NFL Elo Power Rankings 2022

This is the 2022-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2024 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,083 of 3,259 game winners correctly (63.92%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2022 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2022 Season Summaries by Team
2022 Season Stats and Tidbits
2022 Season Model Accuracy

← 2021 Season 2023 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598	15-5
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1586	14-4
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1583	16-4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): L 35-38: 1583+0→1583
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1581	17-3
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): W 38-35: 1581-0→1581
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579	13-6
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571	14-5
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1531	10-8
8	Detroit LionsDET	1518	9-8
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515	10-9
10	New England PatriotsNE	1511	8-9
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-9
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	10-8
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	13-5
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	8-8-1
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	9-9
16	New York JetsNYJ	1499	7-10
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489	7-10
18	New York GiantsNYG	1489	10-8-1
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8
20	Green Bay PackersGB	1489	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	6-11
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485	7-10
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466	8-10
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1459	5-12
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436	4-13
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1423	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1421	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1598 (-2)	15-5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1581): L 7-31: 1600-2→1598
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1586	14-4
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1583 (+2)	16-3	at KC (1581): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1600): W 31-7: 1581+2→1583
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): Tossup
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1581	16-3	at PHI (1583): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): W 23-20: 1581+0→1581
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1583): Tossup
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579	13-6
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571	14-5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): L 20-23: 1571-0→1571
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1531	10-8
8	Detroit LionsDET	1518	9-8
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515	10-9
10	New England PatriotsNE	1511	8-9
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-9
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	10-8
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	13-5
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	8-8-1
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	9-9
16	New York JetsNYJ	1499	7-10
17	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489	7-10
18	New York GiantsNYG	1489	10-8-1
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8
20	Green Bay PackersGB	1489	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	6-11
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485	7-10
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466	8-10
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1459	5-12
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436	4-13
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1423	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1421	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1600 (+1)	15-4	at PHI (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1580): W 19-12: 1599+1→1600
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1581): Slight underdog
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1586 (-4)	14-4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): L 10-27: 1590-4→1586
3 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1581 (+3)	15-3	vs SF (1600): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1492): W 38-7: 1578+3→1581
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1600): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1581 (+1)	15-3	vs CIN (1571): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): W 27-20: 1580+1→1581
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1571): Slight favorite
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1579 (-1)	13-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1599): L 12-19: 1580-1→1579
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1571 (+3)	14-4	at KC (1581): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): W 27-10: 1568+3→1571
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): Slight underdog
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1531	10-8
8	Detroit LionsDET	1518	9-8
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (-1)	10-9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): L 20-27: 1516-1→1515
10	New England PatriotsNE	1511	8-9
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505	9-9
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502	10-8
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	13-5
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	8-8-1
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	9-9
16	New York JetsNYJ	1499	7-10
17 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489	7-10
18 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1489 (-3)	10-8-1
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1578): L 7-38: 1492-3→1489
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8
20	Green Bay PackersGB	1489	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	6-11
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485	7-10
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466	8-10
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1459	5-12
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436	4-13
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1423	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1421	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1599 (+4)	14-4	vs DAL (1580): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 41-23: 1595+4→1599
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1580): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590	14-3	vs CIN (1568): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): W 34-31: 1590-0→1590
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1568): Slight favorite
3 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580 (+4)	13-5	at SF (1599): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): W 31-14: 1576+4→1580
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1599): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580	14-3	vs JAX (1516): Win by 4
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): Win by 4 points
5 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1578	14-3	vs NYG (1492): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1492): Win by 5 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1568 (+2)	13-4	at BUF (1590): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): W 24-17: 1566+2→1568
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): Slight underdog
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1531 (-2)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1566): L 17-24: 1533-2→1531
8	Detroit LionsDET	1518	9-8
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1516 (+1)	10-8	at KC (1580): Lose by 4
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 31-30: 1515+1→1516
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1580): Lose by 4 points
10	New England PatriotsNE	1511	8-9
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505 (-3)	9-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1595): L 23-41: 1508-3→1505
12 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (-1)	10-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 30-31: 1503-1→1502
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500 (-3)	13-5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1489): L 24-31: 1503-3→1500
14	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	8-8-1
15	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500 (+1)	9-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): L 31-34: 1499+1→1500
16	New York JetsNYJ	1499	7-10
17 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1492 (+3)	10-7-1	at PHI (1578): Lose by 5
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): W 31-24: 1489+3→1492
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1578): Lose by 5 points
18 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489	7-10
19	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489	9-8
20	Green Bay PackersGB	1489	8-9
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486	7-10
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	6-11
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485	7-10
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472	7-10
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1466 (-4)	8-10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): L 14-31: 1470-4→1466
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1459	5-12
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436	4-13
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1423	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1421	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1595 (+5)	13-4	vs SEA (1508): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): W 38-13: 1590+5→1595
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Win by 5 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1590 (+3)	13-3	vs MIA (1499): Win by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): W 35-23: 1587+3→1590
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): Win by 5 points
3 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1580 (+6)	14-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 31-13: 1574+6→1580
next: (bye)
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1578 (+1)	14-3	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): W 22-16: 1577+1→1578
next: (bye)
5 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1576 (-8)	12-5	at TB (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): L 6-26: 1584-8→1576
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1470): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1566 (+4)	12-4	vs BAL (1533): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): W 27-16: 1562+4→1566
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1533): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1533 (-4)	10-7	at CIN (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): L 16-27: 1537-4→1533
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1566): Slight underdog
8	Detroit LionsDET	1518 (+2)	9-8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1490): W 20-16: 1516+2→1518
9	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515	9-8	vs LAC (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1485): W 20-16: 1515+0→1515
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight favorite
10	New England PatriotsNE	1511 (-4)	8-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): L 23-35: 1515-4→1511
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (-1)	9-8	at SF (1595): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1432): W 19-16(OT): 1509-1→1508
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1595): Lose by 5 points
12 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (+6)	13-4	vs NYG (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): W 29-13: 1497+6→1503
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1489): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (-1)	10-7	at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1457): L 28-31: 1504-1→1503
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
14 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1500 (+8)	8-8-1
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): W 26-6: 1492+8→1500
15 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1499 (+1)	9-8	at BUF (1590): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 11-6: 1498+1→1499
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1590): Lose by 5 points
16 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1499 (-1)	7-10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): L 6-11: 1500-1→1499
17 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489 (-5)	7-10
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 14-28: 1494-5→1489
18 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1489 (-1)	9-7-1	at MIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1577): L 16-22: 1490-1→1489
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight underdog
19 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+6)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): W 28-14: 1483+6→1489
20 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1489 (-1)	8-9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1516): L 16-20: 1490-1→1489
21 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (+2)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 10-7: 1484+2→1486
22 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485 (-6)	6-11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): L 13-31: 1491-6→1485
23 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485	7-10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 16-20: 1485-0→1485
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481 (-2)	7-10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): L 7-10: 1483-2→1481
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1472 (+5)	7-10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): W 30-17: 1467+5→1472
26 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1470 (-6)	8-9	vs DAL (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): L 17-30: 1476-6→1470
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1576): Slight underdog
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1459 (+2)	5-12
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 31-28: 1457+2→1459
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1436 (-5)	4-13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): L 13-38: 1441-5→1436
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433 (+1)	5-12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): L 16-19(OT): 1432+1→1433
30 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1423 (-2)	4-12-1
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1416): L 31-32: 1425-2→1423
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1421 (-6)	3-14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 13-29: 1427-6→1421
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418 (+2)	3-13-1
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): W 32-31: 1416+2→1418

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1590 (-1)	12-4	vs ARI (1441): Win by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 37-34(OT): 1591-1→1590
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1441): Win by 6 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587	12-3	vs NE (1515): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1515): Win by 5 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1584 (+6)	12-4	at WAS (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): W 27-13: 1578+6→1584
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1577 (-8)	13-3	vs NYG (1490): Win by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1475): L 10-20: 1585-8→1577
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): Win by 5 points
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1574 (-1)	13-3	at LV (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1456): W 27-24: 1575-1→1574
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1562	11-4	vs BAL (1537): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1537 (-3)	10-6	at CIN (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): L 13-16: 1540-3→1537
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1562): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1516 (+7)	8-8	at GB (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1435): W 41-10: 1509+7→1516
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1490): Tossup
9 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+9)	8-8	vs TEN (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1424): W 31-3: 1506+9→1515
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1485): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1515 (+1)	8-8	at BUF (1587): Lose by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): W 23-21: 1514+1→1515
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): Lose by 5 points
11 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1509 (+8)	8-8	vs LAR (1432): Win by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1508): W 23-6: 1501+8→1509
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1432): Win by 5 points
12 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+8)	10-6	at DEN (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1440): W 31-10: 1496+8→1504
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1457): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1500 (-8)	7-9	at MIA (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): L 6-23: 1508-8→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (-1)	8-8	vs NYJ (1500): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1514): L 21-23: 1499-1→1498
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight favorite
15 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (-10)	12-4	at CHI (1427): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1481): L 17-41: 1507-10→1497
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1427): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1494 (+8)	7-9	at PIT (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): W 24-10: 1486+8→1494
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1492 (-8)	7-8-1	vs DAL (1584): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): L 10-24: 1500-8→1492
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1584): Slight underdog
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491	6-10	vs KC (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): L 34-37(OT): 1491+0→1491
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1574): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1490 (+9)	8-8	vs DET (1516): Tossup
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): W 41-17: 1481+9→1490
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1516): Tossup
20 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1490 (+8)	9-6-1	at PHI (1577): Lose by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): W 38-10: 1482+8→1490
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1577): Lose by 5 points
21 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1485 (-6)	7-9	at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1578): L 13-27: 1491-6→1485
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1484 (-3)	6-10	at NO (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): L 24-30: 1487-3→1484
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight underdog
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (+3)	8-8	vs CLE (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): W 16-13: 1480+3→1483
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1494): Slight favorite
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (+8)	7-9	vs CAR (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): W 20-10: 1475+8→1483
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): Slight favorite
25	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1476 (+3)	8-8	at ATL (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): W 30-24: 1473+3→1476
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1467): Slight underdog
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1467 (+1)	6-10	vs TB (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): W 20-19: 1466+1→1467
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1476): Slight favorite
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1457 (+1)	4-12	vs LAC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1575): L 24-27: 1456+1→1457
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight underdog
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1441 (-1)	4-12	at SF (1590): Lose by 6
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): L 19-20: 1442-1→1441
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1590): Lose by 6 points
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1432 (-8)	5-11	at SEA (1509): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 10-31: 1440-8→1432
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1509): Lose by 5 points
30	Chicago BearsCHI	1427 (-8)	3-13	vs MIN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): L 10-41: 1435-8→1427
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight underdog
31	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1425 (-8)	4-11-1	vs HOU (1416): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1482): L 10-38: 1433-8→1425
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1416): Slight favorite
32	Houston TexansHOU	1416 (-8)	2-13-1	at IND (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): L 3-31: 1424-8→1416
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1591 (+8)	11-4	at LV (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): W 37-20: 1583+8→1591
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587 (+9)	12-3	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): W 35-13: 1578+9→1587
next: (bye)
3 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1585 (-4)	13-2	vs NO (1475): Win by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1575): L 34-40: 1589-4→1585
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1475): Win by 5 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1578 (+3)	11-4	at TEN (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1589): W 40-34: 1575+3→1578
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1491): Slight favorite
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1575 (+7)	12-3	vs DEN (1456): Win by 5
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): W 24-10: 1568+7→1575
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1456): Win by 5 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1562 (+1)	11-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1515): W 22-18: 1561+1→1562
next: (bye)
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1540 (+3)	10-5	vs PIT (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): W 17-9: 1537+3→1540
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1480): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1514 (-1)	7-8	vs MIA (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1561): L 18-22: 1515-1→1514
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1499): Slight favorite
9	Detroit LionsDET	1509 (-8)	7-8	vs CHI (1435): Win by 4
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): L 23-37: 1517-8→1509
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1435): Win by 4 points
10 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1508 (-10)	7-8	at SEA (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): L 3-19: 1518-10→1508
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1501): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1507 (+1)	12-3	at GB (1481): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1482): W 27-24: 1506+1→1507
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1481): Tossup
12 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (+10)	7-8	at HOU (1424): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1518): W 19-3: 1496+10→1506
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1424): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1501 (-7)	7-8	vs NYJ (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): L 10-24: 1508-7→1501
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1508): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1500 (-7)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1486): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): L 20-37: 1507-7→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1499 (-5)	8-7	at NE (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1475): L 20-26: 1504-5→1499
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1514): Slight underdog
16 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (+9)	9-6	vs LAR (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1443): W 20-3: 1487+9→1496
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1440): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1491 (-6)	7-8	vs DAL (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1419): L 14-19: 1497-6→1491
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1578): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (-2)	6-9	vs SF (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): L 10-13: 1493-2→1491
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1591): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1487 (+9)	6-9	at TB (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1517): W 37-23: 1478+9→1487
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486 (-6)	6-9	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1469): L 10-17: 1492-6→1486
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1482	8-6-1	vs IND (1433): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): L 24-27: 1482-0→1482
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1433): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1481 (+6)	7-8	vs MIN (1507): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): W 26-20: 1475+6→1481
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Tossup
23 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1480 (+1)	7-8	at BAL (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 13-10: 1479+1→1480
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1540): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1475 (+6)	6-9	at PHI (1585): Lose by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): W 17-10: 1469+6→1475
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1585): Lose by 5 points
25 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1473 (+2)	7-8	vs CAR (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): W 19-16(OT): 1471+2→1473
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1466 (-4)	5-10	vs ARI (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): L 9-17: 1470-4→1466
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): Slight favorite
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1456 (-12)	4-11	at KC (1575): Lose by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1428): L 14-51: 1468-12→1456
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1575): Lose by 5 points
28 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1442 (-1)	4-11	at ATL (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): L 16-19(OT): 1443-1→1442
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1466): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1440 (+12)	5-10	vs LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): W 51-14: 1428+12→1440
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1435 (-9)	3-12	at DET (1509): Lose by 4
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1578): L 13-35: 1444-9→1435
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1509): Lose by 4 points
31 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1433 (-10)	4-10-1	at NYG (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1487): L 3-20: 1443-10→1433
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1482): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1424 (+5)	2-12-1	vs JAX (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): W 19-14: 1419+5→1424
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1589 (+1)	13-1	at DAL (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): W 25-20: 1588+1→1589
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1575): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1583 (+5)	10-4	vs WAS (1507): Win by 5
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1514): W 21-13: 1578+5→1583
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1507): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1578 (-1)	11-3	at CHI (1444): Win by 4
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): W 32-29: 1579-1→1578
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Win by 4 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1575 (-2)	10-4	vs PHI (1589): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1493): L 34-40(OT): 1577-2→1575
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1589): Slight favorite
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1568 (-1)	11-3	vs SEA (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): W 30-24(OT): 1569-1→1568
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1508): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1561 (+8)	10-4	at NE (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): W 34-23: 1553+8→1561
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1515): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1537 (-8)	9-5	vs ATL (1470): Win by 4
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): L 3-13: 1545-8→1537
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1470): Win by 4 points
8	New York JetsNYJ	1518 (-4)	7-7	vs JAX (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1514): L 17-20: 1522-4→1518
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1517 (+3)	7-7	at CAR (1478): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1522): W 20-17: 1514+3→1517
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1478): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1515 (-4)	7-7	vs CIN (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): L 24-30: 1519-4→1515
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1561): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1508 (-6)	7-7	at KC (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1578): L 13-21: 1514-6→1508
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1568): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1507 (-9)	7-6-1	at SF (1583): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): L 12-20: 1516-9→1507
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1583): Lose by 5 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1506 (-1)	11-3	vs NYG (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): W 39-36(OT): 1507-1→1506
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1482): Slight favorite
14	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504 (+1)	8-6	vs GB (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1579): L 29-32: 1503+1→1504
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1475): Slight favorite
15	Tennessee TitansTEN	1497 (-1)	7-7	vs HOU (1419): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 14-17: 1498-1→1497
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1419): Win by 5 points
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (+3)	6-8	at NYJ (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1577): W 40-34(OT): 1493+3→1496
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1518): Slight underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+4)	6-8	at PIT (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): W 30-24: 1489+4→1493
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1479): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492 (+8)	6-8	vs NO (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): W 13-3: 1484+8→1492
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1469): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1487 (+2)	8-6	at IND (1443): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): W 17-14: 1485+2→1487
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1443): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1482 (+8)	8-5-1	at MIN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1516): W 20-12: 1474+8→1482
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1506): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1479 (+8)	6-8	vs LV (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): W 24-16: 1471+8→1479
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Slight favorite
22 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1478 (-8)	5-9	vs DET (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1471): L 16-24: 1486-8→1478
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1517): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1475 (+7)	6-8	at MIA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1435): W 24-12: 1468+7→1475
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1471 (-8)	6-8	at ARI (1443): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): L 23-34: 1479-8→1471
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): Tossup
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1470 (-1)	5-9	at BAL (1537): Lose by 4
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1468): L 18-21: 1471-1→1470
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1537): Lose by 4 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1469 (+1)	5-9	at CLE (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): W 21-18: 1468+1→1469
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): Slight underdog
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1468 (+6)	4-10	at LAR (1428): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): W 24-15: 1462+6→1468
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1428): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444	3-11	vs BUF (1578): Lose by 4
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1588): L 20-25: 1444-0→1444
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1578): Lose by 4 points
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1443 (-6)	4-10	vs TB (1471): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): L 15-24: 1449-6→1443
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1471): Tossup
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1443 (+1)	4-9-1	vs LAC (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): L 36-39(OT): 1442+1→1443
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1487): Slight underdog
31	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1428 (-7)	4-10	vs DEN (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1468): L 12-24: 1435-7→1428
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1419 (+1)	1-12-1	at TEN (1497): Lose by 5
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): L 24-30(OT): 1418+1→1419
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1588 (+14)	12-1	at CHI (1444): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1487): W 48-22: 1574+14→1588
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1579 (+5)	10-3	vs MIA (1503): Win by 4
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1526): W 20-12: 1574+5→1579
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): Win by 4 points
3 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1578 (+12)	9-4	at SEA (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): W 35-7: 1566+12→1578
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1514): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1577 (-3)	10-3	at JAX (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1415): W 27-23: 1580-3→1577
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1493): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+3)	10-3	at HOU (1418): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 34-28: 1566+3→1569
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1418): Win by 5 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1553 (+9)	9-4	at TB (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): W 23-10: 1544+9→1553
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1479): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1545 (+1)	9-4	at CLE (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): W 16-14: 1544+1→1545
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): Slight favorite
8	New York JetsNYJ	1522 (-4)	7-6	vs DET (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): L 12-20: 1526-4→1522
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1514): Slight favorite
9 (+5)	New England PatriotsNE	1519 (+11)	7-6	at LV (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): W 27-13: 1508+11→1519
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1516	7-5-1	vs NYG (1474): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1474): Slight favorite
11 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1514 (+9)	6-7	at NYJ (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): W 34-23: 1505+9→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1522): Slight underdog
12 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1514 (-7)	7-6	vs SF (1578): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): L 24-30: 1521-7→1514
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1578): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1507 (-9)	10-3	vs IND (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1505): L 23-34: 1516-9→1507
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1442): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1503 (-5)	8-5	at BUF (1579): Lose by 4
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): L 17-23: 1508-5→1503
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1579): Lose by 4 points
15 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1498 (-14)	7-6	at LAC (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): L 22-36: 1512-14→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight underdog
16 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1493 (+13)	5-8	vs DAL (1577): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): W 36-22: 1480+13→1493
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1577): Slight underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1489 (-3)	5-8	vs NE (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1432): L 16-17: 1492-3→1489
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1519): Slight favorite
18 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (+7)	5-8	vs PIT (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): W 30-24: 1479+7→1486
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1471): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (+5)	7-6	vs TEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): W 23-17: 1480+5→1485
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1498): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1484 (-9)	5-8	vs BAL (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 10-23: 1493-9→1484
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1545): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1479 (-12)	6-7	vs CIN (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1566): L 7-35: 1491-12→1479
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1553): Slight underdog
22 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1474 (-13)	7-5-1	at WAS (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1574): L 22-48: 1487-13→1474
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1516): Slight underdog
23	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1471 (-2)	5-8	at CAR (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): L 14-16: 1473-2→1471
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight underdog
24	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471	5-8	at NO (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1468): Slight underdog
25	Green Bay PackersGB	1468	5-8	vs LAR (1435): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1435): Slight favorite
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1468	4-9	vs ATL (1471): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Slight favorite
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1462 (-3)	3-10	vs ARI (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1566): L 28-34: 1465-3→1462
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1449): Slight favorite
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1449 (-11)	4-9	at DEN (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): L 13-27: 1460-11→1449
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1462): Slight underdog
29	Chicago BearsCHI	1444	3-10	vs PHI (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1588): Slight underdog
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1442	4-8-1	at MIN (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1507): Slight underdog
31	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1435 (+3)	4-9	at GB (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): W 17-16: 1432+3→1435
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1468): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1418 (+3)	1-11-1	vs KC (1569): Lose by 5
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1580): L 23-27: 1415+3→1418
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1580 (+13)	9-3	vs HOU (1415): Win by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1455): W 54-19: 1567+13→1580
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1415): Win by 6 points
2 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1574 (+15)	11-1	at NYG (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): W 35-10: 1559+15→1574
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1487): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (+13)	9-3	vs NYJ (1526): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): W 24-10: 1561+13→1574
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1526): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1566 (-3)	9-3	at DEN (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1542): L 24-27: 1569-3→1566
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Slight favorite
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1566 (+13)	8-4	vs TB (1491): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): W 33-17: 1553+13→1566
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Win by 5 points
6 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544 (+2)	8-4	vs CLE (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): W 27-24: 1542+2→1544
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1493): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544	8-4	at PIT (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): W 10-9: 1544-0→1544
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): Slight favorite
8	New York JetsNYJ	1526 (-4)	7-5	at BUF (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): L 22-27: 1530-4→1526
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Slight underdog
9 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1521 (+1)	7-5	vs CAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1433): W 27-23: 1520+1→1521
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight favorite
10 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1516 (+4)	10-2	at DET (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1530): W 27-22: 1512+4→1516
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1505): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1516 (+1)	7-5-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1488): T 20-20(OT): 1515+1→1516
next: (bye)
12 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1512 (-14)	7-5	vs JAX (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): L 10-35: 1526-14→1512
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1480): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1508 (-12)	8-4	at LAC (1480): Tossup
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): L 17-33: 1520-12→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): Tossup
14 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (-13)	6-6	at ARI (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): L 10-24: 1521-13→1508
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1460): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1505 (+16)	5-7	vs MIN (1516): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): W 40-14: 1489+16→1505
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Slight favorite
16 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1493 (+12)	5-7	at CIN (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1427): W 27-14: 1481+12→1493
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (+6)	5-7	at LAR (1432): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): W 27-20: 1486+6→1492
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1432): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (+1)	6-6	at SF (1566): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1469): W 17-16: 1490+1→1491
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1566): Lose by 5 points
19 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1487 (-1)	7-4-1	vs PHI (1574): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1515): T 20-20(OT): 1488-1→1487
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1574): Slight underdog
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480 (-6)	6-6	vs MIA (1508): Tossup
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): L 20-27: 1486-6→1480
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): Tossup
21 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1480 (-16)	4-8	at TEN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1489): L 14-40: 1496-16→1480
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): Slight underdog
22	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479	4-8	at SEA (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1521): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1473 (+4)	5-7	vs BAL (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): W 19-16: 1469+4→1473
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (-4)	5-8	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): L 16-19: 1475-4→1471
next: (bye)
25 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1468 (+10)	5-8	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1455): W 28-19: 1458+10→1468
next: (bye)
26 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1468 (-1)	4-9	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): L 16-17: 1469-1→1468
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	3-9	vs KC (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): L 9-10: 1465+0→1465
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1566): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1460	4-8	vs NE (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444 (-11)	3-10	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1458): L 19-28: 1455-11→1444
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1442 (-13)	4-8-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): L 19-54: 1455-13→1442
next: (bye)
31	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1432 (-1)	3-9	vs LV (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): L 23-27: 1433-1→1432
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1415 (-12)	1-10-1	at DAL (1580): Lose by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): L 14-27: 1427-12→1415
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1580): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1569 (+11)	9-2	at CIN (1542): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1443): W 26-10: 1558+11→1569
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1542): Tossup
2 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1567 (+5)	8-3	vs IND (1455): Win by 5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1494): W 28-20: 1562+5→1567
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1455): Win by 5 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (+2)	8-3	at NE (1521): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1491): W 28-25: 1559+2→1561
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Slight favorite
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (+3)	10-1	vs TEN (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1462): W 40-33: 1556+3→1559
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1526): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553 (+10)	7-4	vs MIA (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): W 13-0: 1543+10→1553
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1544 (-4)	7-4	vs DEN (1465): Win by 5
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): L 27-28: 1548-4→1544
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1465): Win by 5 points
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1542 (+4)	7-4	vs KC (1569): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1530): W 20-16: 1538+4→1542
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1569): Tossup
8 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1530 (+15)	7-4	at MIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): W 31-10: 1515+15→1530
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1512): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1526 (-4)	7-4	at PHI (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 16-20: 1530-4→1526
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (-7)	6-5	vs BUF (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 26-33: 1528-7→1521
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1520 (+11)	8-3	at SF (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1438): W 30-15: 1509+11→1520
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1520 (-5)	6-5	at LAR (1433): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 34-40(OT): 1525-5→1520
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1433): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1515 (+4)	7-5	at NYG (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): W 19-13: 1511+4→1515
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1488): Slight underdog
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1512 (+7)	9-2	vs NYJ (1530): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): W 33-26: 1505+7→1512
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1530): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (+4)	4-7	at DET (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): W 28-27: 1492+4→1496
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1489): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1490 (-1)	5-6	vs NO (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): L 17-23(OT): 1491-1→1490
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1469): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1489 (-2)	4-7	vs JAX (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): L 25-28: 1491-2→1489
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Slight favorite
18 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1488 (-6)	7-4	vs WAS (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): L 20-28: 1494-6→1488
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1515): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1486 (+5)	4-7	vs LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): W 40-34(OT): 1481+5→1486
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486 (+4)	6-5	at LV (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): W 25-24: 1482+4→1486
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1486): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (+2)	4-7	at HOU (1427): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): W 23-17(OT): 1479+2→1481
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1427): Slight favorite
22 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (+13)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): W 23-10: 1466+13→1479
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-4)	5-7	vs PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1511): L 13-19: 1479-4→1475
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1469 (-11)	4-8	at TB (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): L 0-13: 1480-11→1469
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1490): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (+9)	4-7	at ATL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): W 24-17: 1460+9→1469
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (-13)	3-8	at BAL (1544): Lose by 5
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): L 10-23: 1478-13→1465
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1544): Lose by 5 points
27 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1460 (-4)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): L 24-25: 1464-4→1460
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1458 (-4)	4-8	at CHI (1455): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): L 33-40: 1462-4→1458
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1455): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1455 (-9)	4-7-1	at DAL (1567): Lose by 5
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): L 17-24: 1464-9→1455
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1567): Lose by 5 points
30 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1455 (-15)	3-9	vs GB (1458): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1515): L 10-31: 1470-15→1455
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1458): Slight favorite
31	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1433 (-10)	3-8	vs SEA (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): L 10-26: 1443-10→1433
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1520): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1427 (-11)	1-9-1	vs CLE (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): L 15-30: 1438-11→1427
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1562 (+23)	7-3	vs NYG (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1528): W 40-3: 1539+23→1562
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1494): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1559 (+7)	7-3	at DET (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): W 31-23: 1552+7→1559
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1491): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1558 (+2)	8-2	vs LAR (1443): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): W 30-27: 1556+2→1558
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1443): Win by 5 points
4 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1556 (+3)	9-1	vs GB (1462): Win by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): W 17-16: 1553+3→1556
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1462): Win by 5 points
5 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1548 (+9)	7-3	at JAX (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): W 13-3: 1539+9→1548
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1492): Slight favorite
6 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1543 (+20)	6-4	vs NO (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): W 38-10: 1523+20→1543
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (+7)	6-4	at TEN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): W 37-30: 1531+7→1538
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1530): Slight underdog
8 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1530 (+12)	7-3	vs CIN (1538): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1474): W 27-17: 1518+12→1530
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1528 (+7)	6-4	at MIN (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1522): W 10-3: 1521+7→1528
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525	6-4	vs LV (1481): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight favorite
11 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1515 (-7)	6-4	vs CHI (1470): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): L 3-10: 1522-7→1515
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1511 (+15)	6-5	vs ATL (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): W 23-10: 1496+15→1511
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1479): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1509	7-3	vs HOU (1438): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1438): Win by 5 points
14 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (-23)	8-2	vs NE (1528): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1539): L 3-40: 1528-23→1505
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1528): Slight favorite
15 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1494 (-17)	7-3	at DAL (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1473): L 18-31: 1511-17→1494
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): Slight underdog
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492	3-7	vs BAL (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1548): Slight underdog
17	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491	5-5	at CLE (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): Slight underdog
18 (+9)	Detroit LionsDET	1491 (+18)	4-6	vs BUF (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1511): W 31-18: 1473+18→1491
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1559): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1482 (-2)	5-5	at ARI (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): L 27-30: 1484-2→1482
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1464): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (+3)	3-7	at SEA (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1482): W 22-16(OT): 1478+3→1481
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1525): Slight underdog
21 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480 (+7)	4-7	at SF (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1450): W 27-20: 1473+7→1480
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1543): Slight underdog
22	Atlanta FalconsATL	1479 (+1)	5-6	at WAS (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1471): W 27-24: 1478+1→1479
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1511): Slight underdog
23 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1479 (-8)	3-7	vs TB (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1552): L 23-31: 1487-8→1479
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1478 (-4)	3-7	at CAR (1466): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): L 16-22(OT): 1482-4→1478
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1466): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1470 (-1)	3-8	at NYJ (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): L 24-27: 1471-1→1470
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1515): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1466 (-9)	3-8	vs DEN (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1539): L 3-13: 1475-9→1466
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1478): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1464 (-2)	4-6-1	vs PIT (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): L 16-17: 1466-2→1464
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): Slight favorite
28 (-8)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1464 (-20)	4-7	vs LAC (1482): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 10-38: 1484-20→1464
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1482): Slight favorite
29 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1462 (-12)	4-7	at PHI (1556): Lose by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): L 17-27: 1474-12→1462
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1556): Lose by 5 points
30 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1460 (-7)	3-7	at IND (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1531): L 30-37: 1467-7→1460
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1443 (-7)	3-7	at KC (1558): Lose by 5
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): L 20-27: 1450-7→1443
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1558): Lose by 5 points
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1438 (-15)	1-8-1	at MIA (1509): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1496): L 10-23: 1453-15→1438
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): Lose by 5 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1556 (+9)	7-2	at LAC (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1501): W 27-17: 1547+9→1556
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1484): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1553 (-19)	8-1	at IND (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1478): L 21-32: 1572-19→1553
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1466): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1552 (-4)	6-3	at CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): L 30-33(OT): 1556-4→1552
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1539	6-3	vs CAR (1475): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1539 (-4)	6-3	at MIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1469): L 28-31(OT): 1543-4→1539
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1528): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1531	5-4	at PIT (1467): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1467): Slight favorite
7 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1528 (+5)	8-1	vs DAL (1539): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): W 33-30(OT): 1523+5→1528
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1539): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1525 (-7)	6-4	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): L 16-21: 1532-7→1525
next: (bye)
9 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+4)	5-4	at ARI (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): W 22-16: 1519+4→1523
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1522	6-3	at NE (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1521	5-4	vs NYJ (1522): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1522): Slight favorite
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1518 (+6)	6-3	at GB (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1489): W 17-10: 1512+6→1518
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1474): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1511 (+7)	7-2	vs DET (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1460): W 24-16: 1504+7→1511
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1473): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1509 (+19)	7-3	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): W 39-17: 1490+19→1509
next: (bye)
15 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1496 (+18)	5-5	at HOU (1453): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1572): W 32-21: 1478+18→1496
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1453): Tossup
16 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1492 (-9)	3-7	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): L 17-27: 1501-9→1492
next: (bye)
17 (+5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (+6)	5-5	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1532): W 21-16: 1485+6→1491
next: (bye)
18 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (-19)	3-6	at BUF (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): L 17-39: 1506-19→1487
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1552): Slight underdog
19	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1484 (-4)	5-4	vs KC (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): L 16-22: 1488-4→1484
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1556): Slight underdog
20 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1484 (+14)	4-6	at SF (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1463): W 27-17: 1470+14→1484
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1482 (-7)	3-6	vs LV (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): L 10-17: 1489-7→1482
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight favorite
22 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (-12)	4-6	vs CHI (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): L 15-25: 1490-12→1478
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1471): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (-7)	2-7	at DEN (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): L 20-25: 1485-7→1478
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1482): Slight underdog
24 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1475 (+13)	3-7	at BAL (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): W 25-15: 1462+13→1475
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1539): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1474 (+5)	4-6	vs TEN (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1543): W 31-28(OT): 1469+5→1474
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1518): Slight underdog
26 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1473 (-12)	3-7	vs LAR (1450): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): L 10-20: 1485-12→1473
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1450): Slight favorite
27	Detroit LionsDET	1473 (+5)	3-6	at NYG (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1476): W 31-30: 1468+5→1473
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1511): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1471 (-5)	3-7	at ATL (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1468): L 30-31: 1476-5→1471
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Slight underdog
29 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1467 (+12)	3-6	vs CIN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): W 20-10: 1455+12→1467
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1531): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1466 (+7)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): W 25-20: 1459+7→1466
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1453 (-7)	1-7-1	vs WAS (1496): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): L 16-24: 1460-7→1453
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1496): Tossup
32 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1450 (-13)	3-6	at NO (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): L 17-27: 1463-13→1450
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1572 (+4)	8-0	vs WAS (1478): Win by 5
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1464): W 29-17: 1568+4→1572
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1478): Win by 5 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (-8)	6-2	vs MIN (1523): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1514): L 17-20: 1564-8→1556
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (-4)	6-2	vs JAX (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): W 20-17(OT): 1551-4→1547
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1501): Slight favorite
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1543	6-2	at GB (1469): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1469): Slight favorite
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1539 (+14)	6-3	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): W 27-13: 1525+14→1539
next: (bye)
6 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1532 (+9)	6-3	at TB (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1479): W 31-21: 1523+9→1532
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1531 (+14)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1476): W 42-21: 1517+14→1531
next: (bye)
8 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (-1)	7-1	at BUF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): W 20-17: 1524-1→1523
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1522 (+8)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): W 20-17: 1514+8→1522
next: (bye)
10 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (+15)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): W 26-3: 1506+15→1521
next: (bye)
11 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1519	4-4	vs LAC (1488): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1488): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1512 (+5)	5-3	vs DEN (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): L 17-20(OT): 1507+5→1512
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1489): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506	3-5	at MIA (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Slight underdog
14	New York GiantsNYG	1504	6-2	vs HOU (1460): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1460): Slight favorite
15 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1501 (+7)	3-6	at KC (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): W 27-20: 1494+7→1501
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Slight underdog
16	Atlanta FalconsATL	1490 (-6)	4-5	at CAR (1462): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): L 17-20: 1496-6→1490
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1462): Tossup
17 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (+4)	6-3	vs CLE (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): W 35-32: 1486+4→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1506): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1489	3-5	at TEN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1512): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1488 (+5)	5-3	at SF (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): W 20-17: 1483+5→1488
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1485 (-14)	3-6	at PIT (1455): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 13-27: 1499-14→1485
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1455): Slight underdog
21 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485 (-7)	2-6	vs IND (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): L 20-27: 1492-7→1485
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1459): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (-1)	4-5	at SEA (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): W 16-13: 1486-1→1485
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1532): Slight underdog
23 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1478 (+1)	4-5	at PHI (1572): Lose by 5
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): L 17-20: 1477+1→1478
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1572): Lose by 5 points
24 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1476 (-4)	3-6	vs DET (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): L 32-35: 1480-4→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1468): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1470 (-9)	3-6	at LAR (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1523): L 21-31: 1479-9→1470
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1463): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1469 (-8)	3-6	vs DAL (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1460): L 9-15: 1477-8→1469
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1543): Slight underdog
27 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1468 (+8)	2-6	at CHI (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): W 15-9: 1460+8→1468
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1476): Slight underdog
28 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1463 (+1)	3-5	vs ARI (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1486): L 13-16: 1462+1→1463
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): Slight favorite
29 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1462 (-14)	2-7	vs ATL (1490): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): L 21-42: 1476-14→1462
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1490): Tossup
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1460 (-4)	1-6-1	at NYG (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1568): L 17-29: 1464-4→1460
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1459 (-15)	3-5-1	at LV (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1506): L 3-26: 1474-15→1459
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): Slight underdog
32	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1455	2-6	vs NO (1485): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1485): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1568 (+9)	7-0	at HOU (1464): Win by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): W 35-13: 1559+9→1568
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1464): Win by 8 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1564 (+2)	6-1	at NYJ (1514): Win by 5
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1480): W 27-17: 1562+2→1564
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1514): Win by 5 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1551	5-2	vs TEN (1507): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): Win by 6 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1543 (+14)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 49-29: 1529+14→1543
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (+3)	5-3	at NO (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): W 27-22: 1522+3→1525
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1499): Slight favorite
6 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1524 (+5)	6-1	at WAS (1477): Win by 5
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): W 34-26: 1519+5→1524
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): Win by 5 points
7 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1523 (+16)	5-3	at ARI (1479): Win by 4
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1521): W 27-13: 1507+16→1523
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1479): Win by 4 points
8 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1519 (+17)	4-4	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): W 31-14: 1502+17→1519
next: (bye)
9 (-5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1517 (-24)	4-4	vs CAR (1476): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): L 13-32: 1541-24→1517
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1476): Win by 5 points
10 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1514 (-9)	5-3	vs BUF (1564): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1497): L 17-22: 1523-9→1514
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1564): Lose by 5 points
11 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1507 (+7)	5-2	at KC (1551): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): W 17-10: 1500+7→1507
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1551): Lose by 6 points
12 (+10)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1506 (+23)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): W 32-13: 1483+23→1506
next: (bye)
13 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1506 (+9)	4-4	vs IND (1474): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): W 22-17: 1497+9→1506
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Win by 5 points
14 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1504 (-17)	6-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): L 13-27: 1521-17→1504
next: (bye)
15 (+12)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1499 (+23)	3-5	vs BAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1515): W 24-0: 1476+23→1499
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496 (-1)	4-4	vs LAC (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): W 37-34(OT): 1497-1→1496
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1483): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494 (-5)	2-6	vs LV (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1484): L 17-21: 1499-5→1494
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1492): Slight favorite
18 (-8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1492 (-23)	2-5	at JAX (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1476): L 0-24: 1515-23→1492
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): Slight underdog
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1489 (+5)	3-5	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): W 21-17: 1484+5→1489
next: (bye)
20 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1486 (-3)	3-5	vs LAR (1462): Win by 5
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): L 22-27: 1489-3→1486
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): Win by 5 points
21	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486 (+3)	5-3	at CHI (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1462): W 31-27: 1483+3→1486
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1480): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1483	4-3	at ATL (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): Slight underdog
23 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1480 (-15)	3-5	vs MIA (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 29-49: 1495-15→1480
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Slight favorite
24 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1479 (-5)	3-5	vs SEA (1523): Lose by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): L 26-34: 1484-5→1479
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1523): Lose by 4 points
25	Green Bay PackersGB	1477 (-3)	3-5	at DET (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): L 17-27: 1480-3→1477
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1460): Slight favorite
26 (+4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1477 (+6)	4-4	vs MIN (1524): Lose by 5
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): W 17-16: 1471+6→1477
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1524): Lose by 5 points
27 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1476 (+1)	2-6	at CIN (1517): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): L 34-37(OT): 1475+1→1476
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1517): Lose by 5 points
28 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (-6)	3-4-1	at NE (1506): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1471): L 16-17: 1480-6→1474
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1506): Lose by 5 points
29	Houston TexansHOU	1464 (-7)	1-5-1	vs PHI (1568): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): L 10-17: 1471-7→1464
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1568): Lose by 8 points
30 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1462 (-17)	3-4	at TB (1486): Lose by 5
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): L 14-31: 1479-17→1462
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1486): Lose by 5 points
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1460 (-2)	1-6	vs GB (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): L 27-31: 1462-2→1460
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1477): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1455 (-9)	2-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): L 13-35: 1464-9→1455
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562	5-1	vs GB (1480): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1480): Win by 8 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559	6-0	vs PIT (1464): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1464): Win by 9 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1551 (+19)	5-2	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): W 44-23: 1532+19→1551
next: (bye)
4	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541 (+16)	4-3	at CLE (1483): Win by 5
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1513): W 35-17: 1525+16→1541
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1483): Win by 5 points
5 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (+14)	5-2	vs CHI (1495): Win by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1476): W 24-6: 1515+14→1529
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Win by 5 points
6 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1523 (+7)	5-2	vs NE (1497): Win by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1491): W 16-9: 1516+7→1523
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1497): Win by 5 points
7 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1522 (-2)	4-3	at TB (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): W 23-20: 1524-2→1522
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Slight favorite
8 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1521 (+8)	6-1	at SEA (1507): Tossup
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): W 23-17: 1513+8→1521
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Tossup
9 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519	5-1	vs ARI (1484): Win by 5
prev: (bye)
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): Win by 5 points
10 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1515 (+16)	2-4	at NO (1476): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1487): W 38-20: 1499+16→1515
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1476): Slight favorite
11 (+9)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507 (+18)	4-3	vs NYG (1521): Tossup
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 37-23: 1489+18→1507
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1521): Tossup
12 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1502 (-20)	3-4	at LAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): L 23-44: 1522-20→1502
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Slight favorite
13 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500 (+10)	4-2	at HOU (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 19-10: 1490+10→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1471): Slight favorite
14	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1499 (-7)	2-5	at DEN (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1513): L 17-23: 1506-7→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1484): Slight favorite
15 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1497 (-16)	3-4	vs CAR (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1525): L 17-35: 1513-16→1497
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): Slight favorite
16 (-9)	New England PatriotsNE	1497 (-24)	3-4	at NYJ (1523): Lose by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): L 14-33: 1521-24→1497
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): Lose by 5 points
17 (+12)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (+25)	3-4	at DAL (1529): Lose by 5
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): W 33-14: 1470+25→1495
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Lose by 5 points
18 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (-22)	3-4	vs BAL (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): L 3-21: 1511-22→1489
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): Slight underdog
19 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1484 (-7)	2-5	at JAX (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1516): L 9-16: 1491-7→1484
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): Slight underdog
20 (+8)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1484 (+10)	3-4	at MIN (1519): Lose by 5
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 42-34: 1474+10→1484
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Lose by 5 points
21 (+5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1483 (+4)	4-3	at DET (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): W 16-10: 1479+4→1483
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1462): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1483 (+2)	2-5	vs CIN (1541): Lose by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): L 20-23: 1481+2→1483
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): Lose by 5 points
23 (-8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1483 (-18)	4-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): L 23-37: 1501-18→1483
next: (bye)
24 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (-10)	3-3-1	vs WAS (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): L 10-19: 1490-10→1480
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1471): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1480 (-3)	3-4	at BUF (1562): Lose by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1467): L 21-23: 1483-3→1480
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1562): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479	3-3	vs SF (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1502): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1476 (-10)	2-5	vs LV (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): L 34-42: 1486-10→1476
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1515): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1475 (+23)	2-5	at ATL (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): W 21-3: 1452+23→1475
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): Slight underdog
29 (-8)	Houston TexansHOU	1471 (-16)	1-4-1	vs TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): L 20-38: 1487-16→1471
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1471 (+4)	3-4	at IND (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1483): W 23-21: 1467+4→1471
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1464 (-5)	2-5	at PHI (1559): Lose by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): L 10-16: 1469-5→1464
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): Lose by 9 points
32 (-5)	Detroit LionsDET	1462 (-14)	1-5	vs MIA (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1515): L 6-24: 1476-14→1462
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1483): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1562 (+2)	5-1	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): W 24-20: 1560+2→1562
next: (bye)
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (+8)	6-0	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): W 26-17: 1551+8→1559
next: (bye)
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1532 (-2)	4-2	at SF (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): L 20-24: 1534-2→1532
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Slight underdog
4 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1525 (+2)	3-3	vs ATL (1513): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): W 30-26: 1523+2→1525
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1513): Slight favorite
5	Baltimore RavensBAL	1524 (-4)	3-3	vs CLE (1481): Win by 5
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1510): L 20-24: 1528-4→1524
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Win by 5 points
6 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522 (-18)	3-3	vs KC (1532): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): L 14-28: 1540-18→1522
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1532): Slight favorite
7 (+8)	New England PatriotsNE	1521 (+22)	3-3	vs CHI (1470): Win by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): W 38-15: 1499+22→1521
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1470): Win by 5 points
8 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (+10)	5-1	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): W 24-16: 1509+10→1519
next: (bye)
9 (+8)	New York JetsNYJ	1516 (+20)	4-2	at DEN (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1503): W 27-10: 1496+20→1516
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1491): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1515 (-8)	4-2	vs DET (1476): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): L 17-26: 1523-8→1515
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1476): Win by 5 points
11 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1513 (+3)	5-1	at JAX (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): W 24-20: 1510+3→1513
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): Slight underdog
12 (+6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1513 (+18)	3-3	at CIN (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): W 28-14: 1495+18→1513
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1525): Slight underdog
13 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (-7)	3-3	at CAR (1452): Win by 4
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): L 18-20: 1518-7→1511
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1452): Win by 4 points
14 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (-10)	2-4	vs NYG (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): L 27-34: 1516-10→1506
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1513): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (+1)	4-2	vs SEA (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1492): W 19-16(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): Slight favorite
16	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499	1-4	vs HOU (1487): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1487): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1491 (-1)	2-4	vs NYJ (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 16-19(OT): 1492-1→1491
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1516): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1490	3-2	vs IND (1490): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight favorite
19 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (+10)	3-2-1	at TEN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): W 34-27: 1480+10→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): Slight underdog
20 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1489 (+12)	3-3	at LAC (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 19-9: 1477+12→1489
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1487	1-3-1	at LV (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): Slight underdog
22	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (-2)	2-4	at ARI (1474): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): L 26-30: 1488-2→1486
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): Tossup
23 (-11)	Green Bay PackersGB	1483 (-20)	3-3	at WAS (1467): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1496): L 10-27: 1503-20→1483
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1467): Tossup
24 (-11)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (-22)	2-4	at BAL (1524): Lose by 5
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1499): L 15-38: 1503-22→1481
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1524): Lose by 5 points
25 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479 (+15)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): W 24-10: 1464+15→1479
next: (bye)
26 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1479 (-9)	3-3	vs PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 16-24: 1488-9→1479
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1476	1-4	at DAL (1515): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1515): Lose by 5 points
28 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1474 (-12)	2-4	vs NO (1486): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): L 9-19: 1486-12→1474
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Tossup
29 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1470 (-8)	2-4	at NE (1521): Lose by 5
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1459): L 7-12: 1478-8→1470
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1521): Lose by 5 points
30 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (+7)	2-4	at MIA (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 20-18: 1462+7→1469
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1479): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1467 (+8)	2-4	vs GB (1483): Tossup
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 12-7: 1459+8→1467
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1483): Tossup
32 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1452 (-15)	1-5	vs TB (1511): Lose by 4
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1464): L 10-24: 1467-15→1452
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Lose by 4 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560 (+16)	4-1	at KC (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): W 38-3: 1544+16→1560
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551	5-0	vs DAL (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 20-17: 1551-0→1551
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Slight favorite
3 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1540 (+19)	3-2	at ATL (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): W 37-15: 1521+19→1540
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1534	4-1	vs BUF (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): W 30-29: 1534+0→1534
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Slight underdog
5 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1528 (+3)	3-2	at NYG (1510): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): W 19-17: 1525+3→1528
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1510): Tossup
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523 (-3)	2-3	at NO (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): L 17-19: 1526-3→1523
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (+13)	4-1	at PHI (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): W 22-10: 1510+13→1523
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): Slight underdog
8	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (+5)	3-2	at PIT (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): W 21-15: 1513+5→1518
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Slight favorite
9 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1516 (-14)	2-3	at IND (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1474): L 6-13: 1530-14→1516
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1510 (+6)	4-1	vs BAL (1528): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1508): W 27-22: 1504+6→1510
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1528): Tossup
11 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (+6)	4-1	at MIA (1488): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): W 29-22: 1503+6→1509
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1488): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1503 (-5)	3-2	vs NYJ (1496): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): L 22-27: 1508-5→1503
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1496): Slight favorite
13 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1503 (-6)	2-3	vs NE (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): L 28-30: 1509-6→1503
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1499): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (+6)	3-2	vs DEN (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): W 30-28: 1494+6→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1492): Slight favorite
15 (+11)	New England PatriotsNE	1499 (+21)	2-3	at CLE (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1498): W 29-0: 1478+21→1499
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1503): Slight underdog
16	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499	1-4	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): L 29-30: 1499-0→1499
next: (bye)
17 (+13)	New York JetsNYJ	1496 (+21)	3-2	at GB (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): W 40-17: 1475+21→1496
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1503): Slight underdog
18 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1495 (-4)	2-3	vs SF (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): L 15-21: 1499-4→1495
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1540): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1492 (-5)	2-3	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): L 9-12(OT): 1497-5→1492
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
20	Tennessee TitansTEN	1490 (+2)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1462): W 21-17: 1488+2→1490
next: (bye)
21 (-12)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1488 (-22)	3-2	vs MIN (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1475): L 17-40: 1510-22→1488
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1488 (+8)	2-3	vs CIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): W 39-32: 1480+8→1488
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Slight underdog
23 (+8)	Houston TexansHOU	1487 (+13)	1-3-1	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): W 13-6: 1474+13→1487
next: (bye)
24 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486	2-3	at SEA (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): L 17-20: 1486+0→1486
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): Slight underdog
25 (+4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (+5)	2-2-1	vs JAX (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): W 12-9(OT): 1475+5→1480
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1516): Slight underdog
26 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-6)	2-3	vs WAS (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): L 22-29: 1484-6→1478
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1459): Slight favorite
27 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1477 (-8)	2-3	vs ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): L 32-39: 1485-8→1477
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
28 (-11)	Detroit LionsDET	1476 (-22)	1-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1478): L 0-29: 1498-22→1476
next: (bye)
29 (-8)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1467 (-19)	1-4	at LAR (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): L 15-37: 1486-19→1467
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1464): Slight underdog
30 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1464 (-13)	2-3	vs CAR (1467): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1510): L 10-22: 1477-13→1464
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1467): Slight favorite
31 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (-16)	1-4	vs TB (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1544): L 3-38: 1478-16→1462
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1459 (-3)	1-4	at CHI (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): L 17-21: 1462-3→1459
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1551 (+9)	4-0	at ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): W 29-21: 1542+9→1551
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1544 (+4)	3-1	vs PIT (1478): Win by 5
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): W 23-20: 1540+4→1544
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1478): Win by 5 points
3 (+4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1534 (+15)	3-1	vs LV (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): W 41-31: 1519+15→1534
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1499): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1530 (-9)	2-2	vs HOU (1474): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): L 21-29: 1539-9→1530
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1474): Win by 5 points
5 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1526 (+14)	2-2	at BAL (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): W 27-15: 1512+14→1526
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Slight underdog
6 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (-4)	2-2	vs CIN (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): L 20-23: 1529-4→1525
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1526): Slight favorite
7 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+15)	2-2	at CAR (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): W 24-9: 1506+15→1521
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1513 (-14)	2-2	vs ATL (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1519): L 31-41: 1527-14→1513
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1499): Slight favorite
9 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1510 (-14)	3-1	at NYJ (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): L 15-27: 1524-14→1510
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1475): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1510 (+15)	3-1	at LAR (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): W 25-10: 1495+15→1510
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1509 (-3)	2-2	vs LAC (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): L 20-23: 1512-3→1509
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1494): Slight favorite
12 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1508 (-2)	3-1	at NYG (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1477): W 27-24(OT): 1510-2→1508
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): Slight favorite
13 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1504 (+9)	3-1	at GB (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): W 20-12: 1495+9→1504
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1508): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (+2)	3-1	vs CHI (1484): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): W 28-25: 1501+2→1503
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1484): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499 (+3)	2-2	at TB (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): W 23-20: 1496+3→1499
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1513): Slight underdog
16 (+6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1499 (+12)	1-3	at KC (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): W 32-23: 1487+12→1499
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1498 (-6)	1-3	at NE (1478): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): L 45-48: 1504-6→1498
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1478): Tossup
18 (-7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1497 (-12)	2-2	vs IND (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): L 23-32: 1509-12→1497
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1475): Slight favorite
19 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1494 (+14)	2-2	at CLE (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1488): W 34-24: 1480+14→1494
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1509): Slight underdog
20 (+8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1488 (+10)	2-2	at WAS (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): W 24-17: 1478+10→1488
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1462): Slight favorite
21 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (-16)	1-3	vs SF (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): L 16-26: 1502-16→1486
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Slight underdog
22 (+9)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486 (+16)	2-2	vs PHI (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): W 26-16: 1470+16→1486
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1551): Slight underdog
23 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (+7)	2-2	at NO (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1504): W 48-45: 1478+7→1485
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1480): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1484 (-9)	2-2	at MIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1495): L 12-20: 1493-9→1484
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight underdog
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1480 (-2)	1-3	vs SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 25-28: 1482-2→1480
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1478 (+1)	1-3	vs DET (1498): Tossup
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): L 24-27(OT): 1477+1→1478
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1498): Tossup
27 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1478 (-6)	1-3	at BUF (1544): Lose by 5
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): L 20-24: 1484-6→1478
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1544): Lose by 5 points
28 (-8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1477 (-15)	2-2	vs DAL (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): L 9-24: 1492-15→1477
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1510): Slight underdog
29 (-6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1475 (-10)	1-2-1	at DEN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): L 17-24: 1485-10→1475
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1475 (+6)	2-2	vs MIA (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): W 24-20: 1469+6→1475
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1510): Slight underdog
31 (-10)	Houston TexansHOU	1474 (-14)	0-3-1	at JAX (1530): Lose by 5
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): L 24-34: 1488-14→1474
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Lose by 5 points
32 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1462 (-14)	1-3	vs TEN (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): L 10-25: 1476-14→1462
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1542 (+18)	3-0	vs JAX (1539): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1494): W 24-8: 1524+18→1542
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1540 (-3)	2-1	at BAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): L 19-21: 1543-3→1540
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1529): Slight underdog
3 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1539 (+24)	2-1	at PHI (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): W 38-10: 1515+24→1539
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1542): Slight underdog
4 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1529 (+14)	2-1	vs BUF (1540): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1491): W 37-26: 1515+14→1529
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): Slight favorite
5 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1527 (-7)	2-1	vs KC (1519): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1503): L 12-14: 1534-7→1527
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1519): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1524 (+4)	3-0	at CIN (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): W 21-19: 1520+4→1524
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1512): Slight underdog
7 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1519 (-5)	2-1	at TB (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): L 17-20: 1524-5→1519
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1527): Slight underdog
8 (+7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1512 (+14)	2-1	at ATL (1496): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): W 29-17: 1498+14→1512
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): Tossup
9 (+10)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1512 (+19)	1-2	vs MIA (1524): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): W 27-12: 1493+19→1512
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1524): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1510 (+7)	2-1	vs NE (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1534): W 14-12: 1503+7→1510
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1477): Slight favorite
11	Denver BroncosDEN	1509 (+3)	2-1	at LV (1487): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1509): W 11-10: 1506+3→1509
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1487): Tossup
12 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506 (-3)	1-2	vs LAR (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1506): L 10-11: 1509-3→1506
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1492): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1504 (-3)	1-2	vs SEA (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): L 24-28: 1507-3→1504
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1478): Slight favorite
14 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1502 (+9)	1-2	vs ARI (1470): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): W 22-14: 1493+9→1502
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+3)	2-1	at NO (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): W 28-24: 1498+3→1501
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1482): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496 (+4)	1-2	vs CLE (1512): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): W 27-23: 1492+4→1496
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1512): Tossup
17 (-8)	New York GiantsNYG	1495 (-12)	2-1	vs CHI (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): L 16-23: 1507-12→1495
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Slight favorite
18 (+9)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1495 (+12)	2-1	vs WAS (1476): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1507): W 23-16: 1483+12→1495
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): Slight favorite
19 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1493 (+2)	2-1	at NYG (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1490): W 23-20: 1491+2→1493
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1495): Slight underdog
20 (+10)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1492 (+12)	2-1	at SF (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): W 20-12: 1480+12→1492
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Slight underdog
21 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1488 (-2)	0-2-1	vs LAC (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): L 20-23: 1490-2→1488
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): Slight favorite
22 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1487 (-4)	0-3	vs DEN (1509): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): L 22-24: 1491-4→1487
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1509): Tossup
23 (+8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1485 (+5)	1-1-1	vs TEN (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): W 20-17: 1480+5→1485
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1478): Slight favorite
24 (-8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1484 (-14)	1-2	vs NYJ (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): L 17-29: 1498-14→1484
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): Slight favorite
25 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1482 (-9)	1-2	at MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): L 14-22: 1491-9→1482
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
26 (-14)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480 (-23)	1-2	at HOU (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 10-38: 1503-23→1480
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1488): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1478 (-4)	1-2	at DET (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): L 23-27: 1482-4→1478
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1504): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478 (+4)	1-2	at IND (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 24-22: 1474+4→1478
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1485): Slight underdog
29 (-6)	New England PatriotsNE	1477 (-14)	1-2	at GB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): L 26-37: 1491-14→1477
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Slight underdog
30 (-13)	Washington CommandersWAS	1476 (-18)	1-2	at DAL (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): L 8-24: 1494-18→1476
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1470 (-12)	1-2	at CAR (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1480): L 12-20: 1482-12→1470
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): Slight underdog
32 (-6)	New York JetsNYJ	1469 (-19)	1-2	at PIT (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): L 12-27: 1488-19→1469
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1484): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543 (+20)	2-0	at MIA (1520): Tossup
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): W 41-7: 1523+20→1543
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): Tossup
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1534 (+14)	2-0	vs GB (1503): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): W 20-10: 1520+14→1534
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1503): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1524 (+1)	2-0	at IND (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 27-24: 1523+1→1524
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1480): Slight favorite
4 (+8)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1524 (+19)	2-0	at WAS (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): W 24-7: 1505+19→1524
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1494): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1520 (+5)	2-0	vs BUF (1543): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): W 42-38: 1515+5→1520
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): Tossup
6 (+19)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+21)	1-1	at LAC (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): W 24-0: 1494+21→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1503): Slight underdog
7 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1515 (-5)	1-1	at NE (1491): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): L 38-42: 1520-5→1515
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1491): Tossup
8 (+18)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1509 (+20)	1-1	at DEN (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): W 27-7: 1489+20→1509
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1506): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1507 (+1)	2-0	vs DAL (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): W 19-16: 1506+1→1507
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1483): Slight favorite
10 (+11)	Detroit LionsDET	1507 (+12)	1-1	at MIN (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1506): W 36-27: 1495+12→1507
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1498): Slight underdog
11 (+7)	Denver BroncosDEN	1506 (+9)	1-1	vs SF (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): W 16-9: 1497+9→1506
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1509): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1503 (-1)	1-1	vs JAX (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1523): L 24-27: 1504-1→1503
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight favorite
13 (+15)	Green Bay PackersGB	1503 (+21)	1-1	at TB (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1511): W 27-10: 1482+21→1503
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1534): Slight underdog
14 (-9)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1498 (-20)	1-1	vs DET (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): L 7-24: 1518-20→1498
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): Slight favorite
15 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1498 (-7)	1-1	vs PIT (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1480): L 30-31: 1505-7→1498
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1498): Slight favorite
16 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1498 (-6)	1-1	at CLE (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1485): L 14-17: 1504-6→1498
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): Slight underdog
17 (-9)	Washington CommandersWAS	1494 (-12)	1-1	vs PHI (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1495): L 27-36: 1506-12→1494
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1493 (-2)	0-2	vs NO (1491): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1506): L 16-19: 1495-2→1493
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1491): Slight favorite
19	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (-3)	0-2	at NYJ (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): L 17-20: 1496-3→1493
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1488): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (-2)	0-2	at SEA (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): L 27-31: 1494-2→1492
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1482): Slight underdog
21 (-12)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1491 (-15)	1-1	at CAR (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): L 10-20: 1506-15→1491
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): Slight underdog
22 (-15)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (-20)	1-1	vs HOU (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1482): L 10-27: 1511-20→1491
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1490): Slight favorite
23 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1491 (+6)	1-1	vs BAL (1515): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): W 17-14: 1485+6→1491
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1515): Tossup
24 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (-5)	0-2	at TEN (1474): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): L 23-29(OT): 1496-5→1491
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Tossup
25 (-8)	Houston TexansHOU	1490 (-9)	0-1-1	at CHI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): L 9-16: 1499-9→1490
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Slight underdog
26 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1488 (+8)	1-1	vs CIN (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): W 31-30: 1480+8→1488
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1483 (+3)	1-1	at NYG (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): W 20-17: 1480+3→1483
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1507): Slight underdog
28 (-13)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1482 (-21)	1-1	vs ATL (1492): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): L 7-27: 1503-21→1482
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight favorite
29 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (+5)	1-1	vs LAR (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 29-23(OT): 1477+5→1482
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1480): Slight favorite
30 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1480 (+3)	1-1	at ARI (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): W 31-27: 1477+3→1480
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight underdog
31 (-15)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1480 (-21)	0-1-1	vs KC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): L 0-24: 1501-21→1480
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1524): Slight underdog
32 (-8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (-20)	0-2	vs LV (1491): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1523): L 7-41: 1494-20→1474
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Tossup

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+15)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1523 (+23)	1-0	vs LAC (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 44-21: 1500+23→1523
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1523 (+23)	1-0	vs TEN (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): W 31-10: 1500+23→1523
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Slight favorite
3 (+27)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520 (+20)	1-0	at NO (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 19-3: 1500+20→1520
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1506): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1520 (+20)	1-0	vs MIA (1515): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 24-9: 1500+20→1520
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1515): Slight favorite
5 (+16)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1518 (+18)	1-0	at PHI (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 23-7: 1500+18→1518
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): Slight underdog
6 (+14)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1515 (+15)	1-0	at BAL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 20-7: 1500+15→1515
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1520): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1511 (+11)	1-0	at GB (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): W 19-10: 1500+11→1511
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1482): Slight favorite
8 (+24)	Washington CommandersWAS	1506 (+6)	1-0	at DET (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 28-22: 1500+6→1506
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1495): Slight underdog
9 (+14)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs TB (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 27-26: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Slight favorite
10 (+14)	New York GiantsNYG	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs CAR (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 21-20: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs NYJ (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 26-24: 1500+5→1505
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1480): Slight favorite
12 (+14)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs MIN (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 38-35: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1518): Slight favorite
13 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+4)	1-0	at KC (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): W 24-19: 1500+4→1504
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1523): Slight underdog
14 (+13)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs NE (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): W 23-20(OT): 1500+4→1504
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1485): Slight favorite
15 (+14)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1503 (+3)	1-0	at SF (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 17-16: 1500+3→1503
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1489): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1501 (+1)	0-0-1	at JAX (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): T 20-20(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1494): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (-1)	0-0-1	at DEN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): T 20-20(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1497): Slight underdog
18 (-8)	Denver BroncosDEN	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 16-17: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
19 (-12)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1496 (-4)	0-1	at DAL (1480): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 20-23(OT): 1500-4→1496
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs ARI (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 19-24: 1500-4→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): Slight favorite
21 (-10)	Detroit LionsDET	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs WAS (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 35-38: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1506): Slight favorite
22 (-17)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1495 (-5)	0-1	at NYG (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): L 24-26: 1500-5→1495
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1506): Slight underdog
23 (-21)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (-6)	0-1	at LAR (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 26-27: 1500-6→1494
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): Slight underdog
24 (+7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494 (-6)	0-1	at BUF (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): L 20-21: 1500-6→1494
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1523): Slight underdog
25 (-10)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs IND (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 22-28: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): Slight favorite
26 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs SEA (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): L 10-19: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1503): Slight favorite
27 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1485 (-15)	0-1	at PIT (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 7-20: 1500-15→1485
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1504): Slight underdog
28 (-16)	Green Bay PackersGB	1482 (-18)	0-1	vs CHI (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 7-23: 1500-18→1482
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1511): Slight underdog
29 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1480 (-20)	0-1	at CLE (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 9-24: 1500-20→1480
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight underdog
30 (-21)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1480 (-20)	0-1	vs CIN (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 3-19: 1500-20→1480
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1496): Slight favorite
31 (-12)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1477 (-23)	0-1	vs ATL (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 10-31: 1500-23→1477
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Slight favorite
32 (-31)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1477 (-23)	0-1	at LV (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 21-44: 1500-23→1477
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2022 season:

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	vs KC (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight favorite
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	vs CLE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight favorite
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	at CAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at MIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight underdog
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	vs IND (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight favorite
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	at HOU (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight underdog
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	at ARI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs BUF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	vs NE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	vs GB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight favorite
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	at MIA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight underdog
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	at TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at DAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	vs NYG (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight favorite
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2022 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs KC(1500) L 21-44: -23→1477	9	25	vs SEA(1523) L 21-31: -9→1470	17	28	at ATL(1466) L 19-20: -1→1441
2	29	at LV(1496) W 29-23: +5→1482	10	20	at LAR(1463) W 27-17: +14→1484	18	28	at SF(1590) L 13-38: -5→1436
3	31	vs LAR(1480) L 12-20: -12→1470	11	28	at SF(1523) L 10-38: -20→1464	W	28
4	22	at CAR(1502) W 26-16: +16→1486	12	27	vs LAC(1482) L 24-25: -4→1460	D	28
5	24	vs PHI(1551) L 17-20: +0→1486	13	28	(bye)	C	28
6	28	at SEA(1477) L 9-19: -12→1474	14	28	vs NE(1508) L 13-27: -11→1449	S	28
7	20	vs NO(1486) W 42-34: +10→1484	15	29	at DEN(1462) L 15-24: -6→1443
8	24	at MIN(1519) L 26-34: -5→1479	16	28	vs TB(1471) L 16-19: -1→1442

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1494 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs NO(1500) L 26-27: -6→1494	9	16	vs LAC(1483) L 17-20: -6→1490	17	26	vs ARI(1442) W 20-19: +1→1467
2	20	at LAR(1477) L 27-31: -2→1492	10	22	at CAR(1462) L 15-25: -12→1478	18	25	vs TB(1476) W 30-17: +5→1472
3	16	at SEA(1482) W 27-23: +4→1496	11	22	vs CHI(1471) W 27-24: +1→1479	W	25
4	15	vs CLE(1512) W 23-20: +3→1499	12	23	at WAS(1511) L 13-19: -4→1475	D	25
5	18	at TB(1513) L 15-21: -4→1495	13	24	vs PIT(1469) L 16-19: -4→1471	C	25
6	12	vs SF(1540) W 28-14: +18→1513	14	24	(bye)	S	25
7	15	at CIN(1525) L 17-35: -16→1497	15	25	at NO(1468) L 18-21: -1→1470
8	16	vs CAR(1475) W 37-34: -1→1496	16	26	at BAL(1537) L 9-17: -4→1466

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NYJ(1500) W 24-9: +20→1520	9	5	at NO(1499) W 27-13: +14→1539	17	7	vs PIT(1480) L 13-16: -3→1537
2	7	vs MIA(1515) L 38-42: -5→1515	10	4	(bye)	18	7	at CIN(1562) L 16-27: -4→1533
3	4	at NE(1491) W 37-26: +14→1529	11	5	vs CAR(1475) W 13-3: +9→1548	W	7	at CIN(1566) L 17-24: -2→1531
4	6	vs BUF(1540) L 20-23: -4→1525	12	6	at JAX(1492) L 27-28: -4→1544	D	7
5	5	vs CIN(1526) W 19-17: +3→1528	13	7	vs DEN(1465) W 10-9: -0→1544	C	7
6	5	at NYG(1510) L 20-24: -4→1524	14	7	at PIT(1473) W 16-14: +1→1545	S	7
7	7	vs CLE(1481) W 23-20: -2→1522	15	7	at CLE(1484) L 3-13: -8→1537
8	5	at TB(1489) W 27-22: +3→1525	16	7	vs ATL(1470) W 17-9: +3→1540

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at LAR(1500) W 31-10: +23→1523	9	2	at NYJ(1514) L 17-20: -8→1556	17	2	(bye)
2	1	vs TEN(1494) W 41-7: +20→1543	10	3	vs MIN(1523) L 30-33: -4→1552	18	2	vs NE(1515) W 35-23: +3→1590
3	2	at MIA(1520) L 19-21: -3→1540	11	2	at CLE(1487) W 31-23: +7→1559	W	2	vs MIA(1499) W 34-31: -0→1590
4	2	at BAL(1529) W 23-20: +4→1544	12	3	at DET(1491) W 28-25: +2→1561	D	2	vs CIN(1568) L 10-27: -4→1586
5	1	vs PIT(1478) W 38-3: +16→1560	13	3	at NE(1521) W 24-10: +13→1574	C	2
6	1	at KC(1534) W 24-20: +2→1562	14	2	vs NYJ(1526) W 20-12: +5→1579	S	2
7	1	(bye)	15	3	vs MIA(1503) W 32-29: -1→1578
8	2	vs GB(1480) W 27-17: +2→1564	16	2	at CHI(1444) W 35-13: +9→1587

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	vs CLE(1500) L 24-26: -5→1495	9	29	at CIN(1517) L 21-42: -14→1462	17	22	at TB(1473) L 24-30: -3→1484
2	18	at NYG(1506) L 16-19: -2→1493	10	24	vs ATL(1490) W 25-15: +13→1475	18	21	at NO(1483) W 10-7: +2→1486
3	14	vs NO(1491) W 22-14: +9→1502	11	26	at BAL(1539) L 3-13: -9→1466	W	21
4	21	vs ARI(1470) L 16-26: -16→1486	12	22	vs DEN(1478) W 23-10: +13→1479	D	21
5	29	vs SF(1521) L 15-37: -19→1467	13	22	(bye)	C	21
6	32	at LAR(1464) L 10-24: -15→1452	14	18	at SEA(1521) W 30-24: +7→1486	S	21
7	28	vs TB(1511) W 21-3: +23→1475	15	22	vs PIT(1471) L 16-24: -8→1478
8	27	at ATL(1497) L 34-37: +1→1476	16	19	vs DET(1517) W 37-23: +9→1487

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs SF(1500) W 19-10: +11→1511	9	24	vs MIA(1486) L 32-35: -4→1476	17	30	at DET(1509) L 10-41: -8→1427
2	22	at GB(1482) L 10-27: -20→1491	10	28	vs DET(1468) L 30-31: -5→1471	18	31	vs MIN(1497) L 13-29: -6→1421
3	19	vs HOU(1490) W 23-20: +2→1493	11	25	at ATL(1478) L 24-27: -1→1470	W	31
4	24	at NYG(1495) L 12-20: -9→1484	12	30	at NYJ(1515) L 10-31: -15→1455	D	31
5	26	at MIN(1503) L 22-29: -6→1478	13	29	vs GB(1458) L 19-28: -11→1444	C	31
6	29	vs WAS(1459) L 7-12: -8→1470	14	29	(bye)	S	31
7	17	at NE(1521) W 33-14: +25→1495	15	28	vs PHI(1588) L 20-25: -0→1444
8	23	at DAL(1529) L 29-49: -15→1480	16	30	vs BUF(1578) L 13-35: -9→1435

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs PIT(1500) L 20-23: -4→1496	9	7	vs CAR(1476) W 42-21: +14→1531	17	6	(bye)
2	19	at DAL(1480) L 17-20: -3→1493	10	6	(bye)	18	6	vs BAL(1537) W 27-16: +4→1566
3	9	at NYJ(1488) W 27-12: +19→1512	11	7	at PIT(1467) W 37-30: +7→1538	W	6	vs BAL(1533) W 24-17: +2→1568
4	5	vs MIA(1524) W 27-15: +14→1526	12	7	at TEN(1530) W 20-16: +4→1542	D	6	at BUF(1590) W 27-10: +3→1571
5	6	at BAL(1525) L 17-19: -3→1523	13	6	vs KC(1569) W 27-24: +2→1544	C	6	at KC(1581) L 20-23: -0→1571
6	4	at NO(1488) W 30-26: +2→1525	14	6	vs CLE(1493) W 23-10: +9→1553	S	6
7	4	vs ATL(1513) W 35-17: +16→1541	15	6	at TB(1479) W 34-23: +8→1561
8	9	at CLE(1483) L 13-32: -24→1517	16	6	at NE(1515) W 22-18: +1→1562

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	at CAR(1500) W 26-24: +5→1505	9	13	(bye)	17	16	at WAS(1500) W 24-10: +8→1494
2	15	vs NYJ(1480) L 30-31: -7→1498	10	18	at MIA(1490) L 17-39: -19→1487	18	17	at PIT(1483) L 14-28: -5→1489
3	8	vs PIT(1498) W 29-17: +14→1512	11	23	at BUF(1552) L 23-31: -8→1479	W	18
4	11	at ATL(1496) L 20-23: -3→1509	12	21	vs TB(1491) W 23-17: +2→1481	D	17
5	13	vs LAC(1494) L 28-30: -6→1503	13	16	at HOU(1427) W 27-14: +12→1493	C	17
6	24	vs NE(1499) L 15-38: -22→1481	14	20	at CIN(1544) L 10-23: -9→1484	S	17
7	22	at BAL(1524) L 20-23: +2→1483	15	18	vs BAL(1545) W 13-3: +8→1492
8	12	vs CIN(1541) W 32-13: +23→1506	16	20	vs NO(1469) L 10-17: -6→1486

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs TB(1500) L 3-19: -20→1480	9	4	(bye)	17	3	at TEN(1491) W 27-13: +6→1584
2	27	vs CIN(1496) W 20-17: +3→1483	10	5	at GB(1469) L 28-31: -4→1539	18	5	at WAS(1492) L 6-26: -8→1576
3	18	at NYG(1507) W 23-16: +12→1495	11	1	at MIN(1528) W 40-3: +23→1562	W	3	at TB(1470) W 31-14: +4→1580
4	10	vs WAS(1476) W 25-10: +15→1510	12	2	vs NYG(1494) W 28-20: +5→1567	D	5	at SF(1599) L 12-19: -1→1579
5	7	at LAR(1477) W 22-10: +13→1523	13	1	vs IND(1455) W 54-19: +13→1580	C	5
6	10	at PHI(1551) L 17-26: -8→1515	14	4	vs HOU(1415) W 27-23: -3→1577	S	5
7	5	vs DET(1476) W 24-6: +14→1529	15	4	at JAX(1493) L 34-40: -2→1575
8	4	vs CHI(1495) W 49-29: +14→1543	16	4	vs PHI(1589) W 40-34: +3→1578

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at SEA(1500) L 16-17: -3→1497	9	18	(bye)	17	27	at KC(1575) L 24-27: +1→1457
2	11	vs HOU(1499) W 16-9: +9→1506	10	21	at TEN(1512) L 10-17: -7→1482	18	27	vs LAC(1504) W 31-28: +2→1459
3	11	vs SF(1509) W 11-10: +3→1509	11	24	vs LV(1478) L 16-22: -4→1478	W	27
4	18	at LV(1487) L 23-32: -12→1497	12	26	at CAR(1466) L 10-23: -13→1465	D	27
5	19	vs IND(1475) L 9-12: -5→1492	13	27	at BAL(1544) L 9-10: +0→1465	C	27
6	17	at LAC(1500) L 16-19: -1→1491	14	27	vs KC(1566) L 28-34: -3→1462	S	27
7	19	vs NYJ(1516) L 9-16: -7→1484	15	27	vs ARI(1449) W 24-15: +6→1468
8	19	at JAX(1499) W 21-17: +5→1489	16	27	at LAR(1428) L 14-51: -12→1456

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs PHI(1500) L 35-38: -5→1495	9	27	vs GB(1477) W 15-9: +8→1468	17	8	vs CHI(1435) W 41-10: +7→1516
2	10	vs WAS(1506) W 36-27: +12→1507	10	27	at CHI(1476) W 31-30: +5→1473	18	8	at GB(1490) W 20-16: +2→1518
3	13	at MIN(1498) L 24-28: -3→1504	11	18	at NYG(1511) W 31-18: +18→1491	W	8
4	17	vs SEA(1478) L 45-48: -6→1498	12	17	vs BUF(1559) L 25-28: -2→1489	D	8
5	28	at NE(1478) L 0-29: -22→1476	13	15	vs JAX(1496) W 40-14: +16→1505	C	8
6	27	(bye)	14	11	vs MIN(1516) W 34-23: +9→1514	S	8
7	32	at DAL(1515) L 6-24: -14→1462	15	9	at NYJ(1522) W 20-17: +3→1517
8	31	vs MIA(1483) L 27-31: -2→1460	16	9	at CAR(1478) L 23-37: -8→1509

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	at MIN(1500) L 7-23: -18→1482	9	26	at DET(1460) L 9-15: -8→1469	17	19	vs MIN(1507) W 41-17: +9→1490
2	13	vs CHI(1511) W 27-10: +21→1503	10	25	vs DAL(1543) W 31-28: +5→1474	18	20	vs DET(1516) L 16-20: -1→1489
3	10	at TB(1534) W 14-12: +7→1510	11	29	vs TEN(1518) L 17-27: -12→1462	W	20
4	12	vs NE(1477) W 27-24: -2→1508	12	28	at PHI(1556) L 33-40: -4→1458	D	20
5	12	at NYG(1504) L 22-27: -5→1503	13	25	at CHI(1455) W 28-19: +10→1468	C	20
6	23	vs NYJ(1496) L 10-27: -20→1483	14	25	(bye)	S	20
7	25	at WAS(1467) L 21-23: -3→1480	15	23	vs LAR(1435) W 24-12: +7→1475
8	25	at BUF(1562) L 17-27: -3→1477	16	22	at MIA(1504) W 26-20: +6→1481

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+52 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs IND(1500) T 20-20: -1→1499	9	30	vs PHI(1568) L 17-29: -4→1460	17	32	vs JAX(1506) L 3-31: -8→1416
2	25	at DEN(1497) L 9-16: -9→1490	10	31	at NYG(1504) L 16-24: -7→1453	18	32	at IND(1425) W 32-31: +2→1418
3	21	at CHI(1491) L 20-23: -2→1488	11	32	vs WAS(1496) L 10-23: -15→1438	W	32
4	31	vs LAC(1480) L 24-34: -14→1474	12	32	at MIA(1509) L 15-30: -11→1427	D	32
5	23	at JAX(1530) W 13-6: +13→1487	13	32	vs CLE(1481) L 14-27: -12→1415	C	32
6	21	(bye)	14	32	at DAL(1580) L 23-27: +3→1418	S	32
7	29	at LV(1499) L 20-38: -16→1471	15	32	vs KC(1569) L 24-30: +1→1419
8	29	vs TEN(1500) L 10-17: -7→1464	16	32	at TEN(1497) W 19-14: +5→1424

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at HOU(1500) T 20-20: +1→1501	9	31	at NE(1506) L 3-26: -15→1459	17	31	at NYG(1482) L 10-38: -8→1425
2	31	at JAX(1494) L 0-24: -21→1480	10	30	at LV(1485) W 25-20: +7→1466	18	30	vs HOU(1416) L 31-32: -2→1423
3	23	vs KC(1524) W 20-17: +5→1485	11	27	vs PHI(1553) L 16-17: -2→1464	W	30
4	29	vs TEN(1478) L 17-24: -10→1475	12	29	vs PIT(1460) L 17-24: -9→1455	D	30
5	25	at DEN(1497) W 12-9: +5→1480	13	30	at DAL(1567) L 19-54: -13→1442	C	30
6	19	vs JAX(1516) W 34-27: +10→1490	14	30	(bye)	S	30
7	24	at TEN(1490) L 10-19: -10→1480	15	30	at MIN(1507) L 36-39: +1→1443
8	28	vs WAS(1471) L 16-17: -6→1474	16	31	vs LAC(1487) L 3-20: -10→1433

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1507 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	at WAS(1500) L 22-28: -6→1494	9	15	vs LV(1492) W 27-20: +7→1501	17	9	at HOU(1424) W 31-3: +9→1515
2	6	vs IND(1501) W 24-0: +21→1515	10	16	at KC(1547) L 17-27: -9→1492	18	9	vs TEN(1485) W 20-16: +0→1515
3	3	at LAC(1503) W 38-10: +24→1539	11	16	(bye)	W	9	vs LAC(1503) W 31-30: +1→1516
4	4	at PHI(1542) L 21-29: -9→1530	12	15	vs BAL(1548) W 28-27: +4→1496	D	9	at KC(1580) L 20-27: -1→1515
5	9	vs HOU(1474) L 6-13: -14→1516	13	21	at DET(1489) L 14-40: -16→1480	C	9
6	14	at IND(1480) L 27-34: -10→1506	14	16	at TEN(1512) W 36-22: +13→1493	S	9
7	14	vs NYG(1513) L 17-23: -7→1499	15	16	vs DAL(1577) W 40-34: +3→1496
8	17	at DEN(1484) L 17-21: -5→1494	16	12	at NYJ(1518) W 19-3: +10→1506

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-52 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at ARI(1500) W 44-21: +23→1523	9	3	vs TEN(1507) W 20-17: -4→1547	17	5	vs DEN(1456) W 27-24: -1→1574
2	3	vs LAC(1504) W 27-24: +1→1524	10	1	vs JAX(1501) W 27-17: +9→1556	18	3	at LV(1491) W 31-13: +6→1580
3	7	at IND(1480) L 17-20: -5→1519	11	3	at LAC(1484) W 30-27: +2→1558	W	4	(bye)
4	3	at TB(1527) W 41-31: +15→1534	12	1	vs LAR(1443) W 26-10: +11→1569	D	4	vs JAX(1516) W 27-20: +1→1581
5	4	vs LV(1499) W 30-29: +0→1534	13	4	at CIN(1542) L 24-27: -3→1566	C	4	vs CIN(1571) W 23-20: +0→1581
6	3	vs BUF(1560) L 20-24: -2→1532	14	5	at DEN(1465) W 34-28: +3→1569	S	4	at PHI(1583) W 38-35: -0→1581
7	3	at SF(1522) W 44-23: +19→1551	15	5	at HOU(1418) W 30-24: -1→1568
8	3	(bye)	16	5	vs SEA(1508) W 24-10: +7→1575

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+8 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at LAC(1500) L 19-24: -4→1496	9	21	at JAX(1494) L 20-27: -7→1485	17	18	vs SF(1591) L 34-37: +0→1491
2	24	vs ARI(1477) L 23-29: -5→1491	10	23	vs IND(1459) L 20-25: -7→1478	18	22	vs KC(1574) L 13-31: -6→1485
3	22	at TEN(1474) L 22-24: -4→1487	11	20	at DEN(1482) W 22-16: +3→1481	W	22
4	16	vs DEN(1509) W 32-23: +12→1499	12	19	at SEA(1525) W 40-34: +5→1486	D	22
5	16	at KC(1534) L 29-30: -0→1499	13	17	vs LAC(1486) W 27-20: +6→1492	C	22
6	16	(bye)	14	17	at LAR(1432) L 16-17: -3→1489	S	22
7	10	vs HOU(1487) W 38-20: +16→1515	15	17	vs NE(1519) W 30-24: +4→1493
8	18	at NO(1476) L 0-24: -23→1492	16	18	at PIT(1479) L 10-13: -2→1491

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1484 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	vs LV(1500) W 24-19: +4→1504	9	19	at ATL(1496) W 20-17: +5→1488	17	12	vs LAR(1440) W 31-10: +8→1504
2	12	at KC(1523) L 24-27: -1→1503	10	19	at SF(1519) L 16-22: -4→1484	18	13	at DEN(1457) L 28-31: -1→1503
3	26	vs JAX(1515) L 10-38: -23→1480	11	19	vs KC(1556) L 27-30: -2→1482	W	12	at JAX(1515) L 30-31: -1→1502
4	19	at HOU(1488) W 34-24: +14→1494	12	20	at ARI(1464) W 25-24: +4→1486	D	12
5	14	at CLE(1509) W 30-28: +6→1500	13	20	at LV(1486) L 20-27: -6→1480	C	12
6	15	vs DEN(1492) W 19-16: +1→1501	14	19	vs MIA(1508) W 23-17: +5→1485	S	12
7	23	vs SEA(1489) L 23-37: -18→1483	15	19	vs TEN(1498) W 17-14: +2→1487
8	22	(bye)	16	16	at IND(1443) W 20-3: +9→1496

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs BUF(1500) L 10-31: -23→1477	9	28	at TB(1486) L 13-16: +1→1463	17	29	vs LAC(1496) L 10-31: -8→1432
2	30	vs ATL(1494) W 31-27: +3→1480	10	32	vs ARI(1470) L 17-27: -13→1450	18	29	at SEA(1509) L 16-19: +1→1433
3	20	at ARI(1482) W 20-12: +12→1492	11	31	at NO(1473) L 20-27: -7→1443	W	29
4	28	at SF(1506) L 9-24: -15→1477	12	31	at KC(1558) L 10-26: -10→1433	D	29
5	30	vs DAL(1510) L 10-22: -13→1464	13	31	vs SEA(1520) L 23-27: -1→1432	C	29
6	25	vs CAR(1467) W 24-10: +15→1479	14	31	vs LV(1492) W 17-16: +3→1435	S	29
7	26	(bye)	15	31	at GB(1468) L 12-24: -7→1428
8	30	vs SF(1502) L 14-31: -17→1462	16	29	vs DEN(1468) W 51-14: +12→1440

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs NE(1500) W 20-7: +15→1515	9	17	at CHI(1480) W 35-32: +4→1490	17	14	at NE(1514) L 21-23: -1→1498
2	5	at BAL(1520) W 42-38: +5→1520	10	14	vs CLE(1506) W 39-17: +19→1509	18	15	vs NYJ(1500) W 11-6: +1→1499
3	6	vs BUF(1543) W 21-19: +4→1524	11	13	(bye)	W	15	at BUF(1590) L 31-34: +1→1500
4	9	at CIN(1512) L 15-27: -14→1510	12	11	vs HOU(1438) W 30-15: +11→1520	D	15
5	21	at NYJ(1475) L 17-40: -22→1488	13	13	at SF(1553) L 17-33: -12→1508	C	15
6	26	vs MIN(1509) L 16-24: -9→1479	14	14	at LAC(1480) L 17-23: -5→1503	S	15
7	21	vs PIT(1469) W 16-10: +4→1483	15	14	at BUF(1579) L 29-32: +1→1504
8	21	at DET(1462) W 31-27: +3→1486	16	15	vs GB(1475) L 20-26: -5→1499

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs GB(1500) W 23-7: +18→1518	9	8	at WAS(1477) W 20-17: -1→1523	17	15	at GB(1481) L 17-41: -10→1497
2	14	at PHI(1505) L 7-24: -20→1498	10	7	at BUF(1556) W 33-30: +5→1528	18	12	at CHI(1427) W 29-13: +6→1503
3	15	vs DET(1507) W 28-24: +3→1501	11	14	vs DAL(1539) L 3-40: -23→1505	W	13	vs NYG(1489) L 24-31: -3→1500
4	14	at NO(1482) W 28-25: +2→1503	12	14	vs NE(1528) W 33-26: +7→1512	D	13
5	11	vs CHI(1484) W 29-22: +6→1509	13	10	vs NYJ(1530) W 27-22: +4→1516	C	13
6	8	at MIA(1488) W 24-16: +10→1519	14	13	at DET(1505) L 23-34: -9→1507	S	13
7	9	(bye)	15	13	vs IND(1442) W 39-36: -1→1506
8	6	vs ARI(1484) W 34-26: +5→1524	16	11	vs NYG(1482) W 27-24: +1→1507

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1522 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at MIA(1500) L 7-20: -15→1485	9	10	vs IND(1474) W 26-3: +15→1521	17	10	vs MIA(1499) W 23-21: +1→1515
2	23	at PIT(1504) W 17-14: +6→1491	10	11	(bye)	18	10	at BUF(1587) L 23-35: -4→1511
3	29	vs BAL(1515) L 26-37: -14→1477	11	9	vs NYJ(1522) W 10-3: +7→1528	W	10
4	26	at GB(1510) L 24-27: +1→1478	12	10	at MIN(1505) L 26-33: -7→1521	D	10
5	15	vs DET(1498) W 29-0: +21→1499	13	14	vs BUF(1561) L 10-24: -13→1508	C	10
6	7	at CLE(1503) W 38-15: +22→1521	14	9	at ARI(1460) W 27-13: +11→1519	S	10
7	16	vs CHI(1470) L 14-33: -24→1497	15	10	at LV(1489) L 24-30: -4→1515
8	13	at NYJ(1523) W 22-17: +9→1506	16	8	vs CIN(1561) L 18-22: -1→1514

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at ATL(1500) W 27-26: +6→1506	9	20	vs BAL(1525) L 13-27: -14→1485	17	24	at PHI(1585) W 20-10: +8→1483
2	21	vs TB(1520) L 10-20: -15→1491	10	26	at PIT(1455) L 10-20: -12→1473	18	24	vs CAR(1484) L 7-10: -2→1481
3	25	at CAR(1493) L 14-22: -9→1482	11	21	vs LAR(1450) W 27-20: +7→1480	W	24
4	25	at MIN(1501) L 25-28: -2→1480	12	24	at SF(1543) L 0-13: -11→1469	D	24
5	22	vs SEA(1485) W 39-32: +8→1488	13	26	at TB(1490) L 16-17: -1→1468	C	24
6	22	vs CIN(1523) L 26-30: -2→1486	14	26	(bye)	S	24
7	27	at ARI(1474) L 34-42: -10→1476	15	26	vs ATL(1471) W 21-18: +1→1469
8	15	vs LV(1515) W 24-0: +23→1499	16	24	at CLE(1492) W 17-10: +6→1475

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1526 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at TEN(1500) W 21-20: +6→1506	9	14	(bye)	17	20	vs IND(1433) W 38-10: +8→1490
2	9	vs CAR(1495) W 19-16: +1→1507	10	13	vs HOU(1460) W 24-16: +7→1511	18	18	at PHI(1577) L 16-22: -1→1489
3	17	vs DAL(1483) L 16-23: -12→1495	11	15	vs DET(1473) L 18-31: -17→1494	W	17	at MIN(1503) W 31-24: +3→1492
4	13	vs CHI(1493) W 20-12: +9→1504	12	18	at DAL(1562) L 20-28: -6→1488	D	18	at PHI(1578) L 7-38: -3→1489
5	10	at GB(1508) W 27-22: +6→1510	13	19	vs WAS(1515) T 20-20: -1→1487	C	18
6	11	vs BAL(1528) W 24-20: +3→1513	14	22	vs PHI(1574) L 22-48: -13→1474	S	18
7	8	at JAX(1506) W 23-17: +8→1521	15	20	at WAS(1516) W 20-12: +8→1482
8	14	at SEA(1507) L 13-27: -17→1504	16	21	at MIN(1506) L 24-27: -0→1482

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs BAL(1500) L 9-24: -20→1480	9	9	vs BUF(1564) W 20-17: +8→1522	17	13	at SEA(1501) L 6-23: -8→1500
2	26	at CLE(1505) W 31-30: +8→1488	10	10	(bye)	18	16	at MIA(1498) L 6-11: -1→1499
3	32	vs CIN(1493) L 12-27: -19→1469	11	11	at NE(1521) L 3-10: -7→1515	W	16
4	30	at PIT(1484) W 24-20: +6→1475	12	8	vs CHI(1470) W 31-10: +15→1530	D	16
5	17	vs MIA(1510) W 40-17: +21→1496	13	8	at MIN(1512) L 22-27: -4→1526	C	16
6	9	at GB(1503) W 27-10: +20→1516	14	8	at BUF(1574) L 12-20: -4→1522	S	16
7	6	at DEN(1491) W 16-9: +7→1523	15	8	vs DET(1514) L 17-20: -4→1518
8	10	vs NE(1497) L 17-22: -9→1514	16	10	vs JAX(1496) L 3-19: -10→1508

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-62 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at DET(1500) W 38-35: +5→1505	9	1	at HOU(1464) W 29-17: +4→1572	17	4	vs NO(1475) L 10-20: -8→1577
2	4	vs MIN(1518) W 24-7: +19→1524	10	2	vs WAS(1478) L 21-32: -19→1553	18	4	vs NYG(1490) W 22-16: +1→1578
3	1	at WAS(1494) W 24-8: +18→1542	11	4	at IND(1466) W 17-16: +3→1556	W	5	(bye)
4	1	vs JAX(1539) W 29-21: +9→1551	12	4	vs GB(1462) W 40-33: +3→1559	D	3	vs NYG(1492) W 38-7: +3→1581
5	2	at ARI(1486) W 20-17: -0→1551	13	2	vs TEN(1526) W 35-10: +15→1574	C	3	vs SF(1600) W 31-7: +2→1583
6	2	vs DAL(1523) W 26-17: +8→1559	14	1	at NYG(1487) W 48-22: +14→1588	S	3	at KC(1581) L 35-38: +0→1583
7	2	(bye)	15	1	at CHI(1444) W 25-20: +1→1589
8	1	vs PIT(1464) W 35-13: +9→1568	16	3	at DAL(1575) L 34-40: -4→1585

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at CIN(1500) W 23-20: +4→1504	9	32	(bye)	17	23	at BAL(1540) W 16-13: +3→1483
2	16	vs NE(1485) L 14-17: -6→1498	10	29	vs NO(1485) W 20-10: +12→1467	18	19	vs CLE(1494) W 28-14: +6→1489
3	24	at CLE(1498) L 17-29: -14→1484	11	30	vs CIN(1531) L 30-37: -7→1460	W	19
4	27	vs NYJ(1469) L 20-24: -6→1478	12	25	at IND(1464) W 24-17: +9→1469	D	19
5	31	at BUF(1544) L 3-38: -16→1462	13	23	at ATL(1475) W 19-16: +4→1473	C	19
6	30	vs TB(1518) W 20-18: +7→1469	14	23	vs BAL(1544) L 14-16: -2→1471	S	19
7	31	at MIA(1479) L 10-16: -5→1464	15	21	at CAR(1486) W 24-16: +8→1479
8	32	at PHI(1559) L 13-35: -9→1455	16	23	vs LV(1493) W 13-10: +1→1480

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at CHI(1500) L 10-19: -11→1489	9	11	(bye)	17	1	at LV(1491) W 37-34: -1→1590
2	8	vs SEA(1503) W 27-7: +20→1509	10	9	vs LAC(1488) W 22-16: +4→1523	18	1	vs ARI(1441) W 38-13: +5→1595
3	12	at DEN(1506) L 10-11: -3→1506	11	6	at ARI(1484) W 38-10: +20→1543	W	1	vs SEA(1508) W 41-23: +4→1599
4	7	vs LAR(1492) W 24-9: +15→1521	12	5	vs NO(1480) W 13-0: +10→1553	D	1	vs DAL(1580) W 19-12: +1→1600
5	3	at CAR(1486) W 37-15: +19→1540	13	5	vs MIA(1520) W 33-17: +13→1566	C	1	at PHI(1581) L 7-31: -2→1598
6	6	at ATL(1495) L 14-28: -18→1522	14	3	vs TB(1491) W 35-7: +12→1578	S	1
7	12	vs KC(1532) L 23-44: -20→1502	15	2	at SEA(1514) W 21-13: +5→1583
8	8	at LAR(1479) W 31-14: +17→1519	16	1	vs WAS(1507) W 37-20: +8→1591

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs DEN(1500) W 17-16: +3→1503	9	6	at ARI(1479) W 31-21: +9→1532	17	11	vs NYJ(1508) W 23-6: +8→1509
2	28	at SF(1489) L 7-27: -21→1482	10	8	at TB(1485) L 16-21: -7→1525	18	11	vs LAR(1432) W 19-16: -1→1508
3	27	vs ATL(1492) L 23-27: -4→1478	11	10	(bye)	W	11	at SF(1595) L 23-41: -3→1505
4	23	at DET(1504) W 48-45: +7→1485	12	12	vs LV(1481) L 34-40: -5→1520	D	11
5	27	at NO(1480) L 32-39: -8→1477	13	9	at LAR(1433) W 27-23: +1→1521	C	11
6	20	vs ARI(1486) W 19-9: +12→1489	14	12	vs CAR(1479) L 24-30: -7→1514	S	11
7	11	at LAC(1501) W 37-23: +18→1507	15	11	vs SF(1578) L 13-21: -6→1508
8	7	vs NYG(1521) W 27-13: +16→1523	16	13	at KC(1568) L 10-24: -7→1501

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at DAL(1500) W 19-3: +20→1520	9	22	vs LAR(1462) W 16-13: -1→1485	17	25	vs CAR(1487) W 30-24: +3→1476
2	2	at NO(1506) W 20-10: +14→1534	10	17	at SEA(1532) W 21-16: +6→1491	18	26	at ATL(1467) L 17-30: -6→1470
3	5	vs GB(1503) L 12-14: -7→1527	11	17	(bye)	W	26	vs DAL(1576) L 14-31: -4→1466
4	8	vs KC(1519) L 31-41: -14→1513	12	16	at CLE(1479) L 17-23: -1→1490	D	26
5	8	vs ATL(1499) W 21-15: +5→1518	13	18	vs NO(1469) W 17-16: +1→1491	C	26
6	13	at PIT(1462) L 18-20: -7→1511	14	21	at SF(1566) L 7-35: -12→1479	S	26
7	18	at CAR(1452) L 3-21: -22→1489	15	24	vs CIN(1553) L 23-34: -8→1471
8	20	vs BAL(1522) L 22-27: -3→1486	16	25	at ARI(1443) W 19-16: +2→1473

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs NYG(1500) L 20-21: -6→1494	9	12	at KC(1551) L 17-20: +5→1512	17	21	vs DAL(1578) L 13-27: -6→1485
2	32	at BUF(1523) L 7-41: -20→1474	10	12	vs DEN(1489) W 17-10: +6→1518	18	23	at JAX(1515) L 16-20: -0→1485
3	28	vs LV(1491) W 24-22: +4→1478	11	8	at GB(1474) W 27-17: +12→1530	W	23
4	20	at IND(1485) W 24-17: +10→1488	12	9	vs CIN(1538) L 16-20: -4→1526	D	23
5	20	at WAS(1462) W 21-17: +2→1490	13	12	at PHI(1559) L 10-35: -14→1512	C	23
6	18	(bye)	14	15	vs JAX(1480) L 22-36: -14→1498	S	23
7	13	vs IND(1490) W 19-10: +10→1500	15	15	at LAC(1485) L 14-17: -1→1497
8	11	at HOU(1471) W 17-10: +7→1507	16	17	vs HOU(1419) L 14-19: -6→1491

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	vs JAX(1500) W 28-22: +6→1506	9	23	vs MIN(1524) L 17-20: +1→1478	17	17	vs CLE(1486) L 10-24: -8→1492
2	17	at DET(1495) L 27-36: -12→1494	10	15	at PHI(1572) W 32-21: +18→1496	18	14	vs DAL(1584) W 26-6: +8→1500
3	30	vs PHI(1524) L 8-24: -18→1476	11	12	at HOU(1453) W 23-10: +15→1511	W	14
4	32	at DAL(1495) L 10-25: -14→1462	12	13	vs ATL(1479) W 19-13: +4→1515	D	14
5	32	vs TEN(1488) L 17-21: -3→1459	13	11	at NYG(1488) T 20-20: +1→1516	C	14
6	31	at CHI(1478) W 12-7: +8→1467	14	10	(bye)	S	14
7	30	vs GB(1483) W 23-21: +4→1471	15	12	vs NYG(1474) L 12-20: -9→1507
8	26	at IND(1480) W 17-16: +6→1477	16	14	at SF(1583) L 20-37: -7→1500

↑ 2022 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Pittsburgh Steelers: +18 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 18-22) Philadelphia Eagles: +5 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Detroit Lions: +9 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Atlanta Falcons: +6 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Denver Broncos: +3 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 10 games (weeks 8-18) Chicago Bears: -73 total Elo rating
2. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Arizona Cardinals: -47 total Elo rating
3. 7 games (weeks 12-18) Tennessee Titans: -46 total Elo rating
4. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Jets: -31 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -19 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 17, 110-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1585) 5-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1475): Saints win 20-10
2. Week 10, 94-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1572) 5-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1478): Commanders win 32-21
3. Week 18, 92-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1584) Tossup favorites at Washington Commanders (1492): Commanders win 26-6
4. Week 15, 84-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1577) Tossup favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1493): Jaguars win 40-34
5. Week 16, 78-Elo upset: Tennessee Titans (1497) 5-point favorites vs Houston Texans (1419): Texans win 19-14
6. Week 10, 74-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1543) Tossup favorites at Green Bay Packers (1469): Packers win 31-28
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 7, 24-point differential: New England Patriots (1521) 5-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1470): Bears win 33-14
2. Week 8, 24-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1541) 5-point favorites vs Cleveland Browns (1483): Browns win 32-13
3. Week 8, 24-point differential: Las Vegas Raiders (1515) Tossup favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1476): Saints win 24-0
4. Week 11, 37-point differential: Minnesota Vikings (1528) Tossup favorites vs Dallas Cowboys (1539): Cowboys win 40-3
5. Week 16, 37-point differential: Denver Broncos (1468) Tossup favorites vs Los Angeles Rams (1428): Rams win 51-14
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +98: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 21
2. +86: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 20
3. +83: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 22
4. +81: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1581) thru week 22
5. +79: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1579) thru week 20
more...
1. +71: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 21
2. +31: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 19
3. +18: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
4. +15: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 20
5. +11: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
6. +5: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
7. +2: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
8. +0: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
9. +0: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
10. +0: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
11. -1: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
12. -11: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
13. -11: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 20
14. -11: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
15. -11: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
16. -14: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
17. -15: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
18. -15: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
19. -19: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
20. -28: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
21. -34: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 19
22. -41: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
23. -64: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 18
24. -67: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1433) thru week 18
25. -77: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
26. -79: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
27. -82: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -82: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
2. -79: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
3. -77: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
4. -67: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1433) thru week 18
5. -64: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1436) thru week 18
more...
1. -41: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
2. -34: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 19
3. -28: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1472) thru week 18
4. -19: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1481) thru week 18
5. -15: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
6. -15: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
7. -14: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
8. -11: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
9. -11: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
10. -11: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 20
11. -11: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 18
12. -1: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
13. -0: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
14. -0: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
15. -0: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 19
16. +2: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
17. +5: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 19
18. +11: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1511) thru week 18
19. +15: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 20
20. +18: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1518) thru week 18
21. +31: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1531) thru week 19
22. +71: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 21
23. +79: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1579) thru week 20
24. +81: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1581) thru week 22
25. +83: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1583) thru week 22
26. +86: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1586) thru week 20
27. +98: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 21
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +82: San Francisco 49ers (1502) before week 8 → (1583) thru week 15
2. +68: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1568) thru week 8
3. +67: Dallas Cowboys (1495) before week 4 → (1562) thru week 11
4. +64: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 8
5. +57: Detroit Lions (1460) before week 9 → (1517) thru week 15
more...
1. +56: Washington Commanders (1459) before week 6 → (1515) thru week 12
2. +55: New York Jets (1475) before week 5 → (1530) thru week 12
3. +54: Seattle Seahawks (1477) before week 6 → (1532) thru week 9
4. +53: Tennessee Titans (1478) before week 4 → (1530) thru week 11
5. +52: New England Patriots (1477) before week 4 → (1528) thru week 11
6. +51: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 7
7. +48: Cincinnati Bengals (1493) before week 3 → (1541) thru week 7
8. +45: Jacksonville Jaguars (1494) before week 2 → (1539) thru week 3
9. +42: Miami Dolphins (1479) before week 7 → (1520) thru week 12
10. +34: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1534) thru week 2
11. +33: Carolina Panthers (1452) before week 7 → (1486) thru week 14
12. +32: Green Bay Packers (1458) before week 13 → (1490) thru week 17
13. +29: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1529) thru week 3
14. +29: Pittsburgh Steelers (1460) before week 12 → (1489) thru week 18
15. +29: Minnesota Vikings (1498) before week 3 → (1528) thru week 10
16. +28: Las Vegas Raiders (1487) before week 4 → (1515) thru week 7
17. +25: Cleveland Browns (1481) before week 7 → (1506) thru week 8
18. +25: New York Giants (1495) before week 4 → (1521) thru week 7
19. +24: Los Angeles Chargers (1480) before week 14 → (1504) thru week 17
20. +21: Atlanta Falcons (1492) before week 3 → (1513) thru week 6
21. +19: New Orleans Saints (1480) before week 5 → (1499) thru week 8
22. +16: Chicago Bears (1478) before week 6 → (1495) thru week 7
23. +16: Arizona Cardinals (1470) before week 4 → (1486) thru week 5
24. +15: Los Angeles Rams (1477) before week 2 → (1492) thru week 3
25. +15: Indianapolis Colts (1475) before week 5 → (1490) thru week 6
26. +11: Denver Broncos (1497) before week 2 → (1509) thru week 3
27. +10: Houston Texans (1415) before week 14 → (1424) thru week 16
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -72: Houston Texans (1487) before week 6 → (1415) thru week 13
2. -51: Green Bay Packers (1508) before week 5 → (1458) thru week 12
3. -51: Chicago Bears (1495) before week 8 → (1444) thru week 15
4. -50: Carolina Panthers (1502) before week 4 → (1452) thru week 6
5. -50: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1534) before week 3 → (1485) thru week 9
more...
1. -49: Pittsburgh Steelers (1504) before week 2 → (1455) thru week 8
2. -49: Los Angeles Rams (1492) before week 4 → (1443) thru week 11
3. -47: Washington Commanders (1506) before week 2 → (1459) thru week 5
4. -47: Detroit Lions (1507) before week 3 → (1460) thru week 8
5. -47: Jacksonville Jaguars (1539) before week 4 → (1492) thru week 10
6. -47: New York Giants (1521) before week 8 → (1474) thru week 14
7. -47: Indianapolis Colts (1490) before week 7 → (1442) thru week 13
8. -47: Arizona Cardinals (1484) before week 11 → (1436) thru week 18
9. -46: Miami Dolphins (1524) before week 4 → (1479) thru week 6
10. -46: Tennessee Titans (1530) before week 12 → (1485) thru week 18
11. -42: Atlanta Falcons (1513) before week 7 → (1471) thru week 13
12. -38: San Francisco 49ers (1540) before week 6 → (1502) thru week 7
13. -37: Las Vegas Raiders (1515) before week 8 → (1478) thru week 10
14. -33: Cleveland Browns (1512) before week 4 → (1479) thru week 11
15. -33: Denver Broncos (1489) before week 9 → (1456) thru week 16
16. -31: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1469) thru week 3
17. -31: New Orleans Saints (1499) before week 9 → (1468) thru week 13
18. -30: Seattle Seahawks (1532) before week 10 → (1501) thru week 16
19. -30: Minnesota Vikings (1528) before week 11 → (1497) thru week 17
20. -24: Los Angeles Chargers (1504) before week 2 → (1480) thru week 3
21. -23: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 3
22. -17: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 2
23. -17: Baltimore Ravens (1548) before week 12 → (1531) thru week 19
24. -16: Philadelphia Eagles (1572) before week 10 → (1556) thru week 11
25. -13: Buffalo Bills (1564) before week 9 → (1552) thru week 10
26. -10: Cincinnati Bengals (1541) before week 8 → (1531) thru week 9
27. -4: Kansas City Chiefs (1523) before week 2 → (1519) thru week 3
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1511
2. New York Giants: 1508
3. New York Jets: 1508
4. Houston Texans: 1508
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1505
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
3. Buffalo Bills: 1504
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
5. Chicago Bears: 1503
6. Green Bay Packers: 1503
7. Cleveland Browns: 1502
8. Miami Dolphins: 1501
9. Tennessee Titans: 1501
10. New Orleans Saints: 1500
11. Denver Broncos: 1500
12. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
13. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
14. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
15. Carolina Panthers: 1497
16. Indianapolis Colts: 1496
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
18. Detroit Lions: 1495
19. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
21. San Francisco 49ers: 1495
22. Kansas City Chiefs: 1495
23. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
24. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
25. Philadelphia Eagles: 1494
26. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1491
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
3. Philadelphia Eagles: 1494
4. Los Angeles Rams: 1494
5. Dallas Cowboys: 1494
more...
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1495
2. San Francisco 49ers: 1495
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
4. Minnesota Vikings: 1495
5. Detroit Lions: 1495
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
7. Indianapolis Colts: 1496
8. Carolina Panthers: 1497
9. Baltimore Ravens: 1497
10. Las Vegas Raiders: 1500
11. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
12. Denver Broncos: 1500
13. New Orleans Saints: 1500
14. Tennessee Titans: 1501
15. Miami Dolphins: 1501
16. Cleveland Browns: 1502
17. Green Bay Packers: 1503
18. Chicago Bears: 1503
19. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1504
20. Buffalo Bills: 1504
21. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
22. Washington Commanders: 1505
23. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1505
24. Houston Texans: 1508
25. New York Jets: 1508
26. New York Giants: 1508
27. New England Patriots: 1511
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1507
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1506
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1506
4. New York Jets: 1504
5. Washington Commanders: 1504
more...
1. Chicago Bears: 1504
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
3. Cleveland Browns: 1500
4. Buffalo Bills: 1500
5. New Orleans Saints: 1500
6. Carolina Panthers: 1499
7. New England Patriots: 1498
8. Green Bay Packers: 1496
9. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
10. New York Giants: 1493
11. Detroit Lions: 1492
12. Denver Broncos: 1492
13. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
15. Miami Dolphins: 1491
16. San Francisco 49ers: 1491
17. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
18. Kansas City Chiefs: 1488
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
20. Arizona Cardinals: 1487
21. Baltimore Ravens: 1487
22. Atlanta Falcons: 1485
23. Seattle Seahawks: 1485
24. Houston Texans: 1484
25. Los Angeles Chargers: 1484
26. Los Angeles Rams: 1481
27. Tennessee Titans: 1480
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Tennessee Titans: 1480
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1481
3. Los Angeles Chargers: 1484
4. Houston Texans: 1484
5. Seattle Seahawks: 1485
more...
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1485
2. Baltimore Ravens: 1487
3. Arizona Cardinals: 1487
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1487
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1488
6. Philadelphia Eagles: 1490
7. San Francisco 49ers: 1491
8. Miami Dolphins: 1491
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1491
10. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
11. Denver Broncos: 1492
12. Detroit Lions: 1492
13. New York Giants: 1493
14. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1495
15. Green Bay Packers: 1496
16. New England Patriots: 1498
17. Carolina Panthers: 1499
18. New Orleans Saints: 1500
19. Buffalo Bills: 1500
20. Cleveland Browns: 1500
21. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
22. Chicago Bears: 1504
23. Washington Commanders: 1504
24. New York Jets: 1504
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1506
26. Cincinnati Bengals: 1506
27. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1507

↑ 2022 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)
2	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	16-16 (16/32, 50.0%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	25-23 (25/48, 52.08%)
4	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	32-32 (32/64, 50.0%)
5	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	42-38 (42/80, 52.5%)
6	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	49-45 (49/94, 52.13%)
7	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	58-50 (58/108, 53.7%)
8	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	67-56 (67/123, 54.47%)
9	9-4 (9/13, 69.23%)	76-60 (76/136, 55.88%)
10	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	83-67 (83/150, 55.33%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	94-70 (94/164, 57.32%)
12	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	105-75 (105/180, 58.33%)
13	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	117-78 (117/195, 60.0%)
14	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	127-81 (127/208, 61.06%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	138-86 (138/224, 61.61%)
16	9.5-6.5 (9.5/16, 59.38%)	147.5-92.5 (147.5/240, 61.46%)
17	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	159.5-95.5 (159.5/255, 62.55%)
18	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	170.5-100.5 (170.5/271, 62.92%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	175.5-101.5 (175.5/277, 63.36%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	178.5-102.5 (178.5/281, 63.52%)
C	2-0 (2/2, 100.0%)	180.5-102.5 (180.5/283, 63.78%)
S	0-1 (0/1, 0.0%)	180.5-103.5 (180.5/284, 63.56%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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