NFL Elo Power Rankings 2021

This is the 2021-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2024 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,083 of 3,259 game winners correctly (63.92%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2021 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2021 Season Summaries by Team
2021 Season Stats and Tidbits
2021 Season Model Accuracy

← 2020 Season 2022 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590	12-7
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572	14-6
3	New England PatriotsNE	1571	10-8
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569	14-5
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1565	13-5
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563	12-6
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1549	16-5
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): W 23-20: 1549-0→1549
9	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547	12-8
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1545	11-7
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541	13-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1549): L 20-23: 1541+0→1541
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536	12-6
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529	9-9
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512	8-9
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511	9-8
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1504	9-8
18	Denver BroncosDEN	1502	7-10
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499	7-10
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	8-9
21	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493	8-9
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468	9-8-1
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459	7-10
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457	10-8
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1443	6-11
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1432	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1422	3-13-1
29	New York GiantsNYG	1422	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1396	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1384	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590	12-7
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572	14-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): L 24-27(OT): 1572-0→1572
3	New England PatriotsNE	1571	10-8
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569	14-5
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1565	13-5
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563	12-6
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1549 (+1)	15-5	vs CIN (1541): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): W 20-17: 1548+1→1549
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): Slight favorite
9	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547	12-8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): L 17-20: 1547-0→1547
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1545	11-7
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541 (+1)	13-7	at LAR (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): W 27-24(OT): 1540+1→1541
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1549): Slight underdog
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536	12-6
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529	9-9
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512	8-9
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511	9-8
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1504	9-8
18	Denver BroncosDEN	1502	7-10
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499	7-10
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	8-9
21	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493	8-9
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468	9-8-1
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459	7-10
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457	10-8
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1443	6-11
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1432	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1422	3-13-1
29	New York GiantsNYG	1422	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1396	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1384	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590 (-1)	12-7
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): L 36-42(OT): 1591-1→1590
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572	14-5	vs CIN (1540): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): W 42-36(OT): 1572+0→1572
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Slight favorite
3	New England PatriotsNE	1571	10-8
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1569 (-1)	14-5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): L 27-30: 1570-1→1569
5	Green Bay PackersGB	1565 (-1)	13-5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1546): L 10-13: 1566-1→1565
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563	12-6
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
8	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1548 (+1)	14-5	vs SF (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): W 30-27: 1547+1→1548
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1547): Slight favorite
9	San Francisco 49ersSF	1547 (+1)	12-7	at LAR (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1566): W 13-10: 1546+1→1547
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): Slight underdog
10	Arizona CardinalsARI	1545	11-7
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (+1)	12-7	at KC (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): W 19-16: 1539+1→1540
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Slight underdog
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536	12-6
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): L 16-19: 1536-0→1536
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529	9-9
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512	8-9
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511	9-8
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1504	9-8
18	Denver BroncosDEN	1502	7-10
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499	7-10
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	8-9
21	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493	8-9
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468	9-8-1
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459	7-10
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457	10-8
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1443	6-11
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1432	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1422	3-13-1
29	New York GiantsNYG	1422	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1396	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1384	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1591 (+6)	12-6	at KC (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1577): W 47-17: 1585+6→1591
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1572): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1572 (+4)	13-5	vs BUF (1591): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): W 42-21: 1568+4→1572
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1591): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1571 (-6)	10-8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): L 17-47: 1577-6→1571
4 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1570 (+4)	14-4	vs LAR (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): W 31-15: 1566+4→1570
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1566	13-4	vs SF (1546): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1546): Slight favorite
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1563 (-2)	12-6
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): L 17-23: 1565-2→1563
7	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	9-8
8 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1547 (+5)	13-5	at TB (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): W 34-11: 1542+5→1547
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1570): Slight underdog
9	San Francisco 49ersSF	1546 (+2)	11-7	at GB (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): W 23-17: 1544+2→1546
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1566): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1545 (-5)	11-7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): L 11-34: 1550-5→1545
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+1)	11-7	at TEN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): W 26-19: 1538+1→1539
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight underdog
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536	12-5	vs CIN (1539): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Slight favorite
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529 (-4)	9-9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1566): L 15-31: 1533-4→1529
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512	8-9
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511	9-8
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507	9-8
17	New Orleans SaintsNO	1504	9-8
18	Denver BroncosDEN	1502	7-10
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499	7-10
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496	8-9
21	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493	8-9
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (-4)	9-8-1
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 21-42: 1472-4→1468
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459	7-10
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (-1)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 19-26: 1458-1→1457
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1443	6-11
26	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443	5-12
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1432	7-10
28	Detroit LionsDET	1422	3-13-1
29	New York GiantsNYG	1422	4-13
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1396	4-13
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1384	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1585 (+3)	11-6	vs NE (1577): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 27-10: 1582+3→1585
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1577): Slight favorite
2	New England PatriotsNE	1577 (-4)	10-7	at BUF (1585): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): L 24-33: 1581-4→1577
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568	12-5	vs PIT (1472): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): W 28-24: 1568+0→1568
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Win by 5 points
4 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1566 (-5)	13-4	bye
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1418): L 30-37: 1571-5→1566
next: (bye)
5 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1566 (+6)	13-4	vs PHI (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): W 41-17: 1560+6→1566
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1565 (+7)	12-5	vs SF (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): W 51-26: 1558+7→1565
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1544): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557 (-8)	9-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1375): L 11-26: 1565-8→1557
8	Arizona CardinalsARI	1550 (-5)	11-6	at LAR (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): L 30-38: 1555-5→1550
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (+1)	10-7	at DAL (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1544): W 27-24(OT): 1543+1→1544
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1565): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1542 (-2)	12-5	vs ARI (1550): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): L 24-27(OT): 1544-2→1542
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1550): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (-2)	10-7	vs LV (1458): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): L 16-21: 1540-2→1538
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Win by 5 points
12 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536	12-5	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): W 28-25: 1536-0→1536
next: (bye)
13 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1533 (-8)	9-8	at TB (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): L 26-51: 1541-8→1533
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1566): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (+5)	8-9
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1447): W 31-17: 1507+5→1512
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511 (-1)	9-8
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 32-35(OT): 1512-1→1511
16 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1507 (+5)	9-8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1581): W 33-24: 1502+5→1507
17 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1504 (+4)	9-8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): W 30-20: 1500+4→1504
18 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1502	7-10
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 24-28: 1502-0→1502
19 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (+5)	7-10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1555): W 38-30: 1494+5→1499
20 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496 (+2)	8-9
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): W 21-16: 1494+2→1496
21 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493 (-2)	8-9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): L 13-16(OT): 1495-2→1493
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (+2)	9-7-1	at KC (1568): Lose by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): W 16-13(OT): 1470+2→1472
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Lose by 5 points
23 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1459 (+6)	7-10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1428): W 22-7: 1453+6→1459
24 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (+1)	10-7	at CIN (1538): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): W 35-32(OT): 1457+1→1458
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Lose by 5 points
25 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1443 (-4)	6-11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): L 17-31: 1447-4→1443
26 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443 (-5)	5-12
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): L 17-41: 1448-5→1443
27	Atlanta FalconsATL	1432 (-4)	7-10
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 20-30: 1436-4→1432
28 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1422 (+4)	3-13-1
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): W 37-30: 1418+4→1422
29 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1422 (-6)	4-13
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1453): L 7-22: 1428-6→1422
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417	4-13
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): L 25-28: 1417+0→1417
31	New York JetsNYJ	1396 (-3)	4-13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): L 10-27: 1399-3→1396
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1384 (+9)	3-14
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): W 26-11: 1375+9→1384

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1582 (+5)	10-6	vs NYJ (1399): Win by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): W 29-15: 1577+5→1582
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 7 points
2	New England PatriotsNE	1581 (+6)	10-6	at MIA (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1382): W 50-10: 1575+6→1581
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1502): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1571 (+8)	13-3	at DET (1418): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): W 37-10: 1563+8→1571
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1418): Win by 5 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-1)	11-5	at DEN (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): L 31-34: 1569-1→1568
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1565 (-4)	9-7	at JAX (1375): Win by 5
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): L 20-23: 1569-4→1565
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1375): Win by 5 points
6	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1560 (-1)	12-4	vs CAR (1448): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 28-24: 1561-1→1560
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1448): Win by 5 points
7	Dallas CowboysDAL	1558 (-2)	11-5	at PHI (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1553): L 22-25: 1560-2→1558
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1541): Slight underdog
8	Arizona CardinalsARI	1555 (+2)	11-5	vs SEA (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): W 25-22: 1553+2→1555
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Slight favorite
9	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1544 (+2)	12-4	vs SF (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): W 20-19: 1542+2→1544
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (+5)	9-7	at LAR (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1422): W 23-7: 1538+5→1543
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1544): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1541 (+1)	9-7	vs DAL (1558): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1454): W 20-16: 1540+1→1541
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540 (+1)	10-6	at CLE (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): W 34-31: 1539+1→1540
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Slight favorite
13	Tennessee TitansTEN	1536 (+8)	11-5	at HOU (1417): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1511): W 34-3: 1528+8→1536
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1417): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1512 (+9)	9-7	at LV (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): W 34-13: 1503+9→1512
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1507 (-8)	7-9	vs CHI (1447): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): L 10-37: 1515-8→1507
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1447): Slight favorite
16	Denver BroncosDEN	1502 (-9)	7-9	vs KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): L 13-34: 1511-9→1502
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1502 (-9)	8-8	vs NE (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1528): L 3-34: 1511-9→1502
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1581): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (+3)	8-8	at ATL (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): W 18-10: 1497+3→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1495 (-2)	8-8	vs PIT (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): L 19-20: 1497-2→1495
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1470): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (+7)	6-10	at ARI (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1425): W 51-29: 1487+7→1494
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1555): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (-7)	7-9	vs CIN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1463): L 14-26: 1501-7→1494
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Slight underdog
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1470 (+7)	8-7-1	at BAL (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): W 26-14: 1463+7→1470
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (+4)	9-7	vs LAC (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1569): W 23-20: 1453+4→1457
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1512): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1453 (-1)	6-10	at NYG (1428): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): L 16-20: 1454-1→1453
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1428): Slight underdog
25	Carolina PanthersCAR	1448 (-3)	5-11	at TB (1560): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): L 10-18: 1451-3→1448
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): Lose by 5 points
26 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1447 (+8)	6-10	at MIN (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1436): W 29-3: 1439+8→1447
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Slight underdog
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (-5)	7-9	vs NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1577): L 15-29: 1441-5→1436
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
28	New York GiantsNYG	1428 (-8)	4-12	vs WAS (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1439): L 3-29: 1436-8→1428
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1453): Slight favorite
29	Detroit LionsDET	1418 (-7)	2-13-1	vs GB (1571): Lose by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): L 29-51: 1425-7→1418
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1571): Lose by 5 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1417 (-5)	4-12	vs TEN (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): L 7-23: 1422-5→1417
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1536): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1399	4-12	at BUF (1582): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): L 24-28: 1399+0→1399
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1582): Lose by 7 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1375 (-7)	2-14	vs IND (1565): Lose by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1575): L 10-50: 1382-7→1375
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1577 (+8)	9-6	vs ATL (1441): Win by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1584): W 33-21: 1569+8→1577
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1441): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1575 (-9)	9-6	vs JAX (1382): Win by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 21-33: 1584-9→1575
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1382): Win by 7 points
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1569 (+4)	9-6	vs LV (1453): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): W 22-16: 1565+4→1569
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1453): Win by 5 points
4 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+9)	11-4	at CIN (1539): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): W 36-10: 1560+9→1569
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1539): Tossup
5 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1563	12-3	vs MIN (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): W 24-22: 1563-0→1563
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1561 (+10)	11-4	at NYJ (1399): Win by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): W 32-6: 1551+10→1561
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1560 (+9)	11-4	vs ARI (1553): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1463): W 56-14: 1551+9→1560
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1553): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1553 (-4)	10-5	at DAL (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): L 16-22: 1557-4→1553
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1560): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1542 (+5)	11-4	at BAL (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): W 30-23: 1537+5→1542
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1540 (+9)	8-7	at WAS (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1445): W 34-10: 1531+9→1540
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1454): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1539 (+9)	9-6	vs KC (1569): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): W 41-21: 1530+9→1539
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Tossup
12 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1538 (-1)	8-7	vs HOU (1422): Win by 5
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): L 17-20: 1539-1→1538
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1422): Win by 5 points
13	Tennessee TitansTEN	1528 (+2)	10-5	vs MIA (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): W 20-17: 1526+2→1528
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1511): Slight favorite
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (-5)	7-8	at GB (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): L 23-30: 1520-5→1515
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511 (+11)	8-7	at TEN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): W 20-3: 1500+11→1511
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1528): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1511 (-2)	7-8	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): L 13-17: 1513-2→1511
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (-10)	8-7	vs DEN (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1412): L 29-41: 1513-10→1503
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1511): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501	7-8	at PIT (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): L 22-24: 1501+0→1501
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1463): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1497 (-10)	7-8	vs CAR (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 3-20: 1507-10→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1451): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1497 (-9)	8-7	vs LAR (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): L 21-41: 1506-9→1497
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1542): Slight underdog
21	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-4)	5-10	vs DET (1425): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1435): L 24-25: 1491-4→1487
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1425): Slight favorite
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1463 (-9)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1560): L 10-36: 1472-9→1463
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Slight underdog
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1454 (-9)	6-9	vs PHI (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): L 14-56: 1463-9→1454
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1453 (+2)	8-7	at IND (1569): Lose by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1513): W 17-13: 1451+2→1453
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1569): Lose by 5 points
25 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1451 (-10)	5-10	at NO (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1551): L 6-32: 1461-10→1451
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1497): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1441 (+1)	7-8	at BUF (1577): Lose by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1426): W 20-16: 1440+1→1441
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1577): Lose by 6 points
27 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1439 (+4)	5-10	vs NYG (1436): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): W 25-24: 1435+4→1439
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1436): Slight favorite
28 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1436 (-9)	4-11	at CHI (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): L 10-34: 1445-9→1436
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1439): Slight underdog
29	Detroit LionsDET	1425 (-1)	2-12-1	at SEA (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): L 16-20: 1426-1→1425
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Slight underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1422 (+10)	4-11	at SF (1538): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 41-29: 1412+10→1422
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1538): Lose by 5 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1399 (+2)	4-11	vs TB (1561): Lose by 5
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1383): W 26-21: 1397+2→1399
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1561): Lose by 5 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1382 (-1)	2-13	at NE (1575): Lose by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1397): L 21-26: 1383-1→1382
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1575): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1584 (-8)	9-5	vs BUF (1569): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): L 17-27: 1592-8→1584
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight favorite
2 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+9)	8-6	at NE (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): W 31-14: 1560+9→1569
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1584): Slight underdog
3 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1565 (+8)	8-6	at ARI (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1592): W 27-17: 1557+8→1565
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1563 (+2)	11-3	vs CLE (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): W 31-30: 1561+2→1563
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1560 (+1)	10-4	vs PIT (1472): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): W 34-28(OT): 1559+1→1560
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Win by 5 points
6 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (-15)	10-4	vs IND (1565): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1411): L 12-30: 1572-15→1557
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1565): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1551 (-9)	10-4	at CAR (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): L 0-9: 1560-9→1551
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): Slight favorite
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1551 (+9)	10-4	vs WAS (1463): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): W 21-6: 1542+9→1551
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1463): Win by 5 points
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1539 (+9)	8-6	at TEN (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1449): W 31-13: 1530+9→1539
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): Slight underdog
10	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (+6)	10-4	at MIN (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): W 20-10: 1531+6→1537
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1520): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1531 (+5)	7-7	vs NYG (1445): Win by 4
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1469): W 27-17: 1526+5→1531
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1445): Win by 4 points
12	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1530 (+4)	8-6	vs BAL (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1517): W 15-10: 1526+4→1530
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1506): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526 (-5)	9-5	vs SF (1539): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): L 13-19: 1531-5→1526
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1520 (+5)	7-7	vs LAR (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): W 17-9: 1515+5→1520
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1513 (-4)	7-7	at LV (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): L 10-15: 1517-4→1513
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): Slight favorite
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (-1)	8-6	at HOU (1412): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): L 28-34(OT): 1514-1→1513
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1412): Slight favorite
17 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1507 (+9)	7-7	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): W 9-0: 1498+9→1507
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1506 (-2)	8-6	at CIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1561): L 30-31: 1508-2→1506
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501 (-4)	7-7	at GB (1563): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): L 14-16: 1505-4→1501
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1563): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500 (+2)	7-7	at NO (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): W 31-24: 1498+2→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1507): Slight underdog
21	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (-6)	5-9	vs CHI (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): L 10-20: 1497-6→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1435): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (+5)	7-6-1	at KC (1560): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): W 19-13: 1467+5→1472
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1560): Lose by 5 points
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1463 (-6)	6-8	at DAL (1551): Lose by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): L 17-27: 1469-6→1463
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1551): Lose by 5 points
24 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1461 (-9)	5-9	vs TB (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): L 14-31: 1470-9→1461
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1551): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1451 (+5)	7-7	vs DEN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): W 16-14: 1446+5→1451
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1513): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1445 (-10)	4-10	at PHI (1531): Lose by 4
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1542): L 6-21: 1455-10→1445
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1531): Lose by 4 points
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440 (-9)	6-8	vs DET (1426): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1530): L 13-31: 1449-9→1440
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1426): Slight favorite
28	Chicago BearsCHI	1435 (-5)	4-10	at SEA (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): L 9-17: 1440-5→1435
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Slight underdog
29	Detroit LionsDET	1426 (+15)	2-11-1	at ATL (1440): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1572): W 30-12: 1411+15→1426
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Slight underdog
30	Houston TexansHOU	1412 (+10)	3-11	vs LAC (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1394): W 30-16: 1402+10→1412
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1397 (-2)	3-11	vs JAX (1383): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): L 24-31: 1399-2→1397
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1383): Slight favorite
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1383 (-11)	2-12	at NYJ (1397): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1402): L 16-30: 1394-11→1383
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1397): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1592	9-4	at IND (1557): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): Tossup
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1572 (-8)	10-3	at DET (1411): Win by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): L 23-30: 1580-8→1572
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1411): Win by 5 points
3 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1561 (+8)	10-3	at BAL (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1448): W 45-30: 1553+8→1561
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): Slight favorite
4	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1560	10-3	vs NO (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): W 33-27(OT): 1560+0→1560
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1498): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560 (-1)	7-6	vs CAR (1470): Win by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): L 27-33(OT): 1561-1→1560
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): Win by 5 points
6 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1559 (+12)	9-4	at LAC (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): W 48-9: 1547+12→1559
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1514): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557	7-6	vs NE (1592): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1592): Tossup
8	Dallas CowboysDAL	1542 (+6)	9-4	at NYG (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1474): W 27-20: 1536+6→1542
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1455): Slight favorite
9 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1531 (+9)	9-4	at PIT (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): W 20-0: 1522+9→1531
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1531 (+9)	9-4	vs SEA (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1580): W 30-23: 1522+9→1531
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1530 (+2)	7-6	vs ATL (1449): Win by 5
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): W 26-23(OT): 1528+2→1530
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1449): Win by 5 points
12 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1526 (-2)	7-6	at DEN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): L 23-26(OT): 1528-2→1526
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1517): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1526	6-7	vs WAS (1469): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1469): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1517 (+12)	7-6	vs CIN (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1423): W 38-10: 1505+12→1517
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+5)	6-7	at CHI (1440): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): W 36-28: 1510+5→1515
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1440): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1514 (+11)	8-5	vs KC (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1465): W 37-21: 1503+11→1514
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1559): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1508 (-1)	8-5	vs GB (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): L 22-24: 1509-1→1508
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1561): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (+1)	7-6	vs LV (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): W 24-22: 1504+1→1505
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1446): Slight favorite
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498	6-7	vs NYJ (1399): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1399): Win by 5 points
20	New Orleans SaintsNO	1498 (+13)	6-7	at TB (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1412): W 30-9: 1485+13→1498
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): Slight underdog
21	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (+13)	5-8	at LAR (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1414): W 33-13: 1484+13→1497
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1531): Slight underdog
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470 (-9)	5-8	at BUF (1560): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): L 21-29: 1479-9→1470
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Lose by 5 points
23	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469 (-5)	6-7	at PHI (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1536): L 20-27: 1474-5→1469
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): Slight underdog
24	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (-5)	6-6-1	vs TEN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 28-36: 1472-5→1467
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1531): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1455 (-10)	4-9	vs DAL (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): L 21-37: 1465-10→1455
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1542): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1449 (+10)	6-7	at SF (1530): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): W 29-21: 1439+10→1449
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1530): Lose by 5 points
27 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1446 (-13)	6-7	at CLE (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): L 9-48: 1459-13→1446
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1440 (-8)	4-9	vs MIN (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1553): L 30-45: 1448-8→1440
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight underdog
29	Detroit LionsDET	1411 (-12)	1-11-1	vs ARI (1572): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1505): L 10-38: 1423-12→1411
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1572): Lose by 5 points
30	Houston TexansHOU	1402 (-12)	2-11	at JAX (1394): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): L 13-33: 1414-12→1402
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1394): Slight underdog
31	New York JetsNYJ	1399 (-13)	3-10	at MIA (1498): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): L 9-30: 1412-13→1399
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Lose by 5 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1394 (-10)	2-11	vs HOU (1402): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1522): L 0-20: 1404-10→1394
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1402): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1592 (+3)	9-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): W 14-10: 1589+3→1592
next: (bye)
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1580 (+8)	10-2	vs LAR (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): W 33-22: 1572+8→1580
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (-3)	7-5	at TB (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1589): L 10-14: 1564-3→1561
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1560): Slight underdog
4 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1560 (+11)	9-3	vs BUF (1561): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): W 30-17: 1549+11→1560
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557 (+15)	7-6	bye
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1430): W 31-0: 1542+15→1557
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1553	9-3	vs CHI (1448): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1448): Win by 5 points
7 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (+11)	8-4	vs LV (1459): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): W 22-9: 1536+11→1547
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): Win by 5 points
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1536 (+10)	8-4	at WAS (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): W 27-17: 1526+10→1536
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1474): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (-19)	7-5	vs SF (1528): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 22-41: 1547-19→1528
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (-8)	6-6	at CIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): L 23-30: 1536-8→1528
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Slight underdog
11 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1526 (+12)	6-7	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1423): W 33-18: 1514+12→1526
next: (bye)
12 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1522 (+14)	8-4	at ARI (1580): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1417): W 37-7: 1508+14→1522
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1580): Slight underdog
13 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1522	8-4	vs JAX (1404): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1404): Win by 6 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (-4)	5-7	vs PIT (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1419): L 27-29: 1514-4→1510
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1472): Slight favorite
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-4)	8-4	at CLE (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): L 19-20: 1513-4→1509
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1504): Slight underdog
16 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1505 (-10)	6-6	vs DET (1423): Win by 5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): L 9-22: 1515-10→1505
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1423): Win by 5 points
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1504	6-6	vs BAL (1509): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): Slight favorite
18 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (+18)	7-5	vs NYG (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): W 41-22: 1485+18→1503
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1465): Slight favorite
19	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (+9)	6-7	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): W 20-9: 1489+9→1498
next: (bye)
20 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1485 (-10)	5-7	at NYJ (1412): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): L 17-27: 1495-10→1485
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1412): Slight favorite
21 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1484 (+8)	4-8	at HOU (1414): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): W 30-23: 1476+8→1484
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1414): Slight favorite
22 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479	5-7	vs ATL (1439): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1439): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1474 (+5)	6-6	vs DAL (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): W 17-15: 1469+5→1474
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1536): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1472 (+3)	6-5-1	at MIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): W 20-19: 1469+3→1472
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1465 (-10)	4-8	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): L 9-20: 1475-10→1465
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1459 (-4)	6-6	at KC (1547): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1469): L 15-17: 1463-4→1459
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Lose by 5 points
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1448 (-9)	4-8	at GB (1553): Lose by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1572): L 22-33: 1457-9→1448
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1553): Lose by 5 points
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1439 (-11)	5-7	at CAR (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1549): L 17-30: 1450-11→1439
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1423 (+4)	1-10-1	at DEN (1505): Lose by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): W 29-27: 1419+4→1423
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1505): Lose by 5 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1414 (-16)	2-10	vs SEA (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): L 0-31: 1430-16→1414
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1484): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1412 (-11)	3-9	vs NO (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): L 18-33: 1423-11→1412
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): Slight underdog
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1404 (-13)	2-10	at TEN (1522): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): L 7-37: 1417-13→1404
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1522): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	New England PatriotsNE	1589 (+15)	8-4	at BUF (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1537): W 36-13: 1574+15→1589
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): Slight underdog
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1572	9-2	at CHI (1457): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1457): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1564 (+19)	7-4	vs NE (1589): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): W 31-6: 1545+19→1564
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1589): Slight favorite
4	Green Bay PackersGB	1553 (+7)	9-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): W 36-28: 1546+7→1553
next: (bye)
5 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1549 (+9)	8-3	at ATL (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): W 38-31: 1540+9→1549
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1450): Slight favorite
6 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1547 (+17)	7-4	vs LAC (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): W 41-10: 1530+17→1547
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight favorite
7 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1542 (-9)	6-6	at HOU (1430): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1540): L 31-38: 1551-9→1542
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1430): Slight favorite
8	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536	7-4	vs DEN (1515): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1515): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1536 (+8)	6-5	at SEA (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): W 34-26: 1528+8→1536
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1526 (-6)	7-4	at NO (1495): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): L 33-36(OT): 1532-6→1526
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1495): Tossup
11 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1522 (-15)	8-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1574): L 13-36: 1537-15→1522
next: (bye)
12 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1515 (+14)	6-5	at KC (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): W 28-13: 1501+14→1515
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1536): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (-8)	5-6	at DET (1419): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): L 26-34: 1522-8→1514
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1419): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1514 (-7)	5-7	at NYJ (1423): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): L 7-13: 1521-7→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1423): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (+5)	8-3	at PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): W 16-10: 1508+5→1513
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1508 (-7)	7-4	vs JAX (1417): Win by 5
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): L 28-36: 1515-7→1508
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1417): Win by 5 points
17 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1504 (-5)	6-6	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): L 10-16: 1509-5→1504
next: (bye)
18 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1495 (-19)	5-6	vs DAL (1526): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): L 6-31: 1514-19→1495
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1526): Tossup
19 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1489 (+19)	5-7	vs NYG (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1497): W 33-10: 1470+19→1489
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1475): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-14)	6-5	at CIN (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1501): L 13-28: 1499-14→1485
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1547): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (-18)	5-7	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): L 10-33: 1497-18→1479
next: (bye)
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1476 (-3)	3-8	vs SF (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): L 15-17: 1479-3→1476
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1536): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1475 (+7)	4-7	at MIA (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): W 13-7: 1468+7→1475
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1469 (+2)	5-6	at LV (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): W 17-15: 1467+2→1469
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): Slight underdog
25 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (-17)	5-5-1	vs BAL (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): L 10-41: 1486-17→1469
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight underdog
26	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (+6)	6-5	vs WAS (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1532): W 36-33(OT): 1457+6→1463
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1469): Slight favorite
27	Chicago BearsCHI	1457 (+4)	4-7	vs ARI (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1422): W 16-14: 1453+4→1457
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1572): Slight underdog
28	Atlanta FalconsATL	1450 (+8)	5-6	vs TB (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1425): W 21-14: 1442+8→1450
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1549): Slight underdog
29	Houston TexansHOU	1430 (-9)	2-9	vs IND (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1414): L 14-21: 1439-9→1430
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1542): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1423 (+9)	3-8	vs PHI (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1439): W 21-14: 1414+9→1423
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): Slight underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1419 (-3)	0-10-1	vs MIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1453): L 14-16: 1422-3→1419
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Slight underdog
32 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1417 (-8)	2-9	at LAR (1508): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): L 14-21: 1425-8→1417
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1508): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1574 (+19)	7-4	vs TEN (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): W 25-0: 1555+19→1574
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1537): Slight favorite
2	Arizona CardinalsARI	1572 (+11)	9-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): W 23-13: 1561+11→1572
next: (bye)
3 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (+23)	6-5	vs TB (1540): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): W 41-15: 1528+23→1551
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1540): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1546 (-3)	8-3	vs LAR (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): L 31-34: 1549-3→1546
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Slight favorite
5 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (-24)	6-4	at NO (1514): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1528): L 15-41: 1569-24→1545
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1514): Tossup
6 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1540 (+17)	7-3	at IND (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 30-10: 1523+17→1540
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Slight underdog
7 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1537 (-17)	8-3	at NE (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1422): L 13-22: 1554-17→1537
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1574): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1536 (+12)	7-4	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): W 19-9: 1524+12→1536
next: (bye)
9 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1532 (-12)	7-3	vs LV (1457): Win by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): L 9-19: 1544-12→1532
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1457): Win by 4 points
10 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1530 (+19)	6-4	vs PIT (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): W 32-13: 1511+19→1530
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Slight favorite
11 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (+18)	5-5	vs MIN (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1443): W 30-10: 1510+18→1528
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (+3)	5-5	at SF (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): W 34-31: 1519+3→1522
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+13)	5-6	at NYG (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1527): W 40-29: 1508+13→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1468): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515	7-3	at GB (1546): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1546): Slight underdog
15 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1514 (-13)	5-5	vs BUF (1545): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): L 29-40: 1527-13→1514
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Tossup
16 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (-1)	6-5	at BAL (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1421): W 13-10: 1510-1→1509
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1508 (+3)	7-3	vs CLE (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): W 16-13: 1505+3→1508
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1501	5-5	vs LAC (1499): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (+2)	6-4	at DEN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): W 41-37: 1497+2→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1501): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497 (-10)	5-6	at MIA (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): L 21-27: 1507-10→1497
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (-1)	5-4-1	at CIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): L 37-41: 1487-1→1486
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1530): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1479 (-11)	3-7	at WAS (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1561): L 13-23: 1490-11→1479
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1467): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1470 (+7)	4-7	vs CAR (1497): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): W 24-17: 1463+7→1470
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1497): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1468 (-16)	3-7	vs PHI (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): L 10-30: 1484-16→1468
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1467 (+10)	4-6	vs SEA (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1507): W 27-21: 1457+10→1467
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1479): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1457 (-19)	5-5	at DAL (1532): Lose by 4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): L 13-32: 1476-19→1457
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1532): Lose by 4 points
27 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1453 (-3)	3-7	at DET (1422): Tossup
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): L 13-16: 1456-3→1453
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1422): Tossup
28 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1442 (-18)	4-6	at JAX (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): L 0-25: 1460-18→1442
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1425): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1439 (+17)	2-8	vs NYJ (1414): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1554): W 22-13: 1422+17→1439
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1414): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1425 (-18)	2-8	vs ATL (1442): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): L 10-30: 1443-18→1425
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1442): Slight favorite
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1422 (+1)	0-9-1	vs CHI (1453): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): L 10-13: 1421+1→1422
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1453): Tossup
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1414 (-8)	2-8	at HOU (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1463): L 17-24: 1422-8→1414
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1439): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2021 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+19)	6-3	vs IND (1528): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1440): W 45-17: 1550+19→1569
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1528): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1561 (-25)	8-2	at SEA (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): L 10-34: 1586-25→1561
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1490): Slight favorite
3 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1555 (+20)	6-4	at ATL (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): W 45-7: 1535+20→1555
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1554 (+1)	8-2	vs HOU (1422): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): W 23-21: 1553+1→1554
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1422): Win by 5 points
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1549 (+16)	8-2	at MIN (1519): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 17-0: 1533+16→1549
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Tossup
6 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1544 (+19)	7-2	at KC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 43-3: 1525+19→1544
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): Slight underdog
7 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1528 (+3)	5-5	at BUF (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1446): W 23-17: 1525+3→1528
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1527 (-1)	5-4	at PHI (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1553): L 21-23: 1528-1→1527
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1508): Slight underdog
9 (+9)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1524 (+22)	6-4	vs DAL (1544): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): W 41-14: 1502+22→1524
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1544): Slight favorite
10 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (-15)	6-3	vs NYG (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): L 19-29: 1538-15→1523
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight favorite
11 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (+10)	4-5	vs GB (1549): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): W 27-20: 1509+10→1519
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): Tossup
12 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (-20)	7-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): L 10-31: 1535-20→1515
next: (bye)
13 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511	5-4	at LV (1476): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1476): Slight favorite
14 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1510 (-20)	5-5	vs DET (1421): Win by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): L 7-45: 1530-20→1510
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1421): Win by 5 points
15 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1510 (+20)	4-5	at JAX (1443): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): W 31-10: 1490+20→1510
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1443): Slight favorite
16 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1508 (+20)	4-6	vs NO (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1522): W 30-13: 1488+20→1508
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1527): Slight favorite
17 (+7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1507 (+25)	5-5	vs WAS (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1586): W 34-10: 1482+25→1507
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1457): Slight favorite
18 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (-16)	6-3	at CHI (1456): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): L 10-22: 1521-16→1505
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): Slight favorite
19 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1501 (-21)	5-5	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): L 13-30: 1522-21→1501
next: (bye)
20 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1497 (-10)	5-4	vs PIT (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 20-27: 1507-10→1497
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1490 (-16)	3-6	vs ARI (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): L 0-17: 1506-16→1490
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1561): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1487 (-4)	5-3-1	at LAC (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1418): T 16-16(OT): 1491-4→1487
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): Slight underdog
23	New York GiantsNYG	1484	3-6	at TB (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1476 (-22)	5-4	vs CIN (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): L 14-41: 1498-22→1476
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1511): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1463 (+16)	3-7	at NYJ (1422): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): W 22-10: 1447+16→1463
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1422): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1460 (-19)	4-5	vs NE (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): L 3-43: 1479-19→1460
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1457 (+15)	3-6	at CAR (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1538): W 29-19: 1442+15→1457
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1507): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1456	3-6	vs BAL (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1443 (-3)	2-7	vs SF (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): L 17-23: 1446-3→1443
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1510): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1422	1-8	at TEN (1554): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1554): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1422 (-18)	2-7	vs MIA (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): L 17-45: 1440-18→1422
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1463): Slight underdog
32	Detroit LionsDET	1421 (+3)	0-8-1	at CLE (1510): Lose by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): T 16-16(OT): 1418+3→1421
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1586 (+7)	8-1	vs CAR (1482): Win by 5
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): W 31-17: 1579+7→1586
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): Win by 5 points
2 (+7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1553 (+18)	7-2	vs NO (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1553): W 28-16: 1535+18→1553
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1528): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1550 (-16)	5-3	at NYJ (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): L 6-9: 1566-16→1550
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1440): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1538	6-2	at WAS (1442): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1442): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1535 (-18)	7-2	at SF (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): L 16-28: 1553-18→1535
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1490): Slight favorite
6 (+6)	New England PatriotsNE	1535 (+17)	5-4	vs CLE (1530): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1499): W 24-6: 1518+17→1535
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1530): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1533 (-13)	7-2	vs SEA (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): L 7-13: 1546-13→1533
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight favorite
8 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1530 (+25)	5-4	at NE (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): W 41-16: 1505+25→1530
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1528 (-14)	5-3	at TEN (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): L 25-27: 1542-14→1528
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1553): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1525 (+7)	4-5	vs JAX (1446): Win by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1447): W 45-30: 1518+7→1525
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1446): Win by 5 points
11 (-7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1525 (-23)	6-2	vs ATL (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): L 16-30: 1548-23→1525
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight favorite
12 (+7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1522 (+23)	5-4	vs PHI (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): W 30-16: 1499+23→1522
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1488): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (-1)	6-2	at MIA (1447): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 34-31(OT): 1522-1→1521
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1447): Slight favorite
14 (-6)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1511 (-26)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): L 16-41: 1537-26→1511
next: (bye)
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (+1)	3-5	at LAC (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): L 31-34(OT): 1508+1→1509
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1507): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1507 (+3)	5-3	vs MIN (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1491): W 27-24: 1504+3→1507
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506	3-5	at GB (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1533): Slight underdog
18 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1502 (+12)	5-4	at LV (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1546): W 13-7: 1490+12→1502
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1498): Slight underdog
19 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1498 (-12)	5-3	vs KC (1502): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): L 16-23: 1510-12→1498
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1491 (-2)	5-3	vs DET (1418): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1454): W 29-27: 1493-2→1491
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1418): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1490 (-7)	3-5	vs LAR (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1579): L 17-31: 1497-7→1490
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1535): Slight underdog
22	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1488 (-3)	3-6	at DEN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): L 24-27: 1491-3→1488
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1522): Slight underdog
23 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (+12)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): W 23-16: 1472+12→1484
next: (bye)
24 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1482 (-17)	4-5	at ARI (1586): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): L 6-24: 1499-17→1482
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1586): Lose by 5 points
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+14)	4-4	at DAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1542): W 27-25: 1465+14→1479
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1525): Slight underdog
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1456 (+2)	3-6	bye
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 27-29: 1454+2→1456
next: (bye)
27 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1447 (+8)	2-7	vs BAL (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1430): W 17-9: 1439+8→1447
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1446 (+16)	2-6	at IND (1525): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): W 9-6: 1430+16→1446
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1525): Lose by 5 points
29 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1442	2-6	vs TB (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1538): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1440 (-7)	2-6	vs BUF (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): L 30-45: 1447-7→1440
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1550): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1422 (-8)	1-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): L 9-17: 1430-8→1422
next: (bye)
32	Detroit LionsDET	1418	0-8	at PIT (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1491): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1579 (-10)	7-1	at SF (1497): Win by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): L 21-24: 1589-10→1579
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1497): Win by 7 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1566 (+4)	5-2	at JAX (1430): Win by 10
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1443): W 26-11: 1562+4→1566
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1430): Win by 10 points
3 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1553 (+8)	7-1	vs TEN (1535): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1438): W 38-22: 1545+8→1553
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	6-1	vs DEN (1499): Win by 6
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 20-16: 1548+0→1548
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Win by 6 points
5 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1546 (+10)	7-1	at KC (1490): Win by 5
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): W 24-21: 1536+10→1546
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): Win by 5 points
6 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1542 (+12)	5-2	vs ATL (1465): Win by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): W 36-27: 1530+12→1542
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1465): Win by 8 points
7 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1538 (-12)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): L 27-36: 1550-12→1538
next: (bye)
8 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1537 (-13)	5-3	vs CLE (1505): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): L 31-34: 1550-13→1537
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Win by 5 points
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1535 (+2)	6-2	at LAR (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1520): W 34-31(OT): 1533+2→1535
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1553): Slight underdog
10	Baltimore RavensBAL	1522	5-2	vs MIN (1508): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Slight favorite
11	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1518 (-2)	3-5	vs NYJ (1447): Win by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1533): L 31-34(OT): 1520-2→1518
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1447): Win by 8 points
12 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (+5)	4-4	at CAR (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): W 27-24: 1513+5→1518
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1499): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1510	5-2	at NYG (1472): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 4 points
14 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508	3-4	at BAL (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): L 16-20: 1508-0→1508
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+15)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1445): W 31-7: 1491+15→1506
next: (bye)
16 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (-9)	4-4	at CIN (1537): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 10-15: 1514-9→1505
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1537): Lose by 5 points
17 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (-4)	4-3	at PHI (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): L 24-27: 1508-4→1504
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1491): Slight favorite
18	Carolina PanthersCAR	1499 (+6)	4-4	vs NE (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): W 19-13: 1493+6→1499
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (+2)	4-4	at DAL (1548): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1444): W 17-10: 1497+2→1499
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): Lose by 6 points
20 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1497 (+12)	3-4	vs ARI (1579): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): W 33-22: 1485+12→1497
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1579): Lose by 7 points
21 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (+10)	4-3	vs CHI (1454): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): W 15-10: 1483+10→1493
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1454): Win by 5 points
22 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1491 (+20)	3-5	vs LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1437): W 44-6: 1471+20→1491
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1490 (+1)	4-4	vs GB (1546): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): W 20-17: 1489+1→1490
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1546): Lose by 5 points
24 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472	2-6	vs LV (1510): Lose by 4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1489): L 17-20: 1472-0→1472
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1510): Lose by 4 points
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1465 (-6)	3-4	at NO (1542): Lose by 8
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): L 13-19: 1471-6→1465
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1542): Lose by 8 points
26	Chicago BearsCHI	1454 (-13)	3-5	at PIT (1493): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1485): L 22-33: 1467-13→1454
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Lose by 5 points
27 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1447 (+13)	2-5	at IND (1518): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): W 34-31: 1434+13→1447
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): Lose by 8 points
28	Washington Football TeamWAS	1442 (-2)	2-6	bye
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): L 10-17: 1444-2→1442
next: (bye)
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1439 (-4)	1-7	vs HOU (1430): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): L 11-26: 1443-4→1439
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1430): Slight favorite
30	Houston TexansHOU	1430 (-8)	1-7	at MIA (1439): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): L 22-38: 1438-8→1430
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1439): Slight underdog
31 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1430 (-15)	1-6	vs BUF (1566): Lose by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): L 7-31: 1445-15→1430
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1566): Lose by 10 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1418 (-19)	0-8	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1471): L 6-44: 1437-19→1418
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1589 (+9)	7-0	vs GB (1536): Win by 6
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1447): W 31-5: 1580+9→1589
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1536): Win by 6 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562	4-2	vs MIA (1443): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1443): Win by 10 points
3 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1550 (+15)	6-1	at NO (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1482): W 38-3: 1535+15→1550
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1530): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1550 (+23)	5-2	at NYJ (1434): Win by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): W 41-17: 1527+23→1550
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): Win by 8 points
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	5-1	at MIN (1508): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1545 (+1)	6-1	at HOU (1438): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1438): W 28-19: 1544+1→1545
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1438): Win by 7 points
7 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1536 (+8)	6-1	at ARI (1589): Lose by 6
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): W 24-10: 1528+8→1536
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1589): Lose by 6 points
8 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1533 (+19)	5-2	at IND (1520): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): W 27-3: 1514+19→1533
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1520): Tossup
9 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1530 (+1)	4-2	vs TB (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): W 13-10: 1529+1→1530
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1550): Slight underdog
10 (-6)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1522 (-23)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): L 17-41: 1545-23→1522
next: (bye)
11 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1520 (+15)	3-4	vs TEN (1533): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): W 30-18: 1505+15→1520
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1533): Tossup
12	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514	4-3	vs PIT (1483): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): W 17-14: 1514+0→1514
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Win by 5 points
13 (+7)	New England PatriotsNE	1513 (+17)	3-4	at LAC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1451): W 54-13: 1496+17→1513
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1510 (+11)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): W 33-22: 1499+11→1510
next: (bye)
15 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508	4-2	vs NE (1513): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508	3-3	vs DAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1497 (-1)	3-4	vs WAS (1444): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): L 14-17: 1498-1→1497
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1444): Win by 6 points
18 (-8)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1493 (-25)	3-4	at ATL (1471): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1447): L 3-25: 1518-25→1493
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1491 (-1)	2-5	vs JAX (1445): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1529): L 10-13: 1492-1→1491
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1445): Win by 5 points
20 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1489 (-19)	3-4	vs NYG (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1514): L 3-27: 1508-19→1489
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1485 (-15)	2-4	at CHI (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1505): L 18-30: 1500-15→1485
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Slight favorite
22	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483	3-3	at CLE (1514): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Lose by 5 points
23 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (+25)	2-5	at KC (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1518): W 25-3: 1447+25→1472
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1489): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (+2)	3-3	vs CAR (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): W 30-28: 1469+2→1471
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1471 (-11)	2-5	at DET (1437): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): L 22-33: 1482-11→1471
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1437): Slight favorite
26 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (-15)	3-4	vs SF (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): L 3-38: 1482-15→1467
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1485): Slight underdog
27 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1445	1-5	at SEA (1491): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1491): Lose by 5 points
28 (-2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1444 (-8)	2-5	at DEN (1497): Lose by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): L 10-24: 1452-8→1444
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): Lose by 6 points
29 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1443 (-2)	1-6	at BUF (1562): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): L 28-30: 1445-2→1443
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): Lose by 10 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1438 (-9)	1-6	vs LAR (1545): Lose by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1580): L 5-31: 1447-9→1438
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): Lose by 7 points
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1437 (-1)	0-7	vs PHI (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1544): L 19-28: 1438-1→1437
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1471): Slight underdog
32 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1434 (-17)	1-5	vs CIN (1550): Lose by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): L 13-54: 1451-17→1434
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1550): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1580 (+19)	6-0	vs HOU (1447): Win by 10
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1533): W 37-14: 1561+19→1580
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1447): Win by 10 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562 (-7)	4-2	bye
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): L 31-34: 1569-7→1562
next: (bye)
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548	5-1	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): W 35-29(OT): 1548-0→1548
next: (bye)
4 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1545 (+20)	5-1	vs CIN (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): W 34-6: 1525+20→1545
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1527): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1544 (+17)	5-1	vs DET (1438): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): W 38-11: 1527+17→1544
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1438): Win by 8 points
6 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1535 (+5)	5-1	vs CHI (1482): Win by 6
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): W 28-22: 1530+5→1535
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1482): Win by 6 points
7	New Orleans SaintsNO	1529	3-2	at SEA (1492): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1492): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+12)	5-1	vs WAS (1452): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): W 24-14: 1516+12→1528
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1452): Win by 7 points
9 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1527 (+17)	4-2	at BAL (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): W 34-11: 1510+17→1527
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): Slight underdog
10	Carolina PanthersCAR	1518 (-5)	3-3	at NYG (1447): Win by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): L 28-34(OT): 1523-5→1518
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1447): Win by 5 points
11 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1514 (+7)	4-2	vs KC (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): W 34-31: 1507+7→1514
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1508): Slight favorite
12 (-8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1514 (-19)	3-3	vs DEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1561): L 14-37: 1533-19→1514
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Slight favorite
13 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (-21)	4-2	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 6-34: 1529-21→1508
next: (bye)
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (+5)	3-3	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1523): W 34-28(OT): 1503+5→1508
next: (bye)
15 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1508 (+18)	3-3	at TEN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1470): W 31-13: 1490+18→1508
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1514): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1505 (+19)	2-4	at SF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): W 31-3: 1486+19→1505
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight underdog
17 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	2-3	vs IND (1505): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1505): Slight favorite
18 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499 (+16)	4-2	vs PHI (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): W 34-24: 1483+16→1499
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1482): Slight favorite
19 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (-16)	3-3	at CLE (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): L 24-34: 1514-16→1498
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1514): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1496 (+1)	2-4	vs NYJ (1451): Win by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): L 29-35(OT): 1495+1→1496
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1451): Win by 5 points
21 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1492 (-2)	2-4	vs NO (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 20-23(OT): 1494-2→1492
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1529): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (+2)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): W 23-20(OT): 1481+2→1483
next: (bye)
23 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1482 (-12)	3-3	at TB (1535): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1516): L 14-24: 1494-12→1482
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1535): Lose by 6 points
24 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1482 (-5)	2-4	at LV (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): L 22-28: 1487-5→1482
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1469	2-3	at MIA (1445): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1445): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1452 (-18)	2-4	at GB (1528): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): L 13-31: 1470-18→1452
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Lose by 7 points
27 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1451	1-4	at NE (1496): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1496): Lose by 5 points
28	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (-17)	1-5	vs CAR (1518): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): L 11-38: 1464-17→1447
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1518): Lose by 5 points
29 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1447 (-18)	1-5	at ARI (1580): Lose by 10
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): L 3-31: 1465-18→1447
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1580): Lose by 10 points
30 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1445 (-4)	1-5	vs ATL (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1441): L 20-23: 1449-4→1445
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1469): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1445 (+4)	1-5	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1449): W 23-20: 1441+4→1445
next: (bye)
32 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1438 (-17)	0-6	at LAR (1544): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): L 11-34: 1455-17→1438
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1544): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (+16)	4-1	at TEN (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1506): W 38-20: 1553+16→1569
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1561 (+4)	5-0	at CLE (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): W 17-10: 1557+4→1561
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1533): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1548 (+15)	4-1	at NE (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 44-20: 1533+15→1548
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1495): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1533 (-5)	3-2	vs ARI (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 42-47: 1538-5→1533
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1561): Slight underdog
5 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (+16)	4-1	at PHI (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): W 45-17: 1514+16→1530
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1487): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1529 (+5)	4-1	at BAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): W 47-42: 1524+5→1529
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1529 (+13)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1482): W 33-22: 1516+13→1529
next: (bye)
8 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1527 (+12)	4-1	at NYG (1464): Win by 4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): W 26-17: 1515+12→1527
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): Win by 4 points
9 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (-2)	4-1	vs LAC (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): W 31-25(OT): 1527-2→1525
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1529): Slight favorite
10 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1523 (-9)	3-2	vs MIN (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): L 18-21: 1532-9→1523
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1516 (+4)	4-1	at CHI (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): W 25-22(OT): 1512+4→1516
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1494): Slight favorite
12 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1514 (-13)	3-2	vs LV (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): L 19-27: 1527-13→1514
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (-4)	3-2	at DET (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 22-25(OT): 1514-4→1510
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1455): Slight favorite
14 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1507 (+17)	3-2	vs BUF (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): W 37-19: 1490+17→1507
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (-1)	2-3	at CAR (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1454): W 19-17: 1504-1→1503
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1523): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500 (-4)	2-3	bye
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): L 10-17: 1504-4→1500
next: (bye)
17 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1495 (+2)	2-3	vs DAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1468): W 25-22: 1493+2→1495
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1548): Slight underdog
18 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (-12)	2-3	at PIT (1481): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 17-26: 1506-12→1494
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Tossup
19 (+6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1494 (+16)	3-2	vs GB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): W 20-9: 1478+16→1494
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1516): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1490 (-16)	2-3	at WAS (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1553): L 20-38: 1506-16→1490
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1470): Slight favorite
21 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1487 (+8)	2-3	vs TB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1532): W 21-18: 1479+8→1487
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1486 (+2)	1-4	vs HOU (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): L 25-31(OT): 1484+2→1486
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): Slight favorite
23 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (-16)	3-2	at DEN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): L 9-20: 1499-16→1483
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1514): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (+13)	2-3	vs SEA (1494): Tossup
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): W 27-19: 1468+13→1481
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Tossup
25 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1470 (-12)	2-3	vs KC (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1516): L 22-33: 1482-12→1470
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): Slight underdog
26 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1469 (+9)	2-3	bye
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): W 27-20: 1460+9→1469
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1465 (-3)	1-4	at IND (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1493): L 22-25: 1468-3→1465
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1486): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1464 (-15)	1-4	vs LAR (1527): Lose by 4
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): L 20-44: 1479-15→1464
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1527): Lose by 4 points
29 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1455 (+1)	0-5	vs CIN (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 17-19: 1454+1→1455
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): Slight underdog
30	New York JetsNYJ	1451 (-9)	1-4	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): L 20-27: 1460-9→1451
next: (bye)
31 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1449 (-17)	1-4	at JAX (1441): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 17-45: 1466-17→1449
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1441): Slight favorite
32 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1441 (-17)	0-5	at MIA (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): L 19-37: 1458-17→1441
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1449): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1557 (+19)	4-0	vs SF (1504): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1534): W 37-20: 1538+19→1557
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): Win by 5 points
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1553 (+18)	3-1	at KC (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1486): W 40-0: 1535+18→1553
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1506): Slight favorite
3 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1538 (+9)	3-1	at LAC (1524): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): W 14-7: 1529+9→1538
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Tossup
4 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1533 (+11)	3-1	vs NYG (1479): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1542): W 36-28: 1522+11→1533
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1479): Win by 5 points
5 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1532 (-10)	3-1	vs PHI (1479): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): L 28-36: 1542-10→1532
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1479): Win by 5 points
6 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (-22)	3-1	at PIT (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): L 7-23: 1549-22→1527
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Slight favorite
7 (+8)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1527 (+22)	3-1	vs IND (1484): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1549): W 23-7: 1505+22→1527
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): Win by 5 points
8 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+16)	3-1	vs CLE (1538): Tossup
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1514): W 28-14: 1508+16→1524
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1538): Tossup
9 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1516 (-7)	2-2	at WAS (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): L 21-27(OT): 1523-7→1516
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1482): Slight favorite
10 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (-19)	3-1	at SEA (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): L 20-37: 1534-19→1515
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (-2)	3-1	vs GB (1512): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1456): W 24-21: 1516-2→1514
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (+4)	3-1	vs MIA (1466): Win by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1497): W 19-17: 1510+4→1514
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 5 points
13 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512 (+9)	3-1	at CIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): W 27-17: 1503+9→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+11)	2-2	vs LAR (1515): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): W 28-21: 1495+11→1506
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Slight favorite
15 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1506 (+16)	2-2	vs BUF (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1495): W 42-30: 1490+16→1506
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1553): Slight underdog
16 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-9)	1-3	vs DET (1454): Win by 5
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): L 7-14: 1513-9→1504
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1454): Win by 5 points
17 (-7)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1504 (-11)	2-2	at ARI (1557): Lose by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): L 21-28: 1515-11→1504
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1557): Lose by 5 points
18 (-7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499 (-15)	3-1	vs CHI (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): L 14-28: 1514-15→1499
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1493 (-4)	1-3	at HOU (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 17-19: 1497-4→1493
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1468): Slight favorite
20	Tennessee TitansTEN	1490 (-3)	2-2	at JAX (1458): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1457): L 24-27(OT): 1493-3→1490
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1458): Slight favorite
21 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1484 (+14)	1-3	at BAL (1527): Lose by 5
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): W 27-17: 1470+14→1484
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): Lose by 5 points
22 (+2)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1482 (+4)	2-2	vs NO (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): W 34-30: 1478+4→1482
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1516): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (+7)	1-3	at DAL (1533): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): W 27-21(OT): 1472+7→1479
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1533): Lose by 5 points
24 (-5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1479 (-16)	1-3	at CAR (1532): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): L 30-42: 1495-16→1479
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1532): Lose by 5 points
25 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (+11)	2-2	at LV (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1465): W 24-14: 1467+11→1478
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1468 (-18)	1-3	vs NE (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): L 0-40: 1486-18→1468
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1493): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (-10)	1-3	vs DEN (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1503): L 17-27: 1478-10→1468
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (-14)	1-3	at TB (1514): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1470): L 17-27: 1480-14→1466
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Lose by 5 points
29 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1460 (-4)	1-3	at NYJ (1460): Tossup
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): L 30-34: 1464-4→1460
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): Tossup
30 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (+3)	1-3	at ATL (1460): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1493): W 27-24(OT): 1457+3→1460
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1460): Tossup
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1458 (+2)	0-4	vs TEN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): L 21-24: 1456+2→1458
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1454 (-11)	0-4	at MIN (1504): Lose by 5
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): L 14-24: 1465-11→1454
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Denver BroncosDEN	1549 (+17)	3-0	vs BAL (1505): Win by 4
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1474): W 26-0: 1532+17→1549
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1505): Win by 4 points
2 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1542 (+17)	3-0	at DAL (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1504): W 24-9: 1525+17→1542
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1522): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1538 (+13)	3-0	at LAR (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): W 31-19: 1525+13→1538
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1534): Slight underdog
4 (+4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1535 (+19)	2-1	vs HOU (1486): Win by 4
prev: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1497): W 43-21: 1516+19→1535
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1486): Win by 4 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1534 (+12)	3-0	vs ARI (1538): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): W 34-24: 1522+12→1534
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): Slight favorite
6 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1529 (+17)	2-1	at MIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): W 26-6: 1512+17→1529
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Slight underdog
7 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1523 (+20)	2-1	vs NYG (1472): Win by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): W 28-13: 1503+20→1523
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1472): Win by 5 points
8 (+7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1522 (+19)	2-1	vs CAR (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): W 41-21: 1503+19→1522
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1542): Slight underdog
9 (+11)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1516 (+19)	2-1	vs JAX (1456): Win by 5
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): W 24-10: 1497+19→1516
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1456): Win by 5 points
10 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1515 (-7)	2-1	vs SEA (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1496): L 28-30: 1522-7→1515
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1495): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1514 (-2)	3-0	at LAC (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): W 31-28(OT): 1516-2→1514
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1508): Slight underdog
12 (+7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+15)	1-2	vs CLE (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): W 30-17: 1498+15→1513
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1529): Slight favorite
13 (-7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (-11)	2-1	at NE (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): L 24-34: 1521-11→1510
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1497): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1508 (+8)	2-1	vs LV (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1499): W 30-24: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1514): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1505 (+3)	2-1	at DEN (1549): Lose by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1468): W 19-17: 1502+3→1505
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1549): Lose by 4 points
16 (+7)	Green Bay PackersGB	1503 (+7)	2-1	vs PIT (1478): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): W 30-28: 1496+7→1503
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Slight favorite
17 (-10)	New England PatriotsNE	1497 (-20)	1-2	vs TB (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): L 13-28: 1517-20→1497
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight favorite
18 (-6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (-16)	1-2	at SF (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 17-30: 1511-16→1495
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): Slight underdog
19 (-9)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1495 (-19)	1-2	vs KC (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): L 21-41: 1514-19→1495
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1490): Slight favorite
20 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1493 (+11)	2-1	at NYJ (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): W 25-16: 1482+11→1493
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1457): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1490 (-9)	1-2	at PHI (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 24-30: 1499-9→1490
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1495): Slight underdog
22 (-9)	Houston TexansHOU	1486 (-18)	1-2	at BUF (1535): Lose by 4
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1525): L 9-24: 1504-18→1486
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): Lose by 4 points
23 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1480 (+1)	1-2	vs IND (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1516): L 28-31(OT): 1479+1→1480
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1470): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1478 (-19)	1-2	at ATL (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1516): L 21-43: 1497-19→1478
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1464): Slight underdog
25 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (-18)	1-2	at GB (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): L 10-24: 1496-18→1478
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1503): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1472 (-7)	0-3	at NO (1523): Lose by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): L 14-17: 1479-7→1472
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1523): Lose by 5 points
27 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1470 (-10)	0-3	at MIA (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): L 16-25: 1480-10→1470
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1480): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (-17)	1-2	vs DET (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): L 6-26: 1484-17→1467
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1465): Slight favorite
29 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1465 (-3)	0-3	at CHI (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): L 17-19: 1468-3→1465
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1464 (+7)	1-2	vs WAS (1478): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): W 17-14: 1457+7→1464
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1478): Slight favorite
31 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1457 (-17)	0-3	vs TEN (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): L 0-26: 1474-17→1457
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1493): Slight underdog
32 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1456 (-14)	0-3	at CIN (1516): Lose by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): L 19-31: 1470-14→1456
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1516): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1532 (+13)	2-0	vs NYJ (1474): Win by 5
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): W 23-13: 1519+13→1532
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1474): Win by 5 points
2 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1525 (+1)	2-0	at JAX (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): W 34-33: 1524+1→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1470): Slight favorite
3 (+9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1525 (+21)	2-0	at HOU (1504): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): W 26-7: 1504+21→1525
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1504): Tossup
4	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1522 (+2)	2-0	vs TB (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): W 27-24: 1520+2→1522
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1521): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522 (+10)	2-0	vs GB (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): W 17-11: 1512+10→1522
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1496): Slight favorite
6 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1521 (+18)	2-0	at LAR (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): W 48-25: 1503+18→1521
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1522): Slight underdog
7 (+16)	New England PatriotsNE	1517 (+23)	1-1	vs NO (1503): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): W 25-6: 1494+23→1517
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1503): Slight favorite
8 (+16)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1516 (+27)	1-1	vs WAS (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1506): W 35-0: 1489+27→1516
next: vs Washington Football TeamWAS (1497): Slight favorite
9 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1516 (+15)	2-0	vs MIA (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): W 26-17: 1501+15→1516
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight favorite
10 (-9)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1514 (-10)	1-1	at DAL (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): L 11-17: 1524-10→1514
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): Slight underdog
11 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (+14)	1-1	vs CHI (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1518): W 31-21: 1498+14→1512
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): Slight favorite
12 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1511 (-6)	1-1	at MIN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1476): L 30-33(OT): 1517-6→1511
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight underdog
13 (-7)	Houston TexansHOU	1504 (-14)	1-1	vs CAR (1525): Tossup
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): L 21-31: 1518-14→1504
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1525): Tossup
14 (-12)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1503 (-21)	1-1	at NE (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): L 7-26: 1524-21→1503
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1517): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503 (+6)	1-1	vs PHI (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): W 20-17: 1497+6→1503
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): Slight favorite
16 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1502 (+3)	1-1	at DET (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): W 36-35: 1499+3→1502
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1468): Slight favorite
17 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-5)	1-1	at KC (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): L 17-20: 1505-5→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1499): Slight underdog
18 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1499 (-3)	1-1	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): L 35-36: 1502-3→1499
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-1)	0-2	vs SEA (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1524): L 33-34: 1499-1→1498
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1511): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1497 (-4)	1-1	at PIT (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): L 17-20: 1501-4→1497
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1496): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1497 (+2)	1-1	at BUF (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): W 30-29: 1495+2→1497
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1516): Slight underdog
22 (-13)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1496 (-15)	1-1	vs CIN (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): L 17-26: 1511-15→1496
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1497): Slight favorite
23 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1496 (+20)	1-1	at SF (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1488): W 35-17: 1476+20→1496
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Slight underdog
24 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1484 (+4)	1-1	at CLE (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1501): W 20-17: 1480+4→1484
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (+6)	1-1	vs IND (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): W 33-30(OT): 1476+6→1482
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight favorite
26	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (-3)	0-2	at TEN (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): L 24-27: 1483-3→1480
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1479 (-2)	0-2	vs ATL (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1495): L 29-30: 1481-2→1479
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Slight favorite
28 (-18)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-27)	1-1	at LV (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1489): L 0-35: 1506-27→1479
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1516): Slight underdog
29 (-8)	New York JetsNYJ	1474 (-22)	0-2	at DEN (1532): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): L 6-25: 1496-22→1474
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): Lose by 5 points
30 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1470 (-12)	0-2	vs ARI (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1519): L 13-23: 1482-12→1470
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1525): Slight underdog
31 (-6)	Detroit LionsDET	1468 (-20)	0-2	vs BAL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1476): L 17-35: 1488-20→1468
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): Slight underdog
32	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (-19)	0-2	at NYG (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): L 25-48: 1476-19→1457
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1479): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2021 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+25)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1524 (+24)	1-0	vs SF (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 32-6: 1500+24→1524
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight favorite
2 (+21)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1524 (+24)	1-0	at CAR (1504): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 38-3: 1500+24→1524
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1504): Tossup
3 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1524 (+24)	1-0	vs MIN (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 38-13: 1500+24→1524
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Slight favorite
4 (+15)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1520 (+20)	1-0	at IND (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 34-14: 1500+20→1520
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1483): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1519 (+19)	1-0	at JAX (1482): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 27-13: 1500+19→1519
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1482): Slight favorite
6 (+7)	Houston TexansHOU	1518 (+18)	1-0	at CLE (1498): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 37-21: 1500+18→1518
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): Tossup
7 (+22)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+17)	1-0	vs TEN (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 28-16: 1500+17→1517
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1476): Slight favorite
8 (+20)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+12)	1-0	at PHI (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 41-33: 1500+12→1512
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): Slight underdog
9 (+18)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1511 (+11)	1-0	vs LV (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): W 23-16: 1500+11→1511
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1501): Slight favorite
10 (+10)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs BUF (1489): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1489): Slight favorite
11 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs DAL (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): W 20-16: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs NO (1524): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 19-14: 1500+4→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1524): Tossup
13 (+17)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1503 (+3)	1-0	vs ATL (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 31-29: 1500+3→1503
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1502 (+2)	1-0	at BAL (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 33-29: 1500+2→1502
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1501 (+1)	1-0	at PIT (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 33-27(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1511): Slight underdog
16 (-9)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1501 (+1)	1-0	at CHI (1480): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): W 27-24(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Tossup
17 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (-1)	0-1	at ARI (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 24-27(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1524): Slight underdog
18 (-15)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499 (-1)	0-1	vs KC (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 27-33(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1502): Slight favorite
19 (-11)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs HOU (1518): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 29-33: 1500-2→1498
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1518): Tossup
20 (-11)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1497 (-3)	0-1	at LAC (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 29-31: 1500-3→1497
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs NE (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): L 14-19: 1500-4→1496
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): Slight favorite
22 (+10)	Washington Football TeamWAS	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs NYG (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 16-20: 1500-5→1495
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1481): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (-6)	0-1	at NYJ (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 16-17: 1500-6→1494
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1496): Slight underdog
24 (-20)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1489 (-11)	0-1	at MIA (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 16-23: 1500-11→1489
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1506): Slight underdog
25 (-14)	Detroit LionsDET	1488 (-12)	0-1	at GB (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 33-41: 1500-12→1488
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1476): Slight underdog
26 (-12)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1483 (-17)	0-1	vs LAR (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 16-28: 1500-17→1483
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1520): Slight underdog
27 (-12)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1482 (-18)	0-1	vs DEN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): L 21-37: 1500-18→1482
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1519): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1481 (-19)	0-1	at WAS (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 13-27: 1500-19→1481
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1495): Slight underdog
29 (-23)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (-20)	0-1	vs CIN (1501): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 14-34: 1500-20→1480
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1501): Tossup
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1476 (-24)	0-1	at SEA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-38: 1500-24→1476
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Slight underdog
31 (-19)	Green Bay PackersGB	1476 (-24)	0-1	vs DET (1488): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 3-38: 1500-24→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1488): Slight favorite
32 (-30)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (-24)	0-1	at TB (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 6-32: 1500-24→1476
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2021 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at LV (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	vs NYJ (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight favorite
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at TB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at NYG (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Tossup
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs SEA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at HOU (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	vs CLE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington Football TeamWAS (1500): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs CHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Tossup
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	at CAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight underdog
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
32	Washington Football TeamWAS	1500	0-0	vs LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2021 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-58 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at TEN(1500) W 38-13: +24→1524	9	1	at SF(1497) W 31-17: +7→1586	17	8	at DAL(1560) W 25-22: +2→1555
2	2	vs MIN(1499) W 34-33: +1→1525	10	2	vs CAR(1482) L 10-34: -25→1561	18	8	vs SEA(1494) L 30-38: -5→1550
3	3	at JAX(1470) W 31-19: +13→1538	11	2	at SEA(1490) W 23-13: +11→1572	W	10	at LAR(1542) L 11-34: -5→1545
4	1	at LAR(1534) W 37-20: +19→1557	12	2	(bye)	D	10
5	2	vs SF(1504) W 17-10: +4→1561	13	2	at CHI(1457) W 33-22: +8→1580	C	10
6	1	at CLE(1533) W 37-14: +19→1580	14	2	vs LAR(1522) L 23-30: -8→1572	S	10
7	1	vs HOU(1447) W 31-5: +9→1589	15	6	at DET(1411) L 12-30: -15→1557
8	1	vs GB(1536) L 21-24: -10→1579	16	8	vs IND(1565) L 16-22: -4→1553

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs PHI(1500) L 6-32: -24→1476	9	25	at NO(1542) W 27-25: +14→1479	17	27	at BUF(1577) L 15-29: -5→1436
2	32	at TB(1503) L 25-48: -19→1457	10	26	at DAL(1525) L 3-43: -19→1460	18	27	vs NO(1500) L 20-30: -4→1432
3	30	at NYG(1479) W 17-14: +7→1464	11	28	vs NE(1555) L 0-25: -18→1442	W	27
4	29	vs WAS(1478) L 30-34: -4→1460	12	28	at JAX(1425) W 21-14: +8→1450	D	27
5	26	at NYJ(1460) W 27-20: +9→1469	13	28	vs TB(1549) L 17-30: -11→1439	C	27
6	25	(bye)	14	26	at CAR(1479) W 29-21: +10→1449	S	27
7	24	at MIA(1445) W 30-28: +2→1471	15	27	at SF(1530) L 13-31: -9→1440
8	25	vs CAR(1493) L 13-19: -6→1465	16	26	vs DET(1426) W 20-16: +1→1441

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at LV(1500) L 27-33: -1→1499	9	13	vs MIN(1508) W 34-31: -1→1521	17	19	vs LAR(1542) L 19-20: -2→1495
2	16	vs KC(1502) W 36-35: +3→1502	10	18	at MIA(1447) L 10-22: -16→1505	18	21	vs PIT(1470) L 13-16: -2→1493
3	15	at DET(1468) W 19-17: +3→1505	11	17	at CHI(1456) W 16-13: +3→1508	W	21
4	7	at DEN(1549) W 23-7: +22→1527	12	15	vs CLE(1509) W 16-10: +5→1513	D	21
5	9	vs IND(1484) W 31-25: -2→1525	13	15	at PIT(1469) L 19-20: -4→1509	C	21
6	4	vs LAC(1529) W 34-6: +20→1545	14	17	at CLE(1504) L 22-24: -1→1508	S	21
7	10	vs CIN(1527) L 17-41: -23→1522	15	18	vs GB(1561) L 30-31: -2→1506
8	10	(bye)	16	20	at CIN(1530) L 21-41: -9→1497

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs PIT(1500) L 16-23: -11→1489	9	3	at JAX(1430) L 6-9: -16→1550	17	1	vs ATL(1441) W 29-15: +5→1582
2	8	at MIA(1506) W 35-0: +27→1516	10	1	at NYJ(1440) W 45-17: +19→1569	18	1	vs NYJ(1399) W 27-10: +3→1585
3	4	vs WAS(1497) W 43-21: +19→1535	11	5	vs IND(1528) L 15-41: -24→1545	W	1	vs NE(1577) W 47-17: +6→1591
4	2	vs HOU(1486) W 40-0: +18→1553	12	3	at NO(1514) W 31-6: +19→1564	D	1	at KC(1572) L 36-42: -1→1590
5	1	at KC(1506) W 38-20: +16→1569	13	3	vs NE(1589) L 10-14: -3→1561	C	1
6	2	at TEN(1507) L 31-34: -7→1562	14	5	at TB(1560) L 27-33: -1→1560	S	1
7	2	(bye)	15	2	vs CAR(1470) W 31-14: +9→1569
8	2	vs MIA(1443) W 26-11: +4→1566	16	1	at NE(1584) W 33-21: +8→1577

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1517 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs NYJ(1500) W 19-14: +4→1504	9	24	vs NE(1518) L 6-24: -17→1482	17	25	at NO(1497) L 10-18: -3→1448
2	3	vs NO(1524) W 26-7: +21→1525	10	17	at ARI(1586) W 34-10: +25→1507	18	26	at TB(1560) L 17-41: -5→1443
3	2	at HOU(1504) W 24-9: +17→1542	11	20	vs WAS(1457) L 21-27: -10→1497	W	26
4	5	at DAL(1522) L 28-36: -10→1532	12	21	at MIA(1470) L 10-33: -18→1479	D	26
5	10	vs PHI(1479) L 18-21: -9→1523	13	22	(bye)	C	26
6	10	vs MIN(1503) L 28-34: -5→1518	14	22	vs ATL(1439) L 21-29: -9→1470	S	26
7	18	at NYG(1447) L 3-25: -25→1493	15	24	at BUF(1560) L 14-31: -9→1461
8	18	at ATL(1471) W 19-13: +6→1499	16	25	vs TB(1551) L 6-32: -10→1451

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1469 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at LAR(1500) L 14-34: -20→1480	9	26	at PIT(1493) L 27-29: +2→1456	17	26	vs NYG(1436) W 29-3: +8→1447
2	24	vs CIN(1501) W 20-17: +4→1484	10	28	(bye)	18	25	at MIN(1507) L 17-31: -4→1443
3	28	at CLE(1512) L 6-26: -17→1467	11	27	vs BAL(1505) L 13-16: -3→1453	W	25
4	25	vs DET(1465) W 24-14: +11→1478	12	27	at DET(1422) W 16-14: +4→1457	D	25
5	19	at LV(1499) W 20-9: +16→1494	13	27	vs ARI(1572) L 22-33: -9→1448	C	25
6	23	vs GB(1516) L 14-24: -12→1482	14	28	at GB(1553) L 30-45: -8→1440	S	25
7	26	at TB(1535) L 3-38: -15→1467	15	28	vs MIN(1515) L 9-17: -5→1435
8	26	vs SF(1485) L 22-33: -13→1454	16	27	at SEA(1491) W 25-24: +4→1439

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-27 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs MIN(1500) W 27-24: +1→1501	9	14	vs CLE(1505) L 16-41: -26→1511	17	12	vs KC(1569) W 34-31: +1→1540
2	20	at CHI(1480) L 17-20: -4→1497	10	13	(bye)	18	11	at CLE(1494) L 16-21: -2→1538
3	9	at PIT(1496) W 24-10: +19→1516	11	10	at LV(1476) W 32-13: +19→1530	W	11	vs LV(1458) W 26-19: +1→1539
4	11	vs JAX(1456) W 24-21: -2→1514	12	6	vs PIT(1486) W 41-10: +17→1547	D	11	at TEN(1536) W 19-16: +1→1540
5	13	vs GB(1512) L 22-25: -4→1510	13	9	vs LAC(1485) L 22-41: -19→1528	C	11	at KC(1572) W 27-24: +1→1541
6	9	at DET(1455) W 34-11: +17→1527	14	12	vs SF(1528) L 23-26: -2→1526	S	11	at LAR(1549) L 20-23: +0→1541
7	4	at BAL(1545) W 41-17: +23→1550	15	12	at DEN(1517) W 15-10: +4→1530
8	8	at NYJ(1434) L 31-34: -13→1537	16	11	vs BAL(1506) W 41-21: +9→1539

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at KC(1500) L 29-33: -2→1498	9	8	at CIN(1537) W 41-16: +25→1530	17	21	at PIT(1463) L 14-26: -7→1494
2	11	vs HOU(1518) W 31-21: +14→1512	10	14	at NE(1535) L 7-45: -20→1510	18	20	vs CIN(1540) W 21-16: +2→1496
3	6	vs CHI(1484) W 26-6: +17→1529	11	16	vs DET(1421) W 13-10: -1→1509	W	20
4	3	at MIN(1513) W 14-7: +9→1538	12	17	at BAL(1508) L 10-16: -5→1504	D	20
5	4	at LAC(1524) L 42-47: -5→1533	13	17	(bye)	C	20
6	12	vs ARI(1561) L 14-37: -19→1514	14	18	vs BAL(1509) W 24-22: +1→1505	S	20
7	12	vs DEN(1498) W 17-14: +0→1514	15	19	vs LV(1446) L 14-16: -4→1501
8	16	vs PIT(1483) L 10-15: -9→1505	16	18	at GB(1563) L 22-24: +0→1501

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at TB(1500) L 29-31: -3→1497	9	11	vs DEN(1499) L 16-30: -23→1525	17	7	vs ARI(1553) L 22-25: -2→1558
2	15	at LAC(1505) W 20-17: +6→1503	10	6	vs ATL(1479) W 43-3: +19→1544	18	6	at PHI(1541) W 51-26: +7→1565
3	8	vs PHI(1514) W 41-21: +19→1522	11	9	at KC(1524) L 9-19: -12→1532	W	6	vs SF(1544) L 17-23: -2→1563
4	4	vs CAR(1542) W 36-28: +11→1533	12	10	vs LV(1457) L 33-36: -6→1526	D	6
5	3	vs NYG(1479) W 44-20: +15→1548	13	8	at NO(1495) W 27-17: +10→1536	C	6
6	3	at NE(1495) W 35-29: -0→1548	14	8	at WAS(1474) W 27-20: +6→1542	S	6
7	5	(bye)	15	8	at NYG(1455) W 21-6: +9→1551
8	4	at MIN(1508) W 20-16: +0→1548	16	7	vs WAS(1463) W 56-14: +9→1560

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NYG(1500) W 27-13: +19→1519	9	12	at DAL(1548) W 30-16: +23→1522	17	16	at LAC(1503) L 13-34: -9→1502
2	1	at JAX(1482) W 23-13: +13→1532	10	19	vs PHI(1488) L 13-30: -21→1501	18	18	vs KC(1568) L 24-28: -0→1502
3	1	vs NYJ(1474) W 26-0: +17→1549	11	18	(bye)	W	18
4	6	vs BAL(1505) L 7-23: -22→1527	12	12	vs LAC(1499) W 28-13: +14→1515	D	18
5	12	at PIT(1468) L 19-27: -13→1514	13	16	at KC(1536) L 9-22: -10→1505	C	18
6	19	vs LV(1483) L 24-34: -16→1498	14	14	vs DET(1423) W 38-10: +12→1517	S	18
7	17	at CLE(1514) L 14-17: -1→1497	15	15	vs CIN(1526) L 10-15: -4→1513
8	19	vs WAS(1444) W 17-10: +2→1499	16	16	at LV(1451) L 13-17: -2→1511

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+60 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1552 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs SF(1500) L 33-41: -12→1488	9	32	(bye)	17	29	at SEA(1487) L 29-51: -7→1418
2	31	at GB(1476) L 17-35: -20→1468	10	32	at PIT(1491) T 16-16: +3→1421	18	28	vs GB(1571) W 37-30: +4→1422
3	29	vs BAL(1502) L 17-19: -3→1465	11	31	at CLE(1510) L 10-13: +1→1422	W	28
4	32	at CHI(1467) L 14-24: -11→1454	12	31	vs CHI(1453) L 14-16: -3→1419	D	28
5	29	at MIN(1504) L 17-19: +1→1455	13	29	vs MIN(1514) W 29-27: +4→1423	C	28
6	32	vs CIN(1510) L 11-34: -17→1438	14	29	at DEN(1505) L 10-38: -12→1411	S	28
7	31	at LAR(1544) L 19-28: -1→1437	15	29	vs ARI(1572) W 30-12: +15→1426
8	32	vs PHI(1471) L 6-44: -19→1418	16	29	at ATL(1440) L 16-20: -1→1425

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1481 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at NO(1500) L 3-38: -24→1476	9	7	at KC(1490) L 7-13: -13→1533	17	3	vs MIN(1515) W 37-10: +8→1571
2	23	vs DET(1488) W 35-17: +20→1496	10	5	vs SEA(1506) W 17-0: +16→1549	18	4	at DET(1418) L 30-37: -5→1566
3	16	at SF(1522) W 30-28: +7→1503	11	4	at MIN(1519) L 31-34: -3→1546	W	5	(bye)
4	13	vs PIT(1478) W 27-17: +9→1512	12	4	vs LAR(1515) W 36-28: +7→1553	D	5	vs SF(1546) L 10-13: -1→1565
5	11	at CIN(1514) W 25-22: +4→1516	13	6	(bye)	C	5
6	8	at CHI(1494) W 24-14: +12→1528	14	3	vs CHI(1448) W 45-30: +8→1561	S	5
7	7	vs WAS(1452) W 24-10: +8→1536	15	4	at BAL(1508) W 31-30: +2→1563
8	5	at ARI(1589) W 24-21: +10→1546	16	5	vs CLE(1501) W 24-22: -0→1563

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs JAX(1500) W 37-21: +18→1518	9	31	at MIA(1439) L 9-17: -8→1422	17	30	at SF(1538) L 7-23: -5→1417
2	13	at CLE(1498) L 21-31: -14→1504	10	30	(bye)	18	30	vs TEN(1536) L 25-28: +0→1417
3	22	vs CAR(1525) L 9-24: -18→1486	11	29	at TEN(1554) W 22-13: +17→1439	W	30
4	26	at BUF(1535) L 0-40: -18→1468	12	29	vs NYJ(1414) L 14-21: -9→1430	D	30
5	27	vs NE(1493) L 22-25: -3→1465	13	30	vs IND(1542) L 0-31: -16→1414	C	30
6	29	at IND(1486) L 3-31: -18→1447	14	30	vs SEA(1484) L 13-33: -12→1402	S	30
7	30	at ARI(1580) L 5-31: -9→1438	15	30	at JAX(1394) W 30-16: +10→1412
8	30	vs LAR(1545) L 22-38: -8→1430	16	30	vs LAC(1513) W 41-29: +10→1422

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs SEA(1500) L 16-28: -17→1483	9	10	vs NYJ(1447) W 45-30: +7→1525	17	5	vs LV(1453) L 20-23: -4→1565
2	26	vs LAR(1520) L 24-27: -3→1480	10	7	vs JAX(1446) W 23-17: +3→1528	18	7	at JAX(1375) L 11-26: -8→1557
3	27	at TEN(1482) L 16-25: -10→1470	11	3	at BUF(1569) W 41-15: +23→1551	W	7
4	21	at MIA(1480) W 27-17: +14→1484	12	7	vs TB(1540) L 31-38: -9→1542	D	7
5	22	at BAL(1527) L 25-31: +2→1486	13	5	at HOU(1430) W 31-0: +15→1557	C	7
6	16	vs HOU(1465) W 31-3: +19→1505	14	7	(bye)	S	7
7	11	at SF(1500) W 30-18: +15→1520	15	3	vs NE(1592) W 27-17: +8→1565
8	11	vs TEN(1533) L 31-34: -2→1518	16	3	at ARI(1557) W 22-16: +4→1569

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1527 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at HOU(1500) L 21-37: -18→1482	9	28	vs BUF(1566) W 9-6: +16→1446	17	32	at NE(1575) L 10-50: -7→1375
2	30	vs DEN(1519) L 13-23: -12→1470	10	29	at IND(1525) L 17-23: -3→1443	18	32	vs IND(1565) W 26-11: +9→1384
3	32	vs ARI(1525) L 19-31: -14→1456	11	30	vs SF(1510) L 10-30: -18→1425	W	32
4	31	at CIN(1516) L 21-24: +2→1458	12	32	vs ATL(1442) L 14-21: -8→1417	D	32
5	32	vs TEN(1490) L 19-37: -17→1441	13	32	at LAR(1508) L 7-37: -13→1404	C	32
6	31	at MIA(1449) W 23-20: +4→1445	14	32	at TEN(1522) L 0-20: -10→1394	S	32
7	27	(bye)	15	32	vs HOU(1402) L 16-30: -11→1383
8	31	at SEA(1491) L 7-31: -15→1430	16	32	at NYJ(1397) L 21-26: -1→1382

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs CLE(1500) W 33-29: +2→1502	9	18	vs GB(1546) W 13-7: +12→1502	17	4	at CIN(1539) L 31-34: -1→1568
2	18	at BAL(1499) L 35-36: -3→1499	10	9	at LV(1498) W 41-14: +22→1524	18	3	at DEN(1502) W 28-24: +0→1568
3	21	vs LAC(1500) L 24-30: -9→1490	11	8	vs DAL(1544) W 19-9: +12→1536	W	2	vs PIT(1472) W 42-21: +4→1572
4	15	at PHI(1495) W 42-30: +16→1506	12	8	(bye)	D	2	vs BUF(1591) W 42-36: +0→1572
5	20	vs BUF(1553) L 20-38: -16→1490	13	7	vs DEN(1515) W 22-9: +11→1547	C	2	vs CIN(1540) L 24-27: -0→1572
6	15	at WAS(1470) W 31-13: +18→1508	14	6	vs LV(1459) W 48-9: +12→1559	S	2
7	20	at TEN(1514) L 3-27: -19→1489	15	5	at LAC(1514) W 34-28: +1→1560
8	23	vs NYG(1472) W 20-17: +1→1490	16	4	vs PIT(1472) W 36-10: +9→1569

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1512 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs BAL(1500) W 33-27: +1→1501	9	19	at NYG(1472) L 16-23: -12→1498	17	23	at IND(1569) W 23-20: +4→1457
2	9	at PIT(1511) W 26-17: +15→1516	10	24	vs KC(1502) L 14-41: -22→1476	18	24	vs LAC(1512) W 35-32: +1→1458
3	11	vs MIA(1479) W 31-28: -2→1514	11	26	vs CIN(1511) L 13-32: -19→1457	W	24	at CIN(1538) L 19-26: -1→1457
4	18	at LAC(1508) L 14-28: -15→1499	12	26	at DAL(1532) W 36-33: +6→1463	D	24
5	23	vs CHI(1478) L 9-20: -16→1483	13	26	vs WAS(1469) L 15-17: -4→1459	C	24
6	18	at DEN(1514) W 34-24: +16→1499	14	27	at KC(1547) L 9-48: -13→1446	S	24
7	14	vs PHI(1482) W 33-22: +11→1510	15	25	at CLE(1505) W 16-14: +5→1451
8	13	(bye)	16	24	vs DEN(1513) W 17-13: +2→1453

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at WAS(1500) W 20-16: +5→1505	9	16	at PHI(1491) W 27-24: +3→1507	17	14	vs DEN(1511) W 34-13: +9→1512
2	17	vs DAL(1497) L 17-20: -5→1500	10	20	vs MIN(1509) L 20-27: -10→1497	18	15	at LV(1457) L 32-35: -1→1511
3	14	at KC(1499) W 30-24: +8→1508	11	19	vs PIT(1487) W 41-37: +2→1499	W	15
4	8	vs LV(1514) W 28-14: +16→1524	12	20	at DEN(1501) L 13-28: -14→1485	D	15
5	6	vs CLE(1538) W 47-42: +5→1529	13	18	at CIN(1547) W 41-22: +18→1503	C	15
6	13	at BAL(1525) L 6-34: -21→1508	14	16	vs NYG(1465) W 37-21: +11→1514	S	15
7	15	(bye)	15	16	vs KC(1559) L 28-34: -1→1513
8	17	vs NE(1513) L 24-27: -4→1504	16	17	at HOU(1412) L 29-41: -10→1503

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1530 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs CHI(1500) W 34-14: +20→1520	9	5	vs TEN(1535) L 16-28: -18→1535	17	9	at BAL(1497) W 20-19: +2→1544
2	4	at IND(1483) W 27-24: +2→1522	10	12	at SF(1490) L 10-31: -20→1515	18	10	vs SF(1543) L 24-27: -2→1542
3	5	vs TB(1521) W 34-24: +12→1534	11	14	(bye)	W	8	vs ARI(1550) W 34-11: +5→1547
4	10	vs ARI(1538) L 20-37: -19→1515	12	16	at GB(1546) L 28-36: -7→1508	D	8	at TB(1570) W 30-27: +1→1548
5	8	at SEA(1506) W 26-17: +12→1527	13	12	vs JAX(1417) W 37-7: +14→1522	C	8	vs SF(1547) W 20-17: +1→1549
6	5	at NYG(1464) W 38-11: +17→1544	14	10	at ARI(1580) W 30-23: +9→1531	S	8	vs CIN(1541) W 23-20: -0→1549
7	6	vs DET(1438) W 28-19: +1→1545	15	10	vs SEA(1497) W 20-10: +6→1537
8	3	at HOU(1438) W 38-22: +8→1553	16	9	at MIN(1520) W 30-23: +5→1542

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at NE(1500) W 17-16: +6→1506	9	27	vs HOU(1430) W 17-9: +8→1447	17	17	at TEN(1528) L 3-34: -9→1502
2	28	vs BUF(1489) L 0-35: -27→1479	10	25	vs BAL(1521) W 22-10: +16→1463	18	16	vs NE(1581) W 33-24: +5→1507
3	23	at LV(1516) L 28-31: +1→1480	11	23	at NYJ(1422) W 24-17: +7→1470	W	16
4	28	vs IND(1470) L 17-27: -14→1466	12	19	vs CAR(1497) W 33-10: +19→1489	D	16
5	31	at TB(1514) L 17-45: -17→1449	13	19	vs NYG(1475) W 20-9: +9→1498	C	16
6	30	at JAX(1441) L 20-23: -4→1445	14	19	(bye)	S	16
7	29	vs ATL(1469) L 28-30: -2→1443	15	20	vs NYJ(1399) W 31-24: +2→1500
8	29	at BUF(1562) L 11-26: -4→1439	16	15	at NO(1507) W 20-3: +11→1511

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at CIN(1500) L 24-27: -1→1499	9	15	at BAL(1522) L 31-34: +1→1509	17	15	at GB(1563) L 10-37: -8→1507
2	19	at ARI(1524) L 33-34: -1→1498	10	11	at LAC(1507) W 27-20: +10→1519	18	14	vs CHI(1447) W 31-17: +5→1512
3	12	vs SEA(1511) W 30-17: +15→1513	11	12	vs GB(1549) W 34-31: +3→1522	W	14
4	16	vs CLE(1529) L 7-14: -9→1504	12	13	at SF(1528) L 26-34: -8→1514	D	14
5	15	vs DET(1454) W 19-17: -1→1503	13	14	at DET(1419) L 27-29: -4→1510	C	14
6	14	at CAR(1523) W 34-28: +5→1508	14	15	vs PIT(1472) W 36-28: +5→1515	S	14
7	16	(bye)	15	14	at CHI(1440) W 17-9: +5→1520
8	14	vs DAL(1548) L 16-20: -0→1508	16	14	vs LAR(1537) L 23-30: -5→1515

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs MIA(1500) L 16-17: -6→1494	9	6	at CAR(1499) W 24-6: +17→1535	17	2	vs JAX(1382) W 50-10: +6→1581
2	7	at NYJ(1496) W 25-6: +23→1517	10	3	vs CLE(1530) W 45-7: +20→1555	18	2	at MIA(1502) L 24-33: -4→1577
3	17	vs NO(1503) L 13-28: -20→1497	11	1	at ATL(1460) W 25-0: +19→1574	W	3	at BUF(1585) L 17-47: -6→1571
4	19	vs TB(1510) L 17-19: -4→1493	12	1	vs TEN(1537) W 36-13: +15→1589	D	3
5	17	at HOU(1468) W 25-22: +2→1495	13	1	at BUF(1564) W 14-10: +3→1592	C	3
6	20	vs DAL(1548) L 29-35: +1→1496	14	1	(bye)	S	3
7	13	vs NYJ(1451) W 54-13: +17→1513	15	1	at IND(1557) L 17-27: -8→1584
8	12	at LAC(1508) W 27-24: +5→1518	16	2	vs BUF(1569) L 21-33: -9→1575

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at GB(1500) W 38-3: +24→1524	9	9	vs ATL(1465) L 25-27: -14→1528	17	18	vs CAR(1451) W 18-10: +3→1500
2	14	at CAR(1504) L 7-26: -21→1503	10	8	at TEN(1553) L 21-23: -1→1527	18	17	at ATL(1436) W 30-20: +4→1504
3	7	at NE(1517) W 28-13: +20→1523	11	15	at PHI(1508) L 29-40: -13→1514	W	17
4	9	vs NYG(1472) L 21-27: -7→1516	12	18	vs BUF(1545) L 6-31: -19→1495	D	17
5	7	at WAS(1482) W 33-22: +13→1529	13	20	vs DAL(1526) L 17-27: -10→1485	C	17
6	7	(bye)	14	20	at NYJ(1412) W 30-9: +13→1498	S	17
7	9	at SEA(1492) W 13-10: +1→1530	15	17	at TB(1560) W 9-0: +9→1507
8	6	vs TB(1550) W 36-27: +12→1542	16	19	vs MIA(1500) L 3-20: -10→1497

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+37 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1518 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs DEN(1500) L 13-27: -19→1481	9	23	vs LV(1510) W 23-16: +12→1484	17	28	at CHI(1439) L 3-29: -8→1428
2	27	at WAS(1495) L 29-30: -2→1479	10	23	(bye)	18	29	vs WAS(1453) L 7-22: -6→1422
3	26	vs ATL(1457) L 14-17: -7→1472	11	24	at TB(1523) L 10-30: -16→1468	W	29
4	23	at NO(1523) W 27-21: +7→1479	12	23	vs PHI(1521) W 13-7: +7→1475	D	29
5	28	at DAL(1533) L 20-44: -15→1464	13	25	at MIA(1489) L 9-20: -10→1465	C	29
6	28	vs LAR(1527) L 11-38: -17→1447	14	25	at LAC(1503) L 21-37: -10→1455	S	29
7	23	vs CAR(1518) W 25-3: +25→1472	15	26	vs DAL(1542) L 6-21: -10→1445
8	24	at KC(1489) L 17-20: -0→1472	16	28	at PHI(1531) L 10-34: -9→1436

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CAR(1500) L 14-19: -4→1496	9	30	at IND(1518) L 30-45: -7→1440	17	31	vs TB(1561) L 24-28: +0→1399
2	29	vs NE(1494) L 6-25: -22→1474	10	31	vs BUF(1550) L 17-45: -18→1422	18	31	at BUF(1582) L 10-27: -3→1396
3	31	at DEN(1532) L 0-26: -17→1457	11	32	vs MIA(1463) L 17-24: -8→1414	W	31
4	30	vs TEN(1493) W 27-24: +3→1460	12	30	at HOU(1439) W 21-14: +9→1423	D	31
5	30	at ATL(1460) L 20-27: -9→1451	13	31	vs PHI(1514) L 18-33: -11→1412	C	31
6	27	(bye)	14	31	vs NO(1485) L 9-30: -13→1399	S	31
7	32	at NE(1496) L 13-54: -17→1434	15	31	at MIA(1498) L 24-31: -2→1397
8	27	vs CIN(1550) W 34-31: +13→1447	16	31	vs JAX(1383) W 26-21: +2→1399

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at ATL(1500) W 32-6: +24→1524	9	22	vs LAC(1504) L 24-27: -3→1488	17	11	at WAS(1454) W 20-16: +1→1541
2	10	vs SF(1512) L 11-17: -10→1514	10	16	at DEN(1522) W 30-13: +20→1508	18	13	vs DAL(1558) L 26-51: -8→1533
3	19	at DAL(1503) L 21-41: -19→1495	11	13	vs NO(1527) W 40-29: +13→1521	W	13	at TB(1566) L 15-31: -4→1529
4	24	vs KC(1490) L 30-42: -16→1479	12	14	at NYG(1468) L 7-13: -7→1514	D	13
5	21	at CAR(1532) W 21-18: +8→1487	13	11	at NYJ(1423) W 33-18: +12→1526	C	13
6	24	vs TB(1530) L 22-28: -5→1482	14	13	(bye)	S	13
7	25	at LV(1499) L 22-33: -11→1471	15	11	vs WAS(1469) W 27-17: +5→1531
8	22	at DET(1437) W 44-6: +20→1491	16	10	vs NYG(1445) W 34-10: +9→1540

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at BUF(1500) W 23-16: +11→1511	9	20	vs CHI(1454) W 29-27: -2→1491	17	22	vs CLE(1501) W 26-14: +7→1470
2	22	vs LV(1501) L 17-26: -15→1496	10	22	vs DET(1418) T 16-16: -4→1487	18	22	at BAL(1495) W 16-13: +2→1472
3	25	vs CIN(1497) L 10-24: -18→1478	11	21	at LAC(1497) L 37-41: -1→1486	W	22	at KC(1568) L 21-42: -4→1468
4	27	at GB(1503) L 17-27: -10→1468	12	25	at CIN(1530) L 10-41: -17→1469	D	22
5	24	vs DEN(1527) W 27-19: +13→1481	13	24	vs BAL(1513) W 20-19: +3→1472	C	22
6	22	vs SEA(1494) W 23-20: +2→1483	14	24	at MIN(1510) L 28-36: -5→1467	S	22
7	22	(bye)	15	22	vs TEN(1531) W 19-13: +5→1472
8	21	at CLE(1514) W 15-10: +10→1493	16	22	at KC(1560) L 10-36: -9→1463

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at DET(1500) W 41-33: +12→1512	9	21	vs ARI(1579) L 17-31: -7→1490	17	10	vs HOU(1422) W 23-7: +5→1543
2	5	at PHI(1524) W 17-11: +10→1522	10	15	vs LAR(1535) W 31-10: +20→1510	18	9	at LAR(1544) W 27-24: +1→1544
3	10	vs GB(1496) L 28-30: -7→1515	11	11	at JAX(1443) W 30-10: +18→1528	W	9	at DAL(1565) W 23-17: +2→1546
4	17	vs SEA(1495) L 21-28: -11→1504	12	9	vs MIN(1522) W 34-26: +8→1536	D	9	at GB(1566) W 13-10: +1→1547
5	16	at ARI(1557) L 10-17: -4→1500	13	10	at SEA(1476) L 23-30: -8→1528	C	9	at LAR(1548) L 17-20: -0→1547
6	17	(bye)	14	11	at CIN(1528) W 26-23: +2→1530	S	9
7	21	vs IND(1505) L 18-30: -15→1485	15	9	vs ATL(1449) W 31-13: +9→1539
8	20	at CHI(1467) W 33-22: +12→1497	16	12	at TEN(1526) L 17-20: -1→1538

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at IND(1500) W 28-16: +17→1517	9	17	(bye)	17	20	vs DET(1425) W 51-29: +7→1494
2	12	vs TEN(1476) L 30-33: -6→1511	10	21	at GB(1533) L 0-17: -16→1490	18	19	at ARI(1555) W 38-30: +5→1499
3	18	at MIN(1498) L 17-30: -16→1495	11	22	vs ARI(1561) L 13-23: -11→1479	W	19
4	14	at SF(1515) W 28-21: +11→1506	12	22	at WAS(1467) L 15-17: -3→1476	D	19
5	18	vs LAR(1515) L 17-26: -12→1494	13	21	vs SF(1536) W 30-23: +8→1484	C	19
6	21	at PIT(1481) L 20-23: -2→1492	14	21	at HOU(1414) W 33-13: +13→1497	S	19
7	19	vs NO(1529) L 10-13: -1→1491	15	21	at LAR(1531) L 10-20: -6→1491
8	15	vs JAX(1445) W 31-7: +15→1506	16	21	vs CHI(1435) L 24-25: -4→1487

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (-50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs DAL(1500) W 31-29: +3→1503	9	4	(bye)	17	6	at NYJ(1399) W 28-24: -1→1560
2	6	vs ATL(1476) W 48-25: +18→1521	10	10	at WAS(1442) L 19-29: -15→1523	18	5	vs CAR(1448) W 41-17: +6→1566
3	13	at LAR(1522) L 24-34: -11→1510	11	6	vs NYG(1484) W 30-10: +17→1540	W	4	vs PHI(1533) W 31-15: +4→1570
4	12	at NE(1497) W 19-17: +4→1514	12	5	at IND(1551) W 38-31: +9→1549	D	4	vs LAR(1547) L 27-30: -1→1569
5	5	vs MIA(1466) W 45-17: +16→1530	13	4	at ATL(1450) W 30-17: +11→1560	C	4
6	6	at PHI(1487) W 28-22: +5→1535	14	4	vs BUF(1561) W 33-27: +0→1560	S	4
7	3	vs CHI(1482) W 38-3: +15→1550	15	7	vs NO(1498) L 0-9: -9→1551
8	7	at NO(1530) L 27-36: -12→1538	16	6	at CAR(1461) W 32-6: +10→1561

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1484 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs ARI(1500) L 13-38: -24→1476	9	2	at LAR(1553) W 28-16: +18→1553	17	13	vs MIA(1511) W 34-3: +8→1536
2	25	at SEA(1517) W 33-30: +6→1482	10	4	vs NO(1528) W 23-21: +1→1554	18	12	at HOU(1417) W 28-25: -0→1536
3	20	vs IND(1480) W 25-16: +11→1493	11	7	vs HOU(1422) L 13-22: -17→1537	W	12	(bye)
4	20	at NYJ(1457) L 24-27: -3→1490	12	11	at NE(1574) L 13-36: -15→1522	D	12	vs CIN(1539) L 16-19: -0→1536
5	14	at JAX(1458) W 37-19: +17→1507	13	13	(bye)	C	12
6	11	vs BUF(1569) W 34-31: +7→1514	14	9	vs JAX(1404) W 20-0: +9→1531	S	12
7	8	vs KC(1508) W 27-3: +19→1533	15	13	at PIT(1467) L 13-19: -5→1526
8	9	at IND(1520) W 34-31: +2→1535	16	13	vs SF(1539) W 20-17: +2→1528

↑ Washington Football Team

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs LAC(1500) L 16-20: -5→1495	9	29	(bye)	17	24	vs PHI(1540) L 16-20: -1→1453
2	21	vs NYG(1481) W 30-29: +2→1497	10	27	vs TB(1538) W 29-19: +15→1457	18	23	at NYG(1428) W 22-7: +6→1459
3	24	at BUF(1516) L 21-43: -19→1478	11	25	at CAR(1507) W 27-21: +10→1467	W	23
4	22	at ATL(1464) W 34-30: +4→1482	12	24	vs SEA(1479) W 17-15: +2→1469	D	23
5	25	vs NO(1516) L 22-33: -12→1470	13	23	at LV(1463) W 17-15: +5→1474	C	23
6	26	vs KC(1490) L 13-31: -18→1452	14	23	vs DAL(1536) L 20-27: -5→1469	S	23
7	28	at GB(1528) L 10-24: -8→1444	15	23	at PHI(1526) L 17-27: -6→1463
8	28	at DEN(1497) L 10-17: -2→1442	16	23	at DAL(1551) L 14-56: -9→1454

↑ 2021 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 19-22) Cincinnati Bengals: +2 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Seattle Seahawks: +12 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) New Orleans Saints: +7 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Jacksonville Jaguars: +8 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Washington Football Team: +6 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Carolina Panthers: -65 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Giants: -53 total Elo rating
3. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Baltimore Ravens: -19 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Denver Broncos: -15 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Indianapolis Colts: -12 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 190-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1565) 5-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1375): Jaguars win 26-11
2. Week 15, 161-Elo upset: Arizona Cardinals (1572) 5-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1411): Lions win 30-12
3. Week 18, 153-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1571) 5-point favorites at Detroit Lions (1418): Lions win 37-30
4. Week 9, 136-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1566) 10-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1430): Jaguars win 9-6
5. Week 11, 132-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1554) 5-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1422): Texans win 22-13
6. Week 17, 116-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1569) 5-point favorites vs Las Vegas Raiders (1453): Raiders win 23-20
7. Week 8, 116-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1550) 8-point favorites at New York Jets (1434): Jets win 34-31
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 9, 30-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1537) 5-point favorites vs Cleveland Browns (1505): Browns win 41-16
2. Week 10, 29-point differential: Arizona Cardinals (1586) 5-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1482): Panthers win 34-10
3. Week 7, 27-point differential: Carolina Panthers (1518) 5-point favorites vs New York Giants (1447): Giants win 25-3
4. Week 2, 35-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1506) Tossup favorites vs Buffalo Bills (1489): Bills win 35-0
5. Week 11, 26-point differential: Buffalo Bills (1569) Tossup favorites vs Indianapolis Colts (1528): Colts win 41-15
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +90: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1590) thru week 20
2. +72: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 21
3. +71: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 19
4. +69: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 20
5. +65: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
more...
1. +63: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 19
2. +57: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 18
3. +49: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 22
4. +47: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 21
5. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 19
6. +41: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 22
7. +36: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
8. +29: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 19
9. +12: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
10. +11: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
11. +7: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
12. +4: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
13. +2: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
14. -1: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
15. -4: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
16. -7: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 18
17. -32: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 19
18. -41: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
19. -43: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 19
20. -57: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 18
21. -57: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 18
22. -68: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
23. -78: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1422) thru week 18
24. -78: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1422) thru week 18
25. -83: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
26. -104: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1396) thru week 18
27. -116: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1384) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -116: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1384) thru week 18
2. -104: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1396) thru week 18
3. -83: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1417) thru week 18
4. -78: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1422) thru week 18
5. -78: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1422) thru week 18
more...
1. -68: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1432) thru week 18
2. -57: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 18
3. -57: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1443) thru week 18
4. -43: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 19
5. -41: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
6. -32: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 19
7. -7: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1493) thru week 18
8. -4: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
9. -1: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
10. +2: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 18
11. +4: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 18
12. +7: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
13. +11: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
14. +12: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
15. +29: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 19
16. +36: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
17. +41: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 22
18. +45: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1545) thru week 19
19. +47: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 21
20. +49: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 22
21. +57: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 18
22. +63: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1563) thru week 19
23. +65: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1565) thru week 20
24. +69: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1569) thru week 20
25. +71: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 19
26. +72: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1572) thru week 21
27. +90: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1590) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +97: New England Patriots (1495) before week 6 → (1592) thru week 13
2. +89: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1589) thru week 7
3. +82: Indianapolis Colts (1470) before week 4 → (1551) thru week 11
4. +80: Buffalo Bills (1489) before week 2 → (1569) thru week 5
5. +80: Kansas City Chiefs (1490) before week 9 → (1569) thru week 16
more...
1. +77: Tennessee Titans (1476) before week 2 → (1553) thru week 9
2. +72: Miami Dolphins (1439) before week 9 → (1511) thru week 16
3. +70: Green Bay Packers (1476) before week 2 → (1546) thru week 8
4. +60: Philadelphia Eagles (1471) before week 8 → (1531) thru week 15
5. +54: San Francisco 49ers (1485) before week 8 → (1539) thru week 15
6. +53: Cincinnati Bengals (1497) before week 3 → (1550) thru week 7
7. +53: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1553) thru week 8
8. +51: Dallas Cowboys (1497) before week 2 → (1548) thru week 5
9. +50: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 7
10. +49: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 3
11. +46: Baltimore Ravens (1499) before week 2 → (1545) thru week 6
12. +42: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 3
13. +42: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 8
14. +40: Cleveland Browns (1498) before week 2 → (1538) thru week 4
15. +37: New York Giants (1447) before week 7 → (1484) thru week 9
16. +32: Washington Football Team (1442) before week 9 → (1474) thru week 13
17. +29: Los Angeles Chargers (1485) before week 13 → (1514) thru week 14
18. +27: Chicago Bears (1467) before week 4 → (1494) thru week 5
19. +27: Las Vegas Raiders (1483) before week 6 → (1510) thru week 7
20. +25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1468) before week 5 → (1493) thru week 8
21. +23: Seattle Seahawks (1476) before week 13 → (1499) thru week 18
22. +22: Atlanta Falcons (1457) before week 3 → (1479) thru week 9
23. +21: Minnesota Vikings (1498) before week 3 → (1519) thru week 10
24. +20: Houston Texans (1402) before week 15 → (1422) thru week 16
25. +14: Jacksonville Jaguars (1430) before week 9 → (1443) thru week 10
26. +14: Detroit Lions (1411) before week 15 → (1425) thru week 16
27. +6: New York Jets (1434) before week 8 → (1440) thru week 9
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -95: Houston Texans (1518) before week 2 → (1422) thru week 9
2. -82: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 8
3. -70: Jacksonville Jaguars (1446) before week 10 → (1375) thru week 17
4. -67: Miami Dolphins (1506) before week 2 → (1439) thru week 8
5. -66: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 7
more...
1. -65: Carolina Panthers (1507) before week 11 → (1443) thru week 18
2. -64: Las Vegas Raiders (1510) before week 8 → (1446) thru week 14
3. -58: Washington Football Team (1500) before week 1 → (1442) thru week 8
4. -57: New Orleans Saints (1542) before week 9 → (1485) thru week 13
5. -57: New York Giants (1484) before week 10 → (1428) thru week 17
6. -53: Philadelphia Eagles (1524) before week 2 → (1471) thru week 7
7. -52: Denver Broncos (1549) before week 4 → (1497) thru week 7
8. -46: Chicago Bears (1494) before week 6 → (1448) thru week 13
9. -45: Los Angeles Rams (1553) before week 9 → (1508) thru week 12
10. -44: Los Angeles Chargers (1529) before week 6 → (1485) thru week 12
11. -43: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 2
12. -43: Pittsburgh Steelers (1511) before week 2 → (1468) thru week 4
13. -40: Baltimore Ravens (1545) before week 7 → (1505) thru week 10
14. -39: Cincinnati Bengals (1550) before week 8 → (1511) thru week 9
15. -37: San Francisco 49ers (1522) before week 3 → (1485) thru week 7
16. -36: Cleveland Browns (1530) before week 10 → (1494) thru week 17
17. -35: Arizona Cardinals (1580) before week 14 → (1545) thru week 19
18. -33: Tennessee Titans (1554) before week 11 → (1522) thru week 12
19. -30: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1470) thru week 3
20. -30: Seattle Seahawks (1506) before week 9 → (1476) thru week 12
21. -27: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1550) before week 8 → (1523) thru week 10
22. -24: New England Patriots (1517) before week 3 → (1493) thru week 4
23. -24: Dallas Cowboys (1548) before week 6 → (1525) thru week 9
24. -24: Buffalo Bills (1569) before week 6 → (1545) thru week 11
25. -18: Kansas City Chiefs (1508) before week 7 → (1490) thru week 8
26. -15: Minnesota Vikings (1522) before week 12 → (1507) thru week 17
27. -6: Green Bay Packers (1571) before week 18 → (1565) thru week 20
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Las Vegas Raiders: 1506
2. Cleveland Browns: 1506
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
4. Carolina Panthers: 1505
5. New England Patriots: 1505
more...
1. Houston Texans: 1504
2. Minnesota Vikings: 1504
3. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
4. Washington Football Team: 1504
5. New York Giants: 1503
6. Baltimore Ravens: 1503
7. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
8. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
9. New York Jets: 1501
10. Detroit Lions: 1501
11. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
12. Chicago Bears: 1500
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
14. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
15. Dallas Cowboys: 1499
16. New Orleans Saints: 1499
17. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
18. Green Bay Packers: 1497
19. Cincinnati Bengals: 1497
20. Tennessee Titans: 1496
21. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
22. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
23. Denver Broncos: 1495
24. Buffalo Bills: 1494
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1492
26. Miami Dolphins: 1489
27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1486
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1486
2. Miami Dolphins: 1489
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1492
4. Buffalo Bills: 1494
5. Denver Broncos: 1495
more...
1. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1495
3. Tennessee Titans: 1496
4. Cincinnati Bengals: 1497
5. Green Bay Packers: 1497
6. Atlanta Falcons: 1498
7. New Orleans Saints: 1499
8. Dallas Cowboys: 1499
9. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1500
11. Chicago Bears: 1500
12. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
13. Detroit Lions: 1501
14. New York Jets: 1501
15. Los Angeles Chargers: 1502
16. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
17. Baltimore Ravens: 1503
18. New York Giants: 1503
19. Washington Football Team: 1504
20. San Francisco 49ers: 1504
21. Minnesota Vikings: 1504
22. Houston Texans: 1504
23. New England Patriots: 1505
24. Carolina Panthers: 1505
25. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
26. Cleveland Browns: 1506
27. Las Vegas Raiders: 1506
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Detroit Lions: 1552
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1527
3. New York Giants: 1518
4. Carolina Panthers: 1517
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1512
more...
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1506
2. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
3. Cleveland Browns: 1503
4. Green Bay Packers: 1502
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 1501
6. Baltimore Ravens: 1501
7. Tennessee Titans: 1500
8. Arizona Cardinals: 1499
9. Kansas City Chiefs: 1499
10. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1496
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1493
13. Houston Texans: 1490
14. New England Patriots: 1490
15. New Orleans Saints: 1489
16. Los Angeles Rams: 1489
17. Minnesota Vikings: 1488
18. Seattle Seahawks: 1484
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
20. Denver Broncos: 1481
21. Miami Dolphins: 1481
22. Buffalo Bills: 1481
23. Washington Football Team: 1480
24. Philadelphia Eagles: 1479
25. Chicago Bears: 1469
26. New York Jets: 1466
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1465
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1465
2. New York Jets: 1466
3. Chicago Bears: 1469
4. Philadelphia Eagles: 1479
5. Washington Football Team: 1480
more...
1. Buffalo Bills: 1481
2. Miami Dolphins: 1481
3. Denver Broncos: 1481
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1484
6. Minnesota Vikings: 1488
7. Los Angeles Rams: 1489
8. New Orleans Saints: 1489
9. New England Patriots: 1490
10. Houston Texans: 1490
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1493
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1496
13. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
14. Kansas City Chiefs: 1499
15. Arizona Cardinals: 1499
16. Tennessee Titans: 1500
17. Baltimore Ravens: 1501
18. Cincinnati Bengals: 1501
19. Green Bay Packers: 1502
20. Cleveland Browns: 1503
21. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1503
22. Los Angeles Chargers: 1506
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1512
24. Carolina Panthers: 1517
25. New York Giants: 1518
26. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1527
27. Detroit Lions: 1552

↑ 2021 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)
2	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	17-15 (17/32, 53.12%)
3	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	28-20 (28/48, 58.33%)
4	5-11 (5/16, 31.25%)	33-31 (33/64, 51.56%)
5	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	44-36 (44/80, 55.0%)
6	9.5-4.5 (9.5/14, 67.86%)	53.5-40.5 (53.5/94, 56.91%)
7	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	63.5-43.5 (63.5/107, 59.35%)
8	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	73.5-48.5 (73.5/122, 60.25%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	80.5-55.5 (80.5/136, 59.19%)
10	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	86.5-63.5 (86.5/150, 57.67%)
11	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	98.5-66.5 (98.5/165, 59.7%)
12	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	106.5-73.5 (106.5/180, 59.17%)
13	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	113.5-80.5 (113.5/194, 58.51%)
14	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	124.5-83.5 (124.5/208, 59.86%)
15	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	133.5-90.5 (133.5/224, 59.6%)
16	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	142.5-97.5 (142.5/240, 59.38%)
17	13-3 (13/16, 81.25%)	155.5-100.5 (155.5/256, 60.74%)
18	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	161.5-110.5 (161.5/272, 59.38%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	166.5-111.5 (166.5/278, 59.89%)
D	1-3 (1/4, 25.0%)	167.5-114.5 (167.5/282, 59.4%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	168.5-115.5 (168.5/284, 59.33%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	169.5-115.5 (169.5/285, 59.47%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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