NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory)..

All available 2025 season pages:

Weekly NFL power rankings based on the Elo rating system. Read more here.

After Super Bowl
After Championship
After Divisional
After Wildcard
After Week 18
After Week 17
After Week 16
After Week 15
After Week 14
After Week 13
After Week 12
After Week 11
After Week 10
After Week 9
After Week 8
After Week 7
After Week 6
After Week 5
After Week 4
After Week 3
After Week 2
After Week 1
Before Week 1
2025 Summaries by Team
2025 Stats and Tidbits
2025 Model Accuracy

← 2024 Season NFL Elo Home 2026 Season →

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1599 (+8)	17-3
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): W 29-13: 1591+8→1599
2	New England PatriotsNE	1557 (-7)	17-4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1591): L 13-29: 1564-7→1557
3	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1554	14-6
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554	13-5
5	Houston TexansHOU	1547	13-6
6	Buffalo BillsBUF	1536	13-6
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1535	15-4
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523	13-6
9	Detroit LionsDET	1519	9-8
10	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1516	11-7
11	Chicago BearsCHI	1516	12-7
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514	9-8
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	Green Bay PackersGB	1502	9-8-1
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499	8-9
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489	8-10
20	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486	6-11
21	New York GiantsNYG	1485	4-13
22	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483	6-11
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478	8-9
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
25	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476	7-9-1
26	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468	5-12
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1462	5-12
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1459	7-10
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1418	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1591 (-4)	16-3	at NE (1564): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): W 31-27: 1595-4→1591
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): Slight favorite
2	New England PatriotsNE	1564 (+2)	17-3	at SEA (1591): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1538): W 10-7: 1562+2→1564
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1591): Slight underdog
3 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1554 (+4)	14-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): L 27-31: 1550+4→1554
4 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554	13-5
5	Houston TexansHOU	1547	13-6
6 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1536	13-6
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1535 (-3)	15-4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1562): L 7-10: 1538-3→1535
8	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523	13-6
9	Detroit LionsDET	1519	9-8
10	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1516	11-7
11	Chicago BearsCHI	1516	12-7
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514	9-8
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	Green Bay PackersGB	1502	9-8-1
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499	8-9
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489	8-10
20	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486	6-11
21	New York GiantsNYG	1485	4-13
22	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483	6-11
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478	8-9
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
25	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476	7-9-1
26	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468	5-12
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1462	5-12
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1459	7-10
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1418	3-14
Favorites:
SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1595 (+16)	15-3	vs LAR (1550): Win by 10
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): W 41-6: 1579+16→1595
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1550): Win by 10 points
2	New England PatriotsNE	1562 (+7)	16-3	at DEN (1538): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1553): W 28-16: 1555+7→1562
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1538): Slight favorite
3	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554	13-5
4 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1550 (+3)	14-5	at SEA (1595): Lose by 10
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): W 20-17(OT): 1547+3→1550
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1595): Lose by 10 points
5 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1547 (-6)	13-6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1555): L 16-28: 1553-6→1547
6 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1538 (+3)	15-3	vs NE (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): W 33-30(OT): 1535+3→1538
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1562): Slight underdog
7	Buffalo BillsBUF	1536 (-3)	13-6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): L 30-33(OT): 1539-3→1536
8 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (-16)	13-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): L 6-41: 1539-16→1523
9 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1519	9-8
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1516	11-7
11 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1516 (-3)	12-7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): L 17-20(OT): 1519-3→1516
12	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514	9-8
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513	11-7
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16	Green Bay PackersGB	1502	9-8-1
17	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499	8-9
18	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492	10-8
19	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489	8-10
20	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486	6-11
21	New York GiantsNYG	1485	4-13
22	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483	6-11
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478	8-9
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
25	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476	7-9-1
26	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468	5-12
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1462	5-12
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1459	7-10
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1418	3-14
Favorites:
NE, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1579	14-3	vs SF (1539): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1539): Win by 9 points
2 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1555 (+1)	15-3	vs HOU (1553): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 16-3: 1554+1→1555
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1553): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554 (-13)	13-5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1526): L 24-27: 1567-13→1554
4 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1553 (+14)	13-5	at NE (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): W 30-6: 1539+14→1553
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1555): Slight underdog
5 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1547 (-4)	13-5	at CHI (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1485): W 34-31: 1551-4→1547
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1539 (+5)	13-5	at SEA (1579): Lose by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): W 23-19: 1534+5→1539
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1579): Lose by 9 points
7 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1539 (+13)	13-5	at DEN (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): W 27-24: 1526+13→1539
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): Slight underdog
8 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1535	14-3	vs BUF (1539): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1519 (-1)	12-6	vs LAR (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1501): W 31-27: 1520-1→1519
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1547): Slight underdog
10 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1519	9-8
11 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1516 (-5)	11-7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): L 19-23: 1521-5→1516
12 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514	9-8
13 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1513 (-2)	11-7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1554): L 3-16: 1515-2→1513
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512	8-9
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509	8-9
16 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1502 (+1)	9-8-1
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): L 27-31: 1501+1→1502
17 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499	8-9
18 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1492 (-14)	10-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1539): L 6-30: 1506-14→1492
19 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (+4)	8-10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): L 31-34: 1485+4→1489
20 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486	6-11
21	New York GiantsNYG	1485	4-13
22	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483	6-11
23	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478	8-9
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
25	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476	7-9-1
26	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468	5-12
27	Washington CommandersWAS	1462	5-12
28	Miami DolphinsMIA	1459	7-10
29	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448	3-14
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447	3-14
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428	3-14
32	New York JetsNYJ	1418	3-14
Favorites:
DEN, LAR, NE, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1579 (+7)	14-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): W 13-3: 1572+7→1579
next: (bye)
2	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567 (+9)	13-4	vs BUF (1526): Win by 11
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1456): W 41-7: 1558+9→1567
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1526): Win by 11 points
3 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1554 (+7)	14-3	vs LAC (1515): Win by 11
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): W 38-10: 1547+7→1554
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Win by 11 points
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1551 (-2)	12-5	at CAR (1485): Win by 9
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1446): W 37-20: 1553-2→1551
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1485): Win by 9 points
5 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1539 (+2)	12-5	at PIT (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): W 38-30: 1537+2→1539
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Slight favorite
6 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1535 (+6)	14-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): W 19-3: 1529+6→1535
next: (bye)
7 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1534 (-7)	12-5	at PHI (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1572): L 3-13: 1541-7→1534
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight underdog
8 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1526 (+3)	12-5	at JAX (1567): Lose by 11
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): W 35-8: 1523+3→1526
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): Lose by 11 points
9 (-2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (-12)	11-6	vs SF (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): L 17-24: 1533-12→1521
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1534): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1520 (-5)	11-6	vs GB (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1514): L 16-19: 1525-5→1520
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1501): Slight favorite
11 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1519 (+5)	9-8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1525): W 19-16: 1514+5→1519
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (-5)	11-6	at NE (1554): Lose by 11
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1529): L 3-19: 1520-5→1515
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1554): Lose by 11 points
13 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (+3)	9-8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1504): W 16-3: 1511+3→1514
14 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1512 (-2)	8-9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1537): L 30-38: 1514-2→1512
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-1)	8-9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): L 24-26: 1510-1→1509
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1506 (+1)	10-7	vs HOU (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): W 26-24: 1505+1→1506
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1539): Slight underdog
17	Green Bay PackersGB	1501 (-3)	9-7-1	at CHI (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): L 3-16: 1504-3→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1520): Slight underdog
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1499 (-1)	8-9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): W 19-17: 1500-1→1499
19	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486 (-9)	6-11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): L 12-14: 1495-9→1486
20 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1485 (-2)	8-9	vs LAR (1551): Lose by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): L 14-16: 1487-2→1485
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1551): Lose by 9 points
21 (+4)	New York GiantsNYG	1485 (+11)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1487): W 34-17: 1474+11→1485
22 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (+2)	6-11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): L 17-19: 1481+2→1483
23 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1478 (+1)	8-9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): W 16-14: 1477+1→1478
24 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (-9)	6-11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1459): L 18-20: 1486-9→1477
25 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1476 (-11)	7-9-1
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1474): L 17-34: 1487-11→1476
26 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1468 (+9)	5-12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): W 20-18: 1459+9→1468
27 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1462 (+12)	5-12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): W 24-17: 1450+12→1462
28 (-2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1459 (-7)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1547): L 10-38: 1466-7→1459
29 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1448 (+2)	3-14
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1553): L 20-37: 1446+2→1448
30 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1447 (-9)	3-14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): L 7-41: 1456-9→1447
31 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1428 (+9)	3-14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1495): W 14-12: 1419+9→1428
32 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1418 (-3)	3-14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1523): L 8-35: 1421-3→1418
Favorites:
CHI, HOU, JAX, LAR, NE, PHI

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1572 (+3)	13-3	at SF (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): W 27-10: 1569+3→1572
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1541): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1558 (+4)	12-4	vs TEN (1456): Win by 19
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): W 23-17: 1554+4→1558
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1456): Win by 19 points
3 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1553 (-12)	11-5	vs ARI (1446): Win by 20
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): L 24-27: 1565-12→1553
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1446): Win by 20 points
4 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1547 (+13)	13-3	vs MIA (1466): Win by 16
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1433): W 42-10: 1534+13→1547
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1466): Win by 16 points
5 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1541 (-1)	12-4	vs SEA (1572): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1524): W 42-38: 1542-1→1541
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1572): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1537 (+6)	11-5	vs IND (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): W 20-16: 1531+6→1537
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1514): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1533 (+11)	11-5	vs WAS (1450): Win by 16
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1534): W 13-12: 1522+11→1533
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): Win by 16 points
8 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1529 (+6)	13-3	vs LAC (1520): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1501): W 20-13: 1523+6→1529
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1520): Slight favorite
9	Chicago BearsCHI	1525 (+1)	11-5	vs DET (1514): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): L 38-42: 1524+1→1525
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1514): Slight favorite
10 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1523 (-11)	11-5	vs NYJ (1421): Win by 19
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): L 12-13: 1534-11→1523
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1421): Win by 19 points
11 (-3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1520 (-6)	11-5	at DEN (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): L 16-20: 1526-6→1520
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1529): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1514 (-4)	8-8	at HOU (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1554): L 17-23: 1518-4→1514
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1537): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1514 (-9)	8-8	at CHI (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 10-23: 1523-9→1514
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1525): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1511 (+10)	8-8	vs GB (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): W 23-10: 1501+10→1511
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1504): Slight favorite
15 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1510 (+19)	8-8	at PIT (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1524): W 41-24: 1491+19→1510
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (-11)	9-7	vs BAL (1510): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1448): L 6-13: 1516-11→1505
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1510): Slight favorite
17 (-7)	Green Bay PackersGB	1504 (-20)	9-6-1	at MIN (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): L 24-41: 1524-20→1504
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1511): Slight underdog
18 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500 (+12)	7-9	vs NO (1481): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1565): W 27-24: 1488+12→1500
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1481): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1495 (-6)	6-10	at LV (1419): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1523): L 13-20: 1501-6→1495
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1487 (+7)	7-8-1	at NYG (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1456): W 30-23: 1480+7→1487
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1474): Slight underdog
21 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1487 (-3)	8-8	at TB (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1569): L 10-27: 1490-3→1487
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1477): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1486 (+11)	6-10	vs CLE (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): W 37-14: 1475+11→1486
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1459): Slight favorite
23 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1481 (+8)	6-10	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1464): W 34-26: 1473+8→1481
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
24 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1477 (-4)	7-9	vs CAR (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): L 17-20: 1481-4→1477
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): Slight favorite
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1474 (+16)	3-13	vs DAL (1487): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1435): W 34-10: 1458+16→1474
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1487): Slight favorite
26	Miami DolphinsMIA	1466 (+4)	7-9	at NE (1547): Lose by 16
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): W 20-17: 1462+4→1466
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1547): Lose by 16 points
27 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1459 (+11)	4-12	at CIN (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): W 13-6: 1448+11→1459
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1486): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1456 (-8)	3-13	at JAX (1558): Lose by 19
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): L 26-34: 1464-8→1456
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1558): Lose by 19 points
29	Washington CommandersWAS	1450 (-6)	4-12	at PHI (1533): Lose by 16
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): L 23-30: 1456-6→1450
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): Lose by 16 points
30 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446 (-11)	3-13	at LAR (1553): Lose by 20
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1475): L 14-37: 1457-11→1446
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1553): Lose by 20 points
31 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1421 (-12)	3-13	at BUF (1523): Lose by 19
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): L 10-42: 1433-12→1421
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1523): Lose by 19 points
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419 (-16)	2-14	vs KC (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): L 10-34: 1435-16→1419
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1495): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DEN, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAR, MIN, NE, NYG, PHI, PIT, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1569 (+2)	12-3	at CAR (1490): Win by 12
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1568): W 38-37(OT): 1567+2→1569
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): Win by 12 points
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1565 (-3)	11-4	at ATL (1488): Win by 11
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): L 37-38(OT): 1568-3→1565
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1488): Win by 11 points
3 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554 (+12)	11-4	at IND (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): W 34-20: 1542+12→1554
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1518): Slight favorite
4 (+7)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1542 (+19)	11-4	vs CHI (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): W 48-27: 1523+19→1542
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1524): Slight favorite
5 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1534	12-3	at NYJ (1433): Win by 11
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): W 28-24: 1534+0→1534
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1433): Win by 11 points
6 (-2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1534 (-8)	11-4	vs PHI (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1440): W 23-20: 1542-8→1534
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1522): Slight favorite
7 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1531 (-16)	10-5	at LAC (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): W 23-21: 1547-16→1531
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1526): Slight underdog
8 (+7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1526 (+11)	11-4	vs HOU (1531): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1491): W 34-17: 1515+11→1526
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1531): Slight favorite
9 (+4)	Chicago BearsCHI	1524 (+3)	11-4	at SF (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1527): W 22-16(OT): 1521+3→1524
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1542): Slight underdog
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1524 (-3)	9-5-1	vs BAL (1491): Win by 9
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1521): L 16-22(OT): 1527-3→1524
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): Win by 9 points
11 (-4)	Denver BroncosDEN	1523 (-12)	12-3	at KC (1501): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): L 20-34: 1535-12→1523
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1501): Tossup
12 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1523 (-12)	8-7	at MIN (1501): Tossup
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): L 24-29: 1535-12→1523
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Tossup
13 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1522 (+5)	10-5	at BUF (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): W 29-18: 1517+5→1522
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1534): Slight underdog
14 (-8)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1518 (-18)	8-7	vs JAX (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): L 27-48: 1536-18→1518
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1554): Slight underdog
15 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1516 (+11)	9-6	at CLE (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1535): W 29-24: 1505+11→1516
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1448): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501	7-8	vs DET (1523): Tossup
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): W 16-13: 1501-0→1501
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1523): Tossup
17 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1501 (-20)	6-9	vs DEN (1523): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): L 9-26: 1521-20→1501
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1523): Tossup
18 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1491	7-8	at GB (1524): Lose by 9
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): L 24-28: 1491-0→1491
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1524): Lose by 9 points
19 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1490 (+1)	8-7	vs SEA (1569): Lose by 12
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): W 23-20: 1489+1→1490
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1569): Lose by 12 points
20 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1488 (+6)	6-9	vs LAR (1565): Lose by 11
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): W 26-19: 1482+6→1488
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1565): Lose by 11 points
21 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481	7-8	at MIA (1462): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): L 20-23: 1481-0→1481
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1462): Tossup
22 (-4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1480 (-11)	6-8-1	at WAS (1456): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): L 17-34: 1491-11→1480
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1456): Tossup
23 (+5)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1475 (+23)	5-10	vs ARI (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): W 45-21: 1452+23→1475
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite
24	New Orleans SaintsNO	1473 (+10)	5-10	at TEN (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1444): W 29-6: 1463+10→1473
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1464): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1464 (+20)	3-12	vs NO (1473): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1521): W 26-9: 1444+20→1464
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1473): Slight favorite
26 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1462 (-24)	6-9	vs TB (1481): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): L 21-45: 1486-24→1462
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Tossup
27	New York GiantsNYG	1458	2-13	at LV (1435): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): L 13-16: 1458+0→1458
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1435): Slight favorite
28 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457 (-5)	3-12	at CIN (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): L 19-26: 1462-5→1457
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1475): Slight underdog
29 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1456 (-5)	4-11	vs DAL (1480): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): L 18-29: 1461-5→1456
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1480): Tossup
30 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1448 (+8)	3-12	vs PIT (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): L 20-23: 1440+8→1448
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1516): Slight underdog
31 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1435 (+16)	2-13	vs NYG (1458): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1547): L 21-23: 1419+16→1435
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight underdog
32 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1433 (-11)	3-12	vs NE (1534): Lose by 11
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): L 6-29: 1444-11→1433
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): Lose by 11 points
Favorites:
BUF, CIN, GB, JAX, KC, LAC, LAR, MIN,
NE, NYG, PIT, SEA, SF, TB, TEN, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1568 (-1)	11-3	at SEA (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): W 41-34: 1569-1→1568
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): Slight underdog
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1567 (-4)	11-3	vs LAR (1568): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): W 18-16: 1571-4→1567
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1568): Slight favorite
3	Houston TexansHOU	1547	9-5	vs LV (1419): Win by 29
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): W 40-20: 1547-0→1547
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1419): Win by 29 points
4 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542 (+7)	10-4	at CLE (1440): Win by 17
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1541): W 35-31: 1535+7→1542
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1440): Win by 17 points
5	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1542 (+4)	10-4	at DEN (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1448): W 48-20: 1538+4→1542
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): Slight underdog
6 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1536 (+4)	8-6	vs SF (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1571): L 16-18: 1532+4→1536
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1523): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1535 (+4)	12-2	vs JAX (1542): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1531): W 34-26: 1531+4→1535
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1542): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1535 (+2)	8-6	vs PIT (1505): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): L 34-41: 1533+2→1535
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Win by 8 points
9 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1534 (-7)	11-3	at BAL (1491): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): L 31-35: 1541-7→1534
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1491): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1527 (-4)	9-4-1	at CHI (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1531): L 26-34: 1531-4→1527
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1521): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1523 (-5)	10-4	at IND (1536): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): W 37-24: 1528-5→1523
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): Slight underdog
12 (-1)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1521 (-9)	6-8	at TEN (1444): Win by 11
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 13-16: 1530-9→1521
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1444): Win by 11 points
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1521 (+7)	10-4	vs GB (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): W 31-3: 1514+7→1521
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1527): Slight favorite
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517 (+6)	9-5	at WAS (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): W 31-0: 1511+6→1517
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1461): Slight favorite
15	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (+9)	10-4	at DAL (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): W 16-13: 1506+9→1515
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1491): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+6)	8-6	at DET (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1492): W 28-15: 1499+6→1505
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1535): Lose by 8 points
17 (+4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1501 (+10)	6-8	at NYG (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): W 34-26: 1491+10→1501
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1458): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1491 (-11)	6-7-1	vs LAC (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): L 26-34: 1502-11→1491
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight underdog
19 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1491 (+18)	7-7	vs NE (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1470): W 24-0: 1473+18→1491
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1534): Slight underdog
20 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-5)	7-7	vs TB (1481): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1458): L 17-20: 1494-5→1489
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1481): Slight favorite
21 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1486 (-6)	6-8	vs CIN (1452): Win by 9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 15-28: 1492-6→1486
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Win by 9 points
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (+11)	5-9	at ARI (1462): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): W 29-28: 1471+11→1482
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Slight favorite
23 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1481 (-11)	7-7	at CAR (1489): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): L 28-29: 1492-11→1481
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (+5)	4-10	vs NYJ (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1494): W 20-17: 1458+5→1463
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1444): Slight favorite
25 (+1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462	3-11	vs ATL (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1547): L 20-40: 1462+0→1462
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1461 (+11)	4-10	vs PHI (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1469): W 29-21: 1450+11→1461
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	New York GiantsNYG	1458 (-11)	2-12	vs MIN (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): L 21-29: 1469-11→1458
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1501): Slight underdog
28 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-18)	4-10	at MIA (1486): Lose by 9
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1473): L 0-24: 1470-18→1452
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1486): Lose by 9 points
29	New York JetsNYJ	1444 (-4)	3-11	at NO (1463): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): L 20-48: 1448-4→1444
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1444 (+5)	2-12	vs KC (1521): Lose by 11
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): L 24-37: 1439+5→1444
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1521): Lose by 11 points
31 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1440 (-7)	3-11	vs BUF (1542): Lose by 17
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1514): L 3-31: 1447-7→1440
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): Lose by 17 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1419 (-6)	2-12	at HOU (1547): Lose by 29
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): L 0-31: 1425-6→1419
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1547): Lose by 29 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CAR, CHI, DEN, DET, HOU, IND,
KC, LAC, MIA, MIN, NE, NO, PHI, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1571 (+9)	10-3	vs IND (1532): Win by 10
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 37-9: 1562+9→1571
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1532): Win by 10 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1569 (+12)	10-3	vs DET (1533): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): W 45-17: 1557+12→1569
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1533): Win by 9 points
3 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1547 (+10)	8-5	vs ARI (1462): Win by 20
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): W 20-10: 1537+10→1547
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1462): Win by 20 points
4 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1541	11-2	vs BUF (1535): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): Slight favorite
5 (+7)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1538 (+11)	9-4	vs NYJ (1448): Win by 21
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): W 36-19: 1527+11→1538
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1448): Win by 21 points
6 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1535 (-8)	9-4	at NE (1541): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1462): W 39-34: 1543-8→1535
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1541): Slight underdog
7 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1533 (+4)	8-5	at LAR (1569): Lose by 9
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1507): W 44-30: 1529+4→1533
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1569): Lose by 9 points
8 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1532 (-11)	8-5	at SEA (1571): Lose by 10
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): L 19-36: 1543-11→1532
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1571): Lose by 10 points
9 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1531 (+3)	9-3-1	at DEN (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): W 28-21: 1528+3→1531
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1531): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1531 (-3)	11-2	vs GB (1531): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): W 24-17: 1534-3→1531
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1531): Slight favorite
11 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1530 (-10)	6-7	vs LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1537): L 10-20: 1540-10→1530
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
12 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528	9-4	vs TEN (1439): Win by 21
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): Win by 21 points
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1514 (-3)	9-4	vs CLE (1447): Win by 16
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): L 21-28: 1517-3→1514
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): Win by 16 points
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1511 (-4)	8-5	vs LV (1425): Win by 20
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): L 19-22(OT): 1515-4→1511
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1425): Win by 20 points
15 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+4)	9-4	at KC (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): W 22-19(OT): 1502+4→1506
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1502 (-5)	6-6-1	vs MIN (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): L 30-44: 1507-5→1502
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1491): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (+6)	7-6	vs MIA (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1479): W 27-22: 1493+6→1499
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1492): Slight favorite
18	Carolina PanthersCAR	1494	7-6	at NO (1458): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1458): Slight favorite
19 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1492 (-12)	7-6	vs ATL (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1445): L 20-24: 1504-12→1492
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1471): Slight favorite
20 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1492 (+17)	6-7	at PIT (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): W 34-10: 1475+17→1492
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1491 (+17)	5-8	at DAL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1467): W 31-0: 1474+17→1491
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1502): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1473 (-6)	6-7	at CIN (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): L 22-27: 1479-6→1473
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1470): Slight underdog
23 (-3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1471 (-10)	4-9	at TB (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1562): L 9-37: 1481-10→1471
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1492): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1470 (+8)	4-9	vs BAL (1473): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): L 34-39: 1462+8→1470
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1473): Slight favorite
25	New York GiantsNYG	1469	2-11	vs WAS (1450): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1450): Slight favorite
26 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1462 (-12)	3-10	at HOU (1547): Lose by 20
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1557): L 17-45: 1474-12→1462
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1547): Lose by 20 points
27 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1458 (+13)	3-10	vs CAR (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): W 24-20: 1445+13→1458
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1494): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1450 (-17)	3-10	at NYG (1469): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1474): L 0-31: 1467-17→1450
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1469): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1448 (-17)	3-10	at JAX (1538): Lose by 21
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1475): L 10-34: 1465-17→1448
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1538): Lose by 21 points
30 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1447 (-9)	3-10	at CHI (1514): Lose by 16
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): L 29-31: 1456-9→1447
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1514): Lose by 16 points
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1439 (+9)	2-11	at SF (1528): Lose by 21
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): W 31-29: 1430+9→1439
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Lose by 21 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1425 (+3)	2-11	at PHI (1511): Lose by 20
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): L 17-24: 1422+3→1425
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): Lose by 20 points
Favorites:
CAR, CHI, CIN, DAL, DEN, HOU, JAX, KC,
LAR, NE, NYG, PHI, PIT, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1562 (+4)	9-3	at ATL (1481): Win by 12
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): W 26-0: 1558+4→1562
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Win by 12 points
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1557 (-13)	9-3	at ARI (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): L 28-31: 1570-13→1557
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1474): Slight favorite
3 (+5)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1543 (+11)	8-4	vs CIN (1462): Win by 19
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 26-7: 1532+11→1543
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1462): Win by 19 points
4 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1543 (-8)	8-4	at JAX (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): L 16-20: 1551-8→1543
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1527): Slight underdog
5	New England PatriotsNE	1541 (+1)	11-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1470): W 33-15: 1540+1→1541
next: (bye)
6 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1540 (-8)	6-6	vs HOU (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): L 28-31: 1548-8→1540
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1537): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1537 (+9)	7-5	at KC (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): W 20-16: 1528+9→1537
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1540): Slight underdog
8 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1534 (-2)	10-2	at LV (1422): Win by 12
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1464): W 27-26(OT): 1536-2→1534
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1422): Win by 12 points
9 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1529 (-10)	7-5	vs DAL (1507): Slight fav
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): L 24-31: 1539-10→1529
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1507): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1528 (+10)	8-3-1	vs CHI (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1539): W 31-24: 1518+10→1528
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): Slight favorite
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (+7)	9-4	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): W 26-8: 1521+7→1528
next: (bye)
12	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1527 (+9)	8-4	vs IND (1543): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): W 25-3: 1518+9→1527
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1543): Slight favorite
13 (+3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517 (+13)	9-3	at GB (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): W 24-15: 1504+13→1517
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1528): Slight underdog
14 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1515 (-13)	8-4	at LAC (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1504): L 15-24: 1528-13→1515
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1502): Slight underdog
15 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1507 (+8)	6-5-1	at DET (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): W 31-28: 1499+8→1507
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1529): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1504 (-4)	7-5	vs NO (1445): Win by 11
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): W 20-17: 1508-4→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1445): Win by 11 points
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1502 (+2)	8-4	vs PHI (1515): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): W 31-14: 1500+2→1502
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1515): Slight favorite
18 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1494 (+12)	7-6	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1570): W 31-28: 1482+12→1494
next: (bye)
19 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1493 (-12)	6-6	at BAL (1479): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): L 7-26: 1505-12→1493
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1479): Slight underdog
20	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (-4)	4-8	vs SEA (1562): Lose by 12
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): L 24-27: 1485-4→1481
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1562): Lose by 12 points
21 (-3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1479 (-20)	6-6	vs PIT (1493): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): L 14-32: 1499-20→1479
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1493): Slight favorite
22 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1475 (-2)	5-7	at NYJ (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1443): W 21-17: 1477-2→1475
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1465): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1474 (-5)	4-8	vs WAS (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1558): L 0-26: 1479-5→1474
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1467): Slight favorite
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1474 (+4)	3-9	vs LAR (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): L 17-20: 1470+4→1474
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1557): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1469 (-1)	2-11	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1540): L 15-33: 1470-1→1469
next: (bye)
26	Washington CommandersWAS	1467 (+3)	3-9	at MIN (1474): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1536): L 26-27(OT): 1464+3→1467
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1474): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1465 (+5)	3-9	vs MIA (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): W 27-24: 1460+5→1465
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1475): Slight favorite
28 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1462 (+20)	4-8	at BUF (1543): Lose by 19
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): W 32-14: 1442+20→1462
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1543): Lose by 19 points
29 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1456 (-6)	3-9	vs TEN (1430): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): L 8-26: 1462-6→1456
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): Slight favorite
30 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1445 (+2)	2-10	at TB (1504): Lose by 11
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): L 17-21: 1443+2→1445
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1504): Lose by 11 points
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1430 (-9)	1-11	at CLE (1456): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): L 3-25: 1439-9→1430
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1456): Slight underdog
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1422 (-2)	2-10	vs DEN (1534): Lose by 12
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 14-31: 1424-2→1422
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): Lose by 12 points
Favorites:
BAL, BUF, CLE, DEN, DET, GB, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1570 (+10)	9-2	at CAR (1482): Win by 13
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): W 34-7: 1560+10→1570
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1482): Win by 13 points
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1558 (-9)	8-3	vs MIN (1479): Win by 18
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): W 30-24: 1567-9→1558
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1479): Win by 18 points
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1551 (-4)	8-3	vs HOU (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): L 20-23(OT): 1555-4→1551
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1548 (+4)	6-5	at DAL (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): W 23-20(OT): 1544+4→1548
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): Slight favorite
5	New England PatriotsNE	1540 (-7)	10-2	vs NYG (1470): Win by 16
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1435): W 26-20: 1547-7→1540
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1470): Win by 16 points
6 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1539 (-8)	7-4	vs GB (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): W 34-27(OT): 1547-8→1539
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): Slight favorite
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1536	9-2	at WAS (1464): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1464): Win by 9 points
8	Buffalo BillsBUF	1532 (-3)	7-4	at PIT (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1525): L 19-23: 1535-3→1532
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1528 (+3)	6-5	at IND (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): W 23-19: 1525+3→1528
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1551): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1528 (-5)	8-3	vs CHI (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): L 21-24: 1533-5→1528
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1504): Slight favorite
11	San Francisco 49ersSF	1521 (+1)	8-4	at CLE (1462): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): W 20-9: 1520+1→1521
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): Slight favorite
12 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518	7-4	at TEN (1439): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1471): W 27-24(OT): 1518+0→1518
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1439): Slight favorite
13 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1518 (+7)	7-3-1	at DET (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): W 23-6: 1511+7→1518
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1539): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1508 (-10)	6-5	vs ARI (1470): Win by 9
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1560): L 7-34: 1518-10→1508
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1470): Win by 9 points
15	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (-1)	6-5	vs BUF (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1502): L 28-31: 1506-1→1505
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): Slight underdog
16	Chicago BearsCHI	1504 (+2)	8-3	at PHI (1528): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): W 31-28: 1502+2→1504
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1528): Slight underdog
17	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	7-4	vs LV (1424): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1424): Win by 14 points
18	Baltimore RavensBAL	1499 (+3)	6-5	vs CIN (1442): Win by 11
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1463): W 23-10: 1496+3→1499
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): Win by 11 points
19	Dallas CowboysDAL	1499 (+5)	5-5-1	vs KC (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): W 24-21: 1494+5→1499
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1548): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (+9)	4-7	at NYJ (1460): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1452): W 24-10: 1476+9→1485
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1460): Slight favorite
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1482 (-1)	6-6	vs LAR (1570): Lose by 13
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1520): L 9-20: 1483-1→1482
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1570): Lose by 13 points
22 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1479 (-7)	4-7	at SEA (1558): Lose by 18
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1511): L 6-23: 1486-7→1479
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1558): Lose by 18 points
23 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477	4-7	vs NO (1443): Win by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1443): Win by 9 points
24	Arizona CardinalsARI	1470 (-1)	3-8	at TB (1508): Lose by 9
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): L 24-27(OT): 1471-1→1470
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1508): Lose by 9 points
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1470 (+8)	2-10	at NE (1540): Lose by 16
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): L 27-34(OT): 1462+8→1470
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1540): Lose by 16 points
26 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1464	3-8	vs DEN (1536): Lose by 9
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1536): Lose by 9 points
27 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462 (+9)	3-8	vs SF (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): W 24-10: 1453+9→1462
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1521): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1460 (-3)	2-9	vs ATL (1485): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): L 10-23: 1463-3→1460
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Slight underdog
29	New Orleans SaintsNO	1443 (-9)	2-9	at MIA (1477): Lose by 9
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): L 10-24: 1452-9→1443
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Lose by 9 points
30	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1442 (+7)	3-8	at BAL (1499): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1547): L 20-26: 1435+7→1442
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1499): Lose by 11 points
31 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1439 (+9)	1-10	vs JAX (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): L 24-30: 1430+9→1439
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight underdog
32 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1424 (-9)	2-9	at LAC (1500): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1453): L 10-24: 1433-9→1424
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Lose by 14 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, DEN, DET, IND, JAX, KC,
LAC, LAR, MIA, NE, PHI, SEA, SF, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1567 (-2)	7-3	at TEN (1430): Win by 23
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): L 19-21: 1569-2→1567
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): Win by 23 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1560 (+1)	8-2	vs TB (1518): Win by 10
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1569): W 21-19: 1559+1→1560
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1518): Win by 10 points
3	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1555	8-2	at KC (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1544): Slight underdog
4	Detroit LionsDET	1547 (-7)	6-4	vs NYG (1462): Win by 19
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): L 9-16: 1554-7→1547
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1462): Win by 19 points
5	New England PatriotsNE	1547	9-2	at CIN (1435): Win by 18
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1462): W 27-14: 1547-0→1547
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1435): Win by 18 points
6	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1544 (-3)	5-5	vs IND (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1534): L 19-22: 1547-3→1544
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): Slight favorite
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (+2)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): W 22-19: 1534+2→1536
next: (bye)
8	Buffalo BillsBUF	1535 (+6)	7-3	at HOU (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): W 44-32: 1529+6→1535
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1525): Slight underdog
9 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1533 (+7)	8-2	at DAL (1494): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1554): W 16-9: 1526+7→1533
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1494): Slight favorite
10 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1525 (-4)	5-5	vs BUF (1535): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): W 16-13: 1529-4→1525
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1535): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1520 (+12)	7-4	vs CAR (1483): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): W 41-22: 1508+12→1520
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1483): Win by 9 points
12 (-1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1518 (-5)	6-4	at LAR (1560): Lose by 10
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1529): L 32-44: 1523-5→1518
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1560): Lose by 10 points
13 (+3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1518 (+19)	6-4	at ARI (1471): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): W 35-6: 1499+19→1518
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1471): Slight favorite
14 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1511 (+2)	6-3-1	vs MIN (1486): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): W 27-20: 1509+2→1511
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1486): Slight favorite
15	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1506 (+6)	6-4	at CHI (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): W 34-12: 1500+6→1506
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1502): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1502 (+4)	7-3	vs PIT (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): W 19-17: 1498+4→1502
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1506): Slight favorite
17 (-5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (-19)	7-4	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): L 6-35: 1519-19→1500
next: (bye)
18	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496 (+4)	5-5	vs NYJ (1463): Win by 8
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1458): W 23-16: 1492+4→1496
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1463): Win by 8 points
19 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1494 (+8)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1533): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1441): W 33-16: 1486+8→1494
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1533): Slight underdog
20 (-1)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1486 (-4)	4-6	at GB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1498): L 17-19: 1490-4→1486
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1511): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1483 (+8)	6-5	at SF (1520): Lose by 9
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): W 30-27(OT): 1475+8→1483
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1520): Lose by 9 points
22 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477 (+4)	4-7	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): W 16-13(OT): 1473+4→1477
next: (bye)
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1476 (-7)	3-7	at NO (1452): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): L 27-30(OT): 1483-7→1476
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1452): Tossup
24 (-3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1471 (-13)	3-7	vs JAX (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): L 22-41: 1484-13→1471
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1518): Slight underdog
25	Washington CommandersWAS	1464 (-4)	3-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): L 13-16(OT): 1468-4→1464
next: (bye)
26 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1463 (+1)	2-8	at BAL (1496): Lose by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1547): L 14-27: 1462+1→1463
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): Lose by 8 points
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1462 (-2)	2-9	at DET (1547): Lose by 19
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 20-27: 1464-2→1462
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1547): Lose by 19 points
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1453 (-5)	2-8	at LV (1433): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): L 16-23: 1458-5→1453
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1433): Slight favorite
29	New Orleans SaintsNO	1452	2-8	vs ATL (1476): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1476): Tossup
30	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1435 (-7)	3-7	vs NE (1547): Lose by 18
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 12-34: 1442-7→1435
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1547): Lose by 18 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1433 (-8)	2-8	vs CLE (1453): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): L 16-33: 1441-8→1433
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1453): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1430 (+4)	1-9	vs SEA (1567): Lose by 23
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1529): L 13-16: 1426+4→1430
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1567): Lose by 23 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, CHI, CLE, DET, GB, HOU, JAX,
KC, LAR, NE, PHI, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1569 (+8)	7-2	at LAR (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): W 44-22: 1561+8→1569
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1559): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1559 (+11)	7-2	vs SEA (1569): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 42-26: 1548+11→1559
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1569): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1555 (-2)	8-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): W 31-25(OT): 1557-2→1555
next: (bye)
4 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1554 (+9)	6-3	at PHI (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): W 44-22: 1545+9→1554
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1526): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1547 (+4)	8-2	vs NYJ (1462): Win by 15
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): W 28-23: 1543+4→1547
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1462): Win by 15 points
6 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547	5-4	at DEN (1534): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1534): Slight underdog
7 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1534 (-5)	8-2	vs KC (1547): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1436): W 10-7: 1539-5→1534
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1547): Slight favorite
8 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1529 (-16)	6-3	vs TB (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1458): L 13-30: 1545-16→1529
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1523): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1529 (+3)	4-5	at TEN (1426): Win by 10
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): W 36-29: 1526+3→1529
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1426): Win by 10 points
10 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1526 (+5)	7-2	vs DET (1554): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): W 10-7: 1521+5→1526
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1554): Slight underdog
11 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1523 (-5)	6-3	at BUF (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): L 23-28: 1528-5→1523
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1529): Slight underdog
12 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1519 (+8)	7-3	at JAX (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): W 25-10: 1511+8→1519
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1499): Slight favorite
13	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (-5)	5-3-1	at NYG (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): L 7-10: 1514-5→1509
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1508 (-10)	6-4	at ARI (1484): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): L 26-42: 1518-10→1508
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1484): Tossup
15	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (-8)	5-4	vs CIN (1442): Win by 10
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): L 10-25: 1508-8→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1442): Win by 10 points
16	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1499 (-3)	5-4	vs LAC (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): L 29-36: 1502-3→1499
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1519): Slight underdog
17 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1498 (-1)	6-3	at MIN (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1464): W 24-20: 1499-1→1498
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1490): Slight underdog
18 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1492 (+10)	4-5	at CLE (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): W 27-19: 1482+10→1492
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1458): Slight favorite
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1490 (-9)	4-5	vs CHI (1498): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1482): L 19-27: 1499-9→1490
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1498): Slight favorite
20 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1486	3-5-1	at LV (1441): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1441): Slight favorite
21 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1484 (-7)	3-6	vs SF (1508): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): L 22-44: 1491-7→1484
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1508): Tossup
22 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1483 (+2)	3-6	vs CAR (1475): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): L 25-31(OT): 1481+2→1483
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1475): Slight favorite
23 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1475 (-12)	5-5	at ATL (1483): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): L 7-17: 1487-12→1475
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1483): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+15)	3-7	at WAS (1468): Slight fav
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): W 30-13: 1458+15→1473
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1468): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1468 (-9)	3-7	at MIA (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1545): L 22-44: 1477-9→1468
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1464	2-8	vs GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): L 20-24: 1464+0→1464
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1462 (+5)	2-7	at NE (1547): Lose by 15
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): W 27-20: 1457+5→1462
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1547): Lose by 15 points
28 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1458 (-4)	2-7	vs BAL (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1457): L 20-27: 1462-4→1458
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): Slight underdog
29 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1452 (+12)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): W 17-7: 1440+12→1452
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1442	3-6	at PIT (1500): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Lose by 10 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1441 (+5)	2-7	vs DAL (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1539): L 7-10: 1436+5→1441
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1486): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1426	1-8	vs HOU (1529): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1529): Lose by 10 points
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, HOU,
LAC, LAR, MIA, MIN, NE, PIT, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1561 (+12)	6-2	vs ARI (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): W 38-14: 1549+12→1561
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1491): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557 (-9)	7-2	at ATL (1481): Win by 9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): L 20-27: 1566-9→1557
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1481): Win by 9 points
3 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1548 (+7)	6-2	at SF (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1448): W 34-10: 1541+7→1548
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight favorite
4 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1547 (-5)	5-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): L 21-28: 1552-5→1547
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1545 (+5)	6-2	at MIA (1458): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): W 28-21: 1540+5→1545
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1458): Slight favorite
6 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1545 (-7)	5-3	at WAS (1477): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): L 24-27: 1552-7→1545
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1477): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	New England PatriotsNE	1543 (+1)	7-2	at TB (1528): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): W 24-23: 1542+1→1543
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1528): Tossup
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1539 (+5)	7-2	vs LV (1436): Win by 12
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1531): W 18-15: 1534+5→1539
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1436): Win by 12 points
9 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1528	6-2	vs NE (1543): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1543): Tossup
10 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1526 (-5)	3-5	vs JAX (1502): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): L 15-18: 1531-5→1526
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1502): Slight favorite
11	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521	6-2	at GB (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1514): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+5)	6-3	vs LAR (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1469): W 34-24: 1513+5→1518
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1548): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1514 (-7)	5-2-1	vs PHI (1521): Slight fav
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): L 13-16: 1521-7→1514
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight favorite
14	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1511 (+2)	6-3	vs PIT (1508): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1427): W 27-20: 1509+2→1511
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Slight favorite
15 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (+9)	5-3	at LAC (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): W 27-20: 1499+9→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1511): Slight underdog
16 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1502 (+2)	5-3	at HOU (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): W 30-29(OT): 1500+2→1502
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1526): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1499 (+7)	4-4	vs BAL (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): W 27-24: 1492+7→1499
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1482): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1499 (+2)	5-3	vs NYG (1464): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1444): W 47-42: 1497+2→1499
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1464): Slight favorite
19 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1491 (+9)	3-5	at SEA (1561): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): W 27-17: 1482+9→1491
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1561): Slight underdog
20 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1487 (+7)	5-4	vs NO (1440): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1521): W 16-13: 1480+7→1487
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1440): Slight favorite
21 (-3)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1486 (-9)	3-5-1	bye
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): L 17-27: 1495-9→1486
next: (bye)
22 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1482 (+15)	3-5	at MIN (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): W 28-6: 1467+15→1482
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1499): Slight underdog
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1481 (-1)	3-5	at IND (1557): Lose by 9
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1542): L 23-24: 1482-1→1481
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): Lose by 9 points
24 (-4)	Washington CommandersWAS	1477 (-13)	3-6	vs DET (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1549): L 14-38: 1490-13→1477
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1545): Slight underdog
25	New York GiantsNYG	1464 (-5)	2-7	at CHI (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 24-34: 1469-5→1464
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1499): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462	2-6	at NYJ (1457): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1457): Slight underdog
27 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1458 (-15)	2-7	vs BUF (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1467): L 6-28: 1473-15→1458
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1545): Slight underdog
28	New York JetsNYJ	1457	1-7	vs CLE (1462): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1462): Slight favorite
29 (+1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1442 (-2)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): L 42-47: 1444-2→1442
next: (bye)
30 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1440 (-8)	1-8	at CAR (1487): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): L 10-34: 1448-8→1440
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1487): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1436 (-1)	2-6	at DEN (1539): Lose by 12
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 29-30(OT): 1437-1→1436
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1539): Lose by 12 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1426 (-1)	1-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): L 20-27: 1427-1→1426
next: (bye)
Favorites:
BUF, CAR, CHI, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND,
LAC, LAR, MIN, NYJ, SEA, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1566 (+7)	7-1	at PIT (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1434): W 38-14: 1559+7→1566
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1499): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1552 (+9)	5-3	at BUF (1540): Tossup
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): W 28-7: 1543+9→1552
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): Tossup
3 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1552	5-2	vs MIN (1492): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1492): Slight favorite
4 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1549	5-2	at WAS (1490): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1490): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1542 (+7)	6-2	vs ATL (1482): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1469): W 32-13: 1535+7→1542
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1541	5-2	vs NO (1448): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1448): Win by 10 points
7 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1540 (+19)	5-2	vs KC (1552): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1498): W 40-9: 1521+19→1540
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1552): Tossup
8	Denver BroncosDEN	1534 (+10)	6-2	at HOU (1531): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): W 44-24: 1524+10→1534
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1531): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1531 (+7)	3-4	vs DEN (1534): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): W 26-15: 1524+7→1531
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1528 (+11)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): W 23-3: 1517+11→1528
next: (bye)
11 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (+8)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): W 38-20: 1513+8→1521
next: (bye)
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (+8)	5-1-1	vs CAR (1480): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): W 35-25: 1513+8→1521
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1480): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (-6)	5-3	at NYG (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1524): L 15-26: 1519-6→1513
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1469): Slight favorite
14 (+8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1509 (+16)	5-3	at TEN (1427): Slight fav
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): W 37-10: 1493+16→1509
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1427): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	4-3	at LV (1437): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1437): Slight favorite
16	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (-8)	4-3	vs IND (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): L 25-35: 1507-8→1499
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1566): Slight underdog
17 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (-11)	4-3	at CIN (1444): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1455): L 16-30: 1508-11→1497
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1444): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1495 (-10)	3-4-1	vs ARI (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1524): L 24-44: 1505-10→1495
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1482): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1492 (-16)	3-4	at DET (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): L 10-37: 1508-16→1492
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1552): Slight underdog
20	Washington CommandersWAS	1490 (-9)	3-5	vs SEA (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): L 7-28: 1499-9→1490
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1549): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482	2-5	at DAL (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): Slight underdog
22 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (-19)	3-4	at NE (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): L 10-34: 1501-19→1482
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1542): Slight underdog
23 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1480 (-18)	4-4	at GB (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1521): L 9-40: 1498-18→1480
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight underdog
24 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+19)	2-6	vs BAL (1467): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): W 34-10: 1454+19→1473
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1467): Slight favorite
25 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1469 (-9)	2-6	vs SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): L 20-38: 1478-9→1469
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
26 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1467 (+12)	2-5	at MIA (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1508): W 30-16: 1455+12→1467
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Slight underdog
27 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1462 (-7)	2-6	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): L 13-32: 1469-7→1462
next: (bye)
28 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1457 (+7)	1-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1451): W 39-38: 1450+7→1457
next: (bye)
29 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1448 (-11)	1-7	at LAR (1541): Lose by 10
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): L 3-23: 1459-11→1448
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1541): Lose by 10 points
30 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1444 (-7)	3-5	vs CHI (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1450): L 38-39: 1451-7→1444
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Slight underdog
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1437	2-5	vs JAX (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427 (-7)	1-7	vs LAC (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): L 14-38: 1434-7→1427
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1509): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CHI, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND, JAX,
LAC, LAR, MIA, NE, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1559 (+7)	6-1	vs TEN (1434): Win by 10
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): W 38-24: 1552+7→1559
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1434): Win by 10 points
2	Detroit LionsDET	1552 (+7)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): W 24-9: 1545+7→1552
next: (bye)
3	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1549 (+4)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): W 27-19: 1545+4→1549
next: (bye)
4	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1543 (+13)	4-3	vs WAS (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): W 31-0: 1530+13→1543
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Slight favorite
5 (+3)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1541 (+17)	5-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): W 35-7: 1524+17→1541
next: (bye)
6 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1535 (+6)	5-2	vs CLE (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): W 31-13: 1529+6→1535
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1469): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1524 (-4)	2-4	vs SF (1519): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): L 19-27: 1528-4→1524
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1519): Slight favorite
8 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1524 (+2)	5-2	vs DAL (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): W 33-32: 1522+2→1524
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1505): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1521	4-2	at CAR (1498): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1498): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1519 (+6)	5-2	at HOU (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1506): W 20-10: 1513+6→1519
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1524): Slight underdog
11 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1517 (-7)	5-2	at NO (1459): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1545): L 9-24: 1524-7→1517
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1459): Slight favorite
12 (+4)	Green Bay PackersGB	1513 (+4)	4-1-1	at PIT (1507): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 27-23: 1509+4→1513
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1507): Slight underdog
13 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513 (+7)	5-2	vs NYG (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): W 28-22: 1506+7→1513
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1478): Slight favorite
14 (+5)	Chicago BearsCHI	1508 (+4)	4-2	at BAL (1455): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): W 26-14: 1504+4→1508
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1455): Slight favorite
15 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1508 (-7)	3-3	at LAC (1493): Tossup
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): L 22-28: 1515-7→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1493): Tossup
16 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1507 (-5)	4-2	vs GB (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): L 31-33: 1512-5→1507
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): Slight favorite
17 (+5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1505 (+13)	3-3-1	at DEN (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1512): W 44-22: 1492+13→1505
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1524): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1501 (-5)	3-3	vs MIA (1454): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 10-20: 1506-5→1501
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1454): Slight favorite
19 (-8)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500 (-17)	4-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): L 7-35: 1517-17→1500
next: (bye)
20 (-5)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (-13)	3-4	at KC (1543): Slight 'dog
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): L 22-44: 1512-13→1499
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1543): Slight underdog
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1498 (+4)	4-3	vs BUF (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1454): W 13-6: 1494+4→1498
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1521): Slight underdog
22 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1493 (-7)	4-3	vs MIN (1508): Tossup
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): L 24-38: 1500-7→1493
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1508): Tossup
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1482 (-4)	2-5	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 23-27: 1486-4→1482
next: (bye)
24	New York GiantsNYG	1478 (-2)	2-5	at PHI (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1522): L 32-33: 1480-2→1478
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1513): Slight underdog
25 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1469 (+15)	2-5	at NE (1535): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): W 31-6: 1454+15→1469
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1535): Slight underdog
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1459 (-4)	1-6	vs TB (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): L 14-26: 1463-4→1459
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1517): Slight underdog
27	Baltimore RavensBAL	1455	1-5	vs CHI (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1508): Slight underdog
28 (-3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1454 (-15)	1-6	at ATL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1454): L 6-31: 1469-15→1454
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1501): Slight underdog
29 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1451 (+5)	3-4	vs NYJ (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 33-31: 1446+5→1451
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1450): Slight favorite
30 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1450 (-4)	0-7	at CIN (1451): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1494): L 6-13: 1454-4→1450
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1451): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1437 (-14)	2-5	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): L 0-31: 1451-14→1437
next: (bye)
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1434 (-7)	1-6	at IND (1559): Lose by 10
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1529): L 13-31: 1441-7→1434
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1559): Lose by 10 points
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CIN, DEN, HOU, IND, KC,
LAC, NE, PHI, PIT, TB

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1552 (-3)	5-1	at LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): W 31-27: 1555-3→1552
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1545 (-12)	4-2	vs TB (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1517): L 17-30: 1557-12→1545
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1524): Slight favorite
3	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1545 (+8)	4-2	vs HOU (1528): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): W 20-12: 1537+8→1545
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1528): Slight favorite
4 (+8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1530 (+13)	3-3	vs LV (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): W 30-17: 1517+13→1530
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1451): Slight favorite
5 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1529 (+3)	4-2	at TEN (1441): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1466): W 25-19: 1526+3→1529
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1441): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1528	2-3	at SEA (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): Slight underdog
7 (+6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1524 (+8)	5-1	at DET (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): W 30-19: 1516+8→1524
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1545): Slight underdog
8 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524 (+8)	4-2	at JAX (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1463): W 17-3: 1516+8→1524
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1517): Slight favorite
9 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1522 (-3)	4-2	vs NYG (1480): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1451): W 13-11: 1525-3→1522
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1480): Slight favorite
10 (-6)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1521 (-11)	4-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): L 14-24: 1532-11→1521
next: (bye)
11 (-3)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1517 (-7)	4-2	at LAR (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): L 12-20: 1524-7→1517
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Slight underdog
12 (+3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515	3-2	vs PHI (1506): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1506): Slight favorite
13 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (-9)	4-2	vs ATL (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): L 19-30: 1522-9→1513
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1506): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+7)	4-1	at CIN (1446): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): W 23-9: 1505+7→1512
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): Slight favorite
15 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1512 (-11)	3-3	at DAL (1492): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): L 24-25: 1523-11→1512
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1492): Tossup
16	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (+1)	3-1-1	at ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1448): W 27-18: 1508+1→1509
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
17 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1506 (+10)	3-2	at SF (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): W 24-14: 1496+10→1506
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight underdog
18 (-7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1506 (-15)	4-2	at MIN (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): L 17-34: 1521-15→1506
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1515): Slight underdog
19 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1504 (+11)	3-2	vs NO (1463): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1523): W 25-24: 1493+11→1504
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1463): Slight favorite
20 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (+3)	4-2	vs IND (1552): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): W 29-27: 1497+3→1500
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1494 (+3)	3-3	at NYJ (1454): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): W 30-27: 1491+3→1494
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1454): Slight favorite
22 (-2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1492 (-3)	2-3-1	vs WAS (1512): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): L 27-30: 1495-3→1492
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1512): Tossup
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486 (+3)	2-4	vs GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): L 27-31: 1483+3→1486
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
24 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1480 (+16)	2-4	at DEN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): W 34-17: 1464+16→1480
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1522): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1469 (-3)	1-5	at CLE (1454): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): L 27-29: 1472-3→1469
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1454): Tossup
26 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1463 (-3)	1-5	at CHI (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1526): L 19-25: 1466-3→1463
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1504): Slight underdog
27	Baltimore RavensBAL	1455 (-8)	1-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1516): L 3-17: 1463-8→1455
next: (bye)
28 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1454 (+3)	0-6	vs CAR (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): L 11-13: 1451+3→1454
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1494): Slight underdog
29 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454 (-7)	1-5	vs MIA (1469): Tossup
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): L 9-23: 1461-7→1454
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1469): Tossup
30 (+2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1451 (+8)	2-4	at KC (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): W 20-10: 1443+8→1451
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1530): Slight underdog
31	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1446 (-2)	2-4	vs PIT (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1508): L 18-27: 1448-2→1446
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Slight underdog
32 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1441 (-7)	1-5	vs NE (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): L 10-20: 1448-7→1441
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1529): Slight underdog
Favorites:
CAR, CHI, CLE, DAL, DEN, DET, GB, IND,
KC, LAR, MIN, NE, PIT, SEA, SF

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1557 (+4)	4-1	at KC (1517): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): W 37-24: 1553+4→1557
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1517): Slight favorite
2 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1555 (+20)	4-1	vs ARI (1483): Win by 8
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): W 40-6: 1535+20→1555
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): Win by 8 points
3 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1537 (-11)	3-2	at JAX (1524): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): L 35-38: 1548-11→1537
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1524): Tossup
4 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1532 (-7)	4-1	at ATL (1496): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): L 20-23: 1539-7→1532
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): Slight favorite
5 (+14)	Houston TexansHOU	1528 (+29)	2-3	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): W 44-10: 1499+29→1528
next: (bye)
6 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1526 (+8)	3-2	at NO (1466): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): W 23-20: 1518+8→1526
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1466): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1525 (+9)	3-2	at NYJ (1451): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): W 21-17: 1516+9→1525
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1451): Slight favorite
8 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1524 (+3)	4-1	vs SEA (1537): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): W 31-28: 1521+3→1524
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1537): Tossup
9 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1523 (+18)	3-2	vs CHI (1493): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 27-10: 1505+18→1523
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1493): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1522 (+9)	4-1	at TB (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1525): W 26-23(OT): 1513+9→1522
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1516): Slight underdog
11 (-6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1521 (-9)	4-1	at NYG (1464): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1516): L 17-21: 1530-9→1521
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1464): Slight favorite
12 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1517 (-3)	2-3	vs DET (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): L 28-31: 1520-3→1517
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1557): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1516 (+10)	4-1	vs SF (1522): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): W 38-35: 1506+10→1516
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1522): Slight favorite
14 (-8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1516 (-9)	3-2	at BAL (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): L 23-26(OT): 1525-9→1516
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1463): Slight favorite
15 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1515 (+1)	3-2	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): W 21-17: 1514+1→1515
next: (bye)
16 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1508	2-1-1	vs CIN (1448): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1448): Slight favorite
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505	3-1	vs CLE (1461): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): Slight favorite
18 (-7)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1497 (-18)	3-2	at MIA (1472): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): L 10-27: 1515-18→1497
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496	2-2	vs BUF (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): Slight underdog
20 (+4)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1495 (+14)	2-2-1	at CAR (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): W 37-22: 1481+14→1495
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1491): Slight underdog
21	Chicago BearsCHI	1493	2-2	at WAS (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1523): Slight underdog
22 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1491 (+1)	2-3	vs DAL (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): W 27-24: 1490+1→1491
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1495): Slight favorite
23 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1483 (-17)	2-3	at IND (1555): Lose by 8
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1432): L 21-22: 1500-17→1483
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1555): Lose by 8 points
24 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1472 (-2)	1-4	vs LAC (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): L 24-27: 1474-2→1472
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1497): Slight underdog
25 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1466 (+13)	1-4	vs NE (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1477): W 26-14: 1453+13→1466
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1526): Slight underdog
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1464 (-13)	1-4	vs PHI (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1453): L 14-26: 1477-13→1464
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1521): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1463 (-30)	1-4	vs LAR (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): L 10-44: 1493-30→1463
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1516): Slight underdog
28 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461	1-4	at PIT (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): L 17-21: 1461-0→1461
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight underdog
29 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1451 (-15)	0-5	at DEN (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): L 22-37: 1466-15→1451
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1525): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1448 (+16)	1-4	at LV (1443): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): W 22-21: 1432+16→1448
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1443): Slight underdog
31	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1448 (-4)	2-3	at GB (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1553): L 24-37: 1452-4→1448
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1508): Slight underdog
32 (-4)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1443 (-20)	1-4	vs TEN (1448): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1535): L 6-40: 1463-20→1443
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1448): Slight favorite
Favorites:
BUF, CAR, DEN, DET, GB, IND, JAX, LAC,
LAR, LV, NE, PHI, PIT, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1553 (+15)	3-1	at CIN (1452): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): W 34-10: 1538+15→1553
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1452): Slight favorite
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1548 (+4)	3-1	vs TB (1506): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1503): W 23-20: 1544+4→1548
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1506): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1539 (+2)	4-0	vs NE (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1456): W 31-19: 1537+2→1539
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1518): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1535 (-10)	3-1	vs LV (1463): Win by 8
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): L 20-27: 1545-10→1535
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1463): Win by 8 points
5 (+3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (+10)	4-0	vs DEN (1516): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): W 31-25: 1520+10→1530
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1516): Slight favorite
6 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1525 (+11)	3-1	vs SF (1513): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1545): W 27-20: 1514+11→1525
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1513): Slight favorite
7 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1521 (+10)	3-1	vs KC (1520): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): W 26-21: 1511+10→1521
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1520): Slight favorite
8 (+8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1520 (+16)	2-2	at JAX (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): W 37-20: 1504+16→1520
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1521): Slight underdog
9 (+11)	New England PatriotsNE	1518 (+29)	2-2	at BUF (1539): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1519): W 42-13: 1489+29→1518
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1539): Slight underdog
10 (+9)	Denver BroncosDEN	1516 (+20)	2-2	at PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): W 28-3: 1496+20→1516
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
11 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (-10)	3-1	vs WAS (1505): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): L 18-21: 1525-10→1515
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1505): Slight favorite
12 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1514 (-9)	2-2	at CLE (1461): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): L 21-24: 1523-9→1514
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1461): Slight favorite
13 (-7)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1513 (-11)	3-1	at LAR (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): L 21-26: 1524-11→1513
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1525): Slight underdog
14	Green Bay PackersGB	1508 (-1)	2-1-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): T 40-40(OT): 1509-1→1508
next: (bye)
15 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1506 (-9)	3-1	at SEA (1548): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): L 25-31: 1515-9→1506
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1548): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+8)	3-1	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): W 24-21: 1497+8→1505
next: (bye)
17 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1505 (-11)	2-2	at LAC (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): L 27-34: 1516-11→1505
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight underdog
18 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500 (-3)	2-2	vs TEN (1432): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): L 20-23: 1503-3→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1432): Slight favorite
19 (+5)	Houston TexansHOU	1499 (+22)	1-3	at BAL (1493): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): W 26-0: 1477+22→1499
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1493): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496 (+10)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1516): W 34-27: 1486+10→1496
next: (bye)
21 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1493 (+10)	2-2	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): W 25-24: 1483+10→1493
next: (bye)
22 (-7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1493 (-16)	1-3	vs HOU (1499): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1504): L 20-37: 1509-16→1493
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1499): Slight favorite
23 (-14)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1490 (-29)	1-3	vs MIA (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): L 13-42: 1519-29→1490
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): Slight favorite
24 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1481 (+2)	1-2-1	at NYJ (1466): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): T 40-40(OT): 1479+2→1481
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1466): Tossup
25 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1477 (+11)	1-3	at NO (1453): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): W 21-18: 1466+11→1477
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1453): Slight favorite
26 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1474 (+7)	1-3	at CAR (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 27-21: 1467+7→1474
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): Slight underdog
27	New York JetsNYJ	1466 (-6)	0-4	vs DAL (1481): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): L 21-27: 1472-6→1466
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1481): Tossup
28 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1463 (-10)	1-3	at IND (1535): Lose by 8
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1483): L 24-25: 1473-10→1463
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1535): Lose by 8 points
29 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1461 (-15)	1-3	at MIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1538): L 10-34: 1476-15→1461
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1514): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1453 (-3)	0-4	vs NYG (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1537): L 19-31: 1456-3→1453
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1477): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1452 (-20)	2-2	vs DET (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1496): L 3-28: 1472-20→1452
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1553): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1432 (-21)	0-4	at ARI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): L 0-26: 1453-21→1432
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, BUF, CAR, DET, IND, JAX, LAC,
LAR, MIN, NYG, NYJ, PHI, SEA

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1545 (+21)	3-0	at LAR (1514): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): W 41-20: 1524+21→1545
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1514): Slight favorite
2 (+8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1544 (+27)	2-1	at ARI (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): W 44-13: 1517+27→1544
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1503): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1538 (+12)	2-1	vs CLE (1476): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): W 38-30: 1526+12→1538
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1537 (+5)	3-0	vs NO (1456): Win by 9
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): W 31-21: 1532+5→1537
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1456): Win by 9 points
5 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1525 (+1)	3-0	at NYG (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): W 23-20: 1524+1→1525
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1466): Slight favorite
6 (+5)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1524 (+9)	3-0	vs JAX (1511): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1512): W 16-15: 1515+9→1524
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight favorite
7 (+20)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+43)	2-1	at PIT (1497): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): W 48-10: 1480+43→1523
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1497): Slight favorite
8 (+6)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (+9)	3-0	at TB (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): W 33-26: 1511+9→1520
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1515): Slight underdog
9 (+13)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1519 (+33)	1-2	at NE (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): W 30-0: 1486+33→1519
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): Slight favorite
10 (+8)	Washington CommandersWAS	1516 (+17)	2-1	at ATL (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): W 41-24: 1499+17→1516
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1486): Slight favorite
11 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1515 (-4)	3-0	vs PHI (1520): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): W 29-27: 1519-4→1515
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1514 (-10)	2-1	vs IND (1545): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): L 26-33: 1524-10→1514
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1545): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+6)	2-1	at SF (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1483): W 17-10: 1505+6→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1524): Slight underdog
14 (-7)	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (-11)	2-1	at DAL (1479): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1465): L 10-13: 1520-11→1509
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1479): Slight favorite
15 (-9)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1509 (-12)	1-2	at KC (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1526): L 30-38: 1521-12→1509
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1504): Slight underdog
16 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1504 (+18)	1-2	vs BAL (1509): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 22-9: 1486+18→1504
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1509): Slight favorite
17 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1503 (-9)	2-1	vs SEA (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): L 15-16: 1512-9→1503
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1544): Slight underdog
18 (+8)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1497 (+15)	2-1	at MIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1504): W 21-14: 1482+15→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight underdog
19	Denver BroncosDEN	1496 (-2)	1-2	vs CIN (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 20-23: 1498-2→1496
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): Slight favorite
20 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1489 (-15)	1-2	vs CAR (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): L 14-21: 1504-15→1489
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1519): Slight underdog
21 (-13)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1486 (-34)	1-2	vs WAS (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): L 0-30: 1520-34→1486
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1516): Slight underdog
22 (+10)	Chicago BearsCHI	1483 (+24)	1-2	at LV (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): W 31-14: 1459+24→1483
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1473): Slight underdog
23 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1479 (-24)	1-2	vs GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1459): L 14-31: 1503-24→1479
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
24	Houston TexansHOU	1477 (-6)	0-3	vs TEN (1453): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1505): L 10-17: 1483-6→1477
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1453): Slight favorite
25 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1476 (+11)	1-2	at DET (1538): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1520): W 13-10: 1465+11→1476
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1538): Slight underdog
26 (-6)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1473 (-17)	1-2	vs CHI (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): L 24-41: 1490-17→1473
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1483): Slight favorite
27 (+3)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (+3)	0-3	at MIA (1467): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1519): L 27-29: 1469+3→1472
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1467): Slight underdog
28 (-16)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1472 (-42)	2-1	at DEN (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): L 10-48: 1514-42→1472
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1496): Slight underdog
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1467 (-5)	0-3	vs NYJ (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): L 21-31: 1472-5→1467
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Slight favorite
30 (-7)	New York GiantsNYG	1466 (-18)	0-3	vs LAC (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1486): L 9-22: 1484-18→1466
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1525): Slight underdog
31 (-6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456 (-27)	0-3	at BUF (1537): Lose by 9
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 13-44: 1483-27→1456
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1537): Lose by 9 points
32 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1453 (-21)	0-3	at HOU (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): L 20-41: 1474-21→1453
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1477): Slight underdog
Favorites:
BUF, CAR, DEN, DET, GB, HOU, IND, KC,
LAC, LV, MIA, MIN, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+10)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1532 (+27)	2-0	vs MIA (1472): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): W 30-10: 1505+27→1532
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): Slight favorite
2 (+27)	Detroit LionsDET	1526 (+35)	1-1	at BAL (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): W 52-21: 1491+35→1526
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1521): Slight underdog
3 (-2)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1524 (+8)	2-0	at TEN (1474): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1506): W 29-28: 1516+8→1524
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1474): Slight favorite
4 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+18)	2-0	vs DEN (1498): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1508): W 20-9: 1506+18→1524
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1498): Slight favorite
5 (+10)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1524 (+20)	2-0	at PHI (1511): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): W 33-19: 1504+20→1524
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1511): Tossup
6 (+16)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1521 (+26)	1-1	vs DET (1526): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): W 41-17: 1495+26→1521
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1526): Slight favorite
7 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1520 (+11)	2-0	at CLE (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1510): W 27-18: 1509+11→1520
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1465): Slight favorite
8 (+12)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1520 (+25)	1-1	at CAR (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): W 22-6: 1495+25→1520
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1486): Slight favorite
9 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1519 (+14)	2-0	vs NYJ (1469): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): W 20-19: 1505+14→1519
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1469): Slight favorite
10 (+15)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+23)	1-1	vs NO (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): W 31-17: 1494+23→1517
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1483): Slight favorite
11 (-3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1515 (+9)	2-0	vs ARI (1512): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): W 26-21: 1506+9→1515
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1512): Slight favorite
12 (-7)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1514 (+6)	2-0	at MIN (1480): Slight fav
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): W 31-27: 1508+6→1514
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Slight favorite
13 (-7)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1512 (+4)	2-0	at SF (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): W 27-22: 1508+4→1512
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1515): Slight underdog
14 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1511 (+8)	2-0	vs LAR (1524): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1494): W 20-17: 1503+8→1511
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1524): Tossup
15 (-13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1505 (-6)	1-1	vs HOU (1483): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): L 27-31: 1511-6→1505
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1483): Slight favorite
16 (+10)	New England PatriotsNE	1504 (+12)	1-1	vs PIT (1482): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): W 33-27: 1492+12→1504
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1482): Slight favorite
17	Dallas CowboysDAL	1503 (+6)	1-1	at CHI (1459): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): W 40-37(OT): 1497+6→1503
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1459): Slight favorite
18 (-15)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (-11)	1-1	vs LV (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): L 18-27: 1510-11→1499
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): Slight favorite
19 (-9)	Denver BroncosDEN	1498 (-8)	1-1	at LAC (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): L 28-29: 1506-8→1498
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Slight underdog
20 (-13)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1490 (-18)	1-1	at WAS (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 9-20: 1508-18→1490
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Slight underdog
21 (+3)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1486 (-8)	0-2	at NYG (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): L 17-20: 1494-8→1486
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight underdog
22 (+9)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1486 (-3)	0-2	vs ATL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): L 22-27: 1489-3→1486
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): Slight underdog
23 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (-6)	0-2	vs KC (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): L 37-40(OT): 1490-6→1484
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1486): Slight favorite
24 (-6)	Houston TexansHOU	1483 (-13)	0-2	at JAX (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): L 19-20: 1496-13→1483
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1505): Slight underdog
25 (+2)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1483 (-9)	0-2	at SEA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): L 21-26: 1492-9→1483
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Slight underdog
26 (-12)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1482 (-23)	1-1	at NE (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): L 17-31: 1505-23→1482
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1504): Slight underdog
27 (-15)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (-25)	1-1	vs CIN (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): L 6-22: 1505-25→1480
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1514): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1474 (-20)	0-2	vs IND (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): L 19-33: 1494-20→1474
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1524): Slight underdog
29 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1472 (-12)	0-2	at BUF (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): L 27-33: 1484-12→1472
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1532): Slight underdog
30 (-11)	New York JetsNYJ	1469 (-26)	0-2	at TB (1519): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1505): L 10-30: 1495-26→1469
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1519): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1465 (-27)	0-2	vs GB (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): L 17-41: 1492-27→1465
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1520): Slight underdog
32 (-11)	Chicago BearsCHI	1459 (-36)	0-2	vs DAL (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1491): L 21-52: 1495-36→1459
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1503): Slight underdog
Favorites:
ATL, BAL, BUF, CIN, DAL, GB, IND, JAX,
LAC, NE, NYG, PHI, SEA, SF, TB, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+13)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516 (+16)	1-0	vs DEN (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): W 33-8: 1500+16→1516
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1506): Slight favorite
2 (+13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+11)	1-0	at CIN (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 26-10: 1500+11→1511
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1508): Slight underdog
3 (+29)	Washington CommandersWAS	1510 (+10)	1-0	at GB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 21-6: 1500+10→1510
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1509): Slight underdog
4 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1509 (+9)	1-0	vs WAS (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 27-13: 1500+9→1509
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1510): Slight favorite
5 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs JAX (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight favorite
6 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs CAR (1489): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 20-13: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight favorite
7 (+10)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1508 (+8)	1-0	vs LAC (1506): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 20-13: 1500+8→1508
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Slight favorite
8 (+20)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506 (+6)	1-0	at NO (1492): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 17-13: 1500+6→1506
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1492): Tossup
9 (+9)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+6)	1-0	at LV (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): W 27-21: 1500+6→1506
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1508): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1506 (+6)	1-0	at IND (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 20-12: 1500+6→1506
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): Slight underdog
11 (-7)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1505 (+5)	1-0	at NYJ (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 41-40: 1500+5→1505
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1495): Slight underdog
12 (+9)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs ATL (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 27-24: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1495): Slight favorite
13 (+17)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (+5)	1-0	at HOU (1496): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 23-20: 1500+5→1505
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1496): Slight underdog
14 (+13)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1505 (+5)	1-0	vs SEA (1494): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 34-32: 1500+5→1505
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1494): Slight favorite
15 (+4)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1504 (+4)	1-0	at TEN (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 14-9: 1500+4→1504
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1494): Slight underdog
16 (+10)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1503 (+3)	1-0	at KC (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 24-20: 1500+3→1503
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1494): Slight underdog
17 (-8)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs NYG (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 20-24: 1500-3→1497
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): Slight favorite
18 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1496 (-4)	0-1	vs TB (1505): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 9-14: 1500-4→1496
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Slight favorite
19 (+6)	New York JetsNYJ	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs BUF (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 32-34: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1505): Slight favorite
20 (-18)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1495 (-5)	0-1	at MIN (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 20-23: 1500-5→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1505): Slight underdog
21 (-15)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (-5)	0-1	at DET (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 24-27: 1500-5→1495
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1491): Slight underdog
22 (-19)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs CLE (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 40-41: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1492): Slight favorite
23 (+8)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs LAR (1504): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 12-20: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1504): Slight favorite
24 (-8)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs PHI (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 21-27: 1500-6→1494
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1503): Slight favorite
25 (+4)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1494 (-6)	0-1	at PIT (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 13-17: 1500-6→1494
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1505): Slight underdog
26 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1492 (-8)	0-1	at MIA (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 13-20: 1500-8→1492
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): Slight underdog
27 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1492 (-8)	0-1	vs SF (1506): Tossup
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-20: 1500-8→1492
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Tossup
28 (-20)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1492 (-8)	0-1	at BAL (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 16-17: 1500-8→1492
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1495): Slight underdog
29 (-18)	Detroit LionsDET	1491 (-9)	0-1	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 13-27: 1500-9→1491
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
30 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1490 (-10)	0-1	at DAL (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 6-21: 1500-10→1490
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1497): Slight underdog
31 (-26)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-11)	0-1	at ARI (1508): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 10-26: 1500-11→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1508): Slight underdog
32 (-12)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1484 (-16)	0-1	vs NE (1492): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): L 8-33: 1500-16→1484
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1492): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ARI, BAL, CIN, DAL, DET, GB, HOU, IND,
KC, LV, MIA, MIN, NO, NYJ, PIT, TEN

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at JAX (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs CIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at PHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Tossup
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Tossup
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at DEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs NYG (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight favorite
Favorites:
ATL, BUF, CHI, CLE, DEN, GB, IND, JAX,
LAR, NE, NO, NYJ, PHI, SEA, WAS

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1515 (+33 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1519 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NO(1500) W 20-13: +8→1508	9	19	at DAL(1495) W 27-17: +9→1491	17	30	at CIN(1475) L 14-37: -11→1446
2	13	vs CAR(1489) W 27-22: +4→1512	10	21	at SEA(1561) L 22-44: -7→1484	18	29	at LAR(1553) L 20-37: +2→1448
3	17	at SF(1515) L 15-16: -9→1503	11	24	vs SF(1508) L 22-41: -13→1471	W	29
4	18	vs SEA(1544) L 20-23: -3→1500	12	24	vs JAX(1518) L 24-27: -1→1470	D	29
5	23	vs TEN(1432) L 21-22: -17→1483	13	24	at TB(1508) L 17-20: +4→1474	C	29
6	23	at IND(1555) L 27-31: +3→1486	14	26	vs LAR(1557) L 17-45: -12→1462	S	29
7	23	vs GB(1509) L 23-27: -4→1482	15	25	at HOU(1547) L 20-40: +0→1462
8	21	(bye)	16	28	vs ATL(1482) L 19-26: -5→1457

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs TB(1500) L 20-23: -5→1495	9	23	at NE(1542) L 23-24: -1→1481	17	18	vs LAR(1565) W 27-24: +12→1500
2	8	at MIN(1505) W 22-6: +25→1520	10	22	at IND(1557) L 25-31: +2→1483	18	18	vs NO(1481) W 19-17: -1→1499
3	21	at CAR(1486) L 0-30: -34→1486	11	23	vs CAR(1475) L 27-30: -7→1476	W	17
4	20	vs WAS(1516) W 34-27: +10→1496	12	20	at NO(1452) W 24-10: +9→1485	D	17
5	19	(bye)	13	20	at NYJ(1460) L 24-27: -4→1481	C	17
6	17	vs BUF(1532) W 24-14: +10→1506	14	23	vs SEA(1562) L 9-37: -10→1471	S	17
7	18	at SF(1513) L 10-20: -5→1501	15	22	at TB(1492) W 29-28: +11→1482
8	22	vs MIA(1454) L 10-34: -19→1482	16	20	at ARI(1462) W 26-19: +6→1488

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at BUF(1500) L 40-41: -5→1495	9	22	at MIA(1473) W 28-6: +15→1482	17	15	at GB(1524) W 41-24: +19→1510
2	6	vs CLE(1492) W 41-17: +26→1521	10	18	at MIN(1499) W 27-19: +10→1492	18	15	at PIT(1505) L 24-26: -1→1509
3	15	vs DET(1526) L 30-38: -12→1509	11	18	at CLE(1458) W 23-16: +4→1496	W	15
4	22	at KC(1504) L 20-37: -16→1493	12	18	vs NYJ(1463) W 23-10: +3→1499	D	15
5	27	vs HOU(1499) L 10-44: -30→1463	13	21	vs CIN(1442) L 14-32: -20→1479	C	15
6	27	vs LAR(1516) L 3-17: -8→1455	14	22	vs PIT(1493) L 22-27: -6→1473	S	15
7	27	(bye)	15	19	at CIN(1470) W 24-0: +18→1491
8	26	vs CHI(1508) W 30-16: +12→1467	16	18	vs NE(1534) L 24-28: -0→1491

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-38 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs BAL(1500) W 41-40: +5→1505	9	5	vs KC(1552) W 28-21: +5→1545	17	10	vs PHI(1522) L 12-13: -11→1523
2	1	at NYJ(1495) W 30-10: +27→1532	10	8	at MIA(1458) L 13-30: -16→1529	18	8	vs NYJ(1421) W 35-8: +3→1526
3	4	vs MIA(1472) W 31-21: +5→1537	11	8	vs TB(1523) W 44-32: +6→1535	W	7	at JAX(1567) W 27-24: +13→1539
4	3	vs NO(1456) W 31-19: +2→1539	12	8	at HOU(1525) L 19-23: -3→1532	D	7	at DEN(1535) L 30-33: -3→1536
5	4	vs NE(1518) L 20-23: -7→1532	13	3	at PIT(1505) W 26-7: +11→1543	C	6
6	10	at ATL(1496) L 14-24: -11→1521	14	6	vs CIN(1462) W 39-34: -8→1535	S	6
7	9	(bye)	15	4	at NE(1541) W 35-31: +7→1542
8	7	at CAR(1498) W 40-9: +19→1540	16	6	at CLE(1440) W 23-20: -8→1534

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (+9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1500 \| avg. lost to rating: 1498 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at JAX(1500) L 10-26: -11→1489	9	20	at GB(1521) W 16-13: +7→1487	17	21	vs SEA(1569) L 10-27: -3→1487
2	22	at ARI(1508) L 22-27: -3→1486	10	23	vs NO(1440) L 7-17: -12→1475	18	20	at TB(1477) L 14-16: -2→1485
3	9	vs ATL(1520) W 30-0: +33→1519	11	21	at ATL(1483) W 30-27: +8→1483	W	19	vs LAR(1551) L 31-34: +4→1489
4	23	at NE(1489) L 13-42: -29→1490	12	21	at SF(1520) L 9-20: -1→1482	D	19
5	22	vs MIA(1474) W 27-24: +1→1491	13	18	vs LAR(1570) W 31-28: +12→1494	C	19
6	21	vs DAL(1495) W 30-27: +3→1494	14	18	(bye)	S	19
7	21	at NYJ(1454) W 13-6: +4→1498	15	20	at NO(1458) L 17-20: -5→1489
8	23	vs BUF(1521) L 9-40: -18→1480	16	19	vs TB(1481) W 23-20: +1→1490

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (-9 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1488 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs MIN(1500) L 24-27: -5→1495	9	18	at CIN(1444) W 47-42: +2→1499	17	9	at SF(1542) L 38-42: +1→1525
2	32	at DET(1491) L 21-52: -36→1459	10	17	vs NYG(1464) W 24-20: -1→1498	18	10	vs DET(1514) L 16-19: -5→1520
3	22	vs DAL(1503) W 31-14: +24→1483	11	16	at MIN(1490) W 19-17: +4→1502	W	9	vs GB(1501) W 31-27: -1→1519
4	21	at LV(1473) W 25-24: +10→1493	12	16	vs PIT(1506) W 31-28: +2→1504	D	11	vs LAR(1547) L 17-20: -3→1516
5	21	(bye)	13	13	at PHI(1528) W 24-15: +13→1517	C	11
6	19	at WAS(1523) W 25-24: +11→1504	14	13	at GB(1528) L 21-28: -3→1514	S	11
7	14	vs NO(1463) W 26-14: +4→1508	15	13	vs CLE(1447) W 31-3: +7→1521
8	17	at BAL(1455) L 16-30: -11→1497	16	9	vs GB(1527) W 22-16: +3→1524

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+34 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at CLE(1500) W 17-16: +8→1508	9	29	vs CHI(1497) L 42-47: -2→1442	17	22	vs ARI(1457) W 37-14: +11→1486
2	12	vs JAX(1511) W 31-27: +6→1514	10	30	(bye)	18	24	vs CLE(1459) L 18-20: -9→1477
3	28	at MIN(1480) L 10-48: -42→1472	11	30	at PIT(1500) L 12-34: -7→1435	W	24
4	31	at DEN(1496) L 3-28: -20→1452	12	30	vs NE(1547) L 20-26: +7→1442	D	24
5	31	vs DET(1553) L 24-37: -4→1448	13	28	at BAL(1499) W 32-14: +20→1462	C	24
6	31	at GB(1508) L 18-27: -2→1446	14	24	at BUF(1543) L 34-39: +8→1470	S	24
7	29	vs PIT(1512) W 33-31: +5→1451	15	28	vs BAL(1473) L 0-24: -18→1452
8	30	vs NYJ(1450) L 38-39: -7→1444	16	23	at MIA(1486) W 45-21: +23→1475

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1485 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs CIN(1500) L 16-17: -8→1492	9	26	(bye)	17	27	vs PIT(1516) W 13-6: +11→1459
2	31	at BAL(1495) L 17-41: -27→1465	10	28	at NYJ(1457) L 20-27: -4→1458	18	26	at CIN(1486) W 20-18: +9→1468
3	25	vs GB(1520) W 13-10: +11→1476	11	28	vs BAL(1492) L 16-23: -5→1453	W	26
4	29	at DET(1538) L 10-34: -15→1461	12	27	at LV(1433) W 24-10: +9→1462	D	26
5	28	at MIN(1514) L 17-21: -0→1461	13	29	vs SF(1521) L 8-26: -6→1456	C	26
6	29	at PIT(1505) L 9-23: -7→1454	14	30	vs TEN(1430) L 29-31: -9→1447	S	26
7	25	vs MIA(1469) W 31-6: +15→1469	15	31	at CHI(1514) L 3-31: -7→1440
8	27	at NE(1535) L 13-32: -7→1462	16	30	vs BUF(1542) L 20-23: +8→1448

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1496 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	at PHI(1500) L 20-24: -3→1497	9	21	vs ARI(1482) L 17-27: -9→1486	17	20	at WAS(1456) W 30-23: +7→1487
2	17	vs NYG(1490) W 40-37: +6→1503	10	20	(bye)	18	25	at NYG(1474) L 17-34: -11→1476
3	23	at CHI(1459) L 14-31: -24→1479	11	19	at LV(1441) W 33-16: +8→1494	W	25
4	24	vs GB(1509) T 40-40: +2→1481	12	19	vs PHI(1533) W 24-21: +5→1499	D	25
5	20	at NYJ(1466) W 37-22: +14→1495	13	15	vs KC(1548) W 31-28: +8→1507	C	25
6	22	at CAR(1491) L 27-30: -3→1492	14	16	at DET(1529) L 30-44: -5→1502	S	25
7	17	vs WAS(1512) W 44-22: +13→1505	15	18	vs MIN(1491) L 26-34: -11→1491
8	18	at DEN(1524) L 24-44: -10→1495	16	22	vs LAC(1515) L 17-34: -11→1480

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-24 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	vs TEN(1500) W 20-12: +6→1506	9	8	at HOU(1531) W 18-15: +5→1539	17	8	at KC(1501) W 20-13: +6→1529
2	19	at IND(1516) L 28-29: -8→1498	10	7	vs LV(1436) W 10-7: -5→1534	18	6	vs LAC(1520) W 19-3: +6→1535
3	19	at LAC(1524) L 20-23: -2→1496	11	7	vs KC(1547) W 22-19: +2→1536	W	8	(bye)
4	10	vs CIN(1472) W 28-3: +20→1516	12	7	(bye)	D	6	vs BUF(1539) W 33-30: +3→1538
5	7	at PHI(1530) W 21-17: +9→1525	13	8	at WAS(1464) W 27-26: -2→1534	C	7	vs NE(1562) L 7-10: -3→1535
6	9	at NYJ(1451) W 13-11: -3→1522	14	10	at LV(1422) W 24-17: -3→1531	S	7
7	8	vs NYG(1480) W 33-32: +2→1524	15	7	vs GB(1531) W 34-26: +4→1535
8	8	vs DAL(1505) W 44-24: +10→1534	16	11	vs JAX(1542) L 20-34: -12→1523

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (-30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at GB(1500) L 13-27: -9→1491	9	6	vs MIN(1492) L 24-27: -7→1545	17	13	at MIN(1501) L 10-23: -9→1514
2	2	vs CHI(1495) W 52-21: +35→1526	10	4	at WAS(1477) W 44-22: +9→1554	18	11	at CHI(1525) W 19-16: +5→1519
3	3	at BAL(1521) W 38-30: +12→1538	11	4	at PHI(1526) L 9-16: -7→1547	W	10
4	1	vs CLE(1476) W 34-10: +15→1553	12	6	vs NYG(1462) W 34-27: -8→1539	D	9
5	1	at CIN(1452) W 37-24: +4→1557	13	9	vs GB(1518) L 24-31: -10→1529	C	9
6	2	at KC(1517) L 17-30: -12→1545	14	7	vs DAL(1507) W 44-30: +4→1533	S	9
7	2	vs TB(1524) W 24-9: +7→1552	15	8	at LAR(1569) L 34-41: +2→1535
8	3	(bye)	16	12	vs PIT(1505) L 24-29: -12→1523

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-18 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1503 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs DET(1500) W 27-13: +9→1509	9	13	vs CAR(1480) L 13-16: -7→1514	17	17	vs BAL(1491) L 24-41: -20→1504
2	7	vs WAS(1510) W 27-18: +11→1520	10	13	vs PHI(1521) L 7-10: -5→1509	18	17	at MIN(1511) L 3-16: -3→1501
3	14	at CLE(1465) L 10-13: -11→1509	11	14	at NYG(1464) W 27-20: +2→1511	W	16	at CHI(1520) L 27-31: +1→1502
4	14	at DAL(1479) T 40-40: -1→1508	12	13	vs MIN(1486) W 23-6: +7→1518	D	16
5	16	(bye)	13	10	at DET(1539) W 31-24: +10→1528	C	16
6	16	vs CIN(1448) W 27-18: +1→1509	14	9	vs CHI(1517) W 28-21: +3→1531	S	16
7	12	at ARI(1486) W 27-23: +4→1513	15	10	at DEN(1531) L 26-34: -4→1527
8	12	at PIT(1507) W 35-25: +8→1521	16	10	at CHI(1521) L 16-22: -3→1524

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (-19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1495 \| avg. lost to rating: 1518 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at LAR(1500) L 9-14: -4→1496	9	10	vs DEN(1534) L 15-18: -5→1526	17	6	at LAC(1526) W 20-16: +6→1537
2	24	vs TB(1505) L 19-20: -13→1483	10	9	vs JAX(1502) W 36-29: +3→1529	18	5	vs IND(1514) W 38-30: +2→1539
3	24	at JAX(1505) L 10-17: -6→1477	11	10	at TEN(1426) W 16-13: -4→1525	W	4	at PIT(1506) W 30-6: +14→1553
4	19	vs TEN(1453) W 26-0: +22→1499	12	9	vs BUF(1535) W 23-19: +3→1528	D	5	at NE(1555) L 16-28: -6→1547
5	5	at BAL(1493) W 44-10: +29→1528	13	7	at IND(1551) W 20-16: +9→1537	C	5
6	6	(bye)	14	3	at KC(1540) W 20-10: +10→1547	S	5
7	7	at SEA(1545) L 19-27: -4→1524	15	3	vs ARI(1462) W 40-20: -0→1547
8	9	vs SF(1519) W 26-15: +7→1531	16	7	vs LV(1419) W 23-21: -16→1531

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1508 (-31 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1480 \| avg. lost to rating: 1533 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs MIA(1500) W 33-8: +16→1516	9	2	at PIT(1499) L 20-27: -9→1557	17	12	vs JAX(1554) L 17-23: -4→1514
2	3	vs DEN(1506) W 29-28: +8→1524	10	3	at ATL(1481) W 31-25: -2→1555	18	14	at HOU(1537) L 30-38: -2→1512
3	1	at TEN(1474) W 41-20: +21→1545	11	3	(bye)	W	14
4	4	at LAR(1514) L 20-27: -10→1535	12	3	at KC(1544) L 20-23: -4→1551	D	14
5	2	vs LV(1463) W 40-6: +20→1555	13	4	vs HOU(1528) L 16-20: -8→1543	C	14
6	1	vs ARI(1483) W 31-27: -3→1552	14	8	at JAX(1527) L 19-36: -11→1532	S	14
7	1	at LAC(1500) W 38-24: +7→1559	15	6	at SEA(1571) L 16-18: +4→1536
8	1	vs TEN(1434) W 38-14: +7→1566	16	14	vs SF(1523) L 27-48: -18→1518

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1524 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs CAR(1500) W 26-10: +11→1511	9	16	at LV(1437) W 30-29: +2→1502	17	2	at IND(1518) W 23-17: +4→1558
2	15	at CIN(1508) L 27-31: -6→1505	10	16	at HOU(1526) L 29-36: -3→1499	18	2	vs TEN(1456) W 41-7: +9→1567
3	13	vs HOU(1483) W 17-10: +6→1511	11	13	vs LAC(1519) W 35-6: +19→1518	W	3	vs BUF(1526) L 24-27: -13→1554
4	7	at SF(1524) W 26-21: +10→1521	12	12	at ARI(1471) W 27-24: +0→1518	D	3
5	8	vs KC(1520) W 31-28: +3→1524	13	12	at TEN(1439) W 25-3: +9→1527	C	4
6	11	vs SEA(1537) L 12-20: -7→1517	14	5	vs IND(1543) W 36-19: +11→1538	S	4
7	19	at LAR(1524) L 7-35: -17→1500	15	5	vs NYJ(1448) W 48-20: +4→1542
8	15	(bye)	16	3	at DEN(1535) W 34-20: +12→1554

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-17 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1509 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	at LAC(1500) L 21-27: -6→1494	9	4	at BUF(1540) L 21-28: -5→1547	17	19	vs DEN(1523) L 13-20: -6→1495
2	21	vs PHI(1503) L 17-20: -8→1486	10	6	(bye)	18	19	at LV(1419) L 12-14: -9→1486
3	16	at NYG(1484) W 22-9: +18→1504	11	6	at DEN(1534) L 19-22: -3→1544	W	20
4	8	vs BAL(1509) W 37-20: +16→1520	12	4	vs IND(1555) W 23-20: +4→1548	D	20
5	12	at JAX(1521) L 28-31: -3→1517	13	6	at DAL(1499) L 28-31: -8→1540	C	20
6	4	vs DET(1557) W 30-17: +13→1530	14	11	vs HOU(1537) L 10-20: -10→1530	S	20
7	4	vs LV(1451) W 31-0: +13→1543	15	12	vs LAC(1506) L 13-16: -9→1521
8	2	vs WAS(1499) W 28-7: +9→1552	16	17	at TEN(1444) L 9-26: -20→1501

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	at NE(1500) W 20-13: +8→1508	9	31	vs JAX(1500) L 29-30: -1→1436	17	32	vs NYG(1458) L 10-34: -16→1419
2	20	vs LAC(1506) L 9-20: -18→1490	10	31	at DEN(1539) L 7-10: +5→1441	18	31	vs KC(1495) W 14-12: +9→1428
3	26	at WAS(1499) L 24-41: -17→1473	11	31	vs DAL(1486) L 16-33: -8→1433	W	31
4	28	vs CHI(1483) L 24-25: -10→1463	12	32	vs CLE(1453) L 10-24: -9→1424	D	31
5	32	at IND(1535) L 6-40: -20→1443	13	32	at LAC(1500) L 14-31: -2→1422	C	31
6	30	vs TEN(1448) W 20-10: +8→1451	14	32	vs DEN(1534) L 17-24: +3→1425	S	31
7	31	at KC(1530) L 0-31: -14→1437	15	32	at PHI(1511) L 0-31: -6→1419
8	31	(bye)	16	31	at HOU(1547) L 21-23: +16→1435

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-12 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1489 \| avg. lost to rating: 1514 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at KC(1500) W 27-21: +6→1506	9	14	at TEN(1427) W 27-20: +2→1511	17	11	vs HOU(1531) L 16-20: -6→1520
2	4	at LV(1508) W 20-9: +18→1524	10	12	vs PIT(1508) W 25-10: +8→1519	18	12	at DEN(1529) L 3-19: -5→1515
3	5	vs DEN(1498) W 23-20: +1→1525	11	17	at JAX(1499) L 6-35: -19→1500	W	13	at NE(1554) L 3-16: -2→1513
4	11	at NYG(1466) L 18-21: -10→1515	12	17	(bye)	D	13
5	18	vs WAS(1505) L 10-27: -18→1497	13	17	vs LV(1424) W 31-14: +2→1502	C	13
6	20	at MIA(1472) W 29-27: +3→1500	14	15	vs PHI(1515) W 22-19: +4→1506	S	13
7	22	vs IND(1552) L 24-38: -7→1493	15	15	at KC(1530) W 16-13: +9→1515
8	14	vs MIN(1508) W 37-10: +16→1509	16	8	at DAL(1491) W 34-17: +11→1526

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1505 (-36 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1512 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs HOU(1500) W 14-9: +4→1504	9	3	vs NO(1448) W 34-10: +7→1548	17	3	at ATL(1488) L 24-27: -12→1553
2	5	at TEN(1494) W 33-19: +20→1524	10	2	at SF(1518) W 42-26: +11→1559	18	4	vs ARI(1446) W 37-20: -2→1551
3	12	at PHI(1511) L 26-33: -10→1514	11	2	vs SEA(1569) W 21-19: +1→1560	W	5	at CAR(1485) W 34-31: -4→1547
4	6	vs IND(1545) W 27-20: +11→1525	12	1	vs TB(1518) W 34-7: +10→1570	D	4	at CHI(1519) W 20-17: +3→1550
5	14	vs SF(1513) L 23-26: -9→1516	13	2	at CAR(1482) L 28-31: -13→1557	C	3	at SEA(1595) L 27-31: +4→1554
6	8	at BAL(1463) W 17-3: +8→1524	14	2	at ARI(1474) W 45-17: +12→1569	S	3
7	5	at JAX(1517) W 35-7: +17→1541	15	1	vs DET(1533) W 41-34: -1→1568
8	6	(bye)	16	2	at SEA(1567) L 37-38: -3→1565

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1488 (+15 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at IND(1500) L 8-33: -16→1484	9	27	vs BAL(1467) L 6-28: -15→1458	17	26	vs TB(1481) W 20-17: +4→1466
2	29	vs NE(1492) L 27-33: -12→1472	10	24	vs BUF(1545) W 30-13: +15→1473	18	28	at NE(1547) L 10-38: -7→1459
3	29	at BUF(1532) L 21-31: -5→1467	11	22	at WAS(1468) W 16-13: +4→1477	W	28
4	26	vs NYJ(1472) W 27-21: +7→1474	12	23	(bye)	D	28
5	24	at CAR(1490) L 24-27: -2→1472	13	22	vs NO(1443) W 21-17: -2→1475	C	28
6	25	vs LAC(1497) L 27-29: -3→1469	14	20	at NYJ(1465) W 34-10: +17→1492	S	28
7	28	at CLE(1454) L 6-31: -15→1454	15	21	at PIT(1499) L 15-28: -6→1486
8	24	at ATL(1501) W 34-10: +19→1473	16	26	vs CIN(1452) L 21-45: -24→1462

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+3 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at CHI(1500) W 27-24: +5→1505	9	17	at DET(1552) W 27-24: +7→1499	17	14	vs DET(1523) W 23-10: +10→1511
2	27	vs ATL(1495) L 6-22: -25→1480	10	19	vs BAL(1482) L 19-27: -9→1490	18	13	vs GB(1504) W 16-3: +3→1514
3	7	vs CIN(1514) W 48-10: +43→1523	11	20	vs CHI(1498) L 17-19: -4→1486	W	12
4	12	at PIT(1497) L 21-24: -9→1514	12	22	at GB(1511) L 6-23: -7→1479	D	12
5	15	at CLE(1461) W 21-17: +1→1515	13	23	at SEA(1558) L 0-26: -5→1474	C	12
6	12	(bye)	14	21	vs WAS(1467) W 31-0: +17→1491	S	12
7	15	vs PHI(1506) L 22-28: -7→1508	15	17	at DAL(1502) W 34-26: +10→1501
8	19	at LAC(1493) L 10-37: -16→1492	16	16	at NYG(1458) W 16-13: -0→1501

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1483 (-45 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1506 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	vs LV(1500) L 13-20: -8→1492	9	7	vs ATL(1482) W 24-23: +1→1543	17	4	at NYJ(1433) W 42-10: +13→1547
2	16	at MIA(1484) W 33-27: +12→1504	10	5	at TB(1528) W 28-23: +4→1547	18	3	vs MIA(1466) W 38-10: +7→1554
3	20	vs PIT(1482) L 14-21: -15→1489	11	5	vs NYJ(1462) W 27-14: -0→1547	W	2	vs LAC(1515) W 16-3: +1→1555
4	9	vs CAR(1519) W 42-13: +29→1518	12	5	at CIN(1435) W 26-20: -7→1540	D	2	vs HOU(1553) W 28-16: +7→1562
5	6	at BUF(1539) W 23-20: +8→1526	13	5	vs NYG(1470) W 33-15: +1→1541	C	2	at DEN(1538) W 10-7: +2→1564
6	5	at NO(1466) W 25-19: +3→1529	14	4	(bye)	S	2	at SEA(1591) L 13-29: -7→1557
7	6	at TEN(1441) W 31-13: +6→1535	15	9	vs BUF(1535) L 31-35: -7→1534
8	5	vs CLE(1469) W 32-13: +7→1542	16	5	at BAL(1491) W 28-24: +0→1534

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+35 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1478 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs ARI(1500) L 13-20: -8→1492	9	30	at LAR(1541) L 10-34: -8→1440	17	23	at TEN(1464) W 34-26: +8→1481
2	25	vs SF(1506) L 21-26: -9→1483	10	29	at CAR(1487) W 17-7: +12→1452	18	22	at ATL(1500) L 17-19: +2→1483
3	31	at SEA(1517) L 13-44: -27→1456	11	29	(bye)	W	22
4	30	at BUF(1537) L 19-31: -3→1453	12	29	vs ATL(1476) L 10-24: -9→1443	D	22
5	25	vs NYG(1477) W 26-14: +13→1466	13	30	at MIA(1477) L 17-21: +2→1445	C	22
6	26	vs NE(1526) L 19-25: -3→1463	14	27	at TB(1504) W 24-20: +13→1458	S	22
7	26	at CHI(1504) L 14-26: -4→1459	15	24	vs CAR(1494) W 20-17: +5→1463
8	29	vs TB(1517) L 3-23: -11→1448	16	24	vs NYJ(1444) W 29-6: +10→1473

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (+28 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1502 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at WAS(1500) L 6-21: -10→1490	9	25	vs SF(1513) L 24-34: -5→1464	17	25	at LV(1435) W 34-10: +16→1474
2	23	at DAL(1497) L 37-40: -6→1484	10	26	at CHI(1499) L 20-24: +0→1464	18	21	vs DAL(1487) W 34-17: +11→1485
3	30	vs KC(1486) L 9-22: -18→1466	11	27	vs GB(1509) L 20-27: -2→1462	W	21
4	25	vs LAC(1525) W 21-18: +11→1477	12	25	at DET(1547) L 27-34: +8→1470	D	21
5	26	at NO(1453) L 14-26: -13→1464	13	25	at NE(1540) L 15-33: -1→1469	C	21
6	24	vs PHI(1521) W 34-17: +16→1480	14	25	(bye)	S	21
7	24	at DEN(1522) L 32-33: -2→1478	15	27	vs WAS(1450) L 21-29: -11→1458
8	25	at PHI(1513) L 20-38: -9→1469	16	27	vs MIN(1501) L 13-16: +0→1458

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+39 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1505 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	vs PIT(1500) L 32-34: -5→1495	9	28	(bye)	17	31	vs NE(1534) L 10-42: -12→1421
2	30	vs BUF(1505) L 10-30: -26→1469	10	27	vs CLE(1462) W 27-20: +5→1462	18	32	at BUF(1523) L 8-35: -3→1418
3	27	at TB(1519) L 27-29: +3→1472	11	26	at NE(1547) L 14-27: +1→1463	W	32
4	27	at MIA(1467) L 21-27: -6→1466	12	28	at BAL(1496) L 10-23: -3→1460	D	32
5	29	vs DAL(1481) L 22-37: -15→1451	13	27	vs ATL(1485) W 27-24: +5→1465	C	32
6	28	at DEN(1525) L 11-13: +3→1454	14	29	vs MIA(1475) L 10-34: -17→1448	S	32
7	30	vs CAR(1494) L 6-13: -4→1450	15	29	at JAX(1538) L 20-48: -4→1444
8	28	at CIN(1451) W 39-38: +7→1457	16	32	at NO(1463) L 6-29: -11→1433

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-22 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1488 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	vs DAL(1500) W 24-20: +3→1503	9	11	(bye)	17	7	at BUF(1534) W 13-12: +11→1533
2	14	at KC(1494) W 20-17: +8→1511	10	10	at GB(1514) W 10-7: +5→1526	18	9	vs WAS(1450) L 17-24: -12→1521
3	8	vs LAR(1524) W 33-26: +9→1520	11	9	vs DET(1554) W 16-9: +7→1533	W	11	vs SF(1534) L 19-23: -5→1516
4	5	at TB(1515) W 31-25: +10→1530	12	10	at DAL(1494) L 21-24: -5→1528	D	10
5	11	vs DEN(1516) L 17-21: -9→1521	13	14	vs CHI(1504) L 15-24: -13→1515	C	10
6	18	at NYG(1464) L 17-34: -15→1506	14	14	at LAC(1502) L 19-22: -4→1511	S	10
7	13	at MIN(1515) W 28-22: +7→1513	15	14	vs LV(1425) W 31-0: +6→1517
8	11	vs NYG(1478) W 38-20: +8→1521	16	13	at WAS(1461) W 29-18: +5→1522

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (-5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1492 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	at NYJ(1500) W 34-32: +5→1505	9	15	vs IND(1566) W 27-20: +9→1508	17	16	at CLE(1448) L 6-13: -11→1505
2	26	vs SEA(1494) L 17-31: -23→1482	10	15	at LAC(1511) L 10-25: -8→1500	18	16	vs BAL(1510) W 26-24: +1→1506
3	18	at NE(1504) W 21-14: +15→1497	11	15	vs CIN(1442) W 34-12: +6→1506	W	18	vs HOU(1539) L 6-30: -14→1492
4	16	at MIN(1523) W 24-21: +8→1505	12	15	at CHI(1502) L 28-31: -1→1505	D	18
5	17	(bye)	13	19	vs BUF(1532) L 7-26: -12→1493	C	18
6	14	vs CLE(1461) W 23-9: +7→1512	14	17	at BAL(1479) W 27-22: +6→1499	S	18
7	16	at CIN(1446) L 31-33: -5→1507	15	16	vs MIA(1492) W 28-15: +6→1505
8	16	vs GB(1513) L 25-35: -8→1499	16	15	at DET(1535) W 29-24: +11→1516

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-13 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1534 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at SEA(1500) W 17-13: +6→1506	9	12	at NYG(1469) W 34-24: +5→1518	17	5	vs CHI(1524) W 42-38: -1→1541
2	11	at NO(1492) W 26-21: +9→1515	10	14	vs LAR(1548) L 26-42: -10→1508	18	7	vs SEA(1572) L 3-13: -7→1534
3	6	vs ARI(1512) W 16-15: +9→1524	11	11	at ARI(1484) W 41-22: +12→1520	W	6	at PHI(1521) W 23-19: +5→1539
4	13	vs JAX(1511) L 21-26: -11→1513	12	11	vs CAR(1483) W 20-9: +1→1521	D	8	at SEA(1579) L 6-41: -16→1523
5	10	at LAR(1525) W 26-23: +9→1522	13	11	at CLE(1462) W 26-8: +7→1528	C	8
6	13	at TB(1516) L 19-30: -9→1513	14	12	(bye)	S	8
7	10	vs ATL(1506) W 20-10: +6→1519	15	11	vs TEN(1439) W 37-24: -5→1523
8	13	at HOU(1524) L 15-26: -6→1513	16	4	at IND(1536) W 48-27: +19→1542

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-42 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1503 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	vs SF(1500) L 13-17: -6→1494	9	1	at WAS(1490) W 38-14: +12→1561	17	1	at CAR(1490) W 27-10: +3→1572
2	10	at PIT(1505) W 31-17: +23→1517	10	1	vs ARI(1491) W 44-22: +8→1569	18	1	at SF(1541) W 13-3: +7→1579
3	2	vs NO(1483) W 44-13: +27→1544	11	1	at LAR(1559) L 19-21: -2→1567	W	1	(bye)
4	2	at ARI(1503) W 23-20: +4→1548	12	2	at TEN(1430) W 30-24: -9→1558	D	1	vs SF(1539) W 41-6: +16→1595
5	3	vs TB(1506) L 35-38: -11→1537	13	1	vs MIN(1479) W 26-0: +4→1562	C	1	vs LAR(1550) W 31-27: -4→1591
6	3	at JAX(1524) W 20-12: +8→1545	14	1	at ATL(1481) W 37-9: +9→1571	S	1	at NE(1564) W 29-13: +8→1599
7	3	vs HOU(1528) W 27-19: +4→1549	15	2	vs IND(1532) W 18-16: -4→1567
8	4	(bye)	16	1	vs LAR(1568) W 38-37: +2→1569

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (-6 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1494 \| avg. lost to rating: 1507 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at ATL(1500) W 23-20: +5→1505	9	9	(bye)	17	24	at MIA(1462) L 17-20: -4→1477
2	9	at HOU(1496) W 20-19: +14→1519	10	11	vs NE(1543) L 23-28: -5→1523	18	23	vs CAR(1487) W 16-14: +1→1478
3	11	vs NYJ(1469) W 29-27: -4→1515	11	12	at BUF(1529) L 32-44: -5→1518	W	23
4	15	vs PHI(1520) L 25-31: -9→1506	12	14	at LAR(1560) L 7-34: -10→1508	D	23
5	13	at SEA(1548) W 38-35: +10→1516	13	16	vs ARI(1470) W 20-17: -4→1504	C	23
6	7	vs SF(1522) W 30-19: +8→1524	14	19	vs NO(1445) L 20-24: -12→1492	S	23
7	11	at DET(1545) L 9-24: -7→1517	15	23	vs ATL(1471) L 28-29: -11→1481
8	10	at NO(1459) W 23-3: +11→1528	16	21	at CAR(1489) L 20-23: -0→1481

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (+63 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1516 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	at DEN(1500) L 12-20: -6→1494	9	32	vs LAC(1509) L 20-27: -1→1426	17	28	vs NO(1473) L 26-34: -8→1456
2	28	vs LAR(1504) L 19-33: -20→1474	10	32	(bye)	18	30	at JAX(1558) L 7-41: -9→1447
3	32	vs IND(1524) L 20-41: -21→1453	11	32	vs HOU(1529) L 13-16: +4→1430	W	30
4	32	at HOU(1477) L 0-26: -21→1432	12	31	vs SEA(1567) L 24-30: +9→1439	D	30
5	30	at ARI(1500) W 22-21: +16→1448	13	31	vs JAX(1518) L 3-25: -9→1430	C	30
6	32	at LV(1443) L 10-20: -7→1441	14	31	at CLE(1456) W 31-29: +9→1439	S	30
7	32	vs NE(1529) L 13-31: -7→1434	15	30	at SF(1528) L 24-37: +5→1444
8	32	at IND(1559) L 14-38: -7→1427	16	25	vs KC(1521) W 26-9: +20→1464

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (+21 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs NYG(1500) W 21-6: +10→1510	9	24	vs SEA(1549) L 14-38: -13→1477	17	29	vs DAL(1480) L 23-30: -6→1450
2	18	at GB(1509) L 18-27: -11→1499	10	25	vs DET(1545) L 22-44: -9→1468	18	27	at PHI(1533) W 24-17: +12→1462
3	10	vs LV(1490) W 41-24: +17→1516	11	25	at MIA(1473) L 13-16: -4→1464	W	27
4	17	at ATL(1486) L 27-34: -11→1505	12	26	(bye)	D	27
5	9	at LAC(1515) W 27-10: +18→1523	13	26	vs DEN(1536) L 26-27: +3→1467	C	27
6	15	vs CHI(1493) L 24-25: -11→1512	14	28	at MIN(1474) L 0-31: -17→1450	S	27
7	20	at DAL(1492) L 22-44: -13→1499	15	26	at NYG(1469) W 29-21: +11→1461
8	20	at KC(1543) L 7-28: -9→1490	16	29	vs PHI(1517) L 18-29: -5→1456

↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New Orleans Saints: +40 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Cleveland Browns: +28 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +26 total Elo rating
4. 2 games (weeks 17-18) Minnesota Vikings: +13 total Elo rating
5. 2 games (weeks 20-21) Los Angeles Rams: +7 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -63 total Elo rating
2. 5 games (weeks 14-18) New York Jets: -47 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -24 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 17-19) Los Angeles Chargers: -13 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 18-20) Chicago Bears: -9 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 13, 88-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1570) 13-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1482): Panthers win 31-28
2. Week 10, 87-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1545) Tossup favorites at Miami Dolphins (1458): Dolphins win 30-13
3. Week 18, 83-Elo upset: Philadelphia Eagles (1533) 16-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1450): Commanders win 24-17
4. Week 16, 77-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1521) 11-point favorites at Tennessee Titans (1444): Titans win 26-9
5. Week 17, 77-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1565) 11-point favorites at Atlanta Falcons (1488): Falcons win 27-24
6. Week 18, 76-Elo upset: Kansas City Chiefs (1495) Tossup favorites at Las Vegas Raiders (1419): Raiders win 14-12
7. Week 17, 68-Elo upset: Pittsburgh Steelers (1516) Tossup favorites at Cleveland Browns (1448): Browns win 13-6
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 3, 38-point differential: Cincinnati Bengals (1514) Tossup favorites vs Minnesota Vikings (1480): Vikings win 48-10
2. Week 16, 33-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1486) 9-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1452): Bengals win 45-21
3. Week 5, 34-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1493) Tossup favorites vs Houston Texans (1499): Texans win 44-10
4. Week 8, 24-point differential: Atlanta Falcons (1501) Tossup favorites vs Miami Dolphins (1454): Dolphins win 34-10
5. Week 13, 29-point differential: Baltimore Ravens (1499) 11-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1442): Bengals win 32-14
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +99: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 22
2. +57: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 22
3. +54: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 21
4. +54: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 19
5. +47: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 20
more...
1. +36: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
2. +35: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 21
3. +23: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 20
4. +19: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
5. +16: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
6. +16: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 20
7. +14: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 18
8. +13: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
9. +12: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
10. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
11. +2: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
12. -1: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
13. -8: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
14. -11: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
15. -14: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
16. -15: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
17. -17: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
18. -22: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
19. -23: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
20. -24: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
21. -32: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
22. -38: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
23. -41: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
24. -52: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
25. -53: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
26. -72: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 18
27. -82: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -82: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1418) thru week 18
2. -72: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 18
3. -53: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
4. -52: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1448) thru week 18
5. -41: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 18
more...
1. -38: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1462) thru week 18
2. -32: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1468) thru week 18
3. -24: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1476) thru week 18
4. -23: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
5. -22: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1478) thru week 18
6. -17: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1483) thru week 18
7. -15: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1485) thru week 18
8. -14: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1486) thru week 18
9. -11: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1489) thru week 19
10. -8: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1492) thru week 19
11. -1: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 18
12. +2: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1502) thru week 19
13. +9: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1509) thru week 18
14. +12: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
15. +13: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
16. +14: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1514) thru week 18
17. +16: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 20
18. +16: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1516) thru week 19
19. +19: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1519) thru week 18
20. +23: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 20
21. +35: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1535) thru week 21
22. +36: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 20
23. +47: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 20
24. +54: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 19
25. +54: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1554) thru week 21
26. +57: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1557) thru week 22
27. +99: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1599) thru week 22
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +68: Jacksonville Jaguars (1499) before week 11 → (1567) thru week 18
2. +67: Detroit Lions (1491) before week 2 → (1557) thru week 5
3. +67: Seattle Seahawks (1494) before week 2 → (1561) thru week 9
4. +66: Kansas City Chiefs (1486) before week 3 → (1552) thru week 8
5. +66: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1566) thru week 8
more...
1. +59: New England Patriots (1489) before week 4 → (1547) thru week 10
2. +54: Los Angeles Rams (1516) before week 6 → (1570) thru week 12
3. +53: Houston Texans (1477) before week 4 → (1531) thru week 8
4. +51: Cincinnati Bengals (1435) before week 12 → (1486) thru week 17
5. +49: Chicago Bears (1459) before week 3 → (1508) thru week 7
6. +44: Baltimore Ravens (1455) before week 7 → (1499) thru week 12
7. +42: Denver Broncos (1496) before week 4 → (1539) thru week 9
8. +41: New Orleans Saints (1440) before week 10 → (1481) thru week 17
9. +40: Buffalo Bills (1505) before week 2 → (1545) thru week 9
10. +39: Minnesota Vikings (1474) before week 14 → (1514) thru week 18
11. +39: Tennessee Titans (1426) before week 10 → (1464) thru week 16
12. +38: Miami Dolphins (1454) before week 8 → (1492) thru week 14
13. +34: San Francisco 49ers (1508) before week 11 → (1542) thru week 16
14. +30: Carolina Panthers (1489) before week 2 → (1519) thru week 3
15. +30: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1530) thru week 4
16. +30: Pittsburgh Steelers (1482) before week 3 → (1512) thru week 6
17. +29: Atlanta Falcons (1471) before week 15 → (1500) thru week 17
18. +28: Cleveland Browns (1440) before week 16 → (1468) thru week 18
19. +28: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1528) thru week 8
20. +26: New York Giants (1458) before week 17 → (1485) thru week 18
21. +26: Los Angeles Chargers (1493) before week 8 → (1519) thru week 10
22. +26: Dallas Cowboys (1479) before week 4 → (1505) thru week 7
23. +24: Washington Commanders (1499) before week 3 → (1523) thru week 5
24. +22: Green Bay Packers (1509) before week 11 → (1531) thru week 14
25. +15: New York Jets (1450) before week 8 → (1465) thru week 13
26. +13: Las Vegas Raiders (1422) before week 14 → (1435) thru week 16
27. +12: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 2
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -73: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 8
2. -72: Cincinnati Bengals (1514) before week 3 → (1442) thru week 9
3. -72: Las Vegas Raiders (1508) before week 2 → (1436) thru week 9
4. -66: Baltimore Ravens (1521) before week 3 → (1455) thru week 6
5. -63: Kansas City Chiefs (1548) before week 13 → (1486) thru week 18
more...
1. -62: Washington Commanders (1512) before week 7 → (1450) thru week 14
2. -52: New Orleans Saints (1492) before week 2 → (1440) thru week 9
3. -50: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1450) thru week 7
4. -49: Indianapolis Colts (1566) before week 9 → (1518) thru week 16
5. -47: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1528) before week 9 → (1481) thru week 15
6. -46: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 6
7. -46: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 7
8. -45: Arizona Cardinals (1491) before week 10 → (1446) thru week 17
9. -44: Carolina Panthers (1519) before week 4 → (1475) thru week 10
10. -41: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1459) thru week 2
11. -41: Detroit Lions (1554) before week 11 → (1514) thru week 17
12. -40: Minnesota Vikings (1515) before week 6 → (1474) thru week 13
13. -39: Atlanta Falcons (1520) before week 3 → (1481) thru week 9
14. -36: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1464) thru week 5
15. -32: Los Angeles Chargers (1525) before week 4 → (1493) thru week 7
16. -31: Dallas Cowboys (1507) before week 14 → (1476) thru week 18
17. -30: Green Bay Packers (1531) before week 15 → (1501) thru week 18
18. -25: Jacksonville Jaguars (1524) before week 6 → (1499) thru week 10
19. -24: Philadelphia Eagles (1530) before week 5 → (1506) thru week 6
20. -24: Pittsburgh Steelers (1516) before week 17 → (1492) thru week 19
21. -23: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 3
22. -23: Los Angeles Rams (1570) before week 13 → (1547) thru week 19
23. -22: Buffalo Bills (1545) before week 10 → (1523) thru week 17
24. -19: San Francisco 49ers (1542) before week 17 → (1523) thru week 20
25. -15: Denver Broncos (1539) before week 10 → (1523) thru week 16
26. -14: New England Patriots (1547) before week 11 → (1534) thru week 15
27. -11: Seattle Seahawks (1569) before week 11 → (1558) thru week 12
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
2. Tennessee Titans: 1511
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1508
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
5. Washington Commanders: 1506
more...
1. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
2. Los Angeles Rams: 1505
3. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
4. Detroit Lions: 1504
5. Atlanta Falcons: 1503
6. Houston Texans: 1502
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
8. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1501
10. New York Giants: 1500
11. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
12. Carolina Panthers: 1499
13. New Orleans Saints: 1498
14. Denver Broncos: 1498
15. Cincinnati Bengals: 1498
16. Cleveland Browns: 1498
17. New York Jets: 1498
18. Los Angeles Chargers: 1498
19. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1497
20. Green Bay Packers: 1497
21. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
22. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
23. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
24. Chicago Bears: 1494
25. Buffalo Bills: 1493
26. Miami Dolphins: 1488
27. New England Patriots: 1483
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1483
2. Miami Dolphins: 1488
3. Buffalo Bills: 1493
4. Chicago Bears: 1494
5. Baltimore Ravens: 1494
more...
1. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
2. Philadelphia Eagles: 1497
3. Green Bay Packers: 1497
4. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1497
5. Los Angeles Chargers: 1498
6. New York Jets: 1498
7. Cleveland Browns: 1498
8. Cincinnati Bengals: 1498
9. Denver Broncos: 1498
10. New Orleans Saints: 1498
11. Carolina Panthers: 1499
12. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
13. New York Giants: 1500
14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1501
15. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1501
17. Houston Texans: 1502
18. Atlanta Falcons: 1503
19. Detroit Lions: 1504
20. Kansas City Chiefs: 1505
21. Los Angeles Rams: 1505
22. San Francisco 49ers: 1506
23. Washington Commanders: 1506
24. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1508
26. Tennessee Titans: 1511
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1515
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1509
2. Seattle Seahawks: 1503
3. Los Angeles Rams: 1502
4. Washington Commanders: 1501
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
more...
1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
2. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
3. Carolina Panthers: 1500
4. Minnesota Vikings: 1498
5. Green Bay Packers: 1495
6. Houston Texans: 1495
7. Arizona Cardinals: 1495
8. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
9. Cincinnati Bengals: 1494
10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1494
11. Detroit Lions: 1493
12. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
13. Tennessee Titans: 1492
14. Denver Broncos: 1492
15. New York Giants: 1492
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1492
17. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
18. Buffalo Bills: 1489
19. Chicago Bears: 1488
20. Baltimore Ravens: 1486
21. Cleveland Browns: 1485
22. Miami Dolphins: 1482
23. Las Vegas Raiders: 1481
24. Indianapolis Colts: 1480
25. New Orleans Saints: 1478
26. New England Patriots: 1478
27. New York Jets: 1466
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1466
2. New England Patriots: 1478
3. New Orleans Saints: 1478
4. Indianapolis Colts: 1480
5. Las Vegas Raiders: 1481
more...
1. Miami Dolphins: 1482
2. Cleveland Browns: 1485
3. Baltimore Ravens: 1486
4. Chicago Bears: 1488
5. Buffalo Bills: 1489
6. Los Angeles Chargers: 1489
7. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1492
8. New York Giants: 1492
9. Denver Broncos: 1492
10. Tennessee Titans: 1492
11. Dallas Cowboys: 1492
12. Detroit Lions: 1493
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1494
14. Cincinnati Bengals: 1494
15. San Francisco 49ers: 1494
16. Arizona Cardinals: 1495
17. Houston Texans: 1495
18. Green Bay Packers: 1495
19. Minnesota Vikings: 1498
20. Carolina Panthers: 1500
21. Atlanta Falcons: 1501
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1501
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1501
24. Washington Commanders: 1501
25. Los Angeles Rams: 1502
26. Seattle Seahawks: 1503
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1509

↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	15-17 (15/32, 46.88%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	24-24 (24/48, 50.0%)
4	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	31-32 (31/63, 49.21%)
5	5-9 (5/14, 35.71%)	36-41 (36/77, 46.75%)
6	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	46-46 (46/92, 50.0%)
7	13-2 (13/15, 86.67%)	59-48 (59/107, 55.14%)
8	9-4 (9/13, 69.23%)	68-52 (68/120, 56.67%)
9	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	76-58 (76/134, 56.72%)
10	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	85-63 (85/148, 57.43%)
11	11-4 (11/15, 73.33%)	96-67 (96/163, 58.9%)
12	13-1 (13/14, 92.86%)	109-68 (109/177, 61.58%)
13	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	118-75 (118/193, 61.14%)
14	9-5 (9/14, 64.29%)	127-80 (127/207, 61.35%)
15	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	136-87 (136/223, 60.99%)
16	11-5 (11/16, 68.75%)	147-92 (147/239, 61.51%)
17	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	154-101 (154/255, 60.39%)
18	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	166-105 (166/271, 61.25%)
W	4-2 (4/6, 66.67%)	170-107 (170/277, 61.37%)
D	4-0 (4/4, 100.0%)	174-107 (174/281, 61.92%)
C	2-0 (2/2, 100.0%)	176-107 (176/283, 62.19%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	177-107 (177/284, 62.32%)

↑ Introduction and Background

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we can consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the FAQ page for more background.

This "blank slate" Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 1994 through 2025. Over that span it correctly picks winners in 64.19% of games, trailing the regular (non blank slate) model's straight-up pick rate of 65.67% and the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.64% (according to covers.com/sportsoddshistory). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team can gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team can lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 1992 season — although only the last ~20 games have any real impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 1992 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 1992 and 1993 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 1994 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 1991 or older seasons in the model search process, nor to publish 2019 or older seasons.
If you see an unequal number of Elo rating points moved from one team to another after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2026 Updates

2026 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- A new "v4.2026.07" model was found, and it's the most accurate model yet over the last 25 seasons. It also fixes the misbehavior of last year's "v3.2025.06" model. See more details in the 2026 preseason blog post.
- A new blank slate model, "blank-slate-v3.2026.08", was found. This new blank slate model picks 5,454 game winners over the 8,498 games from 1994-2025 (64.19%), which is a nice improvement over the `blank-slate-v1.2024.07` model that picks 5,390 game winners (63.43%) over that span. That's an average of exactly 2 more game winners picked per season.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings, check out the discussion in my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leave a small tip. Thanks!

NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

Contents

↑ Power Rankings After Super Bowl, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Championship, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Divisional, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Wildcard, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

↑ Atlanta Falcons

↑ Baltimore Ravens

↑ Buffalo Bills

↑ Carolina Panthers

↑ Chicago Bears

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

↑ Cleveland Browns

↑ Dallas Cowboys

↑ Denver Broncos

↑ Detroit Lions

↑ Green Bay Packers

↑ Houston Texans

↑ Indianapolis Colts

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

↑ Los Angeles Rams

↑ Miami Dolphins

↑ Minnesota Vikings

↑ New England Patriots

↑ New Orleans Saints

↑ New York Giants

↑ New York Jets

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

↑ San Francisco 49ers

↑ Seattle Seahawks

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers