NFL Elo Power Rankings 2025

This is the 2025-ONLY "Blank Slate" page

The ratings and rankings on this page do not reflect season-ending ratings from the previous year. This page uses a new model for the 2025 season optimized for all teams starting each season at a 1500 rating. See this blog post for a comparison between this "blank slate" model and the regular model.

These ratings are likely to be less accurate for predicting future game outcomes than the regular model, especially toward the beginning of the season, but some people wanted to see them so here they are. Over the 1994-2024 seasons, this model picked 5,286 of 8,230 game winners correctly (64.2%), while the regular model picked 5,419 game winners (65.8%).

All available 2025 season pages:

This page shows week-by-week NFL power rankings, based on the Elo rating system. The Elo rating system is a fair way to judge to relative strength of competitors, and is therefore an objective way to create NFL power rankings.

The Elo rating system is most notably used for rating chess players. It can be used to calculate the expected winning percentage in a multi- game chess match, where players with similar ratings are expected to win or draw about 50% of games against each other. After a match, player ratings are adjusted based on their actual vs. expected winning percentage.

In applying Elo ratings to football, we consider each game as a series of drives. If one team "wins" most of the drives within a game, they'll likely end up with a large margin of victory. If both teams "win" the same number of drives, the margin of victory will likely be much more narrow. Therefore, team ratings can be used to calculate an expected margin of victory for the favored team. After a game, the two teams' Elo ratings are adjusted based on the actual vs. expected margin of victory. See the 2024 preseason blog post for more background.

This Elo rating model was tuned by backtesting against NFL games from 2012 through 2023. Over that span it correctly picks winners in more than 66.24% of regular season games, beating the Vegas straight-up pick rate of 66.17%, and it has a better regular season pick rate over 8 of those 12 seasons (according to sportsoddshistory.com). This model also does well compared to the average picker at NFL Picks Page. That being said, these ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

Have more questions? See the FAQ page.

Elo rating details:

An "average" rating is 1500.
For every game, the better-performing team takes some number of Elo rating points from its opponent.
Predictions and rating updates are calculated from:
- margin of victory/defeat,
- home field advantage,
- rest/travel days between games,
- whether an overtime period occurred,
- offseason "parity reset" (reversion to the mean),
- early season shenanigans/uncertainty,
- division alignment (whether a game is a division matchup),
- whether a game is meaningless with respect to playoff seeding,
- and of course both teams' ratings.
The losing team *can* gain Elo rating points, as long as they perform above expectations.
The winning team *can* lose Elo rating points if they perform below expectations.
Elo ratings do not move much from week to week. This minimizes the overreaction from upsets. Like all model parameters, this has been carefully adjusted to make the model more accurate.
Offseason "parity reset": team ratings move a little bit toward the average during the offseason.
Each week's ratings are based on the previous week's ratings in a chain going back to the start of the 2010 season — although only the last ~20 games have any impact on current ratings with the most recent ~10 being by far the most significant. The model looks back to the 2010 season solely for testing purposes: after allowing for the 2010 and 2011 seasons to play out, the Elo rating model is tested for accuracy against all games since week 1 of the 2012 season.
While it would be fun to look at historic data, at this time there is no plan to include 2009 and older seasons in the ratings.
If you see an unequal number of rating points exchanged after games, it's because ratings are actually decimal values and are only rounded for display here.

2025 Updates

2026-01-03 - Reverted to last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See the 2025 blog post for more details. The "v3.2025.06" 2025 rankings are available here.
2025 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- An improved "v3.2025.06" model was found after a much bigger automated model search where 10 million models were evaluated for each of the regular, "never lose Elo for a win," and "blank slate" model types. The new "v3.2025.06" model is a "regular" model, and was more accurate than the new best found "never lose Elo for a win" and "blank slate" models. It picks a net 2.3 more game winners correctly per season from 1994 through 2024 than last year's "v2.2024.07" model. See more details in the 2025 preseason blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2025. There are links to the frozen pages near the top of the above linked blog post.

2024 Updates

2024-11-14 - Added separate "never lose Elo for a win" pages, where the favorite loses 0 Elo rating points for a win by the expected margin or less. They are slightly less accurate than the regular model for now (picking 0.75 fewer game winners per season).
2024-11-12 - Added separate "no margin of victory" pages, where the winning team always takes Elo rating points from the losing team. They are less accurate than the regular model (picking 3.9 fewer game winners per season) but are popularly requested on Reddit.
2024 offseason - Offseason improvements:
- After testing millions of models, found an improved model, called "v2.2024.07", that picks a net 3.5+ more game winners correctly per season (from 2012 through 2023). This new model is now being used for all season pages. See more details in this blog post.
- Added "frozen" versions of last year's season pages, as they appeared after the Super Bowl in February in 2024. See the 2024 season blog post for links to those frozen pages.
- Added the "Season Model Accuracy" section.
- Expanded many of the items in the "Season Stats and Tidbits" section to list all 32 teams.
- Found a separate, better model for the "blank slate" pages where all teams start each season with a 1500 rating (like the 2024-only page).

2023 Updates

2023-11-28 - Improvements to the plumbing behind the scenes, which among other things now allows for each team's full schedule to be shown in the season summary section.
2023-11-15 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,038 game winners (out of 3,124 total games) from 2012w1-2023w10, where the previous best model picked 2,032 winners.
- Applies a curve to increase the Elo scores earned from small-to-medium margins of victory, effectively tilting the balance more toward winning in general and away from large margins of victory. See more details in this post.
- Increases the "Elo score" earned for a "narrow win" (again, increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory).
- Widens the definition of a "narrow win" and awards a linearly-increasing Elo score for those.
- Slightly increases the Elo score earned from an overtime victory.
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- The ratings and rankings change only slightly from the previous model, following 2023w10:
  - the Chiefs are now rated ~2 Elo points higher than the Bills, up from <1 point
  - the Lions overtake the Bengals in the rankings, moving from 8th to 7th
  - the Bengals drop from 7th to 8th
  - the Dolphins overtake the Chargers in the rankings, moving from 10th to 9th
  - the Chargers drop from 9th to 10th
  - the Eagles are now 20 Elo rating points behind the 1st place 49ers, where previously they were 25 points behind
2023-11-13 - Added average opponent rating info to team summaries and to the season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-11-07 - A model update:
- Correctly picks 2,024 game winners (out of 3,110 total games) from 2012w1-2023w9, where the previous best model picked 2,020 winners.
- Uses a larger Elo "k factor" to react more strongly to individual games.
- Decreases the "big win" margin of victory, effectively increasing the importance of wins and decreasing the importance of margin of victory.
- Slightly increases the strength of the "offseason parity reset."
- Slightly increases the value of rest days between games.
- Ranks teams closer to where a human might rank them after 2023w9:
  - the Bills drop from 2nd to 4th
  - the Ravens move from 3rd to 2nd
  - the Eagles move from 4th to 3rd
  - the Dolphins drop from 9th to 11th
  - the Lions move from 10th to 9th
  - the Jaguars move from 11th to 10th
- Also added the 2010 season, which allows using the 2012 season for backtesting the model.
2023-10-31 - Added power rank to season summary tables.
2023-10-29 - Added longest Elo hot/cold streaks to season "Stats and Tidbids" section.
2023-10-26 - Added new per-team season summaries toward the bottom of the page. Team names and week numbers are clickable to easily jump around between the power ranking and season summary sections.
2023-10-23 - Added "Stats and Tidbids" section at the bottom of the page. More coming soon.
2023-10-23 - Fixed conversion of expected Elo score to margin of victory football points in upcoming games. This doesn't affect the model, only the displayed point values.
2023-10-16 - A more dramatic model update: team ratings change more rapidly, yet I was able to optimize the model to pick the same number of game winners as the previous model. I wrote a little more background on my blog post. Changes to the post-week 5 rankings include:
- the Bills drop from 1st to 2nd
- the 49ers move from 2nd to 1st
- the Lions move from 8th to 6th
- the Dolphins move from 11th to 10th
- the Jaguars move from 17th to 14th
- the Jets move from 23rd to 20th
- the Ravens drop from 6th to 9th
- the Saints drop from 10th to 11th
- the Patriots drop from 21st to 26th
Overall, the new model seems to rank the teams closer to where a human would. While both this new model and the previous model pick 1822 winners correctly out of 2785 games since week 1 of the 2013 season, the previous model has a median "elo score" differential of 0.1152 over those games, where the new model is slightly higher at 0.1177. I'll continue to test tweaks to the model.
2023-10-11 - Tiny model improvements, and home-vs-away fixes (these fixes don't alter the current power rankings).
2023-10-10 - After lots of feedback on reddit, mostly saying that previous seasons shouldn't matter so much, I went back to the drawing board to look at the "offseason parity reset." Moving to a slightly bigger offseason reset appears to result in rankings that look better to the eye in the early part of the season. Plus, it increases the accuracy of the model when backtested over all games since 2013: the median "Elo score" differential decreased from 0.1168 to 0.1158, and the rate of incorrectly-picked winners decreased from 35.0449% to 34.7935%.

With this change, the post-week-5 rankings have the Lions moving up from 11th to 8th, the Dolphins moving up from 13th to 11th, the Jaguars moving from 19th to 17th, and other minor moves.
2023-10-09 - Improved handling of bye and offseason weeks for the "prev:" display.
2023-10-06 - Added +/- "since last week" fields to the Rank and Elo Rating columns.
2023-10-05 - I found some knobs I could adjust in my Elo model that both increased its accuracy and also made the current (2023 after week 4) rankings look better to my eye. More adjustments that fulfill both of those requirements could be made in the future, if any are found. But depending on feedback I receive I'll leave the Elo rating algorithm to stand pat for now.

These changes increased the rate at which winners were predicted since 2013 (up to 65% from 64%) and decreased the median "Elo score" (where a blowout loss is 0.0, a tie is 0.5, and a blowout win is 1.0) differential between estimated and actual performance from 0.17 to 0.12 (in other words, the model predicted game score differential more accurately).

As for the "eye test" improvements, for the rankings following 2023 week 4, the Lions moved up from 21st to 12th, the Dolphins moved up from 17th to 13th, the Patriots moved down from 9th to 15th, the Packers moved down from 8th to 10th, the Jaguars moved up from 28th to 20th, the 49ers moved up from 3rd to 2nd, etc.
2023-10-05 - Added two more seasons to the model: 2011 and 2012. I realized I wanted to use 10 full seasons to backtest the Elo rating model, but the first and perhaps second seasons aren't useful for backtesting because all teams are clustered around the initial 1500 rating. Now that ratings are initially computed for the 2011 and 2012 seasons, all games from 2013 onward are used for backtesting model updates.

Note: I'll try to update this page at least weekly during the NFL season, usually on Tuesdays. Want to compete against this Elo model? Join my public straight-up picks pool at nflpickspage.com. If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit or leaving a small tip. Thanks!

Contents

Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl
Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship
Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional
Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard
Power Rankings After Week 18
Power Rankings After Week 17
Power Rankings After Week 16
Power Rankings After Week 15
Power Rankings After Week 14
Power Rankings After Week 13
Power Rankings After Week 12
Power Rankings After Week 11
Power Rankings After Week 10
Power Rankings After Week 9
Power Rankings After Week 8
Power Rankings After Week 7
Power Rankings After Week 6
Power Rankings After Week 5
Power Rankings After Week 4
Power Rankings After Week 3
Power Rankings After Week 2
Power Rankings After Week 1
Power Rankings Before Week 1
2025 Season Summaries by Team
2025 Season Stats and Tidbits
2025 Season Model Accuracy

← 2024 Season NFL Elo Home

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Super Bowl, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1606	14-6
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1598 (-7)	17-3
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): W 29-13: 1605-7→1598
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576	13-6
4 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1571 (+7)	17-4
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1605): L 13-29: 1564+7→1571
5 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567	13-5
6	Houston TexansHOU	1562	13-6
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556	13-6
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550	8-9
9	Detroit LionsDET	1547	9-8
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	9-8-1
11	Denver BroncosDEN	1536	15-4
12	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536	11-7
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1523	12-7
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513	11-7
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	8-9
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487	9-8
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1466	7-9-1
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465	7-10
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456	6-11
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454	5-12
25	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447	3-14
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437	8-9
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433	8-10
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1429	5-12
29	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427	3-14
30	New York GiantsNYG	1423	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1411	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Championship, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1606 (+1)	14-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1606): L 27-31: 1605+1→1606
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1605 (-1)	16-3	at NE (1564): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): W 31-27: 1606-1→1605
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1564): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576	13-6
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567	13-5
5	New England PatriotsNE	1564 (-1)	17-3	at SEA (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): W 10-7: 1565-1→1564
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1605): Slight underdog
6	Houston TexansHOU	1562	13-6
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556	13-6
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550	8-9
9	Detroit LionsDET	1547	9-8
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	9-8-1
11 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (+1)	15-4
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): L 7-10: 1535+1→1536
12 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536	11-7
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1523	12-7
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513	11-7
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	8-9
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487	9-8
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1466	7-9-1
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465	7-10
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456	6-11
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454	5-12
25	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447	3-14
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437	8-9
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433	8-10
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1429	5-12
29	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427	3-14
30	New York GiantsNYG	1423	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1411	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Divisional, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1606 (-3)	15-3	vs LAR (1605): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): W 41-6: 1609-3→1606
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): Slight favorite
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1605	14-5	at SEA (1606): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): W 20-17(OT): 1605+0→1605
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1606): Slight underdog
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576	13-6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): L 30-33(OT): 1576+0→1576
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567	13-5
5	New England PatriotsNE	1565 (-1)	16-3	at DEN (1535): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1561): W 28-16: 1566-1→1565
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1535): Slight favorite
6	Houston TexansHOU	1562 (+1)	13-6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1566): L 16-28: 1561+1→1562
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1556 (+3)	13-6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1609): L 6-41: 1553+3→1556
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550	8-9
9	Detroit LionsDET	1547	9-8
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	9-8-1
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536	11-7
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1535 (-1)	15-3	vs NE (1565): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): W 33-30(OT): 1536-1→1535
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): Slight underdog
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1523	12-7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): L 17-20(OT): 1523-0→1523
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513	11-7
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	8-9
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499	10-8
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487	9-8
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1466	7-9-1
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465	7-10
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456	6-11
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454	5-12
25	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447	3-14
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437	8-9
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433	8-10
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1429	5-12
29	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427	3-14
30	New York GiantsNYG	1423	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1411	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Playoffs Wildcard, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1609	14-3	vs SF (1553): Win by 7
prev: (bye)
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Win by 7 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1605 (-1)	13-5	at CHI (1523): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1432): W 34-31: 1606-1→1605
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): Slight favorite
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1576 (+1)	13-5	at DEN (1536): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): W 27-24: 1575+1→1576
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1536): Slight favorite
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567	13-5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): L 24-27: 1567-0→1567
5	New England PatriotsNE	1566 (+1)	15-3	vs HOU (1561): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1537): W 16-3: 1565+1→1566
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1561): Slight favorite
6	Houston TexansHOU	1561 (+2)	13-5	at NE (1566): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): W 30-6: 1559+2→1561
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1566): Slight underdog
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553	13-5	at SEA (1609): Lose by 7
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): W 23-19: 1553+0→1553
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1609): Lose by 7 points
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550	8-9
9	Detroit LionsDET	1547	9-8
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1542	9-8-1
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): L 27-31: 1542-0→1542
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1536 (-1)	11-7
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1565): L 3-16: 1537-1→1536
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1536	14-3	vs BUF (1576): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1576): Slight underdog
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1523	12-6	vs LAR (1605): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): W 31-27: 1523+0→1523
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1605): Slight underdog
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1513 (-1)	11-7
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): L 19-23: 1514-1→1513
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	8-9
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505	6-11
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1499 (-2)	10-8
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1559): L 6-30: 1501-2→1499
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494	8-9
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487	9-8
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477	6-11
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1466	7-9-1
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465	7-10
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456	6-11
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454	5-12
25	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447	3-14
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437	8-9
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433 (+1)	8-10
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1606): L 31-34: 1432+1→1433
28	Washington CommandersWAS	1429	5-12
29	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427	3-14
30	New York GiantsNYG	1423	4-13
31	New York JetsNYJ	1411	3-14
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393	3-14

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 18, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1609 (+2)	14-3	bye
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1555): W 13-3: 1607+2→1609
next: (bye)
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1606 (-1)	12-5	at CAR (1432): Win by 14
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1446): W 37-20: 1607-1→1606
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1432): Win by 14 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1575 (+1)	12-5	at JAX (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1413): W 35-8: 1574+1→1575
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1567): Slight underdog
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1567 (+3)	13-4	vs BUF (1575): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): W 41-7: 1564+3→1567
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1575): Slight favorite
5	New England PatriotsNE	1565 (+4)	14-3	vs LAC (1537): Win by 5
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): W 38-10: 1561+4→1565
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1537): Win by 5 points
6	Houston TexansHOU	1559 (+1)	12-5	at PIT (1501): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): W 38-30: 1558+1→1559
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): Slight favorite
7	San Francisco 49ersSF	1553 (-2)	12-5	at PHI (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1607): L 3-13: 1555-2→1553
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1514): Slight favorite
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550 (-2)	8-9
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): L 30-38: 1552-2→1550
9	Detroit LionsDET	1547	9-8
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1524): W 19-16: 1547+0→1547
10	Green Bay PackersGB	1542 (+1)	9-7-1	at CHI (1523): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): L 3-16: 1541+1→1542
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1523): Tossup
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1537 (-4)	11-6	at NE (1565): Lose by 5
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): L 3-19: 1541-4→1537
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1565): Lose by 5 points
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1536 (+4)	14-3	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1541): W 19-3: 1532+4→1536
next: (bye)
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1523 (-1)	11-6	vs GB (1542): Tossup
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1547): L 16-19: 1524-1→1523
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1542): Tossup
14	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1514 (-6)	11-6	vs SF (1553): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1422): L 17-24: 1520-6→1514
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1553): Slight underdog
15	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512	8-9
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): L 24-26: 1512-0→1512
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1505 (-4)	6-11
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1389): L 12-14: 1509-4→1505
17	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1501	10-7	vs HOU (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): W 26-24: 1501+0→1501
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1559): Slight underdog
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1494 (-2)	8-9
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): W 19-17: 1496-2→1494
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1487 (-1)	9-8
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): W 16-3: 1488-1→1487
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1477 (-3)	6-11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): L 18-20: 1480-3→1477
21	Dallas CowboysDAL	1466 (-7)	7-9-1
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): L 17-34: 1473-7→1466
22	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (-3)	7-10
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): L 10-38: 1468-3→1465
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1456 (+1)	6-11
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): L 17-19: 1455+1→1456
24	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1454 (+3)	5-12
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): W 20-18: 1451+3→1454
25	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447 (+1)	3-14
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1607): L 20-37: 1446+1→1447
26	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437	8-9
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): W 16-14: 1437-0→1437
27	Carolina PanthersCAR	1432 (+1)	8-9	vs LAR (1606): Lose by 14
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1437): L 14-16: 1431+1→1432
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1606): Lose by 14 points
28 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1429 (+7)	5-12
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): W 24-17: 1422+7→1429
29 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1427 (-3)	3-14
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1564): L 7-41: 1430-3→1427
30	New York GiantsNYG	1423 (+6)	4-13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): W 34-17: 1417+6→1423
31	New York JetsNYJ	1411 (-2)	3-14
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): L 8-35: 1413-2→1411
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1393 (+4)	3-14
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): W 14-12: 1389+4→1393

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 17, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1607 (-4)	13-3	at SF (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): W 27-10: 1611-4→1607
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1555): Slight favorite
2 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1607 (-11)	11-5	vs ARI (1446): Win by 21
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): L 24-27: 1618-11→1607
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1446): Win by 21 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1574 (-10)	11-5	vs NYJ (1413): Win by 21
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): L 12-13: 1584-10→1574
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1413): Win by 21 points
4	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1564 (+5)	12-4	vs TEN (1430): Win by 18
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): W 23-17: 1559+5→1564
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1430): Win by 18 points
5 (+4)	New England PatriotsNE	1561 (+5)	13-3	vs MIA (1468): Win by 13
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1418): W 42-10: 1556+5→1561
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1468): Win by 13 points
6 (+4)	Houston TexansHOU	1558 (+3)	11-5	vs IND (1552): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): W 20-16: 1555+3→1558
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1552): Slight favorite
7 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1555 (-3)	12-4	vs SEA (1607): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1521): W 42-38: 1558-3→1555
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1607): Slight underdog
8	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1552 (-5)	8-8	at HOU (1558): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1559): L 17-23: 1557-5→1552
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1558): Slight underdog
9 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1547 (-12)	8-8	at CHI (1524): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): L 10-23: 1559-12→1547
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1524): Slight favorite
10 (-3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1541 (-16)	9-6-1	at MIN (1488): Lose by 17
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): L 24-41: 1557-16→1541
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1488): Lose by 17 points
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1541 (-3)	11-5	at DEN (1532): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1555): L 16-20: 1544-3→1541
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1532): Slight underdog
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1532 (+5)	13-3	vs LAC (1541): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1513): W 20-13: 1527+5→1532
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1541): Slight favorite
13	Chicago BearsCHI	1524 (+3)	11-5	vs DET (1547): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): L 38-42: 1521+3→1524
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1547): Slight underdog
14 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (+11)	11-5	vs WAS (1422): Win by 13
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): W 13-12: 1509+11→1520
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1422): Win by 13 points
15 (+2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512 (+16)	8-8	at PIT (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1557): W 41-24: 1496+16→1512
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1501): Slight underdog
16 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1509 (-4)	6-10	at LV (1389): Win by 12
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): L 13-20: 1513-4→1509
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1389): Win by 12 points
17 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1501 (-7)	9-7	vs BAL (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1444): L 6-13: 1508-7→1501
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): Slight favorite
18	Atlanta FalconsATL	1496 (+11)	7-9	vs NO (1455): Win by 7
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): W 27-24: 1485+11→1496
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1455): Win by 7 points
19	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1488 (+12)	8-8	vs GB (1541): Win by 17
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): W 23-10: 1476+12→1488
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1541): Win by 17 points
20	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1480 (+8)	6-10	vs CLE (1451): Win by 6
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): W 37-14: 1472+8→1480
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1451): Win by 6 points
21 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1473 (+2)	7-8-1	at NYG (1417): Win by 5
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1424): W 30-23: 1471+2→1473
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1417): Win by 5 points
22 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1468 (-4)	7-9	at NE (1561): Lose by 13
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1434): W 20-17: 1472-4→1468
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1561): Lose by 13 points
23 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1455 (+5)	6-10	at ATL (1496): Lose by 7
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1435): W 34-26: 1450+5→1455
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1496): Lose by 7 points
24 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1451 (+7)	4-12	at CIN (1480): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): W 13-6: 1444+7→1451
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1480): Lose by 6 points
25 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1446 (-8)	3-13	at LAR (1607): Lose by 21
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): L 14-37: 1454-8→1446
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1607): Lose by 21 points
26 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1437 (+3)	7-9	vs CAR (1431): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): L 17-20: 1434+3→1437
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1431): Slight favorite
27 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1431 (+4)	8-8	at TB (1437): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1611): L 10-27: 1427+4→1431
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1437): Slight underdog
28 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1430 (-5)	3-13	at JAX (1564): Lose by 18
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1450): L 26-34: 1435-5→1430
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1564): Lose by 18 points
29	Washington CommandersWAS	1422 (-2)	4-12	at PHI (1520): Lose by 13
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1471): L 23-30: 1424-2→1422
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Lose by 13 points
30 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1417 (+14)	3-13	vs DAL (1473): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1402): W 34-10: 1403+14→1417
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): Lose by 5 points
31 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1413 (-5)	3-13	at BUF (1574): Lose by 21
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1556): L 10-42: 1418-5→1413
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1574): Lose by 21 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1389 (-13)	2-14	vs KC (1509): Lose by 12
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1403): L 10-34: 1402-13→1389
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1509): Lose by 12 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 16, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1618 (+1)	11-4	at ATL (1485): Win by 20
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): L 37-38(OT): 1617+1→1618
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1485): Win by 20 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1611 (-1)	12-3	at CAR (1427): Win by 27
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1617): W 38-37(OT): 1612-1→1611
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Win by 27 points
3	Buffalo BillsBUF	1584 (-21)	11-4	vs PHI (1509): Win by 16
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1424): W 23-20: 1605-21→1584
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1509): Win by 16 points
4 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1559 (+14)	11-4	at IND (1557): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1542): W 34-20: 1545+14→1559
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1557): Slight underdog
5	Detroit LionsDET	1559 (-23)	8-7	at MIN (1476): Win by 10
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): L 24-29: 1582-23→1559
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1476): Win by 10 points
6 (+7)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1558 (+30)	11-4	vs CHI (1521): Win by 9
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1587): W 48-27: 1528+30→1558
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1521): Win by 9 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1557 (-11)	9-5-1	vs BAL (1496): Win by 14
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1510): L 16-22(OT): 1568-11→1557
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1496): Win by 14 points
8 (-4)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1557 (-30)	8-7	vs JAX (1559): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): L 27-48: 1587-30→1557
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1559): Slight favorite
9 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1556 (-9)	12-3	at NYJ (1418): Win by 19
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1487): W 28-24: 1565-9→1556
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1418): Win by 19 points
10 (-4)	Houston TexansHOU	1555 (-23)	10-5	at LAC (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): W 23-21: 1578-23→1555
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1544): Slight underdog
11	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1544 (+2)	11-4	vs HOU (1555): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): W 34-17: 1542+2→1544
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1555): Slight favorite
12	Denver BroncosDEN	1527 (-15)	12-3	at KC (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1545): L 20-34: 1542-15→1527
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1513): Slight underdog
13 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1521 (+11)	11-4	at SF (1558): Lose by 9
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1568): W 22-16(OT): 1510+11→1521
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1558): Lose by 9 points
14 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1513 (-33)	6-9	vs DEN (1527): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1403): L 9-26: 1546-33→1513
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1527): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1509 (-8)	10-5	at BUF (1584): Lose by 16
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1417): W 29-18: 1517-8→1509
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1584): Lose by 16 points
16 (+3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1508 (+23)	9-6	at CLE (1444): Win by 7
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1582): W 29-24: 1485+23→1508
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1444): Win by 7 points
17 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1496 (+9)	7-8	at GB (1557): Lose by 14
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): L 24-28: 1487+9→1496
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1557): Lose by 14 points
18 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1485 (+3)	6-9	vs LAR (1618): Lose by 20
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): W 26-19: 1482+3→1485
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1618): Lose by 20 points
19 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1476 (-13)	7-8	vs DET (1559): Lose by 10
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1390): W 16-13: 1489-13→1476
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1559): Lose by 10 points
20 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1472 (+32)	5-10	vs ARI (1454): Win by 7
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): W 45-21: 1440+32→1472
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1454): Win by 7 points
21 (-5)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1472 (-32)	6-9	vs TB (1434): Win by 10
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1440): L 21-45: 1504-32→1472
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1434): Win by 10 points
22 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1471 (-2)	6-8-1	at WAS (1424): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1542): L 17-34: 1473-2→1471
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1424): Slight favorite
23 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1454 (-3)	3-12	at CIN (1472): Lose by 7
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): L 19-26: 1457-3→1454
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1472): Lose by 7 points
24 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1450 (+7)	5-10	at TEN (1435): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): W 29-6: 1443+7→1450
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1435): Slight underdog
25 (+3)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1444 (+20)	3-12	vs PIT (1508): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): L 20-23: 1424+20→1444
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1508): Lose by 7 points
26 (+4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1435 (+32)	3-12	vs NO (1450): Slight fav
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1546): W 26-9: 1403+32→1435
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1450): Slight favorite
27 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1434	7-8	at MIA (1472): Lose by 10
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): L 20-23: 1434-0→1434
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1472): Lose by 10 points
28 (-2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427	8-7	vs SEA (1611): Lose by 27
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1434): W 23-20: 1427+0→1427
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1611): Lose by 27 points
29	Washington CommandersWAS	1424 (+7)	4-11	vs DAL (1471): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): L 18-29: 1417+7→1424
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1471): Slight underdog
30 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1418 (-6)	3-12	vs NE (1556): Lose by 19
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1443): L 6-29: 1424-6→1418
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1556): Lose by 19 points
31	New York GiantsNYG	1403 (+13)	2-13	at LV (1402): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): L 13-16: 1390+13→1403
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1402): Slight underdog
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1402 (+23)	2-13	vs NYG (1403): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1578): L 21-23: 1379+23→1402
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1403): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 15, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1617 (-26)	11-3	at SEA (1612): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1556): W 41-34: 1643-26→1617
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1612): Lose by 5 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1612 (-31)	11-3	vs LAR (1617): Win by 5
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1556): W 18-16: 1643-31→1612
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1617): Win by 5 points
3 (+3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1605 (+36)	10-4	at CLE (1424): Win by 37
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1601): W 35-31: 1569+36→1605
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1424): Win by 37 points
4 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1587 (+31)	8-6	vs SF (1528): Win by 23
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1643): L 16-18: 1556+31→1587
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1528): Win by 23 points
5 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1582 (+26)	8-6	vs PIT (1485): Win by 32
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1643): L 34-41: 1556+26→1582
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1485): Win by 32 points
6 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1578 (-15)	9-5	vs LV (1379): Win by 41
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): W 40-20: 1593-15→1578
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1379): Win by 41 points
7	Green Bay PackersGB	1568 (+11)	9-4-1	at CHI (1510): Win by 11
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1552): L 26-34: 1557+11→1568
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1510): Win by 11 points
8 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1565 (-36)	11-3	at BAL (1487): Win by 17
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): L 31-35: 1601-36→1565
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1487): Win by 17 points
9 (-4)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1546 (-35)	6-8	at TEN (1403): Win by 32
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): L 13-16: 1581-35→1546
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1403): Win by 32 points
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1545 (-9)	10-4	at DEN (1542): Lose by 6
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1415): W 48-20: 1554-9→1545
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1542): Lose by 6 points
11 (+5)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1542 (+36)	10-4	at DAL (1473): Win by 14
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): W 16-13: 1506+36→1542
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1473): Win by 14 points
12 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1542 (-10)	12-2	vs JAX (1545): Win by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1557): W 34-26: 1552-10→1542
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1545): Win by 6 points
13 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1528 (-21)	10-4	at IND (1587): Lose by 23
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1382): W 37-24: 1549-21→1528
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1587): Lose by 23 points
14 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1517 (-7)	9-5	at WAS (1417): Win by 22
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1372): W 31-0: 1524-7→1517
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1417): Win by 22 points
15 (-1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1510 (-9)	10-4	vs GB (1568): Lose by 11
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1414): W 31-3: 1519-9→1510
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1568): Lose by 11 points
16 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1504 (+15)	6-8	vs CIN (1440): Win by 24
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 15-28: 1489+15→1504
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1440): Win by 24 points
17 (+5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1489 (+40)	6-8	at NYG (1390): Win by 22
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1513): W 34-26: 1449+40→1489
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1390): Win by 22 points
18 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1487 (+6)	7-7	vs NE (1565): Lose by 17
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): W 24-0: 1481+6→1487
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1565): Lose by 17 points
19 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1485 (-15)	8-6	at DET (1582): Lose by 32
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): W 28-15: 1500-15→1485
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1582): Lose by 32 points
20 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1482 (+35)	5-9	at ARI (1457): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): W 29-28: 1447+35→1482
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1457): Slight favorite
21 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1473 (-40)	6-7-1	vs LAC (1542): Lose by 14
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1449): L 26-34: 1513-40→1473
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1542): Lose by 14 points
22 (+3)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1457 (+15)	3-11	vs ATL (1482): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1593): L 20-40: 1442+15→1457
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1482): Slight underdog
23 (+6)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1443 (+32)	4-10	vs NYJ (1424): Win by 12
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): W 20-17: 1411+32→1443
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1424): Win by 12 points
24	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1440 (-6)	4-10	at MIA (1504): Lose by 24
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1481): L 0-24: 1446-6→1440
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1504): Lose by 24 points
25 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1434 (-34)	7-7	at CAR (1427): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): L 28-29: 1468-34→1434
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Slight underdog
26 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (-32)	7-7	vs TB (1434): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1411): L 17-20: 1459-32→1427
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1434): Slight favorite
27	New York JetsNYJ	1424 (+9)	3-11	at NO (1443): Lose by 12
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1554): L 20-48: 1415+9→1424
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1443): Lose by 12 points
28	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1424 (+10)	3-11	vs BUF (1605): Lose by 37
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): L 3-31: 1414+10→1424
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1605): Lose by 37 points
29 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1417 (+40)	4-10	vs PHI (1517): Lose by 22
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1431): W 29-21: 1377+40→1417
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1517): Lose by 22 points
30	Tennessee TitansTEN	1403 (+21)	2-12	vs KC (1546): Lose by 32
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): L 24-37: 1382+21→1403
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1546): Lose by 32 points
31 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1390 (-41)	2-12	vs MIN (1489): Lose by 22
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1377): L 21-29: 1431-41→1390
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1489): Lose by 22 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1379 (+7)	2-12	at HOU (1578): Lose by 41
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): L 0-31: 1372+7→1379
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1578): Lose by 41 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 14, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1643 (+5)	10-3	vs DET (1556): Win by 43
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): W 45-17: 1638+5→1643
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1556): Win by 43 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1643 (+6)	10-3	vs IND (1556): Win by 43
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1453): W 37-9: 1637+6→1643
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1556): Win by 43 points
3 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1601	11-2	vs BUF (1569): Win by 42
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1569): Win by 42 points
4 (+3)	Houston TexansHOU	1593 (+21)	8-5	vs ARI (1442): Win by 43
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1602): W 20-10: 1572+21→1593
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1442): Win by 43 points
5 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1581 (-21)	6-7	vs LAC (1506): Win by 43
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1572): L 10-20: 1602-21→1581
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1506): Win by 43 points
6 (-1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1569 (-18)	9-4	at NE (1601): Lose by 42
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1427): W 39-34: 1587-18→1569
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1601): Lose by 42 points
7 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1557 (-2)	9-3-1	at DEN (1552): Lose by 20
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): W 28-21: 1559-2→1557
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1552): Lose by 20 points
8 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1556 (+8)	8-5	at LAR (1643): Lose by 43
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1521): W 44-30: 1548+8→1556
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1643): Lose by 43 points
9 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1556 (-23)	8-5	at SEA (1643): Lose by 43
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): L 19-36: 1579-23→1556
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1643): Lose by 43 points
10 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1554 (+23)	9-4	vs NYJ (1415): Win by 43
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1579): W 36-19: 1531+23→1554
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1415): Win by 43 points
11 (-3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1552 (-18)	11-2	vs GB (1557): Win by 20
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1354): W 24-17: 1570-18→1552
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1557): Win by 20 points
12 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549	9-4	vs TEN (1382): Win by 43
prev: (bye)
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1382): Win by 43 points
13	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1524 (-6)	8-5	vs LV (1372): Win by 43
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 19-22(OT): 1530-6→1524
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1372): Win by 43 points
14 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1519 (+2)	9-4	vs CLE (1414): Win by 43
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1559): L 21-28: 1517+2→1519
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1414): Win by 43 points
15 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1513 (-8)	6-6-1	vs MIN (1449): Win by 43
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1548): L 30-44: 1521-8→1513
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1449): Win by 43 points
16	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1506 (+6)	9-4	at KC (1581): Lose by 43
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): W 22-19(OT): 1500+6→1506
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1581): Lose by 43 points
17 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500 (+11)	7-6	vs MIA (1489): Win by 34
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): W 27-22: 1489+11→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1489): Win by 34 points
18 (+2)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1489 (+25)	6-7	at PIT (1500): Lose by 34
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): W 34-10: 1464+25→1489
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Lose by 34 points
19 (-2)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1481 (-11)	6-7	at CIN (1446): Win by 17
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): L 22-27: 1492-11→1481
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1446): Win by 17 points
20 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1468 (-23)	7-6	vs ATL (1447): Win by 38
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1388): L 20-24: 1491-23→1468
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): Win by 38 points
21	Carolina PanthersCAR	1459	7-6	at NO (1411): Win by 37
prev: (bye)
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1411): Win by 37 points
22 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1449 (+24)	5-8	at DAL (1513): Lose by 43
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1401): W 31-0: 1425+24→1449
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1513): Lose by 43 points
23 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1447 (-6)	4-9	at TB (1468): Lose by 38
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1637): L 9-37: 1453-6→1447
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1468): Lose by 38 points
24 (+3)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1446 (+19)	4-9	vs BAL (1481): Lose by 17
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): L 34-39: 1427+19→1446
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1481): Lose by 17 points
25 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1442 (-5)	3-10	at HOU (1593): Lose by 43
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): L 17-45: 1447-5→1442
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1593): Lose by 43 points
26 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1431	2-11	vs WAS (1377): Win by 43
prev: (bye)
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1377): Win by 43 points
27 (-3)	New York JetsNYJ	1415 (-26)	3-10	at JAX (1554): Lose by 43
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): L 10-34: 1441-26→1415
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1554): Lose by 43 points
28 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1414 (-16)	3-10	at CHI (1519): Lose by 43
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1367): L 29-31: 1430-16→1414
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1519): Lose by 43 points
29 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1411 (+23)	3-10	vs CAR (1459): Lose by 37
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): W 24-20: 1388+23→1411
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): Lose by 37 points
30 (+1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1382 (+15)	2-11	at SF (1549): Lose by 43
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): W 31-29: 1367+15→1382
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1549): Lose by 43 points
31 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1377 (-24)	3-10	at NYG (1431): Lose by 43
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1425): L 0-31: 1401-24→1377
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1431): Lose by 43 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1372 (+18)	2-11	at PHI (1524): Lose by 43
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1570): L 17-24: 1354+18→1372
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1524): Lose by 43 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 13, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1638 (-26)	9-3	at ARI (1447): Win by 22
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): L 28-31: 1664-26→1638
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1447): Win by 22 points
2	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1637 (+10)	9-3	at ATL (1453): Win by 21
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1434): W 26-0: 1627+10→1637
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1453): Win by 21 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1602 (-13)	6-6	vs HOU (1572): Win by 8
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1507): L 28-31: 1615-13→1602
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1572): Win by 8 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1601 (+3)	11-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): W 33-15: 1598+3→1601
next: (bye)
5 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1587 (+20)	8-4	vs CIN (1427): Win by 23
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): W 26-7: 1567+20→1587
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1427): Win by 23 points
6 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1579 (-10)	8-4	at JAX (1531): Slight fav
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1562): L 16-20: 1589-10→1579
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1531): Slight favorite
7 (+2)	Houston TexansHOU	1572 (+10)	7-5	at KC (1602): Lose by 8
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1589): W 20-16: 1562+10→1572
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1602): Lose by 8 points
8 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1570 (-13)	10-2	at LV (1354): Win by 24
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): W 27-26(OT): 1583-13→1570
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1354): Win by 24 points
9 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1559 (+14)	8-3-1	vs CHI (1517): Win by 9
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1562): W 31-24: 1545+14→1559
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1517): Win by 9 points
10 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1549 (+17)	9-4	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): W 26-8: 1532+17→1549
next: (bye)
11 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1548 (-14)	7-5	vs DAL (1521): Win by 7
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1545): L 24-31: 1562-14→1548
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1521): Win by 7 points
12 (+2)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1531 (+16)	8-4	vs IND (1579): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1383): W 25-3: 1515+16→1531
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1579): Slight underdog
13 (-3)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1530 (-22)	8-4	at LAC (1500): Slight fav
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): L 15-24: 1552-22→1530
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Slight favorite
14 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1521 (+14)	6-5-1	at DET (1548): Lose by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1615): W 31-28: 1507+14→1521
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1548): Lose by 7 points
15 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1517 (+21)	9-3	at GB (1559): Lose by 9
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): W 24-15: 1496+21→1517
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1559): Lose by 9 points
16 (+2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500 (+4)	8-4	vs PHI (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1358): W 31-14: 1496+4→1500
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1530): Slight underdog
17 (-5)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1492 (-42)	6-6	vs PIT (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1386): L 14-32: 1534-42→1492
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1489): Slight favorite
18 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1491 (-5)	7-5	vs NO (1388): Win by 16
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): W 20-17: 1496-5→1491
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1388): Win by 16 points
19 (-4)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1489 (-20)	6-6	at BAL (1492): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): L 7-26: 1509-20→1489
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1492): Slight underdog
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (-9)	5-7	at NYJ (1441): Tossup
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1380): W 21-17: 1473-9→1464
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Tossup
21 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1459 (+26)	7-6	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1664): W 31-28: 1433+26→1459
next: (bye)
22 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1453 (-4)	4-8	vs SEA (1637): Lose by 21
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1437): L 24-27: 1457-4→1453
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1637): Lose by 21 points
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1447 (+4)	3-9	vs LAR (1638): Lose by 22
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): L 17-20: 1443+4→1447
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): Lose by 22 points
24	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (+4)	3-9	vs MIA (1464): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): W 27-24: 1437+4→1441
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Tossup
25	New York GiantsNYG	1431 (-3)	2-11	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1598): L 15-33: 1434-3→1431
next: (bye)
26 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1430 (-16)	3-9	vs TEN (1367): Win by 11
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1532): L 8-26: 1446-16→1430
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1367): Win by 11 points
27 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1427 (+41)	4-8	at BUF (1587): Lose by 23
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): W 32-14: 1386+41→1427
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1587): Lose by 23 points
28 (-2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1425 (-9)	4-8	vs WAS (1401): Win by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1627): L 0-26: 1434-9→1425
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1401): Win by 6 points
29 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1401 (+14)	3-9	at MIN (1425): Lose by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1583): L 26-27(OT): 1387+14→1401
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1425): Lose by 6 points
30 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1388 (+8)	2-10	at TB (1491): Lose by 16
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): L 17-21: 1380+8→1388
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1491): Lose by 16 points
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1367 (-16)	1-11	at CLE (1430): Lose by 11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): L 3-25: 1383-16→1367
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1430): Lose by 11 points
32	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1354 (-4)	2-10	vs DEN (1570): Lose by 24
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): L 14-31: 1358-4→1354
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1570): Lose by 24 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 12, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1664 (+24)	9-2	at CAR (1433): Win by 17
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): W 34-7: 1640+24→1664
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1433): Win by 17 points
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1627 (-15)	8-3	vs MIN (1434): Win by 17
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): W 30-24: 1642-15→1627
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1434): Win by 17 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1615 (+3)	6-5	at DAL (1507): Win by 7
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): W 23-20(OT): 1612+3→1615
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1507): Win by 7 points
4	New England PatriotsNE	1598 (-12)	10-2	vs NYG (1434): Win by 15
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1374): W 26-20: 1610-12→1598
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1434): Win by 15 points
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1589 (-3)	8-3	vs HOU (1562): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1612): L 20-23(OT): 1592-3→1589
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1562): Slight favorite
6	Denver BroncosDEN	1583	9-2	at WAS (1387): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1387): Win by 14 points
7	Buffalo BillsBUF	1567 (-6)	7-4	at PIT (1509): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1556): L 19-23: 1573-6→1567
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): Slight favorite
8	Detroit LionsDET	1562 (-11)	7-4	vs GB (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): W 34-27(OT): 1573-11→1562
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1545): Slight favorite
9 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1562 (+6)	6-5	at IND (1589): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): W 23-19: 1556+6→1562
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1589): Slight underdog
10 (-1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1552 (-8)	8-3	vs CHI (1496): Win by 6
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): L 21-24: 1560-8→1552
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1496): Win by 6 points
11	Green Bay PackersGB	1545 (+15)	7-3-1	at DET (1562): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): W 23-6: 1530+15→1545
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1562): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1534 (+11)	6-5	vs CIN (1386): Win by 14
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1447): W 23-10: 1523+11→1534
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1386): Win by 14 points
13 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1532 (+6)	8-4	at CLE (1446): Win by 5
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): W 20-9: 1526+6→1532
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1446): Win by 5 points
14 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1515 (+1)	7-4	at TEN (1383): Win by 9
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): W 27-24(OT): 1514+1→1515
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1383): Win by 9 points
15 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1509 (-5)	6-5	vs BUF (1567): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): L 28-31: 1514-5→1509
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1567): Slight underdog
16 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1507 (+8)	5-5-1	vs KC (1615): Lose by 7
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): W 24-21: 1499+8→1507
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1615): Lose by 7 points
17 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1496 (+4)	8-3	at PHI (1552): Lose by 6
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1514): W 31-28: 1492+4→1496
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1552): Lose by 6 points
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496	7-4	vs LV (1358): Win by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1358): Win by 14 points
19 (-5)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1496 (-24)	6-5	vs ARI (1443): Win by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): L 7-34: 1520-24→1496
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1443): Win by 6 points
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473	4-7	vs NO (1380): Win by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1380): Win by 10 points
21 (+4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1457 (+21)	4-7	at NYJ (1437): Tossup
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1401): W 24-10: 1436+21→1457
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1437): Tossup
22 (+4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1446 (+19)	3-8	vs SF (1532): Lose by 5
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1377): W 24-10: 1427+19→1446
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1532): Lose by 5 points
23	Arizona CardinalsARI	1443 (-1)	3-8	at TB (1496): Lose by 6
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): L 24-27(OT): 1444-1→1443
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1496): Lose by 6 points
24 (-2)	New York JetsNYJ	1437 (-10)	2-9	vs ATL (1457): Tossup
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): L 10-23: 1447-10→1437
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1457): Tossup
25 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1434 (+11)	2-10	at NE (1598): Lose by 15
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1573): L 27-34(OT): 1423+11→1434
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1598): Lose by 15 points
26 (-5)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1434 (-16)	4-7	at SEA (1627): Lose by 17
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): L 6-23: 1450-16→1434
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1627): Lose by 17 points
27 (-3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1433 (-6)	6-6	vs LAR (1664): Lose by 17
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): L 9-20: 1439-6→1433
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1664): Lose by 17 points
28 (+1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1387	3-8	vs DEN (1583): Lose by 14
prev: (bye)
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1583): Lose by 14 points
29 (+2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1386 (+12)	3-8	at BAL (1534): Lose by 14
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1610): L 20-26: 1374+12→1386
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1534): Lose by 14 points
30 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1383 (+15)	1-10	vs JAX (1515): Lose by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1642): L 24-30: 1368+15→1383
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1515): Lose by 9 points
31 (-3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1380 (-21)	2-9	at MIA (1473): Lose by 10
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): L 10-24: 1401-21→1380
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Lose by 10 points
32 (-2)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1358 (-19)	2-9	at LAC (1496): Lose by 14
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1427): L 10-24: 1377-19→1358
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1496): Lose by 14 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 11, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1642 (-1)	7-3	at TEN (1368): Win by 16
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): L 19-21: 1643-1→1642
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1368): Win by 16 points
2	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1640 (+2)	8-2	vs TB (1520): Win by 9
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1643): W 21-19: 1638+2→1640
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1520): Win by 9 points
3	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1612 (-8)	5-5	vs IND (1592): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1575): L 19-22: 1620-8→1612
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1592): Slight favorite
4	New England PatriotsNE	1610 (+6)	9-2	at CIN (1374): Win by 14
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1454): W 27-14: 1604+6→1610
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1374): Win by 14 points
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1592	8-2	at KC (1612): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1612): Slight underdog
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1583 (+8)	9-2	bye
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): W 22-19: 1575+8→1583
next: (bye)
7 (+2)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1573 (+17)	7-3	at HOU (1556): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): W 44-32: 1556+17→1573
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1556): Tossup
8 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1573 (-15)	6-4	vs NYG (1423): Win by 11
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1545): L 9-16: 1588-15→1573
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1423): Win by 11 points
9 (+2)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1560 (+15)	8-2	at DAL (1499): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1588): W 16-9: 1545+15→1560
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1499): Slight favorite
10 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1556 (-12)	5-5	vs BUF (1573): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1356): W 16-13: 1568-12→1556
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1573): Tossup
11 (+2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (+6)	6-3-1	vs MIN (1450): Win by 6
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1429): W 27-20: 1524+6→1530
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1450): Win by 6 points
12 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1526 (+32)	7-4	vs CAR (1439): Win by 7
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): W 41-22: 1494+32→1526
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1439): Win by 7 points
13 (+1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1523 (+7)	5-5	vs NYJ (1447): Win by 6
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1434): W 23-16: 1516+7→1523
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1447): Win by 6 points
14 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1520 (-17)	6-4	at LAR (1640): Lose by 9
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): L 32-44: 1537-17→1520
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1640): Lose by 9 points
15 (+6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514 (+53)	6-4	at ARI (1444): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): W 35-6: 1461+53→1514
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1444): Slight favorite
16 (+1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1514 (+28)	6-4	at CHI (1492): Tossup
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): W 34-12: 1486+28→1514
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1492): Tossup
17 (+2)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1499 (+24)	4-5-1	vs PHI (1560): Slight 'dog
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): W 33-16: 1475+24→1499
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1560): Slight underdog
18 (-8)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1496 (-53)	7-4	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1461): L 6-35: 1549-53→1496
next: (bye)
19 (-3)	Chicago BearsCHI	1492 (+2)	7-3	vs PIT (1514): Tossup
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1451): W 19-17: 1490+2→1492
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1514): Tossup
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (-1)	4-7	bye
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1386): W 16-13(OT): 1474-1→1473
next: (bye)
21 (+2)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1450 (-1)	4-6	at GB (1530): Lose by 6
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): L 17-19: 1451-1→1450
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Lose by 6 points
22	New York JetsNYJ	1447 (-7)	2-8	at BAL (1523): Lose by 6
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1604): L 14-27: 1454-7→1447
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1523): Lose by 6 points
23 (-5)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1444 (-33)	3-7	vs JAX (1514): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): L 22-41: 1477-33→1444
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): Slight underdog
24 (+3)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1439 (+12)	6-5	at SF (1526): Lose by 7
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): W 30-27(OT): 1427+12→1439
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1526): Lose by 7 points
25 (-1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1436 (-11)	3-7	at NO (1401): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): L 27-30(OT): 1447-11→1436
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1401): Tossup
26 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1427 (-7)	2-8	at LV (1377): Slight fav
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): L 16-23: 1434-7→1427
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1377): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	New York GiantsNYG	1423 (-6)	2-9	at DET (1573): Lose by 11
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): L 20-27: 1429-6→1423
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1573): Lose by 11 points
28	New Orleans SaintsNO	1401	2-8	vs ATL (1436): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1436): Tossup
29 (+2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1387 (+1)	3-8	bye
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): L 13-16(OT): 1386+1→1387
next: (bye)
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1377 (-23)	2-8	vs CLE (1427): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): L 16-33: 1400-23→1377
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1427): Slight underdog
31 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1374 (-27)	3-7	vs NE (1610): Lose by 14
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): L 12-34: 1401-27→1374
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1610): Lose by 14 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1368 (+12)	1-9	vs SEA (1642): Lose by 16
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1568): L 13-16: 1356+12→1368
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1642): Lose by 16 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 10, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1643 (+27)	7-2	at LAR (1638): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): W 44-22: 1616+27→1643
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1638): Slight underdog
2 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1638 (+23)	7-2	vs SEA (1643): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): W 42-26: 1615+23→1638
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1643): Slight favorite
3 (-2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1620	5-4	at DEN (1575): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1575): Slight favorite
4 (+2)	New England PatriotsNE	1604 (+9)	8-2	vs NYJ (1454): Win by 9
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): W 28-23: 1595+9→1604
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1454): Win by 9 points
5	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1592 (-9)	8-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): W 31-25(OT): 1601-9→1592
next: (bye)
6 (+3)	Detroit LionsDET	1588 (+28)	6-3	at PHI (1545): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1414): W 44-22: 1560+28→1588
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1545): Slight favorite
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1575 (-17)	8-2	vs KC (1620): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1383): W 10-7: 1592-17→1575
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1620): Slight underdog
8	Houston TexansHOU	1568 (+1)	4-5	at TEN (1356): Win by 10
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): W 36-29: 1567+1→1568
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1356): Win by 10 points
9 (-5)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1556 (-48)	6-3	vs TB (1537): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): L 13-30: 1604-48→1556
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1537): Slight favorite
10 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1549 (+26)	7-3	at JAX (1461): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): W 25-10: 1523+26→1549
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1461): Slight favorite
11	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1545 (+5)	7-2	vs DET (1588): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): W 10-7: 1540+5→1545
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1588): Slight underdog
12 (-2)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1537 (-8)	6-3	at BUF (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1595): L 23-28: 1545-8→1537
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1556): Slight underdog
13 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1524 (-6)	5-3-1	at NYG (1429): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): L 7-10: 1530-6→1524
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1429): Slight favorite
14 (+3)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1516 (+14)	4-5	at CLE (1434): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1465): W 27-19: 1502+14→1516
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1434): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1494 (-23)	6-4	at ARI (1477): Tossup
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1615): L 26-42: 1517-23→1494
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1477): Tossup
16 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1490 (-1)	6-3	at MIN (1451): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1428): W 24-20: 1491-1→1490
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1451): Slight favorite
17 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1486 (-26)	5-4	vs CIN (1401): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): L 10-25: 1512-26→1486
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1401): Win by 5 points
18 (-2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1477 (-27)	3-6	vs SF (1494): Tossup
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1616): L 22-44: 1504-27→1477
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1494): Tossup
19	Dallas CowboysDAL	1475	3-5-1	at LV (1400): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1400): Slight favorite
20 (+7)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1474 (+47)	3-7	at WAS (1386): Win by 5
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): W 30-13: 1427+47→1474
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1386): Win by 5 points
21	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1461 (-1)	5-4	vs LAC (1549): Slight 'dog
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1567): L 29-36: 1462-1→1461
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1549): Slight underdog
22 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1454 (+13)	2-7	at NE (1604): Lose by 9
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): W 27-20: 1441+13→1454
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1604): Lose by 9 points
23 (-3)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1451 (-14)	4-5	vs CHI (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): L 19-27: 1465-14→1451
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1490): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1447 (+9)	3-6	vs CAR (1427): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1601): L 25-31(OT): 1438+9→1447
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1427): Slight favorite
25 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1434 (-13)	2-7	vs BAL (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): L 20-27: 1447-13→1434
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1516): Slight underdog
26	New York GiantsNYG	1429 (+1)	2-8	vs GB (1524): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): L 20-24: 1428+1→1429
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1524): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1427 (-32)	5-5	at ATL (1447): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1370): L 7-17: 1459-32→1427
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1447): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1401 (+31)	2-8	bye
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): W 17-7: 1370+31→1401
next: (bye)
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1401	3-6	at PIT (1486): Lose by 5
prev: (bye)
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1486): Lose by 5 points
30	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1400 (+17)	2-7	vs DAL (1475): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1592): L 7-10: 1383+17→1400
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Washington CommandersWAS	1386 (-28)	3-7	at MIA (1474): Lose by 5
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1560): L 22-44: 1414-28→1386
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): Lose by 5 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1356	1-8	vs HOU (1568): Lose by 10
prev: (bye)
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1568): Lose by 10 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 9, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1620 (-19)	5-4	bye
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): L 21-28: 1639-19→1620
next: (bye)
2 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1616 (+35)	6-2	vs ARI (1504): Win by 7
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1449): W 38-14: 1581+35→1616
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1504): Win by 7 points
3 (+1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1615 (+24)	6-2	at SF (1517): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1394): W 34-10: 1591+24→1615
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight favorite
4 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1604 (+19)	6-2	at MIA (1427): Win by 7
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): W 28-21: 1585+19→1604
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1427): Win by 7 points
5 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1601 (-29)	7-2	at ATL (1438): Win by 8
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): L 20-27: 1630-29→1601
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1438): Win by 8 points
6 (-3)	New England PatriotsNE	1595 (-11)	7-2	at TB (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): W 24-23: 1606-11→1595
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1545): Slight favorite
7	Denver BroncosDEN	1592 (+8)	7-2	vs LV (1383): Win by 11
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1575): W 18-15: 1584+8→1592
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1383): Win by 11 points
8 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1567 (-8)	3-5	vs JAX (1462): Win by 6
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1584): L 15-18: 1575-8→1567
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1462): Win by 6 points
9 (-3)	Detroit LionsDET	1560 (-24)	5-3	at WAS (1414): Win by 6
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1441): L 24-27: 1584-24→1560
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1414): Win by 6 points
10 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1545	6-2	vs NE (1595): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1595): Slight underdog
11 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1540	6-2	at GB (1530): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1530): Tossup
12 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1530 (-21)	5-2-1	vs PHI (1540): Tossup
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1438): L 13-16: 1551-21→1530
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1540): Tossup
13	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523 (-1)	6-3	vs PIT (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1355): W 27-20: 1524-1→1523
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1512): Slight favorite
14 (+1)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+19)	6-3	vs LAR (1615): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1447): W 34-24: 1498+19→1517
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1615): Slight underdog
15 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1512 (+29)	5-3	at LAC (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1630): W 27-20: 1483+29→1512
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): Slight underdog
16 (+2)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1504 (+26)	3-5	at SEA (1616): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 27-17: 1478+26→1504
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1616): Lose by 7 points
17 (+4)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1502 (+50)	3-5	at MIN (1465): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): W 28-6: 1452+50→1502
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1465): Slight favorite
18 (-2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1491 (+5)	5-3	vs NYG (1428): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1406): W 47-42: 1486+5→1491
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1428): Slight favorite
19 (-5)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1475 (-26)	3-5-1	bye
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1478): L 17-27: 1501-26→1475
next: (bye)
20 (+6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1465 (+24)	4-4	vs BAL (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1584): W 27-24: 1441+24→1465
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1502): Slight underdog
21 (-1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1462 (+3)	5-3	at HOU (1567): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1386): W 30-29(OT): 1459+3→1462
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1567): Lose by 6 points
22 (+5)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1459 (+21)	5-4	vs NO (1370): Win by 6
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1551): W 16-13: 1438+21→1459
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1370): Win by 6 points
23 (+1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1447	2-6	at NYJ (1441): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1441	1-7	vs CLE (1447): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1447): Slight favorite
25 (+3)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1438 (+11)	3-5	at IND (1601): Lose by 8
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1606): L 23-24: 1427+11→1438
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1601): Lose by 8 points
26 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1428 (-19)	2-7	at CHI (1491): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): L 24-34: 1447-19→1428
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1491): Slight underdog
27 (-8)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1427 (-50)	2-7	vs BUF (1604): Lose by 7
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1452): L 6-28: 1477-50→1427
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1604): Lose by 7 points
28 (-6)	Washington CommandersWAS	1414 (-35)	3-6	vs DET (1560): Lose by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1581): L 14-38: 1449-35→1414
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1560): Lose by 6 points
29	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1401 (-5)	3-6	bye
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1486): L 42-47: 1406-5→1401
next: (bye)
30 (+1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1383 (-3)	2-6	at DEN (1592): Lose by 11
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): L 29-30(OT): 1386-3→1383
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1592): Lose by 11 points
31 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1370 (-24)	1-8	at CAR (1459): Lose by 6
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): L 10-34: 1394-24→1370
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1459): Lose by 6 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1356 (+1)	1-8	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): L 20-27: 1355+1→1356
next: (bye)

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 8, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1639 (+30)	5-3	at BUF (1585): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1480): W 28-7: 1609+30→1639
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1585): Slight favorite
2	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1630 (+27)	7-1	at PIT (1483): Win by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1382): W 38-14: 1603+27→1630
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1483): Win by 6 points
3 (+3)	New England PatriotsNE	1606 (+29)	6-2	vs ATL (1427): Win by 10
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): W 32-13: 1577+29→1606
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1427): Win by 10 points
4 (-1)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1591	5-2	vs NO (1394): Win by 11
prev: (bye)
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1394): Win by 11 points
5 (+7)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1585 (+65)	5-2	vs KC (1639): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1503): W 40-9: 1520+65→1585
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1639): Slight underdog
6 (-2)	Detroit LionsDET	1584	5-2	vs MIN (1441): Win by 8
prev: (bye)
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1441): Win by 8 points
7 (+2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1584 (+44)	6-2	at HOU (1575): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): W 44-24: 1540+44→1584
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1575): Slight underdog
8 (-3)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1581	5-2	at WAS (1449): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1449): Win by 6 points
9 (-2)	Houston TexansHOU	1575 (+20)	3-4	vs DEN (1584): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 26-15: 1555+20→1575
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1584): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1551 (+25)	5-1-1	vs CAR (1438): Win by 7
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): W 35-25: 1526+25→1551
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1438): Win by 7 points
11 (+4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1545 (+40)	6-2	bye
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1435): W 23-3: 1505+40→1545
next: (bye)
12 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1540 (+38)	6-2	bye
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): W 38-20: 1502+38→1540
next: (bye)
13 (+11)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1524 (+61)	5-3	at TEN (1355): Win by 7
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): W 37-10: 1463+61→1524
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1355): Win by 7 points
14 (-6)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (-44)	3-4-1	vs ARI (1478): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1540): L 24-44: 1545-44→1501
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1478): Slight favorite
15 (-2)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1498 (-20)	5-3	at NYG (1447): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1555): L 15-26: 1518-20→1498
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1447): Slight favorite
16 (-6)	Chicago BearsCHI	1486 (-43)	4-3	at CIN (1406): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1409): L 16-30: 1529-43→1486
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1406): Slight favorite
17 (-3)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1483 (-26)	4-3	vs IND (1630): Lose by 6
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): L 25-35: 1509-26→1483
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1630): Lose by 6 points
18 (+4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1478	2-5	at DAL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Slight underdog
19 (+10)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1477 (+65)	2-6	vs BAL (1452): Slight fav
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): W 34-10: 1412+65→1477
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1452): Slight favorite
20 (+5)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1459	4-3	at LV (1386): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1386): Slight favorite
21 (+9)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1452 (+43)	2-5	at MIA (1477): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1529): W 30-16: 1409+43→1452
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1477): Slight underdog
22 (-1)	Washington CommandersWAS	1449 (-31)	3-5	vs SEA (1581): Lose by 6
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): L 7-28: 1480-31→1449
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1581): Lose by 6 points
23 (-3)	New York GiantsNYG	1447 (-37)	2-6	vs SF (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): L 20-38: 1484-37→1447
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1498): Slight underdog
24 (-1)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1447 (-29)	2-6	bye
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1577): L 13-32: 1476-29→1447
next: (bye)
25 (+2)	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (+13)	1-7	bye
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1419): W 39-38: 1428+13→1441
next: (bye)
26 (-8)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1441 (-61)	3-4	at DET (1584): Lose by 8
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1463): L 10-37: 1502-61→1441
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1584): Lose by 8 points
27 (-11)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1438 (-65)	4-4	at GB (1551): Lose by 7
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1520): L 9-40: 1503-65→1438
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1551): Lose by 7 points
28 (-9)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1427 (-65)	3-4	at NE (1606): Lose by 10
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1412): L 10-34: 1492-65→1427
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1606): Lose by 10 points
29 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1406 (-13)	3-5	vs CHI (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1428): L 38-39: 1419-13→1406
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1486): Slight underdog
30 (-4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1394 (-41)	1-7	at LAR (1591): Lose by 11
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): L 3-23: 1435-41→1394
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1591): Lose by 11 points
31	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1386	2-5	vs JAX (1459): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1459): Slight underdog
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1355 (-27)	1-7	vs LAC (1524): Lose by 7
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): L 14-38: 1382-27→1355
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1524): Lose by 7 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 7, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1609 (+46)	4-3	vs WAS (1480): Win by 7
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): W 31-0: 1563+46→1609
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1480): Win by 7 points
2 (-1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1603 (+23)	6-1	vs TEN (1382): Win by 11
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): W 38-24: 1580+23→1603
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1382): Win by 11 points
3 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1591 (+54)	5-2	bye
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1513): W 35-7: 1537+54→1591
next: (bye)
4 (+1)	Detroit LionsDET	1584 (+28)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): W 24-9: 1556+28→1584
next: (bye)
5 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1581 (+18)	5-2	bye
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1573): W 27-19: 1563+18→1581
next: (bye)
6	New England PatriotsNE	1577 (+26)	5-2	vs CLE (1476): Win by 6
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): W 31-13: 1551+26→1577
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1476): Win by 6 points
7 (-5)	Houston TexansHOU	1555 (-18)	2-4	vs SF (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): L 19-27: 1573-18→1555
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight favorite
8 (+10)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1545 (+47)	3-3-1	at DEN (1540): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1527): W 44-22: 1498+47→1545
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1540): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Denver BroncosDEN	1540 (+3)	5-2	vs DAL (1545): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): W 33-32: 1537+3→1540
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1545): Slight favorite
10 (+7)	Chicago BearsCHI	1529 (+19)	4-2	at BAL (1409): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1454): W 26-14: 1510+19→1529
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1409): Slight favorite
11 (+3)	Green Bay PackersGB	1526 (+8)	4-1-1	at PIT (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): W 27-23: 1518+8→1526
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1509): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1520	4-2	at CAR (1503): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1503): Tossup
13 (+6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+22)	5-2	at HOU (1555): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1514): W 20-10: 1496+22→1518
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1555): Slight underdog
14 (-2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1509 (-14)	4-2	vs GB (1526): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): L 31-33: 1523-14→1509
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1526): Slight favorite
15 (-6)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1505 (-28)	5-2	at NO (1435): Slight fav
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): L 9-24: 1533-28→1505
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1435): Slight favorite
16 (+4)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1503 (+13)	4-3	vs BUF (1520): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): W 13-6: 1490+13→1503
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1520): Tossup
17 (+7)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502 (+21)	5-2	vs NYG (1484): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): W 28-22: 1481+21→1502
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1484): Slight favorite
18 (-7)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1502 (-21)	3-3	at LAC (1463): Slight fav
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1481): L 22-28: 1523-21→1502
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1463): Slight favorite
19 (-4)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (-22)	3-3	vs MIA (1412): Win by 5
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): L 10-20: 1514-22→1492
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1412): Win by 5 points
20 (+1)	New York GiantsNYG	1484 (-4)	2-5	at PHI (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1537): L 32-33: 1488-4→1484
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): Slight underdog
21 (-11)	Washington CommandersWAS	1480 (-47)	3-4	at KC (1609): Lose by 7
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): L 22-44: 1527-47→1480
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1609): Lose by 7 points
22	Arizona CardinalsARI	1478 (-8)	2-5	bye
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): L 23-27: 1486-8→1478
next: (bye)
23 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1476 (+53)	2-5	at NE (1577): Lose by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): W 31-6: 1423+53→1476
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1577): Lose by 6 points
24 (-1)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1463 (-23)	4-3	vs MIN (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1580): L 24-38: 1486-23→1463
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1502): Slight underdog
25 (-9)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1459 (-54)	4-3	bye
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): L 7-35: 1513-54→1459
next: (bye)
26	New Orleans SaintsNO	1435 (-19)	1-6	vs TB (1505): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1510): L 14-26: 1454-19→1435
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1505): Slight underdog
27	New York JetsNYJ	1428 (-13)	0-7	at CIN (1419): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): L 6-13: 1441-13→1428
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1419): Slight underdog
28 (+4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1419 (+14)	3-4	vs NYJ (1428): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): W 33-31: 1405+14→1419
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1428): Slight favorite
29 (-4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1412 (-53)	1-6	at ATL (1492): Lose by 5
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1423): L 6-31: 1465-53→1412
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Lose by 5 points
30	Baltimore RavensBAL	1409	1-5	vs CHI (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1529): Slight underdog
31 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1386 (-46)	2-5	bye
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): L 0-31: 1432-46→1386
next: (bye)
32 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1382 (-26)	1-6	at IND (1603): Lose by 11
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): L 13-31: 1408-26→1382
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1603): Lose by 11 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 6, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+1)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1580 (-3)	5-1	at LAC (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): W 31-27: 1583-3→1580
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1486): Slight favorite
2 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1573	2-3	at SEA (1563): Tossup
prev: (bye)
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1563): Tossup
3 (+6)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1563 (+29)	3-3	vs LV (1432): Win by 7
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1586): W 30-17: 1534+29→1563
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1432): Win by 7 points
4	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1563 (+18)	4-2	vs HOU (1573): Tossup
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): W 20-12: 1545+18→1563
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1573): Tossup
5 (-4)	Detroit LionsDET	1556 (-30)	4-2	vs TB (1533): Slight fav
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): L 17-30: 1586-30→1556
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1533): Slight favorite
6 (-1)	New England PatriotsNE	1551 (+7)	4-2	at TEN (1408): Win by 6
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): W 25-19: 1544+7→1551
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1408): Win by 6 points
7 (-1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1537 (-6)	4-2	vs NYG (1488): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): W 13-11: 1543-6→1537
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1488): Slight favorite
8 (+6)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1537 (+22)	4-2	at JAX (1513): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1431): W 17-3: 1515+22→1537
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1513): Slight favorite
9 (+7)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1533 (+22)	5-1	at DET (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): W 30-19: 1511+22→1533
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1556): Slight underdog
10 (-2)	Washington CommandersWAS	1527 (-15)	3-3	at DAL (1498): Tossup
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): L 24-25: 1542-15→1527
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Tossup
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523	3-2	vs PHI (1481): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1481): Slight favorite
12 (+6)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1523 (+20)	4-1	at CIN (1405): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): W 23-9: 1503+20→1523
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1405): Slight favorite
13 (-6)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1520 (-22)	4-2	bye
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): L 14-24: 1542-22→1520
next: (bye)
14 (+1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1518 (+6)	3-1-1	at ARI (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1411): W 27-18: 1512+6→1518
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1486): Slight favorite
15 (+5)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1514 (+22)	3-2	at SF (1496): Tossup
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): W 24-14: 1492+22→1514
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1496): Tossup
16 (-6)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1513 (-17)	4-2	at LAR (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): L 12-20: 1530-17→1513
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1537): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Chicago BearsCHI	1510 (+15)	3-2	vs NO (1454): Slight fav
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1542): W 25-24: 1495+15→1510
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1454): Slight favorite
18 (-1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498 (-6)	2-3-1	vs WAS (1527): Tossup
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): L 27-30: 1504-6→1498
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1527): Tossup
19 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1496 (-22)	4-2	vs ATL (1514): Tossup
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): L 19-30: 1518-22→1496
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1514): Tossup
20 (+1)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1490 (+6)	3-3	at NYJ (1441): Slight fav
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1504): W 30-27: 1484+6→1490
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1441): Slight favorite
21 (+5)	New York GiantsNYG	1488 (+39)	2-4	at DEN (1537): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): W 34-17: 1449+39→1488
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1537): Slight underdog
22	Arizona CardinalsARI	1486 (+3)	2-4	vs GB (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1583): L 27-31: 1483+3→1486
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1518): Slight underdog
23	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1486 (+5)	4-2	vs IND (1580): Slight 'dog
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): W 29-27: 1481+5→1486
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1580): Slight underdog
24 (-12)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1481 (-39)	4-2	at MIN (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1449): L 17-34: 1520-39→1481
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1523): Slight underdog
25 (-1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1465 (-5)	1-5	at CLE (1423): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): L 27-29: 1470-5→1465
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1423): Slight favorite
26 (-1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1454 (-6)	1-5	at CHI (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1544): L 19-25: 1460-6→1454
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1510): Slight underdog
27 (+1)	New York JetsNYJ	1441 (+7)	0-6	vs CAR (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1543): L 11-13: 1434+7→1441
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1490): Slight underdog
28 (+3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1432 (+20)	2-4	at KC (1563): Lose by 7
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): W 20-10: 1412+20→1432
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1563): Lose by 7 points
29 (-2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1423 (-19)	1-5	vs MIA (1465): Slight 'dog
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): L 9-23: 1442-19→1423
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1465): Slight underdog
30 (-1)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1409 (-22)	1-5	bye
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): L 3-17: 1431-22→1409
next: (bye)
31 (-1)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1408 (-20)	1-5	vs NE (1551): Lose by 6
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): L 10-20: 1428-20→1408
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1551): Lose by 6 points
32	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1405 (-6)	2-4	vs PIT (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1512): L 18-27: 1411-6→1405
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1523): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 5, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Detroit LionsDET	1586 (+13)	4-1	at KC (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1424): W 37-24: 1573+13→1586
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1534): Slight favorite
2 (+3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1583 (+47)	4-1	vs ARI (1483): Win by 6
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): W 40-6: 1536+47→1583
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1483): Win by 6 points
3 (+9)	Houston TexansHOU	1573 (+55)	2-3	bye
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1486): W 44-10: 1518+55→1573
next: (bye)
4 (-2)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1545 (-14)	3-2	at JAX (1530): Tossup
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): L 35-38: 1559-14→1545
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1530): Tossup
5 (+1)	New England PatriotsNE	1544 (+9)	3-2	at NO (1460): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): W 23-20: 1535+9→1544
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1460): Slight favorite
6 (+1)	Denver BroncosDEN	1543 (+9)	3-2	at NYJ (1434): Win by 5
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): W 21-17: 1534+9→1543
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1434): Win by 5 points
7 (-4)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1542 (-9)	4-1	at ATL (1492): Slight fav
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1535): L 20-23: 1551-9→1542
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1492): Slight favorite
8 (+7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1542 (+34)	3-2	vs CHI (1495): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): W 27-10: 1508+34→1542
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1495): Slight favorite
9 (-5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1534 (-4)	2-3	vs DET (1586): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): L 28-31: 1538-4→1534
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1586): Slight underdog
10	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1530 (+5)	4-1	vs SEA (1545): Tossup
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): W 31-28: 1525+5→1530
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1545): Tossup
11	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1523 (+1)	3-2	bye
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): W 21-17: 1522+1→1523
next: (bye)
12 (-4)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1520 (-9)	4-1	at NYG (1449): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): L 17-21: 1529-9→1520
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1449): Slight favorite
13 (+3)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1518 (+12)	4-1	at TB (1511): Slight 'dog
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): W 26-23(OT): 1506+12→1518
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1511): Slight underdog
14 (-5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1515 (-11)	3-2	at BAL (1431): Slight fav
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): L 23-26(OT): 1526-11→1515
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1431): Slight favorite
15 (-1)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512	2-1-1	vs CIN (1411): Win by 6
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1411): Win by 6 points
16 (+3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1511 (+14)	4-1	vs SF (1518): Slight fav
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1559): W 38-35: 1497+14→1511
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1518): Slight favorite
17 (+7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1504 (+29)	2-2-1	at CAR (1484): Tossup
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1463): W 37-22: 1475+29→1504
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1484): Tossup
18 (-1)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1503	3-1	vs CLE (1442): Slight fav
prev: (bye)
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): Slight favorite
19 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495	2-2	at WAS (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1542): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492	2-2	vs BUF (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: (bye)
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1542): Slight underdog
21 (+2)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1484 (+3)	2-3	vs DAL (1504): Tossup
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): W 27-24: 1481+3→1484
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1504): Tossup
22 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1483 (-19)	2-3	at IND (1583): Lose by 6
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): L 21-22: 1502-19→1483
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1583): Lose by 6 points
23 (-10)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1481 (-34)	3-2	at MIA (1470): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1508): L 10-27: 1515-34→1481
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1470): Slight underdog
24 (+1)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1470 (-3)	1-4	vs LAC (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1481): L 24-27: 1473-3→1470
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1481): Slight favorite
25 (+5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1460 (+24)	1-4	vs NE (1544): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): W 26-14: 1436+24→1460
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1544): Slight underdog
26	New York GiantsNYG	1449 (-24)	1-4	vs PHI (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1436): L 14-26: 1473-24→1449
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1520): Slight underdog
27 (+2)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442	1-4	at PIT (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): L 17-21: 1442-0→1442
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1503): Slight underdog
28 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1434 (-29)	0-5	at DEN (1543): Lose by 5
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): L 22-37: 1463-29→1434
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1543): Lose by 5 points
29 (-7)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1431 (-55)	1-4	vs LAR (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1518): L 10-44: 1486-55→1431
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1515): Slight underdog
30 (+2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1428 (+19)	1-4	at LV (1412): Tossup
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): W 22-21: 1409+19→1428
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1412): Tossup
31 (-3)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1412 (-47)	1-4	vs TEN (1428): Tossup
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): L 6-40: 1459-47→1412
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1428): Tossup
32 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1411 (-13)	2-3	at GB (1512): Lose by 6
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1573): L 24-37: 1424-13→1411
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1512): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 4, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+2)	Detroit LionsDET	1573 (+31)	3-1	at CIN (1424): Win by 6
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): W 34-10: 1542+31→1573
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1424): Win by 6 points
2 (-1)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1559 (+3)	3-1	vs TB (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): W 23-20: 1556+3→1559
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1497): Slight favorite
3 (+1)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1551 (+11)	4-0	vs NE (1535): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1447): W 31-19: 1540+11→1551
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1535): Slight favorite
4 (+11)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1538 (+26)	2-2	at JAX (1525): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): W 37-20: 1512+26→1538
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1525): Slight underdog
5 (-3)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1536 (-14)	3-1	vs LV (1459): Win by 5
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): L 20-27: 1550-14→1536
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1459): Win by 5 points
6 (+14)	New England PatriotsNE	1535 (+46)	2-2	at BUF (1551): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1527): W 42-13: 1489+46→1535
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1551): Slight underdog
7 (+11)	Denver BroncosDEN	1534 (+35)	2-2	at PHI (1529): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): W 28-3: 1499+35→1534
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1529): Slight underdog
8 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1529 (+11)	4-0	vs DEN (1534): Slight fav
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): W 31-25: 1518+11→1529
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1534): Slight favorite
9 (+5)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1526 (+14)	3-1	vs SF (1506): Slight fav
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1550): W 27-20: 1512+14→1526
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1506): Slight favorite
10 (+1)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1525 (+11)	3-1	vs KC (1538): Slight fav
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): W 26-21: 1514+11→1525
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1538): Slight favorite
11 (-6)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1522 (-8)	2-2	at CLE (1442): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): L 21-24: 1530-8→1522
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1442): Slight favorite
12 (+10)	Houston TexansHOU	1518 (+37)	1-3	at BAL (1486): Slight fav
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1445): W 26-0: 1481+37→1518
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1486): Slight favorite
13 (-6)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1515 (-8)	3-1	vs WAS (1508): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1465): L 18-21: 1523-8→1515
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1508): Slight favorite
14 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1512 (-1)	2-1-1	bye
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): T 40-40(OT): 1513-1→1512
next: (bye)
15 (-7)	Washington CommandersWAS	1508 (-14)	2-2	at LAC (1515): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): L 27-34: 1522-14→1508
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1515): Slight underdog
16 (-6)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1506 (-11)	3-1	at LAR (1526): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): L 21-26: 1517-11→1506
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1526): Slight underdog
17 (+2)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1503 (+8)	3-1	bye
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): W 24-21: 1495+8→1503
next: (bye)
18 (-1)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1502 (-3)	2-2	vs TEN (1409): Win by 6
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1556): L 20-23: 1505-3→1502
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1409): Win by 6 points
19 (-3)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1497 (-12)	3-1	at SEA (1559): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1518): L 25-31: 1509-12→1497
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1559): Slight underdog
20 (+1)	Chicago BearsCHI	1495 (+8)	2-2	bye
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): W 25-24: 1487+8→1495
next: (bye)
21 (+2)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1492 (+14)	2-2	bye
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1522): W 34-27: 1478+14→1492
next: (bye)
22 (-9)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1486 (-26)	1-3	vs HOU (1518): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1512): L 20-37: 1512-26→1486
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1518): Slight underdog
23 (-17)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1481 (-46)	1-3	vs MIA (1473): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): L 13-42: 1527-46→1481
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1473): Slight favorite
24	Dallas CowboysDAL	1475 (+1)	1-2-1	at NYJ (1463): Tossup
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): T 40-40(OT): 1474+1→1475
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1463): Tossup
25 (+4)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1473 (+9)	1-3	at CAR (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): W 27-21: 1464+9→1473
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1481): Slight underdog
26 (+2)	New York GiantsNYG	1473 (+8)	1-3	at NO (1436): Slight fav
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): W 21-18: 1465+8→1473
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1436): Slight favorite
27 (-1)	New York JetsNYJ	1463 (-9)	0-4	vs DAL (1475): Tossup
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): L 21-27: 1472-9→1463
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1475): Tossup
28 (-1)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1459 (-8)	1-3	at IND (1536): Lose by 5
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): L 24-25: 1467-8→1459
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1536): Lose by 5 points
29 (-4)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1442 (-32)	1-3	at MIN (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1542): L 10-34: 1474-32→1442
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1522): Slight underdog
30 (+1)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1436 (-11)	0-4	vs NYG (1473): Slight 'dog
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): L 19-31: 1447-11→1436
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1473): Slight underdog
31 (-1)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1424 (-34)	2-2	vs DET (1573): Lose by 6
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): L 3-28: 1458-34→1424
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1573): Lose by 6 points
32	Tennessee TitansTEN	1409 (-36)	0-4	at ARI (1502): Lose by 6
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1481): L 0-26: 1445-36→1409
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1502): Lose by 6 points

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 3, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+8)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1556 (+39)	2-1	at ARI (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): W 44-13: 1517+39→1556
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1505): Slight favorite
2 (+5)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1550 (+29)	3-0	at LAR (1512): Slight fav
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1475): W 41-20: 1521+29→1550
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1512): Slight favorite
3 (-1)	Detroit LionsDET	1542 (+15)	2-1	vs CLE (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): W 38-30: 1527+15→1542
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1474): Slight favorite
4 (-3)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1540 (+10)	3-0	vs NO (1447): Win by 6
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): W 31-21: 1530+10→1540
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1447): Win by 6 points
5 (+22)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1530 (+50)	2-1	at PIT (1495): Slight fav
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): W 48-10: 1480+50→1530
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1495): Slight favorite
6 (+19)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1527 (+42)	1-2	at NE (1489): Slight fav
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): W 30-0: 1485+42→1527
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1489): Slight favorite
7 (-2)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1523 (+2)	3-0	at NYG (1465): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1501): W 23-20: 1521+2→1523
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1465): Slight favorite
8 (+11)	Washington CommandersWAS	1522 (+23)	2-1	at ATL (1478): Slight fav
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): W 41-24: 1499+23→1522
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1478): Slight favorite
9 (+5)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1518 (+11)	3-0	at TB (1509): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1523): W 33-26: 1507+11→1518
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1509): Slight underdog
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1517 (+5)	3-0	vs JAX (1514): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): W 16-15: 1512+5→1517
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1514): Slight favorite
11 (+4)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1514 (+8)	2-1	at SF (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1490): W 17-10: 1506+8→1514
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1517): Slight underdog
12 (-6)	Green Bay PackersGB	1513 (-8)	2-1	at DAL (1474): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): L 10-13: 1521-8→1513
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1474): Slight favorite
13 (-10)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1512 (-15)	1-2	at KC (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1527): L 30-38: 1527-15→1512
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1512): Slight underdog
14 (-10)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1512 (-11)	2-1	vs IND (1550): Slight 'dog
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): L 26-33: 1523-11→1512
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1550): Slight underdog
15 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1512 (+21)	1-2	vs BAL (1512): Slight fav
prev: at New York GiantsNYG (1486): W 22-9: 1491+21→1512
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1512): Slight favorite
16 (-4)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1509 (-1)	3-0	vs PHI (1518): Slight fav
prev: vs New York JetsNYJ (1470): W 29-27: 1510-1→1509
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1518): Slight favorite
17 (-6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1505 (-6)	2-1	vs SEA (1556): Slight 'dog
prev: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): L 15-16: 1511-6→1505
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1556): Slight underdog
18	Denver BroncosDEN	1499 (-2)	1-2	vs CIN (1458): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): L 20-23: 1501-2→1499
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1458): Slight favorite
19 (+7)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1495 (+14)	2-1	at MIN (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1503): W 21-14: 1481+14→1495
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1530): Slight underdog
20 (-4)	New England PatriotsNE	1489 (-14)	1-2	vs CAR (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): L 14-21: 1503-14→1489
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1527): Slight underdog
21 (+11)	Chicago BearsCHI	1487 (+27)	1-2	at LV (1467): Tossup
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): W 31-14: 1460+27→1487
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1467): Tossup
22 (-1)	Houston TexansHOU	1481 (-9)	0-3	vs TEN (1445): Slight fav
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): L 10-17: 1490-9→1481
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1445): Slight favorite
23 (-15)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1478 (-42)	1-2	vs WAS (1522): Slight 'dog
prev: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1485): L 0-30: 1520-42→1478
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1522): Slight underdog
24 (-7)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1474 (-27)	1-2	vs GB (1513): Slight 'dog
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1460): L 14-31: 1501-27→1474
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1513): Slight underdog
25 (+6)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1474 (+8)	1-2	at DET (1542): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): W 13-10: 1466+8→1474
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1542): Slight underdog
26 (+4)	New York JetsNYJ	1472 (+2)	0-3	at MIA (1464): Slight 'dog
prev: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): L 27-29: 1470+2→1472
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1464): Slight underdog
27 (-5)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1467 (-23)	1-2	vs CHI (1487): Tossup
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): L 24-41: 1490-23→1467
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1487): Tossup
28 (-5)	New York GiantsNYG	1465 (-21)	0-3	vs LAC (1523): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1491): L 9-22: 1486-21→1465
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1523): Slight underdog
29	Miami DolphinsMIA	1464 (-10)	0-3	vs NYJ (1472): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1530): L 21-31: 1474-10→1464
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1472): Slight favorite
30 (-17)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1458 (-51)	2-1	at DEN (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): L 10-48: 1509-51→1458
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1499): Slight underdog
31 (-7)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1447 (-39)	0-3	at BUF (1540): Lose by 6
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): L 13-44: 1486-39→1447
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1540): Lose by 6 points
32 (-4)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1445 (-30)	0-3	at HOU (1481): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): L 20-41: 1475-30→1445
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1481): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 2, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+13)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1530 (+27)	2-0	vs MIA (1474): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): W 30-10: 1503+27→1530
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1474): Slight favorite
2 (+27)	Detroit LionsDET	1527 (+37)	1-1	at BAL (1527): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): W 52-21: 1490+37→1527
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1527): Slight underdog
3 (+16)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1527 (+30)	1-1	vs DET (1527): Slight fav
prev: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): W 41-17: 1497+30→1527
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1527): Slight favorite
4 (+7)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1523 (+20)	2-0	at PHI (1507): Tossup
prev: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): W 33-19: 1503+20→1523
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1507): Tossup
5 (+3)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1521 (+16)	2-0	vs DEN (1501): Slight fav
prev: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): W 20-9: 1505+16→1521
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1501): Slight favorite
6 (-2)	Green Bay PackersGB	1521 (+11)	2-0	at CLE (1466): Slight fav
prev: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1510): W 27-18: 1510+11→1521
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1466): Slight favorite
7 (-6)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1521 (+5)	2-0	at TEN (1475): Slight fav
prev: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1505): W 29-28: 1516+5→1521
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1475): Slight favorite
8 (+12)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1520 (+23)	1-1	at CAR (1485): Slight fav
prev: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): W 22-6: 1497+23→1520
next: at Carolina PanthersCAR (1485): Slight favorite
9 (+14)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1517 (+21)	1-1	vs NO (1486): Slight fav
prev: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): W 31-17: 1496+21→1517
next: vs New Orleans SaintsNO (1486): Slight favorite
10	San Francisco 49ersSF	1512 (+8)	2-0	vs ARI (1511): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): W 26-21: 1504+8→1512
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1511): Slight favorite
11 (-6)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1511 (+5)	2-0	at SF (1512): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): W 27-22: 1506+5→1511
next: at San Francisco 49ersSF (1512): Slight underdog
12 (+1)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1510 (+7)	2-0	vs NYJ (1470): Slight fav
prev: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): W 20-19: 1503+7→1510
next: vs New York JetsNYJ (1470): Slight favorite
13 (-4)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1509 (+5)	2-0	at MIN (1480): Tossup
prev: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): W 31-27: 1504+5→1509
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1480): Tossup
14 (+1)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1507 (+5)	2-0	vs LAR (1523): Tossup
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1495): W 20-17: 1502+5→1507
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1523): Tossup
15 (-13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1506 (-5)	1-1	vs HOU (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): L 27-31: 1511-5→1506
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1490): Slight favorite
16 (+11)	New England PatriotsNE	1503 (+9)	1-1	vs PIT (1481): Slight fav
prev: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): W 33-27: 1494+9→1503
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1481): Slight favorite
17 (+1)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1501 (+3)	1-1	at CHI (1460): Slight fav
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): W 40-37(OT): 1498+3→1501
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1460): Slight favorite
18 (-11)	Denver BroncosDEN	1501 (-4)	1-1	at LAC (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): L 28-29: 1505-4→1501
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1521): Slight underdog
19 (-16)	Washington CommandersWAS	1499 (-11)	1-1	vs LV (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): L 18-27: 1510-11→1499
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1490): Slight favorite
20 (+5)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1491 (-4)	0-2	at NYG (1486): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): L 17-20: 1495-4→1491
next: at New York GiantsNYG (1486): Slight underdog
21 (+1)	Houston TexansHOU	1490 (-7)	0-2	at JAX (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): L 19-20: 1497-7→1490
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1506): Slight underdog
22 (-16)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1490 (-16)	1-1	at WAS (1499): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): L 9-20: 1506-16→1490
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1499): Slight underdog
23 (+7)	New York GiantsNYG	1486 (-4)	0-2	vs KC (1491): Slight fav
prev: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): L 37-40(OT): 1490-4→1486
next: vs Kansas City ChiefsKC (1491): Slight favorite
24 (+4)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1486 (-8)	0-2	at SEA (1517): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): L 21-26: 1494-8→1486
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1517): Slight underdog
25 (+6)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1485 (-4)	0-2	vs ATL (1520): Slight 'dog
prev: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): L 22-27: 1489-4→1485
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1520): Slight underdog
26 (-10)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1481 (-21)	1-1	at NE (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): L 17-31: 1502-21→1481
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1503): Slight underdog
27 (-15)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1480 (-23)	1-1	vs CIN (1509): Tossup
prev: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): L 6-22: 1503-23→1480
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1509): Tossup
28 (-2)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1475 (-20)	0-2	vs IND (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): L 19-33: 1495-20→1475
next: vs Indianapolis ColtsIND (1521): Slight underdog
29 (+3)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1474 (-10)	0-2	at BUF (1530): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): L 27-33: 1484-10→1474
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1530): Slight underdog
30 (-13)	New York JetsNYJ	1470 (-28)	0-2	at TB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1503): L 10-30: 1498-28→1470
next: at Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1510): Slight underdog
31 (-7)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1466 (-30)	0-2	vs GB (1521): Slight 'dog
prev: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): L 17-41: 1496-30→1466
next: vs Green Bay PackersGB (1521): Slight underdog
32 (-11)	Chicago BearsCHI	1460 (-37)	0-2	vs DAL (1501): Slight 'dog
prev: at Detroit LionsDET (1490): L 21-52: 1497-37→1460
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1501): Slight underdog

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Power Rankings After Week 1, 2025 Season

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Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1 (+13)	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1516 (+16)	1-0	vs DEN (1505): Slight fav
prev: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): W 33-8: 1500+16→1516
next: vs Denver BroncosDEN (1505): Slight favorite
2 (+13)	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1511 (+11)	1-0	at CIN (1504): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): W 26-10: 1500+11→1511
next: at Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1504): Slight underdog
3 (+29)	Washington CommandersWAS	1510 (+10)	1-0	at GB (1510): Slight 'dog
prev: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): W 21-6: 1500+10→1510
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1510): Slight underdog
4 (+8)	Green Bay PackersGB	1510 (+10)	1-0	vs WAS (1510): Slight fav
prev: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): W 27-13: 1500+10→1510
next: vs Washington CommandersWAS (1510): Slight favorite
5 (-4)	Arizona CardinalsARI	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs CAR (1489): Slight fav
prev: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): W 20-13: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1489): Slight favorite
6 (+11)	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1506 (+6)	1-0	vs LAC (1505): Slight fav
prev: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): W 20-13: 1500+6→1506
next: vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1505): Slight favorite
7 (+3)	Denver BroncosDEN	1505 (+5)	1-0	at IND (1516): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): W 20-12: 1500+5→1505
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1516): Slight underdog
8 (+10)	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1505 (+5)	1-0	at LV (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): W 27-21: 1500+5→1505
next: at Las Vegas RaidersLV (1506): Slight underdog
9 (-2)	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1504 (+4)	1-0	vs JAX (1511): Slight fav
prev: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): W 17-16: 1500+4→1504
next: vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1511): Slight favorite
10 (+18)	San Francisco 49ersSF	1504 (+4)	1-0	at NO (1494): Slight 'dog
prev: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): W 17-13: 1500+4→1504
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1494): Slight underdog
11 (+8)	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1503 (+3)	1-0	at TEN (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): W 14-9: 1500+3→1503
next: at Tennessee TitansTEN (1495): Slight underdog
12 (+9)	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1503 (+3)	1-0	vs ATL (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): W 27-24: 1500+3→1503
next: vs Atlanta FalconsATL (1497): Slight favorite
13 (+17)	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1503 (+3)	1-0	at HOU (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): W 23-20: 1500+3→1503
next: at Houston TexansHOU (1497): Slight underdog
14 (-10)	Buffalo BillsBUF	1503 (+3)	1-0	at NYJ (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): W 41-40: 1500+3→1503
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1498): Slight underdog
15 (+11)	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1502 (+2)	1-0	at KC (1495): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): W 24-20: 1500+2→1502
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1495): Slight underdog
16 (+11)	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1502 (+2)	1-0	vs SEA (1496): Slight fav
prev: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): W 34-32: 1500+2→1502
next: vs Seattle SeahawksSEA (1496): Slight favorite
17 (+8)	New York JetsNYJ	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs BUF (1503): Slight fav
prev: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): L 32-34: 1500-2→1498
next: vs Buffalo BillsBUF (1503): Slight favorite
18 (-9)	Dallas CowboysDAL	1498 (-2)	0-1	vs NYG (1490): Slight fav
prev: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): L 20-24: 1500-2→1498
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1490): Slight favorite
19 (-16)	Baltimore RavensBAL	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs CLE (1496): Slight fav
prev: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): L 40-41: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Cleveland BrownsCLE (1496): Slight favorite
20 (-18)	Atlanta FalconsATL	1497 (-3)	0-1	at MIN (1503): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): L 20-23: 1500-3→1497
next: at Minnesota VikingsMIN (1503): Slight underdog
21 (-15)	Chicago BearsCHI	1497 (-3)	0-1	at DET (1490): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): L 24-27: 1500-3→1497
next: at Detroit LionsDET (1490): Slight underdog
22 (-9)	Houston TexansHOU	1497 (-3)	0-1	vs TB (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): L 9-14: 1500-3→1497
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1503): Slight favorite
23 (+6)	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1496 (-4)	0-1	at PIT (1502): Slight 'dog
prev: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): L 13-17: 1500-4→1496
next: at Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1502): Slight underdog
24 (-16)	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1496 (-4)	0-1	at BAL (1497): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): L 16-17: 1500-4→1496
next: at Baltimore RavensBAL (1497): Slight underdog
25 (-9)	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs PHI (1502): Slight fav
prev: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): L 21-27: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1502): Slight favorite
26 (+5)	Tennessee TitansTEN	1495 (-5)	0-1	vs LAR (1503): Slight fav
prev: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): L 12-20: 1500-5→1495
next: vs Los Angeles RamsLAR (1503): Slight favorite
27 (-5)	New England PatriotsNE	1494 (-6)	0-1	at MIA (1484): Slight 'dog
prev: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): L 13-20: 1500-6→1494
next: at Miami DolphinsMIA (1484): Slight underdog
28 (-5)	New Orleans SaintsNO	1494 (-6)	0-1	vs SF (1504): Slight fav
prev: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): L 13-20: 1500-6→1494
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1504): Slight favorite
29 (-18)	Detroit LionsDET	1490 (-10)	0-1	vs CHI (1497): Slight fav
prev: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): L 13-27: 1500-10→1490
next: vs Chicago BearsCHI (1497): Slight favorite
30 (-6)	New York GiantsNYG	1490 (-10)	0-1	at DAL (1498): Slight 'dog
prev: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): L 6-21: 1500-10→1490
next: at Dallas CowboysDAL (1498): Slight underdog
31 (-26)	Carolina PanthersCAR	1489 (-11)	0-1	at ARI (1506): Slight 'dog
prev: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): L 10-26: 1500-11→1489
next: at Arizona CardinalsARI (1506): Slight underdog
32 (-12)	Miami DolphinsMIA	1484 (-16)	0-1	vs NE (1494): Slight fav
prev: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): L 8-33: 1500-16→1484
next: vs New England PatriotsNE (1494): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Preseason Power Rankings, 2025 season:

show prev/next hide prev/next

Rank	Team	Elo Rating	Record	Next
1	Arizona CardinalsARI	1500	0-0	at NO (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New Orleans SaintsNO (1500): Slight underdog
2	Atlanta FalconsATL	1500	0-0	vs TB (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB (1500): Slight favorite
3	Baltimore RavensBAL	1500	0-0	at BUF (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Buffalo BillsBUF (1500): Slight underdog
4	Buffalo BillsBUF	1500	0-0	vs BAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Baltimore RavensBAL (1500): Slight favorite
5	Carolina PanthersCAR	1500	0-0	at JAX (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Jacksonville JaguarsJAX (1500): Slight underdog
6	Chicago BearsCHI	1500	0-0	vs MIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Minnesota VikingsMIN (1500): Slight favorite
7	Cincinnati BengalsCIN	1500	0-0	at CLE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Cleveland BrownsCLE (1500): Slight underdog
8	Cleveland BrownsCLE	1500	0-0	vs CIN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN (1500): Slight favorite
9	Dallas CowboysDAL	1500	0-0	at PHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Philadelphia EaglesPHI (1500): Slight underdog
10	Denver BroncosDEN	1500	0-0	vs TEN (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Tennessee TitansTEN (1500): Slight favorite
11	Detroit LionsDET	1500	0-0	at GB (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Green Bay PackersGB (1500): Slight underdog
12	Green Bay PackersGB	1500	0-0	vs DET (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Detroit LionsDET (1500): Slight favorite
13	Houston TexansHOU	1500	0-0	at LAR (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles RamsLAR (1500): Slight underdog
14	Indianapolis ColtsIND	1500	0-0	vs MIA (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Miami DolphinsMIA (1500): Slight favorite
15	Jacksonville JaguarsJAX	1500	0-0	vs CAR (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Carolina PanthersCAR (1500): Slight favorite
16	Kansas City ChiefsKC	1500	0-0	at LAC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Los Angeles ChargersLAC (1500): Tossup
17	Las Vegas RaidersLV	1500	0-0	at NE (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New England PatriotsNE (1500): Slight underdog
18	Los Angeles ChargersLAC	1500	0-0	at KC (1500): Tossup
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Kansas City ChiefsKC (1500): Tossup
19	Los Angeles RamsLAR	1500	0-0	vs HOU (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Houston TexansHOU (1500): Slight favorite
20	Miami DolphinsMIA	1500	0-0	at IND (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Indianapolis ColtsIND (1500): Slight underdog
21	Minnesota VikingsMIN	1500	0-0	at CHI (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Chicago BearsCHI (1500): Slight underdog
22	New England PatriotsNE	1500	0-0	vs LV (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Las Vegas RaidersLV (1500): Slight favorite
23	New Orleans SaintsNO	1500	0-0	vs ARI (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Arizona CardinalsARI (1500): Slight favorite
24	New York GiantsNYG	1500	0-0	at WAS (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Washington CommandersWAS (1500): Slight underdog
25	New York JetsNYJ	1500	0-0	vs PIT (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT (1500): Slight favorite
26	Philadelphia EaglesPHI	1500	0-0	vs DAL (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs Dallas CowboysDAL (1500): Slight favorite
27	Pittsburgh SteelersPIT	1500	0-0	at NYJ (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at New York JetsNYJ (1500): Slight underdog
28	San Francisco 49ersSF	1500	0-0	at SEA (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Seattle SeahawksSEA (1500): Slight underdog
29	Seattle SeahawksSEA	1500	0-0	vs SF (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs San Francisco 49ersSF (1500): Slight favorite
30	Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB	1500	0-0	at ATL (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Atlanta FalconsATL (1500): Slight underdog
31	Tennessee TitansTEN	1500	0-0	at DEN (1500): Slight 'dog
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: at Denver BroncosDEN (1500): Slight underdog
32	Washington CommandersWAS	1500	0-0	vs NYG (1500): Slight fav
prev: offseason parity reset: 1500+0→1500
next: vs New York GiantsNYG (1500): Slight favorite

https://philthompson.me/nfl-elo/

↑ Team Summaries for 2025 Season

↑ Arizona Cardinals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1528 (+53 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1535 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	5	at NO(1500) W 20-13: +6→1506	9	16	at DAL(1501) W 27-17: +26→1504	17	25	at CIN(1472) L 14-37: -8→1446
2	11	vs CAR(1489) W 27-22: +5→1511	10	18	at SEA(1616) L 22-44: -27→1477	18	25	at LAR(1607) L 20-37: +1→1447
3	17	at SF(1512) L 15-16: -6→1505	11	23	vs SF(1494) L 22-41: -33→1444	W	25
4	18	vs SEA(1556) L 20-23: -3→1502	12	23	vs JAX(1514) L 24-27: -1→1443	D	25
5	22	vs TEN(1409) L 21-22: -19→1483	13	23	at TB(1496) L 17-20: +4→1447	C	25
6	22	at IND(1583) L 27-31: +3→1486	14	25	vs LAR(1638) L 17-45: -5→1442	S	25
7	22	vs GB(1518) L 23-27: -8→1478	15	22	at HOU(1593) L 20-40: +15→1457
8	18	(bye)	16	23	vs ATL(1482) L 19-26: -3→1454

↑ Atlanta Falcons

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1504 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	20	vs TB(1500) L 20-23: -3→1497	9	25	at NE(1606) L 23-24: +11→1438	17	18	vs LAR(1618) W 27-24: +11→1496
2	8	at MIN(1503) W 22-6: +23→1520	10	24	at IND(1601) L 25-31: +9→1447	18	18	vs NO(1455) W 19-17: -2→1494
3	23	at CAR(1485) L 0-30: -42→1478	11	25	vs CAR(1427) L 27-30: -11→1436	W	18
4	21	vs WAS(1522) W 34-27: +14→1492	12	21	at NO(1401) W 24-10: +21→1457	D	18
5	20	(bye)	13	22	at NYJ(1437) L 24-27: -4→1453	C	18
6	15	vs BUF(1542) W 24-14: +22→1514	14	23	vs SEA(1637) L 9-37: -6→1447	S	18
7	19	at SF(1496) L 10-20: -22→1492	15	20	at TB(1468) W 29-28: +35→1482
8	28	vs MIA(1412) L 10-34: -65→1427	16	18	at ARI(1457) W 26-19: +3→1485

↑ Baltimore Ravens

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+0 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	19	at BUF(1500) L 40-41: -3→1497	9	17	at MIA(1477) W 28-6: +50→1502	17	15	at GB(1557) W 41-24: +16→1512
2	3	vs CLE(1496) W 41-17: +30→1527	10	14	at MIN(1465) W 27-19: +14→1516	18	15	at PIT(1501) L 24-26: -0→1512
3	13	vs DET(1527) L 30-38: -15→1512	11	13	at CLE(1434) W 23-16: +7→1523	W	15
4	22	at KC(1512) L 20-37: -26→1486	12	12	vs NYJ(1447) W 23-10: +11→1534	D	15
5	29	vs HOU(1518) L 10-44: -55→1431	13	17	vs CIN(1386) L 14-32: -42→1492	C	15
6	30	vs LAR(1515) L 3-17: -22→1409	14	19	vs PIT(1489) L 22-27: -11→1481	S	15
7	30	(bye)	15	18	at CIN(1446) W 24-0: +6→1487
8	21	vs CHI(1529) W 30-16: +43→1452	16	17	vs NE(1565) L 24-28: +9→1496

↑ Buffalo Bills

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-59 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1498 \| avg. lost to rating: 1504 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	14	vs BAL(1500) W 41-40: +3→1503	9	4	vs KC(1639) W 28-21: +19→1604	17	3	vs PHI(1509) L 12-13: -10→1574
2	1	at NYJ(1498) W 30-10: +27→1530	10	9	at MIA(1427) L 13-30: -48→1556	18	3	vs NYJ(1413) W 35-8: +1→1575
3	4	vs MIA(1474) W 31-21: +10→1540	11	7	vs TB(1537) W 44-32: +17→1573	W	3	at JAX(1567) W 27-24: +1→1576
4	3	vs NO(1447) W 31-19: +11→1551	12	7	at HOU(1556) L 19-23: -6→1567	D	3	at DEN(1536) L 30-33: +0→1576
5	7	vs NE(1535) L 20-23: -9→1542	13	5	at PIT(1509) W 26-7: +20→1587	C	3
6	13	at ATL(1492) L 14-24: -22→1520	14	6	vs CIN(1427) W 39-34: -18→1569	S	3
7	12	(bye)	15	3	at NE(1601) W 35-31: +36→1605
8	5	at CAR(1503) W 40-9: +65→1585	16	3	at CLE(1424) W 23-20: -21→1584

↑ Carolina Panthers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1494 (+30 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1486 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	31	at JAX(1500) L 10-26: -11→1489	9	22	at GB(1551) W 16-13: +21→1459	17	27	vs SEA(1611) L 10-27: +4→1431
2	25	at ARI(1506) L 22-27: -4→1485	10	27	vs NO(1370) L 7-17: -32→1427	18	27	at TB(1437) L 14-16: +1→1432
3	6	vs ATL(1520) W 30-0: +42→1527	11	24	at ATL(1447) W 30-27: +12→1439	W	27	vs LAR(1606) L 31-34: +1→1433
4	23	at NE(1489) L 13-42: -46→1481	12	27	at SF(1526) L 9-20: -6→1433	D	27
5	21	vs MIA(1473) W 27-24: +3→1484	13	21	vs LAR(1664) W 31-28: +26→1459	C	27
6	20	vs DAL(1504) W 30-27: +6→1490	14	21	(bye)	S	27
7	16	at NYJ(1441) W 13-6: +13→1503	15	26	at NO(1411) L 17-20: -32→1427
8	27	vs BUF(1520) L 9-40: -65→1438	16	28	vs TB(1434) W 23-20: +0→1427

↑ Chicago Bears

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (-10 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	21	vs MIN(1500) L 24-27: -3→1497	9	18	at CIN(1406) W 47-42: +5→1491	17	13	at SF(1558) L 38-42: +3→1524
2	32	at DET(1490) L 21-52: -37→1460	10	16	vs NYG(1428) W 24-20: -1→1490	18	13	vs DET(1547) L 16-19: -1→1523
3	21	vs DAL(1501) W 31-14: +27→1487	11	19	at MIN(1451) W 19-17: +2→1492	W	13	vs GB(1542) W 31-27: +0→1523
4	20	at LV(1467) W 25-24: +8→1495	12	17	vs PIT(1514) W 31-28: +4→1496	D	13	vs LAR(1605) L 17-20: -0→1523
5	19	(bye)	13	15	at PHI(1552) W 24-15: +21→1517	C	13
6	17	at WAS(1542) W 25-24: +15→1510	14	14	at GB(1559) L 21-28: +2→1519	S	13
7	10	vs NO(1454) W 26-14: +19→1529	15	15	vs CLE(1414) W 31-3: -9→1510
8	16	at BAL(1409) L 16-30: -43→1486	16	13	vs GB(1568) W 22-16: +11→1521

↑ Cincinnati Bengals

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1507 (+68 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1504 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	9	at CLE(1500) W 17-16: +4→1504	9	29	vs CHI(1486) L 42-47: -5→1401	17	20	vs ARI(1454) W 37-14: +8→1480
2	13	vs JAX(1511) W 31-27: +5→1509	10	29	(bye)	18	20	vs CLE(1451) L 18-20: -3→1477
3	30	at MIN(1480) L 10-48: -51→1458	11	31	at PIT(1486) L 12-34: -27→1374	W	20
4	31	at DEN(1499) L 3-28: -34→1424	12	29	vs NE(1610) L 20-26: +12→1386	D	20
5	32	vs DET(1573) L 24-37: -13→1411	13	27	at BAL(1534) W 32-14: +41→1427	C	20
6	32	at GB(1512) L 18-27: -6→1405	14	24	at BUF(1587) L 34-39: +19→1446	S	20
7	28	vs PIT(1523) W 33-31: +14→1419	15	24	vs BAL(1481) L 0-24: -6→1440
8	29	vs NYJ(1428) L 38-39: -13→1406	16	20	at MIA(1504) W 45-21: +32→1472

↑ Cleveland Browns

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (+49 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1470 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	24	vs CIN(1500) L 16-17: -4→1496	9	23	(bye)	17	24	vs PIT(1508) W 13-6: +7→1451
2	31	at BAL(1497) L 17-41: -30→1466	10	25	at NYJ(1441) L 20-27: -13→1434	18	24	at CIN(1480) W 20-18: +3→1454
3	25	vs GB(1521) W 13-10: +8→1474	11	26	vs BAL(1516) L 16-23: -7→1427	W	24
4	29	at DET(1542) L 10-34: -32→1442	12	22	at LV(1377) W 24-10: +19→1446	D	24
5	27	at MIN(1522) L 17-21: -0→1442	13	26	vs SF(1532) L 8-26: -16→1430	C	24
6	29	at PIT(1503) L 9-23: -19→1423	14	28	vs TEN(1367) L 29-31: -16→1414	S	24
7	23	vs MIA(1465) W 31-6: +53→1476	15	28	at CHI(1519) L 3-31: +10→1424
8	24	at NE(1577) L 13-32: -29→1447	16	25	vs BUF(1605) L 20-23: +20→1444

↑ Dallas Cowboys

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1495 (-1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1491 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	18	at PHI(1500) L 20-24: -2→1498	9	19	vs ARI(1478) L 17-27: -26→1475	17	21	at WAS(1424) W 30-23: +2→1473
2	17	vs NYG(1490) W 40-37: +3→1501	10	19	(bye)	18	21	at NYG(1417) L 17-34: -7→1466
3	24	at CHI(1460) L 14-31: -27→1474	11	17	at LV(1400) W 33-16: +24→1499	W	21
4	24	vs GB(1513) T 40-40: +1→1475	12	16	vs PHI(1560) W 24-21: +8→1507	D	21
5	17	at NYJ(1463) W 37-22: +29→1504	13	14	vs KC(1615) W 31-28: +14→1521	C	21
6	18	at CAR(1484) L 27-30: -6→1498	14	15	at DET(1548) L 30-44: -8→1513	S	21
7	8	vs WAS(1527) W 44-22: +47→1545	15	21	vs MIN(1449) L 26-34: -40→1473
8	14	at DEN(1540) L 24-44: -44→1501	16	22	vs LAC(1542) L 17-34: -2→1471

↑ Denver Broncos

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1498 (-44 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	7	vs TEN(1500) W 20-12: +5→1505	9	7	at HOU(1575) W 18-15: +8→1592	17	12	at KC(1513) W 20-13: +5→1532
2	18	at IND(1516) L 28-29: -4→1501	10	7	vs LV(1383) W 10-7: -17→1575	18	12	vs LAC(1541) W 19-3: +4→1536
3	18	at LAC(1521) L 20-23: -2→1499	11	6	vs KC(1620) W 22-19: +8→1583	W	12	(bye)
4	7	vs CIN(1458) W 28-3: +35→1534	12	6	(bye)	D	12	vs BUF(1576) W 33-30: -1→1535
5	6	at PHI(1529) W 21-17: +9→1543	13	8	at WAS(1387) W 27-26: -13→1570	C	11	vs NE(1565) L 7-10: +1→1536
6	7	at NYJ(1434) W 13-11: -6→1537	14	11	at LV(1354) W 24-17: -18→1552	S	11
7	9	vs NYG(1488) W 33-32: +3→1540	15	12	vs GB(1557) W 34-26: -10→1542
8	7	vs DAL(1545) W 44-24: +44→1584	16	12	vs JAX(1545) L 20-34: -15→1527

↑ Detroit Lions

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1500 (-55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1521 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	29	at GB(1500) L 13-27: -10→1490	9	9	vs MIN(1441) L 24-27: -24→1560	17	9	at MIN(1476) L 10-23: -12→1547
2	2	vs CHI(1497) W 52-21: +37→1527	10	6	at WAS(1414) W 44-22: +28→1588	18	9	at CHI(1524) W 19-16: +0→1547
3	3	at BAL(1527) W 38-30: +15→1542	11	8	at PHI(1545) L 9-16: -15→1573	W	9
4	1	vs CLE(1474) W 34-10: +31→1573	12	8	vs NYG(1423) W 34-27: -11→1562	D	9
5	1	at CIN(1424) W 37-24: +13→1586	13	11	vs GB(1545) L 24-31: -14→1548	C	9
6	5	at KC(1534) L 17-30: -30→1556	14	8	vs DAL(1521) W 44-30: +8→1556	S	9
7	4	vs TB(1533) W 24-9: +28→1584	15	5	at LAR(1643) L 34-41: +26→1582
8	6	(bye)	16	5	vs PIT(1485) L 24-29: -23→1559

↑ Green Bay Packers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1490 (-43 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1486 \| avg. lost to rating: 1499 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	4	vs DET(1500) W 27-13: +10→1510	9	12	vs CAR(1438) L 13-16: -21→1530	17	10	vs BAL(1496) L 24-41: -16→1541
2	6	vs WAS(1510) W 27-18: +11→1521	10	13	vs PHI(1540) L 7-10: -6→1524	18	10	at MIN(1488) L 3-16: +1→1542
3	12	at CLE(1466) L 10-13: -8→1513	11	11	at NYG(1429) W 27-20: +6→1530	W	10	at CHI(1523) L 27-31: -0→1542
4	14	at DAL(1474) T 40-40: -1→1512	12	11	vs MIN(1450) W 23-6: +15→1545	D	10
5	15	(bye)	13	9	at DET(1562) W 31-24: +14→1559	C	10
6	14	vs CIN(1411) W 27-18: +6→1518	14	7	vs CHI(1517) W 28-21: -2→1557	S	10
7	11	at ARI(1486) W 27-23: +8→1526	15	7	at DEN(1552) L 26-34: +11→1568
8	10	at PIT(1509) W 35-25: +25→1551	16	7	at CHI(1510) L 16-22: -11→1557

↑ Houston Texans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-41 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1496 \| avg. lost to rating: 1531 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	22	at LAR(1500) L 9-14: -3→1497	9	8	vs DEN(1584) L 15-18: -8→1567	17	6	at LAC(1544) W 20-16: +3→1558
2	21	vs TB(1503) L 19-20: -7→1490	10	8	vs JAX(1462) W 36-29: +1→1568	18	6	vs IND(1552) W 38-30: +1→1559
3	22	at JAX(1506) L 10-17: -9→1481	11	10	at TEN(1356) W 16-13: -12→1556	W	6	at PIT(1501) W 30-6: +2→1561
4	12	vs TEN(1445) W 26-0: +37→1518	12	9	vs BUF(1573) W 23-19: +6→1562	D	6	at NE(1566) L 16-28: +1→1562
5	3	at BAL(1486) W 44-10: +55→1573	13	7	at IND(1589) W 20-16: +10→1572	C	6
6	2	(bye)	14	4	at KC(1602) W 20-10: +21→1593	S	6
7	7	at SEA(1563) L 19-27: -18→1555	15	6	vs ARI(1442) W 40-20: -15→1578
8	9	vs SF(1518) W 26-15: +20→1575	16	10	vs LV(1379) W 23-21: -23→1555

↑ Indianapolis Colts

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1513 (-54 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1466 \| avg. lost to rating: 1554 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	1	vs MIA(1500) W 33-8: +16→1516	9	5	at PIT(1483) L 20-27: -29→1601	17	8	vs JAX(1559) L 17-23: -5→1552
2	7	vs DEN(1505) W 29-28: +5→1521	10	5	at ATL(1438) W 31-25: -9→1592	18	8	at HOU(1558) L 30-38: -2→1550
3	2	at TEN(1475) W 41-20: +29→1550	11	5	(bye)	W	8
4	5	at LAR(1512) L 20-27: -14→1536	12	5	at KC(1612) L 20-23: -3→1589	D	8
5	2	vs LV(1459) W 40-6: +47→1583	13	6	vs HOU(1562) L 16-20: -10→1579	C	8
6	1	vs ARI(1483) W 31-27: -3→1580	14	9	at JAX(1531) L 19-36: -23→1556	S	8
7	2	at LAC(1486) W 38-24: +23→1603	15	4	at SEA(1643) L 16-18: +31→1587
8	2	vs TEN(1382) W 38-14: +27→1630	16	8	vs SF(1528) L 27-48: -30→1557

↑ Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1499 (-16 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1538 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	2	vs CAR(1500) W 26-10: +11→1511	9	21	at LV(1386) W 30-29: +3→1462	17	4	at IND(1557) W 23-17: +5→1564
2	15	at CIN(1504) L 27-31: -5→1506	10	21	at HOU(1567) L 29-36: -1→1461	18	4	vs TEN(1430) W 41-7: +3→1567
3	11	vs HOU(1490) W 17-10: +8→1514	11	15	vs LAC(1549) W 35-6: +53→1514	W	4	vs BUF(1575) L 24-27: -0→1567
4	10	at SF(1517) W 26-21: +11→1525	12	14	at ARI(1444) W 27-24: +1→1515	D	4
5	10	vs KC(1538) W 31-28: +5→1530	13	12	at TEN(1383) W 25-3: +16→1531	C	4
6	16	vs SEA(1545) L 12-20: -17→1513	14	10	vs IND(1579) W 36-19: +23→1554	S	5
7	25	at LAR(1537) L 7-35: -54→1459	15	10	vs NYJ(1415) W 48-20: -9→1545
8	20	(bye)	16	4	at DEN(1542) W 34-20: +14→1559

↑ Kansas City Chiefs

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1511 (-47 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1515 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	25	at LAC(1500) L 21-27: -5→1495	9	1	at BUF(1585) L 21-28: -19→1620	17	16	vs DEN(1527) L 13-20: -4→1509
2	20	vs PHI(1502) L 17-20: -4→1491	10	3	(bye)	18	16	at LV(1389) L 12-14: -4→1505
3	15	at NYG(1486) W 22-9: +21→1512	11	3	at DEN(1575) L 19-22: -8→1612	W	16
4	4	vs BAL(1512) W 37-20: +26→1538	12	3	vs IND(1592) W 23-20: +3→1615	D	16
5	9	at JAX(1525) L 28-31: -4→1534	13	3	at DAL(1507) L 28-31: -13→1602	C	16
6	3	vs DET(1586) W 30-17: +29→1563	14	5	vs HOU(1572) L 10-20: -21→1581	S	16
7	1	vs LV(1432) W 31-0: +46→1609	15	9	vs LAC(1506) L 13-16: -35→1546
8	1	vs WAS(1480) W 28-7: +30→1639	16	14	at TEN(1403) L 9-26: -33→1513

↑ Las Vegas Raiders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (+87 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1508 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	6	at NE(1500) W 20-13: +6→1506	9	30	vs JAX(1459) L 29-30: -3→1383	17	32	vs NYG(1403) L 10-34: -13→1389
2	22	vs LAC(1505) L 9-20: -16→1490	10	30	at DEN(1592) L 7-10: +17→1400	18	32	vs KC(1509) W 14-12: +4→1393
3	27	at WAS(1499) L 24-41: -23→1467	11	30	vs DAL(1475) L 16-33: -23→1377	W	32
4	28	vs CHI(1487) L 24-25: -8→1459	12	32	vs CLE(1427) L 10-24: -19→1358	D	32
5	31	at IND(1536) L 6-40: -47→1412	13	32	at LAC(1496) L 14-31: -4→1354	C	32
6	28	vs TEN(1428) W 20-10: +20→1432	14	32	vs DEN(1570) L 17-24: +18→1372	S	32
7	31	at KC(1563) L 0-31: -46→1386	15	32	at PHI(1524) L 0-31: +7→1379
8	31	(bye)	16	32	at HOU(1578) L 21-23: +23→1402

↑ Los Angeles Chargers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1493 (-19 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1481 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	8	at KC(1500) W 27-21: +5→1505	9	13	at TEN(1355) W 27-20: -1→1523	17	11	vs HOU(1555) L 16-20: -3→1541
2	5	at LV(1506) W 20-9: +16→1521	10	10	vs PIT(1512) W 25-10: +26→1549	18	11	at DEN(1532) L 3-19: -4→1537
3	7	vs DEN(1501) W 23-20: +2→1523	11	18	at JAX(1461) L 6-35: -53→1496	W	11	at NE(1565) L 3-16: -1→1536
4	13	at NYG(1465) L 18-21: -8→1515	12	18	(bye)	D	11
5	23	vs WAS(1508) L 10-27: -34→1481	13	16	vs LV(1358) W 31-14: +4→1500	C	12
6	23	at MIA(1470) W 29-27: +5→1486	14	16	vs PHI(1530) W 22-19: +6→1506	S	12
7	24	vs IND(1580) L 24-38: -23→1463	15	11	at KC(1581) W 16-13: +36→1542
8	13	vs MIN(1502) W 37-10: +61→1524	16	11	at DAL(1473) W 34-17: +2→1544

↑ Los Angeles Rams

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1503 (-78 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1501 \| avg. lost to rating: 1509 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	11	vs HOU(1500) W 14-9: +3→1503	9	3	vs NO(1394) W 34-10: +24→1615	17	2	at ATL(1485) L 24-27: -11→1607
2	4	at TEN(1495) W 33-19: +20→1523	10	2	at SF(1517) W 42-26: +23→1638	18	2	vs ARI(1446) W 37-20: -1→1606
3	14	at PHI(1507) L 26-33: -11→1512	11	2	vs SEA(1643) W 21-19: +2→1640	W	2	at CAR(1432) W 34-31: -1→1605
4	9	vs IND(1550) W 27-20: +14→1526	12	1	vs TB(1520) W 34-7: +24→1664	D	2	at CHI(1523) W 20-17: +0→1605
5	14	vs SF(1506) L 23-26: -11→1515	13	1	at CAR(1433) L 28-31: -26→1638	C	1	at SEA(1606) L 27-31: +1→1606
6	8	at BAL(1431) W 17-3: +22→1537	14	1	at ARI(1447) W 45-17: +5→1643	S	1
7	3	at JAX(1513) W 35-7: +54→1591	15	1	vs DET(1556) W 41-34: -26→1617
8	4	(bye)	16	1	at SEA(1612) L 37-38: +1→1618

↑ Miami Dolphins

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1475 (+5 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1458 \| avg. lost to rating: 1486 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	32	at IND(1500) L 8-33: -16→1484	9	27	vs BAL(1452) L 6-28: -50→1427	17	22	vs TB(1434) W 20-17: -4→1468
2	29	vs NE(1494) L 27-33: -10→1474	10	20	vs BUF(1604) W 30-13: +47→1474	18	22	at NE(1561) L 10-38: -3→1465
3	29	at BUF(1530) L 21-31: -10→1464	11	20	at WAS(1386) W 16-13: -1→1473	W	22
4	25	vs NYJ(1472) W 27-21: +9→1473	12	20	(bye)	D	22
5	24	at CAR(1481) L 24-27: -3→1470	13	20	vs NO(1380) W 21-17: -9→1464	C	22
6	25	vs LAC(1481) L 27-29: -5→1465	14	18	at NYJ(1441) W 34-10: +25→1489	S	22
7	29	at CLE(1423) L 6-31: -53→1412	15	16	at PIT(1500) L 15-28: +15→1504
8	19	at ATL(1492) W 34-10: +65→1477	16	21	vs CIN(1440) L 21-45: -32→1472

↑ Minnesota Vikings

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1501 (+23 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1493 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	12	at CHI(1500) W 27-24: +3→1503	9	20	at DET(1584) W 27-24: +24→1465	17	19	vs DET(1559) W 23-10: +12→1488
2	27	vs ATL(1497) L 6-22: -23→1480	10	23	vs BAL(1502) L 19-27: -14→1451	18	19	vs GB(1541) W 16-3: -1→1487
3	5	vs CIN(1509) W 48-10: +50→1530	11	21	vs CHI(1490) L 17-19: -1→1450	W	19
4	11	at PIT(1495) L 21-24: -8→1522	12	26	at GB(1530) L 6-23: -16→1434	D	19
5	11	at CLE(1442) W 21-17: +1→1523	13	28	at SEA(1627) L 0-26: -9→1425	C	19
6	11	(bye)	14	22	vs WAS(1401) W 31-0: +24→1449	S	19
7	18	vs PHI(1481) L 22-28: -21→1502	15	17	at DAL(1513) W 34-26: +40→1489
8	26	at LAC(1463) L 10-37: -61→1441	16	19	at NYG(1390) W 16-13: -13→1476

↑ New England Patriots

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1474 (-84 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1465 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	27	vs LV(1500) L 13-20: -6→1494	9	6	vs ATL(1427) W 24-23: -11→1595	17	5	at NYJ(1418) W 42-10: +5→1561
2	16	at MIA(1484) W 33-27: +9→1503	10	4	at TB(1545) W 28-23: +9→1604	18	5	vs MIA(1468) W 38-10: +4→1565
3	20	vs PIT(1481) L 14-21: -14→1489	11	4	vs NYJ(1454) W 27-14: +6→1610	W	5	vs LAC(1537) W 16-3: +1→1566
4	6	vs CAR(1527) W 42-13: +46→1535	12	4	at CIN(1374) W 26-20: -12→1598	D	5	vs HOU(1561) W 28-16: -1→1565
5	5	at BUF(1551) W 23-20: +9→1544	13	4	vs NYG(1434) W 33-15: +3→1601	C	5	at DEN(1535) W 10-7: -1→1564
6	6	at NO(1460) W 25-19: +7→1551	14	3	(bye)	S	4	at SEA(1605) L 13-29: +7→1571
7	6	at TEN(1408) W 31-13: +26→1577	15	8	vs BUF(1569) L 31-35: -36→1565
8	3	vs CLE(1476) W 32-13: +29→1606	16	9	at BAL(1487) W 28-24: -9→1556

↑ New Orleans Saints

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1492 (+56 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1457 \| avg. lost to rating: 1510 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	28	vs ARI(1500) L 13-20: -6→1494	9	31	at LAR(1591) L 10-34: -24→1370	17	23	at TEN(1435) W 34-26: +5→1455
2	24	vs SF(1504) L 21-26: -8→1486	10	28	at CAR(1459) W 17-7: +31→1401	18	23	at ATL(1496) L 17-19: +1→1456
3	31	at SEA(1517) L 13-44: -39→1447	11	28	(bye)	W	23
4	30	at BUF(1540) L 19-31: -11→1436	12	31	vs ATL(1436) L 10-24: -21→1380	D	23
5	25	vs NYG(1473) W 26-14: +24→1460	13	30	at MIA(1473) L 17-21: +8→1388	C	23
6	26	vs NE(1544) L 19-25: -6→1454	14	29	at TB(1491) W 24-20: +23→1411	S	23
7	26	at CHI(1510) L 14-26: -19→1435	15	23	vs CAR(1459) W 20-17: +32→1443
8	30	vs TB(1505) L 3-23: -41→1394	16	24	vs NYJ(1424) W 29-6: +7→1450

↑ New York Giants

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (+47 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1479 \| avg. lost to rating: 1501 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	30	at WAS(1500) L 6-21: -10→1490	9	26	vs SF(1498) L 24-34: -19→1428	17	30	at LV(1402) W 34-10: +14→1417
2	23	at DAL(1498) L 37-40: -4→1486	10	26	at CHI(1491) L 20-24: +1→1429	18	30	vs DAL(1473) W 34-17: +6→1423
3	28	vs KC(1491) L 9-22: -21→1465	11	27	vs GB(1524) L 20-27: -6→1423	W	30
4	26	vs LAC(1523) W 21-18: +8→1473	12	25	at DET(1573) L 27-34: +11→1434	D	30
5	26	at NO(1436) L 14-26: -24→1449	13	25	at NE(1598) L 15-33: -3→1431	C	30
6	21	vs PHI(1520) W 34-17: +39→1488	14	26	(bye)	S	30
7	20	at DEN(1537) L 32-33: -4→1484	15	31	vs WAS(1377) L 21-29: -41→1390
8	23	at PHI(1502) L 20-38: -37→1447	16	31	vs MIN(1489) L 13-16: +13→1403

↑ New York Jets

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+55 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1441 \| avg. lost to rating: 1515 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	17	vs PIT(1500) L 32-34: -2→1498	9	24	(bye)	17	31	vs NE(1556) L 10-42: -5→1413
2	30	vs BUF(1503) L 10-30: -28→1470	10	22	vs CLE(1447) W 27-20: +13→1454	18	31	at BUF(1574) L 8-35: -2→1411
3	26	at TB(1510) L 27-29: +2→1472	11	22	at NE(1604) L 14-27: -7→1447	W	31
4	27	at MIA(1464) L 21-27: -9→1463	12	24	at BAL(1523) L 10-23: -10→1437	D	31
5	28	vs DAL(1475) L 22-37: -29→1434	13	24	vs ATL(1457) W 27-24: +4→1441	C	31
6	27	at DEN(1543) L 11-13: +7→1441	14	27	vs MIA(1464) L 10-34: -26→1415	S	31
7	27	vs CAR(1490) L 6-13: -13→1428	15	27	at JAX(1554) L 20-48: +9→1424
8	25	at CIN(1419) W 39-38: +13→1441	16	30	at NO(1443) L 6-29: -6→1418

↑ Philadelphia Eagles

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1496 (-25 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1502 \| avg. lost to rating: 1483 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	15	vs DAL(1500) W 24-20: +2→1502	9	11	(bye)	17	14	at BUF(1584) W 13-12: +11→1520
2	14	at KC(1495) W 20-17: +5→1507	10	11	at GB(1530) W 10-7: +5→1545	18	14	vs WAS(1422) L 17-24: -6→1514
3	9	vs LAR(1523) W 33-26: +11→1518	11	9	vs DET(1588) W 16-9: +15→1560	W	14	vs SF(1553) L 19-23: -1→1513
4	8	at TB(1509) W 31-25: +11→1529	12	10	at DAL(1499) L 21-24: -8→1552	D	14
5	12	vs DEN(1534) L 17-21: -9→1520	13	13	vs CHI(1496) L 15-24: -22→1530	C	14
6	24	at NYG(1449) L 17-34: -39→1481	14	13	at LAC(1500) L 19-22: -6→1524	S	14
7	17	at MIN(1523) W 28-22: +21→1502	15	14	vs LV(1372) W 31-0: -7→1517
8	12	vs NYG(1484) W 38-20: +38→1540	16	15	at WAS(1417) W 29-18: -8→1509

↑ Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1502 (+2 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1508 \| avg. lost to rating: 1493 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	16	at NYJ(1500) W 34-32: +2→1502	9	15	vs IND(1630) W 27-20: +29→1512	17	17	at CLE(1444) L 6-13: -7→1501
2	26	vs SEA(1496) L 17-31: -21→1481	10	17	at LAC(1523) L 10-25: -26→1486	18	17	vs BAL(1512) W 26-24: +0→1501
3	19	at NE(1503) W 21-14: +14→1495	11	16	vs CIN(1401) W 34-12: +28→1514	W	17	vs HOU(1559) L 6-30: -2→1499
4	17	at MIN(1530) W 24-21: +8→1503	12	15	at CHI(1492) L 28-31: -5→1509	D	17
5	18	(bye)	13	19	vs BUF(1567) L 7-26: -20→1489	C	17
6	12	vs CLE(1442) W 23-9: +20→1523	14	17	at BAL(1492) W 27-22: +11→1500	S	17
7	14	at CIN(1405) L 31-33: -14→1509	15	19	vs MIA(1489) W 28-15: -15→1485
8	17	vs GB(1526) L 25-35: -26→1483	16	16	at DET(1582) W 29-24: +23→1508

↑ San Francisco 49ers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (-11 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1487 \| avg. lost to rating: 1560 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	10	at SEA(1500) W 17-13: +4→1504	9	14	at NYG(1447) W 34-24: +19→1517	17	7	vs CHI(1521) W 42-38: -3→1555
2	10	at NO(1494) W 26-21: +8→1512	10	15	vs LAR(1615) L 26-42: -23→1494	18	7	vs SEA(1607) L 3-13: -2→1553
3	10	vs ARI(1511) W 16-15: +5→1517	11	12	at ARI(1477) W 41-22: +32→1526	W	7	at PHI(1514) W 23-19: +0→1553
4	16	vs JAX(1514) L 21-26: -11→1506	12	13	vs CAR(1439) W 20-9: +6→1532	D	7	at SEA(1609) L 6-41: +3→1556
5	13	at LAR(1526) W 26-23: +12→1518	13	10	at CLE(1446) W 26-8: +17→1549	C	7
6	19	at TB(1511) L 19-30: -22→1496	14	12	(bye)	S	7
7	13	vs ATL(1514) W 20-10: +22→1518	15	13	vs TEN(1382) W 37-24: -21→1528
8	15	at HOU(1555) L 15-26: -20→1498	16	6	at IND(1587) W 48-27: +30→1558

↑ Seattle Seahawks

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1506 (-80 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1497 \| avg. lost to rating: 1545 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	23	vs SF(1500) L 13-17: -4→1496	9	2	at WAS(1449) W 38-14: +35→1616	17	1	at CAR(1427) W 27-10: -4→1607
2	9	at PIT(1502) W 31-17: +21→1517	10	1	vs ARI(1504) W 44-22: +27→1643	18	1	at SF(1555) W 13-3: +2→1609
3	1	vs NO(1486) W 44-13: +39→1556	11	1	at LAR(1638) L 19-21: -1→1642	W	1	(bye)
4	2	at ARI(1505) W 23-20: +3→1559	12	2	at TEN(1368) W 30-24: -15→1627	D	1	vs SF(1553) W 41-6: -3→1606
5	4	vs TB(1497) L 35-38: -14→1545	13	2	vs MIN(1434) W 26-0: +10→1637	C	2	vs LAR(1605) W 31-27: -1→1605
6	4	at JAX(1530) W 20-12: +18→1563	14	2	at ATL(1453) W 37-9: +6→1643	S	2	at NE(1564) W 29-13: -7→1598
7	5	vs HOU(1573) W 27-19: +18→1581	15	2	vs IND(1556) W 18-16: -31→1612
8	8	(bye)	16	2	vs LAR(1617) W 38-37: -1→1611

↑ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1497 (+1 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1482 \| avg. lost to rating: 1511 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	13	at ATL(1500) W 23-20: +3→1503	9	10	(bye)	17	26	at MIA(1472) L 17-20: +3→1437
2	12	at HOU(1497) W 20-19: +7→1510	10	12	vs NE(1595) L 23-28: -8→1537	18	26	vs CAR(1431) W 16-14: -0→1437
3	16	vs NYJ(1470) W 29-27: -1→1509	11	14	at BUF(1556) L 32-44: -17→1520	W	26
4	19	vs PHI(1518) L 25-31: -12→1497	12	19	at LAR(1640) L 7-34: -24→1496	D	26
5	16	at SEA(1559) W 38-35: +14→1511	13	18	vs ARI(1443) W 20-17: -5→1491	C	26
6	9	vs SF(1518) W 30-19: +22→1533	14	20	vs NO(1388) L 20-24: -23→1468	S	26
7	15	at DET(1556) L 9-24: -28→1505	15	25	vs ATL(1447) L 28-29: -34→1434
8	11	at NO(1435) W 23-3: +40→1545	16	27	at CAR(1427) L 20-23: -0→1434

↑ Tennessee Titans

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1521 (+108 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1492 \| avg. lost to rating: 1527 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	26	at DEN(1500) L 12-20: -5→1495	9	32	vs LAC(1524) L 20-27: +1→1356	17	28	vs NO(1450) L 26-34: -5→1430
2	28	vs LAR(1503) L 19-33: -20→1475	10	32	(bye)	18	29	at JAX(1564) L 7-41: -3→1427
3	32	vs IND(1521) L 20-41: -30→1445	11	32	vs HOU(1568) L 13-16: +12→1368	W	29
4	32	at HOU(1481) L 0-26: -36→1409	12	30	vs SEA(1642) L 24-30: +15→1383	D	29
5	30	at ARI(1502) W 22-21: +19→1428	13	31	vs JAX(1515) L 3-25: -16→1367	C	29
6	31	at LV(1412) L 10-20: -20→1408	14	30	at CLE(1430) W 31-29: +15→1382	S	29
7	32	vs NE(1551) L 13-31: -26→1382	15	30	at SF(1549) L 24-37: +21→1403
8	32	at IND(1603) L 14-38: -27→1355	16	26	vs KC(1546) W 26-9: +32→1435

↑ Washington Commanders

Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome	Wk	Rk	Outcome
reg. season: avg. opp. rating: 1509 (+52 net) \| avg. beat rating: 1491 \| avg. lost to rating: 1517 \| avg. remaining rating: -
1	3	vs NYG(1500) W 21-6: +10→1510	9	28	vs SEA(1581) L 14-38: -35→1414	17	29	vs DAL(1471) L 23-30: -2→1422
2	19	at GB(1510) L 18-27: -11→1499	10	31	vs DET(1560) L 22-44: -28→1386	18	28	at PHI(1520) W 24-17: +7→1429
3	8	vs LV(1490) W 41-24: +23→1522	11	29	at MIA(1474) L 13-16: +1→1387	W	28
4	15	at ATL(1478) L 27-34: -14→1508	12	28	(bye)	D	28
5	8	at LAC(1515) W 27-10: +34→1542	13	29	vs DEN(1583) L 26-27: +14→1401	C	28
6	10	vs CHI(1495) L 24-25: -15→1527	14	31	at MIN(1425) L 0-31: -24→1377	S	28
7	21	at DAL(1498) L 22-44: -47→1480	15	29	at NYG(1431) W 29-21: +40→1417
8	22	at KC(1609) L 7-28: -31→1449	16	29	vs PHI(1517) L 18-29: +7→1424

↑ 2025 Season Stats and Tidbits

Longest Elo Hot Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating increase
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) New Orleans Saints: +77 total Elo rating
2. 4 games (weeks 15-18) Cleveland Browns: +40 total Elo rating
3. 4 games (weeks 17-20) Houston Texans: +7 total Elo rating
4. 4 games (weeks 16-19) Carolina Panthers: +6 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Giants: +33 total Elo rating
Longest Elo Cold Streaks: Consecutive games with an Elo rating decrease
1. 6 games (weeks 13-18) Kansas City Chiefs: -111 total Elo rating
2. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Miami Dolphins: -40 total Elo rating
3. 3 games (weeks 16-18) Indianapolis Colts: -36 total Elo rating
4. 3 games (weeks 16-18) New York Jets: -13 total Elo rating
5. 3 games (weeks 20-22) Seattle Seahawks: -11 total Elo rating
Biggest Elo Upsets: Highest Elo rating disparity between teams
1. Week 13, 231-Elo upset: Los Angeles Rams (1664) 17-point favorites at Carolina Panthers (1433): Panthers win 31-28
2. Week 10, 177-Elo upset: Buffalo Bills (1604) 7-point favorites at Miami Dolphins (1427): Dolphins win 30-13
3. Week 13, 148-Elo upset: Baltimore Ravens (1534) 14-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1386): Bengals win 32-14
4. Week 9, 147-Elo upset: Indianapolis Colts (1630) 6-point favorites at Pittsburgh Steelers (1483): Steelers win 27-20
5. Week 9, 143-Elo upset: Detroit Lions (1584) 8-point favorites vs Minnesota Vikings (1441): Vikings win 27-24
Biggest Elo Score Upsets: Highest disparity between expected and actual game outcome
1. Week 16, 48-point differential: Miami Dolphins (1504) 24-point favorites vs Cincinnati Bengals (1440): Bengals win 45-21
2. Week 16, 49-point differential: Kansas City Chiefs (1546) 32-point favorites vs Tennessee Titans (1403): Titans win 26-9
3. Week 15, 51-point differential: Dallas Cowboys (1513) 43-point favorites vs Minnesota Vikings (1449): Vikings win 34-26
4. Week 15, 51-point differential: New York Giants (1431) 43-point favorites vs Washington Commanders (1377): Commanders win 29-21
5. Week 16, 44-point differential: Indianapolis Colts (1587) 23-point favorites vs San Francisco 49ers (1528): 49ers win 48-27
Most Improved Elo on the Season:
1. +106: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1606) thru week 21
2. +98: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 22
3. +76: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1576) thru week 20
4. +71: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 22
5. +67: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1567) thru week 19
more...
1. +62: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 20
2. +56: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 20
3. +50: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 18
4. +47: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 18
5. +42: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 19
6. +36: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 21
7. +36: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 19
8. +23: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 20
9. +13: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
10. +12: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
11. +5: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
12. -1: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 19
13. -6: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
14. -13: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
15. -23: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
16. -34: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
17. -35: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
18. -44: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
19. -46: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 18
20. -53: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
21. -63: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
22. -67: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1433) thru week 19
23. -71: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1429) thru week 18
24. -73: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 18
25. -77: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
26. -89: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
27. -107: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
Worst Elo Collapse on the Season:
1. -107: Las Vegas Raiders (1500) before week 1 → (1393) thru week 18
2. -89: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1411) thru week 18
3. -77: New York Giants (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 18
4. -73: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1427) thru week 18
5. -71: Washington Commanders (1500) before week 1 → (1429) thru week 18
more...
1. -67: Carolina Panthers (1500) before week 1 → (1433) thru week 19
2. -63: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1500) before week 1 → (1437) thru week 18
3. -53: Arizona Cardinals (1500) before week 1 → (1447) thru week 18
4. -46: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1454) thru week 18
5. -44: New Orleans Saints (1500) before week 1 → (1456) thru week 18
6. -35: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1465) thru week 18
7. -34: Dallas Cowboys (1500) before week 1 → (1466) thru week 18
8. -23: Cincinnati Bengals (1500) before week 1 → (1477) thru week 18
9. -13: Minnesota Vikings (1500) before week 1 → (1487) thru week 18
10. -6: Atlanta Falcons (1500) before week 1 → (1494) thru week 18
11. -1: Pittsburgh Steelers (1500) before week 1 → (1499) thru week 19
12. +5: Kansas City Chiefs (1500) before week 1 → (1505) thru week 18
13. +12: Baltimore Ravens (1500) before week 1 → (1512) thru week 18
14. +13: Philadelphia Eagles (1500) before week 1 → (1513) thru week 19
15. +23: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1523) thru week 20
16. +36: Los Angeles Chargers (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 19
17. +36: Denver Broncos (1500) before week 1 → (1536) thru week 21
18. +42: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1542) thru week 19
19. +47: Detroit Lions (1500) before week 1 → (1547) thru week 18
20. +50: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1550) thru week 18
21. +56: San Francisco 49ers (1500) before week 1 → (1556) thru week 20
22. +62: Houston Texans (1500) before week 1 → (1562) thru week 20
23. +67: Jacksonville Jaguars (1500) before week 1 → (1567) thru week 19
24. +71: New England Patriots (1500) before week 1 → (1571) thru week 22
25. +76: Buffalo Bills (1500) before week 1 → (1576) thru week 20
26. +98: Seattle Seahawks (1500) before week 1 → (1598) thru week 22
27. +106: Los Angeles Rams (1500) before week 1 → (1606) thru week 21
Most Improved Elo in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. +149: Kansas City Chiefs (1491) before week 3 → (1639) thru week 8
2. +149: Los Angeles Rams (1515) before week 6 → (1664) thru week 12
3. +130: Indianapolis Colts (1500) before week 1 → (1630) thru week 8
4. +126: Seattle Seahawks (1517) before week 3 → (1643) thru week 10
5. +125: Baltimore Ravens (1409) before week 7 → (1534) thru week 12
more...
1. +121: New England Patriots (1489) before week 4 → (1610) thru week 11
2. +106: Cincinnati Bengals (1374) before week 12 → (1480) thru week 17
3. +106: Jacksonville Jaguars (1461) before week 11 → (1567) thru week 18
4. +101: Buffalo Bills (1503) before week 2 → (1604) thru week 9
5. +96: Detroit Lions (1490) before week 2 → (1586) thru week 5
6. +93: Houston Texans (1481) before week 4 → (1575) thru week 8
7. +93: Miami Dolphins (1412) before week 8 → (1504) thru week 15
8. +92: Denver Broncos (1499) before week 4 → (1592) thru week 9
9. +86: Los Angeles Chargers (1463) before week 8 → (1549) thru week 10
10. +85: New Orleans Saints (1370) before week 10 → (1455) thru week 17
11. +80: Tennessee Titans (1355) before week 9 → (1435) thru week 16
12. +79: Philadelphia Eagles (1481) before week 7 → (1560) thru week 11
13. +71: Dallas Cowboys (1474) before week 4 → (1545) thru week 7
14. +69: Chicago Bears (1460) before week 3 → (1529) thru week 7
15. +65: San Francisco 49ers (1494) before week 11 → (1558) thru week 16
16. +64: Minnesota Vikings (1425) before week 14 → (1489) thru week 15
17. +60: Atlanta Falcons (1436) before week 12 → (1496) thru week 17
18. +52: Washington Commanders (1377) before week 15 → (1429) thru week 18
19. +51: Green Bay Packers (1500) before week 1 → (1551) thru week 8
20. +48: Las Vegas Raiders (1354) before week 14 → (1402) thru week 16
21. +48: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1497) before week 5 → (1545) thru week 8
22. +42: Pittsburgh Steelers (1481) before week 3 → (1523) thru week 6
23. +40: Cleveland Browns (1414) before week 15 → (1454) thru week 18
24. +38: Carolina Panthers (1489) before week 2 → (1527) thru week 3
25. +35: New York Giants (1449) before week 6 → (1484) thru week 7
26. +26: New York Jets (1428) before week 8 → (1454) thru week 10
27. +21: Arizona Cardinals (1483) before week 6 → (1504) thru week 9
Worst Elo Collapse in 8 or Fewer Games:
1. -156: Washington Commanders (1542) before week 6 → (1386) thru week 10
2. -145: Tennessee Titans (1500) before week 1 → (1355) thru week 8
3. -126: Kansas City Chiefs (1639) before week 9 → (1513) thru week 16
4. -124: New Orleans Saints (1494) before week 2 → (1370) thru week 9
5. -123: Las Vegas Raiders (1506) before week 2 → (1383) thru week 9
more...
1. -118: Baltimore Ravens (1527) before week 3 → (1409) thru week 6
2. -112: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1545) before week 9 → (1434) thru week 16
3. -108: Cincinnati Bengals (1509) before week 3 → (1401) thru week 9
4. -100: Carolina Panthers (1527) before week 4 → (1427) thru week 10
5. -98: Minnesota Vikings (1523) before week 6 → (1425) thru week 13
6. -94: New York Giants (1484) before week 8 → (1390) thru week 15
7. -93: Atlanta Falcons (1520) before week 3 → (1427) thru week 8
8. -88: Miami Dolphins (1500) before week 1 → (1412) thru week 7
9. -77: Cleveland Browns (1500) before week 1 → (1423) thru week 6
10. -74: Indianapolis Colts (1630) before week 9 → (1556) thru week 14
11. -72: New York Jets (1500) before week 1 → (1428) thru week 7
12. -72: Dallas Cowboys (1545) before week 8 → (1473) thru week 15
13. -71: Jacksonville Jaguars (1530) before week 6 → (1459) thru week 7
14. -64: Denver Broncos (1592) before week 10 → (1527) thru week 16
15. -62: Arizona Cardinals (1504) before week 10 → (1442) thru week 14
16. -60: Los Angeles Chargers (1523) before week 4 → (1463) thru week 7
17. -59: Los Angeles Rams (1664) before week 13 → (1605) thru week 19
18. -53: New England Patriots (1610) before week 12 → (1556) thru week 16
19. -51: Philadelphia Eagles (1560) before week 12 → (1509) thru week 16
20. -44: Seattle Seahawks (1643) before week 15 → (1598) thru week 22
21. -41: Detroit Lions (1588) before week 11 → (1547) thru week 17
22. -40: Chicago Bears (1500) before week 1 → (1460) thru week 2
23. -40: Pittsburgh Steelers (1523) before week 7 → (1483) thru week 8
24. -38: Houston Texans (1593) before week 15 → (1555) thru week 16
25. -37: Buffalo Bills (1604) before week 10 → (1567) thru week 12
26. -27: Green Bay Packers (1551) before week 9 → (1524) thru week 10
27. -24: San Francisco 49ers (1518) before week 8 → (1494) thru week 10
Strongest Average Opponent Rating:
1. Arizona Cardinals: 1528
2. Tennessee Titans: 1521
3. Indianapolis Colts: 1513
4. Kansas City Chiefs: 1511
5. Washington Commanders: 1509
more...
1. San Francisco 49ers: 1509
2. Cincinnati Bengals: 1507
3. Houston Texans: 1506
4. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
5. Atlanta Falcons: 1504
6. Los Angeles Rams: 1503
7. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
8. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1502
9. New York Jets: 1502
10. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
11. Detroit Lions: 1500
12. Buffalo Bills: 1499
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
14. Cleveland Browns: 1498
15. Denver Broncos: 1498
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
17. New York Giants: 1496
18. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
19. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
20. Carolina Panthers: 1494
21. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
22. Baltimore Ravens: 1492
23. Chicago Bears: 1492
24. New Orleans Saints: 1492
25. Green Bay Packers: 1490
26. Miami Dolphins: 1475
27. New England Patriots: 1474
Weakest Average Opponent Rating:
1. New England Patriots: 1474
2. Miami Dolphins: 1475
3. Green Bay Packers: 1490
4. New Orleans Saints: 1492
5. Chicago Bears: 1492
more...
1. Baltimore Ravens: 1492
2. Los Angeles Chargers: 1493
3. Carolina Panthers: 1494
4. Dallas Cowboys: 1495
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1496
6. New York Giants: 1496
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1497
8. Denver Broncos: 1498
9. Cleveland Browns: 1498
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1499
11. Buffalo Bills: 1499
12. Detroit Lions: 1500
13. Minnesota Vikings: 1501
14. New York Jets: 1502
15. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1502
16. Las Vegas Raiders: 1503
17. Los Angeles Rams: 1503
18. Atlanta Falcons: 1504
19. Seattle Seahawks: 1506
20. Houston Texans: 1506
21. Cincinnati Bengals: 1507
22. San Francisco 49ers: 1509
23. Washington Commanders: 1509
24. Kansas City Chiefs: 1511
25. Indianapolis Colts: 1513
26. Tennessee Titans: 1521
27. Arizona Cardinals: 1528
Strongest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. Kansas City Chiefs: 1515
2. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1508
3. Carolina Panthers: 1504
4. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
5. Philadelphia Eagles: 1502
more...
1. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
2. Buffalo Bills: 1498
3. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
4. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
5. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
6. Atlanta Falcons: 1496
7. Houston Texans: 1496
8. Minnesota Vikings: 1493
9. Tennessee Titans: 1492
10. Denver Broncos: 1492
11. Washington Commanders: 1491
12. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
13. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1487
14. Green Bay Packers: 1486
15. Detroit Lions: 1482
16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
17. Baltimore Ravens: 1481
18. Chicago Bears: 1481
19. Los Angeles Chargers: 1481
20. New York Giants: 1479
21. Las Vegas Raiders: 1479
22. Cleveland Browns: 1470
23. Indianapolis Colts: 1466
24. New England Patriots: 1465
25. Miami Dolphins: 1458
26. New Orleans Saints: 1457
27. New York Jets: 1441
Weakest Average Beaten Opponent Rating:
1. New York Jets: 1441
2. New Orleans Saints: 1457
3. Miami Dolphins: 1458
4. New England Patriots: 1465
5. Indianapolis Colts: 1466
more...
1. Cleveland Browns: 1470
2. Las Vegas Raiders: 1479
3. New York Giants: 1479
4. Los Angeles Chargers: 1481
5. Chicago Bears: 1481
6. Baltimore Ravens: 1481
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1482
8. Detroit Lions: 1482
9. Green Bay Packers: 1486
10. Jacksonville Jaguars: 1487
11. San Francisco 49ers: 1487
12. Washington Commanders: 1491
13. Denver Broncos: 1492
14. Tennessee Titans: 1492
15. Minnesota Vikings: 1493
16. Houston Texans: 1496
17. Atlanta Falcons: 1496
18. Arizona Cardinals: 1497
19. Dallas Cowboys: 1497
20. Seattle Seahawks: 1497
21. Buffalo Bills: 1498
22. Los Angeles Rams: 1501
23. Philadelphia Eagles: 1502
24. Cincinnati Bengals: 1504
25. Carolina Panthers: 1504
26. Pittsburgh Steelers: 1508
27. Kansas City Chiefs: 1515

↑ 2025 Season Model Accuracy

Week	Winners Picked	Running Total
1	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)	8-8 (8/16, 50.0%)
2	7-9 (7/16, 43.75%)	15-17 (15/32, 46.88%)
3	9-7 (9/16, 56.25%)	24-24 (24/48, 50.0%)
4	7-8 (7/15, 46.67%)	31-32 (31/63, 49.21%)
5	6-8 (6/14, 42.86%)	37-40 (37/77, 48.05%)
6	9-6 (9/15, 60.0%)	46-46 (46/92, 50.0%)
7	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	56-51 (56/107, 52.34%)
8	8-5 (8/13, 61.54%)	64-56 (64/120, 53.33%)
9	7-7 (7/14, 50.0%)	71-63 (71/134, 52.99%)
10	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	82-66 (82/148, 55.41%)
11	10-5 (10/15, 66.67%)	92-71 (92/163, 56.44%)
12	11-3 (11/14, 78.57%)	103-74 (103/177, 58.19%)
13	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	113-80 (113/193, 58.55%)
14	8-6 (8/14, 57.14%)	121-86 (121/207, 58.45%)
15	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	131-92 (131/223, 58.74%)
16	10-6 (10/16, 62.5%)	141-98 (141/239, 59.0%)
17	6-10 (6/16, 37.5%)	147-108 (147/255, 57.65%)
18	12-4 (12/16, 75.0%)	159-112 (159/271, 58.67%)
W	5-1 (5/6, 83.33%)	164-113 (164/277, 59.21%)
D	3-1 (3/4, 75.0%)	167-114 (167/281, 59.43%)
C	2-0 (2/2, 100.0%)	169-114 (169/283, 59.72%)
S	1-0 (1/1, 100.0%)	170-114 (170/284, 59.86%)

These ratings and rankings are not intended for use in informing sports betting decisions. This is a simple Elo model derived from a minimal data set and it does not account for many relevant factors that may impact game outcomes. The accuracy of this model for past seasons is not necessarily indicative of its accuracy for the current or future seasons.

The schedule on this page is derived from Pro-Football-Reference.com, with weekly scores data from nflverse and some hand-entered scores.

The data on these pages was at one point derived from Wikipedia NFL teams' pages. I donate to Wikipedia annually. If you value free access to information on the web, or have recently found Wikipedia useful, I encourage you to do so as well.

If you enjoy reading these power rankings please consider leaving a small tip or (for free!) upvoting my weekly posts in the r/nfl subreddit. Thanks!