NFL Elo Power Rankings 2022

This is the 2022 "Never Lose Elo For a Win" page

The ratings and rankings on this page are calculated where the winning team never loses Elo rating points. If a favorite wins by the expected margin of victory or less, they take 0.0 Elo rating points from their opponent. If a favorite wins by more than the expected margin, they take some number of Elo rating points as calculated by the regular model. If a favorite loses, their opponent takes Elo rating points from them as per the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be slightly less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model. Over the 2012-2023 seasons, this model picked 2,151 of 3,259 game winners correctly (66.0%), while the regular model picked 2,160 game winners (66.28%).

All available 2022 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to many "experts" on NFL Pickwatch. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2022 Season Summaries by Team
2022 Season Stats and Tidbits
2022 Season Model Accuracy

← 2021 Season 2023 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1757 (+1)	17-3
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1676): W 38-35: 1756+1→1757
2	San Francisco 49ersSF	1738	15-5
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1717	14-4
4	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1708	14-5
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1688	13-6
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1676	16-4
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): L 35-38: 1676-0→1676
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1564	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1549	8-9
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1542	10-8
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538	10-9
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523	10-8
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515	9-9
13	Detroit LionsDET	1495	9-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	9-8
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480	7-10
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	9-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473	13-5
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465	7-10
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	7-10
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1459	8-8-1
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458	6-11
22	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-10
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	7-10
24	New York JetsNYJ	1445	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421	7-10
26	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412	5-12
27	New York GiantsNYG	1395	10-8-1
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1386	4-13
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1377	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1347	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1278	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1269	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1756	16-3	at PHI (1676): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1708): W 23-20: 1756+0→1756
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1676): Win by 1 point
2 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1738 (-28)	15-5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1648): L 7-31: 1766-28→1738
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1717	14-4
4	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1708	14-5
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): L 20-23: 1708+0→1708
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1688	13-6
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1676 (+28)	16-3	at KC (1756): Lose by 1 point
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1766): W 31-7: 1648+28→1676
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): Lose by 1 point
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1564	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1549	8-9
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1542	10-8
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538	10-9
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523	10-8
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515	9-9
13	Detroit LionsDET	1495	9-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	9-8
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480	7-10
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	9-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473	13-5
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465	7-10
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	7-10
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1459	8-8-1
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458	6-11
22	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-10
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	7-10
24	New York JetsNYJ	1445	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421	7-10
26	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412	5-12
27	New York GiantsNYG	1395	10-8-1
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1386	4-13
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1377	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1347	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1278	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1269	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	San Francisco 49ersSF	1766	15-4	at PHI (1648): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1688): W 19-12: 1766+0→1766
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1648): Slight favorite
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1756	15-3	vs CIN (1708): Win by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): W 27-20: 1756+0→1756
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1708): Win by 7 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1717 (-32)	14-4
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1676): L 10-27: 1749-32→1717
4 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1708 (+32)	14-4	at KC (1756): Lose by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): W 27-10: 1676+32→1708
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): Lose by 7 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1688	13-6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1766): L 12-19: 1688+0→1688
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1648 (+17)	15-3	vs SF (1766): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): W 38-7: 1631+17→1648
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1766): Slight underdog
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1564	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1549	8-9
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1542	10-8
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538	10-9
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): L 20-27: 1538+0→1538
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523	10-8
12	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515	9-9
13	Detroit LionsDET	1495	9-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	9-8
15	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480	7-10
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	9-9
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473	13-5
18	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465	7-10
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	7-10
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1459	8-8-1
21	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458	6-11
22	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450	8-10
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	7-10
24	New York JetsNYJ	1445	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421	7-10
26 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412	5-12
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1395 (-18)	10-8-1
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): L 7-38: 1413-18→1395
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1386	4-13
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1377	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1347	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1278	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1269	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1766 (+18)	14-4	vs DAL (1688): Win by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): W 41-23: 1748+18→1766
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1688): Win by 7 points
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1756	14-3	vs JAX (1538): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Win by 9 points
3 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1749	14-3	vs CIN (1676): Win by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): W 34-31: 1749+0→1749
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1676): Win by 7 points
4 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1688 (+22)	13-5	at SF (1766): Lose by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): W 31-14: 1666+22→1688
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1766): Lose by 7 points
5 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1676	13-4	at BUF (1749): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1542): W 24-17: 1676+0→1676
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): Lose by 7 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1631	14-3	vs NYG (1413): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1413): Win by 8 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1564	8-9
8	New England PatriotsNE	1549	8-9
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1542	10-8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1676): L 17-24: 1542+0→1542
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538	10-8	at KC (1756): Lose by 9
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): W 31-30: 1538+0→1538
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1756): Lose by 9 points
11 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523	10-8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): L 30-31: 1523+0→1523
12 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1515 (-18)	9-9
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1748): L 23-41: 1533-18→1515
13	Detroit LionsDET	1495	9-8
14	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488	9-8
15 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480	7-10
16 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	9-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): L 31-34: 1476+0→1476
17 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1473 (-11)	13-5
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): L 24-31: 1484-11→1473
18 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465	7-10
19 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463	7-10
20 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1459	8-8-1
21 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458	6-11
22 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1450 (-23)	8-10
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1666): L 14-31: 1473-23→1450
23	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	7-10
24	New York JetsNYJ	1445	7-10
25	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421	7-10
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1413 (+12)	10-7-1	at PHI (1631): Lose by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): W 31-24: 1401+12→1413
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): Lose by 8 points
27 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412	5-12
28	Arizona CardinalsARI	1386	4-13
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1377	5-12
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1347	4-12-1
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1278	3-14
32	Houston TexansHOU	1269	3-13-1

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1756 (+23)	14-3	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 31-13: 1733+23→1756
next: (bye)
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1749 (+12)	13-3	vs MIA (1476): Win by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): W 35-23: 1737+12→1749
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Win by 9 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1748 (+16)	13-4	vs SEA (1533): Win by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): W 38-13: 1732+16→1748
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): Win by 8 points
4 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1676 (+13)	12-4	vs BAL (1542): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1555): W 27-16: 1663+13→1676
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1542): Win by 8 points
5 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1666 (-40)	12-5	at TB (1473): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1418): L 6-26: 1706-40→1666
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1473): Win by 7 points
6	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1631	14-3	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): W 22-16: 1631+0→1631
next: (bye)
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1564 (-12)	8-9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1484): L 16-20: 1576-12→1564
8	New England PatriotsNE	1549 (-12)	8-9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): L 23-35: 1561-12→1549
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1542 (-13)	10-7	at CIN (1676): Lose by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1663): L 16-27: 1555-13→1542
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1676): Lose by 8 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538	9-8	vs LAC (1523): Win by 5
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): W 20-16: 1538+0→1538
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): Win by 5 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1533	9-8	at SF (1748): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1412): W 19-16(OT): 1533+0→1533
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1748): Lose by 8 points
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523 (-7)	10-7	at JAX (1538): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1370): L 28-31: 1530-7→1523
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Lose by 5 points
13 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1495 (+11)	9-8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1576): W 20-16: 1484+11→1495
14 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1488 (+26)	9-8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): W 28-14: 1462+26→1488
15 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1484 (+26)	13-4	vs NYG (1401): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1304): W 29-13: 1458+26→1484
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 7 points
16 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1480 (-25)	7-10
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): L 14-28: 1505-25→1480
17	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	9-8	at BUF (1749): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1445): W 11-6: 1476+0→1476
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): Lose by 9 points
18 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1473 (-10)	8-9	vs DAL (1666): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): L 17-30: 1483-10→1473
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1666): Lose by 7 points
19 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1465 (-8)	7-10
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): L 7-10: 1473-8→1465
20 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1463 (+8)	7-10
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): W 10-7: 1455+8→1463
21 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1459 (+41)	8-8-1
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1706): W 26-6: 1418+41→1459
22 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (-23)	6-11
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1733): L 13-31: 1481-23→1458
23 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448	7-10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): L 16-20: 1448+0→1448
24 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1445	7-10
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): L 6-11: 1445+0→1445
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1421 (+10)	7-10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): W 30-17: 1411+10→1421
26 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412	5-12
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): L 16-19(OT): 1412+0→1412
27 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1401	9-7-1	at MIN (1484): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): L 16-22: 1401+0→1401
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1484): Lose by 7 points
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1386 (-16)	4-13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1732): L 13-38: 1402-16→1386
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1377 (+7)	5-12
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): W 31-28: 1370+7→1377
30	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1347 (-11)	4-12-1
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1258): L 31-32: 1358-11→1347
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1278 (-26)	3-14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1458): L 13-29: 1304-26→1278
32	Houston TexansHOU	1269 (+11)	3-13-1
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1358): W 32-31: 1258+11→1269

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1737	12-3	vs NE (1561): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1561): Win by 8 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1733	13-3	at LV (1481): Win by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1370): W 27-24: 1733+0→1733
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Win by 7 points
3	San Francisco 49ersSF	1732	12-4	vs ARI (1402): Win by 9
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 37-34(OT): 1732+0→1732
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): Win by 9 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1706 (+20)	12-4	at WAS (1418): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): W 27-13: 1686+20→1706
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1418): Win by 8 points
5 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1663	11-4	vs BAL (1555): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1555): Win by 8 points
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1631 (-35)	13-3	vs NYG (1401): Win by 12
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): L 10-20: 1666-35→1631
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1401): Win by 12 points
7 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1576 (+28)	8-8	vs DET (1484): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): W 41-17: 1548+28→1576
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1484): Win by 7 points
8	New England PatriotsNE	1561	8-8	at BUF (1737): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): W 23-21: 1561+0→1561
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1737): Lose by 8 points
9 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1555 (-13)	10-6	at CIN (1663): Lose by 8
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): L 13-16: 1568-13→1555
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1663): Lose by 8 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (+27)	8-8	vs TEN (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1285): W 31-3: 1511+27→1538
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Win by 7 points
11	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1533 (+26)	8-8	vs LAR (1412): Win by 8
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 23-6: 1507+26→1533
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1412): Win by 8 points
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1530 (+31)	10-6	at DEN (1370): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1442): W 31-10: 1499+31→1530
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1370): Win by 1 point
13 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1505 (+31)	7-9	at PIT (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1449): W 24-10: 1474+31→1505
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Slight underdog
14 (+6)	Detroit LionsDET	1484 (+25)	8-8	at GB (1576): Lose by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1329): W 41-10: 1459+25→1484
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1576): Lose by 7 points
15 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1483	8-8	at ATL (1411): Lose by 9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): W 30-24: 1483+0→1483
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Lose by 9 points
16 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481	6-10	vs KC (1733): Lose by 7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1732): L 34-37(OT): 1481+0→1481
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1733): Lose by 7 points
17 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476	8-8	vs NYJ (1445): Win by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): L 21-23: 1476+0→1476
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1445): Win by 7 points
18 (+7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1473 (+35)	7-9	vs CAR (1455): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): W 20-10: 1438+35→1473
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): Win by 5 points
19 (+4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (+13)	8-8	vs CLE (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): W 16-13: 1449+13→1462
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1505): Slight favorite
20 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1458 (-28)	12-4	at CHI (1304): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1548): L 17-41: 1486-28→1458
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1304): Slight favorite
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1455	6-10	at NO (1473): Lose by 5
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): L 24-30: 1455-0→1455
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): Lose by 5 points
22 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448 (-21)	7-9	at JAX (1538): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1686): L 13-27: 1469-21→1448
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Lose by 7 points
23 (-5)	New York JetsNYJ	1445 (-27)	7-9	at MIA (1476): Lose by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): L 6-23: 1472-27→1445
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Lose by 7 points
24 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1418 (-31)	7-8-1	vs DAL (1706): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): L 10-24: 1449-31→1418
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1706): Lose by 8 points
25 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1412 (-30)	5-11	at SEA (1533): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): L 10-31: 1442-30→1412
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1533): Lose by 8 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411	6-10	vs TB (1483): Win by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): W 20-19: 1411+0→1411
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): Win by 9 points
27	Arizona CardinalsARI	1402	4-12	at SF (1732): Lose by 9
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): L 19-20: 1402+0→1402
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1732): Lose by 9 points
28 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1401 (+30)	9-6-1	at PHI (1631): Lose by 12
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1389): W 38-10: 1371+30→1401
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1631): Lose by 12 points
29 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1370	4-12	vs LAC (1530): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1733): L 24-27: 1370+0→1370
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1530): Lose by 1 point
30 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1358 (-31)	4-11-1	vs HOU (1258): Win by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): L 10-38: 1389-31→1358
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1258): Win by 7 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1304 (-25)	3-13	vs MIN (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1459): L 10-41: 1329-25→1304
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1458): Slight underdog
32	Houston TexansHOU	1258 (-27)	2-13-1	at IND (1358): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): L 3-31: 1285-27→1258
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1358): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1737 (+18)	12-3	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1347): W 35-13: 1719+18→1737
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1733 (+16)	12-3	vs DEN (1370): Win by 10
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1523): W 24-10: 1717+16→1733
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1370): Win by 10 points
3 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1732 (+14)	11-4	at LV (1481): Win by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): W 37-20: 1718+14→1732
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Win by 8 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1686	11-4	at TEN (1469): Win by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): W 40-34: 1686+0→1686
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1469): Win by 7 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1666	13-2	vs NO (1438): Win by 9
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1686): L 34-40: 1666+0→1666
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1438): Win by 9 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1663 (+3)	11-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): W 22-18: 1660+3→1663
next: (bye)
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1568	10-5	vs PIT (1449): Win by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): W 17-9: 1568+0→1568
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1449): Win by 8 points
8	New England PatriotsNE	1561 (-3)	7-8	vs MIA (1476): Win by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1660): L 18-22: 1564-3→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1476): Win by 7 points
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1548 (+7)	7-8	vs MIN (1486): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): W 26-20: 1541+7→1548
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Win by 7 points
10 (+9)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+39)	7-8	at HOU (1285): Win by 7
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1511): W 19-3: 1472+39→1511
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1285): Win by 7 points
11 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1507 (-16)	7-8	vs NYJ (1472): Win by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): L 10-24: 1523-16→1507
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Win by 6 points
12 (+8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1499 (+36)	9-6	vs LAR (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): W 20-3: 1463+36→1499
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1442): Slight favorite
13 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486	12-3	at GB (1548): Lose by 7
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1371): W 27-24: 1486+0→1486
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1548): Lose by 7 points
14 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1483 (+6)	7-8	vs CAR (1455): Win by 6
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1408): W 19-16(OT): 1477+6→1483
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1455): Win by 6 points
15 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (-2)	6-9	vs SF (1732): Lose by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): L 10-13: 1483-2→1481
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1732): Lose by 8 points
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1476 (-8)	8-7	at NE (1561): Lose by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): L 20-26: 1484-8→1476
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): Lose by 7 points
17 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474 (-14)	6-9	at WAS (1449): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): L 10-17: 1488-14→1474
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1449): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (-39)	7-8	at SEA (1507): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1472): L 3-19: 1511-39→1472
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1507): Lose by 6 points
19 (-7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1469 (-20)	7-8	vs DAL (1686): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1265): L 14-19: 1489-20→1469
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1686): Lose by 7 points
20 (-7)	Detroit LionsDET	1459 (-30)	7-8	vs CHI (1329): Win by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): L 23-37: 1489-30→1459
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1329): Win by 8 points
21 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1455 (+30)	6-9	at TB (1483): Lose by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1489): W 37-23: 1425+30→1455
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1483): Lose by 6 points
22 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1449 (-14)	7-7-1	vs CLE (1474): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1718): L 20-37: 1463-14→1449
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1449 (+2)	7-8	at BAL (1568): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): W 13-10: 1447+2→1449
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): Lose by 8 points
24 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1442 (+32)	5-10	vs LAC (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): W 51-14: 1410+32→1442
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1499): Slight underdog
25	New Orleans SaintsNO	1438 (+14)	6-9	at PHI (1666): Lose by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): W 17-10: 1424+14→1438
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): Lose by 9 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411	5-10	vs ARI (1402): Win by 6
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): L 9-17: 1411+0→1411
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1402): Win by 6 points
27 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1402 (-6)	4-11	at ATL (1411): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): L 16-19(OT): 1408-6→1402
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Lose by 6 points
28 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1389 (-36)	4-10-1	at NYG (1371): Lose by 2
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1463): L 3-20: 1425-36→1389
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): Lose by 2 points
29 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1371	8-6-1	vs IND (1389): Win by 2
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 24-27: 1371+0→1371
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1389): Win by 2 points
30 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1370 (-32)	4-11	at KC (1733): Lose by 10
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1410): L 14-51: 1402-32→1370
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1733): Lose by 10 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1329 (-18)	3-12	at DET (1459): Lose by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): L 13-35: 1347-18→1329
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1459): Lose by 8 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1285 (+20)	2-12-1	vs JAX (1511): Lose by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): W 19-14: 1265+20→1285
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1719	11-3	at CHI (1347): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): W 32-29: 1719+0→1719
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1347): Win by 9 points
2 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1718 (+6)	10-4	vs WAS (1463): Win by 10
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): W 21-13: 1712+6→1718
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1463): Win by 10 points
3 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1717	11-3	vs SEA (1523): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1265): W 30-24(OT): 1717+0→1717
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1523): Win by 8 points
4	Dallas CowboysDAL	1686 (-17)	10-4	vs PHI (1666): Win by 6
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): L 34-40(OT): 1703-17→1686
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): Win by 6 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1666	13-1	at DAL (1686): Lose by 6
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1347): W 25-20: 1666+0→1666
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1686): Lose by 6 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1660 (+21)	10-4	at NE (1564): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): W 34-23: 1639+21→1660
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): Slight favorite
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1568 (-25)	9-5	vs ATL (1411): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): L 3-13: 1593-25→1568
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Win by 8 points
8	New England PatriotsNE	1564 (-5)	7-7	vs CIN (1660): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): L 24-30: 1569-5→1564
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1660): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1541 (+16)	6-8	at MIA (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1427): W 24-12: 1525+16→1541
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1523 (-6)	7-7	at KC (1717): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1712): L 13-21: 1529-6→1523
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): Lose by 8 points
11	New York JetsNYJ	1511 (-13)	7-7	vs JAX (1472): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1476): L 17-20: 1524-13→1511
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1472): Win by 7 points
12 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1489 (-1)	7-7	vs HOU (1265): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1462): L 14-17: 1490-1→1489
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1265): Win by 9 points
13 (+5)	Detroit LionsDET	1489 (+13)	7-7	at CAR (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1524): W 20-17: 1476+13→1489
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): Slight underdog
14 (+5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1488 (+25)	6-8	vs NO (1424): Win by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): W 13-3: 1463+25→1488
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): Win by 7 points
15	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486	11-3	vs NYG (1371): Win by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): W 39-36(OT): 1486+0→1486
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1371): Win by 8 points
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1484	8-6	vs GB (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): L 29-32: 1484+0→1484
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): Slight favorite
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1483 (+5)	6-8	at PIT (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1569): W 30-24: 1478+5→1483
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1447): Slight underdog
18 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477 (-21)	6-8	at ARI (1408): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1639): L 23-34: 1498-21→1477
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1408): Tossup
19 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1472 (+18)	6-8	at NYJ (1511): Lose by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1703): W 40-34(OT): 1454+18→1472
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1511): Lose by 7 points
20	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1463 (+1)	8-6	at IND (1425): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): W 17-14: 1462+1→1463
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): Slight underdog
21 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1463 (-27)	7-6-1	at SF (1718): Lose by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1344): L 12-20: 1490-27→1463
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1718): Lose by 10 points
22 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1447 (+19)	6-8	vs LV (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1443): W 24-16: 1428+19→1447
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1483): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425 (-18)	5-9	vs DET (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1428): L 16-24: 1443-18→1425
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1489): Slight favorite
24 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1425	4-9-1	vs LAC (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): L 36-39(OT): 1425+0→1425
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1463): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1424	5-9	at CLE (1488): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): W 21-18: 1424+0→1424
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1488): Lose by 7 points
26 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411	5-9	at BAL (1568): Lose by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): L 18-21: 1411+0→1411
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1568): Lose by 8 points
27 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1410 (-17)	4-10	vs DEN (1402): Win by 3
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1525): L 12-24: 1427-17→1410
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1402): Win by 3 points
28 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1408 (-15)	4-10	vs TB (1477): Tossup
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1387): L 15-24: 1423-15→1408
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): Tossup
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1402 (+15)	4-10	at LAR (1410): Lose by 3
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1423): W 24-15: 1387+15→1402
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1410): Lose by 3 points
30 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1371 (+27)	8-5-1	at MIN (1486): Lose by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): W 20-12: 1344+27→1371
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1347	3-11	vs BUF (1719): Lose by 9
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): L 20-25: 1347+0→1347
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): Lose by 9 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1265	1-12-1	at TEN (1489): Lose by 9
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): L 24-30(OT): 1265+0→1265
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1489): Lose by 9 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1719	10-3	vs MIA (1484): Win by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1524): W 20-12: 1719+0→1719
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1717	10-3	at HOU (1265): Win by 10
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1387): W 34-28: 1717+0→1717
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1265): Win by 10 points
3 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1712 (+23)	9-4	at SEA (1529): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): W 35-7: 1689+23→1712
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1529): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1703	10-3	at JAX (1454): Win by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1265): W 27-23: 1703+0→1703
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Win by 8 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1666 (+28)	12-1	at CHI (1347): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1372): W 48-22: 1638+28→1666
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1347): Win by 8 points
6	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1639 (+17)	9-4	at TB (1498): Win by 4
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): W 23-10: 1622+17→1639
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1498): Win by 4 points
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1593	9-4	at CLE (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1428): W 16-14: 1593+0→1593
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1463): Slight favorite
8 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1569 (+33)	7-6	at LV (1478): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1456): W 27-13: 1536+33→1569
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1478): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1529 (-19)	7-6	vs SF (1712): Lose by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): L 24-30: 1548-19→1529
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1712): Lose by 7 points
10 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1525	5-8	vs LAR (1427): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1427): Win by 8 points
11 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1524	7-6	vs DET (1476): Win by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): L 12-20: 1524+0→1524
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1476): Win by 7 points
12 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1498 (-22)	6-7	vs CIN (1639): Lose by 4
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1689): L 7-35: 1520-22→1498
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1639): Lose by 4 points
13 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1490 (-47)	7-6	at LAC (1462): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): L 22-36: 1537-47→1490
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1462): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1490	7-5-1	vs NYG (1344): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1344): Win by 8 points
15 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-25)	10-3	vs IND (1425): Win by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1451): L 23-34: 1511-25→1486
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1425): Win by 7 points
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1484 (-2)	8-5	at BUF (1719): Lose by 9
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1459): L 17-23: 1486-2→1484
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): Lose by 9 points
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1478 (-3)	5-8	vs NE (1569): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1424): L 16-17: 1481-3→1478
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1569): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1476 (+25)	6-7	at NYJ (1524): Lose by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): W 34-23: 1451+25→1476
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1524): Lose by 7 points
19 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1463 (-18)	5-8	vs BAL (1593): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1622): L 10-23: 1481-18→1463
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1462 (+3)	7-6	vs TEN (1490): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): W 23-17: 1459+3→1462
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1490): Slight favorite
21 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (+47)	5-8	vs DAL (1703): Lose by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1537): W 36-22: 1407+47→1454
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1703): Lose by 8 points
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1443 (+18)	5-8	vs PIT (1428): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): W 30-24: 1425+18→1443
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1428): Win by 7 points
23 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1428	5-8	at CAR (1443): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): L 14-16: 1428+0→1428
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1443): Lose by 7 points
24 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1427 (+3)	4-9	at GB (1525): Lose by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): W 17-16: 1424+3→1427
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1525): Lose by 8 points
25 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1425	4-8-1	at MIN (1486): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Lose by 7 points
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1424	4-9	vs ATL (1411): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1411): Win by 6 points
27 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1423 (-33)	4-9	at DEN (1387): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1536): L 13-27: 1456-33→1423
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1387): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411	5-8	at NO (1424): Lose by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): Lose by 6 points
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1387	3-10	vs ARI (1423): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): L 28-34: 1387+0→1387
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1423): Slight favorite
30 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1347	3-10	vs PHI (1666): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1666): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1344 (-28)	7-5-1	at WAS (1490): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): L 22-48: 1372-28→1344
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): Lose by 8 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1265	1-11-1	vs KC (1717): Lose by 10
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1703): L 23-27: 1265+0→1265
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1719 (+32)	9-3	vs NYJ (1524): Win by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): W 24-10: 1687+32→1719
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1524): Win by 9 points
2 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1717 (-8)	9-3	at DEN (1387): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1614): L 24-27: 1725-8→1717
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1387): Win by 8 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1703 (+16)	9-3	vs HOU (1265): Win by 12
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): W 54-19: 1687+16→1703
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1265): Win by 12 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1689 (+19)	8-4	vs TB (1520): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): W 33-17: 1670+19→1689
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Win by 9 points
5 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1638 (+33)	11-1	at NYG (1372): Win by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): W 35-10: 1605+33→1638
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1372): Win by 8 points
6 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1622 (+8)	8-4	vs CLE (1481): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1725): W 27-24: 1614+8→1622
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1481): Win by 8 points
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1593	8-4	at PIT (1428): Win by 5
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1387): W 10-9: 1593+0→1593
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1428): Win by 5 points
8 (+2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548 (+3)	7-5	vs CAR (1425): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1427): W 27-23: 1545+3→1548
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1537 (-33)	7-5	vs JAX (1407): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): L 10-35: 1570-33→1537
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1407): Win by 8 points
10 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1536 (-32)	6-6	at ARI (1456): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): L 10-24: 1568-32→1536
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1456): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1525 (+15)	5-8	bye
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1362): W 28-19: 1510+15→1525
next: (bye)
12 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1524	7-5	at BUF (1719): Lose by 9
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): L 22-27: 1524+0→1524
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1719): Lose by 9 points
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520	6-6	at SF (1689): Lose by 9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): W 17-16: 1520+0→1520
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1689): Lose by 9 points
14 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511	10-2	at DET (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1524): W 27-22: 1511+0→1511
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1451): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1490 (-1)	7-5-1	bye
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): T 20-20(OT): 1491-1→1490
next: (bye)
16 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486 (-19)	8-4	at LAC (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1670): L 17-33: 1505-19→1486
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1459): Slight underdog
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481	5-7	at LAR (1424): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1459): W 27-20: 1481+0→1481
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1424): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1481 (+26)	5-7	at CIN (1622): Lose by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1290): W 27-14: 1455+26→1481
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1622): Lose by 8 points
19 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1459	6-6	vs MIA (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): L 20-27: 1459+0→1459
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Slight favorite
20 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1456	4-8	vs NE (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1536): Slight underdog
21 (+7)	Detroit LionsDET	1451 (+36)	5-7	vs MIN (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1443): W 40-14: 1415+36→1451
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight favorite
22 (+5)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1428 (+12)	5-7	vs BAL (1593): Lose by 5
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): W 19-16: 1416+12→1428
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): Lose by 5 points
23 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425	4-8	at SEA (1548): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Lose by 8 points
24 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1425 (-16)	4-8-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1687): L 19-54: 1441-16→1425
next: (bye)
25 (-2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1424 (-3)	3-9	vs LV (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): L 23-27: 1427-3→1424
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1424	4-9	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): L 16-17: 1424+0→1424
next: (bye)
27 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1411 (-12)	5-8	bye
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1416): L 16-19: 1423-12→1411
next: (bye)
28 (-7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1407 (-36)	4-8	at TEN (1537): Lose by 8
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1415): L 14-40: 1443-36→1407
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1537): Lose by 8 points
29	Denver BroncosDEN	1387	3-9	vs KC (1717): Lose by 8
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): L 9-10: 1387+0→1387
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1717): Lose by 8 points
30	New York GiantsNYG	1372 (+1)	7-4-1	vs PHI (1638): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): T 20-20(OT): 1371+1→1372
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1638): Lose by 8 points
31	Chicago BearsCHI	1347 (-15)	3-10	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): L 19-28: 1362-15→1347
next: (bye)
32	Houston TexansHOU	1265 (-25)	1-10-1	at DAL (1703): Lose by 12
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): L 14-27: 1290-25→1265
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1703): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1725 (+12)	9-2	at CIN (1614): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1439): W 26-10: 1713+12→1725
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1614): Slight favorite
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1687	8-3	at NE (1568): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1415): W 28-25: 1687+0→1687
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1568): Slight favorite
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1687	8-3	vs IND (1441): Win by 10
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1371): W 28-20: 1687+0→1687
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1441): Win by 10 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1670 (+10)	7-4	vs MIA (1505): Win by 9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): W 13-0: 1660+10→1670
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1505): Win by 9 points
5 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1614 (+13)	7-4	vs KC (1725): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): W 20-16: 1601+13→1614
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1725): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1605	10-1	vs TEN (1570): Win by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): W 40-33: 1605+0→1605
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1570): Win by 7 points
7 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1593 (-11)	7-4	vs DEN (1387): Win by 9
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): L 27-28: 1604-11→1593
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1387): Win by 9 points
8	Tennessee TitansTEN	1570 (-13)	7-4	at PHI (1605): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1601): L 16-20: 1583-13→1570
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): Lose by 7 points
9	New England PatriotsNE	1568 (-7)	6-5	vs BUF (1687): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): L 26-33: 1575-7→1568
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): Slight underdog
10	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1545 (-26)	6-5	at LAR (1427): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): L 34-40(OT): 1571-26→1545
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1427): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1524 (+26)	7-4	at MIN (1511): Lose by 7
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1388): W 31-10: 1498+26→1524
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Lose by 7 points
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520 (-11)	5-6	vs NO (1424): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): L 17-23(OT): 1531-11→1520
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1424): Win by 8 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+7)	9-2	vs NYJ (1524): Win by 7
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1575): W 33-26: 1504+7→1511
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1524): Win by 7 points
14 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1510	4-8	at CHI (1362): Win by 2
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): L 33-40: 1510+0→1510
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1362): Win by 2 points
15 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1505 (+14)	8-3	at SF (1670): Lose by 9
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1304): W 30-15: 1491+14→1505
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1670): Lose by 9 points
16 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1491	7-5	at NYG (1371): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): W 19-13: 1491+0→1491
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1481 (+26)	4-7	vs LAC (1459): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1571): W 40-34(OT): 1455+26→1481
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1459): Win by 7 points
18 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1459 (+12)	6-5	at LV (1481): Lose by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1468): W 25-24: 1447+12→1459
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1481): Lose by 7 points
19 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1456 (-12)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): L 24-25: 1468-12→1456
next: (bye)
20 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1455 (+10)	4-7	at HOU (1290): Win by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1531): W 23-17(OT): 1445+10→1455
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1290): Win by 7 points
21 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1443 (+11)	4-7	at DET (1415): Lose by 4
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1604): W 28-27: 1432+11→1443
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1415): Lose by 4 points
22 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1441 (-19)	4-7-1	at DAL (1687): Lose by 10
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): L 17-24: 1460-19→1441
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1687): Lose by 10 points
23 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1427 (-12)	3-8	vs SEA (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 10-26: 1439-12→1427
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): Slight underdog
24 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425 (+30)	4-8	bye
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1417): W 23-10: 1395+30→1425
next: (bye)
25 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1424 (-10)	4-8	at TB (1520): Lose by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): L 0-13: 1434-10→1424
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1423	5-7	vs PIT (1416): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1491): L 13-19: 1423+0→1423
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1416): Win by 7 points
27 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1416 (+19)	4-7	at ATL (1423): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1460): W 24-17: 1397+19→1416
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): Lose by 7 points
28 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1415	4-7	vs JAX (1443): Win by 4
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): L 25-28: 1415+0→1415
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1443): Win by 4 points
29 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1387 (-30)	3-8	at BAL (1593): Lose by 9
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): L 10-23: 1417-30→1387
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1593): Lose by 9 points
30 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1371	7-4	vs WAS (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1687): L 20-28: 1371+0→1371
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1491): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1362 (-26)	3-9	vs GB (1510): Lose by 2
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): L 10-31: 1388-26→1362
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Lose by 2 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1290 (-14)	1-9-1	vs CLE (1455): Lose by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1491): L 15-30: 1304-14→1290
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1455): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713	8-2	vs LAR (1439): Win by 11
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): W 30-27: 1713+0→1713
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1439): Win by 11 points
2	Buffalo BillsBUF	1687	7-3	at DET (1415): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): W 31-23: 1687+0→1687
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1415): Win by 9 points
3	Dallas CowboysDAL	1687 (+44)	7-3	vs NYG (1371): Win by 11
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1547): W 40-3: 1643+44→1687
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1371): Win by 11 points
4	San Francisco 49ersSF	1660 (+34)	6-4	vs NO (1434): Win by 10
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): W 38-10: 1626+34→1660
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): Win by 10 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1605	9-1	vs GB (1510): Win by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1460): W 17-16: 1605+0→1605
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Win by 8 points
6	Baltimore RavensBAL	1604	7-3	at JAX (1432): Win by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): W 13-3: 1604+0→1604
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): Win by 7 points
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1601	6-4	at TEN (1583): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): W 37-30: 1601+0→1601
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1583): Lose by 7 points
8 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1583 (+34)	7-3	vs CIN (1601): Win by 7
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1543): W 27-17: 1549+34→1583
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1601): Win by 7 points
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1575	6-4	at MIN (1504): Tossup
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1498): W 10-3: 1575+0→1575
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1504): Tossup
10 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1571	6-4	vs LV (1455): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1455): Win by 9 points
11 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1531	5-5	at CLE (1445): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): Slight favorite
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1510 (-33)	4-7	at PHI (1605): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): L 17-27: 1543-33→1510
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): Lose by 8 points
13 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1504 (-43)	8-2	vs NE (1575): Tossup
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1643): L 3-40: 1547-43→1504
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1575): Tossup
14 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1498	6-4	vs CHI (1388): Win by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1575): L 3-10: 1498+0→1498
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1388): Win by 8 points
15 (+3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1491 (+31)	6-5	vs ATL (1423): Win by 8
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1336): W 23-10: 1460+31→1491
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): Win by 8 points
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1491	7-3	vs HOU (1304): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1304): Win by 10 points
17 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1468 (-34)	4-7	vs LAC (1447): Win by 7
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1626): L 10-38: 1502-34→1468
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): Win by 7 points
18 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1460	4-6-1	vs PIT (1397): Win by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): L 16-17: 1460+0→1460
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): Win by 8 points
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1455 (+13)	3-7	at SEA (1571): Lose by 9
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): W 22-16(OT): 1442+13→1455
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1571): Lose by 9 points
20 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1447	5-5	at ARI (1468): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 27-30: 1447+0→1447
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1468): Lose by 7 points
21 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1445	3-7	vs TB (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): L 23-31: 1445+0→1445
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1531): Slight underdog
22	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1439	3-7	at KC (1713): Lose by 11
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): L 20-27: 1439+0→1439
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Lose by 11 points
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1434	4-7	at SF (1660): Lose by 10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1439): W 27-20: 1434+0→1434
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1660): Lose by 10 points
24	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1432	3-7	vs BAL (1604): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1604): Lose by 7 points
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1423	5-6	at WAS (1491): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1388): W 27-24: 1423+0→1423
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1491): Lose by 8 points
26 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1417 (-14)	3-7	at CAR (1395): Lose by 2
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1442): L 16-22(OT): 1431-14→1417
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): Lose by 2 points
27 (+4)	Detroit LionsDET	1415 (+49)	4-6	vs BUF (1687): Lose by 9
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1420): W 31-18: 1366+49→1415
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): Lose by 9 points
28	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1397	3-7	at IND (1460): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1601): L 30-37: 1397+0→1397
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1460): Lose by 8 points
29	Carolina PanthersCAR	1395	3-8	vs DEN (1417): Win by 2
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1604): L 3-13: 1395+0→1395
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1417): Win by 2 points
30	Chicago BearsCHI	1388	3-8	at NYJ (1498): Lose by 8
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): L 24-27: 1388+0→1388
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): Lose by 8 points
31 (-4)	New York GiantsNYG	1371 (-49)	7-3	at DAL (1687): Lose by 11
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1366): L 18-31: 1420-49→1371
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1687): Lose by 11 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1304 (-32)	1-8-1	at MIA (1491): Lose by 10
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1460): L 10-23: 1336-32→1304
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1491): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2022 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713	7-2	at LAC (1447): Win by 8
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): W 27-17: 1713+0→1713
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): Win by 8 points
2 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1687 (-36)	6-3	at CLE (1445): Win by 9
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 30-33(OT): 1723-36→1687
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1445): Win by 9 points
3 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1643 (-18)	6-3	at MIN (1547): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1525): L 28-31(OT): 1661-18→1643
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1547): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1626	5-4	at ARI (1502): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): W 22-16: 1626+0→1626
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): Win by 7 points
5 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1605 (-64)	8-1	at IND (1460): Win by 6
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): L 21-32: 1669-64→1605
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1460): Win by 6 points
6	Baltimore RavensBAL	1604	6-3	vs CAR (1395): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1395): Win by 10 points
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1601	5-4	at PIT (1397): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): Win by 8 points
8 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1575	5-4	vs NYJ (1498): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1498): Win by 8 points
9 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1571 (-14)	6-4	bye
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): L 16-21: 1585-14→1571
next: (bye)
10	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549	6-3	at GB (1543): Lose by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1431): W 17-10: 1549+0→1549
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1543): Lose by 7 points
11 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1547 (+37)	8-1	vs DAL (1643): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1723): W 33-30(OT): 1510+37→1547
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1643): Slight underdog
12 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1543 (+18)	4-6	vs TEN (1549): Win by 7
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1661): W 31-28(OT): 1525+18→1543
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Win by 7 points
13 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1531 (+15)	5-5	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1585): W 21-16: 1516+15→1531
next: (bye)
14 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1502 (+37)	4-6	at SF (1626): Lose by 7
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): W 27-17: 1465+37→1502
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1626): Lose by 7 points
15 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1498	6-3	at NE (1575): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1575): Lose by 8 points
16 (+6)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1491 (+47)	7-3	bye
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): W 39-17: 1444+47→1491
next: (bye)
17 (+6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1460 (+16)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1605): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): W 25-20: 1444+16→1460
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1605): Lose by 6 points
18 (+10)	Washington CommandersWAS	1460 (+64)	5-5	at HOU (1336): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1669): W 32-21: 1396+64→1460
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1336): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1447	5-4	vs KC (1713): Lose by 8
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1626): L 16-22: 1447+0→1447
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Lose by 8 points
20 (-5)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1445 (-46)	3-6	at BUF (1687): Lose by 9
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): L 17-39: 1491-46→1445
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1687): Lose by 9 points
21 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1442 (-16)	2-7	at DEN (1431): Lose by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1444): L 20-25: 1458-16→1442
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1431): Lose by 6 points
22 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1439 (-36)	3-6	at NO (1434): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1465): L 17-27: 1475-36→1439
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1434): Lose by 7 points
23 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1434 (-26)	3-7	vs LAR (1439): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1371): L 10-20: 1460-26→1434
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1439): Win by 7 points
24	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1432	3-7	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 17-27: 1432+0→1432
next: (bye)
25	Denver BroncosDEN	1431	3-6	vs LV (1442): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): L 10-17: 1431+0→1431
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1442): Win by 6 points
26 (-6)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1423 (-28)	4-6	vs CHI (1388): Win by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1368): L 15-25: 1451-28→1423
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1388): Win by 8 points
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1420	7-2	vs DET (1366): Win by 8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1336): W 24-16: 1420+0→1420
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1366): Win by 8 points
28 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1397 (+26)	3-6	vs CIN (1601): Lose by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): W 20-10: 1371+26→1397
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1601): Lose by 8 points
29 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1395 (+27)	3-7	at BAL (1604): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): W 25-15: 1368+27→1395
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1604): Lose by 10 points
30 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1388 (-19)	3-7	at ATL (1423): Lose by 8
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1347): L 30-31: 1407-19→1388
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1423): Lose by 8 points
31	Detroit LionsDET	1366 (+19)	3-6	at NYG (1420): Lose by 8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1407): W 31-30: 1347+19→1366
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1420): Lose by 8 points
32	Houston TexansHOU	1336	1-7-1	vs WAS (1460): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1420): L 16-24: 1336+0→1336
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1460): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1723 (-28)	6-2	vs MIN (1510): Win by 10
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 17-20: 1751-28→1723
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Win by 10 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713	6-2	vs JAX (1432): Win by 12
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): W 20-17(OT): 1713+0→1713
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1432): Win by 12 points
3 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1669 (+8)	8-0	vs WAS (1396): Win by 11
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1343): W 29-17: 1661+8→1669
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1396): Win by 11 points
4 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1661	6-2	at GB (1525): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1525): Win by 7 points
5	San Francisco 49ersSF	1626	4-4	vs LAC (1447): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1447): Win by 10 points
6 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1604 (+40)	6-3	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 27-13: 1564+40→1604
next: (bye)
7 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1601 (+18)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): W 42-21: 1583+18→1601
next: (bye)
8	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1585 (+31)	6-3	at TB (1516): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): W 31-21: 1554+31→1585
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Win by 7 points
9 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1575 (+30)	5-4	bye
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): W 26-3: 1545+30→1575
next: (bye)
10 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549	5-3	vs DEN (1431): Win by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): L 17-20(OT): 1549+0→1549
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1431): Win by 8 points
11 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1525 (-23)	3-6	vs DAL (1661): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1324): L 9-15: 1548-23→1525
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1661): Lose by 7 points
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516	4-5	at SEA (1585): Lose by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): W 16-13: 1516+0→1516
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1585): Lose by 7 points
13	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510	7-1	at BUF (1723): Lose by 10
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1396): W 20-17: 1510+0→1510
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1723): Lose by 10 points
14 (+5)	New York JetsNYJ	1498 (+27)	6-3	bye
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1751): W 20-17: 1471+27→1498
next: (bye)
15 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491	3-5	at MIA (1444): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1444): Tossup
16 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1475	3-5	vs ARI (1465): Win by 7
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): L 13-16: 1475+0→1475
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1465): Win by 7 points
17 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1465 (-32)	3-6	at LAR (1475): Lose by 7
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1554): L 21-31: 1497-32→1465
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): Lose by 7 points
18 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1460 (-40)	3-6	at PIT (1371): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): L 13-27: 1500-40→1460
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1371): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1458 (-2)	2-6	vs IND (1444): Win by 7
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1429): L 20-27: 1460-2→1458
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1444): Win by 7 points
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1451 (-17)	4-5	at CAR (1368): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1430): L 17-20: 1468-17→1451
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1368): Tossup
21 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1447 (+17)	5-3	at SF (1626): Lose by 10
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): W 20-17: 1430+17→1447
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1626): Lose by 10 points
22 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1444 (+14)	6-3	vs CLE (1491): Tossup
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1421): W 35-32: 1430+14→1444
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1491): Tossup
23 (-5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1444 (-30)	3-5-1	at LV (1458): Lose by 7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1545): L 3-26: 1474-30→1444
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1458): Lose by 7 points
24 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1432 (+3)	3-6	at KC (1713): Lose by 12
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 27-20: 1429+3→1432
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Lose by 12 points
25 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1431	3-5	at TEN (1549): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Lose by 8 points
26 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1420	6-2	vs HOU (1336): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1336): Win by 8 points
27 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1407 (-14)	3-6	vs DET (1347): Win by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1430): L 32-35: 1421-14→1407
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1347): Win by 8 points
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1396	4-5	at PHI (1669): Lose by 11
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): L 17-20: 1396-0→1396
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1669): Lose by 11 points
29 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1371	2-6	vs NO (1460): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1368 (-17)	2-7	vs ATL (1451): Tossup
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1583): L 21-42: 1385-17→1368
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1451): Tossup
31 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1347 (+23)	2-6	at CHI (1407): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): W 15-9: 1324+23→1347
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1407): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1336 (-7)	1-6-1	at NYG (1420): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1661): L 17-29: 1343-7→1336
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1420): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1751 (+2)	6-1	at NYJ (1471): Win by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): W 27-17: 1749+2→1751
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1471): Win by 9 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713	5-2	vs TEN (1549): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Win by 10 points
3 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1661 (+22)	6-2	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): W 49-29: 1639+22→1661
next: (bye)
4	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1661 (+18)	7-0	at HOU (1343): Win by 10
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1389): W 35-13: 1643+18→1661
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1343): Win by 10 points
5 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1626 (+54)	4-4	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1529): W 31-14: 1572+54→1626
next: (bye)
6 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1583 (-61)	4-4	vs CAR (1385): Win by 10
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): L 13-32: 1644-61→1583
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): Win by 10 points
7	Baltimore RavensBAL	1564 (+12)	5-3	at NO (1500): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): W 27-22: 1552+12→1564
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight favorite
8 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1554 (+27)	5-3	at ARI (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): W 27-13: 1527+27→1554
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1497): Slight underdog
9 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549	5-2	at KC (1713): Lose by 10
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1343): W 17-10: 1549+0→1549
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1713): Lose by 10 points
10 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1548 (-1)	3-5	at DET (1324): Win by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): L 17-27: 1549-1→1548
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1324): Win by 8 points
11 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1545 (+11)	4-4	vs IND (1474): Win by 8
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1481): W 22-17: 1534+11→1545
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1474): Win by 8 points
12	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (-12)	3-5	vs LAR (1475): Win by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): L 22-27: 1528-12→1516
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1475): Win by 8 points
13 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1510 (+9)	6-1	at WAS (1396): Win by 2
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1507): W 34-26: 1501+9→1510
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1396): Win by 2 points
14 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500 (+47)	3-5	vs BAL (1564): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): W 24-0: 1453+47→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1564): Slight underdog
15	Arizona CardinalsARI	1497 (-10)	3-5	vs SEA (1554): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 26-34: 1507-10→1497
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1554): Slight favorite
16 (+8)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1491 (+60)	3-5	bye
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1644): W 32-13: 1431+60→1491
next: (bye)
17 (-6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1475 (-54)	3-4	at TB (1516): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1572): L 14-31: 1529-54→1475
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Lose by 8 points
18 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1474 (-26)	3-4-1	at NE (1545): Lose by 8
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): L 16-17: 1500-26→1474
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1545): Lose by 8 points
19 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (-10)	5-3	vs BUF (1751): Lose by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): L 17-22: 1481-10→1471
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1751): Lose by 9 points
20 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468	4-4	vs LAC (1430): Win by 7
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): W 37-34(OT): 1468+0→1468
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1430): Win by 7 points
21 (-7)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460 (-47)	2-5	at JAX (1429): Lose by 2
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1453): L 0-24: 1507-47→1460
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1429): Lose by 2 points
22 (+5)	Denver BroncosDEN	1431 (+8)	3-5	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1438): W 21-17: 1423+8→1431
next: (bye)
23 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1430 (+4)	5-3	at CHI (1421): Lose by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1328): W 31-27: 1426+4→1430
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1421): Lose by 7 points
24 (+1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1430	4-3	at ATL (1468): Lose by 7
prev: (bye)
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Lose by 7 points
25 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1429 (-9)	2-6	vs LV (1460): Win by 2
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1423): L 17-21: 1438-9→1429
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Win by 2 points
26 (-4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1421 (-23)	3-5	vs MIA (1430): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1639): L 29-49: 1444-23→1421
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1430): Win by 7 points
27 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1420 (-27)	6-2	bye
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1527): L 13-27: 1447-27→1420
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1396 (+25)	4-4	vs MIN (1510): Lose by 2
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): W 17-16: 1371+25→1396
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1510): Lose by 2 points
29	Carolina PanthersCAR	1385	2-6	at CIN (1583): Lose by 10
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): L 34-37(OT): 1385+0→1385
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1583): Lose by 10 points
30 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1371 (-18)	2-6	bye
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1643): L 13-35: 1389-18→1371
next: (bye)
31	Houston TexansHOU	1343	1-5-1	vs PHI (1661): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): L 10-17: 1343+0→1343
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1661): Lose by 10 points
32	Detroit LionsDET	1324 (-4)	1-6	vs GB (1548): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): L 27-31: 1328-4→1324
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1548): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1749	5-1	vs GB (1549): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1549): Win by 10 points
2	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1713 (+55)	5-2	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1628): W 44-23: 1658+55→1713
next: (bye)
3 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1644 (+34)	4-3	at CLE (1431): Win by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 35-17: 1610+34→1644
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): Win by 7 points
4 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1643	6-0	vs PIT (1389): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1389): Win by 11 points
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1639 (+23)	5-2	vs CHI (1444): Win by 9
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1351): W 24-6: 1616+23→1639
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Win by 9 points
6 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1572 (-56)	3-4	at LAR (1529): Lose by 3
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1658): L 23-44: 1628-56→1572
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1529): Lose by 3 points
7 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1552	4-3	at TB (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): W 23-20: 1552+0→1552
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): Slight underdog
8 (+3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1549 (+14)	4-2	at HOU (1343): Win by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): W 19-10: 1535+14→1549
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1343): Win by 7 points
9	Green Bay PackersGB	1549 (-17)	3-4	at BUF (1749): Lose by 10
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1354): L 21-23: 1566-17→1549
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1749): Lose by 10 points
10 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1534 (-76)	3-4	at NYJ (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1368): L 14-33: 1610-76→1534
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1481): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1529	3-3	vs SF (1572): Win by 3
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1572): Win by 3 points
12 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1528 (-65)	3-4	vs BAL (1552): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1321): L 3-21: 1593-65→1528
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): Slight favorite
13 (+5)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1527 (+51)	4-3	vs NYG (1447): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): W 37-23: 1476+51→1527
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1447): Win by 8 points
14 (+5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1507 (+35)	2-4	at NO (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1378): W 38-20: 1472+35→1507
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1453): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1507 (+8)	3-4	at MIN (1501): Lose by 6
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): W 42-34: 1499+8→1507
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Lose by 6 points
16 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501	5-1	vs ARI (1507): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1507): Win by 6 points
17 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500 (-14)	3-3-1	vs WAS (1371): Win by 8
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): L 10-19: 1514-14→1500
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): Win by 8 points
18 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1481 (+10)	5-2	vs NE (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1433): W 16-9: 1471+10→1481
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): Slight favorite
19 (-5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1468 (-33)	3-4	vs CAR (1385): Win by 8
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1610): L 17-35: 1501-33→1468
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1385): Win by 8 points
20 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1453 (-7)	2-5	vs LV (1507): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1499): L 34-42: 1460-7→1453
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1507): Slight favorite
21 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (+17)	6-1	at SEA (1527): Lose by 8
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): W 23-17: 1430+17→1447
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1527): Lose by 8 points
22 (+7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1444 (+76)	3-4	at DAL (1639): Lose by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1610): W 33-14: 1368+76→1444
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1639): Lose by 9 points
23 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1438 (-16)	2-5	at DEN (1423): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1430): L 17-23: 1454-16→1438
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1423): Slight favorite
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1431	2-5	vs CIN (1644): Lose by 7
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): L 20-23: 1431+0→1431
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1644): Lose by 7 points
25 (-8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1430 (-51)	4-3	bye
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): L 23-37: 1481-51→1430
next: (bye)
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1426	4-3	at DET (1328): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1389): W 16-10: 1426+0→1426
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1328): Slight favorite
27 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1423 (-10)	2-5	at JAX (1438): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): L 9-16: 1433-10→1423
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1438): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1389	2-5	at PHI (1643): Lose by 11
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): L 10-16: 1389+0→1389
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1643): Lose by 11 points
29 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1385 (+64)	2-5	at ATL (1468): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1593): W 21-3: 1321+64→1385
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1468): Lose by 8 points
30	Washington CommandersWAS	1371 (+17)	3-4	at IND (1500): Lose by 8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): W 23-21: 1354+17→1371
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Lose by 8 points
31 (-3)	Houston TexansHOU	1343 (-35)	1-4-1	vs TEN (1549): Lose by 7
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): L 20-38: 1378-35→1343
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1549): Lose by 7 points
32 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1328 (-23)	1-5	vs MIA (1426): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1616): L 6-24: 1351-23→1328
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1749 (+6)	5-1	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): W 24-20: 1743+6→1749
next: (bye)
2 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1658 (-6)	4-2	at SF (1628): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1743): L 20-24: 1664-6→1658
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1628): Slight underdog
3 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1643 (+21)	6-0	bye
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1636): W 26-17: 1622+21→1643
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1628 (-61)	3-3	vs KC (1658): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): L 14-28: 1689-61→1628
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1658): Slight favorite
5	Dallas CowboysDAL	1616 (-20)	4-2	vs DET (1351): Win by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): L 17-26: 1636-20→1616
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1351): Win by 9 points
6 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1610	3-3	vs ATL (1501): Win by 8
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): W 30-26: 1610+0→1610
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Win by 8 points
7 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1610 (+55)	3-3	vs CHI (1368): Win by 9
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1485): W 38-15: 1555+55→1610
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1368): Win by 9 points
8 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1593 (-21)	3-3	at CAR (1321): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1369): L 18-20: 1614-21→1593
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1321): Win by 8 points
9 (-5)	Green Bay PackersGB	1566 (-77)	3-3	at WAS (1354): Win by 7
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1394): L 10-27: 1643-77→1566
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1354): Win by 7 points
10 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1552 (-14)	3-3	vs CLE (1431): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): L 20-24: 1566-14→1552
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1431): Win by 8 points
11	Tennessee TitansTEN	1535	3-2	vs IND (1514): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): Win by 7 points
12 (+2)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1529 (+28)	3-3	bye
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): W 24-10: 1501+28→1529
next: (bye)
13	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1514	3-2-1	at TEN (1535): Lose by 7
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): W 34-27: 1514+0→1514
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): Lose by 7 points
14 (+9)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501 (+61)	3-3	at CIN (1610): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1689): W 28-14: 1440+61→1501
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1610): Lose by 8 points
15 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+22)	5-1	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1448): W 24-16: 1479+22→1501
next: (bye)
16 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1499 (-33)	2-4	vs NO (1460): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1444): L 9-19: 1532-33→1499
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): Win by 7 points
17 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (+1)	4-2	vs SEA (1476): Win by 3
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1434): W 19-16(OT): 1480+1→1481
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1476): Win by 3 points
18 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1476 (+32)	3-3	at LAC (1481): Lose by 3
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1532): W 19-9: 1444+32→1476
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Lose by 3 points
19 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472	1-4	vs HOU (1378): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1378): Win by 8 points
20 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1471 (+77)	4-2	at DEN (1433): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1643): W 27-10: 1394+77→1471
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1433): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1460 (-1)	2-4	at ARI (1499): Lose by 7
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1610): L 26-30: 1461-1→1460
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1499): Lose by 7 points
22 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454	2-4	vs NYG (1430): Win by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): L 27-34: 1454+0→1454
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1430): Win by 7 points
23 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1433 (-1)	2-4	vs NYJ (1471): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): L 16-19(OT): 1434-1→1433
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1471): Slight favorite
24 (-9)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1431 (-54)	2-4	at BAL (1552): Lose by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): L 15-38: 1485-54→1431
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1552): Lose by 8 points
25	New York GiantsNYG	1430 (+13)	5-1	at JAX (1454): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): W 24-20: 1417+13→1430
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Lose by 7 points
26 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1426 (-22)	3-3	vs PIT (1389): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): L 16-24: 1448-22→1426
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1389): Win by 7 points
27 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1389 (+20)	2-4	at MIA (1426): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1614): W 20-18: 1369+20→1389
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1426): Lose by 7 points
28	Houston TexansHOU	1378	1-3-1	at LV (1472): Lose by 8
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Lose by 8 points
29 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1368 (-18)	2-4	at NE (1610): Lose by 9
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1336): L 7-12: 1386-18→1368
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1610): Lose by 9 points
30 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1354 (+18)	2-4	vs GB (1566): Lose by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1386): W 12-7: 1336+18→1354
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1566): Lose by 7 points
31 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1351	1-4	at DAL (1616): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1616): Lose by 9 points
32 (-1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1321 (-28)	1-5	vs TB (1593): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): L 10-24: 1349-28→1321
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1593): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1743 (+28)	4-1	at KC (1664): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): W 38-3: 1715+28→1743
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1689 (+42)	3-2	at ATL (1440): Win by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): W 37-15: 1647+42→1689
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Win by 8 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1664	4-1	vs BUF (1743): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): W 30-29: 1664+0→1664
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1743): Slight underdog
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1643 (-30)	3-2	vs NYJ (1394): Win by 9
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1386): L 22-27: 1673-30→1643
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1394): Win by 9 points
5 (+3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1636 (+44)	4-1	at PHI (1622): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): W 22-10: 1592+44→1636
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1622): Slight underdog
6 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1622 (+6)	5-0	vs DAL (1636): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): W 20-17: 1616+6→1622
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1636): Slight favorite
7	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1614	3-2	at PIT (1369): Win by 8
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): W 21-15: 1614+0→1614
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1369): Win by 8 points
8 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1610 (-6)	2-3	at NO (1461): Win by 3
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): L 17-19: 1616-6→1610
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1461): Win by 3 points
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1566 (+6)	3-2	at NYG (1417): Win by 3
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1616): W 19-17: 1560+6→1566
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): Win by 3 points
10 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1555 (+42)	2-3	at CLE (1485): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1393): W 29-0: 1513+42→1555
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1485): Tossup
11 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1535	3-2	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1336): W 21-17: 1535+0→1535
next: (bye)
12 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1532 (-6)	2-3	at SEA (1444): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): L 17-20: 1538-6→1532
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1444): Tossup
13 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1514 (+10)	2-2-1	vs JAX (1454): Win by 7
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1444): W 12-9(OT): 1504+10→1514
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1454): Win by 7 points
14 (-4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1501 (-44)	2-3	vs CAR (1349): Win by 8
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1592): L 10-22: 1545-44→1501
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1349): Win by 8 points
15 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1485 (-16)	2-3	vs NE (1555): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1465): L 28-30: 1501-16→1485
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1555): Tossup
16 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1480 (+15)	3-2	vs DEN (1434): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): W 30-28: 1465+15→1480
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1434): Win by 6 points
17	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479	4-1	at MIA (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1386): W 29-22: 1479+0→1479
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1448): Slight underdog
18 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472	1-4	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): L 29-30: 1472+0→1472
next: (bye)
19 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1461 (+2)	2-3	vs CIN (1610): Lose by 3
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1445): W 39-32: 1459+2→1461
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1610): Lose by 3 points
20 (-2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1454 (-24)	2-3	at IND (1514): Lose by 7
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1354): L 6-13: 1478-24→1454
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): Lose by 7 points
21 (-8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1448 (-66)	3-2	vs MIN (1479): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1328): L 17-40: 1514-66→1448
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Slight favorite
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1444 (-1)	2-3	vs ARI (1532): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): L 32-39: 1445-1→1444
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1532): Tossup
23 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440	2-3	vs SF (1689): Lose by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1614): L 15-21: 1440+0→1440
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1689): Lose by 8 points
24 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1434 (-10)	2-3	at LAC (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1504): L 9-12(OT): 1444-10→1434
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1480): Lose by 6 points
25 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1417 (+31)	4-1	vs BAL (1566): Lose by 3
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): W 27-22: 1386+31→1417
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1566): Lose by 3 points
26 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1394 (+66)	3-2	at GB (1643): Lose by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1514): W 40-17: 1328+66→1394
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1643): Lose by 9 points
27 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1386	2-3	vs WAS (1336): Win by 7
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): L 22-29: 1386+0→1386
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1336): Win by 7 points
28 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1378 (+24)	1-3-1	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): W 13-6: 1354+24→1378
next: (bye)
29 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1369 (-28)	1-4	vs TB (1614): Lose by 8
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1715): L 3-38: 1397-28→1369
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1614): Lose by 8 points
30 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1351 (-42)	1-4	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1513): L 0-29: 1393-42→1351
next: (bye)
31 (-4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1349 (-42)	1-4	at LAR (1501): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1647): L 15-37: 1391-42→1349
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1501): Lose by 8 points
32 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1336	1-4	at CHI (1386): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): L 17-21: 1336+0→1336
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1386): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1715 (+1)	3-1	vs PIT (1397): Win by 9
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): W 23-20: 1714+1→1715
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1397): Win by 9 points
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1673	3-1	at NYG (1386): Win by 8
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): W 27-24(OT): 1673+0→1673
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1386): Win by 8 points
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1664 (+44)	3-1	vs LV (1472): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): W 41-31: 1620+44→1664
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1472): Win by 8 points
4 (+2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1647 (+46)	2-2	at CAR (1391): Win by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): W 24-9: 1601+46→1647
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1391): Win by 8 points
5	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1616 (+3)	4-0	at ARI (1538): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): W 29-21: 1613+3→1616
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1538): Tossup
6 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1616 (+36)	2-2	at BAL (1560): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1550): W 27-15: 1580+36→1616
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): Tossup
7 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1614 (-43)	2-2	vs ATL (1440): Win by 8
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): L 31-41: 1657-43→1614
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1440): Win by 8 points
8 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1592 (+34)	3-1	at LAR (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): W 25-10: 1558+34→1592
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1545): Slight underdog
9	Baltimore RavensBAL	1560	2-2	vs CIN (1616): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1714): L 20-23: 1560-0→1560
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1616): Tossup
10 (-3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1545 (-46)	2-2	vs DAL (1592): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): L 9-24: 1591-46→1545
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1592): Slight favorite
11 (+5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1538 (+34)	2-2	vs PHI (1616): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): W 26-16: 1504+34→1538
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1616): Tossup
12	Tennessee TitansTEN	1535 (+15)	2-2	at WAS (1336): Win by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): W 24-17: 1520+15→1535
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1336): Win by 7 points
13 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1514 (-36)	3-1	at NYJ (1328): Win by 7
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1580): L 15-27: 1550-36→1514
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1328): Win by 7 points
14	New England PatriotsNE	1513	1-3	vs DET (1393): Win by 8
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): L 24-27(OT): 1513+0→1513
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1393): Win by 8 points
15 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1504 (-15)	1-2-1	at DEN (1444): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): L 17-24: 1519-15→1504
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1444): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1501 (-9)	2-2	vs LAC (1465): Win by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): L 20-23: 1510-9→1501
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1465): Win by 7 points
17 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479 (+7)	3-1	vs CHI (1386): Win by 7
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1466): W 28-25: 1472+7→1479
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1386): Win by 7 points
18 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1478 (-3)	2-2	vs HOU (1354): Win by 8
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1613): L 21-29: 1481-3→1478
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1354): Win by 8 points
19 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1472 (+24)	1-3	at KC (1664): Lose by 8
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): W 32-23: 1448+24→1472
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1664): Lose by 8 points
20 (+4)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1465 (+38)	2-2	at CLE (1501): Lose by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1392): W 34-24: 1427+38→1465
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1501): Lose by 7 points
21 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1459 (-7)	1-3	vs SEA (1445): Win by 4
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): L 25-28: 1466-7→1459
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1445): Win by 4 points
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1445 (+10)	2-2	at NO (1459): Lose by 4
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1404): W 48-45: 1435+10→1445
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): Lose by 4 points
23 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1444 (-24)	2-2	vs IND (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): L 23-32: 1468-24→1444
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1504): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1440 (+10)	2-2	at TB (1614): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): W 23-20: 1430+10→1440
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1614): Lose by 8 points
25 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1397 (-25)	1-3	at BUF (1715): Lose by 9
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1303): L 20-24: 1422-25→1397
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1715): Lose by 9 points
26 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1393 (-11)	1-3	at NE (1513): Lose by 8
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1435): L 45-48: 1404-11→1393
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1513): Lose by 8 points
27 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1391 (-34)	1-3	vs SF (1647): Lose by 8
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): L 16-26: 1425-34→1391
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1647): Lose by 8 points
28 (+3)	New York GiantsNYG	1386 (+18)	3-1	at GB (1673): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1403): W 20-12: 1368+18→1386
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): Lose by 8 points
29 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1386 (-17)	2-2	at MIN (1479): Lose by 7
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1368): L 12-20: 1403-17→1386
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Lose by 7 points
30 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1354 (-38)	0-3-1	at JAX (1478): Lose by 8
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1427): L 24-34: 1392-38→1354
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1478): Lose by 8 points
31 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1336 (-35)	1-3	vs TEN (1535): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): L 10-25: 1371-35→1336
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1535): Lose by 7 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1328 (+25)	2-2	vs MIA (1514): Lose by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1422): W 24-20: 1303+25→1328
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1514): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1714 (-14)	2-1	at BAL (1560): Win by 2
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1536): L 19-21: 1728-14→1714
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1560): Win by 2 points
2 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1673 (+14)	2-1	vs NE (1513): Win by 8
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): W 14-12: 1659+14→1673
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1513): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1657 (-14)	2-1	vs KC (1620): Win by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1659): L 12-14: 1671-14→1657
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): Win by 6 points
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1620 (-14)	2-1	at TB (1657): Lose by 6
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1505): L 17-20: 1634-14→1620
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1657): Lose by 6 points
5 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1613 (+54)	3-0	vs JAX (1481): Win by 8
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1424): W 24-8: 1559+54→1613
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1481): Win by 8 points
6 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1601 (-14)	1-2	vs LAR (1591): Win by 2
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): L 10-11: 1615-14→1601
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): Win by 2 points
7 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1591 (+24)	2-1	at SF (1601): Lose by 2
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1528): W 20-12: 1567+24→1591
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1601): Lose by 2 points
8 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1580 (+45)	1-2	vs MIA (1550): Win by 5
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1348): W 27-12: 1535+45→1580
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1550): Win by 5 points
9 (+5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1560 (+52)	2-1	vs BUF (1714): Lose by 2
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1566): W 37-26: 1508+52→1560
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1714): Lose by 2 points
10 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1558 (+3)	2-1	vs WAS (1371): Win by 8
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): W 23-16: 1555+3→1558
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1371): Win by 8 points
11 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1550 (+14)	3-0	at CIN (1580): Lose by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1728): W 21-19: 1536+14→1550
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1580): Lose by 5 points
12 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1520	1-2	at IND (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): W 24-22: 1520+0→1520
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1519): Slight underdog
13 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1519 (+14)	1-1-1	vs TEN (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): W 20-17: 1505+14→1519
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): Slight favorite
14 (-7)	New England PatriotsNE	1513 (-53)	1-2	at GB (1673): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): L 26-37: 1566-53→1513
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1673): Lose by 8 points
15 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1510 (+39)	2-1	at ATL (1430): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): W 29-17: 1471+39→1510
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1430): Slight favorite
16 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (-24)	1-2	at CAR (1425): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 12-20: 1528-24→1504
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1425): Tossup
17 (+12)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1481 (+79)	2-1	at PHI (1613): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 38-10: 1402+79→1481
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1613): Lose by 8 points
18	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1472	2-1	at NO (1466): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1404): W 28-24: 1472+0→1472
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1466): Tossup
19 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1468 (+14)	2-1	at LV (1448): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1615): W 11-10: 1454+14→1468
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): Slight underdog
20 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1466 (-20)	1-2	at MIN (1472): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): L 14-22: 1486-20→1466
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): Tossup
21 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1448	0-3	vs DEN (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): L 22-24: 1448+0→1448
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1468): Slight favorite
22	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1435 (-17)	1-2	at DET (1404): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): L 23-27: 1452-17→1435
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1404): Slight underdog
23 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1430 (+17)	1-2	vs CLE (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1452): W 27-23: 1413+17→1430
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1510): Slight underdog
24 (-9)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1427 (-79)	1-2	at HOU (1392): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1402): L 10-38: 1506-79→1427
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1392): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1425 (+20)	1-2	vs ARI (1504): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 22-14: 1405+20→1425
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Tossup
26 (-6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1422 (-40)	1-2	vs NYJ (1303): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): L 17-29: 1462-40→1422
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1303): Win by 8 points
27	Detroit LionsDET	1404	1-2	vs SEA (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): L 24-28: 1404+0→1404
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1435): Slight favorite
28	Chicago BearsCHI	1403	2-1	at NYG (1368): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1393): W 23-20: 1403+0→1403
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1368): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1392 (-1)	0-2-1	vs LAC (1427): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1403): L 20-23: 1393-1→1392
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1427): Slight favorite
30 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1371 (-53)	1-2	at DAL (1558): Lose by 8
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): L 8-24: 1424-53→1371
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1558): Lose by 8 points
31	New York GiantsNYG	1368 (-3)	2-1	vs CHI (1403): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): L 16-23: 1371-3→1368
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1403): Slight favorite
32	New York JetsNYJ	1303 (-45)	1-2	at PIT (1422): Lose by 8
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): L 12-27: 1348-45→1303
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1422): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1728 (+48)	2-0	at MIA (1536): Win by 2
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1569): W 41-7: 1680+48→1728
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1536): Win by 2 points
2	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1671 (+35)	2-0	vs GB (1659): Win by 2
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1522): W 20-10: 1636+35→1671
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1659): Win by 2 points
3 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1659 (+41)	1-1	at TB (1671): Lose by 2
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): W 27-10: 1618+41→1659
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1671): Lose by 2 points
4 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1634	2-0	at IND (1505): Win by 1 point
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): W 27-24: 1634+0→1634
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1505): Win by 1 point
5 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1615 (+52)	1-1	at DEN (1454): Win by 3
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): W 27-7: 1563+52→1615
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Win by 3 points
6 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1567	1-1	at ARI (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): W 31-27: 1567+0→1567
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1528): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1566 (+6)	1-1	vs BAL (1508): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): W 17-14: 1560+6→1566
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1508): Win by 7 points
8 (+11)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1559 (+56)	2-0	at WAS (1424): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1528): W 24-7: 1503+56→1559
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1424): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555	1-1	at NYG (1371): Win by 3
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): W 20-17: 1555+0→1555
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1371): Win by 3 points
10 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1536 (+14)	2-0	vs BUF (1728): Lose by 2
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): W 42-38: 1522+14→1536
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1728): Lose by 2 points
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1535	0-2	at NYJ (1348): Win by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): L 17-20: 1535+0→1535
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1348): Win by 7 points
12 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1528 (+12)	1-1	vs LAR (1567): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 29-23(OT): 1516+12→1528
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Slight favorite
13 (-7)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1520 (-49)	0-2	vs LV (1448): Win by 7
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): L 7-41: 1569-49→1520
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1448): Win by 7 points
14 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1508 (-14)	1-1	at NE (1566): Lose by 7
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): L 38-42: 1522-14→1508
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1566): Lose by 7 points
15 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	1-1	vs JAX (1402): Win by 8
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): L 24-27: 1506+0→1506
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1402): Win by 8 points
16 (-11)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1505 (-77)	0-1-1	vs KC (1634): Lose by 1 point
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): L 0-24: 1582-77→1505
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): Lose by 1 point
17 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (-36)	1-1	at CAR (1405): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1636): L 10-20: 1522-36→1486
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1405): Tossup
18 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1472 (-56)	1-1	vs DET (1404): Win by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): L 7-24: 1528-56→1472
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1404): Win by 7 points
19 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1471 (-27)	1-1	vs PIT (1462): Win by 2
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1321): L 30-31: 1498-27→1471
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1462): Win by 2 points
20 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1462 (-6)	1-1	at CLE (1471): Lose by 2
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1560): L 14-17: 1468-6→1462
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1471): Lose by 2 points
21 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1454	1-1	vs SF (1615): Lose by 3
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1393): W 16-9: 1454+0→1454
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1615): Lose by 3 points
22 (-4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1452 (-52)	1-1	vs ATL (1413): Win by 6
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1563): L 7-27: 1504-52→1452
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): Win by 6 points
23 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1448 (-12)	0-2	at TEN (1520): Lose by 7
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): L 23-29(OT): 1460-12→1448
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1520): Lose by 7 points
24 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1424 (-31)	1-1	vs PHI (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1372): L 27-36: 1455-31→1424
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1559): Slight underdog
25 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1413	0-2	at SEA (1452): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): L 27-31: 1413+0→1413
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1452): Lose by 6 points
26 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1405 (-5)	0-2	vs NO (1486): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): L 16-19: 1410-5→1405
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Tossup
27 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1404 (+32)	1-1	at MIN (1472): Lose by 7
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): W 36-27: 1372+32→1404
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1472): Lose by 7 points
28 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1403 (-41)	1-1	vs HOU (1393): Win by 2
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1618): L 10-27: 1444-41→1403
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1393): Win by 2 points
29 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1402 (+77)	1-1	at LAC (1506): Lose by 8
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1582): W 24-0: 1325+77→1402
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Lose by 8 points
30 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1393	0-1-1	at CHI (1403): Lose by 2
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): L 9-16: 1393+0→1393
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1403): Lose by 2 points
31 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1371 (+6)	2-0	vs DAL (1555): Lose by 3
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1410): W 19-16: 1365+6→1371
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Lose by 3 points
32	New York JetsNYJ	1348 (+27)	1-1	vs CIN (1535): Lose by 7
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): W 31-30: 1321+27→1348
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2022 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1680 (+14)	1-0	vs TEN (1569): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): W 31-10: 1666+14→1680
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1569): Win by 8 points
2 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1636 (+14)	1-0	at NO (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): W 19-3: 1622+14→1636
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1522): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1634 (+14)	1-0	vs LAC (1506): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1530): W 44-21: 1620+14→1634
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Win by 7 points
4 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1618 (-14)	0-1	vs CHI (1444): Win by 8
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): L 7-23: 1632-14→1618
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1444): Win by 8 points
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1582 (-2)	0-0-1	at JAX (1325): Win by 7
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1391): T 20-20(OT): 1584-2→1582
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): Win by 7 points
6 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1569 (-6)	0-1	at BUF (1680): Lose by 8
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1359): L 20-21: 1575-6→1569
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1680): Lose by 8 points
7 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1567 (-14)	0-1	vs ATL (1413): Win by 8
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): L 10-31: 1581-14→1567
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1413): Win by 8 points
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1563 (-8)	0-1	vs SEA (1504): Win by 7
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): L 10-19: 1571-8→1563
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Win by 7 points
9	New England PatriotsNE	1560 (-11)	0-1	at PIT (1468): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1511): L 7-20: 1571-11→1560
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1468): Slight favorite
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1555 (-14)	0-1	vs CIN (1535): Win by 3
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1622): L 3-19: 1569-14→1555
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1535): Win by 3 points
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1535 (-5)	0-1	at DAL (1555): Lose by 3
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1463): L 20-23(OT): 1540-5→1535
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1555): Lose by 3 points
12 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1528 (+14)	1-0	at PHI (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1632): W 23-7: 1514+14→1528
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1522 (+11)	1-0	vs MIA (1522): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1331): W 24-9: 1511+11→1522
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1522): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1522 (+11)	1-0	at BAL (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1571): W 20-7: 1511+11→1522
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1522): Slight underdog
15 (-2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1522 (+1)	1-0	vs TB (1636): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1414): W 27-26: 1521+1→1522
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1636): Slight underdog
16 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1516 (-14)	0-1	at LV (1460): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): L 21-44: 1530-14→1516
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Slight underdog
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	1-0	at KC (1634): Lose by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): W 24-19: 1506+0→1506
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1634): Lose by 7 points
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	1-0	at SF (1563): Lose by 7
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1454): W 17-16: 1504+0→1504
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1563): Lose by 7 points
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503	1-0	vs MIN (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1373): W 38-35: 1503+0→1503
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1528): Slight favorite
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1498 (+1)	1-0	vs NYJ (1321): Win by 8
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1411): W 26-24: 1497+1→1498
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1321): Win by 8 points
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1468 (+5)	1-0	vs NE (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): W 23-20(OT): 1463+5→1468
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1560): Slight underdog
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460	0-1	vs ARI (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 19-24: 1460+0→1460
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1516): Slight favorite
23	Washington CommandersWAS	1455	1-0	at DET (1372): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): W 28-22: 1455+0→1455
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1372): Slight favorite
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1454	0-1	vs HOU (1393): Win by 7
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): L 16-17: 1454+0→1454
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1393): Win by 7 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1444 (+8)	1-0	at GB (1618): Lose by 8
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): W 19-10: 1436+8→1444
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1618): Lose by 8 points
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1413 (-1)	0-1	at LAR (1567): Lose by 8
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1521): L 26-27: 1414-1→1413
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1567): Lose by 8 points
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1410 (-1)	0-1	at NYG (1365): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): L 24-26: 1411-1→1410
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1365): Slight underdog
28	Houston TexansHOU	1393 (+2)	0-0-1	at DEN (1454): Lose by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1584): T 20-20(OT): 1391+2→1393
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Lose by 7 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1372 (-1)	0-1	vs WAS (1455): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): L 35-38: 1373-1→1372
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1365 (+6)	1-0	vs CAR (1410): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1575): W 21-20: 1359+6→1365
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1410): Slight favorite
31 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1325	0-1	vs IND (1582): Lose by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1455): L 22-28: 1325+0→1325
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1582): Lose by 7 points
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1321 (-10)	0-1	at CLE (1498): Lose by 8
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): L 9-24: 1331-10→1321
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1498): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2022 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Buffalo BillsBUF	1666	0-0	at LAR (1581): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1785-119→1666
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1581): Slight favorite
2	Green Bay PackersGB	1632	0-0	at MIN (1514): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1726-94→1632
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Slight favorite
3	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1622	0-0	at DAL (1569): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1710-88→1622
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1569): Slight underdog
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1620	0-0	at ARI (1530): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1706-86→1620
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1530): Slight favorite
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1584	0-0	at HOU (1391): Win by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1644-60→1584
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1391): Win by 3 points
6	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1581	0-0	vs BUF (1666): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1640-59→1581
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1666): Slight underdog
7	Tennessee TitansTEN	1575	0-0	vs NYG (1359): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1630-55→1575
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1359): Win by 8 points
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1571	0-0	at CHI (1436): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1622-51→1571
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1436): Slight favorite
9	New England PatriotsNE	1571	0-0	at MIA (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1622-51→1571
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1511): Slight underdog
10	Dallas CowboysDAL	1569	0-0	vs TB (1622): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1619-50→1569
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1622): Slight favorite
11	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1540	0-0	vs PIT (1463): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1569-29→1540
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1463): Win by 7 points
12	Arizona CardinalsARI	1530	0-0	vs KC (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1551-21→1530
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): Slight underdog
13	New Orleans SaintsNO	1521	0-0	at ATL (1414): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1535-14→1521
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1414): Slight favorite
14	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514	0-0	vs GB (1632): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1525-11→1514
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1632): Slight underdog
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1511	0-0	at NYJ (1331): Win by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1520-9→1511
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1331): Win by 5 points
16	Miami DolphinsMIA	1511	0-0	vs NE (1571): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1518-7→1511
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1571): Slight favorite
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506	0-0	vs LV (1460): Win by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1510-4→1506
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1460): Win by 6 points
18	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1504	0-0	vs DEN (1454): Win by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1506-2→1504
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1454): Win by 7 points
19	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503	0-0	at DET (1373): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1505-2→1503
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1373): Slight favorite
20	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1497	0-0	at CAR (1411): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1494+3→1497
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1411): Slight favorite
21	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1463	0-0	at CIN (1540): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1436+27→1463
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1540): Lose by 7 points
22	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1460	0-0	at LAC (1506): Lose by 6
prev: offseason parity reset: 1432+28→1460
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Lose by 6 points
23	Washington CommandersWAS	1455	0-0	vs JAX (1325): Win by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1423+32→1455
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1325): Win by 8 points
24	Denver BroncosDEN	1454	0-0	at SEA (1504): Lose by 7
prev: offseason parity reset: 1421+33→1454
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1504): Lose by 7 points
25	Chicago BearsCHI	1436	0-0	vs SF (1571): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1390+46→1436
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1571): Slight underdog
26	Atlanta FalconsATL	1414	0-0	vs NO (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1352+62→1414
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1521): Slight underdog
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1411	0-0	vs CLE (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1348+63→1411
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1497): Slight underdog
28	Houston TexansHOU	1391	0-0	vs IND (1584): Lose by 3
prev: offseason parity reset: 1313+78→1391
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1584): Lose by 3 points
29	Detroit LionsDET	1373	0-0	vs PHI (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1282+91→1373
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight underdog
30	New York GiantsNYG	1359	0-0	at TEN (1575): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1257+102→1359
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1575): Lose by 8 points
31	New York JetsNYJ	1331	0-0	vs BAL (1511): Lose by 5
prev: offseason parity reset: 1210+121→1331
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1511): Lose by 5 points
32	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1325	0-0	at WAS (1455): Lose by 8
prev: offseason parity reset: 1200+125→1325
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1455): Lose by 8 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2022 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1455 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs KC(1620) L 21-44: -14→1516	9	17	vs SEA(1554) L 21-31: -32→1465	17	27	at ATL(1411) L 19-20: +0→1402
2	12	at LV(1460) W 29-23: +12→1528	10	14	at LAR(1475) W 27-17: +37→1502	18	28	at SF(1732) L 13-38: -16→1386
3	16	vs LAR(1567) L 12-20: -24→1504	11	17	at SF(1626) L 10-38: -34→1468	W	28
4	11	at CAR(1425) W 26-16: +34→1538	12	19	vs LAC(1447) L 24-25: -12→1456	D	28
5	12	vs PHI(1616) L 17-20: -6→1532	13	20	(bye)	C	28
6	16	at SEA(1444) L 9-19: -33→1499	14	27	vs NE(1536) L 13-27: -33→1423	S	28
7	15	vs NO(1460) W 42-34: +8→1507	15	28	at DEN(1387) L 15-24: -15→1408
8	15	at MIN(1501) L 26-34: -10→1497	16	27	vs TB(1477) L 16-19: -6→1402

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (+57 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1473 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs NO(1521) L 26-27: -1→1413	9	20	vs LAC(1430) L 17-20: -17→1451	17	26	vs ARI(1402) W 20-19: +0→1411
2	25	at LAR(1567) L 27-31: +0→1413	10	26	at CAR(1368) L 15-25: -28→1423	18	25	vs TB(1483) W 30-17: +10→1421
3	23	at SEA(1452) W 27-23: +17→1430	11	25	vs CHI(1388) W 27-24: +0→1423	W	25
4	24	vs CLE(1510) W 23-20: +10→1440	12	26	at WAS(1491) L 13-19: +0→1423	D	25
5	23	at TB(1614) L 15-21: +0→1440	13	27	vs PIT(1416) L 16-19: -12→1411	C	25
6	14	vs SF(1689) W 28-14: +61→1501	14	28	(bye)	S	25
7	19	at CIN(1610) L 17-35: -33→1468	15	26	at NO(1424) L 18-21: +0→1411
8	20	vs CAR(1385) W 37-34: +0→1468	16	26	at BAL(1568) L 9-17: +0→1411

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1485 (-78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1459 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at NYJ(1331) W 24-9: +11→1522	9	6	at NO(1500) W 27-13: +40→1604	17	9	vs PIT(1449) L 13-16: -13→1555
2	14	vs MIA(1522) L 38-42: -14→1508	10	6	(bye)	18	9	at CIN(1663) L 16-27: -13→1542
3	9	at NE(1566) W 37-26: +52→1560	11	6	vs CAR(1395) W 13-3: +0→1604	W	9	at CIN(1676) L 17-24: +0→1542
4	9	vs BUF(1714) L 20-23: -0→1560	12	7	at JAX(1432) L 27-28: -11→1593	D	9
5	9	vs CIN(1616) W 19-17: +6→1566	13	7	vs DEN(1387) W 10-9: +0→1593	C	9
6	10	at NYG(1417) L 20-24: -14→1552	14	7	at PIT(1428) W 16-14: +0→1593	S	9
7	7	vs CLE(1431) W 23-20: +0→1552	15	7	at CLE(1463) L 3-13: -25→1568
8	7	at TB(1528) W 27-22: +12→1564	16	7	vs ATL(1411) W 17-9: +0→1568

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-203 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1513 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	at LAR(1581) W 31-10: +14→1680	9	1	at NYJ(1471) L 17-20: -28→1723	17	1	(bye)
2	1	vs TEN(1569) W 41-7: +48→1728	10	2	vs MIN(1510) L 30-33: -36→1687	18	2	vs NE(1561) W 35-23: +12→1749
3	1	at MIA(1536) L 19-21: -14→1714	11	2	at CLE(1445) W 31-23: +0→1687	W	3	vs MIA(1476) W 34-31: +0→1749
4	1	at BAL(1560) W 23-20: +1→1715	12	2	at DET(1415) W 28-25: +0→1687	D	3	vs CIN(1676) L 10-27: -32→1717
5	1	vs PIT(1397) W 38-3: +28→1743	13	1	at NE(1568) W 24-10: +32→1719	C	3
6	1	at KC(1664) W 24-20: +6→1749	14	1	vs NYJ(1524) W 20-12: +0→1719	S	3
7	1	(bye)	15	1	vs MIA(1484) W 32-29: +0→1719
8	1	vs GB(1549) W 27-17: +2→1751	16	1	at CHI(1347) W 35-13: +18→1737

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+100 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs CLE(1497) L 24-26: -1→1410	9	30	at CIN(1583) L 21-42: -17→1368	17	21	at TB(1483) L 24-30: -0→1455
2	26	at NYG(1365) L 16-19: -5→1405	10	29	vs ATL(1451) W 25-15: +27→1395	18	20	at NO(1473) W 10-7: +8→1463
3	25	vs NO(1486) W 22-14: +20→1425	11	29	at BAL(1604) L 3-13: +0→1395	W	19
4	27	vs ARI(1504) L 16-26: -34→1391	12	24	vs DEN(1417) W 23-10: +30→1425	D	19
5	31	vs SF(1647) L 15-37: -42→1349	13	23	(bye)	C	19
6	32	at LAR(1501) L 10-24: -28→1321	14	22	at SEA(1548) W 30-24: +18→1443	S	19
7	29	vs TB(1593) W 21-3: +64→1385	15	23	vs PIT(1428) L 16-24: -18→1425
8	29	at ATL(1468) L 34-37: +0→1385	16	21	vs DET(1489) W 37-23: +30→1455

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+115 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1525 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs SF(1571) W 19-10: +8→1444	9	27	vs MIA(1430) L 32-35: -14→1407	17	31	at DET(1459) L 10-41: -25→1304
2	28	at GB(1618) L 10-27: -41→1403	10	30	vs DET(1347) L 30-31: -19→1388	18	31	vs MIN(1458) L 13-29: -26→1278
3	28	vs HOU(1393) W 23-20: +0→1403	11	30	at ATL(1423) L 24-27: +0→1388	W	31
4	29	at NYG(1368) L 12-20: -17→1386	12	31	at NYJ(1498) L 10-31: -26→1362	D	31
5	27	at MIN(1479) L 22-29: +0→1386	13	31	vs GB(1510) L 19-28: -15→1347	C	31
6	29	vs WAS(1336) L 7-12: -18→1368	14	30	(bye)	S	31
7	22	at NE(1610) W 33-14: +76→1444	15	31	vs PHI(1666) L 20-25: +0→1347
8	26	at DAL(1639) L 29-49: -23→1421	16	31	vs BUF(1719) L 13-35: -18→1329

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-100 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs PIT(1463) L 20-23: -5→1535	9	7	vs CAR(1385) W 42-21: +18→1601	17	5	(bye)
2	11	at DAL(1555) L 17-20: +0→1535	10	7	(bye)	18	4	vs BAL(1555) W 27-16: +13→1676
3	8	at NYJ(1348) W 27-12: +45→1580	11	7	at PIT(1397) W 37-30: +0→1601	W	5	vs BAL(1542) W 24-17: +0→1676
4	6	vs MIA(1550) W 27-15: +36→1616	12	5	at TEN(1583) W 20-16: +13→1614	D	4	at BUF(1749) W 27-10: +32→1708
5	8	at BAL(1560) L 17-19: -6→1610	13	6	vs KC(1725) W 27-24: +8→1622	C	4	at KC(1756) L 20-23: +0→1708
6	6	at NO(1461) W 30-26: +0→1610	14	6	vs CLE(1481) W 23-10: +17→1639	S	4
7	3	vs ATL(1501) W 35-17: +34→1644	15	6	at TB(1498) W 34-23: +21→1660
8	6	at CLE(1431) L 13-32: -61→1583	16	6	at NE(1564) W 22-18: +3→1663

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1483 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	at CAR(1411) W 26-24: +1→1498	9	15	(bye)	17	13	at WAS(1449) W 24-10: +31→1505
2	19	vs NYJ(1321) L 30-31: -27→1471	10	20	at MIA(1444) L 17-39: -46→1445	18	16	at PIT(1462) L 14-28: -25→1480
3	15	vs PIT(1462) W 29-17: +39→1510	11	21	at BUF(1687) L 23-31: +0→1445	W	15
4	16	at ATL(1430) L 20-23: -9→1501	12	20	vs TB(1531) W 23-17: +10→1455	D	15
5	15	vs LAC(1465) L 28-30: -16→1485	13	18	at HOU(1290) W 27-14: +26→1481	C	15
6	24	vs NE(1555) L 15-38: -54→1431	14	19	at CIN(1622) L 10-23: -18→1463	S	15
7	24	at BAL(1552) L 20-23: +0→1431	15	14	vs BAL(1593) W 13-3: +25→1488
8	16	vs CIN(1644) W 32-13: +60→1491	16	17	vs NO(1424) L 10-17: -14→1474

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1472 (-169 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1448 \| avg. lost to rating: 1528 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs TB(1622) L 3-19: -14→1555	9	4	(bye)	17	4	at TEN(1469) W 27-13: +20→1706
2	9	vs CIN(1535) W 20-17: +0→1555	10	3	at GB(1525) L 28-31: -18→1643	18	5	at WAS(1418) L 6-26: -40→1666
3	10	at NYG(1371) W 23-16: +3→1558	11	3	at MIN(1547) W 40-3: +44→1687	W	4	at TB(1473) W 31-14: +22→1688
4	8	vs WAS(1371) W 25-10: +34→1592	12	3	vs NYG(1371) W 28-20: +0→1687	D	5	at SF(1766) L 12-19: +0→1688
5	5	at LAR(1545) W 22-10: +44→1636	13	3	vs IND(1441) W 54-19: +16→1703	C	5
6	5	at PHI(1622) L 17-26: -20→1616	14	4	vs HOU(1265) W 27-23: +0→1703	S	5
7	5	vs DET(1351) W 24-6: +23→1639	15	4	at JAX(1454) L 34-40: -17→1686
8	3	vs CHI(1444) W 49-29: +22→1661	16	4	vs PHI(1666) W 40-34: +0→1686

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+88 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1520 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at SEA(1504) L 16-17: +0→1454	9	25	(bye)	17	29	at KC(1733) L 24-27: +0→1370
2	21	vs HOU(1393) W 16-9: +0→1454	10	25	at TEN(1549) L 10-17: +0→1431	18	29	vs LAC(1530) W 31-28: +7→1377
3	19	vs SF(1615) W 11-10: +14→1468	11	26	vs LV(1442) L 16-22: -14→1417	W	29
4	23	at LV(1448) L 23-32: -24→1444	12	29	at CAR(1395) L 10-23: -30→1387	D	29
5	24	vs IND(1504) L 9-12: -10→1434	13	29	at BAL(1593) L 9-10: +0→1387	C	29
6	23	at LAC(1480) L 16-19: -1→1433	14	29	vs KC(1717) L 28-34: +0→1387	S	29
7	27	vs NYJ(1471) L 9-16: -10→1423	15	29	vs ARI(1423) W 24-15: +15→1402
8	22	at JAX(1438) W 21-17: +8→1431	16	30	at LAR(1410) L 14-51: -32→1370

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+85 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1468 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	vs PHI(1503) L 35-38: -1→1372	9	31	vs GB(1548) W 15-9: +23→1347	17	14	vs CHI(1329) W 41-10: +25→1484
2	27	vs WAS(1455) W 36-27: +32→1404	10	31	at CHI(1407) W 31-30: +19→1366	18	13	at GB(1576) W 20-16: +11→1495
3	27	at MIN(1472) L 24-28: +0→1404	11	27	at NYG(1420) W 31-18: +49→1415	W	13
4	26	vs SEA(1435) L 45-48: -11→1393	12	28	vs BUF(1687) L 25-28: +0→1415	D	13
5	30	at NE(1513) L 0-29: -42→1351	13	21	vs JAX(1443) W 40-14: +36→1451	C	13
6	31	(bye)	14	18	vs MIN(1511) W 34-23: +25→1476	S	13
7	32	at DAL(1616) L 6-24: -23→1328	15	13	at NYJ(1524) W 20-17: +13→1489
8	32	vs MIA(1426) L 27-31: -4→1324	16	20	at CAR(1425) L 23-37: -30→1459

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-84 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1506 \| avg. lost to rating: 1484 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	at MIN(1514) L 7-23: -14→1618	9	11	at DET(1324) L 9-15: -23→1525	17	7	vs MIN(1486) W 41-17: +28→1576
2	3	vs CHI(1444) W 27-10: +41→1659	10	12	vs DAL(1661) W 31-28: +18→1543	18	7	vs DET(1484) L 16-20: -12→1564
3	2	at TB(1671) W 14-12: +14→1673	11	12	vs TEN(1549) L 17-27: -33→1510	W	7
4	2	vs NE(1513) W 27-24: +0→1673	12	14	at PHI(1605) L 33-40: +0→1510	D	7
5	4	at NYG(1386) L 22-27: -30→1643	13	11	at CHI(1362) W 28-19: +15→1525	C	7
6	9	vs NYJ(1394) L 10-27: -77→1566	14	10	(bye)	S	7
7	9	at WAS(1354) L 21-23: -17→1549	15	9	vs LAR(1427) W 24-12: +16→1541
8	10	at BUF(1749) L 17-27: -1→1548	16	9	at MIA(1484) W 26-20: +7→1548

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (+179 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1442 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs IND(1584) T 20-20: +2→1393	9	32	vs PHI(1661) L 17-29: -7→1336	17	32	vs JAX(1511) L 3-31: -27→1258
2	30	at DEN(1454) L 9-16: +0→1393	10	32	at NYG(1420) L 16-24: +0→1336	18	32	at IND(1358) W 32-31: +11→1269
3	29	at CHI(1403) L 20-23: -1→1392	11	32	vs WAS(1460) L 10-23: -32→1304	W	32
4	30	vs LAC(1427) L 24-34: -38→1354	12	32	at MIA(1491) L 15-30: -14→1290	D	32
5	28	at JAX(1478) W 13-6: +24→1378	13	32	vs CLE(1455) L 14-27: -25→1265	C	32
6	28	(bye)	14	32	at DAL(1703) L 23-27: +0→1265	S	32
7	31	at LV(1472) L 20-38: -35→1343	15	32	vs KC(1717) L 24-30: +0→1265
8	31	vs TEN(1549) L 10-17: +0→1343	16	32	at TEN(1489) W 19-14: +20→1285

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1467 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1464 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at HOU(1391) T 20-20: -2→1582	9	23	at NE(1545) L 3-26: -30→1444	17	30	at NYG(1371) L 10-38: -31→1358
2	16	at JAX(1325) L 0-24: -77→1505	10	17	at LV(1458) W 25-20: +16→1460	18	30	vs HOU(1258) L 31-32: -11→1347
3	13	vs KC(1634) W 20-17: +14→1519	11	18	vs PHI(1605) L 16-17: +0→1460	W	30
4	15	vs TEN(1520) L 17-24: -15→1504	12	22	vs PIT(1397) L 17-24: -19→1441	D	30
5	13	at DEN(1444) W 12-9: +10→1514	13	24	at DAL(1687) L 19-54: -16→1425	C	30
6	13	vs JAX(1454) W 34-27: +0→1514	14	25	(bye)	S	30
7	17	at TEN(1535) L 10-19: -14→1500	15	24	at MIN(1486) L 36-39: +0→1425
8	18	vs WAS(1371) L 16-17: -26→1474	16	28	vs LAC(1463) L 3-20: -36→1389

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+64 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1490 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at WAS(1455) L 22-28: +0→1325	9	24	vs LV(1460) W 27-20: +3→1432	17	10	at HOU(1285) W 31-3: +27→1538
2	29	vs IND(1582) W 24-0: +77→1402	10	24	at KC(1713) L 17-27: +0→1432	18	10	vs TEN(1448) W 20-16: +0→1538
3	17	at LAC(1506) W 38-10: +79→1481	11	24	(bye)	W	10	vs LAC(1523) W 31-30: +0→1538
4	18	at PHI(1613) L 21-29: -3→1478	12	21	vs BAL(1604) W 28-27: +11→1443	D	10	at KC(1756) L 20-27: +0→1538
5	20	vs HOU(1354) L 6-13: -24→1454	13	28	at DET(1415) L 14-40: -36→1407	C	10
6	22	at IND(1514) L 27-34: +0→1454	14	21	at TEN(1537) W 36-22: +47→1454	S	10
7	23	vs NYG(1430) L 17-23: -16→1438	15	19	vs DAL(1703) W 40-34: +18→1472
8	25	at DEN(1423) L 17-21: -9→1429	16	10	at NYJ(1511) W 19-3: +39→1511

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-185 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1621 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	at ARI(1530) W 44-21: +14→1634	9	2	vs TEN(1549) W 20-17: +0→1713	17	2	vs DEN(1370) W 27-24: +0→1733
2	4	vs LAC(1506) W 27-24: +0→1634	10	1	vs JAX(1432) W 27-17: +0→1713	18	1	at LV(1481) W 31-13: +23→1756
3	4	at IND(1505) L 17-20: -14→1620	11	1	at LAC(1447) W 30-27: +0→1713	W	2	(bye)
4	3	at TB(1657) W 41-31: +44→1664	12	1	vs LAR(1439) W 26-10: +12→1725	D	2	vs JAX(1538) W 27-20: +0→1756
5	3	vs LV(1472) W 30-29: +0→1664	13	2	at CIN(1614) L 24-27: -8→1717	C	1	vs CIN(1708) W 23-20: +0→1756
6	2	vs BUF(1743) L 20-24: -6→1658	14	2	at DEN(1387) W 34-28: +0→1717	S	1	at PHI(1676) W 38-35: +1→1757
7	2	at SF(1628) W 44-23: +55→1713	15	3	at HOU(1265) W 30-24: +0→1717
8	2	(bye)	16	2	vs SEA(1523) W 24-10: +16→1733

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1514 (+46 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at LAC(1506) L 19-24: +0→1460	9	19	at JAX(1429) L 20-27: -2→1458	17	16	vs SF(1732) L 34-37: +0→1481
2	23	vs ARI(1516) L 23-29: -12→1448	10	21	vs IND(1444) L 20-25: -16→1442	18	22	vs KC(1733) L 13-31: -23→1458
3	21	at TEN(1520) L 22-24: +0→1448	11	19	at DEN(1431) W 22-16: +13→1455	W	21
4	19	vs DEN(1468) W 32-23: +24→1472	12	17	at SEA(1571) W 40-34: +26→1481	D	21
5	18	at KC(1664) L 29-30: +0→1472	13	17	vs LAC(1459) W 27-20: +0→1481	C	21
6	19	(bye)	14	17	at LAR(1424) L 16-17: -3→1478	S	21
7	14	vs HOU(1378) W 38-20: +35→1507	15	17	vs NE(1569) W 30-24: +5→1483
8	21	at NO(1453) L 0-24: -47→1460	16	15	at PIT(1447) L 10-13: -2→1481

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1486 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1529 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs LV(1460) W 24-19: +0→1506	9	21	at ATL(1468) W 20-17: +17→1447	17	12	vs LAR(1442) W 31-10: +31→1530
2	15	at KC(1634) L 24-27: +0→1506	10	19	at SF(1626) L 16-22: +0→1447	18	12	at DEN(1370) L 28-31: -7→1523
3	24	vs JAX(1402) L 10-38: -79→1427	11	20	vs KC(1713) L 27-30: +0→1447	W	11	at JAX(1538) L 30-31: +0→1523
4	20	at HOU(1392) W 34-24: +38→1465	12	18	at ARI(1468) W 25-24: +12→1459	D	11
5	16	at CLE(1501) W 30-28: +15→1480	13	19	at LV(1481) L 20-27: +0→1459	C	11
6	17	vs DEN(1434) W 19-16: +1→1481	14	20	vs MIA(1486) W 23-17: +3→1462	S	11
7	25	vs SEA(1476) L 23-37: -51→1430	15	20	vs TEN(1490) W 17-14: +1→1463
8	24	(bye)	16	12	at IND(1425) W 20-3: +36→1499

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1520 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1434 \| avg. lost to rating: 1555 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs BUF(1666) L 10-31: -14→1567	9	16	at TB(1516) L 13-16: +0→1475	17	25	vs LAC(1499) L 10-31: -30→1412
2	6	vs ATL(1413) W 31-27: +0→1567	10	22	vs ARI(1465) L 17-27: -36→1439	18	26	at SEA(1533) L 16-19: +0→1412
3	7	at ARI(1528) W 20-12: +24→1591	11	22	at NO(1434) L 20-27: +0→1439	W	27
4	10	at SF(1601) L 9-24: -46→1545	12	23	at KC(1713) L 10-26: -12→1427	D	26
5	14	vs DAL(1592) L 10-22: -44→1501	13	25	vs SEA(1545) L 23-27: -3→1424	C	26
6	12	vs CAR(1349) W 24-10: +28→1529	14	24	vs LV(1481) W 17-16: +3→1427	S	26
7	11	(bye)	15	27	at GB(1525) L 12-24: -17→1410
8	17	vs SF(1572) L 14-31: -54→1475	16	24	vs DEN(1402) W 51-14: +32→1442

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1467 \| avg. lost to rating: 1542 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs NE(1571) W 20-7: +11→1522	9	22	at CHI(1421) W 35-32: +14→1444	17	17	at NE(1561) L 21-23: +0→1476
2	10	at BAL(1522) W 42-38: +14→1536	10	16	vs CLE(1491) W 39-17: +47→1491	18	17	vs NYJ(1445) W 11-6: +0→1476
3	11	vs BUF(1728) W 21-19: +14→1550	11	16	(bye)	W	16	at BUF(1749) L 31-34: +0→1476
4	13	at CIN(1580) L 15-27: -36→1514	12	15	vs HOU(1304) W 30-15: +14→1505	D	16
5	21	at NYJ(1328) L 17-40: -66→1448	13	16	at SF(1670) L 17-33: -19→1486	C	16
6	26	vs MIN(1479) L 16-24: -22→1426	14	16	at LAC(1459) L 17-23: -2→1484	S	16
7	26	vs PIT(1389) W 16-10: +0→1426	15	16	at BUF(1719) L 29-32: +0→1484
8	23	at DET(1328) W 31-27: +4→1430	16	16	vs GB(1541) L 20-26: -8→1476

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1489 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1474 \| avg. lost to rating: 1537 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	vs GB(1632) W 23-7: +14→1528	9	13	at WAS(1396) W 20-17: +0→1510	17	20	at GB(1548) L 17-41: -28→1458
2	18	at PHI(1503) L 7-24: -56→1472	10	11	at BUF(1723) W 33-30: +37→1547	18	15	at CHI(1304) W 29-13: +26→1484
3	18	vs DET(1404) W 28-24: +0→1472	11	13	vs DAL(1643) L 3-40: -43→1504	W	17	vs NYG(1401) L 24-31: -11→1473
4	17	at NO(1466) W 28-25: +7→1479	12	13	vs NE(1575) W 33-26: +7→1511	D	17
5	17	vs CHI(1386) W 29-22: +0→1479	13	14	vs NYJ(1524) W 27-22: +0→1511	C	17
6	15	at MIA(1448) W 24-16: +22→1501	14	15	at DET(1451) L 23-34: -25→1486	S	17
7	16	(bye)	15	15	vs IND(1425) W 39-36: +0→1486
8	13	vs ARI(1507) W 34-26: +9→1510	16	13	vs NYG(1371) W 27-24: +0→1486

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1570 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at MIA(1511) L 7-20: -11→1560	9	9	vs IND(1474) W 26-3: +30→1575	17	8	vs MIA(1476) W 23-21: +0→1561
2	7	at PIT(1468) W 17-14: +6→1566	10	8	(bye)	18	8	at BUF(1737) L 23-35: -12→1549
3	14	vs BAL(1508) L 26-37: -53→1513	11	9	vs NYJ(1498) W 10-3: +0→1575	W	8
4	14	at GB(1673) L 24-27: +0→1513	12	9	at MIN(1504) L 26-33: -7→1568	D	8
5	10	vs DET(1393) W 29-0: +42→1555	13	10	vs BUF(1687) L 10-24: -32→1536	C	8
6	7	at CLE(1485) W 38-15: +55→1610	14	8	at ARI(1456) W 27-13: +33→1569	S	8
7	10	vs CHI(1368) L 14-33: -76→1534	15	8	at LV(1478) L 24-30: -5→1564
8	11	at NYJ(1481) W 22-17: +11→1545	16	8	vs CIN(1660) L 18-22: -3→1561

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	at ATL(1414) W 27-26: +1→1522	9	18	vs BAL(1564) L 13-27: -40→1460	17	18	at PHI(1666) W 20-10: +35→1473
2	17	vs TB(1636) L 10-20: -36→1486	10	23	at PIT(1371) L 10-20: -26→1434	18	19	vs CAR(1455) L 7-10: -8→1465
3	20	at CAR(1405) L 14-22: -20→1466	11	23	vs LAR(1439) W 27-20: +0→1434	W	18
4	21	at MIN(1472) L 25-28: -7→1459	12	25	at SF(1660) L 0-13: -10→1424	D	18
5	19	vs SEA(1445) W 39-32: +2→1461	13	26	at TB(1520) L 16-17: +0→1424	C	18
6	21	vs CIN(1610) L 26-30: -1→1460	14	26	(bye)	S	18
7	20	at ARI(1499) L 34-42: -7→1453	15	25	vs ATL(1411) W 21-18: +0→1424
8	14	vs LV(1507) W 24-0: +47→1500	16	25	at CLE(1488) W 17-10: +14→1438

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1510 (+123 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1477 \| avg. lost to rating: 1556 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at TEN(1575) W 21-20: +6→1365	9	26	(bye)	17	28	vs IND(1389) W 38-10: +30→1401
2	31	vs CAR(1410) W 19-16: +6→1371	10	27	vs HOU(1336) W 24-16: +0→1420	18	27	at PHI(1631) L 16-22: +0→1401
3	31	vs DAL(1555) L 16-23: -3→1368	11	31	vs DET(1366) L 18-31: -49→1371	W	26	at MIN(1484) W 31-24: +12→1413
4	28	vs CHI(1403) W 20-12: +18→1386	12	30	at DAL(1687) L 20-28: +0→1371	D	27	at PHI(1631) L 7-38: -18→1395
5	25	at GB(1673) W 27-22: +31→1417	13	30	vs WAS(1491) T 20-20: +1→1372	C	27
6	25	vs BAL(1566) W 24-20: +13→1430	14	31	vs PHI(1638) L 22-48: -28→1344	S	27
7	21	at JAX(1454) W 23-17: +17→1447	15	30	at WAS(1490) W 20-12: +27→1371
8	27	at SEA(1527) L 13-27: -27→1420	16	29	at MIN(1486) L 24-27: +0→1371

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1527 (+90 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1521 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	vs BAL(1511) L 9-24: -10→1321	9	14	vs BUF(1751) W 20-17: +27→1498	17	23	at SEA(1507) L 6-23: -27→1445
2	32	at CLE(1498) W 31-30: +27→1348	10	15	(bye)	18	24	at MIA(1476) L 6-11: +0→1445
3	32	vs CIN(1535) L 12-27: -45→1303	11	14	at NE(1575) L 3-10: +0→1498	W	24
4	32	at PIT(1422) W 24-20: +25→1328	12	11	vs CHI(1388) W 31-10: +26→1524	D	24
5	26	vs MIA(1514) W 40-17: +66→1394	13	12	at MIN(1511) L 22-27: +0→1524	C	24
6	20	at GB(1643) W 27-10: +77→1471	14	11	at BUF(1719) L 12-20: +0→1524	S	24
7	18	at DEN(1433) W 16-9: +10→1481	15	11	vs DET(1476) L 17-20: -13→1511
8	19	vs NE(1534) L 17-22: -10→1471	16	18	vs JAX(1472) L 3-19: -39→1472

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1464 (-152 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1455 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at DET(1373) W 38-35: +0→1503	9	3	at HOU(1343) W 29-17: +8→1669	17	6	vs NO(1438) L 10-20: -35→1631
2	8	vs MIN(1528) W 24-7: +56→1559	10	5	vs WAS(1396) L 21-32: -64→1605	18	6	vs NYG(1401) W 22-16: +0→1631
3	5	at WAS(1424) W 24-8: +54→1613	11	5	at IND(1460) W 17-16: +0→1605	W	6	(bye)
4	5	vs JAX(1481) W 29-21: +3→1616	12	6	vs GB(1510) W 40-33: +0→1605	D	6	vs NYG(1413) W 38-7: +17→1648
5	6	at ARI(1538) W 20-17: +6→1622	13	5	vs TEN(1570) W 35-10: +33→1638	C	6	vs SF(1766) W 31-7: +28→1676
6	3	vs DAL(1636) W 26-17: +21→1643	14	5	at NYG(1372) W 48-22: +28→1666	S	6	at KC(1756) L 35-38: -0→1676
7	4	(bye)	15	5	at CHI(1347) W 25-20: +0→1666
8	4	vs PIT(1389) W 35-13: +18→1661	16	5	at DAL(1686) L 34-40: +0→1666

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1518 (+97 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1539 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	at CIN(1540) W 23-20: +5→1468	9	29	(bye)	17	19	at BAL(1568) W 16-13: +13→1462
2	20	vs NE(1560) L 14-17: -6→1462	10	28	vs NO(1460) W 20-10: +26→1397	18	14	vs CLE(1505) W 28-14: +26→1488
3	26	at CLE(1471) L 17-29: -40→1422	11	28	vs CIN(1601) L 30-37: +0→1397	W	14
4	25	vs NYJ(1303) L 20-24: -25→1397	12	27	at IND(1460) W 24-17: +19→1416	D	14
5	29	at BUF(1715) L 3-38: -28→1369	13	22	at ATL(1423) W 19-16: +12→1428	C	14
6	27	vs TB(1614) W 20-18: +20→1389	14	23	vs BAL(1593) L 14-16: +0→1428	S	14
7	28	at MIA(1426) L 10-16: +0→1389	15	22	at CAR(1443) W 24-16: +19→1447
8	30	at PHI(1643) L 13-35: -18→1371	16	23	vs LV(1483) W 13-10: +2→1449

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1487 (-163 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1497 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at CHI(1436) L 10-19: -8→1563	9	5	(bye)	17	3	at LV(1481) W 37-34: +0→1732
2	5	vs SEA(1504) W 27-7: +52→1615	10	4	vs LAC(1447) W 22-16: +0→1626	18	3	vs ARI(1402) W 38-13: +16→1748
3	6	at DEN(1454) L 10-11: -14→1601	11	4	at ARI(1502) W 38-10: +34→1660	W	1	vs SEA(1533) W 41-23: +18→1766
4	4	vs LAR(1591) W 24-9: +46→1647	12	4	vs NO(1434) W 13-0: +10→1670	D	1	vs DAL(1688) W 19-12: +0→1766
5	2	at CAR(1391) W 37-15: +42→1689	13	4	vs MIA(1505) W 33-17: +19→1689	C	2	at PHI(1648) L 7-31: -28→1738
6	4	at ATL(1440) L 14-28: -61→1628	14	3	vs TB(1520) W 35-7: +23→1712	S	2
7	6	vs KC(1658) L 23-44: -56→1572	15	2	at SEA(1529) W 21-13: +6→1718
8	5	at LAR(1529) W 31-14: +54→1626	16	3	vs WAS(1463) W 37-20: +14→1732

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	vs DEN(1454) W 17-16: +0→1504	9	8	at ARI(1497) W 31-21: +31→1585	17	11	vs NYJ(1472) W 23-6: +26→1533
2	22	at SF(1563) L 7-27: -52→1452	10	9	at TB(1516) L 16-21: -14→1571	18	11	vs LAR(1412) W 19-16: +0→1533
3	22	vs ATL(1413) L 23-27: -17→1435	11	10	(bye)	W	12	at SF(1748) L 23-41: -18→1515
4	22	at DET(1404) W 48-45: +10→1445	12	10	vs LV(1455) L 34-40: -26→1545	D	12
5	22	at NO(1459) L 32-39: -1→1444	13	8	at LAR(1427) W 27-23: +3→1548	C	12
6	18	vs ARI(1532) W 19-9: +32→1476	14	9	vs CAR(1425) L 24-30: -19→1529	S	12
7	13	at LAC(1481) W 37-23: +51→1527	15	10	vs SF(1712) L 13-21: -6→1523
8	8	vs NYG(1447) W 27-13: +27→1554	16	11	at KC(1717) L 10-24: -16→1507

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1523 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	at DAL(1569) W 19-3: +14→1636	9	12	vs LAR(1475) W 16-13: +0→1516	17	15	vs CAR(1455) W 30-24: +0→1483
2	2	at NO(1522) W 20-10: +35→1671	10	13	at SEA(1585) W 21-16: +15→1531	18	18	at ATL(1411) L 17-30: -10→1473
3	3	vs GB(1659) L 12-14: -14→1657	11	11	(bye)	W	22	vs DAL(1666) L 14-31: -23→1450
4	7	vs KC(1620) L 31-41: -43→1614	12	12	at CLE(1445) L 17-23: -11→1520	D	22
5	7	vs ATL(1440) W 21-15: +0→1614	13	13	vs NO(1424) W 17-16: +0→1520	C	22
6	8	at PIT(1369) L 18-20: -21→1593	14	12	at SF(1689) L 7-35: -22→1498	S	22
7	12	at CAR(1321) L 3-21: -65→1528	15	18	vs CIN(1639) L 23-34: -21→1477
8	12	vs BAL(1552) L 22-27: -12→1516	16	14	at ARI(1408) W 19-16: +6→1483

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1448 \| avg. lost to rating: 1532 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	vs NYG(1359) L 20-21: -6→1569	9	10	at KC(1713) L 17-20: +0→1549	17	22	vs DAL(1686) L 13-27: -21→1448
2	13	at BUF(1680) L 7-41: -49→1520	10	10	vs DEN(1431) W 17-10: +0→1549	18	23	at JAX(1538) L 16-20: +0→1448
3	12	vs LV(1448) W 24-22: +0→1520	11	8	at GB(1543) W 27-17: +34→1583	W	23
4	12	at IND(1519) W 24-17: +15→1535	12	8	vs CIN(1601) L 16-20: -13→1570	D	23
5	11	at WAS(1336) W 21-17: +0→1535	13	9	at PHI(1605) L 10-35: -33→1537	C	23
6	11	(bye)	14	13	vs JAX(1407) L 22-36: -47→1490	S	23
7	8	vs IND(1514) W 19-10: +14→1549	15	12	at LAC(1462) L 14-17: -1→1489
8	9	at HOU(1343) W 17-10: +0→1549	16	19	vs HOU(1265) L 14-19: -20→1469

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1491 (+70 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs JAX(1325) W 28-22: +0→1455	9	28	vs MIN(1510) L 17-20: -0→1396	17	24	vs CLE(1474) L 10-24: -31→1418
2	24	at DET(1372) L 27-36: -31→1424	10	18	at PHI(1669) W 32-21: +64→1460	18	21	vs DAL(1706) W 26-6: +41→1459
3	30	vs PHI(1559) L 8-24: -53→1371	11	15	at HOU(1336) W 23-10: +31→1491	W	20
4	31	at DAL(1558) L 10-25: -35→1336	12	16	vs ATL(1423) W 19-13: +0→1491	D	20
5	32	vs TEN(1535) L 17-21: +0→1336	13	15	at NYG(1371) T 20-20: -1→1490	C	20
6	30	at CHI(1386) W 12-7: +18→1354	14	14	(bye)	S	20
7	30	vs GB(1566) W 23-21: +17→1371	15	21	vs NYG(1344) L 12-20: -27→1463
8	28	at IND(1500) W 17-16: +25→1396	16	22	at SF(1718) L 20-37: -14→1449

↑ 2022 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Pittsburgh Steelers: +60 total Elo rating
2. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Detroit Lions: +36 total Elo rating
3. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Washington Commanders: +41 total Elo rating
4. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Houston Texans: +11 total Elo rating
5. 1 games (weeks 18-18) Atlanta Falcons: +10 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Indianapolis Colts: -77 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Chicago Bears: -69 total Elo rating
3. 2 games (weeks 18-19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -33 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 19-20) Buffalo Bills: -32 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 20-21) San Francisco 49ers: -28 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 18, 288-Elo upset: Dallas Cowboys (1706) 8-point favorites at Washington Commanders (1418): Commanders win 26-6
2. Week 5, 287-Elo upset: Green Bay Packers (1673) 8-point favorites at New York Giants (1386): Giants win 27-22
3. Week 9, 280-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1751) 9-point favorites at New York Jets (1471): Jets win 20-17
4. Week 10, 273-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1669) 11-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1396): Commanders win 32-21
5. Week 7, 272-Elo upset: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1593) 8-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1321): Panthers win 21-3
6. Week 2, 257-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1582) 7-point favorites at Jacksonville Jaguars (1325): Jaguars win 24-0
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 7, 28-point differential: New England Patriots (1610) 9-point favorites vs Chicago Bears (1368): Bears win 33-14
2. Week 6, 26-point differential: Green Bay Packers (1643) 9-point favorites vs New York Jets (1394): Jets win 27-10
3. Week 10, 22-point differential: Philadelphia Eagles (1669) 11-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1396): Commanders win 32-21
4. Week 18, 28-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1706) 8-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1418): Commanders win 26-6
5. Week 3, 36-point differential: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) 8-point favorites vs Jacksonville Jaguars (1402): Jaguars win 38-10
6. Week 7, 26-point differential: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1593) 8-point favorites vs Carolina Panthers (1321): Panthers win 21-3
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +213: Jacksonville Jaguars (1325) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 20
2. +173: Philadelphia Eagles (1503) before week 1 → (1676) thru week 22
3. +168: Cincinnati Bengals (1540) before week 1 → (1708) thru week 21
4. +167: San Francisco 49ers (1571) before week 1 → (1738) thru week 21
5. +137: Kansas City Chiefs (1620) before week 1 → (1757) thru week 22
more...
1. +122: Detroit Lions (1373) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
2. +119: Dallas Cowboys (1569) before week 1 → (1688) thru week 20
3. +114: New York Jets (1331) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
4. +51: Carolina Panthers (1411) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
5. +51: Buffalo Bills (1666) before week 1 → (1717) thru week 20
6. +36: New York Giants (1359) before week 1 → (1395) thru week 20
7. +31: Baltimore Ravens (1511) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 19
8. +25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1463) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
9. +17: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 19
10. +12: Seattle Seahawks (1504) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 19
11. +7: Atlanta Falcons (1414) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
12. +3: Washington Commanders (1455) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
13. -3: Las Vegas Raiders (1460) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 18
14. -17: Cleveland Browns (1497) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
15. -22: New England Patriots (1571) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 18
16. -34: Miami Dolphins (1511) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 19
17. -42: Minnesota Vikings (1514) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 19
18. -55: New Orleans Saints (1521) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
19. -67: Green Bay Packers (1632) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 18
20. -77: Denver Broncos (1454) before week 1 → (1377) thru week 18
21. -122: Houston Texans (1391) before week 1 → (1269) thru week 18
22. -128: Tennessee Titans (1575) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
23. -144: Arizona Cardinals (1530) before week 1 → (1386) thru week 18
24. -158: Chicago Bears (1436) before week 1 → (1278) thru week 18
25. -170: Los Angeles Rams (1581) before week 1 → (1412) thru week 18
26. -172: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1622) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 19
27. -237: Indianapolis Colts (1584) before week 1 → (1347) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -237: Indianapolis Colts (1584) before week 1 → (1347) thru week 18
2. -172: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1622) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 19
3. -170: Los Angeles Rams (1581) before week 1 → (1412) thru week 18
4. -158: Chicago Bears (1436) before week 1 → (1278) thru week 18
5. -144: Arizona Cardinals (1530) before week 1 → (1386) thru week 18
more...
1. -128: Tennessee Titans (1575) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
2. -122: Houston Texans (1391) before week 1 → (1269) thru week 18
3. -77: Denver Broncos (1454) before week 1 → (1377) thru week 18
4. -67: Green Bay Packers (1632) before week 1 → (1564) thru week 18
5. -55: New Orleans Saints (1521) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
6. -42: Minnesota Vikings (1514) before week 1 → (1473) thru week 19
7. -34: Miami Dolphins (1511) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 19
8. -22: New England Patriots (1571) before week 1 → (1549) thru week 18
9. -17: Cleveland Browns (1497) before week 1 → (1480) thru week 18
10. -3: Las Vegas Raiders (1460) before week 1 → (1458) thru week 18
11. +3: Washington Commanders (1455) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
12. +7: Atlanta Falcons (1414) before week 1 → (1421) thru week 18
13. +12: Seattle Seahawks (1504) before week 1 → (1515) thru week 19
14. +17: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 19
15. +25: Pittsburgh Steelers (1463) before week 1 → (1488) thru week 18
16. +31: Baltimore Ravens (1511) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 19
17. +36: New York Giants (1359) before week 1 → (1395) thru week 20
18. +51: Buffalo Bills (1666) before week 1 → (1717) thru week 20
19. +51: Carolina Panthers (1411) before week 1 → (1463) thru week 18
20. +114: New York Jets (1331) before week 1 → (1445) thru week 18
21. +119: Dallas Cowboys (1569) before week 1 → (1688) thru week 20
22. +122: Detroit Lions (1373) before week 1 → (1495) thru week 18
23. +137: Kansas City Chiefs (1620) before week 1 → (1757) thru week 22
24. +167: San Francisco 49ers (1571) before week 1 → (1738) thru week 21
25. +168: Cincinnati Bengals (1540) before week 1 → (1708) thru week 21
26. +173: Philadelphia Eagles (1503) before week 1 → (1676) thru week 22
27. +213: Jacksonville Jaguars (1325) before week 1 → (1538) thru week 20
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +196: New York Jets (1328) before week 5 → (1524) thru week 12
2. +165: Detroit Lions (1324) before week 9 → (1489) thru week 15
3. +165: Philadelphia Eagles (1503) before week 2 → (1669) thru week 9
4. +156: Jacksonville Jaguars (1325) before week 2 → (1481) thru week 3
5. +155: Washington Commanders (1336) before week 6 → (1491) thru week 11
more...
1. +150: Seattle Seahawks (1435) before week 4 → (1585) thru week 9
2. +146: San Francisco 49ers (1572) before week 8 → (1718) thru week 15
3. +129: Dallas Cowboys (1558) before week 4 → (1687) thru week 11
4. +122: Carolina Panthers (1321) before week 7 → (1443) thru week 14
5. +109: Cincinnati Bengals (1535) before week 3 → (1644) thru week 7
6. +97: New England Patriots (1513) before week 5 → (1610) thru week 6
7. +97: Baltimore Ravens (1508) before week 3 → (1604) thru week 9
8. +94: Kansas City Chiefs (1620) before week 4 → (1713) thru week 7
9. +91: Pittsburgh Steelers (1397) before week 12 → (1488) thru week 18
10. +88: Atlanta Falcons (1413) before week 3 → (1501) thru week 6
11. +88: New York Giants (1359) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 7
12. +85: Buffalo Bills (1666) before week 1 → (1751) thru week 8
13. +83: Los Angeles Chargers (1447) before week 12 → (1530) thru week 17
14. +78: Miami Dolphins (1426) before week 8 → (1505) thru week 12
15. +75: Minnesota Vikings (1472) before week 4 → (1547) thru week 10
16. +66: Green Bay Packers (1510) before week 13 → (1576) thru week 17
17. +63: Tennessee Titans (1520) before week 4 → (1583) thru week 11
18. +60: Cleveland Browns (1431) before week 7 → (1491) thru week 8
19. +58: Chicago Bears (1386) before week 6 → (1444) thru week 7
20. +58: Las Vegas Raiders (1448) before week 4 → (1507) thru week 7
21. +50: New Orleans Saints (1424) before week 16 → (1473) thru week 17
22. +49: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1622) before week 1 → (1671) thru week 2
23. +28: Arizona Cardinals (1504) before week 4 → (1532) thru week 5
24. +24: Los Angeles Rams (1567) before week 2 → (1591) thru week 3
25. +20: Houston Texans (1265) before week 15 → (1285) thru week 16
26. +17: Indianapolis Colts (1444) before week 10 → (1460) thru week 11
27. +15: Denver Broncos (1387) before week 14 → (1402) thru week 15
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -164: Green Bay Packers (1673) before week 5 → (1510) thru week 11
2. -155: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1671) before week 3 → (1516) thru week 8
3. -152: Los Angeles Rams (1591) before week 4 → (1439) thru week 10
4. -138: Indianapolis Colts (1582) before week 2 → (1444) thru week 9
5. -135: Tennessee Titans (1583) before week 12 → (1448) thru week 17
more...
1. -124: Miami Dolphins (1550) before week 4 → (1426) thru week 6
2. -119: Washington Commanders (1455) before week 2 → (1336) thru week 4
3. -117: San Francisco 49ers (1689) before week 6 → (1572) thru week 7
4. -116: Arizona Cardinals (1502) before week 11 → (1386) thru week 18
5. -113: Houston Texans (1378) before week 6 → (1265) thru week 13
6. -110: Chicago Bears (1388) before week 12 → (1278) thru week 18
7. -104: Carolina Panthers (1425) before week 4 → (1321) thru week 6
8. -103: New York Giants (1447) before week 8 → (1344) thru week 14
9. -99: Pittsburgh Steelers (1468) before week 2 → (1369) thru week 5
10. -90: Atlanta Falcons (1501) before week 7 → (1411) thru week 13
11. -89: Minnesota Vikings (1547) before week 11 → (1458) thru week 17
12. -80: Cleveland Browns (1510) before week 4 → (1431) thru week 6
13. -80: Detroit Lions (1404) before week 4 → (1324) thru week 8
14. -79: Los Angeles Chargers (1506) before week 2 → (1427) thru week 3
15. -79: Seattle Seahawks (1585) before week 10 → (1507) thru week 16
16. -78: New York Jets (1524) before week 15 → (1445) thru week 17
17. -76: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 9 → (1424) thru week 12
18. -74: New England Patriots (1610) before week 7 → (1536) thru week 13
19. -65: Las Vegas Raiders (1507) before week 8 → (1442) thru week 10
20. -64: Buffalo Bills (1751) before week 9 → (1687) thru week 10
21. -63: Philadelphia Eagles (1669) before week 10 → (1605) thru week 11
22. -62: Baltimore Ravens (1604) before week 12 → (1542) thru week 18
23. -61: Denver Broncos (1431) before week 11 → (1370) thru week 16
24. -52: Jacksonville Jaguars (1481) before week 4 → (1429) thru week 8
25. -43: Cincinnati Bengals (1644) before week 8 → (1601) thru week 9
26. -38: Dallas Cowboys (1703) before week 15 → (1666) thru week 18
27. -14: Kansas City Chiefs (1634) before week 2 → (1620) thru week 3
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1527
2. New England Patriots: 1521
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1520
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1518
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
more...
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1514
2. Buffalo Bills: 1511
3. New York Giants: 1510
4. Denver Broncos: 1508
5. Houston Texans: 1508
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1505
7. New Orleans Saints: 1504
8. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
9. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
10. Kansas City Chiefs: 1503
11. Miami Dolphins: 1502
12. Carolina Panthers: 1502
13. Chicago Bears: 1501
14. Tennessee Titans: 1497
15. Green Bay Packers: 1495
16. Seattle Seahawks: 1493
17. Washington Commanders: 1491
18. Cleveland Browns: 1491
19. Atlanta Falcons: 1489
20. Minnesota Vikings: 1489
21. Detroit Lions: 1488
22. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
23. Los Angeles Chargers: 1486
24. Baltimore Ravens: 1485
25. Dallas Cowboys: 1472
26. Indianapolis Colts: 1467
27. Philadelphia Eagles: 1464
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Philadelphia Eagles: 1464
2. Indianapolis Colts: 1467
3. Dallas Cowboys: 1472
4. Baltimore Ravens: 1485
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1486
more...
1. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
2. Detroit Lions: 1488
3. Minnesota Vikings: 1489
4. Atlanta Falcons: 1489
5. Cleveland Browns: 1491
6. Washington Commanders: 1491
7. Seattle Seahawks: 1493
8. Green Bay Packers: 1495
9. Tennessee Titans: 1497
10. Chicago Bears: 1501
11. Carolina Panthers: 1502
12. Miami Dolphins: 1502
13. Kansas City Chiefs: 1503
14. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1503
15. Cincinnati Bengals: 1503
16. New Orleans Saints: 1504
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1505
18. Houston Texans: 1508
19. Denver Broncos: 1508
20. New York Giants: 1510
21. Buffalo Bills: 1511
22. Arizona Cardinals: 1514
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1514
24. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1518
25. Los Angeles Rams: 1520
26. New England Patriots: 1521
27. New York Jets: 1527
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Chicago Bears: 1525
2. New York Jets: 1521
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1515
4. Buffalo Bills: 1513
5. Green Bay Packers: 1506
more...
1. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
2. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1498
4. Carolina Panthers: 1494
5. Washington Commanders: 1489
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1485
7. San Francisco 49ers: 1485
8. Cleveland Browns: 1483
9. New Orleans Saints: 1481
10. Denver Broncos: 1480
11. Las Vegas Raiders: 1479
12. Kansas City Chiefs: 1477
13. New York Giants: 1477
14. Minnesota Vikings: 1474
15. Atlanta Falcons: 1473
16. Detroit Lions: 1468
17. Miami Dolphins: 1467
18. New England Patriots: 1466
19. Baltimore Ravens: 1459
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1458
21. Los Angeles Chargers: 1457
22. Arizona Cardinals: 1455
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1455
24. Dallas Cowboys: 1448
25. Tennessee Titans: 1448
26. Houston Texans: 1442
27. Los Angeles Rams: 1434
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Los Angeles Rams: 1434
2. Houston Texans: 1442
3. Tennessee Titans: 1448
4. Dallas Cowboys: 1448
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1455
more...
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1455
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1457
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1458
4. Baltimore Ravens: 1459
5. New England Patriots: 1466
6. Miami Dolphins: 1467
7. Detroit Lions: 1468
8. Atlanta Falcons: 1473
9. Minnesota Vikings: 1474
10. New York Giants: 1477
11. Kansas City Chiefs: 1477
12. Las Vegas Raiders: 1479
13. Denver Broncos: 1480
14. New Orleans Saints: 1481
15. Cleveland Browns: 1483
16. San Francisco 49ers: 1485
17. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1485
18. Washington Commanders: 1489
19. Carolina Panthers: 1494
20. Indianapolis Colts: 1498
21. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1500
22. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
23. Green Bay Packers: 1506
24. Buffalo Bills: 1513
25. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1515
26. New York Jets: 1521
27. Chicago Bears: 1525

↑ 2022 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)
2	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	21-11 (21/32, 65.62%)
3	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	29-19 (29/48, 60.42%)
4	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	39-25 (39/64, 60.94%)
5	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	49-31 (49/80, 61.25%)
6	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	55-39 (55/94, 58.51%)
7	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	62-46 (62/108, 57.41%)
8	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	71-52 (71/123, 57.72%)
9	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	79-57 (79/136, 58.09%)
10	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	86-64 (86/150, 57.33%)
11	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	97-67 (97/164, 59.15%)
12	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	107-73 (107/180, 59.44%)
13	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	119-76 (119/195, 61.03%)
14	11-2 (11/13, 84.62%)	130-78 (130/208, 62.5%)
15	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	141-83 (141/224, 62.95%)
16	10.5-5.5 (10.5/16, 65.62%)	151.5-88.5 (151.5/240, 63.12%)
17	12-3 (12/15, 80.0%)	163.5-91.5 (163.5/255, 64.12%)
18	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	174.5-96.5 (174.5/271, 64.39%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	179.5-97.5 (179.5/277, 64.8%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	182.5-98.5 (182.5/281, 64.95%)
C	1-1 (1/2, 50.0%)	183.5-99.5 (183.5/283, 64.84%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	184.5-99.5 (184.5/284, 64.96%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The data on this page is derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages, which are published under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0. Therefore, these Elo rankings are also distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 4.0.

As per the license above, if you share or reproduce these Elo ratings and power rankings, you must provide attribution to this page and a link to the above license.

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