NFL Elo Power Rankings 2022

This is the 2022-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory)..

All available 2022 season pages:

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2022 Summaries by Team
2022 Stats and Tidbits
2022 Model Accuracy

← 2021 Season NFL Elo Home 2023 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (-7)	16-4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): L 35-38: 1566-7→1559
2	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1556	14-5
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1555 (+7)	17-3
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): W 38-35: 1548+7→1555
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544	15-5
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538	14-4
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1537	13-6
7	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1535	10-9
8	Detroit LionsDET	1528	9-8
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1515	8-9
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509	10-8
11	New England PatriotsNE	1507	8-9
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	9-8
13	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504	9-9
14	Baltimore RavensBAL	1501	10-8
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	7-10
16	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497	7-10
17	Washington CommandersWAS	1496	8-8-1
18	New York GiantsNYG	1496	10-8-1
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491	7-10
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489	13-5
22	New York JetsNYJ	1488	7-10
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
24	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482	5-12
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478	7-10
27	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477	8-10
28	Houston TexansHOU	1466	3-13-1
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	5-12
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	4-13
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441	3-14
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434	4-12-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1566 (+16)	16-3	at KC (1548): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1560): W 31-7: 1550+16→1566
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Slight favorite
2	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1556 (-4)	14-5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): L 20-23: 1560-4→1556
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (+4)	16-3	at PHI (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1560): W 23-20: 1544+4→1548
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1566): Slight underdog
4 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1544 (-16)	15-5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): L 7-31: 1560-16→1544
5	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538	14-4
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1537	13-6
7	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1535	10-9
8	Detroit LionsDET	1528	9-8
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1515	8-9
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509	10-8
11	New England PatriotsNE	1507	8-9
12	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	9-8
13	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504	9-9
14	Baltimore RavensBAL	1501	10-8
15	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	7-10
16	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497	7-10
17	Washington CommandersWAS	1496	8-8-1
18	New York GiantsNYG	1496	10-8-1
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491	7-10
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489	13-5
22	New York JetsNYJ	1488	7-10
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
24	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482	5-12
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478	7-10
27	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477	8-10
28	Houston TexansHOU	1466	3-13-1
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	5-12
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	4-13
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441	3-14
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434	4-12-1
Favorites:
PHI

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1560	15-4	at PHI (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1537): W 19-12: 1560-0→1560
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1560 (+17)	14-4	at KC (1544): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): W 27-10: 1543+17→1560
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): Tossup
3 (+4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1550 (+15)	15-3	vs SF (1560): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1512): W 38-7: 1535+15→1550
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1560): Slight favorite
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1544 (+3)	15-3	vs CIN (1560): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): W 27-20: 1541+3→1544
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1560): Tossup
5 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1538 (-17)	14-4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): L 10-27: 1555-17→1538
6	Dallas CowboysDAL	1537	13-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1560): L 12-19: 1537+0→1537
7 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1535 (-3)	10-9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 20-27: 1538-3→1535
8	Detroit LionsDET	1528	9-8
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1515	8-9
10 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509	10-8
11 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1507	8-9
12 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	9-8
13 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504	9-9
14 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1501	10-8
15 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	7-10
16 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497	7-10
17 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1496	8-8-1
18 (-8)	New York GiantsNYG	1496 (-16)	10-8-1
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): L 7-38: 1512-16→1496
19	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495	9-9
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491	7-10
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489	13-5
22	New York JetsNYJ	1488	7-10
23	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
24	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482	5-12
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480	7-10
26	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478	7-10
27	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477	8-10
28	Houston TexansHOU	1466	3-13-1
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	5-12
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	4-13
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441	3-14
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434	4-12-1
Favorites:
KC, PHI

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1560 (+4)	14-4	vs DAL (1537): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): W 41-23: 1556+4→1560
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1537): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1555 (-6)	14-3	vs CIN (1543): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): W 34-31: 1561-6→1555
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1543): Slight favorite
3	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1543 (-1)	13-4	at BUF (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): W 24-17: 1544-1→1543
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1555): Slight underdog
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541	14-3	vs JAX (1538): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Slight favorite
5	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (-1)	10-8	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): W 31-30: 1539-1→1538
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1537 (+8)	13-5	at SF (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): W 31-14: 1529+8→1537
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1560): Slight underdog
7 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1535	14-3	vs NYG (1512): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1512): Slight favorite
8	Detroit LionsDET	1528	9-8
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1515	8-9
10 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1512 (+8)	10-7-1	at PHI (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): W 31-24: 1504+8→1512
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): Slight underdog
11 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509	10-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): L 30-31: 1509+0→1509
12 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1507	8-9
13 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	9-8
14 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504 (+6)	9-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): L 31-34: 1498+6→1504
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1501 (+2)	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 17-24: 1499+2→1501
16 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	7-10
17 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497	7-10
18 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1496	8-8-1
19 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1495 (-4)	9-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1556): L 23-41: 1499-4→1495
20 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491	7-10
21 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (-8)	13-5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1504): L 24-31: 1497-8→1489
22	New York JetsNYJ	1488	7-10
23 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482	6-11
24 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482	5-12
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480	7-10
26 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478	7-10
27 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477 (-8)	8-10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 14-31: 1485-8→1477
28	Houston TexansHOU	1466	3-13-1
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1465	5-12
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450	4-13
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441	3-14
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434	4-12-1
Favorites:
BUF, KC, PHI, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (+1)	13-3	vs MIA (1498): Win by 13
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): W 35-23: 1560+1→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Win by 13 points
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556 (+4)	13-4	vs SEA (1499): Win by 12
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): W 38-13: 1552+4→1556
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1499): Win by 12 points
3 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544	12-4	vs BAL (1499): Win by 10
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 27-16: 1544+0→1544
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): Win by 10 points
4 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+11)	14-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 31-13: 1530+11→1541
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1539 (-6)	9-8	vs LAC (1509): Win by 9
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): W 20-16: 1545-6→1539
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Win by 9 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1535	14-3	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1504): W 22-16: 1535-0→1535
next: (bye)
7 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (-20)	12-5	at TB (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): L 6-26: 1549-20→1529
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1528 (+7)	9-8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1522): W 20-16: 1521+7→1528
9 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1515 (-7)	8-9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1521): L 16-20: 1522-7→1515
10	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (-4)	10-7	at JAX (1539): Lose by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): L 28-31: 1513-4→1509
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1539): Lose by 9 points
11	New England PatriotsNE	1507 (-1)	8-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): L 23-35: 1508-1→1507
12 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+8)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): W 28-14: 1497+8→1505
13	New York GiantsNYG	1504	9-7-1	at MIN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): L 16-22: 1504+0→1504
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (-8)	7-10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): L 7-10: 1508-8→1500
15 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499 (-1)	10-7	at CIN (1544): Lose by 10
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): L 16-27: 1500-1→1499
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Lose by 10 points
16	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1499 (+1)	9-8	at SF (1556): Lose by 12
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1482): W 19-16(OT): 1498+1→1499
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1556): Lose by 12 points
17 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (+2)	9-8	at BUF (1561): Lose by 13
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1490): W 11-6: 1496+2→1498
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Lose by 13 points
18 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1497 (+8)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 10-7: 1489+8→1497
19 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+6)	13-4	vs NYG (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1447): W 29-13: 1491+6→1497
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1504): Slight favorite
20 (+5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1496 (+19)	8-8-1
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): W 26-6: 1477+19→1496
21 (-6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (-8)	7-10
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): L 14-28: 1499-8→1491
22 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1488 (-2)	7-10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): L 6-11: 1490-2→1488
23 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (-4)	8-9	vs DAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): L 17-30: 1489-4→1485
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Slight underdog
24 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1482 (-11)	6-11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): L 13-31: 1493-11→1482
25 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482	5-12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): L 16-19(OT): 1482-0→1482
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1480 (+4)	7-10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): W 30-17: 1476+4→1480
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1478 (+6)	7-10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1545): L 16-20: 1472+6→1478
28 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1466 (+8)	3-13-1
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): W 32-31: 1458+8→1466
29 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1465 (+5)	5-12
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): W 31-28: 1460+5→1465
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1450 (-4)	4-13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1552): L 13-38: 1454-4→1450
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1441 (-6)	3-14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): L 13-29: 1447-6→1441
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1434 (-7)	4-12-1
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1458): L 31-32: 1441-7→1434
Favorites:
BUF, CIN, DAL, JAX, MIN, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560	12-3	vs NE (1508): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Win by 11 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1552 (-2)	12-4	vs ARI (1454): Win by 19
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): W 37-34(OT): 1554-2→1552
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): Win by 19 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1549 (+3)	12-4	at WAS (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): W 27-13: 1546+3→1549
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): Slight favorite
4 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1545 (+15)	8-8	vs TEN (1472): Win by 14
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1473): W 31-3: 1530+15→1545
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1472): Win by 14 points
5	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544	11-4	vs BAL (1500): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Win by 9 points
6 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1535 (-20)	13-3	vs NYG (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): L 10-20: 1555-20→1535
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1504): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1530 (-8)	13-3	at LV (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): W 27-24: 1538-8→1530
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1522 (+13)	8-8	vs DET (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): W 41-17: 1509+13→1522
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1521): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1521 (+13)	8-8	at GB (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1459): W 41-10: 1508+13→1521
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1522): Slight underdog
10 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (+8)	10-6	at DEN (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): W 31-10: 1505+8→1513
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1460): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (-1)	8-8	at BUF (1560): Lose by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1495): W 23-21: 1509-1→1508
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Lose by 11 points
12 (+10)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (+20)	7-9	vs CAR (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): W 20-10: 1488+20→1508
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight favorite
13 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1504 (+10)	9-6-1	at PHI (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1451): W 38-10: 1494+10→1504
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1535): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500 (-8)	10-6	at CIN (1544): Lose by 9
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 13-16: 1508-8→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1544): Lose by 9 points
15 (+9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1499 (+13)	7-9	at PIT (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): W 24-10: 1486+13→1499
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Slight underdog
16 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1498 (+12)	8-8	vs LAR (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1502): W 23-6: 1486+12→1498
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1482): Slight favorite
17 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497 (+8)	8-8	vs CLE (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): W 16-13: 1489+8→1497
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1499): Slight favorite
18 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1496 (+1)	8-8	vs NYJ (1490): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): L 21-23: 1495+1→1496
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1490): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+2)	6-10	vs KC (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): L 34-37(OT): 1491+2→1493
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): Slight underdog
20 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491 (-13)	12-4	at CHI (1447): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 17-41: 1504-13→1491
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1447): Slight favorite
21 (-7)	New York JetsNYJ	1490 (-12)	7-9	at MIA (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): L 6-23: 1502-12→1490
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1496): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (+4)	8-8	at ATL (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): W 30-24: 1485+4→1489
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight underdog
23 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-4)	6-10	at NO (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): L 24-30: 1493-4→1489
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Slight underdog
24 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1482 (-8)	5-11	at SEA (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): L 10-31: 1490-8→1482
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1498): Slight underdog
25 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1477 (-13)	7-8-1	vs DAL (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): L 10-24: 1490-13→1477
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): Slight underdog
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (+1)	6-10	vs TB (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): W 20-19: 1475+1→1476
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Slight favorite
27	Tennessee TitansTEN	1472 (-2)	7-9	at JAX (1545): Lose by 14
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): L 13-27: 1474-2→1472
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1545): Lose by 14 points
28 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1460 (+7)	4-12	vs LAC (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): L 24-27: 1453+7→1460
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1513): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1458 (-15)	2-13-1	at IND (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): L 3-31: 1473-15→1458
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): Slight underdog
30	Arizona CardinalsARI	1454 (-1)	4-12	at SF (1552): Lose by 19
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): L 19-20: 1455-1→1454
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1552): Lose by 19 points
31 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1447 (-12)	3-13	vs MIN (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): L 10-41: 1459-12→1447
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Slight underdog
32	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1441 (-10)	4-11-1	vs HOU (1458): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1494): L 10-38: 1451-10→1441
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1458): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, JAX, KC,
LAC, MIA, MIN, NO, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560 (+4)	12-3	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1464): W 35-13: 1556+4→1560
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1555 (-5)	13-2	vs NO (1488): Win by 17
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): L 34-40: 1560-5→1555
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1488): Win by 17 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554	11-4	at LV (1491): Win by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): W 37-20: 1554+0→1554
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1491): Win by 8 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1546 (+5)	11-4	at TEN (1474): Win by 10
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): W 40-34: 1541+5→1546
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Win by 10 points
5	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1544 (+3)	11-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1512): W 22-18: 1541+3→1544
next: (bye)
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1538 (+1)	12-3	vs DEN (1453): Win by 16
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): W 24-10: 1537+1→1538
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1453): Win by 16 points
7 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1530 (+13)	7-8	at HOU (1473): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1516): W 19-3: 1517+13→1530
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1473): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1509 (-3)	7-8	vs MIA (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): L 18-22: 1512-3→1509
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1495): Slight favorite
9 (+5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (+9)	7-8	vs MIN (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): W 26-20: 1500+9→1509
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1508 (-1)	10-5	vs PIT (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): W 17-9: 1509-1→1508
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight favorite
11 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1508 (-14)	7-8	vs CHI (1459): Win by 10
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): L 23-37: 1522-14→1508
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1459): Win by 10 points
12 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1505 (+9)	9-6	vs LAR (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1461): W 20-3: 1496+9→1505
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504	12-3	at GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1493): W 27-24: 1504-0→1504
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
14 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1502 (-14)	7-8	at SEA (1486): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): L 3-19: 1516-14→1502
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1486): Tossup
15 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1495 (-9)	8-7	at NE (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 20-26: 1504-9→1495
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1509): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1494 (+1)	8-6-1	vs IND (1451): Win by 11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 24-27: 1493+1→1494
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1451): Win by 11 points
17 (+7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1493 (+14)	6-9	at TB (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): W 37-23: 1479+14→1493
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1485): Slight underdog
18	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1491 (-2)	6-9	vs SF (1554): Lose by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): L 10-13: 1493-2→1491
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Lose by 8 points
19	Washington CommandersWAS	1490 (-1)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1486): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): L 20-37: 1491-1→1490
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1486): Slight favorite
20 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (+22)	5-10	vs LAC (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1475): W 51-14: 1468+22→1490
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Slight underdog
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (+2)	7-8	at BAL (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 13-10: 1487+2→1489
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): Slight underdog
22 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1488 (+11)	6-9	at PHI (1555): Lose by 17
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): W 17-10: 1477+11→1488
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1555): Lose by 17 points
23 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1486 (-1)	7-8	vs NYJ (1502): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): L 10-24: 1487-1→1486
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1502): Tossup
24 (-9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1486 (-11)	6-9	at WAS (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): L 10-17: 1497-11→1486
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1485 (+4)	7-8	vs CAR (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): W 19-16(OT): 1481+4→1485
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): Slight favorite
26 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475	5-10	vs ARI (1455): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): L 9-17: 1475+0→1475
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1455): Slight favorite
27 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (-10)	7-8	vs DAL (1546): Lose by 10
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1464): L 14-19: 1484-10→1474
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1546): Lose by 10 points
28 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1473 (+9)	2-12-1	vs JAX (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): W 19-14: 1464+9→1473
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1459 (-5)	3-12	at DET (1508): Lose by 10
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 13-35: 1464-5→1459
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): Lose by 10 points
30 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1455 (-4)	4-11	at ATL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): L 16-19(OT): 1459-4→1455
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Slight underdog
31 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1453 (-22)	4-11	at KC (1538): Lose by 16
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): L 14-51: 1475-22→1453
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): Lose by 16 points
32 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1451 (-10)	4-10-1	at NYG (1494): Lose by 11
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 3-20: 1461-10→1451
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1494): Lose by 11 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, DAL, DET, GB, JAX, KC, LAC,
NE, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1560 (-7)	13-1	at DAL (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): W 25-20: 1567-7→1560
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1541): Slight underdog
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (-5)	11-3	at CHI (1464): Win by 14
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): W 32-29: 1561-5→1556
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1464): Win by 14 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1554 (+3)	10-4	vs WAS (1491): Win by 16
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): W 21-13: 1551+3→1554
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): Win by 16 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1541 (-8)	10-4	vs PHI (1560): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): L 34-40(OT): 1549-8→1541
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1541 (+3)	10-4	at NE (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1484): W 34-23: 1538+3→1541
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1512): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1537 (-4)	11-3	vs SEA (1487): Win by 13
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1460): W 30-24(OT): 1541-4→1537
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1487): Win by 13 points
7 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1522 (+7)	7-7	at CAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): W 20-17: 1515+7→1522
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1517 (+8)	6-8	at NYJ (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): W 40-34(OT): 1509+8→1517
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1516): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1516 (-7)	7-7	vs JAX (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1515): L 17-20: 1523-7→1516
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1512 (-8)	7-7	vs CIN (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): L 24-30: 1520-8→1512
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1541): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-9)	9-5	vs ATL (1475): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1489): L 3-13: 1518-9→1509
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1475): Win by 9 points
12 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-5)	11-3	vs NYG (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): W 39-36(OT): 1509-5→1504
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1493): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504 (+6)	8-6	vs GB (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): L 29-32: 1498+6→1504
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1500 (+3)	6-8	at MIA (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1471): W 24-12: 1497+3→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (+8)	6-8	vs NO (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): W 13-3: 1489+8→1497
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1477): Slight favorite
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496	8-6	at IND (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1483): W 17-14: 1496-0→1496
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1461): Slight favorite
17 (+6)	New York GiantsNYG	1493 (+11)	8-5-1	at MIN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1502): W 20-12: 1482+11→1493
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+8)	6-8	at PIT (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1520): W 30-24: 1485+8→1493
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1487): Slight underdog
19 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1491 (-11)	7-6-1	at SF (1554): Lose by 16
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1482): L 12-20: 1502-11→1491
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1554): Lose by 16 points
20 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1487 (-2)	7-7	at KC (1537): Lose by 13
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): L 13-21: 1489-2→1487
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1537): Lose by 13 points
21 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1487 (+11)	6-8	vs LV (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): W 24-16: 1476+11→1487
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Slight favorite
22	Tennessee TitansTEN	1484 (+1)	7-7	vs HOU (1464): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 14-17: 1483+1→1484
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1464): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481 (-3)	6-8	at ARI (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): L 23-34: 1484-3→1481
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1459): Slight favorite
24 (-7)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (-11)	5-9	vs DET (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): L 16-24: 1490-11→1479
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1522): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1477 (+1)	5-9	at CLE (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): W 21-18: 1476+1→1477
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1475 (+4)	4-10	at LAR (1468): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): W 24-15: 1471+4→1475
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1468): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1475 (-1)	5-9	at BAL (1509): Lose by 9
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1476): L 18-21: 1476-1→1475
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): Lose by 9 points
28	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1468 (-3)	4-10	vs DEN (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1497): L 12-24: 1471-3→1468
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1475): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1464 (+4)	1-12-1	at TEN (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 24-30(OT): 1460+4→1464
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1484): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1464 (+8)	3-11	vs BUF (1556): Lose by 14
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): L 20-25: 1456+8→1464
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Lose by 14 points
31 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1461 (+5)	4-9-1	vs LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): L 36-39(OT): 1456+5→1461
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1459 (-3)	4-10	vs TB (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1471): L 15-24: 1462-3→1459
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CIN, CLE, DAL, DET, KC, LAC,
LAR, MIA, MIN, NYJ, PIT, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1567 (+13)	12-1	at CHI (1456): Win by 19
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1496): W 48-22: 1554+13→1567
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1456): Win by 19 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1561 (+1)	10-3	vs MIA (1498): Win by 12
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1523): W 20-12: 1560+1→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1498): Win by 12 points
3 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1551 (+9)	9-4	at SEA (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): W 35-7: 1542+9→1551
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1489): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1549 (-13)	10-3	at JAX (1509): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1447): W 27-23: 1562-13→1549
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): Slight favorite
5	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541	10-3	at HOU (1460): Win by 12
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1472): W 34-28: 1541+0→1541
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1460): Win by 12 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1538 (+3)	9-4	at TB (1484): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): W 23-10: 1535+3→1538
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1484): Slight favorite
7	New York JetsNYJ	1523	7-6	vs DET (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): L 12-20: 1523-0→1523
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1515): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1520 (+7)	7-6	at LV (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1469): W 27-13: 1513+7→1520
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (+2)	9-4	at CLE (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): W 16-14: 1516+2→1518
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1489): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1515 (+7)	6-7	at NYJ (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): W 34-23: 1508+7→1515
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1523): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1509 (-7)	10-3	vs IND (1456): Win by 13
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): L 23-34: 1516-7→1509
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1456): Win by 13 points
12 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1509 (+12)	5-8	vs DAL (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): W 36-22: 1497+12→1509
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1549): Slight underdog
13	Washington CommandersWAS	1502	7-5-1	vs NYG (1482): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1482): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1498 (-5)	8-5	at BUF (1561): Lose by 12
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): L 17-23: 1503-5→1498
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1561): Lose by 12 points
15	Green Bay PackersGB	1497	5-8	vs LAR (1471): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1471): Slight favorite
16 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (+4)	7-6	vs TEN (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): W 23-17: 1492+4→1496
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1483): Slight favorite
17 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1490 (+11)	5-8	vs PIT (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 30-24: 1479+11→1490
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1476): Slight favorite
18 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1489 (-11)	7-6	vs SF (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): L 24-30: 1500-11→1489
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1551): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1489 (-2)	5-8	vs BAL (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): L 10-23: 1491-2→1489
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight underdog
20	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485 (-8)	5-8	vs NE (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): L 16-17: 1493-8→1485
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1520): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1484 (-10)	6-7	vs CIN (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): L 7-35: 1494-10→1484
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1538): Slight underdog
22 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1483 (-12)	7-6	at LAC (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): L 22-36: 1495-12→1483
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight underdog
23 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1482 (-14)	7-5-1	at WAS (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): L 22-48: 1496-14→1482
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1502): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476	5-8	at NO (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1476): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1476 (-1)	5-8	at CAR (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): L 14-16: 1477-1→1476
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): Slight underdog
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1476	4-9	vs ATL (1476): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Slight favorite
27	Denver BroncosDEN	1471 (-1)	3-10	vs ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 28-34: 1472-1→1471
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1471 (+9)	4-9	at GB (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): W 17-16: 1462+9→1471
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1497): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-7)	4-9	at DEN (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): L 13-27: 1469-7→1462
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1471): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1460 (+13)	1-11-1	vs KC (1541): Lose by 12
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): L 23-27: 1447+13→1460
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Lose by 12 points
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1456	3-10	vs PHI (1567): Lose by 19
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): Lose by 19 points
32 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456	4-8-1	at MIN (1509): Lose by 13
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1509): Lose by 13 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DEN, GB, KC,
LAC, MIN, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1562 (+8)	9-3	vs HOU (1447): Win by 26
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): W 54-19: 1554+8→1562
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1447): Win by 26 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1560 (+9)	9-3	vs NYJ (1523): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1523): W 24-10: 1551+9→1560
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1523): Slight favorite
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1554 (+8)	11-1	at NYG (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): W 35-10: 1546+8→1554
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1496): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1542 (+5)	8-4	vs TB (1494): Win by 12
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): W 33-17: 1537+5→1542
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1494): Win by 12 points
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (-2)	9-3	at DEN (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): L 24-27: 1543-2→1541
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1472): Slight favorite
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1535 (+2)	8-4	vs CLE (1491): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): W 27-24: 1533+2→1535
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): Win by 8 points
7	New York JetsNYJ	1523 (-5)	7-5	at BUF (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): L 22-27: 1528-5→1523
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1560): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1516 (-2)	8-4	at PIT (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1470): W 10-9: 1518-2→1516
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1477): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1516 (+5)	10-2	at DET (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1528): W 27-22: 1511+5→1516
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1508): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1513 (-10)	6-6	at ARI (1469): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): L 10-24: 1523-10→1513
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1469): Slight favorite
11 (+9)	Detroit LionsDET	1508 (+18)	5-7	vs MIN (1516): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): W 40-14: 1490+18→1508
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1516): Slight favorite
12	Miami DolphinsMIA	1503 (-5)	8-4	at LAC (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): L 17-33: 1508-5→1503
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1492): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1502 (+2)	7-5-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1498): T 20-20(OT): 1500+2→1502
next: (bye)
14 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500 (+3)	7-5	vs CAR (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): W 27-23: 1497+3→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1479): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1497 (+6)	5-8	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): W 28-19: 1491+6→1497
next: (bye)
16 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1497 (-17)	4-8	at TEN (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1490): L 14-40: 1514-17→1497
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1496 (-2)	7-4-1	vs PHI (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1500): T 20-20(OT): 1498-2→1496
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1554): Slight underdog
18 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1495 (-8)	7-5	vs JAX (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): L 10-35: 1503-8→1495
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1497): Slight favorite
19 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1494 (+3)	6-6	at SF (1542): Lose by 12
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): W 17-16: 1491+3→1494
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): Lose by 12 points
20 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1493 (+4)	5-7	at LAR (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): W 27-20: 1489+4→1493
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1462): Slight favorite
21 (-4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1492 (-4)	6-6	vs MIA (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): L 20-27: 1496-4→1492
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1503): Slight favorite
22	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (+7)	5-7	at CIN (1535): Lose by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1455): W 27-14: 1484+7→1491
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): Lose by 8 points
23 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479	4-8	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1477 (+8)	5-7	vs BAL (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): W 19-16: 1469+8→1477
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): Slight underdog
25 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (-8)	5-8	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): L 16-19: 1484-8→1476
next: (bye)
26 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1476 (-2)	4-9	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): L 16-17: 1478-2→1476
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1472 (+2)	3-9	vs KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): L 9-10: 1470+2→1472
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1469	4-8	vs NE (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): Slight underdog
29	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1462 (-4)	3-9	vs LV (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): L 23-27: 1466-4→1462
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1493): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1456 (-6)	3-10	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1491): L 19-28: 1462-6→1456
next: (bye)
31 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1456 (-8)	4-8-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): L 19-54: 1464-8→1456
next: (bye)
32	Houston TexansHOU	1447 (-8)	1-10-1	at DAL (1562): Lose by 26
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): L 14-27: 1455-8→1447
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1562): Lose by 26 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, DET, KC, LAC, LV,
NE, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Dallas CowboysDAL	1554 (-1)	8-3	vs IND (1464): Win by 20
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1496): W 28-20: 1555-1→1554
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1464): Win by 20 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1551 (-3)	8-3	at NE (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1488): W 28-25: 1554-3→1551
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1523): Slight favorite
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1546 (-4)	10-1	vs TEN (1503): Win by 10
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1486): W 40-33: 1550-4→1546
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1503): Win by 10 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1543 (-2)	9-2	at CIN (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): W 26-10: 1545-2→1543
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Slight underdog
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537	7-4	vs MIA (1508): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): W 13-0: 1537-0→1537
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1508): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1533 (+4)	7-4	vs KC (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): W 20-16: 1529+4→1533
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1528 (+4)	7-4	at MIN (1511): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1467): W 31-10: 1524+4→1528
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Tossup
8 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1523 (-6)	6-5	vs BUF (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 26-33: 1529-6→1523
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (-7)	7-4	vs DEN (1470): Win by 12
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1508): L 27-28: 1525-7→1518
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1470): Win by 12 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514 (+6)	4-7	at DET (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): W 28-27: 1508+6→1514
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1490): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+7)	9-2	vs NYJ (1528): Tossup
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1529): W 33-26: 1504+7→1511
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1528): Tossup
12 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1508 (+2)	8-3	at SF (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1457): W 30-15: 1506+2→1508
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1503 (-4)	7-4	at PHI (1546): Lose by 10
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1529): L 16-20: 1507-4→1503
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1546): Lose by 10 points
14 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1500 (+1)	7-5	at NYG (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): W 19-13: 1499+1→1500
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1498): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1498 (+2)	7-4	vs WAS (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): L 20-28: 1496+2→1498
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight favorite
16 (-5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1497 (-10)	6-5	at LAR (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): L 34-40(OT): 1507-10→1497
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1466): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (+7)	6-5	at LV (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1475): W 25-24: 1489+7→1496
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (-4)	5-6	vs NO (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): L 17-23(OT): 1495-4→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1491 (+5)	4-8	at CHI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): L 33-40: 1486+5→1491
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1462): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1490 (+2)	4-7	vs JAX (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1554): L 25-28: 1488+2→1490
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1489 (+10)	4-7	vs LAC (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): W 40-34(OT): 1479+10→1489
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Slight favorite
22	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1484 (+5)	4-7	at HOU (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): W 23-17(OT): 1479+5→1484
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1455): Slight favorite
23 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1484 (-1)	5-7	vs PIT (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): L 13-19: 1485-1→1484
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1469): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1479 (+8)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1477): W 23-10: 1471+8→1479
next: (bye)
25 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1478	4-8	at TB (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): L 0-13: 1478+0→1478
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1470 (-7)	3-8	at BAL (1518): Lose by 12
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1471): L 10-23: 1477-7→1470
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Lose by 12 points
27 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1469 (+10)	4-7	at ATL (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): W 24-17: 1459+10→1469
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1484): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1469 (-6)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): L 24-25: 1475-6→1469
next: (bye)
29 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1466 (+1)	3-8	vs SEA (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): L 10-26: 1465+1→1466
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1497): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1464 (-10)	4-7-1	at DAL (1554): Lose by 20
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1459): L 17-24: 1474-10→1464
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1554): Lose by 20 points
31 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1462 (-5)	3-9	vs GB (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1524): L 10-31: 1467-5→1462
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1491): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1455 (-2)	1-9-1	vs CLE (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1506): L 15-30: 1457-2→1455
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1484): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, CLE, DAL, GB, JAX,
LV, MIN, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (+25)	7-3	vs NYG (1496): Win by 11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): W 40-3: 1530+25→1555
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1496): Win by 11 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1554 (-4)	7-3	at DET (1488): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): W 31-23: 1558-4→1554
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1488): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1550 (-2)	9-1	vs GB (1486): Win by 15
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): W 17-16: 1552-2→1550
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1486): Win by 15 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1545 (+1)	8-2	vs LAR (1465): Win by 18
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): W 30-27: 1544+1→1545
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1465): Win by 18 points
5 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1537 (+14)	6-4	vs NO (1478): Win by 14
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1490): W 38-10: 1523+14→1537
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): Win by 14 points
6 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1529 (+3)	6-4	at MIN (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1527): W 10-3: 1526+3→1529
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1529 (+1)	6-4	at TEN (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1461): W 37-30: 1528+1→1529
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1507): Slight favorite
8	Baltimore RavensBAL	1525 (-2)	7-3	at JAX (1508): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): W 13-3: 1527-2→1525
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1508): Tossup
9 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1524 (-3)	6-4	vs CHI (1467): Win by 13
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): L 3-10: 1527-3→1524
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1467): Win by 13 points
10 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1508	3-7	vs BAL (1525): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1525): Tossup
11 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507	6-4	vs LV (1479): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1479): Slight favorite
12 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1507 (+10)	7-3	vs CIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1496): W 27-17: 1497+10→1507
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1529): Slight underdog
13 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1506	7-3	vs HOU (1457): Win by 12
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1457): Win by 12 points
14 (-9)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-25)	8-2	vs NE (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): L 3-40: 1529-25→1504
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1529): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (+8)	6-5	vs ATL (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1465): W 23-10: 1491+8→1499
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Slight favorite
16 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1496 (-17)	7-3	at DAL (1555): Lose by 11
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1471): L 18-31: 1513-17→1496
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Lose by 11 points
17	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495	5-5	at CLE (1479): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1479): Tossup
18 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1489 (-1)	5-5	at ARI (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): L 27-30: 1490-1→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1475): Slight underdog
19 (+7)	Detroit LionsDET	1488 (+17)	4-6	vs BUF (1554): Lose by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1513): W 31-18: 1471+17→1488
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1554): Lose by 8 points
20 (-4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1486 (-10)	4-7	at PHI (1550): Lose by 15
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): L 17-27: 1496-10→1486
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1550): Lose by 15 points
21	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (-1)	5-6	at WAS (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): W 27-24: 1486-1→1485
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1479 (+4)	3-7	vs TB (1495): Tossup
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): L 23-31: 1475+4→1479
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1495): Tossup
23 (+4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1479 (+9)	3-7	at SEA (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1486): W 22-16(OT): 1470+9→1479
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1478 (+3)	4-7	at SF (1537): Lose by 14
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1467): W 27-20: 1475+3→1478
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1537): Lose by 14 points
25 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1477 (-9)	3-7	at CAR (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): L 16-22(OT): 1486-9→1477
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1471): Slight underdog
26 (-6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1475 (-15)	4-7	vs LAC (1489): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 10-38: 1490-15→1475
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1489): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (+1)	4-6-1	vs PIT (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): L 16-17: 1473+1→1474
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1459): Slight favorite
28	Carolina PanthersCAR	1471 (+2)	3-8	vs DEN (1477): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): L 3-13: 1469+2→1471
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1477): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1467 (+2)	3-8	at NYJ (1524): Lose by 13
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): L 24-27: 1465+2→1467
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1524): Lose by 13 points
30 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1465 (-2)	3-7	at KC (1545): Lose by 18
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1475): L 20-27: 1467-2→1465
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1545): Lose by 18 points
31 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1459 (-2)	3-7	at IND (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): L 30-37: 1461-2→1459
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1457 (-8)	1-8-1	at MIA (1506): Lose by 12
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): L 10-23: 1465-8→1457
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1506): Lose by 12 points
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CAR, CIN, CLE, DAL, IND, JAX,
KC, MIA, NE, NYJ, PHI, SEA, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1558 (-10)	6-3	at CLE (1475): Win by 15
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): L 30-33(OT): 1568-10→1558
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1475): Win by 15 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1552 (-15)	8-1	at IND (1473): Win by 11
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): L 21-32: 1567-15→1552
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1473): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1544 (+3)	7-2	at LAC (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): W 27-17: 1541+3→1544
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1490): Slight favorite
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1530 (-8)	6-3	at MIN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1488): L 28-31(OT): 1538-8→1530
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1529): Slight underdog
5 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1529 (+10)	8-1	vs DAL (1530): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): W 33-30(OT): 1519+10→1529
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1530): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528	5-4	at PIT (1461): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1461): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1527	6-3	at NE (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1526): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1527	6-3	vs CAR (1469): Win by 13
prev: (bye)
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1469): Win by 13 points
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1526	5-4	vs NYJ (1527): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1527): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (+1)	5-4	at ARI (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): W 22-16: 1522+1→1523
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1490): Slight favorite
11 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1513 (+1)	7-2	vs DET (1471): Win by 10
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): W 24-16: 1512+1→1513
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1471): Win by 10 points
12 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1508 (-3)	3-7	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 17-27: 1511-3→1508
next: (bye)
13 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507 (-7)	6-4	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): L 16-21: 1514-7→1507
next: (bye)
14 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1506 (+12)	7-3	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): W 39-17: 1494+12→1506
next: (bye)
15 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1497 (+3)	6-3	at GB (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): W 17-10: 1494+3→1497
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1496): Slight underdog
16 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1496 (+8)	4-6	vs TEN (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): W 31-28(OT): 1488+8→1496
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1497): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1495 (+6)	5-5	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1514): W 21-16: 1489+6→1495
next: (bye)
18 (+7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1491 (+15)	5-5	at HOU (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): W 32-21: 1476+15→1491
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1465): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1490 (-1)	5-4	vs KC (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): L 16-22: 1491-1→1490
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1490 (+9)	4-6	at SF (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): W 27-17: 1481+9→1490
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight underdog
21 (-7)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1486 (-8)	4-6	vs CHI (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): L 15-25: 1494-8→1486
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1465): Slight favorite
22 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1486 (-4)	3-6	vs LV (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): L 10-17: 1490-4→1486
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1470): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1475 (-9)	3-7	vs LAR (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1452): L 10-20: 1484-9→1475
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1467): Slight favorite
24 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1475 (-12)	3-6	at BUF (1558): Lose by 15
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1494): L 17-39: 1487-12→1475
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1558): Lose by 15 points
25 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1473 (+8)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1552): Lose by 11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): W 25-20: 1465+8→1473
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): Lose by 11 points
26 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1471 (+8)	3-6	at NYG (1513): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): W 31-30: 1463+8→1471
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1513): Lose by 10 points
27 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1470 (-8)	2-7	at DEN (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): L 20-25: 1478-8→1470
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1486): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1469 (+8)	3-7	at BAL (1527): Lose by 13
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): W 25-15: 1461+8→1469
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): Lose by 13 points
29 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1467 (-9)	3-6	at NO (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): L 17-27: 1476-9→1467
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1475): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1465 (-9)	3-7	at ATL (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1463): L 30-31: 1474-9→1465
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1465	1-7-1	vs WAS (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1512): L 16-24: 1465-0→1465
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): Slight underdog
32	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1461 (+9)	3-6	vs CIN (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): W 20-10: 1452+9→1461
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1528): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DEN, GB, KC, MIN,
NE, NO, NYG, PHI, SF, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1568 (-5)	6-2	vs MIN (1519): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1522): L 17-20: 1573-5→1568
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1519): Slight favorite
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1567 (+3)	8-0	vs WAS (1476): Win by 10
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1468): W 29-17: 1564+3→1567
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1476): Win by 10 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541	6-2	vs JAX (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): W 20-17(OT): 1541+0→1541
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight favorite
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1538	6-2	at GB (1488): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1488): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1528 (+9)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): W 42-21: 1519+9→1528
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1527 (+5)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): W 20-17: 1522+5→1527
next: (bye)
7 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1527 (+10)	6-3	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): W 27-13: 1517+10→1527
next: (bye)
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1526 (+11)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): W 26-3: 1515+11→1526
next: (bye)
9 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522	4-4	vs LAC (1491): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1491): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1519 (+2)	7-1	at BUF (1568): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): W 20-17: 1517+2→1519
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1568): Slight underdog
11 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1514 (+8)	6-3	at TB (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): W 31-21: 1506+8→1514
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1489): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1512	6-2	vs HOU (1465): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1465): Slight favorite
13 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+2)	3-6	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): W 27-20: 1509+2→1511
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
14	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (-6)	4-5	at CAR (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): L 17-20: 1500-6→1494
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1461): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1494 (+4)	6-3	vs CLE (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 35-32: 1490+4→1494
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1487): Slight favorite
16	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494	5-3	vs DEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): L 17-20(OT): 1494-0→1494
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1490): Slight favorite
17 (+6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1491 (+6)	5-3	at SF (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 20-17: 1485+6→1491
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1490	3-5	at TEN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1489 (+2)	4-5	at SEA (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): W 16-13: 1487+2→1489
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1514): Slight underdog
20 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1488 (-6)	3-6	vs DAL (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1457): L 9-15: 1494-6→1488
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1538): Slight underdog
21	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487	3-5	at MIA (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1494): Slight underdog
22 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1484 (-9)	3-6	at PIT (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): L 13-27: 1493-9→1484
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1452): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1481 (-8)	3-6	at LAR (1476): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): L 21-31: 1489-8→1481
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1476): Slight underdog
24	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (-2)	2-6	vs IND (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): L 20-27: 1480-2→1478
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1465): Slight favorite
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1476 (-2)	4-5	at PHI (1567): Lose by 10
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): L 17-20: 1478-2→1476
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1567): Lose by 10 points
26 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1476 (-1)	3-5	vs ARI (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): L 13-16: 1477-1→1476
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1481): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1474 (-4)	3-6	vs DET (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): L 32-35: 1478-4→1474
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1463): Slight favorite
28	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1465 (-11)	3-5-1	at LV (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1515): L 3-26: 1476-11→1465
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1465 (-3)	1-6-1	at NYG (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1564): L 17-29: 1468-3→1465
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1512): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1463 (+6)	2-6	at CHI (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1494): W 15-9: 1457+6→1463
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1474): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1461 (-9)	2-7	vs ATL (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): L 21-42: 1470-9→1461
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Slight underdog
32	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1452	2-6	vs NO (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1484): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, DAL, KC, LAR, LV, MIA,
NO, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573 (+1)	6-1	at NYJ (1522): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): W 27-17: 1572+1→1573
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1522): Slight favorite
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1564 (+6)	7-0	at HOU (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1458): W 35-13: 1558+6→1564
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1468): Slight favorite
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541	5-2	vs TEN (1494): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1538 (+9)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1486): W 49-29: 1529+9→1538
next: (bye)
5 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1522 (-7)	5-3	vs BUF (1573): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): L 17-22: 1529-7→1522
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Slight underdog
6 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522 (+11)	4-4	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): W 31-14: 1511+11→1522
next: (bye)
7 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1519 (-14)	4-4	vs CAR (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): L 13-32: 1533-14→1519
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1470): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+4)	5-3	at NO (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): W 27-22: 1513+4→1517
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1493): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1517 (+4)	6-1	at WAS (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): W 34-26: 1513+4→1517
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1478): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1515 (+7)	4-4	vs IND (1476): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1529): W 22-17: 1508+7→1515
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1476): Slight favorite
11 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1512 (-10)	6-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 13-27: 1522-10→1512
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1509 (-6)	2-6	vs LV (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): L 17-21: 1515-6→1509
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1480): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1506 (+10)	5-3	at ARI (1489): Tossup
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1522): W 27-13: 1496+10→1506
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1489): Tossup
14 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500 (+2)	4-4	vs LAC (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1472): W 37-34(OT): 1498+2→1500
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1485): Slight favorite
15	Green Bay PackersGB	1494 (-1)	3-5	at DET (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1572): L 17-27: 1495-1→1494
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1457): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494 (+6)	5-2	at KC (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1474): W 17-10: 1488+6→1494
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1541): Slight underdog
17 (+9)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1493 (+15)	3-5	vs BAL (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): W 24-0: 1478+15→1493
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Slight underdog
18 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1490 (+3)	5-3	at CHI (1478): Tossup
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1460): W 31-27: 1487+3→1490
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Tossup
19 (+6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1490 (+7)	3-5	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): W 21-17: 1483+7→1490
next: (bye)
20 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1489 (-4)	3-5	vs SEA (1506): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): L 26-34: 1493-4→1489
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1506): Tossup
21 (+7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1487 (+14)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): W 32-13: 1473+14→1487
next: (bye)
22 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1487 (-4)	3-5	vs LAR (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): L 22-27: 1491-4→1487
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1477): Slight favorite
23	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485	4-3	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
24 (-8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1480 (-15)	2-5	at JAX (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): L 0-24: 1495-15→1480
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1509): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1478 (+9)	4-4	vs MIN (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): W 17-16: 1469+9→1478
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1517): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-8)	3-5	vs MIA (1490): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): L 29-49: 1486-8→1478
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1490): Tossup
27 (-8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1477 (-11)	3-4	at TB (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): L 14-31: 1488-11→1477
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1487): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1476 (-8)	3-4-1	at NE (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): L 16-17: 1484-8→1476
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1515): Slight underdog
29	Carolina PanthersCAR	1470 (-2)	2-6	at CIN (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): L 34-37(OT): 1472-2→1470
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1519): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1468 (-6)	1-5-1	vs PHI (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): L 10-17: 1474-6→1468
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1564): Slight underdog
31	Detroit LionsDET	1457 (-3)	1-6	vs GB (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): L 27-31: 1460-3→1457
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1494): Slight underdog
32	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1452 (-6)	2-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1558): L 13-35: 1458-6→1452
next: (bye)
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, BAL, BUF, CHI, CIN, GB, JAX,
KC, MIN, NE, PHI, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1572	5-1	vs GB (1495): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1495): Win by 8 points
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1558	6-0	vs PIT (1458): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1458): Win by 11 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1541 (+14)	5-2	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): W 44-23: 1527+14→1541
next: (bye)
4 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1533 (+9)	4-3	at CLE (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1507): W 35-17: 1524+9→1533
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1529 (+6)	5-2	vs CHI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1467): W 24-6: 1523+6→1529
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1486): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1529 (+4)	5-2	vs NE (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): W 16-9: 1525+4→1529
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1522 (+7)	6-1	at SEA (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): W 23-17: 1515+7→1522
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (-6)	2-5	at DEN (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1515): L 17-23: 1521-6→1515
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1483): Slight favorite
9 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513	4-3	at TB (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): W 23-20: 1513+0→1513
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513	5-1	vs ARI (1493): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1493): Slight favorite
11 (-5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1511 (-14)	3-4	at LAR (1488): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): L 23-44: 1525-14→1511
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1488): Tossup
12 (-8)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (-17)	3-4	at NYJ (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1469): L 14-33: 1525-17→1508
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1529): Slight underdog
13	Atlanta FalconsATL	1498 (-9)	3-4	vs CAR (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): L 17-35: 1507-9→1498
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1472): Slight favorite
14 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (+11)	4-3	vs NYG (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): W 37-23: 1485+11→1496
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1522): Slight underdog
15	Green Bay PackersGB	1495 (-4)	3-4	at BUF (1572): Lose by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1466): L 21-23: 1499-4→1495
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1572): Lose by 8 points
16 (+8)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1495 (+10)	2-4	at NO (1478): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1485): W 38-20: 1485+10→1495
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1478): Tossup
17 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1493 (+5)	3-4	at MIN (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 42-34: 1488+5→1493
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1513): Slight underdog
18 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (-13)	3-4	vs BAL (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): L 3-21: 1504-13→1491
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight underdog
19 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1488	3-3	vs SF (1511): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1511): Tossup
20 (+6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1488 (+6)	4-2	at HOU (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): W 19-10: 1482+6→1488
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1474): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1487 (+2)	4-3	at DET (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): W 16-10: 1485+2→1487
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1460): Slight favorite
22 (+6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1486 (+17)	3-4	at DAL (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1525): W 33-14: 1469+17→1486
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1529): Slight underdog
23 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1485 (-12)	4-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): L 23-37: 1497-12→1485
next: (bye)
24 (-7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1484 (-6)	3-3-1	vs WAS (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): L 10-19: 1490-6→1484
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1469): Slight favorite
25 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1483 (-5)	2-5	at JAX (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1525): L 9-16: 1488-5→1483
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1478 (-5)	2-5	vs LV (1495): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1488): L 34-42: 1483-5→1478
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1495): Tossup
27 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1474 (-11)	1-4-1	vs TEN (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): L 20-38: 1485-11→1474
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1488): Slight favorite
28 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1473	2-5	vs CIN (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): L 20-23: 1473-0→1473
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1533): Slight underdog
29 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1472 (+12)	2-5	at ATL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): W 21-3: 1460+12→1472
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): Slight underdog
30	Washington CommandersWAS	1469 (+3)	3-4	at IND (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): W 23-21: 1466+3→1469
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1460 (-7)	1-5	vs MIA (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): L 6-24: 1467-7→1460
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1487): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1458 (-2)	2-5	at PHI (1558): Lose by 11
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): L 10-16: 1460-2→1458
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1558): Lose by 11 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, HOU, IND, JAX,
LAR, MIA, MIN, NO, NYG, NYJ, PHI

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1572 (+2)	5-1	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1529): W 24-20: 1570+2→1572
next: (bye)
2	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1558 (+5)	6-0	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1528): W 26-17: 1553+5→1558
next: (bye)
3 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1527 (-2)	4-2	at SF (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): L 20-24: 1529-2→1527
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1525): Slight underdog
4 (+9)	New England PatriotsNE	1525 (+17)	3-3	vs CHI (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): W 38-15: 1508+17→1525
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1469): Slight favorite
5 (+7)	New York JetsNYJ	1525 (+15)	4-2	at DEN (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): W 27-10: 1510+15→1525
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1488): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1525 (-14)	3-3	vs KC (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1493): L 14-28: 1539-14→1525
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1527): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1524 (+4)	3-3	vs ATL (1507): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 30-26: 1520+4→1524
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1507): Slight favorite
8 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1523 (-5)	4-2	vs DET (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): L 17-26: 1528-5→1523
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1467): Slight favorite
9 (-5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1521 (-9)	2-4	vs NYG (1515): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): L 27-34: 1530-9→1521
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1515): Slight favorite
10	New York GiantsNYG	1515 (+3)	5-1	at JAX (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): W 24-20: 1512+3→1515
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Slight underdog
11 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (-4)	3-3	vs CLE (1473): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1512): L 20-24: 1517-4→1513
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1473): Slight favorite
12 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1513 (+8)	5-1	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1493): W 24-16: 1505+8→1513
next: (bye)
13 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1507 (+14)	3-3	at CIN (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): W 28-14: 1493+14→1507
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1524): Slight underdog
14 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1504 (-6)	3-3	at CAR (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): L 18-20: 1510-6→1504
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1460): Slight favorite
15 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1499 (-15)	3-3	at WAS (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1510): L 10-27: 1514-15→1499
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1466): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1497 (+4)	4-2	vs SEA (1485): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1491): W 19-16(OT): 1493+4→1497
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1485): Slight favorite
17 (+7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1490 (+8)	3-2-1	at TEN (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): W 34-27: 1482+8→1490
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1482): Slight underdog
18 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1488 (+9)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): W 24-10: 1479+9→1488
next: (bye)
19 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1488 (-8)	2-4	vs NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): L 9-19: 1496-8→1488
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1488 (-3)	2-4	vs NYJ (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): L 16-19(OT): 1491-3→1488
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1525): Slight underdog
21 (+7)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1485 (+8)	3-3	at LAC (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): W 19-9: 1477+8→1485
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): Slight underdog
22 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1485 (-8)	3-3	vs PIT (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): L 16-24: 1493-8→1485
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1460): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1485	1-3-1	at LV (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1485): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485	1-4	vs HOU (1485): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1485): Slight favorite
25 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-3)	2-4	at ARI (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): L 26-30: 1486-3→1483
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1488): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482	3-2	vs IND (1490): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1490): Slight favorite
27 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1473 (-17)	2-4	at BAL (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): L 15-38: 1490-17→1473
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1469 (-9)	2-4	at NE (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1457): L 7-12: 1478-9→1469
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1525): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1467	1-4	at DAL (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1523): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1466 (+9)	2-4	vs GB (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): W 12-7: 1457+9→1466
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1499): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1460 (+7)	2-4	at MIA (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): W 20-18: 1453+7→1460
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1485): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1460 (-8)	1-5	vs TB (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): L 10-24: 1468-8→1460
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CIN, DAL, GB, JAX, LAC, LV,
MIA, NE, NYJ, SF, TB, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1570 (+21)	4-1	at KC (1529): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): W 38-3: 1549+21→1570
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1529): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1553 (+1)	5-0	vs DAL (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 20-17: 1552+1→1553
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1528): Slight favorite
3 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1539 (+18)	3-2	at ATL (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): W 37-15: 1521+18→1539
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1493): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1530 (-14)	2-3	at IND (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1470): L 6-13: 1544-14→1530
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1482): Slight favorite
5 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1529 (+4)	4-1	vs BUF (1570): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): W 30-29: 1525+4→1529
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1570): Slight underdog
6 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1528 (+11)	4-1	at PHI (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): W 22-10: 1517+11→1528
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1553): Slight underdog
7 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1520 (-3)	2-3	at NO (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): L 17-19: 1523-3→1520
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1517 (+3)	3-2	at NYG (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): W 19-17: 1514+3→1517
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1512): Slight underdog
9 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (-8)	3-2	vs NYJ (1510): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): L 22-27: 1522-8→1514
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1510): Slight favorite
10 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1512 (+8)	4-1	vs BAL (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1522): W 27-22: 1504+8→1512
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1517): Slight favorite
11	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+4)	3-2	at PIT (1453): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): W 21-15: 1506+4→1510
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1453): Slight favorite
12 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1510 (+20)	3-2	at GB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): W 40-17: 1490+20→1510
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight underdog
13 (+11)	New England PatriotsNE	1508 (+23)	2-3	at CLE (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1490): W 29-0: 1485+23→1508
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1490): Tossup
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (+4)	4-1	at MIA (1493): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1482): W 29-22: 1501+4→1505
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1493): Tossup
15 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1496 (-1)	2-3	at SEA (1477): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): L 17-20: 1497-1→1496
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1477): Tossup
16 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1493 (-5)	2-3	vs SF (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): L 15-21: 1498-5→1493
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): Slight underdog
17 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1493 (+7)	3-2	vs DEN (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): W 30-28: 1486+7→1493
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1491): Slight favorite
18 (-8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1493 (-20)	3-2	vs MIN (1505): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): L 17-40: 1513-20→1493
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Tossup
19 (-6)	Denver BroncosDEN	1491 (-11)	2-3	at LAC (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1471): L 9-12(OT): 1502-11→1491
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1490 (-7)	2-3	vs NE (1508): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): L 28-30: 1497-7→1490
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1508): Tossup
21 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (+7)	2-3	vs CIN (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): W 39-32: 1479+7→1486
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1520): Slight underdog
22 (+9)	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (+15)	1-3-1	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): W 13-6: 1470+15→1485
next: (bye)
23 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1485 (-4)	1-4	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): L 29-30: 1489-4→1485
next: (bye)
24 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1482 (+11)	2-2-1	vs JAX (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): W 12-9(OT): 1471+11→1482
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1482 (+6)	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1463): W 21-17: 1476+6→1482
next: (bye)
26 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1479 (-11)	2-3	vs CAR (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1517): L 10-22: 1490-11→1479
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1468): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1478 (-4)	2-3	vs WAS (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 22-29: 1482-4→1478
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1457): Slight favorite
28 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1477 (-6)	2-3	vs ARI (1496): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1479): L 32-39: 1483-6→1477
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1496): Tossup
29 (-6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1468 (-18)	1-4	at LAR (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): L 15-37: 1486-18→1468
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1479): Slight underdog
30 (-10)	Detroit LionsDET	1467 (-23)	1-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1485): L 0-29: 1490-23→1467
next: (bye)
31 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1457 (-6)	1-4	at CHI (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1476): L 17-21: 1463-6→1457
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1478): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1453 (-20)	1-4	vs TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1549): L 3-38: 1473-20→1453
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, CIN, GB, JAX, LAC, LAR, MIA,
NE, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1552 (+8)	4-0	at ARI (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1553): W 29-21: 1544+8→1552
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1549 (+4)	3-1	vs PIT (1473): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): W 23-20: 1545+4→1549
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1473): Win by 9 points
3 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1544 (-9)	2-2	vs HOU (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1544): L 21-29: 1553-9→1544
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1470): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1525 (+14)	3-1	vs LV (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): W 41-31: 1511+14→1525
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1489): Slight favorite
5 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1523 (+13)	2-2	at BAL (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): W 27-15: 1510+13→1523
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1514): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1522 (+1)	3-1	at NYG (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1486): W 27-24(OT): 1521+1→1522
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1504): Slight favorite
7 (+4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+14)	2-2	at CAR (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): W 24-9: 1507+14→1521
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight favorite
8 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1517 (+11)	3-1	at LAR (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1474): W 25-10: 1506+11→1517
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1514 (-4)	2-2	vs CIN (1523): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): L 20-23: 1518-4→1514
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1523): Slight favorite
10 (-6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1513 (-13)	3-1	at NYJ (1490): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): L 15-27: 1526-13→1513
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1490): Tossup
11 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1506 (-14)	2-2	vs ATL (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1511): L 31-41: 1520-14→1506
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1498): Slight favorite
12 (+6)	New York GiantsNYG	1504 (+7)	3-1	at GB (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1489): W 20-12: 1497+7→1504
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1522): Slight underdog
13 (-5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1502 (-12)	2-2	vs IND (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1477): L 23-32: 1514-12→1502
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1471): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+4)	3-1	vs CHI (1482): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 28-25: 1497+4→1501
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1482): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1498 (+4)	2-2	at TB (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): W 23-20: 1494+4→1498
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): Slight underdog
16 (+10)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (+15)	2-2	vs PHI (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): W 26-16: 1482+15→1497
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): Slight underdog
17 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497 (-4)	2-2	vs LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): L 20-23: 1501-4→1497
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
18 (+7)	New York JetsNYJ	1490 (+8)	2-2	vs MIA (1513): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): W 24-20: 1482+8→1490
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1513): Tossup
19 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (-14)	2-2	vs DAL (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): L 9-24: 1504-14→1490
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1517): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1490 (-10)	1-3	at NE (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1473): L 45-48: 1500-10→1490
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1485): Slight underdog
21 (+7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1489 (+12)	1-3	at KC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1514): W 32-23: 1477+12→1489
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1525): Slight underdog
22 (+9)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486 (+15)	2-2	at CLE (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): W 34-24: 1471+15→1486
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Slight underdog
23 (-9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (-16)	1-3	vs SF (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): L 16-26: 1502-16→1486
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1485 (-1)	1-3	vs DET (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1521): L 24-27(OT): 1486-1→1485
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1490): Slight favorite
25 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1483 (+10)	2-2	at NO (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 48-45: 1473+10→1483
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1479): Slight underdog
26 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1482 (-7)	2-2	at MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1497): L 12-20: 1489-7→1482
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1479 (-4)	1-3	vs SEA (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): L 25-28: 1483-4→1479
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1483): Slight favorite
28 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1476 (+13)	2-2	at WAS (1463): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): W 24-17: 1463+13→1476
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1463): Tossup
29 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1473 (-9)	1-3	at BUF (1549): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1482): L 20-24: 1482-9→1473
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1549): Lose by 9 points
30 (-7)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1471 (-13)	1-2-1	at DEN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): L 17-24: 1484-13→1471
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1502): Slight underdog
31 (-9)	Houston TexansHOU	1470 (-15)	0-3-1	at JAX (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): L 24-34: 1485-15→1470
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1544): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1463 (-11)	1-3	vs TEN (1476): Tossup
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): L 10-25: 1474-11→1463
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1476): Tossup
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, DEN, GB, JAX, KC,
MIN, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1553 (+30)	2-1	at PHI (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): W 38-10: 1523+30→1553
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1544): Slight underdog
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (-6)	2-1	at BAL (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): L 19-21: 1551-6→1545
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1518): Slight favorite
3	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1544 (+18)	3-0	vs JAX (1553): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): W 24-8: 1526+18→1544
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1553): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1526 (+6)	3-0	at CIN (1510): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): W 21-19: 1520+6→1526
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1510): Tossup
5 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (+10)	2-1	vs NE (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): W 14-12: 1511+10→1521
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1486): Slight favorite
6 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520 (-10)	2-1	vs KC (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1511): L 12-14: 1530-10→1520
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1511): Slight favorite
7 (+7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1518 (+16)	2-1	vs BUF (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1503): W 37-26: 1502+16→1518
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Slight underdog
8 (+4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1514 (+10)	2-1	at LV (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 11-10: 1504+10→1514
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1477): Slight favorite
9 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1511 (-10)	2-1	at TB (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): L 17-20: 1521-10→1511
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Slight underdog
10 (+15)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1510 (+22)	1-2	vs MIA (1526): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1504): W 27-12: 1488+22→1510
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1526): Tossup
11 (-4)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1507 (-11)	1-2	vs LAR (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1504): L 10-11: 1518-11→1507
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Slight favorite
12 (+9)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1506 (+14)	2-1	vs WAS (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1511): W 23-16: 1492+14→1506
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1474): Slight favorite
13 (+10)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1504 (+14)	2-1	at SF (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1495): W 20-12: 1490+14→1504
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1507): Slight underdog
14 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1502 (+9)	1-2	vs ARI (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): W 22-14: 1493+9→1502
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight favorite
15 (+11)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501 (+13)	2-1	at ATL (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): W 29-17: 1488+13→1501
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1494): Slight underdog
16 (-6)	Detroit LionsDET	1500 (-7)	1-2	vs SEA (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): L 24-28: 1507-7→1500
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1473): Slight favorite
17 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1497 (+7)	2-1	at NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): W 28-24: 1490+7→1497
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
18 (-9)	New York GiantsNYG	1497 (-14)	2-1	vs CHI (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): L 16-23: 1511-14→1497
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1489): Slight favorite
19 (+8)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (+9)	1-2	vs CLE (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): W 27-23: 1485+9→1494
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Slight favorite
20 (+8)	Chicago BearsCHI	1489 (+4)	2-1	at NYG (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1489): W 23-20: 1485+4→1489
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1497): Slight underdog
21 (-8)	New England PatriotsNE	1486 (-17)	1-2	at GB (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): L 26-37: 1503-17→1486
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1485 (-4)	0-2-1	vs LAC (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1485): L 20-23: 1489-4→1485
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1471): Slight favorite
23 (+8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1484 (+10)	1-1-1	vs TEN (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1521): W 20-17: 1474+10→1484
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1463): Slight favorite
24 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-9)	1-2	at MIN (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): L 14-22: 1492-9→1483
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1497): Slight underdog
25 (-14)	New York JetsNYJ	1482 (-22)	1-2	at PIT (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): L 12-27: 1504-22→1482
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): Slight underdog
26 (-10)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-13)	1-2	at CAR (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): L 12-20: 1495-13→1482
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1502): Slight underdog
27 (-10)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1482 (-13)	1-2	vs NYJ (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): L 17-29: 1495-13→1482
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1482): Slight favorite
28 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1477 (-6)	0-3	vs DEN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1457): L 22-24: 1483-6→1477
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1514): Slight underdog
29 (-10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1474 (-18)	1-2	at DAL (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): L 8-24: 1492-18→1474
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1506): Slight underdog
30	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1473 (-8)	1-2	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): L 23-27: 1481-8→1473
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
31 (-16)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1471 (-30)	1-2	at HOU (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): L 10-38: 1501-30→1471
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1485): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1463 (+6)	1-2	at IND (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 24-22: 1457+6→1463
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1484): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CIN, DAL, DEN, DET, GB,
HOU, IND, MIN, NYG, PHI, PIT, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1551 (+34)	2-0	at MIA (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): W 41-7: 1517+34→1551
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1520): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1530 (+16)	2-0	vs GB (1511): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): W 20-10: 1514+16→1530
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1511): Slight favorite
3 (+9)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1526 (+21)	2-0	at WAS (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 24-7: 1505+21→1526
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1492): Slight favorite
4 (+15)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1523 (+27)	1-1	at LAC (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): W 24-0: 1496+27→1523
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1501): Slight favorite
5 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1521 (+3)	2-0	at IND (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): W 27-24: 1518+3→1521
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Slight favorite
6	Miami DolphinsMIA	1520 (+11)	2-0	vs BUF (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): W 42-38: 1509+11→1520
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): Slight underdog
7 (+16)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+24)	1-1	at DEN (1504): Tossup
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): W 27-7: 1494+24→1518
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1504): Tossup
8 (+20)	Green Bay PackersGB	1511 (+22)	1-1	at TB (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1506): W 27-10: 1489+22→1511
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1530): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1511 (+3)	2-0	vs DAL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): W 19-16: 1508+3→1511
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Slight favorite
10 (+11)	Detroit LionsDET	1507 (+12)	1-1	at MIN (1490): Tossup
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1504): W 36-27: 1495+12→1507
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): Tossup
11 (+18)	New York JetsNYJ	1504 (+17)	1-1	vs CIN (1488): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): W 31-30: 1487+17→1504
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1488): Slight favorite
12 (+10)	Denver BroncosDEN	1504 (+9)	1-1	vs SF (1518): Tossup
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): W 16-9: 1495+9→1504
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Tossup
13 (+14)	New England PatriotsNE	1503 (+12)	1-1	vs BAL (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): W 17-14: 1491+12→1503
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): Slight favorite
14 (-10)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1502 (-11)	1-1	at NE (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): L 38-42: 1513-11→1502
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1503): Slight underdog
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1501 (-3)	1-1	vs JAX (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): L 24-27: 1504-3→1501
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1523): Slight underdog
16 (+16)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1495 (+13)	1-1	vs LAR (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): W 29-23(OT): 1482+13→1495
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1490): Slight favorite
17 (-8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1495 (-12)	1-1	at CLE (1488): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1491): L 14-17: 1507-12→1495
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1493 (-2)	0-2	vs NO (1492): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1508): L 16-19: 1495-2→1493
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Slight favorite
19 (-5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1492 (-12)	1-1	vs PHI (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1495): L 27-36: 1504-12→1492
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): Slight underdog
20 (-13)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1492 (-16)	1-1	at CAR (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): L 10-20: 1508-16→1492
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1493): Slight underdog
21 (+9)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (+6)	1-1	at NYG (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): W 20-17: 1486+6→1492
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1511): Slight underdog
22 (-17)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1490 (-21)	1-1	vs DET (1507): Tossup
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): L 7-24: 1511-21→1490
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1507): Tossup
23 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1490 (+7)	1-1	at ARI (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): W 31-27: 1483+7→1490
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1495): Slight underdog
24 (-7)	Houston TexansHOU	1489 (-10)	0-1-1	at CHI (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1495): L 9-16: 1499-10→1489
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1485): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1488 (-5)	0-2	at NYJ (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): L 17-20: 1493-5→1488
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1504): Slight underdog
26 (-13)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488 (-17)	1-1	vs PIT (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): L 30-31: 1505-17→1488
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (-7)	0-2	at SEA (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1483): L 27-31: 1492-7→1485
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1481): Slight underdog
28 (-18)	Chicago BearsCHI	1485 (-21)	1-1	vs HOU (1489): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1489): L 10-27: 1506-21→1485
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1489): Slight favorite
29 (-11)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (-13)	0-2	at TEN (1457): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): L 23-29(OT): 1496-13→1483
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1457): Slight favorite
30 (-19)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1481 (-24)	1-1	vs ATL (1485): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): L 7-27: 1505-24→1481
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Slight favorite
31 (-15)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (-27)	0-1-1	vs KC (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): L 0-24: 1501-27→1474
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1521): Slight underdog
32 (-6)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1457 (-35)	0-2	vs LV (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1517): L 7-41: 1492-35→1457
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BUF, CAR, CHI, CLE, DEN, JAX, KC,
LV, MIN, NE, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+15)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1518 (+18)	1-0	vs LAC (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 44-21: 1500+18→1518
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1504): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1517 (+17)	1-0	vs TEN (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): W 31-10: 1500+17→1517
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1492): Slight favorite
3 (+27)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1514 (+14)	1-0	at NO (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 19-3: 1500+14→1514
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1508): Slight underdog
4 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1513 (+13)	1-0	vs MIA (1509): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 24-9: 1500+13→1513
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1509): Slight favorite
5 (+16)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+11)	1-0	at PHI (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): W 23-7: 1500+11→1511
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1505): Slight underdog
6 (+14)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1509 (+9)	1-0	at BAL (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 20-7: 1500+9→1509
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1513): Slight underdog
7 (+16)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs TB (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 27-26: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1514): Slight favorite
8 (+16)	New York GiantsNYG	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs CAR (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 21-20: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1495): Slight favorite
9 (+18)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (+7)	1-0	vs NE (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): W 23-20(OT): 1500+7→1507
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1491): Slight favorite
10 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1506 (+6)	1-0	at GB (1489): Tossup
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): W 19-10: 1500+6→1506
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1489): Tossup
11 (+18)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1505 (+5)	1-0	at SF (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): W 17-16: 1500+5→1505
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): Slight underdog
12 (+14)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 38-35: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
13 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs NYJ (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 26-24: 1500+5→1505
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1487): Slight favorite
14 (+18)	Washington CommandersWAS	1504 (+4)	1-0	at DET (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): W 28-22: 1500+4→1504
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1495): Slight underdog
15 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1504 (+4)	1-0	at KC (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): W 24-19: 1500+4→1504
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1518): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1501 (+1)	0-0-1	at JAX (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): T 20-20(OT): 1500+1→1501
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1496): Slight underdog
17 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (-1)	0-0-1	at DEN (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): T 20-20(OT): 1500-1→1499
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1495): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs ARI (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 19-24: 1500-4→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs IND (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 22-28: 1500-4→1496
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1501): Slight favorite
20 (-15)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1495 (-5)	0-1	at NYG (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): L 24-26: 1500-5→1495
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1508): Slight underdog
21 (-10)	Detroit LionsDET	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs WAS (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 35-38: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1504): Slight favorite
22 (-12)	Denver BroncosDEN	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): L 16-17: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
23 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs SEA (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): L 10-19: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1505): Slight favorite
24 (-17)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1493 (-7)	0-1	at DAL (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 20-23(OT): 1500-7→1493
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): Slight underdog
25 (-23)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (-8)	0-1	at LAR (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): L 26-27: 1500-8→1492
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1483): Slight underdog
26 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1492 (-8)	0-1	at BUF (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): L 20-21: 1500-8→1492
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1517): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1491 (-9)	0-1	at PIT (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): L 7-20: 1500-9→1491
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): Slight underdog
28 (-16)	Green Bay PackersGB	1489 (-11)	0-1	vs CHI (1506): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 7-23: 1500-11→1489
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1506): Tossup
29 (-4)	New York JetsNYJ	1487 (-13)	0-1	at CLE (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): L 9-24: 1500-13→1487
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight underdog
30 (-21)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1486 (-14)	0-1	vs CIN (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 3-19: 1500-14→1486
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1493): Slight favorite
31 (-12)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1483 (-17)	0-1	vs ATL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 10-31: 1500-17→1483
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight favorite
32 (-31)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-18)	0-1	at LV (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): L 21-44: 1500-18→1482
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1496): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, JAX,
KC, LAR, LV, NO, NYG, PHI, PIT, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2022 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	vs KC (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Slight favorite
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	vs CLE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight favorite
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	at CAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight underdog
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	vs PHI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	at MIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight underdog
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	vs IND (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight favorite
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	at HOU (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight underdog
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	at ARI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs BUF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	vs NE (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight favorite
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	vs GB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight favorite
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	at MIA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight underdog
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	at TEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight underdog
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	at DET (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight underdog
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at CIN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs DEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at DAL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	vs NYG (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight favorite
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs JAX (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ARI, ATL, CAR, CHI, CIN, DAL, DET, HOU,
LAC, LAR, MIA, MIN, NYJ, SEA, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2022 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs KC(1500) L 21-44: -18→1482	9	23	vs SEA(1506) L 21-31: -8→1481	17	30	at ATL(1475) L 19-20: -1→1454
2	16	at LV(1496) W 29-23: +13→1495	10	20	at LAR(1476) W 27-17: +9→1490	18	30	at SF(1552) L 13-38: -4→1450
3	26	vs LAR(1490) L 12-20: -13→1482	11	26	at SF(1523) L 10-38: -15→1475	W	30
4	16	at CAR(1502) W 26-16: +15→1497	12	28	vs LAC(1489) L 24-25: -6→1469	D	30
5	15	vs PHI(1552) L 17-20: -1→1496	13	28	(bye)	C	30
6	19	at SEA(1477) L 9-19: -8→1488	14	29	vs NE(1513) L 13-27: -7→1462	S	30
7	17	vs NO(1483) W 42-34: +5→1493	15	32	at DEN(1471) L 15-24: -3→1459
8	20	at MIN(1513) L 26-34: -4→1489	16	30	vs TB(1481) L 16-19: -4→1455

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs NO(1500) L 26-27: -8→1492	9	14	vs LAC(1485) L 17-20: -6→1494	17	26	vs ARI(1455) W 20-19: +1→1476
2	27	at LAR(1483) L 27-31: -7→1485	10	21	at CAR(1461) L 15-25: -8→1486	18	26	vs TB(1489) W 30-17: +4→1480
3	19	at SEA(1481) W 27-23: +9→1494	11	21	vs CHI(1465) W 27-24: -1→1485	W	25
4	15	vs CLE(1501) W 23-20: +4→1498	12	23	at WAS(1499) L 13-19: -1→1484	D	25
5	16	at TB(1506) L 15-21: -5→1493	13	25	vs PIT(1469) L 16-19: -8→1476	C	25
6	13	vs SF(1539) W 28-14: +14→1507	14	24	(bye)	S	25
7	13	at CIN(1524) L 17-35: -9→1498	15	27	at NO(1476) L 18-21: -1→1475
8	14	vs CAR(1472) W 37-34: +2→1500	16	26	at BAL(1509) L 9-17: +0→1475

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at NYJ(1500) W 24-9: +13→1513	9	7	at NO(1493) W 27-13: +10→1527	17	14	vs PIT(1489) L 13-16: -8→1500
2	14	vs MIA(1509) L 38-42: -11→1502	10	8	(bye)	18	15	at CIN(1544) L 16-27: -1→1499
3	7	at NE(1503) W 37-26: +16→1518	11	8	vs CAR(1469) W 13-3: -2→1525	W	15	at CIN(1544) L 17-24: +2→1501
4	9	vs BUF(1545) L 20-23: -4→1514	12	9	at JAX(1508) L 27-28: -7→1518	D	14
5	8	vs CIN(1523) W 19-17: +3→1517	13	8	vs DEN(1470) W 10-9: -2→1516	C	14
6	11	at NYG(1512) L 20-24: -4→1513	14	9	at PIT(1477) W 16-14: +2→1518	S	14
7	9	vs CLE(1473) W 23-20: +0→1513	15	11	at CLE(1489) L 3-13: -9→1509
8	8	at TB(1491) W 27-22: +4→1517	16	10	vs ATL(1475) W 17-9: -1→1508

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-50 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at LAR(1500) W 31-10: +17→1517	9	1	at NYJ(1522) L 17-20: -5→1568	17	1	(bye)
2	1	vs TEN(1492) W 41-7: +34→1551	10	1	vs MIN(1519) L 30-33: -10→1558	18	1	vs NE(1508) W 35-23: +1→1561
3	2	at MIA(1520) L 19-21: -6→1545	11	2	at CLE(1475) W 31-23: -4→1554	W	2	vs MIA(1498) W 34-31: -6→1555
4	2	at BAL(1518) W 23-20: +4→1549	12	2	at DET(1488) W 28-25: -3→1551	D	5	vs CIN(1543) L 10-27: -17→1538
5	1	vs PIT(1473) W 38-3: +21→1570	13	2	at NE(1523) W 24-10: +9→1560	C	5
6	1	at KC(1529) W 24-20: +2→1572	14	2	vs NYJ(1523) W 20-12: +1→1561	S	5
7	1	(bye)	15	2	vs MIA(1498) W 32-29: -5→1556
8	1	vs GB(1495) W 27-17: +1→1573	16	1	at CHI(1464) W 35-13: +4→1560

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs CLE(1500) L 24-26: -5→1495	9	31	at CIN(1519) L 21-42: -9→1461	17	23	at TB(1485) L 24-30: -4→1489
2	18	at NYG(1508) L 16-19: -2→1493	10	28	vs ATL(1494) W 25-15: +8→1469	18	18	at NO(1508) W 10-7: +8→1497
3	14	vs NO(1492) W 22-14: +9→1502	11	28	at BAL(1527) L 3-13: +2→1471	W	17
4	23	vs ARI(1482) L 16-26: -16→1486	12	24	vs DEN(1477) W 23-10: +8→1479	D	16
5	29	vs SF(1521) L 15-37: -18→1468	13	23	(bye)	C	16
6	32	at LAR(1479) L 10-24: -8→1460	14	17	at SEA(1500) W 30-24: +11→1490	S	16
7	29	vs TB(1504) W 21-3: +12→1472	15	24	vs PIT(1476) L 16-24: -11→1479
8	29	at ATL(1498) L 34-37: -2→1470	16	17	vs DET(1522) W 37-23: +14→1493

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+29 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1505 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs SF(1500) W 19-10: +6→1506	9	27	vs MIA(1490) L 32-35: -4→1474	17	31	at DET(1508) L 10-41: -12→1447
2	28	at GB(1489) L 10-27: -21→1485	10	30	vs DET(1463) L 30-31: -9→1465	18	31	vs MIN(1491) L 13-29: -6→1441
3	20	vs HOU(1489) W 23-20: +4→1489	11	29	at ATL(1486) L 24-27: +2→1467	W	31
4	26	at NYG(1497) L 12-20: -7→1482	12	31	at NYJ(1524) L 10-31: -5→1462	D	31
5	27	at MIN(1501) L 22-29: -4→1478	13	30	vs GB(1491) L 19-28: -6→1456	C	31
6	28	vs WAS(1457) L 7-12: -9→1469	14	31	(bye)	S	31
7	22	at NE(1525) W 33-14: +17→1486	15	30	vs PHI(1567) L 20-25: +8→1464
8	26	at DAL(1529) L 29-49: -8→1478	16	29	vs BUF(1556) L 13-35: -5→1459

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1499 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs PIT(1500) L 20-23: -7→1493	9	5	vs CAR(1470) W 42-21: +9→1528	17	5	(bye)
2	25	at DAL(1486) L 17-20: -5→1488	10	6	(bye)	18	3	vs BAL(1500) W 27-16: +0→1544
3	10	at NYJ(1504) W 27-12: +22→1510	11	7	at PIT(1461) W 37-30: +1→1529	W	3	vs BAL(1499) W 24-17: -1→1543
4	5	vs MIA(1526) W 27-15: +13→1523	12	6	at TEN(1507) W 20-16: +4→1533	D	2	at BUF(1555) W 27-10: +17→1560
5	7	at BAL(1514) L 17-19: -3→1520	13	6	vs KC(1543) W 27-24: +2→1535	C	2	at KC(1544) L 20-23: -4→1556
6	7	at NO(1486) W 30-26: +4→1524	14	6	vs CLE(1491) W 23-10: +3→1538	S	2
7	4	vs ATL(1507) W 35-17: +9→1533	15	5	at TB(1484) W 34-23: +3→1541
8	7	at CLE(1473) L 13-32: -14→1519	16	5	at NE(1512) W 22-18: +3→1544

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at CAR(1500) W 26-24: +5→1505	9	21	(bye)	17	15	at WAS(1490) W 24-10: +13→1499
2	26	vs NYJ(1487) L 30-31: -17→1488	10	24	at MIA(1494) L 17-39: -12→1475	18	21	at PIT(1497) L 14-28: -8→1491
3	15	vs PIT(1495) W 29-17: +13→1501	11	22	at BUF(1558) L 23-31: +4→1479	W	20
4	17	at ATL(1494) L 20-23: -4→1497	12	22	vs TB(1495) W 23-17: +5→1484	D	20
5	20	vs LAC(1486) L 28-30: -7→1490	13	22	at HOU(1455) W 27-14: +7→1491	C	20
6	27	vs NE(1508) L 15-38: -17→1473	14	19	at CIN(1535) L 10-23: -2→1489	S	20
7	28	at BAL(1513) L 20-23: -0→1473	15	15	vs BAL(1518) W 13-3: +8→1497
8	21	vs CIN(1533) W 32-13: +14→1487	16	24	vs NO(1477) L 10-17: -11→1486

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	vs TB(1500) L 3-19: -14→1486	9	4	(bye)	17	3	at TEN(1474) W 27-13: +3→1549
2	21	vs CIN(1493) W 20-17: +6→1492	10	4	at GB(1488) L 28-31: -8→1530	18	7	at WAS(1477) L 6-26: -20→1529
3	12	at NYG(1511) W 23-16: +14→1506	11	1	at MIN(1529) W 40-3: +25→1555	W	6	at TB(1485) W 31-14: +8→1537
4	8	vs WAS(1474) W 25-10: +11→1517	12	1	vs NYG(1496) W 28-20: -1→1554	D	6	at SF(1560) L 12-19: +0→1537
5	6	at LAR(1490) W 22-10: +11→1528	13	1	vs IND(1464) W 54-19: +8→1562	C	6
6	8	at PHI(1553) L 17-26: -5→1523	14	4	vs HOU(1447) W 27-23: -13→1549	S	6
7	5	vs DET(1467) W 24-6: +6→1529	15	4	at JAX(1509) L 34-40: -8→1541
8	4	vs CHI(1486) W 49-29: +9→1538	16	4	vs PHI(1560) W 40-34: +5→1546

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+14 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at SEA(1500) L 16-17: -5→1495	9	18	(bye)	17	28	at KC(1538) L 24-27: +7→1460
2	12	vs HOU(1499) W 16-9: +9→1504	10	22	at TEN(1494) L 10-17: -4→1486	18	29	vs LAC(1513) W 31-28: +5→1465
3	8	vs SF(1518) W 11-10: +10→1514	11	25	vs LV(1470) L 16-22: -9→1477	W	29
4	13	at LV(1477) L 23-32: -12→1502	12	26	at CAR(1471) L 10-23: -7→1470	D	29
5	19	vs IND(1471) L 9-12: -11→1491	13	27	at BAL(1518) L 9-10: +2→1472	C	29
6	20	at LAC(1493) L 16-19: -3→1488	14	27	vs KC(1541) L 28-34: -1→1471	S	29
7	25	vs NYJ(1525) L 9-16: -5→1483	15	26	vs ARI(1462) W 24-15: +4→1475
8	19	at JAX(1515) W 21-17: +7→1490	16	31	at LAR(1468) L 14-51: -22→1453

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs PHI(1500) L 35-38: -5→1495	9	30	vs GB(1494) W 15-9: +6→1463	17	9	vs CHI(1459) W 41-10: +13→1521
2	10	vs WAS(1504) W 36-27: +12→1507	10	26	at CHI(1474) W 31-30: +8→1471	18	8	at GB(1522) W 20-16: +7→1528
3	16	at MIN(1490) L 24-28: -7→1500	11	19	at NYG(1513) W 31-18: +17→1488	W	8
4	20	vs SEA(1473) L 45-48: -10→1490	12	20	vs BUF(1554) L 25-28: +2→1490	D	8
5	30	at NE(1485) L 0-29: -23→1467	13	11	vs JAX(1514) W 40-14: +18→1508	C	8
6	29	(bye)	14	10	vs MIN(1516) W 34-23: +7→1515	S	8
7	31	at DAL(1523) L 6-24: -7→1460	15	7	at NYJ(1523) W 20-17: +7→1522
8	31	vs MIA(1487) L 27-31: -3→1457	16	11	at CAR(1479) L 23-37: -14→1508

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	at MIN(1500) L 7-23: -11→1489	9	20	at DET(1457) L 9-15: -6→1488	17	8	vs MIN(1504) W 41-17: +13→1522
2	8	vs CHI(1506) W 27-10: +22→1511	10	16	vs DAL(1538) W 31-28: +8→1496	18	9	vs DET(1521) L 16-20: -7→1515
3	5	at TB(1530) W 14-12: +10→1521	11	20	vs TEN(1497) L 17-27: -10→1486	W	9
4	6	vs NE(1486) W 27-24: +1→1522	12	19	at PHI(1550) L 33-40: +5→1491	D	9
5	9	at NYG(1504) L 22-27: -8→1514	13	15	at CHI(1462) W 28-19: +6→1497	C	9
6	15	vs NYJ(1510) L 10-27: -15→1499	14	15	(bye)	S	9
7	15	at WAS(1466) L 21-23: -4→1495	15	14	vs LAR(1471) W 24-12: +3→1500
8	15	at BUF(1572) L 17-27: -1→1494	16	9	at MIA(1504) W 26-20: +9→1509

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs IND(1500) T 20-20: -1→1499	9	29	vs PHI(1564) L 17-29: -3→1465	17	29	vs JAX(1530) L 3-31: -15→1458
2	24	at DEN(1495) L 9-16: -10→1489	10	31	at NYG(1512) L 16-24: -0→1465	18	28	at IND(1441) W 32-31: +8→1466
3	22	at CHI(1485) L 20-23: -4→1485	11	32	vs WAS(1491) L 10-23: -8→1457	W	28
4	31	vs LAC(1471) L 24-34: -15→1470	12	32	at MIA(1506) L 15-30: -2→1455	D	28
5	22	at JAX(1544) W 13-6: +15→1485	13	32	vs CLE(1484) L 14-27: -8→1447	C	28
6	23	(bye)	14	30	at DAL(1562) L 23-27: +13→1460	S	28
7	27	at LV(1485) L 20-38: -11→1474	15	29	vs KC(1541) L 24-30: +4→1464
8	30	vs TEN(1488) L 10-17: -6→1468	16	28	at TEN(1484) W 19-14: +9→1473

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at HOU(1500) T 20-20: +1→1501	9	28	at NE(1515) L 3-26: -11→1465	17	32	at NYG(1494) L 10-38: -10→1441
2	31	at JAX(1496) L 0-24: -27→1474	10	25	at LV(1478) W 25-20: +8→1473	18	32	vs HOU(1458) L 31-32: -7→1434
3	23	vs KC(1521) W 20-17: +10→1484	11	27	vs PHI(1552) L 16-17: +1→1474	W	32
4	30	vs TEN(1463) L 17-24: -13→1471	12	30	vs PIT(1459) L 17-24: -10→1464	D	32
5	24	at DEN(1502) W 12-9: +11→1482	13	31	at DAL(1554) L 19-54: -8→1456	C	32
6	17	vs JAX(1530) W 34-27: +8→1490	14	32	(bye)	S	32
7	24	at TEN(1482) L 10-19: -6→1484	15	31	at MIN(1509) L 36-39: +5→1461
8	28	vs WAS(1469) L 16-17: -8→1476	16	32	vs LAC(1496) L 3-20: -10→1451

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at WAS(1500) L 22-28: -4→1496	9	13	vs LV(1480) W 27-20: +2→1511	17	4	at HOU(1473) W 31-3: +15→1545
2	4	vs IND(1501) W 24-0: +27→1523	10	12	at KC(1541) L 17-27: -3→1508	18	5	vs TEN(1472) W 20-16: -6→1539
3	1	at LAC(1501) W 38-10: +30→1553	11	10	(bye)	W	5	vs LAC(1509) W 31-30: -1→1538
4	3	at PHI(1544) L 21-29: -9→1544	12	10	vs BAL(1525) W 28-27: +6→1514	D	7	at KC(1541) L 20-27: -3→1535
5	4	vs HOU(1470) L 6-13: -14→1530	13	16	at DET(1490) L 14-40: -17→1497	C	7
6	9	at IND(1482) L 27-34: -9→1521	14	12	at TEN(1495) W 36-22: +12→1509	S	7
7	8	vs NYG(1515) L 17-23: -6→1515	15	8	vs DAL(1549) W 40-34: +8→1517
8	12	at DEN(1483) L 17-21: -6→1509	16	7	at NYJ(1516) W 19-3: +13→1530

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1525 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at ARI(1500) W 44-21: +18→1518	9	3	vs TEN(1494) W 20-17: +0→1541	17	7	vs DEN(1453) W 27-24: -8→1530
2	5	vs LAC(1504) W 27-24: +3→1521	10	3	vs JAX(1511) W 27-17: +3→1544	18	4	at LV(1493) W 31-13: +11→1541
3	9	at IND(1474) L 17-20: -10→1511	11	4	at LAC(1490) W 30-27: +1→1545	W	4	(bye)
4	4	at TB(1520) W 41-31: +14→1525	12	4	vs LAR(1465) W 26-10: -2→1543	D	4	vs JAX(1538) W 27-20: +3→1544
5	5	vs LV(1489) W 30-29: +4→1529	13	5	at CIN(1533) L 24-27: -2→1541	C	3	vs CIN(1560) W 23-20: +4→1548
6	3	vs BUF(1570) L 20-24: -2→1527	14	5	at DEN(1472) W 34-28: +0→1541	S	3	at PHI(1566) W 38-35: +7→1555
7	3	at SF(1525) W 44-23: +14→1541	15	6	at HOU(1460) W 30-24: -4→1537
8	3	(bye)	16	6	vs SEA(1487) W 24-10: +1→1538

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1495 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at LAC(1500) L 19-24: -4→1496	9	24	at JAX(1509) L 20-27: -2→1478	17	19	vs SF(1554) L 34-37: +2→1493
2	29	vs ARI(1482) L 23-29: -13→1483	10	27	vs IND(1465) L 20-25: -8→1470	18	24	vs KC(1530) L 13-31: -11→1482
3	28	at TEN(1457) L 22-24: -6→1477	11	23	at DEN(1486) W 22-16: +9→1479	W	23
4	21	vs DEN(1514) W 32-23: +12→1489	12	21	at SEA(1507) W 40-34: +10→1489	D	23
5	23	at KC(1525) L 29-30: -4→1485	13	20	vs LAC(1496) W 27-20: +4→1493	C	23
6	24	(bye)	14	20	at LAR(1462) L 16-17: -8→1485	S	23
7	16	vs HOU(1485) W 38-20: +10→1495	15	18	vs NE(1520) W 30-24: +8→1493
8	24	at NO(1478) L 0-24: -15→1480	16	18	at PIT(1487) L 10-13: -2→1491

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs LV(1500) W 24-19: +4→1504	9	17	at ATL(1500) W 20-17: +6→1491	17	10	vs LAR(1490) W 31-10: +8→1513
2	15	at KC(1518) L 24-27: -3→1501	10	19	at SF(1522) L 16-22: -1→1490	18	10	at DEN(1460) L 28-31: -4→1509
3	31	vs JAX(1523) L 10-38: -30→1471	11	18	vs KC(1544) L 27-30: -1→1489	W	11	at JAX(1539) L 30-31: +0→1509
4	22	at HOU(1485) W 34-24: +15→1486	12	17	at ARI(1475) W 25-24: +7→1496	D	10
5	17	at CLE(1497) W 30-28: +7→1493	13	21	at LV(1489) L 20-27: -4→1492	C	10
6	16	vs DEN(1491) W 19-16: +4→1497	14	16	vs MIA(1503) W 23-17: +4→1496	S	10
7	23	vs SEA(1485) L 23-37: -12→1485	15	16	vs TEN(1483) W 17-14: -0→1496
8	23	(bye)	16	12	at IND(1461) W 20-3: +9→1505

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	vs BUF(1500) L 10-31: -17→1483	9	26	at TB(1487) L 13-16: -1→1476	17	24	vs LAC(1505) L 10-31: -8→1482
2	23	vs ATL(1492) W 31-27: +7→1490	10	29	vs ARI(1481) L 17-27: -9→1467	18	25	at SEA(1498) L 16-19: -0→1482
3	13	at ARI(1495) W 20-12: +14→1504	11	30	at NO(1475) L 20-27: -2→1465	W	24
4	19	at SF(1507) L 9-24: -14→1490	12	29	at KC(1545) L 10-26: +1→1466	D	24
5	26	vs DAL(1517) L 10-22: -11→1479	13	29	vs SEA(1497) L 23-27: -4→1462	C	24
6	18	vs CAR(1468) W 24-10: +9→1488	14	28	vs LV(1493) W 17-16: +9→1471	S	24
7	19	(bye)	15	28	at GB(1497) L 12-24: -3→1468
8	27	vs SF(1511) L 14-31: -11→1477	16	20	vs DEN(1475) W 51-14: +22→1490

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs NE(1500) W 20-7: +9→1509	9	15	at CHI(1478) W 35-32: +4→1494	17	18	at NE(1509) L 21-23: +1→1496
2	6	at BAL(1513) W 42-38: +11→1520	10	14	vs CLE(1487) W 39-17: +12→1506	18	17	vs NYJ(1490) W 11-6: +2→1498
3	4	vs BUF(1551) W 21-19: +6→1526	11	13	(bye)	W	14	at BUF(1561) L 31-34: +6→1504
4	10	at CIN(1510) L 15-27: -13→1513	12	12	vs HOU(1457) W 30-15: +2→1508	D	13
5	18	at NYJ(1490) L 17-40: -20→1493	13	12	at SF(1537) L 17-33: -5→1503	C	13
6	22	vs MIN(1505) L 16-24: -8→1485	14	14	at LAC(1492) L 17-23: -5→1498	S	13
7	21	vs PIT(1460) W 16-10: +2→1487	15	13	at BUF(1561) L 29-32: +6→1504
8	18	at DET(1460) W 31-27: +3→1490	16	15	vs GB(1500) L 20-26: -9→1495

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-7 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1513 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	vs GB(1500) W 23-7: +11→1511	9	10	at WAS(1478) W 20-17: +2→1519	17	20	at GB(1509) L 17-41: -13→1491
2	22	at PHI(1505) L 7-24: -21→1490	10	5	at BUF(1568) W 33-30: +10→1529	18	19	at CHI(1447) W 29-13: +6→1497
3	17	vs DET(1507) W 28-24: +7→1497	11	14	vs DAL(1530) L 3-40: -25→1504	W	21	vs NYG(1504) L 24-31: -8→1489
4	14	at NO(1483) W 28-25: +4→1501	12	11	vs NE(1529) W 33-26: +7→1511	D	21
5	14	vs CHI(1482) W 29-22: +4→1505	13	9	vs NYJ(1528) W 27-22: +5→1516	C	21
6	12	at MIA(1493) W 24-16: +8→1513	14	11	at DET(1508) L 23-34: -7→1509	S	21
7	10	(bye)	15	12	vs IND(1456) W 39-36: -5→1504
8	9	vs ARI(1493) W 34-26: +4→1517	16	13	vs NYG(1493) W 27-24: -0→1504

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	at MIA(1500) L 7-20: -9→1491	9	8	vs IND(1476) W 26-3: +11→1526	17	11	vs MIA(1495) W 23-21: -1→1508
2	13	at PIT(1507) W 17-14: +12→1503	10	9	(bye)	18	11	at BUF(1560) L 23-35: -1→1507
3	21	vs BAL(1502) L 26-37: -17→1486	11	6	vs NYJ(1527) W 10-3: +3→1529	W	12
4	24	at GB(1521) L 24-27: -1→1485	12	8	at MIN(1504) L 26-33: -6→1523	D	11
5	13	vs DET(1490) W 29-0: +23→1508	13	10	vs BUF(1551) L 10-24: -10→1513	C	11
6	4	at CLE(1490) W 38-15: +17→1525	14	8	at ARI(1469) W 27-13: +7→1520	S	11
7	12	vs CHI(1469) L 14-33: -17→1508	15	10	at LV(1485) L 24-30: -8→1512
8	10	at NYJ(1529) W 22-17: +7→1515	16	8	vs CIN(1541) L 18-22: -3→1509

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1500 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at ATL(1500) W 27-26: +8→1508	9	22	vs BAL(1517) L 13-27: -9→1484	17	12	at PHI(1555) W 20-10: +20→1508
2	20	vs TB(1514) L 10-20: -16→1492	10	23	at PIT(1452) L 10-20: -9→1475	18	14	vs CAR(1489) L 7-10: -8→1500
3	24	at CAR(1493) L 14-22: -9→1483	11	24	vs LAR(1467) W 27-20: +3→1478	W	16
4	27	at MIN(1497) L 25-28: -4→1479	12	25	at SF(1537) L 0-13: +0→1478	D	15
5	21	vs SEA(1483) W 39-32: +7→1486	13	26	at TB(1491) L 16-17: -2→1476	C	15
6	25	vs CIN(1520) L 26-30: -3→1483	14	26	(bye)	S	15
7	26	at ARI(1488) L 34-42: -5→1478	15	25	vs ATL(1476) W 21-18: +1→1477
8	17	vs LV(1495) W 24-0: +15→1493	16	22	at CLE(1497) W 17-10: +11→1488

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at TEN(1500) W 21-20: +8→1508	9	12	(bye)	17	13	vs IND(1451) W 38-10: +10→1504
2	9	vs CAR(1495) W 19-16: +3→1511	10	11	vs HOU(1465) W 24-16: +1→1513	18	13	at PHI(1535) L 16-22: +0→1504
3	18	vs DAL(1492) L 16-23: -14→1497	11	16	vs DET(1471) L 18-31: -17→1496	W	10	at MIN(1497) W 31-24: +8→1512
4	12	vs CHI(1489) W 20-12: +7→1504	12	15	at DAL(1555) L 20-28: +2→1498	D	18	at PHI(1535) L 7-38: -16→1496
5	10	at GB(1522) W 27-22: +8→1512	13	17	vs WAS(1500) T 20-20: -2→1496	C	18
6	10	vs BAL(1517) W 24-20: +3→1515	14	23	vs PHI(1554) L 22-48: -14→1482	S	18
7	7	at JAX(1521) W 23-17: +7→1522	15	17	at WAS(1502) W 20-12: +11→1493
8	11	at SEA(1496) L 13-27: -10→1512	16	16	at MIN(1504) L 24-27: +1→1494

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs BAL(1500) L 9-24: -13→1487	9	6	vs BUF(1573) W 20-17: +5→1527	17	21	at SEA(1486) L 6-23: -12→1490
2	11	at CLE(1505) W 31-30: +17→1504	10	7	(bye)	18	22	at MIA(1496) L 6-11: -2→1488
3	25	vs CIN(1488) L 12-27: -22→1482	11	9	at NE(1526) L 3-10: -3→1524	W	22
4	18	at PIT(1482) W 24-20: +8→1490	12	7	vs CHI(1467) W 31-10: +4→1528	D	22
5	12	vs MIA(1513) W 40-17: +20→1510	13	7	at MIN(1511) L 22-27: -5→1523	C	22
6	5	at GB(1514) W 27-10: +15→1525	14	7	at BUF(1560) L 12-20: -0→1523	S	22
7	6	at DEN(1488) W 16-9: +4→1529	15	9	vs DET(1515) L 17-20: -7→1516
8	5	vs NE(1508) L 17-22: -7→1522	16	14	vs JAX(1517) L 3-19: -14→1502

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-51 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at DET(1500) W 38-35: +5→1505	9	2	at HOU(1468) W 29-17: +3→1567	17	6	vs NO(1488) L 10-20: -20→1535
2	3	vs MIN(1511) W 24-7: +21→1526	10	2	vs WAS(1476) L 21-32: -15→1552	18	6	vs NYG(1504) W 22-16: -0→1535
3	3	at WAS(1492) W 24-8: +18→1544	11	3	at IND(1473) W 17-16: -2→1550	W	7	(bye)
4	1	vs JAX(1553) W 29-21: +8→1552	12	3	vs GB(1486) W 40-33: -4→1546	D	3	vs NYG(1512) W 38-7: +15→1550
5	2	at ARI(1497) W 20-17: +1→1553	13	3	vs TEN(1503) W 35-10: +8→1554	C	1	vs SF(1560) W 31-7: +16→1566
6	2	vs DAL(1528) W 26-17: +5→1558	14	1	at NYG(1496) W 48-22: +13→1567	S	1	at KC(1548) L 35-38: -7→1559
7	2	(bye)	15	1	at CHI(1456) W 25-20: -7→1560
8	2	vs PIT(1458) W 35-13: +6→1564	16	2	at DAL(1541) L 34-40: -5→1555

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+26 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at CIN(1500) W 23-20: +7→1507	9	32	(bye)	17	17	at BAL(1508) W 16-13: +8→1497
2	17	vs NE(1491) L 14-17: -12→1495	10	32	vs NO(1484) W 20-10: +9→1461	18	12	vs CLE(1499) W 28-14: +8→1505
3	27	at CLE(1488) L 17-29: -13→1482	11	31	vs CIN(1528) L 30-37: -2→1459	W	13
4	29	vs NYJ(1482) L 20-24: -9→1473	12	27	at IND(1474) W 24-17: +10→1469	D	12
5	32	at BUF(1549) L 3-38: -20→1453	13	24	at ATL(1484) W 19-16: +8→1477	C	12
6	31	vs TB(1510) W 20-18: +7→1460	14	25	vs BAL(1516) L 14-16: -1→1476	S	12
7	32	at MIA(1485) L 10-16: -2→1458	15	21	at CAR(1490) W 24-16: +11→1487
8	32	at PHI(1558) L 13-35: -6→1452	16	21	vs LV(1493) W 13-10: +2→1489

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1490 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at CHI(1500) L 10-19: -6→1494	9	9	(bye)	17	2	at LV(1491) W 37-34: -2→1552
2	7	vs SEA(1505) W 27-7: +24→1518	10	10	vs LAC(1491) W 22-16: +1→1523	18	2	vs ARI(1454) W 38-13: +4→1556
3	11	at DEN(1504) L 10-11: -11→1507	11	5	at ARI(1490) W 38-10: +14→1537	W	1	vs SEA(1499) W 41-23: +4→1560
4	7	vs LAR(1504) W 24-9: +14→1521	12	5	vs NO(1478) W 13-0: -0→1537	D	1	vs DAL(1537) W 19-12: -0→1560
5	3	at CAR(1486) W 37-15: +18→1539	13	4	vs MIA(1508) W 33-17: +5→1542	C	4	at PHI(1550) L 7-31: -16→1544
6	6	at ATL(1493) L 14-28: -14→1525	14	3	vs TB(1494) W 35-7: +9→1551	S	4
7	11	vs KC(1527) L 23-44: -14→1511	15	3	at SEA(1489) W 21-13: +3→1554
8	6	at LAR(1488) W 31-14: +11→1522	16	3	vs WAS(1491) W 37-20: +0→1554

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+4 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs DEN(1500) W 17-16: +5→1505	9	11	at ARI(1489) W 31-21: +8→1514	17	16	vs NYJ(1502) W 23-6: +12→1498
2	30	at SF(1494) L 7-27: -24→1481	10	13	at TB(1489) L 16-21: -7→1507	18	16	vs LAR(1482) W 19-16: +1→1499
3	30	vs ATL(1485) L 23-27: -8→1473	11	11	(bye)	W	19	at SF(1556) L 23-41: -4→1495
4	25	at DET(1500) W 48-45: +10→1483	12	16	vs LV(1479) L 34-40: -10→1497	D	19
5	28	at NO(1479) L 32-39: -6→1477	13	14	at LAR(1466) W 27-23: +3→1500	C	19
6	21	vs ARI(1496) W 19-9: +8→1485	14	18	vs CAR(1479) L 24-30: -11→1489	S	19
7	14	at LAC(1497) W 37-23: +11→1496	15	20	vs SF(1551) L 13-21: -2→1487
8	13	vs NYG(1522) W 27-13: +10→1506	16	23	at KC(1537) L 10-24: -1→1486

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at DAL(1500) W 19-3: +14→1514	9	19	vs LAR(1477) W 16-13: +2→1489	17	22	vs CAR(1493) W 30-24: +4→1489
2	2	at NO(1508) W 20-10: +16→1530	10	17	at SEA(1514) W 21-16: +6→1495	18	23	at ATL(1476) L 17-30: -4→1485
3	6	vs GB(1511) L 12-14: -10→1520	11	17	(bye)	W	27	vs DAL(1529) L 14-31: -8→1477
4	11	vs KC(1511) L 31-41: -14→1506	12	18	at CLE(1479) L 17-23: -4→1491	D	27
5	11	vs ATL(1498) W 21-15: +4→1510	13	19	vs NO(1478) W 17-16: +3→1494	C	27
6	14	at PIT(1453) L 18-20: -6→1504	14	21	at SF(1542) L 7-35: -10→1484	S	27
7	18	at CAR(1460) L 3-21: -13→1491	15	23	vs CIN(1538) L 23-34: -3→1481
8	22	vs BAL(1513) L 22-27: -4→1487	16	25	at ARI(1459) W 19-16: +4→1485

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs NYG(1500) L 20-21: -8→1492	9	16	at KC(1541) L 17-20: -0→1494	17	27	vs DAL(1546) L 13-27: -2→1472
2	32	at BUF(1517) L 7-41: -35→1457	10	15	vs DEN(1490) W 17-10: +3→1497	18	27	at JAX(1545) L 16-20: +6→1478
3	32	vs LV(1483) W 24-22: +6→1463	11	12	at GB(1496) W 27-17: +10→1507	W	26
4	28	at IND(1484) W 24-17: +13→1476	12	13	vs CIN(1529) L 16-20: -4→1503	D	26
5	25	at WAS(1463) W 21-17: +6→1482	13	18	at PHI(1546) L 10-35: -8→1495	C	26
6	26	(bye)	14	22	vs JAX(1497) L 22-36: -12→1483	S	26
7	20	vs IND(1490) W 19-10: +6→1488	15	22	at LAC(1496) L 14-17: +1→1484
8	16	at HOU(1474) W 17-10: +6→1494	16	27	vs HOU(1464) L 14-19: -10→1474

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+20 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs JAX(1500) W 28-22: +4→1504	9	25	vs MIN(1517) L 17-20: -2→1476	17	25	vs CLE(1486) L 10-24: -13→1477
2	19	at DET(1495) L 27-36: -12→1492	10	18	at PHI(1567) W 32-21: +15→1491	18	20	vs DAL(1549) W 26-6: +19→1496
3	29	vs PHI(1526) L 8-24: -18→1474	11	15	at HOU(1465) W 23-10: +8→1499	W	18
4	32	at DAL(1506) L 10-25: -11→1463	12	14	vs ATL(1485) W 19-13: +1→1500	D	17
5	31	vs TEN(1476) L 17-21: -6→1457	13	13	at NYG(1498) T 20-20: +2→1502	C	17
6	30	at CHI(1478) W 12-7: +9→1466	14	13	(bye)	S	17
7	30	vs GB(1499) W 23-21: +3→1469	15	19	vs NYG(1482) L 12-20: -11→1491
8	25	at IND(1484) W 17-16: +9→1478	16	19	at SF(1554) L 20-37: -1→1490

↑ 2022 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Pittsburgh Steelers: +29 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 18-22) Kansas City Chiefs: +25 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Miami Dolphins: +9 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Atlanta Falcons: +6 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Detroit Lions: +20 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 7 games (weeks 11-18) Arizona Cardinals: -40 total Elo rating
2. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New York Jets: -39 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 15-18) New England Patriots: -12 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -27 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Chicago Bears: -23 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 10, 91-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1567) 10-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1476): Commanders win 32-21
2. Week 5, 74-Elo upset: Jacksonville Jaguars (1544) Tossup favorites vs Houston Texans (1470): Texans win 13-6
3. Week 18, 72-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1549) Tossup favorites at Washington Commanders (1477): Commanders win 26-6
4. Week 17, 67-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1555) 17-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1488): Saints win 20-10
5. Week 8, 60-Elo upset: Cincinnati Bengals (1533) Tossup favorites at Cleveland Browns (1473): Browns win 32-13
6. Week 6, 57-Elo upset: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1510) Tossup favorites at Pittsburgh Steelers (1453): Steelers win 20-18
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 11, 37-point differential: Minnesota Vikings (1529) Tossup favorites vs Dallas Cowboys (1530): Cowboys win 40-3
2. Week 17, 27-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1555) 17-point favorites vs New Orleans Saints (1488): Saints win 20-10
3. Week 18, 20-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1549) Tossup favorites vs Washington Commanders (1477): Commanders win 26-6
4. Week 7, 19-point differential: New England Patriots (1525) Tossup favorites vs Chicago Bears (1469): Bears win 33-14
5. Week 13, 26-point differential: Jacksonville Jaguars (1514) Tossup favorites vs Detroit Lions (1490): Lions win 40-14
6. Week 11, 23-point differential: New York Giants (1513) 10-point favorites vs Detroit Lions (1471): Lions win 31-18
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +59: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 22
2. +56: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 21
3. +55: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 22
4. +44: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 21
5. +38: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 20
more...
1. +37: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1537) thru week 20
2. +35: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 20
3. +28: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 18
4. +15: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 18
5. +9: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 19
6. +7: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
7. +5: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
8. +4: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 19
9. +1: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1501) thru week 19
10. +0: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
11. -3: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 18
12. -4: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
13. -4: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 20
14. -5: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 19
15. -9: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 18
16. -11: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
17. -12: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
18. -18: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
19. -18: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
20. -20: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
21. -22: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
22. -23: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 19
23. -34: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
24. -35: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
25. -50: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
26. -59: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 18
27. -66: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -66: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1434) thru week 18
2. -59: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1441) thru week 18
3. -50: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 18
4. -35: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
5. -34: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
more...
1. -23: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 19
2. -22: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
3. -20: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
4. -18: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
5. -18: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1482) thru week 18
6. -12: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
7. -11: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
8. -9: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1491) thru week 18
9. -5: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 19
10. -4: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 20
11. -4: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1496) thru week 18
12. -3: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1497) thru week 18
13. -0: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1500) thru week 18
14. +1: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1501) thru week 19
15. +4: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1504) thru week 19
16. +5: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
17. +7: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1507) thru week 18
18. +9: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 19
19. +15: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 18
20. +28: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 18
21. +35: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 20
22. +37: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1537) thru week 20
23. +38: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 20
24. +44: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1544) thru week 21
25. +55: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1555) thru week 22
26. +56: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 21
27. +59: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1559) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +73: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1573) thru week 8
2. +65: Detroit Lions (1457) before week 9 → (1522) thru week 15
3. +64: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 8
4. +58: Jacksonville Jaguars (1496) before week 2 → (1553) thru week 3
5. +51: Dallas Cowboys (1486) before week 2 → (1538) thru week 8
more...
1. +47: New York Jets (1482) before week 4 → (1529) thru week 7
2. +46: Pittsburgh Steelers (1459) before week 12 → (1505) thru week 18
3. +45: San Francisco 49ers (1494) before week 2 → (1539) thru week 5
4. +45: Cincinnati Bengals (1488) before week 3 → (1533) thru week 7
5. +45: Washington Commanders (1457) before week 6 → (1502) thru week 13
6. +44: New England Patriots (1485) before week 5 → (1529) thru week 11
7. +44: Tennessee Titans (1463) before week 4 → (1507) thru week 11
8. +41: Seattle Seahawks (1473) before week 4 → (1514) thru week 9
9. +41: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1541) thru week 7
10. +39: Minnesota Vikings (1490) before week 3 → (1529) thru week 10
11. +35: Green Bay Packers (1486) before week 12 → (1522) thru week 17
12. +33: New Orleans Saints (1475) before week 11 → (1508) thru week 17
13. +31: Carolina Panthers (1461) before week 10 → (1493) thru week 16
14. +30: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 2
15. +29: New York Giants (1482) before week 15 → (1512) thru week 19
16. +28: Los Angeles Rams (1462) before week 14 → (1490) thru week 16
17. +26: Houston Texans (1447) before week 14 → (1473) thru week 16
18. +26: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1526) thru week 3
19. +25: Los Angeles Chargers (1471) before week 4 → (1497) thru week 6
20. +25: Baltimore Ravens (1502) before week 3 → (1527) thru week 9
21. +24: Cleveland Browns (1475) before week 11 → (1499) thru week 17
22. +23: Las Vegas Raiders (1470) before week 11 → (1493) thru week 13
23. +22: Atlanta Falcons (1485) before week 3 → (1507) thru week 6
24. +20: Denver Broncos (1495) before week 2 → (1514) thru week 3
25. +19: Indianapolis Colts (1471) before week 5 → (1490) thru week 6
26. +15: Arizona Cardinals (1482) before week 4 → (1496) thru week 5
27. +9: Chicago Bears (1478) before week 6 → (1486) thru week 7
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -54: Pittsburgh Steelers (1507) before week 2 → (1452) thru week 8
2. -50: Detroit Lions (1507) before week 3 → (1457) thru week 8
3. -47: Washington Commanders (1504) before week 2 → (1457) thru week 5
4. -45: Jacksonville Jaguars (1553) before week 4 → (1509) thru week 8
5. -43: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1457) thru week 2
more...
1. -43: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1530) before week 3 → (1487) thru week 8
2. -42: Carolina Panthers (1502) before week 4 → (1460) thru week 6
3. -41: Miami Dolphins (1526) before week 4 → (1485) thru week 6
4. -40: New York Giants (1522) before week 8 → (1482) thru week 14
5. -40: Indianapolis Colts (1474) before week 12 → (1434) thru week 18
6. -40: Arizona Cardinals (1490) before week 11 → (1450) thru week 18
7. -39: New York Jets (1528) before week 13 → (1488) thru week 18
8. -39: Los Angeles Rams (1504) before week 4 → (1465) thru week 11
9. -38: Minnesota Vikings (1529) before week 11 → (1491) thru week 17
10. -38: Houston Texans (1485) before week 6 → (1447) thru week 13
11. -37: Chicago Bears (1506) before week 2 → (1469) thru week 6
12. -37: Denver Broncos (1490) before week 9 → (1453) thru week 16
13. -36: Green Bay Packers (1522) before week 5 → (1486) thru week 11
14. -33: Seattle Seahawks (1505) before week 2 → (1473) thru week 3
15. -33: Los Angeles Chargers (1504) before week 2 → (1471) thru week 3
16. -33: Philadelphia Eagles (1567) before week 15 → (1535) thru week 17
17. -33: Dallas Cowboys (1562) before week 14 → (1529) thru week 18
18. -32: Cleveland Browns (1505) before week 2 → (1473) thru week 6
19. -31: Atlanta Falcons (1507) before week 7 → (1476) thru week 13
20. -30: New Orleans Saints (1508) before week 2 → (1478) thru week 7
21. -28: San Francisco 49ers (1539) before week 6 → (1511) thru week 7
22. -26: Baltimore Ravens (1527) before week 10 → (1500) thru week 17
23. -25: Las Vegas Raiders (1495) before week 8 → (1470) thru week 10
24. -23: Buffalo Bills (1561) before week 19 → (1538) thru week 20
25. -22: New England Patriots (1529) before week 12 → (1507) thru week 18
26. -15: Kansas City Chiefs (1545) before week 12 → (1530) thru week 17
27. -12: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 2
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1509
2. New England Patriots: 1507
3. Houston Texans: 1505
4. Green Bay Packers: 1505
5. New York Giants: 1504
more...
1. Washington Commanders: 1504
2. Chicago Bears: 1504
3. Tennessee Titans: 1504
4. Buffalo Bills: 1503
5. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1502
6. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1502
7. Cleveland Browns: 1502
8. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
9. Detroit Lions: 1501
10. Miami Dolphins: 1500
11. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
12. Carolina Panthers: 1500
13. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
14. Denver Broncos: 1498
15. New Orleans Saints: 1498
16. Baltimore Ravens: 1498
17. Cincinnati Bengals: 1498
18. Las Vegas Raiders: 1497
19. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
20. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
21. Kansas City Chiefs: 1496
22. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
23. Los Angeles Chargers: 1496
24. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
26. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
27. Atlanta Falcons: 1489
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Atlanta Falcons: 1489
2. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1495
4. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1496
more...
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
2. Kansas City Chiefs: 1496
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1497
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1497
6. Cincinnati Bengals: 1498
7. Baltimore Ravens: 1498
8. New Orleans Saints: 1498
9. Denver Broncos: 1498
10. Indianapolis Colts: 1499
11. Carolina Panthers: 1500
12. Arizona Cardinals: 1500
13. Miami Dolphins: 1500
14. Detroit Lions: 1501
15. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
16. Cleveland Browns: 1502
17. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1502
18. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1502
19. Buffalo Bills: 1503
20. Tennessee Titans: 1504
21. Chicago Bears: 1504
22. Washington Commanders: 1504
23. New York Giants: 1504
24. Green Bay Packers: 1505
25. Houston Texans: 1505
26. New England Patriots: 1507
27. New York Jets: 1509
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Indianapolis Colts: 1508
2. New York Jets: 1506
3. Chicago Bears: 1505
4. Washington Commanders: 1503
5. Detroit Lions: 1502
more...
1. Denver Broncos: 1501
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1501
3. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
4. Green Bay Packers: 1500
5. Carolina Panthers: 1500
6. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
7. Buffalo Bills: 1499
8. Cleveland Browns: 1498
9. New England Patriots: 1498
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
11. New Orleans Saints: 1496
12. New York Giants: 1496
13. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
14. Philadelphia Eagles: 1495
15. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1494
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1491
17. Dallas Cowboys: 1491
18. Kansas City Chiefs: 1490
19. San Francisco 49ers: 1490
20. Houston Texans: 1490
21. Arizona Cardinals: 1489
22. Los Angeles Chargers: 1488
23. Miami Dolphins: 1488
24. Baltimore Ravens: 1487
25. Atlanta Falcons: 1486
26. Los Angeles Rams: 1485
27. Tennessee Titans: 1483
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Tennessee Titans: 1483
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1485
3. Atlanta Falcons: 1486
4. Baltimore Ravens: 1487
5. Miami Dolphins: 1488
more...
1. Los Angeles Chargers: 1488
2. Arizona Cardinals: 1489
3. Houston Texans: 1490
4. San Francisco 49ers: 1490
5. Kansas City Chiefs: 1490
6. Dallas Cowboys: 1491
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1491
8. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1494
9. Philadelphia Eagles: 1495
10. Seattle Seahawks: 1495
11. New York Giants: 1496
12. New Orleans Saints: 1496
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1497
14. New England Patriots: 1498
15. Cleveland Browns: 1498
16. Buffalo Bills: 1499
17. Cincinnati Bengals: 1499
18. Carolina Panthers: 1500
19. Green Bay Packers: 1500
20. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
21. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1501
22. Denver Broncos: 1501
23. Detroit Lions: 1502
24. Washington Commanders: 1503
25. Chicago Bears: 1505
26. New York Jets: 1506
27. Indianapolis Colts: 1508

↑ 2022 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	6-9 (6/15, 40.0%)	6-9 (6/15, 40.0%)
2	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	17-14 (17/31, 54.84%)
3	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	24-23 (24/47, 51.06%)
4	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	33-30 (33/63, 52.38%)
5	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	44-35 (44/79, 55.7%)
6	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	52-41 (52/93, 55.91%)
7	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	60-47 (60/107, 56.07%)
8	8-7 (8/15, 53.33%)	68-54 (68/122, 55.74%)
9	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	76-59 (76/135, 56.3%)
10	5-9 (5/14, 35.71%)	81-68 (81/149, 54.36%)
11	10-4 (10/14, 71.43%)	91-72 (91/163, 55.83%)
12	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	103-76 (103/179, 57.54%)
13	12-2 (12/14, 85.71%)	115-78 (115/193, 59.59%)
14	10-3 (10/13, 76.92%)	125-81 (125/206, 60.68%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	135-87 (135/222, 60.81%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	146-92 (146/238, 61.34%)
17	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	158-95 (158/253, 62.45%)
18	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	169-100 (169/269, 62.83%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	174-101 (174/275, 63.27%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	177-102 (177/279, 63.44%)
C	2-0 (2/2, 100.0%)	179-102 (179/281, 63.7%)
S	0-1 (0/1, 0.0%)	179-103 (179/282, 63.48%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.07" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet over the last 25 seasons. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
- A new blank slate model, "blank-slate-v3.2026.08", was found. This new blank slate model picks 5,454 game winners over the 8,498 games from 1994-2025 (64.19%), which is a nice improvement over the `blank-slate-v1.2024.07` model that picks 5,390 game winners (63.43%) over that span. That's an average of exactly 2 more game winners picked per season.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!

NFL Elo Power Rankings 2022

This is the 2022-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

Contents

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2022 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2022 season:

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2022 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

↑ Atlanta Falcons

↑ Baltimore Ravens

↑ Buffalo Bills

↑ Carolina Panthers

↑ Chicago Bears

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

↑ Cleveland Browns

↑ Dallas Cowboys

↑ Denver Broncos

↑ Detroit Lions

↑ Green Bay Packers

↑ Houston Texans

↑ Indianapolis Colts

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

↑ Los Angeles Rams

↑ Miami Dolphins

↑ Minnesota Vikings

↑ New England Patriots

↑ New Orleans Saints

↑ New York Giants

↑ New York Jets

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

↑ San Francisco 49ers

↑ Seattle Seahawks

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers