Chargers: 1503
18. Carolina Panthers: 1503
19. New England Patriots: 1503
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
21. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
22. New York Giants: 1504
23. Houston Texans: 1504
24. Washington Football Team: 1506
25. Cleveland Browns: 1506
26. Minnesota Vikings: 1507
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1508
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1534
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1520
3. New York Giants: 1514
4. Carolina Panthers: 1514
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1507
more...
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1504
2. Tennessee Titans: 1502
3. Green Bay Packers: 1502
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1501
6. Cleveland Browns: 1501
7. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
8. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1498
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1498
11. Houston Texans: 1496
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1496
13. New Orleans Saints: 1495
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
15. Indianapolis Colts: 1490
16. New England Patriots: 1490
17. Washington Football Team: 1489
18. Denver Broncos: 1489
19. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
20. Philadelphia Eagles: 1485
21. Miami Dolphins: 1484
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1484
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1484
24. Buffalo Bills: 1482
25. Chicago Bears: 1477
26. New York Jets: 1474
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1470
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1470
2. New York Jets: 1474
3. Chicago Bears: 1477
4. Buffalo Bills: 1482
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1484
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1484
2. Miami Dolphins: 1484
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1485
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1487
5. Denver Broncos: 1489
6. Washington Football Team: 1489
7. New England Patriots: 1490
8. Indianapolis Colts: 1490
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
10. New Orleans Saints: 1495
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1496
12. Houston Texans: 1496
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1498
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1498
15. Baltimore Ravens: 1500
16. Cincinnati Bengals: 1500
17. Cleveland Browns: 1501
18. Kansas City Chiefs: 1501
19. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
20. Green Bay Packers: 1502
21. Tennessee Titans: 1502
22. Los Angeles Chargers: 1504
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1507
24. Carolina Panthers: 1514
25. New York Giants: 1514
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1520
27. Detroit Lions: 1534

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)
2	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	37-27 (37/64, 57.81%)
5	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	47-33 (47/80, 58.75%)
6	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	57-37 (57/94, 60.64%)
7	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	67-40 (67/107, 62.62%)
8	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	75-47 (75/122, 61.48%)
9	5-9 (5/14, 35.71%)	80-56 (80/136, 58.82%)
10	6-7 (6/13, 46.15%)	86-63 (86/149, 57.72%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	96-68 (96/164, 58.54%)
12	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	105-74 (105/179, 58.66%)
13	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	113-80 (113/193, 58.55%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	124-83 (124/207, 59.9%)
15	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	133-90 (133/223, 59.64%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	144-95 (144/239, 60.25%)
17	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	157-98 (157/255, 61.57%)
18	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	166-105 (166/271, 61.25%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	171-106 (171/277, 61.73%)
D	0-4 (0/4, 0.0%)	171-110 (171/281, 60.85%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	172-111 (172/283, 60.78%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	173-111 (173/284, 60.92%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.07" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet over the last 25 seasons. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
- A new blank slate model, "blank-slate-v3.2026.08", was found. This new blank slate model picks 5,454 game winners over the 8,498 games from 1994-2025 (64.19%), which is a nice improvement over the `blank-slate-v1.2024.07` model that picks 5,390 game winners (63.43%) over that span. That's an average of exactly 2 more game winners picked per season.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!

NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

Contents

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

↑ Atlanta Falcons

↑ Baltimore Ravens

↑ Buffalo Bills

↑ Carolina Panthers

↑ Chicago Bears

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

↑ Cleveland Browns

↑ Dallas Cowboys

↑ Denver Broncos

↑ Detroit Lions

↑ Green Bay Packers

↑ Houston Texans

↑ Indianapolis Colts

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

↑ Los Angeles Rams

↑ Miami Dolphins

↑ Minnesota Vikings

↑ New England Patriots

↑ New Orleans Saints

↑ New York Giants

↑ New York Jets

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

↑ San Francisco 49ers

↑ Seattle Seahawks

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers